Wednesday, August 26, 2026

USA

The Looming Election


Tuesday 25 August 2026, by Against the Current Editors



MIDTERM U.S. ELECTIONS are traditionally predictably unpredictable, the main question being how much loss the party of the sitting President will suffer. Conventionally that should go double or triple for the Republicans this November.

But amid a deeply unpopular ruinous war, and frightening insecurity for tens of millions of Americans fearing for their future, this year’s November 2026 elections are unpredictably unpredictable. The question goes well beyond whether the Democrats — and which Democrats — might overturn the narrow Republican Congressional majorities.

National and even international attention — and $61 million of dark money — were drawn to the August 4 U.S. Senate Democratic primary in Michigan, and the victory of progressive insurgent candidate Dr. Abdul el-Sayed. More will be said below on its meaning and implications.

Much will probably change between the writing of this editorial and the election. Multiple swirling uncertainties include:

1) What might be the state of the U.S. war with Iran? Another truce, more negotiations and stabilized oil prices, or massive escalation and a war spreading through the region, with oil at or over $150 a barrel, or — perhaps most likely — something messily in between?

2) What might the U.S. economy look like with down-and-up fuel prices, Trump’s off-and-on tariffs, and sectors of health care, construction and agriculture potentially crippled by mass immigrant detention and deportation?

None of these can be known, particularly when Trump’s own policies shift with every day’s half-deranged Truth Social posts.

3) To what lengths could Trump and the Republican cult go to preserve their power? Last-ditch moves to ram through Trump’s massive voter-suppression Enslave America Act, if not at the federal level then adopted by some states, or to block voting by mail? Among the openly discussed scarier scenarios, ICE or Border Patrol agents stationed at polling places? Attempts to seize ballots, or to prosecute state election officials who refuse to obey unconstitutional government orders?

Presidential proclamation of a phony “state of emergency”? Rightwing mobs unleashed to block counting of votes? Sabotage of postal delivery of mail ballots?

Right now, the likelihood of such extreme and high-risk events may seem relatively low. The consequences, however, could bring a fundamental crisis of government legitimacy and what remains of Constitutional process.

Insurgencies Right and Left

Assuming for the moment a generally “normal” election process, we do know that the Trump 2 administration is more unpopular by the month, and Republican incumbents in critical Congressional district and Senate races look to be in serious trouble. Yet the Democratic Party is even more unpopular, if possible, than the Trump-cult GOP.

Undoubtedly the immediate primary factors driving popular anger are economic: food and fuel price inflation, health insurance costs making medical care inaccessible for millions, fears among technical workers that rampant Artificial Intelligence might wipe out their current jobs and future employment chances.

There are insurgencies within both capitalist parties, most obviously in the Democratic Party and left-moving parts of its voter base, but also among MAGA voters disillusioned over Trump’s broken promises to “fix the economy” and “end forever wars.”

On the MAGA-GOP side, Trump deflects with raves about “radical left Democrats” and the fantasy specter of a Cuban-driven “Communist threat,” while advertising the brilliant successes of his tariffs which people increasingly can see as disastrous in their own lives. The gangster administration doubles down on sadistic immigration detentions and deportations.

Trump’s antics aren’t working terribly well as some former loyalists peel off toward (even more) irrationalist and antisemitic extremism. The administration itself is divided between, for example, the traditional militarism of the late Senator Lindsey Graham and Marco Rubio — now Trump’s viceroy to run Venezuela — and J.D. Vance, whose neo-isolationist streak combines with open admiration for Europe’s far right and affinity with Vladimir Putin’s Russia.

Nonetheless the Republican machinery with its bottomless resources of corporate and dark money, the still-powerful Trump cult following, and the power of partisan and blatantly racial district gerrymandering enabled by the far-right Supreme Court majority, remains formidable. Its defeat is by no means certain. By most counts there are only 20 or so House of Representatives districts, out of the total 435, that are genuinely competitive outside of a massive “wave” election.

The Republicans’ open intention to reject election results if they don’t win brings a higher level of volatility, fear and more unpredictable unpredictability into the political climate.

