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Wednesday, March 11, 2026

 

U.S. Strikes Suspected Drug Boat 

 FISHING BOAT in Eastern Pacific, Killing Six

A small craft burns after being hit by a missile strike in the Eastern Pacific (Southern Command)
A small craft burns after being hit by a missile strike in the Eastern Pacific (Southern Command)

Published Mar 9, 2026 8:55 PM by The Maritime Executive

 

U.S. Southern Command has conducted another strike on a suspected smuggling boat in the Eastern Pacific, destroying the vessel and killing six male suspects, the command announced Sunday. 

The strike was the 45th lethal attack on a suspected drug smuggling boat since September. To date, the campaign has resulted in at least 157 fatalities, according to the New York Times, plus an unknown quantity of drugs destroyed. The Trump administration claims that the strikes (and a ramp-up in nonlethal Coast Guard interdictions) have increased the price of cocaine, reversing a years-long trend of cheaper and more abundant supplies on U.S. streets. 

The administration has encouraged its Latin American partner nations to step up their own interdiction efforts, and there have been some early results in Mexico, El Salvador and Ecuador. The joint counter-narcotics campaign has been rebranded "Shield of Americas," and is helmed by the departing Secretary of Homeland Security, Kristi Noem. 

"The heart of our agreement is a commitment to using lethal military force to destroy the sinister cartels and terrorist networks," Trump said in a launch ceremony for the new initiative last weekend. "Once and for all, we’ll get rid of them."

The lethal strikes remain controversial: the campaign has raised questions about the legality of killing men who were previously arrested as criminal suspects. The airborne interdictions have been criticized by many legal experts at home and abroad, and may fall under the jurisdiction of the International Criminal Court. The White House and the Pentagon maintain that cocaine importation is a form of violence, and that the strikes are a form of collective self-defense against the drug. 

 

The United States Can’t Deter China Without Allied Shipyards

Senior U.S. Navy officials tour Hyundai Heavy Industries, 2025 (USN file image)
Senior U.S. Navy officials tour Hyundai Heavy Industries, 2025 (USN file image)

Published Mar 10, 2026 8:48 PM by CIMSEC

 

[By Patrick M. Cronin and David Glick]

Industrial endurance and allied integration are indispensable to making deterrence-by-denial against China credible under the 2026 National Defense Strategy. The Trump administration’s Maritime Action Plan rightly elevates cooperation with South Korea and Japan. But viewing these allies as a temporary bridge to U.S. revitalization understates the scale and longevity of the China challenge. What is needed is a fully integrated, long-term allied shipbuilding ecosystem, that can generate surge capacity, distributed production, and wartime repair across the Indo-Pacific. Without that durable industrial architecture, denial remains declaratory rather than operational. This essay makes that case.

If a war erupts over Taiwan, what will sink the U.S. Navy first: Chinese missiles or American shipyards? Analysts have catalogued the widening gap between China’s defense industrial base and America’s. Shipbuilding sits at the center of that imbalance. What began the decade as a pacing challenge has become a structural industrial advantage for Beijing. In the Indo-Pacific, deterrence now depends less on the number of hulls afloat than on the ability to replace, repair, and regenerate them under fire. On that measure of industrial endurance, the United States is dangerously behind. 

The U.S. fleet lacks the scale, resilience, and regenerative capacity to compete with China’s expanding navy and the industrial base behind it. Even with higher funding and domestic reform, the United States alone cannot build the fleet required to match–let alone “overmatch”–China’s output. The U.S. Navy fleet currently stands at 290 ships compared to China’s 331. That gap, by itself, is not decisive. But Beijing can draw on a vast coast guard, merchant marine, and dual-use civilian fleet that allows Beijing to surge up to 5,500 hulls for support, refueling, and transport. The United States has roughly 80 comparable auxiliary and sealift vessels. This disparity reflects more than fleet size; it exposes structural constraints in American industrial capacity.

America’s defense industrial base, and shipbuilding in particular, has become structurally brittle after the collapse of commercial shipbuilding, decades of consolidation and specialization, workforce attrition, and highly inconsistent demand signals. Today, a remarkable degree of U.S. Navy major combatants are constructed at a handful of specialized yards run by two defense juggernauts: Huntington Ingalls Industries and General Dynamics.

These structural limitations matter because deterrence against Beijing now requires maritime power at a level the U.S. industrial base cannot produce independently. Attempts at domestic reform including President Trump’s ambition to build a “Golden Fleet” reflect a correct diagnosis of the problem, and executing the Maritime Action Plan may be key to reviving America’s claim to be a maritime nation. But execution is far from guaranteed. Previous U.S. efforts to slow China’s seapower ascendancy, including during Trump’s first term, have focused on massive increases in defense spending, radical policy changes, or both and many of these plans have stalled out.

As one of America’s top naval analysts, Ronald O’Rourke, argues, U.S. shipbuilding shortfalls reflect a systemic, self-reinforcing failure in which unaffordable plans, industrial limits, workforce bottlenecks, and flawed acquisition processes have collectively undermined capacity. The bottom line is that no amount of additional spending on ships or marginal policy reform within the United States alone can resolve the problem, especially as China’s larger, dual-use shipbuilding ecosystem turns American naval production capacity into a strategic liability.

“America First” rightly underscores the imperative to rebuild U.S. industrial capability, including its shipbuilding. But America alone, or cooperation limited to full onshoring, is insufficient. Unless Washington fully leverages the capabilities of allied seapowers, China’s maritime edge will grow. As Brent Sadler notes in Naval Power in Action, China has managed to “out-Mahan” the United States through an “aggressive and focused prioritization of a powerful civil-military national maritime sector.” His proposed remedy of a G-7-like consortium of maritime nations to meet the challenge is sound, but the foundational starting point must be to better harness the collective shipbuilding capabilities of the United States, South Korea, and Japan.

Although President Trump may instinctively support integrating allied shipbuilding capacity, current policy concentrates on comprehensive onshoring. The Maritime Action Plan, for all its strengths, largely confines allies to providing foreign direct investment in U.S. shipyards and maritime infrastructure. That contribution is important but insufficient.

A politically sustainable solution requires durable mutual benefit. Deterring China at scale will demand the systematic integration of allied shipbuilding capacity, especially from South Korea and Japan, into U.S. naval force planning. Capital that flows into American docks from threats of tariffs and placing conditionality on security alliances will undermine the alliance bonds on which our strategy depends. Without deep industrial cooperation, the United States will lack the industrial and thus operational resilience needed for credible Indo-Pacific deterrence. Absent complementary reforms, such as targeted modifications to the Jones Act and related statutes that tether shipbuilding exclusively to domestic yards, Washington will struggle to erect a shipbuilding defense industrial base that is both politically acceptable at home and economically sustainable for South Korea and Japan.

