Saturday, March 21, 2026

 

US House Democrat blasts Commerce’s ‘highly concerning’ $1.6B USA Rare Earth deal


US Congresswoman Zoe Lofgren speaking with attendees at the 2019 California Democratic Party State Convention. Credit: Gage Skidmore | Wikimedia Commons, under licence CC BY-SA 2.0.

A senior House Democrat accused US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick on Thursday of structuring Washington’s $1.58 billion investment into USA Rare Earth in a way that gives the government “highly concerning” leverage over the company while boosting Lutnick’s family-run investment firm.

In a 10-page letter, Representative Zoe Lofgren, the ranking member of the House Committee on Science, Space, and Technology, wrote that the proposed deal would let the Commerce Department keep an equity stake even if it decides not to invest while also leaving the company reliant on a $1.5 billion private capital raise led by Cantor Fitzgerald, the financial firm previously led by Lutnick and now run by his sons.

“This deal creates a massive personal conflict by granting the Secretary of Commerce overwhelming leverage to influence the behavior of a private company while positioning him to promote the interests of his sons as a condition of his support,” wrote Lofgren, a California Democrat.

The letter offers a glimpse into the types of investigations Democrats could pursue if they regain power in Washington after the November midterm elections, as lawmakers scrutinize the administration’s aggressive use of federal financing and equity stakes to reshape supply chains for critical minerals and other strategic industries.

CEO Barbara Humpton and a spokesperson for USA Rare Earth were not immediately available to comment. The Commerce Department did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

Funding in exchange for equity stake

The Commerce Department’s CHIPS Program Office in January signed a non-binding letter of intent to provide up to $1.58 billion in funding to USA Rare Earth — including a $277 million grant and a $1.3 billion loan — in exchange for an equity stake of between 8% and 16%.

The funds are slated to help the company develop a mine in Sierra Blanca, Texas, slated to open by 2028, and a magnet manufacturing plant in Stillwater, Oklahoma, which ​is expected to open this year.

According to the company’s regulatory filings, the government could retain its equity stake even if the deal falls through or if funding is clawed back, a provision Lofgren called “deeply strange” for a federal investment.

The company must meet a series of milestones to receive the funding, including raising additional private capital, completing technical studies and demonstrating market demand for its manufacturing plans, according to the filing.

Lofgren argues those conditions could leave the company dependent on the discretion of Commerce officials and create the potential for undue influence, especially given that the private capital raise from Cantor Fitzgerald is a condition for finalizing the government investment.

“The interplay between the company’s vulnerability and your personal conflict is a glaring red flag,” Lofgren wrote.

The lawmaker also questioned whether the Commerce Department has legal authority to take equity stakes in companies under the CHIPS and Science Act, arguing that the law’s “other transaction” authority does not allow government stakes in private firms.

The Trump administration has used similar structures to take equity positions in a range of companies, arguing the investments are needed to strengthen domestic supply chains and national security.

Lofgren asked the department to provide the committee with documents tied to the deal’s negotiation by April 3.

Reuters reported in January that a US Senate committee is separately reviewing at least one other equity deal in the critical minerals sector.

(By Jarrett Renshaw and Ernest Scheyder; Editing by Sergio Non and Rod Nickel)


The Three Companies Rebuilding America’s Rare-Earth Arsenal

Three small American companies are quietly rebuilding one of the most strategically important supply chains in the modern economy - the rare-earth pipeline that feeds the magnets inside missiles, fighter jets, electric vehicles, and advanced manufacturing.

In California, MP Materials operates the Mountain Pass Mine, the country’s only large-scale rare-earth mining complex and the primary domestic source of rare-earth concentrate.

And in Utah, Energy Fuels processes monazite sands at the White Mesa Mill, producing rare-earth carbonate that feeds downstream refining and metal production.


In Ohio, REalloys already operates the only heavy rare-earth metallization capability in North America at its facility in Euclid, where rare-earth oxides are converted into the metals and alloys used to manufacture high-performance permanent magnets.

Now REalloys is expanding that platform, announcing a fully financed buildout of what is expected to become the largest heavy rare-earth metallization facility outside China.

The effort is unfolding with the full force of U.S. defense procurement policy behind it. Modern weapons systems - from missile guidance to radar and advanced aircraft - depend on rare-earth magnets, yet the supply chain for those materials remains heavily concentrated in China.

Beginning in 2027, U.S. procurement rules will prohibit defense systems from using magnets derived from Chinese rare-earth supply chains, forcing manufacturers to secure alternative sources.

