Thursday, June 09, 2022

Researchers study role of tall grass in post-mining soil recovery

Staff Writer | June 9, 2022 

Miscanthus x giganteus. (Image by Jenni Kane, courtesy of West Virginia University).

Researchers at West Virginia University are studying the role of fertilization in the relationship between the perennial grass Miscanthus x giganteus and certain microbes, to determine how the plant would behave under different climate change scenarios and support pollution mitigation efforts.


With over $800,000 in funding from the US National Institute of Food and Agriculture, the scientists are focusing their work on the tall grass because it has shown to be effective to regenerate damaged soils from mining.

In detail, the group is examining the ability of miscanthus to give new life to the soils in Appalachia, as in the region thousands of acres of land have been deemed unsuitable for crop cultivation because of past mining.

“Anyone could grow miscanthus on their land on a small scale or a larger scale,” Jenni Kane, a doctoral student involved in the study, said in a media statement. “This could become a crop that can be grown and sold. It could also bring back nutrients and soil structure, so the long-term impact could be economic and environmental.”

In Kane’s view, production on marginal land can help improve soil health and isolate soil carbon, restoring the land and mitigating climate change.

“The better we can have plants grow and take CO2 from the air and put it into the ground, the better outcome we can have with climate change,” soil science professor Jeff Skousen pointed out.
Delta CleanTech, Muskowekwan First Nation partner on carbon capture blockchain project

Amanda Stutt | June 9, 2022 

Carbon capture and storage facility. Photo by the International Energy Agency.

Calgary-headquartered Delta CleanTech is planning to launch a multi-million dollar carbon credit blockchain initiative with Canada’s First Nations communities.


Delta CleanTech is an ESG-driven, global technology company specializing in CO2 capture, decarbonization of energy, solvent and glycol reclamation, blue hydrogen production, and carbon credit aggregation and management.

The initiative, 13 years in the making, will allow Delta CleanTech to print and tokenize on the blockchain a carbon credit that can be traded on an exchange. Carbon percentage is to be quantified in a credit – and certified and tokenized as First Nations ESG on the blockchain so it can’t be counterfeited or lost. Then it can be traded as a carbon or ESG credit, the company said.

While still at the concept stage, the goal of the initiative is to reduce the Co2 footprint of industrial production by leveraging the acres owned by First Nations – about 7% of Canada’s total landmass.

The initiative is to be able to create a carbon credit that has been generated on First Nations land, and has a First Nations stamp of authorization. The company is working on its carbon credit initiative directly with Reginald Bellerose, former Chief of Saskatchewan’s Muskowekwan First Nation.

The vision is that First Nations take the lead in the carbon program, which will be launched nationally, with the Muskowekwan contributing the first acres of land, Bellerose told MINING.COM.

“The goal is to get more and more partners. We have advisors, First Nation leadership and a council of elders, so we can bring forward our world view,” Bellerose said.

“We continue to recognize all the challenges the First Nations are dealing with… we need to be leaders and participate. We have a council of advisors [who] will be influencers at a political level.”
The carbon economy is coming

“We’re very conscious of compliance carbon credits,” Delta CleanTech Director Lionel Kambeitz told MINING.com, adding the plan is to be able to capture carbon credits from development on [First Nations] lands – whether its mining development or energy or agricultural development.

“One of the most important underlying technologies in climate mitigation is going to be carbon currency, reflected in a carbon credit,” said Kambeitz.

“Its tradeable, and we’re tokenizing it. Many of the companies that are participating in the new carbon credit economy are, I hope going to be tokenizing as well, using the blockchain to verify the procedure and tokenizing it so it can be traded more readily.”

Kambeitz said when the tokens are traded, they will be traded with the reverence of social license.

“At every turn, at every corner that it is producing a carbon footprint, it gives the industry a chance to mitigate that footprint and have it recognized as a carbon credit, Kambeitz said. “ If we reduce and mitigate the use of carbon dioxide in our normal industrial process – that is worthy of being recognized.”

“The carbon economy is coming upon us, and it’s beyond government – when you go to Wall Street, Queens Street or Bay Street, wherever you’re raising your capital, it’s about ESG,” Kambeitz said.

“Its not about a government forcing a mine or an oil producer to look at their carbon footprint or be taxed. That may come or go, depending on the government.”

With the biggest companies in the world making commitments to be net zero by 2050, there are legal commitments made to the capital industry to be ESG compliant, Kambeitz said, adding that Delta CleanTech has brought the cost of capturing carbon dioxide down.

The cost of capital can be 20 to 25% higher for those miners with the lowest ESG scores, according to McKinsey’s report, Creating the Zero-Carbon Mine.

“The biggest single change beyond government policy of whatever party is in, is to have the investment community adapt and realize that ESG is one of the single biggest liabilities and or opportunities in a company’s balance sheet,” he said.

