Saturday, January 13, 2024

Discovery of gargantuan ring structure ‘challenges understanding of universe’
An artistic impression of what the Big Ring (shown in blue) and Giant Arc (shown in red) would look like in the sky (Stellarium/University of Central Lancashire)

SAT, 13 JAN, 2024 - 
NILIMA MARSHALL, PA SCIENCE REPORTER

Scientists have discovered a gargantuan ring-shaped structure – about 1.3 billion light-years in diameter – that they say is so big it challenges our understanding of the universe.

Dubbed the Big Ring, this ultra-large structure – with a circumference of about four billion light-years – was observed in the remote universe, around 9.2 billion light-years away.

Made up of galaxies and galaxy clusters, the diameter of the Big Ring appears to be roughly 15 times the size of the Moon in the night sky as seen from Earth.

It is the second cosmic structure of such size identified by Alexia Lopez, a PhD student at the University of Central Lancashire (UCLan) who also discovered the Giant Arc – spanning 3.3 billion light-years of space – around three years ago.

Alexia Lopez, a PhD student at the University of Central Lancashire (University of Central Lancashire)

She said: “Neither of these two ultra-large structures is easy to explain in our current understanding of the universe.

“And their ultra-large sizes, distinctive shapes, and cosmological proximity must surely be telling us something important – but what exactly?”

Ms Lopez’s findings – presented at the 243rd meeting of the American Astronomical Society (AAS) – appear to challenge the cosmological principle, which states that on a large scale, the universe should look roughly the same everywhere.

The general consensus is that large structures are formed in the universe through a process known as gravitational instability but there is a size limit to this, which is about 1.2 billion light-years.

Anything larger than that would not have had sufficient time to form.

Ms Lopez said: “The cosmological principle assumes that the part of the universe we can see is viewed as a ‘fair sample’ of what we expect the rest of the universe to be like.

“We expect matter to be evenly distributed everywhere in space when we view the universe on a large scale, so there should be no noticeable irregularities above a certain size.

“Cosmologists calculate the current theoretical size limit of structures to be 1.2 billion light-years, yet both of these structures are much larger – the Giant Arc is almost three times bigger and the Big Ring’s circumference is comparable to the Giant Arc’s length.

The Big Ring is made up of galaxies and galaxy clusters seen in the centre of the image. The blue dots represent the background quasars or ‘spotlights’ (Alexia Lopez/University of Central Lancashire)


“From current cosmological theories we didn’t think structures on this scale were possible.


There are also similarly large structures discovered by other cosmologists – such as the Sloan Great Wall, which is around 1.5 billion light-years in length, and the South Pole Wall, which stretches 1.4 billion light-years across.

But the biggest single entity scientists have identified is a supercluster of galaxies called the Hercules-Corona Borealis Great Wall, which is about 10 billion light-years wide.

For comparison, the observable universe is approximately 93 billion light-years in diameter.

Both the Big Ring and the Giant Arc appear in the same neighbourhood, Ms Lopez said, near the constellation of Bootes the Herdsman.

While the Big Ring appears as an almost perfect ring on the sky, analysis by Ms Lopez suggests it has more of a coil shape – like a corkscrew – with its face aligned with Earth.The Big Ring and the Giant Arc, both individually and together, gives us a big cosmological mystery as we work to understand the universe and its development

Ms Lopez said: “This data we’re looking at is so far away that it has taken half the universe’s life to get to us – from a time when the universe was about 1.8 times smaller than it is now.

“The Big Ring and the Giant Arc, both individually and together, gives us a big cosmological mystery as we work to understand the universe and its development.”

Ms Lopez, along with her adviser Dr Roger Clowes, also from UCLan, and collaborator Gerard Williger from the University of Louisville, US, used a technique called the magnesium II (MgII) to make the discoveries.

It involves turning quasars – extremely energetic and luminous celestial objects found at the centres of some galaxies – into giant lamps to observe cosmic matter and galaxies in the universe that would otherwise remain unseen.

Commenting on the research, Professor Don Pollacco, of the department of physics at the University of Warwick, said a lot more research needs to be done to be certain about the discovery of these ultra-large structures.

He said: “The likelihood of this occurring is vanishingly small so the authors speculate that the two objects are actually related and form an even larger structure.

“So the question is how do you make such large structures?

Large US companies eye expansion opportunities in Turkmenistan



Trend 
Turkmenistan Materials 
13 January 2024
Aman Bakiyev
Read more

ASHGABAT, Turkmenistan, January 13. Major US companies such as John Deere, Boeing, General Electric, Visa Card International and Coca-Cola are interested in expanding their activities in Turkmenistan, Trend reports.

This was stated by the US Ambassador to Turkmenistan Matthew Klimow during an official press conference held at the residence of the embassy in Ashgabat.

He expressed hope that the Turkmenistan-US Business Council will be transformed into the US Chamber of Commerce in Turkmenistan.

Matthew Klimow confirmed that the embassy actively supports the activities of Eric Stewart, Executive Director of the US-Turkmenistan Business Council, and the efforts of the Council through the forum of business leaders of Turkmenistan and the US, and also mentioned that last December Ashgabat hosted two trade delegations from the US.

He noted that the US Embassy in Turkmenistan facilitates the establishment of contacts between US buyers interested in Turkmenistan's exports, including petrochemical products, carbamide, and fertilizers, and their Turkmen counterparts.

At the end of his speech, the Ambassador confirmed his readiness to continue working in the field of trade and commerce, building on the foundation laid by the Turkmenistan-US Business Council and the Turkmenistan-US Business Leaders Forum.


