Tuesday, November 21, 2023

Climate change worries are changing 

consumer habits: EY survey

CONSUMPTION FUNDS CAPITALI$M

Canadians are changing their consumption habits in response to climate change concerns, but different age demographics are doing so in their own distinct ways, a recent survey has found.

Ernst and Young’s (EY) 2023 Future Consumer Index Survey, published Tuesday, found that more than half of surveyed Canadian consumers plan to buy less, and almost 40 per cent of those people said they would do so to help the environment.

Recent climate change-induced extreme weather events have affected people’s lives and started to narrow “a gap between intention and action” when it comes to sustainable consumption, according to EY.

“Acute instances of extreme weather, plus other factors, have caused people to move from having a recognition of sustainability being important to more often translating that into action,” EY partner Elliot Morris told BNNBloomberg.ca.

A summer of widespread wildfires across the country, paired with rising energy costs have made a “big difference” in demand for sustainably-made products, Morris said.

CONSUMERS WEIGH ENVIRONMENTAL CONCERNS

Morris explained that while Canadians have cared about being environmentally friendly for some time, more and more consumers now believe sustainability is an important thing to consider when making purchasing decisions.

“If you think about what people look for when they go to make purchases or spend money, price and quality are still top, that hasn't changed,” he said. 

“But number three and number four around sustainable packaging and the item being good for the environment are next, and they've both been moving up the rankings.”


GENERATIONAL DIVIDE

EY’s survey found that 64 per cent of Canadians attribute their changing consumer habits to a personal concern for the fragility of the planet. But it also found there is a generational divide in how they are approaching sustainable consumption.

Baby boomers are more likely to use more traditional sustainable behaviours like conserving water or recycling, the survey found, while younger generations are more likely to “speak with their wallets.”

One-quarter of Gen Zers said they’re willing to pay for more sustainable goods and services compared with just six per cent of baby boomers, while 32 per cent of Gen Zers said they’ll check an organization’s sustainability policies online before buying, compared with seven per cent of baby boomers.

Morris said a big reason for the divide is that younger generations are better able to access the information required to confirm the claims companies make about sustainability.

“As they browse both aisles and online, Gen Z and millennials are able to confirm for themselves whether or not the claims are in fact true, and having confidence in the claims, they're willing to therefore pay more for them,” he said. 

Morris said older generations have a harder time confirming or even finding out if a product is made sustainably, adding that as people age, they also become less likely to switch brands.

COMPANIES ADJUSTING

As sustainable consumption moves into the mainstream, Morris said producers will need to adjust to meet the demands of the growing market.

And uncertain economic conditions have presented a good test case for businesses to determine if Canadians will still seek out sustainable goods and services when money is tight, he added.

“Will consumers persist in their demand for sustainable products and options even in the face of the once in a generation challenge to affordability? So far, the answer appears to be yes,” Morris said.

METHODOLOGY

In September 2023, EY conducted wave 13 of a consumer survey tracking changing sentiment and behaviours across time horizons and global markets, and identifying new consumer segments that are emerging.

Through an anonymous online survey, 22,000 unique responses were collected from consumers ranging in age from 18 to 80.

Respondents represent 28 countries across the U.S., Canada, Mexico, Brazil, Argentina, Chile, U.K., Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Denmark, Netherlands, Finland, Sweden, Norway, Australia, New Zealand, Japan, China, India, Indonesia, Thailand, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Vietnam, Nigeria and South Korea. 



CRYPTO CRIMINAL CAPITALI$M

Binance founder Changpeng Zhao strikes money-laundering plea deal

Court filing said as part of guilty plea Zhou agreed to pay $50m fine and step down from role as chief executive of the company




Edward Helmore in New York and agencies

Tue 21 Nov 2023 19.09 GMT


Changpeng Zhao, founder of Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, agreed to plead guilty to money laundering violations on Tuesday, according to the court papers filed in federal court in Seattle.

The filing said as part of a guilty plea Zhou agreed to pay a $50m fine, step down from his role as chief executive of the company, and would be barred from any involvement in the business.

As part of its plea deal with the government, Binance too agreed to plead guilty, accept the appointment of a monitor and pay a criminal fine of nearly $1.81bn as well as a $2.51bn order of forfeiture to settle three criminal charges, including conducting an unlicensed money transmitting business, a conspiracy charge and violating the International Emergency Economic Powers Act.

The announcement is another huge blow for the cryptocurrency sector. The settlement with Binance comes less than a month after Sam Bankman-Fried was convicted on seven counts of fraud and conspiracy for his part in the collapse of FTX, a trading platform that had been second only in size to Binance. The FTX founder faces 115 years in prison when he is sentenced next year.