But let us start by briefly considering the strategic objective of deterrence by denial of China, because that is at the heart of calls for reviving shipbuilding capacity in the first place.

The Deterrence Challenge: Responding to Pressure with Endurance

The Trump administration’s National Security Strategy identifies China’s bid for dominance within and beyond the First Island Chain as a direct challenge to regional stability, while the National Defense Strategy prioritizes a defense-by-denial approach anchored along that same geography. This framework highlights that successful deterrence must operate not only against invasion, but across the subtler and more pervasive forms of coercion that Beijing prefers. Xi Jinping appears to recognize that a forcible seizure of Taiwan would carry extraordinary risks, yet his purging of senior generals heightens the danger of miscalculation and reinforces the need for full-spectrum deterrence.

A central danger is that Beijing seeks to exhaust Taiwan psychologically, economically, and militarily rather than gamble on an all-out invasion. China commands a broad menu of coercive options, ranging from gray-zone harassment and maritime quarantine to incremental blockade or amphibious assault, all designed to impose cumulative pressure while exploiting gaps in allied endurance and logistics rather than inducing a single decisive battle. For example, China has recently rehearsed navigating some 1,400 fishing vessels to form a 200-mile-long sea barrier that could support a blockade of Taiwan. This, alongside other graduated options, allows Beijing to vary pace and intensity, steadily degrading Taiwan’s resilience while testing allied political will.

China’s sprawling military-industrial complex further broadens its operational choices. The People’s Liberation Army (PLA) can field large quantities of long-range anti-ship missiles, submarines, and other systems designed to deny U.S. forces freedom of action at increasing distances. Operating close to home, Chinese forces benefit from interior lines of communication, proximate shipyards, and rapid repair and replacement capacity. These advantages allow the PLA to absorb losses and continue operations in ways that impose disproportionate strains on allied forces. In this context, deterrence erodes not through dramatic battlefield defeat, but through persistent pressure that gradually constrains Taiwan’s strategic breathing room.

China’s approach is reinforced by Xi’s “Overall National Security Outlook” and military-civil fusion, which together harness military, economic, technological, and political instruments into an integrated system for applying sustained pressure. The PLA Navy has increasingly revealed strategies of exhaustion, strangulation, and decapitation, all of which hinge on wearing down an opponent’s ability to regenerate combat power. These concepts can only be countered by adversaries whose own industrial and logistical systems can absorb shocks, reconstitute forces, and continue operating under demanding wartime conditions.

The human reality of protracted conflict underscores this requirement. Carl von Clausewitz reminded strategists that war is a “dangerous business” defined by fear, friction, and the grinding down of human will. E. B. Sledge’s graphic portrait of amphibious warfare at Peleliu and Okinawa captures how terror and attrition consume both personnel and equipment. Deterrence, therefore, fails not only when forces are defeated in battle, but when political will, logistics networks, and industrial capacity collapse under constant pressure. Industrial sustainment is not an afterthought but the oft-neglected backbone of strategic endurance.

History underscores this lesson. The high watermark of American shipbuilding came in World War II, when the rapid production of Essex-class carriers transformed U.S. naval power and reshaped the global maritime balance. This capacity for rapid regeneration was a strategic capability in its own right, enabling the United States to outlast a determined adversary in a prolonged contest of endurance.

The same logic applies today. Against a peer competitor prepared for protracted conflict, deterrence requires a fleet designed not only for initial advantage but for the ability to fight, absorb blows, and regenerate combat power over time. This demands a large, balanced, and modern force supported by industrial capacity for rapid maintenance, repair, and replacement. Such depth must underpin a “hedge force” emphasizing quantity, distribution, and survivability across manned and unmanned platforms, and avoiding over-reliance on a small number of exquisite, vulnerable assets.

Ultimately, regeneration becomes a deterrent mechanism. A force that can endure is a force that can deny, dissuade, and defeat an opponent.

United States Constraints

The U.S. Navy’s strengths are not well matched to the challenges of a conflict with China. Although American platforms may possess momentarily superior individual capability, a fight in the South China Sea would unfold inside a dense Chinese A2/AD envelope, sustained by large inventories of land-based anti-ship missiles. In a missile-saturated battlespace, deterrence cannot rest on qualitative superiority alone. It requires layered capability, what the Hudson Institute defense team has conceptualized as “edge,” “pulsed,” and “core” forces, all supported by critical enablers. Industrial endurance is indispensable to field such layers while retaining the capacity to absorb and regenerate losses. Combat experience and alliance exercises enhance readiness, but qualitative advantages cannot offset numerical and industrial imbalance in a protracted war fought in China’s near seas.

Countering Beijing’s coercive strategy therefore demands endurance as much as lethality. Taiwan must demonstrate the political will, societal resilience, and frontline resistance to withstand sustained pressure. The United States and Japan, supported by South Korea as a rear-area sustainment, repair, and replacement hub, must present a unified posture that undercuts Chinese confidence across the spectrum of coercion. Any visible alliance seams will be exploited, perhaps as suggested by a recent U.S.-China air encounter in the Yellow or West Sea.

A credible deterrence-by-denial strategy integrates these elements: resilient frontline forces at the edge; long-range strike forces that can be surged or “pulsed” into theater; sufficient “core” forces to sustain operations over time; and the enabling architecture of ISR, logistics, command and control, and industrial capacity, that binds them together. Without this layered military and industrial integration, the United States military will display significant operational gaps and deterrence in the Indo-Pacific will remain vulnerable.

The United States currently lacks the industrial foundation required to meet this challenge. While the PLA Navy has been built primarily for high-intensity regional conflict, much of the U.S. fleet reflects decades of emphasis on power projection and presence missions in permissive environments. At the same time, as China’s shipbuilding capacity has swelled, the U.S. Navy has struggled merely to sustain a large and ready fleet to meet its global commitments.

The United States has particularly lagged behind China in the construction of platforms suited to navigate the South China Sea’s littoral and archipelagic geography. Fast, maneuverable frigates are likely to be central to distributed operations in the Indo-Pacific. China can now launch multiple modern frigates annually, with construction timelines measured in months. By contrast, the United States’ Constellation-class frigate program has yet to deliver a single operational hull after nearly a decade of effort amid design instability and cascading delays. At the same time, the United States has been upgrading cutters designed for the Coast Guard as stopgap naval vessels, despite their lack of vertical launch systems, even as China has shifted naval platforms into its formidable coast guard.

These and other difficulties stem from persistent structural weaknesses in domestic shipbuilding and maintenance infrastructure, as suggested at the outset of this essay. Consolidation has reduced competition and flexibility. Skilled labor shortages constrain manufacturing. Inconsistent procurement planning disrupts both workers’ lives and capital investment. Regulatory red tape slows production and increases cost. New construction routinely runs late and over budget, while maintenance backlogs keep operational ships tied to the pier. Industrial shortcomings sap U.S. naval credibility.

