Wednesday, March 11, 2026

 

Second "Big Beautiful" Offshore Lease Sale Draws Fewer Big Spenders

Drillship
iStock / LandBySea

Published Mar 11, 2026 4:17 PM by The Maritime Executive


The U.S. Department of the Interior has completed the second offshore oil and gas auction of its revised lease plan, and the outcome was quieter this time. The auction generated $47 million in high bids for a total of 140,000 acres in 25 blocks, down from the previous auction's total of $280 million. A total of about 80 million acres were up for auction, but the majority received no bids. 

13 companies participated in bidding, down from 30 in the previous round. 

Deepwater oil projects are multi-year investments with high barriers to entry and extensive preparatory requirements, from surveys through engineering through final investment decision and drilling, with production at the far end of a long development cycle. Oil prices are currently high, driven by geopolitical events, but decisionmaking for offshore projects depends on long-term predictions on average prices and reservoir potential rather than near-term swings in the futures market. 

“Today’s lease sale reflects President Trump’s continued focus on strengthening America’s energy security while supporting jobs and economic growth across the Gulf of America,” said Secretary of the Interior Doug Burgum. “By advancing responsible offshore development, we’re ensuring that the United States remains a global energy leader and that American families benefit from reliable, affordable energy for years to come.”

Environmental advocates responded by criticizing the administration for lack of public participation in the lease schedule process, and for allegedly skimping on analytical work to determine impacts on wildlife. NGO Earthjustice called attention to one of the most ambitious offshore megaprojects of recent years, BP's Kaskida, a high-pressure, high-temperature well to be drilled using new 20,000-PSI technology. Reservoirs of this type have not yet been tapped, and the NGO pointed to the potential spill risks attending higher pressures and deeper waters. BOEM is set to announce its decision on BP's drilling plan for Kishida soon. 

 

U.S. Strikes Suspected Drug Boat 

 FISHING BOAT in Eastern Pacific, Killing Six

A small craft burns after being hit by a missile strike in the Eastern Pacific (Southern Command)
A small craft burns after being hit by a missile strike in the Eastern Pacific (Southern Command)

Published Mar 9, 2026 8:55 PM by The Maritime Executive

 

U.S. Southern Command has conducted another strike on a suspected smuggling boat in the Eastern Pacific, destroying the vessel and killing six male suspects, the command announced Sunday. 

The strike was the 45th lethal attack on a suspected drug smuggling boat since September. To date, the campaign has resulted in at least 157 fatalities, according to the New York Times, plus an unknown quantity of drugs destroyed. The Trump administration claims that the strikes (and a ramp-up in nonlethal Coast Guard interdictions) have increased the price of cocaine, reversing a years-long trend of cheaper and more abundant supplies on U.S. streets. 

The administration has encouraged its Latin American partner nations to step up their own interdiction efforts, and there have been some early results in Mexico, El Salvador and Ecuador. The joint counter-narcotics campaign has been rebranded "Shield of Americas," and is helmed by the departing Secretary of Homeland Security, Kristi Noem. 

"The heart of our agreement is a commitment to using lethal military force to destroy the sinister cartels and terrorist networks," Trump said in a launch ceremony for the new initiative last weekend. "Once and for all, we’ll get rid of them."

The lethal strikes remain controversial: the campaign has raised questions about the legality of killing men who were previously arrested as criminal suspects. The airborne interdictions have been criticized by many legal experts at home and abroad, and may fall under the jurisdiction of the International Criminal Court. The White House and the Pentagon maintain that cocaine importation is a form of violence, and that the strikes are a form of collective self-defense against the drug. 

 

The United States Can’t Deter China Without Allied Shipyards

Senior U.S. Navy officials tour Hyundai Heavy Industries, 2025 (USN file image)
Senior U.S. Navy officials tour Hyundai Heavy Industries, 2025 (USN file image)

Published Mar 10, 2026 8:48 PM by CIMSEC

 

[By Patrick M. Cronin and David Glick]

Industrial endurance and allied integration are indispensable to making deterrence-by-denial against China credible under the 2026 National Defense Strategy. The Trump administration’s Maritime Action Plan rightly elevates cooperation with South Korea and Japan. But viewing these allies as a temporary bridge to U.S. revitalization understates the scale and longevity of the China challenge. What is needed is a fully integrated, long-term allied shipbuilding ecosystem, that can generate surge capacity, distributed production, and wartime repair across the Indo-Pacific. Without that durable industrial architecture, denial remains declaratory rather than operational. This essay makes that case.

If a war erupts over Taiwan, what will sink the U.S. Navy first: Chinese missiles or American shipyards? Analysts have catalogued the widening gap between China’s defense industrial base and America’s. Shipbuilding sits at the center of that imbalance. What began the decade as a pacing challenge has become a structural industrial advantage for Beijing. In the Indo-Pacific, deterrence now depends less on the number of hulls afloat than on the ability to replace, repair, and regenerate them under fire. On that measure of industrial endurance, the United States is dangerously behind. 

The U.S. fleet lacks the scale, resilience, and regenerative capacity to compete with China’s expanding navy and the industrial base behind it. Even with higher funding and domestic reform, the United States alone cannot build the fleet required to match–let alone “overmatch”–China’s output. The U.S. Navy fleet currently stands at 290 ships compared to China’s 331. That gap, by itself, is not decisive. But Beijing can draw on a vast coast guard, merchant marine, and dual-use civilian fleet that allows Beijing to surge up to 5,500 hulls for support, refueling, and transport. The United States has roughly 80 comparable auxiliary and sealift vessels. This disparity reflects more than fleet size; it exposes structural constraints in American industrial capacity.

America’s defense industrial base, and shipbuilding in particular, has become structurally brittle after the collapse of commercial shipbuilding, decades of consolidation and specialization, workforce attrition, and highly inconsistent demand signals. Today, a remarkable degree of U.S. Navy major combatants are constructed at a handful of specialized yards run by two defense juggernauts: Huntington Ingalls Industries and General Dynamics.

