Monday, March 10, 2025

Wall Street Journal: ‘Someone should sue’ Trump over tariffs

Ashleigh Fields
Sat, March 8, 2025 



The Wall Street Journal editorial board took a swipe at President Trump’s recent tariff threats, alleging the administration is using a 48-year-old law to start a trade war.

In a recent op-ed, the board warned of a possible jolt in consumer prices once the tariffs go into full effect and urged someone to file a lawsuit in response.

“The President invokes a law that doesn’t give him power to impose sweeping tariffs,” they wrote in the article’s subhead. “Someone should sue.”

The pressure comes after Trump introduced 25 percent tariffs on Canada and Mexico and levied an additional 10 percent tariff on Chinese imports. The taxes went into effect earlier this week, but the president has issued some exceptions in recent days.

The 1977 International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) permits the executive branch to investigate, block, prohibit or regulate any imports and exports with foreign countries in the case of an “unusual or extraordinary threat.”

The Journal’s editorial board further accused Trump of misinterpreting the law.

“He’s treating the North American economy as a personal plaything, as markets gyrate with each presidential whim,” the board wrote. “It’s doubtful Mr. Trump even has the power to impose these tariffs, and we hope his afflatus gets a legal challenge.”

The Journal described Trump’s actions as a “fundamental revision” of the IEEPA statute with direct quotes from the Supreme Court’s 2022 ruling in West Virginia v. EPA, a case involving the Environmental Protection Agency’s power to restrict emissions from power plants.

They noted a lack of historical precedent as a clear sign of Trump’s attempt to expand his authority under the guise of the fentanyl opioid crisis as a qualifying “national emergency.”

Under the ruling, the board wrote, “Congress must expressly authorize economically and politically significant executive actions, which Mr. Trump’s tariffs undeniably are.”

“Whether fentanyl is an unusual and extraordinary threat is debatable, however, since drugs have been pouring across the borders for decades,” they continued. “The bigger problem is that IEEPA doesn’t clearly authorize tariffs.”

The board also outlined the limits on presidential tariff authority, referring to a lower court’s decision to uphold former President Nixon’s use of a law predating IEEPA. In that case, Nixon imposed an across-the-board 10 percent tariff to address the nation’s growing trade deficit — which was later subjected to limitations by Congress.

“Mr. Trump’s tariff doesn’t appear reasonably related to the fentanyl emergency,” the Journal’s board wrote. “And Congress seemed to dislike Nixon’s use of emergency powers to deal with trade issues since three years later it gave the President limited authority to impose tariffs.”

“Mr. Trump may have shunned those authorities because he wants carte blanche to impose tariffs,” they added.

The Journal’s latest criticism follows an editorial from earlier this week, where the board slammed Trump for the “dumbest tariff plunge.”

Copyright 2025 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved.


‘America First’ policies are threatening American exceptionalism as the economy and markets flash warning signs

US stocks are down so far this year. · Fortune · Spencer Platt—Getty Images


Jason Ma
Sat, March 8, 2025 


U.S. outperformance in the global economy and across financial markets is fading as President Donald Trump's tariffs weigh on growth prospects and send investors to seek gains elsewhere. U.S. stocks are down so far this year and the Nasdaq slipped into correction territory, while European and Chinese stocks are soaring.

A few months ago, the U.S. economy and financial markets looked unstoppable, while Europe and China were struggling to break out of prolonged weakness. But that is turning upside down as President Donald Trump presses ahead with a tariff agenda that's meant to put America first.

After predicting continued "American exceptionalism," Wall Street has suddenly turned more pessimistic. On Friday, analysts at Bank of America said "U.S. exceptionalism is fading" and warned recent economic reports point to a growing likelihood of stagflation—a combination of weak growth and high inflation.

Michael Brown, senior research strategist at Pepperstone, was more blunt, saying late Thursday that the dollar is tumbling "with jitters over the state of the U.S. economy continuing to exert considerable pressure, and the 'U.S. exceptionalism' theme now being in tatters."

The White House told Fortune in a statement that tariffs played a key role in America's industrialization, stretching back to the 1800s and President William McKinley.

"President Trump was elected with a resounding mandate to institute his America First economic agenda of tariffs in addition to deregulation, tax cuts, and the unleashing of American energy," spokesman Kush Desai said. "Trillions of dollars in investment commitments from Apple, TSMC, and other industry leaders are indicative of the successes in store for America under President Trump."

To be sure, U.S. growth was already expected to cool a bit from robust gains to still-solid expansion. But in recent weeks, a range of economic indicators has started worsening, including consumer spending and inflation expectations, as tariffs loom.

Surveys of businesses have also highlighted growing concern about tariffs and uncertainty about where they're headed. In addition to tariffs on Mexico, Canada and China, Trump has threatened tariffs on steel, aluminum, the EU, chips, autos, and pharmaceuticals, as well as retaliatory duties across all trade partners.

The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tracker shows the first quarter is currently on track for a 2.4% contraction after signaling a 1.5% decline last week and reversing from 2.3% growth on Feb. 19. While the widely followed indicator can be volatile and was hammered by a deeper trade deficit, Wall Street analysts are downgrading their U.S. growth views.


On Friday, JPMorgan said the economy would slow toward a 1% pace if tariffs on Canada and Mexico are imposed after large portions were put on a one-month pause. That's down from their earlier view of 2% this year. Meanwhile, others on Wall Street are pricing in greater odds of a recession, though it remains outside the scope of their baseline forecasts.

By contrast, JPMorgan sees the eurozone economy expanding by 2%—unless an intense U.S.-EU trade war erupts. That's as European leaders and Germany's incoming leadership have vowed a seismic break from earlier fiscal austerity and toward debt-fueled spending, especially on defense as the U.S. distances itself from traditional allies and warms up to Russia.

China also plans to ramp up stimulus as Trump has already doubled tariffs on imports from the world's second largest economy to 20%.

The sudden upending of economic prospects is being reflected in stocks. The S&P 500 has lost 2% in the year to date after soaring more than 20% in 2023 and 2024. But Germany's DAX index is up 15.6%, and Hong Kong's Hang Sing index has shot up 21% helped by bullishness on Chinese AI technology.

For this part, Trump said Thursday he isn't watching the stock market as he plans his tariff policies and repeatedly blamed "globalists" for the recent stock selloff.

“We’ve been treated very unfairly as a country,” he said. “We protect everybody. We do everything for all these countries, and a lot of these are globalist in nature.”

In an op-ed on Wednesday, market gurus Ed Yardeni and Eric Wallerstein said they still see a 55% chance of a "Roaring 20s" scenario where the US economy continues to power ahead, fueled by a tech-driven boost.

But they cut the odds of a bullish "meltup" to 10% from 25%, while raising the odds of a bear market and a tariff-induced recession to 35% from 20%.

"We are still betting on the resilience of consumers and the economy," they warned. "However, Trump Turmoil 2.0 is significantly testing the resilience of both."

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com


Trump won't predict whether recession could result from his tariff moves


Doina Chiacu
Sun, March 9, 2025 
REUTERS


Scroll back up to restore default view.

WASHINGTON (Reuters) -President Donald Trump declined to predict whether the U.S. could face a recession amid stock market concerns about his tariff actions on Mexico, Canada and China over fentanyl.

The Republican president, whose trade policies have rekindled fears of worsening U.S. inflation, was asked if he expected a recession this year in a Fox News interview broadcast on Sunday.

"There is a period of transition, because what we're doing is very big. We're bringing wealth back to America," Trump told the "Sunday Morning Futures" program. "It takes a little time, but I think it should be great for us."

Tariffs have been one key concern for investors, as many believe they can harm economic growth and be inflationary. While Trump acknowledged as early as February 2 that his sweeping tariffs could cause some "short-term" pain for Americans, his own advisers have repeatedly downplayed any negative impact.

