It’s possible that I shall make an ass of myself. But in that case one can always get out of it with a little dialectic. I have, of course, so worded my proposition as to be right either way (K.Marx, Letter to F.Engels on the Indian Mutiny)
Monday, September 19, 2005
German Elections: Bosses Win
Actually it's a conclusive win for the interests of business and the neo-con agenda.
Since the SPD the Social Democrats will have nothing to do with the Party of the Left, the only party besides the bosses party the FDP to gain in votes, neo-conservative reforms in Germany are the reality either coalition government will have to face. Workers are the losers in this election. Period.
Regardless of who makes up the coalition government. Its a move to the right.
German election brings political uncertainty
Theoretically there are now four possible coalitions, but all the four will realistically be very difficult.
-- Red-Green-Yellow: The current SPD-Green government set up a traffic-light with the FDP. But the FDP has rejected cooperation with the SPD-Green alliance.
-- Red-Red-Green: the SPD-Green cooperate with the Left Party. Schroeder ruled out a coalition with the party composed of former eastern German communists and renegade Social Democrats.
-- Black-Yellow-Green: The CDU/CSU and FDP alliance will form a government with the Green Party, which is now a ruling party with the SPD.
-- Grand coalition: The CDU/CSU and the SPD would sit together to form an absolute solid majority. Many pollsters said prior to the voting that such a coalition could be the outcome.
The fact that these same reforms have occured over a decade ago in North America, shows that social democratic governments in Europe are only good for slowing the inevitable. Not challenging it. So its a simple case of brutal cuts versus massive cuts, as the slogan of the Liberals in the provincial election in Alberta in 1993 was.
Germany's FDP Scores Best Election Result Since Reunification
Germany's pro-business Free Democratic Party, out of power since 1998, yesterday scored its best election result since the country's reunification 15 years ago. The success of the FDP, the only major grouping to gain votes in yesterday's election apart from the post-communist Left Party, may increase its influence in any coalition negotiations. German opposition leader Angela Merkel and Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder each claimed the right to lead the government after an inconclusive election result. Merkel's Christian Democrats beat Schroeder's Social Democrats by 35.2 percent to 34.3 percent. Either party would need the FDP's support in any government except a ``grand coalition'' of CDU and SPD. ``I think a coalition of the CDU, the FDP and the Greens is likely,'' said Thorsten Polleit, an economist at Barclays Capital in Frankfurt, in an interview. ``The Greens as the party that may tip the scales would have an incentive to agree to that as otherwise they would be forced into opposition. The CDU will try by any means to avert a grand coalition.''
Germany's three main business lobby groups had backed a CDU- FDP administration, including the BDI industry federation, which represents 107,000 of the country's biggest companies including Siemens AG and DaimlerChrysler AG. BDI President Juergen Thumann said a grand coalition would ``lead to paralysis.'' ``A coalition of the CDU, the FDP and the Greens would be a more effective coalition than a grand coalition, but less effective than a coalition of the CDU and the FDP alone,'' Barclays' Polleit said.
The FDP wants to freeze pension contributions, force people to spend more on providing for their retirement, privatize the state-controlled health-insurance system and provide a choice between different health-insurance packages.
Captains of industry fret about reform stagnation
Chief executives had pinned their hopes on a Christian Democrat-led government under Angela Merkel to renew Germany's confidence and reinforce the reform process started by Chancellor Gerhard Schröder.
Yep whats good for workers in North America and Britain is good for workers in Germany and France and the rest of the European Union. Same prescription which only guarntees short term gain for long term pain as we have found out here. But what it will do is weaken the unions and their party giving genuine working class struggle and self organization a chance to come to birth in the fight against this class war agenda of business. Tis the end of the social contract and tripartiism in Germany, which while harsh will be a good thing for the international workers movement.
And finally the Truth is out about the Green Party, like its counterpart in Canada it is a right wing populist party, more interested in appealing to the small shop keeper, farmer and university student, than to the industrial workering class and mass proletarian working class. If they join the CDU and FPD coalition government their opportunist politics will finally doom what is just another phoney political party of the bosses.
German Vote Split, Parties Seek Coalition
Battles over trimming cradle-to-grave benefits have engulfed legislatures across Europe, including France and Italy, which recently imposed unpopular cuts in social and labor programs.
Corporations are demanding less government. In Germany, for example, nearly two-thirds of the $233 billion in annual tax revenue funds social entitlements.
"It's high time to bring all those unemployed lazybones and enlist them into something useful instead of the state just feeding them," said Katrin Link, a saleswoman in a tobacco shop who voted for the CDU. "There are too many people who just don't want to work and still they get by wonderfully."
Liberals' success leaves bitter taste
By Hugh Williamson in Berlin
Published: September 19 2005
Fiancial Times
Germany's liberal Free Democrats last night faced the bitter prospect of another four years on the opposition benches, despite securing their best result in 15 years.
If, as appears likely, the CDU/CSU and SPD form a grand coalition, the liberals, who were junior partners with chancellor Helmut Kohl's CDU from 1982 to 1998, will have to satisfy themselves with being the largest opposition party in parliament.
Pollsters said the FDP had won votes from the CDU. Conservative voters, believing Angela Merkel's party would win, gave their second votes to the market-friendly FDP. Some conservative voters uneasy with Ms Merkel could also have given votes to the party, some CDU members acknowledged last night.
Despite the strong showing, the result is a blow for Guido Westerwelle, the FDP leader, who also failed at the election in 2002 to return his party to government.
FDP leaders last night ruled out entering talks with the SPD and Greens on forming a three-way coalition.
Another winner among the smaller parties was the ex-communist Left party, formerly the Party of Democratic Socialism. It is to return to the lower house of parliament with a fully-fledged parliamentary group - since 2002 the party has had two parliamentary seats, not enough to qualify as a parliamentary group.
The party's success is partly due to Oskar Lafontaine. The former finance minister and SPD chairman abandoned Gerhard Schröder's government in 1999 and in May announced that he would support the Left party as a representative of a group of SPD dissidents set up last year.
After seven years in government, the environmental Greens said last night they were ready to join the opposition, and expressed relief the party's support was almost unchanged compared with 2002.
They ruled out entering a coalition with the CDU and FDP.
Joschka Fischer, foreign minister, is likely to become leader of the Greens' parliamentary group.
Analysts said the Greens would face internal battles over the party's direction
Sunday, September 18, 2005
China: The Truimph of State Capitalism
READING BUKHARIN IN LIGHT OF MODERN CHINA
Anyone out there that still believes that China is a 'communist' nation please leave the room immediately what I am about to say will upset your whole ideological perspective.
Now if you are a right winger blinded by your post cold war reds under the beds paranoia, no matter what the facts are you will deny them. Instead you will see China's move into the world marketplace of capitalism as some sort of incideous conspiracy of the 13th Communist International.
If you are a die hard bolshevik tendency all unto yourself, like the Spartacus League or the Marxist Leninists, you will see China as a truimph of Stalinism, and so called socialism in one state, which it is not.
Rather it is in transition from State Capitalism to Monopoly Capitalism,( ala Baran &Swezzy of Monthly Review). To misquote Lenin, though Bukharin would approve;
State Capitalism is the highest form of Monopoly Capitalism.
Being a very large shareholder in the state capitalist trust, the modern state is the highest and all-embracing organisational culmination of the latter. Hence its colossal, almost monstrous, power. N.I. Bukharin: Imperialism and World Economy Chapter XI
Thus the principles of class antagonisms reach a height that could not have been attained hitherto. Relations between classes become most clear, most lucid; the mythical conception of a "state elevated above classes" disappears from the peoples' consciousness, once the state becomes a direct entrepreneur and an organiser of production. Property relations, obscured by a number of intermediary links, now appear in their pristine nakedness.
