Saturday, March 15, 2025



Timeline: Attacks claimed by BLA over the last one year

The Baloch Liberation Army emerged as a key perpetrator of terror attacks in Pakistan in 2024.




Published March 12, 2025

The rescue operation to release the scores of people held hostage by terrorists who hijacked the Jaffer Express train near Balochistan’s Bolan district continued on Wednesday, a day after the perpetrators took over 400 people hostage, including numerous security personnel.

The train, travelling from Quetta to Peshawar, came under attack at around 1pm yesterday between the Paneer and Peshi railway stations, near Railway Tunnel No 8, located near Mushkaf. According to reports, the attackers martyred a number of security personnel and hijacked the train. They then started checking passengers’ identities and took some of them hostage.

Although hampered by the remoteness of the area, security forces said they had launched a massive operation to rescue the hostages. So far, 190 passengers have been rescued, as per the latest update by state-run Radio Pakistan. It added that 30 terrorists had been killed by security forces, while the operation to eliminate the remaining assailants was continuing.

There was no confirmation of the total number of casualties, but officials said that at least 10 people — including the driver of the locomotive and eight security personnel — had lost their lives as the forces engaged in a gun battle.

The attack was claimed by the Balochistan Liberation Army (BLA), a banned terrorist nationalist outfit whose attacks have grown increasingly brazen in recent years. And while it emerged as a key perpetrator of terror attacks last year, Tuesday’s train hijacking is the first time that a terror group has used this tactic.

Overall, the BLA-orchestrated attacks caused 225 fatalities in 2024, according to the Pakistan Security Report. The report added that attacks by various outlawed Baloch insurgent groups, primarily the BLA and the Balochistan Liberation Front (BLF), saw a staggering 119 per cent increase, accounting for 171 incidents in Balochistan.

Here is a timeline of all attacks claimed by the BLA over the last year.

January 30, 2024: The BLA launched three coordinated attacks using rockets and sophisticated weapons in Balochistan’s Mach town, located at a 70km distance from the provincial capital of Quetta.

The police said at least 15 rockets were fired from the nearby mountains that landed and exploded in different areas of Mach. The terrorists also attacked a security forces camp near the central jail and entered the town’s railway station. In nearby Kolpur areas, a hotel and six shops were targeted and set ablaze.

During the ensuing gun battle between security forces and the assailants — which lasted nearly three days — 24 terrorists were killed, the military said. Four law enforcement personnel and two civilians were also martyred in the attack.

March 20, 2024: A group of eight terrorists, belonging to the proscribed BLA, attempted to forcibly enter the Gwadar Port Authority Colony and opened fire. Multiple blasts were also reported in the attack.

According to a statement by Inter-Services Public Relations, all eight terrorists were killed in an exchange of fire with the military while two soldiers embraced martyrdom.

The colony, where the attack took place, hosts several government and paramilitary offices. The facility is also a centrepiece of the multibillion-dollar China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC).

March 26, 2024: Turbat was shaken by explosions and firing by terrorists, who, according to officials, aimed to attack PNS Siddique — which is among the biggest naval air stations in Pakistan. However, the officials said that the attack was foiled.

They added that six terrorists were killed outside the Turbat airport boundary in an operation led by a special wing of the FC and the navy’s special services group.

April 13, 2024: Nine passengers hailing from Punjab were killed near Balochistan’s Noshki when gunmen forced them off a bus. The same attackers also killed two people in another car they forced to stop.

According to officials, 10 to 12 armed men had set up a blockade which stopped the Taftan-bound bus. They then went through the passengers’ identity cards, took nine people out — all from eastern Punjab — and fled to the mountains. The victims’ bodies were later found by the police under a bridge about 5km from the Quetta-Taftan Highway N-40.

The attack was later claimed by the BLA, according to the Associated Press.

May 10, 2024: Seven labourers hailing from Punjab were murdered in the coastal town of Sarbandan, east of Gwadar, in their sleep. The victims, who worked at local barber shops, were living in a rented residential quarter when unidentified assailants barged into the place and opened fire.

Following the killing, the Balochistan government announced the arrest of two suspects, with the Counter Terrorism Department saying both were associated with the BLA.

June 23, 2024: Armed terrorists affiliated with the BLA kidnapped at least 14 people from a picnic spot in the Zarghoon area of Harnai district. The picnickers were abducted after they were separated from a crowd following an identity check.

As per Levies Force personnel, the terrorists had taken positions on the nearby hills. They freed four persons in the area and later abandoned their vehicle.

June 27, 2024: As many as 50 terrorists attacked a Frontier Corps (FC) check post guarding the Pakistan Petroleum Limited (PPL) oil and gas exploration site in the Kalat district of Balochistan, killing two security personnel.

Officials said the gunmen wanted to take all 20 officers deputed at the post hostage but their attempt was foiled as additional troops were quickly dispatched to the site. They added that the terrorists first attacked an FC camp in the Khaliqabad area of Kalat district and fired rockets.

A spokesperson for the BLA claimed responsibility for the attack.

August 13, 2024: The deputy commissioner of Panjgur was killed in an attack on his vehicle on the Quetta-Karachi National Highway, near Mastung. DC Zakir Hussain Baloch was on his way to Quetta along with the Panjgur Municipal Committee chairman when unknown assailants opened fire.

According to security officials, at least 15 armed men had blocked the road and were checking vehicles passing through the area. They tried to stop the deputy commissioner’s vehicle and opened fire when it sped away.

The Balochistan government said that intelligence information and evidence indicated that the BLA was behind the attack.

August 26-27, 2024: Balochistan witnessed one of the most violent days in its turbulent history. At least 50 people, including 14 security men, lost their lives in different parts of the province as dozens of BLA terrorists affiliated went on a rampage; storming police stations, blowing up railway tracks, and setting fire to almost three dozen vehicles.


Map showing areas where attacks were carried out


The terrorists launched numerous attacks, targeting security personnel as well as civilians, particularly those hailing from Punjab. They attacked police stations, a paramilitary camp in Bela, Levies stations, and blo­cked key roads, including the Coastal Highway. In Musakhail, a district bordering Punjab, the terrorists shot dead 23 people after checking their identity documents.

Separately, the armed forces’ media wing said 21 terrorists were neutralised by the security forces while 14 soldiers were martyred.

