Thursday, October 14, 2021

#VOTENO
Opinion: The case against Premier Kenney’s equalization referendum

Author of the article: Trevor Tombe
Publishing date: Oct 13, 2021 • 
  
Trevor Tombe writes that voting No to the equalization question on Oct. 18 is important; to do otherwise risks long-term damage to our federation, to our politics and to the province, while being a costly distraction from Alberta's real and growing challenges.

Proposals to amend the Constitution are very serious matters. They are at the heart of what kind of country we want to live in. And for the first time in nearly 30 years — when a national vote on the Charlottetown Accord was held — Albertans will vote on an important constitutional question: do we support removing the very principle of equalization payments from Canada’s Constitution?

That principle, enshrined in Section 36(2) of the Constitution , is simple: the Government of Canada is “committed to the principle of making equalization payments to ensure that provincial governments have sufficient revenues to provide reasonably comparable levels of public services at reasonably comparable levels of taxation.”

This means ensuring all Canadians — regardless of which province they live in — can access reasonable public services without having to bear abnormally high tax rates to fund them.

Premier Peter Lougheed called this a crucial aspect of Confederation . Today, Premier Jason Kenney is asking you to reject it.

Canada’s equalization program is not perfect, of course. No policy is. But its goal — its very principle — is worth defending. It is not only fair, but it also benefits Alberta.

It’s true that Alberta doesn’t directly benefit from equalization payments, and hasn’t since 1964. But this isn’t because we are victims. It’s because Alberta is a high-income province.

Our economy is stronger , our average incomes are higher , and our government’s ability to raise revenues is above any other province in Canada. Despite years of struggle since oil prices dropped in late 2014, this remains true today. If Alberta had P.E.I.’s personal income tax rates, for example, we could fund our entire health-care system on that alone. But P.E.I. falls well short and needs another 10 point sales tax on top of that to fund health care. Without equalization, P.E.I. would need a sales rate of nearly 25 per cent to make up for it. Alternatively, it could double its already high income taxes. Alberta is luckily spared such difficult circumstances.

We are not and should not be an equalization-receiving province.

But Alberta does indirectly benefit from equalization. If you retire in Nova Scotia, for example, you rely on its health care. When a Canadian moves to Alberta, as nearly 2,000 people per week now do , they bring their education with them. We benefit from quality public services elsewhere in Canada. And were it not for equalization, pressure for federal delivery of health and education would mount. If you favour provincial autonomy in Canada, then a program like equalization makes this possible.

It’s precisely because the very principle of equalization payments is sound that proponents want you to ignore the question and base your vote on a long list of other grievances from carbon taxes to federal spending decisions to partisan dislike of a certain federal politician. A Yes vote, the argument goes, creates “leverage” in future negotiations with Ottawa about all these unrelated issues. This logic is flawed, for at least two reasons.

First, in an important ruling, the Supreme Court of Canada has wisely stated that “(a) referendum result, if it is to be taken as an expression of the democratic will, must be free of ambiguity both in terms of the question asked and in terms of the support it achieves.” If the vote means something other than the question being asked, its result will mean very little and achieve even less. If Premier Kenney wanted to talk about something other than removing Section 36(2), then he asked the wrong question.

Second, no province can amend the Constitution on its own. A referendum vote provides no power to Alberta, legal or otherwise, that we don’t already have. Our premier can — in multiple venues — propose, negotiate and engage thoughtfully any time he wants. Past leaders have done so with great success before. Recent reforms to health and social transfers, to stabilization payments and to the equalization program itself have improved federal transfers significantly. In fact, federal transfers to provincial governments are structurally more evenly distributed than at any point in Canadian history outside of the Second World War .

Of course, there are genuine frustrations in Alberta. Some concern federal policy. This is inevitable in a large and diverse country like Canada. But we don’t need a referendum to improve policy. We need elected representatives willing to roll up their sleeves and do the hard work on our behalf.

Many more frustrations, though, concern provincial policy. Our economy has disappointed, the government’s pandemic handling could have been better (especially recently), and Alberta’s budget is a complete mess. These concerns are very real. But none have anything to do with equalization.

Solutions require action at home and a government willing to focus on them. Inflaming tensions, shifting blame and polarizing issues have not served Alberta well. This referendum offers more of the same.

At worst, it risks long-term damage to our federation, to our politics, to the province. And at best, it’s a costly distraction from Alberta’s real and growing challenges. Vote No to the equalization question on Oct. 18.

Trevor Tombe is a professor of economics at the University of Calgary and research fellow at the School of Public Policy.

