Saturday, July 11, 2026

Stealing Democracy: Trump’s Assault on Birthright Citizenship


 July 10, 2026

Dred Scott. Oil on canvas by Louis Schultze, 1888. (Detail) Missouri History Museum Collections. n23864.

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The United States has always been divided against itself. From its founding, the promise of democracy has existed alongside the violence of settler colonialism, slavery, racial capitalism, and white supremacy. The nation’s greatest democratic advances have emerged not from the fulfillment of its founding ideals but from generations of struggle against racial domination, economic exploitation, and political exclusion. American history is therefore not a story of inevitable democratic progress. It is an ongoing struggle over whose histories are remembered, whose humanity is recognized, and whose freedom counts, a struggle measured against the gulf between the nation’s claims to freedom and justice and the reality of systemic cruelty and racialized terror. Today, that struggle has entered a new and dangerous phase. The assault on birthright citizenship is not simply another dispute over immigration or constitutional interpretation. It is an attempt to decide once again who counts, who qualifies as a citizen, and who possesses the right to have rights.  At stake is nothing less than whether the United States becomes a multiracial democratic socialist society or completes its transformation into a fascist white republic.

The attack on birthright citizenship forces the nation to confront a question every democracy must answer: Who belongs, and whose lives are valued? As Judith Butler argues, politics is organized around distinctions between lives regarded as grievable and those rendered ungrievable, between those recognized as fully human and those denied that status. Every authoritarian movement answers that question by transforming citizenship from a universal right into a racial, nationalist, and class privilege. Once citizenship becomes conditional, every other right becomes conditional as well. The Trump-Miller campaign against birthright citizenship is therefore not simply an attack on immigration policy. It is an attempt to transform the United States from an imperfect democracy into a racial state. In doing so, it revives a political tradition that never disappeared, one rooted in the racial nationalism of the Johnson–Reed Immigration Act of 1924, the rebirth of the Ku Klux Klan, and the recurring fantasy of preserving the United States as a white republic.

The assault on birthright citizenship is an attempt to steal one of Reconstruction’s greatest democratic achievements. As constitutional scholar Sherrilyn Ifill reminds us, the framers of the Fourteenth Amendment undertook a “race-conscious project” designed to dismantle racial caste and establish birthright citizenship as the legal foundation of a multiracial democracy.  As Martha S. Jones demonstrates in Birthright Citizens, birthright citizenship was not bestowed from above. It was forged through generations of Black struggle against slavery, racial caste, and white supremacy. The Trump administration seeks to reverse that democratic achievement by redefining citizenship as a privilege of ancestry, bloodline, and racial hierarchy rather than a constitutional guarantee of democratic equality. As Eddie S. Glaude Jr. observes, “These people are the inheritors of that legacy. They believe the country should be white.”

Nor did this assault emerge suddenly. Trump’s “birther” campaign against Barack Obama was the opening act in a broader effort to reopen the very question Reconstruction sought to settle: Who can legitimately claim to be an American? The issue was never where Obama was born. It was whether a Black man could legitimately embody the nation itself. Birtherism transformed citizenship into a weapon of racial warfare, preparing the ideological ground for today’s assault on birthright citizenship. The current campaign extends that poisonous logic from one symbolic target to millions of others, rendering citizenship increasingly contingent, revocable, and politically expendable.

This is why the struggle over birthright citizenship is fundamentally a struggle over the legal foundations of democracy itself. Citizenship is the constitutional basis of every democratic right. Once that foundation is transformed from a universal guarantee into a privilege granted by political authority, democracy itself begins to disappear. Rights cease to belong equally to all; they become favors distributed by a state that defines belonging through race, nationalism, and ideological conformity.

John Ganz captures the magnitude of this transformation with unusual clarity:

It’s long been my contention that the attack on citizenship is the most serious and frightful aspect of the Trump phenomenon and the one that makes it most deserving of the epithet fascist or totalitarian…. If they successfully destroy American citizenship as enshrined in the Constitution they will have destroyed the country. We will be, all of a sudden, somewhere else.

The ideological stakes of this struggle become especially visible as the United States marks the two hundred and fiftieth anniversary of its founding. Official celebrations largely substitute patriotic spectacle for historical reckoning, presenting the nation’s past as an unbroken story of liberty, unity, and democratic progress. Such mythology erases the central role of Indigenous dispossession, slavery, racial capitalism, and generations of democratic struggle in shaping American history, obscuring the crucial truth that democracy has advanced not because the nation faithfully realized its founding ideals but because ordinary people repeatedly forced the nation to confront the violence, exclusions, and contradictions built into those ideals. The assault on birthright citizenship is simultaneously constitutional in its aims and pedagogical in its methods, seeking to reshape how Americans understand democracy, belonging, and political identity.

