Sunday, June 19, 2022


The get-rich-quick days of crypto are over. Investors are losing their shirts, but industry players say this is healthy



Taylor Locke
Sat, June 18, 2022

It seemed like there was nowhere to hide in the crypto market this week.

Forced selling and liquidity troubles have “resulted in one of the worst quarterly price performances of the crypto space,” Lucas Outumuro, head of research at IntoTheBlock, wrote Friday in his newsletter.

“Overall, this week concludes a historic crash for crypto. We have witnessed record-level activity in multiple metrics as mayhem ensues throughout the market,” Outumuro wrote. “While it may still be too early to call the bottom, there are some evident similarities with previous bear markets.”

Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market value, fell below $20,000 on Saturday for the first time since December 2020. Ether, the second-largest cryptocurrency, dropped below $1,000, a level not seen since January 2021. The overall cryptocurrency market cap is below $1 trillion, from an all-time high north of $3 trillion.

As they anxiously watch on-chain movement, investors are wondering what’s ahead. Industry players are nearly certain that many projects will disappear, while adding that this reveals issues with centralization and leverage issues, but to some of them, there’s a silver lining.

“This is healthy,” Corey Miller, growth lead at cryptocurrency exchange dYdX, told Fortune.


Short-term adjustments

The domino effect within the cryptocurrency market will likely continue, at least in the short term, industry players predict. More pain is ahead for investors and projects exposed to excessive leverage or other operational issues. It seems to all trace back to Terra.

Though macroeconomic factors, including higher than expected inflation numbers in the U.S., set the stage for headwinds to come, the Terra ecosystem collapse—with failed algorithmic stablecoin TerraUSD (UST) and its original cryptocurrency Luna (LUNC) becoming nearly worthless—was an undeniable big bang in the space.

At its height, UST and LUNC were worth $60 billion, and after they collapsed to about zero in May, the impact on connected institutions became apparent this week. One of the cryptocurrency market’s biggest lending platforms, Celsius Network, paused its withdrawals on Sunday, sparking rumors of bankruptcy. Reports concerning the state of multibillion-dollar fund Three Arrows Capital followed soon after, fueling further fears of contagion and systemic risk. As days go on, more and more firms, companies, and platforms alike are coming forward with updates on their financial health or lack thereof.

From big players to everyday investors, the impact is being felt far and wide. Even major cryptocurrency-related companies, like Coinbase, Gemini, BlockFi and Crypto.com, recently announced layoffs and headcount reductions—several of them having just spent millions on Super Bowl ads as crypto’s market cap was near its peak.

“Things are really shaky right now and it’s going to take a while for things to stabilize. People are watching and waiting to see if something else will topple,” Michael Safai, managing partner at cryptocurrency trading firm Dexterity Capital, told Fortune. To be a “trusted ecosystem, investors have to feel confident that when they put money in, they’re able to get it out. This is definitely setting back a lot of that trust.”

Currently, we’re in a bit of a “hangover,” Jason Urban, co-head of Galaxy Digital Trading, told Fortune. In the near term, continued volatility is expected.

“I think for the next three to six weeks, people are going to be figuring out what exactly has happened, and who is well healed and who is not. That’s the first step,” Urban said. Subsequently, “there are going to be projects that don't make it, and there are going to be projects that become wildly successful,” he added.

What we are seeing now is “excessive risk being wiped out from the ecosystem,” Miller, growth lead at cryptocurrency exchange dYdX, told Fortune, which he says is a healthy development. “While it does reveal many interconnected links within crypto, these wipeouts support the idea that crypto as a whole remains resilient to existential risks.”





Looking ahead

Coming out of this crash, major players in crypto say changes are all but certain in the space. There might be a hesitancy towards certain projects, depending on their code and pitch, or with platforms offering extremely high yield by over-leveraging. Regulation may also soon follow, but many in the space remain bullish on future innovation.

Urban compared the current state of the crypto market to the bursting of the internet bubble in 2000. Looking ahead, he predicts that alongside the distress, innovation will come out of this time period. Many others echoed his remarks.

“In stocks and crypto, you will see companies that were sustained by cheap, easy money—but didn’t have valid business prospects—will disappear,” Mark Cuban, avid cryptocurrency investor, told Fortune. “Like [Warren] Buffett says, When the tide goes out, you get to see who is swimming naked.”

While this will be a “very bad” period for “poorly built or not very useful projects,” things will be “much less bad for valuable ones,” Sam Bankman-Fried, chief executive officer of cryptocurrency exchange FTX, also told Fortune. “I don't think we'll see sectors die out but we might see some rotate to more sophisticated versions.”

In the long term, Safai sees less excessive yield and leverage.

“There’s going to be a lot of shaking up to be done,” Safai said. “[T]his era of being able to get exceptional yield for nothing is over. This is when a lot of leverage is going to get pulled out of the system, and this will ultimately make the crypto ecosystem safer.”

This downturn has revealed the crypto-related projects and funds that were “utilizing more risk than what was prudent,” Miller said. “Similar to other downturns, many players become forced sellers and are subsequently washed out.”

In response to the carnage this time around, government regulators have already signaled interest in furthering the development of a regulatory framework for the cryptocurrency market. Those within the space have mixed feelings about government intervention, but it might be happening whether they like it or not.

“We believe that regulation is a positive development in our industry as it will force players to disclose more details on their activities so that clients can better assess the potential risks associated and how they vary across different companies,” Adam Reeds, co-founder and chief executive officer at cryptocurrency lending platform Ledn, told Fortune.

While recent events, like the collapse of UST and LUNC, has “posed a threat to crypto market sentiment and is a catalyst for regulation, it will ultimately not stop the growth of innovation in Web3,” Isla Perfito, chief executive officer of Sator, a blockchain-based entertainment platform, told Fortune.