Changpeng Zhao, or CZ, played a significant role in FTX’s collapse. He was given the opportunity to look over FTX’s books shortly before it collapsed. But he declined to step in, and ensured the collapse of the smaller rival when he tweeted that Binance was dumping its position in FTX’s house token, FTT.

Changpeng Zhao and Bankman-Fried, though strikingly opposite in character and appearance, had both promised a rosy future for digital currencies that some predicted could replace sovereign currencies.

But financial regulators and prosecutors did not see it that way.

When charges against Bankman-Fried were announced in December of last year, the US attorney Damian Williams said the “phenomenal downfall” of the cryptocurrency exchange and the criminal charges that followed were “not a case of mismanagement or poor oversight, but of intentional fraud, plain and simple”.

Binance has been under justice department’s scrutiny since at least 2018, just one of a string of legal and regulatory headaches it faces in the US.

Federal prosecutors asked the company in December 2020 to provide internal records about its anti-money laundering efforts, along with communications Changpeng Zhao.

Financial regulator the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) filed civil charges against Binance in March, alleging it failed to implement an effective anti-money laundering program to detect and prevent terrorist financing. Internally, Binance officers and employees acknowledged that the platform facilitated “potentially illegal activities”, the CFTC alleged.

In February 2019, Binance’s former chief compliance officer Samuel Lim received information on transactions by the militant Palestinian group Hamas on Binance, the CFTC wrote.

Zhao, a billionaire who was born in China and moved to Canada at the age of 12, said the CFTC’s “complaint appears to contain an incomplete recitation of facts, and we do not agree with the characterization of many of the issues alleged”.

Binance CEO agrees to plead guilty, pay US$50 million fine

Binance Holdings Ltd.’s Chief Executive Officer Changpeng Zhao agreed to plead guilty to anti-money laundering charges and pay a US$50 million fine during a hearing in Seattle federal court Tuesday under a sweeping deal worked out with the U.S. Justice Department designed to keep the company operating.

Zhao agreed to step down as part of the settlement, which included the U.S. Treasury Department and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, according to people familiar with the matter. Binance agreed to plead guilty to criminal charges and pay a $4.3 billion fine, according to people familiar with the matter. The deal ends a years-long investigation into the cryptocurrency exchange.  

The government’s case against Binance was unsealed in federal court in Washington state Tuesday, as Zhao prepared to enter his plea. The company is charged with three counts, including money laundering violations, conspiracy to conduct an unlicensed money transmitting business, and sanctions violations. 

BNB, a cryptocurrency tied to the Binance ecosystem, slipped about five per cent following the news. The token had hit a five-month high earlier in the day on the news that the DOJ would soon confirm its settlement with the exchange.

The filing states that from about August 2017 until October 2022 Binance and Zhao were involved in a “deliberate and calculated effort” to profit from the U.S. market without implementing controls required by law.


U.S. Attorney General Merrick Garland and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen will hold a press conference at 3:00 pm ET on Tuesday to announce more details of the settlement.

The charges come as part of a settlement negotiated between the two sides that will resolve allegations of criminal wrongdoing ranging from money laundering and bank fraud to violations of sanctions. Bloomberg News reported the settlement on Monday.

The resolution against the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange and its top leader represents one of the largest penalties imposed within the cryptocurrency industry, which has been facing withering scrutiny from the Justice Department, other government agencies and lawmakers.

Binance, which exploded onto the crypto scene in 2017 and almost immediately took on and surpassed larger rivals, saw its market share surge to more than 60 per cent worldwide after the fall of FTX in November 2022. Since then, its combined market share for spot crypto and derivatives has declined to less than 44 per cent this month, according to researcher CCData.

The Justice Department recently prosecuted FTX co-founder Sam Bankman-Fried in New York for allegedly orchestrating a multibillion-dollar misappropriation of customer funds that led to the cryptocurrency exchange’s collapse. Bankman-Fried was convicted on fraud on conspiracy charges following a trial.

Both the CFTC and U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission have sued Binance and Zhao alleging a range of violations, including mishandling customer funds and allowing Americans to illegally access the platform.

 

Air Canada rejects blame in $24M gold theft as it faces Brink's lawsuit

Air Canada has fired back in a lawsuit by security firm Brink's, saying the airline bears no responsibility for the daring theft of $23.8 million in gold and cash from its facilities at Toronto's Pearson airport earlier this year.

A thief walked walked away with the costly cargo after presenting a phoney document at an Air Canada warehouse on April 17, according to the Brink's filing last month.