These structural limitations matter because deterrence against Beijing now requires maritime power at a level the U.S. industrial base cannot produce independently. Attempts at domestic reform including President Trump’s ambition to build a “Golden Fleet” reflect a correct diagnosis of the problem, and executing the Maritime Action Plan may be key to reviving America’s claim to be a maritime nation. But execution is far from guaranteed. Previous U.S. efforts to slow China’s seapower ascendancy, including during Trump’s first term, have focused on massive increases in defense spending, radical policy changes, or both and many of these plans have stalled out.

As one of America’s top naval analysts, Ronald O’Rourke, argues, U.S. shipbuilding shortfalls reflect a systemic, self-reinforcing failure in which unaffordable plans, industrial limits, workforce bottlenecks, and flawed acquisition processes have collectively undermined capacity. The bottom line is that no amount of additional spending on ships or marginal policy reform within the United States alone can resolve the problem, especially as China’s larger, dual-use shipbuilding ecosystem turns American naval production capacity into a strategic liability.

“America First” rightly underscores the imperative to rebuild U.S. industrial capability, including its shipbuilding. But America alone, or cooperation limited to full onshoring, is insufficient. Unless Washington fully leverages the capabilities of allied seapowers, China’s maritime edge will grow. As Brent Sadler notes in Naval Power in Action, China has managed to “out-Mahan” the United States through an “aggressive and focused prioritization of a powerful civil-military national maritime sector.” His proposed remedy of a G-7-like consortium of maritime nations to meet the challenge is sound, but the foundational starting point must be to better harness the collective shipbuilding capabilities of the United States, South Korea, and Japan.

Although President Trump may instinctively support integrating allied shipbuilding capacity, current policy concentrates on comprehensive onshoring. The Maritime Action Plan, for all its strengths, largely confines allies to providing foreign direct investment in U.S. shipyards and maritime infrastructure. That contribution is important but insufficient.

A politically sustainable solution requires durable mutual benefit. Deterring China at scale will demand the systematic integration of allied shipbuilding capacity, especially from South Korea and Japan, into U.S. naval force planning. Capital that flows into American docks from threats of tariffs and placing conditionality on security alliances will undermine the alliance bonds on which our strategy depends. Without deep industrial cooperation, the United States will lack the industrial and thus operational resilience needed for credible Indo-Pacific deterrence. Absent complementary reforms, such as targeted modifications to the Jones Act and related statutes that tether shipbuilding exclusively to domestic yards, Washington will struggle to erect a shipbuilding defense industrial base that is both politically acceptable at home and economically sustainable for South Korea and Japan.

But let us start by briefly considering the strategic objective of deterrence by denial of China, because that is at the heart of calls for reviving shipbuilding capacity in the first place.

The Deterrence Challenge: Responding to Pressure with Endurance

The Trump administration’s National Security Strategy identifies China’s bid for dominance within and beyond the First Island Chain as a direct challenge to regional stability, while the National Defense Strategy prioritizes a defense-by-denial approach anchored along that same geography. This framework highlights that successful deterrence must operate not only against invasion, but across the subtler and more pervasive forms of coercion that Beijing prefers. Xi Jinping appears to recognize that a forcible seizure of Taiwan would carry extraordinary risks, yet his purging of senior generals heightens the danger of miscalculation and reinforces the need for full-spectrum deterrence.

A central danger is that Beijing seeks to exhaust Taiwan psychologically, economically, and militarily rather than gamble on an all-out invasion. China commands a broad menu of coercive options, ranging from gray-zone harassment and maritime quarantine to incremental blockade or amphibious assault, all designed to impose cumulative pressure while exploiting gaps in allied endurance and logistics rather than inducing a single decisive battle. For example, China has recently rehearsed navigating some 1,400 fishing vessels to form a 200-mile-long sea barrier that could support a blockade of Taiwan. This, alongside other graduated options, allows Beijing to vary pace and intensity, steadily degrading Taiwan’s resilience while testing allied political will.

China’s sprawling military-industrial complex further broadens its operational choices. The People’s Liberation Army (PLA) can field large quantities of long-range anti-ship missiles, submarines, and other systems designed to deny U.S. forces freedom of action at increasing distances. Operating close to home, Chinese forces benefit from interior lines of communication, proximate shipyards, and rapid repair and replacement capacity. These advantages allow the PLA to absorb losses and continue operations in ways that impose disproportionate strains on allied forces. In this context, deterrence erodes not through dramatic battlefield defeat, but through persistent pressure that gradually constrains Taiwan’s strategic breathing room.

China’s approach is reinforced by Xi’s “Overall National Security Outlook” and military-civil fusion, which together harness military, economic, technological, and political instruments into an integrated system for applying sustained pressure. The PLA Navy has increasingly revealed strategies of exhaustion, strangulation, and decapitation, all of which hinge on wearing down an opponent’s ability to regenerate combat power. These concepts can only be countered by adversaries whose own industrial and logistical systems can absorb shocks, reconstitute forces, and continue operating under demanding wartime conditions.

The human reality of protracted conflict underscores this requirement. Carl von Clausewitz reminded strategists that war is a “dangerous business” defined by fear, friction, and the grinding down of human will. E. B. Sledge’s graphic portrait of amphibious warfare at Peleliu and Okinawa captures how terror and attrition consume both personnel and equipment. Deterrence, therefore, fails not only when forces are defeated in battle, but when political will, logistics networks, and industrial capacity collapse under constant pressure. Industrial sustainment is not an afterthought but the oft-neglected backbone of strategic endurance.

History underscores this lesson. The high watermark of American shipbuilding came in World War II, when the rapid production of Essex-class carriers transformed U.S. naval power and reshaped the global maritime balance. This capacity for rapid regeneration was a strategic capability in its own right, enabling the United States to outlast a determined adversary in a prolonged contest of endurance.

The same logic applies today. Against a peer competitor prepared for protracted conflict, deterrence requires a fleet designed not only for initial advantage but for the ability to fight, absorb blows, and regenerate combat power over time. This demands a large, balanced, and modern force supported by industrial capacity for rapid maintenance, repair, and replacement. Such depth must underpin a “hedge force” emphasizing quantity, distribution, and survivability across manned and unmanned platforms, and avoiding over-reliance on a small number of exquisite, vulnerable assets.

Ultimately, regeneration becomes a deterrent mechanism. A force that can endure is a force that can deny, dissuade, and defeat an opponent.

