Friday, October 11, 2024


The US Supreme Court May Use Dobbs to Take Down Trans Rights—and Beyond

NEW TRUMP AD MAKES THIS AN ELECTION ISSUE


Susan Rinkunas
THE NEW REPUBLIC
Fri, October 11, 2024 

As the Supreme Court weighed the Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization case in 2021 and 2022, civil rights advocates noted that this would be no narrow ruling—and that the fallout from overturning Roe v. Wade would go way beyond abortion. After all, there were numerous legal matters inextricably tied to the Roe precedent, including the right to birth control and marriage equality. In his majority opinion, Justice Samuel Alito attempted to reassure people that no other rights were at risk. He wrote: “To ensure that our decision is not misunderstood or mischaracterized, we emphasize that our decision concerns the constitutional right to abortion and no other right. Nothing in this opinion should be understood to cast doubt on precedents that do not concern abortion.”

That was a lie. The February 2024 Alabama Supreme Court ruling declaring that embryos should be considered people under wrongful death laws, and which halted in vitro fertilization treatments, cited Dobbs multiple times. And we’re seeing another instance of Dobbs’s repercussions in a pending case about sex discrimination in medical care. If the high court accepts these arguments, it could have wide-ranging effects.




One of the biggest Supreme Court cases this term, U.S. v. Skrmetti, is about whether bans on gender-affirming care for minors amount to unconstitutional sex discrimination. The plaintiffs—three Tennessee transgender youth and their families—argue that the state law clearly discriminates based on sex because it bans medical providers from prescribing puberty blockers and hormone treatments to transgender youth but allows those same therapies for cisgender kids. (To put a finer point on it, under the law, Senate Bill 1, a minor assigned female at birth can take estrogen, while a minor assigned male cannot.) The Department of Justice argues that the Tennessee law violates equal protection rights under the Fourteenth Amendment.

In a brief filed on Tuesday afternoon, Tennessee’s Republican Attorney General Jonathan Skrmetti chillingly cited Dobbs more than 10 times to argue that its law is a mere regulation of medical care and doesn’t discriminate based on sex. (The Dobbs opinion made the same claim about the Mississippi abortion law in the case.) More specifically, Tennessee claims that S.B. 1 isn’t discriminatory because it only restricts these treatments if the end goal is to transition to a different sex. Skrmetti writes:

The provision of testosterone to boys “to treat a minor’s congenital defect, precocious puberty, disease, or physical injury,” Tenn. Code Ann. §68-33-103(b)(1)(A), does not serve the same medical purpose as the provision of testosterone to a girl who wants to transition. The same drug is at issue. But it is used at different dosages and for different medical purposes.

But Michelle Banker, senior director of reproductive rights and health litigation at the National Women’s Law Center, said Tennessee is “just flat wrong on the law to be relying on Dobbs in this way.” And the error can be traced back to Justice Alito himself.


In what essentially amounts to an aside in the text of the Dobbs decision, Alito wrote that state abortion bans don’t violate the equal protection clause, even though that was not an official question in the case. “The [equal protection] discussion in Dobbs is what we call ‘dicta,’ meaning that it doesn’t have the force of law because the issue wasn’t before the court,” Banker said. “The court had no business making a statement about it in that case, and courts shouldn’t be relying on it now.” (Unfortunately, it’s not the only instance of extraneous Alito comments setting a trap for people’s rights—the same can be said of the 2014 Hobby Lobby case about birth control.) In this same section, Alito cited a 1974 case, Geduldig v. Aiello, which held that pregnancy discrimination didn’t violate equal protection. Banker said the reasoning Alito applied in invoking Geduldig has been “rejected over and over,” but Tennessee cites it several times as well.

If the Supreme Court blesses this line of reasoning, states could use the precedent to attack other forms of health care. Banker said that Tennessee’s argument could have “really radical implications”—and pointed to birth control, as well as certain fertility treatments that would likely end up endangered.

Gillian Branstetter, a communications strategist at the American Civil Liberties Union, underscored that allowing politicians to regulate medical care based on sex is a risk for people who aren’t trans. “There really is no such thing as regulating other people’s lives because of who they are—you’re opening the door for the state to do the same thing to you,” Branstetter said. “The attacks are already escalating into things like IVF access and other reproductive health care. It’s not hard to imagine how it would then escalate into things like contraceptive access.”

Branstetter noted that solidarity is key: “The goal is for other people to be so afraid of transgender people’s freedom that they’re willing to sacrifice their own.”






The various right-wing playbooks against bodily autonomy have overlapped for years. There are already cases moving through the court system concerning minors’ right to access birth control without involving their parents. Earlier this year, the Fifth Circuit ruled in favor of a conservative father who said a federal program offering contraception without parental consent violated his parental rights. The conservative blueprint Project 2025 wants a future Trump administration to target insurance coverage of emergency contraception, and we could also see states passing laws restricting minors’ access to those pills and to IUDs.

The right to use birth control, in particular, is usually discussed in the context of what’s known as substantive due process reasoning—not the equal protection rights at issue in the Tennessee case. Justice Clarence Thomas notably wrote in a Dobbs concurring opinion that he hoped the court would revisit other landmark precedents that relied on substantive due process, like Griswold v. Connecticut on birth control, Lawrence v. Texas on same-sex intimacy, and Obergefell v. Hodges on marriage equality. (Thomas conspicuously didn’t mention Loving v. Virginia, which protects interracial marriages, perhaps because he is married to a white woman.) But a steady chipping away at the right to birth control, starting but not ending with young people, could lead to a future where the Supreme Court overturns Griswold—we saw this strategy in the decades-long fight against Roe.

The Skrmetti case has not yet been scheduled for argument, but when the court does hear it, it’s likely that many media outlets will depict it as a case only about transgender people. Such framings will require substantial pushback—as history has shown us, all of our rights are intertwined.