THUMBNAIL PHOTO  Gavin Young/Postmedia

THE GANG THAT COULDN'T SHOOT STRAIGHT
Some Albertans experience glitch in COVID-19 vaccine record QR code app

By Emily Mertz Global News
Posted October 13, 2021 

WATCH
Alberta Premier Jason Kenney announces the launch of a government-supported verification app to check proof of COVID-19 vaccination with a QR code.

Some Albertans who have received a third dose — or booster — of the COVID-19 vaccine reported Tuesday the new app to scan their immunization record in QR code form wasn’t working.


READ MORE: Alberta launches app to read COVID-19 vaccination QR code

For someone who’s had three doses — receiving their third within the last two weeks — the Android version of the new AB Covid Records Verifier scans successfully, however on an Apple device, it can show up as an “X”.

An Alberta Health spokesperson confirmed to Global News Wednesday that the issue was only affecting the Apple version of the app. Alberta Health expects “the app to update very soon with this issue resolved.”



WATCH Albertans try new proof-of-vaccine QR code scanner app

“In the meantime, Albertans can continue to show their paper and electronic records when accessing businesses and venues participating in the Restrictions Exemption Program, including the ones obtained through Alberta.ca/CovidRecords, MyHealth Records or the paper records obtained at their vaccination appointment,” the statement read.

“The transition to vaccine records with QR codes as the only valid proof of vaccination takes effect on Nov. 15. This transition period allows Alberta Health to address any technical issues as they arise.”

READ MORE: Premier Kenney says Alberta will keep COVID-19 vaccine passport into at least early 2022

The AB Covid Records Verifier quietly made an appearance on the Google Play and Apple App store Tuesday morning before the Alberta government introduced it at a news conference that afternoon.


Daily COVID-19 numbers

On Wednesday, Alberta Health confirmed 652 new cases of COVID-19 out of about 8,620 tests.

There were 38 new deaths related to COVID-19 reported Wednesday. While they occurred over the last six days, they were reported to Alberta Health in the last 24 hours, Dr. Deena Hinshaw explained.

The last time that many deaths were reported in one day was on Jan. 12.


Alberta’s death toll from COVID-19 now stands at 2,901.
ANWSERS THE QUESTION HOW MANY ALBERTANS HAVE YOU KILLED KENNEY

As of Wednesday, there were 1,027 people in hospital with COVID-19, 236 of whom were being treated in ICU.

“Of the 236 in ICU, 91 per cent are unvaccinated or partially vaccinated,” Hinshaw said.



There are currently 14,218 active cases of COVID-19 across the province.

“I’d like to remind everyone that we all have the ability to take small actions every day that will benefit our communities,” Alberta’s chief medical officer of health added.

“The most important thing we can do is to get vaccinated, and stay home if we’re feeling even a little bit unwell.

“Vaccines are safe, effective and save lives,” Hinshaw said.

“If you have not yet gotten your first or second dose, please do so right away. Book your shot today at http://alberta.ca/vaccine.”

READ THE REST OF THE ARTICLE HERE 
URBAN NATIVES DISCRIMINATED AGAINST
'I don't belong here': Homeless Albertans describe life in Wetaskiwin encampment

WETASKIWIN, Alta. — Alvin Johnson holds on to a tarp flying in the wind as his partner tries to secure the corners of their tent with shards of wood.

© Provided by The Canadian Press

His weathered hands wipe tears from his eyes as he talks about living in a homeless encampment on the edge of Wetaskiwin, southeast of Edmonton.

"I wish they would help us," said Johnson. "I don't belong here."

The City of Wetaskiwin moved the camp to a city-owned plot of land after shutting down the community's homeless shelter in August.

Johnson, 61, used to live in nearby Maskwacis, which serves reserves from four Cree First Nations. The City of Wetaskiwin and band leaders have failed to help him, he said.

"It’s like the reserve — you have to take care of yourself," said Johnson about living at the camp. "When we step out of the boundary, we're on our own."


Fights break out in the "tent city," he said, but people try and look out for one another. His biggest worry is his chosen family getting hurt.

In between long pauses, he talked about traumas he's faced, including the death of a brother and being beaten with a hammer. He doesn't say whether the attack happened at the camp.

He joins upwards of 60 other people in the open field fighting to stay warm as winter nears.

The frigid air creeps into tattered tents at night and people wake up to frost in the morning. Ashes sit at the bottom of fire pits. On a chilly day in October, there's no more wood to start a fire.

"I can just see people declining, deteriorating and mental health is getting worse and worse," said Kristen Anderson, who lives in one of the tents.

Anderson, 41, said he started living rough in 2019 after his parents died, his welding company went under and he weathered a divorce. He turned to alcohol to cope, which he said only made things worse.

A log holds up his tent. There are soap bars at the entrance to deter mice from burrowing inside. Anderson said he has items to protect himself hidden among his belongings but didn't say what they were.

