Wednesday, March 19, 2025

Thorny skates come in snack and party sizes. After a century of guessing, scientists now know why.




Florida Museum of Natural History

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Thorny skates come in two distinct sizes along the Atlantic Coast of North America, but no one could figure out why. Then their numbers began to plummet, and it became imperative for scientists to understand whether their sizes had anything to do with it. Now we have a key part of the answer.

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Credit: Illustration by Jorge Machuski




When Jeff Kneebone was a college student in 2002, his research involved a marine mystery that has stumped curious scientists for the last two decades. That mystery had to do with thorny skates in the North Atlantic. In some parts of their range, individuals of this species come in two distinct sizes, irrespective of sex, and no one could figure out why. At the time, neither could Kneebone.

In a new study, Kneebone and researchers from the Florida Museum of Natural History say they’ve finally found an answer. And it’s all thanks to COVID-19.

People have known about the size discrepancy in thorny skates for nearly a century, but it became critically important beginning in the 1970s, when their numbers took a nosedive. The cause of the decline was thought to be overfishing by humans, and the solution was simple. In 2003, a strict fishing moratorium in the United States was put in place for thorny skates and another species, the barndoor skate, that was also doing poorly.

“The barndoor skate rebounded to the point where they’re now allowed to be harvested again, but for whatever reason, the thorny skate has remained low, despite 20 years of protection,” said Kneebone, who currently works as a senior scientist at the Anderson Cabot Center for Ocean Life at the New England Aquarium.

According to survey data collected by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, thorny skates have declined by 80% to 95% in some areas, particularly the Gulf of Maine, and they’re also languishing in low numbers in Canadian waters off the Scotian Shelf.

Thorny skates have a large distribution. They can be found from South Carolina up to the Arctic Circle and east through Scotland, Norway and Russia. In the Arctic and European part of their range, thorny skates come in just one size. It’s only along the coast of North America that small and large varieties coexist.

“No one could understand what the deal was with these skates,” said study co-author Gavin Naylor, director of the Florida Program for Shark Research at the Florida Museum of Natural History. Scientists had tried studying thorny skate DNA to see if there were any differences between the large and small sizes, but they came up empty-handed. “The big forms are twice the size, and it takes them 11 years to reach adulthood. The small forms are mature by the time they’re six years old. There’s got to be genetic differences.”

Naylor thought he might be able to crack the code.

The idea was simple. Previous studies had tried to answer the question by analyzing a few short DNA sequences taken from a small number of thorny skates. It was a good strategy, Naylor reasoned, but fell short because researchers hadn’t yet processed nearly enough DNA. Instead, what was needed was a gene capture approach: a labor-intensive method that allows researchers to collect DNA sequence data from thousands of sequences throughout an organism’s genome, the term used to describe DNA stored in the nuclei of cells. Most importantly, they’d do this for hundreds of thorny skates, which would provide them ample data to scour. 

He put the word out to the scientific community, and people sent the team more than 600 tissue samples collected across much of the Northern Hemisphere, and he made the costly preparations to get the lab work underway, with funding from the Lenfest Foundation and the National Science Foundation.

Then the COVID-19 pandemic hit, and the subsequent restrictions that were put in place made it impossible to conduct extensive, in-person lab work, putting the project on indefinite hiatus.

One of Naylor’s postdoctoral researchers at the time, Shannon Corrigan, pulled together a salvage mission. If they couldn’t collect gene capture DNA from hundreds of thorny skates, they could sequence the entire genome of four or five individuals. This would drastically cut down on the amount of in-person work that needed to be done.

It was a risky plan. There was only a small chance they would find what they were looking for by sequencing genomes, and they only had enough funding to do one or the other.

It was a Hail Mary, Naylor said, but one that paid off. Had they used the original gene capture idea, “we would have missed it entirely.”

As it was, they only nearly missed it. The study’s first author, Pierre Lesturgie, was tasked with analyzing the genome — all 2.5 billion base pairs of it — once it had been sequenced. As he was combing through the data, something strange caught his eye.

“There was a large region on chromosome two that we thought was weird. Since it was behaving in a way we didn’t understand, we considered removing it from the analysis,” Lesturgie said. He thought it might be an aberration or potentially an error introduced during the sequencing process, and worried it would reduce the accuracy of their results. He was about to trash it when Naylor mentioned it looked like the sort of thing you’d get from a gene inversion, a natural process in which a sequence of DNA is flipped in the wrong direction.

