Friday, August 08, 2025

 

Nawrocki sworn in as Poland's president, setting up showdown with Tusk government

Nawrocki sworn in as Poland's president, setting up showdown with Tusk government
Karol Nawrocki is sworn in in the National Assembly on August 6, 2025 / Łukasz Błasikiewicz for President's Office
By Wojciech Kosc in Warsaw August 7, 2025

Karol Nawrocki was sworn in as Poland’s new president on August 6, marking the start of what is expected to be a prolonged political standoff with Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s coalition government.

Nawrocki, a historian backed by the right-wing Law and Justice (PiS) party and a newbie in top politics, used his inaugural address to deliver a scathing critique of the government. 

“It is impossible to continue governing in this manner, and Poland should not look like it does today,” Nawrocki said.

The 42-year-old won the June 1 presidential runoff by a narrow margin — 50.89% to 49.11% — defeating Warsaw Mayor Rafał Trzaskowski, the candidate backed by Tusk’s ruling coalition. The result dealt a major blow to Tusk, who had hoped to secure alignment between the presidency and government to push through delayed reforms. 

Instead, Tusk now faces another term under a head of state that can be expected to oppose his efforts, replacing former president Andrzej Duda, a staunch ally of PiS.

Nawrocki is expected to veto key legislation from the government, which lacks the parliamentary majority required to override presidential rejections. Both sides are preparing to use this gridlock to their advantage ahead of the next general election in 2027, each aiming to blame the other for inaction.

“I have worked with three presidents as prime minister so far. What will it be like with the fourth? We’ll manage,” Tusk said on social media.

Tusk also called Nawrocki's inauguration day "sad and disappointing". "We all believed that honesty, goodness, and love would prevail. What has happened puts our faith to a serious test," Tusk said in a video message.

In his first speech as president, Nawrocki pledged to block Poland’s adoption of the euro, saying he would support cooperation within the EU but “never agree to the European Union taking away Poland’s powers, especially in matters that are not enshrined in the European treaties.” 

Nawrocki also pledged to oppose attempts by the government to roll back PiS’s judiciary reforms, which cost Poland a delay in accessing EU funds before 2023. 

The president restated his campaign pledges to resist any increase in the retirement age, oppose illegal immigration and preserve the Polish złoty. Nawrocki also called for more housing investment.

Nawrocki indicated he would revive some policies dropped by the current government, including a plan to double the tax-free income threshold. That measure is no longer on the government’s agenda due to fiscal concerns.

What the cooperation between Nawrocki and the Tusk-led ruling majority will look like might become clearer within days, when parliament sends Nawrocki a bill combining electricity price caps for households — a policy Nawrocki has backed — with measures liberalising onshore wind development, which he and his voter base may oppose. 

The only area where Nawrocki and Tusk may find common ground is defence. 

Poland spends the highest share of GDP on defence in Nato and plays a central role in supporting Ukraine. 

“I will support all efforts to modernise the Polish army to make it the largest Nato land force within the European Union,” Nawrocki said, adding that he would “engage closely with the US” and “lead in building a resilient and responsible security architecture on Nato’s eastern flank”


Poland’s new president brings hard line on refugees, abortion and rule of law

Karol Nawrocki’s inauguration as Poland’s new president on Wednesday has set the stage for a turbulent power struggle with Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s pro-European government and raised fears among Poland’s Ukrainian community.


Issued on: 06/08/2025 - RFI


Supporters of Karol Nawrocki, president elect supported by Poland's right-wing Law and Justice (PiS) party, gather in front of the Supreme Court building in Warsaw, Poland, Tuesday, 1 July 2025. AP - Czarek Sokolowski

The historian and author used his swearing-in speech to parliament to make his position clear: “No to illegal immigration, no to the euro.”

Nawrocki’s election campaign was marked by a rise in nationalist rhetoric and repeated criticism of Ukrainian refugees living in Poland. His victory has unsettled many at home and abroad.

His rhetoric is making it easier for people to express anti-Ukrainian views, warned Oleksandr Pestrykov of the Ukrainian House Foundation in Warsaw – calling it a form of social segregation.


“Seeing Nawrocki speak in this way, someone who doesn't like Ukrainians but would have been ashamed to say so, can now say it openly,” Pestrykov said.

On the campaign trail, Nawrocki described Ukrainian refugees as “ungrateful” and a “burden on society”. His slogan “Poland First, Poles First” came with pledges to give citizens priority in healthcare and education, cut pensions for Ukrainians and restrict benefits to Poles only.


Supporters of Karol Nawrocki, president elect supported by Poland's right-wing Law and Justice (PiS) party, gather in front of the Supreme Court building in Warsaw, Poland, Tuesday, 1 July 2025. AP - Czarek Sokolowski

Supreme Court confirms validity of Poland's presidential election


Calls for unity mask deep divides

Despite his hardline message, Nawrocki has also tried to appear as a unifier. In a video released before the inauguration, he urged Poles to “unite” and spoke of “a new chapter in the history of our beloved Poland”.

He said he would be an “active president” from the outset, ready to propose laws and push government action.

But cooperation with Tusk’s government may prove difficult. The prime minister has already expressed doubts about Nawrocki’s intentions. “I have no doubt that Mr Nawrocki will do everything to annoy us,” Tusk said. He also warned that he would not let the president “demolish” his government.