"Within the last week, it's been getting a lot worse. I find it's the predator and the prey. There are people out here preying on the weak," he said. "I hear women cry themselves to sleep at night."

During the day, most people leave the camp to roam the city, panhandle or seek social supports. Some medical staff and community members visit the site to provide aid.

It's relatively calm until the sun goes down and alcohol and drugs "add fuel to the fire," said Anderson.

Another woman at the camp, who declined to give her name, said some community members drive by and hurl insults and racial slurs at the people living there.

"I would choose not to be here," she said. "But I have no choice."

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 13, 2021.

Alanna Smith, The Canadian Press
B.C. civil rights group sues federal government over solitary confinement

VANCOUVER — A civil liberties group has filed a lawsuit against the federal government over solitary confinement, two years after the top courts in British Columbia and Ontarioruled there has been a violation of prisoners' constitutional rights.

© Provided by The Canadian Press

The B.C. Civil Liberties Association alleges in a notice of civil claim filed in British Columbia Supreme Court that the conditions of solitary confinement infringe on federal inmates' charter rights, arguing they are exposed to physical, psychological, social and spiritual trauma.

Grace Pastine, the association's litigation director, said thousands of inmates are still being isolated in their cells for 22 hours a day or more with little access to human contact, despite promised reforms.

"Wardens at federal prisons continue to isolate people for days, weeks and months at a time as a routine form of prison management," she told a news conference Wednesday.

Long periods of isolation have a disproportionate impact on Indigenous and racialized people or those with mental disabilities, says the notice of claim, which names the Attorney General of Canada as a defendant.

The lawsuit alleges that inmates who experience extended use of restrictive movement routines and lockdowns "are observed to suffer from a wide variety of adverse effects" including anxiety, hallucinations, panic, paranoia, self-harm, social withdrawal, and suicidal thoughts and behaviours.

A statement of defence has not been filed with the court.

A spokesman for Justice Canada said the Correctional Service of Canada would respond to a request for comment on the lawsuit. Pierre Deveau, a spokesman for the Correctional Service, said in a prepared statement that the agency could not comment on any specific allegations.

None of the allegations made in the notice of civil claim have been tested in court.

The Correctional Service launched so-called structured intervention units at 15 prisons across the country in November 2019, months after the British Columbia Court of Appeal and the Ontario Court of Appeal ruled Canada’s administrative segregation regime violated inmates' charter rights.

"Structural intervention units are part of a historic transformation of the federal correctional system that is fundamentally different from the previous model," Deveau said in the statement.

However, senior counsel Megan Tweedie of the civil liberties association said in an interview that the units that are "essentially solitary confinement by another name" are not the focus of the lawsuit.

"Our urgent human rights concern right now is lockdowns and restrictive movement routines because thousands of prisoners are being affected by this," Tweedie said, adding those strategies can apply to an entire institution as part of a "mass solitary confinement."

Efforts have been made to deal with the problem through internal grievance processes without any overall change for inmates, she said.

"Nothing's happening," she added. "So we're stepping in to fight that fight for them."

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 13, 2021.

Camille Bains, The Canadian Press
BEST TO REMOVE FOOT FROM MOUTH BEFORE SHOOTING IT 
France's Le Pen says she will take down wind turbines if she is elected


PARIS (Reuters) - French far-right presidential candidate Marine Le Pen said that if she is elected president next year she will end all subsidies for renewable energy and will take down France's wind turbines.

© Reuters/SARAH MEYSSONNIER FILE PHOTO: 
French far right leader Marine Le Pen reacts to the results of regional election, in Nanterre

Le Pen, who will be the candidate of the Rassemblement National party in the April vote, made it to the second round of the 2017 election, and is expected to do so again, although some recent polls have shown that right-wing talk-show star Eric Zemmour could best her if he decides to run.

"Wind and solar, these energies are not renewable, they are intermittent. If I am elected, I will put a stop to all construction of new wind parks and I will launch a big project to dismantle them," she said on RTL radio.

She added that she would scrap the subsidies for wind and solar, which she said added up to six or seven billion euros per year and put a heavy burden on consumers' power bills.

Le Pen also said that she would provide strong support for France's nuclear industry by allowing the construction of several new nuclear reactors, fund a major upgrade of France's existing fleet and would back the construction of small modular reactors as proposed by President Emmanuel Macron.

In a 2030 roadmap for the French economy presented this week, Macron proposed billions of euros of support for electric vehicles, the nuclear industry and green hydrogen - produced with nuclear - but made little mention of renewable energy.

France produces about 75% of its power in nuclear plants, which means its electricity output has among the lowest carbon emissions per capita of any developed country. However, it also lags far behind Germany and other European nations in wind and solar investment.