"Absolutely not," Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said on Sunday. "There's going to be no recession in America."

Lutnick did acknowledge that the Trump tariffs would lead to higher prices for U.S. consumers on some foreign-made goods, but said American products will get cheaper.

"He's not going to step off the gas," Lutnick said on NBC's "Meet the Press."

Trump imposed new 25% tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada last Tuesday, along with fresh duties on Chinese goods, after he declared the top three U.S. trading partners had failed to do enough to stem the flow of deadly fentanyl and its precursor chemicals into the United States.

Two days later, he exempted many imports from Mexico and some from Canada from those tariffs for a month, the latest twist in a fluctuating trade policy that has whipsawed markets and fanned worries about U.S. inflation and growth.

It was the second time in two months that Trump has walked back fentanyl-related tariffs on the U.S. neighbors.

"If fentanyl ends, I think these will come off. But if fentanyl does not end, or he's uncertain about it, he will stay this way until he is comfortable," Lutnick said.

White House officials say Canada and Mexico are conduits for shipments of fentanyl - which is 50 times more potent than heroin - and its precursor chemicals into the U.S. in small packages that are often not inspected.

Public data shows 0.2% of all fentanyl seized in the U.S. comes from the Canadian border, while the vast majority arrives via Mexico. In a concession to Trump, Canada appointed a new fentanyl czar last month.

The exemptions for the two largest U.S. trading partners expire on April 2, when Trump has threatened to impose a global regime of reciprocal tariffs on all U.S. trading partners.

Kevin Hassett, director of the White House's National Economic Council, said on ABC's "This Week" that he hoped the drug-related tariffs can be resolved by the end of the month so the focus can be on imposing the reciprocal measures.

TRADE CONFUSION

Seesaw tariff announcements have unnerved Wall Street as investors say flip-flopping moves by the Trump administration to roll back levies on trading partners are causing confusion rather than bringing relief.

The Trump trade policies have raised fears of trade wars that could slam economic growth and raise prices for Americans still smarting from years of high inflation.

China said it would "resolutely counter" pressure from the United States on the fentanyl issue after Trump imposed tariffs of 20% on all imports from China.

Democratic senators from two border states criticized Trump's tariff policy as inconsistent and irresponsible.

"These broad, indiscriminate and on-again, off-again tariffs don't help anyone. They don't help farmers. They don't help auto workers. They're a mistake," U.S. Senator Adam Schiff of California said on ABC.

"Pounding Canada as if they're the exact same thing as China - it just creates this chaotic feeling," U.S. Senator Elissa Slotkin, of Michigan, said on NBC.

Trump said he put a hold on tariffs on some goods last week because, "I wanted to help Mexico and Canada," according to the "Sunday Morning Futures" interview, which was taped on Thursday.

The three countries are partners in a North American trade pact that was renegotiated by Trump during his first White House term.

Yet Trump also told the Fox News program that those 25% tariffs "may go up" and he said on Friday that his administration could soon impose reciprocal tariffs on Canadian lumber and other products.

Separately, U.S. tariffs of 25% on imports of steel and aluminum will take effect as scheduled on Wednesday, Lutnick said during the interview. Canada and Mexico are both top exporters of the metals to U.S. markets, with Canada in particular accounting for most aluminum imports.


Growing Fear Of 'Trump Recession' Amid Tariff Whiplash And DOGE Chaos

Josh Boak / AP
Sat, March 8, 2025

President Donald Trump delivers remarks in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, Friday, March 7, 2025. (Pool via AP) via Associated Press

WASHINGTON (AP) — With his flurry of tariffs, government layoffs and spending freezes, there are growing worries President Donald Trump may be doing more to harm the U.S. economy than to fix it.

The labor market remains healthy with a 4.1% unemployment rate and 151,000 jobs added in February, and Trump likes to point to investment commitments by Apple and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company to show that he’s delivering results.

But Friday’s employment report also found that the number of people stuck working part-time because of economic circumstances jumped by 460,000 last month. In the leisure and hospitality sectors that reflect consumers having extra money to spend, 16,000 jobs were lost. And the federal government reduced its payrolls by 10,000 in a potential harbinger of the alarm being sounded by the stock market, consumer confidence and other measures of where the economy is headed.

Since January, the economic policy uncertainty index has spiked 41% to a level, 334.5, that in the past signaled a recession. Nicholas Bloom, a Stanford University economist and co-developer of the uncertainty index, said it’s unclear how this will play out, but he’s worried.

“I have an increasing fear we will enter into what may become known as the ‘Trump recession,’” he said. “Ongoing policy turbulence and a tariff war could tip the U.S. economy into its first recession in five years.” That last recession occurred under Trump because of the coronavirus pandemic.

For his part, Trump seems comfortable with the uncertainty that he’s generating, saying that any financial pain from import taxes is a mere “disruption” that will eventually lead to more factories relocating to the United States and stronger growth.

If Trump’s gambit succeeds, the Republican would cement his reputation as an unconventional leader who proved doubters wrong. But if Trump’s tariffs backfire, much of the price would be paid by everyday Americans who could suffer from job losses, lower wages, higher inflation and, possibly, an injured sense of national pride.

In an interview to air Sunday on Fox News’ “Sunday Morning Futures,” Trump was pressed to provide some clarity on his tariffs agenda that has caused uncertainty to fester. The president largely hedged his answer and blamed the 6% drop in the stock market over the past two weeks on “big globalists.”

“You know, the tariffs could go up as time goes by, and they may go up and, you know, I don’t know if it’s predictability,” the president said.

The White House maintains that Friday’s jobs report showed the administration’s strategy is working because manufacturers added 10,000 jobs. Of the manufacturing gains, 8,900 jobs came from the auto sector, recovering some of the industry’s job losses in January. The White House also suggested that the loss of leisure and hospitality jobs was the result of flu season and people having depleted savings and credit card debt because of President Joe Biden’s term.

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in the Financial District in New York City on March 4, 2025. (Photo by TIMOTHY A. CLARY / AFP) (Photo by TIMOTHY A. CLARY/AFP via Getty Images) TIMOTHY A. CLARY via Getty ImagesMore

“I thought it was a really, really impressive jobs report,” Kevin Hassett, director of the White House National Economic Council, said of Friday’s numbers.

Hassett said the additional factory jobs were the result of companies “on-shoring” work because of the coming tariffs.

“This is the first of many reports that are going to look like this,” Hassett said with regard to the hiring in the industrial sector.

The stock market selloff raises doubts about whether tariffs will create the promised jobs.

“Markets anticipate,” said John Silvia, CEO of Dynamic Economic Strategy. “The turn down the dark alley of tariffs signals higher inflation, slower economic growth and a weaker U.S. dollar. It is an economic horror movie in slow motion.”

Trump has instigated a trade war in the last week with Canada, Mexico and China, only to then hit a monthlong pause on some of his import taxes because of the threat to U.S. auto factory jobs and because of Mexico’s latest efforts to curb fentanyl smuggling.


More tariffs are coming on April 2 for Europe, Trump says, possibly putting the United States into open conflict with a continent it helped rebuild after World War II. South Korea, India and Brazil could also face new tariffs, Trump said in his address to a joint session of Congress on Tuesday.

Silvia said Trump’s tariffs need to be more targeted with regard to products and nations and set at lower rates, adding that doing so would provide an assurance that there is solid research backing the measures.

There were multiple signs of uncertainty and concerns about the tariffs in the Federal Reserve’s beige book, a collection of anecdotes from hundreds of businesses that the Fed releases eight times a year.

Published Wednesday, the beige book included 47 references to uncertainty, up from just 17 in the previous edition in January.

“Many businesses noted heightened economic uncertainty and expressed concern about tariffs,” the Fed’s New York branch reported. “Looking ahead, businesses were notably less optimistic.”