Among the Democrats

We need to be clear on two points. (1) The capitalist Democratic Party will not be “transformed” by some progressive or democratic surge; but (2) in the absence of viable independent politics nationally, what’s happened in the primaries reflect popular anger and political volatility and can’t be ignored.

The open revolt against a sclerotic entrenched party leadership reflects a confluence of issues where the Democratic leadership has failed, retreated or collapsed. Running scared, the establishment’s backlash is already on display.

Rahm Emanuel, a potential 2028 presidential candidate, mentor and chief of staff of Barack Obama, and former mayor of Chicago where he fought a bitter and losing war to break the Chicago Teachers Union, writes in The Wall Street Journal that the progressive or democratic socialist left would “spoil” the Democrats’ prospects.

When party progressive activists demand actual solutions to the crises that are crushing people’s lives and hopes, establishment corporate centrists respond with calls for “realism,” gradualism and the stagnant consultant-driven campaign tactics that lose elections over and over again. The centrist Third Way promises a $15 million drive to attack democratic socialism.

The critical issues include the corruption of politics by corporate PAC and billionaires’ money; the crying need for national “Medicaid For All” health coverage; the obscene concentration of wealth at the top; the Trump gang’s deregulation spree and “drill baby drill” lunacy while North America and Europe literally burn; and the anti-immigrant terror that has sparked anti-ICE mass resistance.

Not least is rising fury over Israel’s state genocide in Gaza, murderous ethnic cleansing in the occupied West Bank, and annexationist invasion of south Lebanon. It’s remarkable and unprecedented that a majority of Americans — among all sectors except older Republicans — view Palestine more sympathetically than Israel. Even Rahm Emanuel warned an Israeli audience, despite his undying Zionist loyalty, that Israel’s behavior is hemorrhaging support in the United States.

The Wire, the newsletter of Jewish Voice for Peace, reports that since the election of Zohran Mamdani “11 JVP Action-endorsed candidates, including six congressional candidates have won their primaries — not in spite of but because of their unwavering support for Palestinian freedom.” (Special JVP Action PAC issue, July 31)

The Biden-Harris administration is quite rightly despised for enabling the Gaza genocide, even though it knew the magnitude of the slaughter from the beginning. Israeli prime minister Netanyahu is widely despised for luring Trump with flattery and the prospect of quick, world-changing “victory” over Iran.

Battle Grounds

These combined factors have brought about an insurgency that’s seen the mayoral election of Zohran Mamdani in New York City and some notable Democratic primary challengers, although of course there are losses too like Cori Bush’s defeat in Missouri. Francesca Hong lost the Wisconsin gubernational primary by less than half a point.

In media reporting as well as Trump vitriol, the Democratic Socialists of America are seen as the driving force behind the anti-establishment upsurge. Undoubtedly DSA plays a significant role in some of these races (as in Mamdani’s victory, and for example in promoting a notion idea of Alexandria Ocasio Cortez running for president in 2028). But DSA is not the only factor.

In the nationally spotlighted open Senate race in Michigan, public health expert Dr. Abdul el-Sayed took on an established AIPAC (American Israel Public Affairs Committee) centrist Democrat Haley Stevens in the August 4 primary. Identifying not as a socialist but as an outspoken advocate of Medicare for All and ending aid to Israel, El-Sayed was targeted by “pro-Israel” and corporate PACS with some spent on toxic attack TV ads and mailers.

El-Sayed’s campaign energized Arab community, progressive and pro-Palestinian activism including the formation of “Jews for Abdul” and “Women for Abdul” to counter the attacks.

Meanwhile AIPAC (which generally devotes its resources to primary rather than general elections) openly says it will continue its effort to defeat El-Sayed. Undoubtedly its ads will especially target Jewish, Black and women voters with the same toxic lies they spread during the primary.

A significant test of Democrats’ “unity” will be whether Michigan and national figures — from outgoing governor Gretchen Whitmer to former president Obama — will energetically support El-Sayed as he runs against rightwing Trump Republican Mike Rogers, in what will be an exceptionally expensive and dirty contest that may decide which party controls the U.S. Senate.

Some progressive fantasies to the contrary notwithstanding, under the most optimistic scenarios — should the Democrats take control of the Senate and maybe even replace the discredited Chuck Schumer with someone like Senator Chris Van Hollen — the Democrats might become a genuine liberal opposition party in action rather than mostly empty talk.

