Thursday, August 14, 2025

 

Archaeologists use X-rays to distinguish iron from different periods of America’s colonial past



Florida Museum of Natural History
Image 1 

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Using X-ray spectrometry, archaeologists have found a way to distinguish iron from different time periods in America's colonial past, which may result in long-anticipated discoveries. 

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Credit: Florida Museum of Natural History





Key points

  • Iron artifacts from early Spanish expeditions in North America often look too similar to tell apart, making it difficult to establish the exact routes that were taken.

  • In a new study, archaeologists analyzed iron artifacts spanning more than 400 years of American colonial history using X-ray fluorescence spectroscopy. Their results show that differences in the purity of iron and the trace elements it contains can be reliably used as a diagnostic feature to identify iron artifacts from different time periods.

  • This method may be sensitive enough to distinguish iron artifacts from Spanish expeditions separated by only a few decades, but the study authors say more data needs to be collected to be sure.

On a dark night in late May 1543, a group of men snuck through the Native American town of Guachoya and stopped at the gated wall, where a body had recently been buried. Working quietly, they disinterred the body and carried it to a nearby river, where they wrapped it in shawls filled with sand and dropped it in the water. Thus ended the brief and brutal history of Hernando de Soto, a Spanish soldier who helped conquer Nicaragua, overthrow the Inca empire in Peru and famously led an extensive expedition and military campaign from present-day Florida up through South Carolina and west to Arkansas.

His men had decided to bury his body at first, but given that he’d convinced the Indigenous inhabitants that he was a god before he died of an unknown illness — a decidedly ungodlike thing to do — they later committed his body to a tributary of the Mississippi River, hoping no one would find him.

De Soto’s expedition represented the longest sustained 16th-century incursion of Europeans into North America, but it was preceded and followed by several others, 15 in all. That’s a problem for archaeologists. The Spanish left behind detailed records of their exploits in the Americas, but because they only had a vague sense of where they were at any given time, the exact routes they took remains unclear.

Archaeologists have sidestepped this issue by looking for things the Spanish left behind, especially iron, which they brought with them in great quantities. But the various expeditions, which often overlapped, makes things complicated.

“A wrought-iron nail from the 1500s looks like a wrought iron nail from the 1600s,” said Charles Cobb, the Lockwood chair in historical archaeology at the Florida Museum of Natural History.

Nails account for more than half of all metal artifacts found in North America. This, of itself, is no small problem, said Lindsay Bloch, a courtesy faculty member at the Florida Museum and principal investigator at Tempered Archaeological Services. “Archaeologists find lots and lots of rusty nails and other rusty iron objects. We often can’t even tell what they are, so they get weighed, counted and put back in their bag. And usually, no one ever looks at them again,” she said.

The Spanish had more than just nails. They used iron to make axe blades, horseshoes, breastplates, helmets, spokes, spears, knives, guns and more. They even brought along blacksmiths and farriers on their expeditions to repair and repurpose things on the go. But these objects, like nails, are typically indistinguishable through time. From the moment Christopher Columbus laid anchor in the Bahamas through the conquest of Florida, there were too few changes in the style of metalworking for there to be readily observable diagnostic differences between iron objects made by the Spanish.

That may be about to change. Both Cobb and Bloch are coauthors of a new study in which they demonstrate that microscopic differences in iron from this time period can be spotted using X-ray fluorescence spectrometry. They made this discovery by analyzing objects of unknown affinity, which they now think may have come from the de Soto expedition.

Custer’s last stand elevated the status of metal detectors, resulting in big discoveries

The new methodology follows on the heels of a quiet revolution that’s been taking place in southeast archaeology, namely the recent adoption of metal detectors in large-scale survey work.

This kind of change might seem like a no-brainer from the outside. If an absolute novice were told to find ancient metal artifacts, a metal detector is probably the first thing they’d reach for. But these devices are in many ways antithetical to long-established — and successful — methods of archaeological excavation.

