Tuesday, February 27, 2024

 

Ukraine's Hard-Won Grain Corridor May Shut Without More U.S. Support

Grain export bulker in Ukraine
WFP/USAID

PUBLISHED FEB 27, 2024 8:34 PM BY THE MARITIME EXECUTIVE

 

 

Despite Ukraine's success in striking back against the Russian Navy, the progress it has made in securing the western Black Sea could be reversed if the United States does not provide more arms soon, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky warned in a new interview. 

Ukraine's maritime trade has gone through severe ups and downs since the start of the Russian invasion two years ago. In the first months of the war, a Russian naval blockade shut down all merchant traffic to Ukraine's busy Black Sea ports, which historically handled the vast majority of the country's grain exports. Over the summer of 2022, the UN and Turkey negotiated a deal with Russia to partially lift that blockade, but only for approved ships, and only for grain export cargoes. 

Russia abandoned this Black Sea grain deal in July 2023, suspended its security guarantees, and attacked Ukrainian grain terminals with long-range missiles and drones. Undeterred, Ukraine hit back at the Russian Navy with a wave of missile and suicide drone attacks, destroying or sinking multiple vessels in a matter of months. 

This defense strategy has effectively forced the Russian surface fleet out of the western reaches of the Black Sea, according to UK intelligence. In September 2023, with war risk reduced by Ukraine's defenses, bulkers returned to Odesa to load grain - this time, without Russia's permission. 

This unilateral security corridor has allowed Ukraine to export about 30 million tonnes of grain so far, and exporters should be able to ship the entirety of the 2023 crop - a sea change from the situation in 2022. But the corridor depends upon deterring the Russian threat to commercial shipping, and that requires a regular flow of Western armament. 

After two years of funding Ukraine's defense, the Republican-led U.S. House of Representatives is blocking a $60 billion aid package for Kyiv, aligning with Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump. The interruption in funding is already affecting the front lines in Ukraine, and in an interview with CNN, Zelensky said that the maritime corridor will also be at risk if aid is not restored soon. 

"I think the route will be closed," he said. "To defend it, it's also about some ammunition, some air defense, and some other systems."

 

Survey Stumbles Upon 120-Year-Old Steamship That Was Lost With All Hands

SS Nemesis
SS Nemesis (State Library of New South Wales, Mitchell Library)

PUBLISHED FEB 27, 2024 8:45 PM BY THE MARITIME EXECUTIVE


The mystery of a steamship that was lost off Australia some 120 years ago has finally been resolved. In a development that is expected to give closure to the families of the ship's 32 crew members, authorities in Australia announced the discovery of the wreck of the SS Nemesis, an iron-hulled steamship that was lost at sea in 1904 after being caught in a storm.

The story of the Nemesis is harrowing. On July 9, 1904, the vessel sank off Sydney in a sudden storm. All 32 crewmembers died in the sinking, and the residents of nearby Cronulla Beach endured shocking scenes when bodies started washing ashore. The wheel, hatches and other floating wreckage were also recovered, but the ship’s location remained unknown.

“Around 40 children lost their parents in this wreck and I hope this discovery brings closure to families and friends connected to the ship who have never known its fate,” said Penny Sharpe, NSW Minister for Environment and Heritage.  

Built in 1881, the steamship was originally a passenger vessel but was converted and operated as a coal carrier. Nemesis departed Newcastle on her final day, loaded with a cargo of coal for Melbourne. She ran into a southerly gale shortly after departure and was last sighted off Wollongong; she was never seen again for more than a century. 

Nemesis has now been identified about 14 nautical miles off the coast in 160 meters of water. A remote sensing company, Subsea Professional Marine Services, first located the wreck by accident in May 2022. The firm stumbled across the site while trying to locate cargo containers lost off the coast of Sydney.  

Subsea undertook an initial inspection of the site using a remotely operated vehicle before reporting the uncharted wreck to Heritage NSW, which petitioned Australia’s national science agency CSIRO to gather further data.

CSIRO's research vessel Investigator was able to conduct a detailed seafloor mapping and camera investigation of the wreck while on a transit voyage from Hobart to Sydney in September last year. Using the vessel’s sonar, the team was able to first map the wreck site and surrounding seafloor in high resolution. Then, using an underwater drop camera system, they recorded details of Nemesis' structures, including some of the internal spaces.