October 7, 2024: Two workers from China were killed and eight wounded in a late-night bombing on a Chinese convoy outside the Karachi airport. The attack came on the heels of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, hosted by Islamabad.

The attack was claimed by the BLA.

October 30, 2024: Terrorists affiliated with the BLA killed five private security guards dep­loyed on the construction site of a dam in the Panjgur district of Makran division.

The victims were hired by the contractor for security duty at the dam site in the Promom area of Panjgur, officials said. They added that the assailants, armed with automatic weapons, arrived at the site on motorcycles and attacked the dam site where the victims were guarding the machinery.

November 9, 2024: At least 26 people, including 16 security personnel, were killed after a suicide blast ripped through a railway station in Quetta. Over 60 people were injured.

Officials said the attacker arrived as a passenger carrying a bag, moved into the crowd and detonated the bomb, killing and injuring nearly 100 people. They added that the bomber’s primary target was security personnel on the platform.

The banned BLA claimed responsibility for the blast, stating that its lethal guerilla cell Majeed Brigade had carried out the attack.

November 17, 2024: Seven security personnel were martyred and 18 others wounded in a BLA-orchestrated attack on a check post in the Johan area of Kalat. In its statement, the military said it killed six terrorists while four others were injured.

The terrorists used rockets, hand grenades and automatic heavy weapons before storming the Shah Mardan check post of the Frontier Corps (FC), the ISPR said.

January 5, 2025: At least six people, including five FC personnel, were martyred and 35 others, including children, suffered injuries as an explosive-laden vehicle hit a coach in the Turbat area of Kech district.

According to reports, when the coach reached the new Behman area, on the outskirts of Turbat, the explosive-laden vehicle hit the coach after which they caught fire.

While claiming responsibility for the attack on the coach, which was taking FC personnel from Karachi to Turbat, the banned BLA said its Majeed Brigade carried out the blast.

January 9, 2025: BLA terrorists launched a brazen attack on the main market in Khuzdar’s Zehri district, setting fire to multiple government buildings, including a Levies Force station, Nadra and municipal committee offices and a bank.

According to officials, around 80 terrorists entered the area at about 11pm from nearby mountains, deploying armed men around the bazaar and other locations in the tehsil headquarters of Zehri. They set up checkpoints around the Zehri bazaar and pickets on the mountains to resist any action from security forces. The terrorists stormed the Levies station, took the personnel hostage, ransacked the records, and set the building on fire, damaging part of the structure, furniture and other items.

The armed men later attacked a private bank branch, took the staff hostage and looted over Rs90 million from the strongroom, according to bank officials.

The terrorists also attacked the offices of the Zehri municipal committee, ransacked records, and set the building on fire. The office of the National Dat­a­­base and Registration Autho­rity was also targeted, with official records, computers and other equipment being destroyed.

February 1, 2025: At least 18 soldiers were killed in an overnight insurgent attack in Balochistan’s Kalat district.

A military statement said that the casualties occurred when “terrorists attempted to establish roadblocks” in the area, and that security forces promptly responded. It added that 12 terrorists were killed in the ensuing gun battles. The attack was claimed by BLA.

February 19, 2025: Unidentified gunmen killed seven people travelling to Punjab after off-loading them from a passenger bus, in the Barkhan district of Balochistan. According to officials, a group of around 40 armed men stopped several buses and other vehicles near Rakhani, on the Barkhan-Dera Ghazi Khan Highway.

After disembarking the passengers from the coach, the gunmen opened fire, killing them on the spot. The attackers managed to escape.

The attack, which follows a familiar pattern, was claimed by the BLA.

March 3, 2025: A Frontier Corps personnel was martyred and four others were injured in a suicide attack by a woman bomber on a convoy in Balochistan’s Kalat. The incident occurred on the national highway near the Mughalzai area.

The attack was claimed by a lesser-known faction of the proscribed Balochistan Liberation Army, known as the BLA Azad, in a message sent to journalists.








‘Face to face with death’: Jaffar Express survivors recall two days of horror

Survivors recall terrorists were armed with heavy weapons, grouped passengers on the basis of their region of origin.





Published March 13, 2025
DAWN



In the dead of the night, Muhammad Numan saw a chance. The three armed men guarding his bogie were in a deep sleep. Quickly, he put together an escape plan. “It’s a gamble of life and death … it is now or never,” he convinced fellow passengers.

And so the 30-year-old, along with over a dozen others aboard the Jaffar Express, snuck outside the train and into the wilderness of the surrounding mountains. Behind them, they could hear the commotion. Shots rang out in all directions. But they didn’t look back. “We walked for four hours and stopped only when we reached a Frontier Corps checkpoint,” said Numan.

On March 11, terrorists affiliated with the outlawed Balochistan Liberation Army (BLA) attacked the Jaffar Express near the Mashkaf Tunnel, about 157 kilometres from Quetta, and took around 440 passengers hostage. The hijacking was a first-of-its-kind — while terrorists have bombed train tracks and attempted to derail trains before, they have never attempted to take an entire train and its occupants hostage.

Subsequently, the military began a recovery operation which culminated last night. In a press release, the military’s media wing said all the hostages had been rescued while 33 terrorists involved in the attack were killed.

According to Inter Services Public Relations (ISPR) Director General Lt Gen Ahmed Sharif Chaudhry, the operation was conducted by the army, air force, FC and the Special Services Group. He added that 21 passengers were killed before the clearance operation began while four FC personnel were martyred.
Face to face with death

Numan was among the fortunate passengers who came out unharmed from the hijacking. But most of his friends did not. “About 20 of us were working in Afghanistan for the past several months and decided to return home [to Gujranwala and Lahore] for a few weeks,” he told Dawn.com.

Unfortunately, only three of them remained alive — others have either been killed or remain missing. Some of them were even murdered in front of Numan’s eyes. “After the train jolted to a stop, firing ensued. The terrorists then entered the bogies and began checking everyone’s identity cards.”

“They threatened to kill us all if the government refused to fulfil their demands,” he recalled. “They [the terrorists] were a big group, they had even taken positions in the mountains.”


Plain clothes security force personnel, who were rescued from a train after it was attacked by terrorists, leave Mach railway station in Mach, Balochistan, Pakistan. — Reuters



Muhammad Naveed, another passenger who managed to escape, said the terrorists asked them to come out of the train one by one. “They separated women and asked them to leave. They also spared elders.

