Tuesday, September 12, 2023

 PAKISTAN


THARPARKAR’S SUICIDE CRISIS

After Chitral, Sindh’s Tharparkar district has the highest prevalence of suicide in the country, going by just the reported cases.
 Published September 10, 2023  

Seventy-year-old Sarang Meghwar sweats excessively in the stifling heat of Mithi, Tharparkar. The deep creases across his forehead betray his age, and he appears to be more bones than man. But his disposition is the result of years of troubles and torment. Meghwar has lost three of his children to suicide.

“My eldest son, Ishaan, was free-spirited,” he tells me in Dhatki, one of the native languages of Tharparkar. “He used to escape from home and travel to strange places. He would frequently disappear for months at a time, without any explanation, and then return inexplicably.”

One day, instead of Ishaan, the police turned up at Meghwar’s doorstep, to inform him that his 27-year-old son had hanged himself.

A few years later, when Meghwar’s 16-year-old daughter Gita was not allowed to pursue a relationship with a boy she liked and was instead, out of social obligation, married off to a man she had no interest in, she chose to kill herself.

After Chitral, Sindh’s Tharparkar district has the highest prevalence of suicide in the country, going by just the reported cases. What underlying factors make this such a widespread phenomenon in this region and why is it not being addressed?

Chaandni, Meghwar’s 24-year-old eldest daughter, was married off after she finished her Intermediate exams. She faced intense domestic abuse and violence at the hands of her in-laws and was on the brink of starvation, because her in-laws said she could not eat more than one meal a day.

Meghwar decided to intervene and was on his way to bring his daughter back home when he got the news that Chaandni had also committed suicide.

Unfortunately, almost every hamlet and town in Tharparkar is ripe with such tales. The reality is that Tharparkar usually only garners the attention of Pakistan’s mainstream media when it is hit by a crippling drought or when yet another person in the district commits suicide.

Over the last three years, there has been a drastic surge in the cases of suicide in Tharparkar. According to the SSP office in Tharparkar, there were 129 suicides in the region in 2022, an increase from the 121 in 2021. After Chitral, Tharparkar has the highest suicide rate in Pakistan.

Once a remote region tucked away from the rest of the country, Tharparkar became interconnected due to a 3,000 kilometre-long network of roads which were constructed during Gen Pervez Musharraf’s era, effectively linking Mithi to Diplo, Nagarparkar and Chhachhro.

The construction of these roadways allowed locals access to the outside world and, vice versa, enabled businessmen, mining outfits and the media to venture into the region. This development, however, came at a cost and challenged local traditions which had been in place for ages.

SOCIAL NORMS

Tharparkar has the highest Hindu population in Pakistan and, as per the 2017 census, Hindus make up more than 43% of the district’s population. This has led to an establishment of certain traditions centred around Hindu customs and practices in the region.

According to social activist and educationist Partab Shivani, inter-caste marriages are strictly prohibited in traditional Hindu societies. Although this is not an official tenet of Hinduism, it has been practised and enforced by many Hindu pundits or clerics since the mid-19th century. It is often ensured that the man and woman being wed have had no family connection for the past 10 generations.

This norm only further compounds a long list of misfortunes Tharparkar’s young people are battling. According to police reports, four couples, aged between 15-30 years, have committed joint suicides in Tharparkar since 2021. Since these couples belonged to the same community, there was no chance of their marriages being approved by their elders.

Due to this rigid adherence to established norms, the concept of love marriage is essentially taboo in Tharparkar, which in turn often leads to unhappy marriages. For instance, last year in Mithi, a woman committed suicide after being married to a man she simply had no interest in.

Referred to as the baddho system locally, exchange marriages (also called vatta-sattas) occur very frequently in many rural communities across Tharparkar. However, such arrangements can regularly lead to the development of problematic dynamics due to the nature of these interlinked relationships.

In many instances, these complicated ties often result in women becoming victims of domestic violence. Shivani explains, “It is expected that if my brother-in-law is physically abusive towards my sister, ie his wife, I should reciprocate that sentiment by beating his sister, ie my wife.”

As a result, such exchange marriages can sometimes trap women in a cycle of violence and enforced ‘accountability’. Women who feel they can’t find a way out of this abuse choose to kill themselves as opposed to spending the rest of their lives as pawns through which family scales are balanced and revenge exacted.

In 2022, 70 females and 59 males reportedly committed suicide in Tharparkar. The cause of suicide for most of the women was simply listed as ‘domestic affairs’ in the official records, but locals know that this term implies domestic violence.

Apart from attending to their domestic responsibilities, women in the region also have to collect firewood, walk long distances to get water and help the males in harvesting cotton, which in turn adds to their stress, since they know that a failure to comply will lead to violence.

Over the last three years, there has been a drastic surge in the cases of suicide in Tharparkar. According to the SSP office in Tharparkar, there were 129 suicides in the region in 2022, an increase from the 121 in 2021. After Chitral, Tharparkar has the highest suicide rate in Pakistan.

A lack of adequate healthcare or educational provisions makes life in Tharparkar agonisingly difficult | White Star
A lack of adequate healthcare or educational provisions makes life in Tharparkar agonisingly difficult | White Star

ENTRENCHED TABOOS

But these rigid customs and norms are not only limited to incidents involving marriage. For instance, a particularly tragic story which was relayed to me during my travels through Tharparkar was that of Shivam and Ved, two first cousins who had been inseparable since their childhood.

They wore the same clothes, ate the same food and grew up spending most of their time together. When they became teenagers, their families became suspicious of their intimacy and forced them apart. In retaliation, one day the boys wore matching new clothes, went to the bazaar to eat their favourite mithai, took selfies together, and then hanged themselves.