With the discovery of the wreck, the authorities intend to find the family members of the lost crew, half of whom were from the United Kingdom and the rest from Australia and Canada. The video imagery collected by CSIRO will also be “stitched together” to create a 3D model of the wreck for further investigations.

There may be many more discoveries to come. The New South Wales coast's waters are believed to contain more than 200 shipwrecks, and only 105 have been found.

CRIMINAL CAPTALI$M

Freight-Forwarding Insiders Charged With Smuggling Tobacco Into Australia

Cigarettes
This cigarette brand is only found in the illegal trade in Australia, according to authorities (ABF/AFP)

PUBLISHED FEB 27, 2024 9:19 PM BY THE MARITIME EXECUTIVE

 

A logistics professional and five accomplices have been charged with trying to smuggle $10 million worth of cigarettes into Australia, and authorities believe that the scheme was connected to a Middle Eastern crime syndicate. 

Australian authorities will allow a handful of cigarettes over the border duty-free - but not millions of them. The Australian Border Force says that agents in Victoria discovered a cargo of 10 million illicit cigarettes that arrived on a ship from Vietnam on February 3, leading to a series of arrests this week. 

Two people charged in the scheme had access to shipping data systems, the ABF alleged, and they manipulated records for the consignment in an attempt to hide it. The fact that logistics insiders were arrested made this bust different, authorities said, and it could be disruptive to smugglers' operations. 

One of these men is accused of planning and arranging the importation, and allegedly accessed freight forwarding systems to set up and conceal the shipment. He stands accused of "using trusted insiders with knowledge of the transport and freight logistics industry" to smuggle the tobacco consignment. 

A second man was employed in logistics and allegedly helped the syndicate to pick up and move the cargo. The other three were accused of related offenses for illicit distribution of tobacco. Several of the men are believed to be linked to a Middle Eastern organized crime syndicate, which is suspected of being behind a series of illicit tobacco imports into Victoria. 

The illicit cigarette trade is a multibillion-dollar enterprise in Australia, and it costs the government millions in unpaid tax revenue. 

"This type of crime corrupts people in trusted positions [in logistics] . . . and there's no doubt that there's others out there," a police official told reporters at a press conference Tuesday. "We're going to continue to investigate." 

Top image: Marco Verch / CC BY 2.0 


Energy Trader Convicted of Bribing Officials in a Developing Nation

Court case illustrates the profit potential of small bribes in the energy-trading business

Cash
Public domain / Pixabay

PUBLISHED FEB 26, 2024 7:02 PM BY THE MARITIME EXECUTIVE

 

A U.S. federal jury has convicted a former Vitol trader of bribery and money laundering in connection with a sprawling scheme to secure contracts in Latin America. 

Javier Aguilar, formerly employed by trading house Vitol, has been convicted of bribing officials at Petroecuador and laundering money for bribe payments in Ecuador and Mexico. He denies the charges, and his lawyers claim that he was set up by a former executive at Vitol.

The jury found that over the course of 2015-2020, Aguilar and his co-conspirators bribed Ecuadorian officials to obtain a $300 million fuel oil contract. Since Petroecuador has restrictions on contracts with private firms, the deal was arranged through a Middle Eastern state-owned enterprise, and the paid-off Ecuadorian officials made sure that this firm won the contract.

Aguilar also allegedly bribed two officials with Mexican state energy firm Pemex, paying $600,000 to obtain a supply contract for ethane gas worth hundreds of millions of dollars.

Court documents illustrate the profound financial incentives for committing bribery in the energy-trading business. The court found that over the course of the scheme, Aguilar had arranged to pay just $1 million in bribes in exchange for a $500 million book of business for Vitol. Seven of Aguilar's co-conspirators have agreed to forfeit $63 million in ill-gotten earnings - a massive 60-fold profit on a $1 million bribery expense. 

Aguilar faces a maximum sentence of up to 30 years in prison. According to Bloomberg, his bail has been set at $2 million and he has been ordered to wear an ankle monitor until the sentencing hearing. 

