Monday, March 21, 2022

PLANETARY CRYPTID, CRYPTOASTRONOMY


Six-year hunt for the Ninth planet has not yielded results

Astronomers have studied 87% of the southern celestial hemisphere.


The ninth planet - a hypothetical planet in the outer solar system that may be hiding beyond the orbit of Neptune - was never found in the result of research that lasted six years. It is reported by LiveScience with reference to a publication in The Astrophysical Journal. Astronomers analyzed observations made by the Atacama Telescope (ACT) in Chile, which covered about 87% of the sky visible from the Southern Hemisphere.

Astronomers have been able to identify over 3,000 potential light sources located at a distance of 400 to 800 astronomical units (AU), which could be the Ninth planet, but with a closer study, expectations did not materialize. However, failure does not in itself disprove the existence of such a planet, but rather narrows the scope of places where it can hide, and its properties.

The search began in 2016, 10 years after Pluto lost its title as the ninth planet in the solar system, as astronomers downgraded it to an ordinary dwarf planet. Scientists have noticed that six rocky objects beyond the orbit of Neptune are grouped in a strange way, and this can be explained by the gravitational pull of an invisible planet, which is five to ten times the size of Earth. The biggest problem in hunting Planet Nine is distance. If Pluto is at 30-50 AU from the Sun, then the Ninth planet is between 400-800 AU. This distance is so great that sunlight may not reach the planet at all.

All this does not leave hope that the Ninth planet can be detected using standard visible light telescopes. However, more sensitive equipment, such as the millimeter telescope at the Simons Observatory, which is being built in the Atacama Desert in Chile, can help. Such a telescope is capable of exploring space at millimeter wavelengths, a short form of radio waves that approach infrared radiation.

 

SAINTS OF LIBERATION THEOLOGY

Martyrs of El Salvador are closer to canonization

 

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A poster depicting the Rev. Rutilio Grande, Franciscan priest Cosme Spessotto, Nelson Lemus and Manuel Solorzano, all victims of right-wing death squads during El Salvador's civil war, is shown during a beatification ceremony Jan. 22 in San Salvador. (AP)
A poster depicting the Rev. Rutilio Grande, Franciscan priest Cosme Spessotto, Nelson Lemus and Manuel Solorzano, all victims of right-wing death squads during El Salvador's civil war, is displayed during their beatification ceremony Jan. 22 in San Salvador. (AP photo/Salvador Melendez)

LOS ANGELES — Forty-five years after a right-wing death squad gunned down the Rev. Rutilio Grande along with two Catholic laymen, Manuel Solórzano and Nelson Lemus, in El Salvador, Jesús Aguilar still vividly remembers the sadness and dread of that day.

But as the sun went down on March 12, 1977, Aguilar also remembers thinking life was about to get a lot more difficult.

"It was a moment of complete sadness, not just because of their deaths, but you could foresee a situation of persecution much more complicated than what was happening at the moment, " said Aguilar, 65. He remembers rushing the few blocks from his home in Aguilares to the church and seeing the bodies near the altar.

Aguilar recently relived his memories of that day when he traveled in January to El Salvador from his Los Angeles home for the beatification of Grande, Solórzano, Lemus and the Rev. Cosme Spessotto, an Italian friar shot dead by Salvadoran soldiers in 1980 as he prayed in his parish church. The ceremony represents the first step toward sainthood for the men, who were proclaimed martyrs last year, paving the way for their beatification without miracles being attributed to their intercession.

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Jesús Aguilar, 65, sits for a portrait in his Los Angeles home, in front of an image of St. Oscar Romero. (RNS photo/Alejandra Molina)
Jesús Aguilar, 65, sits for a portrait in his Los Angeles home, in front of an image of St. Oscar Romero. (RNS photo/Alejandra Molina)

"On one hand, I felt happy about the beatification because it was a way to recognize how committed the church was to its communities," Aguilar said. "But at the same time, it was a moment where bad memories resurfaced."

Salvadorans in the United States hope the beatifications will inspire the church to honor the memory of Grande and Spessotto by focusing on the poor and marginalized as they did. Some also see the four as stand-ins for the 75,000 Salvadorans who died at the hands of government forces during their country's 12-year civil war. About 20 priests, four nuns and hundreds of catechists were killed during the conflict, according to Vatican News. About half a million Salvadorans fled to the U.S. in the 1980s.