Ganz’s warning points beyond legal rights to the wider struggle over democratic identity, public values, civic consciousness, and the distribution of political and economic power. The attack on citizenship cannot be separated from the rise of gangster capitalism and the oligarchy that increasingly dominates American society. As wealth and power become concentrated in the hands of a tiny corporate and financial elite, democratic institutions are emptied of any substance, public goods are dismantled, and the media are increasingly captured by concentrated private interests. In addition, staggering class divisions, entrenched racial injustice, and a politics of disposability become normalized. The attack on citizenship is one mechanism through which this emerging social order redraws the boundaries of political membership, legitimates exclusion, and diverts public anger away from the structures of exploitation that produce widespread misery.

This is neoliberal fascism intensified by oligarchic power and racial capitalism. As Harvey J. Kaye reminds us, what often disappears in discussions of authoritarianism is the class war from above that has laid the groundwork for its emergence. For decades, corporate elites, their political allies, and neoliberal policymakers have waged a relentless assault on workers, public goods, democratic institutions, and the social state, producing staggering inequalities of wealth and power while intensifying racial and social injustice. This class war has not only deepened economic insecurity; it has generated the resentments, abandonment, and civic despair upon which authoritarian movements flourish. The attack on citizenship is inseparable from this broader class project.

What is unfolding today is not merely the return of fascist rhetoric but the deliberate construction of a political order in which democracy is hollowed out from within by the convergence of oligarchic power, white supremacy, and authoritarian rule. Constitutional protections are eroded, dissent is criminalized, cruelty is celebrated as civic virtue, and entire populations are rendered disposable.

Every fascist politics begins by deciding who is recognized as part of the political community. It ends by deciding whose rights, lives, and futures no longer matter. Its endpoint is the normalization of lawless abductions, state terror, militarized policing, detention camps, and a social order in which violence becomes the governing principle of politics. This is not simply the story of a democracy in decline. It is the story of a society devouring its own democratic foundations as imperial ambitions, white nationalism, militarized governance, and institutional decay converge in the service of authoritarian power.

Citizenship and the Pedagogy of Fascism

Political struggles are never won by coercion alone. They are won in the institutions and cultural spaces where people learn to understand themselves, others, and the society they inhabit. Schools, journalism, digital platforms, religious institutions, entertainment, and state policy function as powerful pedagogical forces. They teach people whom to fear, whose lives matter, which histories deserve remembrance, and who belongs to the democratic polity. As Stuart Hall observed, “cultural change is constitutive of political change.” Every political order educates its citizens. The decisive question is what kind of citizens it produces.

Trumpism answers that question by cultivating a new authoritarian subject. Through media spectacles, digital platforms, and state power, it normalizes white supremacy, Christian nationalism, militarism, and the language of exclusion. Figures such as Stephen Miller, J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Pete Hegseth, Tom Homan, Russell Vought, and others function as the principal anti-public pedagogues of this emerging fascist culture. Their rhetoric legitimates policies whose consequences are inscribed in broken lives, shattered families, public spectacles of humiliation and terror, the destruction of due process, the erosion of democratic freedoms, the killing of children, and, increasingly, blood. They teach that compassion is weakness, violence is virtue, unquestioning loyalty is patriotism, hypermasculinity is the measure of manhood, and domination, cloaked in the language of God, nation, and destiny, is the defining virtue of public life. For Trump and his acolytes, courage no longer signifies moral conviction or civic responsibility. It has been stripped of its ethical content and absorbed into the language of militarized nationalism, where cruelty masquerades as strength, intimidation becomes a badge of honor, and public life is reduced to a theater of aggression. Such a culture thrives on spectacles of violence, celebrates humiliation as entertainment, glorifies brutality as a public virtue, and normalizes the historical amnesia, racial hatred, militarism, and organized abandonment upon which fascist politics flourishes.

The assault on birthright citizenship is a pedagogical project aimed at remaking public consciousness. Its purpose is to persuade Americans that racial exclusion is common sense, hierarchy is natural, and white nationalism is compatible with democracy. The objective is not simply to change immigration law but to redefine citizenship itself, replacing equal membership with a racialized conception of national identity rooted in blood, ancestry, and cultural purity. As Antonio Gramsci argued, political transformation is inseparable from cultural transformation because power secures its deepest victories by shaping how people think, remember, identify, and imagine the world.