Furthermore, strict adherence to the caste system also robs many residents of Tharparkar of any hope of upward social mobility, thus trapping them in the system’s unbending structure. The Dalit caste, also known as the ‘untouchables’, lie on the lowest rung of the Jati caste system in Hinduism and are treated as such. Hence, it is no coincidence that the Dalit Kolhi, Bheel and Meghwar communities have the highest incidences of suicide in Tharparkar.

However, many villages in Nagarparkar lie at the opposite end of the rigid social norms spectrum. Nagarparkar, which is one of Tharparkar’s tehsils, lies near the Pakistan-India border. The villages scattered throughout Nagarparkar are largely secluded and inaccessible through roads. Due to this isolation, there is rampant frustration in the area, arising from unemployment and idleness.

According to Krishan Sharma, a social worker based in Tharparkar, these factors have led to a strong culture of drugs and alcoholism in some quarters of Nagarparkar, and the locals here brew their own moonshine, locally called tharra, in their homes. When Sharma went to villages in Nagarparkar to examine kids for malnutrition, most of the mothers accompanying their children were drunk.

The complete breakdown of any societal constructs in Nagarparkar and the lack of adequate healthcare or educational provisions has led to a constant barrage of suicide cases here — each driven by a set of complex underlying factors, which are incredibly hard to address. For instance, just a few years ago, a 14-year-old Hindu boy in Nagarparkar burnt himself alive in the hope of attaining mukti [liberation after death].

A Hindu priest’s instructions regarding the food that has to be distributed for charity in the aftermath of a suicide | Photo by the author
A Hindu priest’s instructions regarding the food that has to be distributed for charity in the aftermath of a suicide | Photo by the author

ECONOMIC DESPERATION

Some micro-financing banks and local money-lenders [banyas] in the region offer minor loans to the locals in order to support their farming since the livelihood of communities in Tharparkar depends upon agriculture. Micro-financing institutions such as the Khushhali bank, Akhuwat Foundation and the Thardeep Rural Development Programme also operate in Tharparkar.

They loan money in small amounts, helping alleviate any temporary financial difficulties farmers might have. While the banks demand their money back in full, the local moneylenders demand the return of their loans in percentage increments. This proves distressing for the debtors.

Since the literacy rate in Tharparkar district is only 38 percent, according to the Sindh District Report 2017-18, most farmers are completely oblivious as to how they should go about paying back their loans and whether or not they should trust their local moneylenders.

In some cases, if a farmer has borrowed a sum of money from a bank and is unable to pay it back, he will borrow money from the local banya, who will accept the farmer’s cultivated land and cattle as mortgage. After successfully paying the loan on time, the bank will offer the debtor a bigger loan next time.

However, this can lead to the farmer being stuck in a vicious cycle of loan-taking. The main assets of these farmers are their cattle, so when rainfall is scarce or a drought occurs and crop production decreases, their cattle is often seized. Eventually, the moneylender has to be paid back and, if the farmer is unable to do so and has already lost all his assets, he may choose to commit suicide.

Oftentimes in such a scenario, the lenders gather outside the debtor’s chaunra [straw-roofed mud house] and start seizing whatever he owns, thus attracting a crowd of onlookers in the process. The shame, stigma and financial constraints which arise due to a failure to pay back these loans have caused many farmers to commit suicide.

This is exactly what happened a few years ago in a widely reported incident, when a young farmer from Mitha Tar was unable to pay back a loan. As the collectors protested in front of the boy’s chaunra and demanded that he repay the loan fees — all while neighbours and strangers alike looked on — the young man chose to kill himself instead of being forced to endure the humiliation of facing members of his community and the lenders in such a manner.

Apart from their household responsibilities, women in Tharparkar also have to collect wood for fires, walk long distances to get water and help in harvesting cotton | White Star
Apart from their household responsibilities, women in Tharparkar also have to collect wood for fires, walk long distances to get water and help in harvesting cotton | White Star

PLAGUED BY POVERTY

Social worker Ali Akbar Rahimoo says that notions of integrity, honesty and community are very important in Tharparkar’s social fabric — often to an extreme extent. For instance, a person would rather die from starvation than use illicit means to obtain money, which perhaps explains why Tharparkar has a negligible crime rate.

Rahimoo recalls that, in 2003, a man hanged himself from a neem tree because he had not eaten anything for three days. “People here would rather kill themselves than be perceived as a burden or engage in criminal activities to survive,” Rahimoo says.

Since 87 percent of people are below the poverty line in Tharparkar, according to the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) Multidimensional Poverty Index, suicide becomes a recourse for many who are unable to provide for themselves and their families.

Nawal, a carpet weaver from the remote village of Chhachhro in Tharparkar, killed himself and his four sons due to the extreme financial difficulties the family was facing. His cousin Tarachand tells me that Nawal refused to accept either sympathy or money from any of his relatives or friends. Instead, he pushed his sons into a well and then jumped in himself.

Similarly, a 50-year-old Kolhi woman living in Dileep Nagar Mithi says that her son, Gordhan, committed suicide after his wife’s death, who got electrocuted while she was breastfeeding their two-month-old son. Bogged down by grief and the inability to support all of his children, Gordhan killed himself.

THE COST OF MODERNITY

Many of the underlying issues which have been highlighted thus far are also present in remote villages in rural Punjab and several areas of Balochistan. Yet these areas do not have the staggering suicide rate that Tharparkar does. So what’s the reason for the difference?

Social workers and intellectuals in Tharparkar argue that the most pressing reason for the region’s high suicide rate has been the advent of the Thar coal mining project, and the sudden arrival of ‘modernity’ that followed suit. Due to this, parts of Tharparkar went from deeply regressive areas to mechanised hubs almost overnight.

The French sociologist Emile Durkheim posits that a sense of anomie arises when a social system disintegrates and newer, stranger values or norms make their way into a society. In many ways, the Thar coal mining

project challenged the traditional value system of the Thari people. Due to the rapid development of infrastructure to facilitate the coal mining, this once quiet, traditional society was forced to contend with an influx of outsiders — irrevocably damaging the region’s social fabric in the process.

