It’s possible that I shall make an ass of myself. But in that case one can always get out of it with a little dialectic. I have, of course, so worded my proposition as to be right either way (K.Marx, Letter to F.Engels on the Indian Mutiny)
Tuesday, January 17, 2023
Mon, 16 January 2023
Scientists have discovered a new species of lizard in a protected natural area in Cusco, southeastern Peru, national park officials said Monday.
"Otishi National Park reveals a new species of lizard to science," the National Service of State-Protected Natural Areas said in a statement.
The new species, named "Proctoporus titans," was found high in the Andes mountains at an altitude of 3,241 meters (10,600 feet).
The lizard is dark gray with yellow and gold flecks on its sides and head. It has a tail that is longer than its body, and grooved dorsal scales and prefrontal scales.
The Otishi National Park is a protected area in the Cusco and JunÃn region, covering almost 306,000 hectares (756,000 acres) of mountainous forests.
cm/ljc/gm/jh/mlm
Consultation launched on by-laws to prevent damaging fishing practices
Aine Fox, PA
Mon, 16 January 2023
A consultation on banning damaging fishing gear in certain areas of England’s waters has been launched by the Government in a bid to “protect vital marine ecosystems”.
As part of its environmental efforts, a proposed by-law will be considered to ban bottom-towed gear in 13 more marine protected areas (MPAs).
Should such restrictions come into effect, they would protect an area of more than 4,000 square kilometres and, when combined with existing by-laws, would bring the total area protected from such fishing gear to almost 18,000 square kilometres.
Bottom trawling is a harmful activity in which weighted nets are dragged over the seabed, ploughing it up to catch fish.
Starfish (Andrew Parsons/PA)
By-laws to prevent such activity are already in place in areas including Dogger Bank and The Canyons and are part of Marine Management Organisation (MMO) efforts to protect all 40 English offshore MPAs from harmful fishing activity by 2024.
The offshore sites included in the consultation are Cape Bank; East of Haig Fras; Farnes East; Foreland; Goodwin Sands; Haig Fras; Haisborough, Hammond and Winterton; Hartland Point to Tintagel; Land’s End and Cape Bank; North Norfolk Sandbanks and Saturn Reef; Offshore Brighton; South of Celtic Deep; Wight-Barfleur Reef.
The Department for the Environment described Cape Bank as being home to ecologically important species such as pea urchins and a type of starfish called a cushion star, while Haig Fras is a site that supports a variety of fauna including jewel anemones and solitary corals.
Oceana UK has raised concerns that the laws might not protect entire MPAs.
Executive director Hugo Tagholm said: “While we welcome more proposed by-laws to restrict damaging fishing activities in MPAs, we are concerned they only protect reef features and not the whole MPA.
“Destructive bottom trawling and dredging inflict huge damage to biodiversity and the health of unique marine ecosystems. They are a crime against nature at a time when we must be urgently restoring it.”
The consultation, launched on Tuesday, will run alongside a call for evidence to gather views on the impacts of anchored nets and lines, bottom-towed fishing gear and traps on valuable marine features such as reefs and sandbanks, the department said.
Environment Secretary Therese Coffey said: “The UK has a strong track record on marine protection and we want more countries to step up and protect 30% of the world’s ocean by 2030.
“Today’s plans will deliver more crucial safeguards for vital biodiversity and help restore England’s marine ecosystems.
“We will listen carefully to the responses so that we can help habitats and species recover whilst ensuring we have a sustainable and successful fishing industry for years to come.”
The formal consultation and the call for evidence will run until March 28.
Lizzie Dearden
Mon, 16 January 2023
Police failed to identify an “escalating pattern” of abuse towards women by serial rapist David Carrick, leaving him free to target more victims for two decades.
The former Metropolitan Police firearms officer was allowed to remain in the force despite police recording nine incidents, including rape and violent assault, because he was never prosecuted.
Carrick, now 48, started his campaign of abuse before joining up, with the Metropolitan Police investigating him in 2000 for allegedly harassing and burgling a former partner after refusing to accept the end of the relationship.
No charges were brought and when he was vetted as part of his application to join the same force the following year, he passed the checks and was allowed to become a constable.
Despite coming to the attention of police again in 2002, 2004, 2009, 2016, 2017, 2019 and 2021, none of the incidents resulted in prosecution and Scotland Yard repeatedly decided that he had “no case to answer” for disciplinary proceedings.
Months after Sarah Everard was murdered by another serving Met officer in March 2021, Carrick was finally arrested by Hertfordshire Police for raping one of his victims and placed on restricted duties.
But the investigation ended with no action being taken and in September 2021, the Metropolitan Police said it “determined that he had no case to answer in relation to any misconduct matters” and lifted all restrictions.