Authoritarianism depends upon organized ignorance as much as organized repression. It flourishes when historical memory is replaced by myth produced by powerful disimagination machines, when fear overwhelms reason, and when civic responsibility gives way to tribal loyalty. In such circumstances, citizenship ceases to be a shared democratic practice and becomes a badge of racial and ideological identity, a transformation embodied in the politics of Stephen Miller and the architects of Trump’s white nationalist project. Democracy no longer rests upon constitutional principles but upon exclusionary myths about who constitutes the “real” nation.

The attack on citizenship cannot be removed from the wider war against the institutions that make democracy possible. Under Trumpism, journalists are vilified as enemies of the people and increasingly subjected to intimidation and violence; universities are threatened with political retaliation; schools are subjected to ideological censorship; books are removed from libraries; scientific expertise is dismissed as propaganda; and historical memory is rewritten to erase the histories of slavery, colonialism, racism, and democratic resistance. These are not isolated attacks. Together they constitute a coordinated war on the institutions that cultivate critical judgment, historical consciousness, and the civic capacities upon which democratic self-government depends.

These attacks are directed at education in its broadest sense. Public schools are stripped of their democratic mission and reduced to workforce training or ideological indoctrination. Universities are portrayed as centers of national betrayal. Independent journalism is recast as a political enemy rather than a public good. Culture itself becomes a battlefield in which cruelty is rewarded, ignorance celebrated, and critical thought equated with disloyalty. The objective is not simply to silence dissent but to destroy the moral, intellectual, and civic capacities that make democratic dissent, and democracy itself, possible.

This is why fascism should be understood both as a political regime and as a pedagogical one. It seeks to govern not only through laws, police powers, and executive authority but also through the production of consciousness itself. It wages war over memory, language, identity, and civic imagination because it understands that lasting domination depends upon shaping how people think before it controls how they act. Birthright citizenship is therefore one expression of a larger struggle over education, culture, memory, and civic imagination. Ultimately, the conflict is over what kind of people democracy requires and what kind of subjects fascism seeks to produce.

Manufacturing the Authoritarian Citizen

Once democratic institutions have been weakened, authoritarian politics can turn to its central task: manufacturing the authoritarian citizen. The assault on birthright citizenship is only one front in this broader project. By dismantling the institutions that sustain democratic memory, critical judgment, and civic responsibility, Trumpism seeks to produce subjects who no longer question power, distinguish truth from propaganda, or imagine democracy as a shared public good. The goal is not simply to govern differently but to reshape the habits, identities, and desires upon which political life itself depends.

Trumpism has embraced this strategy with remarkable consistency. Under Trump’s second administration, the federal government has been weaponized against journalists who expose corruption and abuses of power. As The Guardianreported, federal agents raided the home of Washington Post reporter Hannah Natanson, confiscating her electronic devices in an extraordinary act of intimidation directed at investigative journalism. At the same time, the administration has dismantled longstanding protections for the press while deploying lawsuits and other legal mechanisms against major news organizations and investigative reporters whose work challenges executive power. The message is unmistakable: journalism that holds power accountable is no longer treated as a public service but as a political crime.

Trumpism has extended its assault on democratic culture into a systematic campaign against education. Public schools are increasingly prohibited from teaching the histories of slavery, colonialism, racial violence, and democratic struggle. Universities face political coercion, financial retaliation, and ideological surveillance if they refuse to conform to authoritarian demands. Faculty members are monitored, curricula rewritten, books removed from classrooms and libraries, and critical inquiry dismissed as indoctrination. Even leading universities such as Columbia, Northwestern, Harvard, and the University of California have too often capitulated to political intimidation. By yielding to threats from the Trump administration, they compromise their autonomy, erode academic freedom, and abandon their role as democratic public institutions. Such capitulations normalize authoritarian coercion while further weakening institutions that, despite their limits and exclusions, have historically cultivated critical thought, civic responsibility, and democratic agency.

These attacks are routinely justified as efforts to eliminate bias, restore patriotism, or protect children from ideas that challenge authoritarian myths, including honest accounts of Black freedom struggles, systemic racism, settler colonialism, and Israel’s genocidal war on Gaza. But such claims conceal a deeper political objective. Authoritarian regimes fear historical knowledge because history reveals that every system of domination has been challenged, resisted, and transformed. As Robin D. G. Kelley reminds us, history is not the unfolding of national myths but the record of unfinished struggles over freedom, equality, and belonging. Historical memory reminds us that democracy has always been won through collective struggle rather than bestowed from above. Rights are neither gifts nor privileges but political achievements that must continually be defended and expanded.