Mithi is the capital of Tharparkar district and it has undergone partial urbanisation in the wake of this project, due to which its residents have access to roads, phones, the internet, and television networks. As per the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics, 93 percent of Tharis now have access to mobile internet, but this connectivity is coming at a cost.

The hunger to own the latest gadgets, which are advertised to the Thari youth as something to aspire to, is fuelling a deep sense of insecurity which did not exist till a few years ago. Many youngsters who are unable to attain these objects or lifestyle contemplate suicide because they consider themselves to be somehow ‘lacking’ in a world which is rapidly advancing.

Sharma adds that it has also been increasingly observed that social media platforms in Tharparkar are filled with uncensored images of suicide victims and harrowing details regarding these incidents. The concept of suicide is now not only readily spread online in Thar but also normalised in the process by exposing people to its prevalence.

Earlier, in areas like Tharparkar, each village had a leader called a mukhiya [chief] who managed the general grievances of the residents. If a village housed five communities and an issue or a dispute arose, the chief would attempt to resolve the grievance of the respective community. However, now with the arrival of technology, mobile phones and internet in the region, many Tharis believe that there is a severe communication gap between all members of any given household and community.

Sharma argues that he has seen this decay of interpersonal relationships in Tharparkar first-hand. He posits that the cherished concept of sharing problems with siblings, parents or elders has now eroded away, and the strength of emotional ties has become extinct here. As a result, an entire generation of Tharis have now grown up with no anchorage to their communities or their elders, which has only further exacerbated their sense of unease and loneliness. This, coupled with the poverty already plaguing the land, makes for a deadly combination.

Due to these factors and the commonplace nature of suicide in the region, it is evident that the idea of killing oneself is treated with a degree of callousness and irreverence by many of the locals. During my journey through Tharparkar, I overheard the bus driver relaying a personal dilemma over the phone. At the end of the conversation he calmly and nonchalantly said in Sindhi, “Maan phahoo khae wathaan? [So, should I just commit suicide?]”

APATHY OF THE AUTHORITIES

The reason why it is so difficult to address this rising suicide rate is because there are no official statistics regarding suicide in Pakistan. As a result, it’s extremely difficult to try to get a sense of which localities need the most help. However, there are some basic requirements that the government must ensure are met if the state wishes to bring down the suicide rate in Tharparkar.

For instance, although the Sindh Mental Health Authority was established in 2017, currently there is only one psychiatrist in all of Tharparkar, and he sits in Mithi. That’s one psychiatrist for nearly 20,000 square kilometres.

According to Rahimoo, 80-90 percent cases of suicide occur in villages far removed from Mithi, and these people have no access to any mental health services. Moreover, the fees involved, the cost of medication and the social stigma of seeking help for one’s mental health further decreases the likelihood that people in Thar will seek out help, even if they are having suicidal thoughts.

As Rahimoo puts it, “Here in Tharparkar, a person will first go to a maulvi for healing, then he will go to the shrines, and then, right at the end, he will think about going to a doctor.”

Dr Karim Ahmed Khawaja, Chairman of the Sindh Mental Health Authority, says that, “Initially the district police was not cooperating with us with regards to the collection of data on suicides in the region. Only after we put in a word with their senior officers did the local police start cooperating with us.”

The lack of seriousness exhibited by the local authorities demonstrates why most suicide cases are so egregiously mishandled by the police in Tharparkar. There is a serious inconsistency in police records when it comes to instances of suicide.

According to police reports in Tharparkar, 120 suicides from 2021 to 2023 have been placed under the category of ‘mental disease’. When this term is used in official records, it means that there is no need for any police investigation, nor is the case forwarded to the courts.

The police do not investigate the suicide case if they receive a statement from the family of the victim saying that the deceased was mentally disturbed, so the case is inevitably shut. The family is not even required to present a medical certificate to substantiate their claim. This is further complicated by the fact that, if a parent kills their own children before committing suicide, police records simply report all the deaths as suicide.

NO END IN SIGHT

Therefore, because the data collected by local authorities is largely unreliable, cases are underreported and mismanaged or the causes of suicide misattributed, our understanding of the prevalence of this phenomenon in Tharparkar is greatly hindered. Furthermore, politicians who belong to different constituencies of Tharparkar seem unbothered about addressing this issue. I approached multiple local politicians to discuss Tharparkar’s high suicide rate but did not receive a single reply.

As per the district police data, there have been 75 incidents of suicide this year in Tharparkar, up until August 2023. This figure already is equal to 60 percent of the suicide incidents that took place in the whole of 2022. Each year the numbers rise, and these figures do not even take into account all the cases which go unreported.

On a superficial level, the hospitality of the Thari people, their brotherhood and simplicity paints a romantic image of Tharparkar. But in reality, the people of Tharparkar are suffering. Their anguish is a result of years of state neglect and the persistent indifference of the authorities.

The writer is currently pursuing a degree at the Department of Social Sciences and Liberal Arts (SSLA) at the Institute of Business Administration (IBA).
He can be reached at m.rehman.26317@khi.iba.edu.pk

Published in Dawn, EOS, September 10th, 2023

DANGLING IN THE AIR FOR ALL TO SEE
VIRAL: WHAT REALLY HAPPENED IN ALLAI?
Published September 10, 2023 
Army troops and locals assisted in the ground rescue mission which was successful in retrieving the remaining six passengers stuck in the cable car for 14 hours 
| EFE

More than a fortnight after the day-long, dramatic rescue of passengers inside a dangling cable car in Allai tehsil in Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa’s Battagram district, disinformation as well as some confusion about the nature of the recovery operation continues.

