Sunday, December 27, 2020

U.S. plans to open consulate in Western Sahara, Pompeo says

The Moroccan government has mostly controlled the area, but a small portion has been managed by the partially recognized Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic, a self-proclaimed sovereign state established by the Polisario Front in the 1970s.



U.S. Secretary Mike Pompeo announced Thursday that the United States plans to open a consulate in Western Sahara after President Donald Trump recognized Morocco's sovereignty over the region earlier this month. File Photo by Kevin Dietsch/UPI | License Photo

Dec. 24 (UPI) -- The United States will open a consulate in Western Sahara, U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo announced Thursday.

"Pleased to announce the beginning of the process to establish a U.S. consulate in Western Sahara and the inauguration of a virtual presence post effective immediately!" Pompeo wrote on Twitter Thursday afternoon.

"We look forward to promoting economic and social development, and to engage the people of this region."

In a statement, Pompeo added that the virtual presence post in Sahara will be managed by the U.S. embassy in Rabat.

The virtual post will focus on "promoting economic and social development" in advance of the establishment of a fully functioning consulate.

Thursday's announcement came after President Donald Trump recognized Morocco's sovereignty over Western Sahara as part of a deal to normalize relations between Morocco and Israel.

The Moroccan government has mostly controlled the area, but a small portion has been managed by the partially recognized Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic, a self-proclaimed sovereign state established by the Polisario Front in the 1970s.

Elderly hospitalizations spike after hurricanes, 
study shows


Based on a new study, researchers say civic leaders should plan for increased hospitalizations after hurricanes -- especially of seniors -- to better care for influxes of patients. File Photo by PO3 Paige Hause/U.S. Coast Guard/UPI | License Photo


Hospitals are swamped with older patients after hurricanes, a new study finds.

Researchers analyzed data on hospitalizations for adults 65 and older in the month following eight of the United States' largest hurricanes in recent years.

In this age group, post-hurricane increases in hospitalizations for any reason ranged from 10% after Hurricane Irene in 2011 to 23% after Hurricane Sandy in 2012.

Adults 85 and older were significantly more likely to be hospitalized, as were poor older adults.

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Even after the researchers deleted the first three days after hurricanes Irene and Sandy, which might have accounted for injury and trauma-related admissions, older adult hospitalizations remained significantly higher after hurricanes.

"We can surmise that the stronger the hurricane, the greater the impact will be on individuals and communities," said study lead author Sue Anne Bell, assistant professor of nursing at the University of Michigan.

"But even a small storm can cause great damage to a community that is not prepared," she said in a university news release.

Given that the United States has more than 100 disasters a year, steps to support the health of older adults is a key aspect of disaster preparedness, Bell said.

She also pointed out that older adults need to prepare for disasters by taking small, regular steps.

"Include in your grocery budget a few items each month to start building a supply of food and water," Bell suggested. "A gallon of water is less than a dollar, for example. Buying a can opener and a few canned goods can be a good start, and the next time you go to the grocery, think of another item or two to add to your stash."

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Another suggestion is to let your family, friends and neighbors know your evacuation plans if an emergency occurs. "Now is a great time to plan a family Zoom meeting and talk about those plans," Bell suggested.

In a second study, her team found a decline in health care providers in counties affected by Hurricane Katrina in 2005.

Compared to 2004, those counties had 3.6 fewer primary care doctors, 5.9 fewer medical specialists and 2.1 fewer surgeons for every 10,000 residents by 2010.

The availability of nurse practitioners didn't change and helped to offset the decrease in physicians.

The findings show that communities' disaster plans should include guidelines to attract and retain health care providers, according to Bell.More information

The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has more on emergency preparedness and response.

Copyright 2020 HealthDay. All rights reserved.

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Female jockey makes history 
as British steeplechase longshot winner

Frost credited eight-year-old Frodon for her success.

Female jockey Bryony Frost made history and won a longshot victory 
on Frodon, who was given 20-to-1 odds before the steeplechase race.


British jockey Bryony Frost, pictured riding Silent Steps, won the King George VI Steeplechase race at Kempton on Saturday. File Photo by Peter Powell/EPA

Dec. 26 (UPI) -- Female jockey Bryony Frost made history and won a longshot victory in the British King George VI Chase at Kempton Saturday on Frodon, who was given 20-to-1 odds before the steeplechase race.

Frost credited eight-year-old Frodon for her success.

"The mechanics, his athleticism, how he deals with his obstacles. You struggle to keep up with him because he's 10 strides ahead of you the whole time. My brain is constantly trying to keep up with him," Frost, 25, told the Guardian.

Frodon quickly pulled ahead of stablemate Clan Des Obeaux, the favorite and prior twice-time winner of the King George, and Waiting Patiently ridden by jockey Brian Hughes, which came in third and second respectively.

Frost and Frodon easily won the contest clearing 18 jumps and winning by more than 2 1/4 lengths.

The Boxing Day race with a $150,000 prize to the winner, was held under pandemic conditions with few spectators in the 20,000 seats at Kempton. Trainer Paul Nicholls sat in the empty Royal Box watching as two other horses from his stables, Cyrname and Real Steel, dropped behind Frodon.

Nicholls said he was not expecting Frodon to win, "although he's a very good horse on his day and loves it round here," Nicholls said. "He's one of those horses you can never underestimate. He's tough and he's genuine. He likes a battle and he's beaten some good horses there fair and square."

Frost and Frodon first showed they were a winning team after victory in the 2019 Ryanair Chase at Cheltenham.

"I cannot stress how much this horse means to me -- he is my life," Frost said of Frodon Saturday. "You dream as a little girl to ride a horse like this," she added.

How Ugandan Nasa scientist Catherine Nakalembe uses satellites to boost farming

Sat, December 26, 2020,
Catherine Nakalembe

As a keen badminton player Ugandan Catherine Nakalembe wanted to study sport science at university but a failure to get the required grades for a government grant set her on a path that led her to Nasa and winning a prestigious food research prize, writes the BBC's Patience Atuhaire.