That same month, then-commissioner Dame Cressida Dick vowed to do “everything in my power to ensure we learn any lessons” from the murder of Everard, adding: “Here in the Met I commit to keep working with others to improve women’s safety.”
Carrick has admitted 49 offences, including 24 rapes, against 12 women between 2003 and 2020 – all committed during his career in the Metropolitan Police.
Senior officers said that Carrick’s colleagues had never raised concerns about his conduct, despite nicknaming him “b*****d Dave”, and that although he was the subject of five public complaints between 2002 and 2008 none were of a sexual nature.
Allegations of rudeness, incivility and the use of force were all dismissed, withdrawn or “dealt with by management action locally”.
Assistant commissioner Barbara Gray, who is responsible for anti-corruption and misconduct issues in the Metropolitan Police, admitted that a retrospective review of incidents investigated by Scotland Yard, Hertfordshire Constabulary, Thames Valley Police and Hampshire Police revealed a “pattern of behaviour” that should have been spotted and acted on.
“Carrick is a prolific serial sex offender who preyed on women over a period of many years, abusing his position as a police officer and committing the most horrific, degrading crimes,” she told a press conference.
“While much of his offending was not known to the Met, there was an escalation of abusive behaviours that should have been identified.”
Ms Gray said there was “no explanation” she could provide on why officers in the Directorate of Professional Standards appeared to have dealt with each known incident individually, rather than looking back at Carrick’s history and joining the dots.
“The man should not have been in the police, there’s no doubt about that,” the senior officer admitted. “The pattern of offending should most certainly have been identified.”
She did not directly answer questions on whether she felt Scotland Yard was responsible for leaving him free to rape more women through its failings, but commended the bravery of the victims who came forward and said: “I am truly sorry they have suffered at the hands of this man.”
Ms Gray said that issues relating to the case had been referred to the Independent Office for Police Conduct, while there is an internal review into Carrick’s unit and a probe into serving police officers and staff subject to past allegations of sexual offences and domestic abuse.
“The duration and nature of Carrick’s offending is unprecedented in policing and regrettably he is not the only Met officer to be charged with serious sexual offences in the recent past,” Ms Gray added.
“Our work to rid the Met of these people is urgent and it is far-reaching. We will continue to be relentless in our pursuit of those who corrupt our integrity.”
Carrick technically remains a serving Metropolitan Police officer, because disciplinary processes could not start during the live court case, but an “accelerated misconduct hearing” is to be held on Tuesday where he will be formally dismissed.
It is less than 18 months since he was allowed to remain in the force after being arrested for raping one of his victims – a crime he later admitted. The assistant commissioner claimed that she would “not expect anyone with his pattern of behaviour to be in the police service today”.
Scotland Yard said that vetting requirements had become “more robust” since 2017, when Carrick last passed checks, and that someone with Carrick’s history would not be allowed to join the force or pass re-vetting.
A statement added: “Cases where no further action is taken in relation to criminal allegations are now more likely to be further interrogated to identify any underlying concerns.
“We have a dedicated team of officers who make up the Domestic Abuse and Sexual Offences Unit in our Directorate of Professional Standards who are taking allegations forward, supporting victims and ensuring we build evidence against officers where we believe they have a case to answer.”
Timeline:
2000: Met Police investigate former partner’s two separate allegations of malicious communications and burglary after Carrick “refused to accept the end of their relationship”. No arrest, no further action.
2001: Carrick joins the Metropolitan Police and becomes a response officer in Merton.
2002: During Carrick’s probation period, Met investigates former partner’s accusation of harassment and assault. No arrest, no further action, no disciplinary process.
2004: Carrick “involved in a domestic incident” and Met responds. No criminal allegations were made, he was not arrested. No arrest, no further action, no disciplinary process.
2005: Carrick moves from Merton to the London borough of Barnet.
2009: Hertfordshire Constabulary officers respond to a third party report of a domestic incident involving Carrick. No arrest, Met informed but no “formal referral” made.
Also 2009: Carrick transfers into Parliamentary and Diplomatic Protection Command, becomes an armed guard at parliamentary, government and diplomatic premises.
2016: Carrick an initial suspect in a Hampshire Police investigation following an allegation of harassment. No arrest, investigation closed.
2017: Thames Valley Police officers speak to Carrick after he was ejected from a nightclub in Reading for being drunk. No arrest, no referral to Met.
2019: Hertfordshire police receive allegation that Carrick grabbed partner by the neck during a domestic incident. No further action, matter referred to Met but officer only “given words of advice in relation to informing his chain of command about off duty incidents”. Force finds no case to answer in relation to misconduct.