"This recognition is the validation of the suffering we experienced," said Amanda Romero who migrated from El Salvador in the early 1980s.

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Amanda Romero (RNS/Photo courtesy of Romero)
Amanda Romero (RNS/Photo courtesy of Romero)

In El Salvador, Romero was immersed in Catholic church life, inspired by then-Archbishop Oscar Romero, a bold critic of the country's dictatorship. Being young and a Catholic "was a motive for persecution," she said. When Oscar Romero (no relation to Amanda) was assassinated in 1980, the violence of the '70s shifted into full-scale civil war. Romero, fearing for her life, fled to the U.S. soon afterward.

Many like Romero already regard the four martyred men as saints even if the church hasn't officially recognized them as such. Through their martyrdom, she said, "people outside El Salvador were able to learn of the level of violence and repression in El Salvador." She recalled the U.S. churches, of several denominations, that sheltered and advocated for Central American migrants as part of the sanctuary movement. This history of faith and martyrdom inspired Amanda Romero to be of service to immigrant families and unaccompanied minors.

Grande, who was born in a small town in El Salvador in 1928, is revered for organizing the poor, making enemies of landowners who found his ministry threatening as he formed local Christian base communities and equipped laypeople as pastoral agents. His Jesuit formation took him to Quito, Ecuador; Panama; and Spain. As a priest, he worked hard to ensure that the teachings of the Second Vatican Council, which called on Catholics to care for the marginalized, were accepted by the Salvadoran church.

These messages were thought as political by the military, the wealthy elite and conservative bishops who decided against advancing the social teachings of the Second Vatican Council.

St. Oscar Romero — a close friend of Grande's who was made a saint in 2018 — was deeply impacted by Grande's murder, igniting his opposition to the government.

At the Jan. 22 beatification, celebrated outdoors, attendees held portraits of the four martyrs, and relics of Grande and Spessotto, including a white handkerchief stained with blood that Grande carried on the day he was killed, were on display.

Cardinal Gregorio Rosa Chávez, a friend of Oscar Romero's and the first Salvadoran to be elevated to cardinal, presided over the ceremony. The four martyrs, he said, "give name to all the innocent victims sacrificed on the altars of power, pleasure and money."

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José Ortiz, 53, holds an image of the Rev. Rutilio Grande and St. Oscar Romero March 8 at his Los Angeles home while sitting for a portrait. (RNS photo/Alejandra Molina)
José Ortiz, 53, holds an image of the Rev. Rutilio Grande and St. Oscar Romero March 8 at his Los Angeles home while sitting for a portrait. (RNS photo/Alejandra Molina)

Chávez challenged the church to wake up: "We are a church of martyrdom, but we are quite passive. We are not fully aware of the treasure that we carry in clay pots."

José Ortiz, 53, streamed the beatification ceremony from his LA home.

"It gave me goosebumps," he said. "Justice is happening in heaven and on earth. These Christian martyrs gave their life, not just for what they believed, but for what they believed was right for the community."

In the 1970s, Ortiz's parents formed small faith communities and, as followers of Romero and Grande, faced persecution, he said.

"We were on the blacklist to get killed because we just didn't want to be part of a church as an institution, but we wanted to put faith into action," he said.

Ortiz said he admires Spessotto because, despite not being Salvadoran, "he came to a rural area and dedicated his whole life, to not just accompany his community, but he became part of the community." Ortiz said he had sought to "continue my struggle in El Salvador," but fled with his older brother, who had been previously kidnapped by the Salvadoran military.

He said the beatification served as a reminder that the church "should be more rooted in the community."

"Basically what the Vatican II Council was meant to be, but unfortunately it didn't happen. Those who tried to implement [it] were killed," he said. "I think the church should have more interest in the needs of the most poor people worldwide instead of things that are superficial."

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An image of St. Oscar Romero hangs on José Ortiz’s living room wall. (RNS photo/Alejandra Molina)
An image of St. Oscar Romero hangs on José Ortiz’s living room wall. (RNS photo/Alejandra Molina)

It isn't lost on Ana Grande, Rutilio Grande's niece, that her uncle's beatification comes at the expense of a war that tore families apart and left many bearing that trauma. Her father fled El Salvador upon receiving death threats. He settled in LA, where Ana Grande was born.