“This is the perfect storm for businesses,” said Brian Bethune, an economist at Boston College. “How can you possibly plan anything in this environment?”

Still, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Friday on CNBC that he sees positive momentum in combating inflation. He said crude oil prices have fallen since Trump’s inauguration, as have the interest rates on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes and mortgages.

Still, interest rates on government debt are higher than they were last year in September, and the recent decline could reflect a slowdown in economic demand.

Bessent suggested a core problem is that the U.S. economy has become overly reliant on government deficits and that the Trump administration would be fostering stronger growth in the private sector.

“We’ve become addicted to this government spending, and there’s going to be a detox period,” he said.

This particular form of economic rehab is coming from Trump’s Department of Government Efficiency, which is led by T-shirted tech mogul Elon Musk, the owner of Tesla, X and SpaceX, among other companies.

WASHINGTON, DC - FEBRUARY 26: Tesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk, head of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), stands as U.S. President Donald Trump (R) speaks during a Cabinet meeting at the White House on February 26, 2025 in Washington, DC. Trump is holding the first Cabinet meeting of his second term. (Photo by Andrew Harnik/Getty Images) Andrew Harnik via Getty ImagesMore

The alleged savings by DOGE are still too paltry to bend the troubling trajectory of the national debt that is largely being driven by tax revenues that are insufficient to cover the rising costs of Social Security and Medicare.

But the initiative has started to downsize the federal workforce in ways that could surface in future jobs reports. Roughly 75,000 employees took the deferred resignation plan. There are also thousands of probationary federal workers who were fired and tens of thousands of layoffs to come based on the administration’s plans.

Asked Friday in the Oval Office if the government layoffs could hurt the overall labor market, Trump said the economy would be great.

“I think the labor market is going to be fantastic, but it’s going to have high-paying manufacturing jobs,” he said. ”We had too many people in government. You can’t just do that.”

___

AP economics writer Christopher Rugaber contributed to this report.










‘Nobody will trust a US treaty again,’ and Japan’s yen is now the new safe haven currency, strategist says

Fortune · Getty Images


Jason Ma
Sun, March 9, 2025

Quantum Strategy's David Roche said "NATO is dead" as the US distances itself from European allies and warms up to Russia. That makes Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping the big winners and the US the "big loser," he added, with Japan's yen displacing the dollar as the world's safe haven currency.

An American promise is looking more doubtful as the US upends traditional geopolitics, with repercussions in global financial markets, according to Quantum Strategy's David Roche.

In an interview with CNBC on Tuesday, he declared that "NATO is dead," with President Donald Trump distancing the US from long-time European allies and warming up to the Kremlin, which was underscored by his recent shouting match with Ukrainian President Volodymr Zelensky.

That makes Russia's Vladimir Putin and China's Xi Jinping the big winners, as they see confirmation of their views that democratic powers are on the decline, Roche explained.

"The big loser is actually the US, because nobody will trust a US treaty again," he added, noting that a lot of so-called Global South countries will fall into China's orbit as a result.

Trump has long been skeptical of NATO and complained that member countries aren't spending enough on defense.

But since his first term, they have stepped up their outlays, with three-fourths now spending 2% of their GDP or more on their militaries after just the US, UK and Greece met that benchmark in 2015, according to a tally by the Associated Press.

Still, Trump has demanded allies continue boosting expenditures and warned on Thursday that the US won't come their aid if they don't.

"If they don't pay, I'm not going to defend them. No, I'm not going to defend them," he told reporters in the Oval Office.

While some European leaders have publicly maintained that they still see the US as an ally, they are also preparing for a world without a US security shield.

The European Union recently announced plans to increase defense spending by more than $800 billion, as it seeks to step up support for Ukraine while the US pulls back.

Roche predicted Europe will need five to six years, or perhaps even more, to reinvigorate its military capabilities. Meanwhile, the geopolitical turmoil has implications for global financial markets.

“So you want to buy defense," he told CNBC. "You want to keep out of the euro and own the yen, which is now the new safe haven as the US is getting to look very dangerous and US exceptionalism will suffer from the costs of Trump’s commercial tariffs.”

Others have also warned that his tariffs could prompt countries to retaliate outside of the trade arena, including in the debt markets and currency markets by de-dollarizing.

But even before Trump's return to the White House, there has been growing wariness about the dollar. That's after the US and its allies imposed sanctions on Russia following its invasion of Ukraine three years ago.

In particular, the freezing of Russia's dollar and euro assets sparked concerns among other countries that their own greenback holdings could be threatened one day too.

China and Russia have led the de-dollarization movement to reduce their reliance on the dollar in international trade transactions and central bank reserves.

Nassim Taleb, who wrote the book The Black Swan about unpredictable events, has warned that the sanctions and their repercussions are creating risks for the dollar.

“So I’m really afraid of a progressive loss of the role of the dollar,” he told Bloomberg TV in October, adding that “people nominally conduct transactions in dollars, but they don’t store it in dollars, and that is what the problem is.”

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com


US Inflation Set to Stay Sticky as Tariff Risk Looms



Vince Golle and Craig Stirling
Sun, March 9, 2025 

(Bloomberg) -- US consumer prices probably rose in February at a pace that illustrates plodding progress on inflation for Federal Reserve officials. They may be content to remain on the sidelines to assess a policy whirlwind from the Trump administration.

Bureau of Labor Statistics figures on Wednesday are projected to show that the consumer price index minus food and energy climbed 0.3%, based on the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg. While less than January’s 0.4% gain in January, the magnitude of the increase leaves annual price growth elevated.

The so-called core CPI probably rose 3.2% from February last year. The data will inform the Fed’s preferred price gauge, which isn’t due until after the March 18-19 policy meeting. Interest-rate setters — now in a blackout period ahead of that gathering — have an inflation goal of 2%.

The latest snapshot of price pressures follows a February jobs report that showed steady payrolls growth tempered by hints of underlying cracks in the labor market. The broader economy is also displaying signs of softening, reflecting weaker consumer spending, sentiment and homebuilding at the start of the year.

President Donald Trump told Fox News’ Sunday Morning Futures that the economy faces “a period of transition,” deflecting concerns about the risks of a US slowdown as his early focus on trade and federal job cuts cause market turmoil.


Wednesday also is the day that 25% tariffs for steel and aluminum imports are scheduled to take effect, with US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick signaling on Sunday that he doesn’t expect a reprieve from the levies.

On Thursday, data are projected to show similar lingering cost pressures at the economy’s wholesale level. The producer price index, excluding food and fuel, is projected to have risen by 3.5% in February from a year ago.

What Bloomberg Economics Says:

“Chair Jerome Powell has said the Fed needs to see ‘real progress’ on inflation or some labor-market weakness to consider adjusting rates again. After early-year price resets stalled disinflation in January, policymakers will be looking for new progress in February’s CPI. We expect only modest improvement as residual seasonality effects linger: We estimate both headline and core CPI inflation rose 0.3%.”


—Anna Wong, Stuart Paul, Eliza Winger, Estelle Ou & Chris G. Collins, economists. For full analysis, click here

On Friday, a University of Michigan report is projected to show a further decline in consumer sentiment. Traders, as well as Fed officials, will pay particular attention to the survey’s inflation expectations metrics.

For more, read Bloomberg Economics’ full Week Ahead for the US

The Bank of Canada is widely expected to cut rates by a further 25 basis points on Wednesday if Trump’s sweeping tariff push on Canadian goods persists. Previously, many economists had counted on a pause after recent data showed the economy bounced back strongly in the fourth quarter.


It’s a challenging moment for Governor Tiff Macklem, who successfully wrestled inflation lower and put the country on track for a soft landing — only to face potential stagflation from a trade war instigated by an ally.