July 2021: Carrick arrested by Hertfordshire Constabulary following rape allegation. Case dropped in August after victim decided not to proceed, although Carrick has now admitted offence. Met puts Carrick on restricted duties but after investigation stopped, determines “he had no case to answer in relation to any misconduct matters” and lifts work restrictions in September.
October 2021: Hertfordshire Constabulary arrests Carrick for rape a second time and he is charged.
'Deeply rotten': Is the Metropolitan Police damaged beyond repair?
The news that a serving Met officer was one of the UK's worst ever sex offenders has led campaigners to ask whether the force can keep the public safe.
Ross McGuinness
Tue, 17 January 2023
David Carrick carried out a number of sex attacks while serving in the Metropolitan Police. (PA)
The Metropolitan Police has been plunged into further crisis after one of its officers was revealed to be one of the UK's worst ever sex offenders.
PC David Carrick, 48, from Stevenage, Hertfordshire, pleaded guilty to 49 offences across two decades, including 24 counts of rape.
The police missed multiple opportunities to stop him, allowing Carrick to attack at least a dozen women during an 18-year-period. He faced no criminal sanctions or misconduct findings despite coming to the attention of police over nine incidents, including rape allegations.
The case has sparked widespread anger, coming two years after Metropolitan Police officer Wayne Couzens murdered 33-year-old Sarah Everard, as campaigners say women cannot trust the force.
Yahoo News UK outlines the crisis in the Metropolitan Police in 9 points
The crimes: PC David Carrick pled guilty to 49 offences, including 24 counts of rape. Some of his victims were locked in a cupboard under the stairs or forced to clean his house naked. Carrick whipped one woman with a belt and urinated on some of his victims.
Metropolitan Police officer David Carrick admitted carrying out sex attacks on 12 women over an 18-year period. (PA)
Evading capture: Carrick had come to the attention of police over nine incidents, including allegations of rape, domestic violence and harassment, between 2000 and 2021, but faced no criminal sanctions or misconduct findings. He was allowed to continue working as a police officer and continued to abuse his victims.
Metropolitan Police commissioner Sir Mark Rowley apologised over the David Carrick case. (Alamy)
Met apology: The Met acknowledged its failures in the care. Commissioner Sir Mark Rowley said: “This will lead to some women across London questioning whether they can trust the Met to keep them safe. We have failed. And I’m sorry. He should not have been a police officer.”
Metropolitan Police officer Wayne Couzens was given a whole life prison term for the kidnap, rape and murder of Sarah Everard. (AP)
Wayne Couzens: Carrick's case comes less than two years after serving Met Police officer Wayne Couzens kidnapped raped and murdered Sarah Everard. Couzens used his police badge to falsely arrest his victim. The case led to intense scrutiny of misogyny and wrongdoing on the part of police officers.
Met review: The force admits that despite these two high-profile cases, it has not expelled potential sex offenders from its ranks. A spokesperson confirmed 1,633 cases of alleged sexual offences or domestic violence involving 1,071 officers and staff are currently being reviewed from the last 10 years. The accusations range from arguments to the most serious sexual crimes including rape.
Campaigners' reaction: Harriet Wistrich, director of the Centre for Women's Justice, said Carrick's crimes revealed "the deeply rotten misogynistic culture that has been allowed to fester within the Met". The Women's Equality Party said: "They knew. The Met knew about the allegations for 20 years. They did nothing as a serial rapist abused his power. They are complicit."
Mayor of London Sadiq Khan said he was 'sickened' by David Carrick's crimes. (AP)
Political reaction: Shadow home secretary Yvette Cooper said: "There must be a full, urgent review on how serial rapist Carrick could serve as police officer for so long. Government promised action after Sarah Everard’s murder but too little changed." Mayor of London Sadiq Khan said: "I am absolutely sickened by the truly abhorrent offences that David Carrick has committed."
The Metropolitan Police were criticised for their handling of a vigil for murdered Sarah Everard on Clapham Common in March 2021. (AP)
Previous scandals: Cressida Dick resigned as commissioner last year following a number of scandals, including the Couzens case and the police mishandling of a vigil for Sarah Everard. The Met was also accused of "institutional corruption" over the unsolved murder of private investigator Daniel Morgan.
Met response: The force said staff who have previously been accused of sex offences or domestic abuse are subject to an ongoing review. Officers who abuse their positions of trust are also being investigated and identified, the Met said.
Victoria Ward
Mon, 16 January 2023
David Carrick
Sir Mark Rowley, the Metropolitan Police Commissioner, admitted the force had “failed” after David Carrick, a serving officer, pleaded guilty to dozens of rape and sexual offences against at least 13 women.
Sir Mark said: “All I can say is I’m sorry. I’m sorry that we have let you down.”
