Tuesday, April 09, 2024

 

Breeding more resilient soybeans may come down to test site selection




UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS COLLEGE OF AGRICULTURAL, CONSUMER AND ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Soybean breeding maps informed by agroecological zone modeling 

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MAPS FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS URBANA-CHAMPAIGN STUDY SUGGEST OPTIMAL TESTING SITES BASED ON AGROECOLOGICAL ZONES (AEZS) AND SOYBEAN MATURITY GROUPS (00 TO IV+).

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CREDIT: UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS URBANA-CHAMPAIGN




URBANA, Ill. — In the quest to optimize crop productivity across environments, soybean breeders test new cultivars in multiple locations each year. The best-performing cultivars across these locations are selected for further breeding and eventual commercialization. However, a new study from the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign suggests current soybean testing locations may not be delivering breeders the biggest bang for their buck. 

“We met with most of the soybean breeders in public research universities across the Midwest and asked where they set up their trials over the last 30 to 40 years,” said Nicolas Martin, an associate professor in the Department of Crop Sciences, part of the College of Agricultural, Consumer and Environmental Sciences (ACES) at Illinois. “We found that they tend to select these sites a little bit by tradition.”

Convenience is a strong draw, as well.

“Certain types of sites are overrepresented because of tradition rather than their environmental utility; for example, sites near large research universities like Urbana, Illinois; Ames, Iowa; or Lafayette, Indiana. It’s not that we need a lot of data from those environments, but those test sites are convenient to access where cultivars are being developed,” said doctoral student Catherine Gilbert, the study’s first author.

The team analyzed long-term climate data and records of soybean trials to develop two new sets of maps that would help breeders strategize the placement and use of test sites. The first map represents common environments and favors generalist phenotypes that do well under most conditions. The second emphasizes environmental variation, optimizing specialized phenotypes that perform well in specific conditions.

“Breeding programs may have different philosophies,” Martin said. “One of them is to mimic where most farmers are growing. Others are looking to avoid redundancies in the locations where you train your cultivars. If you put them under diverse growing conditions, you see which ones are more resilient.”

In both cases, the analysis suggests breeders need to redistribute testing sites. Gilbert says there would need to be some fairly radical changes, including fully opening and closing test sites and dropping and adding hundreds of soybean varieties across the map.

“To optimize testing for general adaptation, we should expand in southern Minnesota, Iowa, and eastern South Dakota,” she said. “And for specialized adaptation, we need to put more testing sites in Nebraska and, again, in South Dakota.

When Martin and Gilbert presented their results to cooperating breeders, most said they would consider the information in decisions around moving, opening, or closing testing sites.

Basing testing networks on how well they represent the soybean growing environment, rather than on tradition or convenience, means the new maps can better account for a changing climate. The researchers hope their approach can help breeding programs select more resilient cultivars in the future. 

“We think our results could guide future cultivar adaptation to growing conditions farmers are running into more frequently. Thus, our goal is to improve the environmental representation of the trials, which would let us more accurately evaluate cultivars based on their performance and select better-performing varieties,” Gilbert said.

Martin added, “The proposed site selection protocol not only enhances the accuracy of our cultivar testing but also opens doors to new regions exploring soybean cultivar adaptation. By allocating new resources in underrepresented areas that hold potential for soybean cultivar resilience, we can foster a proactive stance in cultivar development.”

The study, “Using agro-ecological zones to improve the representation of a multi-environment trial of soybean varieties,” is published in Frontiers in Plant Science [DOI:10.3389/fpls.2024.1310461].

 

FAU lands $1.3 million grant to ‘clean up’ stinky seaweed in Florida


Project will assess feasibility of in-water harvesting of sargassum



FLORIDA ATLANTIC UNIVERSITY

Stinky Seaweed in Florida 

VIDEO: 

SARGASSUM INUNDATES THE WATER AND BEACH IN BAHIA HONDA KEY IN FLORIDA.

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CREDIT: BRIAN LAPOINTE, FAU HARBOR BRANCH





In the last decade, the emergence of a massive expanse of Sargassum, the Great Atlantic Sargassum Belt, has wreaked havoc on ecosystems and economies throughout the Caribbean. Conversely, this stinky brown seaweed provides vital habitats for marine life including loggerhead sea turtles.

One of the worst invasions of Sargassum in recent history, especially for Florida, occurred in 2022 and potential impacts this year are yet to be determined. Decomposing Sargassum produces hydrogen sulfide and ammonia, which can result in potential human and environmental health impacts. Once Sargassum deluges beaches, removing, disposing and repurposing the seaweed presents many logistical and economic challenges. Problems arise when Sargassum isn’t cleaned up in a timely manner.