That could be a big improvement — and no doubt revive many dormant illusions about the Democratic Party — but far from the transformation of social-democratic dreams. Frankly, on the national level this outcome is pretty much the ceiling of possibilities that might be achieved electorally.

In the House of Representatives, a swing to a Democratic majority would put the Speakership in the hands of Hakeem Jeffries — a committed centrist and the party’s number-one beneficiary of AIPAC support.

In addition to the Democratic establishment counter-offensive, not to mention Trump’s raving about the Communist menace (although his White House rant was pretty much a dud), there are deeper obstacles to the success of progressive Democrats or for that matter, activist movements.

The movements’ outreach to the most critical sectors of society remains limited. This was not only visible in the No Kings Day mobilizations of the past couple years — large, creative and energetic but mostly white in their large majority. The Black community is politically engaged, but with its own urgent concerns.

African American voters, who constitute the backbone of the Democratic vote in many states including especially the South, have been a bulwark of the party establishment at strategic moments. This was notably shown in the 2020 presidential primary in South Carolina, where the leading Black Congressional representative James Clyburn rallied the vote for Joe Biden, scuttling the rising Bernie Sanders candidacy.

The Detroit vote was also a big part of why Abdul el-Sayed’s razor-thin victory in Michigan was so much closer than polls predicted. Indeed, in the final stage of the primary Clyburn came in to support Stevens, whose campaign heavily promoted her advertised connections to the African American community, to Black women in particular, and the endorsements she received from Black elected officials (as well as prominent white Michigan establishment of course).

There are powerful Black-led and multi-racial protests around numerous cases of police brutality and murder of African American community members. The difficulty arises because much of the community sees the supposedly “more electable” Democratic mainstream as its only solid defense against the Trump-Republican rampage that ravages Black people’s lives and rights.

For the left, the continuing tragedy is the absence of a meaningful political option independent of the Democratic Party. Local independent political campaigns are a viable possibility and important to be pursued, but only a first step in a very long march to any kind of national political alternative.

For independent politics to become a viable factor in the United States, Black as well as Latinx movements must be central forces from the outset. That’s an enormous challenge, especially in the face of the very real intense menace from the right.

At this moment, the only really predictable thing in crisis-ridden America is how much hangs in the balance, and not only in the looming midterm elections. Elections don’t determine the future, but they help create the terrain of battles to come.

September-October 2026, ATC 244.

ICE Wants Our Emails



by | Aug 24, 2026 |

When a government agency comes to an internet service provider demanding information about Americans because of what they have said on social media, the provider should discard the demand, close the door or hang up the phone.

The government is not entitled to rummage through the political opinions, associations, criticisms and angry rhetoric of anyone merely because a government official finds those opinions offensive, threatening to an agency’s reputation or inconvenient to its mission.

Recently, Immigration and Customs Enforcement has dramatically expanded its monitoring of social media platforms and has issued administrative subpoenas seeking information identifying users whose posts have criticized ICE. The reported investigations have included Americans and aliens who have not been charged with crimes.

An administrative subpoena is not a judicial search warrant or a grand jury subpoena. It can be issued by one government official to another for investigative authorization; or to an entity legally subject to the issuing agency such as from bank regulators to a banking institution.

Absent that unique regulatory relationship, because there is no intermediary like a judge or a grand jury between the issuer and the target of the subpoena, an administrative subpoena is of no legal significance when issued to a person outside the government or because of speech.

The federal government does not possess a general police power to investigate people because of what they think, believe, say, read, write or post. The feds only possess powers delegated to them by the Constitution. Those powers do not include the authority to create a political surveillance apparatus designed to discover who dislikes them.

The government cannot investigate speech; only genuine crimes. And when a particular person is reasonably suspected of committing a particular crime, the government has investigative tools at its disposal.

But that’s fundamentally different from starting with someone’s speech and asking: Who is this person? Where does he live? Who are his friends? What other accounts does he have? What else has he said?

The proper law enforcement sequence is crime first, suspect second, investigation third. The government cannot constitutionally begin with protected expression and work backward in search of a crime.

