Fertilizer buyers are eyeing Canada to fill global potash deficit
Canada’s ample potash deposits are drawing “high levels” of interest around the world since sanctions upended global fertilizer markets.
Saskatchewan is capturing “renewed interest” in its potash resources due to disrupted supplies of the key fertilizer from Belarus and Russia, according to Bronwyn Eyre, energy and resources minister for the western Canadian province. Saskatchewan has the world’s largest potash deposits and Eyre said the provincial government is working with companies to encourage more production of the mineral and expects to see “a growing demand for new projects” in the coming years.
“We are a critical-minerals powerhouse and we can be a bigger one,” Eyre said in a phone interview.
Fertilizer markets have been in disarray since the U.S. imposed sanctions on Belarus, and from economic measures taken against Russia following its invasion of Ukraine in February. Russia and Belarus account for about 40 per cent of global potash production and exports, according to Saskatoon, Saskatchewan-based Nutrien Ltd., while Canada is the other major source for the commonly used fertilizer that contains potassium.
Saskatchewan has roughly 1.1 billion metric tons of potassium oxide, enough to supply the world for several hundred years, according to the province’s energy ministry. Only a small fraction of that is in production, with 10 mines in the province operated by K+S Potash Canada, Nutrien and Mosaic Co. Saskatchewan produced a record 14.2 million tons of potash last year. BHP Group has a US$5.7 billion project to build what will be the world’s largest potash mine in the province.
Saskatchewan expects an uptick in exploration and mining projects, though it takes awhile for new mines to get up and running, Eyre said.
“It’s a case of supply meeting demand right now,” Eyre said. “That does take some time.”
Jen Skerritt
Mon, May 2, 2022,
(Bloomberg) -- Nutrien Ltd., the world’s largest fertilizer company, boosted its outlook for profit growth and cash flow, saying it plans to sell more potash as crop-nutrient prices soar.
The company is projecting earnings-per-share of $16.20 to $18.70 on an adjusted basis; the previous target was $10.20 to $11.80. Nutrien and other fertilizer companies have benefited from record prices as major exporter Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and sanctions on Belarus threaten a massive portion of global fertilizer supply.
Mosaic Co., the world’s largest phosphate producer, reported first-quarter earnings that missed analyst estimates. Total potash production is expected to exceed recent historical levels for the remainder of 2022, the company said Monday in a statement.
Nutrien has said it will increase potash production to fill a worldwide deficit. Russia and Belarus account for about 40% of global potash output and exports, and sanctions and other restrictions imposed on the countries have “significantly constrained supply,” the company said Monday in a statement.
Nutrien has raised 2022 potash sales volume guidance to between 14.5 to 15.1 million tons, with the majority of the extra capacity to be produced in the second half of the year.
“We are estimating a wider than normal range of global potash shipments given the level of uncertainty of supply from Russia and Belarus,” according to the statement.
Nutrien has yet to name a permanent successor to former Chief Executive Officer Mayo Schmidt, who was fired just eight months after his April 2021 hiring to succeed Chuck Magro, who is now CEO of agribusiness giant Corteva Inc.
Nutrien paid Schmidt $9.4 million and another $4.8 million in severance, according to the company’s proxy circular. Magro received $18.5 million, in addition to $8.1 million in severance, according to company documents.
Corteva paid Nutrien a lump sump of $18.7 million for allowing Magro to breach restrictive covenants and work for a rival.
“While we have gone through two CEO changes this past year, the decisions made were both necessary and in the best long-term interests of the company and its shareholders,” the company said in a proxy circular to shareholders in April. The board intends to announce a permanent CEO during the second half of 2022.
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