Before metal detectors existed, archaeologists relied solely on their own experience and intuition to find things. They’d set up a transect in a likely spot and dig test holes at regular intervals or scour a predetermined area for objects that had been exposed to the elements. Whenever they found something, they’d clear away an excavation plot and slowly, meticulously work their way down through the sediment horizons while noting the exact location of each object. These methods are rigorously thorough and still in use. They’ve contributed the majority of what we know about ancient cultures that wasn’t put down in writing.

When the first portable metal detectors were invented in the 1930s, archaeologists didn’t have much of a need for them. But metal detectors did catch on with another group: Hobbyists and treasure hunters began finding metal objects all over the place, which they often kept or sold for profit. This didn’t sit well with archaeologists, who were of the opinion shared by Indiana Jones that such things belong in a museum.

“Metal detectors have a bad reputation in archaeology because they are often the go-to for people who loot historic sites,” Bloch said.

So, for several decades, most archaeologists wouldn’t have been caught dead with a metal detector, until 1983, when a wildfire in Montana cleared away the dense vegetation that covered the site of Lt. Col. George Armstrong Custer’s last stand at the Battle of Little Bighorn. The conflict between the U.S. Army and an alliance of Indigenous tribes had taken place over a large area, which made the standard archaeological approach of shovel testing impractical. An enterprising research team, not wanting to waste the narrow window of opportunity, decided to give metal detection a try.

Their gumption paid off. Archaeologists recovered such a great amount and variety of munitions that they were able to retrace the harried steps of U.S. troops, who were routed during the two-day battle.

Other archaeologists took note. “That made it a bit more legitimate for people, but it still took a long time for it to catch on, and it still hasn’t caught on completely,” Cobb said.

For his part, Cobb has no qualms with metal detectors and has made consistent use of them for the last several years. His first big breakthrough came in 2015, when he participated in an archaeological survey in Mississippi. The survey was primarily undertaken to locate ancestral Chickasaw sites. On a whim, they decided to bring out a few metal detectors. Native Americans often traded iron objects they obtained from the Spanish, so it was reasonable to expect there might be a few items lying around that might be indicative of a former habitation. Instead, they discovered what was likely the site of a major battle between de Soto’s army and the Chickasaw that archaeologists had spent decades searching for.

Other breakthroughs soon followed. Before about 15 years ago, less than 100 European objects had been found at North American Indigenous sites outside of Florida. That number has since swiftly increased, leaving archaeologists looking for better ways to determine who these objects belonged to.

One option would be to analyze impurities in the iron. The process of refining iron ore by smelting and forging it leaves a substance that is very nearly 100% iron, but not quite. The more forging a metal is subjected to, the purer its content will be, but trace elements like copper, vanadium and manganese stubbornly resist removal. The proportions of those trace elements are specific to the geographic location where they were deposited. These differences can theoretically be used to determine where a hunk of iron had originally been mined from.

Metals lend themselves well to X-ray analysis because of their high density, and fortunately for Cobb, an expert on the subject happened to work just down the hall from his office.

“She won’t brag on herself, but Lindsay literally wrote the manual on how archaeologists should use X-ray fluorescence spectrometry when she was a grad student,” Cobb said.

The purity of iron artifacts and the trace elements they contain differ through time

Since their study was intended as a proof of concept, the authors decided to cast a wide net by looking at iron material from multiple places and time periods associated with Spanish colonialism. Among the sites included were the first Spanish colony in the Americas, established by Columbus in 1492; several Spanish missions; the 16th century capital of La Florida (located in present-day South Carolina); the de Soto/Chickasaw battle site Cobb had helped excavate; a British fort; and three 19th century plantations.

They also included iron from a site in Alabama known as the Marengo complex. The area comprises excavations from several villages and is believed to be somewhere near the Indigenous town of Mabila, where de Soto’s men engaged in an even more devastating battle than the one they’d have with the Chickasaw a few months later.