Tennessee cites Dobbs to defend ban on gender-affirming care for minors at Supreme Court

Jordan Rubin
Thu, October 10, 2024 

When it overturned Roe v. Wade in 2022, the Republican-appointed Supreme Court majority rejected the notion that the Constitution’s equal protection clause extended to abortion rights.

Now, Tennessee is citing the Dobbs ruling to the justices in its defense of the state’s ban on gender-affirming medical treatment for minors.

“That is not discrimination,” the state Attorney General Jonathan Skrmetti, a Republican, wrote in a high court brief filed this week. “It is an evenhanded ‘regulation of a medical procedure’ that turns on the reason for the procedure’s use,” the brief continued, quoting from the abortion ruling authored by Justice Samuel Alito in one of several references in Tennessee’s filing.

The legal question in the case is whether the state law, called SB1, violates equal protection. The law prohibits all medical treatments intended to allow “a minor to identify with, or live as, a purported identity inconsistent with the minor’s sex” or to treat “purported discomfort or distress from a discordance between the minor’s sex and asserted identity.”

The state didn’t cite Dobbs out of nowhere. The federal appeals court that sided with the state, prompting Supreme Court review, did as well to support the position that heightened legal protection “does not apply in the context of laws that regulate medical procedures unique to one sex or the other.”

But in seeking to highlight the law’s discriminatory nature, the federal government writes to the justices that it “leaves the same treatments entirely unrestricted if they are prescribed for any other purpose, such as treating delayed or precocious puberty. Thus, for example, a teenager whose sex assigned at birth is male can be prescribed testosterone to conform to a male gender identity, but a teenager assigned female at birth cannot.”

Oral argument isn’t scheduled yet in the appeal, called United States v. Skrmetti, which could lead to one of the biggest decisions of the term that started this week. A decision is expected by July.

Subscribe to the Deadline: Legal Newsletter for expert analysis on the top legal stories of the week, including updates from the Supreme Court and developments in Donald Trump’s legal cases.

This article was originally published on MSNBC.com









Democrats Are Finally Talking About Abortion

Grace Segers
THE NEW STATESMAN
Thu, October 10, 2024



In her first, and perhaps only, debate with former President Donald Trump in September, Kamala Harris spoke about abortion in terms not typically used by a Democratic presidential candidate. “Pregnant women who want to carry a pregnancy to term, suffering from a miscarriage, being denied care in an emergency room because the health care providers are afraid they might go to jail, and she’s bleeding out in a car in the parking lot? She didn’t want that. Her husband didn’t want that,” Harris said, responding to Trump’s claim that Americans wanted the issue of abortion access to be returned to the states. “A 12- or 13-year-old survivor of incest being forced to carry a pregnancy to term? They don’t want that.”

It was a reminder of why abortion rights activists were so excited when Harris became the Democratic nominee for president in August. Her campaign marks a shift in the party’s rhetoric on abortion access. Gone are the days of candidates who insisted that abortion should be “safe, legal, and rare,” while barely daring to mention the actual word “abortion.”

But the 2022 decision by the Supreme Court overturning Roe v. Wade brought abortion to the forefront of Democrats’ campaign messaging and was critical to Democratic victories in several state and congressional races. Practically overnight, abortion surged in importance as an issue for voters.

Harris’s campaign has centered the real, often shocking consequences of the repeal of Roe.

Harris’s campaign has centered the real, often shocking consequences of the repeal of Roe. Kaitlyn Joshua, a Louisiana woman who has become a key campaign surrogate for Harris, spoke on stage at the Democratic National Convention in August, relating how she was turned away from two emergency rooms during her first-trimester miscarriage in 2022. She was flanked by Amanda Zurawski, who unsuccessfully sued the state of Texas after she was denied an abortion during a nonviable and life-threatening pregnancy, and Hadley Duvall, a Kentucky woman who was raped and impregnated by her stepfather when she was 12 years old. Duvall, who miscarried the pregnancy, has also appeared in a campaign ad for Harris.

Harris is the most prominent Democratic politician to focus on these stories, but she is hardly alone. For more than two years, Democrats across the country have focused on the tangible consequences of the repeal of Roe, and warned of what a Trump presidency and Republican-controlled Congress could entail for abortion access. They believe that this messaging, and the impact of the repeal of Roe, could help them win the White House.

“I’ve had conversations with a lot of women—some that have not been engaged in the political conversation, and women who have, but that may have voted for the Republican candidate in the past—and this is an issue that completely changes things for them,” said former Representative Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, who is running in Florida against incumbent GOP Senator Rick Scott. “They need to understand … that if this is an important issue for them, that they have to vote for the candidate that will protect a woman’s right to choose at the federal level.”

These more extreme stories are increasingly common, but most abortion stories are less sensational.

The typical abortion recipient is not a married woman suffering a miscarriage in a wanted pregnancy, or a young girl who had been sexually abused—she is more likely a twentysomething, low-income, nonwhite single mother with at least one child at home. This woman might already face significant stigma because of her race, her income, and her status as a single mother, which would then be exacerbated by societal beliefs about people who seek abortions.

Harris’s campaign is betting that sharing the stories of women who experienced miscarriages or other health emergencies at a later point in their pregnancy may help shift the perception of people who seek abortions as irresponsible—and can appeal to voters, particularly moderate women, who have only recently begun voting for Democrats. Having the women themselves be the messengers also puts a human face to these stories, as well as helping certain voters understand that this scenario could happen to them, or their loved ones. Not all abortion advocates are thrilled about this approach.

“When we get into conversations about why and under what circumstances [abortions take place], we are undercutting why we should trust women,” said Alexis McGill Johnson, the president of the Planned Parenthood Federation of America and the Planned Parenthood Action Fund. “When we’re asking why they needed access to abortion, then we’re implicitly saying … ‘I need a little bit more information before I don’t pass judgment on you.’”

