Tuesday, January 14, 2025

 

Sue Mi Terry: When FARA Applies to US Allies


Last week, I wrote a detailed analysis of how the Foreign Agents Registration Act of 1938 (FARA) has become a tool of government overreach, often used selectively to stigmatize inconvenient voices, control narratives, and criminalize ordinary interactions with foreign entities. Today, I explore how Dr. Sue Mi Terry’s recent indictment under FARA flips the script: a career insider and former CIA analyst accused of failing to register as a “foreign agent” of South Korea, one of America’s closest allies. Her case is both troubling and perplexing, highlighting the selective enforcement of FARA and its chilling effect on intellectual freedom and open exchange – principles essential to democracy.

Dr. Terry is not a natural candidate for libertarian sympathies. A staunch advocate of hawkish policies on North Korea, she has spent her career in Washington’s revolving door of government and think tanks. Adding to the irony, her husband, columnist Max Boot, once wrote that “Washington should ramp up enforcement” of FARA, a sentiment that now feels uncomfortably prophetic. While it might be tempting to indulge in a bit of schadenfreude, this isn’t a Menendez-style tale of gold bars and hidden cash. It’s a case built on think-tank funding and diplomatic dinners, routine activities in Washington’s policy circles.

What makes this case alarming isn’t the behavior itself, which, while ethically debatable, is typical for Washington. What is troubling is the inconsistent enforcement of FARA, a law so vague and expansive it can be used to target virtually anyone. Just as bookkeeping errors have been elevated to secure felony convictions against political opponents or tax evasion infamously took down Al Capone, FARA allows the government to transform minor infractions into significant criminal liabilities. Terry now faces up to a decade in prison – not for harming U.S. interests, but for failing to dot every “i” and cross every “t.”

Her case may be an exception but underscores a broader truth: FARA’s misuse threatens intellectual freedom, open dialogue, and fairness. Principles must outweigh personalities – even when the target is someone whose politics we may vehemently oppose. If the government can do this to a well-connected insider, what chance does anyone else have?

Who is Sue Mi Terry?

A1.5 generation Korean American, Sue Mi Terry was born in South Korea and emigrated to the US after elementary school. Fluent in English and Korean, Terry pursued her interest in politics by earning a Ph.D. from Tufts University, writing her dissertation about the conservative hardline president “Park Chung-Hee’s Korea (1961-1979): A Study in Political Leadership and Statecraft.” She went on to work for the US Intelligence Community for the next decade as a CIA analyst from 2001-2008, on the National Security Council (2008-2009) and in the office of the Director of National Intelligence (2009-2010). After her career in government, she worked at a variety of elite universities and think tanks, most recently as a Senior Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations.

Throughout her career, Sue Mi Terry has been a staunch advocate of hardline policies toward North Korea, aligning closely with South Korean conservatives. She has consistently supported tightening sanctions regimes against the DPRK and enforcing them rigorously while strengthening military alliances between South Korea, the US and even Japan. Her strategy aims to pressure North Korea into denuclearization through a combination of economic and military measures coupled with political isolation. Terry has also championed North Korean human rights and amplified the voices of defectors, arguing that unifying the Korean peninsula under the democratic ROK government is a necessary and urgent goal. While her views generally align with those of conservative South Korean administrations, she was highly critical of Moon Jae-In’s progressive, engagement-focused approach to inter-Korean relations, undermining allegations from the years he was in power.

I have never met Dr. Terry, even though we were both professors at Columbia University contemporaneously. That said, I have read her work and attended talks and webinars where she spoke eloquently and passionately about her ideas. Her bona fides as a scholar are unquestionable, and she is widely respected for her expertise and impassioned advocacy.

While I could not disagree with her positions more strongly than I do, seeing the world differently is not and should never be a crime in the USA. Like any good libertarian, I will defend her right to advocate for her opinions to the death, and I take no joy whatsoever in her indictment. It is entirely inappropriate that she faces up to a decade in prison for questionable judgment.

The case against Dr. Terry

So, what exactly did Dr. Terry do, and why is she being prosecuted for allegedly working at the direction of one of America’s closest foreign allies, and arguing for political positions that are completely in line with Washington’s foreign policy?

On July 17, 2024, the Department of Justice (DoJ) indicted Dr. Terry on one count of conspiracy to violate FARA and one count of failure to register under FARA. In a publicly released 31-page indictment that reads like the script of a bad K-Drama, the government outlined salacious details of her alleged misdoings and provided detailed evidence and incriminating photos to support their case. Publicly releasing such details, disclosing the shocking extent of their surveillance capabilities, is extremely unusual, especially in cases involving national security.