There is an active anti-wind movement, which is supported by the far right and centre right, notably by Xavier Bertrand, the leading conservative contender in the presidential vote.

(Reporting by Geert De Clercq; Editing by Peter Graff)
We Accidentally Solved the Flu. Now What?


Perhaps the oddest consolation prize of America’s crushing, protracted battle with the coronavirus is the knowledge that flu season, as we’ve long known it, does not have to exist.
© Angela Weiss / AFP / Getty

Jacob Stern
THE ATLANTIC

It’s easy to think of the flu as an immutable fact of winter life, more inconvenience than calamity. But each year, on average, it sickens roughly 30 million Americans and kills more than 30,000 (though the numbers vary widely season to season). The elderly, the poor, and people of color are all overrepresented among the casualties. By some estimates, the disease’s annual economic cost amounts to nearly $90 billion. We accept this, when we think about it at all, as the way things are.

Except that this past year, things were different: During the 2020–21 flu season, the United States recorded only about 2,000 cases, 17,000 times fewer than the 35 million it recorded the season before. That season, the flu killed 199 children; this past season, as far as we know, it killed one.

“We’ve looked for flu in communities and doctors’ offices and hospitals, and we’ve gotten almost zero,” says Emily Martin, a University of Michigan epidemiologist who’s part of the CDC’s flu-monitoring network. The same was true of other seasonal respiratory viruses last winter, says Saskia Popescu, an epidemiologist at George Mason University in Virginia, though some have since rebounded. RSV, parainfluenza, rhinovirus, adenovirus—for a while, they all but vanished.

[Read: The pandemic broke the flu]

For this, perversely, we can thank the pandemic. The coronavirus itself may have played some role—infection could produce a general immune response that would also confer protection against the flu—but most of the epidemiologists I spoke with instead emphasized the importance of the behavioral changes adopted to slow the spread of the coronavirus: masking, distancing, remote learning, working from home, limiting indoor social gatherings. Despite the inconsistency with which America deployed them, these measures helped tamp down the spread of the virus, but they completely crushed influenza, a less transmissible foe to which the population has considerable preexisting immunity. We set out to flatten the curve, and we ended up stamping out the flu.

This was one of the few blessings in an otherwise abysmal winter, in which COVID cases and deaths surged to their highest levels ever in the U.S. At least we didn’t face the dreaded “twindemic.” But our triumph over the flu also poses a dilemma, as much ethical as epidemiological. We’ve demonstrated conclusively that saving nearly everyone who dies of the flu is within our power. To do nothing now—to return to the roughly 30,000-deaths-a-year status quo without even trying to save some of those lives—would seem irresponsible. So what do we do? Which measures do we maintain and which do we let go?

One thing we’re not going to do is go into lockdown every year (or even go into what passed for lockdown in the United States, which in reality was not). This, the public-health experts I spoke with for this story all agreed, would be neither feasible nor desirable. Broad restrictions on travel and large indoor gatherings, they said, also seem like nonstarters (though Seema Lakdawala, a flu-transmission expert at the University of Pittsburgh, suggested that companies might consider rescheduling their annual holiday party for the summer and moving it outdoors). Even more moderate capacity limitations, though beneficial from a health perspective, Popescu told me, are “tricky for business.”

Still, perhaps other, targeted versions of the restrictions deployed during the pandemic could work. Linsey Marr, an environmental engineer at Virginia Tech, proposed a sort of “circuit breaker” system, in which schools and workplaces could go remote for a week or two to slow flu transmission during severe local outbreaks. Before shutdowns kick in, people could keep a close eye on flu cases in their area—just as many have monitored COVID numbers over the past two years—and make their own personal risk assessments. For one person, Lakdawala imagines, that might mean being more efficient in a crowded grocery store; for another, masking at a movie theater. (That said, people tend to be less than perfect at gauging the danger of different situations.)

Masks, in theory, are one of the simplest pandemic-times interventions to hold on to. They are “the low-hanging fruit,” says the Emory University immunologist Anice Lowen, because, unlike shutdowns or restrictions on indoor gatherings, they don’t disrupt our daily routines. In an ideal world, several epidemiologists told me, people would mask in crowded indoor spaces during flu season—if not all the time, then at least when case counts are on the rise. If that became the norm, Marr told me, “we would see huge reductions in colds and flus. No question.”

[Read: Why are Americans still—still!—wearing cloth masks?]

Ours, of course, is not an ideal world, and masking is unlikely to become an uncontroversial American norm anytime soon. Demand too much, warns Angela Rasmussen, a virologist at the Vaccine and Infectious Disease Organization, in Saskatchewan, Canada, and you risk inciting backlash. Even if health officials ask people to mask only during local surges, she worries, “you’re going to have a lot of people who are like, ‘Well, we saw this coming. First you mandated masks for COVID; now you’re mandating masks all the time. It’s all about control! What about my freedom?’”