Although Ana Grande never met her uncle, she was introduced to his life at an early age through family stories. She was taught that his ministry was "all about ethics." Ana Grande now serves as associate executive director for the nonprofit Bresee Foundation, which seeks to battle poverty in LA.

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Ana Grande, niece of the Rev. Rutilio Grande, outside the Bresee Foundation, where she serves as the nonprofit’s associate executive director (RNS photo/Alejandra Molina)
Ana Grande, niece of the Rev. Rutilio Grande, outside the Bresee Foundation, where she serves as the nonprofit's associate executive director (RNS photo/Alejandra Molina)

The beatification opened old wounds, she said, but she hopes it signals a new chapter for the church in El Salvador and across the world. "For the first time in many, many years some of our family members started sharing what we had witnessed during the war and it was very healing in many ways," she said.

She was inspired by youth at the beatification ceremony, recalling a conversation with a young man whom she asked: "Who are you here for? Who do you admire?" He named Spessotto and spoke fondly of the Franciscan values of life, she said.

"We're not just looking at the Old Testament and the do's and the don'ts, but we look at it from a new lens of liberation, of breaking the shackles of ignorance," she said. "That's what the pope talks about all the time. It doesn't matter what you've done, what you do, who you love. It's a matter of, if you're human, I am going to love you, regardless. I think that's finally falling into place, and hopefully it will continue."

DYSTOPIA NOW!
Russia is sorting Mariupol 'evacuees' at 'filtration camps,' based on social media posts, Ukrainians say



PETER WEBER

"In the besieged city of Mariupol, scene of the heaviest fighting in Russia's three-week war on Ukraine, people are now so hungry they are killing stray dogs for food," and "witnesses depicted post-apocalyptic scenes of stray dogs eating the remains of bombing victims who lay unburied on the street," Guy Chazan reports Sunday in the Financial Times. Russian forces are now in every Mariupol neighborhood, fighting Ukrainian defenders block-by-block for control of the strategic port city, Ukrainian officials say.

Residents trapped in the city have been without heat or electricity for weeks, and people are so desperate for drinking water they are draining radiators, melting snow, and scouring parks for streams — or they were, Chazan reports. "The streams also fell out of favor because they quickly became contaminated by corpses."

"It is hell on earth," Dmytro, a businessman who fled Mariupol last week, told FT. The BBC's Ukraine service showed a few scenes of Mariupol from over the weekend.



Russian-backed separatists said Sunday they have "evacuated" 2,973 people from Mariupol since Russia started its brutal siege on March 5, but local Ukrainian officials and residents who escaped westward say most people are going willingly to Russian-controlled territory.

Mariupol's city council said on Telegram that Russia has forcibly sent "several thousand" residents to "filtration camps," where their phones and documents are searched before the Ukrainians are sent to remote Russian cities. Russia denied the allegations.

One woman told The Washington Post that Russian troops entered a Mariupol sports hall where her family and other civilians were sheltering and told them to leave, then guided them onto roads into Russian-occupied territory. People arriving in Lviv from Mariupol told The Associated Press that armed Russian guards at the dozens checkpoints out of the city suggested it would be better for them to go instead to Russia or Russian-controlled cities.

Anna Romanenko, a Ukrainian journalist in close contact with Ukrainian forces in Mariupol, tells the Financial Times that Russian officials first question potential Mariupol evacuees to "test them to see if they are trustworthy" and "check their social media feeds for anything anti-Russian." One of her own friends was sent to Novoazovsk, a Russian-occupied town east of Mariupol, where "they interrogated him, took away his Ukrainian passport, and sent him to Rostov, across the border in Russia," she said, adding that she has not heard from him since.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said what Russia has done in Mariupol amounts to war crimes.
Ukraine war: Kyiv remains Russia’s military objective as heavy shelling hits shopping centre and homes

Fierce Ukrainian resistance has so far held off Russian attempts to capture the nation’s capital, the UK’s Ministry of Defence has said
Rescuers work at the site of a shopping centre in Kyiv’s Podil district which was damaged by bombing (Photo: State Emergency Service of Ukraine/Reuters)

By Emily Ferguson
March 21, 2022 7:53 am(Updated 7:54 am)

Russian military leaders remain intent on capturing Kyiv as they continue to heavily shell the capital and other major Ukrainian cities, the UK’s Ministry of Defence (MoD) has said.