When Dr Nakalembe tried to explain to a Karamojong farmer in north-eastern Uganda how her work using images taken from satellites hundreds of kilometres above the Earth relates to his small plot, he laughed.

While she uses the high-resolution images in her pioneering work to help farmers and governments make better decisions, she still needs to get on the ground to sharpen up the data.


In other words, from space you cannot tell the difference between grass, maize and sorghum.
Dr Nakalembe talks to farmers about how they can use an app to send in information about their crops

"Through a translator, I told the farmer that when I look at the data, I just see green.

"I had printed a picture, which I showed him. He was then able to understand that… you need to see the farm physically to make those distinctions," the academic tells the BBC.

She is a softly spoken woman with a radiant demeanour, and it is hard to picture her trekking for hours in the heat of semi-arid Karamoja, looking to tease out the granular distinctions that can only be spotted on the ground.

This is especially important in farming areas dominated by small holders who may be planting different crops at different times, leading to a huge number of variables. That complexity makes it almost impossible for most authorities to monitor.
Dr Nakalembe's work has helped people in the semi-arid Karamajong area

Dr Nakalembe, an assistant professor at the University of Maryland's
geographical sciences department in the US, uses the satellite data to study agriculture and weather patterns.
 
That information is combined with data gathered on the ground about the crops and their condition to build a model that learns to recognise patterns to help make predictions.

It was this that won her the 2020 Africa Food Prize alongside Burkina Faso's Dr André Bationo for his work on fertiliser.

The scientist, who also heads the Africa section of Nasa's food and agriculture programme, explains: "From the air, you can see which area is built-up, bare, has vegetation or water.

"We are also able to tell what is cropland or what is forest. Because we have a 30-year record of what cropland looks like, we can tell what is healthy, what isn't or which part has improved."
'A lifeline for rural families'

Using information gathered on the ground by researchers or sent in by farmers themselves, she can then distinguish between crop types and create a map that shows whether the farms are thriving compared to the same crop elsewhere in that region.

The model has been used in places like the US where mechanised farming takes place on an industrial scale. The information can help inform decisions about when to irrigate or how much fertiliser should be used.

But even a farmer in Uganda, or elsewhere on the continent, using just a hoe and working for long hours on their small plot will find this information valuable.

"Remote sensing makes it possible to monitor large swathes of land using freely available data.

"You can give a forecast; if you combine satellite estimates of rainfall and temperature, you can tell that it is going to rain in the next 10 days and farmers should prepare their fields. Or if there is no rain, they don't have to waste their seeds and can wait a few weeks," Dr Nakalembe says.
Dr Nakalembe works with local officials to help improve farming policies

In much of the continent, where farms are often small fragmented plots far from sources of information, this data can be translated into local-language text messages, radio programmes or passed on through agricultural extension workers.

It is also evidence that governments can use to plan for disaster response in case of crop failure or flash floods, and save communities from famine.

Early research by Dr Nakalembe enabled 84,000 people in Karamoja avoid the worst effects of a highly variable climate and a lack of rainfall.

"She worked with us in 2016, to develop tools that predict the incidence of drought," says Stella Sengendo, who works on disaster risk in the prime minister's office.

"We use these to estimate the number of households that are likely to be affected by severe dry spells. We then developed a programme that extends funds to families, through the local government.

"Locals do public works and earn money during the dry season. They save 30% and use 70% for daily consumption," Ms Sengendo explains.

The 5,500 Uganda shilling ($1.50, £1.12) a day is a lifeline for families in a region that has only one harvest season a year. And about 60% of these workers are women, who, studies have shown, suffer the worst effects of climate change.

Accidental environmental scientist


Brought up in the capital, Kampala, by a mother who runs a restaurant and a father who is a mechanic, Dr Nakalembe never pictured herself working with satellites.

She played badminton with her sisters and wanted to pursue sports science as a degree, but without the required grades to get a government grant, she turned to environmental science at Makerere University.

Having never left Kampala except for the occasional family event, she applied to work with the Uganda Wildlife Authority to earn credits for her course.

"Mapping appealed to me. I went to Mount Elgon in the east. I still have pictures from my very first field work because it was really exciting," she says, beaming.
"I have always had the same personal statement: to gain knowledge and apply it back home"", Source: Dr Catherine Nakalembe, Source description: Winner, Africa Food Prize 2020, Image: Catherine Nakalembe

The Nasa scientist, who now travels throughout Africa training government departments on how to develop food security programmes, went on to Johns Hopkins University for a masters in geography and environmental engineering.

She says: "I have always had the same personal statement: to gain knowledge and apply it back home.

"The PhD program at the University of Maryland allowed me to get into remote sensing, but most importantly, come and work in Uganda and around the continent."

The trailblazing researcher also mentors young black women to encourage them to get into environmental sciences.

"In the diaspora, I go to meetings and I am the only one who looks like this. It feels lonely when it is a new country or space.

"In East Africa, I meet a lot of people with whom we can share experiences and our struggles. I would like to see more black women in this group," says Dr Nakalembe, sounding determined.

Winning the prize came as a shock to Dr Nakalembe

The news that she had won the 2020 Africa Food Prize this September came to her in a patchy phone call. She did not know that she had been nominated, and wondered why her colleagues insisted she kept her phone close.

When the call finally came, she was asked to hold for former Nigerian President Olusegun Obasanjo, who barely got through the congratulations before the line was disconnected.

"It was like going to the hospital for a headache and then being told you're having a baby.

"When I called my family, my sister thought I was being scammed. My mother said the same thing she always says whenever I achieve something: 'Webale kusoma' ('thank you for studying hard' in Luganda)," she says.

The euphoria from the win has clearly yet to wear off, judging by the big grin with which she talks about the prize.