“This is going to live beyond the next government.”
Column: LME nickel lawsuits are about principle as much as money

Reuters | June 9, 2022 | 

Credit: LME
(The opinions expressed here are those of the author, Andy Home, a columnist for Reuters.)


The London Metal Exchange’s (LME) nickel nightmare continues.

US hedge fund Elliott Management and trading house Jane Street are suing the exchange for $456 million and $15.3 million respectively over its handling of the nickel market meltdown in March.

The LME suspended trading in its nickel contract at 0815 UK local time on March 8 after the price exploded to $101,365 per tonne. It also canceled all trades between midnight and the market halt.



A legal reaction from aggrieved long position holders was only to be expected. The LME and its owner Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEx) have dismissed the claims and “will defend any judicial review proceedings vigorously”.

The legal action will be a lawyerly stress-test of the LME rule-book, particularly the definition of what constitutes an orderly market.

But this is about more than just money.

The cancellation of agreed trades has broken a cardinal market rule for many in the investment community. The LME and British regulators will have to persuade them it won’t ever happen again if they are to return.

Legal defenses

The LME’s legal defenses are at first sight formidable.

Its rule book grants the exchange wide-ranging powers to act in “emergencies”.

Those powers are exercised through the “Special Committee”, a body established to remove any conflict of interest from LME market interventions.

Chaired by Phillip Crowson, previously a long-standing LME director, the “specials” include LME chairwoman Gay Huey Evans, who also sits on the UK Treasury board, LME Clear board member Marco Strimer, arbitration lawyer Barbara Dohmann QC and independent LME director Dr. Herta Von Stiegel.

The Committee “may take such steps as in the absolute discretion they deem necessary to contain or rectify” any “undesirable” situation.

Moreover, in the event of “a significant price movement during a short period”, the LME can suspend trading and “may cancel, vary or correct any Agreed Trade or Contract.”

As always, the legal devil will be in the detail, for which we await the LME’s own promised “forensic” report into what happened in the lead-up to the events of March 8.

Order, disorder

“The LME has undermined confidence in its ability to oversee markets by failing to perform its regulatory obligations to maintain an orderly market,” according to the Managed Funds Association, which represents over 140 investment companies.

The LME, for its part, claims it was precisely because the nickel market had become “disorderly” that it took the action it did.

“It became clear that pricing in the early hours (of March 8) trading did not reflect the underlying physical market and that the Nickel market had become disorderly,” it said in a March 10 statement. As such, trades were canceled to take the price back to the last point at which the exchange “could be confident that the market was behaving in an orderly fashion”.

However, it is now clear the exchange acted also to avert what it perceived to be a systemic threat resulting from participants’ inability to meet margin calls on nickel’s explosive price move.

The LME said it “had serious concerns” that margin-call stress was “raising the significant risk of multiple defaults”.

A cascade of defaults from less-well capitalized member companies would have risked a repeat of the exchange’s near-death experience during the 1985 Tin Crisis.

The most disorderly market of all is one when half the players have just gone technically bust.

Cardinal sin


Many fund managers, however, will take a lot of convincing.

The LME’s decision to cancel trades was “utterly, incomprehensibly wrong”, Ken Griffin, chief executive of investment company Citadel told Bloomberg TV.

Griffin, who “didn’t have a meaningful position in nickel at all”, warned that “when you interfere with markets on an ex-post basis, it’s incredibly destructive to the meaning of markets”.

Jane Street seems to agree, telling the Financial Times that the damages sought are “secondary”. Rather, it wants to send a message that it would take action against any “unreasonable” behavior by an exchange.

The retroactive cancellation of trades for such like-minded free-market advocates amounts to a cardinal sin.

March 8 was “one of the worst days in my professional career in terms of watching the behavior of an exchange,” Griffin said.

Free markets

The irony is that the LME has always prided itself on being a free-market bastion of light-touch regulation, eschewing position limits, circuit-breakers or fixed lending caps.

The 145-year-old exchange is the epitome of London’s traditional laissez-faire approach to professional, wholesale trading venues.

The LME’s rule book was written by Alan Whiting, who was parachuted into the exchange from the U.K. Treasury to clean up the aftermath of the Sumitomo copper fiasco of the 1990s.

The danger of such a hands-off approach, however, is that a market may turn so wild that regulators are left behind the curve in trying to tame it.

Whiting himself conceded that one of the strongest arguments for automatic intervention “is the difficulty in analyzing and assessing the reasons for and causes of the backwardation or unusual price movements”. (“Market Aberrations – The Way Forward”, 1998)

Any discretionary intervention by an exchange “may, inadvertently, be mistaken and inappropriate” and even when “correct” will always be “contentious because there will always be parties who will consider themselves to have been financially disadvantaged.”