Elsewhere, inflation releases from China to Russia, growth data in the UK and a key speech by the European Central Bank president are among highlights.

Click here for what happened last week, and below is our wrap of what’s coming up in the global economy.

Asia

The week kicked off with China’s inflation report, which revealed a drop below zero for the first time in 13 months. While reading was skewed by seasonal distortions, it’s also a reminder of persistent deflationary pressures in the economy.

On Monday, investors will focus on Japan’s labor cost data after nominal wages in December rose at the fastest pace in nearly three decades. Japan will also release current account figures on the day amid increasingly uncertain prospects for global flow of investment and trade.

The country’s current-account surplus hit a record high in 2024, with the yen’s weakness inflating the value of overseas investment returns. A renewed trade war between the US and China, Japan’s two biggest trading partners, hangs heavy over the outlook.


Also on Monday, the State Bank of Pakistan is expected to cut rates to 11.5% to support growth after inflation eased to the lowest in seven years.

On Tuesday, Japan will publish final gross domestic product estimates for the fourth quarter. A strong report may pave the way for further monetary policy tightening.

Australia releases a private survey for businesses which is likely to show the impact on sentiment of the country’s first rate cut in four years. Australia and Indonesia also report consumer confidence data.

On Wednesday, South Korea’s unemployment rate will be closely watched after a steeper-than-expected drop in January.

India’s consumer price growth likely cooled slightly in February which could spur bets for further monetary policy easing. Japan releases fourth-quarter economic and business conditions as well as producer prices, while New Zealand has card spending data. Malaysia and India report industrial output.

Friday will see trade data from South Korea and New Zealand’s food prices.


Also during the week, China publishes credit data as well as foreign direct investment figures which will be closed watched after the country in January recorded the weakest start for inbound investment in four years.

For more, read Bloomberg Economics’ full Week Ahead for Asia

Europe, Middle East, Africa

A packed week of policymaker appearances is in store for the euro zone following the ECB decision on Thursday to cut rates and avoid giving a clear signal of its next move.

Officials on the schedule include President Christine Lagarde, who’ll make a key speech to a major conference in Frankfurt on euro-zone monetary policy. Chief economist Philip Lane and governors from the region’s four largest economies are on the calendar too.

Among data in the region, euro-zone industrial production on Thursday will give a signal on growth at the start of the year.

Prior to those figures, numbers from Germany will reveal how the country’s sickly manufacturing businesses were faring before Friedrich Merz won the Feb. 23 election. He’s working on a fiscal package that could prove a massive support to the country’s crippled industrial backbone.


Merz’s plan also includes almost unlimited defense spending, an idea also gaining traction elsewhere in Europe. Polls published over the weekend show that the Trump administration’s policy shifts toward Europe and Ukraine are boosting support for increased military outlays in France and the UK.

In Britain, GDP data for January, due on Friday, are predicted to show a third monthly increase, albeit much slower than the spurt seen at the end of last year.

Meanwhile, a senior cabinet minister said on Sunday that the UK will slash the number of civil servants and use artificial intelligence to boost efficiency in the government.

Sweden will release its monthly GDP indicator on Monday, and Riksbank officials will testify to lawmakers the following day.

Norway and Denmark will publish inflation numbers during the week, as will Poland. The Polish central bank is likely to keep borrowing costs steady at a decision on Wednesday. The National Bank of Serbia, meanwhile, may extend its pause in monetary easing for a sixth month.


Turning south, Egypt’s inflation is expected to show a sharp drop in February from 24% a month earlier, paving the way for several rate cuts this year.

Ghana’s finance minister, Cassiel Ato Forson, will present the Mahama administration’s first budget on Tuesday, outlining plans to revive the ailing economy. He may also provide details on International Monetary Fund talks to alter the terms of a $3 billion program that ends next year.

In South Africa, Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana will present his own budget in Cape Town on Wednesday, a month after delaying plans because of a coalition disagreement over a proposal to raise taxes. Investors will watch for how far he sticks with fiscal consolidation while holding few options to raise revenue and reduce spending.

Russia will publish inflation figures for February on Wednesday, just over a week before its next rate decision. Bloomberg Economics sees annual price growth reaching 10% before trending lower through the rest of the year.

In Israel, meanwhile, inflation is expected to have eased slightly to 3.7% from 3.8% a month earlier. That report is due on Friday.


For more, read Bloomberg Economics’ full Week Ahead for EMEA

Latin America

Much watched central bank surveys of economists are on tap in Argentina, where inflation expectations are drifting ever lower, and in Brazil, where they’ve leveled off after a protracted run-up.

Brazil’s February inflation report will likely show a roughly 60 basis-point jump in the year-on-year print to well over 5%, the highest since September 2023.

Brazil also reports industrial production, retail sales, budget and lending data in the coming week.

While tighter financial conditions — Brazil’s central bank has tipped a third-straight 100 basis-point rate hike at its March 19 meeting — have yet to bring inflation and expectations to heel, retail sales and industry finished off 2024 on the defensive.

In Peru, the central bank is likely quite close to drawing a line under its post-pandemic easing cycle.

Inflation in February slowed to 1.48%, below the 2% mid-point off the central bank’s 1%-to-3% target range, although policymakers led by President Julio Velarde may still opt to hold at 4.75%.


Industrial production, wage data, consumer confidence and same-store sales are on tap in Mexico.

Argentina’s national inflation all but certainly slowed for 10th month, possibly sinking below 70% — down from 289.4% last April. The monthly reading may cool from January’s 2.2% print and local analysts see further disinflation ahead: they forecast 23.2% for year-end 2025 and 9.4% by 2027.

For more, read Bloomberg Economics’ full Week Ahead for Latin America

--With assistance from Greg Sullivan, Laura Dhillon Kane, Mark Evans, Monique Vanek, Piotr Skolimowski, Robert Jameson, Swati Pandey and Beril Akman.

(Updates with Trump comments in fifth paragraph)

 Bloomberg Businessweek

















ICYMI

Canada’s Justin Trudeau Uses Farewell Speech to Hit Trump

USES THE DIMINUTIVE; 'DONALD'


Julia Ornedo
Sun, March 9, 2025 

Blair Gable / REUTERS


Outgoing Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau took parting shots at President Donald Trump on his way out of office.

Trudeau is expected to step down this week once Mark Carney is sworn in as prime minister after winning the Liberal Party’s race for a new leader. Trudeau announced his resignation in January in the face of deep unpopularity.

Speaking to members of the Liberal Party on Sunday, Trudeau took swipes at Trump’s trade war, annexation talk, and his administration’s policies to dismantle the promotion of diversity, equity, and inclusion.

“As Canadians face from our neighbor an existential challenge, an economic crisis, Canadians are showing exactly what we are made of,” Trudeau said. “Canadians are showing what it is that makes us Canadians—not by defining ourselves by who we’re not but by proudly embracing who we are.”


“We’re a country that celebrates the right of each and every person to be who they want to be, to pray as they pray, and love who they love,” he added. “We’re a country that will always defend a woman’s right to choose. We’re a country that will be diplomatic when we can but fight when we must elbows up.”

Tensions between Canada and the U.S. have heated up since Trump took office and imposed sweeping tariffs on Canadian goods, prompting Trudeau to clap back with tariffs on products made in the U.S.

Trump has also repeatedly expressed a desire to annex Canada as the 51st U.S. state, which Trudeau shut down by asking a trade of American states for Canadian territory.

It’s not just politicos who are in a standoff. American and Canadian sports fans have also been booing each other’s national anthems before games as the relationship between the two nations continues to get icy.


Newly Elected Canadian PM Mark Carney Immediately Vows He Won’t ‘Let Trump Succeed’ in Trade War


Stephanie Kaloi
Sun, March 9, 2025 



Mark Carney, Justin Trudeau’s successor in Canada’s Liberal Party, vowed the country “will not” let Donald Trump “succeed” with his attacks against “Canadian families, workers, and businesses” in his victory speech Sunday night.