"Imagine, I now have a Wikipedia page.

"When I introduce myself lately, I have to remember to say: 'I am also the 2020 Africa Food Prize Laureate'. And I've got my giant trophy which weighs about 5kg. So, I know I am not dreaming," she quips.
Virus besets Belarus prisons filled with president's critics

Belarus protests

Kastus Lisetsky pose for a photo in a street in Minsk, Belarus, Friday, Dec. 18, 2020. Lisetsky, a 35-year-old musician, who was sentenced to 15 days in prison for attending a protest, was hospitalized with a high fever after eight days in custody and diagnosed with double-sided virus-induced pneumonia. A wave of COVID-19 has spread through Belarusian jails packed with people imprisoned for taking part in four months of protests against the nation’s authoritarian president. Activists, who tested positive after being released, describe massively overcrowded cells and the lack of basic amenities, and some even allege that the authorities have deliberately spread contagion among political prisoners. (AP Photo)


KYIV, Ukraine (AP) — A wave of COVID-19 has engulfed prisons in Belarus that are packed with people in custody for demonstrating against the nation’s authoritarian president, and some of the protesters who contracted the coronavirus while incarcerated accuse authorities of neglecting or even encouraging infections.
© Provided by Associated Press In this handout photo, Belarusian riot police officers stand next to detained after an opposition rally to protest the official presidential election results demonstrators inside a police station in Minsk, Belarus, Sunday, Nov. 8, 2020. More than 30,000 people have been detained for taking part in protests against the re-election of Belarus' authoritarian President Alexander Lukashenko in the Aug. 9 presidential vote that was widely seen as rigged with fraud. The protests, some of which attracted up to 200,000 people, now have entered their fifth month. (Handout photo via AP)

Activists who spoke to The Associated Press after their release described massively overcrowded cells without proper ventilation or basic amenities and a lack of medical treatment.

Kastus Lisetsky, 35, a musician who received a 15-day sentence for attending a protest, said he was hospitalized with a high fever after eight days at a prison in eastern Belarus and diagnosed with double-sided pneumonia induced by COVID-19.
© Provided by Associated Press FILE - In this Monday, Aug. 10, 2020 file photo, police officers kick a demonstrator during a mass protest following presidential election in Minsk, Belarus. A wave of COVID-19 has spread through Belarusian jails packed with people imprisoned for taking part in four months of protests against the nation’s authoritarian president. Activists, who tested positive after being released, describe massively overcrowded cells and the lack of basic amenities, and some even allege that the authorities have deliberately spread contagion among political prisoners. (AP Photo, File)

“Humid walls covered by parasites, the shocking lack of sanitary measures, shivering cold and a rusting bed —-that was what I got in prison in Mogilev instead of medical assistance,” Lisetsky told the AP in a telephone interview. “I had a fever and lost consciousness, and the guards had to call an ambulance.”

Lisetsky said that before he entered prison, he and three bandmates were held in a Minsk jail and had to sleep on the floor of a cell intended for only two people. All four have contracted the virus. Lisetsky must return to prison to serve the remaining seven days of his sentence after he’s discharged from the hospital.
© Provided by Associated Press FILE - In this Saturday, Sept. 12, 2020 file photo, police officers block and detain protesters during an opposition rally to protest the official presidential election results in Minsk, Belarus. A wave of COVID-19 has spread through Belarusian jails packed with people imprisoned for taking part in four months of protests against the nation’s authoritarian president. Activists, who tested positive after being released, describe massively overcrowded cells and the lack of basic amenities, and some even allege that the authorities have deliberately spread contagion among political prisoners. (AP Photo/Misha Friedman, File)

He accused the government of allowing the virus to run wild among those jailed for political reasons.

“The guards say openly that they do it deliberately on orders,” Lisetsky said.

More than 30,000 people have been detained for taking part in protests against the August reelection of Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko in a vote that opposition activists and some election workers say was rigged to give Lukashenko a sixth term.

Police have repeatedly broken up peaceful protests with clubs and stun grenades. The alleged vote-rigging and the brutal crackdown on demonstrations have prompted the United States and the European Union to introduce sanctions against Belarusian officials.
© Provided by Associated Press FILE - In this Aug. 23, 2020 file image made from video provided by the State TV and Radio Company of Belarus, Belarus President Alexander Lukashenko greets riot police officers near the Palace of Independence in Minsk, Belarus. A wave of COVID-19 has spread through Belarusian jails packed with people imprisoned for taking part in four months of protests against the nation’s authoritarian president. Activists, who tested positive after being released, describe massively overcrowded cells and the lack of basic amenities, and some even allege that the authorities have deliberately spread contagion among political prisoners. (State TV and Radio Company of Belarus via AP, File)

Opposition candidate Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya, who placed second in the presidential election and was forced to leave the country after she challenged the official results giving Lukashenko 80% of the vote, urged foreign leaders and international organizations to intervene to help stem the coronavirus outbreak in Belarus' prisons.

© Provided by Associated Press FILE In this file pool photo taken on Friday, Nov. 27, 2020, Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko, center, listens to medic official as he visits the hospital for coronavirus patients in Minsk, Belarus. A wave of COVID-19 has spread through Belarusian jails packed with people imprisoned for taking part in four months of protests against the nation’s authoritarian president. Activists, who tested positive after being released, describe massively overcrowded cells and the lack of basic amenities, and some even allege that the authorities have deliberately spread contagion among political prisoners. (Andrei Stasevich/BelTA Pool Photo via AP, File)

“In the center of Europe, inmates are being deliberately infected with coronavirus,” Tsikhanouskaya told The Associated Press. “They move the infected people from one cell to another, and the cells are overcrowded and lack ventilation. It’s an atrocity, it can only be assessed as abuse and torture.”