Civilian and military leaders alike acknowledge the shipbuilding gap with China. President Trump’s “Make Shipbuilding Great Again” initiative, calls for a Golden Fleet, and proposal for defense spending approaching $1.5 trillion, all of which preceded the Maritime Action Plan of February 2026, underscore growing recognition of the problem. These gestures matter, but slogans and topline numbers do not build ships. Reviving U.S. shipbuilding will require sustained political discipline, industrial reform, workforce development, and years of execution. For example, the idea of 100 maritime prosperity zones sounds appealing, but risks overreach without delivering serious production. None of this is guaranteed. Failure would leave the United States attempting to deter a maritime peer with an industrial base unfit for protracted competition.

The reality is that U.S. domestic shipbuilding capacity cannot expand fast enough to match Chinese production rates within the timeframe deterrence demands. Building new shipyards or dramatically expanding existing ones requires time, secure supply chains, and skilled labor that the United States currently lacks. The Trump administration has recognized this constraint and begun to pursue serious allied cooperation. Agreements with Australia, Japan, and South Korea are steps in the right direction, but they remain insufficient. Incremental progress will not produce the fleet needed to compete with China.

Allied Shipbuilding Capacity

Integrating allied industrial capacity into U.S. naval force planning offers several advantages.

First, allied shipyards represent an immediate force multiplier by bolstering collective shipbuilding. South Korea and Japan possess advanced shipbuilding industries with available capacity, skilled workforces, and resilient supply chains. Leveraging these yards would allow the United States to accelerate production without waiting years for domestic capacity to mature. In key areas such as automated manufacturing and AI-enabled shipbuilding, allied firms already lead global best practices.

Second, forward-deployed repair and maintenance capacity in allied countries would provide crucial operational benefits during a Taiwan or South China Sea contingency. Damaged ships could reach allied yards in days rather than weeks, preserving combat power and reducing exposure during trans-Pacific transits. This distributed sustainment architecture materially enhances fleet readiness and resilience.

Third, allied cooperation can modernize the combined naval industrial base. Different engineering traditions and production methods can complement U.S. designs and spur innovation. Key U.S. allies remain leaders in advanced manufacturing and high-tech shipbuilding. Collaborative development will spread research and development costs while expanding the menu of available platforms, particularly for modular and unmanned systems.

Fourth, integrated allied production strengthens deterrence by signaling coalition resolve. When allies invest directly in building U.S. naval power, they demonstrate commitment to collective defense and complicate Chinese strategic calculations by expanding the scale and durability of any potential response.

The accompanying graphic (below) demonstrates not only scale but trajectory. While U.S. naval tonnage has remained stagnant over the last 15 years, China’s has more than doubled. South Korea and Japan’s rates of growth make it clear that their shipbuilding ecosystems have remained dynamic, making them key partners in an American shipbuilding resurgence.

South Korea

South Korea hosts some of the world’s most capable and efficient shipyards and is second only to China. Firms such as Hanwha Ocean, HD Hyundai Heavy Industries, and Samsung Heavy Industries routinely deliver complex naval vessels at lower costs and faster timelines than U.S. yards. Their success rests on a comprehensive industrial ecosystem encompassing regional steel production, automation, lifecycle sustainment, and a deep pool of trained shipbuilding engineers.

Korea’s advantage is not only in cost and speed, but also in their advanced technical shipbuilding ecosystem. Seoul’s leading yards operate cutting-edge digitally integrated production systems that use 3D modeling and advanced simulation tools to improve workflow and enhance efficiency. Korea is prioritizing developing their technological advantage and government officials have pledged to spend over 320 billion won ($240 million) on artificial intelligence driven shipbuilding, a 23% increase from the previous year.

Cooperation is already expanding. Shipbuilding is a core element of South Korea’s strategic investment in the United States. Hanwha Ocean is investing heavily in its Philadelphia shipyard and exploring additional U.S. facilities, even as it pursues contracts with Canada that might help strengthen Hanwha’s massive Geoje shipyard that produces about 45 commercial and naval ships a year. Seoul’s decision to develop a nuclear-powered submarine represents a political breakthrough made politically conceivable by signals of greater U.S. flexibility on nuclear cooperation; with sustained U.S. support and a willingness to allow submarine production in South Korea, the SSN could deepen alliance industrial integration while advancing shared maritime capabilities.

Strategic alignment reinforces the case for cooperation. Both Washington and Seoul view China’s military modernization with concern and share an interest in stability in the Taiwan Strait. South Korea’s geography and industrial capacity make it a pivotal partner in any strategy to expand U.S. naval power, particularly given the strategic aim of defending the First Island Chain.

Japan

Japan, the world’s third-largest shipbuilder, offers complementary strengths. While its shipyards operate at a smaller scale than South Korea, they excel in precision manufacturing and systems integration. Mitsubishi Heavy Industries leads a group of seven major shipbuilders in Japan. Mitsubishi Shipbuilding was created in 2018 to bring cutting-edge technology and a new business model to building a wide variety of ships. Its shipyard at Nagasaki, founded in 1857 by the Tokugawa Shogunate, will build the first three Mogami-class frigates for Australia.  The Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force operates sophisticated warships incorporating advanced sensors, propulsion, and weapons, and Japanese yards have proven adept at integrating complex systems to exacting standards.

Cooperation has moved from concept to execution. U.S. naval vessels have already undergone maintenance in Japanese yards, establishing technical interoperability and operational trust. Agreements reached in late 2024, reaffirmed and substantially enlarged by President Trump and Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, outline frameworks for expanded joint shipbuilding capabilities and potential co-production.

Japan’s strategic incentives are strong. Chinese military activity near Japanese territory has intensified, prompting Tokyo to accelerate defense spending and once again revise and update key national security documents. This political commitment provides a durable foundation for long-term industrial partnership. Prime Minister Takaichi’s landslide LDP victory in the lower house enhances Tokyo’s determination to strengthen alliance cooperation in general and defense industrial cooperation in particular.

Other Regional Partners

Other Indo-Pacific allies can provide vital supporting capacity. Australia’s participation in AUKUS (the Australia, UK, U.S. defense partnership) demonstrates allied willingness to make substantial, generational investments. Canberra’s pledge to invest $3 billion in U.S. submarine shipyards is among the most concrete steps toward revitalizing American undersea production capacity, and Australian yards may eventually contribute more broadly.