The DoJ indictment claims that Dr. Terry had been acting as an agent of the South Korean government in exchange for luxury personal gifts, funding for her think tank and meals at fine dining establishments in NYC and DC. In exchange for these rewards, she allegedly facilitated meetings between ROK and US officials, wrote a series of Op-Eds at their request, and shared unclassified but “off the record” details of inside information about US government policy with South Korean agents. In a voluntary interview with the FBI in 2023, she further admitted that her resignation from the CIA in 2008 was in part to avoid being fired due to concerns about her close relationship with South Korean National Intelligence Service (NIS) agents, admitting that she had indeed been a “confidential source” for them over the years.

The story, as presented, looks extremely damning, and the evidence outlined in the indictment leaves little doubt that according to the letter of the FARA law, she probably should have registered with DoJ as a foreign agent. The indictment claims that she had been informed about the FARA registration requirements on multiple occasions and even attended FARA training courses, so it is not like she just didn’t know about it.

While many of her actions seem ethically questionable and indicate a marked lack of common sense, none of them are illegal on their own – private US citizens are free to engage with foreign governments, and they are even allowed to accept money and gifts in exchange for lobbying on their behalf.  We have constitutionally guaranteed rights of freedom of speech and assembly, and freedom to petition the government.  And most notably, DoJ did not charge her with other underlying crimes. Her prosecution reflects a broader trend: FARA’s selective enforcement disproportionately impacts individuals engaging in routine, non-criminal behaviors with foreign governments.

Shared goals, stained reputations

It is standard operating procedure for diplomats to actively engage with the foreign policy community.  Foreign diplomats routinely wine and dine scholars over meetings that serve a mutual benefit. While it is possible that streak dinners may sway some people’s opinions, the meetings give policy wonks an opportunity to get a better understanding of the opinions, policies, and positions of foreign countries by engaging directly with them, and foreign governments obtain a better understanding of American attitudes and reactions to their policies and actions.

Think tanks, journalists, and academics would be hamstrung if such contact was disallowed or scrutinized too heavily by our government. For that reason, the indictment of Sue Mi Terry “sent shockwaves through the foreign policy establishment” and was met by a “deafening silence” from other Korea watchers in DC, who are not inclined to register themselves.

As to NIS funding her think tank, that is clearly intended to amplify viewpoints that were already aligned with their interests, just as FARA itself is used for narrative control. Agreeing with a foreign government’s positions does not make someone their agent, despite attempts to frame it that way. As an example, former House member Tulsi Gabbard was falsely accused of being a Russian stooge because her expressed opinions about the war in Ukraine and its origins conflicted with official Biden administration policy.

The articles Sue Mi Terry was accused of writing at the behest of South Korea include “A Korea Whole and Free,” suggesting the DPRK was on the verge of collapse, “South Korea takes a brave step toward reconciliation with Japan,” promoting the Japan-ROK-US alliance, and “The US-Korea Summit: The Future of a 70 Year Alliance,” originally published in Hankook Ilbo. The opinions expressed are consistent with her views throughout her career.

Spy games

Espionage against allies is not unusual.  \The US notoriously wiretapped the cell phone of German Chancellor Angela Merkel, as revealed by Edward Snowden. In 2023, a Pentagon leak revealed espionage by the US against its allies Ukraine and South Korea, among others. Jonathan Pollard has been called “one of the most damaging spies in US history” after he notoriously spied against the US for the Israeli government in the 1980s. There is nothing new about spying on friends.

It’s no secret that many embassies house intelligence officers posing as diplomats, but blatant operations can spark a backlash. The alleged actions of South Korean intelligence officers in the Sue Mi Terry case appear so careless that they must not have been concerned about being noticed. They likely believed (as Dr. Terry seemingly did) that since the US and ROK are allies, it was not inappropriate for them to openly go with Dr. Terry to luxury stores to buy her a designer handbag or coat.

The double-edged sword of identity

Dr. Terry’s case underscores the complexities of navigating dual loyalties, particularly for a Korean-born American with strong personal and professional ties to both nations. While the US and South Korea share a 75-year-old alliance and closely aligned goals, their interests are not identical. For those embedded in both cultures, distinguishing between the two can be particularly challenging, especially when personal motivations and professional responsibilities intersect.

The United States, as a nation of immigrants, benefits immensely from citizens with linguistic and cultural competencies that no non-native could replicate. However, identity inevitably shapes how individuals perceive the world, particularly when navigating relationships between the U.S. and their country of origin. For example, Irish Americans were instrumental in the Northern Ireland peace process but often supported groups like the IRA, complicating US diplomacy. Similarly, Cuban Americans, such as Marco Rubio, have steered US policy toward Cuba in a more hawkish direction than most Americans support. Ukrainian Americans, like Victoria Nuland, have championed confrontational policies toward Russia, fomenting the ongoing proxy war in Donbass.

For Korean Americans, the lingering trauma of Japanese colonization, Korea’s partition, and the dream of unification can add deeply personal stakes to foreign policy work, sometimes clouding objectivity. Dr. Terry is not the only Korean American scholar to face such challenges. Former CIA analyst Jung H. Pak, who served as the Biden administration’s Special Representative for North Korea, resigned abruptly five days before (and possibly because of) Dr. Terry’s indictment, highlighting how co-ethnic networks, even when well-intentioned, can become entangled in broader narratives of foreign influence.