Authorities haven’t released the number of prisoners with COVID-19, but rights activists say that thousands of protesters tested positive after they were detained.
© Provided by Associated Press FILE In this file photo taken on Wednesday, Dec. 16, 2020, Belarusian opposition politician Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya holds a picture of Belarusian opposition activist Nina Baginskaya as she gives a speech during the Sakharov Prize ceremony at the European Parliament in Brussels. A wave of COVID-19 has spread through Belarusian jails packed with people imprisoned for taking part in four months of protests against the nation’s authoritarian president. Activists, who tested positive after being released, describe massively overcrowded cells and the lack of basic amenities, and some even allege that the authorities have deliberately spread contagion among political prisoners. (AP Photo/Francisco Seco, File)

“The horrible condition of Belarus’ penitentiary system has contributed to an outbreak of COVID-19 in prisons, but the authorities haven’t even tried to improve the situation and have put thousands of activists on that conveyer,” Valiantsin Stefanovic, vice chairman of the Viasna rights center, said
© Provided by Associated Press ON HOLD TO GO WITH VIRUS OUTBREAK BELARUS PRISONS In this handout photo, Artsiom Liava poses for a selfie at his flat in Minsk, Belarus, Friday, Dec. 18, 2020.A wave of COVID-19 has spread through Belarusian jails packed with people imprisoned for taking part in four months of protests against the nation’s authoritarian president. Activists, who tested positive after being released, describe massively overcrowded cells and the lack of basic amenities, and some even allege that the authorities have deliberately spread contagion among political prisoners. (Artyom Lyava via AP)

Artsiom Liava, a 44-year-old journalist, said he got infected last month while awaiting a court hearing in a jail cell intended to accommodate 10 but housing about 100 inmates. Liava was detained while he was covering a protest in the Belarusian capital, Minsk, for the independent Belsat TV channel.

“First, fellow inmates and then me stopped feeling the prison stench,” he told The Associated Press. “All of us had a fever, strong cough and were feeling feeble, but they weren’t giving us even hot water.”

Liava said that after receiving a 15-day sentence, he was moved to different jails and prisons in Minsk and nearby towns as authorities struggled to house inmates in overcrowded detention facilities. He said he witnessed similar conditions in all of them — cellmates coughing or experiencing difficulty breathing, and prison wardens treating them with emphatic neglect.
© Provided by Associated Press In this handout photo, Ihar Hotsin smiles as he poses for a selfie in Minsk, Belarus, Friday, Dec. 18, 2020. A wave of COVID-19 has spread through Belarusian jails packed with people imprisoned for taking part in four months of protests against the nation’s authoritarian president. Activists, who tested positive after being released, describe massively overcrowded cells and the lack of basic amenities, and some even allege that the authorities have deliberately spread contagion among political prisoners. (Ihar Hotsin via AP)

“It was like a mockery, doctors weren’t responding to pleas and complaints,” Liava said. “It was forbidden to lie down during daytime and mattresses were folded up. We all felt exhausted, but we were forced to stay seated on iron beds in the basement without any access to fresh air.”

The journalist said he didn't get a single dose of medicine during his stint behind bars. The day after he left prison, Liava said, he tested positive for COVID-19, and a CT scan showed that his lungs were badly affected.
© Provided by Associated Press FILE In this file photo taken on Sunday, Nov. 22, 2020, A man wearing a face mask to help curb the spread of the coronavirus holds an old Belarusian national flag during an opposition rally to protest the official presidential election results in Minsk, Belarus. A wave of COVID-19 has spread through Belarusian jails packed with people imprisoned for taking part in four months of protests against the nation’s authoritarian president. Activists, who tested positive after being released, describe massively overcrowded cells and the lack of basic amenities, and some even allege that the authorities have deliberately spread contagion among political prisoners. (AP Photo, File)

“Prison doctors should be prosecuted for negligence. They put our lives in danger by refusing us (basic) medical treatment,” said Liava, who had a strong cough and was breathing with difficulty while speaking to the AP.

Belarus has reported more than 180,000 confirmed coronavirus cases since the start of the pandemic, but many in the ex-Soviet republic of 9.4 million people suspect authorities of manipulating statistics to hide the true scope of the country's outbreaks.
© Provided by Associated Press In this handout photo, Belarusian riot police officer stands next to detained after an opposition rally to protest the official presidential election results demonstrators inside a police station in Minsk, Belarus, Sunday, Nov. 8, 2020. A wave of COVID-19 has spread through Belarusian jails packed with people imprisoned for taking part in four months of protests against the nation’s authoritarian president. Activists, who tested positive after being released, describe massively overcrowded cells and the lack of basic amenities, and some even allege that the authorities have deliberately spread contagion among political prisoners. (Handout photo via AP)

Lukashenko cavalierly dismissed the coronavirus early during the pandemic, shrugging off the fear and national lockdowns the new bug had caused as “psychosis” and advising citizens to avoid catching it by driving tractors in the field, drinking vodka and visiting saunas. His attitude has angered many Belarusians, adding to the public dismay over his authoritarian style and helping fuel the post-election protests.

Ihar Hotsin, a doctor working at a top oncology hospital in Minsk, was detained when he joined a rally of medical workers opposing the crackdown on demonstrations. He said he and four of his colleagues who were arrested all contracted the virus in custody.

Hotsin, 30, believes he got infected at the prison in the city of Baranovichi where he was held in a 12-square-meter (129-square-foot) cell together with about 80 other inmates.

“Five doctors from our hospital were detained, and all five tested positive for COVID-19 after being released, a 100% rate,” Hotsin said. “We must cry out loud about an outbreak of COVID-19 in jails overcrowded with political prisoners.”
America the overprivileged
Rick Newman
·Senior Columnist
Sat, December 26, 2020
Bikers ride down Main Street during the 80th annual Sturgis Motorcycle Rally on Saturday, Aug. 15, 2020, in Sturgis, S.D. (Amy Harris/Invision/AP)

Did you whine in 2020? Were masks too much for you? Did the coronavirus pandemic cause intolerable inconvenience? Congratulations, American Snowflake—you can’t handle even modest adversity.