Culture itself has become one of the principal battlegrounds in this struggle. The digital platforms through which millions now encounter politics have become immense pedagogical machines. They do more than transmit information. They organize attention, shape emotional life, reward outrage, circulate conspiracy theories, amplify racial resentment, and normalize political  violence. As the Reuters Institute’s 2025 Digital News Report demonstrates, social media and video platforms have now surpassed television and traditional news organizations as the principal sources through which many people receive news. In these spaces, the struggle over democracy increasingly unfolds through algorithms that privilege spectacle over evidence, emotional manipulation over reasoned debate, and disinformation over informed judgment.

Taken together, these developments reveal a coherent political project aimed at remaking political common sense itself. It teaches people to admire cruelty as strength, celebrate ignorance as authenticity, dismiss historical memory as subversion, and accept constitutional rights as contingent upon race, loyalty, and political conformity. Before authoritarianism governs through repression, it educates people to desire the very forms of domination that will ultimately govern them.

The Constitutional Blueprint of the Fascist State

History offers a sobering lesson. Fascist movements rarely begin by abolishing constitutions, suspending elections, or relying immediately on militarized repression. They often begin by redefining who belongs to the civic community and who does not. Before they eliminate rights, they first determine whose rights count. Citizenship becomes the decisive political threshold separating those entitled to legal protection from those who can be excluded, surveilled, detained, deported, or abandoned without moral consequence.

This is why the attack on birthright citizenship occupies such a central place in Trump’s political strategy. It establishes the governing principle upon which a new authoritarian order can be built. If citizenship is no longer guaranteed by the Constitution but becomes contingent upon ancestry, race, bloodline, or executive interpretation, then every democratic protection becomes vulnerable to political power. Rights no longer belong to citizens because they are constitutionally guaranteed; they belong only so long as the state decides that they do. In such a regime, rights cease to be universal constitutional protections and become political privileges dispensed by white supremacists, Christian nationalists, and ideological zealots who wield state power in the service of exclusion and domination.

Hannah Arendt argued that citizenship rests upon belonging to a political community—the indispensable condition for possessing rights at all. She famously described this as “the right to have rights” and “the right to belong to some kind of organized community.”  Reflecting on the catastrophe of European fascism, she warned that once individuals are stripped of political membership, they lose not merely legal protections but the public standing and institutional guarantees that make those protections meaningful. For Arendt, statelessness was more than the loss of nationality. It marked expulsion from the political community itself, reducing human beings to lives that could be managed, displaced, detained, or discarded with impunity.

Trumpism repackages this racist project in the language of legal restoration and border security. Its objective extends beyond border enforcement to the reconstruction of citizenship itself, transforming the Constitution from a guarantor of democratic equality into the machinery of racial domination. What is at stake is the replacement of democratic citizenship with an exclusionary conception of who counts as an American rooted in white supremacy, Christian nationalism, and an idealized myth of the nation’s past. Citizenship no longer embodies democratic equality; it becomes a weapon for sorting populations into those entitled to rights and those who can be surveilled, detained, deported, and abandoned. In Giorgio Agamben’s terms, this is the political logic that reduces human beings “to bare life,”  persons stripped of meaningful political standing and exposed to arbitrary state power. The historical record is unambiguous: such logic culminates in the camp, where law no longer restrains power but becomes the administrative machinery of exclusion, abandonment, and state terror.

This project cannot be separated from a broader politics of disposability. Once governments succeed in persuading citizens that some people do not truly belong, it becomes easier to normalize policies that would otherwise appear morally unthinkable. Families are separated. Refugees are labeled as enemies. Immigrants become invaders. Protesters become traitors. Journalists become enemies of the people. Political opponents become internal threats. Every expansion of exclusion widens the circle of those who can be denied protection while narrowing the meaning of democratic community itself.

History repeatedly demonstrates that authoritarian regimes consolidate power by transforming legal protections into political privileges. Equality before the law gives way to selective enforcement. Universal rights yield to arbitrary exceptions. Independent courts become instruments of executive power. Citizenship itself becomes contingent upon ideological loyalty and national conformity. The law no longer restrains power; it legitimates power by clothing repression in the language of legality. This is one of fascism’s enduring achievements: it seeks not simply to destroy law but to convert law into an apparatus of domination while preserving the appearance of constitutional order.

The constitutional stakes could not be higher. Every attack on birthright citizenship erodes the principle that all persons born under the Constitution possess equal standing before the law. Once that principle is abandoned, the Constitution no longer limits state power; it becomes a weapon through which authoritarian rule selectively distributes rights, recognition, and community. That is the constitutional logic of the fascist state.