United States Constraints

The U.S. Navy’s strengths are not well matched to the challenges of a conflict with China. Although American platforms may possess momentarily superior individual capability, a fight in the South China Sea would unfold inside a dense Chinese A2/AD envelope, sustained by large inventories of land-based anti-ship missiles. In a missile-saturated battlespace, deterrence cannot rest on qualitative superiority alone. It requires layered capability, what the Hudson Institute defense team has conceptualized as “edge,” “pulsed,” and “core” forces, all supported by critical enablers. Industrial endurance is indispensable to field such layers while retaining the capacity to absorb and regenerate losses. Combat experience and alliance exercises enhance readiness, but qualitative advantages cannot offset numerical and industrial imbalance in a protracted war fought in China’s near seas.

Countering Beijing’s coercive strategy therefore demands endurance as much as lethality. Taiwan must demonstrate the political will, societal resilience, and frontline resistance to withstand sustained pressure. The United States and Japan, supported by South Korea as a rear-area sustainment, repair, and replacement hub, must present a unified posture that undercuts Chinese confidence across the spectrum of coercion. Any visible alliance seams will be exploited, perhaps as suggested by a recent U.S.-China air encounter in the Yellow or West Sea.

A credible deterrence-by-denial strategy integrates these elements: resilient frontline forces at the edge; long-range strike forces that can be surged or “pulsed” into theater; sufficient “core” forces to sustain operations over time; and the enabling architecture of ISR, logistics, command and control, and industrial capacity, that binds them together. Without this layered military and industrial integration, the United States military will display significant operational gaps and deterrence in the Indo-Pacific will remain vulnerable.

The United States currently lacks the industrial foundation required to meet this challenge. While the PLA Navy has been built primarily for high-intensity regional conflict, much of the U.S. fleet reflects decades of emphasis on power projection and presence missions in permissive environments. At the same time, as China’s shipbuilding capacity has swelled, the U.S. Navy has struggled merely to sustain a large and ready fleet to meet its global commitments.

The United States has particularly lagged behind China in the construction of platforms suited to navigate the South China Sea’s littoral and archipelagic geography. Fast, maneuverable frigates are likely to be central to distributed operations in the Indo-Pacific. China can now launch multiple modern frigates annually, with construction timelines measured in months. By contrast, the United States’ Constellation-class frigate program has yet to deliver a single operational hull after nearly a decade of effort amid design instability and cascading delays. At the same time, the United States has been upgrading cutters designed for the Coast Guard as stopgap naval vessels, despite their lack of vertical launch systems, even as China has shifted naval platforms into its formidable coast guard.

These and other difficulties stem from persistent structural weaknesses in domestic shipbuilding and maintenance infrastructure, as suggested at the outset of this essay. Consolidation has reduced competition and flexibility. Skilled labor shortages constrain manufacturing. Inconsistent procurement planning disrupts both workers’ lives and capital investment. Regulatory red tape slows production and increases cost. New construction routinely runs late and over budget, while maintenance backlogs keep operational ships tied to the pier. Industrial shortcomings sap U.S. naval credibility.

Civilian and military leaders alike acknowledge the shipbuilding gap with China. President Trump’s “Make Shipbuilding Great Again” initiative, calls for a Golden Fleet, and proposal for defense spending approaching $1.5 trillion, all of which preceded the Maritime Action Plan of February 2026, underscore growing recognition of the problem. These gestures matter, but slogans and topline numbers do not build ships. Reviving U.S. shipbuilding will require sustained political discipline, industrial reform, workforce development, and years of execution. For example, the idea of 100 maritime prosperity zones sounds appealing, but risks overreach without delivering serious production. None of this is guaranteed. Failure would leave the United States attempting to deter a maritime peer with an industrial base unfit for protracted competition.

The reality is that U.S. domestic shipbuilding capacity cannot expand fast enough to match Chinese production rates within the timeframe deterrence demands. Building new shipyards or dramatically expanding existing ones requires time, secure supply chains, and skilled labor that the United States currently lacks. The Trump administration has recognized this constraint and begun to pursue serious allied cooperation. Agreements with Australia, Japan, and South Korea are steps in the right direction, but they remain insufficient. Incremental progress will not produce the fleet needed to compete with China.

Allied Shipbuilding Capacity

Integrating allied industrial capacity into U.S. naval force planning offers several advantages.

First, allied shipyards represent an immediate force multiplier by bolstering collective shipbuilding. South Korea and Japan possess advanced shipbuilding industries with available capacity, skilled workforces, and resilient supply chains. Leveraging these yards would allow the United States to accelerate production without waiting years for domestic capacity to mature. In key areas such as automated manufacturing and AI-enabled shipbuilding, allied firms already lead global best practices.

Second, forward-deployed repair and maintenance capacity in allied countries would provide crucial operational benefits during a Taiwan or South China Sea contingency. Damaged ships could reach allied yards in days rather than weeks, preserving combat power and reducing exposure during trans-Pacific transits. This distributed sustainment architecture materially enhances fleet readiness and resilience.

Third, allied cooperation can modernize the combined naval industrial base. Different engineering traditions and production methods can complement U.S. designs and spur innovation. Key U.S. allies remain leaders in advanced manufacturing and high-tech shipbuilding. Collaborative development will spread research and development costs while expanding the menu of available platforms, particularly for modular and unmanned systems.

Fourth, integrated allied production strengthens deterrence by signaling coalition resolve. When allies invest directly in building U.S. naval power, they demonstrate commitment to collective defense and complicate Chinese strategic calculations by expanding the scale and durability of any potential response.

The accompanying graphic (below) demonstrates not only scale but trajectory. While U.S. naval tonnage has remained stagnant over the last 15 years, China’s has more than doubled. South Korea and Japan’s rates of growth make it clear that their shipbuilding ecosystems have remained dynamic, making them key partners in an American shipbuilding resurgence.

South Korea

South Korea hosts some of the world’s most capable and efficient shipyards and is second only to China. Firms such as Hanwha Ocean, HD Hyundai Heavy Industries, and Samsung Heavy Industries routinely deliver complex naval vessels at lower costs and faster timelines than U.S. yards. Their success rests on a comprehensive industrial ecosystem encompassing regional steel production, automation, lifecycle sustainment, and a deep pool of trained shipbuilding engineers.