He told Sky News: “Not only have we let down the women in this case, the survivors who have courageously come forward, but I completely recognise that’s going to be the reaction of women across London and indeed more widely.
“You have my absolute word that we are going to be ruthless about sorting this out, about getting these people out the way and creating an organisation that’s better at dealing with the plague of sexual violence that we are seeing across the country.”
Carrick, 48, committed dozens of depraved attacks on at least 13 women in Hertfordshire and London between 2003 and 2020, despite being employed as an armed officer responsible for protecting Parliament, government offices and other high-profile locations.
He used his position as a police officer to gain the trust of his victims, sometimes flashing his warrant card and telling them they would be “safe” with him.
After attacking them, Carrick would say they would never be believed because he was a policeman and it would be his word against theirs.
Scotland Yard bosses have apologised to his victims after admitting missing numerous opportunities to prevent his offending and failing to act on repeated complaints about his behaviour.
Sir Mark said: “This man abused women in the most disgusting manner. It is sickening. We’ve let women and girls down, and indeed we’ve let Londoners down.
“The women who suffered and survived this violence have been unimaginably brave and courageous in coming forward. I do understand also that this will lead to some women across London questioning whether they can trust the Met to keep them safe.
“We have failed, and I’m sorry. He should not have been a police officer. We haven’t applied the same sense of ruthlessness to guarding our own integrity that we routinely apply to confronting criminals.
“We failed in two respects. We failed as investigators, where we should have been more intrusive and joined the dots on this repeated misogyny over a couple of decades. And, as leaders, our mindset should have been more determined to root out such a misogynist.
“These failures are horrific examples of the systemic failures that concern me and were highlighted by Baroness Casey in her recent review. I do know an apology doesn’t go far enough, but I do think it’s important to acknowledge our failings and for me to say I'm sorry.
“I apologise to all of David Carrick’s victims. I also want to say sorry to all of the women across London who feel we've let them down.”
Met Police chief faces crisis over serial rapist officer
Sir Mark Rowley says force ‘failed’ over David Carrick, who has pleaded guilty to 49 charges against 12 victims
Sir Mark Rowley, the Metropolitan Police Commissioner, faced his first major crisis less than five months into the job on Monday after it emerged that a Scotland Yard officer had carried out scores of rapes.
David Carrick, who joined the Met in 2001, has now pleaded guilty to 49 charges against 12 victims covering a total of 85 separate offences, making him one of Britain’s most prolific rapists.
He used his position as a police officer to gain the trust of his victims, sometimes flashing his warrant card and telling them they would be “safe” with him.
Most recently, Carrick served as an armed officer protecting Parliament and MPs, and the force has acknowledged that nine potential opportunities to catch him were missed.
These included that Carrick was arrested on suspicion of rape three months before he was eventually charged, shortly after Wayne Couzens had admitted the rape and murder of Sarah Everard, but was never suspended from the force. Carrick also missed vital vetting checks but then passed with flying colours, despite having numerous red flags against his name.
Sir Mark, who took over as Britain’s most senior police officer in September, spoke out on Monday night amid mounting pressure over the blunders and criticism from MPs after a day of silence. Politicians called for an investigation into the failings in the Carrick case.
He had previously held the role of Assistant Commissioner for Specialist Operations at the Met, which Carrick’s unit came under.
Sir Mark said: “This man abused women in the most disgusting manner. It is sickening. We’ve let women and girls down, and indeed we’ve let Londoners down.
“We have failed, and I’m sorry. He should not have been a police officer. We haven’t applied the same sense of ruthlessness to guarding our own integrity that we routinely apply to confronting criminals. I do know an apology doesn’t go far enough, but I do think it’s important to acknowledge our failings and for me to say I’m sorry.
The scandal represents Sir Mark’s first crisis since taking over from Dame Cressida Dick, who was forced to resign after losing the confidence of Sadiq Khan, the Mayor of London.
He has insisted he will root out those who are corrupting the service, but the scale of the task was laid bare on Monday when it emerged that more than 1,000 officers accused of sex offences or domestic abuse are to have their cases reviewed.
Scotland Yard has admitted failing to spot Carrick’s escalating pattern of behaviour, and there are concerns that there could be many more predatory males in the ranks.
As well as pleading guilty to more than 40 rape offences, Carrick sexually assaulted, beat, humiliated and controlled his victims, banning some from eating and even locking one, naked, in a cupboard under his staircase for up to 10 hours.
A year after joining the Met, and while he was still in his probation period, he was accused of actual bodily harm following an attack on a girlfriend who wanted to end their relationship. Two years later, in 2004, he was involved in another suspected domestic incident, but neither incident resulted in any action from his Scotland Yard bosses.
There were further domestic abuse allegations made against him in 2009 and again in 2019, but no action was taken against him on either occasion other than words of advice from his bosses.