Nawrocki, who has no prior experience in elected office, narrowly defeated liberal candidate Rafal Trzaskowski in the 1 June election. The close result revealed deep divisions in Polish politics.

Although the president does not run the government, the role comes with real power – including veto rights and a say in foreign and defence policy.

Nawrocki had the backing of former US president Donald Trump during his campaign. But analysts say he lacks international experience. With Ukraine a key issue, this could become a source of friction.

From Washington to Warsaw: how MAGA influence is reshaping Europe’s far right


Foreign policy split


Nawrocki’s support for Ukraine appears conditional, said Jean-Yves Potel, a historian and political scientist. “Nawrocki seems to want to impose conditions on the Ukrainians, particularly regarding Ukraine’s entry into NATO and the European Union. He wants to exert pressure on this issue,” Potel told RFI.

Still, he said Tusk remains Poland’s key foreign policy actor. “He is not going to follow Nawrocki,” he said.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky congratulated Nawrocki after his win and expressed hope for continued cooperation.

Following a phone call between the two, Zelensky said they had agreed to exchange visits and work together on practical matters. He said he was “thankful for the readiness to work together”.

Even so, Nawrocki’s remarks about Kyiv’s “lack of gratitude” and his opposition to NATO membership for Ukraine suggest a cooler relationship than under former president Andrzej Duda. The shift could affect Poland’s role in the regional response to Russia’s war.

Polish nationalists stage anti-immigration demonstration ahead of polls

Abortion deadlock

Tensions are also expected to continue in the lead-up to Poland’s next parliamentary elections in 2027. Nawrocki has openly attacked the Tusk government, calling it “the worst in the history of democratic Poland”.

One major fault line is abortion. In predominantly Catholic Poland, the procedure is only allowed in cases of severe foetal abnormalities or when the mother’s life is at risk. Tusk wants to relax the law. Nawrocki has said he will block any such move.

“He promises to block any law in this direction,” said Potel. “But on the other hand, within Tusk’s coalition, there are Christian Democratic currents that refuse to liberalise abortion.” As a result, no major change may be possible, despite public pressure.

Not all observers think the situation will spiral into open conflict. Piotr Trudnowski, from the Klub Jagiellonski think tank, said “both parties should realise that engaging in intense confrontation is obviously not the way forward.”

The months ahead will show whether compromise is possible – or whether Poland’s political divide grows deeper under Nawrocki’s presidency.

.

DR Congo urges world to recognise 'Genocost' tied to decades of resource war

The Democratic Republic of Congo held a national day of remembrance this weekend for what it calls the “Genocost” – a term used to describe mass deaths linked to the exploitation of the country’s natural resources.


Issued on: 04/08/2025 - 
Civil society workers participate in a burial of civilians killed during the clashes between M23 rebels and the Armed Forces of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, at the Genocost cemetery, in Goma, North Kivu, on 2 September 2024
. REUTERS - Arlette Bashizi


By:Melissa Chemam with RFI

President Félix Tshisekedi used the occasion to call on parliament to adopt a resolution recognising the violence in eastern Congo as genocide.

"I solemnly call upon both houses of parliament to examine as soon as possible the adoption of an official resolution proclaiming the recognition of genocide committed on our territory," Tshisekedi said on Saturday.

He said the deaths of thousands of civilians in the east of the country meet the legal definition of genocide under the 1948 UN convention. He also promised to take the campaign for recognition to international forums.

The annual Genocost commemoration takes place every 2 August. It was first held three years ago. This year, a new memorial was opened near the National Museum in Kinshasa.



Repeated conflict


Eastern Congo, rich in minerals and bordering Rwanda, has faced repeated conflict since the Rwandan genocide in 1994. Violence has escalated again since early 2025.

The term “Genocost” was first used in London in 2013 by a member of the Congolese Action Youth Platform (CAYP). It followed the UN’s Mapping Report, which documented large-scale crimes in eastern Congo dating back to 1996. The report said several neighbouring countries, including Rwanda, Uganda and Burundi, shared responsibility.

For CAYP France, the creation of a national remembrance day is a major step. Gloria Menayame, a legal expert with the NGO, told RFI it was a “victory” but said more needs to be done.

But, she also said that it "feels unfinished".

"The adoption of the Genocost campaign is something we welcome," she said. "What we didn’t want was this partial appropriation that only takes what suits the authorities. There’s a lot of talk about international responsibility or the creation of an international tribunal. But they forget to put in place mechanisms to address crimes at the national level. We believe our government has the means, but lacks the will."



Long road to recognition

The idea of the Genocost began gaining support after 2013, as calls for reparations grew. Civil society groups pointed to a long history of resource-driven violence going back to colonial times.

Supporters of the campaign renamed a square in Kinshasa “Genocost Square” and began holding events there every 2 August. The date marks the start of the Second Congo War in 1998.

But the government only adopted the term officially in late 2022, after the M23 rebel group returned to action and tensions with Rwanda increased.

One key aim of the campaign is the creation of an international criminal tribunal for the DRC.

Tshisekedi also said he would raise the issue at the United Nations General Assembly in September.



Theoretical issues


Some legal experts say the Genocost concept remains controversial. Ithiel Batumike, a researcher at the Congolese think tank Ebuteli, told RFI the term is based on real anger and frustration over decades of violence, but it still needs to be defined more clearly in legal terms.

"All Congolese believe it is time to stop this spiral of violence," he said.