Korea’s advantage is not only in cost and speed, but also in their advanced technical shipbuilding ecosystem. Seoul’s leading yards operate cutting-edge digitally integrated production systems that use 3D modeling and advanced simulation tools to improve workflow and enhance efficiency. Korea is prioritizing developing their technological advantage and government officials have pledged to spend over 320 billion won ($240 million) on artificial intelligence driven shipbuilding, a 23% increase from the previous year.

Cooperation is already expanding. Shipbuilding is a core element of South Korea’s strategic investment in the United States. Hanwha Ocean is investing heavily in its Philadelphia shipyard and exploring additional U.S. facilities, even as it pursues contracts with Canada that might help strengthen Hanwha’s massive Geoje shipyard that produces about 45 commercial and naval ships a year. Seoul’s decision to develop a nuclear-powered submarine represents a political breakthrough made politically conceivable by signals of greater U.S. flexibility on nuclear cooperation; with sustained U.S. support and a willingness to allow submarine production in South Korea, the SSN could deepen alliance industrial integration while advancing shared maritime capabilities.

Strategic alignment reinforces the case for cooperation. Both Washington and Seoul view China’s military modernization with concern and share an interest in stability in the Taiwan Strait. South Korea’s geography and industrial capacity make it a pivotal partner in any strategy to expand U.S. naval power, particularly given the strategic aim of defending the First Island Chain.

Japan

Japan, the world’s third-largest shipbuilder, offers complementary strengths. While its shipyards operate at a smaller scale than South Korea, they excel in precision manufacturing and systems integration. Mitsubishi Heavy Industries leads a group of seven major shipbuilders in Japan. Mitsubishi Shipbuilding was created in 2018 to bring cutting-edge technology and a new business model to building a wide variety of ships. Its shipyard at Nagasaki, founded in 1857 by the Tokugawa Shogunate, will build the first three Mogami-class frigates for Australia.  The Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force operates sophisticated warships incorporating advanced sensors, propulsion, and weapons, and Japanese yards have proven adept at integrating complex systems to exacting standards.

Cooperation has moved from concept to execution. U.S. naval vessels have already undergone maintenance in Japanese yards, establishing technical interoperability and operational trust. Agreements reached in late 2024, reaffirmed and substantially enlarged by President Trump and Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, outline frameworks for expanded joint shipbuilding capabilities and potential co-production.

Japan’s strategic incentives are strong. Chinese military activity near Japanese territory has intensified, prompting Tokyo to accelerate defense spending and once again revise and update key national security documents. This political commitment provides a durable foundation for long-term industrial partnership. Prime Minister Takaichi’s landslide LDP victory in the lower house enhances Tokyo’s determination to strengthen alliance cooperation in general and defense industrial cooperation in particular.

Other Regional Partners

Other Indo-Pacific allies can provide vital supporting capacity. Australia’s participation in AUKUS (the Australia, UK, U.S. defense partnership) demonstrates allied willingness to make substantial, generational investments. Canberra’s pledge to invest $3 billion in U.S. submarine shipyards is among the most concrete steps toward revitalizing American undersea production capacity, and Australian yards may eventually contribute more broadly.

Southeast Asian allies and partners also matter. The Philippines, as a treaty ally and frontline state facing persistent Chinese coercion, is also ranked among the world’s leading shipbuilding nations by commercial gross tonnage. Thus, Manila can contribute beyond providing critical access through implementation of the Enhanced Defense Cooperation Agreement. Expanded development of Subic Bay could support forward maintenance and overhaul, especially as Manila grows its naval and coast guard forces. Korean investment has helped reopen the long-dormant Subic Bay shipyard, offering a potential hub for additional allied maintenance and repair. Japan is another critical source of maritime support and its acquisition and cross-servicing agreement with the Philippines thickens the web of cooperation among America’s key maritime allies.  

Together, these initiatives point to the emergence of an allied maritime industrial network across the Indo-Pacific, still uneven but increasingly consequential. While some leading regional analysts argue for formalizing this cooperation into a treaty-based Asian alliance, the more feasible and immediate task is to build the industrial sinews that would give any future alliance real weight in the form of shared production capacity, repair and regeneration capacity, and interchangeable shipbuilding and sustainment ecosystems. Industrial integration is not a substitute for alliance commitments, but it is the foundation that makes alliance commitments credible in crisis and resilient over time.

Current Partnerships and Their Limits

Existing initiatives underscore both promise and limitation. AUKUS is the most ambitious effort to date, while agreements with South Korea and Japan on repair, maintenance, and potential co-production reflect growing momentum. Yet these efforts remain fragmented and largely ad hoc. Many rely on waivers, pilot programs, or working groups without permanent institutional backing.

Even sanctioned initiatives face friction. The Korean-operated Philadelphia shipyard has encountered regulatory and workforce hurdles, illustrating the difficulty of scaling cooperation under current rules. Execution risk remains substantial. Regulatory friction, workforce constraints, and shifting political priorities on both sides of the Pacific could delay or derail even well-intentioned initiatives. Allies contemplating major capital investments remain uncertain whether U.S. policy will endure across administrations or whether cooperation will move beyond pilot programs and waivers. These risks do not weaken the case for allied shipbuilding integration; they strengthen it. Without early institutionalization, deterrence will rest on assumptions about capacity that may never materialize.

Areas for Cooperation: Destroyers

A U.S. fleet capable of countering China will require a strong destroyer fleet. Destroyers offer exceptional operational versatility through their anti-air, anti-ship, and anti-submarine capabilities. In describing the hedge force needed to confront China, Bryan Clark identifies the destroyer as a central element of the force mix because of its role in air and missile defense and in protecting other ships. As China expands its missile arsenals and extends their range, the United States must continue to build and expand its destroyer program to keep pace.

The Arleigh Burke-class destroyer (DDG 51), first commissioned in the early 1990s, remains the vital pillar of the U.S. surface fleet.  The United States currently has 74 of these destroyers in service, with 23 more hulls in the planning pipeline. Yet frequent cost overruns and delays make relying on this program alone a precarious bet. The ship has been repeatedly updated to meet changing needs, but these modifications have been imposed on a deteriorating industrial base. The result has led the Congressional Budget Office to conclude that average construction delays for the ship class have worsened significantly in recent years, with new ships now taking more than eight years to build. Meanwhile, China reportedly takes roughly two years to build its 52D destroyer and approximately three years for its more advanced Type 055.