N.I. Bukharin: Imperialism and World Economy Chapter XIV
State Capitalism emerged during the post War era and the Great Depression and continued after as an inevitable outgrowth of both a national and global expansion of post-WWII capitalist reconstruction, it is now mobilizing regional and national captials around monopolies. Whether they are American Transnational Corporations which are bound hand and foot to the American State by being part of the military industrial complex, or if it is large State funded corporations that are being privatized like those in China, it is still capitalism.
There is class struggle and class war, but there has never been a workers paradise. The fatal illusion of the Soviet Union and later the Chinese Revolution under Mao, is that they were some how socialist revolutions. The fact is that they were not working class revolutions at all since they were national revolutions. Socialism was the ideology but the practice was State Capitalism no different than its other manifetations, The New Deal in the U.S. and Facism in Italy, Spain, Germany, and Japan.
In the third world the attempted National Liberation Struggles either ended up a failure of capitalist developement, such as we are witnessing in the Congo or were successful in moving from a peasant economy to a proletarian economy, such as Lesotho and Angola, and of course South Afica.
The Marxist Leninist Gueveraist Third World struggles of the Sixties while ideologically were supposedly left wing, they in fact were needed for capitalism to develop a marketplace and a working class in these countries.
The role of the ML movement was to modernize their economies through National Liberation. No differently than previous National Liberation revolutions like the American, French and Haitian.
They existed to create a bourgoise revolution, to create a bourgoise class and a working class out of the peasant and colonial conditions they were burdened with.
China is now a full blown capitalist and Imperialist state, capable now of challenging the hegemony of the United States. With the successful launch of its first space flight, it has joined the great powers of Russia and the US.
While Russia is weakend a wounded bear suffering the indignities of privatization and criminal capitalism, China remains a solidly Monopoly Capitalist economy on where the reforms to its State Capitalist regime do not endanger it's national capitals and their monopolies.
Simply put you can't have a banking crisis in a workers paradise, cause the struggle against capitalism is about abolishing wage slavery. There are no banks in a workers paradise.
Bad debt sale delayed by ICBC loan bungle
The delay comes amid mounting evidence that the whole loan-disposal program is in disarray. The four AMCs were set up in 1999 to get rid of 1.4 trillion yuan of bad loans accumulated by the big four state-owned banks - Bank of China, Construction Bank, ICBC and Agricultural Bank. Yet they have managed so far to sell off a paltry US$6 billion (HK$46.8 billion) in bad debts - just 3 percent of the total - via open auctions to foreign and domestic bidders. The rest have merely been transferred between AMCs at inflated prices or sold off privately to domestic bidders for less than their true worth. Meanwhile China's banking system remains saddled with bad loans estimated at US$300 billion.
Nikolai Bukharin
Imperialism and World Economy
Introduction by V.I. Lenin
Written: 1915 and 1917
Source: Nikolai Bukharin "Imperialism and World Economy", Monthly Review Press, no date
First Published in English: Nikolai Bukharin "Imperialism and World Economy", International Publishers 1929
Online Version: Marxists Internet Archive (marxists.org) 2001
Transcription/Markup: Mathias Bismo
N.I. Bukharin: Imperialism and World Economy Chapter III
It is a profound error to think, as the bourgeois economists do, that the elimination of free competition and its replacement by capitalist monopolies would do away with industrial crises. Such economists forget one "trifle," namely, that the economic activities of a "national" economy are now conducted with a view towards world economy. As to the latter, it is by no means an arithmetical total of "national" economies, just as a "national" economy is by no means an arithmetical total of individual economies within the boundaries of the state territory. In either case, there is a very substantial element supplementing all the others, namely, connections, reciprocal action, a specific medium which Rodbertus called "economic communication," without which there is no "real entity," no "system," no social economy, only isolated economic units. This is why, even if free competition were entirely eliminated within the boundaries of "national economies," crises would still continue, as there would remain the anarchically established connections between the "national" bodies, i. e., there would still remain the anarchic structure of world economy.)
The perspectives of development can be pointed out only after analysing all the main tendencies of capitalism. And since the internationalisation of capitalist interests expresses only one side of the internationalisation of economic life, it is necessary to review also its other side, namely, that process of the nationalisation of capitalist interests which most strikingly expresses the anarchy of capitalist competition within the boundaries of world economy, a process that leads to the greatest convulsions and catastrophes, to the greatest waste of human energy, and most forcefully raises the problem of establishing new forms of social life."
N.I. Bukharin: Imperialism and World Economy Chapter IV
World economy, as we have seen above, represents a complex network of economic connections of the most diverse nature; the basis of this are production relations on a world scale. Economic connections uniting a great number of individual economies are found to become more numerous and more frequent as we proceed, within the framework of world economy, to analyse "national" economies, i.e., economic connections existing within the boundaries of individual states. There is nothing mysterious about this; we must not attribute that fact to an alleged creative role of the "state principle" that is supposed to create from within itself special forms of national economic existence; neither is there a predestined harmony between society and state. The matter has a much simpler explanation. The fact is that the very foundation of modern states as definite political entities was caused by economic needs and requirements. The state grew on the economic foundation; it was only an expression of economic connections; state ties appeared only as an expression of economic ties. Like all living forms, "national economy" was, and is, engaged in a continuous process of internal regeneration; molecular movements going on parallel with the growth of productive forces, were continually changing the position of individual "national" economic bodies in their relation to each other, i.e., they influenced the interrelations of the individual parts of the growing world economy. Our time produces highly significant relations. The destruction, from top to bottom, of old, conservative, economic forms that was begun with the initial stages of capitalism, has triumphed all along the line. At the same time, however, this "organic" elimination of weak competitors inside the framework of "national economies" (the ruin of artisanship, the disappearance of intermediary forms, the growth of large‑scale production, etc.) is now being superseded by the "critical" period of a sharpening struggle among stupendous opponents on the world market. The causes of this phenomenon must be sought first of all in the internal changes that have taken place in the structure of "national capitalisms," causing a revolution in their mutual relations.
Those changes appear, first of all, as the formation and the unusually rapid spread of capitalist monopoly organisations: cartels, syndicates, trusts, bank syndicates. We have seen above how strong this process is in the international sphere. It is immeasurably greater within the framework of "national economies." As we shall see below, the "national" carteling of industry serves as one of the most potent factors making for the national interdependence of capital.
We have seen in the preceding chapters what tremendous significance is attached to participation in and financing of industrial enterprises. The latter is one of the functions of modern banks.
An increasingly large section of industrial capital does not belong to the industrialists who apply it. The right to manipulate the capital is obtained by them only through the bank which, in relaiton to them, appears as the owner of that capital. On the other hand, the bank is compelled to place an ever growing part of its capital in industry. In this way the bank becomes to an ever increasing degree an industrial capitalist. Bank capital, i.e., capital in money form, which has thus been in reality transformed into industrial capital, I call finance capital.
Thus by means of various forms of credit, by owning stocks and bonds, and by directly promoting enterprises, banking capital appears in the role of an organiser of industry. This organisation of the combined production of a whole country is the stronger, the greater; on the one hand, the concentration of industry, on the other, the concentration of banking.Mention must be made here also of the important part played by state and communal enterprises, which enter into the general system of "national economy." Among state enterprises we find, first of all, mining (in Germany, e.g., out of 309 coal mines with an output of 149 million tons, 27 mines with an output of 20.5 million tons belonged to the state in agog; the total value of state production amounted to 235 million marks; salt mines and others also belong to this category; the gross income from all state enterprises of Germany in 1910 amounted to 349 million marks, while the net income was 25 million marks); next to mining are state railroads (only in England, and only prior to the war, were the railroads exclusively in the hands of private owners); then the post office, the telegraph, etc., also forestry. Among communal enterprises of great economical importance are mainly the water system, the gas system, and the electric constructions, with all their ramifications.The powerful state banks also form part of this system. The interrelation between those "public" enterprises and the enterprises of a purely private character assumes various forms; the economic connections, in general, are numerous and variegated, and credit is not the least among them. Very close relations arise on the basis of the so‑called mixed system (gemischte Unternehmungen) where a certain enterprise is composed of both "public" and private elements (participation of large‑scale, usually monopolistic, firms)‑a phenomenon not infrequent in the realm of communal economy. The example of the German Empire Bank (Reichsbank) is of particular interest. This bank, whose part in the economic life of Germany is tremendous, appears so closely connected with "private economy" that there is an unsettled dispute going on as to whether it is a stock company or a state institution, whether it is subject to the laws governing private or public undertakings.
