Celebrity and Politician Profiles Report Massive Loss of Followers After Elon Musk Buys Twitter
The social network has limited itself to declaring that the fluctuation is due to 100% organic factors, that is, the creation and deactivation of new accounts.
Only a couple of days have passed since the news was made public that Elon Musk is the new owner of Twitter and there are already reports of atypical activity on the social network. According to a note from NBC News , several profiles of artists, influencers and celebrities have reported a massive loss of followers for no apparent reason. The account of the singer Katy Perry , the third with the largest number of followers on the social network (with more than 108 million!) registered a decrease of about 200,000 users from one day to the next. Former US President Barack Obama lost 300,000 followers and actor Mark Hamill tweeted that he had lost 8,000 followers in one day. In the comments of the famous Star Wars actor's tweet, you can read comments from other accounts complaining about the same situation, including politics, Neera Tanden and the Auschwitz Memorial account.
SOPA Images | Getty ImagesChristopher Bouzy , the creator of Bot Sentinel , a platform created in 2018 that monitors the activity of false accounts on Twitter, uploaded a post in which he assures that the accounts of Democratic politicians have suffered a loss of users, while those of politicians Republicans have increased their number of supporters.
What is happening with the followers on Twitter?
Despite the multiple complaints that the social network has received, it has not given a specific explanation and has limited itself to saying that it is an organic loss of accounts that were closed when it was reported that the social network had been sold to Elon Musk. That would explain the loss of followers in some profiles, but not the increase in others. "While we continue to take action on accounts that violate our spam policy, which may affect follower numbers, these fluctuations appear to be largely the result of an increase in creation and deactivation," Twitter said in a statement. of new accounts.
Robert Hart
Forbes Staff
I cover breaking news.
Apr 28, 2022,
Twitter could be gaining millions in quarterly ad revenue from an influx of conservative Twitter users in the days after Elon Musk’s takeover bid, data of followers of major partisan accounts suggests, more than offsetting potential losses from an exodus of left-leaning accounts amid concerns over the billionaire’s approach to free speech and censorship on the platform.
Elon Musk is in the process of acquiring Twitter.
KEY FACTS
Two days following the announcement of Musk’s acquisition of Twitter on Monday, leading conservative accounts gained an average of 17,229 followers while leading liberal ones lost 6,062 followers, according to data from analytics tool Social Blade analyzed by The Verge.
The shift—with conservative accounts gaining roughly three followers for every one liberal accounts lose—appears to be the result of organic “account creation and deactivation,” rather than the platform taking action against rule breaking accounts, a Twitter spokesperson told Forbes.
The influx of users following the top 50 conservative accounts could net Twitter around $5.6 million a quarter in advertising revenue, assuming no overlap between the new followers, Forbes estimates, based on Twitter’s financial report from the last quarter of 2021.
The number of new users following Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis on Tuesday alone (141,556)—the most of any top 50 conservative account—could earn Twitter an estimated $923,000 in ad revenue a quarter, Forbes estimates, with gains to Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.) and Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.) that day worth around $163,000 and $267,000, respectively.
The gain Twitter stands to make from users flocking to follow conservative accounts on the platform after Musk’s announcement outweighs the prospective loss of users unfollowing liberal accounts, which Forbes estimates could lose Twitter nearly $2 million a quarter based on losses from just the top 50 accounts.
Of the top 50 liberal accounts, Vice President Kamala Harris lost the most followers on Tuesday (22,453), which amounts to a loss for Twitter of around $146,000 a quarter.
$6.50. That’s how much each Twitter user is worth to the company in ad revenue per quarter, according to the platform’s financial filing from the fourth quarter of 2021. During that time, there were an average of 217 million active daily users on the platform, Twitter said, and it made $1.41 billion from them in ads. Ads make up the vast majority—around 90%—of Twitter’s overall revenue and the total revenue per user will be slightly higher.
NEWS PEG
Musk has offered to buy Twitter for $44 billion. The company’s board has accepted the offer and it will now be presented to shareholders for a vote. The deal is not closed, however, and both parties can walk away, subject to a termination fee of $1 billion. Regulators could also step in to stop the deal, but seem unlikely on antitrust grounds as Twitter is not joining a competitor.
KEY BACKGROUND
Since news of Musk’s acquisition broke on Monday, there have been reports of liberal users leaving Twitter in droves. NBC first reported an exodus among top liberal accounts and celebrities, though the figures quoted were significantly higher than Social Blade data suggests (including around 300,000 for former President Barack Obama and 200,000 for singer Katy Perry, which would be worth roughly $2 million and $1.3 million a quarter in ad revenue, respectively). Concerns over Musk’s approach to censorship on Twitter and his self-proclaimed absolutist views on free speech purportedly motivated the exodus. These could also potentially explain the uptick in followers for conservative figures on Twitter reported gaining followers, many of whom have previously slammed the platform for perceived bias and censorship and praised Musk’s criticism apparent commitment to protecting “free speech.”
WHAT WE DON’T KNOW
Who is driving the changing number of followers. While the makeup of users following leading liberal and conservative accounts has changed, this may not have been driven by a shift in the number of conservative or liberal users on the platform and other factors could possibly explain the changes. Managerial and policy changes are unlikely to have been made and the deal has not yet closed. Twitter said it has not taken significant action against spam accounts that could explain the change. Data from app analytics firm Sensor Tower indicates a broader interest in social media apps that are popular among the political right, however, with former President Donald Trump’s Truth Social jumping to the top spot on Apple’s App Store on Tuesday.
WHAT TO WATCH FOR
Continued demographic changes on Twitter. The data in this story only covers changes in the number of people following top liberal and conservative accounts on the Monday and Tuesday since the deal was announced. These changes have broadly continued throughout the week.
FURTHER READING
What Twitter employees are saying about Elon Musk (The Verge)
Twitter says mass deactivations after Musk news were ‘organic’ (NBC News)
Conservative Twitter accounts got boost in followers after Musk acquisition, data shows (The Verge)
Elon Musk’s $44 Billion Twitter Deal: What Actually Happens Next? (Forbes)
Robert Hart
I am a London-based reporter for Forbes covering breaking news. Previously, I have worked as a reporter for a specialist legal publication covering big data and as a freelance journalist and policy analyst covering science, tech and health. I have a master’s degree in Biological Natural Sciences and a master’s degree in the History and Philosophy of Science from the University of Cambridge. Follow me on Twitter @theroberthart or email me at rhart@forbes.com
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