While destroyers are crucial in a conflict against China, Beijing has more capacity to build these ships, and its advantage is only increasing. South Korea, however, is one of the world’s leading builder of destroyers. The Korean Jeongjo the Great-class destroyer is approximately one-quarter larger than the Arleigh Burke-class. The Korean destroyer also features a mix of U.S. and Korean systems on board which allow it to fire both long- and short-range missiles. Most impressive is the speed and cost with which South Korea has been able to build this ship. The destroyer was built in about three years. Secretary of the Navy John Phelan, noting the quick timeline, also observed that Korean shipyards can build this class at roughly a third of the cost of a comparable U.S. destroyer, attributing this performance to yard efficiency, workforce skill, and limited regulatory friction.

South Korea is thus a world leader in a military technology that the United States urgently needs. Working with Korea to reform U.S. yards, integrate Korean building techniques, expand co-production and licensing, and eventually purchase Korean-designed military technology will be key to developing the destroyer fleet that the United States requires.

Areas for Cooperation: Advanced Technologies

Another common criticism of U.S. shipbuilding is that the industry does not make sufficient use of advanced technologies to support the shipbuilding process. A report by the GAO found that naval shipyards have been slow to adopt digital modeling, planning tools, and other advanced technologies that can speed construction and reduce delays. Additionally, outdated equipment and reliance on labor-intensive processes rather than automation reduce U.S. efficiency. While there is a legitimate balance between preserving jobs and adopting new technology, both suffer if strategic objectives cannot be delivered on time and at scale.

Policymakers have identified increased automation as essential to improving shipbuilding effectiveness. Palantir Technologies has been working on a $448 million project to integrate AI into naval shipbuilding through the ShipOS initiative, and senior naval leaders have pledged to prioritize automation and digitalization in public and private yards. As the United States continues to develop these capabilities, South Korea and Japan should be treated not merely as investors or licensees, but as core partners.

Both South Korean and Japanese shipyards are renowned for leveraging cutting-edge technologies to improve efficiency. In South Korea, HD Hyundai is building a world-class digital shipyard that uses automation and digital modeling to enhance speed and precision; yards have begun using AI robots to weld, cutting down welding times by one-third in the process. Japanese shipbuilders employ similarly advanced 3D modeling and are investing in laser-arc hybrid welding and other techniques. South Korea and Japan have the tools and expertise to be key collaborators in identifying, developing, and deploying the technologies that will shape the future of naval shipbuilding.

As the war in Ukraine has shown, Soviet-era weapon systems and battle plans struggle to hold up in modern warfare shaped by cutting-edge technology, including AI-enabled systems and increasingly advanced requirements for speed, precision, and accuracy. In several of these areas, China faces limitations, while Korea and Japan possess notable strengths. For instance, China’s submarines have long faced criticism for acoustic noise. Meanwhile, Korean yards are building some of the most advanced conventional submarines, setting high standards for stealth and effectiveness. Working with allies to continue pushing the frontier of military technology is a valuable way to achieve economies of scale while leveraging some of the world’s most capable technical talent.

Naval shipbuilding integration would not be limited to destroyers or technology sharing. A U.S.-South Korean nuclear-powered submarine could ultimately be joined by Japan, too. Another project with lower hurdles would be an “Asian corvette” produced by the United States, Japan, and South Korea, with the aim of exporting the VLS-equipped, fast-attack vessel to help regional partners and ASEAN navies facing Chinese maritime coercion.

Barriers to Cooperation

Despite the potential for cooperation, two constraints loom largest. First, U.S. ambitions remain too narrow. Outside AUKUS, cooperation focuses mainly on maintenance, with limited progress on new construction, technology co-development, or integrated force planning. Second, legal and regulatory barriers deter sustained partnership.

The U.S. defense establishment lacks a single, empowered senior official responsible for international defense industrial cooperation. The 2018 reorganization of acquisition leadership, while intended to sharpen innovation and procurement, had the effect of diffusing authority across multiple offices. Allies were left without a clear counterpart for industrial coordination.

Even as South Korea, Japan, Australia, and other partners increase investment in U.S. and allied dual-use and defense industrial capacity, cooperation remains managed through existing channels within the Office of the Under Secretary of Defense/War for Acquisition and Sustainment. These mechanisms are functional but insufficiently empowered for the scale and strategic importance of emerging allied industrial integration. Expanding cooperation requires commensurate authority.

The Defense Innovation Board’s proposal to establish an Undersecretary of Defense for International Industrial Cooperation therefore merits urgent consideration. Shipbuilding may not be strategy, but a maritime strategy without a fleet will not sail. 

Statutory constraints–including the Jones Act and the Byrnes-Tollefson Amendment, which restrict foreign-built ships in U.S. domestic trade, and the International Traffic in Arms Regulations, which govern technology transfer–serve legitimate purposes but significantly hamper cooperation on hull construction, systems integration, and design data sharing. Case-by-case waivers, such as those granted under AUKUS, may suffice in the short-term, but they also create uncertainty and administrative burden that can hinder long-term success. Recent legislative proposals, including the SHIPS for America Act and the Ensuring Naval Readiness Act, offer partial relief and deserve prompt consideration.

Brent Sadler’s recommendations in Naval Power in Action rightly emphasize that restoring American sea power requires more than mere fleet modernization. He underscores the need to rebuild U.S. merchant shipping and shipyard capacity, while advancing a maritime alliance able to integrate industrial regeneration as deliberately as operational planning. This logic points toward a more comprehensive solution: establishing a “trusted shipbuilding partner” framework with allies such as South Korea and Japan, whose advanced shipyards, skilled workforces, and shared security standards make them natural anchors for allied naval production and sustainment. By streamlining contracting, enabling secure technology transfer, and aligning long-term production planning, such a framework would reduce friction, accelerate fleet regeneration, and transform allied shipbuilding capacity into a standing component of deterrence rather than an ad hoc supplement in crisis.