“They asked us to come outside, saying we will not be harmed. When around 185 people came outside, they chose people and shot them down.”

Arslan Yousaf, one of the passengers who was escorted by security forces, recalled that the terrorists were armed with rocket launchers, guns, and other weapons. They grouped the passengers on the basis of their region of origin, he said.

“Sometimes, they took soldiers … and executed them,” he said, referring to passengers from the Pakistan Army and other security forces who were travelling on the train. “Other times, they targeted specific individuals. If they had a grudge against someone, they shot him on the spot.”
‘God saved me’

Muhammad Ashraf, 75, who was travelling to Lahore on the Jaffar Express, told Dawn.com that all the passengers were in a state of panic. “Some of us lay on the floor face down.”

“They killed at least 10 people within one hour which included three Railway Police personnel and as many police commandos. Their weapons were taken away by the terrorists,” he recalled. Ashraf added that he was only allowed to go due to his old age.

“I left on foot and reached the Paneer station after three hours after which FC personnel took me and other passengers to Mach in a relief train,” he said. They returned to Quetta last night.

“I saw qiyamat and death very closely but it was God who saved me and many other passengers despite the fact that they wanted to kill everyone,” Ashraf added.


Train passengers board a bus after being freed by armed terrorists who ambushed the train in the remote mountainous area of southwestern Balochistan province, in Mach, on March 13, 2025. — AFP

Babar Masih, a 38-year-old Christian labourer, underwent a similar experience. He and his family walked for hours through rugged mountains to reach a train that could take them to a makeshift hospital on a railway platform.

“Our women pleaded with them and they spared us,” he said. “They told us to get out and not look back. As we ran, I noticed many others running alongside us.”
The long wait

At the Quetta railway station last night, the platforms were crowded with family members eagerly waiting for their loved ones. All the rescued hostages were being brought back.

Abdul Rauf, 30, was among those waiting. His eyes were darting from the tracks to the freight trains, searching for a familiar face. He had spent the last two days at the station. “I bid farewell to my father on Tuesday … he was going to Multan to attend the funeral of a nephew,” he said.


People wait at the Quetta railway station. — Reuters

“In the last few hours, I have asked everyone about my father but didn’t get any information despite the passage of 36 hours,” he said, adding that his father was not on the list of passengers who were to return that night.

“Where are the authorities? Who will listen to the aggrieved families waiting for information on the whereabouts of their beloved,” he lamented. “We have served all our lives for this country, why is this happening to us?”

Additional input from AFP and Reuters

Header image: Train passengers sit in a bus after being freed by armed terrorists who ambushed the train in the remote mountainous area of southwestern Balochistan province, in Mach, on March 13, 2025. — AFP


Balochistan standoff ends after all Jaffar Express hostages rescued

Syed Irfan Raza | Saleem Shahid 
Published March 13, 2025

Security personnel and volunteers help to transport an injured train passenger following an operation against terrorists who ambushed the train in the remote mountainous area in Mach, Balochistan on March 12, 2025. — AFP


• Military spokesperson says 33 terrorists killed; four FC men martyred; clearance operation underway
• Says snipers took out suicide bombers guarding hostages, who then fled to safety
• Claims terrorists were in touch with ‘handlers in Afghanistan’ via satellite phones
• ISPR chief, information minister flay misinformation on social media, Indian media’s propaganda

ISLAMABAD / QUETTA: After a dramatic showdown with terrorists who had hijacked the Jaffar Express and taken hundreds of passengers hostage, the military announced the conclusion of its rescue operation on Wednesday night.

In separate statements, Inter-Services Public Relations (ISPR) Director General Lt Gen Ahmed Sharif Chaudhry and Information Minister Atta Tarar announced the successful completion of the operation and the recovery of all hostages.

In his remarks, Lt Gen Sharif said that all remaining passengers had been rescued and the train — stranded near the Mashkaf Tunnel in the Bolan range — had been cleared of insurgents, with 33 terrorists killed.

Although he noted that there were around 440 passengers on board the train, he did not specify the total number of hostages that had been rescued.

However, a senior security official told Dawn that the rescue was carried out in phases. Just over a hundred were freed in the first phase, and 80 more hostages were shifted to Mach after being rescued in the second phase.

Around a dozen passengers, including two railway policemen, also managed to escape their captors and made it safely back to Quetta.

In all, 21 passengers lost their lives, while four FC personnel were martyred, the ISPR DG said.

Speaking to Dunya News, the ISPR chief said that army, air force, Frontier Corps and SSG personnel had taken part in the operation.

He said the area where the incident took place was quite difficult to access, being located far from road networks and settlements.

“The terrorists used hostages, including women and children, as human shields,” he added.

A group of armed men was patrolling the train and its surrounding areas, keeping an eye on the large numbers of passengers in their custody.


SSG commandos acted carefully to save the lives of hostages, and managed to free around 68 hostages after neutralising the remaining terrorists in a gun battle, a senior security official told Dawn, adding that almost all operations had been completed and forces were now in the clearance phase.

“These terrorists were in contact with their supporters and masterminds in Afghanistan during the operation via satellite phone,” Lt Gen Sharif said.

“This incident changes the rules of the game, because these terrorists have no link to Balochistan or religion,” he said.

Drone footage

Lt Gen Sharif said the army, air force, Frontier Corps and SSG personnel had taken part and recovered the hostages.

ISPR also released black-and-white drone footage of the location where the train was stranded, showing the area where the operation was conducted.

In the footage, three separate groups of people can be seen huddled together by the side of the train.




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Giving details, the ISPR chief said that the hostages had been off-loaded from the train and were sitting in separate groups — guarded by suicide bombers — making rescue efforts quite tricky.

Snipers took out the bombers, he said, allowing the hostages to escape to safety. He added that none of the hostages were harmed during the operation.

The passengers who had fled to the surrounding areas during the operation are also being rounded up, he said.

Bogie-to-bogie clearance of the train and the surrounding was being carried out by bomb disposal and other personnel, as per standard operating procedures, Lt Gen Sharif said.

‘Misinformation’

Criticising the flow of misinformation online and on social media amid the incident, particularly from India, Lt Gen Sharif said that this openly displayed the “nexus between the terrorists and their masters to the whole world.”