In a Nov. 8 statement of defence, Air Canada rejected "each and every allegation" in the Brink's suit, saying it fulfilled its carriage contracts and denying any improper or "careless" conduct.

The country's largest airline goes on to say that Brink's failed to note the value of the haul on the waybill — a document typically issued by a carrier with details of the shipment — and that if Brink's did suffer losses, a multilateral treaty known as the Montreal Convention would cap Air Canada's liability.

"Brink’s Switzerland Ltd. elected for its own reasons not to declare a value for carriage and to pay the standard rate for the AC Secure services product and, to Air Canada’s knowledge, elected not to insure these shipments," the Air Canada filing reads, adding that Brink's was "fully aware of the consequences."

In Federal Court filings last month that claim breach of contract and millions of dollars in damages, Brink's said an "unidentified individual" gained access to the airline's cargo warehouse and presented a "fraudulent" waybill shortly after an Air Canada flight from Zurich landed at Pearson.

The statement of claim says staff then handed over 400 kilograms of gold in the form of 24 bars — currently worth about $21.1 million — plus nearly US$2 million in cash to the thief, who promptly "absconded with the cargo."

Even the cash — it converts to nearly $2.7 million Canadian — weighed a bundle, with the banknotes registering more than 53 kilograms.

The suit claims Air Canada was "negligent" and failed to follow through on "appropriate security measures" to prevent theft of the goods.

A pair of Swiss companies — precious metals refinery Valcambi SA and retail bank Raiffeisen Schweiz — contracted Brink's to provide security and logistics for the shipment and compensate them for any losses, according to the Brink's suit. The gold was bound for Toronto-Dominion Bank, while the cash was en route to the Vancouver Bullion and Currency Exchange.

Brink's arranged in mid-April for Air Canada to haul the cargo to Toronto from Switzerland. It was delivered at Pearson just before 4 p.m. on a drizzly Monday, deposited at a glass-walled Air Canada warehouse on site at 5:50 p.m. and retrieved by the mysterious thief, who showed up 42 minutes later, the filings state.

Because Brink's failed to pay an extra fee or a make a "special declaration of interest in delivery," Air Canada is not liable for losses, the statement of defence claims, citing the Montreal Convention, which applies to international flights.

However, the Brink's filing argues that it did pay a premium and the waybills were clearly marked as "banknotes" and "goldbars," on top of a warning on the paperwork: "Special supervision is requested. Valuable cargo." The Montreal Convention thus imposes no ceiling on the sum it can recover from the carrier, according to Brink's.

A police investigation is ongoing, with no arrests so far and the shipments still missing.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 20, 2023.

 


Experts react to Metro, Loblaw earnings

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Loblaw Companies Ltd. and Metro Inc. posted a rise in profits during the third quarter of this year, and an RBC analyst was encouraged by the companies’ strong sales despite consumer sensitivity. 

JOURNALESE FOR PISSED OFF

Loblaw posted record revenue at $18.3 billion and a five per cent rise in revenue for the quarter, while profit climbed to $621 million from $556 million the year prior. Metro reported profits at $222.2 million compared to $168.7 million year-over-year and a 14 per cent rise in sales. 

Both grocers demonstrated strength in same-store-sales that exceeded analysts’ expectations. 

Loblaw reported a 4.5 per cent rise in same-store-sales compared to the four per cent forecasted by RBC Capital Markets. 

"Another quarter of solid results for 16-week Q3 reinforces Loblaw's strong positioning and favourable momentum, particularly against the backdrop of elevated food prices and cash-squeezed consumers,” Irene Nattel, analyst at RBC Dominion Securities Inc., wrote in a note to clients on Wednesday. 

The analyst has a buy rating on the stock and a 12-month price target of $174. 

Desjardins analysts also highlighted sales strength at Loblaw, but had a mixed view because those numbers were were partly offset by higher-than-expected growth investments.

“Positive operating leverage from strong sales growth (was) offset by $50 million of investments in network optimization and efficiency initiatives, and, to a lesser extent, a slightly higher-than-expected decline in gross margin due to higher shrink,” Chris Li, analyst at Desjardins, wrote in a note to clients on Wednesday.   

He has a hold rating on shares of Loblaw and a 12-month price target of $133.

Metro also exceed RBC Capital Markets analyst expectations with same-store food sales coming in at 6.8 per cent, while the forecast called for five per cent. Metro said inflation and discounts drove the strength. The grocer also reported a 116 per cent rise in online sales year-over-year. 

"Investors likely to be disappointed in F24 financial outlook, but given Metro’s (MRU) lengthy track record of strong execution and delivering predictable financial results, we would expect investors to look beyond the 2024 investment year and toward 2025 and resumption in growth,” Nattel wrote. 