Abortion rights advocates have sought to frame the battle over abortion access as a conflict between freedom and extremism. Republicans, meanwhile, have countered by arguing that Democrats are the real extremists: They would not only allow abortion up until the moment of birth but even allow mothers to, as Donald Trump claimed at the September debate, “execute” newborns. These Republican talking points may be hyperbolic, but they reflect a desire to flip the narrative in a way that mirrors a regular polling result: that abortion after a certain point in pregnancy is unpopular with most Americans. Harris herself has not answered questions about whether she would support expanding abortion access beyond the limits of Roe, which only legalized the procedure through fetal viability at around 24 weeks.

According to Pew Research Center, 63 percent of Americans believe abortion should be legal in all or most cases. Gallup has found that 60 percent of Americans believe that overturning Roe was a bad thing. However, 55 percent also believe it should be illegal in the second trimester, and 70 percent think it should be illegal in the third. Nevertheless, a poll by PerryUndem, a consulting firm that does regular surveys on abortion, found nearly 80 percent also believe that laws on abortion can’t account for every situation where one might be needed. Much of Harris’s messaging appears to be focused on those voters.

In September, a pro-Harris super PAC launched three ads targeting suburban and exurban white women in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan, featuring health professionals concerned about the effects of abortion bans.

“When my pregnancy was in crisis, and the child I wanted and loved had a devastating diagnosis, we chose to have an abortion,” Anna, an ob-gyn, says in one ad, which was produced by the group American Bridge. “Women are nearly dying because of these Trump abortion bans. As an ob-gyn, I can’t tell you how dangerous this is. And as a mother who’s had a miscarriage, I can’t think about living in a world like that.”

“When it comes to voters who are on the fence, what we’ve seen time and time again is that this is an issue that reaches across parties, especially with this group of women voters,” said Eva Kemp, vice president of campaigns at American Bridge. “When we present them with storytellers who look, sound, and feel like their relatives, their neighbors, their friends—it’s even more compelling.”

Democrats may be elevating the stories of women with atypical abortion experiences because they are so shocking and increasingly frequent, said Mary Ziegler, a professor at the University of California, Davis, who has written several books on the history of abortion politics in the United States. Lawsuits such as the one brought by Zurawski against Texas and a similar case against Idaho for its restrictive abortion ban have ensured national attention. For Democrats to ignore these stories would be “political malpractice,” Ziegler said.

Senator Tina Smith, a Democrat who once served as the vice president of Planned Parenthood in Minnesota, said that these stories also provided distinct examples of the impact of restrictive abortion laws.

“There’s so much clarity about the impact of somebody taking that decision away from you. A person who decides to terminate their pregnancy in 10 or 12 weeks and isn’t able to because of these Trump abortion bans—the impact on their life is really severe, but it’s less visible,” said Smith. Still, she continued, “It’s incumbent upon those of us that are talking about this to not focus exclusively on these terrible, but unbelievably rare, circumstances that face people who don’t have access to care.”

Connecting abortion access to maternal health and motherhood “makes it easier for people to talk about the story,” said Monica Simpson of SisterSong, an Atlanta-based reproductive rights organization, “as opposed to the ways that we’ve been conditioned to think that people who have an abortion because they want one and they need one [have] done something wrong.” A story about someone who wanted, but was unable to obtain, an abortion is “just as tragic” as someone who wanted to give birth but experienced a miscarriage, Simpson continued.

This approach to messaging could show voters who may be less concerned with how an abortion ban affects low-income and nonwhite Americans that these policies could have an impact on their lives as well.

“I think that’s also a completely fair point, to say, ‘Even if you think that it’s OK to stigmatize these people, if you think that these criminal laws aren’t coming for you, too, you’re wrong,’” said Ziegler. “I think seeing or showing [people in] positions of privilege that they have more in common with people they may have been ignoring than they think is politically valuable. It’s just a question of whether it inadvertently reinforces some other kind of stigma.”

The fall of Roe has led to a greater openness about abortion in all its forms. Tresa Undem, a partner and co-founder of PerryUndem, said that a story about a woman wanting an abortion may be more palatable to voters in 2024 than it would have been even in 2020. During the debate with Trump, Harris gave the example of women suffering mis-carriages or who were victims of rape being unable to obtain abortion care—but she also talked about a woman who would have to travel to another state to get an abortion, calling that hypothetical “unconscionable.”

“Maybe three or four years ago, I might have said the story about unwanted pregnancy, or the story about rape or incest might have been way more impactful than a typical story,” said Undem. Whereas now, she continued, the example of a woman needing to travel across state lines is “pretty relatable as well to people.”

McGill Johnson also warned against the presumption that an upper-class suburban woman would not have experience with an unwanted pregnancy. “All of these stories resonate precisely because we all know, either through experience, or through friendships, through relationships, through our sistership, the variety of circumstances that people want or need to have an abortion,” she said.

And Harris has spoken about more average abortion experiences. She was quick to respond when ProPublica in September revealed that a woman named Amber Nicole Thurman had died after being unable to access abortion care in Georgia in 2022. She had experienced complications from medication abortion, but the hospital she visited afterward was unwilling to perform a procedure to clear the remaining fetal tissue from her uterus and later conducted a hysterectomy after acceding to the procedure. Thurman was 28 years old, Black, and a single mother already raising a son—representative of the average abortion patient. Thurman, according to her best friend, did not believe that it was the best time in her life to give birth to twins.

Thurman’s death quickly became a rallying cry for Democrats and abortion rights advocates; the organization Reproductive Freedom for All launched an ad highlighting Thurman’s experience, which targeted young and low-propensity voters in Georgia—those who might see themselves in Thurman’s story. Harris’s willingness to discuss Thurman’s experience indicates an openness to highlighting the experiences of all abortion patients; at a rally in Georgia in September, Harris led attendees in speaking Thurman’s full name as a way to remember her.

In an interview with Oprah Winfrey in late September, Harris said that “Amber’s story highlights the fact that among everything that is wrong with these bans and what has happened in terms of the overturning of Roe v. Wade, it’s a health care crisis.”

Thurman’s mother, Shanette Williams, also spoke during the interview with Winfrey. Her daughter shared characteristics with many abortion patients—and people who will be affected by abortion bans—but her individual story has universal weight.