"The big questions all Congolese are asking themselves: 'Until when?' and 'Why does the international community act as if it doesn't see everything that is happening in Congo, when it is paying sustained attention to other crises where it has actually intervened to stop the massacres?'"

Another issue is the role of Congolese leaders and military officials in the conflict.

Menayame said some members of the Congolese government have been named in UN reports as being involved in crimes committed in the country.

These include several generals active in conflict zones. She said their actions should not be ignored.

Indonesia cracks down on pirate protest flag

Jakarta (AFP) – Indonesia is cracking down on a viral pirate flag that is spreading as a symbol of political protest ahead of independence day.


Issued on: 08/08/2025

A Jolly Roger skull and bones is spreading as a symbol of protest in Indonesia 
© DIKA / AFP

The Jolly Roger skull and bones with a straw hat -- from Japanese anime series "One Piece" -- has been fluttering from a rising number of trucks, cars and homes.

"ONE PIECE" ANIME AND LIVE ACTION SERIES ARE ON NETFLICKS

Officials warn the "provocation" -- seen by many as a protest against President Prabowo Subianto's policies -- should not fly alongside the country's red-and-white flag.


The pirate banner was taken up by disgruntled truck drivers earlier this summer, but has recently snowballed into an online and real-life movement.

"I personally raised the One Piece flag because the red and white flag is too sacred to be raised in this corrupt country," Khariq Anhar, a 24-year-old university student in Sumatra's Riau province, told AFP.

"I believe freedom of speech in Indonesia exists, but it is very limited. Voicing your opinion is getting more dangerous."


Government officials say the pirate flag's use is an attempt to divide the nation and warn it may be banned from flying next to Indonesia's colours © DIKA / AFP


Government officials say the flag's use is an attempt to divide the nation.

They warn it may be banned from flying next to Indonesia's colours, or being raised on August 17 -- the 80th independence anniversary after Japan's surrender at the end of World War II.

"It is imperative we refrain from creating provocation with symbols that are not relevant to this country's struggle," chief security minister Budi Gunawan said in a statement last week.

Ministers have cited a law that prohibits flying a symbol higher than the national flag as the basis for any punishment.

Under that law, intent to desecrate, insult or degrade the flag carries a maximum prison sentence of five years or a fine of nearly $31,000.

State Secretary Minister Prasetyo Hadi on Tuesday said Prabowo had no issue with the "expression of creativity", but the two flags "should not be placed side by side in a way that invites comparison", local media reported.
'Just a cartoon'

A presidency spokesman did not respond to an AFP question about its position on the pirate flag, which was put two days earlier.

Experts say unhappy Indonesians are using the flag as a way to express anti-government feeling indirectly, with some of Prabowo's economic and defence policies causing concern about democratic backsliding.

"Symbols like the pirate flag let people channel frustration without spelling it out," said Dedi Dinarto, lead Indonesia analyst at advisory firm Global Counsel.


The pirate banner was taken up by disgruntled truck drivers earlier this summer, but has recently snowballed into an online and real-life movement © DIKA / AFP

"It reflects a public sentiment that parts of the country have been 'hijacked'."

Others, like food seller Andri Saputra, who has flown the pirate ensign below an Indonesian flag at his home for a week, say they want to be able to decide what symbols they display.

"I want to be free to express my opinion and express myself," the 38-year-old said in Boyolali regency in Central Java.

"This is just a cartoon flag from Japan."

Online culture has been a popular channel for Indonesian dissatisfaction against perceived government corruption and nepotism.

Japanese anime is popular in Indonesia, and in the best-selling 'One Piece' manga series created in 1997, the flag represents opposition to an authoritarian world government.

In February, protests known as 'Dark Indonesia' began against Prabowo's widespread budget cuts, sparked by a logo posted on social media showing a black Indonesian mythical Garuda bird alongside the words 'Emergency Warning'.

In the popular 'One Piece' manga series created in 1997, the flag represents opposition to an authoritarian world government © DIKA / AFP

Other rallies in 2016 and 2019 were also sparked online, and Dedi says the government may be worried that "this follows the same digital playbook".

There is also a generational divide, with older locals viewing the Indonesian flag as hard-won after centuries of colonial rule, while younger Indonesians see the new movement as an expression of disappointment.
Police raid

"They just want Indonesia to get better, but... they can only express it through the 'One Piece' flag," said Ismail Fahmi, founder of Indonesian social media monitor Drone Emprit.

Police in Banten Province neighbouring capital Jakarta and West Java Province, Indonesia's most populous, have threatened action if the flag is flown next to the nation's colours.

One printing business owner in Central Java told AFP on condition of anonymity that his facility was raided by plain-clothes police on Wednesday evening to halt its production of the pirate emblem.

A factory owner says plain-clothes police raided his facility to stop production of the emblem © DIKA / AFP


Rights groups have called the response excessive and say Indonesians are allowed to wave the flag by law.

"Raising the 'One Piece' flag as a critic is a part of the freedom of speech and it is guaranteed by the constitution," said Amnesty International Indonesia executive director Usman Hamid.


Despite the government's threats, some young Indonesians are still willing to risk walking the plank of protest.

"Last night my friend and I went around the town while raising a One Piece flag," said Khariq on Wednesday.

"If the government has no fear of repressing its own people, we shouldn't be scared to fight bad policies."

