Wednesday, October 02, 2024

Harris backs striking port workers, knocks Trump

Alex Gangitano
Wed, October 2, 2024

Vice President Harris voiced her support Wednesday for striking port workers, while also bashing her rival former President Trump, after tens of thousands of longshoremen at ports along the East Coast and Gulf of Mexico walked off the job.

“This strike is about fairness. Foreign-owned shipping companies have made record profits and executive compensation has grown. The Longshoremen, who play a vital role transporting essential goods across America, deserve a fair share of these record profits,” Harris said in a statement.

She quickly turned to Trump, saying he “wants to pull us back to a time before workers had the freedom to organize,” arguing that he makes “empty promises” to workers but “never delivers.”

The United States Maritime Alliance (USMX) and the International Longshoremen’s Association (ILA) failed to reach a new labor agreement by the deadline Tuesday, leading to the first strike by the port workers’ union in nearly 50 years.

The union has demanded wage increases and a total ban on the automation of cranes, gates and container-moving trucks. The USMX said Monday evening it had “traded counteroffers related to wages” with the ILA.

Harris, in her statement, repeated a line from her rallies, which is that Trump cares more about skyscraper owners than the workers who built the buildings. And, she touted the PRO Act, which is the pro-labor legislation that President Biden has also called for Congress to pass.

“He thinks our economy should only work for those who own the big skyscrapers, not those who actually build them,” Harris said, referring to Trump. “As President, I will have workers’ backs and finally pass the PRO Act. And I will fight for an opportunity economy — where every person has the chance not just to get by but to get ahead.”

Biden on Tuesday called for the striking workers to get an increase in wages, urging USMX to come to the table and present an offer to the workers that ensures they are paid fairly.

The strike raises political obstacles for Biden and Harris and has real consequences for the U.S. and international economy, costing as much as $5 billion per day and impacting both exports and imports.


Harris, Trump take an America First tone on dockworkers’ strike

Ry Rivard
Wed, October 2, 2024 



Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are so far taking the same side in the strike by East and Gulf Coast longshoremen — speaking up for the American workers against the foreign-owned shipping companies that control ports in the U.S.

The fact that major political leaders from both parties are taking aim at the European- and Asian-based shipping companies represents an early political victory for the dockworkers. Their union has portrayed the strike that began this week as a necessary step to get better wages from exploitative conglomerates that bring goods in and out of the country.

The messaging is also just the latest sign that both parties see the support of blue-collar workers as crucial to the outcome of November's elections.


“American workers should be able to negotiate for better wages, especially since the shipping companies are mostly foreign flag vessels, including the largest consortium ONE,” Trump said in a statement on Tuesday evening. The Singapore-based ONE is the sixth-largest shipping company in the world.

Striking dockworkers are enjoying the confluence of a labor-friendly Democratic White House and a GOP nominee trying to court union voters weeks before an election. Trump’s support for this strike contrasts with his suggestion in August, during an interview on X with Elon Musk, that striking employees should be fired.

Harris also sounded a message sympathetic to the port workers on Wednesday, despite the risk that an extended strike could trigger price spikes and commodity shortages that would imperil her chances of defeating Trump.


The vice president said the strike by the International Longshoremen’s Association is “about fairness,” and also emphasized the shippers’ outside-the-U.S. locale.

“Foreign-owned shipping companies have made record profits and executive compensation has grown,” she said in a statement. “The Longshoremen, who play a vital role transporting essential goods across America, deserve a fair share of these record profits.”

Harris also dismissed Trump’s pro-union rhetoric as an “empty promise.”

President Joe Biden has similarly criticized shipping companies for not sharing enough of their recent record profits with workers, and said his administration is monitoring “any price gouging activity that benefits foreign ocean carriers” during the strike.

New Jersey Gov. Phil Murphy, a Democrat whose state is home to the largest port on the East Coast, put the issue more starkly. He said the strike is “foreign owned operators on the one hand and American workers on the other hand.”

The United States Maritime Alliance, the trade group that represents the shipping industry at the bargaining table, pushed back against the criticism, saying its diverse membership includes foreign-owned companies that have American subsidiaries, as well as port facility operators and associations that are based in the U.S.

“Our members employ more than 35,000 Americans within their direct organizations, and play a vital role in supporting economic activity across the country,” the alliance, known as USMX, said in a statement.

The foreign companies are convenient political foils for all sides, including the union, which is demanding raises of 60 percent or more over the next six years for workers who already do well by blue-collar standards. (Dockworkers in New York and New Jersey can make over $250,000 a year.)