“I want y’all to know Amber was not a statistic,” Williams said.
Opinion

Trump is not women's "protector": New Brett Kavanaugh report shows MAGA protects predators


Amanda Marcotte
Wed, October 9, 2024 

Brett Kavanaugh and Donald Trump Photo illustration by Salon/Getty Images


In a recent Pennsylvania stemwinder that raised eyebrows even by MAGA standards, Donald Trump declared himself the "protector" of women. "You will be protected, and I will be your protector," the GOP nominee droned, in a tone one online commentator compared to "talking through the locked basement door to the pregnant woman he's imprisoned." Trump promised to save women from ever feeling "abandoned, lonely, or scared," and insisted that "you will no longer be thinking about abortion."

Dishonest on its surface, of course — it's not like the president can get you a date on Friday night — but also on a deeper level. As Vice President Kamala Harris pointed out to "Call Her Daddy" host Alexandra Cooper on Sunday, "This is the same guy that said women should be punished for having abortions." She also reminded listeners that Trump likes to call women "pigs" and "dogs." She didn't mention Trump was also found liable for sexual assault by a New York jury, though to be fair to Harris, Trump's list of misogynist transgressions is so extensive that she may have run out of time before getting to that point.

Trump won't protect women, but on Tuesday, we were reminded of who he is determined to protect: Men he believes to be his fellow sexual assailants. Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse, D-R.I., released a years-long investigation into how the Trump White House responded when Christine Blasey Ford accused Justice Brett Kavanaugh of attempted rape during his 2018 confirmation hearing to the Supreme Court. Unsurprisingly, Trump's goal was to suppress evidence and silence anyone who could corroborate her story. Yet the details that show the extent of the cover-up are still shocking.


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Trump told the public at the time that the FBI had "free rein" to investigate the allegation and he wanted them "talking to everybody." This was a flat-out lie. As the new report outlines, the White House blocked the FBI from interviewing either Kavanaugh or Blasey Ford. Investigators were barred from interviewing corroborating witnesses. A "tip line" was set up, but tips were sent to the White House, which ignored them. It's important to remember there was a lot of corroborating evidence, including another woman who claimed Blasey Ford was abused by Kavanaugh in front of witnesses. As Whitehouse said on Twitter, the investigation "was a sham, controlled by the Trump White House, for political cover to Senate Republicans to put Judge Kavanaugh on track to confirmation."

Polls at the time showed most Americans believed Kavanaugh was guilty. The White House cover-up shows Trump and his staff also believed in Kavanaugh's guilt. If they thought Kavanaugh was innocent, they would have been eager to conduct an investigation to exonerate him. Instead, they ignored over 4,500 tips and prevented the FBI from doing basic background research.

Trump loves to scare white women with threats that immigrants will rape them, but doesn't seem bothered by the exponentially more likely threat that a woman will be raped by someone she knows. As sociologist Nicole Bedera argued on the Electorette podcast last week, this isn't hypocrisy, but a sign of Trump's belief that privileged men have a prerogative to commit sexual violence. He wishes for certain, mostly white men to reserve the right to rape. This is true when looking at his own history of both committing and bragging about sexual violence. But, as the Kavanaugh example shows, it's also shown by Trump's eagerness to surround himself with his fellow abusers and protect them from facing any accountability.

In August, Trump rehired his former aide Corey Lewandowski to his campaign. Whether on the payroll or not, Lewandowski has been at Trump's right hand for years, despite being videoed physically assaulting a female reporter, which Trump praised him for. Lewandowski has a laundry list of sexual harassment and abuse allegations. One of his accusers, a former GOP donor named Trashelle Odom, spoke out last week in outrage. She filed charges of stalking and assault against Lewandowski in 2021, which he got dismissed in exchange for community service.

In Trump's world, these allegations are a resume-polisher, however. His close aide and co-defendant, Walt Nauta, was hired to be Trump's body man after Nauta was stripped of his Navy security clearance following repeated complaints of sexual harassment. Rudy Giuliani, Vince McMahon, Steve Bannon, Rob Porter: all close Trump allies, all accused of sexual or domestic violence. John McEntee, a close aide and architect of Project 2025, was recently outed by Wired for sending sexually explicit messages to teen girls, even as those girls said it made them uncomfortable. Behaving like a creep toward women is a common theme in Trump Land.

Tech billionaire Elon Musk certainly seems to have grasped the message. He's been courting Trump's approval publicly for years, but made tremendous headway in the past couple of months. In August, Trump sat down for an "interview" with Musk that was really more a hard-to-follow discussion between two blowhards that went on for over two hours. Over the weekend, Musk leapt maniacally behind Trump at a Pennsylvania rally. But in the surest sign that Musk knows what it takes to be a MAGA leader in good standing, he sexually harassed pop star Taylor Swift for endorsing Harris instead of Trump. "I will give you a child and guard your cats with my life," this allegedly adult man tweeted.

Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton called the comment out as a rape threat, mocking "so-called masters of the universe in the technology world" who "can’t stand" that Swift is accomplished and stands up for herself. Musk's fans may wail that it's "just a joke," but Clinton is right. The "joke" only makes sense if the audience knows that Swift wants nothing to do with Musk. Her lack of consent is the punchline, making this a rape joke. As Bedera said on Twitter, the message is clear: "If you don’t vote the way we like, then prepare for sexual violence."

Or even if you do, I'd add. This Kavanaugh report underscores how much Trump regards it as a personal mission to make sure men he views as members of his privileged class should never be held to account for sexual violence, regardless of why they did it. During his deposition for his own rape case, he argued that the right to rape has belonged to wealthy men for "the last million years," adding, "fortunately or unfortunately." When pressed later about this on CNN, Trump clarified that he puts the right to rape in the "fortunately" category, but did allow it was unfortunate for the victims. Not that he cares, of course. Trump has shown us time and again that the only people he wants to protect are sexual predators like himself.
ECOCIDE

Polluted waste from Florida's fertilizer industry is in the path of Milton's fury

MICHAEL BIESECKER and JASON DEAREN
Updated Wed, October 9, 2024 



Hurricane Milton-Environmental Hazards
A sinkhole that opened up underneath a gypsum stack at a Mosaic phosphate fertilizer plant is seen in Mulberry, Fla., on Sept. 16, 2016. 
(Jim Damaske/Tampa Bay Times via AP, File)

As Hurricane Milton pummeled Florida’s west coast with powerful winds and flooding rain, environmentalists worry it could scatter the polluted leftovers of the state’s phosphate fertilizer mining industry and other hazardous waste across the peninsula and into vulnerable waterways.

