Sunday, May 04, 2025

Minutes to leave: Syria's Alawites evicted from private homes at gunpoint


Amina Ismail
Tue, April 29, 2025 

FILE PHOTO: Former Assad regime officers vacate homes for incoming rebel families

FILE PHOTO: Former Assad regime officers vacate homes for incoming rebel families

FILE PHOTO: Syria’s interim President Ahmed al-Sharaa attends an interview with Reuters

FILE PHOTO: An image depicting Syria's Bashar al-Assad, is damaged, near the Lebanese-Syrian border


By Amina Ismail

DAMASCUS (Reuters) - Early one evening in late January, 12 masked men stormed the Damascus home of Um Hassan's family, pointed AK-47 assault rifles in their faces and ordered them to leave.

When they presented ownership documents, the men arrested Um Hassan's oldest brother and said they could only have him back once they had moved out. The family surrendered the house 24 hours later and picked him up, battered and bruised, from the local General Security Service headquarters, said Um Hassan, giving only her nickname for fear of reprisals.

Her family is part of Syria's minority Alawite community, an offshoot of the Shi'ite faith and the sect of former strongman Bashar al-Assad. Their story is not unique.

Since Syria's President Ahmed al-Sharaa seized power in December, hundreds of Alawites have been forced from their private homes in Damascus by the security forces, according to Syrian officials, Alawite leaders, human rights groups and 12 people with similar accounts who spoke to Reuters.

"We're definitely not talking about independent incidents. We are talking about hundreds, if not thousands, of cases of evictions," said Bassam Alahmad, executive director of human rights group Syrians for Truth and Justice (STJ).

The mass evictions of Alawites from privately owned homes have not been previously reported.


For more than 50 years, Assad and his father before him crushed any opposition from Syria's Sunni Muslims, who make up more than 70% of the population. Alawites took many of the top positions in government and the military and ran big businesses.

They now accuse supporters of Sharaa, who once ran an al Qaeda affiliate, of systematically abusing them as payback.

In March, hundreds of Alawites were killed in Syria's western coastal region and sectarian violence spread to Damascus in apparent retribution for a deadly ambush on Syria's new security forces by armed Assad loyalists.

Two government officials said thousands of people had been kicked out of homes in Damascus since Assad was toppled by Sharaa's rebel force, with the majority being Alawites.

The officials said most resided in government housing associated with their jobs in state institutions and, since they were no longer employed, they had lost their right to stay.

Sharaa has vowed to pursue inclusive policies to unite a country shattered by a 14-year sectarian civil war and attract foreign investment and aid.

But Alawites fear the evictions are part of systematic sectarian score settling by Syria's new rulers.

An official who declined to be named at the Damascus Countryside Directorate, which is responsible for managing public services, said they had received hundreds of complaints from people who had been violently evicted.

An Alawite mayor in a Damascus suburb, who also asked not to be named due to the sensitivity of the matter, said in March that 250 families out of 2,000 there had been evicted.

The mayor shared with Reuters a call recorded in March with someone claiming to be a member of the General Security Service (GSS), a new agency made up of rebel fighters who ousted Assad.

The GSS official demanded the mayor find an empty house for a family relocating from the north. When the mayor said there were no apartments for rent, the official told him to, "empty one of those houses that belong to one of those pigs", referring to Alawites.

Muslims consider pigs unclean and impure and calling someone a pig is highly offensive.

According to three senior GSS officials, the new authorities have established two committees to manage properties belonging to individuals perceived to be connected to the previous regime. One committee is responsible for confiscations, the other addresses complaints, the people said.

Reuters was unable to determine to what extent Sharaa was aware of how homeowners were being evicted, or whether his office had oversight of the committees.

They were created as Sharaa's forces closed in on Damascus in December and were modelled on a similar entity known as the "War Spoils Committee" in his former stronghold Idlib, the GSS sources said.

"These evictions will certainly change the demographics of the city, similar to the changes that Assad implemented against his opponents in Sunni areas. We are talking about the same practice, but with different victims," said Alahmad at STJ.

On April 16, STJ filed a complaint with the Damascus Suburbs Directorate, calling for an end to "sectarian-motivated" property violations and the return of looted properties.

TWO MINUTES TO LEAVE

Assad's father Hafez al-Assad moved Alawites from coastal areas to urban centres to help cement his powerbase.

Assad set up military installations and housing units for troops and their families around Damascus, where Alawites, who were over-represented in the army, made up a significant portion of the population, according to Fabrice Balanche, a Syria expert and an associate professor at the University of Lyon 2.

Balanche estimated that half a million Alawites have moved to coastal areas after being evicted from the capital, Homs, Aleppo, and other parts of Syria following Assad's fall.

In the Alawite neighbourhood of Dahyet al-Assad, civil servant and mother of four Um Hussein said two armed masked men came to her privately owned home on January 16 and identified themselves as GSS members

The newly created GSS deployed by Sharaa seems to be an extension of the security force that ruled Idlib province, said Syria expert Joshua Landis, head of the Center for Middle East Studies at the University of Oklahoma.

The GSS now seems to be the Police, FBI, CIA and national guard, all rolled into one, he said.

Um Hussein said the men gave her 24 hours grace to leave, because of her son's dependence on a wheelchair. She appealed to numerous government bodies to keep her home, and received some assurances.

The next day at about 10 a.m., the men returned and gave her two minutes to leave. Um Hussein said they also confiscated a shop her family owned in the neighbourhood and were renting out.


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"We have been living in this house for more than 22 years. All our money and savings have been invested in it. We cannot afford to rent elsewhere," said Um Hussein.

Reuters spoke with two members of the security forces at the private homes they had occupied. One had seized two houses - including Um Hussein's - after evicting the owners.

Hamid Mohamed, meanwhile, said his unit had taken over four empty homes belonging to Shabiha, a notorious pro-Assad militia.

He said the security forces had not seized anything that wasn't theirs and recalled angrily that his home in a Damascus suburb was destroyed during the civil war. Mohamed said he moved to the capital after Assad's fall and had nowhere else to stay.

'TRANSITIONAL INJUSTICE'

On February 12, the Damascus governor called on citizens who say property has been unjustly confiscated to submit complaints at directorates.

Reuters visited one in March where the official who declined to be named confirmed a pattern: armed individuals evicted people without a court order, prevented them from taking their belongings - and then moved in.

The majority of confiscations targeted low- to middle-income Syrians who had lost their jobs and lacked the resources to pay their way out of the situation, the sources said.

Another official in another Damascus directorate said the evictions happened overnight without due process.

"It's chaotic, but there is a method to the madness, which is to terrify people and to let the whole world know that Alawites are no longer (in power)," said Landis. "There is no transitional justice. There's only transitional injustice."

Seven armed men came to Rafaa Mahmoud's apartment on February 20 and threatened to kill her and her Alawite family unless she handed over the keys to the property they had bought 15 years earlier, she said.

Mahmoud shared a 2 minute 27 second video with Reuters showing her standing behind her door, desperately arguing with the men, who warned the family to leave by nightfall.

The men, who identified themselves as state security agents, called Mahmoud and her family "infidels and pigs".

When Mahmoud asked for a court order, the men replied: "We only do things verbally here."

(Writing by Michael Georgy; Editing by David Clarke)












ROGUE NATION ATTACKS NEIGHBOUR

 UN envoy urges Israel to halt Syria attacks 'at once'

AFP
Sat, May 3, 2025


Israeli soldiers stop a Syrian Druze family, who fled sectarian violence outside Damascus, from crossing the buffer zone that used to separate Israeli and Syrian forces on Golan Heights. (Jalaa MAREY)Jalaa MAREY/AFP/AFPMore

United Nations special envoy Geir Pedersen urged Israel Saturday to halt its attacks on Syria "at once", after it carried out multiple air strikes targeting the Islamist-led authorities following sectarian violence this week.