However, cleaning up these huge piles of annoying seaweed that accumulate on the shores of Florida, the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean islands every year and protecting these critical habitats at the same time is a precarious struggle. As a major Florida attraction, maintaining clean and healthy beaches is imperative for the state’s tourist-based economy.   

To address these challenges, researchers from Florida Atlantic University’s Harbor Branch Oceanographic Institute have received a $1.3 million grant from the Florida Department of Emergency Management for a project assessing the feasibility of in-water harvesting of this floating brown seaweed in Florida. Currently, in-water harvesting of Sargassum is not permitted due to its designation as Essential Fish Habitat (EFH) and critical habitat for sea turtles. Designation as EFH means it is considered a “substrate necessary to fish for spawning, breeding, feeding or growth to maturity.” 

The FAU Harbor Branch project, “Mitigating Sargassum Inundation Impacts to Nearshore Waters and Beaches in Florida,” will examine both environmental and ecological impacts of Sargassum inundations in Florida.

“Sargassum is becoming a devasting mainstay in parts of Florida’s coastal communities, particularly in the Florida Keys, where massive blooms continue to recur,” said Brian Lapointe, Ph.D., principal investigator and a research professor at FAU Harbor Branch. “Economically, a ‘severe’ Sargassum event could have more than a $20 million impact in just the Keys alone. Environmentally, these blooms can potentially harm humans, exacerbate eutrophication, resulting in die-offs of seagrasses and corals, and kill recreational and commercially important species.”  

For the project, Lapointe and his team will initially survey Sargassum inundation sites for fauna above the water using a drone, GoPro and other remotely operated vehicles, which also will enable them to quantify the size of the Sargassum mats. High-resolution aerial images of Sargassum inundation also will be collected from airplane flyovers to better measure the spatial extent of the impacts of Sargassum inundations.

Aerial images (drone, satellite) and on-the-ground morphometrics will be used to examine the changing physical structure of the beach (width, slope, sediment profile). The thickness of the Sargassum mat and biomass per square meter will be assessed in situ.

At first, a trial removal of Sargassum will be conducted using dip nets to test the viability of harvesting Sargassum without harming marine animals and other fauna under special permits for larger-scale removal from agencies such as the Florida Fish and Wildlife Commission and NOAA.

“After collection, we will scale up harvesting this seaweed using larger nets to remove biomass,” said Lapointe, one of the world’s foremost authorities on Sargassum and other harmful algal blooms. “During all sampling events, we will bring the biomass onboard our vessel and sort it to identify, quantify, measure and remove any fauna. The remaining Sargassum biomass will be retained for use by industry partners seeking sustainable, long-term solutions for repurposing this material.”

As the geographic extent and duration of blooms from the Great Atlantic Sargassum Belt increase, many jurisdictions have begun to explore novel uses for excess Sargassum biomass with the hope of turning it into economic opportunities such as biofuels and bioplastics. Because arsenic content may limit the use of Sargassum by industry partners, the FAU Harbor Branch researchers also will conduct in-depth studies of the mechanisms related to arsenic bioaccumulation in Sargassum on field-collected samples and in laboratory assays.

In addition, to better understand the impacts of Sargassum inundations on water quality, researchers will measure pH, dissolved oxygen, temperature, dissolved nutrients and fecal indicator bacteria in inundation sites.

Some fauna including small fish, shrimp and crabs, and samples of Sargassum tissue will be retained for stable isotope, heavy metal and tissue nutrient analyses. Researchers will assess the ecological effects of Sargassum beach harvesting by quantifying changes in population structure, abundance and chemical composition of common beach macroinvertebrates, such as amphipods, mole crabs, coquina clams and ghost crabs.

In addition, the change point where Sargassum ceases to provide EFH will be assessed with offshore to onshore transects. During these transects the mats will be assessed and the community composition and density of fauna will be compared by mat size and by distance to shore to assess if there is a density or distance from shore where the Sargassum mat represents a harmful algal bloom instead of functional habitat.

“Data from this timely research will help to inform managers whether it is better to harvest Sargassum in water as opposed to on the beach and help them better plan for removing vast amounts of seaweed from our beaches and preventing aggregations,” said James M. Sullivan, Ph.D., executive director, FAU Harbor Branch.

FAU Harbor Branch co-investigators of the project are Rachel Brewton, Ph.D., a research scientist; and Matt Ajemian, Ph.D., an associate research professor and director of the Fisheries Ecology and Conservation Lab.