Vitol settled with the Department of Justice in a related case in 2020, and it agreed to pay $160 million in penalties. Competitor Gunvor has also acknowledged that it faces an inquiry in connection to alleged corruption in Ecuador. 


 

Diamonds are a chip's best friend


Highly precise optical absorption spectra of diamond reveal ultra-fine splitting  


Peer-Reviewed Publication

KYOTO UNIVERSITY

Diamonds are a chip's best friend 

IMAGE: 

HIGHLY PRECISE OPTICAL ABSORPTION SPECTRA OF DIAMOND REVEAL ULTRA-FINE SPLITTING  

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CREDIT: KYOTOU/NOBUKO NAKA




Kyoto, Japan -- Besides being "a girl's best friend," diamonds have broad industrial applications,  such as in solid-state electronics. New technologies aim to produce high-purity synthetic crystals that become excellent semiconductors when doped with impurities as electron donors or acceptors of other elements.

These extra electrons -- or holes -- do not participate in atomic bonding but sometimes bind to excitons -- quasi-particles consisting of an electron and an electron hole -- in semiconductors and other condensed matter. Doping may cause physical changes, but how the exciton complex -- a bound state of two positively-charged holes and one negatively-charged electron -- manifests in diamonds doped with boron has remained unconfirmed. Two conflicting interpretations exist of the exciton's structure.

An international team of researchers led by Kyoto University has now determined the magnitude of the spin-orbit interaction in acceptor-bound excitons in a semiconductor.

"We broke through the energy resolution limit of conventional luminescence measurements by directly observing the fine structure of bound excitons in boron-doped blue diamond, using optical absorption," says team leader Nobuko Naka of KyotoU's Graduate School of Science.

"We hypothesized that, in an exciton, two positively charged holes are more strongly bound than an electron-and-hole pair," adds first author Shinya Takahashi. "This acceptor-bound exciton structure yielded two triplets separated by a spin-orbit splitting of 14.3 meV, supporting the hypothesis."

Luminescence resulting from thermal excitation can be used to observe high-energy states, but this current measurement method broadens spectral lines and blurs ultra-fine splitting.

Instead, Naka's team cooled the diamond crystal to cryogenic temperatures, obtaining nine peaks on the deep-ultraviolet absorption spectrum, compared to the usual four using luminescence. In addition, the researchers developed an analytical model including the spin-orbit effect to predict the energy positions and absorption intensities.

"In future studies, we are considering the possibility of measuring absorption under external fields, leading to further line splitting and validation due to changes in symmetry," says Université Paris-Saclay's Julien Barjon.

"Our results provide useful insights into spin-orbit interactions in systems beyond solid-state materials, such as atomic and nuclear physics. A deeper understanding of materials may improve the performance of diamond devices, such as light-emitting diodes, quantum emitters, and radiation detectors," notes Naka.

###

The paper "Spin-Orbit Effects on Exciton Complexes in Diamond" appeared on 26 February 2024 in Physical Review Letters, with doi: 10.1103/PhysRevLett.132.096902

About Kyoto University
Kyoto University is one of Japan and Asia's premier research institutions, founded in 1897 and responsible for producing numerous Nobel laureates and winners of other prestigious international prizes. A broad curriculum across the arts and sciences at undergraduate and graduate levels complements several research centers, facilities, and offices around Japan and the world. For more information, please see: http://www.kyoto-u.ac.jp/en

Projected climate change scenarios augur the disappearance of the Balearic boxwood


This species, common in eastern Andalusia, is able to trap moisture from the fog and convey it to the ground, making it a valuable tool in times of drought

Peer-Reviewed Publication

UNIVERSITY OF CÓRDOBA

The researchers José Luis Quero and Esteban Hernández Esteban next to a Balearic boxwood 

IMAGE: 

THE RESEARCHERS JOSÉ LUIS QUERO AND ESTEBAN HERNÁNDEZ ESTEBAN NEXT TO A BALEARIC BOXWOOD

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CREDIT: UNIVERSITY OF CORDOBA




This species, common in eastern Andalusia, is able to trap moisture from the fog and convey it to the ground, making it a valuable tool in times of drought.