Prescient words but the LME decided against automatic market constraints at the time and the London trading community has resisted them ever since.

They are now in place across all the LME’s physically-deliverable contracts and keeping them will be a minimum requirement for many funds.

The key, according to Citadel’s Griffin, is the “necessity of clarity on exchange rules”.

The days of the LME’s resistance to pre-emptive, automatic market intervention look numbered. Indeed, they may already be over.

What’s not in doubt is the urgency of repairing the regulatory system that resulted in the May mayhem.

Griffin predicted a shift in liquidity to other venues and “you’ll see people drop out of markets”.

It’s already happening.

LME nickel trading volumes fell by 35% year-on-year in May, part of a broader 13% decline in trading activity last month.

And Britannia Global Markets has just announced its intention to relinquish its clearing membership of the LME, citing “a clear hesitancy of some participants to support the existing LME market structure.”

It will continue to trade metals but on an over-the-counter basis, a warning sign that liquidity is already on the move away from the exchange.

(Editing by David Evans)

ESG insiders demand course correction to fix industry woes

With ESG being increasingly maligned these days from both the inside and the outside, some of the industry’s early devotees say it’s time for a course correction.

Jerome Dodson, the retired founder of one of the world’s largest ESG-focused investing firms, said a dedicated watchdog is needed to help police marketing claims. Marcela Pinilla, who’s worked in the business for 15 years, said environmental, social and governance issues need to be considered separately as opposed to lumped together under one acronym. And Matthew Kiernan, a pioneer of ESG corporate ratings, said both the industry and regulators need to double their efforts to stamp out exaggerated claims and root out bad actors.

The current maelstrom should be seen as “manna from heaven,’’ said Kiernan, co-founder of Invest Green, a Toronto-based firm that educates investors on sustainable investing. “It should ideally catalyze a big shakeout, an incursion on greenwashing and result in a smaller, leaner industry with much better clarity and quality.''

The list of insiders discomfited by the growth of the industry —  valued at about US$40 trillion by analysts at Bloomberg Intelligence — has jumped exponentially in the past year. They bemoan newer entrants that have jumped on the bandwagon to market investments that have little real-world impacts. They say widely used ESG ratings are riddled with errors and need to be standardized, and they want asset-management firms to to face tougher scrutiny.

After doing little during the early years of the ESG bonanza, regulators are trying to catch up. Just last month, the US Securities and Exchange Commission proposed a slate of  new restrictions aimed at ensuring ESG funds accurately describe their investments. Some also would need to disclose the aggregated greenhouse gas emissions of companies they’re invested in, according to the SEC.

Dodson, who used to run Parnassus Investments and has described the market boom as “disconcerting,’’ called for the creation of  a group modeled on Wall Street watchdog, Financial Industry Regulatory Authority. It should be a nonprofit organization backed by the government that charges fees, conducts audits and exams, and has enforcement powers, he said. 

The end result would be more firms getting kicked out of the business for failing to adhere to the highest investing and marketing standards, said Dodson, who retired last year from Parnassus, which he founded in 1984. The firm now manages US$47 billion from San Francisco.

When the investment strategy was conceived in the mid-2000s, its intention was to help investors measure risks and opportunities from environmental, social and corporate governance-related issues. It’s now morphed into a myriad of investment strategies ranging from mutual funds to complex derivatives designed by Wall Street banks. 


For Pinilla, director of sustainable investing at Boston-based Zevin Asset Management, the criticisms are welcome because they shine a spotlight on widening concerns about industry practices, especially among newer entrants. This rethink will help separate “the wheat from the chaff,’’ she said. “We need to be examined. It will help people get more precise about what exactly they’re doing.’’

Pinilla said ESG needs to be “decentralized” so those making claims specifically spell out their analysis of risks associated with “the E, the S and the G.” For example, investors would analyze workplace diversity as a separate topic from greenhouse gas emissions and corporate governance rather than lumping their analysis together, she said.  

“While they intersect, they need to be understood individually, not neatly bundled together,’’ she said.

It’s an approach that would make it harder for fund managers to claim that Tesla Inc., for example, lives up to the ESG label. While the electric-vehicle maker meets the standards of an environmentally friendly stock, its track record on social and governance issues raises a lot of awkward questions. 

Early signs have emerged that investors are souring on the process. They pulled a record net US$2 billion from US equity exchange-traded funds in May, ending three years of inflows, according to Bloomberg Intelligence. The redemptions are early signs of investors’ concerns about ESG as global financial markets are rattled by inflation and the ongoing war in Ukraine.

Kiernan, whose scores became the foundation for those sold today by MSCI Inc., the world’s biggest provider of ESG ratings, said the industry needs to double its efforts to fix the ratings system because they’re inconsistent and too many money managers use them to decide what stocks to buy.