Shortages during the pandemic put supply-chain issues on America's radar screen. Both parties have sought to boost American self-reliance and manufacturing, with Trump and Biden notably both agreeing that the U.S. needs to cut its reliance on Chinese goods.

But the shipping industry is a vital link to world markets that remains in the hands of foreign companies. Since the 1980s, almost all American ocean carriers have been sold to foreign companies or gone out of business. As a result, the U.S., which has its roots as a collection of maritime colonies centuries ago, has lost its place as a maritime leader over the past several decades.

Some of the companies that operate these ships, known as ocean carriers, may carry familiar logos on the sides of shipping containers. Many — like Maersk, CMA CGM, Evergreen and Hapag-Lloyd — are based in countries friendly to the U.S., but some are not. COSCO is a state-owned Chinese enterprise, which makes it an even bigger target given the anti-China sentiment coursing through Congress in both parties.

Rep. Mike Waltz, a Florida Republican, singled out COSCO in a social media post about the strike and warned of Chinese influence over American ports.

Of the more than 40,000 cargo ships in the world, fewer than 200 are based in the U.S. The business is also heavily concentrated because the largest companies — all foreign owned — control the lion’s share of the market.

Even Sea-Land, an American company that is credited for inventing the now-ubiquitous cargo container 70 years ago, was sold to Denmark-based Maersk in 1999.

The head of the striking dockworkers union, ILA President Harold Daggett, used to work for Sea-Land and speaks fondly of the company, while blasting Maersk for making record profits, doling out executive bonuses and attempting to replace his members with robots.

“If it was up to them, they would like to see everybody lose their jobs,” Daggett said in a recent video statement.

While all the major shipping lines are foreign-owned, other companies operate port facilities, known as terminals. Some of those are purely American companies, including Port Newark Container Terminal, which is based in New Jersey, and Red Hook Terminals, which has facilities in New York, New Jersey and Texas.

But Maersk also owns one of the largest terminal operators, APM Terminals, which Daggett has been particularly critical of because his members work at terminals. In Rotterdam, the Netherlands, Maersk has already built a “fully automated” terminal. As part of the contract negotiations, Daggett wants to protect workers from such automation.

At times, the foreign ownership issues have drawn legal and lawmakers’ scrutiny.

In 2016, Tyson Foods, the American food giant, urged the federal government to take a closer look at alliances among the shipping companies.

In 2017, The Wall Street Journal reported that federal investigators “crashed a meeting of the world’s 20 biggest container-shipping operators and gave subpoenas to top executives at several companies as part of a probe on price fixing.” The investigation was closed without charges.

Not only does the U.S. have few cargo ships, but the country cannot easily build more ships even if it wanted to.

This issue has long worried Congress because the American shipbuilding industry is, in the words of the Congressional Research Service, “globally uncompetitive.”

New attention on foreign ownership amid the strike could put pressure on the Biden administration to take action against Chinese cargo ships as part of a probeinto Beijing’s state-backed shipbuilding industry, which has enabled the country’s industry to quickly dominate the shipbuilding and maritime sector. The probe was requested by a coalition of labor unions, which proposed a port fee on Chinese-made ships that could be used to fund a subsidy to revitalize U.S. shipbuilding.

Ari Hawkins, Nick Niedzwiadek, Holly Otterbein, Josh Sisco and Sam Sutton contributed to this report.

 

Street harassment of women in Spain: frequent, it increases anxiety and lowers self-esteem





University of Córdoba
Street harassment of women in Spain: frequent, it increases anxiety and lowers self-esteem 

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Researchers Naima Farhane, Ana Contreras and Rosario Castillo 

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Credit: Universidad de Córdoba




Street harassment of women in Spain: frequent, it increases anxiety and lowers self-esteem

98% of women suffer street harassment, and 80% of them do so a monthly basis, according to a study by the Department of Psychology at the UCO in which 245 women participated

Street harassment is one of the forms of Violence Against Women recognized by the UN since 2013. This type of violence involves a series of behaviors directed at women, by one or more unknown men, without communicative intent. These are behaviors featuring a sexual dimension and that seek to degrade women. Despite the adjective “street,” they actually transcendstreets, per se, extending to other locations like parks, shopping malls, cinemas and university halls, for example.

Given the scarcity of studies on the subject in Spain, and with the aim of ascertaining the prevalence and frequency of these behaviors, and their impact on the psychological well-being of women, researchers in the Department of Psychology Ana M. Contreras Merino, Naima Z. Farhane Medina and Rosario Castillo Mayén took an "x-ray" of the problem in the country, unifying different types of street harassment in public and semi-public places.