Although objects from the Chickasaw battle unambiguously came from the de Soto expedition, the provenance of those from the Marengo complex is less certain. De Soto certainly traveled through the area and left behind a significant store of supplies after the loss of life incurred during the fighting, which reduced the expedition’s ability to haul heavy equipment through the wilderness.

But two decades later, another Spanish expedition came through the area led by Tristán de Luna, who established a nearby settlement that has also yet to be discovered. Grueling starvation and conflict forced de Luna to abandon the settlement, leaving behind supplies that would have been virtually indistinguishable from those of his predecessor. Thus, archaeologists working at the Marengo complex can’t be sure which of the two expeditions artifacts in the area came from.

Though de Soto and de Luna visited some of the same places and were met with similar fates (though De Luna was merely deposed by his men rather than dying outright), their expeditions differ in one important regard. De Soto lived in Spain when he began assembling ships, men and supplies for the trip, and he sourced all of his iron equipment from Europe. De Luna got his supplies from New Spain in South America. He also strongly relied on his men to bring their own assorted iron tools along.

In an early test of the X-ray fluorescence spectrometry method in archaeology, a 2013 study of iron artifacts from Pensacola (known to have come from De Luna) and others from Tallahassee (thought to have come from de Soto) yielded tantalizing but inconclusive results indicating there were elemental differences between the two.

Hoping to find something more robust, Bloch scanned the assemblage of artifacts they’d gathered with a handheld X-ray spectrometer and held her breath.

As a proof of concept, the results were a success. The types of impurities in iron varied markedly through time. The authors say the differences were so consistent that, going forward, they can be reliably used as a diagnostic feature. Small amounts of manganese, for example, were found in some artifacts from the 16th century, but this element was almost entirely absent in iron from later periods. Bismuth was more likely to show up in 18th and 19th century artifacts, and several impurities — including titanium, ruthenium and zirconium — were associated with iron from the late 16th and the 17th centuries.

The overall quality of iron also differed through the ages. Iron artifacts from the mid-16th century had the fewest impurities, and of these, horseshoes had the highest iron content. There was a significant dip in iron quality associated with the 16th and 17th centuries, corresponding with the greater variety of impurities in artifacts from this time. The quality of iron from later periods improved, but it never reached the level of purity found in objects from the early expeditions.

Their results also suggested that the iron recovered from the Marengo complex had likely come from de Soto, but the authors say it’s still too soon to tell. To be certain, they’ll need to take measurements from additional objects that they can pinpoint to specific expeditions that can be used as a standard. And X-rays, while proven to be informative in archaeological contexts, are the quick and dirty way to collect data. To really get down to the fine-grained differences, Cobb said, they will need use a method called isotopic analysis, which gives more precise (and expensive) results. The authors are currently in the process of applying for a grant that would allow them to do just that.

The authors published their study in the International Journal of Historical Archaeology.

Additional authors of the study are Nicolas Delsol of the Université Laval; Gifford Waters of the Florida Museum of Natural History; Edmond Boudreaux III of Mississippi State University; Chester DePratter, James Legg and Steven Smith of the University of South Carolina; Ashley Dumas of the University of West Alabama; V. James Knight Jr. of the University of Alabama; and Brad Lieb of the Chickasaw Nation.

 

Most low carbon taxes are not designed to lower carbon emissions




Cell Press




Carbon taxes are widely seen as one of the most effective policy options for reducing emissions. However, the main rationale behind initially low carbon taxes is often not to reduce emissions but to generate tax revenues or meet international expectations, according to a study published in the Cell Press journal One Earth on August 13. As noted by the authors, the observations cast doubt on whether carbon taxes should always be viewed as climate policies.

“Reducing emissions is often not the primary rationale of carbon taxes in the real world,” says lead study author Johan Lilliestam of Friedrich Alexander University Erlangen-Nürnberg, Germany. “A country having a carbon tax is not in itself an indication of climate policy progress, and the increasing number of carbon pricing schemes is not in itself evidence of carbon pricing being a successful climate policy instrument.”