Turkmenistan
Turkmenistan is a landlocked country in Central Asia bordered by Kazakhstan to the northwest, Uzbekistan to the north, east and northeast, Afghanistan to the southeast, Iran to the south and southwest and the Caspian Sea to the west. Ashgabat is the capital and largest city. It is one of the six ind... Wikipedia




 
India's foreign minister to visit Iran

S. Jaishankar's two-day trip to Iran comes amid escalating geopolitical concerns in the Red Sea.


 January 13, 2024

Jaishankar's planned visit to Iran follows a US-blamed drone attack on a ship near Indian waters a month ago. / Photo: AFP


India's foreign minister will make a two-day trip to Iran from Sunday, following Western air strikes against Yemen's Houthi over the Tehran-allied group's attacks on vessels in the Red Sea.


A government statement issued Saturday said that Jaishankar would meet his Iranian counterpart Hossein Amirabdollahian to discuss "bilateral, regional and global issues" without giving further details.


The Houthis have carried out scores of drone and missile strikes on the key international route through the Red Sea since the start of Israel's war in Gaza.


Many vessels have been rerouted from the Red Sea due to drone and missile attacks carried out by the Houthis in solidarity with Palestinians in Gaza.

S. Jaishankar's visit also comes a month after a drone attack on a ship near Indian waters that the United States blamed on Iran.


India intensifies maritime patrols


India has significantly stepped up its own maritime patrols in the Arabian Sea to "maintain a deterrent presence" after the string of attacks on vessels.


In December, a drone attack hit the MV Chem Pluto oil tanker 370 kilometres off the coast of India, which the United States blamed on Iran - claims Tehran dubbed "worthless".


Earlier this month, India's navy said it had rescued 21 crew members from a vessel in the Arabian Sea after a hijacking distress call.


Jaishankar said Thursday he had spoken to US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken about "maritime security challenges, especially (in) the Red Sea region".



"There's Difference In The Way US Views India Today": S Jaishankar


S Jaishankar said the US recognises the importance India holds for the technology world and the enthusiasm of American businesses for India has also changed.


 January 13, 2024


"The level of how we deal with each other is more equal," S Jaishankar said.

Nagpur:

Highlighting that there is a difference in the way America views India today, External Affairs Minister (EAM) S Jaishankar said the two countries deal more equally now.

"Last June, when I went to the US with PM Modi, I felt there is a difference in the way in which America views India today. The level of how we deal with each other is more equal," the EAM said while speaking at the Manthan: Townhall meeting in Nagpur, Maharashtra, on Saturday.

Mr Jaishankar said the US recognises the importance India holds for the technology world and the enthusiasm of American businesses for India has also changed.

Speaking on India-US relations, he said: "What was a very difficult, almost negative relationship from 1947 till the next 50 years, started changing under Atal ji and the change continued thereafter. We saw the nuclear deal."

Atal Bihari Vajpayee served for three terms as the Indian Prime Minister, first for 13 days in 1996, then for 13 months from 1998 to 1999, followed by a full term from 1999 to 2004.

Meanwhile, the Indo-US nuclear agreement was initiated in July 2005, when the then Prime Minister Manmohan Singh visited the US.

The agreement at its core, lay focus on the non-proliferation of weapons of mass destruction.

Meanwhile, President Joe Biden recently said the friendship between the US and India is among the most consequential in the world as the two countries signed several major deals to further elevate their strategic technology partnership.

Earlier, the US said it supports India's emergence as a leading global power and a vital partner in promoting a peaceful, stable, and prosperous Indo-Pacific region.

The country said the US-India relationship is one of the most strategic and consequential of the 21st century, as per a fact sheet released by the US State Department.

The fact sheet said the United States and India have established strong defence industrial cooperation that looks at opportunities for co-development and co-production of important military capabilities for both countries, as per a US State Department fact sheet.

Earlier in 2023, the US approved a pathbreaking manufacturing licence for the co-production of GE F414 engines in India.

The United States and India launched an educational series that prepares startups and young innovators to contribute to the defence industries in both countries.

The United States and India also cooperate through the bilateral US-India Counterterrorism Joint Working Group and the Defence Policy Group, as per the fact sheet.

The two countries have a common vision to deploy clean energy at scale, as reflected in both countries' ambitious 2030 targets for climate action and clean energy.

"We are exploring avenues to increase our mineral security cooperation to ensure that we can advance our clean energy goals, including through the Minerals Security Partnership," the US State Department said.

The United States and India also collaborate through the Strategic Clean Energy Partnership and the Climate Action and Finance Mobilisation Dialogue.

With India's signing of the Artemis Accords in June, "we have established a common vision for the future of space exploration for the benefit of all humankind."

The US State Department said India, the US cooperate closely in multilateral organisations and fora, including the United Nations, G20, Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN)-related fora, International Monetary Fund, World Bank, and World Trade Organisation.

"The vibrant people-to-people ties between our countries are a tremendous source of strength for the strategic partnership."

"The Indian community of over 4 million in the United States is an important driver of collaboration, innovation, and job creation in both countries," the fact sheet said.
Bill O’Reilly Is Furious As His Own Titles Get Removed After Supporting Florida Book Bans

The disgraced conservative pundit, who previously seemed indifferent to casualties of this broadly-applied law, is now naturally aghast.

By Marco Margaritoff
Jan 13, 2024,



Former Fox News host Bill O’Reilly was a rather staunch supporter of Florida’s book ban laws enacted by Gov. Ron DeSantis (R). That is until two of his own books were temporarily removed from the Escambia County School District — pending further investigation.