Additionally, industry groups need to raise their standards to winnow out fund managers who aren’t following through on their commitments to the strategy, while institutional investors need to be more discerning about which managers they give their money to so that money only flows to those that are doing bona fide sustainable investing, he said.

If these three steps are taken, the amount of money investing in so-called sustainable funds would drop in half from the US$2.7 trillion now estimated by Morningstar Inc., Kiernan said. While there will be “a rather awkward transition,’’ it will ultimately result in genuine ESG funds “standing out and attracting more capital,” he said.

Anti-deep sea mining rally held on Ocean’s Day

Nelson Bennett- Business in Vancouver | June 9, 2022 

Image from DeepGreen Metals.

A deep-sea mining pilot expected to occur later this year 1,300 nautical miles southwest of Sandiego, California was the subject of a rally in Vancouver Wednesday.


Wednesday was Oceans Day, and one of the companies blazing a path in the new frontier of deep ocean mining – The Metals Company (Nasdaq:TMC) — is incorporated in the Cayman Islands but headquartered in Vancouver.

Two of its early investors are from Vancouver — mining mogul Frank Giustra and Brian Paes-Braga, founder of Lithium-X (TSX-V:LIX), which he sold in 2018 for C$265 million ($209m).

The Metals Company was formed last year through a C$2.9 billion ($2.29bn) merger between Vancouver’s DeepGreen Metals with a special-purpose acquisitions company, Sustainable Opportunities Acquisition Corp.

The company’s stock hit a high of $12.45 September 13, 2021, but has since fallen to $1.42 – perhaps a reflection of just how risky investors consider this new process for mining the ocean floor for minerals may be. No one has yet done it on a commercial scale.

The company and its technology partner, Allseas, recently marked the commissioning of key components of the underwater mining system that will be used to scoop up metals-rich pollymetallic nodules laying on the ocean floor in an area known as the Clarion Clipperton Zone between Hawaii and Mexico.

The company also released video of the trials of the collector vehicle designed to comb the ocean floor, scooping up the nodules and pumping them to a platform on the surface of the ocean.

“This latest development builds upon earlier successful trials of the nodule collector vehicle in deep-water in the Atlantic as well as harbour wet testing and shallow-water drive tests in the North Seas, and comes in advance of full pilot nodule collection trials…in the Clarion Clipperton Zone of the Pacific Ocean later this year,” the company says in a news release.

Deep ocean mining is governed by the International Seabed Authority (ISA), which has estimated that there could be 21 billion of tonnes of polymetallic nodules in the Clarion Clipperton Zone between Hawaii and Mexico, containing an estimated six billion tonnes of manganese, 234 million tonnes of copper, 270 million tonnes of nickel and 46 million tonnes of cobalt.

These metals are critical for making batteries, the demand for which is soaring for electric vehicles. The International Energy Agency (IEA) has estimated a sixfold increase in critical metals, including battery metals, will be needed to fuel the energy transition over the next decade, and there are concerns that terrestrial mines simply can’t be built in time to meet the demand.

The Metals Company holds exploration and commercial rights in the zone and has royalty agreements with three Pacific Island Nations — Tonga, Kiribati and Nauru. The company’s industrial and technology partners include Maersk and the Allseas Group S.A., a Swiss company that developed the harvesting machine that will be used.

Last year the company released an environmental impact report. It notes that the Abyssal Plain where the nodules would be harvested is at a depth of 4 to 6 kilometres, and is relatively barren.

“Less than 10% of all marine life lives below 4,000 meters,” the report notes. “The abyssal plain is a very challenging place for organisms to live because of the enormous pressure, the lack of light and the poor availability of food at these depths. There are no plants.

“A few large mobile species such as ratfish and shrimp do live on the abyssal plain and can swim, so they will be able to move away from the areas disturbed by nodule collection.”

Despite those assurances, Michelle Connolly, a project manager for Ecotrust Canada, says deep sea mining could put marine life at risk.

“We want to stop deep sea mining before it starts,” she said in a news release. “There is a rising demand for minerals for electric cars and other technologies. We do not believe that putting ocean life at risk for energy is acceptable.”

(This article first appeared in Business in Vancouver)
Court document disputes Enbridge claims regarding Line 5 shutdown

FRONT PAGE
JUN 9, 2022
GRAHAM JAEHNIG
Staff Writer
gjaehnig@mininggazette.com



ANN ARBOR — According to Enbridge’s website, a Line 5 shutdown would put Ohio refineries at risk. The closure of one of those refineries could result in the loss of $5.4 billion in annual economic output to Ohio and southeast Michigan, and the loss of thousands of direct and contracted skilled trades jobs

A Line 5 shutdown would compromise crude supply to 10 refineries in the region to varying degrees, directly affecting fuel prices. Enbridge said the information was provided by PBF Energy, which operates one of two refineries in Toledo. PBF Energy is one of the largest independent petroleum refiners and suppliers of unbranded transportation fuels, heating oil, petrochemical feedstocks, lubricants and other petroleum products in the United States.