Fresh Israeli raids were reported overnight, after Israel said repeatedly that its forces stood ready to protect the Druze minority after sectarian clashes killed 119 people, mostly Druze fighters, according to a Britain-based war monitor.

Since ousting longtime ruler Bashar al-Assad in December, Syria's new authorities -- who have roots in Al-Qaeda -- have vowed inclusive rule in the multi-confessional, multi-ethnic country, but they must also contend with pressure from radical Islamists in their ranks.

"I strongly condemn Israel's continued and escalating violations of Syria's sovereignty, including multiple air strikes in Damascus and other cities," Pedersen said in a post on X, calling "for these attacks to cease at once".

The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said more than 20 strikes hit military targets across Syria late Friday, in the "heaviest" assault carried out by Israel on its neighbour this year.

Syria's state news agency SANA reported strikes near Damascus and in the country's centre, west and south, saying one civilian was killed.

An Israeli military statement said its forces "struck a military site, anti-aircraft cannons and surface-to-air missile infrastructure in Syria". It did not give further details.

Firas Aabdeen, 32, a member of the security forces in Harasta near Damascus where one of the attacks hit, said he heard several "very loud" strikes and that a largely disused Assad-era military barracks was targeted.

The barrage followed an Israeli attack near the presidential palace in Damascus early on Friday, which Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defence Minister Israel Katz called a "clear message" to Syria's new rulers.

"We will not allow forces to be sent south of Damascus or any threat to the Druze community," they said.

Israeli foe Iran, which propped up the now ousted Assad government, condemned the strikes, accusing Israel of seeking to "destroy and annihilate the defence, economic and infrastructure capabilities of Syria as an independent country".

Lebanon's Iran-backed Hezbollah group, also an Assad ally, said that the attacks were "a clear attempt to undermine" and weaken Syria.

- Israel army 'deployed' in south -

The Israeli military said it was "deployed in southern Syria" and "prepared to prevent the entry of hostile forces into the area of Druze villages".

Since the collapse of the Assad government late last year, Israeli troops have entered the UN-patrolled buffer zone on the Golan Heights and have carried out incursions deeper into southern Syria.

It was not immediately clear whether the Israeli army was speaking of a new deployment or how many troops were involved.

A Druze official in the community's heartland in Sweida province, said there had been "no deployment of Israeli soldiers" there.

This week, Druze clerics and armed factions reaffirmed their loyalty to a united Syria, following clashes between Druze fighters and loyalists of the new government.

The unrest in Sweida and the southern suburbs of the capital was sparked by the circulation of an audio recording attributed to a Druze citizen and deemed blasphemous. AFP was unable to confirm its authenticity.

- 'Directly interfering' -

The Observatory and Druze residents said forces affiliated with the new government attacked the towns of Jaramana and Sahnaya near Damascus and clashed with Druze gunmen.

The government blamed "outlaw groups" for the violence.

A de-escalation deal saw government troop deploy in Sahnaya and tighter security around Jaramana.

Israel's military said "five Syrian Druze citizens were evacuated to receive medical treatment in Israel overnight" after sustaining injuries in Syria.

The Druze official in Sweida said they were wounded "in clashes in Sahnaya" and feared being detained if they sought treatment in Damascus.

Middle East analyst Andreas Krieg said Israel was "directly interfering in the transition process in Syria".

Israel is using the Druze issue "as some sort of pretext to justify their military occupation" of parts of Syria, he told AFP.

burs-lar/lg/kir


Syria slams Israeli Damascus strike as 'dangerous escalation'

AFP
Fri, May 2, 2025 

Syria's Islamist rulers on Friday denounced an air strike near the presidential palace as a "dangerous escalation", as Israel called it a "clear message" not to harm the Druze minority.

The dawn strike came hours after senior Druze clerics and armed factions reaffirmed their loyalty to Damascus and rejected any call for secession.

They also urged the authorities to appoint local officials to government posts in the Druze heartland in Sweida province.

Their statement followed sectarian clashes between Druze fighters and Syrian forces, including government-affiliated groups.

The clashes killed more than 100 people in Jaramana and Sahnaya near Damascus and in Sweida, war monitor the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said.

Also Friday, an apparent drone strike killed four Druze fighters at a farm in Sweida, the Observatory said.

It was unclear who was behind the strike, but Syria's official SANA news agency insisted it was an Israeli attack.

Friday's early morning blast in the presidential palace area of Damascus was heard across the city, an AFP correspondent reported.

Israeli military spokesman Avichay Adraee said "warplanes attacked... the area near Ahmed Hussein al-Sharaa's palace in Damascus", referring to the interim president.

In a joint statement, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defence Minister Israel Katz called it a "clear message" to Syria's new rulers.

"We will not allow forces to be sent south of Damascus or any threat to the Druze community," they said.

Syria's presidency called the strike "a dangerous escalation against state institutions", and accused Israel of destabilising the country.

UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres condemned the Israeli strike as a violation of Syria's sovereignty, his spokesman said.

The UN-mandated Independent Commission of Inquiry on Syria expressed concern at the "deadly clashes with sectarian dimensions", and said Israeli air strikes increased the risk to civilians.

After this week's clashes a deal to de-escalate was agreed between Druze representatives and the government, prompting troop deployments in Sahnaya and tighter security around Jaramana.

Syrian officials said the agreement also included the immediate surrender of heavy weapons.

An AFP photographer saw troops taking over checkpoints from Druze gunmen in Jaramana, although no handover of weapons was witnessed.

- 'Outlaw groups' -


Qatar, a main backer of Syria's new rulers, and Saudi Arabia condemned Israel's "aggression", and a German foreign ministry statement said "Syria must not become the venue for regional tensions to be played out".

Israel has attacked hundreds of military sites since Islamist-led forces deposed longtime president Bashar al-Assad in December.

It has also sent troops into the demilitarised buffer zone that used to separate Israeli and Syrian forces on the Golan Heights.

On Wednesday, Israel launched strikes near Damascus and threatened more if violence against the Druze continued.

The unrest inside Syria was sparked by the circulation of an audio recording attributed to a Druze citizen and deemed blasphemous. AFP was unable to confirm its authenticity.

Syria's government said "outlaw groups" were behind the violence, but the Observatory and Druze residents said forces affiliated with the new authorities attacked Jaramana and Sahnaya and clashed with Druze gunmen.

"The situation is calm, but we are scared. Everyone is terrified," 35-year-old housewife Arij told AFP, adding that many Christians and Druze "have fled to Damascus".

- 'Genocidal campaign' -


Mohamad Halawa, a security official in Damascus province, said there was now a security cordon around Jaramana where residents would be "under the umbrella of the state and the judiciary".

In Sweida, religious authorities and military factions said after a meeting that they are "an inseparable part of the united Syrian homeland", and rejected "division, separation or secession".

SANA said security forces were being sent to Sweida to "maintain security".

The move came after Sheikh Hikmat al-Hijri, a Druze spiritual leader, on Thursday condemned what he called a "genocidal campaign" against his people.

Syria's new Islamist authorities have roots in the Al-Qaeda jihadist network. They have vowed inclusive rule in the multi-confessional, multi-ethnic country, but must also contend with internal pressures from radical Islamists.

On Friday, Sharaa met Lebanese Druze leader Walid Jumblatt, who on Wednesday urged the minority community in Syria to reject "Israeli interference".