In July 2021, Carrick was arrested by a neighbouring force on suspicion of rape. Scotland Yard was informed and Carrick was placed on restricted duties, but when the victim later withdrew the complaint he was cleared to return to work. He has now pleaded guilty to that attack.
On Monday night Priti Patel, a former home secretary, said new laws were needed to stamp out police sleaze, adding: “We have got to break the locker room culture and all this subjectivity.
“We have to take statutory measures to help rebuild trust and confidence of the public in policing and give women assurances that they are being taken seriously when they report crimes against them.”
Meanwhile, MPs said the new commissioner would be judged on his ability to quickly reform the Met, which has been hit by a string of scandals in recent years.
Lee Anderson, a Tory MP and member of the home affairs select committee, said Sir Mark should identify those within the police who had failed to spot Carrick’s escalating pattern of behaviour and sack them.
He added: “People in high places get high wages, therefore they should be held accountable. How can the public have confidence in the Met Police solving sex crimes when it is happening right under their nose?”
Tim Loughton, another Tory MP who is a member of the home affairs select committee, said: “There’s got to be full transparency. The mindset has got to change where you have officers who are aware of it going on – they have a duty of care to call it out.
“Just turning a blind eye, let alone condoning, it is unacceptable and makes you almost as guilty as the perpetrator. Sir Mark Rowley has to throw the light of scrutiny and transparency into police practice.”
Louise Casey, the government official who recently published a damning report into the Met’s handling of misconduct cases, has written to Suella Braverman, the Home Secretary, asking for a review into the Carrick case.
Baroness Casey's report found that up to 60 per cent of misconduct allegations made against Met officers resulted in a “no case to answer decision”.
She also found that the force’s threshold for deciding when it could sack officers was set too high, meaning that many of those guilty of offences such as repeated sexual misconduct were allowed to remain on the force.
Ed Davey, the Liberal Democrat leader, said an urgent review of the blunders in the Carrick case was needed, adding: “For the sake of his victims and survivors, there should be an investigation into how the alarm bells and red flags have been ignored in this case. Without swift action, the public will not regain trust in the police.”
Yvette Cooper, the shadow home secretary, also said there needed to be urgent reform if trust and confidence were to be restored to policing.
She said: “The next Labour government will introduce new national compulsory standards on vetting, checks and misconduct. We urgently need action to raise standards and restore confidence in the vital work the police do.”
Despite the pressure on Sir Mark to make swift and meaningful changes in the Met, a Home Office source insisted he had the backing of the Home Secretary, saying: “We are fully supporting the Commissioner in his work to reform the force.”
On Wednesday, Mrs Braverman will set out detailed plans to review ways in which police disciplinary procedures could be streamlined to make it easier for chief constables to sack corrupt and under-performing officers.
Liam James
Mon, 16 January 2023
(Jarndyce)
A first edition Ukrainian language copy of George Orwell’s Animal Farm is set to go on sale to raise money for a charity supporting refugees who fled the Russian invasion.
The Ukrainian translation of the seminal satire of the Russian revolution was the only one to feature a foreword from Orwell – written at the behest of his publisher, who felt the author should introduce himself to the edition’s intended audience of Ukrainians displaced by the Second World War.
Ihor Sevcenko, who translated the book, told Orwell that these “poor people with strained nerves” could be “extremely self-conscious and sensitive, especially as far as contacts with the West or Westerners are concerned”.
The 1947 copy of the book, also dubbed the “refugee camp edition”, is now set to be sold by London antique bookshop Jarndyce for £1,850 on 20 January on a first come, first serve basis.
Orwell avoided discussing his work in the introduction, writing “if it does not speak for itself, it is a failure”, and instead covered “how easily totalitarian propaganda can control the opinion of enlightened people in democratic countries” and “the negative influence of the Soviet myth upon the western Socialist movement”.
The author was very wary of those who admired Josef Stalin’s Soviet Union despite the hardships the state forced on its people.
Cover of the Ukrainian edition with title changed to mean ‘A Collective of Farm Animals' (Jarndyce)
Reflecting on his career in the essay Why I Write, Orwell said: “Every line of serious work that I have written since 1936 has been written, directly or indirectly, against totalitarianism and for democratic socialism, as I understand it.”
Sevcenko chose to render the book’s condemnation of Stalin still more explicit by eschewing a direct translation of the title “Animal Farm” in favour of “A Collective of Farm Animals”, in reference to the Soviet Union’s collective farms that had the previous decade caused the deaths of millions of Ukrainians through famine.
The translator obtained a copy of the English edition of Animal Farm when he was twenty-four and wrote to Orwell to ask for permission for a Ukrainian edition, as he had been giving readings in the language.