However, filings in a lawsuit between Enbridge and the Bad River Band Tribe of Wisconsin released last week quote Enbridge’s Neil K. Earnest, independent energy industry consultant hired by the Canadian pipeline company, who said: “I estimate that a Line 5 shutdown will have a small impact on Michigan gasoline, jet fuel and diesel prices, likely less than one cent per gallon.”

The court filing contradicts recent predictions in an analysis for energy industry advocacy group Consumer Energy Alliance, which issued a report in February that predicted as much as a 9.47 to 11.66 percent spike in fuel prices, Sheri McWhirter reported on mlive.com on Wednesday. Four months ago, that would have been about 40 cents per gallon; at today’s prices it would be closer to 52 cents per gallon.

The National Wildlife Federation has been at the forefront of this issue, knowing that the pipeline running through the Straits of Mackinac is a disaster waiting to happen and a violation of sovereign tribal treaty rights, stated Anna Marie Zorn, in the Wednesday NWF article.

“My estimate of the increase in Wisconsin transportation fuel prices is the same as that for Michigan gasoline prices, i.e., approximately 0.5 cents per gallon,” Earnest wrote, states a June 8 press release from Fossil Free Media, a nonprofit media lab that supports the movement to end fossil fuels and address the climate emergency.

Enbridge’s Line 5, has run under the Straits of Mackinac for 69 years.

The company has spent millions to push misleading advertising and public statements. Shut down Line 5, it said, and gasoline prices in the state will skyrocket, said Fossil Free Media.

“Once again Enbridge has been caught misleading the public on Line 5, prioritizing their profit margins over Great Lakes water, wildlife, and our way of life.,” said Beth Wallace, Great Lakes freshwater campaigns manager for the NWF. “All should see clearly now, by their own expert’s admission, that Enbridge’s arguments and reality go together like oil and water. Greed and profiteering are at the center of Enbridge’s campaign to keep this 70-year-old pipeline running and not Michiganders’ best interests.”

Fossil Free Media stated that Sean McBrearty, campaign coordinator for Oil & Water Don’t Mix, commented, saying:

“What we suspected for years is true, and now we hear it through Enbridge’s own words in court: The products that travel through Line 5 have no effect on gasoline prices in Michigan. These court filings totally vindicate the responsible and courageous leadership of Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and Attorney General Dana Nessel, who have worked tirelessly to protect our Great Lakes from a massive oil spill.”

Enbridge’s court filing isn’t the first time its own documents show how little Line 5 has to do with gasoline prices, Fossil Free Media said. The 2017 Dynamic Risk study, funded by Enbridge, showed decommissioning Line 5 would result in price impacts of roughly 2 cents per gallon on gasoline and approximately 5 cents per gallon on propane.

Line 5 runs from Canada, through Wisconsin and Michigan, before crossing back into Canada near Port Huron. Line 5 splits into two sections on the bottom of the Straits of Mackinac, where an oil spill would be catastrophic for the Great Lakes.

Fossil Free Media said it its release that Line 5 has spilled 33 times and at least 1.1 million gallons along its length since 1968. Enbridge’s Line 6B spilled 1.1 million gallons of tar sands bitumen into the Kalamazoo River in 2010, the largest inland spill in American history.

“Line 5 is located in the worst possible place for an oil spill in the Great Lakes, according to experts at the University of Michigan,” said Michelle Woodhouse, water program manager for Environmental Defence in Canada. “With its own words, Enbridge’s court document confirms a recent report the Environmental Defence commissioned that showed a price impact of 2 cents per liter at the pumps in Ontario when Line 5 shuts down. The biggest economic threat we face is the danger Line 5 poses to the Great Lakes ecosystem.

U.S. natural gas prices slump after fire at Texas LNG terminal

U.S. natural gas prices tumbled after a fire broke out at a Texas export terminal, threatening to leave supplies of the fuel stranded in shale basins despite surging overseas demand.

The fire is under control at Freeport LNG’s terminal in Quintana, Texas, about 65 miles (105 kilometers) south of Houston, company spokeswoman Heather Browne said Wednesday. The incident happened at about 11:40 a.m. local time and an investigation is ongoing, she said, adding that there were no injuries or risks to the surrounding community.

Freeport is one of seven US liquefied natural gas export terminals, which receive gas via pipeline and liquefy it before loading the super-chilled LNG onto tankers. The terminals have helped the US emerge in the past few years to vie with Qatar and Australia for position as the No. 1 exporter of LNG. As Europe clamors for cargoes after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the blaze could have a significant impact on global supplies of the fuel.

