Monday, March 23, 2026

Industrial Policy and a Socialist Reform Agenda

Source: Originally published by Z. Feel free to share widely.

China’s vast development and export of renewable energy gear and electric vehicles is helping to drive the green transition globally — the transition away from reliance on the burning of fossil fuels. As green tech becomes the cheapest energy source, an economy that sticks with a reliance on burning gas, coal and petroleum derivatives will be a higher cost economy. The price of energy affects costs throughout the economy. Meanwhile, the Trump administration attacks renewable energy and doubles-down on support for fossil fuels. This poses the risk of committing the American economy to a high-cost energy system. 

A post-Trump USA could avoid this danger if it uses industrial policy to push through a green transition — moving to eliminate fossil fuels from electricity production, land transport and other sectors of the American economy.

An industrial policy is a set of practices that are designed to change the character of industries for social purposes or to build up industries that are regarded as socially beneficial or “advantageous” in various ways or to phase out industries that are regarded as damaging (such as the fossil fuel industry). Industrial policy could be used as a reform program in the capitalist framework, or it could be implemented as part of a revolutionary re-organization of industry — as part of a process of socialization of the economy.

Because global warming is an emergency that needs to be dealt with now, I’m going to look at how a green industrial policy can be developed as a labor-based reform agenda, pushed from below — but as a reform within the present capitalist framework.

Although the Biden administration touted fossil fuels, they took small steps in the direction of pushing the green transition. The CHIPS Act, the Bipartisan Infrastructure Act and the Inflation Reduction Act were all elements of Biden’s industrial policy. The IRA provided subsidies for purchase of electric vehicles, energy efficient appliances, home batteries and solar and wind facilities. To build up American manufacturing, electric vehicle subsidies required final assembly of the vehicle in the USA as well as other “local content” requirements. Fifty percent of the battery system value had to be made in the USA and 40 percent of the minerals used in battery manufacture had to be extracted, processed or recycled in the USA. The Bipartisan Infrastructure Act also required American manufacture for components used in infrastructure projects (such as bridges). Requiring local manufactured content is a typical industrial policy, to protect American manufacturing.

In elaborating their industrial policy initiatives, the Biden administration said it was necessary to have an “industrial strategy” to promote a number of goals. This included:

  • Promote innovation
  • Enhance the competitiveness of American products in the world market
  • Protect national security
  • Meet the science and engineering needs of key industries
  • Protect American manufacturing against aggressive Chinese mercantilism.

Officials of the Biden administration pointed out that training engineers and “skilled trades” and doing research and development are “positive externalities.” An externality is a cost or benefit to people other than a company and its customers. For example, if a power company generates electricity by burning coal, that damages respiratory systems downwind of the plant and contributes to global warming. The company pays nothing for those damages. It has externalized its costs onto others. That’s a negative externality. A positive externality is a benefit the company provides but can’t always get re-imbursed for. Thus if a company does R&D and trains engineers, those engineers could go to another company — and other companies may adopt the results of their R&D. But it’s not in the interests of a company to train the engineers of its competitors. This explains why American companies at present fail to do enough R&D. Thus innovation and training of scientists, engineers and “skilled trades” needs to be publicly financed and taken on by public organizations of some kind such as universities and technical colleges. Worker organizations can also play a role here, as with apprenticeship programs.

Counter-planning 

Industrial policy pushed by workers and their unions from below would be an example of counter-planning. Counter-planning is where workers develop their own ideas about products to make or methods of production. This can take the form of proposals for products that are less environmentally destructive. An early — and influential — example of counter-planning comes from the of the shop stewards committee at Lucas Aerospace in Britain. In the 1970s various British metal-working and aerospace firms were proposing layoffs and factory shutdowns. The company-wide shop stewards “combine committee” at Lucas Aerospace produced a counter-proposal for “socially useful production” in 1978. This was a plan that included about 150 medical, transport and environmental products the workers felt they could design and manufacture. This was a kind of “peace conversion” plan because these were alternatives to the military products they had been building. Management was intransigent in its “prerogatives” and ultimately fired two of the key shop stewards.