“It’s absurd. Preposterous,” the disgraced conservative pundit told Newsweek on Friday, adding that he’ll “find out exactly who made the decisions … [and] put their pictures on television and on my website … and I’m going to ask them for a detailed explanation of why they did that.”


His “Killing Jesus: A History” and “Killing Reagan: The Violent Assault That Changed a Presidency” were reportedly among 1,600 titles pulled to adhere to Florida’s HB 1069 bill. Enacted in July, it purportedly aims to restrict sexual content from being taught in schools.


The law has since been accused of massive overreach, however, after the Florida Freedom to Read Project released a list Thursday of affected titles that include “The Autobiography of Malcolm X,” dictionaries, “Anne Frank’s Diary of a Young Girl,” and other essential works.



A spokesperson for the district told The Pensacola News Journal that O’Reilly’s books aren’t permanently banned but are under review “to ensure compliance.” O’Reilly, who appeared indifferent to prior casualties of the broadly applied law, is now naturally aghast.


“When DeSantis signed the book law, I supported the theme because there was abuse going on in Florida,” he told Newsweek. “There were far-left progressive people trying to impose an agenda on children, there’s no doubt about it.”



O'Reilly threatened to find who decided to ban his books and "put their pictures on television."
NATHAN CONGLETON/NBCUNIVERSAL/GETTY IMAGES


The former “O’Reilly Factor” host, who was forced off the air in 2017 after a New York Times report revealed that he settled a sexual harassment claim for $32 million, told Newsweek that “the state has an obligation to protect children.”

“But the wording of the law was far too nebulous … So, that law needs to be tightened up,” he added, “DeSantis needs to come out publicly and say, ‘this is insane, we’re not going to cooperate with this and we’re going to investigate the people who did it.’”

Representatives for DeSantis did not immediately respond to HuffPost’s request for comment.

O’Reilly also took to X, formerly Twitter, and wrote: “This will not stand.” He presumably hasn’t noticed that most users are mocking his newfound indignation — as it only arrived after he was victimized by something he had supported.


Of course Donald Trump is a fascist. Let’s count the ways.

Things deteriorated so dramatically under Trump that the United States may technically no longer even qualify as a democracy.

Commentary by Dr. Warren J. Blumenfeld Saturday, January 13, 2024


President Donald Trump speaks at the the Farm Show Complex and Expo Center in Harrisburg, PAPhoto: Shutterstock

At a recent campaign rally in Waterloo, Iowa, Donald Trump argued that “illegal aliens” are “destroying the blood of our country.” He then rejected criticism that his rhetoric echoed Adolf Hitler.

“It’s crazy what’s going on. They’re ruining our country,” Trump said. “And it’s true, they’re destroying the blood of our country. That’s what they’re doing. They’re destroying our country. They don’t like it when I said that.”

The former president’s niece claims he defamed the election workers at least 23 times.

“And I’ve never read Mein Kampf,” said Trump. “Oh, Hitler said that [about destroying the blood of his country]. In a much different way.”

Yes, the difference was that Hitler said it in German.

One month earlier on the campaign trail, the former President channeled Hitler and Mussolini when he vowed: “We pledge to you that we will root out the communists, Marxists, fascists and the radical left thugs that live like vermin within the confines of our country that lie and steal and cheat on elections.”

The Holocaust did not begin with killing

“The United States Holocaust Memorial Museum is deeply alarmed at the hateful rhetoric at a conference of white nationalists held on November 19 [2016] at the Ronald Reagan Building just blocks from the Museum… The Holocaust did not begin with killing; it began with words. The Museum calls on all American citizens, our religious and civic leaders, and the leadership of all branches of the government to confront racist thinking and divisive hateful speech…”

These words from a press release from the United States Holocaust Memorial Museum in Washington DC refer to a white nationalist conference headlined by neo-Nazi Richard Spencer, who greeted attendees with a tribute to then President-elect Donald Trump. Spencer shouted, “Hail Trump! Hail victory!” from the stage before all in attendance gestured in a traditional Nazi straight-arm salute.

Once identifying as a Democrat, Donald Trump has transformed himself, at the very least, into the mouthpiece of the far-right wing of the Republican Party.

In political terms, a “strongman” is one who leads by force within an overarching authoritarian, totalitarian, dictatorial regime. Sometimes the formal head of state and sometimes another political or military leader, the strongman exerts influence and control over the government more than traditional laws or constitutional mandates sanction.

On the right-wing side of the dictatorial strongman’s political spectrum, we find the philosophy and practice of “fascism.” While also deployed as an epithet by some, fascism developed as a form of radical authoritarian nationalism in early-20th-century Europe in response to liberalism and Marxism on the left.

The tenets of fascism

Political scientist Lawrence Britt enumerates 14 tenets of fascism:

1. Powerful and continuing nationalism

2. Disdain for the recognition of human rights

3. Identification of enemies/scapegoats as a unifying cause

4. Rampant sexism

5. Supremacy of the military

6. Controlled mass media

7. Obsession with national security

8. Religion and government are intertwined

9. Corporate power is protected

10. Labor power is suppressed

11. Disdain for intellectuals and the arts

12. Obsession with crime and punishment

13. Rampant cronyism and corruption

14. Fraudulent elections

While many governmental leaders and candidates for public office may push for a number of these tactics while still remaining outside the definition of “fascist,” the cumulative effect increases depending on the severity of and the degree to which they initiate these measures.