The study, which involved 245 women between the ages of 18 and 61, found high rates of street harassment in the country. "98% of the women surveyed had experienced some type of street harassment in their lives, 80% had experienced it on a monthly basis, and 25.7%, on a daily basis," explained researcher Naima Farhane.

Regarding the impact that these behaviors can have on women's lives, researcher Ana Contreras pointed to how "higher levels of anxiety and fear of rape are observed when these experiences of harassment are more frequent. Self-esteem also dropsas a result of these experiences." "The study specifically asked about anxiety, placing women in situations of harassment to indicate the discomfort they felt in relation to that experience," explained researcher Rosario Castillo.

Changes in women's lives and routines to avoid harassment are also indicated in the study, as participants reported that they restricted their own mobility and avoided certain places when they were alone.

In this way, "street harassment emerges as a control mechanism that aggravates women's subordination. The fact that women use these avoidance strategies restricts public spaces to those who can use them with a certain level of security," added Farhane.

Thus, the limitations on women's freedom of movement due to street harassment reflected in the study highlight the importance of this problem, despite the legislative support in the country. As the researchers point out, there is a clash between what happens on the street and regulatory advances, creating a kind of "equality bubble."

Finally, another issue revealed by the study is that sexism leads to fewer reports of harassment experiences. It shows that, as Contreras explained, "harboring a sexist ideology can prevent one from detecting or remembering these experiences of harassment, which are normalized and understood as part of the normal relationship between women and men." In contrast, feminist women identified these types of behaviors more readily.

The researchers point to education and the fight against sexism as possible ways to deal with these situations that, as they demonstrate, have a high impact on women's lives and well-being. In their line of research, they will continue to delve into the subject to identify possible differences based on age, the nature of them, and to explore how women cope with street harassment.

Reference

Contreras-Merino, A.M., Farhane-Medina, N.Z. & Castillo-Mayén, R. (2024) Unmasking Street Harassment in Spain: Prevalence, Psychological Impact, and the Role of Sexism in Women’s Experiences. Sex Roles 90, 1136–1153 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11199-024-01500-2

 

 

Understanding regional climate change is essential for guiding effective climate adaptation policy, study finds



From intensified monsoons and storm tracks to polar precipitation shifts, a new synthesis of regional climate data emphasizes the need for climate adaptation policy based on the latest regional climate science.


Frontiers

Recent models highlight regional climate impacts from the equator to the poles 

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Recent models highlight regional climate impacts from the equator to the poles

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Credit: Collins M et al/Frontiers




The effects of climate change are not distant future scenarios or confined to remote parts of the world—they are unfolding now, right in our own backyards. In 2023, extreme weather events impacted communities across every inhabited continent, causing major flooding, droughts, and wildfires.

While worldwide changes, such as increases in global mean temperature, often dominate discussions of mitigation actions, a detailed understanding of the regional impacts of a warming world is crucial for protecting communities from escalating risks. A team of researchers writing in Frontiers in Science synthesized results from multiple new studies to provide a clearer picture of these regional climate change impacts.

"We are constantly advancing our understanding of climate change, particularly its regional aspects, to inform policies aimed at adaptation,” said first author Matthew Collins of the University of Exeter, UK. “While global aspects remain important, humanity will feel the impact of climate change at the regional level. This is where infrastructure planning, extreme event preparedness, and management of public health and food security need to up-to-date climate science."

Regional impacts and rising risks

The study revealed a range of emerging climate change signals at the local level that are likely to occur this century, spanning from the equator to the poles.

In tropical and subtropical regions, dramatic changes in precipitation are expected to significantly alter monsoon intensity, leading to substantial societal impacts. Monsoon systems, which are critical for agriculture, directly affect billions of people. Approximately 60% of the world’s population resides in the northern hemisphere monsoon regions, where the summer monsoon season can deliver up to 80% of the annual rainfall. As aerosol emissions decrease and greenhouse gases rise, monsoons are predicted to become more intense, potentially resulting in floods, landslides, and reduced agricultural yields.

In the mid-latitudes, high-resolution climate models indicate a potential strengthening of storm tracks into northwestern Europe, increasing the risk of extreme weather.

"Increased monsoon precipitation and storm track rainfall variability can lead to droughts in some regions and high winds and flooding in others, resulting in devastating impacts on agriculture, essential infrastructure, and the overall health of communities,” said co-author Vikki Thompson, from the Koninklijk Nederlands Meteorologisch Instituut, the Netherlands.

