Thursday, March 03, 2022

UN rights forum picks ex-ICC prosecutor to lead Ethiopia abuses investigation


 An Eritrean refugee poses for a portrait behind a curtain in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia

Wed, March 2, 2022

ADDIS ABABA (Reuters) - The U.N. Human Rights Council has picked the former chief prosecutor of the International Criminal Court to lead a panel investigating violations of human rights in the conflict in northern Ethiopia, the council said on Wednesday.

Ethiopian federal troops went to war with rebellious Tigrayan forces in November 2020. Since the war erupted, Reuters has reported atrocities by all sides, which the parties to the fighting have denied.

The council voted in December to establish an independent investigative commission, to look into alleged violations by all sides and to identify perpetrators with a view to accountability.

Fatou Bensouda, a Gambian national who was chief prosecutor at the ICC between 2012 and 2021, will lead the panel of three, the council said in a statement.

The panel will "establish the facts and circumstances surrounding the alleged violations and abuses, collect and preserve evidence, to identify those responsible, where possible," the council said.

It will also "make such information accessible and usable in support of ongoing and future accountability efforts."

The team will brief the council during its mid-year session and present a written report towards the end of the year.

Gedion Timothewos, the Ethiopia's minister of justice, said they will cooperate with any investigation "focused on the genuine promotion and protection of human rights."

"There is light at the end of the tunnel and the Ethiopian people in their collective wisdom will opt for peace and reconciliation," he told the council in Geneva.

Thousands of civilians have died and millions have fled in the conflict between the federal government and rebellious forces including fighters loyal to the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF), which dominated Ethiopia's ruling coalition for nearly 30 years.

The TPLF welcomed the council's move to investigate atrocities in December, when the body passed a resolution to create it.

(Reporting by Stephanie Nebehay in Geneva; Writing by Duncan Miriri, Editing by William Maclean)
WHO IS WINNING THE WAR
Defense Stocks Soar $69 Billion On Russia's War


MATT KRANTZ
03/03/2022
Russia's attack on the Ukraine sparked a global humanitarian and political crisis. But S&P 500 investors are still finding ways to engage in defense companies helping nations defend themselves in a world torn by war.

Investors have already posted $69 billion in stock gains on the 33 major defense and aerospace stocks in the largest ETF of its kind, the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA), says an Investor's Business Daily analysis of data from S&P Global Market Intelligence and MarketSmith.

The ETF itself is up nearly 10% from Russia's initial Feb. 24 attack on Ukraine. That's more than twice the 4% rise in the S&P 500 in that time. Analysts, too, see more upside in a year's time in more than three-quarters of the stocks in the top defense ETF. And not just a little rise — they're calling for an average double-digit gain.

And yet, the top defense ETF doesn't show the magnitude of gains seen in the defense and aerospace industry in the wake of Russia's attack. The 33 stocks in the ETF, on average, are up nearly 13% from the attack and more than 5.3% this year so far. The S&P 500 itself, measured by the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), is down nearly 8% this year.

"Russia's invasion of Ukraine, representing Europe's worst security crisis since World War II, has sparked global outrage," said Jack Ablin, strategist at Cresset Capital. "The court of public opinion clearly supports the Ukrainian people and their president, Volodymyr Zelenskyy."


Many of the ETFs and defense stocks have run up. But analysts still see upside for many remaining.

Targeting The S&P 500 Defense ETFs


With assets of more than $3 billion, iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense is twice the size of its next biggest rival, the SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF (XAR).

But defense is not a massive area for ETFs. There are now only three major ETFs to choose from for investors looking to buy into the sector. The third is the relatively small Invesco Aerospace & Defensive (PPA), with $780 million in assets. And in what's perhaps the worst timing ever for an ETF, the VictoryShares Protect America ETF shut down late last year. And it's easy to see why: Shares of defense companies largely lagged the S&P 500 over the past five years.

The iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF, for instance, is up just 46.2% over the past five years. That chokes on the exhaust of the 84.2% gain by the S&P 500 during that time. Part of the underperformance is due to its No. 1 holding, a 23% position in Raytheon Technologies (RTX). Shares of Raytheon are down more than 10% in five years. That's all but tried the patience of defense and aerospace investors.

But S&P 500 analysts are starting to warm up to the sector — just not in the obvious places. They see the 32 stocks in the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF, with current price targets, gaining an average of 14.3% over the next 12 months.