A law without borders, a crime without harm

Perhaps the most egregious thing about her case is how it plays into every K-Drama-driven stereotype. The narrative of a South Korean-born scholar selling out her adopted country for meaningless baubles couldn’t have been written better by North Korean propagandists if they tried. While this story makes for salacious headlines, there is no evidence that what she did has done any actual harm to American interests.

For the most part, her actions were well within the normal range of behavior for foreign policy wonks in Washington. Engagement with foreign diplomats is essential to informed policymaking.  And if we forced everyone in Washington who has been treated to such “fancy lunches” to register as a foreign agent, most of the population living within 40 miles of the capitol would be on the list.

The DoJ’s motives for prosecuting Dr. Terry remain unclear. Was it because her actions were unusually public and sloppy, reflecting amateurish behavior by South Korean intelligence? Or was it a calculated warning to others aligned with friendly nations to tread carefully? Perhaps it was simply that her uncompromising, hardline views on North Korea upset the wrong people behind the scenes. Could it even be a sarcastic response to Max Boot’s complaint that FARA is underused? Whatever the reason, it underscores the dangers of selectively enforcing vague laws like FARA.

Regardless, the exceptionality of Sue Mi Terry’s case does not invalidate critiques of FARA. Instead, it reinforces the urgency of addressing the law’s inherent flaws. By criminalizing routine interactions even with allied nations, FARA’s enforcement risks stifling open dialogue and intellectual freedom, which are vital to informed foreign policy.

The Soviets used to say Был бы человек, а статья найдется.  (“show me the man, I’ll show you the crime.”) FARA’s vague and expansive definitions give our government one more tool to make that easier. If she broke an actual law, prosecute her for that, but don’t “Al Capone” her. There is enough real crime in America. We don’t need more gratuitous prosecutions under FARA or the tax code.

Rather than stigmatizing experts for engaging with foreign governments, we should recognize these interactions and their human nuances as essential to solving complex global issues. The last thing we need is to shut down communication under the guise of protecting national security. Dr. Terry’s case illustrates the urgent need to repeal or reform FARA to prevent its misuse and ensure that intellectual freedom and fair governance prevail. Her indictment is not just about one individual – it reflects a dangerous precedent that could stifle the voices necessary for effective policymaking.

Sue Mi Terry is wrong on almost everything – but her prosecution is even worse.

Joseph D. Terwilliger is Professor of Neurobiology at Columbia University Irving Medical Center, where his research focuses on natural experiments in human genetic epidemiology.  He is also active in science and sports diplomacy, having taught genetics at the Pyongyang University of Science and Technology, and accompanied Dennis Rodman on six “basketball diplomacy” trips to Asia since 2013.

Fiscal Redemption Requires a Republic, Not an Empire


There is not a snowball’s chance in the hot place of containing America’s public debt disaster unless the Empire is brought home and the national security budget is slashed by $500 billion per year. The merits aside, all the other big slices of the budget led by Social Security and Medicare are surrounded by nearly impenetrable political moats.

Fortunately, the $500 billion savings from the national security budget is not only doable but fully warranted on the merits. The fact is, our present bloated Empire-serving Warfare State is not remotely necessary for homeland security and the proper foreign policy of a peaceful Republic.

In this context, let’s start with the sheer bloated size of the national security budget for the current year (FY 2025). Including a 22% pro rata share of debt service payments, the comprehensive national security budget amounts to just under $1.6 trillion.

Comprehensive National Security Budget, FY 2025

  • National defense function: $927 billion.
  • International operations and aid: $66 billion.
  • Veterans support: $370 billion.
  • 21.7% of net interest: $210 billion.
  • Total national security budget: $1.573 trillion.
  • Memo: Total national security budget less allocated interest: $1.363 trillion.

When this stupendous total is looked at in historic perspective, three things standout. First, the end of the cold war in 1991 and the subsequent disappearance of the heavily armed Soviet Empire into the dustbin of history left no trace on the US national security numbers. In fact, at the peak of the Cold War in 1962 when JFK faced down Khrushchev in Cuba the total national security budget was just 46% of the current level measured in constant dollars (FY 2025 $).

That’s right. The 1962 national security budget for the items above (except for net interest) stood at $640 billion just after President Eisenhower famously warned about the dangers of the military/industrial complex in his Farewell Address. Moreover, the FY 2025 budget (excluding the allocated interest element) of $1.363 trillion is now 68% larger than it was in 1990 on the eve of the Soviet collapse.

That is truly astounding. An adversary armed to the teeth with upwards of 37,000 nukes and nearly a 4 million-man conventional armed force vanishes entirely and yet the US national security budget keeps rising skyward without missing a beat.

Comprehensive National Security Budgets in FY 2025 $

  • 1962: $640 billion.
  • 1980:$570 billion.
  • 1990: $811 billion.
  • 2025: $1.363 trillion.