- FAU -

Brian Lapointe, Ph.D., conducting fieldwork as he is immersed in Sargassum on a Florida beach.

CREDIT

FAU Harbor Branch

A huge pile-up of Sargassum on a beach in Palm Beach County in 2021.

CREDIT

Brian Lapointe, FAU Harbor Branch

About Harbor Branch Oceanographic Institute:
Founded in 1971, Harbor Branch Oceanographic Institute at Florida Atlantic University is a research community of marine scientists, engineers, educators, and other professionals focused on Ocean Science for a Better World. The institute drives innovation in ocean engineering, at-sea operations, drug discovery and biotechnology from the oceans, coastal ecology and conservation, marine mammal research and conservation, aquaculture, ocean observing systems and marine education. For more information, visit www.fau.edu/hboi.

 

About Florida Atlantic University:
Florida Atlantic University, established in 1961, officially opened its doors in 1964 as the fifth public university in Florida. Today, the University serves more than 30,000 undergraduate and graduate students across six campuses located along the southeast Florida coast. In recent years, the University has doubled its research expenditures and outpaced its peers in student achievement rates. Through the coexistence of access and excellence, FAU embodies an innovative model where traditional achievement gaps vanish. FAU is designated a Hispanic-serving institution, ranked as a top public university by U.S. News & World Report and a High Research Activity institution by the Carnegie Foundation for the Advancement of Teaching. For more information, visit www.fau.edu.

 

Is Interstate 95 the connection for moving guns up and down the east coast?




COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY'S MAILMAN SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH






Interstate gun transfers are a major contributor to gun crime, injury, and death in the United States. Guns used in crimes traced to interstate purchases move routinely between states along multiple major transportation routes, a phenomenon known as the “Iron Pipeline”, which refers most commonly to the Interstate 95 corridor. According to a new study at the Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, other such “Iron Pipelines” exist throughout the country, playing a significant role in the interstate transfer of firearms used in crimes. The findings are published in JAMA Network Open.

The researchers aimed to identify possible gun trafficking routes along the Interstate Highway System -- a vital part of the transportation network, with approximately one-quarter of all vehicle miles traveled in the U.S. occurring on these routes.

“We hypothesized that counts of traced firearm transfers between states connected via major interstate highways would be greater than what we might expect based on their population sizes and geographic proximity, and that traced gun transfers would be greatest along the Interstate 95 (I-95) corridor,” said Christopher Morrison, PhD, assistant professor of Epidemiology at Columbia Mailman School of Public Health. “Understanding how guns flow around the country is important for identifying trafficking routes, and the impact that each state has on its neighbors.”

Using publicly available interstate gun trace data from the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms, and Explosives, the researchers measured interstate transfers of firearms used or suspected to have been used in crimes from 2010-2019. Creating 48 separate datasets, one for each destination state of interest, the researchers compared the count of guns used in crime traced to interstate purchases for states with interstate highway connections and states without these connections.

The results show that between 2010 and 2019, 526,801 guns used in crimes in the lower 48 of the United States were traced to interstate purchases and that multiple interstate highways were involved in this gun flow. The researchers discovered previously unidentified “Iron Pipelines” throughout the country and determined that gun traffic along the I-95 corridor is more complex than previously recognized.

Earlier research by the authors demonstrates that inflow of guns from other states undermines local gun supply-reduction strategies, ultimately draining limited resources and contributing to the overall burden of gun crime in the U.S. This newest work suggests there may be a synergistic relationship between interstate connection and gun law strength in determining trafficking patterns.

From 2010-2019, 275,345 people died and 803,393 were admitted to emergency departments due to interpersonal shooting events. In 2019 alone, over 30,000 guns traced to in-state and interstate purchases were used in violent crimes such as assault, robbery, and murder. In addition to direct impacts of gun crime on health and safety, exposure to violence can have lasting impacts, including psychological effects and increased risk of cardiovascular disease and premature mortality.

“Our study showed that interstate gun flow has critical implications for gun violence prevention, as gun transfers across state lines can undermine local gun control policies,” noted Morrison, who is also affiliated with the School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine at Monash University, Australia. “By identifying highway routes regularly used for transfer of guns used in crimes, this study provides law enforcement and public health authorities with critical areas for intervention. Our data offer valuable insights into the origins of interstate crime guns, a key public health intervention point.”

“We conclude that national policies and inter-state cooperation are needed to address this issue,” said Morrison.

Co-authors are Leah Roberts, Brady Bushover, Ariana Gobaud, Christina Mehranbod, and Carolyn Fish, Columbia Mailman School of Public Health; and Mark Hoofnagle, Washington University School of Medicine.