Lessons learned

Though some industry veterans see similarities between this downturn and previous “crypto winters,” some lessons specific to this crash will carry extra weight going forward.

The “biggest thing” to come out of this downturn will be a “focus on fundamentals,” says Tom Dunleavy, Messari senior research analyst.

“In the past, … [t]he new and most interesting projects got the capital, and grew to unbelievably large sizes for what they were actually accomplishing (or could really accomplish),” Dunleavy told Fortune. “The focus going forward will be on strong protocols, strong teams, and strong use cases.”

He also predicts that this downturn will “essentially end” the “wars” between Ethereum (ETH) competitors. “There is going to be BTC [or Bitcoin] and ETH, and then a long tail of projects fighting for the remaining 20% to 30% of crypto market cap."

Major takeaways from this crash will also shape the future of the space, industry players say.

“Everyone is having to take a good hard look at their risk management right now, but exchanges seem to be pretty inoculated from this madness. With less capital at everyone’s fingertips, the question for traders will be how to more intelligently deploy capital and optimize activity in a world where leverage is limited,” Safai said.

This will be important because “a handful of trading firms make up a significant amount of market activity, and the market doesn’t want to be without them,” he said. “Shops that navigated other lengthy crypto downturns will lean on that experience and probably come out far stronger, to the benefit of the industry.”

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com

Crypto’s Excruciating Week Has Traders

Bracing for Next Crisis



Michael P. Regan

Sat, June 18, 2022

Crypto’s Excruciating Week Has Traders Bracing for Next Crisis

(Bloomberg) -- It was one of the most dramatic weeks in the short history of the cryptocurrency market, bookended by the type of announcements investors fear the most from a counterparty: We’re sorry, but we just can’t return your money right now.

In between, a nascent technocratic industry with grand ambitions to reinvent the financial system was rocked repeatedly by echoes of past crises in the old system. It was a week of margin calls, forced selling and important collateral being exposed as way too illiquid in a time of crisis. There were rumblings of hedge-fund blowups, tales of opportunistic predatory trading, job cuts and loud denials of problems from key players proven wrong almost immediately.

Amid it all, the myth was shattered once and for all that this new crypto financial system was somehow immune to -- or even able to benefit from -- the economic fundamentals currently punishing the old system.

It all started late Sunday, when a sort of crypto shadow bank called Celsius Network suspended withdrawals from depositors who had been enticed by sky-high interest rates that, in retrospect, were likely too good to be true. By the end of the week, on the other side of the world in Hong Kong, the digital-asset lender Babel Finance also froze withdrawals.

We’re working on it, both firms told customers, and no doubt they are. Yet speculation is growing that Celsius Network, at least, is drowning in what research firm Kaiko called a “Lehman-esque” position.

Like Lehman Brothers did almost 14 years ago, Celsius’s woes showed how interconnected big players in this financial system are and how fast contagion can spread, making this week’s drama the sequel to last week’s and the prequel to next week’s.

Many analysts have pointed to problems that Celsius is having with an Ethereum-linked token called staked ETH, or stETH -- a coin designed to be a tradable proxy for Ether that’s widely used in decentralized finance. While every stETH is meant to be redeemable for one Ether after long-awaited upgrades of the Ethereum blockchain take effect, recent market turmoil has caused its market value to fall below that level.

Terra Connection

Research firm Nansen has also identified Celsius as one of the parties involved when the UST stablecoin lost its peg to the dollar in May. The episode with that token, which was driven largely by algorithms, crypto animal spirits and untenable yields of 19.5% for depositors in the Anchor Protocol, triggered the loss of tens of billions dollars in the spectacular implosion of the Terra blockchain.

Nansen’s analysis confirmed that Terra’s Anchor program had been an important source of yield for Celsius, according to commentary from crypto exchange Coinbase. “In our view, this likely begged the question of how Celsius could fulfill its obligations without that 19.5% yield,” wrote the institutional team at Coinbase. That firm, by the way, said this week it will lay off 18% of its previously fast-growing workforce, joining other pink-slip-issuing crypto startups such as Gemini and BlockFi that are struggling amid a relentless plunge in asset prices that’s been dubbed “crypto winter.”

The drama ramped up on Wednesday with an alarming tweet that seemed to confirm speculation that had been swirling around one of the most influential hedge funds in crypto, Three Arrows Capital. “We are in the process of communicating with relevant parties and fully committed to working this out,” one of the firm’s co-founders wrote, without revealing any details about what exactly the “this” was that it was working out.

By the end of the week, the multi-billion-dollar fund’s founders had explained to the Wall Street Journal that they were exploring options that include a rescue by another firm and an agreement with creditors that would buy them time to work out a plan. Three Arrows, too, was a casualty of both the stETH woes and Terra’s collapse. The fund had bought about $200 million in the Luna currency used to back up the value of Terra’s UST stablecoin, according to the Journal. Luna, which sold for more than $119 in April, is now worth about $0.000059.

Just as Bear Stearns’s hedge funds were among the first to reveal problems from the subprime mortgage crisis, Three Arrows is likely not alone. The “cockroach theory” springs to mind: If you see one of those nasty bugs scurrying across the floor, chances are there are plenty more hiding behind the fridge or under the sink.

Crypto Shark Tank

In fact, the hot trade in crypto now is no longer pumping coins “to the moon” with tweets full of rocket-ship emojis, but rather trying to find where those roaches are hiding and make a meal out of them. Some crafty traders have dispatched bots to prowl blockchains in search of highly leveraged positions in danger of forced liquidation because the value of their collateral is no longer enough to back up their loans. If successful, they get a 10% to 15% cut of the collateral sale -- incentives paid out by automated protocols that are meant to protect them from insolvency.