At the very least, both Marr and Rasmussen would like to see the CDC recommend that people wear masks when symptomatic and provide information about how masking in crowded indoor spaces can lower the risk of infection. For now, the CDC isn’t prepared to endorse any new antiflu interventions. David Wentworth, the virology, surveillance, and diagnosis chief within the agency’s influenza division, agrees that pandemic precautions played a major role in reducing flu transmission over the past year. But he told me that the agency needs to see more data on which measures were most effective before it officially recommends any of them. “It sounds like we’re doing nothing, but really we want to understand what factors have the big impact before you start making those kinds of recommendations,” he said. “It’s not that we don’t care about the tens of thousands of people who are impacted by flu.”

The agency’s most up-to-date information on masks and the flu is labeled “Interim Guidance” … as it has been since it was published in 2004. It stresses, as several of the experts I spoke with did, that no one intervention can provide total protection, and it even mentions social distancing and school closures as possible “community measures.” But outside of a health-care setting, it recommends masks only for people who either are diagnosed with the flu by a doctor or have a fever and respiratory symptoms during a known local outbreak—and even then, it stops short of an actual prescription. Those people should try to stay home, it says, but if they can’t, “consideration should be given” to masking in public spaces.

Like everyone else I spoke with, Wentworth strongly recommended flu shots, which he called “the most important tool” at our disposal for fighting influenza. And while most years’ flu shots are considerably less effective than the best-performing COVID vaccines, several of the experts I spoke with said that not-so-far-off advances in immunization technology could narrow the gap before long.

[Read: The most important vaccine I’ll get this fall]

Certainly, methods for knocking out the flu need not be limited to successful pandemic interventions. Many experts advocated for changes they said were long overdue even before the pandemic began, chief among them paid sick leave, which every wealthy country in the world except the U.S guarantees. As a result, nearly a quarter of the American labor force must report to work when ill. Among the bottom quartile of earners, that proportion is more than half. And while many employers have introduced more accommodating policies during the pandemic, there’s no guarantee they’ll outlast it. In schools, perfect-attendance awards encourage a similar dynamic, even if well intentioned, says Sarah Cobey, an evolutionary biologist at the University of Chicago.

Giving workers and students the ability to stay home when sick would go a long way toward reducing the flu’s spread. But policy changes alone won’t unravel the problem overnight. “There’s a real culture … that if you’re not on your deathbed or you’re not going to the hospital, that you’re fine to go to work,” Rasmussen told me. “If you’re sick, you should stay home. It seems like a no-brainer, but people are actually really resistant to that.”

Whether because of that culture or because they don’t realize they’re contagious, some sick people will still come in to work. That, experts told me, is where overhauled ventilation can help us. For all the advances we’ve made in preventing diseases transmitted via water or insects, my colleague Sarah Zhang has written, we have overlooked air. Until the advent of sewer systems and water treatment, Marr said, people accepted deadly waterborne diseases as a basic fact of life. These days, the idea of drinking dirty water strikes most as repulsive, even as we resign ourselves to breathing filthy air and contracting seasonal respiratory viruses. But now, Marr said, “we’ve seen we don’t have to live that way.” By better ventilating our buildings—which to this point have largely been optimized for energy efficiency, not air quality—she said, we could do for air what we have done for water.

That is at least a little ways off, though. To fight the flu right now, flu shots and nonpharmaceutical interventions are all we’ve got. If we’re going to save people, that’s how. We’re unlikely to consistently replicate the nonexistent flu season we just had, but the experts I spoke with said that even the more modest precautions could reduce mortality by 25, 50, even 75 percent, which translates to tens of thousands of lives saved. Those figures, they stressed, are highly speculative. So far, the 2021–22 season is off to a good start, though some experts worry that the flu will be back with a vengeance before long.

Whatever happens, there can be no more illusions of inevitability. The flu, it turns out, has always been a choice. Now we have the opportunity to do something about it—and the burden of knowing we can.
Coal is 'king' as gas prices soar, Total CEO says — and it's backfiring on cleaner energy goals

Natasha Turak 
CNBC


Surging gas prices have led to a jump in the use of coal, one of the more polluting fuels whose use Europe has been trying to reduce.

"High pricing is not good news — of course immediately for my company results are better, but for customers" is it not, Total CEO Patrick Pouyanne told CNBC during a Russia Energy Week panel in Moscow.

Pouyanne, like many other oil and gas company executives, has called out the risk of relying on renewables whose efficacy is determined by the weather.