The Balearic boxwood (Buxus balearica) a species that in recent years has reduced its extension and that is found on the Iberian Peninsula in very arid areas, such as Malaga, Granada and Almeria, has a special capacity: it condenses fog moisture of on its leaves, causing the drops to fall to the ground, thereby reaching basins and aquifers. In this way, the Balearic boxwood can be of use against drought by providing an extra supply of water. However, future climate change scenarios calculated until the end of the 21st century warn of the disappearance of the Balearic boxwood in the southeast of the peninsula, so it is necessary to implement conservation programs averting these scenarios.

This is what a research team at the University of Cordoba's Department of Forestry Engineering states in an article published in the journal Diversity, as does a doctoral thesis by UCO researcher Yalberiy Labarca. In the three scenarios they have calculated ―for 2040, 2050 and 2100― the Balearic boxwood tends to disappear due to a reduction in advection fog, "an ecometeorological phenomenon that facilitates the presence of Balearic boxwood in its last stronghold," in the words of José Luis Quero, a UCO researcher and co-director of the thesis.

This phenomenon, which the Phoenicians were familiar with, and called taró, is a kind of frequent microprecipitation in summer formed when a warm inland wind, called a terral, interacts with cool air from Alboran Sea. When the terral ceases, it blows sea air back into inland areas of the Peninsula, transporting the sea's cold moisture. "This advection fog is fundamental because the boxwood is thirsty, like all plants in summer, and it turns out that in the summer this fog, which is quite frequent, gives it the ability to condense water and survive," explains Professor Esteban Hernández Bermejo, co-director of the thesis.

In addition, advection fog not only benefits the Balearic boxwood, but also the other species near it, since the boxwood has formed communities where there is a high concentration of biodiversity and in which the species provide society with different benefits. According to Hernández Bermejo, "conserving the Balearic boxwood in Andalusia means putting the spotlight on one of Andalusia's greatest centers of biological biodiversity."

In future climate change scenarios, however, advection fog will be reduced. This means a reduction in an extra source of water for a plant that did not originate in a dry climate, but rather a wetter one. The reduction of this fog is coupled with other threats to biodiversity, such as the excessive extraction of water for tropical crops in the area, and the presence of invasive emerging species (such as a moth that is already decimating Buxus sempervirens, a cousin of the Balearic boxwood, but more common, and widely used in gardening). In this scenario, the Balearic boxwood will tend to disappear. "In the future, the plant is going to be severely threatened. Not only by reductions in the taró, but also because by usage changes," says Quero.

Due to this situation, the team points to the need to implement conservation programs, both in the natural settings where the plant grows, and by conserving seeds in dormant sites. These two types of programs will strengthen their populations and protect their natural habitat. To this end, the team has expanded the collections of the Royal Botanical Garden of Cordoba's Plant Germplasm Bank by including 31 new samples from different locations, and has verified that the material preserved is representative of the genetic variety existing in Andalusia. The Bank holds a large number of seeds from different plants, and José Luis Quero, also its scientific director, hopes that its collections will serve to facilitate research that will support the conservation of the species.

The study, which also examined the habitat, forms of propagation and uses associated with the boxwood, has identified two distinct habitats in which the plant lives. The first of these is characterized by taró and occurs at an elevation of around 200-500 meters. The second habitat is identified by the orographic fog that also appears as a consequence of the movements of air layers, but when a mass of humid air reaches a mountain, therefore occurring at around 800-1,200 meters.

With its study the team aims to save a forgotten and underused species, using it in an innovative way in order to deal with climate change. Therefore, in addition to focusing on the Balearic boxwood, it has also focused on another drought-resistant species with the ability to condense fog moisture and that, although waning, is found in Morocco: the argan; a little-known and barely used species in Spanish agriculture, they studied its ecological demands, what will happen to it if measures are not taken, and how to facilitate its propagation.

References:

Hernández-Bermejo, J.E.; Labarca-Rojas, Y.; Herrera-Molina, F.; Quero, J.L.; &Hernández-Clemente, R. Recovery of Neglected Species with Cloud Water Micro Condense Capacity as a Response to Climate Change: The Case of Sclerophyllous Boxwoods of Buxus balearica Lam. in the Southern Spanish Mediterranean. Diversity 15, 1184. (2023) https://doi.org/10.3390/d15121184. 