Analysts Like These Defense Stocks Best

Investors made no secret of the defense stocks they like best amid this new type of warfare. Eleven of the stocks in the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF are up 15% or more from the time war erupted in Ukraine. And of those, analysts still see upside in more than half the stocks.

Take Maxar Technologies (MAXR). The company provides space imagery of the kind useful in monitoring military events in Europe. Shares are up more than 46% from the time war broke out to 35.80 a share. That gain alone added $882 million in market value for investors. But even so, analysts think this stock still has more than 13% upside until hitting its 12-month price target of 40.75. Additionally, the company is seen making 54 cents a share (or more than $41 million in profit) in 2022, snapping many years of losing money.

Looking At The S&P 500 Defense Giants


Analysts, though, are less bullish on the obvious defense giants that already ran up. Northrop Grumman (NOC) already pulled 9% past analysts' 12-month price target on the stock. Shares are up a powerful 18% since the war began, putting $10.9 billion into investors' portfolios. It's a similar story with Lockheed Martin (LMT). Following a 27% run-up just this year, and 16% since the war, shares blasted past analysts' price target by some 7%.

But opportunity still abounds. Nations will need to take serious looks at their defenses. Analysts think Defense Department contractor Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) will be worth nearly 21% more than it is now in twelve months. And that's following a nearly 30% jump since the war.

Sources: IBD, S&P Global Market Intelligence based on holdings in iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

Ukraine to Plan Second War-Bond Auction to Fund Military


Priscila Azevedo Rocha
Thu, March 3, 2022

(Bloomberg) -- Ukraine plans to auction another war bond next week to raise funding for its military and its resistance to Russia’s invasion, according to a person familiar with the matter.

The government will use its regular Tuesday slot for what it calls “military bonds,” the person said, declining to be identified before the official announcement. The finance ministry confirmed the plans, issuing a market announcement that includes a one-year bond auction.

Ukraine raised 8.1 billion hryvnia ($277 million) in the first such sale earlier this week. That event drew global attention as people other than professional investors sought to buy the debt to show support for the country.

The proceeds from the auctions will go to “priority humanitarian aid needs,” which include clothes and footwear, blankets, and hospital beds, according to a document seen by Bloomberg. They’ll also fund protective gear such as helmets and bulletproof vests, as well as communication equipment and laptops.

Ukraine’s war bonds have similar characteristics to the debt it sells regularly in peacetime, and are one of a number of funding measures the country has put in place to raise money for both its armed forces and civilians.

Yuriy Butsa, Ukraine’s debt chief, told Bloomberg Television Tuesday that the government is also looking at options including foreign-currency issuance.

Officials at the debt management office are working on ways to help new investors access next week’s auction after technical issues on Tuesday.

Since the war started last week, Ukraine’s finance ministry cut off access to its website from abroad to avoid cyber attacks, making it difficult for investors to get access to information. The ministry plans to communicate with investors via its Twitter and LinkedIn accounts.

The government wants to make access easier as it taps the global swell of support for the country in its war with Russia. Crypto wallets it set up last week have already received donations totaling more than $40 million. Including an NGO that funds the military, and the figure tops $50 million.

And around the world, private citizens have rallied to the country’s side. Many in neighboring countries have offered rooms and shelter to Ukrainians fleeing the war. Meanwhile, Russia has become a commercial pariah, hit by sweeping sanctions that have crippled its markets.

U.S. Treasury warns crypto firms on Russia cybersecurity threat - source

Thu, March 3, 2022,
By Hannah Lang

March 3 (Reuters) - The U.S. Treasury Department has reached out to cryptocurrency companies about their cybersecurity controls amid concerns that Russia could wage retaliatory cyber attacks in response to Western sanctions, according to a person familiar with the situation.

The United States and its allies have unleashed a slew of sanctions targeting Russia's banks, state-owned entities, and elites, among others, following the country's invasion of Ukraine

Governments have warned for weeks that Russia or its allies could carry out cyber attacks in retribution for sanctions, leading banks to increase monitoring, scenario-planning and line up extra staff in case hostile activity surges.

In a sign U.S. regulators see the ballooning cryptocurrency industry as a growing source of systemic risk, U.S. Treasury officials have also been in discussions with cryptocurrency exchanges and trade groups to ensure U.S. digital assets are safe, said the person familiar with the matter.

Officials are also sharing indicators that IT systems have been compromised, such as a network infiltration or a data breach, with crypto and other financial firms, the person said.