Another example of worker counter-planning is the long-running factory occupation at the GKN auto parts factory in Florence, Italy, which began in 2021. The factory was owned by British firm Melrose Industries. The workers occupied the plant to fight the shut down. They have proposed conversion of the factory to manufacture other products — such as “cargo bikes” used in product delivery — as part of an orientation they call “re-industrialization from below.” In the course of the occupation they have sought ways they could use both their skills and the plant’s equipment that would be socially beneficial, such as production of renewable energy technology.

Industrial policy is another area where unions have the potential to intervene with their “counter-planning.” Unions can potentially act as a mass force from below to push through a government industrial policy that favors working class interests. An example of industrial policy through union counter-planning is a report ( “Organize, Industrialize, Decarbonize! A Pro-Worker, Green Industrial Policy for California”) in 2025 from the United Auto Workers California region (Region 6).

The union’s report defines industrial policy as “coordinated government action to proactively shape what goods and services an economy produces,” as well as “how they are produced and how they are distributed.” The union wants the state government in California to use industrial policy to push through the green transition. But they also want an industrial policy that doesn’t just beef up the profits of the green capitalist sector but also addresses the working-class affordability crisis in the USA. The union report describes global warming, inequality and the crisis of affordability as “mutually reinforcing crises.”

The union backed a bill (SB 787) in the state legislature to develop supply chains and set labor conditions in three priority sectors: electric vehicles and their battery systems, offshore wind, and heat pumps. But billionaire-friendly governor Gavin Newsom vetoed this legislation.

A program to address both global warming and the serious working-class affordability crisis in the USA could be coupled with an industrial policy that could be used to re-build manufacturing employment. For example, consider the housing affordability crisis in the USA. With hedge-funds jacking rents to increase the market value of their buildings and capitalist builders mainly providing housing for the top 20 to 25 percent of household incomes, we can see how the capitalist real estate industry is the cause of the housing affordability crisis. This problem could be addressed by creating a massive fund available to non-profit developers and city housing departments to enable them to enter into contracts with builders to construct buildings as a form of Social Housing. By “social housing” I mean housing that is self-managed by the residents but locked down under restrictions that guarantee permanent affordability (as with limited equity housing coops).

If a major fund were provided by the federal government, the program could require all-electric construction to meet the goals of the fight against global warming. And subsidies and local content requirements could be used to ensure the gear (such as solar panels and heat pumps) is made in the USA.

Self-management and Socialist Reform

But what about a specifically socialist industrial policy? A central goal (but not the only goal) of socialism is to do away with the class subordination of the working class — the subordination of workers to the owning and managing boss classes in the system of social production of goods and services. As R.H. Tawney once wrote, the capitalist firm is “autocracy checked by insurgency.” When workers build unions or go on strike, that’s “insurgency.” This means workers are not accorded any democratic (collective) right to make decisions about the labor process even though they are directly affected by — governed by — these decisions. Back in the 1860s-70s, the first principle of the International Workers Association said: “The emancipation of the working class must be the work of the workers themselves.” The “working class” are the wage-earners who do the work of production of goods and services. And their emancipation would require that they take over collective self-management of the industries they work in. If workers don’t control production, some boss class will.

This is why nationalization is not actually a socialist reform. In the extensive nationalizations in Britain after World War 2, for example, the top-down state managerial bureaucracy was in control, not workers. We need to distinguish nationalization from socialization. Socialization requires two conditions: (1) democratic self-management of workplaces and whole industries by the workers in that industry, and (2) democratic social planning and accountability to the general population.

Could these two conditions actually be achieved as a reform within the existing capitalist and constitutional framework of a capitalist regime such as the USA? Maybe, to some extent. If so, this degree of attack on the power of the owning and managing classes would require a very high level of working class struggle. But even if not, we still need a socialist agenda for change. Here I want to suggest the negotiation model, as we can call it. I can explain this best by contrasting it with the suggested program of  Max B. Sawicky in “Socialists Need a Distinctive Economic Policy  Agenda.” 