“The establishment of heavy rare earth metal production on U.S. soil is a defining moment for North American industrial strategy,” said Stephen duMont, Chairman of REalloys. “The Ohio facility will create the metallization capability that bridges Canadian oxide production with U.S. magnet manufacturing — a critical link that’s never existed at scale in the West. This is not a pilot plant; this will be full scale commercial capacity, and full compliance with Title 50 defense sourcing requirements. This is how we rebuild supply sovereignty from the ground up.”

Reports from the South China Morning Post and Reuters indicate Washington may have only  months of certain rare-earth inventories available for defense manufacturing if supply disruptions deepen. The warning comes as the United States continues a high-tempo air campaign against Iran that is consuming large quantities of advanced weapons systems.

For decades the United States and its allies allowed the most technically demanding stages of the rare-earth supply chain to migrate overseas. Mining continued in several countries, but the industrial processes that convert rare-earth oxides into metals and magnet materials consolidated overwhelmingly in China.

That concentration now represents one of the most sensitive vulnerabilities in the Western defense industrial base.

Beginning in 2027, U.S. procurement rules will prohibit defense systems from using magnets derived from Chinese rare-earth supply chains, forcing manufacturers to secure alternative sources across the entire value chain—from mining to metallization and magnet production.

And these three companies are doing it all…

#1 REalloys (NASDAQ:ALOY) — Rebuilding the Precision Stage of the Supply Chain

If mining begins the rare-earth supply chain, and processing takes it further, metallization is where the materials finally become usable.

Rare-earth oxides - the powder produced after separation - cannot go directly into manufacturing. Before magnets can be produced, those oxides must be chemically reduced into pure metals and blended into precise alloys that serve as feedstock for permanent magnet production. That step requires tightly controlled reactions, high-temperature furnaces, and complex process control systems capable of maintaining stable yields and purity across multiple rare-earth elements.

For decades, that metallurgical conversion took place overwhelmingly inside China.

In Ohio, REalloys is rebuilding that capability.

At its facility in Euclid, the company converts rare-earth oxides into finished metals and magnet alloys used by defense contractors and advanced manufacturers. It remains the only operating heavy rare-earth metallization capability in North America.

“Metallization is the least developed part of the value chain outside China,” said REalloys co-founder Tim Johnston. “It requires deep operating expertise and process control systems capable of managing complex variables in continuous production.”

Now the company is preparing to scale that capability significantly.

REalloys has announced plans to construct what is expected to become the largest heavy rare-earth metallization platform outside China, capable of converting rare-earth oxides into roughly 600 tons per year of high-purity metalsincluding neodymium, praseodymium, dysprosium and terbium.

Those metals form the core feedstock for permanent magnets used in electric motors, radar systems, drones, missile guidance units and advanced industrial machinery.

The expansion is being developed in partnership with the Saskatchewan Research Council, which is building North America’s first fully integrated commercial rare-earth processing facility in Saskatoon. Under the agreement, REalloys will fund upgrades to the facility and secure the majority of its production, including high-purity neodymium-praseodymium metals as well as dysprosium and terbium oxides used to manufacture high-temperature defense magnets.

Once processed in Canada, those materials will move to Ohio for metallization and alloying, creating one of the first fully allied rare-earth supply chains linking Canadian processing with U.S. manufacturing.

It’s no small feat. Even under ideal conditions, replicating heavy rare-earth metallization capability can take years.

“We’ve already solved the hardest part—proving that rare-earth metallization and alloying can be done domestically to the specifications real customers require,” Johnston said.

The company’s ambitions extend further downstream as well.

REalloys is also developing a large-scale permanent magnet manufacturing facility designed to produce 3,000 tons of NdFeB magnets annually in its first phase and eventually scale to roughly 18,000 tons per year. At full capacity, that output could supply magnets for 1.5 to 2 million electric vehicles annually, along with thousands of wind turbines, robotics systems and large volumes of industrial motors.

Defense applications remain among the most demanding uses for these materials, requiring magnets capable of operating under extreme temperatures and mechanical stress.

The strategic importance of rebuilding this capability has attracted attention well beyond the industrial sector. The company recently appointed retired U.S. Army four-star general Jack Keane, former Vice Chief of Staff of the Army, to its board.

Keane has long been one of Washington’s most prominent voices on defense readiness and supply chain resilience, and his involvement underscores the growing national-security significance of rebuilding the rare-earth materials pipeline inside North America.

#2 MP Materials (NYSE:MP): Rebuilding America’s Rare-Earth Mine

In California, MP Materials Corp is positioned right at the very beginning of America’s rare-earth supply chain.