In polar regions, projections show that a greater fraction of precipitation will fall as rain rather than snow, potentially accelerating ice melt and amplifying sea-level rise. This transition endangers coastal communities worldwide. Moreover, changes at the poles are not confined to those regions. Polar amplification, which refers to the phenomenon in which the poles warm faster than the rest of the planet, can influence weather patterns in the mid-latitudes, potentially altering storm tracks.

Enhanced climate models can improve regional adaptation and resilience

The study calls for a concerted, interdisciplinary effort in the scientific and policy communities to bridge the gaps in climate modeling. Higher-resolution data, integration of machine learning techniques, and new models will improve the simulation of complex climate phenomena at both global and regional levels. According to Eunice Lo, co-author from the University of Bristol, UK, such advancements are vital for informing international climate policies and ensuring that local adaptation measures—such as resilient infrastructure, enhanced early-warning systems, and sustainable agricultural practices—are based on the most reliable and precise data.

“Regional information is essential for preparing for these extreme events and implementing effective, science-led adaptation measures," added co-author Matt Priestley, also from the University of Exeter. "Without investments into advanced climate modeling and monitoring systems, policymakers and local communities are left navigating climate risks with insufficient information, which can lead to inadequate or misdirected efforts."

 

High costs slow widespread use of heat pumps, study shows


The high cost of installing heat pumps for home heating could slow down people widely adopting the technology and leave government targets missed, research suggests



University of Edinburgh





High costs slow widespread use of heat pumps, study shows

The high cost of installing heat pumps for home heating could slow down people widely adopting the technology and leave government targets missed, research suggests.

There has been a little to no reduction in the average installation cost of the green heating systems over the past decade in the UK, a study shows.

Although projections suggest a reduction of 20 to 25 per cent in installation costs by 2030, this falls significantly short of the targets set by UK policymakers, researchers say.

Domestic heat pumps currently play a marginal role in heating UK homes, experts say. The number of installations is growing, but remains low compared with traditional, fossil fuel-based heating systems.

Researchers say the findings highlight the need for policy aspirations to be based on realistic assessments of likely cost reductions, and to develop incentives that can address the relatively high upfront costs of some low carbon technologies.

As well as decarbonising home heating, advocates for heat pumps say they offer energy security and efficiency benefits, and can offer lower and more stable energy bills.

Researchers at the University of Edinburgh and Imperial College London used systematic evidence review techniques to analyse historic and forecast data for the installation costs of domestic heat pumps.

They included the different factors that can affect heat pump cost data such as the type of home, technology design and the wider heating system.

They also assessed equipment and non-equipment costs, and the factors affecting them such as international manufacturing supply chains and local labour markets.

They found there has been no significant reduction in the average installed cost of heat pumps over the past decade in the UK, while modest cost reductions were seen internationally.

However, there are prospects for reduced installed costs in the UK, they said. UK forecasts suggest a reduction in total installed costs by 2030 of around 20-25 per cent, with the anticipated savings higher for non-equipment costs – through more efficient installations, for example – than for equipment costs.

However, while there are prospects for reductions in installation costs, these reductions are unlikely to be on a scale and pace to match UK policy targets, the researchers say.

Dr Mark Winskel, of the University of Edinburgh’s School of Social and Political Science, said: “While there is a growing policy consensus that heat pumps will pay a key role in decarbonising home heating, there are some stubborn economic challenges. Our research suggests the need for realistic expectations about heat pump installed cost reductions, and also, introducing targeted support measures to reflect their competitive running costs and wider benefits.”

The study is published in the Journal Applied Energy (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.124014). The research was undertaken as part of the UK Energy Research Centre research programme, funded by the UK Research and Innovation's Energy and Decarbonisation theme.

 

Scientists highlight overlooked threats to Arctic coasts amid climate change


It is well documented that the Arctic is warming at a rate 3-4 above the global average, that sea ice is melting, glaciers retreat and permafrost thaws. But what happens when these changes are combined? This is the reality for Arctic coastal ecosystems 


Aarhus University

The transport of meltwater from land to the coastal ocean 

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Scientists study the impact of glacial meltwater on light availability for kelp in Young Sound, NE Greenland. The transport of meltwater from land to the coastal ocean is one of the mechanisms by which climate effects on land are exported to the fjords and contributes to the accumulated impact of climate change on coastal ecosystems.