The latest violence follows massacres of Alawites in March, when the Observatory said the security forces and their allies killed more than 1,700 civilians.

It was the worst bloodshed since the overthrow of Assad, who is from the minority community.

The government accused Assad loyalists of sparking the violence, and launched an inquiry.

bur/srm/kir


Israel says it struck near Syria palace over violence in Druze areas

David Gritten - 
Fri, May 2, 2025 
BBC


A Syrian TV channel said the Israeli strike hit an empty area near the presidential palace, which is on a hill in north-west Damascus [AFP]

Israel says its fighter jets bombed an area next to the presidential palace in Syria's capital Damascus on Friday morning, as Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu vowed to protect the Druze religious minority following days of deadly sectarian violence.

Netanyahu said the strike was a "clear message to the Syrian regime" that Israel would "not allow the deployment of forces south of Damascus or any threat to the Druze community".

Later on Friday, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) confirmed that it had launched another wave of air strikes, attacking military targets. Syrian state media reported explosions north of Damascus and in the countryside close to the city of Hama.

The Syrian presidency has said it strongly condemns the strikes, calling them a "dangerous escalation" intended to destabilise Syria.

Israel also carried out strikes south of Damascus on Wednesday during clashes between Druze gunmen, security forces and allied Sunni Islamist fighters.

UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres criticised the latest Israeli bombing, calling it a "violation of Syria's sovereignty".

In a statement delivered by his spokesman, Guterres called for Israel to stop such attacks and to respect Syria's "unity, its territorial integrity and its independence".

A spiritual leader of Syria's Druze, Sheikh Hikmat al-Hijri, condemned the violence on Thursday as an "unjustifiable genocidal campaign" against his community and called for intervention by "international forces to maintain peace".

Other Druze religious leaders put out a statement early on Friday confirming what they said was the community's "commitment to a country that includes all Syrians, a nation that is free of strife", according to the Associated Press.

They also reportedly said the state should be activated in Suweida province, and that authorities should be in control of the Suweida-Damascus highway.

The Syrian government said it had deployed security forces to Druze areas to combat "outlaw groups" which it accused of instigating the clashes.

Deadly clashes in Syria's Druze areas raise fears of widening unrest


Israel says it struck gunmen attacking Druze in Syria after deadly clashes


First Druze crossing in 50 years as Israel courts allies in Syria



Israeli attacks kill two more as Syria government reaches deal with Druze
Al Jazeera

According to the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights (SOHR), a UK-based monitoring group, at least 109 people have been killed this week in Ashrafiyat Sahnaya, a town in the southern outskirts of Damascus, the mainly Druze suburb of Jaramana, and the southern province of Suweida, which has a Druze majority.

It says that includes 11 Druze civilians and 26 Druze fighters, as well as another 42 Druze men who were shot dead in an "ambush" by security forces while travelling from Suweida to Damascus on Wednesday. Thirty members of the General Security service and allied fighters have also been killed, it says.

Istanbul-based Syria TV reported that the Israeli air strike near the presidential palace appeared to have targeted an empty area, and that there were no reports of casualties or material damage.

Israel's Defence Minister issued a statement saying that when the Syrian president woke up and saw the results he would "understand well that Israel is determined to prevent harm to the Druze in Syria".

"It is [Sharaa's] duty to protect the Druze in the suburbs of Damascus from jihadist assailants and to allow the hundreds of thousands of Druze in Suweida and Jabal al-Druze to defend themselves on their own, rather than sending jihadist forces into their communities," he added.

In a statement released on Friday afternoon, the Syrian presidency said it "condemned in the strongest terms the bombing of the presidential palace yesterday by the Israeli occupation, which constitutes a dangerous escalation against state institutions and the sovereignty of the state".

"This reprehensible attack reflects the continuation of reckless movements that seek to destabilize the country and exacerbate security crises," it added.

The presidency also called on the international community to stand by Syria in confronting the attacks, which it said violated international law.

A Druze religious leader in Suweida, Sheikh Hamoud al-Hinawi, meanwhile told the BBC that the situation was "still tense" in the affected areas.

"What is happening right now is sectarian targeting by extremist elements [and] it is the duty of the state to protect civilians," he said.

"We support the rule of law and national sovereignty of Syria, as long as the national government is protecting its citizens and adhering to its commitment to rebuilding a modern Syria."

When asked whether he supported the Israeli intervention, Sheikh Hinawi said: "It's not a matter of whether I am for or against Israel - it is a matter of life and death for us and if we are being attacked we have every right defend ourselves."

On Thursday, a member of the security forces deployed in Ashrafiyat Sahnaya told the BBC that they were "not targeting any sect, but rather dealing with an armed group acting outside the law, regardless of its religious affiliation", adding: "Any such group will be held accountable."

Syrian security forces said they were deployed to combat "outlaw groups" in Druze areas south of Damascus [Reuters]

The sectarian violence erupted in Jaramana on Monday night after an audio clip of a man insulting the Prophet Muhammad circulated on social media and angered Sunni Muslims. It was attributed to a Druze cleric, but he denied any responsibility. The interior ministry also said a preliminary inquiry had cleared him.

The Druze faith is an offshoot of Shia Islam with its own unique identity and beliefs. Half its roughly one million followers live in Syria, where they make up about 3% of the population, while there are smaller communities in Lebanon, Israel and the occupied Golan Heights.

Syria's transitional President, Ahmed al-Sharaa, has promised to protect the country's many religious and ethnic minorities since his Sunni Islamist group led the rebel offensive that overthrew Bashar al-Assad's regime in December after 13 years of devastating civil war.

However, the mass killings of hundreds of civilians from Assad's minority Alawite sect in the western coastal region in March, during clashes between the new security forces and Assad loyalists, hardened fears among minority communities.

In February, Israel's prime minister warned that he would not "tolerate any threat to the Druze community in southern Syria" from the country's new security forces.

Netanyahu also demanded the complete demilitarisation of Suweida and two other southern provinces, saying Israel saw Sharaa's Sunni Islamist group, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), as a threat. HTS is a former al-Qaeda affiliate that is still designated as a terrorist organisation by the UN, the US, the EU and the UK.

The Israeli military has already carried out hundreds of strikes across Syria to destroy the country's military assets over the past four months. It has also sent troops into the UN-monitored demilitarised buffer zone between the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights and Syria, as well as several adjoining areas and the summit of Mount Hermon.

Israel conducts airstrike near Syrian presidential palace following Druze clashes


Oman Al Yahyai
Fri, May 2, 2025 
EURONEWS


Israel conducts airstrike near Syrian presidential palace following Druze clashes


Israel's air force launched a strike early on Friday near Syria’s presidential palace in a warning for the Syrian government to stop attacks on the country's Druze minority.

The military intervention came as dozens of people have been killed in clashes between pro-government forces and Druze militias near the capital Damascus.

Fighting broke out earlier this week after an audio clip circulated on social media of a man criticising Islam’s Prophet Mohammed.

The audio was attributed to a Druze cleric, but the new Syrian government — led by the former al-Qaeda affiliate Ahmed al-Sharaa — has confirmed that the man was not involved.

Israel's strike on Friday was the second time the country has intervened in Syria this week.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defence Minister Israel Katz said the move on Friday was a direct warning to the Syrian authorities.

“This is a clear message to the Syrian regime. We will not allow a withdrawal of forces from south of Damascus or any danger to the Druze community,” they said in a joint statement.

State-affiliated Syrian media reported that the strike landed near the People’s Palace, situated on a hill overlooking the capital.