The company operates the Mountain Pass Mine in California’s Mojave Desert - the only large-scale rare-earth mining operation currently active in the United States and the primary domestic source of rare-earth concentrate.

For decades, MP Materials and its predecessor companies have tried to restore rare-earth mining to the continental United States and reduce reliance on foreign supply chains that feed technologies ranging from electric vehicles and wind turbines to advanced defense systems.

The challenge has never been geology. Rare earth deposits exist around the world.

The problem is China’s dominance of the industrial system that processes those materials. China accounts for roughly 70% of global rare-earth extraction and about 90% of processing, giving Beijing enormous leverage over the supply chain.

That dominance has repeatedly destabilized the market. At times China has restricted exports of rare-earth materials, sending prices sharply higher. At other times it has flooded the market with exports, driving prices so low that Western producers struggle to survive—a cycle that previously forced the bankruptcy of Mountain Pass’s former owner, Molycorp.

Washington has now stepped in to change that dynamic.

In July 2025, the U.S. Department of Defense announced a series of measures aimed at accelerating domestic rare-earth production and reducing reliance on foreign supply chains. The plan included a $400 million investment in preferred stock in MP Materials, a 10-year offtake agreement guaranteeing purchases of neodymium-praseodymium (NdPr) oxide, and $150 million in financing to expand heavy-rare-earth separation capacity and build a large-scale magnet manufacturing facility.

MP Materials has already selected a site for that next phase. The company plans to construct its “10X” magnet manufacturing facility at a 120-acre site in Northlake, Texas, where it aims to eventually produce 10,000 metric tons of rare-earth magnets annually.

If successful, the project would move the company further downstream in the rare-earth value chain - from mining and processing toward full magnet manufacturing - an industry long dominated by China.

#3 Energy Fuels (NYSEAMERICAN: UUUU) — The Processing Support

In Utah, Energy Fuels controls one of the most strategically important pieces of industrial infrastructure in the American critical-minerals landscape: the White Mesa Mill.

Located near Blanding, the facility is the only operating conventional uranium mill in the United States and the only plant in the country capable of processing monazite concentrates into separated rare-earth oxides. After more than four decades of continuous operation, the mill represents something extremely rare in the Western rare-earth sector: fully permitted, operating processing infrastructure.

That capability places Energy Fuels at an important stage of the rare-earth supply chain in between MP Materials and REalloys. Energy Fuels operates the industrial step in between - separating rare-earth minerals into the individual oxides that downstream metallization facilities require.

The company is now moving to scale that role dramatically.

Energy Fuels plans to expand White Mesa’s rare-earth processing capacity from roughly 10,000 tonnes of monazite feed per year to as much as 60,000 tonnes annually, producing up to 6,000 tonnes of neodymium-praseodymium (NdPr) oxide along with hundreds of tonnes of dysprosium and terbium oxides.

Energy Fuels is also moving downstream in the supply chain, with plans to acquire Australian Strategic Materials in a transaction valued at roughly $299 million and geared toward vertical integration.

Energy Fuels CEO Mark Chalmers described the transaction as a major step toward building a fully integrated Western supply chain for rare-earth materials used in automotive, robotics, energy, and defense technologies.

By. Charles Kennedy


A New U.S. Facility Could Break China’s Grip on Critical Materials

REalloys (NASDAQ: ALOY) has announced a fully financed buildout of the largest heavy rare-earth metallization facility outside China, a project aimed squarely at one of the most fragile links in the Western defense supply chain just as Washington prepares to enforce its 2027 ban on Chinese-origin rare earth materials in U.S. weapons systems.

The timing coincides with rapidly growing concern about supply availability. Chinese and Western media reports indicate Washington may have only two months of critical rare-earth inventories available for defense manufacturing if supply disruptions deepen.

Shortages are already beginning to surface in industrial markets. Reuters reports that suppliers to U.S. aerospace and semiconductor companies have started turning away some customers as supplies of niche rare earth materials tighten.

Rare earth elements underpin key components of modern warfare, from missile guidance systems and drone propulsion to radar arrays and advanced fighter aircraft electronics.

“If China said we’re not going to give you rare earths, that means no F-35s, no missiles,” said Mike Crabtree, CEO of the Saskatchewan Research Council (SRC), in an interview with oilprice.com last month. 

The reach of these materials extends far beyond the defense sector.

“Almost everything you can point to either has rare earths in it to make it work or was produced by something that had rare earths in it to be able to produce that article,” Crabtree said.