All parts of this considerably organised system, cartels, banks, state enterprises, are in the process of growing together; the process is becoming ever faster with the growth of capitalist concentration; the formation of cartels and combines creates forthwith a community of interest among the financing banks; on the other hand, banks are interested in checking competition between enterprises financed by them; similarly, every understanding between the banks helps to tie together the industrial groups; state enterprises also become ever more dependent upon large‑scale financial‑industrial formations, and vice versa. Thus various spheres of the concentration and organisation process stimulate each other, creating a very strong tendency towards transforming the entire national economy into one gigantic combined enterprise under the tutelage of the financial kings and the capitalist state, an enterprise which monopolises the national market and forms the prerequisite for organised production on a higher noncapitalist level.
N.I. Bukharin: Imperialism and World Economy Chapter V
It is thus obvious that not the impossibility of doing business at home, but the race for higher rates of profit is the motive power of world capitalism. Even present-day "capitalist plethora" is no absolute limit. A lower rate of profit drives commodities and capital further and further from their "home." This process is going on simultaneously in various sections of world economy. The capitalists of various "national economies" clash here as competitors; and the more vigorous the expansion of the productive forces of world capitalism, the more intensive the growth of foreign trade, the sharper is the competitive struggle. During the last decades quantitative changes of such magnitude have taken place in this realm that the very quality of the phenomenon has assumed a new form.
Those changes proceed, so to speak, from two ends. On the one hand, the process of mass production is becoming extremely accelerated, i.e., the volume of commodities seeking for a foreign market is increasing-a phenomenon highly characteristic of recent times; on the other hand, the free market, i.e., that section of it which has not been seized by the "great power" monopolies, becomes ever narrower.N.I. Bukharin: Imperialism and World Economy Chapter VII
Two sets of causes have been and are operating here. In the first place, the accumulation of capital proceeds with an unusually rapid tempo, due to large-scale capitalist production accompanied by incessant technical progress which makes gigantic strides and increases the productive power of labour, and to the unusual increase in the means of transportation and the perfection of means of circulation in general, which also hastens the turn-over of capital. The volumes of capital that seek employment have reached unheard of dimensions. On the other hand, the cartels and trusts, as the modern organisation of capital, tend to put certain limits to the employment of capital by fixing the volume of production. As to the non-trustified sections of industry, it becomes ever more unprofitable to invest capital in them. For monopoly organisations can overcome the tendency towards lowering the rate of profit by receiving monopoly superprofits at the expense of the non-trustified industries. Out of the surplus value created every year, one portion, that which has been created in the nontrustified branches of industry, is being transferred to the coowners of capitalist monopolies, whereas the share of the outsiders continually decreases. Thus the entire process drives capital beyond the frontiers of the country.
In the second place, high tariffs put tremendous obstacles in the way of commodities seeking to enter a foreign country. Mass production and mass overproduction make the growth of foreign trade necessary, but foreign trade meets with a barrier in the form of high tariffs. It is true that foreign trade keeps on developing, foreign sales grow, but this is taking place notwithstanding the difficulties and in spite of them. This does not mean, however, that the tariffs do not make themselves felt. Their influence is, first of all, expressed in the rate of profit. Tariff barriers, making the export of commodities very difficult, do not interfere in any way with the export of capital. Obviously, the higher the wave of duties, the larger, other conditions being equal, is the flight of capital from its home country.
N.I. Bukharin: Imperialism and World Economy Chapter VIIITo sum up: the development of the productive forces of world capitalism has made gigantic strides in the last decades. The upper hand in the competitive struggle has everywhere been gained by large-scale production; it has consolidated the "magnates of capital" into an ironclad organisation, which has taken possession of the entire economic life. State power has become the domain of a financial oligarchy; the latter manages production which is tied up by the banks into one knot. This process of the organisation of production has proceeded from below; it has fortified itself within the framework of modern states, which have become an exact expression of the interests of finance capital. Every one of the capitalistically advanced "national economies" has turned into some kind of a "national" trust. This process of the organisation of the economically advanced sections of world economy, on the other hand, has been accompanied by an extraordinary sharpening of their mutual competition. The overproduction of commodities, which is connected with the growth of large enterprises; the export policy of the cartels, and the narrowing of the sales markets in connection with the colonial and tariff policy of the capitalist powers; the growing disproportion between tremendously developed industry and backward agriculture; the gigantic growth of capital export and the economic subjugation of entire regions by "national" banking combinesall this has thrown into the sharpest possible relief the clash of interests between the "national" groups of capital. Those groups find their final argument in the force and power of the state organisation, first of all in its army and navy. A mighty state military power is the last trump in the struggle of the powers. The fighting force in the world market thus depends upon the power and consolidation of the "nation," upon its financial and military resources. A self-sufficient national state, and an economic unit limitlessly expending its great power until it becomes a world kingdom - a world-wide empire - such is the ideal built up by finance capital.
N.I. Bukharin: Imperialism and World Economy Chapter XI
N.I. Bukharin: Imperialism and World Economy Chapter XII
It follows from the above that the actual process of economic development will proceed in the midst of a sharpened struggle between the state capitalist trusts and the backward economic formations. A series of wars is unavoidable. In the historic process which we are to witness in the near future, world capitalism will move in the direction of a universal state capitalist trust by absorbing the weaker formations
We have seen in the second section the peculiarities in the structure of modern capitalism and the formation of state capitalist trusts. This economic structure, however, is connected with a certain policy, namely, the imperialist policy. This not only in the sense that imperialism is a product of finance capitalism, but also in the sense that finance capital cannot pursue any other policy than an imperialist one, as we characterised it above. The state capitalist trust cannot become an adherent of free trade for thereby it would lose a considerable part of its capitalist raison d'être. We have already pointed out that protectionism allows the acquisition of additional profits on the one hand, facilitates competition in the world market on the other. In the same way finance capital, expressing as it does capitalist monopoly organisations, cannot relinquish the policy of monopolising "spheres of influence," of seizing sales markets and markets for raw materials, or spheres of capital investment. If one state capitalist trust fails to get hold of an unoccupied territory, it will be occupied by another. Peaceful rivalry, which corresponded to the epoch of free competition and of the absence of any organisation of production at home, is absolutely inconceivable in the epoch of an entirely different production structure and of the struggle among state capitalist trusts. Those imperialist interests are of such magnitude for the finance capitalise groups, and they are so connected with the very foundations of their existence, that the governments do not shrink before the most colossal military expenditures only to secure for themselves a stable position in the world market. The idea of "disarmament" within the framework of capitalism is particularly absurd as far as the state capitalist trusts that occupy the foremost positions in the world market are concerned. Before their eyes there always shines the picture of subjugating the whole world, of acquiring an unheard of field for exploitation-a thing termed by the French imperialists l'organisation d'économie mondiale and by the German imperialists, Organisierung der Weltwirtschaft Would the bourgeoisie exchange this "high" ideal for the pot of porridge of disarmament? Where is the guarantee for a given state capitalist trust that a pernicious rival will not continue the "abandoned" policy in spite of all formal agreements and guarantees? Everyone acquainted with the history of the struggle among cartels even within the boundaries of one country knows how often, when the situation changed, when the market conditions changed, agreements dissolved like soap bubbles. Imagine a strong state capitalist trust like the U. S. waging war against a union of all other trusts-the "agreement" will then be shattered to pieces in no time. (In the latter case we would have a tremendous formation constructed after the type of an ordinary syndicate, and having the state capitalist trusts as its component parts. Such an agreement between the state capitalist trusts would not be able at once to skip all intermediary stages, to become a real centralised trust. A type of agreement, however, that implies intense internal struggle is easily amenable to the influence of changing conditions.) We have taken a hypothetical case where formal unification is a fact. However, this unification cannot take place because the bourgeoisie of every country is by no means as naïve as many of its bona fide pacifists who wish nothing more than to persuade the bourgeoisie and to "prove" to it that it does not understand its own advantages....