After Israeli strikes south of Damascus on Wednesday, the Syrian government hit out at what it called "foreign intervention" in its country.

On Thursday, Sheikh Hikmat Al-Hijri, the Druze's spiritual leader in Syria, condemned the Syrian government’s actions against the minority population.

However, the Druze religious leadership stressed that their community is part of Syria.

“We confirm our commitment to a country that includes all Syrians, a nation that is free of strife,” they said in a statement.

Earlier this week, the UK-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights reported that 56 people, including local armed fighters and security forces, were killed in the Sahnaya area and in Jaramana, a suburb of Damascus with a significant Druze population.

The Druze are a religious minority whose faith originated as a branch of Shiite Islam.

Nine killed in clashes between Druze gunmen and government forces in Syria

Druze protesters block roads in Galilee over deadly Syria clashes

Of the approximately one million Druze globally, over half reside in Syria, with many living in the southern province of Sweida and the outskirts of Damascus.

Significant Druze communities also live in Lebanon and Israel, including in the Golan Heights — territory Israel seized from Syria during the 1967 Middle East War and formally annexed in 1981.

Al-Sharaa's government has promised to protect religious minorities since ousting the Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad in December.

However, this pledge was called into question after hundreds of civilians from al-Assad's Alawite sect were killed in March in western Syria.

What is behind the latest round of clashes in Syria between Druze and pro-government gunmen


BASSEM MROUE

Fri, May 2, 2025  
AFP


A Druze man, center, stands next to Syrian security forces who reached a deal with Druze gunmen to deploy around the southern Damascus suburb of Jaramana that has witnessed fighting earlier this week in Damascus, Syria, early Friday, May 2, 2025. (AP Photo/Omar Sanadiki)More


BEIRUT (AP) — Four days of clashes between pro-government gunmen and members of a minority sect in Syria have left nearly 100 people dead and raised fears of deadly sectarian violence. The country is deeply divided as it tries to emerge from decades of dictatorship.

The clashes are the worst between forces loyal to the government and Druze fighters since the fall of President Bashar Assad in early December whose family ruled Syria with an iron grip for more than five decades.

The situation between the two sides has been tense for weeks and a smaller clash broke out in March in a suburb of Damascus.

Here are the main reasons the clashes expanded in recent days and background on the two sides:

Who are the Druze?

The Druze religious sec t is a minority group that began as a 10th-century offshoot of Ismailism, a branch of Shiite Islam. More than half the roughly 1 million Druze worldwide live in Syria. Most of the other Druze live in Lebanon and Israel, including in the Golan Heights, which Israel captured from Syria in the 1967 Mideast War and annexed in 1981. In Syria, they largely live in the southern Sweida province and some suburbs of Damascus, mainly in Jaramana and Ashrafiyat Sahnaya to the south.

The transitional government has promised to include the Druze, but has so far kept authority in the hands of the Islamist former insurgents who toppled Assad in December — Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, or HTS.

The new 23-member government in Syria announced in late March only has one Druze member, Minister of Agriculture Amjad Badr.

Under the Assad family's tight rule, religious freedom was guaranteed as the country then boasted about its secular and Arab nationalist system.

The Druze have been slightly divided over how to deal with their issues with the new status quo in the country. Most Druze support a dialogue with the government while others support a more confrontational approach, so the reactions have differed while they are all concerned about the safety of their people.

What is behind the tension between the two sides

Syria’s religious and ethnic communities are worried about their place in Syria’s new system that is mostly run by Islamists including some who have links to extremist groups.

More in World

Israeli attacks kill two more as Syria government reaches deal with Druze
Al Jazeera

The country’s new President Ahmad al-Sharaa himself is a former militant who once was a member of al-Qaida and was held for years in jails in neighboring Iraq for his role in the anti-American insurgency. Although al-Sharaa had said that the right of ethnic and religious minorities will be protected, there have been several rounds of sectarian killings since Assad’s fall.

The Assad family rule that was dominated by members of the Alawite sect had oppressed much of the country’s Sunni majority while giving minorities some powers. Being a member of the Muslim Brotherhood, the largest Islamic group in the country decades ago, was punishable by death as of the 1980s.

The Druze have major concerns about Muslim groups since they came under attack by members of the Islamic State group in 2018 in the southern Sweida province. It left dozens killed or wounded and more than two dozen people were taken hostage for nearly four months. Muslim extremists consider the Druze heretics.

During Syria's 14-year conflict, the Druze had their own militias.

What triggered the clashes?

The clashes broke out around midnight Monday in the southern Damascus suburb of Jaramana after an audio clip circulated on social media of a man criticizing Islam’s Prophet Muhammad. The audio was attributed to a Druze cleric. But cleric Marwan Kiwan said in a video posted on social media that he was not responsible for the audio, which angered many Sunni Muslims.

The fighting later spread to the outskirts of the southern town of Sakhnaya triggering the first Israeli airstrike against pro-government gunmen. Israeli officials, whose country has its own Druze community, have vowed to protect the Druze of Syria and warned Islamic groups form entering predominantly Druze areas.

The clashes have pulled Israel further into the conflict with the airstrike two days ago and Friday marked a major increase in tensions with an attack close to the presidential palace in Damascus in what Syria’s presidency called a major escalation.

Israel does not want what it calls Islamic extremists near the country’s northern border. Since Assad’s fall, Israel has carved a buffer zone in southern Syria and has destroyed much of the Syrian army’s assets so they don’t fall into the hands of groups that removed him from power.

Israel had been warning for decades that Iran and its proxies pose a danger along its northern border, and now it is doing the same with the new authorities in Syria who are backed by Turkey.

Other sporadic attacks in different areas as well as an ambush on the Damascus-Sweida highway made the situation worse until a deal was reached early Friday after which Interior Ministry forces and local Druze gunmen deployed in different areas.

The Britain-based war monitor The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said that 99 people were killed over the past four days, of which 51 were killed in Sakhnaya and the Druze-majority Damascus suburb of Jaramana. Among them were local gunmen and security forces.

What are the main concerns?

The clashes near Damascus and in southern Syria came nearly two months after an ambush by fighters loyal to Assad triggered days of sectarian and revenge attacks. The fighting in the country’s coastal region left more than 1,000 people dead. Many of the dead were civilians who were gunned down because they belonged to the minority Alawite sect that Assad belongs to.

Security forces deployed in the coastal province of Latakia and Tartus but activists say that sectarian killings against Alawites are still taking place albeit at a much slower pace when compared to the early March attacks.

Members of religious minorities in Syria such as Alawites, Christians and Druze fear persecution by the main Sunni Muslim groups. Videos have circulated on social media showing Islamist fighters insulting Druze detainees and humiliating them such as shaving their mustaches.

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Israel strikes near Syria's presidential palace in 'message' to new leader Sharaa

Reuters
Thu, May 1, 2025 



Syrian security forces deployed in the village of Al-Soura al-Kubra

Syrian security forces deployed in the village of Al-Soura al-Kubra

Syrian security forces deployed in the village of Al-Soura al-Kubra

Syrian security forces deployed in the village of Al-Soura al-Kubra

A Druze resident of Al-Soura al-Kubra, Salman Olaiwi, inspects his damaged home

DAMASCUS/SWEIDA, Syria (Reuters) -Israel bombed an area near the presidential palace in Damascus early on Friday, in its clearest warning yet to Syria's new Islamist-led authorities of its readiness to ramp up military action in the name of the country's Druze minority.

Syria's government called the bombing a "dangerous escalation" amid increasing hostility between the neighbours.