Locals say they are accustomed to cable cars getting stuck, but what was unusual was how long this operation took and have expressed resentment towards the administration for letting it go on that long, and for letting it become an international story.

Local resident Niamat Ullah Khaksar, for example, says the rescue could have been wound up in two or three hours but, instead, the government prolonged the rescue operation for up to 15 hours. Others say locals did not have the necessary equipment to carry out such a rescue and whatever efforts they made could have led to fatalities.

Does the truth lie somewhere in between? Does it matter, since the passengers aboard were all safely rescued?

How did it all go down? Were the locals really prevented from a rescue because of ego and optics? Eos revisits the dramatic rescue of eight people stuck hundreds of feet in mid-air in a snapped local cable car

DANGLING IN THE AIR

The passengers stuck in the cable car began their day like any other day that Tuesday morning, as they waited to use the cable car to cross the river from one mountain to another. These cable cars are the only form of commuting for local residents to transport goods, construction materials or to get to their destinations, such as schools.

There is no form of regulation to ensure safety standards have been met for these makeshift cable car systems. According to locals, there have been incidents in the past, where wires have snapped and people, as well as animals, have fallen to their death into the ravines.

One local resident, Haleem Khan, narrates an accident during the Eid holidays in 1994, when 13 women and children, who were using a cable car in Kotgalla village in Battagram, fell when its pulley “went out of control.” The cable car crashed into the safety wall of a parking area and all but a five-month-old baby died.

He also narrates another incident from before the 2005 earthquake and says that, despite these accidents, people did not stop using cable cars. They have no other option.

Many of the passengers — most were young boys going to school — stuck inside that cable car on August 22 have since told the press about hearing a wire snap, being flung on to the side of the cable car as it dangled from the remaining cable and about their fears of falling to their death at any moment. Their families, meanwhile, watched scenes unfold from the ground, unsure if they’d see their loved ones again.


The Heavens Way team’s zipline helped in retrieving the stuck passengers
| Video screengrab

IN AND ON THE AIR

When the news of the accident reached Battagram’s local administration, deputy commissioner Tanveerur Rehman sent a letter to the commissioner Hazara, requesting an aerial rescue operation. He felt this was the safest method.

The commissioner Hazara, upon receiving this letter, then asked the chairman of the National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA), the secretary of the Relief Rehabilitation and Settlement Department and the director general of the Provincial Disaster Management Authority (PDMA) to provide a helicopter for the rescue mission.

A helicopter reached the site and surveyed the area to assess how a rescue operation could be conducted. The pilot then flew back and returned with two other helicopters, one from the air force and the other from the army. Much of their rescue attempts were being played out on national TV by this point.

Audiences across the nation could see the helicopter pilot was finding it difficult to access the cable car because of one of the wires atop the cabin and, when he attempted to get close to the cabin, it would dangle like a pendulum because of the downwash from the chopper blades.

A military commando suspended from the helicopter was able to give passengers some biscuits and water and the chopper crew were successful in rescuing one student using a rope to bring him up. However, a second attempt failed because the rope got stuck in one of the cable car’s wires. The chopper crew had to cut the rope loose and suspend their operation. A decision was made to attempt a ground operation.

ON THE GROUND


As soon as news of the cable car incident spread, locals contacted Sahib Khan, known for his rescue operations, and sent a car for him and his team in the Shang Besham area of district Shangla. Khan is a third generation ‘mandgan’, a local word used to describe sailors and divers, who are called to save and retrieve bodies from the river. They also have years of experience in the installation of cable cars as well as rescue operations, with a good track record, Sahib says.

Sahib arrived in Allai tehsil by noon but was stopped from carrying out the rescue operation by the administration, which said it was too risky. He and his team watched from the ground, frustrated that they were unable to help.

However, Sahib went against orders and used some of his equipment as well as some from Rescue 1122 to retrieve one child, Niaz Muhammad. However, he was disallowed by the local administration from going again.

By this point, two of the cable car passengers had been rescued.

While locals had called for Sahib Khan to help with the rescue, the deputy commissioner of Mansehra contacted Heavens Way to assist. It is essentially a zip line company which offers adventure tours across KP and Islamabad.

According to the company’s executive director, Muhammad Zahid Hunzavi, Pakistan army’s helicopter picked up his team from Thakra stadium in Mansehra and flew them to the rescue site. His team of Muhammad Ali Swati and Muhammad Ilyas, along with others, were successful in rescuing the remaining six on board.

The dramatic rescue mission of students stuck in a chairlift in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa gripped the nation on August 23. The helicopter was able to rescue one student before it had to suspend operations. The remaining passengers were rescued by ziplines
| AFP

Swati led the operation. By the time he and his team arrived at 6:30pm, he says everyone from local administration officials, health officials, army troops and a team from Rescue 1122 was there. He first let them all know that his team was properly equipped to carry out this mission.

At this point, another local rescuer was attempting to get a passenger using a charpai pulley but had to return, as he couldn’t move further because of the gusting winds. This attempt, according to Swati, resulted in an hour’s loss because, by the time he and his team began, it was 8pm.

“If we could have started in natural light, we could have completed it in one hour,” he says.

Swati says they set up their equipment and, when they reached the dangling cabin, they found not six but seven occupants — “one was a local rescuer who had come from the other side with “juggaarr” [makeshift] equipment and was himself now stuck,” says Swati.

“We told him to return somehow as he was unable to understand the techniques we planned to use to rescue the passengers,” says Swati.

That man was, in fact, Sahib Khan, who had stayed on in the cabin following the first rescue. He disputes Swati’s claim that he was stuck, saying that his strategy of rescuing differs from Heavens Way and that he stays in the cabin until everyone has been rescued. Heavens Way leaves passengers in the cabin and returns when they’ve dropped the first lot off, he claims.

He says he even assisted the Heavens Way team during the rescue by shining his mobile torch on the passengers being tied to ropes while the Heavens Way rescuers filmed the video.