Yet the West spent decades allowing the most technically demanding parts of this supply chain to move offshore. Mining continued in various parts of the world, but the industrial stages that transform rare earth materials into usable metals and magnets steadily consolidated in China.

“In the last 10 to 15 years, the majority of the upstream and midstream supply chain for rare earth has been controlled by China,” Crabtree said.

That concentration now represents a strategic exposure for Western industry and defense planners alike. Beginning in 2027, U.S. procurement rules will prohibit defense systems from using magnets derived from Chinese rare earth supply chains, forcing manufacturers to secure alternative sources.

Rebuilding those capabilities is complicated and time-consuming.

REAlloys’ metallization operations in Euclid, Ohio represent one of the few facilities in North America already converting rare-earth oxides into metals and magnet-grade alloys.

The rare earth supply chain moves through several stages. Ore is mined and processed into concentrates, which are then separated into individual oxides such as neodymium and praseodymium.

But oxide powder is not what manufacturers use.

Before entering production, those oxides must be chemically reduced into rare earth metals and blended into specialized alloys that serve as feedstock for permanent magnets.

For decades, that metallurgical step—from oxide to metal—has taken place overwhelmingly inside China, even when the raw materials themselves were mined or separated elsewhere.

That gap has long represented the weakest point in the Western supply chain.

REAlloys (NASDAQ: ALOY) is seeking to close it, quickly.

At its Euclid facility, the company converts rare-earth oxides into finished metals and magnet alloys through high-temperature reduction and refining processes. These materials supply magnet manufacturers and advanced industrial customers.

“Metallization is the least developed part of the value chain outside China,” said REAlloys co-founder Tim Johnston. “It requires deep operating expertise and process control systems capable of managing complex variables in continuous production.”

Even under ideal conditions, replicating that capability takes years.

The project announced this week aims to accelerate that rebuilding effort.

In partnership with the Saskatchewan Research Council, REAlloys plans to construct the largest heavy rare-earth metallization facility outside China. The platform will integrate with the company’s existing operations and supply materials for the U.S. defense industrial base and Defense Logistics Agency stockpiles.

SRC’s processing facility in Saskatoon will produce key rare-earth materials, including neodymium-praseodymium alloys, along with dysprosium and terbium oxides. These elements enhance the strength and heat resistance of high-performance permanent magnets.

“What REAlloys will be buying from SRC will be both the bulk NdPr and the smaller but highly valuable quantities of dysprosium and terbium oxides,” Crabtree said.

Those materials will then move through REAlloys’ metallization and alloying processes before entering magnet manufacturing for use across defense systems, renewable energy equipment, robotics and advanced industrial machinery.

The company is also planning a large-scale NdFeB magnet manufacturing facility in the United States capable of producing roughly 3,000 tons annually in its initial phase and scaling to as much as 10,000 tons per year.

If it achieves that level of output, the facility could supply magnets for roughly 1.5 to 2 million electric vehicles each year, along with thousands of wind turbines and large volumes of industrial motors, robotics systems and medical equipment.

This potential shift in the rare-earth supply chain also has major implications for U.S. defense contractors. Companies such as General Dynamics (NYSE: GD), Honeywell (NASDAQ: HON), and L3Harris Technologies (NYSE: LHX) depend on a reliable domestic source of high-performance magnets for platforms ranging from Patriot missiles to advanced radar systems. By establishing a fully allied supply chain with REalloys and SRC, the defense industrial base could mitigate the risks posed by Chinese supply concentration and align production timelines with critical procurement schedules

By combining upstream resource partnerships, Canadian rare-earth processing and U.S. metallization and manufacturing, the REAlloys-SRC platform aims to establish a fully allied rare-earth supply chain.

If the buildout proceeds as planned, it will represent one of the largest non-Asian rare-earth magnet production hubs in the world.

And it will come online just as the United States begins enforcing new procurement rules designed to remove Chinese rare earth materials from the defense supply chain.

“Rare-earth projects outside China today often rely, directly or indirectly, on Chinese inputs, including process technology, investment capital, and the procurement of key equipment, systems, or consumables. Even many ‘non-Chinese’ producers remain exposed to China somewhere in their value chain, REalloys’ chief technical officer, Andy Sherman, told Oilprice.com in an interview.

“REalloys’ strategy is to remove this nexus entirely, because any reliance on China creates strategic vulnerability and leaves supply chains open to geopolitical influence. To be even 1% reliant on China is, in practical terms, to be 100% exposed.”