More than 1 billion tons of slightly radioactive phosphogypsum waste is stored in “stacks” that resemble enormous ponds at risk for leaks during major storms. Florida has 25 such stacks, most concentrated around enormous phosphate mines and fertilizer processing plants in the central part of the state, and environmentalists say nearly all of them are in Milton’s projected path.

“Placing vulnerable sites so close on major waterways that are at risk of damage from storms is a recipe for disaster,” said Ragan Whitlock, a staff attorney at the environmental group Center for Biological Diversity. “These are ticking time bombs.”

Phosphogypsum, a solid waste byproduct from processing phosphate ore to make chemical fertilizer, contains radium, which decays to form radon gas. Both radium and radon are radioactive and can cause cancer. Phosphogypsum may also contain toxic heavy metals and other carcinogens, such as arsenic, cadmium, chromium, lead, mercury and nickel.

That waste is even more troublesome because there is no easy way to dispose of it, leaving it to pile up and become an ever-growing target for such storms as the monster Milton, which made landfall in central Florida late Wednesday as a Category 3 storm, with sustained winds of about 120 mph (193 kph), a towering storm surge and 18 inches (46 centimeters) of rain.

A lesser storm, Hurricane Frances, which hit the state’s eastern coast as a Category 2 and churned across central Florida in 2004, sent 65 million gallons of acidic wastewater from phosphogypsum stacks into nearby waterways, killing thousands of fish and other marine life.

Of particular concern from Milton is the Piney Point wastewater reservoir, which sits on the shore of Tampa Bay and has had structural issues that have caused regular leaks over the years.

A March 2021 leak resulted in the release of an estimated 215 million gallons of polluted water into the bay and caused massive fish kills. Another leak in August 2022 unleashed another 4.5 million gallons of wastewater. Compounding the problem is the bankruptcy filing of the site’s former owner, HRC Holdings, leaving it to be managed by a court-appointed receiver.

The nation's largest phosphate producer, The Mosaic Company, owns two stacks at its Riverview facility that sit on the shore of Tampa Bay, as well as several farther inland. In 2016 a sinkhole opened beneath the company’s New Wales Gypstack, sending millions of gallons of contaminated sludge into the state’s main drinking water aquifer. The company said tests showed there were no offsite impacts from the incident, but the site is at risk of further damage from a storm as powerful as Milton.

Asked about its preparations for the coming storm, Mosaic pointed to a statement on its website: “Preparations for hurricane season include reviewing lessons learned from the previous year, updating our preparedness and response plans ... and completing inspections to ensure all test pumps, generators and other equipment needed in the event of severe weather are onsite and in proper working order.”

Florida and North Carolina are responsible for mining 80% of the U.S. supply of phosphorous, which is important not only to agriculture but to munitions production.

“At this time we are preparing locally for the storm, both professionally and personally,” Mosaic spokesperson Ashleigh Gallant said. “If there are impacts, we will release those publicly after the storm.”

Beyond the mine stacks, the Tampa Bay area is also home to old toxic waste sites that are considered among the worst in the nation. A former pesticide production site, the Stauffer Chemical Co., has polluted the Anclote River, groundwater and soil. Today it is an EPA Superfund site undergoing years of cleanup.

The EPA posted on the website that it is “ensuring that this site is secured for potential impacts from Hurricane Milton.”

The Florida Department of Environmental Protection said Tuesday it is preparing all available resources critical to the facilities it regulates, as well as securing state parks and aquatic preserves to minimize storm effects.

___

Biesecker reported from Washington, Dearen from Los Angeles.


Milton likely to hit Florida’s phosphate mining hub, worrying environmentalists

Max Chesnes, Tampa Bay Times
Updated Wed, October 9, 2024 



Douglas R. Clifford/Tampa Bay Times/TNS


Environmental groups are worried about possible pollution impacts as Hurricane Milton is likely to pass directly over Bone Valley, the heart of Florida’s phosphate mining and production.

According to a Tampa Bay Times analysis, 22 of Florida’s 25 phosphate waste piles are located in Hurricane Milton’s projected path over Manatee, Hillsborough and Polk counties. That’s according to the latest National Hurricane Center forecast and state environmental regulatory data as of Wednesday morning.

Mosaic, a Fortune 500 phosphate mining company headquartered in Tampa, said that it is “preparing locally for the storm both professionally and personally” at the several plants it operates in the region.

The company oversees a plant on the northeastern shores of Tampa Bay, in Riverview, and another further inland in Mulberry, among others. Their mounds of regulated phosphate waste are hundreds of feet tall and contain phosphogypsum, a mildly radioactive byproduct of the phosphate manufacturing process. These stacks also contain ponds of polluted wastewater used to create fertilizer.

As of Wednesday morning, Tampa Bay was forecast to see up to 12 feet of storm surge and damaging winds from what could be a Category 4 storm at landfall.

“We are worried that a direct hit from a storm as powerful as Milton could be catastrophic,” said Ragan Whitlock, an attorney for the Center for Biological Diversity, a nonprofit that has sued to increase phosphogypsum regulations.

A spokesperson for Mosaic, Ashleigh Gallant, said if there are impacts to these phosphoygypsum stacks, or “gypstacks,” that the company would “release those publicly after the storm.”