US natural gas futures for July delivery slid as much as 9.3 per cent to US$8.427 per million British thermal units in New York after reports of the fire first emerged, halting a rally that sent prices to fresh 13-year highs earlier. The contract settled down 6.4 per cent at US$8.699. Prices have more than doubled this year, as US gas stockpiles remain well below normal levels.

The fire is “going to curtail exports and alleviate some of the strain on US supplies,” said John Kilduff, a partner at hedge fund Again Capital in New York. US consumers “should benefit from lower prices, but Europe and Asia will probably pay higher prices.”

Freeport receives about 2 billion cubic feet of gas per day, or roughly 16 per cent of total US LNG export capacity. The tanker Elisa Larus is currently at the terminal, though it’s under way using its engine, according to vessel tracking data compiled by Bloomberg. That suggests the tanker may be moving away from Freeport. 

 

Natural Gas Prices Tank Again As Freeport LNG Remains Shut For Almost A Month

  • Natural gas prices fell another 7.5% percent on Thursday morning.
  • Freeport LNG outage to lead to drop in exports to Europe and Asia.
  • The cause of the explosion on Wednesday remains unclear.

Amid robust demand for U.S. LNG, one of the biggest liquefaction facilities on the Gulf Coast, Freeport LNG, will be out of commission for at least three weeks following an explosion yesterday.

An explosion rocked the Freeport LNG liquefaction plant yesterday morning, with its cause as of yet unclear. An investigation is ongoing, but according to the operator of the facility, Freeport LNG, the facility will remain shut down for weeks. It accounts for a fifth of total U.S. liquefaction capacity.

The Freeport facility has three liquefaction trains, and a fourth is being constructed. Its current gas processing capacity is 2.1 billion cu ft daily. With the outage, the situation with U.S. LNG exports will become problematic, as evidenced by the gas market’s reaction to the news of the explosion.

Initially, prices fell as traders worried that the outage would reduce American LNG’s market share, per a Financial Times report from earlier today. Bloomberg noted that the fire means a lot of gas will remain stranded at the fields amid surging demand for gas overseas.

Yet prices on international LNG markets might react differently because the Freeport LNG outage effectively means there will be less natural gas for export, especially to energy-thirty Europe and Asia.

In Europe, gas prices have been on the decline for the past few days as an early start of summer reduced immediate demand. An ample supply of LNG has also contributed to the price trend. With the outage, this trend might at some point reverse.

Asian demand, however, is on a strong rise as buyers seek to build inventory for the winter season, Bloomberg reported this week, which is lending further upward support to prices.

“LNG prices remain well above where they normally are, even adjusting for higher crude oil prices,” Sanford C. Bernstein analysts said in a note, as quoted by Bloomberg. “We expect this to be a lull before what looks like a tough winter ahead for consumers.”

Oilprice.com


European Gas Soars as Fire in US Compounds Russia Supply Concern

(Bloomberg) -- Europe’s natural gas prices surged after a fire at a large export terminal in the US promised to wipe out deliveries to a market that’s on high alert over tight Russian supplies.

Benchmark futures traded in Amsterdam snapped a six-day falling streak, while UK prices jumped more than 34%. The Freeport liquefied natural gas facility in Texas, which makes up about a fifth of all US exports of the fuel, will remain closed for at least three weeks. The US sent nearly 75% of all its LNG to Europe in the first four months of this year.

The closure comes as pipeline supplies from Europe’s top providers are also capped. Key facilities in Norway are undergoing annual maintenance this week, while Russia’s supplies are below capacity after several European buyers were cut off for refusing to meet Moscow’s demands to be ultimately paid in rubles for its pipeline fuel. 

“An export halt during the high demand winter months would have triggered a much bigger reaction, but the event highlights Europe’s precarious situation and it would likely signal an end for now to the calm trading seen in recent weeks,” said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank A/S.

Europe has been particularly reliant on US LNG to help offset risk of disruption to Russian pipeline imports, and ample supplies of the fuel in the past weeks had calmed the market after wild swings earlier this year. 

“The rising importance of US gas exports to a gas-hungry Europe has been clearly highlighted by price movements on either side of the pond these past few hours,” Saxo Bank’s Hansen said.

The extent of the damage to the Freeport facility is not yet clear, but the fire could potentially knock out abut 16% of total US LNG export capacity “for an unknown period if the fire damage proves difficult to repair,” analysts at Evercore ISI said in a note. 

Dutch front-month gas, the European benchmark, traded 12% higher at 89.13 euros per megawatt-hour by 8:53 a.m. in Amsterdam. The contract dropped 16% over the previous six sessions. 