To begin with, Sawicky misstates the goal of industrial policy: “The idea is to restructure the economy — to shift the composition of what is produced — in the direction of higher-value-added industries.” An example of an industrial policy for the USA would be to provide extensive public funding for bio-medical research, pharmaceutical development, and a comprehensive program of free to user health care. There is no requirement here that this industry generate profits.

Rather, the idea of industrial policy is to maintain and develop industries that are advantageous for various social reasons — such as health care provision or the fight against global warming or national security.

Sawicky mentions two industries he proposes for nationalization: “Some public services are properly national in scope and require federal design, funding, and management. Examples already mentioned are intercity rail and a national power grid.”

This is where I will illustrate the negotiation model as an alternative to Sawicky’s statist nationalization. In recent years the Public Rail Now campaign has been discussing a proposal for nationalizing ownership of the tracks and right of way of the main Class 1 railroads. This campaign was initiated by Railroad Workers United. Some members of RWU want the railways to be treated the same as the interstate highways. This means the federal government would only have responsibility for infrastructure investment such as grade separations and electrification. The Federal Railroad Administration (FRA) would allow various non-governmental entities — even capitalist firms — to operate the actual freight and passenger services. This would allow competing firms to share the same routes.

Now, let’s suppose that grants — and possibly loans from Ro Khanna’s proposed coop bank — are provided to create regional railway worker cooperatives to operate large regional segments of the American railway network. A coop firm might operate the northern transcon (the former Burlington Northern) from Chicago to Puget Sound and maybe another regional coop to take over the northeastern region from CSX. The regional cooperatives might form a coordinated national railway federation to coordinate services. There could be periodic negotiations between the railway worker cooperatives and the FRA over issues such as infrastructure investment, subsidies for passenger ticket prices and policies affecting the general public.

Another industry where the negotiation model could apply would be the industry comprised of biomedical research, pharmaceutical development and health care provision. We could imagine the creation of a non-governmental, non-profit, staff-controlled, democratically-structured National Health Service to run this industry. The federal government would provide funding for research, free medical school, and free to user health care. We can suppose there is periodic negotiation between the NHS and the public governance bodies and this might involve some type of citizen health councils. The negotiation would cover the issues of government funding and policies affecting patients and the general public.

Sawicky also proposes statist takeovers in the area of housing and the green transition away from reliance on fossil fuels. We could imagine a program for the electric power industry similar to my proposal for railways. The federal government might acquire electric utilities but contract with the workforce in large regional segments of the national grid — with periodic negotiation with the Energy Department over grid investment, funding to phase out coal- and gas-fired plants and other issues.

In my discussion of housing, I’ve already proposed an alternative to the government as landlord: Limited equity housing coops. This implements resident self-management of buildings. We could also propose the setting up of large design and build construction worker cooperatives to bid on housing and infrastructure projects. In this case city housing departments or non-profit community organizations would negotiate over issues like costs, finishes, appliances and so on. The community organizations could even organize prospective residents to negotiate over the character of individual dwellings (as described by Christopher Alexander in The Production of Houses). 

But if we’re not talking about small, and possibly marginal cooperatives, but democratically-structured, staff-run non-profit organizations controlling large, strategic industries, is this compatible with the constitutional and capitalist framework of USA or another capitalist country? I think this is doubtful.

We do have an example of large-scale re-organization of industries into worker-controlled industry federations — the Spanish revolution of the 1930s. In that case the militants of the syndicalist CNT union (and often with the support of the members of the social-democratic UGT union) expropriated many industries. In most cases when the workers expropriated a private firm they would not operate it as a stand-alone cooperative. Rather, they’d merge the assets from all the firms in that industry into a single industry federation. They were working to the industrial union principle of “taking wages and conditions out of competition.” They built industrial federations like this in many industries: health care, railways, wood products, telecom, public utilities, fishing, and the entertainment industry. 