Socialist Democracy or the Fascist State

The assault on birthright citizenship reveals a truth that many defenders of democracy have been reluctant to confront. Trumpism is more than another conservative movement or an illiberal or authoritarian political formation. It is a fascist project that seeks to reconstruct the legal, cultural, and moral foundations of American society by redefining who counts as fully human, who counts as an American, and who possesses the full protections of democratic citizenship. The far-right offensive on citizenship is not peripheral to that project. It is its constitutional center.

Every fascist movement seeks to replace universal rights with selective privilege. It strips democracy of its egalitarian foundations while preserving the outward appearance of legality. Constitutions remain in place, elections continue to be held, courts still issue opinions, and legislatures still convene. Yet the substance of democracy disappears as executive power expands, dissent is criminalized, historical memory is erased, and citizenship itself becomes dependent upon race, nationalism, and political conformity. Democracy survives as political theater while authoritarian power increasingly governs everyday life through a mix of repression and a spectacularized culture of state violence.

This transformation does not occur through repression alone. It also depends upon a profound educational project. Authoritarianism must teach people to accept exclusion as virtue, cruelty as strength, inequality as natural, and obedience as patriotism. It wages war against history because history reminds us that no system of domination has ever been permanent. It wages war against education because critical thought threatens every regime that depends upon ignorance. And it wages war against citizenship because democratic citizenship embodies the radical principle that rights belong to persons by virtue of their humanity and constitutional equality rather than the whims of political rulers.

The struggle over birthright citizenship therefore reaches far beyond immigration policy or constitutional interpretation. It raises the defining political question of our time: Will democracy continue to rest upon the constitutional principle of universal citizenship, or will citizenship become a racial privilege administered by an authoritarian state? The answer to that question will determine not only who belongs to the nation but also whether the United States is becoming, or has already become, a neo-fascist society.

What is emerging under Trumpism is an authoritarian government that consolidates a fascist social order rooted in what I have elsewhere called gangster capitalism. It is a system in which unprecedented concentrations of wealth and power coexist with racialized disposability, patriarchal domination, ecological devastation, and the criminalization of democratic dissent. It is a machinery of organized misery built upon widening class divisions, racial and gender exclusions, permanent insecurity, and the concentration of economic and political power in the hands of a financial and corporate elite. State terrorism, unchecked executive power, the militarization of everyday life, endless wars abroad, and expanding forms of domestic repression are not accidental excesses of this system. They are among its governing principles.

The attack on birthright citizenship is one of the clearest expressions of this logic. It redraws the boundaries of belonging to determine who can be excluded, dispossessed, imprisoned, deported, silenced, or abandoned. Fascism has always understood that before it can govern through terror it must first educate people to accept terror as common sense, cruelty as civic virtue, and domination as the natural order of things. It wages war not only against democratic institutions but also against the ethical imagination, historical memory, and social solidarities that make resistance possible.

The greatest ideological triumph of neoliberalism has been persuading people that capitalism and democracy are synonymous. That fiction has become one of the principal obstacles to confronting contemporary fascism. A social order that celebrates billionaires while consigning millions to poverty, debt, racial violence, ecological catastrophe, permanent war, and the slow death of the social state cannot sustain democracy because it destroys the very conditions upon which democratic life depends.

Gangster capitalism does more than generate staggering concentrations of wealth and power. It produces the authoritarian desires, organized fears, racial resentments, and cultures of disposability upon which fascist politics thrives. We inhabit an increasingly delusional social order shaped by the pedagogical force of greed, dehumanization, precarity, corruption, and what the Pulitzer Prize-winning author Viet Thanh Nguyen calls “the black hole of cruelty.” Cruelty is no longer an aberration or moral failure. It has become a governing principle of gangster capitalism—a political and economic system that turns human beings into disposable objects, rewards domination over solidarity, and transforms violence into spectacle and public policy. The assault on citizenship is one expression of this logic, carrying forward imperial fantasies and a long history of racial terror that remain embedded in the structures of American capitalism.

As Nguyen observes:

…this is a legacy that extends ‘from the slaughter of Indians to the exploitation, murder, torture, and rape of Black African enslaved peoples… to the demonization of immigrants, the sickening rituals of hunting them down in the streets with masked government enforcers, the lurid punishments of inhuman detention that spur cheers and glee from a significant part of the American people, encouraged by the would-be American Nero and his fawning minions who take pleasure in their taunts and insults.