Carney was voted into office as Prime Minister Sunday. In a clip being shared on social media, Carney referenced “someone who is trying to weaken our economy” before making it clear he meant Trump.

“Donald Trump, as we know, has put, as the Prime Minister just said, unjustified tariffs on what we build, on what we sell, on how we make a living,” Carney said. “He’s attacking Canadian families, workers and businesses, and we cannot let him succeed. And we won’t.”

Carney defeated three other candidates in the party’s election. Carney, who stepped down from Harvard’s second-highest governing body, the Board of Overseers, upon being elected, will be sworn into office this week.

Carney was the favorite to win the race and did so soundly, earning 85.9% of his party’s vote.




The Harvard Crimson reported Carney said elsewhere in his speech, “My government will keep the tariffs on until the Americans show us respect. In the meantime, we will make sure all the proceeds — all the proceeds from our tariffs— will be used to protect our workers.”

“Canada will never ever be part of America, in any way, shape, or form,” he also said.

If Carney’s coalition is successful, Canada will hold a general election by October 2025. Carney can also choose to call for an election at any time.



The party election marks the end of an era that began when Justin Trudeau, the oldest son of former Prime Minister Pierre Trudeau, was elected in 2015.

“I leave as leader of the Liberal Party with the same belief in hope and hard work as when I started,” the younger Trudeau wrote on X on Sunday. “Hope for this party and for this country, because of the millions of Canadians who prove every day that better is always possible.”

Trudeau announced his resignation on January 6, 2025, “I intend to resign as party leader, as prime minister, after the party selects its next leader through a robust, nationwide, competitive process,” he said at a press conference at Rideau Cottage in Ottawa. “Last night, I asked the president of the Liberal Party to begin that process. This country deserves a real choice in the next election, and it has become clear to me that if I am having to fight internal battles, I cannot be the best option in that election.”

“My friends, as you all know, I’m a fighter. Every bone in my body has always told me to fight because I care deeply about Canadians. I care deeply about this country, and I will always be motivated by what is in the best interest of Canadians,” Trudeau noted. “And the fact is, despite best efforts to work through it, Parliament has been paralyzed for months after what has been the longest session of a minority Parliament in Canadian history.”

“That’s why this morning, I advised the Governor General that we need a new session of parliament. She has granted this request, and the House will now be prorogued until March 24 over the holidays,” he continued. “I’ve also had a chance to reflect and have had long talks with my family about our future. Throughout the course of my career, any success I have personally achieved has been because of their support and with their encouragement.”




Trump adviser hopes Canada fentanyl dispute will be solved by end of March

DRUG WAR IS BS EXCUSE FOR TARIFFS

Reuters
Sun, March 9, 2025 


FILE PHOTO: U.S. President Donald Trump delivers remarks in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington

WASHINGTON (Reuters) -White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett said on Sunday he was hopeful a dispute with Canada over accusations of the deadly fentanyl opioid entering the U.S. across its northern border could be resolved by the end of March.

His comments on ABC News's "This Week" raise the possibility that tariffs due to be reimposed by U.S. President Donald Trump at the end of the month could be stayed further.

Hassett said the on-again, off-again tariffs that Trump was imposing on Canada were a reflection of the president's concerns over drug smuggling.

"We launched a drug war, not a trade war," he said. "We've got the drug war, which we're hopefully going to solve by the end of the month."

In reality, Canada is responsible for a minuscule proportion of drug smuggling into the United States and it wasn't immediately clear what progress Hassett was referring to.

Hassett, who directs the White House's National Economic Council, further muddied the waters over the administration's intentions when he referred later in the interview to America's "trade war."

Democratic U.S. Senator Adam Schiff from California, who appeared after Hassett on ABC, called the adviser's comments "incomprehensible."

(Reporting by Raphael SatterEditing by Bill Berkrot)



Trump admin. says tariffs meant for 'drug war, not trade war'

ANOTHER TRUMP-KNOW NOTHING

Mark Moran
Sun, March 9, 2025
UPI


U.S. President Donald Trump listens as Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick speaks after announcing a $100 billion U.S. investment by Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company. File Photo by Samuel Corum/UPI


March 9 (UPI) -- Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said Sunday that the Trump administration's threatened 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports will start Wednesday and tariffs on Canadian dairy and lumber products will go into effect on April 2.

National Economic Council director Kevin Hassett said in an interview with ABC News' "This Week" that the tariffs are not meant to start a trade war.

"What happened was that we launched a drug war, not a trade war, and it was part of the negotiation to get Canada and Mexico to stop shipping fentanyl across our borders," Hassett said.

"As we've watched them make progress on the drug war, then we've relaxed some of the tariffs that we put on them because they're making progress."

Lutnick, in an interview with NBC News' "Meet the Press," said the tariffs would go into effect and remain until both countries are satisfied with how the flow of fentanyl into the United States is being handled.


US Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick attends a cabinet meeting at the White House in Washington, DC in February. Elon Musk's demand that more than two million federal employees defend their work is facing pushback from other powerful figures in the Trump administration, in a sign that the billionaire's brash approach to overhauling the government is creating division. Photo by Al Drago/UPIMore

Hassett claimed Canada is a "major source" of fentanyl imports, despite the fact that the country is only responsible for 0.2% of illegal imports of the drug into the United States, according to CNN.

President Donald Trump on Sunday responded to concerns that tariffs could cause a recession in the United States.

"I hate to predict things like that," Trump told Mara Bartiromo on her Fox News show. "There is a period of transition because what we are doing is very big."

Trump predicted that his approach to reshaping the economy will take time but ultimately benefit U.S. farmers. He also said Sunday that the tariffs "could go up." He added that he plans to impose reciprocal tariffs on countries that put them on U.S. goods.

Economists have said Trump's approach is unusual and unprecedented, and making American consumers and businesses nervous.
Trump's Canada, Mexico tariffs try to 'stop the bleeding' in US economy: UAW chief





DAVID BRENNAN
Sun, March 9, 2025 

President Donald Trump's tariffs on Canada and Mexico are an "attempt to stop the bleeding" in the American economy, United Auto Workers President Shawn Fain told "This Week" on Sunday in defense of the controversial measures.

"We're in a crisis mode in this country," Fain said, suggesting America's trade system is "broken" and in need of drastic reform. "We're in a triage situation," he added.

Tariffs "aren't the end solution," Fain explained, "but they are a huge factor in fixing this problem."

"Tariffs are an attempt to stop the bleeding from the hemorrhaging of jobs in America for the last 33 years," Fain said, suggesting the U.S. had lost "millions of jobs" since the inception of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) in 1994.

"NAFTA sucks," Fain said.

"The United States is the market everyone wants to sell in and we should have reciprocal trade laws where people have the same standard of living," Fain continued.

"Our neighbors to the south -- Mexican workers -- aren't the enemy. They're being exploited and it's because of corporate greed, and that's what's got to stop," he said.



PHOTO: This aerial view shows new Subaru cars in a storage lot at Auto Warehouse Co. on March 4, 2025 in Richmond, California. (Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

The Trump administration said last week it would enact 25% tariffs on auto-related goods from Mexico and Canada, then reversed course, announcing a one-month delay to the measures following talks between Trump and executives of Ford, General Motors and Stellantis. The tariffs are now due to come into affect in April.

White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said the president notified the companies to "start investing, start moving, shift production here."

The UAW -- which has around 1 million members -- has long backed a return of jobs and manufacturing by U.S. automakers. The organization has also praised Trump's decision to impose tariffs.

"Tariffs are a powerful tool in the toolbox for undoing the injustice of anti-worker trade deals," the union said in a statement posted to its website on Tuesday. "We are glad to see an American president take aggressive action on ending the free trade disaster that has dropped like a bomb on the working class."