But this took place in the course of a massive revolutionary struggle. After the Spanish army’s attempted takeover was defeated in the streets of Barcelona in July, 1936, the syndicalist CNT union used the army’s weapons to build a large “proletarian army” under the direct control of the union. The principles of the syndicalist international stated that in a revolutionary situation the goal was for the worker mass democratic organizations to gain control of the dominant armed power in society. Thus the union used its army to defend its expropriation of industry. 

Once the Republican state authority was rebuilt with its own army and police by 1937, there began a process of state seizures of industries — reasserting worker subordination to a managerial boss class. We can see here there’s a structural problem. As long as owning and managing classes have power in society — and the ability to control the state — they will try to use that power to keep the working class as a subordinate, exploited class.

Even so I think it may be helpful to have a socialist reform agenda of the sort I described. It helps to clarify what the goals are of the movement. And this is where I think the negotiation model is useful as it allows us to clarify the distinction between socialization and nationalization. In the past various forms of the negotiation model have been used for a socialist program — from guild socialism to participatory economics. Various forms of this model are possible.Email

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In Deer Hunting With Jesus Joe Bageant says "those who grow up in the lower class in America often end up class conscious for life" and so it has been with me.After leaving high school I worked as a gas station attendant for quite a few years and got let go from that job in one of the first job actions I was involved in. I gradually worked my way through college and in the early '70s was part of an initial group who organized the first teaching assistants' union at UCLA in which I was a shop steward. I had been involved in the anti-war movement in the late '60s and first became involved in socialist politics at that time.After obtaining a PhD at UCLA I was an assistant professor for several years at the University of Wisconsin at Milwaukee where I taught logic and philosophy and in my spare time helped to produce a quarterly anarcho-syndicalist community newspaper. After I returned to California in the early '80s, I worked for a number of years as a typesetter and was involved in an attempt to unionize a weekly newspaper in San Francisco. For about nine years I was the volunteer editorial coordinator for the anarcho-syndicalist magazine ideas & action and wrote numerous essays for that publication. Since the '80s I've made my living mainly as a hardware and software technical writer in the computer industry. I've occasionally taught logic classes as a part-time adjunct.During the past decade my political activity has mainly been focused on housing, land-use and public transit politics. I did community organizing at the time of the big eviction epidemic in my neighborhood in 1999-2000, working with the Mission Anti-Displacement Coalition. Some of us involved in that effort then decided on a strategy of gaining control of land and buildings by helping existing tenants convert their buildings to limited equity housing cooperatives. To do this we built the San Francisco Community Land Trust of which I was president for two years.

Seeing Trump Clearly

Source: Craig Murray Blog

What if Trump’s apparently chaotic thought processes and intuitive decision making are all a blind, a charade? What if we are really witnessing, in the Middle East and more widely, a carefully constructed plan with very definite objectives? Has Trump in fact “planned each charted course, each careful step along the byway”, while flinging the chaff of apparent chaos? I realise that this is not intuitive, but bear with me…

What kicked off my thinking was the revelation by Lockheed Martin that they had been instructed by Trump, months in advance of the attack on Iran, to massively increase production of interceptor missiles, with a short term goal of quadrupling capacity of THAAD. In January, before the start of the current conflict, Fox News was already reporting on various deals, including a trebling of PAC3 MSE interceptor deliveries, having been finalised between Lockheed and the Department of War.

While obviously there are supply chain and production line constraints on the ability to ramp up production within months, the urgency of this activity – almost entirely focused on interceptor missiles – that started in 2025 is in hindsight a clear indication that early war with Iran was expected. It is plain evidence of premeditation.

The second thing that triggered my thought that this is all carefully planned, is the nature of the breakdown of the nuclear deal talks. It appears there was a broad consensus that Iran offered concessions which made a deal very practical, in particular giving up its stocks of enriched uranium into trust (a proposal Iran had historically rejected when Putin offered to hold the material). Both the hosts, Oman and the British thought a deal was there.