Most organisms, including humans, have at least a few inversions in their genomes, so they’re not uncommon, but they seldom result in observable differences between individuals. But because it was all the researchers had to go on, they checked to see if the inverted sequence was present in both large and small thorny skates. It wasn’t. Only large thorny skates had the mirrored stretch of DNA. They’d need to do more work to confirm it, but they’d found their answer. Cue the popping bottles of champagne and celebratory good cheer.

Figuring out what caused the size difference is only the first step, Kneebone said. Now researchers can make headway on developing a conservation plan. The next step will involve good old-fashioned observation. Before the discovery of the gene inversion, it was difficult — and in some cases impossible — to distinguish between the large and small types.

“We could identify the large males and females, because they’re bigger than anything else,” Naylor said. At maturity, both large and small males develop long, trailing claspers on either side of their tale, giving them the overall appearance of a kite with streamers. “So when you’ve got a small male with large claspers, we know it’s an adult. But we can’t do anything with the small females, because we don’t know whether they’re just babies on their way to getting big.”

This limitation has hampered research on the species, Kneebone said. “The big question has always been, what do the life histories of the two morphs look like? Currently, they’re not discriminated in the stock assessment, so a thorny skate is a thorny skate is a thorny skate.”

The final step will be figuring out why thorny skates are continuing to decline in parts of their range. Fortunately, scientists already have a few good leads. Current evidence suggests it’s harder for the two sizes to interbreed in places where they’re declining than it is in others. It’s possible this natural and partial barrier to reproduction cold be exacerbated by climate change.

Thorny skates are having the most trouble in the Gulf of Maine, where sea surface temperatures have increased faster than 99% of the world’s oceans over the last several years. This has had all sorts of unpleasant effects, like the collapse of cod fisheries in the region.

Whether climate change is partially responsible for the plight of the thorny skate and, if so, why it has an undue negative influence on this single species compared with other skates that live in the same area, remains to be seen. To determine that, Kneebone said they’ll need more data.

“We’re trying to use the best available science to make decisions about how to best manage and sustain populations.”

The authors published their study in the journal Nature Communications.


The skin of sharks and rays are covered in a layer of denticles, which are essentially microscopic teeth. Thorny skates get their namesake from their sickle-shaped barbs that are made from the same material.

Credit

Florida Museum photo by Kristen Grace

 

Illinois study: Extreme heat impacts dairy production, small farms most vulnerable




University of Illinois College of Agricultural, Consumer and Environmental Sciences
dairy cows outside a building 

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Milk yield declines when dairy cows are exposed to extreme heat and humidity, University of Illinois researchers found.

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Credit: College of ACES




URBANA, Ill. – Livestock agriculture is bearing the cost of extreme weather events. A new study from the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign explores how heat stress affects U.S. dairy production, finding that high heat and humidity lead to a 1% decline in annual milk yield. Small farms are hit harder than large farms, which may be able to mitigate some of the effects through management strategies.

“Cows are mammals like us, and they experience heat stress just like we do. When cows are exposed to extreme heat, it can have a range of negative physical effects. There is an increased risk of infection, restlessness, and decreased appetite, which leads to a decline in milk yield. For dairy producers, the heat impact is a direct hit on their revenue,” explained study co-author Marin Skidmore, assistant professor in the Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics (ACE), part of the College of Agricultural, Consumer and Environmental Sciences at the U. of I. She conducted the study with Jared Hutchins, assistant professor in ACE, and Derek NolanIllinois Extension specialist and teaching assistant professor in the Department of Animal Sciences at the U. of I.

Skidmore and her colleagues analyzed milk production data from nine U.S. Midwest states. They included over 56 million cow-level production records from 18,000 dairy farms from 2012 to 2016. They adjusted the milk data for protein and fat content to more accurately estimate milk quality, which determines the price.

“Previous studies have focused on fluid milk yield. But in our dairy marketing system, milk is sold on components. When you calculate revenue, it’s not just about how many gallons of milk, but whether it’s high-quality milk with high protein and fat content,” Skidmore said.

The researchers combined quality-adjusted production data with daily weather data for temperature and humidity. They calculated temperature-humidity index measurements, which most accurately reflect the heat stress a cow experiences, as high heat and humidity make it harder for the cow to cool down through sweating. 