N.I. Bukharin: Imperialism and World Economy Chapter XIII
The entire structure of world economy in our times forces the bourgeoisie to pursue an imperialist policy. As the colonial policy is inevitably connected with violent methods, so every capitalist expansion leads sooner or later to a bloody climax. "Violent methods," says Hilferding, "are inseparably bound up with the very essence of colonial policy, which without them would lose its capitalist meaning; they are so much an integral element of the colonial policy as the existence of a proletariat divorced from all ownership is generally a conditio sine qua non of capitalism. To be in favour of a colonial policy and at the same time to talk about eliminating its violent methods, is a dream which cannot be treated with more earnestness than the illusion that one can eliminate the proletariat while retaining capitalism."
The same thing may be said about imperialism. It is an integral element of finance capitalism without which the latter would lose its capitalist meaning.
It follows from the above that (as far as capitalism will retain its foothold) the future belongs to economic forms that are close to state capitalism. This further evolution of the state capitalist trusts, highly accelerated by the war, is reflected, in its turn, in the worldwide struggle among state capitalist trusts. We have seen above how the tendency to turn capitalist states into state capitalist trusts found its reflection in the mutual relations of the states. Monopoly tendencies within the "national" body have called forth tendencies to monopolise territories outside the home state by means of annexations; this has sharpened competition and its forms terrifically. With the further progress of internal centralisation, this acute situation will become more acute by leaps and bounds. Added to this is the rapid narrowing of the free field for capital activities. There is, therefore, not the slightest doubt that the near future will be fraught with the most cruel conflicts, and that the social atmosphere will not cease being saturated with war electricity. One of the outward expressions of this circumstance is the extraordinary growth of militarism and of imperialist sentiment. England, the land of "freedom" and "individualism," has already established a tariff and is organising a standing army; its state budget is being militarised. America is preparing war activities on a truly grandiose scale. The same thing is going on in Germany, in France, in Japan, and everywhere. The period of an idyllic "peaceful" existence has sunk into Lethe; capitalist society is whirling in the mad hurricane of world wars.
Chapter 14: World Economy and Proletarian SocialismThe first period of the war has brought about, not a crisis of capitalism (the germs of which were visible only to the most penetrating minds of both the bourgeois and proletarian camps), but a collapse of the "Socialist" International. This phenomenon, which many have attempted to explain by proceeding solely from the analysis of the internal relations in every country, cannot be more or less satisfactorily explained from this angle. For the collapse of the proletarian movement is a result of the unequal situation of the "state capitalist trusts" within the boundaries of world economy. Just as it is impossible to understand modern capitalism and its imperialist policy without analysing the tendencies of world capitalism, so the basic tendencies in the proletarian movement cannot be understood without analysing world capitalism.
Capital implies the existence of labour. Labour implies the existence of capital. The capitalist mode of production is a certain relation between people, between social classes, each of which implies the existence of the other. Viewed from this angle, both capitalists and workers are members, component parts, poles of the same capitalist society. In so far as capitalist society exists, there exists also an interdependence of these opposing classes, a mutual dependence, expressing itself in a relative solidarity of interests that are opposed in substance. This "solidarity" of interests is the solidarity of a moment, it is not that lasting solidarity which welds together the members of the same class. Bourgeois political economy, and together with it its "Socialist" followers, present that which is passing, momentary, accidental for the class struggle on a social scale as essential; they do not see the trees for the forest, and they inevitably sink to the rôle of simple satellites of finance capital.
Here is an example. Everybody knows that at the beginning of the capitalist era, when the working class had just begun to emerge and to separate itself from the small entrepreneurs, when so-called patriarchal relations prevailed between master and worker, the latter to a considerable degree identified his interests with the interests of his exploiter.
This identification of interests that are in substance totally opposed to one another, was, to be sure, not suspended in the air. It had a very real basis. "The better the business of our shop, the better for me," the worker of that time used to reason. This reasoning was based on the possibility of raising wages with the increase of the sum total of values realised by a given enterprise.
We find the same psychology in other variations. What, in fact, is, let us say, the so-called "craft ideology" of the English trade unionists? We find here substantially the same idea: our production, they say, our sphere of production, which embraces both workers and industrialists, must prosper before anything else. No interference of outside elements must be tolerated.In recent times we find an analogy to this purely local patriotism in enterprises with highly skilled labour. Such enterprises, for instance, are the plants of the well-known American pacifist (and, incidentally, war contractor) Ford. The workers are carefully selected for the plant. They receive higher wages, they are granted various premiums and profit sharing under the condition that they be bound to the plant. As a result, the bamboozled workers are "devoted" to their masters.
On a larger scale the same phenomenon may be observed in the so-called working class protectionism with its policy of safeguarding "national industry," "national labour," etc. This ideology permeates a considerable part of the Australian and American workers: "We" (i.e., both capitalists and workers), they say, are equally interested in our national industry, for, the higher the profits of our employers, the higher will our wages rise.
In the process of competitive struggle between the various enterprises, their situation is not everywhere the same. Enterprises with highly skilled labour always occupy the first ranks, always enjoy exceptional privileges. Their share in the surplus value that is being produced in society as a whole is disproportionately large, for they receive differential profits on the one hand, cartel rents (as far as we deal with modern times) on the other. Thus a basis is created for a momentary interlinking of the interests of capital and labour in a given production branch, a circumstance which expresses itself in the workers giving capital, not the labour of duty, but the labour of love.
It is perfectly obvious that such a "solidarity of interests" between the capitalist and the worker is of a temporary character, and (from the point of view of what "ought to be") it cannot determine the conduct of the proletariat. Were the workers eternally to hang on to the coat tails of their masters, they would never be able to conduct a single strike, and the employers, bribing them individually, would be able individually to defeat them.
However, because the proletariat has not learned yet to distinguish local and temporary interests from general and lasting ones, it is permeated with such a narrow conception. The latter is overcome only when the class struggle achieves great scope, destroying local bigotry, welding the workers together, and throwing them into sharp opposition as a class to the class of the capitalists. In this way the psychology of the patriarchal period was overcome when the bond of unity between the workers and the master of an individual enterprise was severed. In this way the "craft ideology" of the unions organising skilled workers was overcome.
However, the end of the nineteenth century, which to a large degree destroyed the bond of unity between capitalists and workers, which placed against each other those classes and their organisations as classes and organisations hostile to each other in principle, has not yet destroyed the bond of unity between the working class and the greatest organisation of the bourgeoisie, the capitalist state.
The working class connection with this organisation was expressed in the ideology of workers' patriotism ("social-patriotism"), in the idea of a "fatherland," which the working class is supposed to serve.
After what has been presented above, the material basis of this phenomenon will become clear if we turn our attention to the whole sphere of world economy.
We have seen that the competitive struggle was, by the end of the nineteenth and the beginning of the twentieth century, to a large extent transferred to the foreign markets, i.e., it became a competition in the world market. Thus the state organisation of capital, the "fatherland," having turned into a state capitalist trust, took the place of the individual enterprise and appeared on the world arena with all its heavy and ponderous apparatus.
From this angle we must first of all view the colonial policy of the imperialist states.
There is an opinion current among many moderate internationalists to the effect that the colonial policy brings nothing but harm to the working class and that therefore it must be rejected. Hence the natural desire to prove that colonies yield no profit at all, that they represent a liability even from the point of view of the bourgeoisie, etc. Such a point of view is being propounded, for instance, by Kautsky.
