Saturday, March 21, 2026

 

US, Japan to focus rare earths cooperation on select group of minerals at first

Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi visited the White House on Thursday. Credit: Sanae Takaichi’s official X page

The US and Japan on Thursday released an action plan for their efforts to develop alternatives to China for critical minerals and rare earths supply chains, focusing initially on price floors for a select group of minerals.

A joint US-Japan statement released by the US Trade Representative’s Office during Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s visit to the White House said the two countries aimed to deliver “concrete, near-term results towards securing mutual supply chain resilience.”

The statement said the two countries will discuss coordinated trade policies such as a border-adjusted price floor mechanism, “focusing in the first instance on a select group of critical minerals.” They did not identify which minerals would be considered first for price floors.

Takaichi and US President Donald Trump signed a framework agreement on rare earths in October 2025 in Tokyo as both countries were struggling with Chinese export controls.

The action plan announced on Thursday does not mention China by name, but refers to a need to correct “distortions resulting from pervasive non-market policies and practices (that) have left critical minerals supply chains of market-oriented economies vulnerable to a myriad of disruptions, including economic coercion.”

The two sides will consult on how price floors and other trade provisions can fit into a plurilateral critical minerals supply agreement involving other countries, the statement said.

They also will work to identify specific projects in each country and elsewhere for critical minerals mining, processing and manufacturing that meet internationally recognized responsible business practices and that should get priority financing and policy support, the statement added.

US-based Albemarle, the world’s largest lithium producer, is “exploring opportunities” for potential Japanese investment or supply deals with the company’s under-construction North Carolina lithium project, according to the statement.

An Albemarle spokesperson said the company had nothing to add.

Japan’s Mitsubishi Materials is in talks with Indiana-based ReElement Technologies for a potential equity stake or joint venture, according to the statement. A representative for ReElement was not immediately available to comment.

Tokyo and Washington also agreed to share information on mining standards, technical cooperation, and geological mapping of potential critical mineral deposits. They also agreed to coordinate stockpiling of critical minerals, rapid responses to prevent supply disruptions and joint actions to address economic coercion, the statement said.

(By David Lawder and Ernest Scheyder; Editing by Paul Simao and Daniel Wallis)



U.S. Approaches Chile for Critical Mineral Supply


  • The U.S. is negotiating a supply deal with Chile for rhenium, a rare and critical mineral essential for defense and aerospace, with Chile controlling about 50% of global supply.

  • Rhenium is indispensable due to its extreme heat resistance and lack of substitutes, making it vital for jet engines, turbines, and military systems.

  • The move is part of a broader U.S. strategy to secure critical minerals and reduce dependence on China through global partnerships and strategic reserves.

Oil and gas prices are hogging headlines, but while the world watches the Middle East, U.S. officials have been busy elsewhere. Chile, the world’s biggest supplier of one particular critical mineral, is in talks with the U.S. on a supply agreement for rhenium—an element seen as vital for national security.

Rhenium is a genuinely rare element that has an extremely high melting point of around 3,180 degrees Celsius, which makes it extra resistant to both heat and wear, according to the USGS. This, in turn, makes rhenium highly prized in the defense industry. Since most rhenium is extracted as a by-product from copper mining, it is little surprise that Chile is the largest producer, seeing as the South American state is also the world’s top copper producer. It accounts for 50% of global rhenium supply, per UPI, which reported the news about the talks.

“Chile controls nearly half of a mineral that the United States and China cannot produce in sufficient quantities. Washington reinstated rhenium to its critical minerals list in 2025 and explicitly included it in the bilateral mining agreement with Chile. That makes it a genuine geopolitical asset, not just a mining one,” UPI quoted an engineering professor from Chile’s Adolfo Ibanez University as saying.

Indeed, the Trump administration has prioritized critical minerals from day one. The overwhelming reliance of most of the world on China for both supply and, more importantly, processing of rare earths and other critical elements had started to become a cause for concern in both the United States and the European Union, but the U.S. under Trump has been a lot quicker in taking action.

Last year, Washington closed a deal with Australia’s government to cooperate in the development of a local critical mineral supply. The deal, worth more than $3 billion, according to the White House, could open up access to resources worth $53 billion or more—theoretically. Australia is one of the most mineral-rich countries in the world. It is home to some of the largest reserves of lithium as well as rare earths, tungsten, vanadium, manganese, cobalt, copper, and other metals and minerals used in key industries. The deal with the Trump administration would help boost the production of these metals and minerals and diversify the U.S. supply chain.