In its latest intelligence update, the MoD said Russia’s attempts to capture Kyiv have stalled due to “fierce Ukrainian resistance”.

But it warned Kyiv remains Russia’s primary military objective and forces will attempt to encircle the city over the coming weeks.

“Heavy fighting continues north of Kyiv,” the MoD said. “Russian forces advancing on the city from the north-east have stalled.

“Forces advancing from the direction of Hostomel to the north-west have been repulsed by fierce Ukrainian resistance. The bulk of Russian forces remain more than 25 kilometres from the centre of the city.

“Despite the continued lack of progress, Kyiv remains Russia’s primary military objective and they are likely to prioritise attempting to encircle the city over the coming weeks.”

Russia continued its shelling offensive on the capital in the early hours of Monday morning, with houses and a shopping centre among the buildings hit.

At least four people have been confirmed dead after a blast in Kyiv’s Podil district, Ukrainian officials said.

The city’s mayor Vitali Klitschko said: “According to the information we have at the moment, several homes and one of the shopping centres [were hit].”

Rescue teams worked overnight to put out a large blaze at the shopping centre.

It comes after Russia demanded Ukrainian forces give up their defence of Mariupol in exchange for safe passage for those still in the besieged city.

The scene at the site of the shopping centre in Podil, Kyiv
 (Photo: State Emergency Service of Ukraine/Reuters)

Moscow demanded a response from Kyiv by 5am (2am GMT), blaming Ukrainian “nationalists” and “bandits” for the “humanitarian catastrophe” unfolding in the city.

Mariupol has been bombarded by relentless Russian shelling since the first days of the invasion, making it almost impossible for people to flee or aid to enter.

Moscow said any fighters left after its deadline would face a “military tribunal”, but Ukraine’s deputy prime minister has refused the offer.

Iryna Vereshchuk said early on Monday: “There can be no question of any surrender, laying down of arms.

“We have already informed the Russian side about this.”

Mariupolin southern Ukraine on the Sea of Azov, is a key strategic battleground. Capturing it would help create a land corridor between Crimea and the parts of Donetsk and Luhansk regions controlled by Russian-backed separatists.

Gen. David Petraeus explains how Ukraine keeps picking off Russian generals

"Russia is suffering troop losses and has been unable to take Ukraine's capital city of Kyiv as of yet, but the Russians are expanding their attacks," trying to break out of their current stalemate, CNN's Jake Tapper said Sunday. "What is going wrong for the Russians?" he asked David Petraeus, the retired four-star general and former CIA director. "Well, an awful lot, actually," Petraeus said. "It's a stalemate, but we should note it's a bloody stalemate," not a truce.

"The Ukrainians say they have killed five Russian generals in Ukraine," Tapper said, noting that "CNN has not independently confirmed that" but the U.S. lost only one general over the entire Afghanistan War, and that was from an inside attack. "It's very, very uncommon" for U.S. generals to die in battle, Petraeus agreed, and "this is in the first three weeks, and these are quite senior generals."

"The bottom line is that their command and control has broken down, their communications have been jammed by the Ukrainians, their secure coms didn't work, they had to go to single channel," then cellphones, then stolen cellphones, Petraeus explained. "So what happens is the column gets stopped, an impatient general is sitting back there in his armored —or whatever — vehicle, he goes forward to find out what's going on because there's no initiative" among junior officers, "he gets up there, and the Ukrainians have very, very good snipers, and they've just been picking them off, left and right. And at least four of these five are absolutely confirmed, and I think the fifth we'll hear today."

Petraeus also gave a broader overview of the Ukrainian war, including the strategic importance of Mariupol, Odessa, and ultimately Kyiv for both Ukraine and Russia. Mariupol "is the first place where the Russians are having to do no-kidding urban fighting," at great cost, he said. And how long the besieged Ukrainians can hold out is "very important," because "if they do surrender, these forces will be freed to go back up" to try and capture Kyiv or join other key battles.







Putin ally Timchenko resigns from Novatek board



Mon, March 21, 2022

Monfront, Deputy CEO at Credit Agricole Corporate and Investment Bank, and Co-owner of Novatek company Timchenko speak before a meeting with Russian President Putin outside Moscow


(Reuters) - Gennady Timchenko, a long-time ally of Russian President Vladimir Putin, resigned from the board at gas producer Novatek on Monday after he was targeted by sanctions over Russia's military campaign in Ukraine.