How Donald Trump measures up

Let’s look at Donald Trump and his sycophants within the current Republican Party through the lens of Lawrence Britt’s tenets of fascism:

1. Appeals to “nationalism,” presented in the guise of “popularism,” feeding on people’s fears and prejudices, which has already resulted in the segregation of people and nations from one another, and threats and dangers of violence – CHECK!

2. Disdain for the recognition of human rights, and rolling back many of the rights and protections in the name of “anti-wokeness” that minoritized peoples have tirelessly fought for over the past decades: reproductive rights, voting rights, citizenship rights, anti-torture guarantees, rights of unreasonable search and seizure, rights of assembly, disability rights, freedom of religion, marriage equality, the rights of trans people to quality healthcare and gender-affirming procedures – CHECK!


3. Identification of enemies/scapegoats as a unifying cause by singling out already disenfranchised identity categories as the internal and external enemies of the United States: Muslims and anyone from Muslim-majority countries, Mexicans and all Latinx people, urban “thugs,” the press, Somalis, LGBTQ+ people, drag queens, George Soros (representing an alleged world Jewish financial and political conspiracy), and the ACLU. Then there’s the Democrats, Mike Pence, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Hunter Biden, etc. – CHECK!

4. Rampant sexism and toxic misogynistic utterances and allegations primarily against women of color and state prosecutors and legislators opposing the Republican Party’s political agenda, as well as credible charges of sexual harassment against Trump by numerous women – CHECK!

5. Supremacy of the military by perennially proposing exponentially high increases in the budget for the Pentagon, and, for example, under the Trump regime, employing the military for civil projects, like stationing service members on the southern border to engage in duties not directly specified for the military, and even considering instituting martial law rather than leave the White House after the new president had been inaugurated – CHECK!


6. Controlled mass media and threats to employ libel laws to sue the “crooked and lying” media (Lügenpresse, “lying press” popularized by the German Nazis to silence opposition), as well as banning books and other school curricular materials like The 1619 Project, Critical Race Theory, and banning any discussions related to the truth (presented age-appropriately) about the “hard” history of the United States, discussions of LGBTQ+ topics, or topics of gender, all in the name of “protecting parental rights” – CHECK!

7. Obsession with national security with continual cries against “Islamic jihadist terrorists” as the number one threat to our nation, rather than the real threat: Domestic terrorists aiming to bring down the so-called “Deep State” – CHECK!

8. Religion and government are intertwined through a tight network of Christian nationalists using selected passages from the Christian Testament as justification for its right-wing stances, as well as through attendance at several Christian prayer vigils and the former president’s appearances at conservative Christian conferences and universities like Liberty University, with calls to “Make America Great Again” giving the subliminal dog whistle of making America white and Protestant again – CHECK!


9. Corporate power is protected through increased deregulation of the energy and corporate business sectors with massive tax cuts and other financial incentives. “I will formulate a rule, which says that for every one new regulation, two old regulations must be eliminated,” Trump once declared. – CHECK!

10. Labor power is suppressed with anti-labor actions to reduce the rights of workers to organize and negotiate collective bargaining agreements; privatization of entitlement programs like Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, and the Affordable Care Act; advocacy for the abolition of a national minimum wage; and other “socialist” actions – CHECK!

11. Disdain for intellectuals and the arts with resentment and attacks on the political, media, and intellectual “elites” to the point of instigating scorn and harassment against the so-called Washington “liberal elite” and demands for an apology from the cast of the Broadway show, Hamilton, for voicing concerns over a Trump presidency with then-Vice President Mike Pence in attendance. – CHECK!


12. Obsession with crime and punishment with calls for “law and order” involving draconian (and possibly unconstitutional) measures of torture and surveillance against groups like Black Lives Matter and Antifa, but certainly not toward what they refer to as “the patriots” of January 6, 2021 who stormed the Capitol. And of course, certainly not toward the ongoing investigations around former President Donald Trump’s alleged payment of an adult actress with campaign funds, his large cache of classified documents he stored at his seaside Florida resort, and his possible involvement in the January 6th insurrection, which some in the Republican Party define as a “legal First Amendment protest.” – CHECK!

13. Rampant cronyism and corruption while in and out of office through using his adult children and son-in-law as close trusted political operatives who met with visiting diplomats and traveled to foreign capitals to negotiate political and business deals, plus continuously unresolved conflict-of-interest issues and “emoluments” breeches between his position as President and his worldwide business interests, with so many probes into corruption it has become a common occurrence. – CHECK!

14. Fraudulent elections assisted by the larger Republican Party and the Supreme Court by gutting the 1965 Voting Rights law, which has resulted in voter suppression campaigns effectively reducing the number of polling stations in primarily minoritized racial communities and limiting days and times for pre-election-day voting. In addition, another fascist ruler, Vladimir Putin, weighed in on Trump’s side to sway the presidential elections in 2016 and 2020 in their (Putin & Trump’s) favor. While often claiming fraud when they lose elections, no such fraud has been found in the states and in the courts to have swayed any election that they claimed was fraudulent – CHECK!

In the wake of the attack on our nation’s capital in January 2021, as well as the precipitous rise of Trump and the GOP’s extremist agenda – along with the party’s ties to right-wing paramilitary militia groups like the Proud Boys, The Three Percenters, and the Oath Keepers – we can now ask ourselves: To what extent is the United States still considered a “democracy”?

Are we headed toward civil war?

“This is democracy’s most challenging hour since Fort Sumter,” argued Historian John Meacham in 2022.