The struggle over citizenship cannot be separated from this legacy or from the economic and cultural order that profits from it. To confront fascism, therefore, requires more than defending existing democratic institutions. It demands dismantling the gangster capitalism that breeds state coercion, legitimates disposability, and reduces democracy to a hollow spectacle. The struggle before us is to refuse a system that equates freedom with markets, citizenship with exclusion, and profit with the highest expression of human value. It means building a democratic socialist future rooted in equality, shared responsibility, public goods, ecological justice, and the radical conviction that every life matters.

Against the machinery of gangster capitalism, fascist terror, permanent war, and state violence, democracy must be reclaimed as a way of life grounded in justice, solidarity, and shared power. The choice before us could not be clearer: either we organize collectively to build a society founded on equality, freedom, and democratic responsibility, or we surrender to a social order defined by permanent war, organized abandonment, state terror, and oligarchic rule. Under such conditions, democracy survives only as spectacle while fascism becomes the organizing logic of everyday life. History remains unfinished. Whether it moves toward justice or descends further into barbarism depends upon our willingness to imagine otherwise, organize collectively, overthrow gangster capitalism, and build a democratic socialist society in which freedom, equality, justice, and human dignity become the measure of politics itself.



Henry A. Giroux currently holds the McMaster University Chair for Scholarship in the Public Interest in the English and Cultural Studies Department and is the Paulo Freire Distinguished Scholar in Critical Pedagogy. His most recent books include: The Terror of the Unforeseen (Los Angeles Review of books, 2019), On Critical Pedagogy, 2nd edition (Bloomsbury, 2020); Race, Politics, and Pandemic Pedagogy: Education in a Time of Crisis (Bloomsbury 2021); Pedagogy of Resistance: Against Manufactured Ignorance (Bloomsbury 2022) and Insurrections: Education in the Age of Counter-Revolutionary Politics (Bloomsbury, 2023), and coauthored with Anthony DiMaggio, Fascism on Trial: Education and the Possibility of Democracy (Bloomsbury, 2025). Giroux is also a member of Truthout’s board of directors.

Germany

Forcing Refugees To Return to Syria is a Bad Idea

Saturday 11 July 2026, by Joseph Daher

During the first official visit of Syrian Interim President Ahmed al-Sharaa to Germany at the end of March 2026 German Chancellor Friedrich Merz declared that “about 80% of the Syrians currently living in Germany should return to their homeland” over the next three years ­– which would be more than 720,000 people. [1]

After his statement was criticised, Merz clarified that he was not expressing a refugee policy but merely repeating the opinion of interim President al-Sharaa and those, "who wish to remain in Germany and are well integrated will be able to remain in Germany." Al-Sharaa rejected Merz’ claim, characterizing it as “somewhat exaggerated”.He insisted that returns would depend on economic reconstruction and improved living conditions. Meanwhile, German Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul endorsed Merz‘ statement, while pointing out that "what the Chancellor says is, of course, the goal of the federal government" — and was not motivated by the interim President of Syria.

Regardless of the “clarifications” of the German chancellor, and the practical impossibility such a plan faces, these declarations reflect a wider political trend in Europe calling for the return and deportation of Syrians. The European Parliament’s support of the Return Regulation, at the end of March 2026, expanding “the EU’s punitive and restrictive detention and deportation plans”, demonstrates this continuously hostile dynamic regarding migrants and the collaboration of conservative and the far right. This contributes to the ongoing and expanding racist and islamophobic atmosphere in Europe. But the plans of mass returns must not only be rejected for the racism that underpins it. These attempts are directed against the interests of Syrian working classes, be it in Germany or in Syria.

Is Syria Ready to Receive 1.6 Million Returnees

A large majority of Syrians in Germany, and Europe do not want to return to Syria under current conditions of wartime destruction, political instability, economic crisis and ongoing human rights violations. At the same time, the labor market remains disrupted, and unemployment is high, particularly among the youth. While there are no clear rates for the size of unemployment in Syria, due to the absence of periodic and regular labor force surveys, estimates for 2025 range from 14% to 60% youth unemployment. In addition, 83% of the Syrian labor market is reportedly informal, which does not guarantee access to social security and legal protection, leaving millions of workers vulnerable to exploitation or sudden income loss.

The returns of Syrians have also further strained the labor market, which does not have the capacity to absorb them. Most of the Syrians who came back to Syria since the fall of the Assad regime in December 2024, an estimated 1.6 million, had taken refuge in neighboring countries, especially Turkey, Lebanon and Jordan. In addition, an estimated 1.9 million Internally Displaced People (IDP) returned to their areas of origin, while approximately 5.54 million IDP remained displaced nationwide.