By. Josh Owens


AG

China pulls silver from global markets to meet surging demand

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China’s ravenous appetite for silver lifted overseas purchases to an eight-year high at the start of 2026, as importers fed a surge in industrial and investment demand.

The world’s biggest buyer pulled in over 790 tons in the first two months, including nearly 470 tons in February, the highest ever for that month, according to Chinese customs data on Friday. Strong demand has pushed local prices well above international benchmarks, whittling down already-low exchange stockpiles and hoovering up metal from abroad.

Silver prices have never had such a volatile start to a year, soaring about 70% on a wave of speculative buying from China and elsewhere, before abruptly giving up their gains at the end of January. The strong import figures suggest physical consumption in China has been sustained despite shifts in trading flows.

Demand has come from both retail investors piling into silver bars, an alternative to increasingly pricey gold, and solar manufacturers front-loading production ahead of the removal of export tax rebates on April 1. The solar industry consumes about a fifth of annual supply, and is overwhelmingly located in China.

Demand for physical bars is very strong, and solar cell manufacturers “are going gangbusters,” said Rhona O’Connell, head of market analysis for EMEA and Asia at StoneX Group Inc. “At the same time, inventories in Chinese exchanges have been falling lower and lower, which has its own psychological effect.”

Much of the metal has flowed through Hong Kong, a gateway for precious metals headed to the mainland, as traders sought to profit from an attractive arbitrage opportunity. In the first two months, prices in the territory for the large silver bars traded by banks have attracted a premium of as much as $8 an ounce, when they usually trade at a discount to the benchmark in London, said Stanley Cheung, managing director of AC Precious Metals Refinery Ltd.

China’s lofty imports have yet to disrupt the London market, thanks to a record inflow of silver into the global trading hub following an historic squeeze last year. Less silver held in exchange-traded funds around the world, which have dropped this year by more than 1,900 tons, has also freed up more metal.

“The London market is behaving very well despite this strong demand for silver in China,” said Daniel Ghali, senior commodity strategist at TD Securities Inc. “For the first time in more than a year, the market can face this scale of demand without resulting in significant price dislocations or disruptions.”

Looser supply in London has allowed the cost of borrowing silver to ease, although longer-dated leases are still more expensive, due to the volatility in prices and as a precaution against another squeeze.

Visible inventories tracked by major exchanges from New York to Shanghai are either falling or sitting well below their long-term averages, suggesting metal remains scarce in the broader system. And the market has reason to be worried.

“China is one of the world’s most significant markets for both industrial consumption and silver investment,” said Simone Knobloch, chief operating officer of major Swiss refinery Valcambi SA. “The feedback we receive from the market indicates strong interest in physical products.”

The developing appetite for silver as a cheaper replacement for gold has made investment bars — ranging from 20 grams to one kilogram — common in the Shuibei market in Shenzhen, the center of China’s retail bullion trade.

“Silver has been a hit among retail investors and sellers,” said Song Jiangzhen, a researcher at Guangdong Southern Gold Market Academy.

He said there’s been a change in the mindset of consumers, who increasingly view gold as inaccessible. The white metal is currently trading at about $70 an ounce, while gold has fluctuated around $5,000 an ounce this year after a barnstorming rally.

Bullion dealers welcome the shift, said Song. Cheaper bars mean less pressure on financing. Many dealers have increased their silver stockpiles, tripling total inventory in Shuibei to around 300 tons in recent months, according to his estimate.

For now, though, markets are breathing a little easier. The Chinese premium on silver has softened and solar demand has slowed as the rebate deadline nears, said Yuan Zheng, an analyst at the Shanghai-based trading arm of Henan Jinli Gold and Lead Group Co. “We’ve moved into a situation of more supply than demand in the near term.”

That’s showing up in Shenzhen, where the silver bars on display are finding fewer takers. But it’s unlikely to be the end of the story.

“All it takes is just another surge in prices,” said Song. “Retail investors tend to follow rising trends rather than buy dips.”

(By Yihui Xie and Jack Ryan)

AU


CHART: Billions wiped of mining stocks as gold, silver, copper prices plummet


Gold (and copper and silver) bears are out. Image: The Scott

Stock losses for world’s biggest mining companies near 30% since war’s start as copper enters bear market, silver falls 40% from high and gold suffers worst week in decades.  

Gold futures in New York fell by $225 an ounce from opening levels to last trade at $4,492 an ounce by late afternoon, a 3.5% decline on the day and more than 11% for the week. As usual silver’s swings were wilder with the precious metal exchanging hands for $67.81 in after hours trade, a 6.9% drop from the start of trading on Friday.