The work was supported by R49CE003094 from the National Center for Injury Prevention and Control of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and with funding provided by the New Jersey Center on Gun Violence Research at Rutgers University.

Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health

Founded in 1922, the Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health pursues an agenda of research, education, and service to address the critical and complex public health issues affecting New Yorkers, the nation and the world. The Columbia Mailman School is the fourth largest recipient of NIH grants among schools of public health. Its nearly 300 multi-disciplinary faculty members work in more than 100 countries around the world, addressing such issues as preventing infectious and chronic diseases, environmental health, maternal and child health, health policy, climate change and health, and public health preparedness. It is a leader in public health education with more than 1,300 graduate students from 55 nations pursuing a variety of master’s and doctoral degree programs. The Columbia Mailman School is also home to numerous world-renowned research centers, including ICAP and the Center for Infection and Immunity. For more information, please visit www.mailman.columbia.edu.

 JAMA NETWORK

Firearm ownership and support for political violence in the United States






About The Study:

 In this survey study with 12,000 participants, firearm owners were only moderately more supportive of political violence than nonowners. Recent purchasers and owners who always or nearly always carried firearms in public were more supportive of and willing to engage in political violence than other subsets of firearm owners. These findings can guide risk-based prevention efforts. 


Authors: Garen J. Wintemute, M.D., M.P.H., of the UC Davis School of Medicine in Sacramento, California, is the corresponding author. 

To access the embargoed study: Visit our For The Media website at this link https://media.jamanetwork.com/ 

(doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.3623)

Editor’s Note: Please see the article for additional information, including other authors, author contributions and affiliations, conflict of interest and financial disclosures, and funding and support.

#  #  #

Embed this link to provide your readers free access to the full-text article This link will be live at the embargo time http://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.3623?utm_source=For_The_Media&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=ftm_links&utm_term=040924

About JAMA Network Open: JAMA Network Open is an online-only open access general medical journal from the JAMA Network. On weekdays, the journal publishes peer-reviewed clinical research and commentary in more than 40 medical and health subject areas. Every article is free online from the day of publication. 

 

 JAMA NETWORK

Top factors in nurses ending health care employment between 2018 and 2021







About The Study: The top contributing factors for leaving health care employment were planned retirement, burnout, insufficient staffing, and family obligations in this cross-sectional study of 7,887 nurses. The leading reasons signal opportunities for employers to reattract an existing nurse workforce and retain currently employed nurses. 

Authors: K. Jane Muir, Ph.D., R.N., F.N.P.-B.C., of the University of Pennsylvania in Philadelphia, is the corresponding author. 

To access the embargoed study: Visit our For The Media website at this link https://media.jamanetwork.com/ 

(doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.4121)

Editor’s Note: Please see the article for additional information, including other authors, author contributions and affiliations, conflict of interest and financial disclosures, and funding and support.

#  #  #

Embed this link to provide your readers free access to the full-text article This link will be live at the embargo time http://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.4121?utm_source=For_The_Media&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=ftm_links&utm_term=040924

About JAMA Network Open: JAMA Network Open is an online-only open access general medical journal from the JAMA Network. On weekdays, the journal publishes peer-reviewed clinical research and commentary in more than 40 medical and health subject areas. Every article is free online from the day of publication. 

 

A smarter city skyline for flood safety



Urban planning should consider building height, shape, and arrangement to best protect pedestrians during severe precipitation and wind



AMERICAN INSTITUTE OF PHYSICS

Pedestrian safety zones for three types of urban block layouts: arrayed, staggered, and enclosed. 

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Pedestrian safety zones for three types of urban block layouts: arrayed, staggered, and enclosed. The leftmost column displays simulated water depth, the next column shows floodwater velocity, the third shows simulated windspeed at pedestrian level, and the final column shows the compound hazard rating (CHR). Higher CHR indicates increased risk.

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CREDIT: ZHONG-FAN ZHU




WASHINGTON, April 9, 2024 — A city’s skyline — the distinctive shapes and arrangements of its buildings — impacts the safety of its population during floods. When the streets flood, pedestrians can be swept under the current and injured or killed. With climate change and rising urbanization, the likelihood and severity of urban flooding are increasing.

Not all city blocks are created equal. In Physics of Fluids, an AIP Publishing journal, researchers from Beijing Normal University, Beijing Hydrological Center, and the China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research investigated how city design contributes to pedestrian safety during flooding.