The UAW has said that higher prices for consumers will be the fault of companies rather than the president.

"There's been a lot of talk of these tariffs 'disrupting' the economy," the UAW said in its statement last week. "But if corporate America chooses to price-gouge the American consumer or attack the American worker because they don't want to pay their fair share, corporate America bears the blame for that decision."

The UAW endorsed Democratic candidate Kamala Harris in the 2024 election. Fain had previously described Trump as a "scab."

The union's approach has softened since Trump was reelected. Last week, the UAW said it was in "active negotiations with the Trump administration about their plans to end the free trade disaster."

"We look forward to working with the White House to shape the auto tariffs in April to benefit the working class," the union added.


PHOTO: In this Nov. 5, 2024, file photo, United Auto Workers President Shawn Fain speaks at an election night campaign party in Detroit. (Carlos Osorio/AP, FILE)

Fain has been critical of aspects of the Trump administration, most notably the influence of billionaire Elon Musk.

Speaking at a "fighting oligarchy" event in Warren, Michigan, last week, Fain pushed back on Musk's attacks on Social Security.

"It's not our grandparents, and it's not a public school teacher," Fain said. "It's Elon Musk and the billionaire class. And you want to talk about a Ponzi scheme? I'll tell you about a Ponzi scheme. The only Ponzi scheme we've seen in the last 40 years is the rich getting richer while the working class and everyone else gets left behind."

\On "This Week," Fain said, "The election is over. Donald Trump is the president, and we want to get to work to fix the problems that are wrong with this country, with our economy. And the American people expect that. They expect leaders to stand up and lead. They don't expect us to sit back."








Trump's Latest Repost On Truth Social, Called "Shut Up About Egg Prices," Is Going Viral, And It NEEDS To Be Hung At Grocery Stores Nationwide

Michaela Bramwell
Sun, March 9, 2025 a

If you're on Truth Social, then you know Donald Trump is constantly posting AND reposting bizarre things.


A person in a suit is speaking in an office setting with a flag visible in the background

Like this face mashup of him and Elvis Presley...

Hybrid face image combining features of Elvis Presley on the left and another man on the right

Or this weird golden statue of himself that was featured in his AI video of Gaza:

A large golden statue of a man in a suit stands on a busy city street, surrounded by cars and palm trees

Well, it's been approximately six weeks since Trump took office, and he's most recently gone to Truth Social to seemingly tell Americans to stop complaining about the price of eggs.


Trump reposted an article on his Truth Social account called "Shut Up About Egg Prices — Trump Is Saving Consumers Millions."


Tweet from Donald J. Trump shares a link and screen-capture of article on egg prices by Charlie Kirk; caption notes Democrats are happy about egg costs

The article, written by conservative activist Charlie Kirk, puts the blame for high egg prices on the Biden administration and the bird flu outbreak, promising that Trump's team is actively working to fix the problem, but "raising more chickens to lay more eggs takes time."

"Reversing four years of economic malpractice will take time to reverse, but the building blocks of America’s next great low-inflation, high-wage growth boom have already been laid — and soon enough, so too will the eggs," Kirk wrote.

Of course, back on the campaign trail, Trump said: "When I win, I will immediately bring prices down, starting on day one."

Person speaking at a podium with text "TRUMP VANCE" and "TEXT TRUMP TO 88022," surrounded by flag imagery and displayed products

And after he became the president-elect, he said: "When you buy eggs, they would double and triple the price over a short period of time, and I won an election based on that. We’re going to bring those prices way down."

A person in a suit and tie speaks during a "Meet the Press" interview. American flags are in the background

But as we all know, that promise has not come to fruition.

Egg cartons are stacked with three different prices visible: $19.99, $16.99, and $17.69. A wet floor caution sign is on the right

Here's what people are saying about Trump's latest "Shut up about egg prices" repost:



"From 'I'm going to make eggs cheaper' to 'Shut up about egg prices' in six goddamn weeks," this person said.

Tweet by Noah Smith: "From 'I'm going to make eggs cheaper' to 'Shut up about egg prices' in six goddamn weeks."



"Dude is telling Americans to shut up about food prices while spending another weekend playing golf. Amazing."

Tweet criticizing someone for telling Americans to stop complaining about food prices while they play golf on weekends

"If Biden had retweeted something that said 'shut up about egg prices', every Twitter server would melt within minutes." this person said.

Tweet joking that if Biden retweeted, "shut up about egg prices," Twitter servers would overload

I'm never shutting up about egg prices, and neither should you!



Trump Is Nero While Washington Burns

Claude Malhuret
FRENCH SENATOR
Sat, March 8, 2025 



Editor’s Note: On Tuesday, the French senator Claude Malhuret gave a powerful speech about the implications for Europe of the reversal of American policy toward Ukraine. Malhuret is the former mayor of the town of Vichy as well as a doctor and an epidemiologist, and the former head of Doctors Without Borders. He is a member of the center-right Horizons party representing the district of Allier. The speech, whose dark urgency and stark rhetorical force made it a social-media sensation, follows, translated and adapted by The Atlantic.


Europe is at a crucial juncture of its history. The American shield is slipping away, Ukraine risks being abandoned, and Russia is being strengthened. Washington has become the court of Nero: an incendiary emperor, submissive courtiers, and a buffoon on ketamine tasked with purging the civil service.

This is a tragedy for the free world, but it’s first and foremost a tragedy for the United States. [President Donald] Trump’s message is that being his ally serves no purpose, because he will not defend you, he will impose more tariffs on you than on his enemies, and he will threaten to seize your territories, while supporting the dictators who invade you.


The king of the deal is showing that the art of the deal is lying prostrate. He thinks he will intimidate China by capitulating to Russian President Vladimir Putin, but China’s President Xi Jinping, faced with such wreckage, is undoubtedly accelerating his plans to invade Taiwan.

Never in history has a president of the United States surrendered to the enemy. Never has one supported an aggressor against an ally, issued so many illegal decrees, and sacked so many military leaders in one go. Never has one trampled on the American Constitution, while threatening to disregard judges who stand in his way, weaken countervailing powers, and take control of social media.

This is not a drift to illiberalism; this is the beginning of the seizure of democracy. Let us remember that it only took one month, three weeks, and two days to bring down the Weimar Republic and its constitution.

[Read: How Hitler dismantled democracy in 53 days]

I have confidence in the solidity of American democracy, and the country is already protesting. But in one month, Trump has done more harm to America than in the four years of his last presidency. We were at war with a dictator; now we are fighting against a dictator supported by a traitor.

Eight days ago, at the very moment when Trump was patting French President Emmanuel Macron on the back at the White House, the United States voted at the United Nations with Russia and North Korea against the Europeans demanding the withdrawal of Russian troops.

Two days later, in the Oval Office, the draft-dodger was giving moral and strategic lessons to the Ukrainian president and war hero, Volodymyr Zelensky, before dismissing him like a stable boy, ordering him to submit or resign.

That night, he took another step into disgrace by halting the delivery of promised weapons. What should we do in the face of such betrayal? The answer is simple: Stand firm.




And above all: make no mistake. The defeat of Ukraine would be the defeat of Europe. The Baltic states, Georgia, and Moldova are already on the list. Putin’s goal is to return to the Yalta Agreement, where half the continent was ceded to Stalin.

The countries of the global South are waiting for the outcome of the conflict to decide whether they should continue to respect Europe, or whether they are now free to trample it.

What Putin wants is the end of the world order the United States and its allies established 80 years ago, in which the first principle was the prohibition of acquiring territory by force.

This idea is at the very foundation of the UN, where today Americans vote in favor of the aggressor and against the aggressed, because the Trumpian vision coincides with Putin’s: a return to spheres of influence, where great powers dictate the fate of small nations.