Then this year, President Trump announced he would set up a strategic national reserve for critical metals and minerals worth $12 billion to make sure the United States does not get vulnerable to supply shifts from China. The reserve would include rare earths and some of the most in-demand metals and minerals, such as lithium, cobalt, nickel, and graphite, which are used in weapons systems, satellites, batteries, data centers, and industrial motors.

Yet when it comes to weapons systems, rhenium is a lot more valuable than the rest of these metals and minerals. It has no substitutes and its role in defense and aerospace applications is critical as part of specialized alloys—rhenium, in short, is literally indispensable. “It is the metal that allows aircraft engines and military turbines to withstand extreme temperatures without deforming,” according to Professor Victor Perez from Adolfo Ibanez University.

The global race for critical minerals is still on, even if it is not all over the news. And the United States just made an important move in Chile, which is part of a broader move to gain greater exposure to South America’s mineral resources. Every such move counts. The U.S. has a lot of catching up to do with China in the field of critical minerals and speed counts, especially in the current geopolitical situation.

By Charles Kennedy for Oilprice.com



Beijing Spends $120 Billion to Lock Down Critical Minerals Worldwide

  • China has invested over $120B since 2023 in global critical minerals, strengthening its dominance in clean energy supply chains and processing.

  • Through infrastructure-for-resources deals—especially in Africa—China secures long-term supply while expanding into local processing.

  • These investments raise concerns over debt burdens, limited local economic benefits, and growing Chinese control over strategic resources.

China has invested over $120 billion in overseas mining and mineral processing projects since 2023, Australian think tank Climate Energy Finance (CEF) has reported. The investments primarily targeted lithium, copper, nickel and rare earths, critical minerals essential for clean energy and decarbonization technologies. However, whereas these investments have helped boost clean energy industries in developing countries, they have raised serious concerns, including debt risks. 

Chinese firms are aggressively investing in overseas resource processing and infrastructure such as ports, rail and energy infrastructure, securing long-term resource access and controlling key supply chains while reducing China’s reliance on traditional suppliers. China is the global leader in processing key clean energy minerals, including 90% of rare earth refining, 90% of battery components and 60% of lithium processing.

China has a particularly strong presence in Africa’s minerals sector. Back in 2023, China’s CMOC Group, in partnership with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd. (CATL), the world’s largest maker of EV batteries, completed the first phase of the Kisanfu cobalt project in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), one of the world’s highest-grade copper-cobalt projects. CMOC Group Limited (formerly China Molybdenum), first gained a foothold in DRC after it acquired a majority stake of the Tenke Fungurume Mine (TFM) from Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE:FCX) in 2016. In 2025, CMOC achieved a record cobalt output of approximately 117,549 tonnes, and has set a cobalt production target of 100,000 to 120,000 tonnes in 2026. CMOC is also rapidly growing its copper production, targeting 760,000 to 820,000 tonnes in 2026. The two high-grade copper-cobalt mines have helped establish CMOC Group as the world’s largest cobalt and copper producer, surpassing Glencore.

In 2023, China’s Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt commissioned a $300 million lithium processing plant at the Arcadia mine in Zimbabwe. Operated by Huayou Cobalt’s subsidiary Prospect Lithium Zimbabwe, the plant can process 4.5 million metric tons of hard rock lithium ore annually, producing approximately 450,000 metric tons of lithium concentrate. Following the success of the initial concentrator, Huayou Cobalt expanded its operations in Zimbabwe, commissioning a second $400 million plant at the Arcadia site in 2025 dedicated to producing lithium sulphate, an intermediate product for battery manufacturing. This new facility is expected to produce in excess of 50,000 metric tons of lithium sulphate annually.

Two weeks ago, DRC's state miner Gécamines and a Chinese consortium revamped their Sino-Congolaise des Mines (Sicomines) joint venture that operates large-scale open-pit copper and cobalt mines in Lualaba Province. The JV was initially established in 2008 as a "minerals-for-infrastructure" project where Chinese investors (68% stake) finance infrastructure such as roads and hospitals in exchange for mining rights, with DRC's Gécamines holding 32%. Under a revised deal, the Chinese partners committed to investing $7 billion in DRC infrastructure through 2040.