If you lost a partner, friend or family member to Covid-19 in 2020, you had a truly awful year. More than 300,000 Americans died of Covid in 2020, and when you multiply that by the 20 or 50 or 100 people close to each one of those souls, it’s a ghastly toll. Millions of others suffered economic hardship from lost jobs or reduced income or a family business that gave out as everybody’s work and spending habits changed. The economic pain is real, too.

But selfish rubes defined 2020 more than anybody else. President Trump led this march of folly by repeatedly denying the severity of the coronavirus, then contracting it himself. Trump went to the hospital and got specialized treatment unavailable to most Americans, then returned to the White House with the pomp of a war veteran returning from a battlefield victory. But Trump’s injury was self-inflicted and what he was really celebrating was medicine saving him from himself. Other Covid victims weren’t that lucky.
President Donald Trump, center, stands with Judge Amy Coney Barrett as they arrive for a news conference to announce Barrett as his nominee to the Supreme Court, in the Rose Garden at the White House, Saturday, Sept. 26, 2020, in Washington. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)

Some spreaders, like Chris Christie, didn’t think Covid was serious when other people got it, then changed their mind when they got it themselves. After seven days in the hospital, Christie played the convert, saying he was “wrong” not to wear a mask, and urging others to up their prevention game. Better taught, than stupid forever.

Covid hypocrisy was bipartisan in 2020. California Gov. Gavin Newsom broke his own lockdown rules to attend a ritzy birthday dinner with a dozen other maskless people. Denver Mayor Michael Hancock told citizens to avoid unnecessary travel over the Thanksgiving holiday, then got on a plane to visit family in Mississippi. The recurring theme: Rules are for other people.

Many Americans felt their freedom threatened in 2020, by a demonic new torture device known as a mask. “Masks are oppressive,” said Marjorie Greene, who won a Congressional seat in Georgia in November. She vows to break the mask requirement on Capitol Hill when she arrives in January, and she encourages other members of Congress to do the same, so she’ll have some company in the Covid ward. On social media, she promotes the hashtag #freeyourface, so the virus can attack your lungs more easily. If she were a soldier, she’d go to battle without a helmet or body armor, wearing comfy flip-flops instead of ponderous combat boots. Rules are for others.
A biker rides down Main Street during the 80th annual Sturgis Motorcycle Rally on Saturday, Aug. 15, 2020, in Sturgis, S.D. (Amy Harris/Invision/AP)

In Michigan, armed protesters organized by a group called “Michigan United for Liberty” massed at the state capitol to protest shutdown orders meant to prevent more people from dying. They could have volunteered at a hospital or nursing home instead, but they would have had to put down their guns. Some of the protesters ended up being terrorist wannabes planning to kidnap the Michigan governor, seize the state house and conduct televised executions. They’re in jail now, dreaming of other ways to defend their liberty.

An August motorcycle rally in Sturgis, S.D., drew 460,000 people and generated at least 400 coronavirus infections in 20 states, including at least one death. But you could buy a shirt at the rally that said ““Screw Covid I Went to Sturgis,” so it was worth it. That’s freedom!

Former presidential candidate Herman Cain went to two crowded Trump rallies without a mask, and even tweeted that “people are fed up” with wearing masks before attending one event on July 4. Less than a month later, Cain died of Covid, which he may have contracted while exercising his maskless freedom at one of those Trump rallies.


America asks very little of its citizens these days. There hasn’t been a military draft in 47 years and there’s no requirement or even nudge for young people to consider any kind of national service. We have laughably low tax rates because Uncle Sam can borrow limitless amounts of money, allowing us to spend way more than we can finance on our own. If living beyond your means is a privilege, no society has ever been more overprivileged than the United States in 2020.

In response, modern Americans ask not what they can do for their country, but what their country can do for them. We demand that health care workers take care of us when we fail to take care of ourselves. We ask others to bear risks so we can reap the reward. We value vanity over courage and we raise the “freedom” flag to justify laziness and self-interest. The coronavirus exposed our weaknesses in 2020, but it didn’t cause them. We did.
Americans’ acceptance of Trump’s behavior will be his vilest legacy

Robert Reich
Sat, December 26, 2020
Photograph: Brendan Smialowski/AFP/Getty Images

Most of the 74,222,957 Americans who voted to re-elect Donald Trump – 46.8%of the votes cast in the 2020 presidential election – don’t hold Trump accountable for what he’s done to America.

Their acceptance of Trump’s behavior will be his vilest legacy.

Nearly forty years ago, political scientist James Q Wilson and criminologist George Kelling observed that a broken window left unattended in a community signals that no one cares if windows are broken there. The broken window is thereby an invitation to throw more stones and break more windows.


The message: do whatever you want here because others have done it and got away with it.

The broken window theory has led to picayune and arbitrary law enforcement in poor communities. But America’s most privileged and powerful have been breaking big windows with impunity.

In 2008, Wall Street nearly destroyed the economy. The Street got bailed out while millions of Americans lost their jobs, savings, and homes. Yet not no major Wall Street executive ever went to jail.

In more recent years, top executives of Purdue Pharmaceuticals, along with the Sackler family, knew the dangers of OxyContin but did nothing. Executives at Wells Fargo Bank pushed bank employees to defraud customers. Executives at Boeing hid the results of tests showing its 737 Max Jetliner was unsafe. Police chiefs across America looked the other way as police under their command repeatedly killed innocent Black Americans.

Here, too, they’ve got away with it. These windows remain broken.

Trump has brought impunity to the highest office in the land, wielding a wrecking ball to the most precious windowpane of all – American democracy.

Trump has brought impunity to the highest office in the land, wielding a wrecking ball to the most precious windowpane of all – American democracy.