Mosaic prepares for hurricanes by conducting drills, inspecting its plants and making sure its test pumps, generators and other equipment is onsite and working, according to a website outlining its operations. After the storm, Mosaic staff assess damage and offer support to employees who have been personally affected by severe weather. A spokesperson for the Florida Department of Environmental Protection did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Still, environmental watchdogs remain concerned.

“There are several phosphogypsum stacks situated precariously close to Tampa Bay’s waters,” Whitlock said. “We hope these facilities emerge from the sustained 100+ mph winds expected for the area unscathed, but open-air ponds of hazardous waste with historic structural integrity problems create a well-founded concern.”

Earlier this year, Mosaic confirmed to state environmental regulators that there was a tear in the protective liner beneath its gypstack in Mulberry. In 2016, a sinkhole stretching 152 feet opened beneath the gypstack and resulted in 215 million gallons of contaminated water draining into the aquifer below.

Many living in the Tampa Bay area also remember 2021, when millions of gallons of tainted water were sent from the Piney Point phosphate plant in Manatee County into the bay as a precaution due to fears that a leak in a reservoir could trigger a massive flood, endangering nearby homes and businesses. Last month, a judge ruled against the plant’s former owner, HRK Holdings, and ordered the company to pay more than $800,000.

Now, as the state has ordered the plant’s permanent closure, crews were on site earlier this week making sure it was prepped ahead of Milton.

“We spent a good amount of time earlier this week getting ready,” said Herb Donica, a lawyer and the court-appointed overseer of the plant. Donica has required every contractor on the site to have a written hurricane plan, and the site closed ahead of Milton at noon Tuesday.

Donica’s main concern is for his team’s mobile office. While it’s battened down, any sustained damage to the office would be “an interruption that we don’t want to have.”

It’s not safe for anyone to be on site during the storm, Donica said, and Piney Point’s managers have evacuated ahead of the anticipated hurricane-force winds from Milton.

“We are the most prepared that we can be,” Donica said.

Times staff writer Shreya Vuttarulu contributed to this report.


From the Farm: Hurricane Milton’s effects on Central IL ag

Stu Ellis
WCIA Champaign
Thu, October 10, 2024 

CENTRAL ILLINOIS (WCIA) — Hurricane Milton is hundreds of miles away from Central Illinois, but some impacts of the storm will be felt here.

Phosphate is a crop nutrient often applied to Corn Belt fields, and most of it is mined between Tampa and Orlando. Josh Linville, Vice President of Fertilizer for StoneX, said the facilities in Central Florida produce millions of tons of phosphate annually.

They may have been built to withstand hurricanes, Linville said, but there may be some damage and a lack of workers, who will be focused on damage to their own homes.

“Probably the most unfortunate, the fact that we’re less than four weeks away from the start of fall season. The Midwest is going to start rolling very, very hard Nov. 1,” Linville said. “Frankly, inventories have been tight anyway, globally and here at home. So prices are high, inventories are tight, we still see demand being pretty substantial here this fall and now, we just have this one more thorn in the side of the marketplace.”

Growmark gets its phosphate from the Florida mines and its Vice President of Crop Nutrients, Kreg Ruhl, agreed with Linville about the employee considerations.

“Whenever that happens, you lose days of production and that’s always confusing for people when we talk about fertilizer because you never get those days back and you can never replace the capacity that was lost during those days,” Ruhl said. “So as we think about the phosphate complex, even if this storm passes in in two or three days, the effects will take weeks to rectify. And like I said, we’re right at the beginning of fall and we’re in critical need of the supply that’s coming out of there.”

This, Ruhl said, will “absolutely” delay phosphate barges coming up the Mississippi River and disrupt supply for local supplies and farmers.

“About two-thirds of the domestic production of phosphates happens in Florida, and this storm will impact almost all of that production,” Ruhl explained. “And what we see move into Illinois, up the river system, actually starts in Florida, comes across the Gulf of Mexico in a boat and then transfers onto barges that end up in Central Illinois, so it’s a direct impact to our farmers.

Farmers are already paying unusually high prices for fertilizer and this situation will exacerbate their financial stress. Ruhl is already seeing prices start to fluctuate not just because of peak demand, but because of Milton as well.

“We’ve seen them rise dramatically just over the course of the last couple of days as people have watched this news unfold,” Ruhl said.

Copyright 2024 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.

Fight over West Texas nuclear waste plan to hit U.S. Supreme Court

Travis Bubenik, Marfa Public Radio
Wed, October 9, 2024 

The U.S. Supreme Court has agreed to take up a yearslong dispute over a plan to ship highly radioactive nuclear waste to rural West Texas, a case that could have sweeping implications for how the nation deals with a growing stockpile of waste generated by nuclear power plants.

A company called Interim Storage Partners has long pursued the plan to move “high-level” nuclear waste from power plants across the nation to an existing nuclear waste storage facility in Andrews County, on the Texas-New Mexico border.

Last year, in a Texas-led lawsuit, a federal court blocked the plan and threw out Interim Storage Partners’s federal license to handle the waste. A federal appeals court upheld the decision earlier this year, but the company and the Nuclear Regulatory Commission urged the Supreme Court to reconsider the ruling.


The high court agreed to take up the case on Friday, Oct. 4., allotting one hour for oral arguments at a later date. The court also consolidated a related challenge from the waste company into the Texas case.

For years, this dispute has been percolating in lower courts, the Texas Legislature and among potentially impacted rural communities. Texas lawmakers passed a law that effectively banned the nuclear waste plan in 2021, cheered on by Gov. Greg Abbott and an unlikely alliance of oil, ranching and environmental interests.

Still, the waste company and the federal government – most recently under the Biden administration – have fought to keep the plan alive.

“We are confident we have a strong position for the Solicitor General to argue before the court,” NRC spokesperson David McIntyre said.

The fundamental question now before the Supreme Court is whether federal regulators have the authority to approve plans for privately operated, high-level nuclear waste storage sites that are located far away from where the waste is generated. A ruling in the Texas case would almost certainly have implications for a nearly identical proposal just over the state line in New Mexico that’s also still being fought over in a lower federal court.