The value of all cryptocurrencies surged past $3 trillion last year, with approximately 13% to 14% of Americans invested in digital assets as of 2021, according to research by the University of Chicago.

As the digital asset has become more popular, crypto hacks have grown. Last year, for example, an anonymous hacker stole roughly $600 million in cryptocurrencies from Poly Network, a decentralized finance network, before giving it back. Hackers also stole at least $150 million from crypto exchange BitMart.

Regulators have warned that crypto routs or runs on crypto currencies could pose a risk to the broader financial system.

Some U.S. lawmakers have expressed concern that digital assets could be used to evade Western sanctions, although Biden administration officials have played down that risk.

 (Reporting by Hannah Lang in Washington; editing by Jonathan Oatis)
Lukoil, a Russian Oil Company, Calls for an End to the Ukraine War

March 3, 2022


Lukoil, Russia’s second-largest oil company, appeared to distance itself from President Vladimir V. Putin on Thursday by calling for a “fast resolution” to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

The statement most likely reflects the company’s desire to protect its extensive overseas operations, which include a network of more than 200 franchised gas stations in states like New York and New Jersey. Lukoil is one of the most recognizable Russian brands in the United States.

Many lawmakers in Washington are pressing the Biden administration to ban the purchase of Russian oil by U.S. companies and to impose sanctions on Russian energy companies. Shares of Lukoil on the London Stock Exchange have fallen more than 40 percent since mid-February.

Lukoil has long projected a more independent image than Rosneft, the state-controlled company that dominates the Russian oil industry. Lukoil was founded in 1991 as a state-owned enterprise as the Soviet Union was falling apart. The company went private in 1993, and seven years later it acquired Getty Oil, an American company, which gave Lukoil a network of U.S. filling stations.

“We stand for the immediate cessation of the armed conflict and duly support its resolution through the negotiation process and through diplomatic means,” Lukoil said in a letter to shareholders on Thursday.

It was not clear whether the move was a sign that executives of Russia’s largest private enterprise were breaking with Mr. Putin, or mainly an effort to persuade Western leaders, business partners and customers to keep doing business with the company.

“It says they realize it’s going to be difficult for them to engage in international commerce, let alone retail sales in the U.S.,” said Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis at the Oil Price Information Service. “I’d call a Russian brand for gasoline the 21st-century equivalent of the scarlet letter.”

While petroleum products are the biggest Russian import in the United States and Europe, Russian products and sports teams have become pariahs. Several states have banned the sale of Russian vodka, and restaurants, stores and bars across the United States have taken Russian spirits off their shelves.

The Newark City Council voted on Wednesday to suspend the business licenses of local Lukoil gas stations.

Lukoil stations in the United States sell fuel produced in many countries, including the United States. They are operated as independent franchises, and make up a small fraction of Lukoil’s operations. The company has subsidiaries in roughly 30 countries, including those involved in exploring and producing oil and gas in Azerbaijan, Egypt, Colombia and Iraq. The company’s biggest reserves are in Russia, particularly western Siberia.

In its letter to shareholders, Lukoil said it “makes every effort to continue stable operations in all countries and regions of its presence, fulfilling the main mission — to provide reliable energy supplies to consumers around the world.”

Source: NY Times
The hydrogen market’s growing credibility


When journalists write about other journalists, it often smacks of navel gazing — and is thus best avoided. However, this week I am breaking this rule since I have been struck by the intensifying debate inside the media about how to cover the climate crisis.

To cite one example: on Tuesday the World Editors Forum is holding its first virtual global climate conference to discuss “the gaps between what audiences need and want on climate change and what newsrooms are delivering right now.” This will discuss issues such as the role of storytelling and how to communicate technical data. Another debating point will be the decision by Canada’s Globe and Mail to release more than 180 files of its raw sources from an investigation into last summer’s extreme heat, reflecting a wider #ReadTheSources campaign from Unesco and the French group Outlet to make climate reporting more credible.

Can tactics such as these offset the crumbling levels of public trust in the media? What else can journalists (like us) do to communicate climate issues effectively? We would love to hear your views, given that Moral Money was established three years ago to illuminate green finance issues and ESG.

Meanwhile in today’s newsletter, we cover a striking data initiative in the fast-expanding world of hydrogen, a pandemic-era twist in philanthropy at Fidelity, new data about impact investing and alarming news about how rising sea levels threaten the US east coast. And if you want another sign of how sustainability issues are getting more media focus, check out the breaking story about how Carl Icahn, the corporate raider, has teamed up with animal welfare activists (which we will return to later this week.) Read on. 
Gillian Tett

Hydrogen is hot


The hydrogen market is red hot today, or so many opportunistic investors would say. However, like many nascent areas of finance, it has hitherto operated with considerable opacity. Last autumn, one of the first efforts to create more price transparency and consistency emerged: Deutsche Börse’s power and gas exchange EEX announced plans to launch a new price index in 2022.