The theory unfortunately suffers from one shortcoming, namely, it is out and out incorrect. The colonial policy yields a colossal income to the great powers, i.e., to their ruling classes, to the "state capitalist trust." This is why the bourgeoisie pursues a colonial policy. This being the case, there is a possibility for raising the workers' wages at the expense of the exploited colonial savages and conquered peoples.
Such are exactly the results of the great powers' colonial policy. The bill for this policy is paid, not by the continental workers, and not by the workers of England, but by the little peoples of the colonies. It is in the colonies that all the blood and the filth, all the horror and the shame of capitalism, all the cynicism, greed and bestiality of modern democracy are concentrated. The European workers, considered from the point of view of the moment, are the winners, because they receive increments to their wages due to "industrial prosperity."
All the relative "prosperity" of the European-American industry was conditioned by nothing but the fact that a safety valve was opened in the form of colonial policy. In this way the exploitation of "third persons" (pre-capitalist producers) and colonial labour led to a rise in the wages of the European and American workers.
One highly important circumstance must here be noted: in their struggle for colonies, for sales markets, and markets for raw materials, for capital investment spheres, for cheap labour, not all the "state capitalist trusts" achieve an equal success. While England, Germany and the United States of America forged ahead in their triumphal march over the world market, Russia and Italy, all the strenuous efforts of the imperialists notwithstanding, proved too weak. It was in this way that a few great imperialist powers came to the forefront as pretenders to world monopoly. They have proved, as far as the others are concerned, "above competition."
Economically the situation is this. World surplus value is being divided in the struggle for the world market. As is the case within the framework of "national economy," so also within the boundaries of world economy, the stronger competitor (whose strength is increased by multifarious factors, like the structure of production, the strength of the state militarist apparatus, convenient location due to the presence of "natural monopolies," etc.) receives super-profits, a kind of differential profit (due to the superior structure of production) and a kind of cartel rent (due to the pressure of the militarist apparatus that fortifies monopolies).
Super-profits obtained by the imperialist state are accompanied by a rise in the wages of the respective strata of the working class, primarily the skilled workers.
Such a phenomenon could also be observed in olden times. It was pointed out by Friedrich Engels who referred to the monopoly situation of England in the world market and to the conservatism of the English proletariat that resulted therefrom.
It was on the basis of this relative interest of the proletariat in colonial plunders that its connection with the masters' organisation of the bourgeois imperialist state grew and became strong. In Socialist literature this psychology found expression in the "national" point of view of the Social-Democratic opportunists. This "national wisdom," emphasised on every occasion, signified a complete abandonment of the point of view of revolutionary Marxism.
Marx and Engels viewed the state as an organisation of the ruling class that crushes the oppressed class with blood and iron. They assumed that future society would have no state at all, for the simple reason that there would be no classes. It is true that, for the transition period of proletarian dictatorship, when the proletariat is the temporary ruling class, they most correctly demanded a strong apparatus of working class state power to keep the overthrown classes in leash. Still, their attitude towards the oppressing state apparatus of the bourgeoisie was that of furious hatred, and from this point of view they mercilessly criticised the Lassalleans and other "statesmen." And a connection undoubtedly exists between this revolutionary point of view and the well-known thesis of the Communist Manifesto that the workers have no fatherland.
The Socialist epigones of Marxism have relegated this revolutionary opposition of Marx and Engels to the archives. In its place there emerge the theories of "true patriotism" and "true statesmanship," which, however, are in no way distinguishable from the most ordinary patriotism and the most ordinary statesmanship of the ruling bourgeoisie. Such an ideology was an organic outgrowth of the proletariat's partaking in the "great-nation policy" of the state capitalist trusts.
No wonder if after the outbreak of the great war, the working class of the foremost capitalist countries, chained to the chariot of the bourgeois state power, came to the aid of the latter. The proletariat was prepared for this by the whole preceding development; it was brought to this by its connection with the state organisation of finance capital.
However, the war itself, which could be waged only because the proletariat gave its tacit consent or showed insufficient indignation, has proven to it that its share in the imperialist policy is nothing compared with the wounds inflicted by the war.
It is in this way that there comes the crisis of imperialism and the rebirth of proletarian Socialism. Imperialism has turned its true face to the working class of Europe. Hitherto its barbarous, destructive, wasteful activities were almost entirely confined to the savages; now it thrusts itself upon the toilers of Europe with all the horrifying impact of a bloodthirsty elemental power let loose. The additional pennies received by the European workers from the colonial policy of imperialism-what do they count compared to millions of butchered workers, to billions devoured by the war, to the monstrous pressure of brazen militarism, to the vandalism of plundered productive forces, to high cost of living and starvation!
The war severs the last chain that binds the workers to the masters, their slavish submission to the imperialist state. The last limitation of the proletariat's philosophy is being overcome: its clinging to the narrowness of the national state, its patriotism. The interests of the moment, the temporary advantage accruing to it from the imperialist robberies and from its connections with the imperialist state, become of secondary importance compared with the lasting and general interests of the class as a whole, with the idea of a social revolution of the international proletariat which overthrows the dictatorship of finance capital with an armed hand, destroys its state apparatus and builds up a new power, a power of the workers against the bourgeoisie. In place of the idea of defending or extending the boundaries of the bourgeois state that bind the productive forces of world economy hand and foot, this power advances the slogan of abolishing state boundaries and merging all the peoples into one Socialist family. In this way the proletariat, after painful searching, succeeds in grasping its true interests that lead it through revolution to Socialism.
Saturday, September 17, 2005
Katrina: The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly
A Paradox called Katrina
Katrina: It's a Dog-gone Crime
Two weeks after Hurricane Katrina blasted the hell out of the Gulf Coast of the US what can we say about this. Well there was the good, the bad and the ugly.
THE GOOD: The thousands of people, ordinary citizens who helped each other and volunteered to bring food and supplies to the Gulf Coast without the help of the state or so called civil society; NGO's and humanitarian bueraucrats. I will even give credit here to a San Diegeo Oil magnate and a movie star who both filled private airplanes with supplies and without media fanfare delivered the goods to those in need. To the thousands of people who are currently rescuing animals that the state forced to be left behind in their hasty post Katrina evacuation. The expressions of genuine mutual aid and self organiziation that is the hallmark of Anarchy.
New Orleans has been governed throughout this entire debacle. Don't blame anarchy for government's failures. If anything, this helps illustrate the case for self-government.
Enjoy Every Sandwich
Yep it was Anarchy in New Orleans and the Gulf Coast, chaos was created mnot by the storm but by the disorganization of the agents of law and order, but real anarchy arose in the actions of citizens. Self government was created in the disaster areas, to deal with the disaster.
Dhalgren in New Orleans
What an old science-fiction novel can tell us about the Big Easy
Bidisha Banerjee
Like Kid, who leaves the city after losing Lanya and other friends in the fire and confusion resulting from a race riot, those who choose to stay in New Orleans will, in all likelihood, come to harm. But, I hope, not before glimpsing more than the city's nightmares. About two dozen people in New Orleans refused to accept the cancellation of the Southern Decadence gay pride parade scheduled for last weekend. They donned wigs and beads, and celebrated in the streets. A restaurant started giving away $20,000 worth of free food, and two bars in the (mostly dry) French Quarter remained open through the hurricane. In the absence of any controlling legal authority, residents even formed ad hoc defense committees. You wouldn't know it from the blathering of countless columnists, but while Katrina was busy disproving some non-existent policy of "small government," private citizens from Wal-Mart to New Orleans hoteliers proved their ability to keep functioning in an unreal city. It's a start—not only for the city's will to rebuild itself, but also for the inhabitants who hope to stick it out until then. There are many stories about the bodies still afloat in New Orleans, but this one, with its detail about a corpse with one shoe on and one shoe off (an image that haunts Samuel Delany's work, Dhalgren) stands apart.
THE BAD: The State, NGO's and humanitarian agencies that percipitated this disaster by not evacuating everyone or having a plan of evacuating everyone, or a plan period. Reacting too late to a crisis which had they evacuated on Friday before Katrina hit would have had lots of time to get everyone out of New Orleans at least. The Greyhound bus company that removed its buses from New Orleans on Saturday before the hurricane.