Sahib also says that, once the Heavens Way rescuers left with the last three passengers, they did not return for him. He ended up being rescued by his cousin, Hassanzeb, who had accompanied him to Allai tehsil that morning and had assisted in the retrieval of the student Niaz Muhammad.

Sahib says that, while the main rescue mission ended around 10:30pm, his own retrieval took till 1:30am.

WHO DID IT BETTER?

Given that locals and Heavens Way had the same rescue strategy, i.e. to get to the cable car on zip lines, but access to different tools, and each had different levels of success, why did it seem like a bone of contention between the two parties? Why have there been efforts to portray one as good or bad or discredit their efforts?

Swati says it was because locals were “busy trying to outdo each other” in wanting to participate in the mission themselves and, as a result, adding a lot of load on the wires.

“If 10 or 15 got on the wire, it would have caused a lot of nuqsaan [loss] and the cabin could have fallen,” says Swati. This was why he and his team had told the administration to halt any rescue efforts until their arrival, as the company had the proper equipment.

“We weren’t looking to be heroes,” he explains. “We were doing it to save lives.” He says the local administration and the army helped calm locals’ nerves, explaining that everyone’s intent was to save lives.

He adds that he doesn’t begrudge anyone and understands everyone’s panic and fear at that time. Swati also explains how, in the end, the rescue effort was a collective one, as many people assisted him in the rescue.

For example, as he got on the wires at nighttime, and telecom was down, he had to communicate using a flashlight. “I told them they had to watch for the light signal and pull [the ropes]. Because the gradient was up, I could not use my hands, so was reliant on everyone to pull me and the passengers back to safety.”

Swati was exhausted by the time he arrived back with the first three passengers in an operation that took one-and-a-half hours because, at one point, one of the rescue ropes got stuck. As he had understood the challenges of the mission — no communication, gusty winds and the physical exertion of the task — he knew he could not go again. So he explained the strategy to the SSG (Special Services Group) commandos to go with Ilyas to rescue the remaining passengers.

By this time, wireless communication was up so the operation went smoother, as locals were able to follow instructions on the transmitters and pull the rope.

So it was proper equipment coupled with the assistance of everyone on the ground that helped his mission succeed. He says it could have happened sooner had he not spent an hour-and-a-half convincing locals that he was qualified to do this. He is adamant that the army did not call for his services but were told about his abilities by the DC Mansehra, so they did not need convincing like the locals did.

“The people who initially created the hurdles ended up helping me in the end,” he says.

DISINFORMATION AND ACCOUNTABILITY


Although the rescue mission proved to be a collective effort, it did not come across that way. Many on social media tried to make it as “locals vs the military”, saying the army was using the opportunity to “improve” its image following accusations of political meddling. This correspondent did hear similar sentiments on the ground that day, that locals were being prevented by the army from launching a rescue because it wanted to take credit for the operation.

As for the accountability process, almost everyone in the area agrees nothing will come of it, though two men — the cable car owner and its operator — have been arrested for negligence.

Whenever such incidents happen, the administration and government issue strict warnings to the cable car operators to ensure safety arrangements and instal equipment with technical assistance from qualified persons or institutions. But it seems, as time passes, the administration loses interest in regulating these cable cars.

This time as well, the caretaker government has issued strict warnings and asked action be taken against owners whose cable cars do not meet safety requirements. But given the history of such warnings, the same eventual laxity is expected once again.

Many locals understand there are risks involved in using cable cars that have been shoddily assembled and do not adhere to any safety standards. But since there is no other form of transportation in these tough terrains filled with difficult uphill paths, they say the banning of cable cars is not a feasible option either.

A more realistic and sustainable approach is needed, they say, otherwise such incidents will continue to recur.

The writer is Dawn’s correspondent in Battagram

Published in Dawn, EOS, September 10th, 2023

PAKISTAN

Presence of militants
Published September 10, 2023 




THE recent cross-border infiltrations and operational strikes by terrorist networks operating from Afghanistan have raised concerns about the Afghan Taliban’s direct involvement in these attacks. A terrorist group cannot launch massive cross-border attacks involving a significant number of terrorists inside Pakistan without the support and approval of the Taliban regime. If these doubts have any substance, this is tantamount to declaring war against a state.


Social media and online media reports are also circulating about the Haqqanis’ direct involvement in these intrusions, citing security officials. This may surprise those who believed that close ties existed between the Haqqanis and the Pakistani security establishment, as the relationship between the two has now apparently become strained. The extent of this perceived bitterness in relations is not known, and neither the Haqqanis nor the Pakistani establishment have officially indicated the nature of any dispute between them. However, Pakistan has officially registered its protest concerning the involvement of Afghan fighters in the attack on the military cantonment in the Zhob district of Balochistan.

Only if there is official confirmation from one of the parties about the dispute, can we speculate about its nature based on several factors.

It is a fact that the TTP has a close relationship with the Haqqanis that has overseen the negotiation process between the government and the TTP. This process failed, causing some initial dents in the confidence of Pakistan’s security institutions. Religious, ideological, tribal, and political factors are also important from various perspectives. The organisational relationship between the Afghan Taliban and Pakistani militant groups has evolved over time, especially after the resurgence of the former in their country. The Afghan Taliban developed a nexus with the Pakistani establishment and militant groups, which, while not mutually exclusive, involves complex relationships among the three actors.

Militant groups in Pakistan have provided human resource to the Afghan Taliban.

Pakistan has strategic interests in Afghanistan and has often been accused of paying no heed to the presence of the Taliban on its soil. The Taliban, in turn, have relied on safe havens, financial support, and fighters primarily from Pakistan and other neighbouring states like Iran. Militant groups in Pakistan have provided human resource to the Taliban; many of these fighters became disillusioned due to shifts in the state’s policies on jihad. While the ‘Quetta shura’ hesitated to recruit Pakistani fighters, the Haqqanis and ‘Peshawar shura’ actively incorporated them, creating both combat units and financial and logistical supply chains. Al Qaeda has also influenced these Pakistani militants, further radicalising them against the state.