In many countries, carbon taxes are set and kept too low to strongly reduce emissions, which the authors say indicates that climate change mitigation may not be their primary rationale. In 2023, there were 25 national carbon taxes, of which 19 were initially implemented at a level below minimum benchmarks for expected emissions reduction impacts.

“Understanding the explanatory factors of such low carbon taxes is a fundamental topic in climate policy research,” Lilliestam says. “Yet, to date, no multi-case study has investigated the rationales of low carbon taxes beyond binary assessments of whether or not such a tax exists.”

To help fill this knowledge gap, Lilliestam’s team analyzed the policy design, tax evolution, and expressed justification of all 19 national carbon taxes from countries across the world that were initially implemented below the relevant climate-effectiveness benchmark from 1990 to 2023. They found that in the first years after implementation, most initially low, national carbon taxes primarily followed non-climate rationales. For example, some policies were put in place to generate revenue to fund a general tax system reform or for non-climate spending.

Within the first 5 years after adopting policies, only Switzerland, France, and Canada showed strong evidence of within-policy sequencing, starting with a low but politically feasible tax and increasing it later once supportive coalitions became stronger and reforms became more feasible. Although several countries later increased carbon taxes—sometimes strongly—showing that within-policy sequencing does happen, such processes have been slow in the past, taking up to three decades.

The findings also revealed that 12 of the 19 countries with an initially low carbon tax still had carbon taxes below the benchmark levels in 2023, and many maintained substantial exemptions from tax eligibility. “This indicates that many carbon taxes—the way they were implemented—were not primarily or at all designed to reduce emissions,” Lilliestam says. “Of the 25 national carbon tax systems that exist, almost half of the taxes remained below the threshold for significantly affecting emissions, even after several initially low carbon taxes had been ratcheted up.”

One limitation of the study was that they focused on the 19 initially low, national carbon taxes, meaning that the results do not explicitly relate to emissions trading, to subnational carbon taxes, or to the 4 countries that implemented high carbon taxes above the benchmark, including Sweden and Germany. Further studies are needed to investigate the rationales behind emissions trading systems, including the rationale for the choice against a carbon tax, but also continued work to contrast the rationales of low and high carbon taxes.

“The increasing number of countries implementing carbon pricing systems is, in principle, good news, indicating that climate protection exists on political agendas across the world,” Lilliestam says. “However, the mere existence of these instruments reveals little about their potential for facilitating a rapid transition to net-zero emissions, as they may be designed for other purposes. If the primary rationale of a carbon tax is not directly related to climate action, these taxes may remain low for many years still, and countries may hide behind ‘we have a carbon tax’ and further postpone more ambitious, urgently needed transformative climate policies.”

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This work was supported by the European Research Council and Friedrich Alexander University Erlangen-Nürnberg.

One Earth, Lilliestam et al., “Sequencing, spending, and symbolism: Low carbon taxes primarily serve purposes other than emissions reduction” https://www.cell.com/one-earth/fulltext/S2590-3322(25)00216-7

One Earth (@OneEarth_CP), published by Cell Press, is a monthly journal that features papers from the fields of natural, social, and applied sciences. One Earth is the home for high-quality research that seeks to understand and address today’s environmental Grand Challenges, publishing across the spectrum of environmental change and sustainability science. A sister journal to CellChem, and JouleOne Earth aspires to break down barriers between disciplines and stimulate the cross-pollination of ideas with a platform that unites communities, fosters dialogue, and encourages transformative research. Visit http://www.cell.com/one-earth. To receive Cell Press media alerts, contact press@cell.com.