© Provided by CNBC Vapor rises from the cooling towers of the Turow coal powered power plant, operated by PGE SA, in Bogatynia, Poland.

Surging natural gas prices have led to a jump in coal use, with plants in Europe and Asia firing back up as temperatures decline and the world grapples with worsening gas shortages.

TotalEnergies CEO Patrick Pouyanne on Wednesday stressed the need to achieve price stability, contending that lower gas prices will reduce the need to rely on the higher-polluting coal, but that the transition to cleaner energy has also created an imbalance in the market.

"High pricing is not good news — of course immediately for my company results are better, but for customers" is it not, Pouyanne told CNBC's Hadley Gamble during a Russia Energy Week panel in Moscow.

Replacing coal with gas "is good for climate change, but to do that, we need to have a lower price," the CEO said. "Because coal today is a king, because coal is cheaper than all the other sources of energy."

Coal-produced electricity has shot up in Europe, and European coal futures have more than doubled since the start of the year. And the irony is clear, as this is happening just as Europe is trying to reduce its use of the polluting fuel. Gas prices in Europe, meanwhile, have nearly quadrupled since the start of the year.

"So for us today prices are too high. We have to find stability, going back to something more normal," Pouyanne said.

He added that this is not merely a European gas crisis, but a global one, stemming from both a "huge hike in demand for gas from China and Asia," as well as "more demand for gas because of energy transition, going from coal to gas, which is good for climate change."

"So that is I think a lesson," Pouyanne said. "Another is that the more we put renewables in our electric system, we put in intermittent sources which depend on the weather."

TotalEnergies CEO: Maybe too much emotion in the way we look at the planet



Pouyanne, like many other oil and gas company executives, has noted the risk of renewables that rely on weather. Brazil, which has increased its reliance on hydropower, saw less rain this year, while other parts of the world that have invested heavily in solar and wind power saw less sun and wind.

BP CEO Bernard Looney, speaking on the same panel, echoed Pouyanne's concern.

"I think that this crisis in Europe has reminded us that energy is part of the lifeblood of society and that energy use is only going in one direction — and that is upwards," Looney said. "We all understand that the sun doesn't shine at night and the wind doesn't always blow so we have that question of renewables' intermittency to deal with."

'A more volatile system'


Talking about governments' pushes to reduce fossil fuel production and use, Looney said: "At the end of the day, if supply goes away and demand doesn't change, that only has one consequence, and that is an escalation in price rises. So I'm not suggesting that the onus needs to be put on customers or society, but this is a system, and both the supply and the demand side have to work together."

"Just simply correcting a supply-side issue without affecting demand will not result in a more stable system, it'll result in a more volatile system," Looney added.

Higher gas use due to colder weather earlier in the year "has lowered all the inventories on gas, and so we see today an exceptional circumstance," Pouyanne said. "I think that after wintertime we should be able to come back to lower prices which would be good for everybody."

Gas prices are surging to record highs in Europe. Power shortages are also impacting households and businesses across Asia, and have forced factories to shut down.

This has been brought on by supply shortfalls and the transition to cleaner energy, which has spurred higher demand for gas, considered a cleaner fuel. Demand is also rebounding from its Covid-induced slowdown as economies reopen and travel resumes around the world.

Other energy commodities including oil have also soared in recent weeks, with international benchmark Brent crude trading at $83.37 at 12:00 p.m. ET, its highest level since 2018 and up 64% since the start of this year.

U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate hit a seven-year high this week, and was trading at $80.63 at noon ET.

The spike in energy prices comes amid supply chain disruptions and a shortage of shipping containers, both of which have contributed to rapidly rising inflation.
BECAUSE OF COURSE SHE IS
Sinema fundraising in Europe as reconciliation talks 'ongoing': report


Caroline Vakil
THE HILL


Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.) is fundraising in Europe this week as discussions over Democrats' reconciliation bill continue, The New York Times reported.

© Getty Images Sinema fundraising in Europe as reconciliation talks 'ongoing': report

Sinema took part in fundraising efforts for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC), a spokesman for the Arizona Democrat told the newspaper. One of those fundraising events occurred in Paris, one source told the Times, and Sinema was also reportedly planning meetings in London.


Her office, however, declined to say if she would be fundraising for her own campaign as well, where she would be going in Europe or for how long, and how the trip was being paid, according to the Times.

The newspaper reported that Sen. Gary Peters (D-Mich.), who chairs the Senate campaign committee, was also fundraising this week in Europe. It is unclear if the two are participating in events together, however The Times noted that a copy of an invitation for one event hosted by Peters did not include Sinema's name on it.

John LaBombard, a spokesperson for Sinema, told the Times that the Arizona Democrat has continued to be involved in conversations over the party's reconciliation bill, which she and Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) oppose in its current size.