The message? A president can obstruct special counsels’ investigations of his wrongdoing, push foreign officials to dig up dirt on political rivals, fire inspectors general who find corruption, order the entire executive branch to refuse congressional subpoenas, flood the Internet with fake information about his opponents, refuse to release his tax returns, accuse the press of being “fake media” and “enemies of the people”, and make money off his presidency.

And he can get away with it. Almost half of the electorate will even vote for his reelection.

A president can also lie about the results of an election without a shred of evidence – and yet, according to polls, be believed by the vast majority of those who voted for him.

Trump’s recent pardons have broken double-pane windows.

Not only has he shattered the norm for presidential pardons – usually granted because of a petitioner’s good conduct after conviction and service of sentence – but he’s pardoned people who themselves shattered windows. By pardoning them, he has rendered them unaccountable for their acts.

They include aides convicted of lying to the FBI and threatening potential witnesses in order to protect him; his son-in-law’s father, who pleaded guilty to tax evasion, witness tampering, illegal campaign contributions, and lying to the Federal Election Commission; Blackwater security guards convicted of murdering Iraqi civilians, including women and children; Border Patrol agents convicted of assaulting or shooting unarmed suspects; and Republican lawmakers and their aides found guilty of fraud, obstruction of justice and campaign finance violations.

It’s not simply the size of the broken window that undermines standards, according to Wilson and Kelling. It’s the willingness of society to look the other way. If no one is held accountable, norms collapse.

Trump may face a barrage of lawsuits when he leaves office, possibly including criminal charges. But it’s unlikely he’ll go to jail. Presidential immunity or a self-pardon will protect him. Prosecutorial discretion would almost certainly argue against indictment, in any event. No former president has ever been convicted of a crime. The mere possibility of a criminal trial for Trump would ignite a partisan brawl across the nation.

Congress may try to limit the power of future presidents – strengthening congressional oversight, fortifying the independence of inspectors general, demanding more financial disclosure, increasing penalties on presidential aides who break laws, restricting the pardon process, and so on.

But Congress – a co-equal branch of government under the Constitution – cannot rein in rogue presidents. And the courts don’t want to weigh in on political questions.

The appalling reality is that Trump may get away with it. And in getting away with it he will have changed and degraded the norms governing American presidents. The giant windows he’s broken are invitations to a future president to break even more.

Nothing will correct this unless or until an overwhelming majority of Americans recognize and condemn what has occurred.

Saturday, December 26, 2020

RESEARCH
Is Lockheed Stock A Buy After Largest Takeover Since 2015

GILLIAN RICH
12/25/2020



Lockheed Martin stock is forming a base as the defense giant acquires a top developer of space and missile technology. Is LMT stock a good buy right now? Take a look at Lockheed Martin (LMT) earnings and the stock chart.

The $4.4 billion deal for Aerojet Rocketdyne (AJRD) is Lockheed's largest since it acquired helicopter maker Sikorsky in 2015 for $9 billion.

LMT Stock Fundamental Analysis


Lockheed reported strong third-quarter results in October. Lockheed earnings from continuing operations rose 8.7% to $6.25 per share, beating analyst estimates by 18 cents. Revenue rose 10.2% to $16.4 billion, beating estimates for $16.34 billion.

Lockheed now sees full-year EPS of $24.45, up from a prior view of $23.75-$24.25, on revenue of $65.25 billion, up from a prior view of $63.5 billion- $65 billion. Currently, analysts see full-year EPS of $24.13 on revenue of $64.76 billion.

Management also expects 2021 revenue to meet or exceed $67 billion, below consensus views for $68.1 billion. Lockheed sees growth slowing down for key business units, predicting low-single-digit growth in aeronautics and missiles, down from Q3's pace.

Meanwhile, cash from operations is seen at $8.1 billion in 2021, after pension contributions.

Lockheed added that its 2020 and 2021 forecasts assume no significant work stoppages and supply chain disruptions from Covid-19 as well as the ability to recover costs from the federal government and that funding priorities don't change.

Much of its revenue growth has come from sales of the F-35 fighter. The stealthy fighter jet is the most expensive weapons program in Pentagon history, with a procurement price tag of about $400 billion, and is Lockheed's biggest revenue generator.

 
(Lockheed Martin)

However, other segments are expanding faster. For example, Mideast tensions and the Pentagon's focus on countering Russia and China have boosted demand for missiles. The defense contractor plans to increase Hellfire missile production to 11,000 per year from 7,000. It also wants PAC-3 missile production to double to meet customer demand.

Lockheed had said missiles and fire control unit to be its fastest-growing business for the next four years. But during the Q3 call, management said it now sees its space division is its fastest-growing business area, with 2021 growth seen in the mid-single-digit range.

Lockheed still sees strong demand for its Hellfire missiles but that it would be flattish year over year.

Lockheed earnings per share growth has averaged 24% over the past three years, according to IBD Stock Checkup. On the revenue side, growth averaged 10% over the last three years.

Analysts see Q4 earnings growth accelerating to 21% with revenue up 7%. For 2020, Wall Street sees EPS up 11.5% and revenue up 9%. Next year, EPS is seen up 7% with revenue up 3.7%.

Technical Analysis For LMT Stock

LMT stock has CAN SLIM fundamental metrics that include a 52 out of a best-possible 99 IBD Composite Rating and an EPS Rating of 94 out of 99. Lockheed is ranked 21st in IBD's Aerospace/Defense group.

After selling off early this year, Lockheed stock is now forming a flat base with a 402.48 entry point, according to MarketSmith analysis. The stock tumbled below its 50-day and 200-day lines as the Covid-19 pandemic rattled the overall market. After finding resistance at those key levels in November, LMT stock has been falling away from them headed into the end of the year.

The relative strength line, another key indicator, is at a five-year low, meaning Lockheed stock has been badly underperforming the broader market.

The Accumulation/Distribution rating is now at D-, indicating that there is net selling of the stock on the part of institutional investors.