The STATE at all levels failed, the limited government created by the neo-cons created a STATE which cannot govern in times when it is needed most, during disasters. The reduction in taxes, in the rational governing of resources, and the increasing authoritarian Securtiy State of the Bush Administration met their Waterloo in Katrina.
And all this could have been avoided if the STATE had listened to the government, in this case the Hurricane Emergency Adisory agency in Louisiana which do its duty, understaffed and underpaid, warned all STATE agencies, local, state and federal, of the pending disaster. But nobody listened.
Fed Response to Katrina Gets Thumbs Down
September 4, 2005--Just 28% of Americans give say that the federal government has done a good or an excellent job responding to Hurricane Katrina. Another 25% say the government has done a fair job while 45% say poor.
Poll: Respondents dissatisfied with Katrina response
Tuesday, September 13, 2005 Posted: 1546 GMT (2346 HKT)
(CNN) -- A majority of Americans surveyed in a CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll released Monday said they disapproved of President Bush's handling of the response to Hurricane Katrina
THE UGLY: Gretna, Louisiana across the bridge from New Oreleans, armed racist police refused access to survivors from NO. The police guarding the bridge between Gretna and NO generously refered to the evacuee's as 'looters'.
This should be no surprize, except to those 70% of white Americans polled who said that race was not a factor in the failure to evacuate or rescue victims of Katrina.
Poll shows wide racial divide on views of Katrina
Six in 10 African-Americans say the fact that most hurricane victims were poor and black was one reason the federal government failed to come to the rescue more quickly. Whites reject that idea; nearly 9 in 10 say those weren't factors. In New Orleans, Bush on Monday said race played no role.
The New York Times Leads the Pack in Scapegoating Black Americans
Race, Katrina and the Media By ISHMAEL REED
Of course there was no racism, this is the gentile land of Southern Gentlemen and Southern Belles after all.
A Guide to Southern Hospitality The Deep South has always taken great pride in its reputation for “Southern Hospitality”. Yet Jefferson Parish, a suburban bedroom community of New Orleans, Louisiana, harbors a dark and shameful culture of racism. Throughout its history, from the prolific lynchings in the 1890's to the senseless diatribes of its extremist politicians in the 1980's, Jefferson Parish is gifted with the ignoble distinction of “America’s Johannesburg.”
Nope no racism in the Deep South.
When Hate Came to Town: New Orleans' Jews and George Lincoln Rockwell,
Gretna is the stomping grounds of white supremascist/neo-nazi and former Klansman, David Duke.
David Duke a Biography
David Duke on Stormfront-Neo Nazi Site.
There's an old sheriff in town: The legacy of racism in the parish that blocked N.O. from fleeing Hell
"If there are some young blacks driving a car late at night in a predominantly white area, they will be stopped. If you live in a predominantly white neighborhood and two blacks are in a car behind you, there's a pretty good chance they're up to no good. It's obvious two young blacks driving a rinky-dink car in a predominately white neighborhood - I'm not talking about on the main thoroughfare, but if they're on one of the side streets and they're cruising around - they'll be stopped."
-- Jefferson Parish, La., Sheriff Harry Lee in 1986.
In 2005, Harry Lee is still the sheriff of Jefferson Parish -- a county that also once sent David Duke to the statehouse and tried to erect physical barriers from a mostly black New Orleans community. And last week, his deputies took part in what may become the most notorious racial incident of our young new millennium.
After Blocking the Bridge, Gretna Circles the Wagons
City of Gretna Louisiana-The most evil, racist city in America.
Police Trapped Thousands in New Orleans
GRETNA, Louisiana, Sept 13 (Reuters) - Three suburbs of New Orleans announced they will reopen on Wednesday, saying residents have safe water, electricity and sewer service 15 days after Katrina struck. The cities of Gretna, Westwego and Lafitte, Louisiana, said residents could come back starting at 5 a.m. on Wednesday morning but cautioned that they would face a strict curfew "The city now is open for business," Westwego mayor Robert Billiot told WWL radio. "We are going to rebuild Westwego. We look forward to you coming home." The three cities are all in Jefferson Parish, a county of suburbs that borders New Orleans on both sides of the Mississippi River. They are on the south side of the river, the so-called West Bank, and did not suffer the widespread, continued flooding that other areas hav
Friday, September 16, 2005
Alberta's Tar Sands Gamble
Alberta has 1.6 billion barrels of remaining conventional oil reserves with 2004 production declining five per cent from 2003 levels to 224 million barrels per day. The EUB report also found an increase in marketable natural gas reserves with current levels at 40 trillion cubic feet or roughly an eight year supply. Alberta produced 4.9 trillion cubic feet in 2004.
Note well that Alberta's NON-RENEWABLE stocks of Oil and Gas are declining. This is where the Alberta bumper surplus comes from, however we still have the lowest royalty and tax rate on oil profits in the World. While our conventional supplies are in a serious decline. The reliance on the Oil Sands currently is one of an long term investment, oil factories are being built, which is creating a temporary job boom, and extraction processing is underway but it is not producing royalties or taxes yet. And probably won't for a decade.
The same can be said about the new kid on the block; Coal Bed Methane production of gas. It's being pushed due to our declining gas stocks, and it too is a gamble that can only pay off in the far future.
Coalbed gas production set to take off
AEUB predicts 25-fold increase by 2014
Gordon Jaremko
The Edmonton Journal
September 16, 2005
Canadian energy firms have extra motivation, on top of strong gas prices, to accelerate coalbed methane development, the board observed. Conventional gas reserves are poised to run down after almost 50 years of almost continuous production growth, due to depletion of aging wells.
The board forecasts Alberta's conventional gas production will remain flat at its recent annual level of about five trillion cubic feet in 2005 then decline at a rate of 2.5 per cent per year.
"CBM production is forecast to supplement the supply of conventional gas in the province," the AEUB said.
But with coal gas development still in its infancy, the board makes no attempt to predict whether coal gas will make up for all the forecast decline in conventional wells or even cause total production to resume growing.
Meahwhile the Tories deliberate underestimation of the cost of gas and oil has allowed them to avoid having any real budget plan based on a realistic estimation of the province's real earnings on the increase price of oil and gas.Energy windfalls may last decade
Gordon Jaremko
The Edmonton Journal
September 16, 2005
EDMONTON - Alberta's energy boom -- and consumers' pain at the gas pumps -- will last at least 10 years, a radically revised government forecast says.
Oil prices of $50 US per barrel and corresponding high values for natural gas are no temporary windfall, the Alberta Energy and Utilities Board said Thursday in a state-of-the-industry report.
The AEUB's 2005 reserves review double its '04 forecasts, predicting oil will average $55 to $60 a barrel this year and next, then take until 2009 to settle back down to $50 as consumers cut back and supply grows.
The board predicts $50 oil will last at least until the end of its current 10-year projection through 2014. Natural gas is expected to average $7.50 to $8 per gigajoule this year and next, then drop no lower than $7 for the rest of the forecast period.
Although the new AEUB expectations are higher than Alberta Finance's budget projections, the board outlook is within the price zones of industry forecasters, such as FirstEnergy Capital Corp. and Gilberg Laustsen Jung Associates.
But even annual average oil prices of $30 US per barrel and corresponding values for natural gas are high enough to sustain Alberta's oilsands development wave and current record drilling activity, the CERI economist said.
The AEUB echoes industry forecasts that oilsands production will double into a range of two million barrels daily over the next 10 years, while gas drilling continues at record levels and coalbed methane development accelerates.
Alberta Finance and Alberta Energy officials could not be reached to say whether provincial budget and savings policies should change to manage repeated huge annual energy revenue surpluses.