UK next-month futures jumped to 174.14 pence a therm. Send-outs from Britain’s LNG terminals, a key European destination for US cargoes, fell about 30% Thursday to the lowest since mid-March. 

Even with tepid consumption in most of Europe amid mild weather that means that energy companies may have to turn to gas inventories just as storage levels have improved recently, getting closer to historic averages. 

LNG buyers will probably start hunting for replacement shipments from the spot market, but there is a dwindling amount of supplies available, according to traders in Asia. The move is likely to boost already intense competition between Asia and Europe for the fuel. 

Gas flows from Norway rebounded after a one-day halt of the giant Troll field for annual tests on Wednesday, but are still below normal as seasonal works at a number of facilities continue. Shipments of Russian gas via the Nord Stream pipeline to Germany will continue to edge down on Thursday, grid data show.

©2022 Bloomberg L.P.

Pipelines unclogged, but Canadian crude now faces U.S. Gulf Coast glut


By Nia Williams and Arathy Somasekhar

(Reuters) - After long being deeply discounted for years because of a lack of pipelines, Canadian heavy crude is finally trading like a "North American" grade, moving in tandem with U.S. sour crudes sold on the Gulf Coast after Enbridge Inc expanded its Line 3 pipeline late last year.

Unfortunately for Canadian producers, the Gulf is awash in sour crude thanks to Washington's largest-ever release from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) that will amount to 180 million barrels over a six-month period, in an attempt to tame high fuel prices after Russia's invasion of Ukraine.


© Reuters/ADREES LATIFFILE PHOTO: 
The Bryan Mound Strategic Petroleum Reserve is seen
 in an aerial photograph over Freeport, Texas

Millions of barrels of sour crude are flooding the market from storage caverns in Louisiana and Texas. Heavy grades like Mars and Poseidon at the U.S. Gulf Coast, the world's largest heavy crude refining center, are languishing.

Western Canada Select (WCS) sold more than 3,000 kilometres (nearly 2,000 miles) away in Hardisty, Alberta, is getting dragged down with them.

The discount on July WCS for delivery in the Hardisty crude hub reached more than $20 a barrel below the West Texas Intermediate benchmark last week, the widest since early 2020.


"It's not great timing," said Rory Johnston, founder of the Commodity Context newsletter based in Toronto. "The vast majority of what's coming out of the SPR is medium sour crude. It's hitting directly at that marginal pricing point for WCS."

The sour Gulf surplus is undermining what some market players expected to be a period of stronger WCS demand in Hardisty, as maintenance on oil sands projects reduces supply and as U.S. refineries exit turnarounds.

Other factors causing the WCS discount to widen include the high price of natural gas, which increases the cost of refining heavy crude, and increased demand for lighter products like gasoline, BMO Capital Markets analyst Randy Ollenberger said in a note.

PIPELINE CAPACITY

Canada exports around 4.3 million barrels per day (bpd) to the United States, according to U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) data, but until last year demand to ship crude on export pipelines exceeded capacity, leaving barrels bottlenecked in Hardisty.

In 2018, the discount on WCS in Hardisty blew out to more than $40 a barrel, prompting the Alberta government to restrict output.

Now there is sufficient pipeline capacity, WCS trades around the same level as comparable crudes like Mexico's Maya. This means Canadian producers get that value, minus the spot pipeline tariff to the U.S. Gulf Coast, which is roughly $10 a barrel.

Canadian production is forecast to rise 200,000 bpd by the end of 2022, according to the EIA. That could cause bottlenecks to re-emerge until the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion to Canada's Pacific coast is completed in 2023, adding 600,000 bpd of capacity, said RBN Energy analyst Robert Auers.

"However, a massive blowout in differentials, like we saw in 2018, is unlikely since producers are likely to be prepared for such a scenario and quickly ramp up crude-by-rail volumes in anticipation of such an event," Auers said.

(Reporting by Nia Williams; Editing by Marguerita Choy)

Gas exporters see growing support for East Coast plant in Canada

Canada’s natural gas companies say there’s growing domestic support for new energy infrastructure to facilitate exports to Europe, even as the country pursues aggressive climate-change targets. 

Tim Egan, president of the Canadian Gas Association, said he believes the public is beginning to recognize that boosting exports to countries like Germany is the most significant way Canada will be able to help counteract Russia’s aggression against Ukraine. He cited recent polling that shows widespread approval for a shift in policy.

“I think Canadians are seeing what’s going on in Europe and are saying, ‘Look, there must be way we can help,’” Egan said by phone.

The energy crisis has given a boost to Canada’s fossil-fuel sector, which had been hemmed in for years by slumping prices and tightening environmental restrictions. 

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s government is attempting to balance exporting more energy to help supply world markets while still making progress on decarbonizing production. Trudeau has targeted a 42 per cent cut to oil and gas emissions by 2030.