The entrance to the Waste Control Specialists site where radioactive and hazardous waste is being stored on Jan. 17, 2021. Credit: Eli Hartman for The Texas Tribune

While multiple federal courts have now ruled federal law does not allow for the licensing of such facilities, supporters of the Texas and New Mexico plans – including the nuclear energy industry – insist the courts are wrong.

“The Atomic Energy Act provides a comprehensive framework for regulating nuclear generation and the related fuel cycle, granting the NRC broad authority over both at-reactor and away-from-reactor used fuel storage,” Ellen Ginsberg, an advocate and attorney with the trade group Nuclear Energy Institute, said in a statement.

Ginsberg said a Supreme Court ruling in favor of Texas “would further delay progress in advancing a safe, environmentally sustainable, and well-managed used fuel management system.”

The West Texas company Fasken Oil and Ranch is among the entities that have fought the nuclear waste plan for years. Monica Perales, an attorney for the firm, said the plan’s opponents remain confident in their legal arguments.

“Oil and gas interests are concerned because it’s a threat to our industry, to the people who work in the industry, it’s a threat to the Permian Basin, and we’re the most productive oil and gas region in the United States,” she told Marfa Public Radio.

The question of what to do with nuclear waste from power plants – among the most dangerous types of such waste – has vexed U.S. administrations from both political parties for decades.

As NPR has reported, Congress attempted to solve the quandary in the 1980s, but political roadblocks to finding a permanent home for toxic waste soon developed.

The proposed waste facilities in Texas and New Mexico are essentially aimed at being stopgap measures to provide a “temporary” home for the waste – though that could amount to decades – while the U.S. continues its search for a permanent disposal solution.
AMERIKA

Meteorologists Get Death Threats as Hurricane Milton Conspiracy Theories Thrive

Lorena O'Neil
Wed, October 9, 2024 

People at an Orlando, Florida, bar watch the local news as the community prepares for Hurricane Milton on Oct. 8, 2024. - Credit: Saul Martinez/Getty Images

As Hurricane Milton approaches Florida, meteorologists are staying awake for days at a time trying to get vital, life-saving information out to the folks who will be affected. That’s their job. But this year, several of them tell Rolling Stone, they’re increasingly having to take time out to quell the nonstop flow of misinformation during a particularly traumatic hurricane season. And some of them are doing it while being personally threatened.

“People are just so far gone, it’s honestly making me lose all faith in humanity,” says Washington, D.C.-based meteorologist Matthew Cappucci, in a phone interview conducted while he was traveling down to Florida for the storm. “There’s so much bad information floating around out there that the good information has become obscured.”

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Cappucci says that he’s noticed an enormous change on social media in the past three months: “Seemingly overnight, ideas that once would have been ridiculed as very fringe, outlandish viewpoints are suddenly becoming mainstream, and it’s making my job much more difficult.”

He says meteorologists and disaster relief experts have to strike a balance between putting out helpful, high-quality information while also squashing misinformation. “Nowadays, there’s so much bad information out there that if we spent our time getting rid of it, we’d have no more time.”

This hurricane season, Cappucci and the other meteorologists I spoke with say, conspiracy theories have been flooding their inboxes. The main one that people have seemed to latch onto is the accusation that the government can control the weather. This theory seems to be amplified with climate change creating worsening storms combined with a tense election year, and the vitriol is being directed at meteorologists. “I’ve been doing this for 46 years, and it’s never been like this,” says Alabama meteorologist James Spann. He says he’s been “inundated” with misinformation and threatening messages like “Stop lying about the government controlling the weather or else.”

“For me to post a hurricane forecast and for people to accuse me of creating the hurricane by working for some secret Illuminati entity is disappointing and distressing, and it’s resulting in a decrease in public trust,” says Cappucci. He says he hasn’t slept in multiple days and is exhausted. This past week he received hundreds of messages from people accusing him of modifying the weather and creating hurricanes from space lasers.

“Ignorance is becoming socially acceptable. Forty or 50 years ago, if I told you I thought the moon was pretend, people would have laughed at me. Now, people are bonding over these incredibly fringe viewpoints.”

“An average hurricane’s life cycle burns through the energy of roughly 10,000 nuclear bombs,” says Cappucci. “The idea that we can even influence something like that, never mind direct it, is just so outlandish that it’s almost, sadly, funny.”
‘Murdering meteorologists won’t stop hurricanes’

Meteorologist Katie Nickolaou went viral after correcting a male commenter who tried to claim a Category 5 hurricane can turn into a Category 6, at which point it becomes a tornado.

“Those are different storms with different processes,” clarified Nickolaou. “Though hurricanes can produce tornadoes, it doesn’t affect the overall categorical rating.”

Undeterred, he pushed back, insisting that “anything above a Category 5 would be a tornado,” which is untrue. “I’m going to go scream into an abyss now,” Nickolaou tweeted in response. She tells me her tweet “struck a chord” with meteorologists and people tired of the misinformation.

There is no Category 6 designation for hurricanes, she explains. Designations are based on wind speed, so there has been conversation among scientists that now that hurricanes are getting stronger, we need an additional category. But there are meteorologists that say adding a designation is unnecessary because a Category 5 already means nearly total destruction. They worry that adding a Category 6 would decrease the significance of a four of five and impact people’s decision to evacuate.

“I put on armor every day to try to go online and make sure people aren’t saying things that could harm responses,” says Nickolau. She’s had to fend off rumors that meteorologists should just use giant fans to blow the hurricane away or try nuking it. “You get a person arguing that a hurricane turns into a tornado at a Category 6 and your brain short circuits.”

“Stopping misinformation is becoming an exhausting part of the job which is taking away from spending time forecasting or sending out other information that could be helpful,” says Nickolau. She says her heart sinks when she sees a false post get millions of views because it’s virtually impossible to go back and fact-check it for everyone that’s seen it.