As the dust settled at the end of the week, the damage was startling. Bitcoin has notched 12 straight days of losses, its longest sustained slump, and it breached $20,000 early Saturday for the first time since 2020. Flailing against a backdrop of monetary tightening, the world’s largest cryptocurrency is now down more than 70% from its highs in November when it was approaching $70,000. Ether dipped below $1,000, having sold for as much as $4,866 seven months ago. What was once a more than $3 trillion industry is now valued at less than $1 trillion.

And despite the similarity of past crises in traditional finance, there is one big difference as the weekend approaches: Players in the old-fashioned markets at least get to turn their machines off on Saturday and Sunday to get some sleep and lick their wounds. As a three-day holiday weekend approaches in the US, with forecasts for sunny skies in New York, those with heavy exposure to digital assets will remain glued to their screens, where crypto winter’s deadly blizzard shows little sign of letting up.

Bitcoin Plunges Below $20K for First Time Since December 2020; Ether Drops Below $1K


OGNYAN CHOBANOV

Greg Ahlstrand, James Rubin
Sat, June 18, 2022

Bitcoin (BTC) sank below $20,000 for the first time since December 2020, losing 9.5% in the past 24 hours. At time of publication, the largest cryptocurrency by market cap was changing hands around $18,984.1 after trading at a low of $18,739.50.

Ether (ETH), the second largest crypto, also continued its decline, falling 9.78% to about $992 at time of publication.

The crypto panic – which began a few weeks ago with the Terra ecosystem collapse and then spread to the Celsius platform – has moved on to hedge fund Three Arrow Capital, which reportedly had its collateral liquidated by crypto lender BlockFi.

Checking traditional markets, U.S. stocks saw more massive selling on Thursday, with the Nasdaq tumbling 4.1% and the S&P 500 3.25% before a slight recovery on Friday. For the week, the Nasdaq and S&P are each lower by about 6%.

Amitoj Singh contributed to this report.

Crypto Traders Turn Against Each Other in a Collapsing Market




Olga Kharif
Fri, June 17, 2022, 5:

With crypto prices tumbling precipitously, traders have begun increasingly turning against one another to eke out ever-elusive profits.

Many shark traders scour blockchains -- digital ledgers for recording transactions -- seeking information on other traders, particularly those with highly leveraged positions, an anonymous user known as Omakase, a contributor to the Sushi decentralized exchange, said in an interview.

The sharks then attack the positions by trying to push them into liquidation, and earning liquidation bonuses that are common in decentralized finance (DeFi), where people trade, lend and borrow from each other without intermediaries like banks.

Related strategies may have contributed to the collapse of the TerraUSD stablecoin, with shark traders making money off price arbitrage between the Curve decentralized exchange and centralized exchanges, according to Nansen, a blockchain analytics firm.

Recent troubles at crypto lender Celsius Network were exacerbated by arbitragers as well. The price of stETh token that Celsius has a large position in started trading at a large discount from Ether, to which it’s tied.

“As stETH goes down, arbitragers buy stETH and short ETH against it, sending ETH lower, which again lowers collateral values across DeFi,” effectively worsening Celsius’s position, according to a recent Arca note.

As Omakase put it, “In a downtrend environment, where yields are harder to access, what we are going to see is some actors utilize some more aggressive strategies, and that may not be necessarily good for the community.”

“The environment has become more player vs player,” Omakase added.

With crypto prices under pressure, taking on leverage has presented an even greater peril. Last year, Sushi launched a margin-trading and lending platform. Most crypto exchanges offer margin trading, and in the past it has been as high as 100X, meaning that people were able to borrow 100 times what they put down as collateral.

Most DeFi apps require traders to overcollateralize, however -- effectively taking out less in loans than they put in.

Driving Down the Price


A trader may find out that others could get liquidated when a coin’s price drops to, say, $100. The trader could then build up a sufficient position in the coin, then sell in order to pull the price below $100, while also collecting the reward for liquidating the trader that most DeFi apps offer.

“Most protocols offer a 10-15% liquidation fee,” Omakase said. “Triggering enough liquidations would cause a liquidation cascade where a motivated actor could simply hold a short position in order to profit for the subsequent secondary decrease.”

Other traders are simply profiting off liquidations they don’t trigger. Nathan Worsley runs a slew of bots -- software programs -- that search for traders who are about to get liquidated and gets paid a commission for liquidating them.

“Recently the amount of liquidations has been huge,” Worsley said in emails. “However, liquidations is not a continuous strategy, you sometimes go for a week or more without any significant liquidations. However, when liquidations happen there are usually a lot at once. You basically have to work a long time while making $0 profit, in order to be ready for the big day or two when you might be able to make a million dollars at once.”

His bots continuously scour blockchains, keeping a list of all the borrowers using a particular app and scrutinizing the health of their accounts. Once positions are ready for liquidation, “it’s usually a battle to be the quickest and perform the liquidation,” Worsley explained.

“I would push back on classifying this as an ‘attack,’” he added. “The reason is because without liquidations, you can’t have a lending market. So even though no one enjoys being liquidated, it’s essential that people do get liquidated in order to make the market and protect the protocol from insolvency.”

Liquidations can be triggered after traders borrow from apps like Aave or Compound, and put up collateral -- say, in Ether -- that’s typically greater than what they borrow, perhaps 120% of the borrowed funds. If Ether’s price drops, that collateral may now be worth only 110% of what the trader borrowed.

‘Protect the Protocol’


“My job as the liquidator is to protect the protocol by closing your position,” Worsley said. “The protocol gives me a reward for being a liquidator to encourage this activity, because blockchains cannot move by themselves. You have borrowed $1,000 of Bitcoin, so I repay the $1,000 of Bitcoin you owe the protocol. In return, the protocol gives me $1000 of your Ethereum collateral, plus a $100 ‘liquidation bonus’ from your excess collateral. I have made a profit, you have been liquidated and your position is closed, and the protocol itself has been protected from bad debt.”