Now another initiative is under way to help the market become more credible: S&P Global Platts, a provider for benchmark prices in the commodities and energy markets, is joining forces with other industry players to create a so-called Open Hydrogen Initiative (OHI) — a platform to let investors and companies track carbon emissions from hydrogen.

It is easy to see why this is needed. Hydrogen has recently sparked great excitement in the renewable energy world since the fuel is light, storable, energy-dense, and appears to produce no direct emissions of pollutants or greenhouse gases, a key attracter for green investors, as a recent report from the International Energy Agency explains.

As a result, the sector is growing fast: in 2020, the space was estimated to be worth more than $187bn, but it is projected to reach $286bn by 2027, according to MarketWatch. Meanwhile, annual government funding for hydrogen has reached $16bn a year globally, up 40 per cent from July 2021, according to research group Bloomberg NEF.

However, thus far there have been relatively few ways for investors, companies or governments to track indirect emissions from the fuel in a consistent way. This matters given the pressure on companies (and asset managers) to measure all aspects of emissions emanating from corporate supply chains, under scope one, two and three reporting systems.

To tackle this, S&P Platts is working with GTI (the research education group) and the National Energy Technology Laboratory to build tools to track hydrogen greenhouse gas emissions at the production facility level. These will be free for investors and companies to use, and aim to establish benchmarks for the market. “What we know is that we need hydrogen. It is very versatile. But what we have not yet had is precise and consistent technical tools for measuring hydrogen’s carbon intensity,” said Paula Gant, senior vice-president of strategy and innovation at GTI. “And, we’re at a place where the market needs that to enable hydrogen’s rollout.”

The group hopes this will promote wider adoption of hydrogen. “We see hydrogen being a key part of the future of the energy market in the decades to come” Jonty Rushforth, S&P Global Platts senior director, told Moral Money.

However, technical challenges remain. Previous research from S&P Global Platts suggests the cost of producing hydrogen from renewables will need to fall by more than 50 per cent to be a viable alternative to traditional energy. Hydrogen faces big production challenges and is difficult to store and transport. (The Saudis, however, seem to have set their bet on the growing market.)

Establishing price and emissions indices could spark more research and development to tackle these issues; or so the group hopes. And the initiative incorporates another interesting twist that investors should watch: the group intends to include metrics that indicate how much confidence investors should have in the emissions data.

This reflects a growing recognition that “green” measurements can sometimes be more art than science. This should not stop investors or companies from trying to measure emissions; but a more realistic debate is needed about the limits of current tools. Call this, if you like, another sign that the green market is growing up.
 (Kristen Talman and Gillian Tett)

Sustainability schism raises questions for the ISSB

People rarely log on to LinkedIn for a fight, but that’s what broke out on Friday when Bob Eccles, a visiting professor at Oxford university’s Saïd Business School, used the site to promote what he thought was “an innocuous little piece” in the Harvard Business Review.

In it, he and with Bhakti Mirchandani, managing director of responsible investing at Trinity Church Wall Street, argued that investors need uniform accounting standards for ESG, and that the new International Sustainability Standards Board (ISSB) could provide the global baseline from which companies and regulators could build.

Eccles’ post set some heads nodding and others spinning. “WTF Bob?!?” wrote Bill Baue, co-founder of the Sustainability Context Group, saying he was dangerously conflating ESG with sustainability and pushing incremental solutions that could not produce real change. Mark McElroy, director of the Center for Sustainable Organizations, accused Eccles of “appeasement”.

We won’t rehash the whole debate about single, double, dynamic and contextual materiality here, but it’s worth reading to understand a question hanging over the ISSB: is it an imperfect but necessary first step towards greater clarity and rigour, or a fudge that will perpetuate flaws in ESG while satisfying nobody?

Eccles has asked his “cantankerous critics” not to let the perfect be the enemy of the good. Meanwhile, Emmanuel Faber, the former Danone chief executive, has only just been named as the ISSB’s first chair. The intensity of feeling it has sparked suggests that his will not be an easy job.
 (Andrew Edgecliffe-Johnson)


A look at pandemic-era philanthropy


Did the experience of Covid-19 make people feel more or less generous? The former — judging from the 2022 report from Fidelity Charitable, the philanthropic foundation that provides donor-advised fund (DAF) options for asset managers’ clients. Last year investors made a record $10.3bn in these DAF grants, 41 per cent more than in 2019, ie before the pandemic.