 

Quitting smoking is associated with recovery from other addictions



NIH-funded finding supports addressing smoking cessation during substance use treatment


SMOKING; THE STRONGEST ADDICTION



NIH/Office of the Director


 

Adults who smoke cigarettes and are addicted to alcohol or other drugs were more likely to achieve sustained remission of their substance use disorder symptoms if they also quit smoking, according to scientists at the National Institutes of Health (NIH).  Based on their analysis of data from a large U.S. study of smoking and health, researchers believe the results clearly show the benefit of pairing smoking cessation with addiction recovery efforts.  

 

“We now have strong evidence from a national sample that quitting cigarette smoking predicts improved recovery from other substance use disorders,” explained Nora Volkow, M.D., director of NIH’s National Institute on Drug Abuse (NIDA), which partly funds the study, known as the Population Assessment of Tobacco and Health (PATH) Study. “It underscores the importance of addressing different addictions together, rather than in isolation.”  

 

Scientists analyzed data from 2,652 people 18 and older who had a history of substance use disorder and who experienced a change in their recovery status over the next four years. 

 

Participants in the PATH Study are asked annually about their smoking status and other substance use. In this analysis, a change in smoking status from “current” to “former” use of cigarettes was associated with 42% greater odds of the individual being in recovery from their non-tobacco substance use disorder.  

 

People with addiction to alcohol or other substances have a higher likelihood of being addicted to nicotine as well. Previous research has suggested an association between smoking cessation and improved outcomes from other substance use disorders. However, the authors note that most prior studies used data from treatment centers focusing on addiction to a single substance or from smoking cessation trials, and those that used nationally representative samples could not adequately test for an association with recovery. Researchers believe the new finding is generalizable to the millions of adults with substance use disorder and accounts for numerous confounding factors, thus increasing confidence in the results. 

 

“Although the health benefits of quitting smoking are well-known, smoking cessation has not been seen as a high priority in drug addiction treatment programs,” said Wilson Compton, M.D., deputy director of NIDA and senior author of the study. “This finding bolsters support for including smoking cessation as part of addiction treatment.”  

 

Although this was a longitudinal analysis that was strongly suggestive that quitting smoking plays a role in improved recovery outcomes from other substance use disorders, further research will be needed to definitively establish a causal connection. Also needed is more research on the best ways to support smoking cessation among people in treatment or recovery for substance use disorders.  

 

The PATH Study is an ongoing, nationally representative longitudinal cohort study of youth and adults who may or may not use tobacco products that is funded by NIH and the U.S. Food and Drug Administration. 

 

If you or someone you know is struggling or in crisis, help is available. Call or text 988 or chat at 988lifeline.org. To learn how to get support for mental health, drug or alcohol conditions, visit FindSupport.gov. If you are ready to locate a treatment facility or provider, you can go directly to FindTreatment.gov or call 800-662-HELP (4357)

 

Reference: MJ Parks, et al. Cigarette Smoking During Recovery from Substance Use Disorders [linked]. JAMA Psychiatry. DOI: 10.1001/jamapsychiatry.2025.1976. 

 

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About the National Institute on Drug Abuse (NIDA): NIDA is a component of the National Institutes of Health, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. NIDA supports most of the world’s research on the health aspects of drug use and addiction. The Institute carries out a large variety of programs to inform policy, improve practice, and advance addiction science. For more information about NIDA and its programs, visit www.nida.nih.gov
 
About the National Institutes of Health (NIH): NIH, the nation’s medical research agency, includes 27 Institutes and Centers and is a component of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. NIH is the primary federal agency conducting and supporting basic, clinical, and translational medical research, and is investigating the causes, treatments, and cures for both common and rare diseases. For more information about NIH and its programs, visit www.nih.gov

 

 

NIH…Turning Discovery Into Health® 

Overhaul global food systems to avert worsening land crisis: Scientists


Imperative to ‘bend the curve’ of land degradation by reducing food waste, unlocking sustainable ocean-based food potential and restoring half of degraded lands by 2050


LONG READ



United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD)

Sand and duststorms 

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Ongoing rates of land degradation contribute to a cascade of mounting global challenges, including food and water insecurity, forced relocation and population migration, social unrest, and economic inequality.