With liquidation targets becoming more and more tempting in a tumultuous market, Omakase offers this advice: “Generally everyone should stay safe, everyone should avoid the use of leverage.”

Three Arrows Capital Confirms Heavy Losses From LUNA's Collapse, Exploring Potential Options: Report

Shaurya Malwa 

Fri, June 17, 2022

Beleaguered cryptocurrency fund Three Arrows Capital (3AC) confirmed Friday it had suffered heavy losses in the recent market downturn and said it had hired legal and financial advisors to figure a way out, according to a WSJ report.

  • “We are committed to working things out and finding an equitable solution for all our constituents,” 3AC co-founder Kyle Davies told the WSJ. The fund had over $3 billion worth of cryptocurrencies under management as of April.

  • 3AC is exploring options including asset sales and a rescue by another firm and hopes to reach a settlement with creditors, Davies said. 3AC owes at least $6 million to crypto exchange BitMEX, as per a separate report by The Block today.

  • Davies said 3AC invested over $200 million in LUNA tokens as part of a $1 billion raise by the Luna Foundation Guard in February, an amount that is now essentially worthless since the Terra ecosystem imploded in mid-May. “The Terra-Luna situation caught us very much off guard,” Davies told the WSJ.

  • LUNA lost nearly all of its value over the course of a week, while ecosystem algorithmic stablecoin terraUSD (UST) fell to a few pennies after losing its intended peg with the U.S. dollar.

  • 3AC was additionally known as one of the largest holders of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), an institutional bitcoin product, as well as staked ether (stETH) tokens, both of which have seen steep declines recently (Grayscale and CoinDesk are independent subsidiaries of the Digital Currency Group).

  • Davies added that 3AC was working on quantifying its losses and valuing its illiquid assets, which include many venture-capital investments in crypto startups.

  • Meanwhile, Nichol Yeo, a partner of law firm Solitaire LLP, which is advising 3AC, told the WSJ that it was keeping Singapore’s financial regulator, the Monetary Authority of Singapore, apprised of 3AC's recent developments.

Babel Finance suspends withdrawals as crypto markets slump


Fri, June 17, 2022

FILE PHOTO: Illustration shows representation of cryptocurrency bitcoin

(Reuters) - Hong Kong-based Babel Finance temporarily suspended the withdrawals and redemption of crypto assets on Friday, as the crypto lender scrambles to pay its clients after the recent slump in the digital currency market.

Cryptocurrency valuations have plunged in recent weeks as investors dump risky assets in a rising rate environment, with bitcoin, which reached a record high of $69,000 in November, having lost more than half its value this year.

"Recently, the crypto market has seen major fluctuations, and some institutions in the industry have experienced conductive risk events. Due to the current situation, Babel Finance is facing unusual liquidity pressures," the company said.

Crypto lenders gather crypto deposits from retail customers and re-invest them, proclaiming double-digit returns and attracting tens of billions of dollars in assets. However, the recent meltdown has lenders unable to redeem their clients' assets.


Babel, which has 500 clients and limits itself to bitcoin, ethereum and stablecoins, raised $80 million in a funding round last month, valuing it at $2 billion. It had ended last year with $3 billion of loan balances on its balance sheet.

Earlier this week, U.S.-based retail crypto lending platform Celsius Network froze withdrawals and transfers between accounts "to stabilize liquidity" as the collapse of cryptocurrency TerraUSD in May triggered a rise in redemptions.

(Reporting by Sameer Manekar in Bengaluru; Editing by Amy Caren Daniel)


Bitcoin’s nosedive through the $20,000 mark is a Minsky Moment for crypto: ‘Psychologically for a lot of people, this is galling’

Mark DeCambre - 
Fri, June 17, 2022


Is bitcoin facing a breaking point? That’s what some investors, acolytes and otherwise, might be contemplating, as the cryptocurrency’s descent accelerates over the weekend. The world’s No. 1 digital asset was last trading at $18,654, down more than 70% from its peak of around $65,000, with the broader crypto market feeling to some as if it were in free fall.

“Psychologically for a lot of people this is galling,” said Charles Hayter, chief executive officer of CryptoCompare, a company that provides data and analytics about the crypto market.

Hayter, speaking to MarketWatch in a weekend interview, allowed that the risks inherent in bitcoin are part of its appeal.

Yves Lamoureux, the bitcoin-bullish president of Montreal-based macroeconomic research firm Lamoureux & Co., said that debt swirling around in the crypto market has amplified recent swings lower, with a number of highly indebted companies facing margin calls and this arcane business’s version of Wall Street bank runs. “If my read is correct, this is massive liquidation of huge leverage in the system,” said Lamoureux.

“It’s too easy as usual because bitcoin has this way of over [extending],” he said.

Indeed, Crypto lender Celsius Network LLC has reportedly hired restructuring attorneys from law firm Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld LLP to advise it after the company told users that it was pausing all withdrawals, swaps and transfers among accounts, “due to extreme market conditions.”

Don’t miss: Celsius abruptly cancels AMA session as company navigates ‘very difficult challenges’

Also see: Crypto suffering a ‘Long Term Capital Management moment’: Michael Novogratz

On top of that, a major player in decentralized finance markets, or DeFi, a corner of the crypto world where traders often seek to earn money on leveraged crypto, has reportedly faced its own challenges.

“We are seeing rapid Minsky cycles in this space,” Hayter said.

Economist Hyman Minsky, who died in 1996, espoused a view that a period of distortions in the financial system eventually ends very badly.