“Interestingly, some specific political elements in Pakistan also partake in such activities enthusiastically and activate their social media [teams], and instead of standing with the state, they can be seen creating baseless justifications and reasons for this horrible terrorist act,” he said.

“Sadly, some elements are sacrificing the national interest due to their lust for political power,” he said.


In his remarks, Federal Minister for Information and Broadcasting Attaullah Tarar also condemned what he termed “propaganda spread by the Indian media”.

He criticized the Indian media for distorting facts and pushing a pre-planned narrative to mislead the public, and — without naming anyone — lashed out at people exploiting the unfortunate incident for their own agendas instead of prioritising Pakistan’s national interest, an apparent reference to the opposition PTI.

He said the language of some opposition leaders was the same as that used by the outlawed Balochistan Liberation Army (BLA) and Indian media.

Published in Dawn, March 13th, 2025






Pakistan’s security situation is off the tracks. Can the authorities reclaim control?




Security analysts warn rising threats from Islamist extremists and separatist insurgents present a complex security challenge that cannot be addressed through military action alone.

Published March 13, 2025
DAWN


The journey was supposed to be routine, almost boring. More than 400 passengers aboard the Jaffar Express were travelling through the rugged mountains of Balochistan on Tuesday when the train suddenly came under attack.

Terrorists affiliated with the Baloch Liberation Army (BLA) opened fire and brought the train to a halt before storming the carriages and taking passengers hostage. For more than 24 hours, Pakistan’s security forces were locked in a tense standoff with the terrorists in one of the most brazen attacks the country has ever witnessed.

The standoff finally ended on Wednesday night, with the military’s media wing saying that all the hostages had been rescued while 33 terrorists involved in the attack were killed. At least 21 passengers were killed before the clearance operation began while four FC personnel were martyred, according to Inter-Services Public Relations (ISPR) Director General Lt Gen Ahmed Sharif Chaudhry.

But this is no isolated incident. In recent weeks, Pakistan has faced a surge in terrorism, ranging from suicide bombings and targeted assassinations to complex assaults on military bases and mosques. The escalating insurgency has exposed the state’s weakening grip over its restive provinces of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan, as both terrorists and separatist groups grow bolder.

The Global Terrorism Index (GTI) 2025 now ranks Pakistan as the world’s second most terrorism-affected country, after Burkina Faso — an unfamiliar name to many Pakistanis. According to the report, terrorism-related deaths surged by 45 per cent in 2024 to 1,081, while attacks more than doubled from 517 to 1,099.

This worsening security crisis stems from a complex concoction of domestic, regional, and global factors. Domestically, outlawed groups such as the Tehreek-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) and separatist outfits such as the BLA have intensified their campaigns, exploiting the nation’s deepening economic instability and political turmoil following the ouster of former premier Imran Khan in 2022.

Regionally, the fall of Kabul in 2021 and the subsequent return of the Taliban to Afghanistan have emboldened terror outfits, including the TTP, while also fueling violence from the Islamic State Khorasan Province (ISKP).

At the same time, Pakistan’s growing alliance with China has strained its relations with the US, leading to a decline in American support.

With terror networks expanding and state authority eroding, Pakistan’s security challenges are reaching a breaking point. The question now is whether the government can reclaim control or will the insurgency further spiral out of hand.
Growing terrorism threat

Even before the Jaffar Express hijacking, Pakistan has witnessed near-daily terror attacks in Balochistan and KP in recent weeks, with several incidents standing out due to their scale, sophistication, and lethality.

On March 4, two suicide bombers affiliated with the Hafiz Gul Bahadur group, a North Waziristan-based terror outfit, drove vehicles packed with explosives into a military base in KP’s Bannu district. The attackers subsequently stormed the compound, resulting in at least 18 deaths, including five soldiers, and numerous injuries.

A day earlier, on March 3, a female suicide bomber sent by the BLA targeted a security forces’ convoy in Balochistan’s Kalat, leading to the death a paramilitary soldier and injuring four others.

Before that, the Baloch Raji Aajoi Sangar (BRAS), an umbrella grouping of Baloch insurgent organisations, announced plans to “intensify the blockade on all important highways of Balochistan to disrupt the logistical, economic, and military interests of the state”.

Last month, a suicide bombing targeted a mosque within the Darul Uloom Haqqania seminary in KP’s Nowshera district, an institution historically linked to the Taliban leadership in Afghanistan. The attack killed six worshippers, including the seminary’s vice principal and former senator Maulana Hamidul Haq. No group has officially claimed responsibility, but security analysts and officials believe ISKP was behind the bombing.

On February 19, Baloch terrorists killed seven labourers hailing from Punjab aboard a bus en route Lahore. Two days before that, an affiliate of the Hafiz Gul Bahadur group claimed responsibility for the killing of a police officer in Karachi’s Manghopir area.

These are some of the major terror incidents that made headlines in the last month alone. In addition to these are also the smaller and mid-level attacks that have been carried out by various terrorist groups across the country.

This, experts highlight, speaks of a critical trend: the attacks reflect the evolving tactics of terror outfits, their growing brazenness, and their increasing operational capabilities.
Religiously inspired militancy

Religiously inspired militancy in Pakistan is not a new phenomenon. It is part of a broader global trend, with roots lying in the country’s role in the US-led War on Terror following the 2001 invasion of Afghanistan. Groups such as the TTP, the Hafiz Gul Bahadur group, and Lashkar-i-Islam emerged as key players in the conflict, capitalising on instability and using Pakistan’s tribal areas as a battleground for violent extremism.

For a time, these groups suffered major setbacks due to Pakistan’s counterterrorism operations, US drone strikes, and internal divisions. The 2014 Operation Zarb-i-Azb proved particularly effective in dismantling terrorist strongholds in North Waziristan, significantly weakening the TTP’s operational capacity.

“It was a costly operation, both financially and in human terms. Thousands were killed, millions displaced from their homes, and thousands of houses were destroyed during the military offensive,” said Lehaz Ali, a Peshawar-based journalist who covered the operation extensively.

However, the situation took a dramatic turn after the Taliban’s return to power in Afghanistan in August 2021, which emboldened terrorist factions and provided them with logistical and ideological support.

According to the GTI 2025, the TTP has now emerged as “Pakistan’s primary security challenge” and is ranked as the third deadliest terrorist group globally. The report states that the TTP was responsible for 558 deaths in 2024, marking a 90pc increase compared to the previous year.

