Tuesday, September 02, 2025

 

Researchers find Medicaid is crucial to access treatment for opioid addiction






Rutgers University





Medicaid plays a key role for giving people with opioid-use disorder access to treatment, according to a Rutgers Health study.

Progress in life-saving treatment for opioid-use disorder with the medication has stalled in the past several years, according to a Rutgers Health study. However, researchers added that while some states were able to achieve substantial improvement, others lost ground. 

Specifically, states that have expanded access to Medicaid insurance coverage since 2018 saw increases in prescriptions for opioid-use disorder treatment, according to the study, while states that haven’t expanded Medicaid experienced declining treatment rates after 2022. 

Researchers found that state Medicaid policies were key drivers of population-level treatment rates.

The study, published in Health Affairs, examined trends in national retail pharmacy claims by Medicaid, Medicare and private insurance across states between 2018 and 2024, a period of rising fatal overdose rates and national policy changes aimed at increasing treatment. Researchers compared the claims with state populations and overdose rates to assess the impact of Medicaid eligibility on treatment uptake.

“We were impressed by the success stories in some states, such as those with recent eligibility expansions,” said Stephen Crystal, director of the Rutgers Center for Health Services Research at the Institute for Health, Health Care Policy and Aging Research. “Several of these states, like Virginia, Utah and Missouri, doubled or tripled Medicaid-paid prescribing, driving strong population-level improvement. These successes point to opportunities for improvement even when the overall national rate of progress is disappointing. Nevertheless, wide disparities between states remained, as shown in maps and state comparison tables in the paper and its appendix.” 

Despite the availability of effective treatments for opioid-use disorder, more than 80,000 died in 2024from opioid-use overdoses. In addition to the disease of addiction, there are a number of policy and financial barriers preventing people from accessing medication, the researchers said. The federal government declared an opioid public health emergency in 2017 and again in 2025. 

Because people with opioid-use disorder tend to be low-income single adults, Medicaid is the most important payer for buprenorphine, a highly effective medication used to treat opioid-use disorder. However, Medicaid policies covering opioid-use disorder treatment vary state to state, resulting in vastly different uptake of treatments that can dramatically lower the risk of overdose and support recovery. New Jersey is among the states that have implemented important initiatives that have aided access to Medicaid-paid treatment, including Medicaid expansion, elimination of buprenorphine prior authorization, and increased reimbursement for treatment, with improvements in Medicaid and all-payer buprenorphine prescribing during the study period.

The national analysis led by Crystal, who is a Distinguished Research Professor at the Rutgers School of Social Work, showed diverse state-level trends that often pointed to the importance of Medicaid. 

States that recently expanded the eligibility criteria to qualify for Medicaid insurance experienced a 27.3% increase in buprenorphine prescribing rates. But in states that didn’t expand Medicaid, overall prescribing lagged, with declines after 2022. 

Researchers said expanding Medicaid eligibility and minimizing disenrollment from Medicaid during eligibility redeterminations are critical steps in increasing access to opioid-use disorder treatment across the country.

“Translating evidence into consistent practice has been uneven across the country for multiple reasons, including the stigma surrounding people with addiction,” said Crystal. “But progress is possible when states take action to help residents access and afford effective medication. Maintaining the progress that has been made in opioid-use disorder treatment through state Medicaid policies will be challenging under the financial pressures created by recent federal legislation, but it is vital in maintaining progress on preventing overdoses and supporting recovery.”
 

Coauthors of the study include Fangzhou Xie, Hillary Samples, Elizabeth Stone and Jennifer Miles of Rutgers; Allen Campbell of the IQVIA Institute,  Peter Treitler of Boston University; and Sumedha Gupta and Kosali I. Simon of Indiana University.

Crystal will discuss the research during the Health Affairs Health Policy Briefing focused on the opioid crisis on Sept. 3 and in an upcoming Health Affairs Health Podyssey podcast episode.