Signs of trouble in crypto markets emerged in May with the collapse of the Terra, an algorithmic stablecoin blockchain pegged to fiat currencies like the dollar, which are intended not to hold their value against the peg.

See: This 24-year-old quit his job at hedge-fund powerhouse Citadel to build anew on the Terra blockchain — which collapsed two months later

“Bitcoin has already broken down [and is] now seeing significant downside follow-through,” Katie Stockton, a market analyst at Fairlead Strategies, told MarketWatch ahead of the release of a Saturday report to clients on bitcoin’s technical levels.

She said bitcoin’s collapse isn’t 100% confirmed but called sentiment badly deteriorated. If negative momentum continues, she said, she sees the next support at $13,900, based on her analysis.

Hayter said the current situation should be seen as par for the course for bitcoin and its ilk, “with perhaps,” he speculated, “the next iteration allowing regulation to strengthen the natural weak points.”

As is typical of crypto diehards, optimism reigns supreme: “I think bitcoin is fine,” said Lamoureux. “It’s moving from weak hands to strong hands.”

While bitcoin is down 59% in 2022, the equity benchmark S&P 500 is off almost 23%. The blue-chip Dow is down 17.8%. Gold has edged upward by 0.61% and the U.S. dollar index by more than 9%.

Bitcoin Tumbles Below $19,000 

for the First Time Since 2020


The most popular cryptocurrency has been in free fall
for several weeks now.

It's a real debacle. 

Bitcoin fell below $20,000 and $19,000 for the first time since 2020, marking a week in which panic seems to be dominating the cryptocurrency market. 

The price of Bitcoin was at $18,766.13 at last check, according to data firm CoinGecko. The most popular digital currency was down more than 9% in the last 24 hours and 35.7% in the last seven days.

The price of Bitcoin was last seen at these levels around December 12, 2020. But since then it had been a meteoric rise until a crash began starting this year.

Ether, the second cryptocurrency by market value, also fell below the symbolic threshold of $1,000. The native token of the Ethereum platform was worth $970.50, down 10.1% in the past 24 hours and down 41.6% in the past seven days.

Bitcoin has lost 72.7% of its value since hitting an all-time high of $69,044.77 on Nov. 10. Ether for its part lost almost 80% of its value compared to its record of $4,878.26 crossed the same day.

So it's no surprise that the crypto market's valuation has lost nearly $2.3 trillion to $866 billion since hitting a high of $3 trillion in November.

The reasons for the crash are the same: fears of recession are pushing investors to liquidate risky assets. Cryptocurrencies and tech groups are considered as such. 

'Terrible' News Cycle for Crypto

The crypto market is also shaken by various scandals.

The first is the sudden collapse of sister tokens UST and Luna, despite their founders promising that their technology was solid and viable. 

The second scandal is the decision, on June 12, by crypto lender Celsius Network to freeze withdrawals and other transactions from its platform. Rumors have since been circulating about a potential insolvency from Celsius, which has still not dispelled them.

Then, on June 17, crypto financial services company Babel Finance said it was temporarily suspending withdrawals and redemptions in the latest blow to the cryptocurrency sector.

"Due to the current situation, Babel Finance is facing unusual liquidity pressures," the firm said in a statement. "We are in close communication with all related parties on the actions we are taking in order to best protect our customers."

During this period, the statement continued, "redemptions and withdrawals from Babel Finance products will be temporarily suspended, and resumption of normal service be notified separately."

Babel Finance describes itself as "one of the largest service providers to institutions in the crypto financial markets."

"The news flow has been terrible for crypto," said Edward Moya, senior market analyst for the Americas with Oanda."The Texas Securities Board is investigating the Celsius network‘s decision to suspend withdrawals and everyone is expecting restrictive guidelines to quickly make life difficult for crypto-lending firms."

Moya said that Bitcoin declined "as risk appetite left Wall Street as investors became worried of a much quicker deterioration for the US economy."

"Surging recession fears are crippling appetite for risky assets and that has crypto traders remaining cautious about buying bitcoin at these lows," he said.

Crypto Suffers Another Blow: Babel Finance Freezes Withdrawals

The crypto firm suspends withdrawals and redemptions in latest shock to the crypto sector, leaving investors to ask 'who's next?'

ROB LENIHAN
JUN 17, 2022 

Crypto financial services company Babel Finance said it was temporarily suspending withdrawals and redemptions in the latest blow to the cryptocurrency sector.

The Hong Kong-based company said in a June 17 statement posted on its website that "recently, the crypto market has seen major fluctuations, and some institutions in the industry have experienced conductive risk events."

"Due to the current situation, Babel Finance is facing unusual liquidity pressures," the statement read. "We are in close communication with all related parties on the actions we are taking in order to best protect our customers."

During this period, the statement continued, "redemptions and withdrawals from Babel Finance products will be temporarily suspended, and resumption of normal service be notified separately."

The company's website describes its vision as "building open financial infrastructure for the future."

On May 25, Babel Finance closed an $80 million Series B fundraising round at $2 billion valuation.

Babel Finance describes itself as "one of the largest service providers to institutions in the crypto financial markets."

The company said it limits its business to Bitcoin, Ether -- the two largest cryptocurrencies by market value -- and stablecoins, and serves a select clientele of about 500 customers.

The news follows Monday's announcement from Binance, the world's largest cryptocurrency exchange by volume, that it was temporarily pausing Bitcoin withdrawals

Meanwhile, crypto lender Celsius Network announced that it would suspend indefinitely various transactions, including withdrawals of funds

Another Crypto Winter?


And Coinbase Global (COIN) - Get Coinbase Global Inc Report shares have been sliding after analysts at JPMorgan slashed their price target on the digital currency trading platform amid the trillion meltdown in global cryptocurrency markets.