© 2025 AFP






ANOTHER BRIC IN THE WALL

South Africa braces for heavy job losses as stiff US tariffs take hold

As sweeping new US tariffs take effect on Thursday, dozens of countries are facing sharp new duties on their exports. South Africa is among the hardest hit, with key goods now subject to a 30 percent tariff and up to 100,000 jobs on the line.


Issued on: 07/08/2025 - RFI


Workers at the Steel and Engineering Industries Federation of Southern Africa works with steel products at the company's facility in Benoni, east of Johannesburg, South Africa, on 29 July 2025
. REUTERS - Siphiwe Sibeko

By:Melissa Chemam with RFI

The tariff hike, ordered by US President Donald Trump, is part of a wider effort to reset global trade on terms more favourable to Washington.

South Africa’s reliance on exports like cars, steel and citrus – combined with an already fragile economy – leaves it particularly exposed.

The South African government had spent months trying to negotiate a deal to avoid the penalty. It offered to buy US liquefied natural gas and invest $3.3 billion (€2.8 billion) in US industries in exchange for lower tariffs. The offer was rejected – even after a last-minute effort to improve it.

Trade and Industry Minister Parks Tau said the talks had been unusually difficult.

"These are very complex negotiations, certainly unprecedented," he said. "At this stage, we must focus on the task at hand and not on finding those responsible."

Foreign Minister Ronald Lamola called for unity. "We're talking about our economy. This is not the time for political calculations, whether in the opposition or within the national unity government," he said.

"We must all speak with one voice. And we can't just blame South Africa; this is a global phenomenon."

President Cyril Ramaphosa said last week that the government would act to ease the impact of the tariff.

US President Donald Trump received South African President Cyril Ramaphosa in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, D.C., USA, on 21 May 2025. REUTERS - Kevin Lamarque

Emergency support measures

Pretoria has launched a producer support programme to help exporters find new markets. Willem van der Spuy, head of exports at the Department of Trade, Industry and Competition (DTIC), said the aim is to reduce dependence on a few major partners.

"Through this support office, we will connect producers with embassies and potential buyers to penetrate new markets. But also, in general, to help the country diversify its exports," he said on Tuesday.

The DTIC has also set up an Export Support Desk to advise affected companies. Tau described the move as part of a broader effort to help the country through "a trying moment".

He said the new tariff is a direct threat to jobs in key industries, including automotive, agro-processing, steel and chemicals.

"We are working with urgency and resolve to implement real, practical interventions that defend jobs and position South Africa competitively in a shifting global landscape," Tau said in a statement.

Trump’s executive order, signed on 31 July, set tariff rates ranging from 10 to 41 percent on dozens of countries. African states face duties between 15 and 30 percent.

Almost 100,000 jobs at risk

Lesetja Kganyago, governor of South Africa’s central bank, said the tariff could cost up to 100,000 jobs. The country already has an unemployment rate of nearly 33 percent.

The United States is South Africa’s second-largest trading partner after China. Top exports to the US include cars, iron and steel, and citrus fruits.

Speaking on 702 Radio, Kganyago said farming would take a major hit. "Here the impact is on citrus fruit, table grapes and wines," he said.


Workers at the Steel and Engineering Industries Federation of Southern Africa (SEIFSA) at the company's facility in Benoni, east of Johannesburg, South Africa, on 29 July 2025. REUTERS - Siphiwe Sibeko


About 6 to 8 percent of South Africa’s citrus crop is exported to the US. For farmers in Citrusdal, 200 kilometres north of Cape Town, that trade is vital.

"At the moment it's about 25 to 30 percent of our business," said Gerrit van der Merwe, speaking from his 1,000-hectare orange farm.

Until now, South Africa’s exports to the US had been tariff-free under the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA). That status now appears to be ending.

More than 70 percent of arable land in South Africa remains in the hands of the white minority, based on the latest figures from 2017. Many commercial farmers are among those most exposed to the impact of the new tariffs.

South Africa criticises US plan to resettle white Afrikaners as refugees


Diplomatic tensions

Officials in Pretoria say the tariff is not just about trade. It also reflects growing tensions with Washington over domestic and foreign policy.

Trump has falsely claimed that white farmers are having their land seized and has voiced strong opposition to South Africa’s land reform and affirmative action laws.

The White House is also angry over South Africa’s decision to file a genocide case against Israel at the International Court of Justice.

South Africa currently holds the G20 Presidency and will host the first G20 leaders’ summit in Africa in November 2025. Officials had hoped Trump would attend, but he said late last month he might skip the event, citing frustration with South Africa’s foreign policy.

"Since the last 30 years, there have been disagreements with the US administration on a number of issues, but the diplomatic lines of engagement have always been open," Lamola told French news agency AFP on Tuesday. He said relations had "reached a low".

(with newswires)


Trump cranks up India tariffs to 50% in an attempt to pressure Russia

Currently, Brazil is the only other country to face a 50% import tax on all its products across the board.


Copyright Copyright 2020 The Associated Press. All rights reserved


By Una Hajdari with AP
Published on 06/08/2025 

Brazil and India now face the world’s steepest blanket tariff at 50%, with India targeted for Russian oil purchases undermining US sanctions.


President Donald Trump on Wednesday hit India with an extra 25% tariff over its Russian oil deals, bringing total US tariffs on the ally to a steep 50%.

Currently, Brazil is the only other country to face a 50% import tax on all its products across the board.

This does not include the steel, aluminium and copper tariffs, also at 50%, levied on every single country in the world apart from the UK.