This is striking. What is also notable is that there was a sharp increase in the assets allocated to impact investments (that is, those made with ESG factors in mind), which jumped to $3bn in 2021, up 67 per cent on the previous year. Another thought-provoking twist is that two-thirds of these donations were made not in dollars, but non-cash assets (which are converted into cash when Fidelity Charity ultimately gives these to charities.) This included real estate. But another, newish, component, was cryptocurrencies. As I wrote this week, donations in digital assets (mostly bitcoin) rose twelvefold last year.

The pandemic-era philanthropy boom has happened alongside a wider trend of impact investment growth over the past decade. The number of impact investments annually has grown fivefold since 2011, according to research from PitchBook and BCG.

As private equity companies crowd into climate-focused deals, BCG research has found an increasing number of investors see the sector not only for its positive impact on society, but also for its financial returns.

Investors would benefit from approaching social investments with the same drive as green ventures, the report says, calling investment in the diversity, equity and inclusion space the next “impact frontier”.

“The need for social impact investing has never been greater . . . institutional investors have the opportunity and the imperative to step up their funding and catalyse growth,” the report states. 
(Gillian Tett and Kristen Talman)

Smart read
If you have ever been tempted to buy your dream house on the coast of Florida, Maine or the Hamptons, you should first read this striking piece in The Conversation by Jianjun Yin, an associate professor at the University of Arizona. Drawing on data issued last week by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, he suggests that the US will see 10-12 inches of sea level rise in the next 30 years, on average. Has the mortgage market or insurance priced this in? Yin does not comment. But this is the question Moral Money readers need to ask; never mind the realtors selling those beach homes.


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Source: Financial Times

Visit our Moral Money hub for all the latest ESG news, opinion and analysis from around the FT
If Currency Reserves Aren’t Really Money, the World Is in for a Shock

March 3, 2022
in Markets


“What is money?” is a question that economists have pondered for centuries, but the blocking of Russia’s central-bank reserves has revived its relevance for the world’s biggest nations—particularly China. In a world in which accumulating foreign assets is seen as risky, military and economic blocs are set to drift farther apart.

After Moscow attacked Ukraine last week, the U.S. and its allies shut off the Russian central bank’s access to most of its $630 billion of foreign reserves. Weaponizing the monetary system against a Group-of-20 country will have lasting repercussions.

The 1997 Asian Financial Crisis scared developing countries into accumulating more funds to shield their currencies from crashes, pushing official reserves from less than $2 trillion to a record $14.9 trillion in 2021, according to the International Monetary Fund. While central banks have lately sought to buy and repatriate gold, it only makes up 13% of their assets. Foreign currencies are 78%. The rest is positions at the IMF and Special Drawing Rights, or SDR—an IMF-created claim on hard currencies.

Many economists have long equated this money to savings in a piggy bank, which in turn correspond to investments made abroad in the real economy.

Recent events highlight the error in this thinking: Barring gold, these assets are someone else’s liability—someone who can just decide they are worth nothing. Last year, the IMF suspended Taliban-controlled Afghanistan’s access to funds and SDR. Sanctions on Iran have confirmed that holding reserves offshore doesn’t stop the U.S. Treasury from taking action. As New England Law Professor Christine Abely points out, the 2017 settlement with Singapore’s CSE TransTel shows that the mere use of the dollar abroad can violate sanctions on the premise that some payment clearing ultimately happens on U.S. soil.

To be sure, the West has frozen Russia’s stock of foreign exchange, but hasn’t blocked the inflow of new dollars and euros. The country’s current-account surplus is estimated at $20 billion a month due to exports of oil and gas, which the U.S. and the European Union want to keep buying. While these balances go to the private sector, officials have mobilized them. Stopping major banks like

Sberbank


from using dollars and excluding others from the Swift messaging system still plunges the economy into chaos, especially if foreign businesses are afraid to buy Russian energy despite the sector’s explicit exclusion from sanctions. But hard currency will probably keep gushing in through energy-focused lenders like Gazprombank, and can theoretically be used to pay for imports and buy the ruble.