In order to commence all federal government investigations, the Constitution requires articulable suspicion that an identifiable person has committed an identifiable crime. A vague government assertion that a social media post is concerning, hateful, extreme, anti-government or potentially disruptive to government operations is not legally sufficient. Otherwise, every person becomes a potential investigative subject simply because he has a keyboard and an opinion.

The First Amendment exists because government officials cannot be trusted to decide which opinions are acceptable.

This applies with particular force to political speech, which is at the heart of the First Amendment. The government may not investigate people simply because they condemn its policies, despise its officials, advocate abolition of an agency or use coarse and inflammatory language in expressing their political views.

And that means hate speech.

“Hate speech” is a moral and social description, not a constitutional category of unprotected expression. The First Amendment does not disappear because speech is hateful. Nor does it disappear because someone hates the government.

All in America have a constitutional right to say that the government is evil. They have a right to say that its officials are tyrants. They have a right to call government agents whatever words come to mind. They have a right to demand that an agency be abolished. They have a right to express hatred of government itself.

The First Amendment was written to protect these sorts of expressions.

The Supreme Court’s First Amendment jurisprudence has repeatedly emphasized the extraordinary protection afforded political advocacy. Under Brandenburg v. Ohio, all innocuous speech is absolutely protected and all speech is innocuous when there is time for more speech to rebut or challenge it. Stated differently, even advocacy of unlawful conduct generally cannot be punished unless it is directed toward producing imminent lawless action and imminently produces it.

In order to obtain a warrant, the government must identify the crime and produce probable cause that the place to be searched or thing to be seized will likely produce evidence of that crime. It cannot simply declare that an unpleasant statement is dangerous to the government and authorize itself to identify and intimidate its author.

A person’s social media history can reveal vastly more than a single conversation ever could: political beliefs, religious views, friendships, professional associations, travel, personal relationships, affiliations and years of political expression. A government demand for that information is not some trivial request for a name and address. It can expose an extraordinarily detailed portrait of a person’s life.

That creates a profound chilling effect that will deter people from expressing their opinions.

The First Amendment was ratified to prevent chilling.

Moreover, government cannot expand its powers merely because technology makes expansion possible. Police departments cannot purchase surveillance technology and then announce that its availability means they are entitled to use it. Federal agencies cannot turn social media platforms into a nationwide surveillance database simply because contractors can build the software.

America has new technology, but the same Constitution.

The government cannot manufacture criminals out of Americans whose opinions it dislikes. A free society cannot survive if every angry post becomes an investigative lead, every government critic becomes a potential threat and every unpopular opinion becomes grounds for a government dossier.

The First Amendment does not protect only polite speech. It protects all speech — dissent, unpopular speech, offensive speech, hateful speech and criticism of government. It even protects the right to be wrong.

The government has no constitutional authority to demand that any persons first demonstrate that their opinions are sufficiently agreeable before being permitted to live free from surveillance.

So, when ICE comes asking for anyone’s social media histories because of what they have said, the answer should be unequivocal: Go get a warrant.

Until then, ICE can leave us and our speech alone.

Andrew P. Napolitano, a former judge of the Superior Court of New Jersey, is the senior judicial analyst at Fox News Channel. Judge Napolitano has written seven books on the US Constitution. The most recent is Suicide Pact: The Radical Expansion of Presidential Powers and the Lethal Threat to American Liberty. To find out more about Judge Napolitano and to read features by other Creators Syndicate writers and cartoonists, visit www.creators.com. COPYRIGHT 2025 ANDREW P. NAPOLITANO – DISTRIBUTED BY CREATORS.COM

Why So Many Countries Around the World Quietly Root for Iran

It’s not about Iran. It’s the threats that an unchecked America poses to others

by | Aug 24, 2026

Reprinted with permission from Trita Parsi’s Substack.

I have been stunned by the number of officials from a wide variety of countries who, while hardly favoring Iran or feeling much empathy for the Islamic Republic, have privately expressed to me a huge sigh of relief over Tehran’s success in thwarting US-Israeli aggression.

Given that many of these officials represent countries squarely in the US camp and have deep problems with the Islamic Republic, this “tacit rooting” for Iran tells us something about the state of global affairs.