Meanwhile, China’s CNMC (China Nonferrous Metal Mining Company) has invested heavily in Zambia’s copper belt. Back in 1998, the company acquired the Chambishi Copper Mine in Zambia, becoming the first Chinese firm to invest in Zambia's copper assets following privatization. In 2018, it launched the Southeast Ore Body, a major copper-cobalt mine expansion project with nearly $1 billion invested. The expanded facility is designed to produce approximately 100,000 to 110,000 tonnes of copper concentrate annually. The Chambishi Copper Mine mine is noted for being one of Zambia's most technologically advanced, featuring a high level of digitalization and automation through partnerships with firms like Sandvik Mining and Rock Technology.

Other major projects by Chinese firms in Africa include Sinosteel Cam’s Lobé-Kribi Iron Ore Project in Cameroon, Chinalco’s Simandou iron projects in Guinea, Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium’s Goulamina Lithium Project in Mali and the Kamoa-Kakula Copper Complex in DRC, a JV between China’s Zijin Mining and Canada’s Ivanhoe Mines (OTCQX:IVPAF). China now owns over 70% of the DRC's active cobalt and copper mines. Additionally, Chinese firms are moving beyond extraction to local processing, including building smelters and battery plants, such as the upcoming battery factory in Morocco by China's Gotion High-Tech with a $5.6 billion investment.

China has leaned heavily on a simple playbook in Africa: build the infrastructure, secure the resources. Deals are typically struck at the government level, backed by state financing and executed by Chinese firms, with China Exim Bank often providing the funding. In return, Beijing locks in long-term supply agreements for critical minerals. The model moves fast, avoids many of the hurdles Western companies face, and fills real infrastructure gaps across developing economies.

But the trade-offs are becoming harder to ignore. Several host countries are taking on significant debt tied to these projects, with places like Djibouti and Angola already carrying heavy external debt loads linked to Chinese financing. At the same time, the economic spillover has often fallen short of expectations. Chinese operators frequently bring in their own labor and materials, limiting local job creation and slowing technology transfer. With many of these agreements negotiated behind closed doors, questions around transparency and long-term control over national resources continue to build.

By Alex Kimani for Oilprice.com

 

Vatican pushes investors to exit mining sector


Vatican City. (Stock image by Polok silver.)

The Vatican on Friday launched an international project encouraging disinvestment from the mining sector, in an unusual initiative by the Catholic Church to steer investments away from a specific industry.

Officials said the new initiative, backed by senior Church leaders and about 40 other faith-based institutions, would push companies to treat their workers justly and protect the local environment near their operations, or risk loss of investments.

“In many regions of the world, the expansion of the mining industry has generated profound social tensions and serious environmental impacts,” Cardinal Fabio Baggio, a Vatican official, said at a press conference.

He called the new effort “an act of consistency with our faith (and) with the defense of human dignity”.

Pope Francis, who died last year, made many passionate appeals during his 12-year tenure for mining companies to adopt more stringent business practices, but the Vatican had not previously launched a disinvestment initiative.

It did however urge Catholics in 2020 to disinvest from the armaments and fossil fuel industries.

Rev. Dario Bossi, one of the coordinators of the new project, said it would invite Catholics and faith groups “to withdraw investments from the mining sector as an ethical response to its social and environmental impacts”.

The Vatican did not provide a list of organizations involved in the new initiative, and did not specify any mining companies that could be a target for disinvestment.

Amid a surge in global need for batteries and other high-tech items, demand for the likes of lithium, cobalt and copper is expected to triple by 2030, and quadruple by 2040, according to the International Energy Agency.

Some mining companies have acknowledged a need to change their business practices. In 2001, a group of industry CEOs launched the International Council on Mining and Metals, which advocates for responsible mining practices.

Guatemala Cardinal Alvaro Ramazzini, who was part of Friday’s launch, said the new Vatican initiative would seek “to make governments and business leaders understand that what is legal does not always correspond to the value of justice”.

(Reporting by Joshua McElwee; Editing by Jan Harvey)




 

US House Democrat blasts Commerce’s ‘highly concerning’ $1.6B USA Rare Earth deal


US Congresswoman Zoe Lofgren speaking with attendees at the 2019 California Democratic Party State Convention. Credit: Gage Skidmore | Wikimedia Commons, under licence CC BY-SA 2.0.