"So far this week, Senator Sinema has held several calls - including with President Biden, the White House team, Senator Schumer's team, and other Senate and House colleagues - to continue discussions on the proposed budget reconciliation package," LaBombard told the Times. "Those conversations are ongoing."

Democrats are seeking to break an impasse in two pieces of legislation - a bipartisan infrastructure bill and the much larger reconciliation bill, which is currently priced at around $3.5 trillion. Sinema, who helped negotiate the bipartisan infrastructure bill, expressed frustration earlier this month after several attempts to bring the legislation to the floor were punted by Democratic leaders.

"Over the course of this year, Democratic leaders have made conflicting promises that could not all be kept - and have, at times, pretended that differences of opinion within our party did not exist, even when those disagreements were repeatedly made clear directly and publicly," Sinema said in a statement.

"Canceling the infrastructure vote further erodes that trust. More importantly, it betrays the trust the American people have placed in their elected leaders and denies our country crucial investments to expand economic opportunities," Sinema continued.

However, fellow Democrats are frustrated with Sinema for failing to make her demands clear for supporting the reconciliation bill. While Manchin has indicated he's open to a figure between $1.9 trillion to $2.2 trillion, Sinema has offered no such window.

The Hill has reached out to Sinema's office and DSCC for comment.

 

UK Chancellor Rishi Sunak Plans Budget Cuts Worth £2Bln Amid 'Highest' Tax Rate in Peacetime

Britain's Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunak - Sputnik International, 1920, 12.10.2021
The news is likely to add pressure on the government of Boris Johnson, which has come under criticism for breaking a 2019 manifesto pledge not to raise taxes, when it introduced a health and social care tax. Johnson has defended the move, citing the financial crisis wrought by the coronavirus pandemic.
UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunak is planning budget cuts worth 2 billion pounds, the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) said in its "Green Budget" assessment conducted jointly with the investment bank Citi.
According to the economic think thank, the planned tax hikes will increase Britain's tax intake "to its highest sustained level in peacetime", but this will not be enough to fund some government departments.

The spending squeeze is likely to affect areas such as "local government, prisons, further education, and courts", IFS said

"These budgets were cut substantially in the 2010s, and a further round of cuts would be difficult to reconcile with the government's stated objectives – particularly around 'levelling up'", the assessment read.

The economic think tank noted that overall government spending will settle at 42 percent of national income, more than 2 percent above its pre-pandemic level, however, due to the ageing population a growing share of the budget will be spent on healthcare, leaving other areas underfunded.

A spokesperson for the Treasury said the government will continue to invest in key public priorities.

"Core departmental spending will grow in real terms over this parliament at nearly 4% per year on average – a 140 billion pound cash increase and the largest real-terms increase in overall departmental spending for any parliament this century", the spokesperson said.

Economic Outlook

Commenting on the UKs' recovery from the financial crisis wrought by the coronavirus pandemic, IFS said it was rapid, but incomplete, with the economy being "one large recession short of its pre-COVID trajectory".
Brexit, however, has had a more detrimental effect on the economy, says an analysis by Citi Bank.

"The scarring just because of the pandemic may not be as large as we thought last year. The scarring due to Brexit may actually be larger. Brexit is casting a long shadow over the economy", said Christian Schulz, the bank's director of European economics.

Citi's forecast estimates that Britain's economy will be between 2 and 3 percent smaller in 2024-2025.

The IFS said under the most optimistic scenario, the government could reap the biggest current budget surplus since 1972.

"[Rishi Sunak] still faces huge uncertainty over the direction of the economy and hence over the state of the public finances. He will be hoping against hope that stronger-than-expected growth in revenues over the next few years will help to dig him out of what still looks like a fair-sized hole", said IFS director Paul Johnson.



Rishi Sunak 'will save billions of


pounds by counting IMF


contributions towards the UK's


foreign aid budget'


Rishi Sunak is said to be planning to use IMF cash as part of UK's aid spending

Such a move would save the Treasury billions of pounds over the next few years

Campaigners said the cash should be spent in addition to the existing budget


By JACK MAIDMENT, DEPUTY POLITICAL EDITOR FOR MAILONLINE

PUBLISHED: 11 October 2021 

Chancellor Rishi Sunak is facing criticism over plans to 'recycle' a windfall from the International Monetary Fund into the UK's aid budget.

Campaigners believe Mr Sunak is preparing to use a large portion of the funds to replace part of the UK's current international development spending rather than using it in addition to what has already been allocated.

The move would likely save the Treasury billions of pounds over the next few years.

It comes after the Government came under heavy criticism for cutting aid spending for the world's poorest from 0.7 per cent to 0.5 per cent of national income.