Barbara F. Walter, U.S. political scientist and Rohr Professor of International Affairs at the School of Global Policy and Strategy at the University of California, San Diego, warns in her book, How Civil Wars Start: “We are closer to civil war than any of us would like to believe… No one wants to believe that their beloved democracy is in decline or headed toward war,” but “if you were an analyst in a foreign country looking at events in America… you would go down a checklist, assessing each of the conditions that make civil war likely. And what you would find is that the United States, a democracy founded more than two centuries ago, has entered very dangerous territory.”

Indeed, the United States has already gone through what the CIA identifies as the first two phases of insurgency: 1. The “pre-insurgency” phase, and 2. The “incipient conflict” phase. Only time will tell whether the final phase is fully activated: The “open insurgency” phase has already begun with the sacking of the Capitol by Donald Trump’s supporters on January 6, 2021.


Things deteriorated so dramatically under Trump, in fact, that the United States no longer technically qualifies as a democracy. Citing the Center for Systemic Peace’s “Polity” data set – the one the CIA task force has found to be most reliable in predicting instability and violence – Walter writes that the United States is now an “anocracy,” somewhere between a democracy and an autocratic state.

U.S. democracy has received the Polity Index’s top score of 10, or close to it, for much of its history. But in the years of the Trump era, it tumbled precipitously into the anocracy zone. By the end of Trump’s presidency, the U.S. score had fallen to a 5, making the country a partial democracy for the first time since 1800.

“We are no longer the world’s oldest continuous democracy,” Walter writes. “That honor is now held by Switzerland, followed by New Zealand, and then Canada. We are no longer a peer to nations like Canada, Costa Rica, and Japan, which are all rated a +10 on the Polity index.”


Dropping five points in five years greatly increases the risk of civil war. “A partial democracy is three times as likely to experience civil war as a full democracy,” Walter states. “A country standing on this threshold – as America is now at +5 – can easily be pushed toward conflict through a combination of bad governance and increasingly undemocratic measures that further weaken its institutions.”

Others have reached similar findings. The Stockholm-based International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance put the United States on a list of “backsliding democracies” in a November 2021 report.

“The United States, the bastion of global democracy, fell victim to authoritarian tendencies itself,” the report said.

And a 2023 survey found that about 12 million adults believe violence is justified to restore Donald Trump as President of the United States.

We are on the doorstep of the “open insurgency” stage of civil conflict, and Walter writes that once countries cross that threshold, there is risk of “sustained violence as increasingly active extremists launch attacks that involve terrorism and guerrilla warfare including assassinations and ambushes.”

Benjamin Franklin was one of the nation’s “founders” who attended the Constitutional Convention in Philadelphia to draft our now-famous founding document. At the age of 81, though a perennial optimist, he had no illusions and thought it impossible to expect any group of people, no matter how wise or brilliant, to create a “perfect production.”


Even “with all its faults,” however, Franklin believed that this Constitution was far superior to any alternative that could possibly emerge.

He had a warning, though. As the story is told, when departing the Constitutional Convention, a group of citizens approached Franklin and asked him what kind of government the delegates had created.

His response: “A republic, if you can keep it.”

 

This Just In: The NFL Exists to Make Money

Also: the media landscape is currently evolving.


As I am sure any even casual observer of the NFL is aware, tonight’s Wild Card matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Miami Dolphins will be available exclusively* on NBC’s streaming service, Peacock. They had previously streamed an NFL game on December 22nd (a pretty entertaining Bills-Chargers matchup).**

There have been several recurring observations I keep encountering on this topic. The first, it’s a money grab! (or some version thereof). To which my brain invariably goes: no kidding. The notion that the NFL specifically, not to mention entertainment companies in general, exist for any other reason than to make money is just silly. Of course, they are going to try and find new ways to make more money.

A second one is, what is Peacock, anyway? This is not an unfair question, insofar as it is a second-tier, at best, streamer. It isn’t Netflix, Hulu, or YouTubeTV. So, I ask, what better way to make your product a household name than to attach yourself to the biggest single entertainment product in the United States? Even the annoyed people are talking about Peacock. And people will know what it is now.

I am betting that the marketing people at NBC-Universal knew exactly how with would be received.

Even headlines like this one from SlateThe TV Streaming Mess Finally Came for the NFL, have got to have those selfsame marketing people asking, “Did they spell Peacock correctly, and did that article send readers to Google to figure out how to watch the game?” Likewise the subtitle to this piece from Awful Announcing, “Despite outrage about the NFL airing a playoff game on Peacock, the league and NBC seem confident with the strategy.” Behold the outrage that has led to tons of free publicity. Heck, when was the last time I wrote about the NFL (let alone Peacock?)?

There were similar cries of “money grabs” when the NFL started showing one game a week on cable outlets back in the mid-to-late 1980s. I have heard my whole life that the NFL would soon put all of their games on pay-per-view, but of course, that would be a foolish model, since the big money is mass-based ad revenue. Indeed, the silliest thing I hear/read regularly is that the Super Bowl will soon be pay-per-view. There is no way the NFL will mess with that gold mine.

This is really about the ability of the NFL to sell off a small part of their broader stock of games to exclusive providers (that started with MNF on ABC back in 1970 and manifests these days with Thursday night football on Amazon Prime). They will not shift away from broadcast TV so long as they can get bigger audiences there, given the importance of mass advertisement revenue. After all, in the days of streaming scripted TV and DVRs the best way to get an audience to sit through commercials is live sports (it is the only time I watch commercials–that and breaking news).

tl;dr version: the NFL is out to make money and streaming is the future and we are in the sorting out stages of that future.