Despite relaxed prescribing rules, opioid addiction treatment still hard to find at pharmacies


Only 4 in 10 U.S. retail pharmacies carry buprenorphine, with access even more limited in Black and Latino communities



University of Southern California

Many pharmacies still do not carry key opioid addiction treatment 

image: 

Trends in buprenorphine availability at U.S. retail pharmacies, overall and by neighborhood majority race and ethnicity

view more 

Credit: USC Schaeffer Center for Health Policy & Economics





Faced with a worsening drug crisis, policymakers in recent years have made it much easier for doctors to prescribe the highly effective opioid addiction treatment buprenorphine. However, many patients may still struggle to find pharmacies carrying the treatment, finds new research led by the USC Schaeffer Center for Health Policy & Economics.

Buprenorphine was available at just 39% of U.S. retail pharmacies in 2023, a modest increase from 33% in 2017, according to the study published Sept. 2 in Health Affairs. But disparities in who can access the treatment have persisted. Pharmacies in predominantly Black neighborhoods (18%) and Latino neighborhoods (17%) remain significantly less likely to carry buprenorphine as those in white neighborhoods (46%).

Buprenorphine is one of several medications that can ease opioid cravings and withdrawal, and it is the only one that can be prescribed in primary care settings and dispensed at retail pharmacies. Because these treatments are milder opioids and considered controlled substances, they historically have been subject to tight prescribing and dispensing rules.

Recent efforts to ease prescribing rules include the 2023 elimination of the so-called “X-waiver” that required doctors to receive specialized training and registration to prescribe the treatment. However, dispensing rates have changed little, suggesting that pharmacy regulations aimed at preventing opioid (and buprenorphine) diversion, abuse and misuse continue to discourage pharmacies from carrying the treatment, particularly in minority neighborhoods and some areas hit hardest by the opioid epidemic.

“Relaxing buprenorphine prescribing rules was an important step in making this critical treatment more accessible, but too many patients lack a nearby pharmacy that carries it,” said Dima Mazen Qato, senior scholar at the Schaeffer Center and the Hygeia Centennial Chair at the USC Mann School of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences. “Federal and state policymakers must reduce barriers that make it difficult for pharmacies to stock buprenorphine, especially in some of the more vulnerable communities.”

Limited access in some hard-hit areas

Researchers analyzed buprenorphine claims from 2017 to 2023 from an IQVIA pharmacy database from covering 93% of U.S. retail prescription claims. Among their key findings:

  • Although buprenorphine availability increased in most states, there were significant declines in five states (Florida, Ohio, Tennessee, Washington, Virginia) and Washington, DC.
  • In nearly every state, buprenorphine availability was lowest in Black or Latino neighborhoods. In some states (California, Illinois and Pennsylvania), availability in these neighborhoods was about four to five times lower than in white neighborhoods.
  • Independent pharmacies in Black and Latino neighborhoods were significantly less likely to stock buprenorphine and were also more likely to stop carrying it over time. But when these pharmacies did stock the treatment, they persistently filled about twice as many prescriptions per month compared with other types of pharmacies.
  • Pharmacies in rural counties and those with high rates of opioid-related overdose deaths were persistently more likely to carry buprenorphine. Yet in 73 hard-hit rural counties, less than 25% of pharmacies carried the medication, and another 25 counties lacked a pharmacy.

Areas with fewer dispensing barriers had better access

Researchers said states should consider easing tight controls on buprenorphine dispensing, which can restrict access to the treatment in several ways.

When buprenorphine demand rises, suppliers may delay or pause shipments to pharmacies to avoid scrutiny from the Drug Enforcement Agency (DEA), and pharmacies often refuse to stock buprenorphine out of concern the orders will be flagged to the DEA. Some pharmacies carry the medication but refuse to dispense it for fear of running afoul of the federal Controlled Substances Act and similar state pharmacy regulations and laws, which require pharmacists to ensure that prescriptions for controlled substances are valid.

The researchers found buprenorphine availability was greatest in states with the least restrictive prescription drug monitoring programs, including those that limited how law enforcement could access the electronic databases to investigate suspicious prescribing.