Yet the entire artifice of “money“ as a universal store of value risks being eroded by the banning of key exports to Russia and boycotts of the kind corporations like Apple and
Nike announced this week. If currency balances were to become worthless computer entries and didn’t guarantee buying essential stuff, Moscow would be rational to stop accumulating them and stockpile physical wealth in oil barrels, rather than sell them to the West. At the very least, more of Russia’s money will likely shift into gold and Chinese assets.

Indeed, the case levied against China’s attempts to internationalize the renminbi has been that, unlike the dollar, access to it is always at risk of being revoked by political considerations. It is now apparent that, to a point, this is true of all currencies.

The risk to King Dollar’s status is still limited due to most nations’ alignment with the West and Beijing’s capital controls. But financial and economic linkages between China and sanctioned countries that are only allowed to accumulate reserves—and, crucially, spend them—there will necessarily strengthen. Even nations that aren’t sanctioned may want to diversify their geopolitical risk. It seems set to further the deglobalization trend and entrench two separate spheres of technological, monetary and military power.

China itself owns $3.3 trillion in currency reserves. Unlike Russia, it cannot usefully hold them in renminbi, a currency it prints. Stockpiling commodities is an alternative. The conundrum creates another incentive for Beijing to reduce its trade surplus by reorienting its economy toward domestic consumption, though it has proven challenging.

What can investors do? For once, the old trope may not be ill advised: buy gold. Many of the world’s central banks will surely be doing it.



GREEN CAPITALI$M
Stopping Sewage in London’s River Thames Draws Green Bond Demand

Ronan Martin
Thu, March 3, 2022, 

(Bloomberg) -- The green bond market just got one of its biggest challenges yet -- cleaning up London’s River Thames.

A sale of the notes aims to help to fund upgrades to the city’s Victorian-era sewers, as population growth in London heaps increasing pressure on them. Designed to serve about 4 million people, the sewers instead handle waste from more than double that number, leading to multiple sewage overflows every year.

Bazalgette Finance Plc sold 300 million pounds ($400 million) of green bonds to fund construction of a 25-kilometer tunnel to prevent millions of tonnes of sewage overflowing into the river. The 12-year notes were priced at 130 basis points above U.K. gilts, drawing investor orders of more than four times the amount on offer, according to a person with knowledge of the sale, who asked not to be named.

A spokesman for Thames Tideway didn’t immediately respond to a Bloomberg News request for comment.

The bond proceeds will be given to Bazalgette Tunnel Ltd for the ongoing construction of the Thames Tideway Tunnel, which is expected to be completed in 2023, according to the Tideway website. The 66 meter-deep tunnel is more than seven meters wide and will cost an estimated 4.2 billion pounds ($5.6 billion) at completion, according to an investor presentation seen by Bloomberg News.

Thames Water Fined GBP4m for ‘Utterly Disgusting’ Sewage Blunder

The sale is Europe’s first green bond deal since Feb. 16 and one of the the first non-financial offerings since Feb. 23, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Marketwide sales of publicly-syndicated debt have stalled in recent days amid widespread global volatility triggered by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

All of the revenues financing the construction of the tunnel are from green assets, according to the investor presentation. Lloyds Banking Group Plc, Royal Bank of Canada and SMBC Nikko Securities Inc. are arranging Bazalgette Finance’s sale.

Drought-Riven Chile Makes World First in Environmental Bonds




Caleb Mutua, Augusta Saraiva and Christopher DeReza
Wed, March 2, 2022, 3:22 PM·3 min read

(Bloomberg) -- Chile issued bonds tied to sustainability goals, the first nation in the world to do so, as the country wracked by a decade-long drought looks to cut greenhouse gas emissions, and obtain cheap financing.

The government sold $2 billion in dollar-denominated, sustainability-linked bonds maturing in 20 years, according to a person with knowledge of the matter. The offering yields 2 percentage points above Treasuries after initial discussions in the area of 2.4 percentage points, said the person, who asked not to be identified as the details are private.

Chile’s government is already the biggest issuer of environmental, social and governance bonds in Latin America, with $31 billion in sales, and is now looking to boost its green credentials still further. The sustainability-linked bonds pay a set penalty to investors if the seller fails to meet certain targets -- in this case tied on greenhouse gas emissions and renewable energy generation.

The interest rate payable on the notes will be increased by either 12.50 or 25 basis points unless Chile meets its ESG goals, the person said.