I will just conclude with this CBS News headline: Peacock subscriptions are 50% off ahead of the Peacock-exclusive Miami Dolphins vs. Kansas City Chiefs game.


*It will be broadcast on convention TV in those media markets, and will be available in various ways outside the US, so “exclusively” is actually not entirely accurate.

**Yes, the NFL games led me to subscribe to Peacock. Knowing I would want to watch the games, I took their Black Friday deal, which I think was $2/month for the whole year. Plus I want to watch the Monk movie. I would note that I had previously, albeit relatively briefly, been a Peacock subscriber. I highly recommend Poker Face.


Steven L. Taylor
About Steven L. Taylor
Steven L. Taylor is a Professor of Political Science and a College of Arts and Sciences Dean. His main areas of expertise include parties, elections, and the institutional design of democracies. His most recent book is the co-authored A Different Democracy: American Government in a 31-Country Perspective. He earned his Ph.D. from the University of Texas and his BA from the University of California, Irvine. He has been blogging since 2003 (originally at the now defunct Poliblog). Follow Steven on Twitter
Agencies respond to oil discharge near Venice, LA





PRESS RELEASE | Jan. 13, 2024
PHOTOS AVAILABLE: 

Editor's Note: Click on images to download high-resolution version.

NEW ORLEANS — The Coast Guard and Texas Petroleum Investment Company (TPIC) are responding to an oil spill near Venice, Louisiana.

An overflight first observed a sheen Wednesday, and the source of the spill was later identified as a TPIC crude oil pipeline.

On Thursday, TPIC secured the pipeline, organized response resources for the company’s estimated 1,008-gallon discharge through local oil spill removal organizations including Environmental Safety & Health Consulting Services Inc. and Clean Gulf Associates. An overflight by U.S. Coast Guard Air Station New Orleans aircrew reported a broken 13-mile sheen with streaks of recoverable oil Thursday.

TPIC repaired the pipeline late Thursday. After confirming successful repairs, the pipeline was brought back into operation on Friday with no further reported discharge. An overflight on Friday with a Coast Guard Sector New Orleans pollution responder onboard and a follow-on overflight today reported no oil observed.

There have been no reports of injuries, wildlife or shoreline impacts.

Mariners are encouraged to report any observations of oil to Coast Guard Sector New Orleans Command Center 

The incident is under investigation.
UK
Usdaw secures 9% pay increase at Sainsbury’s, bringing staff up to Real Living Wage

Chris Jarvis 13 January 2024 


Retail trade union Usdaw has welcomed the announcement that staff pay is increasing to at least £12 per hour across Sainsbury’s and Argos. Effective from March 204, this 9% increase means that Sainsbury’s workers have had a 50% pay increase since 2018.

£12 per hour and £13.15 for staff in London, makes Sainsbury’s the largest supermarket to pay colleagues the Real Living Wage nationally as well as the London Living Wage. This will give staff an extra £1,910 a year nationally and £2,290 a year in London. The investment of £200 million, brings the three-year total investment in pay to over £500 million.

In addition to the pay increases during recent years, Sainsbury’s has provided staff with free food during shifts and increased staff discount of 15% at Sainsbury’s every Friday and Saturday and 15% at Argos every payday. This Christmas, all staff received a voucher to earn 4 times Nectar points on their big Christmas shop, as well as a 20% discount at Sainsbury’s during Christmas week.

Bally Auluk – Usdaw National Officer said: “The continuing strong working relationship between Usdaw and Sainsbury’s has resulted in an inflation busting pay award of over 9%, despite inflation falling, and following on from the significant pay increases over the previous couple of years. The current cost of living is still on the rise which is why Usdaw is very pleased the business has taken this on board during our consultations and responded in such a positive manner, which includes continuing to offer free food and additional discount.”

Simon Roberts – Chief Executive of Sainsbury’s said: “Our colleagues do a brilliant job delivering for our customers every day and at the same time they are continuing to face the rising costs of living. So, in addition to investing to keep our prices low for customers, I’m delighted to confirm an industry leading pay increase again this year for all our hourly paid store colleagues. At Sainsbury’s we will be increasing pay by 9.1% to £12 per hour, taking our investment into colleague pay to more than £500 million over three years. For a full time colleague, this is an extra £1,910 a year and this increase is well ahead of inflation and the government’s 2024 national living wage of £11.44.

“We continue to lead our industry in the level of reward and benefits we provide for our people and this remains a clear priority for us at Sainsbury’s. We believe well rewarded, engaged colleagues deliver the best service and attracting and retaining the best talent will be crucial to our success in delivering the next phase of our business strategy.”
China Foreign Ministry Spokesperson’s Remarks on the Election in Taiwan
2024/01/13 23:01

Q: What’s your comment on the result of the election in the Taiwan region?

A: The spokesperson of the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council has commented on the result of the election in China’s Taiwan region.

The Taiwan question is China’s internal affair. Whatever changes take place in Taiwan, the basic fact that there is only one China in the world and Taiwan is part of China will not change; the Chinese government’s position of upholding the one-China principle and opposing “Taiwan independence” separatism, “two Chinas” and “one China, one Taiwan” will not change; and the international community’s prevailing consensus on upholding the one-China principle and long-standing and overwhelming adherence to this principle will not change. The one-China principle is the solid anchor for peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait. We believe that the international community will continue to adhere to the one-China principle, and understand and support the Chinese people’s just cause of opposing “Taiwan independence” separatist activities and striving to achieve national reunification.