The tariffs would go into effect 21 days after the signing of the order, meaning that both India and Russia could still have time to negotiate with the administration on a more favourable deal.

Trump's moves could scramble the economic trajectory of India, a major Asian economy, which until recently was seen as an alternative to China by US companies looking to relocate their manufacturing.

China, which also buys oil from Russia, is currently experiencing a stay on the full tariff measure — currently all Chinese products face a 30% levy — as it negotiates more favourable tariff measures with the US administration.

Trump had previewed for reporters on Tuesday that the tariffs would be coming, saying the US had a meeting with Russia on Wednesday as the Trump administration tries to end Moscow's all-out war in Ukraine.

“We’re going to see what happens," Trump said about his tariff plans. "We’ll make that determination at that time.”

The Indian government on Wednesday called the additional tariffs “unfortunate".

“We reiterate that these actions are unfair, unjustified and unreasonable,” Foreign Ministry spokesperson Randhir Jaiswal said in a statement, adding that India would take all actions necessary to protect its interests.

Jaiswal said India has already made its stance clear that the country’s imports were based on market factors and were part of an overall objective of ensuring energy security for its 1.4 billion people.

Related

India attacks US and Europe's 'double standards' in their trade relationship with Russia

Ajay Srivastava, a former Indian trade official, said the latest tariff places the country among the most heavily taxed US trading partners and far above rivals such as China, Vietnam and Bangladesh.

India is widely regarded as an ally, with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi having visited the US in February of this year.

“The tariffs are expected to make Indian goods far costlier with the potential to cut exports by around 40%-50% to the US,” he said.

Srivastava said Trump's decision was “hypocritical” because China bought more Russian oil than India did last year.

“Washington avoids targeting Beijing because of China’s leverage over critical minerals which are vital for US defence and technology,” he said.
Coming to terms with the deficit

In 2024, the US ran a $45.8 billion or €52.5 billion trade deficit in goods with India, meaning America imported more from India than it exported, according to the US Census Bureau.

US consumers and businesses buy pharmaceutical drugs, precious stones, textiles and apparel from India, among other products.

India has not supported the Ukraine-related sanctions by the US and its allies on Moscow even as its leaders maintain that they want peace.

Ostensibly, the steep tariff is a means to deprive the Kremlin of revenue to fund its ongoing war in Ukraine, forcing Trump's goal of bringing the Russian government to the negotiating table and possibly agreeing to a ceasefire followed by long-term peace in Ukraine.

But oil prices have fallen, with a barrel trading on Wednesday morning at $65.84 or €75.53, up by 1% on the day new tariffs were announced.

Tariff showdown shatters once robust populist alliance between Trump and Modi


Copyright Copyright 2025 The Associated Press. All rights reserved.

By AP with Una Hajdari
Published on 05/08/2025 

Once allies during the populist wave launched in Trump's first term, the US president and Indian PM Narendra Modi are now on a collision course over tariffs and Washington’s warming ties with Pakistan.


The men shared bear hugs, showered praise on each other, and made appearances side by side at stadium rallies — a big optics boost for two populist leaders with many ideological similarities. Each called the other a good friend.

In India, the bonhomie between Prime Minister Narendra Modi and US President Donald Trump was seen as a relationship like no other. That is, until a series of events gummed up the works.

From Trump’s tariffs and India’s purchase of oil from Russia to a US tilt towards Pakistan, friction between New Delhi and Washington has been hard to miss. And much of it has happened far from the corridors of power and, unsurprisingly, through Trump’s posts on social media.

It has left policy experts wondering whether the camaraderie the two leaders shared may be a thing of the past, even though Trump has stopped short of referring to Modi directly on social media. The dip in rapport, some say, puts a strategic bilateral relationship built over decades at risk.

“This is a testing time for the relationship,” said Ashok Malik, a former policy adviser in India’s Foreign Ministry.

The White House did not immediately respond to a message seeking comment.


Simmering tensions over trade and tariffs

The latest hiccup between India and the US emerged last week when Trump announced that he was slapping 25% tariffs on India as well as an unspecified penalty because of India’s purchase of Russian oil.

For New Delhi, such a move from its largest trading partner is expected to be felt across sectors, but it also led to a sense of unease in India — even more so when Trump, on social media, called India’s economy “dead”.

Trump’s recent statements reflect his frustration with the pace of trade talks with India, according to a White House official who was not authorised to speak publicly and spoke on condition of anonymity to describe internal administration thinking. The Republican president has not been pursuing any strategic realignment with Pakistan, according to the official, but is instead trying to play hardball in negotiations.

Trump doubled down on the pressure Monday with a fresh post on Truth Social, in which he accused India of buying “massive amounts” of oil from Russia and then “selling it on the Open Market for big profits".

“They don’t care how many people in Ukraine are being killed by the Russian War Machine. Because of this, I will be substantially raising the tariff paid by India to the USA,” he said.

The messaging appears to have stung Modi’s administration, which has been hard-selling negotiations with Trump’s team over a trade deal by balancing between India’s protectionist system while also opening up the country’s market to more American goods.

“Strenuous, uninterrupted and bipartisan efforts in both capitals over the past 25 years are being put at risk by not just the tariffs but by fast and loose statements and social media posts,” said Malik, who heads the India chapter of The Asia Group, a US advisory firm.