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Credit: Karl Attard




As climate change rapidly transforms Arctic marine systems, the dramatic image of a polar bear struggling on a melting ice floe has become symbolic of the region’s environmental crisis. But Scientists argue that coastal Arctic ecosystems are undergoing a complementary set of changes to those in the open ocean. These changes are intensified by the interaction of land-based and marine transformations, driving significant impacts on both the environment and local communities.

"An increasing number of ecosystem drivers along the Arctic coasts are having broader implications for both ecological and human systems," the researchers observed. "The consequences of these changes are greater than what can be quantified in the open Arctic Ocean alone." Says Mikael Sejr, professor at the Institute of Ecoscience at Aarhus University.

With these changes come critical knowledge gaps. Filling these gaps is essential to ensuring that the socioecological systems along Arctic coasts can adapt and remain sustainable in the face of ongoing climate shifts.

 

Climate change, drought, dust, and plankton blooms



PNAS Nexus
Madagascar bloom 

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Monthly relative anomalies demonstrate the spatial development of chlorophyll-a concentration, a proxy for phytoplankton biomass, during December 2019. Relative anomalies are expressed as the percentage above the monthly climatological mean, relative to the period January 1998–December 2020.

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Credit: Gittings et al




A study links an unusual plankton bloom off the coast of Madagascar to drought in Southern Africa. Climate warming has intensified droughts around the world. When vegetation dies from lack of water, the wind can pick up and carry unprotected soil particles for thousands of kilometers. These dust particles can then act as fertilizer when deposited in seawater. Dionysios Raitsos and colleagues show that dust from drought-stricken Southern Africa caused a bloom of marine phytoplankton off the southeast Madagascar coast from November 2019 through February 2020. The team used standardized anomalies of dust aerosol optical depth from the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) and in situ coarse mode aerosol optical depth retrieved by a nearby Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) station to quantify the density of atmospheric dust aerosols over the Madagascar area through time. Dust aerosol optical depth anomalies averaged over the bloom region were the highest ever observed during the 17 years CAMS has been collecting data. This dust cloud coincided with heavy rains, which deposited the iron-rich particles into the sea, creating ideal nutrient conditions for phytoplankton growth. The authors identify multiple potential sources of these iron-rich dust aerosols in Southern Africa, which experienced high air temperature and drought from 2012–2020. According to the authors, as the climate warms, additional phytoplankton blooms caused by the same mechanism are to be expected—and these blooms could take up carbon dioxide from the atmosphere.    

dust source [VIDEO] | 

 

Nudges fail to reduce online hate



PNAS Nexus





Seven nudges aiming to reduce hateful speech online all failed—but the nudges unexpectedly succeeded in increasing engagement with harmless and wholesome content. Controlling hate speech is an ongoing challenge for online communities. In a pre-registered experiment, Tatiana Celadin and colleagues compared the effects of seven “nudges,” messages designed to promote prosocial behaviors: reminding posters of descriptive norms, injunctive norms, or personal norms; cooling down negative emotions; stimulating deliberation or empathy; and highlighting reputation. Over 4,000 Americans recruited through the online platform Prolific were asked to interact with a duplicate of Facebook’s newsfeed page. Each participant was shown one of the nudges or, in the control group, no message at all before engaging with the website, which featured 14 posts. The posts were of varying degrees of harmfulness, as measured by study participants who were asked to assess how “abusive” and “hateful” each post was. Unexpectedly, a major effect of most of the nudges was to increase engagement with harmless posts, as compared to controls. Engagement with extremely harmful posts did not significantly differ between the groups receiving nudges and the control group. Also, none of the nudges reduced the spread of harmful content. According to the authors, nudges may be worth pursuing even if nudges only increase engagement with harmless content as an increase of harmless content can dilute and drown out the harmful content. 

 

Smoke from megafires puts orchard trees at risk


Effects last months, reducing nut crop yields



University of California - Davis





By Amy Quinton | October 2, 2023

Long-term smoke exposure from massive wildfires lowers the energy reserves of orchard trees and can cut their nut production by half, researchers at the University of California, Davis, found. The smoke can affect trees for months after a megafire, depressing their bloom and the next season’s harvest. This finding reveals a new danger from wildfires that could affect plant health in both agricultural and natural environments.

Nature Plants published the study today (Oct. 2).

“A lot of research focuses on the impact of smoke on humans but there is less study on the effects of smoke on plant health,” said lead author Jessica Orozco, a postdoctoral researcher with the UC Davis Department of Plant Sciences. “Our study suggests that trees are just as vulnerable as humans.”