She has a hold rating on shares of Metro and a 12-month price target of $84.00. 

Despite the sales strength, Metro’s earnings were impacted by the five week Greater Toronto Area (GTA) strike and the company’s 2024 financial outlook called for additional expenses from network investments. 

Li holds the same view on Metro, pointing to solid sales growth offset by cautious 2024 outlook due to one-time costs related to distribution centre investments.

“While the financial outlook is lower than expected, we expect long-term investors to look beyond the near-term investments and focus on the return to eight to 10 per cent earnings-per-share (EPS) growth in 2025 and beyond,” he wrote.

Li has a hold rating on shares of Metro and a 12-month price target of $77.

'GOVERNMENT BASHING' PRESSURING STOCKS: PORTFOLIO MANAGER

Both Metro’s and Loblaw’s shares were under pressure on Wednesday despite solid earnings in the third quarter, and one investment expert says this is likely due to government intervention in the sector. 

“The government (is) just bashing these stocks, I mean they are basically saying you better lower these prices,” Ryan Lewenza, senior vice president and portfolio manager at Turner Investments , Raymond James, told BNN Bloomberg in an interview on Wednesday.

Lewenza referenced recent pressure from the federal government for Canadian grocers to lower food costs, as Canadians struggle with high inflation.

While he said government pressure is likely the reason grocery stocks were not surging as they should be after a strong quarter, Lewenza was optimistic that food prices will come down in the near future, which should help sway investor sentiment.

“There’s a delayed effect here of some of the inputs that go into the end food products you get,” he said.

He pointed to a drop in prices for commodities such as natural gas, which goes into producing food fertilizer, as one example of how food costs could lower in the months ahead.  

“I think you’re going to see some of these food prices come down,” Lewenza said.

 

CRA claws back $458 million in pandemic-era wage subsidies after partial audit

The Canada Revenue Agency has denied or adjusted $458 million in funds disbursed to employers through a pandemic-era wage subsidy program as a result of a partially completed auditing process.

The agency is releasing a report Monday that offers detailed findings of its audits of the Canada Emergency Wage Subsidy Program. The bulk of the findings cover the period ending March 31, but the report also offers more up-to-date figures as of Sept. 29.

The CEWS program subsidized businesses' staff wages by 75 per cent in hopes of encouraging companies to hold on to their employees during the COVID-19 pandemic, as governments enacted shutdowns. 

Overall, the program disbursed about $100 billion in wage subsidies.

A report from auditor general Karen Hogan last year warned that thousands of businesses that received wage subsidies may not have been eligible for the program, after finding their GST and HST filings didn't show a sufficient drop in revenue to qualify.

Monday's report finds the majority of employers that received the subsidy were highly compliant. Most claim adjustments were related to calculation errors and lack of documentation, rather than ineligibility. 

Out of the $5.53 billion worth of audits completed by the end of March, $325 million in claims were reduced or denied.

And the audits that overlapped with claims flagged by the auditor general found $134.5 million that needed to be adjusted or rejected. The report says insufficient revenue decline accounted for 14 per cent of those adjustments.

The total claims adjusted or denied rose to $458 million by the end of September. 

"Our reading of the results is they show a high level of compliance overall by the majority of employers who applied and received the wage subsidy, including those who were identified by the auditor general," Cathy Hawara, the assistant commissioner of the compliance branch at the Canada Revenue Agency, said in an interview.

The agency, however, did find significant problems with claimants who used a third party to prepare their applications, with 85 per cent of audits for such claims resulting in funding being reduced or denied.

The CRA says some aggressive non-compliance has been found in cases in which claimants are suspected of using intermediaries "who knowingly facilitated the production of inaccurate or wilfully non-compliant claims."

The report says the vast majority of these cases were linked to small businesses with 25 or fewer employees.

"It should be noted that although this report focused on CEWS results to date, many of these preparer-linked claimants also applied for the Canada Emergency Rent Subsidy ... which have been identified for review," the report said.

The CRA says it has already applied more than $15 million in penalties in relation to these files as of the end of September.

Hawara said that while intermediaries like accountants are often an important part of the tax system, the agency conducts audits specifically targeted at weeding out third-party preparers who may be skirting the law. 

"We're satisfied with what we're seeing in terms of both the overall level of compliance by the vast majority of employers, but also, we believe we've identified the right risks. And we're tackling them now," Hawara said. 

The agency says the audits have resulted in some cases being referred to its criminal investigations program as well.

The CRA's audit of the program is ongoing and is expected to continue until at least 2025.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 20, 2023.