Copper ended the day down 4.0% and was last worth 5.30 per pound ($11,690 a tonne), down 7.4% for the week. Gold, silver and copper entered a technical bear market with gold down more than $1,100 or just over 20% from its January 29 record, silver dropping 44% and copper giving up just shy of 20% or more than $2,800 per tonne from its all-time high struck at the same time.  

Gold, silver and platinum stocks were hardest hit with Newmont (NYSE:NEM) now trading 26.3% below levels seen just before the start of the Iran war at the end of February after Friday’s heavy selling which saw 30.7 million shares traded. 

Barrick Mining (NYSE:B) is down 26.8% over the same period with 29.1 million shares exchanging hands on Friday. Newmont is now worth $104 billion in New York down from a peak of $143 billion at the end of January while Barrick’s market worth is down $27 billion since then for a $62 billion market cap on Friday. 

It was reported this week that Teck Resources holds a royalty on Barrick’s Fourmile gold project in Nevada that could generate billions of dollars and impact the valuation of Barrick’s planned North American mine spinoff.

Shares in Anglogold Ashanti (NYSE:AU) are down an eye-watering 37.4% so far in March for a market value of $40 billion while Gold Fields (NYSE:GFI) has lost 33.6% to $35 billion. Kinross Gold’s slide reached 28.3% for a market cap of $32 billion.

Royalty and streaming companies Wheaton Precious Metals (NYSE:WPM) has fallen just under 30% since the start of hostilities in the middle east and is now worth $52 billion compared to a more modest drop of 20.7% for Franco-Nevada at a $43 billion evaluation.

Over the counter units of silver miner Fresnillo (OTCPK:FNLPF) trading in the US is down 31.3% in March shaving its market cap to $30 billion while Pan American Silver (NYSE:PAAS) has suffered a 32.1% decline to under $20 billion. Valterra Platinum (OTCPK:ANGPY) has been one of the worst performers dropping 35.3% from a multi-year high hit on the Friday before the bombing campaign started, ending up at a $20 billion market cap just three weeks later.

Some copper producers and diversified companies fared better than the precious metal sector but losses top 20% across the board with only a couple of exceptions. 

BHP (NYSE:BHP) shares trading in the US have shed 20.0%, sliding from a record high valuation (for any mining stock in history) of $213 billion at the start of the war. Record profits for the Melbourne-based company and China as its main customer has not been enough to shield the firm from the broader fallout of the war.

BHP’s incoming CEO Brandon Craig who takes the helm of the company at the end of May inherits a company balancing ambitious spending plans with investor expectations for returns after a period defined by bold — and not always successful — dealmaking, most notably its botched bid for Anglo American. 

Southern Copper (NYSE:SCCO) underperformed other copper majors, with losses for March of 31.1% to $126 billion, seeing the company in the Grupo Mexico stable lose its edge as the world’s second most valuable miner over Rio Tinto (NYSE:RIO) which has come of relatively lightly with a 16.3% decline to a $143 billion market cap.

Rio Tinto stock received a lift after the company said on Monday it has gained control of acreage in Arizona needed to build the Resolution mine, a project slated to become one of the largest US sources of copper. Rio Tinto said it would now embark on a $500 million drilling campaign to delineate the deposit which is co-owned by BHP.

Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE:FCX) was one of the most heavily traded mining stocks with more than 25 million shares exchanging hands. After a 23.5% retreat for March, Freeport is now worth $74 billion after briefly reaching the  $100 billion mark (only the 8th mining stock to ever do so) in February.  

A Chilean business paper earlier this week reported that the Phoenix-based company has begun the environmental permitting process for a $7.5 billion expansion of its majority owned El Abra copper mine in Chile. The expansion would increase annual copper output by more than 300,000 tonnes, compared with 91,000 tonnes produced last year.

Last month Indonesia’s investment minister and Freeport’s unit in the Asian country signed a memorandum of understanding to extend the company’s mining permit for the iconic Grasberg mine beyond 2041.

Glencore (OTCPK:GLNCY) has managed to emerge relatively unscathed, only losing 4.3% since the start of US and Israeli operations in Iran in part to its extensive oil trading business which should do well as crude and gas prices jump. The Switzerland-headquartered company trades around 4 million barrels of oil equivalent per day. Glencore is now worth $81 billion and year to date the company is now the best performer among mining’s heavyweights with a 25.6% advance.  

There was speculation last week from large investors in Glencore that a recent surge in coal prices will help bring Rio Tinto back to the table for a fresh attempt at creating the world’s ​biggest mining company after meeting with leaders of both companies in Australia. 