Historical accounts may reveal more surprising details, but so far, the most comprehensive research on the Taliban movement has been conducted by Antonio Giustozzi. In his book The Taliban at War, Giustozzi notes that a unique aspect of the Haqqani Network is its direct recruitment of Pakistani fighters. As of 2015, around 10 per cent of the ‘Miranshah shura’s’ forces were Pakistani, primarily drawn from other jihadist groups such as TTP, Lashkar-e-Taiba, and Lashkar-i-Jhangvi.

According to reports, the significant presence of volunteers from Pakistan as well as other countries has contributed to the Haqqanis’ image as being more aligned with global jihadist movements like Al Qaeda, as opposed to the Quetta shura. The Peshawar shura is also believed to have been heavily reliant on Pakistani militants, expanding its reach to other cities in the country, where it’ssaid to have recruited hundreds of Pakistanis.

In summary, Pakistan has underestimated the potential problems posed by fighters who have been part of the Afghan Taliban, especially compared to the TTP and its affiliate groups with whom it initiated talks under the Haqqanis’ supervision. Reports are that thousands of these fighters may have returned to Pakistan, many of them apparently joining the TTP and its factions, and the rest remaining under the patronage of various Taliban commanders, including the Haqqanis. News has appeared about the TTP and its allied social media accounts about faction mergers or small militant groups joining the TTP, usually involving militants who were once directly engaged with the Taliban.

The Haqqanis have accommodated many in their government and security forces, including Adnan Rasheed, a former Pakistani Air Force employee, who joined Al Qaeda and specialised in jailbreaks. Adnan Rasheed was released from Bannu jail in April 2012 by militants. However, the Taliban cannot accommodate all these fighters, and with their return to Pakistan increasingly likely, they are supporting their cause for fighting within Pakistan.

Interestingly, just as the Haqqanis and the Peshawar shura had recruited thousands of Pakistanis, the TTP is said to be doing the same with Afghan Taliban fighters eager to continue their ‘jihad’ in Pakistan. The security department has sufficient evidence to support this claim. DIG CTD of KP, Sohail Khalid, recently revealed in a press conference that investigations into facilitators of the Ali Masjid suicide blast showed that the attacker came from Afghanistan. Afghan Sim cards, jihadist pamphlets, and other documents were also recovered.

Pakistan had concerns that these returning militants would continue their terrorist activities. During talks with the TTP, it became clear that the TTP and other terrorist groups had no intention of ceasing their activities. If these individuals were to be integrated into the general population, they would pose a greater risk, not just through terrorist activities but also by spreading the ideological influence of the Taliban and Al Qaeda.

These terrorists, now led by the TTP, are exploiting Pakistan’s vulnerabilities with regard to territory, resources, and support base. The recent terrorist attacks in the Zhob and Sherani districts of Balochistan, along with the intrusion into Chitral, are all components of a broader strategy. Al Qaeda apparently had an eye on the region which borders Chitral since long for establishing a new base for supporting terrorist movements in the region, including China. This situation is precarious for Pakistan and the Taliban regime, and they must find a solution before it worsens.

The writer is a security analyst.

Published in Dawn, September 10th, 2023

PAKISTAN

The blind pursuit of growth

Published September 11, 2023 



The caretaker setup led by Prime Minister Anwarul Haq Kakar has clearly hinted at changing the course and speed of the economy.


Speaking to the media persons on Friday after six hours of deliberations on numerous issues facing the country’s moribund economy at the first session of a two-day meeting of the army-backed Special Investment Facilitation Council (SIFC), the key caretaker ministers minced few words to send across the message that the interim administration is preparing to gun for faster growth by ’revitalising an economy that has seen months of decline due to strict import regulations“.

That appears totally in line with the views of army chief Gen Asim Munir, who was quoted by Karachi-based builder and stock broker A.K. Dhedhi to have told the businesspeople that the country must now move towards growth. Mr Dhedhi had also implied that the army chief is looking beyond the current International Monetary Fund programme as he expects large official capital inflows of $75 billion from the oil-rich Gulf states in the shape of investments, with an additional $10bn as deposits from Saudi Arabia to immediately shore up the country’s foreign exchange reserves.

The ministers said the government had decided to open imports across the board to facilitate exports, job creation and economic activities affected by months of import restrictions to curb the outflow of dollars amid depleting foreign exchange reserves.

The promised investments add up to an improbable 30pc of our GDP but even if they materialise, the economy is in no shape to manage such large inflows

Caretaker finance minister Dr Shamshad Akhtar argued that Pakistan direly needed to revive the economy, for which it was necessary to remove import restrictions across the board since Pakistan was an import-intensive country.

Asked if she agreed with the timing of opening up imports given a tight foreign exchange situation, Dr Akhtar said that managing foreign exchange reserves was a “very high priority for us, and we are closely monitoring the situation”.

In response to yet another question about the strength of the economy to withstand foreign exchange requirements of a possible import splurge, she contended that fresh inflows from multilateral institutions were expected to be around $6bn during the year on the basis of ongoing discussions with agencies like the World Bank, Asian Development Bank and the IMF. Besides, she also anticipated the rollover of the deposits kept by friendly countries with the State Bank of Pakistan. “The situation is reasonably okay for now,” she assured.

Trade Minister Gohar Ejaz, always a proponent of rapid economic growth, low-interest rates and low energy prices, argued that inflation could only be effectively managed by augmenting exports, suggesting that the high dollar price of Rs300 could potentially decrease to Rs250, simultaneously mitigating inflation, by raising exports.