Israel has escalated military operations in Syria since rebels ousted Bashar al-Assad in December, with bombings across the country and ground forces entering its southwest, while calling for Syria to remain decentralised and isolated.

It has framed its stance around its suspicion of interim President Ahmed al-Sharaa - who once headed a branch of al Qaeda before renouncing ties to the group in 2016 - and a desire to protect the Druze, a minority sect that is an offshoot of Islam with followers in Syria, Lebanon and Israel.

The Israeli military said troops were deployed in southern Syria to prevent the return of hostile forces to areas around Druze villages. It said forces were ready for defence and "various scenarios".

It added that five Syrian-Druze citizens were evacuated to receive medical treatment in Israel after sustaining wounds.

Earlier Israel's military said it struck an area "adjacent" to Sharaa's palace in Damascus, without further details. There were no immediate reports of casualties.

The strike was "a clear message to the Syrian regime: We will not allow (Syrian) forces to deploy south of Damascus or any threat to the Druze community", Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defence Minister Israel Katz said in a joint statement.

Syria's presidency condemned what it described as a "bombardment on the presidential palace" and said it marked a "dangerous escalation".

"Israel doesn't want peace. Nor does it care for the groups it purportedly protects by bombing others," Syrian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Razan Saffour wrote on X, adding Israel had never bombed near the palace when Assad was in power.

A Syrian official told Reuters the target was about 100 metres (330 feet) east of the palace's perimeter.

SECTARIAN VIOLENCE

It followed days of clashes in Syria between Sunni Muslim and Druze gunmen triggered by a voice recording purportedly insulting the Prophet Mohammed. The fighting killed more than two dozen people in towns around Damascus and prompted an initial Israeli "warning strike" on a town on the capital's outskirts that killed one member of Syria's security forces.

Israeli opposition parties expressed support for operations in Syria.

"Israel cannot abandon the Druze in Syria to their fate," centrist opposition leader Yair Lapid said on the social media platform X. "The Syrian regime must know they are our allies and we will not stand by while they are attacked."

This week's fighting posed the latest challenge for Sharaa, who has repeatedly vowed to unite all of Syria's armed forces under one structure and govern the country, fractured by 14 years of civil war until Assad's overthrow, in an inclusive way.

But incidents of sectarian violence, notably the killing of hundreds of pro-Assad Alawites in March, have hardened fears among minority groups about the now-dominant Islamists and sparked condemnation from global powers.

On Thursday, the clashes began spreading further south to the province of Sweida, which is predominantly Druze.

'DON'T NEED ANYONE'S PROTECTION'

Late on Thursday, Druze community leaders and Syrian government officials met in Sweida in a bid to defuse tensions. Their concluding statement said residents of Sweida would protect their province as a part of Syria's internal security forces, and rejected "division, separation or secession".

"Syria is our mother nation, we do not have an alternative country," Sheikh Laith al-Balous, one of the Druze leaders in the meeting, told Syria TV in an interview when asked whether Israel's strikes on Syria were meant to protect the Druze. "We don't need anyone's protection."

Syrian security forces were patrolling the village of Al-Soura al-Kubra in Sweida province on Friday, where residents had fled clashes the previous day between approaching Sunni Islamist militants and Druze fighters defending the town.

Residents told Reuters that when they returned, they found their homes had been looted. Salman Olaiwi said his door had been broken down and money was missing, but that he was glad an agreement had been reached to end the fighting.

Israel has a small Druze community and there are also some 24,000 Druze living in the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights, which Israel captured from Syria in the 1967 Middle East war. Israel annexed the territory in 1981, a move that has not been recognised by most countries or the United Nations.

Some Druze in Israel serving in the Israeli military wrote to Netanyahu demanding help for their kin in Syria, saying "hundreds of fighters" were ready to volunteer to help.

(Reporting by Khalil Ashawi and Kinda Makieh in Damascus, Karam Masri in Al-Soura Al-Kubra, Timour Azhari and Tala Ramadan in Dubai and Maya Gebeily in Beirut; editing by Himani Sarkar, Lincoln Feast and Mark Heinrich)

Syria's Druze take up arms to defend their town against Islamists

AFP
Thu, May 1, 2025


An armed man walks through the mostly Druze and Christian Damascus suburb of Jaramana, which came under attack by Islamists this week (LOUAI BESHARA)LOUAI BESHARA/AFP/AFPMore


Syrian estate agent Fahd Haidar shuttered his business and got out his rifle to defend his hometown of Jaramana when it came under attack this week by Islamists loyal to the new government.

Seven Druze fighters were among the 17 people killed in the Damascus suburb as clashes raged from Monday into Tuesday, the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said.

On Wednesday, the sectarian violence spread to the nearby town of Sahnaya, where 22 combatants were killed, the Britain-based war monitor said.

Fourteen years after former ruler Bashar al-Assad's bloody suppression of pro-democracy protests triggered a devastating civil war, Haidar said he feared a return to "chaos", a slide into a "quagmire of grievances that will affect every Syrian".

He appealed to the new authorities, who took over after Assad's ouster in December, to step back from the brink and find "radical solutions" to rein in "uncontrolled gangs" like those who attacked his mainly Druze and Christian hometown this week.

In Jaramana, Druze leaders reached a deal with government representatives on Tuesday evening to put a halt to the fighting.

On Wednesday morning, an AFP correspondent saw hundreds of armed Druze, some of them just boys, deployed across the town.

- 'War footing' -

Behind mounds of earth piled up as improvised defences, Druze fighters handed out weapons and ammunition.

"For the past two days, the people of Jaramana have been on a war footing," said local activist Rabii Mondher.

"Everybody is scared -- of war... of coming under siege, of a new assault and new martyrs."

Like many residents in the confessionally mixed town, Mondher said he hoped "peace will be restored... because we have no choice but to live together".

Mounir Baaker lost his nephew Riadh in this week's clashes.

"We don't take an eye for an eye," he said tearfully, as he received the condolences of friends and neighbours.

"Jaramana is not used to this," he went on, holding up a photograph of his slain nephew, who was among a number of young Druze men from the town who signed up to join the new security forces after Assad's ouster.

"We're brought up to be tolerant, not to strike back and not to attack anyone, whoever they are," he said. "But we defend ourselves if we are attacked."

mon/lar/kir/saw




Hundreds of UN staff in Swiss city protest job cuts triggered by Trump

Emma Farge and Cecile Mantovani
Thu, May 1, 2025 
REUTERS



UN staff demonstrate about firing employees, outside the European headquarters, in Geneva

UN staff demonstrate about firing employees, outside the European headquarters, in Geneva

UN staff demonstrate about firing employees outside the European headquarters, in Geneva

UN staff demonstrate about firing employees, outside the European headquarters, in Geneva

GENEVA (Reuters) -Hundreds of U.N. staff protested outside the United Nations' European headquarters on Thursday at job losses within the global body due to major aid cuts by U.S. President Donald Trump and other donors.

Switzerland's Geneva, which calls itself the 'City of Peace', is a humanitarian and diplomatic hub, employing over 30,000 people in the sector, according to cantonal authorities.

Protesters from the U.N. and its specialist agencies held banners reading: "STOP FIRING UN STAFF NOW!" and chanted: "U.N. staff are not a commodity". Smaller protests also occurred in Thailand and Myanmar on May 1, U.N. staff said.

While short-term contractors and employees at some agencies like the International Organization for Migration have already been informed of redundancies, many thousands more are coming.

The deepest cuts are expected at agencies heavily reliant on voluntary funding from former top donor the United States, like the World Food Programme or the U.N. refugee agency.