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Credit: UNCCD





In Nature, 21 leading scientists today prescribe ways to use food systems to halt and reverse land degradation, underlining that doing so must become a top global priority to mitigate climate change and stop biodiversity loss. 

The article breaks new ground by quantifying the impact by 2050 of reducing food waste by 75% and maximising sustainable ocean-based food production, measures that alone could spare an area larger than Africa.  

According to the paper: “Food systems have not yet been fully incorporated into intergovernmental agreements, nor do they receive sufficient focus in current strategies to address land degradation.  Rapid, integrated reforms focused on global food systems, however, can move land health from crisis to recovery and secure a healthier, more stable planet for all.”

The authors underline especially the importance of halting food waste and sustainably managing lands , and suggest an ambitious but achievable target of 50% land restoration for 2050 (currently 30% by 2030). 

And, they emphasize, the measures outlined would enormously co-benefit the climate, biodiversity, and global health.  

Says lead author Fernando T. Maestre of the King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST), Saudi Arabia: “This paper presents a bold, integrated set of actions to tackle land degradation, biodiversity loss, and climate change together, as well as a clear pathway for implementing them by 2050.” 

“By transforming food systems, restoring degraded land, harnessing the potential of sustainable seafood, and fostering cooperation across nations and sectors, we can ‘bend the curve’ and reverse land degradation while advancing towards goals of the UN Convention to Combat Desertification and other global agreements.”

Adds co-author Barron J. Orr, UNCCD’s Chief Scientist: “Once soils lose fertility, water tables deplete, and biodiversity is lost, restoring the land becomes exponentially more expensive. Ongoing rates of land degradation contribute to a cascade of mounting global challenges, including food and water insecurity, forced relocation and population migration, social unrest, and economic inequality.”

“Land degradation isn’t just a rural issue, it affects the food on all our plates, the air we breathe, and the stability of the world we live in. This isn’t about saving the environment, it’s about securing our shared future.”

Key recommendations:

1. Restoring 50% of degraded land through sustainable land management practices would correspond to the restoration of 3 Mkm² of cropland and 10 Mkm² of non-cropland, a total of 13 Mkm².

Land restoration must involve the people who live on and manage the land — especially Indigenous Peoples, smallholder farmers, women, and other vulnerable people and communities, the article says.

To support them, the authors recommend:

  • Support for small farmers: Most of the world’s food is grown by small and family farms. The paper calls for shifting agricultural subsidies from large-scale industrial farms toward sustainable smallholders, incentivizing good land stewardship among the world’s 608 million farms, and fostering their access to technology, secure land rights, and fair markets

  • Land-based taxes or tariffs: To reward sustainable low-impact farming and penalize polluters

  • Environmental labeling: So consumers can make informed, planet-friendly food choices

  • Better data and reporting: To track emissions and land use impacts

2. Reduce food waste by 75%: An estimated 56.5 Mkm² of agricultural land (cropland and rangelands) are used to produce food, and roughly 33% of all food produced is wasted (14% lost post harvest at farms; 19% at the retail, food service and household stages).

Reducing food waste by 75%, therefore, could spare roughly 13.4 Mkm² of land.

The authors highlight key measures to remedy this, including:

  • Policies to prevent overproduction and spoilage

  • Ban food industry rules that reject “ugly” produce

  • Encourage food donations and discounted sales of near-expiry products

  • Education campaigns to reduce household waste

  • Support small farmers in developing countries to improve storage and transport

They note new legislation in Spain requiring stores to donate or sell surplus food, restaurants to offer take-home containers, and all actors across the food supply chain to implement formal food waste reduction plans.