The researchers said state and local governments should consider requiring pharmacies to maintain buprenorphine stock, noting that some have issued similar orders for the overdose reversal treatment naloxone and emergency contraception in an effort to improve access.

“If policymakers fail to introduce policies that increase equitable access to buprenorphine at local pharmacies, existing racial and ethnic disparities in opioid use disorder treatment and recovery will likely worsen,” said first author Jenny S. Guadamuz, an assistant professor at the University of California, Berkeley School of Public Health.

About the Study
Sarah Axeen of the USC Schaeffer Center and the Keck School of Medicine of USC is also an author. This study was supported by a grant from the Foundation for Opioid Response Efforts.

UK

Birmingham bin workers vote to stay on strike into 2026



Basit Mahmood 
Today
Left Foot Forward 


It comes after workers overwhelmingly voted to extend their industrial action mandate to March 2026 over what they say are brutal cuts,



Birmingham bin workers could stay out on strike until March 2026, the union Unite announced today, as talks fail to reach a breakthrough.

It comes after workers overwhelmingly voted to extend their industrial action mandate to March 2026 over what they say are brutal cuts, which would leave some at risk of losing their homes.

The dispute initially centred on the council’s decision to remove Waste Recycling and Collection Officer (WRCO) roles.

The union claimed about 170 affected workers face losing up to £8,000 a year because of the decision, but the council disputed those figures.

Unite the union says that strikes have continued after the government appointed commissioners in Birmingham scuppered a deal that would have ended the dispute.

Talks brokered by the conciliation service Acas in May and led by the council’s chief executive Joanne Roney agreed a “ball park” deal which would have ended the dispute, the union says.

Unite said in a statement: “However, Ms Roney latterly advised that she could not get the deal past the commissioners. It is clear therefore that there is no point at this stage having further negotiations with the council. The ball is in the government’s court.

“It has also been revealed that the cash strapped council is paying millions extra to operate its refuse service during the strikes.”

Unite national lead officer Onay Kasab said: “Strike action will continue for as long as necessary with Unite’s unyielding support.

“Politicians’ treatment of these workers, including lies about no one losing pay and broken promises about being able to retrain in driving roles that are now nowhere to be seen, is amongst the worst Unite has even seen.

“The only way this dispute will end is with a fair and reasonable deal for Birmingham’s bin workers.”

However, the Labour leader of Birmingham City Council has hit back, saying that the council has sought to be reasonable and flexible, but ‘have reached the absolute limit of what we can offer’.

Cotton said in a statement in July: “We have negotiated in good faith but unfortunately Unite has rejected all offers so we must now press ahead to both address our equal pay risk and make much needed improvements to the waste service. This is a service that has not been good enough for a long time and we must improve it.

“Unite’s demands would leave us with another equal pay bill of hundreds of millions of pounds, which is totally unacceptable, and would jeopardise the considerable progress we have made in our financial recovery. We must be fair to all our staff, and I will not repeat the mistakes of the past by making decisions that would ultimately result in further cuts to services and the sale of more council assets.

“Successive administrations have failed to close off the council’s equal pay liabilities, costing the people of Birmingham hundreds of millions of pounds and that must end now.”

Basit Mahmood is editor of Left Foot Forward

UK

Zack Polanski elected Green Party leader in landslide victory


Today
Left Foot Forward


The Green Party has a new leader


Zack Polanski has been elected as the new leader of the Green Party in a landslide victory.


Polanski – a member of the London Assembly and, until today, the party’s deputy leader won a staggering 84% of the vote.

He defeated the job-share ticket of two Green MPs, Adrian Ramsay and Ellie Chowns. Ramsay was previously co-leader of the party alongside Carla Denyer.

In advance of the results being announced, the party’s chief executive Harriet Lamb thanked the candidates for the leadership and the other positions within the party elected at the same time, and said that the Green Party is the ‘antidote to Reform’. She also confirmed that the Greens had now reached their highest ever membership numbers, at 68,500.

Following his victory, Polanski said that he would “work every single day to deliver environmental, social, racial and economic justice.”