“Soviet refugees were my listeners. The effect was striking. They approved of almost all of your interpretations. They were profoundly affected by such scenes as that of animals singing ‘Beasts of England’ on the hill,” he wrote.
The copy to be sold by Jarndyce was donated by a customer. The entire sale price will be donated to Families 4 Peace.
Ukraine missile toll rises to 36, Russia denies attack
The toll from Russia's devastating strike on a residential block in Dnipro rose on Monday to 36, as fears grew more bodies would be pulled from the rubble and the Kremlin denied responsibility.
Emergency service workers with rescue dogs dug for survivors into the night Sunday in the wake of one of the deadliest recent attacks of Russia's nearly year-long invasion.
"We've been working for 19 or 20 hours without sleep and without rest," said Larysa Borysenko, one of the rescuers, whose team had found bodies but no survivors.
Ukraine's national police service gave the new toll in a statement while the head of Dnipropetrovsk region, Valentyn Reznichenko said two children were among the dead.
The "fate of another 35 residents of the building is unknown," he said, confirming that rescue operations were ongoing, some 40 hours after the strike.
The Kremlin told reporters Monday its forces were not responsible for the attack and pointed to an unsubstantiated theory circulating on social media that Ukrainian air defence systems had caused the damage.
"The Russian armed forces do not strike residential buildings or social infrastructure. They strike military targets," Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said.
Ukraine leader Volodymyr Zelensky said late Sunday that search operations would go on as long as necessary and condemned Russian's "cowardly silence" over the attack.
The EU's most senior diplomat Josep Borrell late Sunday described the strike as "inhumane aggression" and vowed "there will be no impunity for these crimes."
"The EU will continue supporting Ukraine, for as long as it takes," he added.
- 'Defensive' Belarus drills -
The rising cost of the strike that ripped open the side of a housing block came as Russia and its close ally Belarus announced the beginning of new joint military drills.
Belarus, which has been a key ally to Russia throughout the conflict, allowed Moscow's forces to use its territory as a launching pad for its assault last February.
Its defence ministry said in a statement the air force exercises would involve joint "tactical" flights and that every airfield in Belarus would be involved.
"The exercise is purely defensive in nature," Pavel Muraveyko, first deputy state secretary of Belarus's Security Council, said in remarks carried Sunday by the defence ministry.
Since Ukrainian forces pushed back Russian troops from the north of the country, Kyiv and its Western allies have been assessing the threat of another assault from Belarusian territory.
The Institute for the Study of War, based in the United States, said in an analytical note Monday that the risk of a new offensive from Belarus was "low" and "the risk of Belarusian direct involvement was very low".
Meanwhile, UN atomic watchdog chief Rafael Grossi was expected in Ukraine on Monday to deploy observer missions at nuclear power plants across the country that have been a key concern throughout Russia's invasion.
- Observer teams at nuclear plants -
"I'm proud to lead this mission to Ukraine, where we're deploying in all of the country's NPPs (nuclear power plants) to provide assistance in nuclear safety and security," he said on Twitter.
Ukraine in recent weeks has been pressing Western backers to supply its forces with advanced tanks, in particular the German-designed Leopard model.
The UK this weekend pledged 14 Challenger 2 tanks to Ukraine, which would make it the first Western country to supply the heavy tanks Kyiv has been calling for.
Peskov, the Kremlin's spokesperson, told reporters Monday that fighting in Ukraine would continue with or without the deliveries.
"These tanks are burning and will burn," he said.
NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said in an interview with German media on Sunday that "recent pledges for heavy warfare equipment are important -- and I expect more in the near future".
Separately on Monday, Ukraine officials said that Russian forces had continued shelling the southern city of Kherson, which was recaptured by Kyiv's forces late last year.
The regional governor Yaroslav Yanushevych said one woman was killed in an attack on a residential building and that Russian forces also damaged an empty children's hospital.
In Crimea, the Ukrainian Black Sea peninsula annexed by Russia in 2014, the Moscow-appointed official responsible for the military city Sevastopol said Russian forces had downed seven drones over the last 24 hours.
Damian Carrington Environment editor
Mon, 16 January 2023
Photograph: Feisal Omar/Reuters
The return of the El Niño climate phenomenon later this year will cause global temperatures to rise “off the chart” and deliver unprecedented heatwaves, scientists have warned.
Early forecasts suggest El Niño will return later in 2023, exacerbating extreme weather around the globe and making it “very likely” the world will exceed 1.5C of warming. The hottest year in recorded history, 2016, was driven by a major El Niño.
It is part of a natural oscillation driven by ocean temperatures and winds in the Pacific, which switches between El Niño, its cooler counterpart La Niña, and neutral conditions. The last three years have seen an unusual run of consecutive La Niña events.