Novatek, Russia's largest private natural gas producer, did not provide a reason for his resignation. A representave of Timchenko, who had served on the company's board of directors since 2009, declined to comment.

The European Union and Britain last month imposed sanctions on Timchenko and other billionaires with ties to Putin.

Timchenko, already on a U.S. sanctions list over Moscow's 2014 annexation of Crimea, was Russia's sixth-richest billionaire last year with a net worth of $22 billion, according to Forbes magazine.

Russia sent tens of thousands of troops into Ukraine on Feb. 24 in what it called a special operation to degrade its southern neighbour's military capabilities and root out people it said were dangerous nationalists.

Ukrainian forces have mounted stiff resistance and the West has imposed sweeping sanctions on Russia in an effort to force it to withdraw its forces.

Timchenko, who sits on the board of petrochemicals producer Sibur, was co-founder of Switzerland-based oil trader Gunvor. Timchenko sold his stake in Gunvor in 2014 after the United States imposed sanctions against him.

Timchenko has said he owned a few trading companies in and near St Petersburg in the 1990s, when Putin worked in the office of the city's mayor.

(Reporting by Reuters; Editing by David Goodman)
Kuwait, Among World’s Hottest Places, Lags on Climate Action

March 21, 2022 
Associated Press
Shoppers stroll through The Avenues Mall in Kuwait City, Feb. 11, 2022. Kuwait is ranked each year as among the hottest places on the planet. Last summer, birds dropped dead from the sky and shellfish baked to death in the bay. (Maya Alleruzzo/AP)

JAHRA, Kuwait — It was so hot in Kuwait last summer that birds dropped dead from the sky.

Sea horses boiled to death in the bay. Dead clams coated the rocks, their shells popped open like they’d been steamed.

Kuwait reached a scorching temperature of 53.2 degrees Celsius (127.7 degrees Fahrenheit), making it among the hottest places on earth.

The extremes of climate change present existential perils all over the world. But the record heat waves that roast Kuwait each season have grown so severe that people increasingly find it unbearable.

By the end of the century, scientists say being outside in Kuwait City could be life-threatening — not only to birds. A recent study also linked 67% of heat-related deaths in the capital to climate change.

And yet, Kuwait remains among the world’s top oil producers and exporters, and per capita is a significant polluter. Mired in political paralysis, it stayed silent as the region’s petrostates joined a chorus of nations setting goals to eliminate emissions at home — though not curb oil exports — ahead of last fall’s U.N. climate summit in Glasgow.

Instead, Kuwait’s prime minister offered a years-old promise to cut emissions by 7.4% by 2035.

“We are severely under threat,” said environmental consultant Samia Alduaij. “The response is so timid it doesn’t make sense.”

Racing to burnish their climate credentials and diversify their economies, Saudi Arabia pitches futuristic car-free cities and Dubai plans to ban plastic and multiply the emirate’s green parks.

While the relatively small populations of oil-rich Gulf Arab states mean their pledges to cut emissions are minor in the grand scheme to limit global warming, they have symbolic significance.

A woman feeds stray cats at the marina in Kuwait City, Feb. 11, 2022. Last summer, birds dropped dead from the sky and shellfish baked to death in the bay. Yet Kuwait stayed silent as the rest of the region’s wealthy petrostates joined a chorus of nations setting climate goals ahead of last fall’s U.N. climate summit in Glasgow.

Yet the gears of government in Kuwait, population 4.3 million, seem as stuck as ever — partly because of populist pressure in parliament, and partly because the same authorities that regulate Kuwait’s emissions get nearly all of their revenue from pumping oil.

“The government has the money, the information and the manpower to make a difference,” said lawmaker Hamad al-Matar, director of the parliamentary environmental committee. “It doesn’t care about environmental issues.”

The country continues to burn oil for electricity and ranks among the top global carbon emitters per capita, according to the World Resources Institute. As asphalt melts on highways, Kuwaitis bundle up for bone-chilling air-conditioning in malls. Renewable energy accounts for less than 1% of demand — far below Kuwait’s target of 15% by 2030.

An hour drive outside the dingy suburbs of Jahra, wind turbines and solar panels rise from clouds of sand — the fruit of Kuwait’s energy transition ambitions.