The platform will cut around 18% of its workforce, a level that would eliminate around 1,100 jobs and generate '"substantial" reorganization charges.

"We appear to be entering a recession," which "could lead to another +crypto winter+, and could last for an extended period," Coinbase said in a blog post. "While we tried our best to get this just right, in this case it is now clear to me that we over-hired."

JPMorgan analyst Kenneth Worthington lowered his rating on Coinbase to neutral from overweight, while cutting his price target by more than $100 to $68 per share.

And last month, the crypto market was rocked by the collapse of the stablecoin UST or TerraUSD, and the Luna token.

Bitcoin has lost 30.4% of its value in the last week alone, according to CoinGecko, and was recently $20,960.76.

"The news flow has been terrible for crypto," said Edward Moya, senior market analyst for the Americas with Oanda."The Texas Securities Board is investigating the Celsius network‘s decision to suspend withdrawals and everyone is expecting restrictive guidelines to quickly make life difficult for crypto-lending firms."

Moya said that Bitcoin declined "as risk appetite left Wall Street as investors became worried of a much quicker deterioration for the US economy."

"Surging recession fears are crippling appetite for risky assets and that has crypto traders remaining cautious about buying bitcoin at these lows," he said



MONOPOLY CAPITALI$M

KKR, GIP Jointly Bid for $21 Billion Deutsche Telekom Unit



Dinesh Nair, Gillian Tan and Rodrigo Orihuela
Fri, June 17, 2022


(Bloomberg) -- KKR & Co., Global Infrastructure Partners and Stonepeak Partners have jointly made a binding offer for a controlling stake in Deutsche Telekom AG’s 20 billion-euro ($21 billion) towers unit, people familiar with the matter said.

They’re competing with a consortium of Canadian investment firm Brookfield Asset Management Inc. and Spain’s Cellnex Telecom SA, which made a confirmatory bid for part of the Deutsche Telekom business, the people said, asking not to be identified because the information is private.

Deliberations are ongoing and other bidders may still emerge, the people said. Vodafone Group Plc’s listed infrastructure unit, Vantage Towers AG, is keen on Deutsche Telekom’s towers assets and could make a bid on its own or with a partner, one of the people said. Investment firm DigitalBridge Group Inc. has also been evaluating the business, Bloomberg News reported in May.

Representatives for Brookfield, Cellnex, Deutsche Telekom, Stonepeak and Vantage declined to comment. Spokespeople for KKR and GIP didn’t immediately respond to requests for comment.

Shares in Deutsche Telekom rose as much as 2% on Friday. The stock was up 1.6% at the close in Frankfurt, giving the company a market value of 90.2 billion euros.

Europe’s struggling phone carriers once saw ownership of these network infrastructure assets as a vital part of their business models. Now, under pressure to raise cash and cut the bill for new network investments, they’ve begun to spin off their wireless masts into separate units or sell them outright.

Private equity firms are drawn to telecoms infrastructure because of its ability to generate steady, long-term returns. KKR raised $17 billion for its latest global infrastructure fund earlier this year, while GIP is targeting $25 billion for what would be the world’s biggest pool of capital dedicated to infrastructure investments.

Cellnex, Europe’s biggest mast operator, already jointly owns towers with Deutsche Telekom in Switzerland and the Netherlands. Germany is the only major European market where Cellnex hasn’t been able to build a presence.

HOUSING FOR PEOPLE NOT PROFIT

US Homebuilder Sentiment Falls to Two-Year Low on Softer Demand

(Bloomberg) -- US homebuilder sentiment slid to a two-year low in June as rising inflation and higher mortgage rates weighed on housing demand. 

The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo gauge decreased two points in June to 67, the lowest level since June 2020, figures showed Wednesday. That marked the index’s sixth straight decline. 

Homebuilders are facing a widespread slowdown in the housing market. A rapid rise in mortgage rates has crimped affordability and driven a slowdown in home sales in recent months. Meantime, lead times for materials remain long, costs are high and labor is still hard to find. 

“The housing market faces both demand-side and supply-side challenges,” Robert Dietz, chief economist at the NAHB, said in a statement. “Residential construction material costs are up 19% year-over-year with cost increases for a variety of building inputs.”

“On the demand-side of the market, the increase for mortgage rates for the first half of 2022 has priced out a significant number of prospective home buyers,” he said.

The group’s gauge of prospective buyer traffic fell five points to 48, the lowest since June 2020. The measure of present sales also declined to a two-year low, and sales expectations for the next six months dropped to the lowest since May 2020. 

By region, builder sentiment declined in three of four regions. Sentiment improved in the Midwest. 

A separate report earlier this month showed 69% of construction firms reported few or no qualified applicants in May, according to a survey of small businesses by the National Federation of Independent Business. 

Colombia’s History of Violence Divides Families at Election

Matthew Bristow
Fri, June 17, 2022





(Bloomberg) -- Colombia’s presidential election this weekend is more than just a choice between political models -- it’s a contest that’s dividing the generations like no other.

Gustavo Petro, 62, a former guerrilla fighter who says he wants to end an economic model based on oil and coal, has a wide lead among younger voters who grew up during during the relative peace of the last decade.

But many of their parents, who remember the civil conflict of the 1980s and 1990s, are appalled by the idea of electing someone who was in a group that committed acts of terrorism. The result is likely to hinge on how many of them are sufficiently outraged to back Rodolfo Hernandez, Petro’s similarly controversial rival for the presidency, and how many abstain.

Unlike all other major Latin American nations, Colombia has only ever been governed by conservatives and liberals, never by a leftist like Petro. With polls suggesting a tight race, Sunday’s outcome will also depend on how many younger voters turn out to cast their ballot.

“There’s a generational conflict, with a youth that wants change,” Petro said in an interview last month. “They reject human rights violations, and they reject an economy that ransacks nature.”