Labarca-Rojas, Y., Hernández-Bermejo, J.E., Herrera-Molina, F; Hernández-Clemente, M & Quero, J.L. Assessing argan tree (Argania spinosa (L.) skeels) ex-situ collections as a complementary tool to in-situ conservation and crop introduction in the Mediterranean basin. Trees 37, 567–581 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00468-022-02367-0. 

Labarca-Rojas, Y., Hernández-Bermejo, J.E., Quero, J.L.&Herrera-Molina, F. Bioclimatic habitat limitations for argan trees (Argania spinosa (L.) Skeels) in Northern Africa and Spain. Reg Environ Change 22, 14 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-021-01869-w. 

 

What motivates high-quality medical care: Is it all about money?


Peer-Reviewed Publication

UNIVERSITY OF COLOGNE





In many economics sectors, financial incentives are considered an effective means of motivating both employees and managers to deliver top performance. Incentives – and their counterpart, financial disincentives, in particular – are a recurring topic in debates about healthcare reform in Germany and other countries. So far, however, there is little scientific evidence that bonuses for high-quality medical treatment also result in better health outcomes for patients.

The study ‘A new look at physicians’ responses to financial incentives: Quality of care, practice characteristics, and motivations’, published in the Journal of Health Economics and conducted by Professor Dr Daniel Wiesen and colleagues from different German universities, investigated the effects of quality-based incentives on physician behaviour. The data show that quality-based bonuses can increase the quality of medical care. The level of the financial incentives does not have a significant impact, however.

The study focused on primary healthcare, i.e., primary-care residential outpatient practices in Germany. The researchers linked three different data sets: (1) An anonymised behavioural economic experiment using a controlled variation of incentives elicited treatment decisions of about one hundred general practitioners in a stylised practice-like setting. (2) The Zi-Praxis-Panel (ZiPP) of the Zentralinstitut für die kassenärztliche Versorgung – an annual representative panel regarding business management data conducted with more than 6,000 practicing physicians contracting with the Statutory Health Insurance in Germany – provided anonymised data on the annual net income of the participating practice owners. (3) A survey conducted by the authors of the study gave further insights into the attitudes and motivations of the doctors.

The results of the behavioural experiment show that performance-based remuneration increases the quality of medical treatment compared to capitation payment for each patient. This effect increases in the severity of the illness. Furthermore, the authors find no positive correlation between higher annual net income of practice owners (in reality) and better medical care (in the experiment) – the opposite appears to be the case. Last but not least, the study showed that personal attitudes and motivations of general practitioners play an important role for the quality of care: Doctors stating the best treatment for their patients to be their primary decision motive provide better service quality than physicians additionally motivated by their annual net income.

Wiesen concluded: “Irrespective of which level of quality-based remuneration is appropriate or fair, the quality of healthcare depends to a large extent on the altruistic motivation of doctors towards their patients. This is, however, only one behavioural channel. Further controlled behavioural experimental research is needed to better understand the interplay between incentives, individual characteristics and physician behaviour.“

 

Maths: Smart learning software helps children during lockdowns - and beyond


Peer-Reviewed Publication

MARTIN-LUTHER-UNIVERSITÄT HALLE-WITTENBERG





Intelligent tutoring systems for math problems helped pupils remain or even increase their performance during the Corona pandemic. This is the conclusion of a new study led by the Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg (MLU) and Loughborough University in the UK. As part of their work, the researchers analysed data from five million exercises done by around 2,700 pupils in Germany over a period of five years. The study found that particularly lower-performing children benefit if they use the software regularly. The paper was published in the journal "Computers and Education Open".

Intelligent tutoring systems are digital learning platforms that children can use to complete maths problems. "The advantage of those rapid learning aids is that pupils receive immediate feedback after they submit their solution. If a solution is incorrect, the system will provide further information about the pupil’s mistake. If certain errors are repeated, the system recognises a deficit and provides further problem sets that address the issue," explains Assistant Professor Dr Markus Spitzer, a psychologist at MLU. Teachers could also use the software to discover possible knowledge gaps in their classes and adapt their lessons accordingly. 