But nearly a decade after the government set up the solar field in the western desert, its empty lots are as glaring as its silicon and metal.

At first, the Shagaya Energy Park exceeded expectations, engineers said. The Persian Gulf’s first plant to combine three different renewables — solar, wind and solar thermal — put Kuwait at the vanguard. The wind farm over-performed, generating 20% more power in the first year than anticipated, the Kuwait Institute for Scientific Research reported.

But optimism and momentum soon evaporated. The government gave up control of the project to attract private money, an unprecedented move that raised a tangle of legal questions over how developers would sell electricity to the nation’s sole power provider.

Instead of pressing ahead with the successful hybrid energy model, investors devoted the rest of the park to the production of solar thermal power, the costliest kind. Years of delays and canceled tenders ensued. The project’s fate remains uncertain.

“The people in charge made the wrong decisions,” said Waleed al-Nassar, member of Kuwait’s Supreme Councils for the Environment and Planning and Development. “There was no one who took action or wanted to understand. Everyone says, ‘Let’s just do what we’ve been doing for the last 70 years.’”

Disputes also have marred the natural gas industry. While natural gas causes sizable emissions of climate-warming gases, it burns more cleanly than coal and oil and could play a big role in a low-carbon future for Kuwait.

Kuwait’s 63 trillion cubic feet meters of gas reserves, 1% of the world’s total, remain largely untapped. Fields shared with Saudi Arabia in what’s known as the neutral zone shut down for years as the countries sparred over land use.

The elected parliament, which views itself as a defender of Kuwait’s natural resources against foreign companies and corrupt businessmen, frequently hampers gas exploration. Lawmakers long have sought to challenge the government’s authority to award lucrative energy contracts, summoning oil ministers for interrogations on suspicion of mismanagement and stalling major projects.

The legislature similarly carries the mantle of preserving Kuwait’s lavish welfare state, believing the government lacks accountability. Kuwaitis enjoy among the cheapest electricity rates and petrol prices in the world.

When ministers suggest the government stop spending so much on subsidies, lawmakers put up a fight — literally. Debates in the chamber can devolve into fisticuffs.

“This is one of the biggest challenges. It’s seen as an engrained right for every Kuwaiti citizen,” said urban development expert Sharifa Alshalfan.

With sumptuous subsidies even for the wealthiest, she added, Kuwaitis live wastefully, leaving home air-conditioners running for months-long vacations.

“We have no measures that cities have taken around the world to incentivize individuals to change their behavior,” she said.

Stagnation has plunged the country into a historic financial crisis. Kuwait’s budget deficit soared over $35.5 billion last year as oil prices plummeted.

While Saudi Arabia and the UAE compete for shares of a fast-growing renewable energy market, Kuwaiti environmentalists are taking on the role of town crier.

“Renewables make so much more financial sense,” said Ahmed Taher, an energy consultant promoting a new economic model that cuts Kuwait’s power subsidies by inviting homeowners to buy shares in a solar project. “(The government) needs to know how much more money Kuwait could save and how many more jobs it could have.”

But for now, Kuwait keeps burning oil.

Layers of dense pollution blanket the streets. Sewage rushes into the steaming bay. Fish carcasses that wash ashore produce a lingering stench, what activists describe as a pungent manifestation of the country’s politics.

“When you walk by the bay, you sometimes want to vomit,” said Kuwaiti environmental advocate Bashar Al Huneidi. “The abusers are winning, and I get discouraged every day.”

Tokyo gets helpful shove from unhelpful

 war


Reuters
 9 hours ago

HONG KONG, March 21 (Reuters Breakingviews) - The Japanese economy is feeling the fallout from the Russian invasion of Ukraine. But although rising import costs will sting, Prime Minister Fumio Kishida is making good use of the crisis so far.

Japan, the world’s fifth-largest energy consumer in 2019, relies heavily on fossil fuels, a condition exacerbated by its decision to turn off most of its nuclear reactors after a tsunami caused a meltdown in 2011. That forced a pivot to natural gas, which together with coal and oil comprise nearly 90% of energy consumption. With supply constricted, Japanese buyers are now on the receiving end of skyrocketing import prices just when their economy was starting to turn a corner, a vulnerability exacerbated by sharp currency depreciation. The yen is now trading around 119 per dollar, a level not seen since 2016.