Conclusion

The United States faces a narrowing strategic choice. One path is to attempt to outbuild China domestically, but trends suggest that approach will fail. China’s shipbuilding dominance is the product of decades of focused policy and massive state-led investment. The United States cannot replicate that achievement on its own within the timeframe effective deterrence demands.

The alternative is to integrate allied shipbuilding more fully into American maritime power. The combined industrial capacity of the United States, South Korea, Japan, and other capable allies can match Chinese output while producing a force that is more resilient and adaptive over time.

Achieving this will require institutional reform, legal change, and sustained political commitment. Without such integration, however, the United States risks entering the 2030s with insufficient naval power to deter Chinese aggression, inviting the very conflict it seeks to prevent. With systematic allied integration, the United States can build the fleet required to maintain stability across the Indo-Pacific while strengthening alliances that are effective rather than entangling.

This is not about outsourcing responsibility. It is about aligning industrial reality with strategic necessity. Successful military alliances rest on shared goals, shared burdens, and shared decision-making. The purpose of integrated allied shipbuilding is not cooperation for its own sake, but the preservation of U.S. influence and therefore peace in the world’s most consequential region, what Nicholas Spykman famously described as the “Asiatic Mediterranean.”

A stronger homegrown U.S. shipbuilding and maritime industry remains essential. But domestic revitalization and allied integration are not alternatives; they are mutually reinforcing. A revitalized U.S. industrial base working closely with selected, capable, and willing maritime allies is indispensable to a strategy of deterrence along the First Island Chain. Understood in this light, allied shipbuilding is not optional. It is imperative.


Dr. Patrick M. Cronin is Asia-Pacific Security Chair at the Hudson Institute and a Scholar in Residence at Carnegie Mellon University’s Institute for Strategy and Technology (CMIST), where David Glick is a student.

This article appears courtesy of CIMSEC and may be found in its original form here

The opinions expressed herein are the author's and not necessarily those of The Maritime Executive.

 

EU Plans for Ship Scrapping Reignite Debate Over India's HKC Standards

NGO Shipbreaking Platform
File image courtesy NGO Shipbreaking Platform

Published Mar 9, 2026 10:17 PM by The Maritime Executive

 

A declaration by the European Union of plans to cooperate with India in ship recycling has ignited controversy over the country’s ability to dismantle end-of-life vessels in a sustainable manner.

On March 4, the European Commission published its comprehensive Industrial Maritime Strategy, which sets out steps to reinforce the EU’s industrial sovereignty, trade and economic security. The strategy suggests that the EU intends to work with trading partners with ship-recycling capacity, starting with India.

The EU’s plans to work with India in ship recycling has ignited debate on the status of the country’s recycling yards. On one side is GMS, the world’s largest cash buyer of ships for recycling, which has pointed out that the EU continues to exclude Indian beach-based ship recycling facilities from the EU Ship Recycling Regulation (EU SRR) approval list. According to GMS, the EU has a politically-motivated bias against Indian yards, which universally practice beaching for the purpose of demolition. Over 110 Indian yards hold Hong Kong Convention (HKC) Statements of Compliance issued by IACS member classification societies, but none are included in the EU SRR list.

“Applying a blanket geographic exclusion regardless of actual yard compliance is not regulatory prudence. It is regulatory inertia,” said Kiran Thorat, Trader, GMS. Thorat says that Indian yards have been investing heavily, retraining thousands of workers, rebuilding infrastructure and achieving one of the lowest lifecycle carbon footprints, and are surprised that the European Commission continues to withhold approval.

While GMS now wants the Commission to approve Indian yards and recognize the HKC as the primary global ship recycling framework, the NGO Shipbreaking Platform wants the EU to maintain its first-world standards for recycling in a safe and environmentally sound manner.

The NGO notes that Indian yards still rely fully on the beaching method, which remains hazardous for workers and the environment. It also points out the treatment of hazardous shipboard materials under the Basel Ban Amendment, which prohibits exports of toxic waste to less-developed countries. 

“EU cooperation with third countries, including India, on ship recycling, must be based on the enforcement of strict social, occupational health and environmental standards as applied in the EU, clearly banning harmful practices such as beaching or landing as practiced in South Asia and Turkey respectively,” said Ingvild Jenssen, NGO Shipbreaking Platform Founder and Executive Director.

The controversy over India’s ship recycling industry comes when the EU is staring at a crisis over the dismantling of end-of-life tonnage in the coming years. Despite EU shipping companies owning over 35 percent of the global fleet, only one percent of EU-owned ships are today dismantled by its registered yards. Most of the EU tonnage still ends in South Asia yards, which dismantles 80 percent of global tonnage.

Projections by BIMCO indicate that 15,000 vessels will be eligible for scrapping in the next decade. Industry insiders suggest that the majority of these end-of-life ships will continue to be resold and reflagged before ending up on beaches in India, Bangladesh and Pakistan for dismantling.  

 

COSCO Cancels Container Service at Balboa in Panama

COSCO containership in Panama
COSCO vessel seen in the Panama Canal

Published Mar 11, 2026 6:24 PM by The Maritime Executive

 

China’s state-owned shipping company COSCO Shipping Lines informed customers in a memorandum dated March 10 that it has suspended all services at the Port of Balboa, Panama, at the Pacific terminus of the Panama Canal. No reasoning was given for the suspension, which quickly contributed to speculation that it was another step in China’s retaliation against Panama after the seizure of the port terminal operations from CK Hutchison.

In a brief customer advisory obtained by Panama’s La Prensa newspaper, COSCO writes that it is suspending its services at the Port of Balboa. “There will be no departures or arrivals at the Port of Balboa. Confirmed bookings will be canceled,” it advises.

Import releases will be delivered as normal, reports COSCO. However, it also says that empties must be returned only to the Ports of Manzanillo or Colón Container Terminal; no units will be received in Balboa.

The move comes just weeks after Panama seized the operations from a subsidiary of CK Hutchison and entered into new contracts with Maersk’s APM Terminals and MSC’s Terminal Investment Ltd. (TiL) for the operations at the ports at each terminus of the Panama Canal. APM took over all the operations at Balboa, with Panama reporting that the terminals are back to normal operations. Maersk has a temporary 18-month contract with Panama, which says it will rebid the operations. 

The announcement came a day after China’s Ministry of Transport announced that it had held “talks” with Maersk and MSC in China. It said they were “regarding their international shipping operations.”