Across Colombia, parents and their children are at odds over the election.


Sara Poveda, an 18-year-old sociology student who’s voting for the first time, says she’s backing Petro, among other reasons because she likes his plans for a transition away from fossil fuels, which account for about half of the nation’s exports.

But her father, a retired member of the air force, believes Petro to be a danger who could turn Colombia into an impoverished authoritarian state like neighboring Venezuela. He’s backing Hernandez, 77.

“Whenever we get onto politics in our house, there’s a huge argument,” Sara Poveda said. “We prefer not to talk about these topics at the dinner table, because it ruins the moment for us.”

The armed conflict has left more than 260,000 dead since 1958, according to the National Center of Historical Memory in Bogota. Sara’s father Ricardo said that his first-hand knowledge of the worst era of violence and kidnappings by Marxist guerrillas gives him a different perspective.

“I didn’t hear about it, or read about it -- I experienced it,” he said. “The young people haven’t had that experience, even though they’re very intelligent and they’re right about a lot of things.”

Class and Gender


In this election, age appears to be a stronger predictor of how a Colombian will vote than social class or gender, said Carlos Lemoine, founder of the polling company National Consulting Center, or CNC.

“Petro’s success is practically based on the youth vote,” Lemoine said. The generational divide always exists, he added, but is “particularly notable on this occasion.”

Distinct demographic groups tend to vote differently everywhere. In the US, support for Joe Biden at the 2020 election among those at age 18-29 was 59% to 35% for Donald Trump.

In Colombia, polls show an even starker divide, with Petro enjoying almost a 40 percentage-point lead over Hernandez among 18-24 year olds. That flips to an advantage of some 26 points for Hernandez among over 55s.

Read more: Foul-Mouthed Tycoon Taps Colombian Voter Rage Over Corruption

Hernandez, a construction magnate and engineer, has focused his campaign on slamming a political establishment he says is wasteful and corrupt, and uses TikTok videos to reach the youth. He wants to cut taxes, but much of his economic vision remains unclear. His main selling point for many voters is simply that he isn’t Petro.

Anti-Government Protests

Investors favor Hernandez, but seem unsettled at the prospect of either candidate taking the reins.

Colombia is the strongest ally of the US in the region, and is the only major country in Latin America that hasn’t defaulted on its debt since the 1930s. The economy will expand 4.8% this year, according to analysts surveyed by Bloomberg, faster than regional peers Brazil, Mexico, Chile and Peru.

The Colombian peso rallied after Hernandez defied projections to make it into the second round, and won the backing of the defeated main conservative candidate. But investor concern has seeped in since, with the peso erasing those gains amid a turbulent global outlook.

For young Colombians, the desire for political change and a focus on issues such as the climate and minority rights set in last year during weeks of anti-government protests that probably radicalized some, according to Andres Mejia, a political consultant who teaches at the business school of Bogota’s Andes University.

Petro supported the often violent demonstrations against a range of grievances, including corruption and inequality, and criticized the heavy-handed police response that left dozens dead.

Alejandro Guerrero, a 48-year-old actor who used to be in the army, said he fell out with his Petro-supporting son, who stopped talking to him during the period.

Inflammatory Memes

Many Colombian families have WhatsApp chats, where disputes flare up when someone posts a political comment or an inflammatory meme. Mario Hernandez, a businessman who founded a chain of luxury leather goods stores and who is no relation of Rodolfo, got 13,000 likes for a Twitter post saying that if your children back Petro, you’ve failed as a parent.

Read more: Colombian Leftist Front-Runner Says Assassination Risk Very High

Petro renounced violence and embraced democratic politics decades ago. And Colombia’s 2016 peace accord with the FARC Marxist guerrilla group removed some of the stigma of voting for a candidate like him. The formal talks started in 2012, and younger voters grew up during the negotiations.

“They just don’t understand what has happened in this country in the past 50 years, what we went through,” said Alvaro Tito Jimenez, 60, an ICU doctor in Bogota, speaking about his Petro-supporting children. “People we knew were taken hostage and some were killed. How can you trust someone who was a guerrilla?”
AUTHORITARIAN MANAGEMENT CULTURE
Oil Brokerage Denies ‘Toxic’ Claim, Accuses Ex-Traders of Breach
2/3 OF THE EMPLOYEES WALKED OUT!
Geoffrey Morgan, Robert Tuttle and Sheela Tobben
Fri, June 17, 2022



(Bloomberg) -- Oil brokerage NE2 Group is hitting back at allegations that Chief Executive Officer Tim Gunn created a toxic workplace, filing an C$11 million ($8.4 million) countersuit against eight former employees who left the firm earlier this year.


In court documents, NE2, a trading house for Canadian crude oil including the flagship Western Canada Select blend, says it was defamed as a result of allegations in a wrongful dismissal suit brought by Marc Bennett, its former head of North American energy. NE2 added the other departed employees to the counterclaim it filed this week, saying they tried to steal business from the firm.

The former employees’ actions “have irreparably harmed NE2’s reputation, goodwill and market share within the crude oil trading industry in North America,” Calgary-based NE2 says in its suit, which names Bennett and seven other people as defendants.

It’s all part of litigation that was started in April by Bennett, who alleged that he and others were verbally harassed by Gunn and that others were physically or sexually harassed by Gunn. He’s seeking millions of dollars from his former firm.

All three filings -- Bennett’s initial lawsuit and NE2’s defense and counterclaim -- depict a company torn apart by workplace tension. NE2’s court filings say that Gunn, who also owns the firm, was attempting to implement cost controls to rein in “bloated incomes” and “exorbitant expense accounts,” including nixing plans for a golf simulator in the office.