Yet while official data showed energy prices popped 20.5% in February, overall consumer price inflation was a tepid 0.9% year-on-year. In fact Japan, by dint of its aging society and investments in efficiency, has become less energy-intense when it comes to driving growth, which is forecast to hit nearly 3% in the current fiscal year. It won’t feel a serious pinch from oil until prices exceed $150 per barrel, according to an analysis by HSBC. Equity investors aren’t panicking; the Topix index is down only 4% in 2022.

As for the loss of the Russian market, the hit to roughly $8 billion worth of annual exports is manageable. Those consumers are a nice-to-have for brands like Uniqlo, but currency sanctions have made it a liability. Japanese bank exposure to Russia is less than $10 billion, per an analysis by CLSA.

The natural gas crunch will accelerate Kishida’s push to re-open the country’s mothballed nuclear plants. That will alleviate the country’s dependence on imports and help it hit its carbon neutral target by 2050.

This crisis has also given the government cover to start easing Covid-19 lockdown measures

and reopen borders to tourism, which could ease the impact if foreign demand for Japanese exports plummets. Next might come more moves to upgrade the country’s defense industry’s innovation and export competitiveness.

No matter how the war turns out, Japan still faces serious challenges: economic, demographic and now, military. The tragedy in Ukraine can prod Tokyo to focus on solving them.

Under-inflated: Lower overall inflation helps Japan absorb high oil prices

Follow @petesweeneypro on Twitter

CONTEXT NEWS

- Japan's core consumer prices, which exclude energy and fresh food, rose 0.6% in February, the fastest annual pace in two years, the government reported March 18. The reading would follow a 0.2% increase in January and mark the highest since February 2020.

- The crisis in Ukraine could hurt Japan's economy by driving up the price households and companies pay for fuel and commodities, Bank of Japan board member Junko Nakagawa said on March 3. "While energy and food prices may rise, such moves could weigh on Japan's economy if they hurt corporate profits and household income," he said. The country will not adjust its monetary policy or stimulus plans despite expectations of rising inflation.

- Japan said on March 16 that it will lift Covid-19 restrictions imposed on Tokyo and 17 other prefectures as a wave of infections caused by the Omicron variant ebbs.

Editing by Robyn Mak and Katrina Hamlin

Zimbabwe: Decriminalisation of HIV Transmission a Milestone Development


21 MARCH 2022
The Herald (Harare)
Roselyne Sachiti — Features, Health & Society Editor

From the time the first cases of HIV in Zimbabwe were identified in the mid-1980s, the understanding of the disease, its prevention, management and treatment has improved, so has science.

Today, the number of people acquiring HIV each year is falling in Zimbabwe, although levels are still relatively high, according to an international organisation, AVERT.

In 2018, there were 38 000 new infections (33 000 among adults and 4 800 among children). In comparison, 62 000 people became HIV positive in 2010 (47 000 adults and 15 000 children).

Zimbabwe's HIV epidemic is generalised and largely driven by unprotected heterosexual sex.

Anti-retroviral drugs have been a game changer. People who are diagnosed early have been accessing them in both rural and urban public and private health facilities across Zimbabwe.

Those like Johana Kasirori, who has been living with HIV for 33 years, others like Tendayi Westerhof, who has had the virus for 20 years, adhere to their prescribed treatment regimen and have lived longer and healthy lives, turning HIV from a death sentence to a chronic condition.

Over the years, the country's criminal law with regards to decriminalisation of HIV moved at a snail's pace with debate after debate over the issue.

But today, the law has finally caught up.

Wilful transmission of HIV will be decriminalised once the Marriages Amendment Bill, which sailed through Parliament a fortnight ago, is signed into law by the President as Government and Parliament move to keep abreast with international standards.

Parliament's moving in will end criminalising transmission through Clause 53 of the Marriages Bill which repeals Section 79 of the Criminal Law (Codification and Reform) which made it an offence to transmit HIV to a partner in certain circumstances.

The section about to be repealed made it an offence for anyone knowing they were infected with HIV or knowing there was a real risk or possibility that they were, and then intentionally did anything or permitted the doing of anything that would infect someone else or involved a real possibility of infecting another person.

Such people were guilty of deliberate transmission of HIV, whether or not they were married to the other person, and were liable for up to 20 years jail.