Still, the number of funds holding shares has inched up, climbing to 2,053 at the end of Q3, up from 2,042 in Q2 and 2,032 in Q1.

Lockheed Martin Stock News

The F-35 stealth fighter is seen as the "quarterback" in the Pentagon's emerging warfighting strategy to counter near-peer rivals like Russia and China. But its near-term prospects have turned a bit clouded.

In 2019, Lockheed said F-35 sales could follow the older F-16's trajectory of 4,600 jets, representing a jump of more than 40% over current estimates. The F-35 wasn't cleared for full-rate production by late 2019 as expected. But Pentagon acquisition chief Ellen Lord said in August that the DOD is sticking with an earlier March 2021 estimate.

Due to supply chain disruptions and workplace social distancing protocols during the coronavirus pandemic, Lockheed said in May that it would cut production by 18 to 24 F-35s over the next three months. It plans to deliver 140 F-35s in 2020 and 170 in 2021 and 2022.

In September, Lockheed said F-35 deliveries postponed by the pandemic won't fully recover until the end of 2021. While the company's Fort Worth, Texas, plant is back at full speed, its supply chain is taking longer to recover, Lockheed told Aerospace Daily.

Adding to supply issues, Turkey was kicked out of the F-35 program in 2019 over the delivery of a Russian air defense system.
(Lockheed Martin)

As tensions with Iran flare, Gulf allies have been boosting up their fighter arsenals. Following the normalization of diplomatic ties with Israel, the United Arab Emirates got U.S. approval to buy the F-35 as well as armed drones and missiles. In December, the U.S. Senate rejected a motion to block the sales of the F-35 and other weapons to the UAE, allowing the $23 billion deal to go forward.

Meanwhile, the F-16 continues to see more overseas sales potential and Lockheed expects the line producing more than 5,000 fighters, according to Air Force Magazine. In August, the Pentagon issued a contract for the sale of the fighter jet to Taiwan amid rising tensions with China.

Hypersonic Weapons, Space

Lockheed has emerged as a leading developer of hypersonic weapons for the Air Force and the Pentagon's secretive Darpa research arm. It is working on the Hypersonic Air-Breathing Weapon Concept and the Tactical Boost Glide weapon. Lockheed also won a $347 million contract in August to help the Army build new long-range hypersonic weapons.

But the Pentagon canceled Lockheed's Hypersonic Conventional Strike Weapon program in February due to "budget priorities."   
(Lockheed Martin/nasa.gov)

Lockheed sees total hypersonic weapons sales to be $1 billion this year, up from $600 million in 2019. So far, Lockheed has received hypersonic contracts with a total value of roughly $4 billion once finalized.

Lockheed and Raytheon variants of the Hypersonic Air-breathing Weapon Concept (HAWC) have successfully flown captive carry tests and should be ready for powered flight tests soon.

And Air Force acquisition chief Will Roper said Dec. 14 that Lockheed's Air-Launched Rapid Response Weapon will have its first booster test flight this month with production beginning next year.

Lockheed is also looking at next-generation missile defense, including how to expand current ballistic missile defenses to add capabilities to go after hypersonic weapons and other threats.

Lockheed is a subcontractor on Northrop Grumman's (NOC) $13.3 billion Ground Based Strategic Deterrent program, which will replace Boeing's (BA) aging land-based Minuteman III intercontinental ballistic missiles. The total program is valued at $85 billion-$100 billion.

On the civilian side, the company's secretive Skunk Works unit is developing the X-59 for NASA to be a quieter supersonic jet. The technology could reopen the door to future supersonic flight over land on a commercial level, depending on community response to the X-59 missions, with the first flights poised for 2021.

According to NASA, the X-59 is shaped so that supersonic shock waves do not coalesce together to create sonic booms.

With space a top growth area for Lockheed in 2021, CFO Ken Possenriede said during the Q3 call that Elon Musk's SpaceX is "more than an emerging threat right now."

On Dec. 20, Lockheed announced it would buy Aerojet Rocketdyne in an estimated $4.4 billion deal to boost its hypersonic and space offerings. The integration with Aerojet could lower costs in an increasingly competitive space market and boost its hypersonic weapons offerings.

Aerojet is providing engines for NASA's massive Space Launch System and is a subcontractor on Northrop's Air Force deal to develop new intercontinental nuclear missiles worth $85 billion-$100 billion. The Air Force said its research lab and Aerojet recorded the highest thrust produced by an air-breathing scramjet hypersonic engine in a November test.

In August, SpaceX and United Launch Alliance, a Lockheed-Boeing joint venture, both received five-year Pentagon launch contracts and will split more than $5 billion 40%-60%, respectively.

Possenriede said that ULA "has a price point that is "compelling to customers" that will allow it "to get its fair share of awards over SpaceX."

Lockheed also is developing the deep-space Orion spacecraft for NASA as the Trump administration focuses on heading back to the moon by 2024. But NASA's ambitious plans rely on Boeing's SLS rocket, which is behind schedule and over budget.

Lockheed and other companies have partnered with Amazon (AMZN) CEO and founder Jeff Bezos' Blue Origin space company to develop a lunar lander.

Bottom Line On LMT Stock

Lockheed is part of the aerospace/defense group, and its earnings growth is solid, if not spectacular.

The massive Pentagon budget continues to enjoy bipartisan support in Congress, though the pandemic and oil price crash loom over prospects for foreign sales.

Bottom line:
LMT stock is not a buy. Shares are forming a base but haven't yet reached a buy point. The stock is underperforming the broader market. Growth is expected to slow in the coming year as well, though the company is leading in key weapons development priorities.





U.S. and China failed to help the world during COVID. As president, Biden should make things right 

Opinion

Andres Oppenheimer

Fri, December 25, 2020















When I read a just-released report by China’s official Xinhua agency, saying that China has set a world “example” of solidarity with Latin America during the COVID-19 pandemic, I thought, “These people have no shame!.”