According to the UNHCR “these movements continued to place pressure on already overstretched services and infrastructure, particularly in areas hosting displaced populations and high numbers of returnees”. According to the UN, only 57% of public hospitals are fully functional, and only around a third of the primary health care centers are operational, while more than a third of the schools are damaged or destroyed. Similarly the International Organization for Migration in May 2025 underlined that the “lack of economic opportunities and essential services pose the greatest challenge for Syrians returning to their communities”.

Syria’s needs are acute: the cost of reconstruction is estimated to range between $140 billion and $345 billion, according to the World Bank, which is equivalent to 7 to 17.5 times the current estimated GDP in Syria. More than half of Syrians remain displaced, either internally or abroad. Nine out of ten live below the poverty line, nearly 17 million people require urgent assistance to survive; and more than nine million face acute food insecurity.

Although the Syrian ruling authorities raised public-sector salaries and pensions by 200% in July 2025 and by 50% in March 2026, most of the population, whether employed in the public or the private sector, still cannot cover their monthly expenses with their salaries. While the minimum wage was increased to around $114 a month, this is far from enough to sustain an average person’s livelihood, with the minimum cost of living for a family of five in Damascus exceeding this fourfold and the average cost of living being almost ten times higher at the beginning of the year 2026. Under these conditions, mass return of Syrian refugees would increase the pressure on the labor market, which is already characterized by low salaries and and a very low level of social protection. In addition, it would cut the flow of remittances to the country.
How Syrian Diaspora Remittances Keep Families Alive

Large segments of society rely on money transfer from relatives abroad amounting to around $4 billion annually, according to estimates from earlier this year, with Europe and Gulf countries as the main sources since 2011. Germany constitutes the main source for remittances from Europe, between 300 and 400 million of Euro on a yearly basis. This is connected to the progressive and ongoing integration of Syrians in the German labor market.

The role of remittances in Syria evolved in the past decade from a supplemental resource into a primary structural requirement for household survival. These flows played an increasingly critical role in sustaining livelihoods, often becoming the main source of income for many households as their purchasing powers were continuously reduced as a result of the depreciation of the national currency and rising inflation. In certain cases and more particularly after the fall of the Assad’s regime, remittances have been used by families to rebuild their households, and collective initiatives in some areas have emerged benefitting from diaspora remittances to rehabilitate specific infrastructures or buildings. These examples remain quite rare however.
Real Estate Projects During Syria’s Housing Crisis

The country continues to suffer a deep and combined housing and infrastructure shortfall. According to the 2025 Humanitarian Needs and Response Plan (HNRP), “one-third of the country’s housing stock has been damaged or destroyed, while critical infrastructure, including roads, water networks, electricity, and sanitation systems, remains largely non-functional”. In this context and in the absence of any reconstruction plan, several local communities have protested against real estate projects seeking profit rather than housing for people in need. In Homs, residents of the Qarabis neighbourhood pressured the Kuwait-based al-Omran Real Estate Development Company to part of its “Boulevard of Victory” plan, which would have threatened their properties and displaced them from their homes. Similarly, Damascus residents successfully opposed a project that sought to transform Al-Jahiz Park – one of Damascus’s last remaining public green spaces – into a commercial space with cafés and parking facilities. In the beginning of May 2026, a demonstration was organized in Damascus by residents of the Mezzeh, Kfar Souseh, and Basateen al-Razi neighborhoods affected by Decree 66, which was enacted in 2012 and allows the “redesigning of unauthorized or illegal housing areas” and their replacement with “modern” real estate projects with quality services.

Large segments of the population suffering from worsening living conditions and low purchasing power face very high rents and expensive property prices. Instead of building housing schemes and infrastructures for the broader population, these real estate projects serve an elite class able to afford new and expensive housing projects and accumulate capital. Alongside these dynamics, these housing policies reflect a larger political economic strategy, responding to a crisis-ridden economy with austerity measures.

Austerity in Post-Assad Syria: Who Pays the Price?

Household stability has become increasingly contingent on remittances rather than local economic dynamics, particularly as the former Assad’s regime engaged in austerity measures and cut back on social support to the population. The share of spending on public subsidies and other support programmes diminished significantly in the state’s budget after 2011, representing 15.5% in 2010 compared to just 5.6% in 2024. In addition, continuously rising inflation resulted in diminishing purchasing power for large sectors of the population.