While we will hopefully get more clarity over the caretaker government’s economic strategy under the SIFC framework for the interim period to the next elections in the coming few days, many remain sceptical of an early turnaround of the economy or the Gulf nations’ promises to invest large amounts.

“The amount of investments the government claims the Gulf states have committed is enormous, almost 30 per cent of our GDP. I don’t think they will be ready to pour this kind of money into Pakistan’s economy even if they have promised it. Nor do I think that our economy is in a shape to handle and absorb such large inflows,” a financial analyst based in Karachi says on the condition of anonymity.

As a small economy, even tiny inflows of $5-7bn can rev it up but that is not a sustainable or long-term solution to our structural problems

Some businessmen who participated in recent meetings with the army chief in Lahore and Karachi have quoted him saying that both Saudi Arabia and the UAE have committed $25bn each. Others claim that Qatar will also invest a similar amount. On top of that, Riyadh is said to have promised to provide a $10bn deposit to shore up Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves in the near term. Most expect the money to start pouring into the country over the next six months.

“The markets and investors also remain sceptical of these claims. Otherwise, there wouldn’t be a need for the stick to control the rupee’s free fall in recent weeks. That said, even if we accept the claim for a moment, these investments will be staggered over a long period. For perspective, we should remember that China has invested $25bn in the last eight years under the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor initiative (CPEC),” the analyst said.


“No amount of investment and dollar inflows can fix our economic problems on a sustainable basis unless we implement fiscal and governance reforms and boost our industrial and agricultural productivity. The CPEC investments haven’t solved our structural issues either. Rather, these have multiplied our debt problem.”


Fahad Rauf, the head of research at Ismail Iqbal Securities, agrees. “I think that the focus of the interim setup should be on the issues that the political governments are always afraid of dealing with.”


He says the focus of the caretakers should be on stopping smuggling for good, privatising state-owned enterprises, fixing the energy sector and handling other structural issues facing the economy to increase productivity.

“Pakistan is a small economy. Even tiny inflows of $5-7bn can rev up it. But that is not a sustainable or long-term solution to our structural problems. Personally, I doubt the kind of Gulf investments we are talking about will come due to the global economic conditions,” he says.

He is of the view that political and economic uncertainty in the country means foreign investors would not come to Pakistan. “We have seen that no commercial loans are rolled over, and foreign direct investment is decreasing in spite of the IMF’s $3bn programme.

“Not even hot money is flowing in, although our interest rates have gone up 22pc and increasing. Back in the day, we were successful in attracting hot money at 13pc interest rates. It is because the investors do not have confidence in Pakistan’s economy at present. Local companies will not invest at the present borrowing costs.”

Mr Rauf warns against the blind pursuit of growth without restructuring the economy, as it always results in long periods of economic depression after a brief growth boom.


“A company suffering losses first focuses on eliminating those losses before moving on to making profits. So, we should first fix our issues. Once we fix the issues impeding economic growth, we will start attracting private foreign investment, which is more sustainable rather than always looking for a few billion in deposits.”

Published in Dawn, The Business and Finance Weekly, September 11th, 2023Follow Dawn Business on Twitter, LinkedIn, Instagram and Facebook for insights on business, finance and tech from Pakistan and across the world.


9 island states take ocean pollution case to UN court

AFP 
September 12, 2023 

HAMBURG: Leaders of nine small island states turned to the UN maritime court on Monday to seek protection of the world’s oceans from catastrophic climate change that threatens the very existence of entire countries.

The island states are asking the International Tribunal for the Law of the Sea (ITLOS) to determine if carbon dioxide emissions absorbed by the oceans can be considered pollution, and if so, what obligations countries have to prevent it.

“This is the opening chapter in the struggle to change the conduct of the international community by clarifying the obligation of states to protect the marine environment,” said the prime minister of Antigua and Barbuda, Gaston Browne.

“The time has come to speak in terms of legally binding obligations rather than empty promises that go unfulfilled,” he told the court based in Hamburg, Germany.

The joint counsel representing the islands, Catherine Amirfar, said the point was to force countries to implement substantive measures against climate change.

“We’re here to discuss what are the necessary, concrete, specific steps that they must take as a matter of law, not political discretion. That’s key and... a big part of the answer,” she told journalists.

Ocean ecosystems create half the oxygen humans breathe and limit global warming by absorbing much of the carbon dioxide emitted by human activities.

But increasing emissions can warm and acidify seawaters, harming marine life.

At the heart of the case is the international treaty UNCLOS that binds countries to preventing pollution of the oceans.

The UN treaty defines pollution as the introduction by humans of “substances or energy into the marine environment” that harms marine life.

But it does not spell out carbon emissions as a specific pollutant, and the plaintiffs argue that these emissions should qualify.

Beyond ‘charity’


The push for climate justice won a big boost in March when the UN General Assembly adopted a resolution calling on the International Court of Justice to lay out nations’ obligations on protecting the Earth’s climate and the legal consequences they face for failing to do so.

The ICJ’s advice is still pending but the action has opened up a new front to bind countries to pledges on reducing emissions.

The move at the UN had been led by Vanuatu, one of the island nations that brought Monday’s case before the ITLOS.

Small islands like Vanuatu are particularly exposed to the impact of global warming, with seawater rises posing an existential threat.

“Just a few years — this is all we have before the ocean consumes everything my people built across centuries,” Tuvalu’s Prime Minister Kausea Natano told the court.

“If international law has nothing to say about an entire country going underwater... then what purpose does it serve?” he said, pleading for a clear direction from the court.

Browne also voiced frustration at the attitude of some major nations when it comes to funding climate change mitigation or prevention.

When “large polluters contribute towards various funds, they believe it’s an act of charity,” he said at a press conference, adding that a successful outcome would tell them that “they have legal obligations”.