I don’t believe in conspiracy theories claiming China intentionally created or spread the coronavirus, but there’s little doubt that China’s delay in telling the world about its outbreak in Wuhan province was a major blunder. Many of the world’s 1.7 million COVID-19 deaths could have been prevented if China had alerted the world early on about the problem.

So when I read the Xinhua agency’s Dec. 23 report, I knew immediately that it was classic political hypocrisy.

Its headline claims that China and Latin America have set an “example of solidarity against common challenges” during the pandemic.

“Like a giant ship unperturbed by choppy waters, the relationship between China and Latin America and the Caribbean has been sailing steadily amid a turbulent 2020,” the report started out.

In a tacit slap at President Trump’s “vaccine nationalism,” the Xinhua report noted that when the virus hit Latin America, “China was the first country to lend a helping hand.”

As early as on March 23, China had its first virtual meeting on epidemic prevention and control with Latin American governments. The report said that, shortly thereafter, China “set up the first ever air bridge with both Argentina and Mexico to deliver much-needed medical supplies.”

Granted, China’s “medical diplomacy” is probably a damage-control strategy to make up for its failure to alert the world about the pandemic in early 2020. But a closer look at China’s recent actions shows that Beijing has been more engaged than Washington in helping Latin America get COVID-19 vaccines.

China’s foreign minister Wang Yi announced in July a $1 billion loan to Latin American and Caribbean countries to buy Chinese-made COVID-19 vaccines.

In addition, China has signed the COVID-19 Vaccines Global Access Facility, or COVAX, a World Health Organization effort to ensure every country has access to vaccine.. This global effort has been funded by Great Britain, Canada, Germany, Italy and Estonia, among others, and has already raised almost $2 billion of its initial $5 billion fundraising goal.

By comparison, Trump has boycotted the COVAX effort. He also signed a Dec. 8 executive order that bars the United States from sending vaccines to any other country, and then bragged about it publicly.

The U.S. government has delivered more than $220 million in COVID-19 assistance to Latin American and the Caribbean, according to the U.S. Southern Command, more than any other country. But many experts say that China has given more.

Benjamin Gedan, deputy director of the Latin American program at the Washington D.C.-based Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, told me that, “Since the start of the pandemic, the Chinese have been more responsible and more generous in Latin America than the United States.”

As of now, there is no prospect of the U.S. exporting one single vaccine to the region, Gedan told me.

Asked about Trump’s Dec. 8 executive order, Gedan said that, “Instead of using this as an opportunity to signal U.S. support for the developing world, Trump boasted about the fact that the U.S. would not export any vaccines. It’s the most counter-productive messaging that anyone could have imagined.”

Of course, Trump can’t be blamed for taking care of his country’s people first. It’s any president’s responsibility to do that. But Trump’s nationalist demagoguery, in addition to being bad public relations and a terrible way to counter China’s growing inroads in Latin America, suggests that Americans can be safe if the pandemic continues to expand globally. In fact, the opposite is true.

There are many ways in which the United States can help Latin America fight the pandemic other than shipping out vaccines, including contributing funds to the COVAX global vaccination effort. The United States’ failure to contribute to COVAX is an international embarrassment.

There are no heroes in this tragedy: Both China and the United States have failed the test of being responsible global citizens. It’s time for incoming president-elect Biden to announce America’s commitment to the COVAX effort and correct this shameful chapter of U.S. histo
ry.

CHINA TOLD THE WORLD IN DECEMBER 2019 IT HAD AN OUTBREAK OF AN UNKOWN VIRUS, IT GAVE OUT THE GENETIC CODE FOR THE VIRUS IN THE FIRST WEEK OF JANUARY 2020!!!! FOR CHINA THIS WAS VERY FORTHCOMING COULD THEY HAVE SAID SOMETHING EARLIER, APPARENTLY NOT SINCE THE OUTBREAK BEGAN IN NOVEMBER BUT WAS NOT DETECTED TILL DECEMBER IN WUHAN 
AS IT BECAME A SIGNIFICANT OUTBREAK.


PUTIN WANNABE
Turkey debates law that would increase oversight of NGOs


Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan answers questions during 
a joint news conference with U.S. President Donald Trump
 at the White House in Washington

Fri, December 25, 2020

ANKARA (Reuters) - Turkey's parliament began debating a draft law on Friday that would increase oversight of non-governmental organisations and which, according to rights campaigners, risks limiting the freedoms of civil-society groups.

The bill would allow the interior minister to replace members of organisations who are being investigated for terrorism charges. The interior ministry could also apply to courts to halt the groups' activities under the draft bill.

The government says the measure, covering "foundations and associations", aims to prevent non-profit organisations from financing terrorism and to punish those who violate the law.

Civil-society groups, including Amnesty International and the Human Rights Association, said terrorism charges in Turkey were arbitrary, and that the draft law would violate the presumption of innocence and punish those whose trials were not finalised.

The bill was drafted by President Tayyip Erdogan's AK Party (AKP), which holds a majority in parliament with nationalist MHP allies, suggesting it is likely to pass.

Investigations based on terrorism charges have been launched against hundreds of thousands of people under a crackdown following a failed coup in 2016. Hundreds of foundations were also shut down with decrees following the coup attempt.

Critics say Erdogan and the AKP have used the failed coup as pretext to quash dissent. The government says the measures were necessary given the security threats facing Turkey.

Under the draft law, foundations would be inspected annually by civil servants who could request any documents from them.

Local governors or the interior minister could block online donation campaigns to prevent terrorism financing and money laundering, under the draft law.

Fines of up to 200,000 lira ($26,200) could be levied for any group found to be engaged in illegal online donation campaigns, compared with a current maximum of 700 lira.

($1 = 7.6335 liras)

(Reporting by Ali Kucukgocmen; Editing by Jonathan Spicer and Pravin Char)