He added “This is the Green Party’s time”, and said of the Labour government “We’re not here to be disappointed by you. We’re not here to be concerned by you. We’re here to replace you.”

Following the results, Chowns and Ramsay said: “We’d like to congratulate Zack Polanski on his election as Leader of the Green Party, and for running such a strong and passionate campaign.”

Turnout in the leadership election was 38%.

Among those other positions elected was the party’s deputy leadership. As a single leader was elected, the party elected two deputy leaders.

Mothin Ali and Rachel Millward were elected as the party’s new deputy leaders.

More to follow…

Chris Jarvis is head of strategy and development at Left Foot Forward


Labour slams newly elected Green Party leader for claiming women could increase bra sizes with minds


Today
Left Foot Forward 

“This is the person who the Greens just elected as their new leader”



The Labour Party has criticised newly elected Green Party leader Zack Polanski, over comments he previously made claiming that women could increase their bra sizes with their minds.

Polanski won the ballot of party members after seeing off a joint leadership bid from Adrian Ramsay and Ellie Chowns.

Mr Polanski secured victory with 20,411 votes, while Ms Chowns and Mr Ramsay received 3,705.

Polanski used to work as a hypnotherapist in Harley Street and in 2013 attempted to help a reporter from the Sun newspaper increase the size of her breasts using her mind.

In the article, The Sun reported: “HAS the time come when we can burn all those uncomfortable push-up bras?

“Hypnotherapist Zack Polanksi reckons so. He says he can boost your cup size using the mind alone. “This is an extremely new approach, but I can see it becoming popular very quickly, because it’s so safe and a lot cheaper than a boob job,” says Zack.”

The Labour Party’s Press Office account on X shared a screenshot of the above report, with the words: “Meet Zack Polanski.

“This is the person who the Greens just elected as their new leader”, with Labour MP Uma Kumaran describing it as ‘grim’.

Basit Mahmood is editor of Left Foot Forward


‘In electing Polanski, the Green Party has chosen protest over credibility’


Photo: John Gomez/Shutterstock


Zack Polanski has cruised into the Green Party leadership. The writing was on the wall ever since the “Greens Organise” faction, made up mainly of ex-Labour figures, was set up in anticipation of the leadership contest last year. Labour’s response to this new leadership will shape the local elections next year, in which all of London’s councils go to the polls.

In many ways, the previous leadership represented the two wings of the Green Party voter base. Adrian Ramsay, the male, more conservative rural MP and Carla Denyer, darling of the middle classes of Bristol and Hackney. Polanski himself falls into this second category. His early political journey mirrors a sizable segment of the Green’s voter base – middle class former Lib Dems who began the slow movement towards the Greens around 2010, fervently pro-EU and unimpressed by Corbyn’s Labour and its Brexit-era civil war. Those voters were generally put off by populism, both on the left and right during the last ten years. So, it is interesting to see Polanski reinvent himself as the man to lead the left populist charge against the Labour government, committed to protest despite its tendency to divide.

‘Vibes without the need to substantiate values with credible policy’

It is in his past that we find one of Polanksi’s weaknesses. Zack is a man who has previously advertised his services as someone who could enlarge breasts via hypnotherapy. He may claim to have matured, but first impressions stick. In his current incarnation, he still looks a lot like a man who is more interested in telling people what he thinks they want to hear than any hard truths. Happy to sell false hope.

The challenge for Labour is that Zack Polanski is very good at “vibes”, projecting radical values without feeling the need to substantiate them with credible policy that addresses reality. It is very easy to rage against the government and to declare any compromise a weakness. But, as the Green Party have found in my own city of Bristol, the challenge of governing is a lot harder. Here, the Greens are committed to selling the council houses they promised to protect, with no plan for their replacement. Those houses are not the only public assets they have tried to sell off. They made national news with their plan to make bin collections monthly before being forced to backtrack. Governing is hard and doing it for the many only more so. 