The SLB offering completed the sale of $2 billion in ESG bonds the country had planned to issue last month, adding to the $4 billion raised in that format already this year. That would conclude this year’s $6 billion external markets issuance target, Cristobal Gamboni, head of the Finance Ministry’s newly created Green Finance Office, said in a February interview.

The deal is already getting strong investor demand, Gamboni said in a written response to questions Wednesday. Chile might end up issuing less debt than projected this year as the nation has raised $5 billion more than expected in revenue, he added.

Booming Market


Sustainability-linked debt is one of the fastest-growing subsets of ESG debt. Global sales of the so-called SLBs hit a record $110 billion last year, compared with $11 billion issued in 2020, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Moody’s ESG Solutions is forecasting issuance of the debt to reach $200 billion this year.

SLBs are growing in global popularity because they can be used by a wider pool of borrowers, including those without big environmental projects, allowing them to tap a growing ethical fund industry and get cheaper borrowing costs.



Yet sovereigns have been slow to enter the market, partly due to problems setting trackable ESG goals known as key performance indicators, given the governance processes required, according to Nathalie Larrouse, climate and ESG capital markets Director at NatWest Markets. Chile’s SLBs are the first from a nation, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

“With the improvement of data and experiences drawn from the corporate sector, we see an interesting future for SLBs in the sovereign space, particularly in the emerging markets,” said Larrouse.

Chile has been suffering from a drought for more than a decade as the northern desert expands ever further south in a move linked by many to global warming, adding to pressure on the government to take action over greenhouse gas emissions. In the last decade, there has been an explosion in the use of solar panels and wind farms as the government sets new emission targets.

BNP Paribas SA, Credit Agricole CIB, and Societe Generale managed the bond sale, the person said.

©2022 Bloomberg L.P.

Why the stock market refuses to plunge on Russia-Ukraine crisis


·Anchor, Editor-at-Large

All in all, the stock market is hanging tough in what has been a turbulent two weeks for humanity.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is up more than 600 points on Wednesday as of this writing. Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are nearing gains of 2%. All three major indexes are nicely off the lows hit by the close of trading on Feb. 23, a mere hours before Russia invaded Ukraine.

Every member of the FAANG [Facebook/Meta, Apple, Amazon, Netflix, Google/Alphabet] cohort has gained in the last five trading days as luck would have it, paced by a nearly 7% increase in Alphabet.

And believe us, there are many things trying very hard to bring the major stock indexes to their collective knees.

Oil prices ripped through $110 a barrel on Wednesday as the war between Russia and Ukraine intensified. Western company after Western company are saying see you later to Russia in light of its action. One of the latest names is credit card giant American Express.

These actions by the West has some Wall Street strategists telling Yahoo Finance Live the Russian economy is poised to nosedive into a deep, protracted recession.

Meanwhile top emerging market investors such as Mark Mobius tell us Russia may be uninvestable for more than a year, and putting money to work in other emerging markets like China and Brazil are not without heightened risk.

And as oil prices spike — and it can be considered a spike (leading to a potential super-spike as Goldman Sachs chief commodities strategist Jeff Currie explained to us) — gas prices in America keep on rising, rising and rising further. The average price of petrol in California is approaching $5 a gallon, the highest in the country.

The extra money gas inflation will siphon out of the pockets of consumers is real. That's money that could be spent at Macy's for a new pair of jeans. That's extra money it will cost a FedEx to ship a package due to higher fuel expenditures. And what is FedEx likely to do about it? Jack up prices further on the beat-up wallets of consumers.

Despite the litany of issues — which naturally could hammer corporate profits in 2022 — there is the good ole' stock market hanging tough. Why is that the case you ask? I am glad you did ask.

Market pros say that investors are looking beyond all the headline chaos and remain fixated on the king daddy of factors that tend to upset stock price valuations.

Higher interest rates from the Federal Reserve. Weird stuff, right?

"One of the reasons why the stock market has held up so well is belief that the Fed will not be as aggressive in their new tightening policy as some were thinking they would be before the crisis in eastern Europe erupted. So if we get some positive reinforcement on this subject, the stock market could hold up (or even bounce) for a while," said Miller Tabak chief markets strategist Matt Maley.

Maley is on the mark here, judging by the positive reaction in stock prices to fresh commentary from Fed chief Jerome Powell in his testimony to lawmakers today.

“The bottom line is we will proceed but we will proceed carefully as we learn more about the implications of the Ukraine war,” Powell told the House Financial Services Committee.

Yahoo Finance Fed correspondent Brian Cheung points out Powell said he supports increasing short-term interest rates by 0.25% in the next policy-setting meeting on March 15 and 16.