Southeast Asian allies and partners also matter. The Philippines, as a treaty ally and frontline state facing persistent Chinese coercion, is also ranked among the world’s leading shipbuilding nations by commercial gross tonnage. Thus, Manila can contribute beyond providing critical access through implementation of the Enhanced Defense Cooperation Agreement. Expanded development of Subic Bay could support forward maintenance and overhaul, especially as Manila grows its naval and coast guard forces. Korean investment has helped reopen the long-dormant Subic Bay shipyard, offering a potential hub for additional allied maintenance and repair. Japan is another critical source of maritime support and its acquisition and cross-servicing agreement with the Philippines thickens the web of cooperation among America’s key maritime allies.  

Together, these initiatives point to the emergence of an allied maritime industrial network across the Indo-Pacific, still uneven but increasingly consequential. While some leading regional analysts argue for formalizing this cooperation into a treaty-based Asian alliance, the more feasible and immediate task is to build the industrial sinews that would give any future alliance real weight in the form of shared production capacity, repair and regeneration capacity, and interchangeable shipbuilding and sustainment ecosystems. Industrial integration is not a substitute for alliance commitments, but it is the foundation that makes alliance commitments credible in crisis and resilient over time.

Current Partnerships and Their Limits

Existing initiatives underscore both promise and limitation. AUKUS is the most ambitious effort to date, while agreements with South Korea and Japan on repair, maintenance, and potential co-production reflect growing momentum. Yet these efforts remain fragmented and largely ad hoc. Many rely on waivers, pilot programs, or working groups without permanent institutional backing.

Even sanctioned initiatives face friction. The Korean-operated Philadelphia shipyard has encountered regulatory and workforce hurdles, illustrating the difficulty of scaling cooperation under current rules. Execution risk remains substantial. Regulatory friction, workforce constraints, and shifting political priorities on both sides of the Pacific could delay or derail even well-intentioned initiatives. Allies contemplating major capital investments remain uncertain whether U.S. policy will endure across administrations or whether cooperation will move beyond pilot programs and waivers. These risks do not weaken the case for allied shipbuilding integration; they strengthen it. Without early institutionalization, deterrence will rest on assumptions about capacity that may never materialize.

Areas for Cooperation: Destroyers

A U.S. fleet capable of countering China will require a strong destroyer fleet. Destroyers offer exceptional operational versatility through their anti-air, anti-ship, and anti-submarine capabilities. In describing the hedge force needed to confront China, Bryan Clark identifies the destroyer as a central element of the force mix because of its role in air and missile defense and in protecting other ships. As China expands its missile arsenals and extends their range, the United States must continue to build and expand its destroyer program to keep pace.

The Arleigh Burke-class destroyer (DDG 51), first commissioned in the early 1990s, remains the vital pillar of the U.S. surface fleet.  The United States currently has 74 of these destroyers in service, with 23 more hulls in the planning pipeline. Yet frequent cost overruns and delays make relying on this program alone a precarious bet. The ship has been repeatedly updated to meet changing needs, but these modifications have been imposed on a deteriorating industrial base. The result has led the Congressional Budget Office to conclude that average construction delays for the ship class have worsened significantly in recent years, with new ships now taking more than eight years to build. Meanwhile, China reportedly takes roughly two years to build its 52D destroyer and approximately three years for its more advanced Type 055.

While destroyers are crucial in a conflict against China, Beijing has more capacity to build these ships, and its advantage is only increasing. South Korea, however, is one of the world’s leading builder of destroyers. The Korean Jeongjo the Great-class destroyer is approximately one-quarter larger than the Arleigh Burke-class. The Korean destroyer also features a mix of U.S. and Korean systems on board which allow it to fire both long- and short-range missiles. Most impressive is the speed and cost with which South Korea has been able to build this ship. The destroyer was built in about three years. Secretary of the Navy John Phelan, noting the quick timeline, also observed that Korean shipyards can build this class at roughly a third of the cost of a comparable U.S. destroyer, attributing this performance to yard efficiency, workforce skill, and limited regulatory friction.

South Korea is thus a world leader in a military technology that the United States urgently needs. Working with Korea to reform U.S. yards, integrate Korean building techniques, expand co-production and licensing, and eventually purchase Korean-designed military technology will be key to developing the destroyer fleet that the United States requires.

Areas for Cooperation: Advanced Technologies

Another common criticism of U.S. shipbuilding is that the industry does not make sufficient use of advanced technologies to support the shipbuilding process. A report by the GAO found that naval shipyards have been slow to adopt digital modeling, planning tools, and other advanced technologies that can speed construction and reduce delays. Additionally, outdated equipment and reliance on labor-intensive processes rather than automation reduce U.S. efficiency. While there is a legitimate balance between preserving jobs and adopting new technology, both suffer if strategic objectives cannot be delivered on time and at scale.

Policymakers have identified increased automation as essential to improving shipbuilding effectiveness. Palantir Technologies has been working on a $448 million project to integrate AI into naval shipbuilding through the ShipOS initiative, and senior naval leaders have pledged to prioritize automation and digitalization in public and private yards. As the United States continues to develop these capabilities, South Korea and Japan should be treated not merely as investors or licensees, but as core partners.

Both South Korean and Japanese shipyards are renowned for leveraging cutting-edge technologies to improve efficiency. In South Korea, HD Hyundai is building a world-class digital shipyard that uses automation and digital modeling to enhance speed and precision; yards have begun using AI robots to weld, cutting down welding times by one-third in the process. Japanese shipbuilders employ similarly advanced 3D modeling and are investing in laser-arc hybrid welding and other techniques. South Korea and Japan have the tools and expertise to be key collaborators in identifying, developing, and deploying the technologies that will shape the future of naval shipbuilding.

As the war in Ukraine has shown, Soviet-era weapon systems and battle plans struggle to hold up in modern warfare shaped by cutting-edge technology, including AI-enabled systems and increasingly advanced requirements for speed, precision, and accuracy. In several of these areas, China faces limitations, while Korea and Japan possess notable strengths. For instance, China’s submarines have long faced criticism for acoustic noise. Meanwhile, Korean yards are building some of the most advanced conventional submarines, setting high standards for stealth and effectiveness. Working with allies to continue pushing the frontier of military technology is a valuable way to achieve economies of scale while leveraging some of the world’s most capable technical talent.

Naval shipbuilding integration would not be limited to destroyers or technology sharing. A U.S.-South Korean nuclear-powered submarine could ultimately be joined by Japan, too. Another project with lower hurdles would be an “Asian corvette” produced by the United States, Japan, and South Korea, with the aim of exporting the VLS-equipped, fast-attack vessel to help regional partners and ASEAN navies facing Chinese maritime coercion.

Barriers to Cooperation

Despite the potential for cooperation, two constraints loom largest. First, U.S. ambitions remain too narrow. Outside AUKUS, cooperation focuses mainly on maintenance, with limited progress on new construction, technology co-development, or integrated force planning. Second, legal and regulatory barriers deter sustained partnership.