This year is already forecast to be hotter than 2022, which global datasets rank as the fifth or sixth hottest year on record. But El Niño occurs during the northern hemisphere winter and its heating effect takes months to be felt, meaning 2024 is much more likely to set a new global temperature record.
Related: Revealed: how climate breakdown is supercharging toll of extreme weather
The greenhouse gases emitted by human activities have driven up average global temperature by about 1.2C to date. This has already led to catastrophic impacts around the world, from searing heatwaves in the US and Europe to devastating floods in Pakistan and Nigeria, harming millions of people.
“It’s very likely that the next big El Niño could take us over 1.5C,” said Prof Adam Scaife, the head of long-range prediction at the UK Met Office. “The probability of having the first year at 1.5C in the next five-year period is now about 50:50.”
“We know that under climate change, the impacts of El Niño events are going to get stronger, and you have to add that to the effects of climate change itself, which is growing all the time,” he said. “You put those two things together, and we are likely to see unprecedented heatwaves during the next El Niño.”
The fluctuating impacts of the El Niño-La Niña cycle could be seen in many regions of the world, Scaife said. “Science can now tell us when these things are coming months ahead. So we really do need to use it and be more prepared, from having readiness of emergency services right down to what crops to plant.”
Prof James Hansen, at Columbia University, in New York, and colleagues said recently: “We suggest that 2024 is likely to be off the chart as the warmest year on record. It is unlikely that the current La Niña will continue a fourth year. Even a little futz of an El Niño should be sufficient for record global temperature.” Declining air pollution in China, which blocks the sun, was also increasing heating, he said.
While El Niño would supercharge extreme weather, the degree of exacerbation was under debate among scientists.
Prof Bill McGuire, at University College London, UK, said: “When [El Niño arrives], the extreme weather that has rampaged across our planet in 2021 and 2022 will pale into insignificance.” While Prof Tim Palmer, at the University of Oxford, said: “The correlation between extreme weather and global mean temperature is not that strong [but] the thermodynamic effects of climate change are going to make the anomalies we get from an El Niño year just that more extreme.”
Climate modelling results issued in early January by Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology indicated the country could swing from three years of above-average rainfall to one of the hottest, driest El Niño periods on record, increasing the risk of severe heatwaves, droughts and fires. In December, the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration rated the odds of an El Niño forming by August-October as 66%.
The scale of the likely El Niño was as yet unclear. Prof Andy Turner, at the University of Reading, said: “Many seasonal forecast models are suggesting the arrival of moderate El Niño conditions from summer 2023.” The picture would be much clearer by June, the scientists said.
The El Niño-La Niña phenomenon is the biggest cause of year-to-year differences in weather in many regions. In La Niña years, the east-to-west Pacific trade winds are stronger, pushing warm surface waters to the west and drawing up deeper, cooler water in the east. El Niño events happen when the trade winds wane, allowing the warm waters to spread back eastwards, smothering the cooler waters and leading to a rise in global temperatures.
Nations bordering the west Pacific, including Indonesia and Australia, experience hotter and drier conditions. “You tend to get lots of droughts, lots of wildfires,” said Scaife, though China can suffer flooding in the Yangtze basin after big El Niños.
India’s monsoons, and rains in southern Africa can also be suppressed. Other regions, such as east Africa and the southern US, both of which have suffered recent droughts, can get more rain and flooding. In South America, southern regions are wetter, but the Amazon, already approaching a dangerous tipping point, is drier.
“The effects of El Niño could also be felt as far as the northern hemisphere mid-latitudes, with a likelihood of wetter conditions in Spain from summer onwards and drier conditions on the eastern seaboard of the US in the following winter and spring,” said Turner.
Palmer said the biggest unanswered question was whether climate change favoured more El Niño or more La Niña events: “That is crucially important for countries looking at long-term adaptation, and will need much higher-resolution climate models. That can only come about with bigger computers.”
Palmer and colleagues have called for the establishment of a $1bn international centre for climate modelling, akin to the Large Hadron Collider that allows international particle physicists to do together what no single nation can do alone.
Anthropologist Chowra Makaremi says Iran protests 'fuelled by anger'
When Chowra Makaremi came to France from Iran as a child, she had to leave her mother behind. Several years later, in 1988, her jailed mother was one of thousands killed in mass executions. Now an anthropologist, Marakemi explains that the Iranian regime has long used state violence for control, setting up a sort of "contract" to keep society within their "red lines". She says the current protests, which began four months ago following the death of Mahsa Amini, are a sign that Iranians are no longer accepting the regime's "game of terror".
Marakemi tells us that a generation of Iranians who, like her, lost family members to state violence have transmitted "a memory of resistance", adding that the current movement is being fuelled not by fear, but by anger at the executions of protesters.