Vale (NYSE:VALE) stock has declined by 18.2% for a market cap of $61 billion, one of the better performing large-cap miners. The CEO of Vale’s base metals spin-off, Shaun Usmar, told Bloomberg at the beginning of March the sprawling nickel-and-copper business is ready for a potential initial public offering by midyear, sooner than previously indicated. The task of bringing down costs, lowering capital intensity and accelerating the project pipeline is moving ahead at a faster clip than previously envisaged Usmar said.

Anglo American (OTCPK:NGLOY) losses since the beginning of the month have climbed to 23.4% matching the decline of merger partner Teck Resources (NYSE:TECK) affording the Canadian miner a $22 billion valuation compared to Anglo’s $41 billion. 

Last month Anglo said it is weighing a third writedown of De Beers in as many years as weak diamond prices persist and the miner advances asset sales ahead of the tie-up which is currently in front of the EU anti-trust body

Punter’s favourite Ivanhoe Mines (TSX:IVN) is now trading 30.5% lower for March at $11 billion while copper specialist First Quantum Minerals (TSX:FQM) has fallen by 30.5% to $18 billion over the same period. Pink sheets of Antofagasta (OTCPK:ANFGF), and KGHM (OTCPK:KGHPF) dropped 28.2% to $41 billion and 21.5% to $14 billion respectively.      

Chinese heavyweight Zijin Mining (OTCPK: ZIJMY) has settled in as the world’s fourth most valuable mining firm despite its US over the counter units plunging by 30.2% since the start of the conflict for a $123 billion market value. 

 

Gold price set for worst week in 4 decades as war curbs rate-cut bets


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Gold headed for its biggest weekly loss since 1983, as war in the Middle East boosted energy prices and reduced expectations for interest-rate cuts.

Bullion’s decline deepened as the dollar and bond yields rallied after CBS reported that the US is preparing to potentially deploy ground forces into Iran. Traders increased their bets on rate hike to 50% by October amid concern that a protracted conflict could stoke inflation. Higher rates hurt gold as it doesn’t pay interest. 

Iranian officials have become reluctant to even discuss reopening the Strait of Hormuz as they focus on surviving the attacks, according to a person involved in direct, high-level contacts with Tehran. The Wall Street Journal reported that the Pentagon is sending three warships and thousands of additional Marines to the Middle East.  

Gold — widely viewed as a haven — has dropped every week since the US and Israel attacked Iran last month. The retreat has come as the US dollar gained ground while investors sold stocks and bonds amid concerns over the ripple effects of elevated energy costs to inflation and global growth. 

Gold’s pullback reflects a combination of profit-taking and liquidation amid concerns about less monetary easing, according to Rhona O’Connell, an analyst at StoneX Financial. 

Prices above $5,200 had attracted a lot of buyers, leaving the market vulnerable to correction, O’Connell said. When prices started to fall, many investors hit their stop-loss levels — automatic instructions to sell if prices drop to a certain point — so selling quickly accelerated, she said. Technical signals, particularly moving averages, added to the downward pressure, she added.

Forced selling tied to the equity rout may also have contributed to gold’s decline, while slower central bank buying and outflows from exchange-traded funds have further weighed on sentiment, according to O’Connell. 

Bullion-backed ETFs are set for a third week of outflows, with holdings falling more than 60 tons in that period, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

Despite the recent pullback, gold remains about 4% higher this year. Prices touched a record just below $5,600 an ounce in late January, supported by a wave of investor enthusiasm, central-bank buying, and concerns over threats to the Fed’s independence posed by President Donald Trump.

Gold fell 3.1% to $4,508.96 an ounce as of 3:03 p.m. in New York, on course for a eight-day losing run, the longest since October 2023. That drop dragged the metal’s 14-day relative-strength index — a gauge of momentum — below 30, a level that some traders see as oversold.

In other precious metals, silver fell 6.3% to $68.20 an ounce, down by more than 15% this week. Palladium and platinum were also on track for weekly losses. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.5%.  

(By Yvonne Yue Li)

Gold mining stocks set to erase 2026 gains as rate cut bets fade

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Global gold mining stocks tumbled, and are now in the red for this year, as traders ratcheted back expectations for interest rate cuts with oil prices surging amid the Iran war.

The NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index fell 6.6% on Thursday to the lowest level since December. The index, which includes companies from the US, Canada, the UK and Australia, is now down about 1.9% in 2026. It was up as much 35% on March 2, the first trading day after the US and Israel launched strikes on Iran, and as Iran retaliated.