For the new study, Spitzer and his colleague Professor Korbinian Moeller from Loughborough University used data from "Bettermarks", a large commercial provider of such tutoring systems in Germany. The team analysed the performance of pupils before, during and after the first two coronavirus lockdowns. Their analysis included data from around 2,700 children who solved more than five million problems. The data was collected between January 2017 and the end of May 2021. "This longer timeframe allowed us to observe the pupils’ performance trajectories over several years and analyse them in a wider context," says Spitzer. 

The students’ performance was shown to remain constant throughout the period. "The fact that their performance didn’t drop during the lockdowns is a win in and of itself. But our analysis also shows that lower-performing children even managed to narrow the gap between themselves and higher achieving pupils," Spitzer concludes. 

According to the psychologist, intelligent tutoring systems are a useful addition to conventional maths lessons. "The use of tutoring systems varies greatly from state to state. However, our study suggests that their use should be expanded across the board," explains Spitzer. The systems could also help during future school closures, for example in the event of extreme weather conditions, transport strikes or similar events. 

 

Study: Spitzer M. W. H. & Moeller K. Performance increases in mathematics within an intelligent tutoring system during COVID-19 related school closures: a large-scale longitudinal evaluation. Computer and Education Open (2024). doi: 10.1016/j.caeo.2024.100162

 

Live video streaming from trauma incidents to emergency medical services is easy for members of the public to use and is feasible to evaluate – a new study finds


Peer-Reviewed Publication

UNIVERSITY OF SURREY




Innovative technology enabling ambulance service dispatchers to view footage from the scene of trauma incidents via video live streaming from mobile phones is feasible to implement and evaluate, a new study led by the University of Surrey and funded by the National Institute for Health and Care Research, reveals.

Such technology, used via 999 callers’ smartphones, could aid emergency medical services’ decision-making about how many and what type of emergency medical personnel and vehicles to send to major trauma incidents. 

Building on their previous work evaluating the use of GoodSAM Instant-On-Scene technology, Surrey researchers, in collaboration with Air Ambulance Charity Kent, Surrey and Sussex (KSS), London Ambulance Service (LAS) and South East Coast Ambulance Service (SECAmb), conducted the first randomised controlled trial in the world to evaluate the feasibility of implementing and evaluating the technology in this emergency setting and whether its use would be acceptable to members of the public.

Professor Cath Taylor, Professor of Healthcare Workforce, Organisation and Wellbeing at the University of Surreys School of Health Services, said:

Most ambulance services in the UK rely on callers to verbally relay accurate information about the condition of patients and what has happened at the scene. Often, due to their lack of medical knowledge and the shock of what they have witnessed, the information they provide may be unintentionally inaccurate.

Not having correct information makes it difficult for emergency medical services to determine how many and what types of medical personnel and vehicles should be sent to the scene. Using GoodSAM could help us overcome this. However, we need to understand the practicalities of implementing and evaluating such technology within emergency services.”

Researchers trialled the technology over six weeks between June and November 2022. They randomised the working shifts of those responsible for dispatching enhanced care resources (such as the air ambulance) to either use live video streaming or not.  A total of 62 working shifts were randomised, and 240 trauma incidents were included throughout the trial. All 999 callers during intervention periods spoke to emergency call handlers as normal, who then transferred the call to enhanced care dispatchers who asked the callers permission to use live streaming and assessed if GoodSAM technology was safe to be used.

Out of the incidents that occurred during intervention working shifts, 72 were confirmed as eligible to use GoodSAM; of those, 86 per cent of the callers were willing and able to use the technology. This resulted in the footage being viewed in 85 per cent of these calls. Though the study was not designed to evaluate the impact on decision-making, livestreaming directly led to changes to dispatch decisions, including the KSS air ambulance being stood down in two instances, saving money and enabling them to be redeployed elsewhere.