There is relief that aggression and violations of international law did not pay off for the US and Israel in Iran, just as they didn’t for Russia in Ukraine. Venezuela was, in the eyes of many, a terrifying case. Regardless of one’s views of Maduro, the idea that a superpower could surgically kidnap the head of state of another country, install its favored ruler – who must now get her social media posts approved by the US Secretary of State – and gleefully announce that Venezuela is now American territory was petrifying to a lot of countries. So was the fact that European leaders praised the regime-change operation while dismissing concerns about its legality.

Europe, which had by and large stood against the George W. Bush administration’s illegal invasion of Iraq, was now enthusiastically onboard with regime change in Venezuela, all while insisting on the sanctity of international law in Ukraine and Greenland. That lack of resistance made the cost of a US neocolonial rampage all the more manageable. And given Donald Trump’s proclivities, both friends and foes of the United States feared they could be next.

The remarkable military success in Venezuela was one reason Trump became so gung-ho about war with Iran. If Venezuela took a few hours, he believed Iran would take four days at most. He promised skeptical regional leaders that the whole ordeal would “take no longer than 100 hours,” according to an Arab official.

Six months later, he is stuck in a losing war with no end in sight. And officials around the world feel relieved because Iran’s successful resistance has effectively prevented Trump from moving on to his next targets.

As one official from a traditional American ally told me: “Had it not been for the resilience of the Iranians, Trump would likely have attacked Cuba by now and perhaps even annexed Greenland.”

It is important to understand that these sentiments have little to do with Iran. I have detected little sympathy for the Islamic Republic at the government level, although the situation appears different among general public. Rather, these sentiments are rooted in naked self-interest.

An America pursuing a naked neocolonial foreign policy is a greater threat to many countries than Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Certainly, the latter hurts innocent countries that played no role in encouraging Trump’s disastrous war. But it is a comparatively manageable pain. Few countries, unlike Iran, have designed their militaries to repel American or Israeli aggression should they find themselves on Trump’s target list.

Indeed, I have even detected concern that Iran may open the Strait of Hormuz too soon – before Trump has committed himself to never playing neocon again. Just as Iran helped create a quagmire for America in Iraq to prevent the Bush administration from invading Iran next, many countries now secretly hope Trump remains stuck in the Persian Gulf for the foreseeable future. It may be the most effective guarantee that his regime-change and annexation spree comes to a halt.

What we are seeing is a world yearning for balance. And from the perspective of many countries—not just those in the Global South – the United States is the country that most acutely needs to be balanced against.

Not Russia. Not Iran. Not North Korea. And certainly not China.

That is not an endorsement of any of these countries, their governing structures, domestic policies, or ideologies. Nor is it a dismissal of the threats and challenges they pose in their respective regions. It is simply a cold and sober assessment of where the most pressing threat emerges from.

We saw a variation of this in 2022, when Russia invaded Ukraine. The vast majority of countries in the Global South sympathized with Ukraine for obvious reasons, even if they also placed some blame on NATO. But they did not see Russia as a threat to themselves, because Russia lacked the capacity to replicate its invasion of Ukraine in Africa, for instance.

Then Washington cut Russia off from the international financial system within five days, and alarm bells rang in capitals around the world. Not because they sympathized with Russia or believed the sanctions were unwarranted, but because the US had demonstrated that it could devastate economies around the world within days, given their dependence on the dollar for trade.

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine revealed no comparable vulnerability of Global South states to Russian designs. Washington’s swift sanctions response, however, revealed a massive vulnerability to American whims and capabilities.

That threat may have been theoretical in 2022. After all, Biden showed no inclination to wield that weapon for the fun of it. Today, it is anything but.

Being a friend of America provides you with no protection from Trump’s mood swings. A Western diplomat recently told me about her efforts to convince her leadership not to push for a state visit to Washington. “Nothing good can come of it. It’s just better to not be on his radar,” the diplomat of an allied state told me.

Just as in the jungle, there is protection in not being noticed by the top predator.

This reality demonstrates once again how disastrous the Iran war – and neoconservative foreign policy more broadly—has been for the United States itself. All states seek to amass power. But responsible statecraft and diplomacy ensure that power is not unnecessarily perceived as a threat by other nations, which will have no choice but to find ways to balance against you.