A senior House Democrat accused US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick on Thursday of structuring Washington’s $1.58 billion investment into USA Rare Earth in a way that gives the government “highly concerning” leverage over the company while boosting Lutnick’s family-run investment firm.

In a 10-page letter, Representative Zoe Lofgren, the ranking member of the House Committee on Science, Space, and Technology, wrote that the proposed deal would let the Commerce Department keep an equity stake even if it decides not to invest while also leaving the company reliant on a $1.5 billion private capital raise led by Cantor Fitzgerald, the financial firm previously led by Lutnick and now run by his sons.

“This deal creates a massive personal conflict by granting the Secretary of Commerce overwhelming leverage to influence the behavior of a private company while positioning him to promote the interests of his sons as a condition of his support,” wrote Lofgren, a California Democrat.

The letter offers a glimpse into the types of investigations Democrats could pursue if they regain power in Washington after the November midterm elections, as lawmakers scrutinize the administration’s aggressive use of federal financing and equity stakes to reshape supply chains for critical minerals and other strategic industries.

CEO Barbara Humpton and a spokesperson for USA Rare Earth were not immediately available to comment. The Commerce Department did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

Funding in exchange for equity stake

The Commerce Department’s CHIPS Program Office in January signed a non-binding letter of intent to provide up to $1.58 billion in funding to USA Rare Earth — including a $277 million grant and a $1.3 billion loan — in exchange for an equity stake of between 8% and 16%.

The funds are slated to help the company develop a mine in Sierra Blanca, Texas, slated to open by 2028, and a magnet manufacturing plant in Stillwater, Oklahoma, which ​is expected to open this year.

According to the company’s regulatory filings, the government could retain its equity stake even if the deal falls through or if funding is clawed back, a provision Lofgren called “deeply strange” for a federal investment.

The company must meet a series of milestones to receive the funding, including raising additional private capital, completing technical studies and demonstrating market demand for its manufacturing plans, according to the filing.

Lofgren argues those conditions could leave the company dependent on the discretion of Commerce officials and create the potential for undue influence, especially given that the private capital raise from Cantor Fitzgerald is a condition for finalizing the government investment.

“The interplay between the company’s vulnerability and your personal conflict is a glaring red flag,” Lofgren wrote.

The lawmaker also questioned whether the Commerce Department has legal authority to take equity stakes in companies under the CHIPS and Science Act, arguing that the law’s “other transaction” authority does not allow government stakes in private firms.

The Trump administration has used similar structures to take equity positions in a range of companies, arguing the investments are needed to strengthen domestic supply chains and national security.

Lofgren asked the department to provide the committee with documents tied to the deal’s negotiation by April 3.

Reuters reported in January that a US Senate committee is separately reviewing at least one other equity deal in the critical minerals sector.

(By Jarrett Renshaw and Ernest Scheyder; Editing by Sergio Non and Rod Nickel)


The Three Companies Rebuilding America’s Rare-Earth Arsenal

Three small American companies are quietly rebuilding one of the most strategically important supply chains in the modern economy - the rare-earth pipeline that feeds the magnets inside missiles, fighter jets, electric vehicles, and advanced manufacturing.

In California, MP Materials operates the Mountain Pass Mine, the country’s only large-scale rare-earth mining complex and the primary domestic source of rare-earth concentrate.

And in Utah, Energy Fuels processes monazite sands at the White Mesa Mill, producing rare-earth carbonate that feeds downstream refining and metal production.


In Ohio, REalloys already operates the only heavy rare-earth metallization capability in North America at its facility in Euclid, where rare-earth oxides are converted into the metals and alloys used to manufacture high-performance permanent magnets.

Now REalloys is expanding that platform, announcing a fully financed buildout of what is expected to become the largest heavy rare-earth metallization facility outside China.

The effort is unfolding with the full force of U.S. defense procurement policy behind it. Modern weapons systems - from missile guidance to radar and advanced aircraft - depend on rare-earth magnets, yet the supply chain for those materials remains heavily concentrated in China.

Beginning in 2027, U.S. procurement rules will prohibit defense systems from using magnets derived from Chinese rare-earth supply chains, forcing manufacturers to secure alternative sources.