Professor Richard Lyon MBE, Professor of Pre-Hospital Emergency Care at the University of Surrey and Director of Research and Innovation at Air Ambulance Charity Kent, Surrey, Sussex, said:

"Giving dispatchers eyes on the ground could be game-changing in helping them dispatch the appropriate response to major trauma incidents. Air ambulance services are important, scarce and expensive resources that must be tasked accurately to those patients who need them most.

What we have found is live video streaming from 999 callers is feasible to implement, acceptable, and easy to use for both callers and dispatchers. More research is needed to understand the impact that live streaming has on dispatch decisions, and whether it can improve the speed and accuracy of ambulance dispatch. We also found it challenging to recruit 999 callers to the study and need to work with members of the public to overcome this challenge for future research, as their insight is invaluable.”

Professor Julia Williams, a paramedic and Head of Research for the South East Ambulance Service NHS Foundation Trust reported:

“This study is really important for patients to ensure they get the most appropriate emergency response in the quickest time possible. There are many ways that we can use this type of technology to improve the emergency healthcare services that we provide to our population and this approach has shown great promise in our research study.

“It is vital that our developing services are based on evidence and research findings. This research is a great example of different organisations working together for our patients’ benefit and, at the same time, it gave us an opportunity to make sure that our staff could effectively use this technology with no harm to them or the callers.”

This study was published in the Scandinavian Journal of Trauma, Resuscitation and Emergency Medicine

 

Advancing climate change research and policy demands knowledge from Indigenous Peoples and local communities, new study reveals

Peer-Reviewed Publication

UNIVERSITAT AUTONOMA DE BARCELONA





As you read this, many regions of the world are implementing crisis plans against drought, while, simultaneously, torrential rains wreak havoc in other corners of the planet, submerging cities and crops under the forces of wild waters. Would we all agree that we should be doing our best to improve our understanding of climate change impacts and design policies to address them? If so, involving Indigenous Peoples and local communities is crucial, and if done properly, the results will be valuable for society at large.

This is a key finding of a large locally relevant and globally coordinated study by the Institute of Environmental Science and Technology of the Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona (ICTA-UAB) that includes 48 Indigenous Peoples and local communities across all climate zones on all inhabited continents. The project "Local Indicators of Climate Change Impacts" (LICCI), led by Victoria Reyes-García, ICREA Research Professor at ICTA-UAB, has been funded by the European Research Council (ERC) and conducted in collaboration with numerous local organisations, ranging from universities and governmental institutions to the civil society. Results from this work were recently published in the journal Communications Earth & Environment.

"The impacts of climate change are enormous, numerous, and different across communities, which makes the design of adaptation strategies challenging. We acknowledge this. And yet the LICCI project has demonstrated that Indigenous and local knowledge brings new evidence that can inform climate change interventions that are also fair and effective," says Victoria Reyes-García, LICCI principal investigator. 

Climate change is a global phenomenon with complex and convoluted causes and effects requiring international collaboration at all levels. However, the variability of climate change impacts is such that local interventions to mitigate them are not always effective. Moreover, the complexity of aggregated drivers of change, such as local conflicts, large infrastructure planning, or tourism, to name a few, can distort our comprehension of climate change drivers and impacts. Importantly, climate change impacts are perceived differently by communities whose livelihoods diverge from the economic activities of the world's major economies and who embody distinctive cultural views and understandings of the world. As a result, food sovereignty, economic security, and cultural identity are at stake in many parts of the world.

For this reason, scientists and policymakers have been seeking ways to include the needs of Indigenous Peoples and local communities in their studies and intervention programs for many years now, with international initiatives such as the Local Communities and Indigenous Peoples Platform (LCIPP) of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). Unfortunately, more often than not, these communities were overlooked from the very beginning to the implementation stage. One reason, though not the only one, was the challenge of integrating globally applicable and reproducible measurements—critical for informing intricate climate models—with data that are often sparse and less comparable from remote areas worldwide. This challenge is particularly pronounced in regions where communities heavily rely on nature, making them more vulnerable to the impacts of climate change.