The sector’s weakness deepened Thursday as escalating attacks in the Persian Gulf pushed up crude prices and drove down gold for a seventh session, marking the longest losing streak for the metal since October 2023.

The metal has declined about 12% since the start of the war as costlier energy risks sparking inflation and making it harder for central banks to reduce borrowing costs. That poses a risk for bullion, which performs better when rates are lower since it offers no yield. Traders no longer see Federal Reserve policy easing this year and some are hedging for a potential hike.

“For now, investor attention is on margins and the potential double whammy of lower gold prices and higher energy/consumable costs,” Christopher Lafemina, an analyst at Jefferies LLC, wrote in a note to clients. “In a prolonged conflict scenario, it’s possible to see more pressure on gold from higher rate expectations and a stronger US dollar.”

The other force working against gold in recent weeks is that the US dollar has emerged as a key haven during the conflict, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index gaining 1.5% in March. Bullion is priced in dollars, so the precious metal has become relatively more expensive for buyers in other currencies.

Gold mining stocks saw large inflows in 2025, when the Bloomberg dollar index sank about 8%. Bullion gained 65% last year and hit a series of record highs. Newmont Corp., Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd. and Barrick Mining Corp. all rose over 115% in 2025 — the type of gains that are usually expected more from speculative assets than a metal seen as a haven. Now with the war dragging on, some investors are dumping the stocks.

“When volatility hits, the market sells anything liquid, and miners are liquid,” Matthew Tuttle, chief executive office of Tuttle Capital Management, wrote in a note to clients. “Add the fear that oil stays high, and you get a fast, ugly unwind — even in companies that are still printing cash.”

Barrick is expected to see annual earnings growth of 55% this year, while Agnico Eagle is projected to register a 72% year-over-year increase, according to analysts tracked by Bloomberg. Both companies are based in Toronto.

While lower gold prices would weigh on revenue, the large mining firms will likely be cushioned by the big run-up in the metal in recent years, analysts say.

After all, since the end of 2023, bullion prices have soared more than 120%, a major tailwind for the index of gold miners, which has gained more than 170% in that period.

If oil prices stabilize and pressure from interest rates and the dollar eases, miners with net cash, lower costs and high-quality assets like Newmont and Agnico Eagle will likely rebound, Tuttle wrote.

(By Monique Mulima)

Swiss gold exports drop 18% m/m in February

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Gold exports from Switzerland in February fell 18% from the previous month to the lowest level since August as shipments to Britain and India slowed, Swiss customs data showed on Thursday.

Deliveries from Switzerland, the world’s biggest bullion refining and transit hub, to the UK fell to 20 metric tons last month from 43 tons in January. The UK is home to the world’s largest over-the-counter gold trading hub.

Supplies to India, a major bullion consumer, slowed to 13 tons in February from 23 tons with bullion trading at a discount in the local market amid subdued demand.


Kazakh construction tycoon buys gold miner Altynalmas


Kazakhstan Almaty city. (Stock image by podgorakz.)

One of Kazakhstan’s most prominent construction tycoons agreed to buy gold producer JSC AK Altynalmas and its units as he continues to expand his business interests.

Shakhmurat Mutalip’s Central Asia Resources Holding Ltd. signed a purchase agreement with majority owner Gouden Reserves BV and eight other shareholders, the company said in an emailed statement, without giving a value for the transaction. A representative of Altynalmas confirmed the deal.

“The acquisition of JSC AK Altynalmas is an important step in the implementation of the Holding’s long-term investment strategy,” Mutalip said in the statement Thursday. “This transaction reflects our confidence in the Group’s potential and its future development.”

Altynalmas is one of Kazakhstan’s largest gold producers, with output totaling 15.9 metric tons of gold in 2024.

Mutalip and Nurlan Artykbayev, who bought copper producer Kazakhmys in December, have emerged as prominent members of a business elite that’s become more influential since President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev consolidated power in the wake of riots in 2022. Since then, there has been a noticeable shift of wealth and authority away from circles that flourished during Nursultan Nazarbayev’s long-term rule.

Mutalip, the owner of infrastructure building group Integra Construction KZ, is in discussions with Glencore to purchase the miner’s 70% stake in zinc and gold producer Kazzinc Ltd., Bloomberg reported last month, citing people familiar with the matter. Mutalip is also in discussions to buy 40% of Eurasian Resources Group from the families of two of the Kazakh mining group’s founders, the people said.

(By Nariman Gizitdinov)