Dark skies, less energy for trees

Scientists studied almond, pistachio and walnut trees at 467 orchard sites in California’s Central Valley from 2018 to 2022. In 2020, megafires scorched more than 4.2 million acres in California, filling the skies with smoke and ash. At the time, researchers were studying how trees store energy, in the form of carbohydrates, to cope with heat and drought. But Orozco said the team saw an opportunity to study how smoke affects carbohydrate levels.

“Photosynthesis produces carbohydrates, which are critical elements for tree survival,” said Orozco. “Trees need carbohydrates not just to grow but to store energy for when they’re under stress or when photosynthesis isn’t happening.”

Photosynthesis changes under smoke-filled skies. Smoke particles block some sunlight but also reflect light, creating more diffused light. The diffused light can help trees make more carbohydrates. However, Orozco said the study found that while diffused light increased, the smoke was so thick that it likely didn’t compensate for the loss of direct light.

Lingering effects, less yield

The team found that megafire smoke not only reduced the amount of carbohydrates in trees but also caused losses that continued even after the fires were out. This led to nut yield decreases of 15% to as much as 50% in some orchards. The most active time for wildfires also coincides with the time trees start storing carbohydrates to sustain them through winter dormancy and spring growth.

“We were expecting to see some impact especially in the months when the smoke was really dense, but we weren’t expecting the smoke to have such a lingering effect and result in a significant drop in yield,” Orozco said. 

Orozco said researchers still don’t know what components in megafire smoke caused the decrease in tree carbohydrates. During the 2020 megafires, the smoke reduced light and increased both ozone and particulate matter levels, all of which affect photosynthesis. One or a combination of these factors could have led to the drop in tree carbohydrates.

Additional authors on the study are Professor Maciej A. Zwieniecki and postdoctoral researcher Paula Guzmán-Delgado of the UC Davis Department of Plant Sciences.

The Almond Board of California, the California Pistachio Research Board, the California Walnut Board and the California Department of Food and Agriculture supported the research.

 

The rate of climate change threatens to exceed the adaptive capacity of species




University of Helsinki
Arctic Siberian primrose. 

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The study revealed that the Siberian primrose may only be able to adapt to climate change if the warming can be limited in accordance with the goals of the Paris Agreement on climate change.

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Credit: Anniina Mattila.




A recent study from the University of Helsinki focusing on the Arctic Siberian primrose underscores the critical need to curb climate change to allow species time to adapt through evolution.

research group at the Finnish Museum of Natural History is investigating the adaptive potential of plant species amid a warming climate. Their recent study investigates the Siberian primrose, a plant species that occurs on the coasts of the Bothnian Bay and Arctic Ocean. Climate change is threatening the viability of the species.

“The Siberian primrose is a good example of a species threatened by rapidly advancing climate change. It cannot migrate to more favourable conditions due to geographic constraints, leaving adaptation in its current habitat as its only survival option,” says Adjunct Professor Marko Hyvärinen from the Finnish Museum of Natural History.

The study revealed that the Siberian primrose may only be able to adapt to climate change if the warming can be limited in accordance with the goals of the Paris Agreement on climate change. This requires effective mitigation of climate change. Otherwise, the flowers and other important traits of the Siberian primrose are unlikely to have the time to evolve quickly enough to survive the changing conditions.

Many wild species have limited capacity to adapt to warming climate

“Our research suggests that the evolutionary potential of wild species is seriously limited in the face of rapidly advancing climate change. This means that the future of many species is at stake, unless climate change is effectively curbed,” says Postdoctoral Researcher Anniina Mattila from the Finnish Museum of Natural History.

Particularly in the case of geographically restricted species, such as many specialised plant species surrounded by unsuitable habitats, conservation measures may be necessary to prevent extinction.

The study emphasizes the needs for proactive measures to protect species threatened by climate change. For example, translocations may help species to adapt to new conditions. Knowledge on the adaptive capacity of species from studies such as the one on the Siberian primrose can help in targeting conservation measures and motivates the development of methods to conserve species threated by climate change. However, according to the researchers, the most critical action is to strive to limit climate change, thus allowing species to adapt naturally.

Background:

Importance of the Paris Agreement on species adaptation

The Paris Agreement aims to keep the global average temperature increase well below two degrees Celsius. According to the latest report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the global temperature has already risen by 1.1 degrees since the pre-industrial era, with the Arctic warming up to four times faster. Meeting these objectives is increasingly challenging, but essential for enabling species to adapt.