Malik also said the trade deal the Indian side has offered to the US is the “most expansive in this country’s history,” referring to reports that India was willing to open up to some American agricultural products. That is a politically sensitive issue for Modi, who faced a yearlong farmers’ protest a few years ago.

President Donald Trump meets with India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi in the Oval Office of the White House. February 2025 Copyright 2025 The Associated Press. All rights reserved


Trump appears to be tilting toward Pakistan

The unravelling may have gained momentum over tariffs, but the tensions have been palpable for a while. Much of it has to do with Trump growing closer to Pakistan, India’s nuclear rival in the neighbourhood.

In May, India and Pakistan traded a series of military strikes over a gun massacre in the disputed Kashmir region that New Delhi blamed on Islamabad. Pakistan denied the accusations. The four-day conflict made the possibility of a nuclear conflagration between the two sides seem real and the fighting only stopped when global powers intervened.

But it was Trump’s claims of mediation and an offer to work to provide a “solution” regarding the dispute over Kashmir that made Modi’s administration uneasy. Since then, Trump has repeated nearly two dozen times that he brokered peace between India and Pakistan.

For Modi, that is a risky — even nervy — territory. Domestically, he has positioned himself as a leader who is tough on Pakistan. Internationally, he has made huge diplomatic efforts to isolate the country. So Trump’s claims cut a deep wound, prompting a sense in India that the US may no longer be its strategic partner.

India insists that Kashmir is India’s internal issue and had opposed any third-party intervention. Last week Modi appeared to dismiss Trump’s claims after India’s opposition began demanding answers from him. Modi said that “no country in the world stopped” the fighting between India and Pakistan, but he did not name Trump.

Trump has also appeared to be warming up to Pakistan, even praising its counterterrorism efforts. Hours after levying tariffs on India, Trump announced a “massive” oil exploration deal with Pakistan, saying that one day, India might have to buy oil from Islamabad. Earlier, he also hosted one of Pakistan’s top military officials at a private lunch.

Sreeram Sundar Chaulia, an expert at New Delhi’s Jindal School of International Affairs, said Trump’s sudden admiration for Pakistan as a great partner in counterterrorism has “definitely soured” the mood in India.

Chaulia said “the best-case scenario is that this is just a passing Trump whim”, but he also warned that “if financial and energy deals are indeed being struck between the US and Pakistan, it will dent the US-India strategic partnership and lead to loss of confidence in the US in Indian eyes".

Related

India’s oil purchases from Russia are an irritant

India had faced strong pressure from the Biden administration to cut back its oil purchases from Moscow during the early months of Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Instead, India bought more, making it the second-biggest buyer of Russian oil after China. That pressure sputtered over time and the US focused more on building strategic ties with India, which is seen as a bulwark against a rising China.

Trump’s threat to penalise India over oil, however, brought back those issues.

On Sunday, the Trump administration made its frustrations over ties between India and Russia ever more public. Stephen Miller, deputy chief of staff at the White House, accused India of financing Russia’s war in Ukraine by purchasing oil from Moscow, saying it was "not acceptable".

Miller's remarks were followed by another Trump social media post on Monday in which he again threatened to raise tariffs on goods from India over its Russian oil purchases.

“India is not only buying massive amounts of Russian oil, they are then, for much of the oil purchased, selling it on the open market for big profits. They don’t care how many people in Ukraine are being killed by the Russian War Machine," Trump wrote.

Some experts, though, suspect Trump's remarks are mere pressure tactics.

“Given the wild fluctuations in Trump’s policies,” Chaulia said, “it may return to high fives and hugs again.”

Trump and the First Lady Melania Trump visited India during his first term. February 2020. Copyright 2020 The Associated Press. All rights reserved.


India says it will safeguard its interests


Many expected India to react strongly over Trump's tariff threats considering Modi’s carefully crafted reputation of strength. Instead, the announcement prompted a rather careful response from India’s commerce minister, Piyush Goyal, who said the two countries are working toward a "fair, balanced and mutually beneficial bilateral trade agreement".

Initially, India’s Foreign Ministry also played down suggestions of any strain. But in a statement late Monday, it called Trump’s criticism “unjustified and unreasonable” and said it will take “all necessary measures to safeguard its national interests and economic security".

It said India began importing oil from Russia because traditional supplies were diverted to Europe after the outbreak of the Ukraine conflict, calling it a “necessity compelled by global market situation".

The statement also noted US trade with Russia.

“It is revealing that the very nations criticising India are themselves indulging in trade with Russia,” the statement said.


'Highest tariffs since Great Depression': In 1930's, trade plummeted and global depression deepened

BY THE END OF THE DECADE WWII BEGAN



Issued on: 07/08/2025 - FRANCE24



President Donald Trump began levying higher import taxes on 60 countries and the European Union, just as the economic fallout of his months long tariff threats has begun to create visible damage for the US economy. Trump expects the EU, Japan and South Korea to invest hundreds of billions of dollars in the US. For in-depth analysis and a deeper perspective, FRANCE 24's Stuart Norval welcomes Ryan Young, Senior Economist at the Competitive Enterprise Institute (CEI).

Video by: Stuart Norval





Siemens warns US tariffs causing investment caution

Frankfurt (Germany) (AFP) – Siemens warned on Thursday that US tariffs were prompting its customers in key sectors to slow investment decisions, even as the German industrial giant reported forecast-beating quarterly profits.