The second key point is that the big increase during the Cold War occurred not in the heat of confrontation during the 1950s and 1960s but during the Reagan era of the 1980s when the Soviet Union was already on its last leg economically and politically. Yet between 1980 and 1990 the constant dollar national security budget soared by +42%, from $570 billion to $811 billion.

The explanation for this is straight-forward. During the Reagan Era the neocons hijacked the Republican party and cast its historic fiscal prudence to the winds, including in the defense area. They even claimed that massive defense increases were needed because the Soviet Union was on the verge of a nuclear first strike capacity.

That latter was an abject lie as proven by the fact that less than 10% of the Reagan defense build-up went to the strategic nuclear arsenal. By contrast, the overwhelming share was allocated to conventional forces including the 600-ship Navy, massive increases in air power assets, new generations of battle tanks and armed personnel carriers, and an extensive expansion of air and sealift capacities, cruise missiles and electronics warfare capabilities. All of these latter forces had only one purpose – the conduct of wars of invasion and occupation in a world in which the US was not threatened in the slightest by an industrial power with expansive land-based and other conventional warfare capabilities.

Without ever articulating it explicitly, therefore, the real effect of the Reagan defense build-up was to supply future administrations with the military wherewithal to launch endless adventures in Regime Change. That is to say, the Forever Wars from the First Gulf War onward were enabled by the Reagan build-up and provided the military spending and weapons base for their conduct during the post-Soviet era. That is, when real defense spending should have been cut back by at least half to $400 billion (FY 2025 $) after 1990 it was actually expanded by another 70% to fund endless adventures in regime change and global intervention.

Thirdly, the Forever Wars have been a physical, medical and fiscal disaster. Currently 5 million wounded veterans receive disability compensation and 9 million receive health care benefits. The overwhelming share of these are owing to vets who served in the Vietnam War and the Forever Wars which followed.

Accordingly, what needs be described as the “deferred cost” of Empire has literally shot the moon. In constant dollars, Veterans benefits have risen from $57 billion in 1962, mainly representing WWII veterans, to $370 billion. This 6.5X rise represents the frightful human and fiscal tab for Vietnam and the Forever Wars.

Constant Dollar (FY 2025 $) Veterans Benefits:

  • 1962: $57 billion.
  • 1980: $72 billion.
  • 1990: $69 billion.
  • 2025: $370 billion.

So the question recurs. How did a peaceful Republic secure behind the great Atlantic and Pacific Ocean moats, which until 1948 eschewed permanent “entangling alliances” abroad consistent with the wisdom of Washington, Jefferson and the Founders, end up with an global Empire and massive Warfare State budget that it doesn’t need and can’t any longer afford?

The answer, we believe, lies in three strategic mistakes made on the banks of the Potomac in 1917, 1948 and 1991, respectively, that have enabled the rise of a destructive Empire and its self-fueling Warfare State fiscal monster. Of course, the latter can only be eliminated by returning to Jefferson’s admonition that America should pursue –

Peace, commerce and honest friendship with all nations, entangling alliances with none.

First and foremost, Woodrow Wilson’s intervention in the Great War was a calamitous mistake. The liberty and security of the American homeland was not remotely threatened because by that point in time the German Fleet was locked-up in its Jutland home-port by the Royal Navy and all sides to the conflict were running out of draftable men, materiale, morale and fiscal resources.

Accordingly, on the date Congress declared war in April 1917 there was not even the slightest chance of a German attack on America. Yet Wilson plunged the US into the stalemated war of the old world for the vainglorious purpose of acquiring a powerful seat at the post-war peace conference. That misguided purpose, in turn, tipped the balance on the Western Front to a victory of the Entente powers led by England and France.

The arrival of two million fresh American doughboys and massive flows of armaments and loans from Washington thus enabled a vindictive peace of the victors at Versailles. Consequently, the end to a pointless world war that would have left all the sides exhausted, bankrupt and demoralized, and their respective domestic “war parties” subject to massive repudiation at the polls – simply planted the seeds for the even more destructive and calamitous second world war which followed.

Wilson’s foolish intervention on the stalemated battlefields of the Western Front thus gave birth to Lenin and Stalin when the Russian Empire collapsed in a last futile offensive during 1918. Likewise, his machinations with the victors at Versailles and their carving up of Germany fostered the stab in the back and revanchist myths on which Hitler rose to power.

More importantly still, the alleged “lessons” of the interwar period and WWII were falsely played and replayed in the years after 1945. To wit, the Wilson-enabled and wholly aberrational rise of Hitler and Stalin did not happen because the good people of England, France and America slept through the 1920s and 1930s. These monsters of the 20th century were not resident in the DNA of nations nor are they continuously lurking among the lesser tinpots who rise from time to time to authoritarian power among the far flung nations of the world.