3. Integrate land and marine food systems: Red meat produced in unsustainable ways consumes large amounts of land, water, and feed, and emits significant greenhouse gases. Seafood and seaweed are sustainable, nutritious alternatives. Seaweed, for example, needs no freshwater and absorbs atmospheric carbon. Responsible aquaculture—focusing on low-impact species like mussels and seaweed-derived products—can reduce pressure on land. The authors recommend:

  • Replacing 70% of unsustainably produced red meat to sustainably sourced seafood, such as wild or farmed fish and mollusks. Doing so would spare 17.1 Mkm² of land currently used for pasture and livestock feed

  • Using sustainably sourced seaweed-derived products as a vegetable substitute—replacing just 10% of global vegetable intake with seaweed-derived products could free up over 0.4 Mkm² of cropland.

These changes are especially relevant for wealthier countries with high meat consumption. In some poorer regions, animal products remain crucial for nutrition.

Total land spared by food system-related measures 2 and 3: ~30.9 Mkm², an area roughly equal to Africa.

The combination of land restoration, food waste reduction,, and dietary shifts, therefore, would spare or restore roughly 43.8 Mkm² in 30 years (2020-2050).  

The proposed measures combined would also 

  • Contribute to emission reduction efforts by mitigating roughly 13 Gt of CO2-equivalent per year through 2050.

  • Co-benefit biodiversity by improving habitat quality and ecosystem functioning, and avoiding the conversion of remaining natural ecosystems to cropland, and 

  • Help the world community achieve its commitments in several international agreements, including the three Rio Conventions (climate, biodiversity and desertification), the Sustainable Development Goals and others 

Coordinated action among the Rio Conventions

The authors call for the UN’s three Rio conventions–CBD, UNCCD and UNFCCC–to unite around shared land and food system goals and encourage the exchange of state-of-the-art knowledge, track progress and  streamline science into more effective policies, all to accelerate  action on the ground. 

Land and food systems play a key role in advancing towards the goals and targets of the three conventions and the Sustainable Development Goals, they say. 

The authors call on Parties to all three Rio conventions to promote multilateral actions on land and food systems in a coordinated and collaborative manner. UNCCD’s 197 Parties, at their most recent Conference of Parties (COP16) in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, have already adopted a decision on avoiding, reducing and reversing land and soil degradation of agricultural lands. 

Additional comments

“Land is more than soil and space. It harbors biodiversity, cycles water, stores carbon, and regulates climate. It gives us food, sustains life, and holds deep roots of ancestry and knowledge. Today, over one-third of Earth’s land is used to grow food - feeding a global population of more than 8 billion people. Yet today, modern farming practices, deforestation, and overuse are degrading soil, polluting water, and destroying vital ecosystems. Food production alone drives nearly 20% of global emissions of greenhouse gases. We need to act. To secure a thriving future - and protect land - we must reimagine how we farm, how we live, and how we relate to nature - and to each other. It’s time for land stewardship: to care for the land as a living ally, no longer as a resource to exploit.”

- Co-author Elisabeth Huber-Sannwald, Professor, Instituto Potosino de Investigación Científica y Tecnológiva, San Luis Potosí, Mexico

“Land degradation is a key factor in forced migration and conflict over resources. Regions that rely heavily on agriculture for livelihoods, especially smallholder farmers, who feed much of the world, are particularly vulnerable. These pressures could destabilize entire regions and amplify global risks. .”

Co-author Dolors Armenteras, Professor  of Landscape Ecology – Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Bogotá

“Integrating land and marine food systems is fundamental to achieve food security, enable the restoration of degraded land and maintain healthy populations”

- Co-author Carlos M. Duarte, Professor of Marine Science, KAUST

******

By the Numbers

56%: Projected increase in food production needed by 2050 if we stay on our current path

34%: Portion of Earth’s ice-free land already used for food production, headed to 42% by 2050

