Finland's people now strongly back joining NATO, poll says, a massive political shift that would enrage Russia

Sinéad Baker
Wed, March 23, 2022, 

Finnish troops on the march near Tolga, Norway, in November 2018.Finnish Defence Forces/Ville Multanen


A majority of people in Finland now support the country joining NATO, a new poll found.


The surge followed Ukraine being invaded by Russia, with which Finland also shares a border.


Russia pre-emptively warned of "serious military and political consequences" if Finland joins NATO.

A survey of people in Finland found that a majority wanted the country to join NATO after Russia invaded Ukraine.

The survey by the Finnish Business and Policy Forum (Eva) think tank found that 60% of people supported Finland joining, a massive jump from previous years. Eva polled 2,074 people between March 4 and March 15.

Finland shares a long border with Russia, and was once part of the Russian Empire. After it gained independence it was invaded by the Soviet Union in 1939 but fought back and was not defeated.

The country has for decades maintained a careful balance between Russia and Western countries, which involved avoiding NATO membership.

At the time of the last Eva survey in 2021, most Finns seemed to support that position, with only 34% backing NATO membership.

But Russia's invasion of Ukraine, another non-NATO country, prompted a huge change, almost doubling support for NATO membership.

Ilkka Haavisto, the research manager for Eva, said of the results that "Russia has shown that it does not respect the integrity of its neighbours."

"The war in Ukraine has concretely shown what the horrors of a defensive war on Finland's own territory would be and made it clear that NATO countries cannot use their military forces to help defend a non-aligned country."

Russia has threatened Finland should it decide to pursue membership.

A foreign ministry official warned earlier this month of "serious military and political consequences" if Finland or its neighbor Sweden tried to join.

Russian President Vladimir Putin used the possibility of NATO expanding further eastwards as a reason for his invasion of Ukraine. He framed the invasion as being an act of self defense against the alliance's growth.

Finland's president Sauli Niinisto said on Sunday that applying for Nato membership would come with the "major risk" of escalation in Europe, but he said the country does wants to find ways to improve its security situation.

Sanna Marin, Finland's prime minister, said earlier this month that the country's politicians would have a conversation about NATO membership: "We're moving quickly, although these discussions will be thorough."