“Climate change leads to an increasing trend of extreme precipitation events in terms of frequency and intensity,” said author Zhong-Fan Zhu. “Rapid urbanization alters the hydrological properties of the underlying surface in urban areas. For example, previous forestland, wetland, and agricultural land have been paved to construct impervious, urban lands. These factors contribute to frequency occurrences of urban flood events.”

The researchers experimentally identified the flood conditions that make pedestrians vulnerable and utilized computer simulations of different city block patterns, building heights, and street widths to assess the configurations that best protect people.

Each city has unique buildings and building configurations. The team simulated three different urban block layouts: buildings neatly arranged and equally spaced in columns and rows, buildings offset and staggered, and a square tightly outlined by buildings with just four buildings enclosed within.

When buildings are arranged in a line, as in the grid and enclosed layout, they provide a zone of safety by blocking some of the water and wind. The staggered approach has none of this protection and more danger zones due to increased water and wind circulation.

Altering the building shape can also protect pedestrians. Rounding or adding recesses to building corners significantly reduced areas of dangerously high floodwater and windspeed. However, this intervention also somewhat decreased the safety zone.

Wind was a critical, yet complex, factor in determining safety.

“In some cases, the floodwater does not cause pedestrian instability, but adding the wind force will lead to a dangerous situation,” said Zhu. “However, in other cases, the wind will help to maintain pedestrian stability and protect against floodwater. It seems like that wind is like a ‘double-edged sword.’”

Different building height arrangements can help mitigate the negative impacts of wind.

Cities looking to expand should consider enclosed block arrangements, buildings with rounded or even circular footprints, and potentially consult with a physicist.

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The article, "Physical vulnerability of pedestrians under the joint effect of wind and floodwater and its application in urban block flooding: Effects of urban block layout, building form and building array skyline," is authored by Lu-Feng Gou, Zhong-Fan Zhu, Shu-You Liu, Ding-Zhi Peng, and Da-Wei Zhang.  It will appear in Physics of Fluids on April 9, 2024 (DOI: 10.1063/5.0191951). After that date, it can be accessed at https://www.doi.org/10.1063/5.0191951.

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ABOUT THE JOURNAL

Physics of Fluids is devoted to the publication of original theoretical, computational, and experimental contributions to the dynamics of gases, liquids, and complex fluids. See https://pubs.aip.org/aip/pof.

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Understanding the impacts of migration on the Austrian economy




INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR APPLIED SYSTEMS ANALYSIS




How would Austria be affected if a quarter million people entered the country right now? A new study conducted by IIASA and the Joint Research Centre (JRC) projects the potential impacts of increased migration on the Austrian labor market and the economy.

Austria, as well as many other European economies, has repeatedly experienced large waves of migration. In the context of increasing globalization, climate change, and geopolitical instabilities, it is necessary to strengthen our ability to predict and prepare for sudden fluctuations in migration flows and their impacts on the labor market and the economy in general.

A new study published by IIASA and JRC scientists in Comparative Migration Studies focuses on projecting and analyzing the short- to mid-term effects of a hypothetical yet plausible migration scenario. The authors adopted a detailed macroeconomic approach to simulate the effects of increased migration on the economy of the host country – in this case Austria – to evaluate the resilience of the country’s economy.

They created a macroeconomic agent-based model (ABM), which takes into account the heterogeneous characteristics of the population and simulates the effects of migration on more than a thousand cohorts differentiated by sex, citizenship, activity status (e.g., retired, unemployed, employed), and sector of occupation.

The overall results of the analysis corroborate previous studies that have shown a positive impact of migration on economic growth accompanied by a reduction of the GDP per capita. The innovation of this analysis is to show that the effect of migration on unemployment can vary significantly across different cohorts.

In terms of policy implications, the study shows that labor market regulations should consider the heterogeneous impacts of migration on different population groups and industries. For instance, migration shocks can lead to an increase in unemployment among refugees in certain industries, such as agriculture or healthcare. This can be caused by a lack of qualification recognition, which often drives highly qualified migrants into these sectors resulting in unemployment.

The study also concludes that a data-rich and large-scale macroeconomic ABM can provide detailed information on the economic impacts of a sizable migration shock and, thus, on the resilience of an economy, which can be helpful for policymakers seeking to anticipate the magnitude and expected consequences of immigration influxes.

Reference:

Poledna, S., Strelkovskii, N., Conte, A., Goujon, A., Linnerooth-Bayer, J., Catalano, M., & Rovenskaya, E.  (2024). Economic and labour market impacts of migration in Austria: an agent-based modelling approach. Comparative Migration Studies 12 (1) e18. 10.1186/s40878-024-00374-3. (In Press) [https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/19578]