"They tried to keep me but it was impossible," said An Cuypers, a human rights lawyer, whose temporary contract at the U.N. Human Rights Office was not renewed. "So we are here now: hiring freeze, no budget."

Séverine Deboos, Chairperson of the International Labour Organization Staff Union, said that up to 250 ILO employees had been made redundant since January.

"We feel lost. We don't know how to face this," she said.

"What is complicated and very stressful, there is no real safety net," she added, saying some did not have access to Swiss unemployment benefits and face expiring visas. An ILO spokesperson was not immediately available for comment.

Grace, a U.N. employee who declined to give her last name, said it was important to stand up for aid workers who had sometimes risked their lives to help people in conflict.

"The U.N. stands for everybody else but nobody stands up for the people behind the U.N.," she said.

(Reporting by Emma Farge and Cecile Mantovani; Editing by William Maclean)
Vice President JD Vance has been advised against visiting Canada by one of his closest friends, a Canadian politician.


Joe Sommerlad
Fri, May 2, 2025



Jamil Jivani, 37, who befriended Vance while they were both students together at Yale Law School and who is now a Conservative MP, had extended an open invitation to the American to visit his Ontario constituency.

However, he has now decided it is not a “constructive” moment to host his old friend, given the strength of anti-Trump sentiment in the country just now in reaction to President Donald Trump’s threat of annexing Canada as America’s 51 state and his imposition of 25 percent tariffs on its exports.


Vice President JD Vance has faced a cold reception at a number of countries he has visited since November (AFP/Getty)

“Right now we have strong political disagreements, and that’s kind of how it is,” Jivani told Politico.

“They need to probably reconsider some of their rhetoric and their policy before coming to Canada. Our country should deserve more respect before being able to welcome them.”

Jivani had dinner with Vance in Arlington, Virginia, in December during the presidential transition period and attended Trump’s inauguration in Washington, D.C., in January. His comments illustrate just how quickly the mood has shifted in response to the Trump administration’s rhetoric towards its northern neighbor.

The Canadian’s suburban district of Bowmanville-Oshawa North houses a GM plant where the Chevrolet Silverado is manufactured and whose employees are anxious about the future of the auto industry as a result of Trump’s disruptive trade war.


Jamil Jivani said his country ‘deserves more respect’ (Robert T Bell)

For his part, the VP and his advisers will be wary of inviting a repeat of the chilly reception he and his wife Usha Vance received when they flew out to Greenland in late March. A number of scheduled events were canceled and the couple were reduced to having only a brief lunch on an American military base because of an evident lack of local enthusiasm for their trip.

Trump’s comments on Canada have turned the country’s politics upside down in recent months, allowing newly-elected Prime Minister Mark Carney and his Liberal Party to win this week’s general election when, at one stage, the party had looked down and out, blamed for high inflation under Justin Trudeau as Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre simply waited in the wings for his opportunity to snatch power.

Jivani’s friendship with Vance was used against him during April’s campaign and may have counted against his party, an experience he described as “frustrating.”

“They created commercials about me and JD being friends,” he said. “They doctored pictures of us and dropped them in mailboxes in my riding. The misrepresentation of who I am, what I believe in, the misrepresentation of my commitment to this country, that stuff, was very, very frustrating.”

Canada’s prime minister Mark Carney was recently elected on an anti-Trump platform (AFP via Getty Images)

Asked about the current state of his friendship with the vice president, he said: “We haven’t talked in a while. He’s busy, I’m busy. It’s just the nature of the work that we do.

“Certainly, the way they’ve talked about Canada has been a problem for me personally. I’m a proud Canadian. I’m focused on my community, and we’ll see what happens next.”

On the prospect of their bond lasting into the future, Jivani said: “We were friends before politics, we will be friends after politics.

“This is a guy that I played fantasy football with for the last 15 years. He’s now the vice president and that’s a unique situation.

“It’s just the nature of having a friend in a situation like this. I kind of just acknowledge that we’re in different places, we have different priorities.

“He does his thing, I do my thing. And when this is all over, I’m sure we’ll talk again.”

Ryanair threatens to ‘reassess’ a $30 billion Boeing order after getting U.S. flak for considering China’s COMAC jets

Ryanair CEO Michael O'Leary during a Ryanair press conference on Feb. 11, 2025 in Madrid. · Fortune · Eduardo Parra—Europa Press via Getty Images

Lionel Lim
Fri, May 2, 2025 
FORTUNE

Ryanair, the low-cost Irish airline, could be thinking about China’s COMAC as a Boeing replacement.


In a letter to Democratic congressman Raja Krishnamoorthi, CEO Michael O’Leary said Ryanair would “reassess” its Boeing order if U.S. tariffs increase the cost of the company’s planes. The airline currently has 330 planes on order with Boeing; the order is estimated to be worth about $30 billion.

The aviation sector is quickly becoming a key battleground in the trade war between the U.S. and its major trading partners. Boeing and Airbus, the current duopoly, are now grappling with how tariffs will affect their supply chains and international sales–with the disruption potentially opening the door to other suppliers, like COMAC.

In late March, O’Leary said he was open to buying the C919, a narrow-body plane made by COMAC, if the price was right. The C919 is China’s answer to Boeing 737 and Airbus’s A320.

That set off alarm bells in Washington. “U.S. and European airlines should not be even contemplating the future purchase of airplanes from Chinese military companies," Krishnamoorthi reportedly wrote in a letter to O’Leary, citing COMAC's ties to the Chinese military. The congressman is the top Democrat on a House committee examining “strategic competition” with the Chinese Communist Party.

O’Leary, in his letter to Krishnamoorthi, said he’d consider ordering the Chinese plane if it was 10% to 20% cheaper, but noted that the airline was not currently in discussions with COMAC, according to Reuters which first reported the existence of the letter.

Ryanair didn't immediately respond to a request for comment.


Boeing troubles

Boeing is increasingly finding itself in a tricky position amid trade tensions. The company is one of the U.S.’s top exporters, putting it in the crosshairs of governments upset with Trump’s new trade policies.

In April, China turned away three completed Boeing planes destined for Chinese airlines. Boeing CEO Kelly Ortberg is now looking for alternative buyers for the 50 planes destined for Chinese customers.

China was once one of Boeing’s most important non-U.S. markets, though safety concerns have dragged sales down in recent years.


Still, Beijing may have offered an olive branch to the U.S. planemaker as officials try to manage the intense trade war with Washington. “Chinese airlines and Boeing in the United States have suffered greatly," China’s commerce ministry said in an unsigned statement on Tuesday, adding that Beijing wanted to support “normal business cooperation between enterprises of both [the U.S. and China].”

Who's interested in COMAC?

Ryanair’s O’Leary is the latest aviation chief executive to consider COMAC as an alternative to the Boeing-Airbus duopoly.

Ronald Lam, CEO of Hong Kong airline Cathay Pacific, predicted an “ABC” future—namely, Airbus, Boeing and COMAC—for the aviation sector at a Fortune conference last year.

AirAsia, the Malaysian low-cost carrier, is also in talks with COMAC. CEO Tony Fernandes has stated a need for more planes to supplement its A321 fleet.

As of now, the vast majority of COMAC’s planes are used in China. Only a handful of non-Chinese airlines are using COMAC’s planes. Vietnamese airline Vietjet recently started operating the C909, a smaller jet from COMAC designed for shorter flights. Lao Airlines and Indonesia’s TransNusa Airlines also operate the C909, previously known as the ARJ21.

No non-Chinese airline currently uses the C919. China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, and Air China currently use the jet–in tiny numbers.