The U.S. defense establishment lacks a single, empowered senior official responsible for international defense industrial cooperation. The 2018 reorganization of acquisition leadership, while intended to sharpen innovation and procurement, had the effect of diffusing authority across multiple offices. Allies were left without a clear counterpart for industrial coordination.

Even as South Korea, Japan, Australia, and other partners increase investment in U.S. and allied dual-use and defense industrial capacity, cooperation remains managed through existing channels within the Office of the Under Secretary of Defense/War for Acquisition and Sustainment. These mechanisms are functional but insufficiently empowered for the scale and strategic importance of emerging allied industrial integration. Expanding cooperation requires commensurate authority.

The Defense Innovation Board’s proposal to establish an Undersecretary of Defense for International Industrial Cooperation therefore merits urgent consideration. Shipbuilding may not be strategy, but a maritime strategy without a fleet will not sail. 

Statutory constraints–including the Jones Act and the Byrnes-Tollefson Amendment, which restrict foreign-built ships in U.S. domestic trade, and the International Traffic in Arms Regulations, which govern technology transfer–serve legitimate purposes but significantly hamper cooperation on hull construction, systems integration, and design data sharing. Case-by-case waivers, such as those granted under AUKUS, may suffice in the short-term, but they also create uncertainty and administrative burden that can hinder long-term success. Recent legislative proposals, including the SHIPS for America Act and the Ensuring Naval Readiness Act, offer partial relief and deserve prompt consideration.

Brent Sadler’s recommendations in Naval Power in Action rightly emphasize that restoring American sea power requires more than mere fleet modernization. He underscores the need to rebuild U.S. merchant shipping and shipyard capacity, while advancing a maritime alliance able to integrate industrial regeneration as deliberately as operational planning. This logic points toward a more comprehensive solution: establishing a “trusted shipbuilding partner” framework with allies such as South Korea and Japan, whose advanced shipyards, skilled workforces, and shared security standards make them natural anchors for allied naval production and sustainment. By streamlining contracting, enabling secure technology transfer, and aligning long-term production planning, such a framework would reduce friction, accelerate fleet regeneration, and transform allied shipbuilding capacity into a standing component of deterrence rather than an ad hoc supplement in crisis.

Conclusion

The United States faces a narrowing strategic choice. One path is to attempt to outbuild China domestically, but trends suggest that approach will fail. China’s shipbuilding dominance is the product of decades of focused policy and massive state-led investment. The United States cannot replicate that achievement on its own within the timeframe effective deterrence demands.

The alternative is to integrate allied shipbuilding more fully into American maritime power. The combined industrial capacity of the United States, South Korea, Japan, and other capable allies can match Chinese output while producing a force that is more resilient and adaptive over time.

Achieving this will require institutional reform, legal change, and sustained political commitment. Without such integration, however, the United States risks entering the 2030s with insufficient naval power to deter Chinese aggression, inviting the very conflict it seeks to prevent. With systematic allied integration, the United States can build the fleet required to maintain stability across the Indo-Pacific while strengthening alliances that are effective rather than entangling.

This is not about outsourcing responsibility. It is about aligning industrial reality with strategic necessity. Successful military alliances rest on shared goals, shared burdens, and shared decision-making. The purpose of integrated allied shipbuilding is not cooperation for its own sake, but the preservation of U.S. influence and therefore peace in the world’s most consequential region, what Nicholas Spykman famously described as the “Asiatic Mediterranean.”

A stronger homegrown U.S. shipbuilding and maritime industry remains essential. But domestic revitalization and allied integration are not alternatives; they are mutually reinforcing. A revitalized U.S. industrial base working closely with selected, capable, and willing maritime allies is indispensable to a strategy of deterrence along the First Island Chain. Understood in this light, allied shipbuilding is not optional. It is imperative.


Dr. Patrick M. Cronin is Asia-Pacific Security Chair at the Hudson Institute and a Scholar in Residence at Carnegie Mellon University’s Institute for Strategy and Technology (CMIST), where David Glick is a student.

This article appears courtesy of CIMSEC and may be found in its original form here

The opinions expressed herein are the author's and not necessarily those of The Maritime Executive.

Europe Offers Little Hope for People in Iran Trying to Flee US and Israeli Bombs

The growth of far right parties like Nigel Farage’s Reform may further keep refugees from reaching European shores.
March 10, 2026

Reform UK leader Nigel Farage visits anti-Iranian government protesters during a gathering outside the Iranian Embassy in central London, on January 12, 2026.HENRY NICHOLLS / AFP via Getty Images

Earlier this week, as the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran intensified, U.K. Reform Party leader Nigel Farage doubled down on his anti-immigrant and anti-refugee stances. If, he declared, refugees start leaving Iran in large numbers, they will have to be housed in the Middle East; Britain simply can’t take in any more.

Farage spoke about the U.S.-Israeli operation in Iran in glowing terms. One outcome his country should celebrate, he argued, was that if the theocratic regime falls, large numbers of Iranians currently living in the U.K. will likely return home. Consider it a twofer, he was basically saying: a bad regime falls, and the U.K. may also rid itself of some of its Muslim immigrants.

Anti-immigrant tirades could well become official British policy in the not-too-distant future. The Starmer-led Labour government has disappointed the British public since coming to power in a landslide victory in the summer of 2024, and Prime Minister Keir Starmer himself is toxic with the electorate: Latest YouGov numbers show that 69 percent of the public views him unfavorably. (Amazingly, that’s an improvement on his January numbers, when fully 75 percent viewed him negatively.) Farage’s Reform U.K., a right-wing party backed by Donald Trump and the MAGA movement, now has a good chance of being the largest grouping in Parliament come the next general election, currently scheduled for 2029.

Amid outbreaks of violence aimed at asylum seekers housed in hotels around the country, the U.K.’s Labour government is pushing through legislation that would require refugees and asylum seekers to wait 20 years before they could gain permanent residency rights. Their ability to work would also be restricted, and they would be subject to fast-track deportation proceedings should their refugee status — which will now be reviewed every 30 months — be revoked.

The U.K.’s Labour government is pushing through legislation that would require refugees and asylum seekers to wait 20 years before they could gain permanent residency rights.

Now, as Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth announced last week that the U.S. could rain down “death and destruction from the sky all day long” on the Iranian regime (and by extension the 90 million residents of Iran) — European governments are caught in a vise. The Spanish government has explicitly decried the war as being illegal; the U.K. government initially refused the U.S. the right to use Diego Garcia and other bases in the region — though subsequently backpedaled on this; and even hard-right governments such as Giorgia Meloni’s in Italy are aware that their voters vehemently disapprove of Trump’s government and his wars in the Middle East.

Yet the disapproval of Trump’s wars, and the knowledge that European policymakers have been entirely sidelined in these momentous decisions impacting global security, global energy prices, and refugee flows, apparently doesn’t translate to a willingness to host those who might flee the bombs.