So there was no baseline case for Empire as a necessity of America’s homeland security. The permanent Washington based-Empire of bases, alliances, collective security and relentless CIA meddling in the internal affairs of foreign countries that arose after 1945 was therefore the second unforced error – one that flowed from Wilson’s first.

For a brief moment after WWII ended, in fact, massive US demobilization did occur and the ground was laid for a return to the pre-1914 policy of no entangling alliances. That is to say, there was a shot to encapsulate Wilson’s error to a brief interval encompassing the wars of 1917 to 1945.

To that end, the massive post-war reduction in the military establishment and budgets tell you all you need to know. The US armed services manpower peak of 12 million active duty personnel in 1945 had been reduced to just 1.47 million by 1948.

In terms of dollars, defense spending peaked at $83 billion in 1945 but had plunged to just $9 billion by 1948. Moreover, when translated into FY 2025 constant dollars, the magnitude of the demobilization becomes crystal clear: Constant dollar spending dropped form $1.7 trillion in 1945 to just $125 billion in today’s purchasing power by 1948.

So the accidental Warfare State fostered by Woodrow Wilson’s foolishness was truly being dismantled and the rudiments of wartime Empire were being brought home. There had been, in fact, no provisions in Washington’s wartime policy for permanent bases abroad or alliances among the victorious nations.

That should have been the end of the matter in 1945, and, in fact, the world was almost there. After the victory parades, demobilization and normalization of civilian life proceeded apace all around the world.

Alas, Washington’s incipient War Party of military contractors and globe-trotting operatives and officialdom gestated in the heat of World War II and fattened on $1.7 trillion of war spending was not about to go quietly into the good night. Instead, the Cold War was midwifed on the banks of the Potomac when President Truman fell under the spell of war-hawks like Secretary James Byrnes, Dean Acheson, James Forrestal and the Dulles brothers, who were loath to go back to their mundane lives as civilian bankers, politicians or peacetime diplomats.

We will amplify that baleful development in Part 2, but suffice it here to highlight the crucial turning point. As the now open archives of the Soviet Union make clear, in the post-war period world communism was not really on the march and the nations of the world were not implicated in falling dominoes or gestating incipient Hitler’s. But the new proponents of Empire insisted they were just the same, and that the national security required the far-flung empire that still needlessly burdens the nation today.

Yet there was always an alternative. That is, a return to the policy of no entangling alliances and a homeland security strategy of Fortress America. The great Senator Robert Taft of Ohio advocated this alternative brilliantly in his losing campaigns during the 1940s and 1950s to sustain a Republic, not an Empire on the North American continent.

David Stockman was a two-term Congressman from Michigan. He was also the Director of the Office of Management and Budget under President Ronald Reagan. After leaving the White House, Stockman had a 20-year career on Wall Street. He’s the author of three books, The Triumph of Politics: Why the Reagan Revolution FailedThe Great Deformation: The Corruption of Capitalism in America, TRUMPED! A Nation on the Brink of Ruin… And How to Bring It Back, and the recently released Great Money Bubble: Protect Yourself From The Coming Inflation Storm. He also is founder of David Stockman’s Contra Corner and David Stockman’s Bubble Finance Trader.



Angling Toward Armageddon: The Return of Senator Strangelove


Originally published at TomDispatch.

Almost 80 years later, it’s sadly all too easy to forget that two nuclear weapons were once used with devastating effect on this planet. Here’s just a small description by one survivor of the atomic destruction of the Japanese city of Hiroshima on August 6, 1945, that can be found in the book Unforgettable Fire: Pictures Drawn by Atomic Bomb Survivors: “Most of the A-Bomb survivors were burned all over their bodies. They were not only naked, but also their skin came off. They were wandering around looking for their parents, husbands, wives, and children in the city of Hiroshima which had been reduced to ashes.”

Only recently, one of the dwindling group of survivors of that American bombing, Shigeko Sasamori, died. She had been a child of 13 when her city was blown to smithereens and, though unlike so many of her compatriots, she lived to tell the tale, one-third of her body was severely burned. Unbelievably enough, she would be one of the 25 “Hiroshima maidens,” all disfigured by the first atomic bombing on this planet, chosen to receive medical help a decade later in New York City. Her death, as the New York Times reported in an obituary, came only “two months after the Nobel Peace Prize was awarded to Nihon Hidankyo, a grass-roots Japanese organization of atomic bomb survivors, for its efforts to rid the world of nuclear weapons.”

Unfortunately, as TomDispatch regular William Hartung reminds us today, global nuclear arsenals, including the American one, continue to grow and now hold weapons that make the bombs that devastated Hiroshima and Nagasaki seem more like BBs. To take just the three leading nuclear powers, the U.S., Russia, and China, each could, unaided, turn this planet (and undoubtedly several more like it) into giant graveyards.