Taiwan voters dismiss China warnings and hand ruling party a historic third consecutive presidential win


By Eric Cheung, Wayne Chang, Nectar Gan and Jerome Taylor, CNN
Published Jan 13, 2024


Taiwan President-elect Lai Ching-te, of Democratic Progressive Party's (DPP) and his running mate Hsiao Bi-khim arrive for a press conference following their victory in the presidential elections on January 13, 2024.


Taipei, Taiwan (CNN) — Taiwan’s ruling Democratic Progressive Party pulled off a historic third consecutive presidential victory on Saturday as voters shrugged off warnings by China that their re-election would increase the risk of conflict.

Lai Ching-te, Taiwan’s current vice president, declared victory on Saturday evening while his two main opposition rivals both conceded defeat.

In a speech to jubilant supporters on Saturday evening Lai called his win a “victory for the community of democracies.”

“We are telling the international community that between democracy and authoritarianism, we still stand on the side of democracy,” he said.

“I will act in accordance with our democratic and free constitutional order in a manner that is balanced and maintains the cross-strait status quo,” he added. “At the same time, we are also determined to safeguard Taiwan from continuing threats and intimidation from China”.

Lai’s running mate Hsiao Bi-khim, who recently served as Taiwan’s top envoy to the United States, was elected Vice President.

Results from Taiwan’s Central Election Committee, which were still being finalized when the victory and concession speeches were being made, showed Lai with around 40 percent of the popular vote while his two main rivals trailed with 33 percent and 26 percent respectively.

The boisterous election campaign, an illustration of Taiwan’s vibrant democratic credentials, was fought over a mixture of livelihood issues as well as the thorny question of how to deal with its giant one-party state neighbor, China, which under leader Xi Jinping has grown more powerful and bellicose.

The result shows voters backing the DPP’s view that Taiwan is a de facto sovereign nation that should bolster defenses against China’s threats and deepen relations with fellow democratic countries, even if that means economic punishment or military intimidation by Beijing.

It is also a further snub to eight years of increasingly strongarm tactics towards Taiwan under Xi who has vowed that the island’s eventual “reunification” with the mainland is “a historical inevitability”.

Like outgoing president Tsai Ing-wen, who cannot stand again because of term limits, Lai is openly loathed by China’s Communist Party leaders and his victory is unlikely to lead to any improvement in ties between Beijing and Taipei.

China cut off most communications with Taipei after Tsai took office and ramped up diplomatic, economic and military pressure on the self-ruled island, turning the Taiwan Strait into one of the world’s major geopolitical flash points.

China’s ruling Communist Party views Taiwan as part of its territory, despite having never controlled it. While successive Chinese Communist leaders have vowed to eventually achieve “reunification,” Xi has repeatedly said the Taiwan issue “should not be passed down generation after generation,” linking the mission to his mid-century goal of “national rejuvenation.”

The DPP emphasizes that Taiwan is not subordinate to the Chinese Communist Party, and that its future Taiwan must only be decided by its 23.5 million people.

In the run up to Saturday’s vote, Beijing warned Taiwan’s voters to “make the right choice” and “recognize the extreme danger of Lai Ching-te’s triggering of cross-strait confrontation and conflict.”

His running mate Hsiao has been sanctioned twice by China for being a “stubborn secessionist.”

Speaking to the media ahead of his victory speech on Saturday night, Lai said he hoped relations with China could return to a “healthy and sustainable way of exchanges”.

“In the future, we hope that China will recognize the new situation, and understand that only peace benefits both sides of the strait,” he added.
Blow for Beijing

Lai’s victory comes as the US is trying to stabilize fraught relations with China and prevent competition from veering into conflict. During Tsai’s administration, Taiwan bolstered ties with the United States, its biggest international backer, which increased support and arms sales to the island.

US officials have said that Washington will uphold its longstanding policy toward Taiwan no matter who takes on the top job. The Biden administration will dispatch an unofficial delegation – including former senior officials – to Taipei following the election in keeping with past practice, according to senior officials.

The delegation visit “will be a signal, a very symbolic way of supporting Taiwan,” said T.Y. Wang, a professor at Illinois State University.

Saturday’s result is another major blow for Taiwan’s Kuomintang, which back warmer relations with Beijing and have not held the presidency since 2016.

Beijing made little secret of its desire to see the KMT return to power. During campaigning the KMT accused Lai and the DPP of needlessly stoking tensions with China.

Lev Nachman, a political science professor at Taiwan’s National Chengchi University, said that while Lai has to make some economic adjustments given deep public grievances over low wages and unaffordable housing, on issues like foreign policy and cross-strait relations he is expected to largely follow Tsai’s approach.

“So much of (Lai’s) campaign has been trying to reassure not just a domestic audience, but international audience that he is Tsai Ing-wen 2.0,” he said.

That will not be welcome in Beijing.

Days before the election, China’s Taiwan Affairs Office said by following Tsai’s path, Lai is pursuing a path of provocation and confrontation and will bring Taiwan “closer and closer to war and recession.”

Analysts say China could escalate economic and military pressure on Taiwan to show its displeasure in the coming days and weeks, or save a more forceful response for May, when Lai takes office.

“There’s multiple times that China could cause a fuss over a DPP victory, either now or later this year,” Nachman said.

And Beijing has a wide range of coercive measures in its toolbox too.

In the lead-up to the vote, China ended preferential tariffs for some Taiwanese imports under a free trade agreement. It could broaden the scope of goods targeted, or even suspend the agreement altogether.