Instead they act like its Christmas every quarter, with that 'aw shucks I never expected to get that,' attitude. Which avoids the actuality of what those earnings are or could be planned and budgeted for.Leaving the rest of Canada wondering about just what the heck is going on in Alberta. And when the gas price at the pump rises, that what the heck becomes, what the hell lets nationalize. Which makes Calgary Oil Boys very jumpy, and Ralph responds in kind on their behalf.
'Conflict' looms over Alberta's oil wealth
Revenue sharing a potentially explosive campaign issue, survey results indicate
By BRIAN LAGHI
Friday, September 16, 2005
From Friday's Globe and Mail
This is the reason we need Public ownership of Oil/Gas and the Oil/Gas industry under community and workers control as I blogged here.
The harmony, however, appears to break down when the more specific question on the oil windfall is asked. Mr. Gregg suggested that may be because leaders in Alberta tend to inflame rhetoric by arguing that the surplus belongs solely to the province. "Once you get a political exhortation, like Ralph Klein saying 'keep your hands off it,' I think that's when you get regional interest overarching the national interest," he said.
Alta. won't share energy windfall: Klein
Canadian Press
Friday, September 16, 2005
CALGARY -- Alberta Premier Ralph Klein says the rest of Canada can forget about getting an extra slice of the province's energy windfall.
"It's not in the cards," Klein told reporters Friday after a poll suggested Canadians outside the oil-rich province want to share the wealth being generated by soaring energy prices.
"When you have money, everyone wants some, including the rest of Canada," he said, adding that the current situation is no different than when Alberta was booming in 1980.
"The rest of Canada was saying the same thing: 'Give me, give me, give me,"' said the premier. "Then the price of oil went down and the rest of Canada was wringing their hands in glee saying, 'You deserved it."'
He noted the rest of Canada didn't send economic aid to Alberta when the oil boom collapsed and Alberta was thrown into economic turmoil.
While the rest of the country looks on Alberta's record surpluses with envy they are as much based on sin taxes; tobbacco and VLT's as they are on the royalties and taxes from oil and gas. And those taxes and royalties are on limited conventional reserves, which have around a decade of life left in them.
The Tar Sands are not yet at production levels to match the conventional reserves. The government is tossing the dice in the hopes that by the time the conventional reserves dry out they will be replaced with the equivalent in Tar Sands production.
Ralph and the oil boys have the high hopes of the Riverboat gambler.
Which is why Ralph plays the NEP card, because he knows that this province is gambling on living off declining resources while waiting for the Tar Sands to pay back their investment.
It's all a bit of slight of hand to avoid the real issue of the need to increase taxes and royalties on the current conventional reserves.
And Albertan's recognize that, they too support the public ownership of the oil and gas resources in Alberta. And if the royalties and taxes were at the level of Venezuala's for instance then Albertan's would be overwhelmingly in favour of sharing them.
Which is why the Tories have NOT changed the royalty/tax relief they gave Big Oil back after the last market crash in 1984 which coincided with the NEP.
Of course the 'rest of Canada' did not bail out Alberta when we crashed, because we had boomed during the crash in the rest of Canada, and we simply joined the declining economy of the day.
To put it into perspective, the oilsands are estimated to contain 174.1 billion barrels of bitumen reserves."The size of that reserve would put Canada in about second place in the world behind Saudi Arabia in terms of total oil reserves," said Curran."At current production rates, that's about 400 years of supply," he said. The forecast for bitumen production closely mirrors figures from the Canadian Energy Research Institute. CERI is forecasting production to be 2.5 million barrels per day by 2014 said global energy analyst Vincent Lauerman.
Tar Sands production is of bitumen, shale based oil, the production is not through conventional oil and gas extraction but costly factories that literarly dredge the tar sands of their oil. Its the largest open pit mining operation in the world. And those factories do not employ the same amount of workers as it takes to construct them. The current boom in Alberta is a 'construction boom' not an 'oil' boom! We have yet to have the production levels of extraction out of the Tar Sands that would match our conventional oil production!
"Despite improving technologies, costs (of production) are going up to turn this stuff into usable product," said Lauerman. "The cost is about $30 per barrel and a year before it was about $25 per barrel. The main thing that has changed that is driving this thing forward is light oil prices have increased quite a bit," he said. Higher natural gas prices and higher costs for labour has added to production costs said Lauerman. ........"Mostly because it's a mining operation more than anything else. There's not a lot in it in terms of finding and development costs - it's more on how much does it cost to build a factory," he said.
Teck Cominco pays $475 M for stake in oilsands project
VANCOUVER (CP) -- Teck Cominco Ltd. made a splash in the Alberta oilsands Tuesday with a $475-million deal for a 15 per cent stake in the Fort Hills Energy project owned by Petro-Canada and UTS Energy Corp. -- bringing with it a wealth of experience in open-pit mining.
It takes energy to make energy in the Tar Sands. Part of the cost is the use of water and steam extraction. For thirty years the Tories have tried to find a way to use Nuclear powered steam injection to get the oil out of the Tar Sands. Scary thought that.
Oil sands players eye nuclear option
Soaring price of natural gas has producers looking for an alternative
Tar Sands oil is energy intensive, hence capital intensive. It is NOT an economical production model unless oil prices are high, alot higher than they are even now. At $80 a barrel Tar Sands oil only becomes feasible due to its energy inputs cost.
Oil sands trigger race for diluent supply
EnCana secures imports of little-known commodity needed to dilute bitumen
Diluent is a mostly unknown commodity outside the oil business and had a low profile even in Alberta until last winter when the industry was slammed hard by severe shortage. Roughly one barrel of diluent is needed to move two barrels of bitumen through a pipeline, a significant cost, and high diluent prices actually made bitumen production briefly unprofitable. "It became clear that we were not just facing a long-term diluent shortage but we were already pretty much on the doorstep of one," Mr. Bird said.EnCana has not yet secured a supply of diluent but the company believes it can probably get it on the spot market from countries that export liquefied natural gas.Not all oil sands production requires diluent. EnCana drills for its bitumen. Others, like Suncor Energy Inc., mine bitumen and then upgrade the heavy oil into synthetic oil, which flows through a pipeline without problem.
The Alberta economy is a game of three card monty; time limited construction jobs created due to the building oil sands factories, reliance on limited reserves of conventional oil and gas while the Tar Sands comes into operation, wait for 25 years before the Tar Sands companies begin to pay back taxes and royalties.Don't believe little old left winger me, then here it is from the horses mouth:
Reality check needed
By NEIL WAUGH, EDMONTON SUN
The Alberta Energy and Utilities Board (EUB) issued its energy supply-and-demand outlook document last week.
"While non-renewable energy sources and more efficient energy use are increasingly contributing to lower the global demand," the EUB reported, "oil is still the dominant fuel."
As a result the board is upping its long-range price forecast from $28 to $50 US a barrel. Natural gas prices are expected to stay at $7.50 to $8 a gigajoule for the next two years.
That alone should sent Alberta royalties revenues through the roof.
Even though the EUB noted that natural gas production peaked in 2001.
But what's also of note - although scary might be a better word - is the radical shift from conventional oil produced from a pumpjack to synthetic crude manufactured by an oilsands plant.
"Last year synthetic crude oil production equalled light and medium crude oil production for the first time," the report said.
By 2014 it will make up 83% of Alberta's oil production. There's no doubt that oilsands plant construction is a massive engine for the Alberta and Canadian economies.
But it's happening under a royalty regime of a token 1% until the capital costs are fully paid out.
And with conventional oil and gas declining, Albertans could soon find themselves in a revenue squeeze.