While it’s true that, since Nagasaki was destroyed on August 9, 1945, no nuclear weapon has ever again been used in war, there are now believed to be more than 12,000 nuclear warheads on this planet. Nine countries possess them and, in a significant nuclear conflict, the Earth could be thrown into a state of “nuclear winter” in which billions of us could die of starvation, and yet, as Hartung makes all too vividly clear today, the vast U.S. nuclear arsenal is still in the process of being expanded (the term, hideously enough, is “modernized”) to the tune of perhaps $1.7 trillion to $2 trillion in the coming decades. Let him explain. ~ Tom Engelhardt


Angling Toward Armageddon: The Return of Senator Strangelove

by William D. Hartung

A primary responsibility of the government is, of course, to keep us safe. Given that obligation, you might think that the Washington establishment would be hard at work trying to prevent the ultimate catastrophe – a nuclear war. But you would be wrong.

A small, hardworking contingent of elected officials is indeed trying to roll back the nuclear arms race and make it harder for such world-ending weaponry ever to be used again, including stalwarts like Senator Ed Markey (D-MA), Representative John Garamendi (D-CA), and other members of the Congressional Nuclear Weapons and Arms Control Working Group. But they face ever stiffer headwinds from a resurgent network of nuclear hawks who want to build more kinds of nuclear weapons and ever more of them. And mind you, that would all be in addition to the Pentagon’s current plans for spending up to $2 trillion over the next three decades to create a whole new generation of nuclear weapons, stoking a dangerous new nuclear arms race.

There are many drivers of this push for a larger, more dangerous arsenal – from the misguided notion that more nuclear weapons will make us safer to an entrenched network of companies, governmental institutions, members of Congress, and policy pundits who will profit (directly or indirectly) from an accelerated nuclear arms race. One indicator of the current state of affairs is the resurgence of former Arizona Senator Jon Kyl, who spent 18 years in Congress opposing even the most modest efforts to control nuclear weapons before he went on to work as a lobbyist and policy advocate for the nuclear weapons complex.

His continuing prominence in debates over nuclear policy – evidenced most recently by his position as vice-chair of a congressionally-appointed commission that sought to legitimize an across-the-board nuclear buildup – is a testament to our historical amnesia about the risks posed by nuclear weapons.

Senator Strangelove

Republican Jon Kyl was elected to the Senate from Arizona in 1995 and served in that body until 2013, plus a brief stint in late 2018 to fill out the term of the late Senator John McCain.

One of Kyl’s signature accomplishments in his early years in office was his role in lobbying fellow Republican senators to vote against ratifying the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT), which went down to a 51 to 48 Senate defeat in October 1999. That treaty banned explosive nuclear testing and included monitoring and verification procedures meant to ensure that its members met their obligations. Had it been widely adopted, it might have slowed the spread of nuclear weapons, now possessed by nine countries, and prevented a return to the days when aboveground testing spread cancer-causing radiation to downwind communities.

The defeat of the CTBT marked the beginning of a decades-long process of dismantling the global nuclear arms control system, launched by the December 2001 withdrawal of President George W. Bush’s administration from the Nixon-era Anti-Ballistic Missile (ABM) treaty. That treaty was designed to prevent a “defense-offense” nuclear arms race in which one side’s pursuit of anti-missile defenses sparks the other side to build more – and ever more capable – nuclear-armed missiles. James Acton of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace called the withdrawal from the ABM Treaty an “epic mistake” that fueled a new nuclear arms race. Kyl argued otherwise, claiming the withdrawal removed “a straightjacket from our national security.”

The end of the ABM treaty created the worst of both worlds – an incentive for adversaries to build up their nuclear arsenals coupled with an abject failure to develop weaponry that could actually defend the United States in the event of a real-world nuclear attack.

Then, in August 2019, during the first Trump administration, the U.S. withdrew from the Intermediate Nuclear Forces (INF) treaty, which prohibited the deployment of medium-range missiles with ranges of 500 to 5,500 kilometers. That treaty had been particularly important because it eliminated the danger of having missiles in Europe that could reach their targets in a very brief time frame, a situation that could shorten the trigger on a possible nuclear confrontation.

Then-Senator Kyl also used the eventual pullout from the INF treaty as a reason to exit yet another nuclear agreement, the New START treaty, co-signing a letter with 24 of his colleagues urging the Trump administration to reject New START. He was basically suggesting that lifting one set of safeguards against a possible nuclear confrontation was somehow a reason to junk a separate treaty that had ensured some stability in the U.S.-Russian strategic nuclear balance.

Finally, in November 2023, NATO suspended its observance of a treaty that had limited the number of troops the Western alliance and Russia could deploy in Europe after the government of Vladimir Putin withdrew from the treaty earlier that year in the midst of his ongoing invasion of Ukraine.

The last U.S.-Russian arms control agreement, New START, caps the strategic nuclear warheads of the two countries at 1,550 each and has monitoring mechanisms to make sure each side is holding up its obligations. That treaty is currently hanging by a thread. It expires in 2026 and there is no indication that Russia is inclined to negotiate an extension in the context of its current state of relations with Washington.