The firm denies harassment in its statement of defense and counterclaim. It alleges that Bennett and another former executive, Mandy Burgess, and six oil brokers took part in an “unlawful conspiracy to harm the reputation of Mr. Gunn and NE2,” causing NE2 to suffer “substantial damages.”

Bennett responded to NE2’s claims in a written statement to Bloomberg News: “I deny the allegations made against me as they are false, sensationalized and misleading which will be proven in the litigation process.” He confirmed that he had seen NE2’s filing and said he remained unemployed.

NE2’s counterclaim says Bennett and Burgess left the company in early February. Two months later, after bonuses were paid, six brokers -- Charles Douglas, Dario Vigna, Jack Widmer, Christy See, Ryan Beckwermert and James Cook -- all resigned.

Widmer declined to comment. Douglas and See said they weren’t currently employed and declined to comment further. Contact information for Beckwermert wasn’t available, and Burgess and the remaining former employees named in the lawsuit didn’t respond to requests for comment.

The turmoil at NE2 has caused oil traders to exit a key contract used to hedge Canadian heavy crude. Open interest on the contract on CME Group Inc. hasn’t recovered since the brokers quit over the Easter weekend in April.

NE2 said in the court filings that the former employees “exaggerated and fabricated” instances of harassment in a “smear campaign” and planned to hurt the company and take its clients to a new or competing firm. It also accused the ex-employees of violating their employment agreements by soliciting business from NE2 clients.

Gunn, through a spokesman, declined to comment on the legal battle.

Charges of Violence, Bullying Follow Mass Exodus at Calgary Oil Brokerage

BC-Charges-of-Violence-Bullying-Follow-Mass-Exodus-at-Calgary-Oil-Brokerage

(Bloomberg) -- When two-thirds of the brokers at a prominent Calgary oil firm quit without explanation around the Easter weekend, the exodus chilled Canada’s oil market.

Now, a lawsuit filed against the firm, NE2 Group, purports to offer a window into life there during the years and months leading up to the walkout. Filed days after the resignations took place, the suit paints a picture of a toxic environment more reminiscent of oil trading’s mythic early days than the corporate culture of modern Calgary. It alleges that NE2’s president and owner, Timothy Gunn, physically and verbally abused both employees and clients in incidents spanning five years and accuses him of three incidents of sexual harassment. It also alleges he routinely referred to staff as “useless,” “replaceable” and “idiots,” in addition to a variety of profanity-laden expressions. 

Weeks after the walkouts, the resignations continue to weigh on Canada’s oil market. The firm has historically played an important role in price-setting, its brokers handling enough volume to determine the benchmark prices of several Canadian crude grades. Those prices, in turn, underpin a key futures contract. In the days after the exodus, traders said they began to worry the firm didn’t have the manpower to ensure accurate prices and exited at least one CME contract used to hedge heavy crude. Open interest on that contract still hasn’t recovered.

NE2, which has not yet submitted a statement of defence to the court, “takes these claims very seriously and expects behavior that is consistent with its workplace policy,” the firm said in a statement. “As we explore the allegations made in this claim, we expect additional facts will be revealed. NE2 will openly and transparently address these allegations through the Court process.” The firm didn’t immediately respond to questions about the market effects of the resignations.

Gunn couldn’t be reached for comment through NE2’s Calgary office and didn’t respond to messages sent by email and on LinkedIn.

The suit was brought by Mark Bennett, NE2's former vice-president of North American energy, who alleges he was wrongfully dismissed in February after raising concerns about workplace harassment, “unilateral changes to employee compensation” and “the ongoing toxic work environment,” according to the suit. Bennett, who had worked for the firm since 2013 and is seeking millions in compensation, declined to comment.

Two months after Bennett’s dismissal, six brokers submitted resignation letters, according to people familiar with the situation who requested anonymity because they aren’t authorized to speak publicly. That equates to two-thirds of the brokerage desk in Calgary. The reasons for the exodus broadly align with the details laid out in Bennet’s suit and were not coordinated, the people said. The resignations, all on or around the Easter holiday weekend, coincided with the payout of annual bonuses following an exceptionally profitable year for the firm, said the people. 

©2022 Bloomberg L.P.




Canada's competition agency maintains its opposition to Rogers-Shaw deal

Divya Rajagopal and Ismail Shakil
Fri, June 17, 2022

Rogers Building, home of Rogers Communications in Toronto

TORONTO (Reuters) -Canada's antitrust regulator said on Friday it remains opposed to Rogers Communications' plan to purchase Shaw Communications, rejecting the companies' argument that benefits to the economy would offset the harm to competition.

Proceedings to litigate the matter are due to start on June 23 and could continue until the end of the year.

The Competition Bureau has, however, not won a merger challenge before. Of eight that have gone before the competition tribunal, it lost or settled six, and two are pending, according to official data.

Canadian law allows for mergers that harm competition to be approved if the companies can prove the merger brings efficiency to the economy.

As part of the proposed C$20 billion ($15.4 billion) deal, Rogers has offered to sell Shaw's Freedom mobile unit to allay competition concerns.

The bureau said the sale would weaken Freedom's operations, taking out "competitive discipline" for the national carriers. The merger would also lead to a transfer of wealth from low and middle income groups to the wealthy families of Rogers-Shaw, it said.

Rogers declined to comment.

The companies had planned to close the transaction by July 31.

Shaw shares ended 1.5% higher at C$34.64, a 14.7% discount to Rogers' offer price, reflecting uncertainty surrounding the deal. Rogers shares rose 1.9% to C$59.01, while the benchmark Canadian share index fell 0.4%.

($1 = 1.3026 Canadian dollars)

(Reporting by Divya Rajagopal and Ismail Shakil in Toronto; Editing by Alistair Bell and Edwina Gibbs)