“The establishment of heavy rare earth metal production on U.S. soil is a defining moment for North American industrial strategy,” said Stephen duMont, Chairman of REalloys. “The Ohio facility will create the metallization capability that bridges Canadian oxide production with U.S. magnet manufacturing — a critical link that’s never existed at scale in the West. This is not a pilot plant; this will be full scale commercial capacity, and full compliance with Title 50 defense sourcing requirements. This is how we rebuild supply sovereignty from the ground up.”

Reports from the South China Morning Post and Reuters indicate Washington may have only  months of certain rare-earth inventories available for defense manufacturing if supply disruptions deepen. The warning comes as the United States continues a high-tempo air campaign against Iran that is consuming large quantities of advanced weapons systems.

For decades the United States and its allies allowed the most technically demanding stages of the rare-earth supply chain to migrate overseas. Mining continued in several countries, but the industrial processes that convert rare-earth oxides into metals and magnet materials consolidated overwhelmingly in China.

That concentration now represents one of the most sensitive vulnerabilities in the Western defense industrial base.

Beginning in 2027, U.S. procurement rules will prohibit defense systems from using magnets derived from Chinese rare-earth supply chains, forcing manufacturers to secure alternative sources across the entire value chain—from mining to metallization and magnet production.

And these three companies are doing it all…

#1 REalloys (NASDAQ:ALOY) — Rebuilding the Precision Stage of the Supply Chain

If mining begins the rare-earth supply chain, and processing takes it further, metallization is where the materials finally become usable.

Rare-earth oxides - the powder produced after separation - cannot go directly into manufacturing. Before magnets can be produced, those oxides must be chemically reduced into pure metals and blended into precise alloys that serve as feedstock for permanent magnet production. That step requires tightly controlled reactions, high-temperature furnaces, and complex process control systems capable of maintaining stable yields and purity across multiple rare-earth elements.

For decades, that metallurgical conversion took place overwhelmingly inside China.

In Ohio, REalloys is rebuilding that capability.

At its facility in Euclid, the company converts rare-earth oxides into finished metals and magnet alloys used by defense contractors and advanced manufacturers. It remains the only operating heavy rare-earth metallization capability in North America.

“Metallization is the least developed part of the value chain outside China,” said REalloys co-founder Tim Johnston. “It requires deep operating expertise and process control systems capable of managing complex variables in continuous production.”

Now the company is preparing to scale that capability significantly.

REalloys has announced plans to construct what is expected to become the largest heavy rare-earth metallization platform outside China, capable of converting rare-earth oxides into roughly 600 tons per year of high-purity metalsincluding neodymium, praseodymium, dysprosium and terbium.

Those metals form the core feedstock for permanent magnets used in electric motors, radar systems, drones, missile guidance units and advanced industrial machinery.

The expansion is being developed in partnership with the Saskatchewan Research Council, which is building North America’s first fully integrated commercial rare-earth processing facility in Saskatoon. Under the agreement, REalloys will fund upgrades to the facility and secure the majority of its production, including high-purity neodymium-praseodymium metals as well as dysprosium and terbium oxides used to manufacture high-temperature defense magnets.

Once processed in Canada, those materials will move to Ohio for metallization and alloying, creating one of the first fully allied rare-earth supply chains linking Canadian processing with U.S. manufacturing.

It’s no small feat. Even under ideal conditions, replicating heavy rare-earth metallization capability can take years.

“We’ve already solved the hardest part—proving that rare-earth metallization and alloying can be done domestically to the specifications real customers require,” Johnston said.

The company’s ambitions extend further downstream as well.

REalloys is also developing a large-scale permanent magnet manufacturing facility designed to produce 3,000 tons of NdFeB magnets annually in its first phase and eventually scale to roughly 18,000 tons per year. At full capacity, that output could supply magnets for 1.5 to 2 million electric vehicles annually, along with thousands of wind turbines, robotics systems and large volumes of industrial motors.

Defense applications remain among the most demanding uses for these materials, requiring magnets capable of operating under extreme temperatures and mechanical stress.

The strategic importance of rebuilding this capability has attracted attention well beyond the industrial sector. The company recently appointed retired U.S. Army four-star general Jack Keane, former Vice Chief of Staff of the Army, to its board.

Keane has long been one of Washington’s most prominent voices on defense readiness and supply chain resilience, and his involvement underscores the growing national-security significance of rebuilding the rare-earth materials pipeline inside North America.

#2 MP Materials (NYSE:MP): Rebuilding America’s Rare-Earth Mine

In California, MP Materials Corp is positioned right at the very beginning of America’s rare-earth supply chain.