A Decade-Long Far Right Lurch Against Immigration

In 2015, hundreds of thousands of Syrians who were fleeing the civil war in their home country sought asylum or refugee status in Europe. Germany and Sweden, in particular, admitted large numbers of these war refugees. But, in the years that followed, far right anti-immigration parties — including Marine Le Pen’s National Rally in France; the Alternative for Germany party (AfD) in Germany; and Meloni’s Brothers of Italy Party — built their bases on campaigns of xenophobia, and support for them surged. Seeking to neutralize the appeal of the far right, more mainstream leaders began co-opting the latter’s anti-immigrant stances, acceding to arguments by the AfD, in particular, that millions of migrants should be “re-migrated” back to their home countries.

Seeking to neutralize the appeal of the far right, more mainstream leaders began co-opting the latter’s anti-immigrant stances.

In 2024, the European Parliament ratified the Pact on Migration and Asylum, making it easier for member states to deport would-be asylum seekers. In late 2025, the pact was amended to expand the list of third countries that asylees have transited through that they could now be deported back into. Cumulatively, these rule changes will allow for fast-track hearings (and deportations) for residents from a slew of poor, mainly southern hemisphere countries seeking refuge in Europe. The provisions of the new pact and the third country rule will kick in this summer. Amnesty International has denounced it as a “shameless attempt to sidestep international legal obligations.”

The EU alleges that, in retaliation for its support for Ukraine since the 2022 war began, Russia and Belarus are actively bringing asylum seekers in and then helping them evade EU border patrols and enter Poland and the Baltic States. In response, EU countries began rolling back the rights to claim asylum. In March of last year, the Polish government suspended this right for migrants entering the country via its border with Belarus. Finland also moved to limit the right to claim asylum for people entering the country over its border with Russia.

The moves on the eastern borders proved politically popular, and there is now a continent-wide effort to clamp down on asylum seekers.

Opinion polls in Germany show that the governing center-right Christian Democratic Union of Germany (CDU) and the extremist AfD are tied for first place, each with support from a quarter of the electorate. In France, Marine LePen’s party is in pole position to win the next parliamentary and presidential elections in 2029. Italy is governed by Meloni’s hard-right Brothers of Italy party, which has passed several anti-immigration policies. And in the U.K., with the electorate increasingly fractured and multiple parties breaking through in what has historically been a two party-dominated parliamentary system, Reform continues to lead in national polling. As politics moves rightward, with immigration proving to be a motivating force, mainstream governments are positioning themselves ever more against migrants.

In fact throughout all the large countries in Europe, only Spain, which has recently announced an amnesty for half a million undocumented immigrants, is bucking the trend and liberalizing many of its immigration laws. It’s likely that that action, as much as the Spanish government’s refusal to grant the U.S. rights to fly bombing raids from its bases, was what led to Trump’s recent threat to cut the country off from all trade with the United States.

The outlook is particularly bleak for those seeking safety from U.S. bombs.

Earlier this March, European ministers began holding a series of meetings to explore options should the war in Iran — a country of nearly 100 million that the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees estimates currently houses up to 3.7 million refugees, most of them from Afghanistan — result in a flood westward of refugees. In those meetings, Sweden’s migration minister declared that allowing entry to a new wave of war refugees — which would not only include Iranians, but also refugees who had sought shelter in Iran — “is not an option”for Europe.

With most of Europe now firmly committed to a lockdown model that keeps desperate people caught in war zones far from the continent’s shores, and with the United States having all but ended its admission of refugees and asylum seekers, the outlook is particularly bleak for those seeking safety from U.S. bombs. Caught between the theocrats of the Iranian regime and the bombs-away brigade running Washington, D.C., Iranian civilians in 2026 have nowhere to run. The result could well be a humanitarian calamity.



This article is licensed under Creative Commons (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0), and you are free to share and republish under the terms of the license.

Sasha Abramsky


Sasha Abramsky is a freelance journalist and a part-time lecturer at the University of California at Davis. Abramsky’s latest book, American Carnage: How Trump, Musk, and DOGE Butchered the US Government, is available for pre-order now and will be released in January. His work has appeared in numerous publications, including The Nation, The Atlantic Monthly, New York Magazine, The Village Voice and Rolling Stone. He also writes a weekly political column. Originally from England, with a bachelor’s in politics, philosophy and economics from Oxford University and a master’s degree from the Columbia University Graduate School of Journalism, he now lives in Sacramento, California.
The State Is Escalating Charges Against Protesters. Labor Must Defend Them.

John Caravello is facing decades in prison for an anti-ICE protest. He needs labor to build a national defense campaign.
March 11, 2026

Federal agents block people protesting an ICE immigration raid at a nearby licensed cannabis farm on July 10, 2025, near Camarillo, California.Mario Tama / Getty Images

On July 10, 2025, as federal agents stormed cannabis farms in Ventura County, California, community members rushed to protest what they saw as yet another sweeping Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) raid. Among them was Jonathan Caravello, a 37-year-old philosophy lecturer at California State University Channel Islands. Today, he faces a federal felony charge that could send him to prison for up to 20 years.

At a time when anti-immigrant enforcement is intensifying and protest is increasingly reframed as criminal conspiracy, Caravello’s prosecution poses a strategic question: Will unions and solidarity movements remain defensive and fragmented, or will they organize a public campaign that makes repression politically costly?
What Happened in Camarillo

The ICE operations in Camarillo, California, led to hundreds of arrests and tense confrontations between agents and community members who had gathered in protest. The night before, Caravello had spoken at the Camarillo City Council, asking the community to peacefully rally against the impending raids: “It’s my responsibility to protect them, and so I’ve been patrolling the city streets following armed, masked thugs trying to kidnap my neighbors.”

On July 10, Caravello was present at the site, and, according to witnesses, he was arrested directly after he attempted to dislodge a tear gas canister from underneath a protester’s wheelchair. Federal authorities allege that earlier in the protest, Caravello picked up a canister and threw it toward Border Patrol agents, characterizing the act as assaulting a federal officer with a “deadly weapon” under 18 U.S.C. § 111.


Fired for “Crime” of Speaking at Socialism Summit, Texas Professor Speaks Out
Professor Tom Alter is appealing to Texas’s Board of Regents after being temporarily reinstated and then fired again. By Ashley Smith , Truthout October 31, 2025


He was initially charged with a misdemeanor and released on July 14 on a $15,000 surety bond (which allows a defendant to be released with a partial payment of bail that only must be paid in full if the defendant fails to arrive at court). Caravello told me that his release came with restrictive conditions: electronic monitoring, an 8:00 pm to 5:00 am curfew, travel limitations to the Central District of California, mandatory drug testing, and therapy requirements.

If protest can expose participants to decades-long felony sentences, the chilling effect will spread well beyond campus activists.