While a major exporter of natural gas, Canada currently lacks a liquefied natural gas terminal that could directly supply allied nations across the Atlantic Ocean. 


BOOSTING PRODUCTION

A public opinion survey conducted in April by Leger Marketing Inc. for the gas association found 58 per cent of respondents supported exports of LNG from the east coast, compared to 17 per cent opposed and the remainder unsure. When Europe and the Ukraine war were specifically mentioned, support rose to 63 per cent, according to the online poll.

The same proportion, 58 per cent, also said they would back the construction of new east coast terminals to export gas, with 21 per cent in opposition. That includes 63 per cent support in Atlantic Canada, where any such facility would likely be located.

In the short term, Canada has pledged to increase its exports to the US to help indirectly free up supplies to Europe, aiming to boost shipments by the equivalent of 100,000 barrels per day by the end of the year.

There are other new developments being considered that could allow Canada to ship directly to Europe, but will face more environmental scrutiny and opposition.

Natural Resources Minister Jonathan Wilkinson has already pointed to one project that could be in operation by 2025. It would see Spain’s Repsol SA convert an existing LNG import facility in New Brunswick into an export terminal. Most of the infrastructure is already in place, meaning it may not need an extensive regulatory process, the minister said. 

However, Repsol currently uses the terminal to supply gas to the US, and it’s unclear if the company is prepared to make the switch. Supplying the terminal with gas from Western Canada would also require the existing pipeline network to be expanded, which could be politically difficult.

Other longer-term projects have been floated, but they would be new facilities and would require lengthy environmental assessments. Proposals include one in Nova Scotia by Pieridae Energy Ltd., one in Quebec by GNL Quebec Inc., and another in Canada’s easternmost province by LNG Newfoundland and Labrador Ltd.

Egan -- whose association represents Canadian distributors of natural gas -- said he’s heard plenty of interest in access to Canadian gas in his own conversations with diplomats from European countries.

“I’ve met with roughly half of them,” Egan said. “The overwhelming response is: Please try to do more, and more quickly. It’s the Europeans who are very blunt about this.”

Trudeau is scheduled to be in Germany later this month for a Group of Seven leaders summit, where European energy security is expected to be a top agenda item. 


Merchandise trade data released Tuesday shows Canada had $21.8 billion in natural gas exports over the last 12 months through April -- almost double pre-pandemic levels, and the highest since 2009.

Caisse de Depot to invest US$5B in Dubai port operator

Dubai is selling stakes in some of its most prized assets, including the port that helped transform the city into a global trade hub, to a Canadian fund as the emirate seeks to alleviate its debt burden. 

Caisse de Depot et Placement du Quebec agreed to invest US$5 billion in the Middle East’s biggest port and two industrial zones, according to a statement Monday. Other long-term investors will have the opportunity to acquire additional stakes for as much as US$3 billion by the end of the year. 

Under the agreement, the Montreal-based pension manager will invest US$2.5 billion in the Jebel Ali Port, Jebel Ali Free Zone and National Industries Park. It’s doing the deal through a new joint venture in which it will hold a stake of about 22 per cent, with the remainder of the transaction being financed by debt. 

The transaction values the assets, which are controlled by state-owned DP World, at about US$23 billion including debt. It builds on an existing venture between DP World and CDPQ formed in 2016 to invest in ports around the world. 

 

HIGH GROWTH

“The familiarity with the management team helped us in doing this transaction,” Emmanuel Jaclot, head of CDPQ’s infrastructure business, said in an interview Monday. “The zone of Middle East, Africa and South Asia is in a different growth trajectory, and this deal helps us to diversify our exposure to this high-growth region.”

CDPQ has committed financing for the US$2.5 billion of debt it’s putting into the deal, he said. The second tranche of US$3 billion is also likely to be equally split between equity and debt, Jaclot said. 

The fund is keen to further grow its infrastructure portfolio, which has doubled in the last three and half years, and transportation is a key focus area, according to Jaclot. 

DP World has been exploring the sale of equity stakes in certain assets as the emirate works to reduce the debt pile that helped finance the city’s growth. Dubai took DP World private in early 2020 to help the company better manage its borrowings. 

 

CUTTING DEBT

The deal “achieves our objective of reducing DP World’s net leverage” to below four-times net debt to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, Chief Executive Officer Sultan Ahmed Bin Sulayem said in the statement. “We believe this new partnership will enhance our assets and allow us to capture the significant growth potential of the wider region.”

With the investment, DP World “may be on track for an upgrade to BBB at Fitch as it could deleverage to below 5x net debt-to-Ebitda,” said Sharon Chen, a credit analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence. “Its balance sheet may strengthen” and the deal “may help repay US$7 billion of debt due 2023.”