A concerning trend highlighted in the report is the TTP’s strategic focus on attacking police forces, which accounted for 51pc of its total attacks in 2024. Experts suggest that by targeting police personnel instead of military units, the TTP aims to undermine local governance while avoiding direct confrontation with better-equipped military forces.

Meanwhile, the ISKP has also solidified its position as one of the world’s most dangerous terror groups, ranking among the top 10 global terrorist organisations in the GTI report. Comprising terrorists from Pakistan and Afghanistan, the ISKP has been responsible for several high-profile bombings in Pakistan, particularly targeting religious sites and security forces.

The Baloch insurgency

Baloch separatist groups, particularly the BLA and Baloch Liberation Front (BLF), have significantly escalated their insurgency in 2024, targeting Pakistani security forces, infrastructure, and foreign investments. Their operations have intensified, with attacks surging from 116 in 2023 to 504 in 2024, while deaths quadrupling from 88 to 388, according to the terrorism index.

The deadliest attack of 2024 was a BLA-orchestrated suicide bombing at Quetta railway station in November, which killed at least 25 civilians and security personnel. This attack underscored the BLA’s growing operational capacity and its ability to carry out high-profile, high-casualty assaults. Due to the rise in fatalities caused by its attacks, the BLA too has secured a position among the 10 deadliest terrorist organisations globally, according to the terrorism index.

In recent years, separatist groups have increasingly targeted Chinese nationals and projects under the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), viewing them as symbols of economic marginalisation. Attacks on Chinese engineers, consulates, and CPEC infrastructure reflect the BLA’s strategic aim to disrupt foreign investments and draw global attention to their cause, the GTI observed.

Over time, the BLA has also been able to enhance its propaganda through its media outlet ‘Hakkal’. The terror outfit has come a long way from producing low-quality videos to now producing documentary-style, high-quality videos, which was also seen in the recent train hijacking.

“From 2018 to 2024, the BLA has released 89 propaganda videos and several publications. Around 41 per cent of these propaganda videos were related to combat actions. Such videos are effectively utilised to motivate more recruits,” said Fahad Nabeel, who leads the Islamabad-based research consultancy, Geopolitical Insights.

In recent months, the BLA has also started producing videos with both Urdu and English subtitles to reach a broader audience. “The militant group primarily employs five propaganda appeals — plain folks, bandwagon, card stacking, name calling, and glittering generalities — in its propaganda videos. The BLA also takes advantage of pro-separatist digital media outlets, which help further disseminate pro-BLA narratives in cyberspace,” said Nabeel.

The attack on the Jaffar Express and the mass hostage-taking also highlight a shift in Baloch terror tactics, with insurgents adopting more sophisticated and aggressive strategies aimed at paralysing state infrastructure. Due to frequent terrorist ambushes, where passengers were identified and killed after being taken off buses, and road blockages caused by protests, many people had started preferring train travel over road transport.

Train services had only resumed in October after a two-month suspension following the BLA’s attacks on railway tracks in the province.


Muhammad Amir Rana, director of the Pak Institute for Peace Studies, an Islamabad-based think tank, said that the recent surge in BLA attacks in regions such as Barkhan, Sibi, and Harnai suggests that these terror outfits are now shifting their focus to central and eastern Balochistan for their subversive activities.

“Until recently, it was widely believed that security operations in Kohlu, Barkhan, Sibi, and adjacent areas — traditionally influenced by tribal chieftains — had weakened the insurgency, pushing it toward the Makran region and its neighbouring districts. This shift was attributed to a change in the BLA’s leadership, from tribal chieftains to middle-class student leaders,” Rana explained in his recent vlog.

“However, the BLA’s resurgence in these regions, including some districts with a significant Pakhtun population, has raised new questions,” he added. He further noted that these districts hold strategic importance due to their proximity to South Punjab and northern Sindh. The recent BLA attacks in these areas suggest that the insurgent group is identifying new locations and expanding its operational footprint across the province.
The state’s response

As Pakistan grapples with a resurgent wave of militancy, security analysts warn that the rising threats from Islamist extremists and separatist insurgents present a complex security challenge that cannot be addressed through military action alone. They argue that a comprehensive counterterrorism strategy, integrating political, economic, and law enforcement measures, is crucial to restoring stability.

“The threat spectrum that Pakistan currently faces is multi-faceted,” said Nabeel. Religious terrorist groups, particularly the TTP, have been benefiting from the patronage they receive in Afghanistan under the Afghan Taliban to launch cross-border attacks in Pakistan, he added. “The threat of ISKP also persists.”

Despite launching several military campaigns over the years — including operations Zarb-i-Azb and Raddul Fasaad — the state has struggled to fully neutralise terror networks. The challenge, experts point out, lies not in military capacity but in political and institutional shortcomings that continue to impede counterterrorism efforts.

Officials and analysts point to a range of structural issues that have hampered progress — political instability and weak governance that have prevented a cohesive national security strategy, a lack of consensus among political parties and civil society groups resulting in delayed critical policy decisions, dwindling public support for counterterrorism operations due to human rights concerns, civilian casualties and large-scale displacement, severe economic constraints that limit resources for security forces and infrastructure, reduced US assistance especially after its withdrawal from Afghanistan which has weakened Pakistan’s intelligence-sharing capabilities and resurgent terrorist groups emboldened by Taliban-ruled Afghanistan that provide ideological and logistical support to factions like the TTP.


A key initiative to counter terrorism, the National Action Plan (NAP), was introduced in 2014 following the Army Public School massacre — in which over 140 people, mostly children, were killed. The plan laid out a 20-point agenda focusing on a crackdown on terrorist networks, propaganda control, law enforcement reforms, and others.

However, nearly a decade later, experts argue that terrorism has not only survived but evolved into a more sophisticated and entrenched threat. The failure to implement NAP in full, coupled with Pakistan’s worsening political and economic crisis, has allowed terror groups to regroup and expand their influence.

Nabeel added that the recent announcement of the formation of the ‘Baloch Nationalist Army’ by BRAS and the BLA’s enhanced operational capabilities showcase the fact that the ongoing ethno-nationalist insurgency in Balochistan can further undermine Pakistan’s security apparatus. The primary focus of targeting security personnel and state bureaucracy has also facilitated these terror groups in exploiting local grievances and discontent observed among a sizeable population in Balochistan and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa to their advantage, he added.