The failure of the talks is being spun as due to the incompetence and lack of technical knowledge of Witkoff and Kushner. But I just don’t buy this. The sending of unqualified negotiators was part of a ploy to use the negotiations as cover for an attack – the second time in a year that the United States had pulled the same trick.

They didn’t need competent negotiators, because they had never intended a good faith negotiation.

The attack on Iran was always planned by Trump. He was not “bounced into it” by Israel. It had been in gestation for months. That fact had been held within a very tight circle to avoid both political opposition and institutional opposition from the US military and intelligence community.

January’s protests in Iran found ordinary people genuinely ready to protest, motivated by economic hardship caused by sanctions. But they were guided and abused by Mossad and CIA agents among the Iranian people, who committed and encouraged violence and initiated pro-Shah chanting.

There was never the slightest possibility the protests would bring regime change, but that was not the intention. The purpose was to incite an over-reaction by the Iranian government that could “justify” the planned attack on Iran. The dead protestors have been great martyrs for Trump’s – and Israel’s – wider cause.

The planting by Western state-sponsored individuals and organisations of ludicrous claims throughout Western state and corporate media of thirty to forty thousand killed, was a deliberate and considered plan to reduce domestic opposition in the West to the forthcoming war against Iran.

Now factor in another apparently random act by Trump – the astonishing kidnapping of President Maduro of Venezuela on 3 January, a month before the attack on Iran.

Trump’s naval blockade of Venezuela’s oil has secured a US monopoly of its sale and distribution. As with Iraq, only US-approved contractors can buy the oil and payments are made to a Trump-controlled account in Qatar, from which revenue is given to the Venezuelan government entirely at Trump’s discretion.

This audacious imperialist grab of the world’s largest oil reserve further insulated the USA against the effects of the forthcoming closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

Again, the narrative is being spun that Trump did not foresee the closure of the Strait by Iran. That is plainly a nonsense – every commentary on a potential Iran war for half a century has focused on the Strait of Hormuz. The only possible explanation is that Trump does not mind the closure.

While, as Trump says, the United States does not need the oil that comes through the Strait, the apparent weakness in his case is that higher oil prices are universal and hit Trump’s support, particularly as Americans fill their Gas tanks. But to concentrate on this is to make the fundamental error of imagining that Trump cares about what is good for the American people. He does not. He cares about what is good for Donald J. Trump and his immediate circle.

Here is the Chevron share price over the last month:

And here is Lockheed Martin. Note that the start of the 40% leap in share price coincides with those instructions last year on massively ramping up interceptor production.

Not to mention, of course, that the really big fortunes will have been made in oil and derivative commodity futures by those who knew this war was coming (acting through proxies).

The $200 billion Trump is requesting from Congress to continue the war is going to make an awful lot of well-connected people even richer.

So the plan is the making of fortunes, the strengthening of the military-industrial complex and the ratcheting up under cover of national cohesion in war of the authoritarianism that has reduced freedom of speech and outlawed dissent against Israel across the Western world.

To benefit Israel is the other predominant motive.

Trump’s thrashing about to articulate objectives for the war in Iran is performative, a blind to cover his true and steadfast objective – simply the annihilation of Iran as a functioning state, the infliction of the maximum amount of death and infrastructural damage, the reduction of Iran to the condition of Libya.

It goes without saying that the seizure of control of Iran’s hydrocarbons by the US is the ultimate endgame of this destruction, exactly as in Libya and in Iraq. But a linked and crucial objective is the elimination of the source of the only physical resistance to the expansion of Israel. Iran and its allies in Yemen and Lebanon have been the sole support of the Palestinians for years.

The colonial settler state of Israel is central to the projection of imperialist power in the Middle East. Its expansion is an essential part of the plan.