As early as December 2020, Kyl was angling to get the government to abandon any plans to extend New START, coauthoring an op-ed on the subject for the Fox News website. He naturally ignored the benefits of an agreement aimed at reducing the chance of an accidental nuclear conflict, even as he made misleading statements about it being unbalanced in favor of Russia.

Back in 2010, when New START was first under consideration in the Senate, Kyl played a key role in extracting a pledge from the Obama administration to throw an extra $80 billion at the nuclear warhead complex in exchange for Republican support of the treaty. Even after that concession was made, Kyl continued to work tirelessly to build opposition to the treaty. If, in the end, he failed to block its Senate ratification, he did help steer billions in additional funding to the nuclear weapons complex.

Our Man from Northrop Grumman

In 2017, between stints in the Senate, Kyl worked as a lobbyist with the law firm Covington and Burling, where one of his clients was Northrop Grumman, the largest beneficiary of the Pentagon’s nuclear weapons spending binge. That company is the lead contractor on both the future B-21 nuclear bomber and Sentinel intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM). The Sentinel program drew widespread attention recently when it was revealed that, in just a few years, its estimated cost had jumped by an astonishing 81%, pushing the price for building those future missiles to more than $140 billion (with tens of billions more needed to operate them in their years of “service” to come).

That stunning cost spike for the Sentinel triggered a Pentagon review that could have led to a cancellation or major restructuring of the program. Instead, the Pentagon opted to stay the course despite the enormous price tag, asserting that the missile is “essential to U.S. national security and is the best option to meet the needs of our warfighters.”

Independent experts disagree. Former Secretary of Defense William Perry, for instance, has pointed out that such ICBMs are “some of the most dangerous weapons we have” because a president, warned of a possible nuclear attack by an enemy power, would have only minutes to decide whether to launch them, greatly increasing the risk of an accidental nuclear war triggered by a false alarm. Perry is hardly alone. In July 2024, 716 scientists, including 10 Nobel laureates and 23 members of the National Academies, called for the Sentinel to be canceled, describing the system as “expensive, dangerous, and unnecessary.”

Meanwhile, as vice-chair of a congressionally mandated commission on the future of U.S. nuclear weapons policy, Kyl has been pushing a worst-case scenario regarding the current nuclear balance that could set the stage for producing even larger numbers of (Northrop Grumman-built) nuclear bombers, putting multiple warheads on (Northrop Grumman-built) Sentinel missiles, expanding the size of the nuclear warhead complex, and emplacing yet more tactical nuclear weapons in Europe. His is a call, in other words, to return to the days of the Cold War nuclear arms race at a moment when the lack of regular communication between Washington and Moscow can only increase the risk of a nuclear confrontation.

Kyl does seem to truly believe that building yet more nuclear weapons will indeed bolster this country’s security and he’s hardly alone when it comes to Congress or, for that matter, the next Trump administration. Consider that a clear sign that reining in the nuclear arms race will involve not only making the construction of nuclear weapons far less lucrative, but also confronting the distinctly outmoded and unbearably dangerous arguments about their alleged strategic value.

The Advocate

In October 2023, when the Senate Armed Services Committee held a hearing on a report from the Congressional Strategic Posture Commission, it had an opportunity for a serious discussion of nuclear strategy and spending, and how best to prevent a nuclear war. Given the stakes for all of us should a nuclear war between the United States and Russia break out – up to an estimated 90 million of us dead within the first few days of such a conflict and up to five billion lives lost once radiation sickness and reduced food production from the resulting planetary “nuclear winter” kick in – you might have hoped for a wide-ranging debate on the implications of the commission’s proposals.

Unfortunately, much of the discussion during the hearing involved senators touting weapons systems or facilities producing them located in their states, with little or no analysis of what would best protect Americans and our allies. For example, Senator Mark Kelly (D-AZ) stressed the importance of Raytheon’s SM-6 missile – produced in Arizona, of course – and commended the commission for proposing to spend more on that program. Senator Jackie Rosen (R-NV) praised the role of the Nevada National Security Site, formerly known as the Nevada Test Site, for making sure such warheads were reliable and would explode as intended in a nuclear conflict. You undoubtedly won’t be shocked to learn that she then called for more funding to address what she described as “significant delays” in upgrading that Nevada facility. Senator Tommy Tuberville (R-AL) proudly pointed to the billions in military work being done in his state: “In Alabama we build submarines, ships, airplanes, missiles. You name it, we build it.” Senator Eric Schmitt (R-MO) requested that witnesses confirm how absolutely essential the Kansas City Plant, which makes non-nuclear parts for nuclear weapons, remains for American security.

And so it went until Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) asked what the nuclear buildup recommended by the commission would cost. She suggested that, if past history is any guide, much of the funding proposed by the commission would be wasted: “I’m willing to spend what it takes to keep America safe, but I’m certainly not comfortable with a blank check for programs that already have a history of gross mismanagement.”