With both the TTP and Baloch separatist groups escalating their attacks, analysts stress the need for a holistic approach — one that strengthens governance, fosters political unity, invests in socio-economic development, and enhances regional diplomacy. Without these long-term measures, they warn, Pakistan risks further destabilisation and prolonged terrorist insurgency.

Header image: A soldier stands on guard at a railway station in Balochistan. — Reuters

The writer is a journalist and researcher, who writes for The New York Times and Nikkei Asia, among other publications. He also assesses democratic and conflict development in Pakistan for various policy institutes. He tweets @zalmayzia
 



 

Black Holes: Not Endings, But Beginnings? New Research Could Revolutionize Our Understanding Of The Universe

Artist impression of a white hole Credit: University of Sheffield


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Our understanding of black holes, time and the mysterious dark energy that dominates the universe could be revolutionised, as new University of Sheffield research helps unravel the mysteries of the cosmos.


Black holes – areas of space where gravity is so strong that not even light can escape – have long been objects of fascination, with astrophysicists, theoretical physicists and others dedicating their lives to revealing their secrets. This fascination with the unknown has inspired numerous writers and filmmakers, with novels and films such as 2001: A Space Odyssey, The Martian and Interstellar exploring these enigmatic objects’ hold on our collective imagination.

According to Einstein’s Theory of General Relativity, anyone trapped inside a black hole would fall towards its centre and be destroyed by immense gravitational forces. This centre, known as a singularity, is the point where the matter of a giant star, which is believed to have collapsed to form the black hole, is crushed down into an infinitesimally tiny point. At this singularity, our understanding of physics and time breaks down.

Using the laws of quantum mechanics, a fundamental theory describing the nature of the universe at the level of atoms and even smaller particles, the new study proposes a radically different theoretical standpoint where, rather than a singularity signifying the end, it could represent a new beginning.

The new paper entitled ‘Black Hole Singularity Resolution in Unimodular Gravity from Unitarity’, published in the scientific journal Physical Review Letters, aims to illustrate the point where our current grasp of physics and time falters. 

While black holes are often described as sucking everything, including time, into a point of nothingness, in the paper, white holes are theorised to act in reverse, ejecting matter, energy and time back into the universe.


The study uses a simplified, theoretical model of a black hole, known as a planar black hole.  Unlike typical black holes, which have a spherical shape, a planar black hole’s boundary is a flat, two-dimensional surface. The researchers’ ongoing work suggests that the same mechanism could also apply to a typical black hole.

“It has long been a question as to whether quantum mechanics can change our understanding of black holes and give us insights into their true nature,” said Dr Steffen Gielen, from the University of Sheffield’s School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences, who co-wrote the paper with Lucía Menéndez-Pidal from Complutense University of Madrid.

“In quantum mechanics, time as we understand it cannot end as systems perpetually change and evolve.”

The scientists’ findings demonstrate how, using the laws of quantum mechanics, the black hole singularity is replaced by a region of large quantum fluctuations – tiny, temporary changes in the energy of space – where space and time do not end. Instead, space and time transition into a new phase called a white hole – a theoretical region of space thought to function in the opposite way to a black hole. As such, a white hole could be where time begins.

“While time is, in general, thought to be relative to the observer, in our research time is derived from the mysterious dark energy which permeates the entire universe,” Dr Gielen continued.

“We propose that time is measured by the dark energy that is everywhere in the Universe, and responsible for its current expansion.This is the pivotal new idea that allows us to grasp the phenomena occurring within a black hole.”

Dark energy is a mysterious, theoretical force that scientists believe drives the accelerating expansion of the universe. The new study uses dark energy almost as a point of reference, with energy and time as complementary ideas that can be measured against one another.

Tantalisingly, the theory that what we perceive as a singularity is actually a beginning suggests the existence of something even more enigmatic on the other side of a white hole.

“Hypothetically you could have an observer – a hypothetical entity – go through the black hole, through what we think of as a singularity and emerge on the other side of the white hole. It’s a highly abstract notion of an observer but it could happen, in theory,” Dr Gielen added.

Beyond such theoretical musings, the suggestion of a profound connection between the nature of time at the most fundamental level and the mysterious dark energy that governs the cosmos will be explored further in the months and years ahead. 

The new research also suggests novel approaches to reconciling gravity and quantum mechanics, potentially paving the way for groundbreaking new fundamental theories and breakthroughs in our understanding of the universe.

 olympics globe

Sporting Contradictions: Athletes, The Olympics And Climate Change – OpEd


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The time has come for arguably the sporting world’s most famous mafia organisation to select its new chief.  The various turf-conscious representatives of the International Olympic Committee will be busy with the task of finding a replacement for Thomas Bach when ballots are cast at Costa Navarino, Greece on March 20. 


Seven candidates have made the list.  They show little risk of cleaning the body’s spotty image.  Juan Antonio Samaranch Jr.’s candidacy is a lovely reminder of his father, who was himself made IOC president in 1980.  That Samaranch was not shy about his fascist sympathies, defending, not infrequently, the rule and legacy of Spain’s dictator Francisco Franco.  “I was with many, many Spaniards with Franco,” he stated at a news conference in 1999.  While the father’s sins should not be visited upon the son, the very fact that a bid is being made for the IOC presidency suggests that this apple did not fall so far from the tree.

In a flawed effort to influence the candidates and what might be called their vision for the games, over 400 athletes from 90 countries have added their names to a letter urging the candidates to prioritise climate change in their policies.  That they think their views make the slightest difference is almost charming.  That they pick climate change as the issue suggests they have slumbered in a deep, uninterrupted sleep.  

The IOC has certainly shown interest in easily gulled athletes in recent years.  At points, it has been rather cunning and ruthless in using these unsuspecting sorts to spruce an unrecoverably tarnished brand. The organisation, most notably, trumpeted the role played by some 6,000 sporting individuals in laughable anti-corruption education campaigns during the Paris Olympic Games last year, and the Youth Olympic Games held at Gangwon.  

The letter itself has also been pushed by athletes who are already in the employ of the IOC apparatus.  Sailor and British Olympian Hannah Mills, one of the document’s key proponents, is called, without any sense of irony, an IOC sustainability ambassador.  With a sense of wonder, she reflects on the devastation caused by the LA wildfires and how it proved something of an epiphany: “the time is now to set a course for a safe, bright future.”