Issued on: 07/08/2025 - 
Siemens's shares jumped over four percent in Frankfurt after the results were released © Sven Hoppe / POOL/AFP/File

The group booked net profits of 2.2 billion euros ($2.6 billion) from April to June, up five percent from a year earlier, as strong orders at its division that makes trains offset problems at its factory automation unit.

Sales grew by five percent to 19.4 billion euros, and Siemens's shares jumped over four percent in Frankfurt after the results were released.

But chief financial officer Ralf Thomas cautioned that Siemens's sprawling global business was not immune from heightened global volatility unleashed by US President Donald Trump's tariff blitz.

"Ongoing tariff uncertainties and trade tensions have dampened further recovery because of a rather cautious investment sentiment in important customer industries," he said.

He pointed to industries such as the automotive and production of industrial machinery ones.

CEO Roland Busch added that, in several key industries, "sales cycles have been extended and investment decisions are taking longer".

Busch said the US levies were impacting the group's unit that deals with factory automation, which had already been facing problems.

"Orders in the digital industry business recovered less strongly than anticipated due to the continuing high level of uncertainty regarding the future tariff environment and ongoing trade disputes," he said.


The unit, which supplies robotics, other machinery and industrial software to factories, saw revenues fall by 10 percent in the quarter, with sales of software hit particularly hard.

The division will bear the brunt of 6,000 job cuts, about two percent of Siemens's global workforce, that were announced in March.


It has been affected by muted demand, particularly in China and Germany.

Siemens had long been a producer of heavy industrial equipment but has in recent years sought to shift its focus towards digital technology and factory automation.

© 2025 AFP

ANOTHER EPSTEIN DISTRACTION!


Trump raises bounty for the arrest of President Nicolás Maduro $50 million to face US drug charges

Venezuela's President Nicolas Maduro addresses supporters during an event marking the anniversary of his disputed re-election, in Caracas, Venezuela, Monday, July 28, 2025
Copyright Ariana Cubillos/Copyright 2025 The AP. All rights reserved

By Malek Fouda
Published on 

The top US cop Pam Bondi says Washington has seized more than $700 million in assets directly linked to Venezuela’s leftist President Nicolás Maduro, who the US accuse of being a narco-trafficker.

The Trump administration has doubled its reward for the arrest of Venezuela’s President Nicolás Maduro from $25 million (€21.4 million) to $50 million (€42.9 million), accusing him of being one of the world’s largest narco-traffickers and working with cartels to flood the US with fentanyl-laced cocaine.

“Under President Trump’s leadership, Maduro will not escape justice and he will be held accountable for his despicable crimes,” said Attorney General Pam Bondi on Thursday in a video announcing the reward.

Maduro was indicted in a federal court in Manhattan in 2020, during the first Trump presidency, along with several of his close allies. They were charged with charges of narco-terrorism and conspiracy to import cocaine into the United States.

The former Trump administration at the time set a reward of $15 million (€12.9 million) for his arrest, which was later raised by the Biden administration to $25 million – the same amount Washington offered for the capture of Osama bin Laden following the 11 September attacks.

Despite the big bounty, Maduro remains in power after defying the US, the European Union and several Latin American countries who viewed his 2024 re-election as a sham, and recognised his opponent, Edmundo González, as Venezuela’s duly elected president.

In July, the Trump administration struck a deal with Venezuelan officials to secure the release of 10 Americans jailed in the capital Caracas, in exchange for Venezuela getting scores of migrants deported by the US to El Salvador.

Shortly after, the US reversed an earlier ban on US energy giant Chevron to resume drilling Venezuela after it was previously blocked by US sanctions.

Bondi says the US Justice Department has seized more than $700 million (€600 million) in assets linked to Maduro, including two private jets and close to 7 tonnes of cocaine, which was traced directly to the Venezuelan leftist leader.

Venezuelan Foreign Minister Yvan Gil released a statement calling the reward “pathetic” and accused Bondi of orchestrating a “crude political propaganda operation.”

“We’re not surprised, coming from whom it comes from. The same one who promised a non-existent ‘secret list’ of Epstein and who wallows in scandals for political favours,” Gil said, referring to the backlash Bondi faced after she reversed a promise to release more evidence on the Epstein case.

“Her show is a joke, a desperate distraction from her own misery,” added the top Venezuelan diplomat.

 

Rare first edition of 'The Hobbit' sells for record price at auction

The rare first edition of Tolkien’s “The Hobbit” was sold for £43,000 at an online auction
Copyright Auctioneum

By Sarah Miansoni
Published on 

The book was discovered by chance in a house in Bristol. It is one of 1,500 original copies of Tolkien’s famous 1937 novel.

More than 50 years after his death, J. R. R. Tolkien’s fantasy masterpieces never cease to enchant audiences around the world.

Now, a rare first edition of Tolkien’s “The Hobbit” has been sold for £43,000 (€49, 500) at an online auction on Wednesday. The first edition was expected to fetch between £10,000-£12,000 at auction, ultimately selling for four times that amount.

The book is one of 1,500 original copies of Tolkien’s beloved novel, which was published in September 1937.

Only “a few hundred” from the initial print run remain and are considered “some of the most sought-after books in modern literature,” according to the British auction house Auctioneum.

Attracting bidders from across the world, the book was purchased by a UK private collector in what is believed to be a record price for a first edition.


The edition features black and white illustrations by the author Auctioneum

The edition was discovered hidden on a bookcase during a house clearance in Bristol. After spotting its faded green cover, Auctioneum’s book specialist Caitlin Riley went on to meticulously inspect the well-preserved treasure.