Greenland, Panama, and Canada are mine. Ukraine, the Baltics, and Eastern Europe are yours. Taiwan and the South China Sea are his.

At the Mar-a-Lago dinner parties of golf-playing oligarchs, this is called “diplomatic realism.”

We are therefore alone. But the narrative that Putin cannot be resisted is false. Contrary to Kremlin propaganda, Russia is doing poorly. In three years, the so-called second army in the world has managed to grab only crumbs from a country with about a quarter its population.

[Read: Russia is not winning]

With interest rates at 21 percent, the collapse of foreign currency and gold reserves, and a demographic crisis, Russia is on the brink. The American lifeline to Putin is the biggest strategic mistake ever made during a war

The shock is violent, but it has one virtue. The Europeans are coming out of denial. They understood in a single day in Munich that the survival of Ukraine and the future of Europe are in their hands, and that they have three imperatives.

Accelerate military aid to Ukraine to compensate for the American abandonment, so that Ukraine can hang on, and of course to secure its and Europe’s place at the negotiating table.

This will be costly. It will require ending the taboo on using Russia’s frozen assets. It will require bypassing Moscow’s accomplices within Europe itself through a coalition that includes only willing countries, and the United Kingdom of course.

Second, demand that any agreement include the return of kidnapped children and prisoners, as well as absolute security guarantees. After Budapest, Georgia, and Minsk, we know what Putin’s agreements are worth. These guarantees require sufficient military force to prevent a new invasion.

Finally, and most urgently because it will take the longest, we must build that neglected European defense, which has relied on the American security umbrella since 1945 and which was shut down after the fall of the Berlin Wall. The task is Herculean, but history books will judge the leaders of today’s democratic Europe by its success or failure.

Friedrich Merz has just declared that Europe needs its own military alliance. This is a recognition that France has been right for decades in advocating for strategic autonomy.

Now it must be built. This will require massive investment to replenish the European Defense Fund beyond the Maastricht debt criteria, harmonize weapons and munitions systems, accelerate European Union membership for Ukraine, which now has the leading army in Europe, rethink the role and conditions of nuclear deterrence based on French and British capabilities, and relaunch missile-shield and satellite programs.

Europe can become a military power again only by becoming an industrial power again. But the real rearmament of Europe is its moral rearmament.

We must convince public opinion in the face of war weariness and fear, and above all in the face of Putin’s collaborators on the far right and far left.

They say they want peace. What neither they nor Trump says is that their peace is capitulation, the peace of defeat, the replacement of a de Gaullian Zelensky by a Ukrainian Pétain under Putin’s thumb.The peace of collaborators who, for three years, have refused to support the Ukrainians in any way.

[Read: What Europe fears]

Is this the end of the Atlantic alliance? The risk is great. But in recent days, Zelensky’s public humiliation and all the crazy decisions taken over the past month have finally stirred Americans into action. Poll numbers are plummeting. Republican elected officials are greeted by hostile crowds in their constituencies. Even Fox News is becoming critical.

The Trumpists are no longer at the height of glory. They control the executive branch, Congress, the Supreme Court, and social media. But in American history, the supporters of freedom have always won. They are starting to raise their heads.

The fate of Ukraine will be decided in the trenches, but it also depends on those who defend democracy in the United States, and here, on our ability to unite Europeans and find the means for our common defense, to make Europe the power it once was and hesitates to become again.

Our parents defeated fascism and communism at the cost of great sacrifice. The task of our generation is to defeat the totalitarianisms of the 21st century. Long live free Ukraine, long live democratic Europe.

Article originally published at The Atlantic


Spain targets men's 'deafening silence' in gender violence battle

Wafaa ESSALHI
Fri, March 7, 2025 

Spain has made strides in fighting gender-based violence but the government says there is more to do (OSCAR DEL POZO)OSCAR DEL POZO/AFP/AFPMore

Feminist activists in Spain say inaction and men's silence are hindering the eradication of abuse, as the country celebrates 20 years of a pioneering law against gender-based violence.

The murder of Ana Orantes, a 60-year-old woman who had reported violence against her to the authorities and on television before being burned alive by her ex-husband in 1997, shocked the nation into action.

Parliament ended up adopting a law that entered into force in 2005 and recognised gender-based violence as a human rights violation for the first time, inspiring other countries.

The legislation laid the ground for a range of new support measures for women, including specialised courts, free legal assistance, emergency housing, prosecution even if the victim did not submit a complaint and tags keeping abusers away from the victim.

It was the first law in Spain to be conceived with an explicit gender-based perspective, punishing abuse perpetrated by males against their partners or ex-partners.

For lawyer and activist Altamira Gonzalo, the law stood out by aiming to "undermine the patriarchal structure of society, which is what allows and perpetuates inequality and therefore violence".

It was the first European law which sought to change different areas including the health system, media, advertising and "all those aspects of life in which inequality between men and women is reflected", Gonzalo added.

The measures helped bring down the number of femicides, which in 2024 dropped to a low of 48 since such records began in 2008, when 76 women were killed by their partner or ex-partner.

But "there is still lots of work to do with men, and especially with young males" and "macho attitudes", said Manuela Carmena, a former judge and mayor of Madrid from 2015 to 2019.

Equality Minister Ana Redondo said the scale of the problem was "enormous" and "inoculated like a virus in society" that spread on social networks.

- 'Deafening silence' -

Socialist Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez recently called out fellow men for their inaction, speaking of "a silence that covers macho culture's most subtle manifestations, but also the most extreme ones".

"Everywhere, this silence must end, because today it remains a deafening silence," he said at an event marking the 20th anniversary of Spain's gender-violence law.

This week, the Spanish bar awarded an equality prize to Gonzalo and French lawyers Stephane Babonneau and Antoine Camus, who represented Gisele Pelicot in her notorious mass rape trial that generated much soul-searching in Spain.

Pelicot was raped for years by her husband and dozens of men recruited by him online while sedated, and her insistence that the trial in France be made public made her a global feminist icon.

"Under how much silence was the continual rape of Gisele Pelicot maintained for years? How many men knew and kept quiet?" said Sanchez.

Sexual violence is "under-reported in Spain", agreed Gonzalo, a member of the national observatory against gender-based violence.

Nonetheless, the ground-breaking 2005 law has allowed more than three million women to report their suffering and escape from their ordeal, the lawyer added.

Spanish authorities are now widening the law's scope to include newer offences such as online and economic violence as well as "vicarious violence" -- abuse meted out to children with the aim of making the mother suffer.


People march in cities around the world to mark International Women's Day

Lucy Davalou
Sat, March 8, 2025 


People march in cities around the world to mark International Women's Day


Hundreds of thousands of people marched in cities around the world on March 8th to mark International Women's Day.

Tens of thousands of people gathered on the streets of Madrid, rallying in defence of women’s rights and advocating for an anti-racist, feminist agenda.

The march, organised by the feminist network 8M Commission, saw participants braving the rain whilst chanting against gender inequality and racism.

The Spanish government reported 25,000 participants against 20,000 in 2024, although organisers claimed the number was closer to 80,000.

Rome marches against gender violence


People take part in a Transfeminist strike on International Women's Day, outside the Colosseum, in Rome, Saturday, March 8, 2025 - Valentina Stefanelli/Valentina Stefanelli/LaPresse

In Rome, the demonstration focused on fighting gender violence and closing the gender gap. The city hosted the largest demonstration in Italy, however Italians were marching in 60 cities across the country to raise awareness about violence against women. The slogan of the demonstration, “Not One Less,” echoed the ongoing fight against femicide and gender-based violence.

While in Istanbul, Turkey, thousands more took to the streets to also protest against gender violence and the growing pressure on women in society. The rally in Istanbul's Kadikoy district was marked by speeches, music, and dance, celebrating women’s strengths whilst also highlighting the urgent need for societal change. However, a heavy police presence, including officers in riot gear and water cannon trucks, tightly controlled the demonstration.