Convictions were extremely rare.

In his presentation in the National Assembly during the initial stages of the Bill, Justice, Legal and Parliamentary Affairs Minister, Ziyambi Ziyambi, said the new global thinking was that the law criminalising transmission stigmatised people living with HIV.

He said when the law was enacted, the thinking was that it would help to fight the spread of HIV by criminalising those that transmitted it to partners willingly.

"But the global thinking now is that that law stigmatises people living with HIV and studies have shown that it does not produce the intended results," said Minister Ziyambi. "What the ministry is going to do is to repeal that section of the law and ensure that we keep up to speed with modern trends in the world."

Welcoming the latest developments, Pan African Positive Women's Coalition Zimbabwe (PAPWC ZIM) national director,Westerhof, said this was a milestone development, though it had taken so many years when the first HIV case was discovered in Zimbabwe around 1986.

"And we have been battling with this criminalisation of HIV and the stigma to people living with HIV was very rampant and l am glad that this Bill will be signed into law," said Westerhof, who is also the People Living with HIV representative on the National AIDS Council Board.

She added: "However, whilst we are trying to keep up with international standards we also have to ensure that on the ground people are educated on the laws i.e. communities should be educated on the laws because now the decriminalisation has be put out."

She urged any potential person living with HIV to continue taking those precautions of safer sexual practices and protect loved ones and not to take advantage of the new law.

"I'm glad that they realised that it is addressing issues of stigma and discrimination because we can never end HIV and AIDS as long as stigma and discrimination is there," said Westerhof. "Remember we are to end AIDS by 2030, where we are all saying we want zero stigma and discrimination."

Westerhof hopes that with the decriminalisation, there will be a decrease in gender based violence, especially on women and young women.

"It's a good law and we uphold it whilst it has taken many years, but l think most of us were involved on debates that were going on through civil society, portfolio committees over many years etc," she said.

"Finally, those efforts have yielded results. HIV transmission must never be criminalised. The debate over the years and the law makers have seen it fit that HIV must never be criminalised because the law was there."

She called for the education of communities on it and also scale up efforts of preventing new HIV infections through the convectional means that include delaying early sexual debut by young people, practicing safe sex, making available sexual and reproductive health services such as PrEP.

"Now we hear in South Africa Dapivirine is now available we just hope it will also be available in Zimbabwe so that really we decrease the HIV infection rates and we make marriages safe havens, too, where people can enjoy their conjugal rights without the worry of one infecting the other if one partner is infected," she said.

"So this is a great development and we are happy with it though a lot more work needs to be done."

A young Zimbabwean HIV advocate, Anna Sango, said the removal of punitive laws, policies and practices and the promotion of protective legal and policy environment played a critical role in making people feel they can safely access health services.

"Decriminalising HIV is a move in the right direction," she said. "In Zimbabwe this is progressive for the HIV and AIDS agenda. Now with effective treatment and increased awareness people living with HIV who consistently on treatment are reaching viral load suppressed meaning they cannot pass on the virus."

She added that Zimbabwe as a country has aligned itself to ongoing and new initiatives that help reduce new infections such as the UNAIDS 90 90 90 targets as well as the 10 10 10 targets that speak to the "removal of punitive, legal and policy environments that deny or limit access to services".

"These all require a co-ordinated response and approach to be achieved. It is important to know that zero discrimination is more than a slogan, it is essential for achieving universal health coverage," she said.

A representative of people living with diseases who is also a TB Champion for StopTB Partnership Zimbabwe and Global Fund co-ordinating committee, Tariro Kutadza, said criminalisation of HIV and Aids transmission has not produced an fruits anywhere in the world.

She said HIV and Aids transmission remains a puzzle."HIV is a sexually transmitted infection (STI), which has different facets unlike others like syphilis, gonorrhoea etc," she said. "HIV has a lot, the cycle, mutilation, the types all those issues and also the impact of HIV -- social economic etc.

"It is a whole big issue so to bring about things which cannot be proven becomes very difficult unlike gonorrhoea, syphilis etc where you can point out that I got this from my husband etc."

Kutadza said she does not know what the issue of wilful transmission brings to someone who was born with HIV and Aids.

"For one to say I have slept with someone and that one incident or so entail to passing HIV to someone is a puzzle," she said. "When science is silent, sometimes we should also be silent."