The most disturbing development came on September 3, when a federal grand jury drastically escalated the stakes by indicting Caravello on a felony charge under the same statute. The tear gas canister — deployed by federal agents — was now described as a “deadly weapon,” allowing prosecutors to pursue a charge carrying a potential 20-year sentence. Caravello pleaded not guilty at his November 6 arraignment. His trial is currently set for March 24, 2026.

Supporters argue there is no credible evidence of a violent assault and that prosecutors are treating a chaotic protest incident as a federal felony to send a chilling message to others who act in solidarity with immigrant communities

A Broader Pattern of “Lawfare”

Caravello’s case is not an isolated legal dispute. It reflects a pattern of escalation by the state to criminalize dissent, particularly activism in solidarity with immigrants and Palestine, as well as environmental activists, as federal authorities stretch statutes to curb protest. Like other cases stemming from last summer’s mobilizations in Southern California, prosecutors have pursued inflated charges, often relying largely on ICE agents’ accounts, in ways that appear designed to intimidate movements and deter protest.

There are already a number of reports that confirm that U.S. immigration agents included inaccurate and deceptive claims in several official reports concerning a number of Los Angeles demonstrators detained during the large-scale protests that shook the city in June, and several felony cases have been dismissed because they were relying on false testimonies.

The case of Alejandro Orellana is illustrative. Orellana was federally indicted on charges of conspiracy to commit civil disorder and aiding and abetting civil disorder for allegedly distributing protective face shields during anti-ICE protests in downtown Los Angeles. On July 29, 2025, a federal judge dismissed the case without prejudice. This victory followed a broad solidarity campaign led in part by the Committee to Stop FBI Repression’s organizing efforts, which raised national awareness and generated public pressure.

After the June mobilizations led by the Community Self-Defense Coalition and other groups, the federal government launched an aggressive prosecutorial push in Southern California. Sen. Josh Hawley (R-Missouri), chair of the Senate Judiciary Subcommittee on Crime and Counterterrorism, sent letters to several organizations announcing an investigation into the funding behind protests in Los Angeles.

In addition, under Attorney General Pam Bondi’s direction, U.S. Attorney Bill Essayli stretched legal limits to seek dozens of grand jury indictments against immigrant solidarity protesters, filing 38 felony charges but securing only seven indictments.

The Los Angeles Times reported that Essayli berated a grand jury for refusing to indict protesters and quoted a prosecutor anonymously describing internal pressure to approve charges: “If Bill asks you to jump, you ask how high.” In a July radio interview, Essayli complained of “hostile judges” and an office “with left-leaning attorneys” who needed to be “reoriented.” Meanwhile Bondi publicly praised him as a “champion for law and order.”

Campaigns that rely on elite allies or quiet legal maneuvering narrow their scope. Durable defense must be rooted in unions and grassroots organizations.

In this context, the escalation of Caravello’s charge from a misdemeanor to a felony appears less isolated than strategic. Supporters argue that the case is meant to set an example, particularly against a union-active professor who is outspoken on immigrant rights and solidarity with Palestine. As Sang Hea Kil, a San José State University professor, said at a union-sponsored free speech forum at California State University, Los Angeles: “The prosecution is political, not based on real proof of assault. His real ‘crime’ was joining other university and community members in protesting the raids and advocating democratic rights.”

The Role of Unions in Defending Civil Rights

When Caravello was arrested on July 10, his family and colleagues did not know his whereabouts for several days. The California Faculty Association (CFA) launched an urgent campaign to locate him and secure his release, condemning what it described as his “abduction and disappearance.”

Sustained union pressure through public rallies and calls to legislators contributed to his release on July 14. CFA President Margarita Berta-Ávila stated, “Professor Caravello’s freedom is the result of collective action. Faculty, students, labor unions, and immigrant rights advocates across the country stood together to demand justice.” It also started this petition to demand that the charges be dropped.

But release on bond is not exoneration. The March 2026 trial looms, with implications beyond one individual. If throwing back a tear gas canister during a protest can be reframed as a 20-year felony, union members participating in solidarity actions may face serious criminal exposure. That is why CFA President Berta-Ávila is urging “all members and the community to attend the trial and rally outside to show their support.” In an interview with me, she added, “John exemplifies who we are as a union; we not only fight for our students, but we also defend our communities. It is our responsibility to support him and those facing similar charges for standing in solidarity with immigrants.”

This case echoes that of David Huerta, president of SEIU California and SEIU-USWW, representing 50,000 janitors and service workers, many of whom are first- and second-generation immigrants. Huerta was arrested on June 6, 2025, while protesting a federal immigration raid, where he allegedly sat in front of a gate, urging others to block law enforcement. He was charged with felony conspiracy to impede a federal officer. The union called for his release, secured three days later, and demanded “the release of all people unjustly detained and an end to the raids,” insisting detainees have access to legal representation and constitutional rights.

Huerta, like Caravello, awaits trial but faces a lighter sentence after the original felony conspiracy charge was reduced to a misdemeanor obstruction count carrying up to one year in prison.

Defending Huerta and Caravello — and other labor activists arrested in Southern California and Minneapolis, Minnesota — is not only about securing fair trials. It is also about protecting the political space unions need to oppose government policy and stand with targeted communities. As anti-immigrant enforcement expands and protests are recast as conspiracies, movements must decide whether to treat these prosecutions as isolated misfortunes or as part of a coordinated pattern demanding resistance.

Lessons From History


The United States has seen this pattern before. From the Haymarket prosecutions to the trial of Sacco and Vanzetti and the McCarthy-era witch hunts, immigrant activists and labor organizers have faced criminalization for political activity.

Nicola Sacco and Bartolomeo Vanzetti, Italian immigrant anarchists, were arrested in 1920 and tried in a climate of anti-immigrant fervor during the Red Scare. Despite weak evidence and global protest, they were executed in 1927. Their case became emblematic of the use of courts to punish radical dissent.

In response, socialists founded the International Labor Defense (ILD) in 1925 as a permanent organization for workers’ defense. The ILD combined courtroom advocacy with mass mobilization — organizing rallies, publishing the Labor Defender, raising funds through unions, and building local defense committees. As James P. Cannon wrote, “The defense committee was not an auxiliary — it was the movement itself under fire.” Within a year, the ILD had expanded nationwide, organizing Labor Defense Day events in dozens of cities and building 156 branches with tens of thousands of members and affiliates. It openly challenged racist prosecutions, anti-labor injunctions, and the class bias of the courts.

The ILD model offers three enduring lessons.

First, class independence matters. Campaigns that rely on elite allies or quiet legal maneuvering narrow their scope. Durable defense must be rooted in unions and grassroots organizations.

Second, mass mobilization is indispensable. Courtroom arguments alone rarely defeat politically motivated prosecutions. Public pressure — rallies, teach-ins, solidarity statements, fundraising, and coordinated messaging — shifts the terrain.