Coming into March, most market experts were bracing for a 50-basis rate hike at the March meeting followed by eight to 10 more increases in rates into year-end. But Powell has officially reset the narrative, and investors love it.

So there you have it, folks.

Inflation is running rampant. Profit margins are under attack. Vladimir Putin is playing terror to the world. And yet, there are markets fixated on rate hike comments from one of the most powerful people in the financial industry in Powell.

No one said investing made sense. It doesn't make sense now, and it will unlikely make sense tomorrow. Rest assured, however, that at some point soon markets will move beyond rate hike fears and refocus on geopolitical and macroeconomic risks.

When that happens, those aforementioned Feb. 23 lows for stocks could be in play. You have been warned.

Brian Sozzi is an editor-at-large and anchor at Yahoo Finance. Follow Sozzi on Twitter @BrianSozzi and on LinkedIn.

BUY CANADIAN 😈 
Exclusive - U.S. utilities push White House not to sanction Russian uranium



 Uranium pellets are seen on a production line at Ulba Metallurgical Plant in Ust-Kamenogorsk

Tue, March 1, 2022

By Ernest Scheyder and Trevor Hunnicutt

(Reuters) - The U.S. nuclear power industry is lobbying the White House to allow uranium imports from Russia to continue despite the escalating conflict in Ukraine, with cheap supplies of the fuel seen as key to keeping American electricity prices low, according to two sources familiar with the matter.

The United States relies on Russia and its allies Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan for roughly half of the uranium powering its nuclear plants - about 22.8 million pounds (10.3 million kg) in 2020 - which in turn produce about 20% of U.S. electricity, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration and the World Nuclear Association.

Washington and its allies have imposed a series of sanctions on Moscow in the past week as Russian forces pushed deeper into neighboring Ukraine, though the sanctions exempt uranium sales and related financial transactions.

The National Energy Institute (NEI), a trade group of U.S. nuclear power generation companies including Duke Energy Corp and Exelon Corp, is lobbying the White House to keep the exemption on uranium imports from Russia, the sources said.

The NEI lobbying aims to ensure that uranium is not caught up in any future energy-related sanctions, especially as calls intensify to sanction Russian crude oil sales, the sources said.

"The (U.S. nuclear power) industry is just addicted to cheap Russian uranium," said one of the sources, who declined to be named, citing the sensitivity of the situation.

Duke and Exelon, two of the largest U.S. utilities, could not immediately be reached for comment.

Washington-based NEI said that it supports a diversity of uranium supply, including the development of U.S. facilities to produce and process the fuel.

"While Russia is a significant global supplier of commercial nuclear fuel, U.S. utilities contract with a worldwide network of companies and countries for their fuel requirements to mitigate the risks of potential disruption," said Nima Ashkeboussi, NEI's senior director of fuel and radiation safety.

The Biden administration has said it is working to keep American energy costs low.

"We are listening to all inquiries from industry and will continue to do so as we take measures to hold Russia accountable," a White House official said when asked about the uranium lobbying.

Uranium is used as a fuel inside reactors to achieve nuclear fission to boil water and generate steam that spins turbines to generate electricity.

There is no uranium production or processing in the United States currently, though several companies have said they would like to resume domestic production if they can sign long-term supply contracts with nuclear power producers. Texas and Wyoming have large uranium reserves.

Australia and Canada also have large reserves of uranium and there is ample processing capability there and in Europe. But Russia and its satellites are the cheapest producers.

The U.S. nuclear power industry's use of Russian uranium is likely to spark further questions about where and how the United States procures the materials needed to supply high-tech and renewable-energy products, a dependency that President Joe Biden singled out last week as a national security threat.

Russia's uranium production is controlled by Rosatom, a state-run company formed by Russian President Vladimir Putin in 2007. The company is an important source of revenue for the country.

Former U.S. President Donald Trump in 2020 proposed spending $150 million to create a strategic uranium reserve, and Biden administration officials have expressed support for the idea.

Other utilities around the globe have already begun looking beyond Russia for supply. Swedish power company Vattenfall AB said last week it would stop buying Russian uranium for its nuclear reactors until further notice, citing the Ukrainian conflict.

(Reporting by Ernest Scheyder and Trevor Hunnicutt)

https://www.cameco.com

Cameco is one of the largest global providers of the fuel needed to energize a clean-air world. Our tier-one operations have the licensed capacity to produce more than 53 million pounds (100%