Iran protests, 4 months on: Iranians finding creative ways to continue theifight for freedom
Iran protests, 4 months on: Human rights group say at least 500 killed in crackdown
• FRANCE 24
NEWS WIRES
Mon, 16 January 2023
© Frederick Florin, AFP
Up to 12,000 people marched Monday to the EU Parliament in the eastern French city of Strasbourg in support of Iran’s anti-government protesters while the Eiffel Tower lit the night with the slogan “Woman. Life. Freedom,” which embodies the protest movement spilling beyond Iran.
The Eiffel Tower display also beamed the message, “Stop executions in Iran,” highlighting a demand of protesters.
Both messages pay tribute to Mahsa Amini, whose death in September triggered demonstrations in Iran, along with arrests and executions.
Paris posthumously declared Amani an honorary citizen in October, and Paris City Hall has said that the Eiffel Tower displays Monday were a homage to Amini and to “those who are bravely fighting for their freedom as the (Iranian) regime is continuing executions of protesters.”
The Strasbourg march was organized by Iranians in Europe on the 44th anniversary of the day when Iran’s last Shah, Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, ailing and under growing pressure, left the country forever. The following month, the monarchy collapsed under the fervor of the Islamic revolution that gave Iran its theocracy. Some of the demonstrators Monday carried photos of the former king.
Local media cited police as saying some 12,000 people took part.
“Your silence is violence,” one banner read, reflecting the demand of Iranian protesters abroad to support their message and ensure Tehran hears it.
(AP)
to highlight environmental impact
In cities across Europe climate activists have vandalised car industry billboards in a coordinated campaign to highlight the sector's environmental impact. In Brussels, the action was timed to coincide with the 100th anniversary of its International Motor Show.
The campaigners covered manufacturers' posters with their own versions. More than 400 mock billboards have appeared in in London, Berlin, Frankfurt, Paris and other cities and towns.
The action was organised by Extinction Rebellion, with the groups Subvertisers’ International and Brandalism. Their plan was to target Toyota and BMW over their misleading advertisements and aggressive lobbying against climate policy.
In 2022, Influence Map ranked Toyota the 10th worst company in the world for their anti-climate lobbyingm followed by BMW who ranked 16th overall.
Despite issued adverts higlighting Electric vehicles, in 2021 they only accounted for 0.2% of Toyota's total car sales.
The campaigners say they want more robust government policies, such as 'tobacco-style' advertising bans, to regulate the advertisement of environmentally harmful products such as SUV's.
Mon, 16 January 2023
The government's climate tsar has said a coal mine in Cumbria would never have been approved if his recommendations had been in place.
Chris Skidmore, a Tory MP and chairman of the government's net zero review, also expressed doubt over whether the coal mine would ever be built.
Speaking at the launch of his review, he said the decision, made by Michael Gove, the Communities and Levelling Up Secretary, in December "would not have been able to happen" if his recommendations had been in place.
The mine near Whitehaven, Cumbria, is the first new UK coal mine to be approved in 30 years and will be used to dig up coking coal for steel production.
Critics believe it would undermine climate targets and that demand for coking coal is declining, but supporters claim the mine will create jobs and reduce the need to import coal.
Its approval is now facing legal challenges, with Mr Skidmore adding: "Let's wait and see whether this coal mine actually happens - if this report is taken forward it never will."
On Friday, Friends of the Earth filed a legal challenge at the High Court over the government's decision to grant planning permission.
They called the decision "unthinkable" and said their challenge focuses on how Mr Gove "dealt with evidence relating to climate change" put forward by the group and others at the planning inquiry.
Rowan Smith, a solicitor at Leigh Day who is representing the environmental group, said: "Of particular importance in this legal challenge is whether the secretary of state lawfully concluded that the purchase of carbon credits would make a meaningful contribution to the UK's net zero targets, given their achievement relied on domestic - as opposed to international - offsetting.
"Friends of the Earth's legal claim has now been filed with the court.
"It is our hope that a hearing is granted to allow full argument on these matters."
The West Cumbria Mining project was initially approved in 2020 by the local county council but had to get final approval by the government.
Its approval was paused in early 2021 ahead of the COP26 climate conference after the government's climate change adviser said it would increase carbon emissions.
The Climate Change Committee (CCC), which advises the government, said 85% of the coal produced by the mine would be exported.
Read more:
Can the government convince people that net zero legislation is a road to economic growth?
Lord Deben, chairman of the CCC, described the proposal as "absolutely indefensible" and said its approval would damage the UK's leadership on climate change.
The final decision was sent to Mr Gove, who ultimately approved it.
He said he was "satisfied that there is currently a UK and European market for the coal".
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