And this is the problem the project LICCI–Local Indicators of Climate Change Impacts–set out to address. Through a collaborative effort involving 81 researchers from 65 institutions, the LICCI team developed and tested a site-specific yet cross-culturally comparable protocol. This innovative approach aimed to systematically document climate change impacts as perceived by the inhabitants of the targeted regions. The project engaged over 5,000 individuals across 48 diverse cultures and nationalities, representing 179 communities in 37 countries. While not every community could be consulted, the analysis of 1,661 reported impacts, organized in 369 indicators, underscores the value of broad inclusion. If widely adopted, the LICCI protocols hold the potential to provide a comprehensive global perspective, facilitating the integration of Indigenous Peoples and local communities and their knowledge into the broader landscape of international climate change research and policy.

Indeed, the study consistently underlines that Indigenous Peoples and local communities share a profound awareness of the persistent, palpable, and far-reaching impacts of climate change. Remarkably, they are able to discern and see simultaneous impact of these effects and those instigated by other transformative forces in their communities–ranging from the construction of roads and shifts in national and international land-use regulations to alterations in access to common goods and services. In numerous instances, these communities have demonstrated resilience by proactively responding to such impacts: they have strategically adjusted their socio-economic and cultural activities, aiming to mitigate the repercussions on both the environment and their way of life. But, in other cases, there is not much to be done at the local scale and people feel powerless and overwhelmed.

Comparable to many other research protocols, communities participating in the LICCI project frequently report shifts in average or seasonal temperatures, as well as changes in crop productivity and the abundance of wild plants—these being the most common observations. However, what sets LICCI apart is its nuanced indicator system, enabling the association of changes in mean temperature or crop productivity with diverse observations and explanations across different locations. This ranges from a dry wind emanating from the Sahara affecting Ghana to a reduction in precipitation impacting Chile when accounting for temperature. Similarly, it includes condensation cycles shortening in Senegal and pest infestations in Romania when assessing crop productivity.

How can Indigenous Peoples’ and local communities’ knowledge influence climate change research and policy?

In Spain and around the world, the LICCI project has demonstrated that changes in the way local communities interact with the environment serve as crucial indicators of the climate changes they observe. Considering the complex and in-depth knowledge they have proven to have, along with their capacity to adapt to climate change and mitigate its impacts on their communities, the LICCI Consortium has distilled their learnings into three important recommendations for both researchers and policymakers:

– Engaging with Indigenous Peoples and local communities broadens, enriches and deepens our understanding of climate change and its impacts at the local level. This understanding can be utilized to enhance locally relevant adaptation plans and interventions.

– In the context of global negotiations for climate justice, the LICCI project provides a methodology to measure and compare climate change impacts worldwide, which can also inform appropriate compensatory measures.

– Protecting Indigenous and local knowledge and cultural systems involves supporting their capacity to adapt to ongoing impacts and enabling them to contribute to global mitigation efforts.

 

The LICCI communities in Spain

The LICCI project has studied three regions in Spain–Cabrales in Asturias, Sierra Nevada in Andalucia, and the Cap de Creus region in the Costa Brava. These regions, chosen for their unique orographic conditions and diverse ecological settings, provide compelling examples of how local communities adapt to and deeply understand the nuanced impacts of climate change.

In the towns of Arenas, Arangas, and Asiego in the Cabrales municipality, researchers have documented the impacts of climate change in home gardens, which are crucial for food independence. Local peoples describe the unsettling blurring of seasons, with changes in rainfall and temperature as well as extreme weather events that have altered irrigation practices and harvesting schedules, contributing to an increase in crop diseases. To counter these challenges, residents are constructing greenhouses and water tanks, and intensifying the use of fungicides.

In Sierra Nevada, a European biodiversity hotspot housing the Sierra Nevada Global Change Observatory, men and women reported similar climate change impacts.  Notably, those with higher education, who are the least likely to work in the primary sector, show the least awareness of these impacts. This underscores the significance of local knowledge about the terrain and ecosystem for understanding the complexities of climate change.

In the Costa Brava, LICCI experts have worked with artisanal fishermen and documented their advanced knowledge of the environment. Local fishermen relate changes in storms and wind to changes in the population of various marine species that ultimately affect their livelihoods. In fact, the complex ecological knowledge they possess allows them to identify impacts of climate change that have not been thoroughly examined in scientific literature, such as effects on the behavior of marine animals, or on food chains, and even synthetic pollution.