“Nobody knew it was there,” said Riley. “It was clearly an early Hobbit at first glance, so I just pulled it out and began to flick through it, never expecting it to be a true first edition.”

The “rare find” is bound in light green cloth and features black and white illustrations by the author, making it even more unique as later editions colourised them.

“When I realised what it was, my heart began pounding,” shared Riley.

Tolkien developed the mythical world of "The Hobbit" and "The Lord of the Rings" during his time as a teacher at the University of Oxford.

The auctioned book was passed down in the family library of Hubert Priestley, a famous botanist with “strong connections” to the university.

Tolkien and Priestley most likely knew each other, according to Auctioneum, who said both men shared mutual correspondence with author C.S. Lewis.

"The Hobbit" and "The Lord of the Rings" are two of the best-selling books of all time, with more than 250 million copies sold worldwide.

The 2000s hit film franchise based on the books cemented their classics status for generations to come.

AUSTERITY

Viral livestream of Argentina’s deep-sea creatures stirs pride and protest over science cuts

Remotely Operated Vehicle (ROV) SuBastain is deployed from Research Vessel Falkor (too) at the beginning of a scientific dive.
Copyright Alex Ingle / Schmidt Ocean Institute


By ISABEL DEBRE and VICTOR R. CAVIANO with AP
Published on 

A deep-sea livestream is sparking fascination and raising alarm over cuts to Argentina’s scientific research.

Transparent-faced fish drift through dusky waters. Snow-like flecks of dead plants sift down from the world above. Soft sponges peek through the soot of the seafloor. Only occasional mutters among marine biologists break the thick silence.

Somehow, this livestream of sea life in the South Atlantic has Argentines hooked.

The researchers behind this remotely operated vehicle filming lifeforms 4,000 metres undersea told The Associated Press on Monday that they never expected their wonky deep-sea expedition to become such a social media sensation.

The video feed has attracted more than 1.6 million views a day on YouTube, dominated TV news broadcasts and even sparked a national conversation about the defunding of Argentine science under libertarian President Javier Milei.

“It was a huge surprise for us,” said expedition leader Daniel Lauretta.

“It’s something that fills our hearts because we want to spread the word.”

Orange starfish and hairy crabs have viewers hooked

Outfitted with high-definition cameras and state-of-the-art sensors, the roving robot captures the enigmatic organisms of Mar de Plata's submarine canyon with exceptional clarity and detail for the first time.

The region, where the warm current from Brazil meets the cold current coming up from the Falkland Islands, is known for its little-studied biodiversity.

In dives lasting around eight hours a day, the camera encounters an array of surprising creatures lurking in the inky depths off the coast of Buenos Aires: An orange starfish so bright it drew comparisons to Patrick of “SpongeBob SquarePants” cartoon fame, a sea cucumber viewers nicknamed “sweet potato”, and a deep-sea crab that looked like a hairy spider.

“The colours, the zoom capability – that really amazed me,” Lauretta said. “I think that feeling reached the public, too.”

Often peaking at some 50,000 simultaneous viewers, the livestream from the deep-sea research vessel kicked off last week and runs until 10 August.

Argentine researchers and American experts from the nonprofit of former Google CEO Eric E. Schmidt, the Schmidt Ocean Institute Foundation, use the vehicle to map the underwater gorge, collect samples and identify scores of new species at a depth below the reach of sunlight. Here, scientists have only begun to scratch the surface when it comes to understanding marine life.

Few viewers have been able to resist the impulse to anthropomorphise the featured life-forms, assigning zodiac stars to invertebrates and sharing social media quizzes along the lines of “Which deep-sea creature are you based on how you handle stress?” (If you ignore the world, you’re a translucent squid; if you explode with anger, you’re apparently a pistol shrimp.)

“Argentines are very passionate about everything that happens in Argentina,” said Georgina Valanci, 40, her eyes fixed on floating translucent fish while crocheting on Monday. “I think it represents a bit of the pride that something like this is being done in our country.”

Shining a light on slashed research funding

Most Argentine researchers on the expedition come from Conicet, Argentina’s leading scientific funding and research body. And the livestream is shining a light on the institute's work at a moment when its funding is under attack.

President Milei has taken his bureaucracy-slashing chainsaw to Argentine research projects and grants, curbing science spending as a part of a broader drive to eliminate Argentina’s chronic fiscal deficit and bring down inflation.

State-backed science organisations have lost 4,000 positions in the last year and a half, a combination of layoffs, frozen contracts and resignations over poor working conditions and low pay.

Conicet suffered a 21 per cent budget cut in real terms last year. Salaries for Conicet researchers have lost 35 per cent of their value. Many warn that the measures are setting off a brain drain.

Seizing on the surge of public excitement about Conicet, researchers have called for a 48-hour nationwide strike on Wednesday to draw attention to their plight.

Although Milei has not commented on the livestream, his allies have expressed disdain.

“They should livestream an offshore drilling operation instead,” said Alejandro Álvarez, an official in Milei's government, referring to growing crude production in Argentina's Vaca Muerta shale formation, an oil boom that Milei hopes can help revive the nation's crisis-stricken economy.

“It's a beautiful process of wealth creation and natural resource exploitation that will make Argentina greater."

In the meantime, Argentines seem content to be mesmerised by orange starfish.