But the COMAC still has a long hill to climb before its jets gain international acceptance. Major regulators still need to certify COMAC’s planes–which could take years, if it comes at all. COMAC’s planes are currently only certified to fly in Hong Kong and mainland China.

A report from the French magazine L’Usine Nouvelle published on Monday said the European Union Aviation Safety Agency, Europe’s regulator, could take at least another three years.

Florian Guillermet, the executive director of the regulator, said certification would not happen this year. COMAC began working with EASA about four years ago.

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com
Top Trump economist derided as ‘incoherent’ on tariffs after closed-door meeting with investors


Greg McKenna
Thu, May 1, 2025


Stephen Miran, who heads the president’s Council of Economic Advisers, reportedly failed to reassure bond investors about the president’s tariff plans. In a memo authored shortly after President Donald Trump’s election victory, Miran said a stronger dollar was key to making other nations bear the burden of tax hikes on imports. The greenback, however, is down roughly 8% year to date.


The Trump administration has clear incentive to smooth things over with bond investors, who may have forced the president to back off his sweeping “reciprocal tariffs” earlier this month. But one of Trump’s top economists, who authored a tariff blueprint read widely on Wall Street, reportedly failed to reassure several leading fixed-income traders in a meeting at the White House last week.

Stephen Miran, chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, met with roughly 15 representatives from the likes of Citadel, BlackRock, and PGIM on Friday at an event convened by Citigroup, the Financial Times reported. Apparently, some participants thought it didn’t go well, with sources branding Miran’s comments on tariffs “incoherent” and the Harvard-educated economist “out of his depth” in comments to the FT.

“[Miran] got questions, and that’s when it fell apart,” one person familiar with the meeting told the FT. “When you’re with an audience that knows a lot, the talking points are taken apart pretty quickly.”


Miran is reportedly distancing himself from his 40-page memo, titled “A User’s Guide to Restructuring the Global Trading System,” which he published shortly after Trump’s election victory in November while working at $31 billion hedge fund Hudson Bay Capital. While Miran emphasized the paper was not “policy advocacy,” it offered an argument backing Trump’s claims that other nations, rather than U.S. consumers, would effectively “pay” for tariffs, a theory blasted by most economists.

Now, Miran leads the agency tasked with providing the executive branch with economic research and analysis. The National Economic Council, headed by Kevin Hassett, helps coordinate policy.

“Administration officials maintain regular contact with business leaders and industry groups about our trade and economic policies,” White House spokesman Kush Desai said in a statement. “The only interest guiding the administration and President Trump’s decision-making, however, is the best interest of the American people.”

The Council of Economic Advisers did not immediately respond to Fortune’s request for comment.

Markets currently seem to be experiencing a period of uneasy calm, with the S&P 500 up over 10% from April 8, when the index plunged below the $5,000 mark for the first time in nearly 12 months.


Bond yields, meanwhile, have also steadied after a shocking spike earlier this month sparked fears of a liquidity crisis and raised questions about the safe-haven status of U.S. debt. The 10-year Treasury yield, the benchmark rate for mortgages and other common types of loans, sat at 4.17% early Wednesday afternoon, down from a high of 4.59% on April 11.

Dollar’s decline means Americans will feel tariffs


The selloff in U.S. assets across the board has seemingly poked holes in Miran’s argument that other nations, rather than American consumers, will be hit hardest by a dramatic hike in taxes on imports.

That’s because his vision largely depends on how tariffs theoretically make the dollar stronger relative to foreign currencies. When imports from China become more expensive, for example, less demand for the country’s goods means the value of the yuan compared with the dollar should decline.

In a world where nations like China accept tariffs without retaliating—Beijing, to be sure, has responded with a 125% tax on U.S. imports—higher prices paid by U.S. importers may be offset by a cheaper exchange rate.

“American consumers’ purchasing power isn’t affected, since the tariff and the currency move cancel each other out,” Miran wrote in his memo, “but since the exporters’ citizens became poorer as a result of the currency move, the exporting nation ‘pays for’ or bears the burden of the tax, while the U.S. Treasury collects the revenue.”

Of course, investors have instead piled out of the dollar, which is down 8% year to date.

“If currency offset does not occur,” Miran wrote in November, “American consumers will suffer higher prices, and the tariff will be borne by them.”

Miran also stressed the importance of preventing retaliation and tit-for-tat escalations with trading partners. Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent claimed this week that negotiations with countries like India, Japan, and South Korea are going well. Meanwhile, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said he already has a trade deal done, but could not yet name the other country.

“Economists are rooting for the penguins of the Heard and [McDonald] Islands,” Paul Donovan, chief economist at UBS Global Wealth Management, wrote in a note Wednesday, referencing the uninhabited Antarctic territory assigned a baseline 10% tariff.

‘Mar-a-Lago Accord’ off the table

Miran had previously suggested tariffs could set up a so-called Mar-a-Lago Accord, or an international agreement to devalue the U.S. dollar like the 1985 Plaza Accord. In the November memo, he also floated instituting a “user fee” for foreign holders of U.S. Treasuries. Critics say the latter would equate to America defaulting on its debt.

Michael Green, portfolio manager and chief strategist of ETF manager Simplify, disputed that characterization, but that doesn’t mean he thinks such proposals make for practical policy.

“They are nice pontifications about what could potentially happen if the U.S. is able to somewhat unilaterally negotiate positions,” he told Fortune.

“What we are seeing in the tariff responses is at least the initial conditions for that are not met,” added Green, who previously founded a hedge fund seeded by George Soros and managed the personal capital of Peter Thiel. “The rest of the world’s like, ‘Why? Why would we do that?’”

The bond market riot earlier this month provides a taste of what a ruinous flight out of U.S. assets could look like. Miran didn’t mention such proposals in a speech to the Hudson Institute, a think tank, earlier this month. As in his memo, however, he insisted the dollar’s status as the world’s reserve currency has hurt American manufacturing and allowed other nations to freeload off Washington’s military might.

“If other nations want to benefit from the U.S. geopolitical and financial umbrella, then they need to pull their weight,” he said, “and pay their fair share.”

Countries could do that, he said, by passively accepting tariffs, committing to buy more U.S. exports, boosting their investment in American infrastructure, and ending “unfair trade practices.”

“Fifth,” Miran said, “they could simply write checks to Treasury that help us finance global public goods.”

If Wall Street bigwigs got a similar spiel last week, some apparently left the White House less than convinced.

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com

Trump’s bubble of economic unreality is coming close to bursting

Analysis by Stephen Collinson, CNN
Wed, April 30, 2025 


Secretary of State Marco Rubio, President Donald Trump and Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth attend a Cabinet meeting at the White House on April 30, 2025, in Washington, DC. - Andrew Harnik/Getty ImagesMore


In the space of a few hours, Donald Trump went from hailing America’s new “golden age” to warning parents their kids would have fewer toys — and they’d cost more.

The president’s dizzying switch this week epitomized the hype surrounding his “Make America wealthy again” promise and the pain it might take to get there.

Trump’s note of pessimism in a Cabinet meeting was a rare admission that his China trade war will mean fewer goods at higher prices and a dose of truth on a day when reality several times threatened to pierce the White House bubble.


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It came as the president on Wednesday fought to dispel bad vibes following official data showing the economy contracted in the first quarter by 0.3% — the first big step-back measure of Trump’s impact on US growth.

The Commerce Department report doesn’t mean the country is tumbling headlong into an immediate crisis. Some of the underlying figures were more encouraging than the GDP dip. Such reports are often amended upward as more data is processed. And although the US economy has been extraordinarily resilient, it’s normal to see cycles of growth and decline in a capitalist nation.