Or, as we are now seeing, to balance against you by proxy.

Don’t get me wrong, I am not saying that the world wants America to lose. But it increasingly wants America to be balanced and constrained.

Trita Parsi is the Executive VP of the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft and an award-winning author. Washingtonian Magazine has named him one of the 25 most influential voices on foreign policy. Noam Chomsky calls him “one of the most distinguished scholars on Iran”

Visit Trita Parsi’s Substack and subscribe.

 

An American Soldier in the Persian Gulf Sent Me a Picture. It Went Viral.


by | Aug 25, 2026 |

Reprinted with permission from Trita Parsi’s Substack.

One of the important characteristics of Israel and Donald Trump’s war on Iran was that it never had the support of the American people. When George Bush launched his illegal invasion of Iraq, support stood strong at 72%. As the war turned into a debacle, that support waned. By contrast, the Iran war had the support of only 27% of the American public at the outset. It took four years for support for the Iraq war to fall to the low levels of support the Iran war enjoyed from the beginning.

But an untold story is the apparent opposition – though the exact numbers remain unknown—within the ranks of the US military. I am not talking about frustration, as evidenced by complaints about living standards on the USS Abraham Lincoln, but actual opposition.

One anecdotal piece of evidence is quite telling. A US service member based in the Persian Gulf sent me a picture of what soldiers had written in the dust covering the flaps of an aircraft. I tweeted it a few days ago. It quickly went viral.

The common theme running through the scribbles is a belief that the war does not serve US interests, coupled with the assertion that it was started on behalf of Israel.

For instance:

“Peace deal #64 incoming… ALL THIS FOR THE HOLY LAND”

“Be a good goy and do what Israel tells you to”

“Operation Epstein Fury”

As I wrote on X, I have no frame of reference to compare these expressions with the sentiments of US soldiers in previous conflicts. But I have heard them often enough from men and women in uniform to believe they represent a sizable portion of active-duty service members in the Middle East.

Moreover, while similar sentiments may have existed in previous conflicts, there clearly wasn’t the willingness then to express them so openly or so bluntly.

As one service member told me: “What people in the media don’t understand when they compare past conflicts to this one, is this operation has no morale behind it. That makes a world of difference to service members deployed to undesirable locations indefinitely.”

There is a lot to unpack in that quote.

“This operation has no morale behind it.”

“Deployed to undesirable locations indefinitely.”

This is precisely why you don’t start wars of choice – wars that do not serve the national interest. Because the first people to recognize their unjustness will be the servicemen and women on the frontlines.

And when their morale collapses, defeat is only a matter of time.

Put differently: When a war has no morale behind it, winning simply means ending it. There is no other form of “winning” in such an unjust war.

Trita Parsi is the Executive VP of the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft and an award-winning author. Washingtonian Magazine has named him one of the 25 most influential voices on foreign policy. Noam Chomsky calls him “one of the most distinguished scholars on Iran”

Visit Trita Parsi’s Substack and subscribe.

 

Why Iran Ruffles the Feathers of the United States


by | Aug 26, 2026 |

Strip away the diplomatic briefings, Congressional hearings and the endless cable news loops about centrifuges, regional proxies and cyber attacks, and you hit a raw unvarnished nerve.

What truly disturbs the United States about the Islamic Republic is not its policies, its rhetoric or even its nuclear ambitions.  It is Iran’s audacity to exist completely outside the American orbit; and make it work.

When diplomatic pretenses are scrapped, we see that a major power does not spend billions of dollars, conduct regional wars and upend global markets out of pure legalistic devotion to global rules or nonproliferation treaties.

The conflict with the United States, is not about what Iran has in its centrifuges.  Rather, it is about what Tehran represents to a hegemon that refuses to accept  “no” and cannot tolerate a world not under its control.

If the mere possession of enriched uranium or atomic warheads was the ultimate redline, the outline of America’s animosities would look entirely different.

The “crossing the nuclear threshold” explanation collapses under the weight of obvious global contradictions.  Washington, for example, has found ways to coexist, cooperate or outright partner with other nuclear-armed nations; from historical accommodations with Pakistan and India, to winking at Israel’s undeclared arsenal, and managing a pragmatic, albeit tense, approach to China and North Korea.