The company operates the Mountain Pass Mine in California’s Mojave Desert - the only large-scale rare-earth mining operation currently active in the United States and the primary domestic source of rare-earth concentrate.

For decades, MP Materials and its predecessor companies have tried to restore rare-earth mining to the continental United States and reduce reliance on foreign supply chains that feed technologies ranging from electric vehicles and wind turbines to advanced defense systems.

The challenge has never been geology. Rare earth deposits exist around the world.

The problem is China’s dominance of the industrial system that processes those materials. China accounts for roughly 70% of global rare-earth extraction and about 90% of processing, giving Beijing enormous leverage over the supply chain.

That dominance has repeatedly destabilized the market. At times China has restricted exports of rare-earth materials, sending prices sharply higher. At other times it has flooded the market with exports, driving prices so low that Western producers struggle to survive—a cycle that previously forced the bankruptcy of Mountain Pass’s former owner, Molycorp.

Washington has now stepped in to change that dynamic.

In July 2025, the U.S. Department of Defense announced a series of measures aimed at accelerating domestic rare-earth production and reducing reliance on foreign supply chains. The plan included a $400 million investment in preferred stock in MP Materials, a 10-year offtake agreement guaranteeing purchases of neodymium-praseodymium (NdPr) oxide, and $150 million in financing to expand heavy-rare-earth separation capacity and build a large-scale magnet manufacturing facility.

MP Materials has already selected a site for that next phase. The company plans to construct its “10X” magnet manufacturing facility at a 120-acre site in Northlake, Texas, where it aims to eventually produce 10,000 metric tons of rare-earth magnets annually.

If successful, the project would move the company further downstream in the rare-earth value chain - from mining and processing toward full magnet manufacturing - an industry long dominated by China.

#3 Energy Fuels (NYSEAMERICAN: UUUU) — The Processing Support

In Utah, Energy Fuels controls one of the most strategically important pieces of industrial infrastructure in the American critical-minerals landscape: the White Mesa Mill.

Located near Blanding, the facility is the only operating conventional uranium mill in the United States and the only plant in the country capable of processing monazite concentrates into separated rare-earth oxides. After more than four decades of continuous operation, the mill represents something extremely rare in the Western rare-earth sector: fully permitted, operating processing infrastructure.

That capability places Energy Fuels at an important stage of the rare-earth supply chain in between MP Materials and REalloys. Energy Fuels operates the industrial step in between - separating rare-earth minerals into the individual oxides that downstream metallization facilities require.

The company is now moving to scale that role dramatically.

Energy Fuels plans to expand White Mesa’s rare-earth processing capacity from roughly 10,000 tonnes of monazite feed per year to as much as 60,000 tonnes annually, producing up to 6,000 tonnes of neodymium-praseodymium (NdPr) oxide along with hundreds of tonnes of dysprosium and terbium oxides.

Energy Fuels is also moving downstream in the supply chain, with plans to acquire Australian Strategic Materials in a transaction valued at roughly $299 million and geared toward vertical integration.

Energy Fuels CEO Mark Chalmers described the transaction as a major step toward building a fully integrated Western supply chain for rare-earth materials used in automotive, robotics, energy, and defense technologies.

By. Charles Kennedy


A New U.S. Facility Could Break China’s Grip on Critical Materials

REalloys (NASDAQ: ALOY) has announced a fully financed buildout of the largest heavy rare-earth metallization facility outside China, a project aimed squarely at one of the most fragile links in the Western defense supply chain just as Washington prepares to enforce its 2027 ban on Chinese-origin rare earth materials in U.S. weapons systems.

The timing coincides with rapidly growing concern about supply availability. Chinese and Western media reports indicate Washington may have only two months of critical rare-earth inventories available for defense manufacturing if supply disruptions deepen.

Shortages are already beginning to surface in industrial markets. Reuters reports that suppliers to U.S. aerospace and semiconductor companies have started turning away some customers as supplies of niche rare earth materials tighten.

Rare earth elements underpin key components of modern warfare, from missile guidance systems and drone propulsion to radar arrays and advanced fighter aircraft electronics.

“If China said we’re not going to give you rare earths, that means no F-35s, no missiles,” said Mike Crabtree, CEO of the Saskatchewan Research Council (SRC), in an interview with oilprice.com last month. 