Third, the ongoing repression must be understood as a designed plan to chill dissent. These prosecutions are not aberrations but recurring features of the authoritarian turn of the Trump administration, and treating them as isolated misjudgments obscures their purpose.

A visible, united-front defense campaign rooted in labor, immigrant organizations, and civil liberties advocates would make clear that criminalizing solidarity will not go unchallenged.

Recent efforts, such as the ongoing national tour organized by the Committee to Defend Tom Alter — a tenured history professor at Texas State University, fired for his public speech at a conference on socialism — suggest the beginnings of renewed class-based defense structures. Bringing together the cases of Tom Alter, Sang Hea Kil (who is fighting her dismissal for her support for Palestine), and John Caravello, the recent forum on free speech at California State University, Los Angeles, called for expanding this defense model and establishing a national coordination — linking academic freedom, immigrant justice, and labor solidarity. Hea Kil explained that “the attack on civil liberties and academic freedom is not over. NSPM-7, Trump’s presidential memorandum that claims to focus on ‘Countering Domestic Terrorism and Organized Political Violence’ but is in fact a declaration of war against all who disagree with Trump’s ideology, is coming for us all. It ties Tom’s, John’s, and my case, and its potential to be unleashed on higher ed faculty and programs should not be underestimated.”

What Is at Stake


The stakes extend far beyond a handful of professors. If protest can expose participants to decades-long felony sentences, the chilling effect will spread well beyond campus activists, reaching unions, immigrant communities, and solidarity networks nationwide. History shows that silence invites the state to escalate. A visible, united-front defense campaign rooted in labor, immigrant organizations, and civil liberties advocates would make clear that criminalizing solidarity will not go unchallenged.

The question is not simply whether John Caravello will be acquitted. It is whether movements will defend the political space necessary for dissent itself, before that space narrows further. As Huerta stated in a recent interview, it is time for labor to move out of a “defensive posture” — that is, the necessary “know your rights” trainings and rapid response for workers who are detained. To go on offense, we must start organizing for labor action.


This article is licensed under Creative Commons (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0), and you are free to share and republish under the terms of the license.

Blanca Missé

Blanca Missé is an associate professor of French at San Francisco State University, a member of the executive board of the San Francisco State University Chapter of the California Faculty Association, a member of California Scholars for Academic Freedom, and a militant of Workers’ Voice.
Expert Explains in Fiery Hearing How Trump’s Mass Deportation Agenda Is Actually a ‘Population Purge’

Republican Sen. John Kennedy scoffed as David J. Bier of the Cato Institute outlined how the Trump administration has openly demanded “ethnic cleansing” through the deportation of 100 million people.



David J. Bier, director of immigration studies at the Cato Institute, testifies before the Subcommittee on Border Security and Immigration at the US Capitol on February 10, 2026 in Washington, DC.
(Photo by Heather Diehl/Getty Images)



Julia Conley
Mar 11, 2026
COMMON  DREAMS

A Republican senator on Tuesday accused an immigration policy expert of “hyperbole” in his condemnation of President Donald Trump’s anti-immigration agenda during a hearing—but the witness, David J. Bier of the libertarian Cato Institute, emphasized that the administration’s own words and policies have clearly pointed to a goal of expelling millions of citizens from the United States.

At a hearing on sanctuary cities held by the Senate Budget Committee, Sen. John Kennedy (R-La.) read a post Bier wrote on social media in December 2025 in which he said Trump administration officials “think they can troll their way into us accepting ethnic cleansing,” suggesting it was one of many “hyperbolic statements” that discredit Bier.

Bier, the director of immigration studies for the Cato Institute, has spent the past year tracking the Trump administration’s mass deportation agenda, in which a majority of people who have been detained have had no criminal convictions, despite the White House’s persistent claims it is targeting “the worst of the worst” violent criminals.

He was unfazed by Kennedy’s questioning, quickly replying that his comment was in response to a social media post by the Department of Homeland Security’s official account in which the agency shared an image of a Cadillac on a beach, featuring the message, “America after 100 million deportations.”

“That was in regard to a Department of Homeland Security post about advocating 100 million deportations,” said Bier as the senator attempted to talk over him. “One hundred million deportations would be ethnic cleansing. You would be removing one-third of country.”



Kennedy didn’t respond, instead reading a post Bier wrote on March 2 which said: “If you rule against Trump’s population purge agenda... the nativists will name you, threaten you, and come after you. These judges are much braver than the [Immigration and Customs Enforcement] agents who hide behind masks while violating the Constitution.”

Bier stood by his defense of judges; his post had been in reference to a “60 Minutes” interview given by US District Judge John Coughenour, who described a hoax in which law enforcement showed up at his house after getting a report that he had murdered his wife. He also received a bomb threat, with both incidents taking place after he ruled against Trump’s executive order aimed at ending the 14th Amendment’s guarantee of birthright citizenship.

The Cato expert also defended his reference to a “population purge,” saying: “I’m talking about the fact that they’re trying to deport US citizens, people born here. They are trying to deport them as well. So it’s not a ‘mass deportation agenda.’ It is also an agenda intended to reduce the population of the United States.”

“These are not hyperbolic statements,” he said as Kennedy hurled insults at Bier, asking “what planet” he was from and telling him he triggered the senator’s “gag reflex” before being cut off by Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC).

Kennedy also accused Bier of making a “hyperbolic statement” on February 11, when he posted on the social media platform Bluesky that in addition to advising US military officers to refuse to carry out illegal orders, Democratic members of Congress should warn them “to refuse unethical orders.”

Bier readily defended his remark, asking Kennedy: “Do you disagree with it? You think people should do unethical things?” The senator didn’t respond.

It was unclear whether Kennedy was unfamiliar with the president’s plan to strip people of their US citizenship—one of the first efforts of his second term, with the executive order signed just after he took office—or if he was simply “looking for fundraising sound bites,” as one Cato Institute staffer posited.

Bier said Wednesday that it was the second time in a month that Kennedy has appeared “shocked” to learn about the policies of the president he has supported for nearly a decade.

“Just a month earlier I had explained to him how the Trump administration has already banned HALF of all legal immigrants to the US,” said Bier, pointing to his testimony from February in which he explained how the White House has suspended immigrant visas and US Citizenship and Immigration Services benefit applications.


The hearing on sanctuary cities was subtitled “The Cost of Undermining Law and Order,” but Bier focused his testimony on the Cato Institute’s extensive research that’s found immigration has reduced government deficits by at least $14.5 trillion over the last 30 years.

“I was invited to the Budget Committee because of this comprehensive study Cato published, not to discuss random tweets,” said Bier. “The Democrats all wanted to talk substance. The other side name-called. Incredible contrast.”