21%: Share of global greenhouse gas emissions produced by food systems

80%: Proportion of deforestation driven by food production

70%: Amount of freshwater consumption that goes to agriculture

33%: Fraction of global food that currently goes to waste

US$1 trillion: Estimated annual value of food lost or wasted globally

75%: Ambitious target for global food waste reduction by 2050

50%: Proposed portion of degraded land to be restored by 2050 using sustainable land management

US $278 billion: Annual funding gap to achieve UNCCD land restoration goals

608 million: Number of farms on the planet

90%: Percentage of all farms under 2 hectares

35%: Share of the world’s food produced by small farms

6.5 billion tons: Potential biomass yield using 650 million hectares of ocean for seaweed farming

17.5 million km²: Estimated cropland area saved if humanity adopts the proposed Rio+ diet (less unsustainably produced red meat, more sustainably sourced seafood and seaweed-derived food products)

166 million: Number of people who could avoid micronutrient deficiencies with more aquatic foods in their diet

*******

Bending the curve of land degradation to achieve global environmental goals,

https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-025-09365-5

Authors

  • Fernando T. Maestre – King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, Saudi Arabia (Lead author)

  • Emilio Guirado – King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, Saudi Arabia

  • Dolors Armenteras – Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Bogotá, Colombia

  • Hylke E. Beck – King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, Saudi Arabia

  • Mashael bint Saud AlShalan – Aeon Collective, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

  • Noura bint Turki Al-Saud – Aeon Collective, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

  • Ralph Chami – Blue Green Future LLC, Washington D.C., USA

  • Bojie Fu – Key Laboratory of Regional and Urban Ecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences & University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China

  • Helene Gichenje – Independent Consultant, Nairobi, Kenya

  • Elisabeth Huber-Sannwald – Instituto Potosino de Investigación Científica y Tecnológica, San Luis Potosí, Mexico

  • Chinwe Ifejika Speranza – Institute of Geography, University of Bern, Switzerland

  • Jaime Martínez-Valderrama – Estación Experimental de Zonas Áridas, CSIC, Almería, Spain

  • Matthew F. McCabe – King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, Saudi Arabia

  • Barron J. Orr – United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification, Bonn, Germany

  • Ting Tang – King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, Saudi Arabia

  • Graciela Metternicht – Western Sydney University, Australia

  • Michael Miess – King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, Saudi Arabia

  • James F. Reynolds – Nicholas School of the Environment and Department of Biology, Duke University, USA

  • Lindsay C. Stringer – University of York, UK

  • Yoshihide Wada – King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, Saudi Arabia

  • Carlos M. Duarte – King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, Saudi Arabia

*******

About KAUST 

Established in 2009, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST) is a graduate research university devoted to finding solutions for some of the most pressing scientific and technological challenges in the world as well as Saudi Arabia in the areas of food and health, water, energy, environment and the digital domain. KAUST is a curiosity-driven, interdisciplinary

KAUST brings together the best minds from around the world to advance research. More than 120 different nationalities live, work and study on campus. KAUST is also a catalyst for innovation, economic development and social prosperity, with research resulting in novel patents and products, enterprising startups, regional and global initiatives, and collaboration with other academic institutions, industries and Saudi agencies.

https://www.kaust.edu.sa/en

About UNCCD

The United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD) is an international agreement on good land stewardship. It helps create wealth, grow economies and secure food, clean water and energy by enabling sustainable land management. The Convention’s 197 parties establish partnerships and robust systems to manage drought promptly and effectively. Good land stewardship based on sound policy and science helps integrate and accelerate achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals, builds resilience to climate change and prevents biodiversity loss.

The 16th session of UNCCD’s Conference of the Parties (COP16) was held in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia in December 2024. Mongolia will host UNCCD COP17 in Ulaanbaatar from 17-28 August 2026, a major event coinciding with the UN’s International Year of Rangelands and Pastoralists.  Delegates from UNCCD Parties, heads of state, ministers, representatives from international organizations, scientific communities, civil society, and the private sector will convene to accelerate action against desertification, land degradation and drought. 

https://unccd.int