The letter asks the incoming president “that over the years and the course of your presidency one issue be above all others: the care of the planet.”  The rise in temperatures and extreme weather were “already disrupting competition schedules, putting iconic venues at risk and affecting the health of athletes and fans.”  Rising heat levels had also raised “real concerns about whether the Summer Games can be held safely in future years, and Winter Games are becoming harder to organise with reliable snow and ice conditions diminishing annually.”


A few of the IOC candidates, mindful of the letter’s publicity, reacted on cue.  Prince Feisal Al Hussein of Jordan professed being impressed by the “powerful message from Olympians around the world”.  World Athletics chief Sebastian Coe expressed his willingness to meet the signatories to “share ideas and initiatives”.  

The letter itself is an exercise in mushy contradiction.  The Olympics, pushed by an organisation that runs on the blood of corruption, must count as an environmental and social welfare calamity.  Staging them entails disruptive construction, the depletion of resources, the alteration of landscape.  Their purpose, far from encouraging good will and the stirrings of the social conscience, lies in a promotion of the relevant city and government often at the expense of the disadvantaged citizenry, a naked, propagandistic display of the regime of the day.  

The IOC has unashamedly claimed to be a promoter of green policies.  In 2021, it committed to reducing its direct and indirect emissions in the order of 30 per cent, and 50 per cent by 2030.  It puts much stock in the Olympics Forest project, a shiny enterprise that conceals what has come to be described as “carbon colonialism”, which involves the use of misleading carbon offsets and the exploitation of states in the Global South.  Little wonder that this cynical body has been identified as a greenwashing culprit par excellence, a point utterly missed by the letter’s signatories.

The 2024 Paris Olympics, described by organisers as “historic for climate” and “revolutionary” in nature, proved nothing of the sort.  Jules Boykoff, well versed on the politics of the Olympics, preferred a different view, calling the games a “recycled version of green capitalism that is oblivious in its incrementalism, vague with its methodology and loose with its accountability.”   

If care of the planet is what these athletes sincerely want, a swift abolition of the Olympics, along with a virtuous cancellation of the IOC, would achieve their goals.  At the very least, the games should be dramatically shrunk.  Iconic avenues would be spared.  The safety of athletes and fans would not be an issue.  Why wait for extreme weather to either modify or even do away with the games altogether?  Dear incoming IOC president, you can end the whole charade once and for all.


Binoy Kampmark

Binoy Kampmark was a Commonwealth Scholar at Selwyn College, Cambridge. He lectures at RMIT University, Melbourne. Email: bkampmark@gmail.com

Crypto And The Far Right – OpEd


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Back in 2021, Donald Trump called cryptocurrency “a disaster waiting to happen” and a “scam.” Takes one to know one, right?


 

As he got closer to regaining the White House, however, Trump changed his mind about this “scam,” probably as a result of the millions of dollars that flowed into his campaign coffers from industry donors. To the delight of these donors, Trump promised to make the United States the cryptocurrency capital of the world. He also talked about creating a strategic reserve of Bitcoin.

After he won the election, Trump received over $11 million in contributions to his inaugural committee from the crypto industry. It’s a hallmark of pyramid scams that only the people at the top reap the benefits, and Trump has put himself at the very apex of the ziggurat in order to rake in millions for his posse and for himself.

Consider the saga of $TRUMP.

Three days before his inauguration, the $TRUMP meme coin debuted. Meme coins are usually based on an Internet meme and are “typically characterized by their volatile nature.” Well, that sounds like a good fit for Trump! Indeed, after he promoted the coin on his social media accounts, its value surged astronomically.

Some of the biggest winners in this naked money grab were the firms that launched the coin and profited from the transaction fees, which netted them as much as $100 million in the first two weeks. One of those firms was CIC Digital, which is owned by…Trump himself.

Like all financial operations characterized by irrational exuberance, the value of $TRUMP soon plummeted. Indeed, over 800,000 investor accounts lost a total of $2 billion. Of course, they’re not the only Trump supporters who are suffering from buyer’s remorse. Even the stock market, which initially cheered Trump’s election, is having a serious hangover, a swing in mood not very different from $TRUMP’s trajectory.

$TRUMP’s deep dive notwithstanding—or perhaps because of the success of this scam—crypto remains an essential part of Trump’s economic plans. And Trump is not the only far-right leader who has dabbled in scamming the population with crypto. Argentina’s Javier Milei is now dealing with the aftermath of a corruption scandal associated with $LIBRA, a meme coin he initially supported and which left 10,000 investors over $250 million poorer. El Salvador is still reeling from Nayib Bukele’s crypto obsession, which cost his country $60 million when Bitcoin tanked a couple years ago—not to mention all the Salvadoran energy and natural resources that Bitcoin mining has absorbed.

Two years ago, I explained how cryptocurrencies function like pyramid scams. Last year, I discussed the environmental consequences of crypto.

Now I want to dig a little deeper into the politics of crypto: how Trump and his far-right allies are using these digital currencies as a strategy to rig the rules of the game in their favor.

The Mechanisms of Theft

To understand how crypto scams work, you need to know about “sniping” and “rug-pulling.”

When a new crypto product is launched, whether it’s a meme coin or a non-fungible token, a select group of speculators place a big buy to push the value higher. If enough of these “snipers” exit at the same time, the value drops, providing the snipers with short-term profits and leaving a lot of other investors holding the (empty) bag.

Of course, it helps to know in advance about a new product launch so that you can line up your bots and your AI to execute high-volume and high-speed trades—and your coordinated exit from the stage. In another context, you might call this “insider trading.”

The orchestrated sale of the crypto product is known as the “rug pull.” It can be sudden, as was the case with $TRUMP. Or it can take place over a longer period of time in what used to be known as the “long con.”

The rug pull sometimes relies on the services of a celebrity. Let’s take a brief look at the case of Javier Milei in Argentina to understand how this works.

Enter Milei

Argentine President Javier Milei is, to say the least, a heterodox economist. He pledged to cut government spending as a way of reining in inflation. He fired 30,000 government workers, eliminated government subsidies, and halted many public works projects. No surprise that Milei and his infamous chainsaw served as the inspiration for Musk and DOGE.