They found that, on average, 1% of annual milk yield is lost to heat stress. This may not sound like a lot, but it amounts to about 1.4 billion pounds of milk (adjusted for energy content) over five years for the 18,000 herds included in the study. Based on average milk prices, this is equivalent to about $245 million in lost revenue.

Most of the losses are due to low- and moderate-stress days because those are more common; however, yield loss per cow due to an extreme-stress day is more than double that of a moderate-stress day.

Heat stress disproportionately affects smaller farms, the study showed. Herds with fewer than 100 cows lost an average of 1.6% of annual yield, and while they supplied less than 20% of total output in the sample, they represented 27% of total damages.

Producers can implement various forms of mitigation strategies, such as open barn sides, fans, and sprinklers. Larger farms are better able to do so, but it’s not possible to fully protect against heat stress.

“There are a number of different adaptive methods, but there is no silver bullet. You can install more sprinklers and sophisticated ventilation systems. You could change the timing of calving to avoid these warmer periods, but that incurs other risks, and it is a complex issue,” Skidmore explained.

“Lower levels of heat intensity are potentially manageable with some of the practices available. At those levels, the largest farms are not really taking on noticeable losses, and that’s where we start to see the difference between small and large farms. But there is a level of heat stress where it’s so hot and humid that you can’t completely manage it.”

The researchers also project potential losses forward to 2050, using the average predictions from 22 different climate models. Under most scenarios, extreme heat days are predicted to be much more frequent, and milk yield losses are expected to increase about 30% by 2050.

If policy makers consider dairy production a priority, small farms will require greater support to remain competitive in the future, Skidmore stated.

“If there's interest in continuing to have a healthy and robust small dairy production presence in the U.S., that probably will require financial incentives to help farmers implement mitigation strategies, as well as investments in further research on how to manage the highest levels of heat stress,” she concluded. 

The paper, “Vulnerability of US dairy farms to extreme heat,” is published in Food Policy [DOI:10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.102821]. Funding was provided by a Center for the Economics of Sustainability Seed Grant. 

 

Time is not the driving influence of forest carbon storage, U-M study finds



University of Michigan




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It is commonly assumed that as forest ecosystems age, they accumulate and store, or "sequester," more carbon.

 

A new study based at the University of Michigan Biological Station untangled carbon cycling over two centuries and found that it's more nuanced than that.

 

The synergistic effects of forest structure, the composition of the tree and fungal communities, and soil biogeochemical processes have more influence on how much carbon is being sequestered above and below ground than previously thought.

 

The research, published in the journal Ecological Applications, involved the effort of more than 100 scientists from across the country who have conducted studies at the historic field station in Pellston, Michigan, over many decades.

 

The researchers targeted a variety of forest stands at the more-than-10,000-acre campus founded in 1909, including old reference forests that were established in the 1800s, stands that were logged in the early 1900s and have since been left undisturbed, and stands that have experienced subsequent logging or burning.

 

Luke Nave, research associate professor at Michigan Technological University's College of Forest Resources and Environmental Science, led the collaborative team that synthesized the decades of data.

 

"Time is not what drives carbon cycling," Nave said. "Time is more of a playing field, and the rules of the game on that field are things like canopy structure, tree and microbial community composition, and soil nitrogen availability. That means that changes in things like structure, composition and soil nitrogen are what control forest carbon trajectories, whether those changes happen quickly or slowly, and whether we are influencing those changes through management or letting them happen on their own terms."

 

The study was based on data that the team generated and compiled over decades at the U-M Biological Station in northern Michigan, including research infrastructure such as the 150-foot AmeriFlux tower, which is part of a network of instrumented sites in North, South and Central America that measure ecosystem carbon dioxide, water and energy "fluxes," and other exchanges between the land surface and atmosphere.

 

UMBS, one of the nation's largest and longest continuously operating field research stations, manages two towers near Douglas Lake that generate long-term data on forest carbon dynamics.

 

The newly published research spanned a wide variety of forest datasets in the footprints of the flux towers and elsewhere on the property, everything from soil respiration, fungal communities and root production to leaf litterfall, carbon pools and soil enzyme activities.

 

"It's exciting to see the results of this study. It was a lot of work and many years in the making," said Jason Tallant, data manager and research specialist at UMBS and a co-author of the research. 