Turkish women fight a patriarchal society

The Turkish government declared 2025 the "Year of the Family," a move that many protesters criticised, seeing it as an attempt to further confine women to traditional roles of marriage and motherhood. The government's decision to withdraw from the Istanbul Convention in 2021, which was designed to protect women from domestic violence, has also been a source of anger among activists. The We Will Stop Femicides Platform reported that 394 women were killed by men in Turkey in 2024.


Women chant slogans during a protest marking International Women's Day in Istanbul, Turkey, Saturday, March 8, 2025. - Emrah Gurel/Copyright 2025 The AP. All rights reserved

Yaz Gulgun, a 52-year-old pensioner, spoke out against the rising rates of femicide in the country, calling for better legal protections and a more supportive police force. She said

“There is bullying at work, pressure from husbands and fathers at home and pressure from patriarchal society. We demand that this pressure be reduced even further.”

While Selvi Alkancelik, a 58-year-old demonstrator, pushed on the desire for women to be free from the restrictions imposed by a patriarchal society, saying “Let women be free. I want them to go somewhere without asking permission from her husband, to go anywhere without fear when she returns home at night, to go anywhere freely without fear. I want freedom for all women in the world."

A one-day strike at 13 German airports, including the main hubs, brings most flights to a halt

Associated Press
Mon, March 10, 2025 


Police patrol along the deserted security checkpoint at Hamburg Airport, Germany Monday, March 10, 2025. (Christian Charisius/dpa/dpa via AP)ASSOCIATED PRESS

A woman sleeps on a bench in the check-in area of Terminal 2 at Munich Airport, Germany Monday, March 10, 2025. (Peter Kneffel/dpa via AP)ASSOCIATED PRESS

Crew members of an international airline walk through the almost deserted Terminal 1 at Hamburg Airport, Germany Monday, March 10, 2025. (Christian Charisius/dpa via AP)ASSOCIATED PRESS

BERLIN (AP) — A one-day strike by workers at 13 German airports, including the Frankfurt and Munich hubs and all the country's other main destinations, caused the cancelation of most flights on Monday.

The 24-hour walkout, which started at midnight, involves public-sector employees at the airports as well as ground and security staff.

At Frankfurt Airport, 1,054 of the day's 1,116 scheduled takeoffs and landings had been canceled, German news agency dpa reported, citing airport traffic management.

All of Berlin Airport's regular departures and arrivals were canceled, while Hamburg Airport said no departures would be possible. Cologne/Bonn Airport said there was no regular passenger service and Munich Airport advised travelers to expect a “greatly reduced flight schedule.”

The ver.di service workers union’s strike also targeted the Hamburg, Bremen, Hannover, Berlin, Duesseldorf, Dortmund, Cologne/Bonn, Leipzig/Halle, Stuttgart and Munich airports. At the smaller Weeze and Karlsruhe/Baden-Baden airports, only security workers were called out.

The union announced the strike on Friday. But at Hamburg Airport, it added a short-notice walkout on Sunday to the strike on Monday, arguing that it must ensure the measure was effective.

The so-called “warning strike,” a common tactic in German wage negotiations, relates to two separate pay disputes: negotiations on a new pay and conditions contract for airport security workers, and a wider dispute over pay for employees of federal and municipal governments.


Strikes at 11 key airports to cause major disruption across Germany

DPA
Mon, March 10, 2025 

A security checkpoint in the terminal at Berlin Brandenburg Airport (BER) remains closed. The Verdi union has called for a 24-hour warning strike by public sector and ground handling employees at 13 airports on Monday. Christophe Gateau/dpaMore


Strikes began at 11 major German airports just after midnight on Monday (2300 GMT Sunday), with public service workers, ground staff and aviation security called out for 24 hours by the verdi trade union in two different wage disputes.

Further strikes in facilities operated by the federal government and the local authorities are also to go ahead this week, a verdi spokesman said. The next round of pay talks, the third, has been scheduled for Potsdam near Berlin on Friday.

The pay strike aims to paralyze air transport across much of Germany, with the ADV airport association predicting that more than 3,400 flights will be cancelled and 510,000 passengers unable to board as scheduled.

The public sector strike, which has been planned since Friday, will be joined by employees in the aviation security sector. These are people who work in passenger control, personnel, goods and freight control as well as in service areas.

A new collective labour agreement is currently being negotiated for them. The next round of negotiations is scheduled for March 26 and 27.

According to German air traffic control, around 6,000 flight movements take place daily at German airports, with a further 3,000 passing through German airspace.

Verdi has called out public service workers and the ground staff who clean, load and refuel the aircraft at the main hub at Frankfurt, along with the airports at Munich, Stuttgart, Cologne/Bonn, Dusseldorf, Dortmund, Hanover, Bremen, Hamburg, Berlin-Brandenburg and Leipzig-Halle.

At the airports of Weeze and Karlsruhe/Baden-Baden, only employees in the aviation security sector have been called to strike.

No passengers will be able to board at Frankfurt, Germany's busiest airport, and transit flights are almost certain to be affected according to airport operator Fraport. Workers at Frankfurt are to hold a rally during the day.

On Monday, 1,170 take-offs with a total of around 150,000 passengers were scheduled.

Airport operators have urged passengers not to travel to terminals. A Lufthansa spokesman said the airline was working on a replacement schedule.

Verdi is demanding 8% more pay, with at least €350 ($380) per month more, as well as an additional three days of leave for a total 2.5 million workers. Employers have yet to make an offer.

Strike action has already hit airports at Cologne/Bonn, Dusseldorf, Hamburg and Munich, resulting in numerous cancellations and affecting 800,000 passengers.

Joachim Lang, head of the BDL air transport association described the strikes as disproportionate.

"An entire transport section is being shut down comprehensively, and that, while airports and airlines, as well as restaurants, retail and hotels are not parties to the agreement. A collective bargaining conflict is being conducted on the backs of passengers, even before the next round of negotiations starts," Lang said.

He called for new rules governing strikes in critical infrastructure.


A display board in the departure area of Duesseldorf Airport warns of delays. The trade union Verdi has called for a 24-hour warning strike by public service and ground handling employees at eleven airports on Monday. Christoph Reichwein/dpaMore

Lufthansa aircraft stand at Terminal 2 at Munich Airport in the morning. The Verdi union has called for a 24-hour warning strike by public sector and ground handling employees at 13 airports on Monday. Peter Kneffel/dpa


Some 3,400 flights expected to be scrapped in Germany due to strikes

DPA
Fri, March 7, 2025 

Public service employees take part in a warning strike at Munich Airport. The trade union Verdi is planning a two-day warning strike at Munich Airport to increase the pressure in the public sector wage negotiations. Sven Hoppe/dpa

More than 3,400 flights will have to be cancelled due to strikes expected at 11 German airports on Monday, according to an initial estimate by airport association ADV, predicting some 510,000 travellers will be affected.

"Striking at 11 locations at the same time is a new dimension," asid ADV managing director Ralph Beisel on Friday, hours after the trade union announced the industrial action at major transport hubs including Germany's Frankfurt and Munich airports.

Beisel said the strikes were a nightmare for affected passengers, citing "far-reaching consequences for individual mobility and economic processes."

The strikes come amid an ongoing wage dispute for public sector workers which already to led to cancellations at major German airports last month.

Some 800,000 passengers have faced disruptions due to collective bargaining negotiations so far, according to ADV.

Joachim Lang, managing director at German aviation association BDL called Monday's strikes disproportionate.

"An entire industry is being shut down across the board, even though airports and airlines, as well as restaurants, retailers and hotels, are not parties to the collective agreement," he said.

Lang called for new strike regulations in the critical infrastructure sector.