Destruction of Iran on the scale envisaged will take years of hard pounding. Again, it is planned – you don’t ask Congress for an instalment of $200 billion for a war you plan to wrap up in a month. Again, Trump’s taunts about having already won, objectives being achieved and about possibly finishing soon, are all just smoke and mirrors. The scale and horror of what is planned for Iran has to be obfuscated to limit a public revulsion that would be echoed in parts of the state apparatus.

Netanyahu yesterday revealed an interesting part of the endgame – construction of an oil pipeline that brings Iran’s oil out to be shipped from a Mediterranean terminal in Israel. That is a breathtakingly audacious plan, but absolutely aligns with Netanyahu’s and Trump’s actions.

Which brings us to the Greater Israel side of the project. Israel is not going to put any of its ships or soldiers in harm’s way in Iran – that is the American contribution. But while the world is primarily watching Iran, Israel is starting a large-scale invasion of Lebanon with the aim of annexing all of Southern Lebanon permanently, even beyond the Litani River and including the cities of Tyre and Nabatieh, both currently under Israeli evacuation orders.

This land of course adjoins the annexed Golan Heights and the much larger area of Southern Syria that Israel has annexed in the past year with the acquiescence of Zionist puppet “President” al Jolani.

It is essential not to lose sight of the bipartisan nature of the United States’ long term plan. In a very real sense Trump is continuing – if greatly accelerating – the policy under Biden, who protected and enabled the Genocide in Gaza. The success of this US policy is phenomenal. Just consider that only 18 months ago the Zionist “Presidents” al-Jolani of Syria and Aoun of Lebanon were not in power. Both were brought to power as a result of US-aligned military action, by Israel against Hezbollah and by the CIA- and MI6-sponsored HTS forces. Put in place by Biden, they are now central to Trump’s strategy.

Aoun and al-Jolani are now united in threatening Hezbollah in the rear as it fights a desperate action against the Israeli invasion of Lebanon.

Meanwhile Israel officially occupies over 60% of the Gaza Strip – under cover of Trump’s “Board of Peace”, and continues to murder, blockade and starve the inhabitants of the remnant, while the de facto expansion of Israel into the West Bank and the levels of settler violence are escalating to levels of the utmost barbarity.

Iranian resistance is noble and Iran’s resilience has surprised many. It will be able to make any ground invasion, or even limited incursion, extremely costly for the United States. But as in Gaza or Lebanon, if the US and Israel are content simply to pound from the air for years with devastating force, and with no concern whatsoever for civilian casualties, ultimately all Iran can do is hang on and try to survive.

Given another year of destruction at the current levels of intensity, I do not believe that Iran would effectively be sending many missiles and drones back in self-defence. In a week or two we will hit the period of maximum Iranian effectiveness, where depletion of US-supplied interceptor missiles coincides with Iran retaining significant strike power. Israel’s fragile civilian morale will then be tested severely for a few weeks.

Iran’s capacity to defend against massive, years-sustained aerial bombardment is limited. We should not blind ourselves to that fact out of current joy at the Americans and Israelis getting a bloody nose.

It is comforting to see Trump as a buffoon, to accept the facade he presents of a blustering and ill-educated ignoramus, who swings wildly between policy options, and who does not understand the world of geopolitics.

But that is nonsense.

I have no hesitation in characterising Trump’s genius as evil, focused on personal gain and willing to inflict any amount of death, maiming and deprivation on innocent civilians to attain his goals. But he is indeed attaining his goals on the world stage.

Trump has forced the Security Council to underwrite his Board of Peace. This was a quite astonishing diplomatic triumph over a helpless Russia and China, both of which decided that other negotiations with Trump were more important. Trump has presided over Israel expanding on the ground by the day. Trump has taken Venezuela’s oil, the largest reserves in the world. Trump is currently killing people of Iran and destroying their infrastructure, while feigning indecision.

You should hate Trump: but he is no clown.

The Minnesota Fraud Story is a Fraud


 March 23, 2026

Photo by Jon Tyson

Fans of pet-eating migrant stories are thrilled to hear that JD Vance is heading up an anti-fraud task force operating out of the White House. As best anyone can tell, the purpose is to drum up absurd allegations of fraud against prominent Democrats, like California Governor Gavin Newsom and Illinois Governor JB Pritzker.