 

"At the U-M Biological Station, we put a lot of effort into data curation and digitization. It's nice to see the carbon synthesis research team leverage our historic data sets and crunch real-time carbon sequestration information to illuminate what's happening in our forests and inform future management."

 

The researchers said that managing forests means much more than managing their age. Directly and indirectly, managing forests means manipulating structure (above and below ground), composition (plants and microbes) and relationships between ecosystem components, including their functional and biogeochemical outcomes.

 

"With the rates of change we're now seeing in things like climate, forest health and disturbance, and tree species composition, management will have to contend with more challenges and constraints all the time. What was true a decade or two ago can't be assumed as truth at this point," Nave said.

 

"A good example for folks who know the territory is on the Burn Plots—the 1998 burn is a thriving young stand of post-clearcut aspen, and the 2017 burn is a regeneration failure. You might not think that 19 years is a long time to a tree, but it is in today's world. Researchers and managers who take a whole-ecosystem perspective like we did in the paper will have an easier time understanding what has changed over the last few decades and what we can do about it to sustain forests."

 

This work is supported by the National Science Foundation, the U.S. Department of Energy's Office of Science and the Laboratory Directed Research and Development Program of Oak Ridge National Laboratory.

 

Collaborators are affiliated with nearly a dozen institutions including Michigan Tech, U-M, Virginia Commonwealth University, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, USDA Forest Service, Ohio State University, University of Connecticut, Purdue University, University of Texas and University of Wisconsin.

 

Study: Carbon cycling across ecosystem succession in a north temperate forest: Controls and management implications

 

 

Adopting zero-emission trucks and buses could save lives, prevent asthma in Illinois



Community partners advocated for research queries to support greater policy impact




Northwestern University





Guided by the lived experiences of community partners, Northwestern University scientists have simulated the effects of zero-emission vehicle (ZEV) adoption on future air quality for the greater Chicago area.

The results were published today (March 18) in the journal Frontiers of Earth Science.

Motivated by California’s Advanced Clean Trucks (ACT) policy, Neighbors for an Equitable Transition to Zero-Emissions (NET-Z) Illinois members partnered with Northwestern researchers to explore how a similar strategy might play out in Cook County and the surrounding areas.

To develop a model that more realistically simulates the greater Chicago area’s current pollution levels, the researchers augmented an Environmental Protection Act (EPA) air-quality model to better reflect satellite observations and the lived experience of local community groups. Then, the researchers compared the model of current air quality to simulated future conditions under the ACT policy.

By implementing an ACT policy in Illinois, researchers found the Chicago region would reduce enough nitrogen dioxide (NO2) pollution to avoid 500 premature deaths and 600 new cases of childhood asthma per year. The largest health improvements from this policy would occur in neighborhoods currently experiencing the highest pollution levels, which are areas with more residents of color. So, not only would reducing air pollution reduce health problems, it also would help address existing racial disparities in pollution exposure.

“As a mom who personally has asthma, I was struck by these results,” said Northwestern’s Victoria Lang, who led the study. “Avoiding 600 new pediatric cases of asthma per year is sparing 25 classrooms of students from a chronic lung disease. Kids should not have to suffer from a life-long illness just because of where they live or the location of their school.”

Lang is a Ph.D. candidate in Northwestern’s Department of Earth, Environmental and Planetary Sciences at the Weinberg College of Arts and Sciences. She is advised by the study’s senior author Daniel Horton, an associate professor of Earth, environmental and planetary sciences. Insights from members of the Respiratory Health Association, Warehouse Workers for Justice, Little Village Environmental Justice Organization and other NET-Z coalition members helped inform the study.

ACTing on air pollution

Exposure to traffic-related pollutants is associated with a myriad of substantial negative health outcomes, including asthma, emphysema, chronic bronchitis and ultimately premature death. To combat these issues, California adopted the ACT policy in June 2020. Several other states have since followed suit. The intervention policy aims to gradually replace approximately 50% of on-road medium- and heavy-duty vehicles, like trucks and buses, with ZEVs by the year 2050.

“ACT aims to reach an approximately 50% ZEV fleet by 2050 because trucking companies have economics to consider,” Horton said. “They can’t cost effectively replace their diesel fleets overnight. But, as the vehicles age and companies need to renew their fleets, ACT incentivizes gradual adoption of zero-emission vehicles.”