Unlike the bubble in the 1980's this is a serious crisis in oil and gas stock and refining capacity. We are hitting the peak oil in reserves of conventional oil and the price will only go up. While good for Alberta in the short term, it will quickly become a burden as we wait for Tar Sands and Coal Bed Gas production to take up the slack. And we have only a decade. Focus: Oil
It is the great liberator that has changed the course of history. But it has brought misery as well as wealth, and the latest global convulsions triggered by this corrupting substance show how perilous is the world's dependence on it. By Adrian Hamilton
The end of the oil era is upon us. Soon oil output from conventional sources will peak. The strain will then have to be taken by other fuel sources and changes in demand. What we don't know is how high the price will have to go and how great the supply shocks will be before we get there; whether the market alone will effect a solution or whether governments will have to act to suppress demand and preserve supplies.Crude slips on forecasts of slowing global growth; Venezuela predicts higher prices
Canadian Press
September 16, 2005
Although crude oil prices are more than $6 US lower than the record of $70.85 US set Aug. 30, prices remain nearly 50 per cent higher compared to this time last year. Yet South America's biggest producer, Venezuela, warned that oil prices could reach $100 US a barrel because of the world's limited reserves. Venezuela - an OPEC member and South America's largest producer - said prices could rise to $100 US per barrel because members of the 11-country cartel are pumping at near capacity, Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez said Thursday. "OPEC is practically already at its production ceiling," Chavez told reporters at a UN summit in New York. "The problem is the oil reserves are running out," said Chavez, whose comments were carried by Venezuelan state television. "It is a true crisis." Venezuela is the world's fifth-largest oil exporter, a major fuel supplier to the United States and one of few countries with proven reserves. Rising demand, primarily from the United States and China, has been blamed for the tight supplies worldwide.
Thursday, September 15, 2005
Katrina: It's a Dog-Gone Crime
Coming to the rescue in a dog-eat-dog world
Gary Mason, Globe and Mail, Sept. 12, 2005
This Online article needs a subscription, so I thought I would provide a transcript of some of the major points it makes,about animal resuce in the Aftermath of Katrina.
If the rescue of humans was completely disorganized the rescue of companion animals was even more so.
Add to that the refusal of Buses and other evacuation transportation to take companion animals on board, what's with that?
Another question is, while a lot of focus has been on dogs, what about the other companion animals, cats, birds, etc.
Ethan Gurney on a seperate boat climbs into the putrid water and heads toward the open window. He hoists himself inside while the pit bulls snarl viciously inside. "They had them locked in a room with no water, no food. It had to be 90 degrees in there." the two men bring the dogs onto the front porch where we have placed a bowl of water and some dog food, which are devoured in less than a minute. The rescuers slowly and cautiously begin petting them and eventually scratch behind their ears while whispering, "that a boy", "good doggie","yeah that tastes good, doesn't it?" Soon both the dogs, both of them bearing disfiguring scars that suggest they had been used to fight, are licking the hands and faces of their rescuerers. They are no longer aggressive but instead two scared animals profoundly thankfullfor the kindness they have been shown.
For those of you from Ontario please note that the appreciation two pit bulls used in dog fights, gave to their rescuers, sort of makes you wonder about that Anti-Pit Bull legislation Ontario passed. There are no Bad Breeds just Bad Owners (as in this animal is my property, chattel slave, etc.). Ontario Bans Pit Bulls
Ten thousands have died, not people but pets, companion animals and the death toll can only go up because the rescue operations have been bogged down by bueracracy and the negligence and incompetance at all levels of government. There was no animal rescue plan, and in the aftermath of this disaster there still is no plan! In fact the old bureacratic machinery of local, state and federal agencies are blocking rescue attempts with red tape .
Because of Katreina many have already died or will soon if not rescued. It's a number that Paul Berry, who is directing the Best Friends operation here, estimates will be in the tens of thousands. And as poorly organized as the rescue operation to save humans here was, the one to save animals has been worse. You see there wasn't a plan. "It's a disaster and a national disgrace" says Mr. Berry. "The national agencies FEMA, the Humane Society, someone should have been in control of animal welfare but it didn't happen."
Imagine this many people who evacuated their homes brought along their pets. But when the buses arrived to take the residents to shelters they were told they had to leave their animals behind---right there on the highway. Consequently , there were upward of 1,000 pets, mostly dogs, roaming the freeway there. Several were hit by cars and killed. There have also been reports of dogs being rounded up and shot by the authorities.
The emergency response NOW, two weeks late, to the plight of animals left behind has even gotten local humane soicities involved.
City animal shelter workers to join animal rescue effort
Gordon Kent The Edmonton Journal
Wednesday, September 14, 2005
September 18, 2005
CAMBRIDGE, Ont.-- Fifteen dogs that survived hurricane Katrina are still alive thanks to two southwestern Ontario women.
Bonnie Deekon and her friend Meg Brubacher rescued the dogs from an Alexandria, La., shelter this week, north of New Orleans.
The women left for the devastated area in a van, donated by the University of Guelph, on Sept. 7 and just returned to Cambridge.
The pups don't know how close they came to death.
Shelters are so packed with animals left homeless from hurricane Katrina that several are euthanized every hour.
The dogs - seven puppies and eight adults - are now being put up for adoption.
And stupid red tape of the United States Department of Agriculture is NOT helping.
Humane Society of Louisiana president helps pet-rescue efforts from afar
Animals another component in need of hurricane relief
Dogfight brewing over Katrina's furry victims
NEW ORLEANS — If Cindy Healer has her way, 50 dogs and cats rescued from the homes and streets of this devastated city will be loaded into a moving van and driven to Texas, where they'll find refuge at the Humane Society/SPCA of Bexar County.
Animal rescue volunteer Larry Roberts, of Atlanta, carries a dog out of a yard in New Orleans. The animal was suffering from dehydration.
Many of the animals, trapped in homes, have gone two weeks without nourishment. Some, in dire need of medical care, barely cling to life.
"Half these animals were locked in homes and they're emaciated," said Healer, director of operations at the Humane Society. "They need to get out of the state."
It's not clear if authorities will permit that. A spokesman with the U.S. Department of Agriculture said authorities are becoming increasingly concerned some rescue groups are taking animals across state lines without regard for whether the animals were someone's beloved pets.
"They're picking up people's pets and assuming that, because the animals were loose, they were abandoned, but that's not (necessarily) the case," said Larry Hawkins, a USDA spokesman.
Hawkins said transporting animals out of state would complicate efforts to reunite animals with their owners.
He said his agency, working with the Humane Society of the United States and the Louisiana Society for the Protection Against Cruelty to Animals, is deciding how much time to allow evacuated residents to claim their animals from shelters before they're allowed to be put up for adoption.
To help out with the rescue of Katrina's forgotten victims contact:And if the treatment of companion animals has been outrageous well there was no plan to evacuate confined sea mammals from the Aquarium in New Orleans.
Swept from aquarium pool, dolphins found alive offshore
By Beth Daley, Globe Staff | September 14, 2005
Eight bottlenose dolphins that were washed out of their Mississippi aquarium pool during Hurricane Katrina have been found alive, huddled together in the fetid waters off Gulfport, Miss. Now, deeply worried about the dolphins' chances of survival, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration officials and aquarium biologists are racing to rescue the weak and wounded animals -- some of which have never before ventured into the wild.
Established in 1956, the facility suffered catastrophic damage in the storm. Along with the dolphins, 19 sea lions were swept out of their pools when a giant storm surge engulfed the Oceanarium. Five of them are missing.
On the other hand to give credit where credit is due the New Orleans Zoo had a plan, one that was even better than the one the city had for it's citizens!By Mark BabineckNEW ORLEANS, Aug 4 (Reuters) - Thousands of people are feared dead in the rubble of storm-shattered New Orleans, but at the New Orleans zoo only three of its 1,400 animals died in the wrath of Hurricane Katrina. The famous Audubon Zoo has the good fortune of being located on some of the city's highest ground, but it also had a disaster plan for the animals that worked better than the city's plan for humans. It suffered no serious flooding, but the storm's fierce winds toppled several large trees and knocked down branches throughout the 52-acre (21-hectare) grounds. The only fatalities so far were two otters and a raccoon, zoo curator Dan Maloney said on Sunday. Fourteen staffers stayed at the zoo to care for the animals throughout the storm and the aftermath that has left New Orleans in ruins. "We stayed here because the animals can't leave," he said. "We were almost done with our ark and were training the animals to march in two-by-two, but we just didn't make it."