UK TORIES SHARE BIDEN SLOGAN

Chancellor Rishi Sunak is facing criticism over plans to 'recycle' a windfall from the International Monetary Fund into the UK's aid budget.

Britain has received £19billion of its share of IMF special drawing rights (SDRs) which are designed to help poor countries ailing from the coronavirus pandemic.

But rather than following other countries by using it to provide help in addition to existing budgets, The Guardian reported that the UK will stick to internationally agreed rules allowing 30 per cent of lending through the IMF to count as aid.

Romilly Greenhill, the UK director of the One Campaign against poverty, said she expects the Government to recycle around 75 per cent of its SDR allocation, saving up to £5billion in the coming years.

She called on the Chancellor to reverse the 'shocking' decision in his spending review on October 27, adding: 'It's even more outrageous that we are the only rich donor to be considering counting this money as aid.

'Because of the way SDRs work this money comes at barely any cost to the UK taxpayer. It's literally taking charity away from those most in need.'

Conservative former international secretary Andrew Mitchell was also among those criticising the move.

He said: 'While the IMF expenditure is indeed within the definition of the aid budget, including it at this time – especially when it is not actual cash expenditure – and when the aid budget has already been slashed during a global pandemic will have a devastating effect on humanitarian causes British people care about and send a terrible message about global Britain.'

The Liberal Democrats' foreign affairs spokeswoman Layla Moran accused the Government of sending 'completely the wrong message' ahead of the Cop26 climate summit in Glasgow.
Boris Johnson votes to approve foreign aid cuts

'This Conservative Government has dealt yet another damaging blow to Britain's global reputation, by recycling aid money to avoid helping the world's poorest people,' she said.

The Treasury did not deny the plans, and a Government spokeswoman said: 'The UK is one of the leading international aid donors and this year we provided over £10billion towards poverty reduction, climate change, and global health security.

'We will return to the 0.7 per cent target when the fiscal situation allows.'

WAIT, WHAT
Just 20 UK visas issued to foreign lorry drivers, government admits

Oliver Dowden says applications ‘relatively limited’ for emergency visa scheme aimed to stem supply chain crisis

 
An advert for drivers and warehouse staff is displayed on the side of a lorry as a driver makes a delivery in central London. Photograph: Dominic Lipinski/PA


Aubrey Allegretti
@breeallegretti
Wed 13 Oct 2021

Just 20 UK visas have been issued to HGV drivers from abroad who took up the emergency offer of employment to avoid empty shelves in the run-up to Christmas, a senior minister has admitted.

Oliver Dowden, the Conservative party chair, said there were a “relatively limited” number of people applying for the jobs, with about 300 applications received and “just over 20” fully processed.

It came as the Home Office disclosed it would take three weeks to process the documents, in accordance with “the public service standard” turnaround time of 15 working days. The admission, from Kevin Foster, future borders and immigration minister, was contained in a letter to MPs, seen by the Guardian, and prompted accusations that the government was not moving fast enough to avert a national crisis.


EU lorry drivers will not help Britain ease its fuel crisis, union says

In the face of mounting fuel, food and goods shortages last month, it was announced that 5,000 visas would be granted to lorry drivers until the end of next February, and a further 5,500 could be applied for by poultry workers that would last until 31 December 2021.

Dowden told LBC on Wednesday: “We have 300 people that have applied for these [HGV] visas. I believe the number is just over 20 that actually received them, so are on the road. But I expect that number to increase over time.”

Foster suggested the recruitment drive was not yet fully under way. He said the Home Office was “currently making the necessary changes” to immigration rules, adding that the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) was “standing up the operators to begin recruitment”.

The Liberal Democrats raised concerns there would be little time left for those taking up the roles to make a significant improvement to the UK’s supply chain struggles.

Alistair Carmichael, the party’s home affairs spokesperson, said the lack of progress was “staggering”, especially in light of reports that the UK’s biggest container port, Felixstowe, was being forced to turn away ships from Asia because of a backlog of containers caused by the lorry driver shortage. He said: “In the face of a national crisis and our ports going into gridlock, the response from Conservative ministers is too little, too late. This incompetence will mean more empty shelves and more misery for British consumers in the run-up to Christmas.”

Ministers were reluctant to approve more emergency visas for workers to stem the HGV driver crisis because they were trying to put more pressure on the industry to improve pay and conditions, rather than being seen to bail it out by providing an influx of labour from abroad.

Meanwhile, shortages of other workers are having a significant impact. The poultry worker visas were issued as healthy pigs began to be culled because of a lack of staff at abattoirs, leaving as many as 120,000 pigs stranded on farms long after they should have been slaughtered. And the army had to be called in to help with fuel deliveries after the HGV driver shortage affected some companies, causing mass panic buying.