The answer from Kyl and his co-chair Marilyn Creedon was that the commission had not even bothered to estimate the costs of any of what it was suggesting and that its recommendations should be considered regardless of the price. This, of course, was good news for nuclear weapons contractors like Northrop Grumman, but bad news for taxpayers.

The Brink of Armageddon?

Nuclear hardliners frequently suggest that anyone advocating the reduction or elimination of nuclear arsenals is outrageously naive and thoroughly out of touch with the realities of great power politics. As it happens though, the truly naive ones are the nuclear hawks who insist on clinging to the dubious notion that vast (and still spreading) stores of nuclear weaponry can be kept around indefinitely without ever being used again, by accident or design.

There is another way. Even as Washington, Moscow, and Beijing continue the production of a new generation of nuclear weapons – such weaponry is also possessed by France, India, Israel, North Korea, Pakistan, and the United Kingdom – a growing number of nations have gone on record against any further nuclear arms race and in favor of eliminating such weapons altogether. In fact, the Treaty for the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons has now been ratified by 73 countries.

As Beatrice Fihn, former director of the Nobel-prize-winning International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons, or ICAN, pointed out in a recent essay in the New York Times, there are numerous examples of how collective action has transformed “seemingly impossible situations.” She cited the impact of the antinuclear movement of the 1980s in reversing a superpower nuclear arms race and setting the stage for sharp reductions in the numbers of such weapons, as well as a successful international effort to bring the nuclear ban treaty into existence. She noted that a crucial first step in bringing the potentially catastrophic nuclear arms race under control would involve changing the way we talk about such weapons, especially debunking the myth that they are somehow “magical tools” that make us all more secure. She also emphasized the importance of driving home that this planet’s growing nuclear arsenals are evidence that all too many of those in power are acquiescing in a reckless strategy “based on threatening to commit global collective suicide.”

The next few years will be crucial in determining whether ever growing numbers of nuclear weapons remain entrenched in this country’s budgets and its global strategy for decades to come or whether common sense can carry the day and spark the reduction and eventual elimination of such instruments of mass devastation. A vigorous public debate on the risks of an accelerated nuclear arms race would be a necessary first step toward pulling the world back from the brink of Armageddon.

Follow TomDispatch on Twitter and join us on Facebook. Check out the newest Dispatch Books, John Feffer’s new dystopian novel, Songlands (the final one in his Splinterlands series), Beverly Gologorsky’s novel Every Body Has a Story, and Tom Engelhardt’s A Nation Unmade by War, as well as Alfred McCoy’s In the Shadows of the American Century: The Rise and Decline of U.S. Global Power, John Dower’s The Violent American Century: War and Terror Since World War IIand Ann Jones’s They Were Soldiers: How the Wounded Return from America’s Wars: The Untold Story.

William D. Hartung, a TomDispatch regular, is a senior research fellow at the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft and the author of Prophets of War: Lockheed Martin and the Making of the Military-Industrial Complex.

Copyright 2025 William D. Hartung

Police attack anti-fascist protest in Germany

Around 12,000 anti-fascists protested the far right AfD's election conference, but police violently suppressed the demonstration


Protesters in Riesa, Germany, outside the AfD conference (Photo: X/@m_lyki)

By Yuri Prasad
Monday 13 January 2025
SOCIALIST WORKER  Issue 2938

Some 12,000 anti-fascist protesters last weekend fought running battles with police in the German town of Riesa, where the far right AfD party was holding a conference.

Demonstrators were determined to stop the racist delegates from gathering, but the police used dogs, truncheons and pepper spray to ensure they did.

Protest organiser Maria Schmidt, said, “Today we are protecting the right of people to live in safety without the fear of deportation or being attacked.

“We are all making it clear—Riesa is not a peaceful place for fascism,” she said. But the police response to marchers was vicious.
Cops beat Die Linke party regional councillor Nam Duy Nguyen unconscious. An officer also hit his companion in the face.

In a bid to allow the racist rally to go ahead, police also set dogs on activists and threatened them with a water cannon.

Inside the convention centre, some 600 racists selected AfD leader Alice Weidel to be the party’s candidate for chancellor in next month’s general election.

Weidel, who says that Tory Margaret Thatcher is her idol, has the backing of billionaire bigot Elon Musk.

A relative moderate in the AfD, Weidel is being used by the party’s fascist wing as a figleaf. While she wants to make alliances with the mainstream right, they want to forge a much more hardline force. Nevertheless, Weidel is doing her bit for the fascists too.

She admitted recently that she is “slowly giving up her initial criticism” of figures including Bjoern Hoecke. In 2021, AfD regional leader Hoecke concluded a speech by proclaiming “Alles for Deutschland”—All for Germany—a phrase used by Hitler’s Nazis in the 1930s.

The AfD is currently polling at around 20 percent of the vote, with the mainstream Tory CDU/CSU party on 32 percent. The Labour-like SPD is on 16 percent, while the far left is marginal.

Only a bigger, more sustained anti-racist movement can stop the right’s advance.