CK Hutchison and its operating subsidiary, Panama Ports Company, have threatened various legal actions against both the companies and the government of Panama. It said it will be seeking a minimum of $2 billion in damages in an international arbitration it has filed against Panama. 

When it was first reported that Panama had asked APM to temporarily operate the terminals, CK Hutchison said it had notified A.P. Moller-Maersk that any assumption by APM Terminals of operations of the two terminals without its agreement would cause damages. It said it would result in recourse against APMT.

Chinese officials have criticized Panama, and reports said they were advising other Chinese companies not to invest in the country. It said publicly that the actions against Hutchison raised concerns about investments, and it accused Panama of legal violations in not honoring its contracts.

It is unclear how much volume COSCO handled with Panama. The company did not make it clear if this was a temporary or permanent change, or if it would be changing its operational routes. COSCO Group is ranked as the fourth largest global container carrier with a capacity of over 3.7 million TEU and over 550 containerships. Other divisions are large bulk carriers, as well as a tanker operator and car carriers. 



China Reports it Held “Talks” with Maersk and MSC in Beijing

Cristobal Panama
Speculation is that China might seek revenge against MSC and Maersk for taking over Hutchison's port terminal operations in Panama

Published Mar 10, 2026 10:14 PM by The Maritime Executive

 

China’s Ministry of Transport issued a one-sentence notice reporting it had held “talks” with both Maersk and MSC Mediterranean Shipping Company. While no details were announced, it quickly raised speculation that Chinese officials were reacting to the two companies' assumption of the port terminal operations in Panama after the government annulled CK Hutchison’s concession and seized the operations in Balboa and Cristobal.

In the unusual statement, the Ministry of Transport announced it had “held separate talks with relevant officials from Maersk Group and Mediterranean Shipping Company regarding their international shipping operations.” It said the meeting had taken place on March 9 while offering no further details.

Chinese officials in both Beijing and Hong Kong, where Hutchison is based, have spoken out strongly against the court ruling and Panama’s actions against Hutchison. They have reportedly warned other companies about doing business in Panama while publicly saying it would defend Chinese companies’ rights and legal positions. It contends Panama’s actions raise doubt about investing in the country.

CK Hutchison and its operating company for the two ports, Panama Ports Company, have alleged that the seizure was the completion of a campaign by the government of Panama against the company. They asserted misstatements and distorted facts as the campaign progressed against the Panama Ports Company.

After the Supreme Court’s decision was first announced, Hutchison said it would take legal action and threatened both APM Terminals, the Maersk terminal operator, and any other companies that interfered with its operations. It said it could pursue legal charges and claims for damages against APM if it took over the operations.

Panama decided to split the operations, giving one port to APM and the other to MSC’s Terminal Investment Limited (TiL). Each company was given an 18-month temporary contract, while Panama said it will re-bid the concessions. Further, Panama took control of all the equipment and material at the ports to continue the operations. Panama has reported that both ports were back to full operations in a matter of days.

Last week, Hutchison announced that it had filed grievances against Panama and was seeking talks to resolve the situation. Panama Ports has filed an international arbitration, saying it would seek at least $2 billion in damages while also demanding the return of papers and other information seized by Panama after taking control of the operations.

Speculation is centered on China taking further actions as a form of revenge against the two shipping companies. Reports are raising the possibility that China will launch retaliatory actions against the two companies to punish them for their involvement with Panama. 

Media reports have also highlighted that BlackRock and MSC are believed to be pushing to complete the planned acquisition of CK Hutchison’s international portfolio of terminals. The companies had agreed to the deals a year ago, but they became stuck in the geopolitical issues between the United States and China. Late last year, it was speculated that the negotiations were at an impasse. The new speculation is that the companies were pursuing a move to carve up the portfolio, permitting COSCO to take the lead on ports viewed as critical to China. It is unclear if China’s dissatisfaction over the outcome in Panama has increased the opposition to the sale of the portfolio of terminal operations, even if COSCO could have a leading position.


 

OOCL Giant Loses Boxes Overboard in Northern Pacific

OOCL containership
OOCL, which was delivered in January 2025, is reporting a container loss and shifted stacks during its Pacific crossing (OOCL)

Published Mar 11, 2026 2:34 PM by The Maritime Executive


Orient Overseas Container Line (OOCL) reports that one of its ultra-large container vessels has suffered a significant container incident in the Northern Pacific as it was traveling toward the United States. The OOCL Sunflower, which has a capacity of 16,828 TEU, lost 57 containers overboard with additional damage on the vessel, but the full extent of the incident will not be known until a survey can be completed once the vessel reaches port.

One of the company’s newest containerships, the 165,321 dwt vessel, was the third in the company’s new series of ULCVs delivered at Dalian COSCO KHI Ship Engineering Co. (DACKS) in January 2025. The ship is 367 meters (1,204 feet) in length. It had departed Kaohsiung, Taiwan, in late February after beginning its voyage in China. 

The U.S. Coast Guard notified the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) on March 9, saying the incident happened on March 3 near the southwestern tip of the Aleutian Islands.

The initial assessment is that 57 containers went overboard in heavy seas. Reports indicate that additional containers shifted or were damaged but remained on deck.

“The crew is unable to make a final assessment of the damages due to safety concerns, and intends to perform a full evaluation in port upon arrival to the Port of Long Beach on March 12,” according to the report filed with NOAA.

Starting in January 2026, the International Maritime Organization’s new regulations for mandatory reporting of lost containers entered into force. Ships are required to report the incident to the nearest coastal state as well as their flag state, in this case Hong Kong, and to provide an assessment of damage. They also must alert other nearby ships to the danger.

The OOCL Sunflower is currently nearing California, where the U.S. Coast Guard’s Sector Los Angeles/Long Beach will begin the survey to assess the dangers and damage to the ship or its cargo.

The losses of containers at sea have generally been declining in recent years, according to data from the World Shipping Council. Its report for 2025 said 576 containers were lost in 2024, compared to a running 10-year average of 1,274 containers per year. Ships in 2024 were challenged by heavy weather as they were diverting around Africa. It has been several years since the major incidents in the Northern Pacific, including the ONE Apus in 2020 and several Maersk ships that experienced losses. The industry has been working to improve the prediction of vessel motion and the management of dangerous roll situations. 