China can also further ramp up its military pressure on Taiwan, sending more fighter jets and warships close to the island’s skies and waters, a tactic it has deployed with increased frequency in recent years.

But Taiwan’s security officials said ahead of the vote that they didn’t expect large-scale military actions from China right after the election, citing unsuitable winter weather conditions, troubles in the Chinese economy, and efforts by Beijing and Washington to stabilize ties following a bilateral summit in November.

And while an escalation of military tension could increase the risks of accidents and miscalculations, it doesn’t necessarily portend an imminent conflict in the Taiwan Strait, analysts noted.

“Just because the DPP is in power doesn’t mean China’s going to war,” said Nachman.

“The last eight years have obviously been uncomfortable with the DPP in power, but it hasn’t led to war, they’ve been able to find an uncomfortable middle ground. And the hope is that even with a Lai presidency that we can continue to have this sort of uncomfortable silence without having to go to war.”

This story was first published on CNN.com, "Taiwan’s main opposition party concedes defeat in presidential election"


Biden says Taiwan’s independence is up to Taiwan after discussing matter with Xi

By Kevin Liptak, CNN

CNN —

President Joe Biden made clear Tuesday evening he was not encouraging Taiwan’s “independence” after using the word an hour earlier to describe the progress he made during a discussion of the island with his Chinese counterpart Monday evening.

“I said that they have to decide – Taiwan, not us. We are not encouraging independence,” Biden said on an airport tarmac in New Hampshire, where he was promoting his recently signed infrastructure law.

“We’re encouraging that they do exactly what the Taiwan Act requires,” he went on, referring to the 1979 law dictating the American approach to the island. “That’s what we’re doing. Let them make up their mind. Period.”

Explaining his position earlier while greeting attendees following his infrastructure speech, Biden said he had made limited progress on the topic with Chinese President Xi Jinping.

“We made very clear we support the Taiwan Act, and that’s it,” he said, shaking hands near a rickety iron bridge in sore need of repair.

“Its independence,” he went on. “It makes its own decisions.”


VIDEO
China and Taiwan's relationship explained


The various explanations of his approach to the issue underscored the fraught position Taiwan now holds in the deteriorating relationship between Washington and Beijing. Tensions have been running high as China increases its military posturing and warplane flights around the self-ruled island.

The word “independence” is a trigger when it comes to Taiwan; officially, the US does not support Taiwan’s independence. Instead, the countries enjoy unofficial relations and the US provides defensive support.

The approach is sometimes termed “strategic ambiguity,” and has caused previous trip-ups for both Biden and his presidential predecessors. Last month, when Biden said during a CNN town hall that the US was committed to coming to Taiwan’s defense if it came under attack from China, the White House said he was not announcing any change in policy.

The issue consumed the most time of any during Biden’s lengthy virtual summit with Xi on Monday evening. Ahead of time, the Chinese signaled it was their most important priority to discuss with the US.

In the talks, Biden raised his concerns over China’s behavior in the region. While he reaffirmed the US “One China” policy, which recognizes Beijing’s claim of sovereignty but allows for US defense ties with Taiwan, he voiced worry that China’s actions were destabilizing the region.

The charged nature of the topic was evident immediately after Biden and Xi’s summit, which stretched a longer-than-expected three-and-a-half hours. Chinese State Television reported almost as soon as the summit concluded that Biden affirmed to Xi the US did not support Taiwan’s independence.

US officials downplayed the significance of the statement, noting it was longstanding official US policy. Instead, they said Biden made clear to Xi the US opposes any change to the status quo, or any actions that “undermine peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait.”

The Chinese offered a more combative interpretation of the conversation. They said Xi told Biden his country would be compelled to take “resolute measures” if separatist forces in Taiwan cross a “red line,” according to a readout from China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

“Such moves are extremely dangerous, just like playing with fire. Whoever plays with fire will get burnt,” the readout said.

In the wake of the summit, US and Chinese officials plan to intensify their engagement on Taiwan, according to Biden’s national security adviser Jake Sullivan, who said the two leaders spent a “good amount of time” on the issue.

“Ensuring peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait, having clear communication, avoiding miscommunication, is going to be an important and intensive aspect of work between our militaries, our national security councils and between our diplomats,” Sullivan said during an appearance at the Brookings Institution. “So you will see at multiple levels an intensification of the engagement to ensure that there are guardrails around this competition so that it doesn’t veer off into conflict.”

For his part, Biden noted to Xi that he voted for the Taiwan Act in 1979, when he was a young senator. It contributed to what Sullivan described as a “very familiar” relationship between the two men, who traveled extensively together when each was serving as his country’s vice president.

“One of the dynamics of when they talk now is they both revert back to previous things each of them have said,” Sullivan said, “not just to agree with one another, but to disagree with one another, while they’re debating.”

Still, the White House said familiarity does not equal friendship – despite the way Xi greeted Biden as their summit began.

As Xi was beaming into the Roosevelt Room from a cavernous space inside the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, he addressed Biden in collegial and warm terms: “Although it’s not as good as a face-to-face meeting, I’m very happy to see my old friend,” he said, using the Chinese phrase “lao peng you” to convey his level of familiarity.

It was only a few months ago, however, that Biden was adamant he did not regard Xi on those terms: “Let’s get something straight. We know each other well; we’re not old friends. It’s just pure business,” Biden said in June.

On Tuesday, the White House said it couldn’t speak for Xi’s motives in describing Biden the way he did.

“But he does not,” deputy press secretary Andrew Bates told reporters aboard Air Force One, “consider President Xi an old friend.”