Wondering if a similar policy might help curb pollution-related health risks in the Chicago area, members of NET-Z Illinois approached Horton’s laboratory at Northwestern. Horton’s group previously modeled air-quality scenarios in which 30% of current on-road heavy-duty vehicles in the Chicago region shifted to electric versions. His lab also previously examined how pollution varies from neighborhood to neighborhood. After reviewing these studies, members of the community noticed some critical gaps in the data.

“The community asked us if we could simulate the effects of the ACT policy, so they could advocate for it in Illinois,” said Horton, who leads Northwestern’s Climate Change Research Group. “But they also suspected we were getting the emissions data wrong in certain areas of the city. So, first, we had to figure that out.”

Community groups fill in the blanks

In Horton’s air-quality models, his team pulls data from the EPA, which provides essential national-scale emission estimates. Because these estimates are designed for broad applicability, however, they may not capture localized variations in emission patterns.

“To determine emissions on a national scale, the EPA selects representative counties that may or may not include Chicago,” Horton explained. “They assign typical emission levels based on factors like traffic volume, road type and population density. It’s useful but not custom-designed for Chicago.”

“The default EPA model also uses a coarser resolution,” Lang added. “We run our model at one-kilometer resolution, allowing us to capture local impacts at the neighborhood scale. However, some assumptions used at coarser resolutions may not translate as well to higher-resolution applications.”

Community partners living in Chicago’s West Side noticed the emissions included in earlier models seemed low. To explore this intuition, citizen scientists deployed 35 truck-counting cameras at intersections along the I-55 corridor. The cameras revealed that communities along I-55, southwest of downtown Chicago, frequently experience thousands of truck passages per day. Beyond roadways, heavy-duty trucks also often idle — in driveways, pick-up lines and while loading and unloading freight — for extended periods of time. These idling episodes were underrepresented in the data.

“We tried to align our model with those lived experiences,” Lang said. “We found the EPA simulates short-duration idling from heavy-duty vehicles by distributing them across the entire city. We knew that wasn’t representative of where these vehicles operate, which is predominantly near warehouses and distribution centers, such as those on the west side of Chicago. We modified the spatial distribution of that short-duration idling to better represent real-life operations.”

Health and economic benefits of ZEV adoption

After augmenting their model with this new information, the researchers ran a baseline simulation to create a full high-resolution snapshot of current air pollution in Cook County and its surrounding collar counties — DuPage, Kane, Kendall, Lake, McHenry and Will. According to this baseline simulation, tailpipe exhaust from medium- and heavy-duty vehicles contributes to about 22% of NO2 pollution, which is linked to 1,330 premature deaths and 1,580 new cases of childhood asthma per year.

To simulate pollution after adopting ACT regulations, the team removed tailpipe emissions from nearly 50% of medium- and heavy-duty vehicles. Then, the researchers compared current pollution to 2050’s projected pollution levels under the ACT policy. If Illinois adopted the policy, then by 2050, NO2 levels would decrease by 8.4% across the whole region, they found. This reduction would result in roughly 500 fewer premature deaths per year and about 600 fewer new cases of childhood asthma annually.

Beyond health benefits, adopting ACT regulations in Illinois would have significant benefits for the economy and for addressing longstanding systemic pollution exposure disparities. The study authors estimate Illinois could save $731 million annually in avoided health costs and climate damages. Communities of color — who often live closer to major roadways and warehouses where truck traffic is heaviest — are disproportionately affected by current pollution levels. So, these communities would experience the greatest improvements.

As the Illinois Pollution Control Board considers a proposal to adopt the ACT policy, this new research underscores the tangible importance of adopting ZEVs to improve public health for Illinois residents. Northwestern Pritzker School of Law Professor Robert Weinstock serves as lead counsel for the community groups urging the Board to adopt the measure, and Horton provided expert testimony on the projected public health benefits from vehicle electrification in Illinois. This work demonstrates the uniquely powerful real-world impact of community-academic collaborative research.

“Ultimately, it’s up to individual states to adopt the ACT standard,” Horton said. “This is an opportunity for Illinois to lead — by adopting a policy that is good for both Illinois residents’ health and for global climate.”

The study, “Assessing air quality, public health, and equity implications of an Advanced Clean Trucks policy for Illinois,” was supported by the National Science Foundation and Environmental Defense Fund.