After our phone call, Nickolau received an even more troubling message on her page: “Stop the breathing of those that made them and their affiliates.” She responded that she would not allow people to advocate for murder. “Murdering meteorologists won’t stop hurricanes,” she tweeted. “I can’t believe I just had to type that.”
‘It beats you down’

Spann, the meteorologist in Alabama, has been doing this work for decades and says he can’t believe what he’s seeing unfold.

“Something has clearly changed within the last year,” says Spann. “We know some of it is bots, but I do believe that some of it is coming from people that honestly believe the moon disappeared because the government nuked it to control the hurricanes, or that the government used chemtrails to spray our skies with chemicals to steer [Hurricane] Helene into the mountains of North Carolina.”

He says the misinformation has gotten so out of control it’s distracting meteorologists from doing their jobs, which involves keeping people safe ahead of, during, and after a devastating hurricane. Spann posted a public service announcement on Facebook that went viral, asking people to stop flooding his page with conspiracy theories.

“We’re trying to push critical information to people that need it and people who are looking for a credible source,” says Spann. He sounds weary as he tells me that if people are going to push conspiracy theories, he wishes they would wait until after the danger has passed. As we’re talking he receives an email from a colleague telling him about an angry caller who demanded to be connected to the folks responsible for stopping the hurricane.

“It affects our mental health,” he adds, saying he’s spoken to the Weather Channel’s Jim Cantore and other meteorologists about it a lot this week. After Spann posted a FEMA website about rumor control, he got multiple private messages telling him to retire or personally threatening him. “You’re working with two to three hours of sleep for multiple weeks under a high stress situation, and then you deal with these threats that come in, it’ll beat you down.”
‘It costs lives’

South Florida meteorologist John Morales made headlines this week when he cried on air while warning Floridians about how strong Hurricane Milton will be. For his part, he’s been getting overwhelmingly supportive messages on social media from people who share his angst and anxiety about the climate crisis. He’s been using the increased attention to spread awareness about global warming, climate action, as well as the dangers of misinformation.

“I’ve seen the reactions of climate dismissives for many, many years, and it’s become particularly vitriolic in the last year or two, especially on X,” says Morales, referring to the former Twitter. He’s Puerto Rican, and said that in Latin countries he’s heard the conspiracy theory that Americans control the weather, but now the belief has exploded.

“This is the post-truth era, and these types of crazy beliefs aren’t just confined to your crazy Uncle Joe,” says Morales. “It seems to spread with greater ease, and I am particularly alarmed that after Hurricane Helene, it’s really spread and truly impacted the work of the emergency management agencies that are trying to help people recover and have to dedicate resources to dispel rumors and trample down on the type of stuff that, sadly, even some politicians are spreading. It costs lives and dishonors first responders and civil servants.”

Marjorie Taylor Greene has doubled down on claims Democrats control the weather, prompting fellow GOP congressperson Carlos Gimenez to tweet she should “have her head examined.” Meanwhile, the White House is launching a Reddit account to keep the public informed on Helene/Milton response and recovery.

“Science is one of the few things that doesn’t care about politics,” says Cappucci. “If a tornado is coming down the road at you, it doesn’t check your voter registration.”

He says every October the bird migration causes fuzzy images on weather radars, but this year conspiracy theorists are convinced that these fuzzy images are actually caused by lasers heating up the atmosphere to create hurricanes. Some experts I spoke with think that misinformation is exceptionally bad this year because we are leading up to a presidential election. Some of the conspiracy theories accuse Democrats of intentionally steering hurricanes to red-leaning swing states, in order to hurt Donald Trump’s chances of winning.

“The 2024 misinformation is being fueled to a certain extent by political polarization,” says Sarah DeYoung, a professor at the Disaster Research Center at the University of Delaware. “I think that’s corresponding with there being a presidential election this year.”

DeYoung says there are certain myths that pop up for every disaster. Some of them are well-intentioned, like telling people that hotels have to accept pets in an emergency event, which is not true. Others are misconceptions, like saying looting goes up after natural disasters when in fact the crime rate often goes down, and people are just trying to locate basic essentials like food and water to survive. But in 2024, they are often politically motivated.

“It becomes particularly dangerous because it starts to rile up additional feelings of division and then the false information about FEMA funneling money towards immigrants, that makes people who are immigrants more vulnerable to potential acts of violence and backlash from those kinds of rumors.”

DeYoung says this harms both the people that need help and the people trying to help, by adding confusion, slowing down the recovery process and fomenting mistrust.
‘Platforms are not prepared’

Misinformation and climate change researcher Abbie Richards says she likes to look at the core emotions that drive conspiracy theories.

“When people feel really anxious, really powerless, really uncertain, those are the times where we expect misinformation to thrive,” says Richards, who is also a senior video producer for Media Matters. She says this is exacerbated with a big moment in the news cycle, and then even further inflamed by something as emotionally overwhelming as climate change.

“It’s a problem that by its very nature, makes people feel a wide range of pretty negative emotions — scared, anxious, uncertain — maybe guilty or conflicted if it’s something they’ve been denying,” says Richards. “We are mixing these giant events that are catastrophic and devastating with these big emotions, and it’s really easy for people to fall into scapegoating and blaming conspiracy theories that provide really simple explanations for these super complicated problems.”

Richards explains that in order to regain a sense of control, people drink in whatever information they can get their hands on, even when it’s false. “Sometimes it’s the moon was nuked, but sometimes it’s also just people wanting to help and that can get us into bad situations, too — I’ve seen a lot of hoaxes spread in the name of awareness.”

She says she doesn’t criticize consuming news on TikTok because it is an excellent source for firsthand accounts of events that can fill a different emotional need for people. For example, Richards says TikTok has helped people understand the nuanced challenges of evacuating.

But, she says, social media change is needed.

“The platforms are just not prepared,” says Richards. “They are seemingly very unequipped to handle widespread misinformation that arises in the wake of these events. And if we’re going to learn anything from this experience, it’s that the platforms need to seriously invest in climate-related content moderation, because this is causing harm and it’s impeding relief efforts, and it could hurt people.”

Rolling Stone