The reach of these materials extends far beyond the defense sector.

“Almost everything you can point to either has rare earths in it to make it work or was produced by something that had rare earths in it to be able to produce that article,” Crabtree said.

Yet the West spent decades allowing the most technically demanding parts of this supply chain to move offshore. Mining continued in various parts of the world, but the industrial stages that transform rare earth materials into usable metals and magnets steadily consolidated in China.

“In the last 10 to 15 years, the majority of the upstream and midstream supply chain for rare earth has been controlled by China,” Crabtree said.

That concentration now represents a strategic exposure for Western industry and defense planners alike. Beginning in 2027, U.S. procurement rules will prohibit defense systems from using magnets derived from Chinese rare earth supply chains, forcing manufacturers to secure alternative sources.

Rebuilding those capabilities is complicated and time-consuming.

REAlloys’ metallization operations in Euclid, Ohio represent one of the few facilities in North America already converting rare-earth oxides into metals and magnet-grade alloys.

The rare earth supply chain moves through several stages. Ore is mined and processed into concentrates, which are then separated into individual oxides such as neodymium and praseodymium.

But oxide powder is not what manufacturers use.

Before entering production, those oxides must be chemically reduced into rare earth metals and blended into specialized alloys that serve as feedstock for permanent magnets.

For decades, that metallurgical step—from oxide to metal—has taken place overwhelmingly inside China, even when the raw materials themselves were mined or separated elsewhere.

That gap has long represented the weakest point in the Western supply chain.

REAlloys (NASDAQ: ALOY) is seeking to close it, quickly.

At its Euclid facility, the company converts rare-earth oxides into finished metals and magnet alloys through high-temperature reduction and refining processes. These materials supply magnet manufacturers and advanced industrial customers.

“Metallization is the least developed part of the value chain outside China,” said REAlloys co-founder Tim Johnston. “It requires deep operating expertise and process control systems capable of managing complex variables in continuous production.”

Even under ideal conditions, replicating that capability takes years.

The project announced this week aims to accelerate that rebuilding effort.

In partnership with the Saskatchewan Research Council, REAlloys plans to construct the largest heavy rare-earth metallization facility outside China. The platform will integrate with the company’s existing operations and supply materials for the U.S. defense industrial base and Defense Logistics Agency stockpiles.

SRC’s processing facility in Saskatoon will produce key rare-earth materials, including neodymium-praseodymium alloys, along with dysprosium and terbium oxides. These elements enhance the strength and heat resistance of high-performance permanent magnets.

“What REAlloys will be buying from SRC will be both the bulk NdPr and the smaller but highly valuable quantities of dysprosium and terbium oxides,” Crabtree said.

Those materials will then move through REAlloys’ metallization and alloying processes before entering magnet manufacturing for use across defense systems, renewable energy equipment, robotics and advanced industrial machinery.

The company is also planning a large-scale NdFeB magnet manufacturing facility in the United States capable of producing roughly 3,000 tons annually in its initial phase and scaling to as much as 10,000 tons per year.

If it achieves that level of output, the facility could supply magnets for roughly 1.5 to 2 million electric vehicles each year, along with thousands of wind turbines and large volumes of industrial motors, robotics systems and medical equipment.

This potential shift in the rare-earth supply chain also has major implications for U.S. defense contractors. Companies such as General Dynamics (NYSE: GD), Honeywell (NASDAQ: HON), and L3Harris Technologies (NYSE: LHX) depend on a reliable domestic source of high-performance magnets for platforms ranging from Patriot missiles to advanced radar systems. By establishing a fully allied supply chain with REalloys and SRC, the defense industrial base could mitigate the risks posed by Chinese supply concentration and align production timelines with critical procurement schedules

By combining upstream resource partnerships, Canadian rare-earth processing and U.S. metallization and manufacturing, the REAlloys-SRC platform aims to establish a fully allied rare-earth supply chain.

If the buildout proceeds as planned, it will represent one of the largest non-Asian rare-earth magnet production hubs in the world.

And it will come online just as the United States begins enforcing new procurement rules designed to remove Chinese rare earth materials from the defense supply chain.

“Rare-earth projects outside China today often rely, directly or indirectly, on Chinese inputs, including process technology, investment capital, and the procurement of key equipment, systems, or consumables. Even many ‘non-Chinese’ producers remain exposed to China somewhere in their value chain, REalloys’ chief technical officer, Andy Sherman, told Oilprice.com in an interview.