In the vocabulary of global superpowers, compliance is currency.  Washington tolerates fierce enemies if they eventually capitulate; and it accommodates brutal allies if they submit to American domination.  What empire dreads most is an uncooperative self-reliant country that refuses to bend the knee, yet stubbornly survives after decades of total economic siege.

The real reason Iran gets under the skin of the American foreign policy establishment, and why it has become its main target, has little to do with atoms, and everything to do with sovereignty, geography and the architecture of U.S. hegemony.

For decades, the unwritten rule of the post-Cold War order was simple: align with the U.S.-led global order, or be excluded and isolated.  Most nations that initially balked had little choice but to integrate, bound by the weight of a dollar-dominated global economy.   Difficult states were either absorbed or efforts were made to bring them into client-state relationships, or they are heavily monitored.

In 1979, Iran did the unforgivable.  It rebelled and institutionalized a successful, unapologetic ideological revolution that expressly rejected U.S.-Israeli hegemony, and built an enduring political structure explicitly rooted in anti-imperialism and anti-Zionism. It proudly declared that a Middle Eastern state could chart its own destiny outside the Western framework.

Since then, generations of U.S. policymakers have convinced themselves that crushing economic sanctions, diplomatic excommunication, assassinations and covert sabotage would inevitably lead to a popular implosion or “regime” collapse.

Washington’s frustration has only deepened because its strategy has not worked.

Instead, Iran adapted. It cultivated a culture of domestic self-sufficiency and pivoted Eastward; proving that a nation could survive outside the Western financial template.  Washington has viewed Iran’s resilience, not simply as a policy challenge, but as a dangerous ideological precedent.

One has only to look at a map to understand Washington’s obsession with Iran.

Geography is destiny; and Iran’s geographical location is the U.S. empire’s worst headache.

Perched directly above the Strait of Hormuz, Iran sits at one of the most vital maritime crossroads on earth – the liquid throat through which massive amounts of the world’s energy passes daily.

For the better part of a century, “Pax Americana” in the region has rested on a chauvinist premise: the U.S. military will police the global commons, control energy chokepoints and dictate the terms of regional and global trade.

The Islamic Republic has defied this assumption and refuses to allow the U.S. to be the landlord of its backyard.  To ensure its sovereignty and regional preeminence, Tehran has developed a robust asymmetrical military capability.

To a superpower accustomed to uncontested dominance across every ocean and air space, an “unmanaged” armed power sitting astride the global energy supply is an itch that cannot be scratched.

Washington has anchored its regional hegemony through security alliances with Israel and Arab janissaries.  In response, Iran engineered its own security architecture and counterweight to U.S.-Israel dominance through a network of non-state actors and regional alliances – the “Axis of Resistance” (Lebanon, Iraq, Yemen and Syria, before President Bashar al-Assad was overthrown in 2024).

However one defines the “Axis of Resistance,” it has been a masterclass in strategic statecraft that has fundamentally checked Washington and Tel Aviv’s ambitions at almost every turn.

Iran and the U.S. approach regional politics through fundamentally irreconcilable worldviews.

Washington acts like an indispensable global manager and boss.  It makes the rules for the world and expects every other country to obey them without question. Iran, on the other hand, operates from a fiercely nationalistic, civilizational mindset that views foreign oversight as an existential insult.

Iran refuses to play the role of the chastised regional outcast, waiting for Western permission to participate.  For the United States, witnessing Iran successfully institutionalize its defiance and cement its regional power would signal the end of its control over the Middle East.

Fundamentally, America’s frustration with Iran is not about its nuclear potential; it is about its independence.  Iran is an enduring testament that despite all the aircraft carriers, economic blockades and diplomatic muscle of a global superpower, there are still places on earth that will look the empire in the eye and say, NO.

© 2026, M. Reza Behnam, Ph.D.

Dr. Behnam is a political scientist who specializes in comparative politics with a focus on West Asia. His “Cultural Foundations of Iranian Politics,” published by University of Utah Press, and still in print, was recognized by Choice as Outstanding Academic Book for 1987–1988.