If the reference to pet-eating migrant stories is too obscure, let me remind everyone. During the presidential campaign, Vance admitted that he invented stories about Haitian immigrants eating people’s pets in Springfield, Ohio, to advance the Trump ticket’s anti-immigrant political agenda. This is important background when considering the sincerity of his new anti-fraud crusade.

The other important background item is that Trump just gave us an anti-fraud crusade last year. Doesn’t anyone remember Elon Musk running around with his chainsaw and his “super-high IQ” DOGE boys? He was supposed to find trillions of dollars of fraud and send us all $5k dividend checks. I still haven’t gotten my check.

What fraud is JD Vance’s team going to find that Elon Musk’s crew somehow missed? We don’t have to believe that Musk is some sort of super-genius, but surely he is not completely incompetent. He had a large team of anti-fraud crusaders that invaded one government agency after another. If there was large-scale fraud, it’s hard to believe they couldn’t produce at least some evidence.

But the Republicans all seem super-excited about this rerun. They even got Trump’s top all-purpose adviser, Steven Miller, to hype the project. Miller said:

“I believe, and I know President Trump believes, that when this theft is exposed, we will see that if all of it were stopped, it would be enough to balance the budget….. The extraction of wealth from American taxpayers to people who don’t belong here is the primary cause of the national debt.”

This statement tells everything there is to know about Vance’s fraud project. It is yet one more chance to yell about black and brown-skinned people ruining the country. Exploiting racism is the one thing Trump does better than anyone else.

Just to remind the number challenged, there is no remotely plausible world where fraud connected with undocumented immigrants can be anywhere in the ballpark of explaining the national debt. The national debt is roughly $39 trillion or $39,000,000 million. The economy is $31 trillion, and the federal budget is a bit over $7 trillion.

It would take some really fantastic stories to somehow get to $39 trillion in fraud from whatever portion of the budget might wrongly be paid to undocumented immigrants. This is obvious to everyone remotely familiar with the budget.

Right off the bat, almost three-quarters of the budget goes to Social Security, Medicare, Veterans benefits, the military, and interest on the debt.  Even Elon Musk didn’t try to claim large-scale fraud by immigrants in these areas after his team examined them. Most of the rest is Medicaid and other health care programs for which undocumented immigrants are not eligible. Maybe Miller thinks undocumented immigrants are getting farm subsidies.

Surely there is some amount of fraud that immigrants do commit, but we’re talking millions, maybe hundreds of millions. Taken over decades, it could get into the low billions, almost certainly less than 0.01 percent of the federal debt. And immigrants pay tens of billions of taxes, which means the net effect is almost certainly to reduce the deficits and debt.

Miller’s use of outlandish numbers to describe the size of the fraud the Vance’s gang will find makes its purpose clear. This fraud task force is yet another Trump effort to push racist lies to attack political opponents and nothing more.

While fraud is a real problem, Trump has fired most of the people who investigate it, specifically the independent Inspector Generals of individual departments and agencies. He also has sought to cut back the budget of the Government Accountability Office, an independent congressional agency. Meanwhile, Trump has been pardoning convicted fraudsters as quickly as they can shovel him the payoffs.

Everyone should be clear that Vance’s latest toy is nothing but crude racism and has nothing to do with a genuine search for fraud. When Trump started yelling crazy numbers about fraud in Minnesota, Democrats all ran for cover and threw Tim Walz, a successful and popular governor, under the bus. This may have been partly motivated by a desire to get rid of a potential contender for the 2028 presidential nomination, but it was nonetheless shameful.

Sleazy racism should not be rewarded. Serious accusations of fraud need to be investigated, but Team Trump’s cry of “Black people, fraud,” only deserves contempt.

This first appeared on Dean Baker’s Beat the Press blog.

Dean Baker is the senior economist at the Center for Economic and Policy Research in Washington, DC.