The new Syrian ruling authorities’ economic policies have not challenged this reality, quite the opposite. Following the declared reduction of state spending, the Syrian ruling authorities quickly announced plans to dismiss up to one third of the state workforce, targeting employees allegedly receiving salaries without fulfilling their duties. Dismissals have continued across multiple ministries in 2026. Damascus’ austerity measures have had a significant impact on the population’s purchasing power. The price of subsidized bread was raised in December 2024 from 400 Syrian Pounds (SYP) (for 1,500 grams) to SYP 4,000 (for 1,200 grams and then 1,050 grams since May 2026), representing an increase of around 1365% and exacerbating food insecurity among the most vulnerable. At the same time, the government suspended subsidies on fuel and oil derivatives, increasing production costs across the agricultural and manufacturing sectors. In October 2025, the Syrian government announced a significant increase in electricity prices. In January 2026, tariffs increased from an average of $0.85-$4 to bills ranging from $50 and $169. Some families even saw their bills reach between $423 and $508. This has also severely affected key productive economic sectors, particularly manufacturing and agriculture.

The political-economic orientation of the new ruling authorities has entrenched the economic dynamics present in the former regime. Syria is facing structural economic challenges, including the instability of the Syrian pound, a weakened financial system, the destruction infrastructure, low purchasing power, high cost of production, a dearth of skilled workers, and more. Yet, the new government is pushing a commercial model focused on short-term profit and primarily on the service sector to the detriment of Syria’s productive sectors, which is not conducive to developmental dynamics. Meanwhile, no protection against foreign competitive products has been provided to national production, particularly manufacturing industry and agriculture. Accelerated trade liberalization is threatening production even more. In late January 2025, Damascus reduced customs duties on over 260 Turkish products. At the end of 2025, Syria’s trade deficit with Turkey reached an all-time high of $3.26 billion in 2025. This represents an 86.5% rise in comparison to 2024, when the deficit stood at $1.74 billion.

Workers’ Unrest and Protests Across Syria in 2026

Increasing frustration among workers in the public, private and informal sectors with the government’s economic policies has led to popular protests and strikes, particularly since the beginning of the year. In the Idlib and Aleppo countryside governorates, teachers engaged in a large-scale strike in late January 2026 demanding permanent employment, the swift reinstatement of those dismissed, and salary increases that commensurate with the soaring cost of living. More than 1,700 schools closed in these areas for the “Strike for Dignity,” in response to the authorities’ failure to honor commitments regarding salary increases and improved working conditions. Other sectors have also mobilized protests – including transport workers, industrial workers, students, lawyers and bakery owners – demonstrating deepening grievances across the country over the continued erosion of purchasing power and the deterioration of public services. But the protests were also directed against corruption, nepotism, and a lack of transparency and participation in decision making processes.

Multiple protests on various socio-economic issues are ongoing throughout the country. New demonstrations erupted in mid-May, initially in Raqqa, Deir Ez-Zor, and Daraa and then spread to further regions, after the Syrian Ministry of Economy and Industry had fixed a price of wheat widely considered too low. This sparked widespread frustration among wide sectors of farmers and peasants, as the cost of production exceeds this price.

The Case for Legal Settlement Over Mass Deportation

Not only are the conditions for a safe and dignified return to Syria not given. Without economic recovery and the reconstruction of critical state infrastructure a mass return of refugees to Syria would only worsen socio-economic conditions within the country and threaten large sectors of society dependent on remittances to survive. While this transfer of money by the Syrian diaspora remains essential for consumption of basic goods and services, they can’t sustain any recovery of the productive sectors of the economy. Remittances fuel consumption rather than productive investment within the national economy. In other words, they are a tool for survival, but they are no substitute for sustainable economic development.

Instead of threats to return Syrians to Syria, Germany and the EU should consolidate the legal settlement of Syrian refugees. This would enable them to stabilize their living conditions and move freely between their host country and Syria. Thereby, they could play a more active role in Syria’s reconstruction, and participate in its economic, social and political life. Rather than unfeasible announcements of mass returns, German and European officials should seek to encourage an inclusive reconstruction process and a wider democratic participation within Syria. Otherwise, the current challenges may result in deepened authoritarian dynamics and entrenched forms of exclusion, both political and economic. This would rather create new incentives for Syrians to seek better opportunities and living conditions abroad.

Source: Rosa Luxemburg Stiftung.

Footnotes

[1] Photo: Reconstruction costs in Syria will be high: Muslims gather this May for Eid al-Adha prayers in a public square heavily damaged by war in Damascus IMAGO / StringersHub.