Inflation in Argentina has indeed fallen, from nearly 300 percent to around 85 percent in January. But the costs have been immense to the poor. More than half of Argentines now live below the poverty line, and they are dealing with increased costs for food and basic services. The economy has contracted as a not-very-surprising result of Milei’s chainsaw approach to government.

Among his many economic enthusiasms, Milei has relentlessly attacked the country’s central bank and advocated for the adoption of the U.S. dollar as the national currency. During his first year in office, he didn’t put crypto at the heart of his economic platform. But his efforts to displace the central bank has been accompanied by a push to lift restrictions on currency exchange, which would give cryptocurrencies a big boost. Argentinians are already leading adopters of crypto, largely as a hedge against the volatility of the Argentine peso (frankly, they might as well buy lottery tickets or play slots at the casino).

But that’s changing as a result of the $LIBRA scandal.

At the instigation of several fast-talking meme coin boosters, Milei endorsed $LIBRA when it was released on Valentine’s Day this year. But the value of the meme coin tanked within mere hours as top investors pulled the rug out from under it. As “Cryptogate” spread, Milei scrambled to deny any connection to the fiasco.

But that was hard to do given the evidence of several tweets showing Milei, with his trademark glower and two thumbs up, posing with those boosters, including an American named Hayden Davis.

Davis runs Kelsier Ventures, which was part of the sniping and rug-pulling around $MELANIA, the spousal counterpart to $TRUMP, which followed a similar trajectory of jumping high off the diving board and then plunging into the empty pool below. Davis did the same thing with $LIBRA, making off with around $100 million. He has promised to refund some of that money to the people who lost big. Don’t hold your breath.

“This is an insider’s game,” Davis has said about these meme coins. “This is like an unregulated casino.”

As for Milei, the real purpose of his economic program has been starkly revealed by this scandal: a transfer of money from the poor to the rich. His popularity was already on a downward trajectory in early February before the scandal, with 53 percent of the population disapproving of his policies (compared to 43 percent in favor). Cryptogate could be an anchor that pulls Milei down to the bottom of the sea.

Trump Also Goes Big

It’s no accident that the administration’s government-cutting initiative, DOGE, shares a name with a leading cryptocurrency. Cutting government oversight, eliminating regulations, and empowering the already-powerful private sector all benefit the crypto industry. But Trump is not just cutting government—he is putting his own people into positions of power.

That includes right-wing financier David Sacks, who’s in charge of both crypto and AI in the Trump administration. Sacks comes out of the same political milieu as Elon Musk and Peter Thiel (with whom he led PayPal). As with so many of Trump’s appointees, the opportunities for corruption abound. As MSNBC reported at the end of last year, “Sacks launched an artificial intelligence company called Glue this year and is known to be a major investor in cryptocurrencies, which would seem likely to create some conflicts of interest if he’s steering the administration’s AI and crypto policies.”

Trump is also staffing the Securities and Exchange Commission with crypto loyalists who have already begun to deconstruct the oversight of the crypto sector. As The New York Times notes:

Federal officials declared that so-called memecoins would not be subject to strict oversight. A series of investigations into major cryptocurrency firms were halted. And the Securities and Exchange Commission agreed to pause a fraud case against a top crypto entrepreneur. Just over a month since President Trump’s inauguration, U.S. regulators have almost entirely dismantled a yearslong government crackdown on the crypto industry, a volatile sector rife with fraud, scams and theft.

Meme coins, of course, are the $TRUMP and $MELANIA scams that have already bilked thousands of investors. The reduction of oversight on crypto, meanwhile, is likely to increase the pool of victims. Burwick Law is the firm trying to claw back money for those who were scammed by $HAWK (promoted by influencer Haliey Welch) and also 200 clients from various countries who lost money in the $LIBRA scandal. Dubbed the “ambulance chaser of crypto,” Max Burwick is going to face a deregulatory headwind coming from the Trump administration.

But the biggest crypto project of the Trump administration is its crypto strategic reserve, an idea promoted hard by the crypto industry. It’s the culmination of the right-wing’s push for U.S. businesses to invest in crypto and also state governments buy up the currency. A strategic reserve of crypto makes no sense. Such reserves are meant for valuable assets like oil and gold. Why doesn’t Trump consider a strategic reserve of Amway products or Tupperware?

For the time being, the two reserves (one for Bitcoin, the second for other digital assets) will contain only crypto seized in criminal or civil forfeitures. The crypto industry was disappointed that Trump didn’t mandate federal purchases of the currencies. But that will probably happen in the future. The new initiative calls on federal agencies to come up with strategies to buy more Bitcoin. And there’s now a bill in Congress calling on the government to buy a million Bitcoin.

So, basically, such a reserve is just a gift to all the crypto loyalists who have supported Trump. Let’s call it what it is: a first step toward state capture by crypto oligarchs.

Why Does the Far Right Love Crypto?

Crypto appeals to the far right for several reasons. It promises to undermine the state’s central authority. It offers a degree of anonymity, which can facilitate tax evasion, asset parking overseas, and plain old money-laundering. And its volatility allows for the profiteering that sometimes goes by the name of entrepreneurialism.

Meanwhile, for extremist organizations that need to stay under the radar to evade surveillance, crypto is the monetary equivalent of an encrypted messaging service. According to the Anti-Defamation League, “15 white supremacist and antisemitic groups and individuals, as well as their donors, that collectively moved $142,546 worth of cryptocurrency to and/or from 22 different cryptocurrency service providers.” The European far right is also beginning to trade in these currencies.

In countries with conventional governance—that is, not lunatics like Trump and locos like Milei—crypto functions as a right-wing weapon against the state. But when the inmates take over the asylum, the currency becomes a way of consolidating power in the hands of oligarchs.

Meme coins like $TRUMP and $LIBRA are just the side hustles by opportunists who want some of the crumbs that fall off the oligarchs’ tables. The real money is in the “legitimate” trade in crypto, the speculation in Bitcoin and Dogecoin. This is where far-right politicians create “positive synergies” between government deregulation on one side and campaign contributions on the other.

This institutional corruption is at the center of the Trump/Milei enterprise: the wholesale looting of the public sector and the grotesque enrichment of the already rich.



John Feffer

John Feffer is an author and columnist and the director of Foreign Policy In Focus.