Published in Dawn, September 12th, 2023
G20 summit
Published September 12, 2023

SEVERAL noteworthy developments occurred at the just concluded G20 summit in New Delhi, reflecting the rapid state of flux the international order is experiencing.

The grouping of the world’s 19 top economies, along with the EU, just admitted the African Union, while Xi Jinping was conspicuous by his absence, sending an unsubtle message to the host nation as well as Western members of the bloc. Vladimir Putin also stayed away.

Though the official declaration denounced the use of force and violation of the territorial sovereignty of any state, there was no express criticism of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, a compromise solution that was reportedly reached to bridge the wide geopolitical differences between members of the grouping.

Another major announcement was the launch of the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor, a massive scheme described as a modern ‘Spice Route’ designed to link India with Europe, via the Arabian Peninsula.

Termed a “real big deal” by Joe Biden, the project is being seen as a rival to China’s Belt and Road Initiative that involves transcontinental transportation, energy and data linkages.

From the aforesaid details, it appears that the G20, as well as the G7, are trying to transform themselves from West-led old boys’ clubs to more ‘inclusive’ organisations ready to invite more states from the Global South.

The expansion of BRICS and the SCO may have played a role in these changed priorities, which is why the AU has been courted as a partner. Geo-economics and geopolitics are also at play, with the Spice Route taking an aim at the BRI and the Russia-led International North-South Transport Corridor.

Despite being a G20 member, Beijing was not invited to join the new project linking India and Europe. The scheme will also come in handy by connecting Israel with the Arab states.

The building of multiple transcontinental energy and trade corridors is not necessarily a bad thing, as competition can be healthy, while developing states can prosper by attracting investment and serving as conduits in these expansive networks.

Where Pakistan is concerned, due to our internal issues, we are largely spectators rather than active players in these transnational geo-economic networks.

Unfortunately, we have not even fully utilised the potential that CPEC, a BRI project, was supposed to bring.

Pakistan must also realise that despite India’s atrocious human rights record in held Kashmir, the West, as well as our Muslim brothers, seem least concerned and are eager to do business with Delhi. The sad reality is that in the international arena, economic heft overshadows morality.


Therefore, if we want to be part of these global trade networks, and if we want our voice heard where issues such as Kashmir are concerned, we need to first address our internal inadequacies.

Published in Dawn, September 12th, 2023
Lead poisoning causes far more death, IQ loss than thought: study

AFP Published September 12, 2023 
A man sells plantain chips near a bus with smoke seen from its exhaust at a bus park in Abuja,
 Nigeria on February 1, 2017. — Reuters

Lead poisoning has a far greater impact on global health than previously thought, potentially contributing to over five million deaths a year and posing a similar threat to air pollution, modelling research suggested on Tuesday.

The study, described as a “wake-up call”, also estimated that exposure to the toxic metal causes young children in developing countries to lose an average of nearly six IQ points each.

Lead pollution has been shown to cause a range of serious health problems, particularly relating to heart disease and the brain development of small children, resulting in leaded gasoline being banned worldwide.

But people can still be exposed to the potent neurotoxin via food, soil, cookware, fertilisers, cosmetics, lead-acid car batteries and other sources.

The two World Bank economists who authored the study, published in the Lancet Planetary Health journal, said it was the first to assess the impact of lead exposure on heart disease deaths and child IQ loss in wealthy and developing nations.

Lead author Bjorn Larsen told AFP that when the pair first saw the figure their model calculated, “we didn’t even dare to whisper the number” because it was so “enormous”.

Their model estimates that 5.5m adults died from heart disease in 2019 because of lead exposure, 90 per cent of them in low- and middle-income countries.

That is six times higher than the previous estimate, and represents around 30pc of all deaths from cardiovascular disease — the leading cause of death worldwide.

It would mean that lead exposure is a bigger cause of heart disease than smoking or cholesterol, Larsen said.

$6 trillion cost


The research also estimated that children under five lost a cumulative 765m IQ points due to lead poisoning globally in 2019, with 95pc of those losses coming in developing countries.

That number is nearly 80pc higher than previously estimated.

The World Bank researchers put the economic cost of lead exposure at $6 trillion in 2019, equivalent to 7pc of global gross domestic product.

For the analysis, the researchers used estimates of blood lead levels in 183 countries taken from the landmark 2019 Global Burden of Disease study.

Previous research had measured only lead’s effect on heart disease when it came to raising blood pressure.

But the new study looked at numerous other ways lead affects hearts, such as the hardening of arteries that can lead to stroke, resulting in higher numbers, Larsen said.

Roy Harrison, an expert in air pollution and health at Birmingham University in the UK, who was not involved in the study, told AFP it was “interesting, but subject to many uncertainties”.

For example, the relationship between lead in blood and heart disease is based on a survey in the United States, and whether those findings could be applied worldwide “is a huge jump of faith”, he said.

Harrison also pointed out that the model used estimations — not tests — of lead in blood in many developing countries.


If the results were confirmed, “they would be of major public health significance, but at present, this is simply an interesting hypothesis”, he said.
‘Piece of the puzzle’

Richard Fuller, president of the NGO Pure Earth, said that when surveys in developing countries did test for lead in blood, they mostly found higher levels than estimated in the new study.

This means “the impact of lead might be worse than the report describes”, he told AFP, calling it a “wake-up call”.

Larsen said that “we’re still a little in the dark” when it came to understanding how much different sources of lead contribute to blood contamination.

Fuller said part of this “missing piece of the puzzle” was revealed in a Pure Earth report released on Tuesday, which analysed 5,000 samples of consumer goods and food in 25 developing countries.

It found high rates of lead contamination in metal pots and pans, ceramic cookware, paint, cosmetics, and toys.

“This is why poorer countries have so much lead poisoning,” Fuller said. “It’s items in the kitchen that are poisoning them.”