The report is more important for its political and symbolic effect than for its snapshot of a slowing economy. Trump cannot afford for its flashing red lights to become conventional wisdom.

To start with, the data rained on a White House flattery offensive billing Trump’s first 100 days as the greatest-ever burst of presidential action. And it pointed to a growing political vulnerability. While much of Trump’s support derives from his tough border policies, the idea that he’s a master businessman who knows how to steer the economy is key to his mystique. If that is stripped away, his political foundation becomes weaker.

Second, the GDP report played into a growing sense that bleak economic days are ahead and that this is just the start. Trump cannot allow such an impression to take hold. Apart from its impact on his personal standing, panic among GOP lawmakers could rock the fragile unity of the fragile GOP majority in the House — which Trump needs to pass his “big, beautiful” tax and budget plans.

More importantly, amid signs that consumers are already pulling back, evidence that rough times are ahead could become a self-fulfilling prophecy. History shows that a country can talk itself into a recession.

The world is watching, too. If Trump’s sliding approval ratings create any impression of political weakness, it could undermine his negotiating position as he seeks to close trade deals with dozens of countries seeking to avoid his tariffs. If foreign leaders think he’s desperate, why would they put good offers on the table?

President Donald Trump, center left, listens during a Cabinet meeting at the White House, Wednesday, April 30, 2025, in Washington. - Evan Vucci/AP

A familiar excuse: It’s all Biden’s fault


As usual, Trump’s reaction tells the story.

After the release of the GDP report, Trump published a panicky Truth Social post saying, “This is Biden’s Stock Market not Trump’s.” He added, “This will take a while, has NOTHING TO DO WITH TARIFFS.” All day, the president slammed his predecessor to offset blame for the economic numbers. Later, he looked to future data. “This is Biden, and you could even say the next quarter is sort of Biden because it doesn’t just happen on a daily or an hourly basis,” Trump said.

Every administration blames its predecessor for grisly economic news — it’s fair game in politics. And it’s true that it takes time for an administration to establish its own economic policies and see the results. Trump is undoubtably responding to a real economic problem — the gutting of many communities in industrialized parts of America as the result of globalization.

But his claim that disappointing economic indicators are the fault of his predecessor would have more credibility had he not initiated the most disruptive assault on the global economic and trading system since World War II with little planning, questionable metrics and trademark chaos.

The day that Trump stood up in the White House Rose Garden with his scoreboard showing each nation’s tariff rate, he took ownership of the economy. Many of the shocks and uncertainties that are weighing on investors and consumers can be traced directly back to “Liberation Day.”

Millions of Americans, meanwhile, have seen the impact on their 401 (k) pension plans. These have been especially scary months for those who have just retired or plan to do so soon.

And one important reason why Trump won the 2024 election is that voters judged him to have more credible answers on reducing the costs of living, such as groceries. Despite the president’s attempts to obscure the truth, he’s done little to mitigate those prices, which have a huge impact on the lives of those who — unlike most of his Cabinet members — are not millionaires or billionaires.

Public perceptions have also been shaped by an avalanche of evidence that the economy is headed south.

“This has probably been the least successful first 100 days of a presidency on the economy in history, in the last century,” former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers told CNN’s Kate Bolduan. “We’ve seen the stock market go down by as much as ever. We’ve seen the dollar go down more than ever. We’ve seen forecasts of unemployment go up. Forecasts of inflation go up. Forecasts of the odds of recession go up. We’ve seen consumer confidence collapse. We’ve seen businesses take back all their previous earnings projection.”

Top administration figures dismissed such a downbeat prognosis.

“This was the best negative print, as they say in the trade, for GDP I have ever seen in my life. It really should be very positive news for America,” Trump’s trade adviser Peter Navarro told reporters. Trump, meanwhile, claimed credit for a spike in investment in the report — raising the question of why that indicator was down to him while more negative figures were attributable to Biden.

Other officials argued the Commerce Department numbers were influenced by a sudden tsunami of imports that suppressed the growth calculation. This, they said, gave a false reading of the economy’s health. But the import surge came as companies stockpiled products in the expectation that Trump’s tariffs would shut down trade. It is therefore more an indicator of coming economic problems than a marker of current strength.

President Donald Trump delivers remarks at an "Investing in America" event in Washington, DC, on April 30, 2025. - Leah Millis/Reuters
The gap between reality and Trump’s promises

The dueling mix of rhetoric and data coming out of the administration on Wednesday suggests the White House has a growing problem that will go a long way to dictating the shape of Trump’s second term.

Having launched the US and the world into the economic unknown — on his own gut calls — Trump’s path to a successful outcome is looking opaque.

That’s why his comment on the cost of toys was so revealing.

The president was referring to the potential impact of his showdown with China — the most important front in the trade war. With Chinese President Xi Jinping still refusing to bend to the president’s 145% tariff, the president has been insisting for days that he and his administration have been involved in intense talks with Beijing, despite no public evidence this is the case. US-based observers don’t usually believe China’s communist government over statements from Washington. But this administration’s record of propaganda and falsehoods means that it’s not getting much benefit of the doubt these days.

The president, describing China as the “chief ripper-offer” of US factories and workers, boasted that his action had caused cargo ships laden with goods for the US market to turn around and head back to port. He curiously painted all this as a good thing.

“You know, somebody said, ‘Oh, the shelves are going to be open,’” Trump said. “Well, maybe the children will have two dolls instead of 30 dolls, you know? And maybe the two dolls will cost a couple of bucks more than they would normally.”

The remark may have been flippant, but it was revealing nonetheless, and pointed to a looming trap for the president.

There is a solid argument that the United States has let itself become too reliant on cheap consumer goods from China and that, for the overall health of the nation, it would be better to have a more balanced economy.

But it’s a discordant political argument for a billionaire president who moves in an orbit of wealthy CEOs and members of his Mar-a-Lago club to tell working parents that they will be able to afford fewer toys for their children.

And this goes far beyond dolls.

While the trans-Pacific pipeline of goods from China has hurt US domestic manufacturing, it has raised living standards for millions of Americans. Almost everyone has benefited from cheaper school supplies, clothes and consumer electronics like flat-screen TVs. Every parent knows how quickly kids grow out of their shoes. Most of that footwear comes from China.

If that suddenly goes away, there’s going to be real pain.

This was one of the only times he’s leveled with the Americans about the probable cost of his trade clash with Beijing.

White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt joined by Secretary of Treasury Scott Bessent, holds a news article on Amazon founder Jeff Bezos during the daily briefing in the Brady Briefing Room of the White House in Washington, DC, on April 29. - Mandel Ngan/AFP/Getty ImagesMore

But the White House is still trying to keep reality at bay. On Tuesday, Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt accused Amazon of a “hostile and political” act following a since-denied report it planned to itemize the true cost of tariffs to shoppers on its websites.

And much of Trump’s day Wednesday was taken up by events featuring Cabinet members and friendly business figures lavishing him with praise.

“President, your first 100 days has far exceeded that of any other presidency in this country ever, ever. Never seen anything like it. Thank you,” said Attorney General Pam Bondi during the pageant of sycophancy at the Cabinet meeting. It was not the first time recently that the White House communications effort has seemed more geared to boosting the president’s morale than that of the country.

Some of this is comical. But it suggests that a president who has set the economy and the world on a perilous course is not getting genuine advice about the consequences.

So the gap between reality and Trump’s world will only grow, and will undermine statements like the one he made in Michigan on Tuesday night.

“Our Golden Age has only just begun.”

 CNN.com