 

UK Finds Fault in Planning and Medical Care on Cruise Ship in Severe Storm

Spirit of Discovery cruise ship
The cruise ship lost propulsion when the pods shutdown during a violent storm (Saga Cruises)

Published Mar 11, 2026 5:31 PM by The Maritime Executive


The UK’s Marine Accident Investigation Branch issued its report on a 2023 incident aboard the cruise ship Spirit of Discovery in which many passengers were injured, including one who later died, as the vessel lost propulsion during a violent storm in the Bay of Biscay. The report outlines significant steps that have been taken to address a range of safety issues, while the UK, along with the Norwegian authority, is making recommendations to the IMO and class societies to enhance equipment and instruction manuals.

The Spirit of Discovery is a new cruise ship delivered in 2019 by Meyer Werft to Saga Cruises in the UK. The ship is 58,000 gross tons and 237 meters (777 feet) in length with a capacity of approximately 950 passengers and 500 crew. It uses two podded azimuth drives for propulsion. Saga is a brand focused on older adults, and the ship was operating a two-week cruise to the Canary Islands from the UK with 943 passengers. The youngest passenger was 50 years old, the oldest was 96 years old, and the average was nearly 79 years old. 

The cruise ship lost propulsion during a violent storm in the Bay of Biscay, resulting in injuries to over 100 passengers. The report looks at the decision made to cross the Bay of Biscay despite weather warnings and the problems in the implementation of a mass casualty plan on board.

“A complex sequence of events led to this accident, and we have identified a number of clear lessons around vessel safety, crew decision-making, and medical response,” said Chief Inspector of Marine Accidents, Rob Loder. “I am encouraged by the swift action taken by the vessel’s owner, manager, and manufacturers, but I urge the cruise industry to learn the lessons from this tragic accident.”

The cruise ship company, Saga Cruises, told the BBC it accepts the MAIB report but that it disagrees with some of the conclusions. It notes, as cited in the report, that prompt actions were taken to enhance policies and procedures.

Synopsis of the Incident

The captain and the shore team had become aware of the weather reports and a prediction for heavy weather on October 29, 2023, and began discussing how to adjust the cruise. They decided to cancel the final scheduled port call in the Canary Islands and proceed to A Coruña, Spain, for a call on November 4 to 5 before heading to Portsmouth, UK, believing they would be behind the storm. However, they were later advised that the Spanish port would be closed, and the decision was made that the ship should proceed immediately to the UK, which meant it would have the storm on its port side.

Preparations were made on the ship, including closing public spaces on the upper deck and advising passengers of the expected heavy weather. According to the report, some passengers asked why the ship did not seek shelter in a port to wait out the storm.

The cruise ship entered the Bay of Biscay around 0800 on November 4 and began encountering storm force 10 wind and very rough seas. The ship, by midday, was making approximately 16 knots with westerly winds between force 8 and 9.

At 1230 the cruise ship’s port pod water leakage stop sequence alarm activated, and shortly thereafter, the port pod propeller overspeed alarm activated. The pod went into an automatic shutdown, which included rotating 90 degrees inboard, which greatly limited the ship’s ability to maneuver. At 1236, the starboard pod experienced the same issues and shut down. 

The ship was rolling violently as the captain attempted to regain control. At about 1245 the engineers were able to restart the starboard pod and return the propulsion system to bridge control. The captain was using the bow thruster and single pod in an attempt to stabilize the ship in a hove-to situation. However, the fin stabilizers were automatically set to withdraw when the bow thruster was engaged. It would take until 1308 to restore the port pod at reduced speed, and they were later able to manually override to resume use of the fin stabilizers.

Between 1300 on November 4 and 0420 on November 5, the cruise ship’s pods intermittently overspeed eight more times and shut down. The engineers were generally able to restore the pods in about 10 to 15 minutes.

The weather had deteriorated, with the winds increasing to force 10 and then hurricane force 12 before falling to force 8 early on November 5.

Unfortunately for the passengers, the incident started during meal service in the main dining room on Deck 5. They were advised to remain in their cabins and limit movement, but in total, 115 passengers were injured. The most serious case was an 85-year-old man who was seated in the lounge when his chair tumbled over backwards, and he rolled onto the floor. He complained of neck pain, but there was a delay in getting adequate medical care. He was eventually placed in a neck brace but began to experience paralysis. 

The decision was made that it was too risky to airlift him and the other more seriously injured passengers, and they stayed aboard until the ship docked in the UK late on November 6. The injured man died four days later in a hospital. Seven other passengers were also taken to a hospital in the UK.

Conclusions and Recommendations

MAIB identified some design issues, including the low position of the pod bilge sensor,  which caused the shutdown sequence with only a small amount of water. It also found that the operating instructions for the propulsion system were incorrect and made the officers unaware of the risk of losing propulsion. However, the ship had experienced two separate incidents of overspeed shutdown about eight months earlier.

They also found the decision to cross the Bay of Biscay was in part made due to optimistic reliance on the shipbuilder’s seakeeping and maneuvering decision support poster. MAIB believes the voyage planning did not adequately assess the likely voyage motion and potential effects on elderly passengers. It also says the decision to cross the Bay of Biscay was not effectively challenged by the crew and operational teams on shore.

They also found that the lack of implementation of the mass casualty plan contributed to the medical team becoming overstretched. They also concluded that the crew had not risk-assessed whether the furniture was suitable for heavy weather and noted a lack of handholds in elevator lobbies, which they believe contributed to the injury of passengers.

A broad set of actions has been taken by the vessel’s managers and owners, as well as Siemens Energy Global, which supplied the control system for the propulsion system. Builder Meyer Werft also created additional seakeeping and maneuvering decision information. Lloyd’s Register also placed limits on the class certificates until the overspeed and water leakage issues were investigated and resolved.

Finally, the UK’s Maritime and Coastguard Agency and the Norwegian authority are jointly calling for requirements to include electronic inclinometers, which is also in part a follow-up to an earlier incident with a Viking cruise ship off Norway in a violent storm. They are also making a recommendation that the class societies improve the quality of instruction manuals.

The complete 56-page report is available online for further review.