“REalloys’ strategy is to remove this nexus entirely, because any reliance on China creates strategic vulnerability and leaves supply chains open to geopolitical influence. To be even 1% reliant on China is, in practical terms, to be 100% exposed.”

By. Josh Owens


AG

China pulls silver from global markets to meet surging demand

Stock image.

China’s ravenous appetite for silver lifted overseas purchases to an eight-year high at the start of 2026, as importers fed a surge in industrial and investment demand.

The world’s biggest buyer pulled in over 790 tons in the first two months, including nearly 470 tons in February, the highest ever for that month, according to Chinese customs data on Friday. Strong demand has pushed local prices well above international benchmarks, whittling down already-low exchange stockpiles and hoovering up metal from abroad.

Silver prices have never had such a volatile start to a year, soaring about 70% on a wave of speculative buying from China and elsewhere, before abruptly giving up their gains at the end of January. The strong import figures suggest physical consumption in China has been sustained despite shifts in trading flows.

Demand has come from both retail investors piling into silver bars, an alternative to increasingly pricey gold, and solar manufacturers front-loading production ahead of the removal of export tax rebates on April 1. The solar industry consumes about a fifth of annual supply, and is overwhelmingly located in China.

Demand for physical bars is very strong, and solar cell manufacturers “are going gangbusters,” said Rhona O’Connell, head of market analysis for EMEA and Asia at StoneX Group Inc. “At the same time, inventories in Chinese exchanges have been falling lower and lower, which has its own psychological effect.”

Much of the metal has flowed through Hong Kong, a gateway for precious metals headed to the mainland, as traders sought to profit from an attractive arbitrage opportunity. In the first two months, prices in the territory for the large silver bars traded by banks have attracted a premium of as much as $8 an ounce, when they usually trade at a discount to the benchmark in London, said Stanley Cheung, managing director of AC Precious Metals Refinery Ltd.

China’s lofty imports have yet to disrupt the London market, thanks to a record inflow of silver into the global trading hub following an historic squeeze last year. Less silver held in exchange-traded funds around the world, which have dropped this year by more than 1,900 tons, has also freed up more metal.

“The London market is behaving very well despite this strong demand for silver in China,” said Daniel Ghali, senior commodity strategist at TD Securities Inc. “For the first time in more than a year, the market can face this scale of demand without resulting in significant price dislocations or disruptions.”

Looser supply in London has allowed the cost of borrowing silver to ease, although longer-dated leases are still more expensive, due to the volatility in prices and as a precaution against another squeeze.

Visible inventories tracked by major exchanges from New York to Shanghai are either falling or sitting well below their long-term averages, suggesting metal remains scarce in the broader system. And the market has reason to be worried.

“China is one of the world’s most significant markets for both industrial consumption and silver investment,” said Simone Knobloch, chief operating officer of major Swiss refinery Valcambi SA. “The feedback we receive from the market indicates strong interest in physical products.”

The developing appetite for silver as a cheaper replacement for gold has made investment bars — ranging from 20 grams to one kilogram — common in the Shuibei market in Shenzhen, the center of China’s retail bullion trade.

“Silver has been a hit among retail investors and sellers,” said Song Jiangzhen, a researcher at Guangdong Southern Gold Market Academy.

He said there’s been a change in the mindset of consumers, who increasingly view gold as inaccessible. The white metal is currently trading at about $70 an ounce, while gold has fluctuated around $5,000 an ounce this year after a barnstorming rally.

Bullion dealers welcome the shift, said Song. Cheaper bars mean less pressure on financing. Many dealers have increased their silver stockpiles, tripling total inventory in Shuibei to around 300 tons in recent months, according to his estimate.

For now, though, markets are breathing a little easier. The Chinese premium on silver has softened and solar demand has slowed as the rebate deadline nears, said Yuan Zheng, an analyst at the Shanghai-based trading arm of Henan Jinli Gold and Lead Group Co. “We’ve moved into a situation of more supply than demand in the near term.”

That’s showing up in Shenzhen, where the silver bars on display are finding fewer takers. But it’s unlikely to be the end of the story.

“All it takes is just another surge in prices,” said Song. “Retail investors tend to follow rising trends rather than buy dips.”

(By Yihui Xie and Jack Ryan)