CONFERENCE: Join LabourList and Hold Fast Labour for our panel on Turning the rising Green tide – more details here

‘We must stick to our values and highlight where they differ from Polanski’

It remains to be seen how Polanski’s declared intention to return the Green Party to campaigning for the UK’s withdrawal from NATO will play amongst those whose support he seeks. While the European members of NATO have acted to ensure the alliance continues to support Ukraine, Polanski argues “the era of NATO is over.” He has not felt a need to state how he thinks a long-term peace in Ukraine, a peace that respects Ukrainian sovereignty, might be achieved without the alliance.

Labour have made missteps in government which the Greens have pounced on. No matter that Labour is already tackling much of what they rail against. However, in Polanski’s eyes, perfect is the enemy of good. His aim is not agreement, but to stoke disappointment into anger. Beyond that his plan is not well defined.

Tempting as it may seem to simply argue Labour should adopt large chunks of the Green Party manifesto, we must stick to our values, and highlight where they differ from those of Polanski et al. Where they peddle false hope and pursue division through polarisation, we must continue to deliver on credible policy commitments for everyone, ever conscious of maintaining a broad unity within our party and with the electorate.

‘We should clearly demonstrate that the hope we sell is real’

The Greens may make a virtue out of the fact that they don’t whip their councillors, but this just allows their disunity to derail their governance. It means that, once elected, their councillors lack the discipline to deliver on their promises.

In contrast, we must value the broad swathe of opinion within our ranks while maintaining the discipline that allows us to deliver. Focusing on what we share rather than issues on which we might disagree. Compromising for a good outcome, instead of never delivering a perfect one.

We must continue to listen to the electorate and prioritise their needs over our ideological goals, trusting in our shared values to achieve them. This does not preclude bold action. Where we see broad support for it, the pursuit of radical policy will appeal to some of those attracted to the smaller parties by a desire for rapid change. Our strength is that we can maintain the unity required to actually do it. We should clearly communicate and demonstrate that the hope we sell is real.


America's Oil Boom Concentrated in Ten Permian Counties

If you want to know where America’s oil boom is happening, no need to look at the whole map—because it’s limited to just ten counties in the Permian Basin. Between 2020 and 2024, these small dots in Texas and New Mexico delivered 93% of all U.S. crude oil growth, according to the latest EIA and Enverus data.

It's almost like the rest of the US doesn’t even matter when it comes to oil production growth.

The U.S. added 1.9 million barrels per day (bpd) of new crude and condensate output over that stretch. But nearly all of it came from Lea and Eddy counties in New Mexico, plus Martin and Midland on the Texas side. Lea and Eddy alone punched out almost 1 million bpd of growth—more than half the national total. That puts two dusty counties in New Mexico on par with the production increases seen from OPEC heavyweights like Iraq or the UAE in their strongest years.

Martin and Midland chipped in another 400,000 bpd, while six more Texas counties—Andrews, Glasscock, Howard, Loving, Reagan, and Ward—added 360,000 bpd combined. Everywhere else in the United States, from Alaska to offshore Gulf of Mexico, growth barely reached 130,000 bpd.

By 2024, those ten Permian counties averaged 4.8 million bpd—37% of all U.S. crude production. That’s more than the entire output of Kuwait and nearly as much as Iraq’s total. The math is stark: when it comes to U.S. oil growth, the map isn’t fifty states wide. It’s ten counties deep.

The formations driving the surge—Bone Spring, Spraberry, and Wolfcamp—have become shorthand for America’s shale dominance. Drillers have been high-grading, squeezing more barrels out of the same acreage, and the geology has kept delivering.

In effect, a handful of counties in West Texas and southeastern New Mexico have added more new oil supply since 2020 than some OPEC members produce outright — a reminder that the balance of global oil power still tilts heavily toward the Permian.

By Julianne Geiger for Oilprice.com

Cuba’s Energy Crisis Deepens as Blackouts Grip the Nation

  • Cuba’s outdated power plants and weak grid now supply just 50–70% of electricity demand, causing almost daily blackouts and repeated nationwide outages.

  • Reliance on poor-quality crude and unstable oil imports from Venezuela has forced Cuba to turn to Mexico and China for emergency fuel shipments and solar investment.

  • Experts estimate that resolving Cuba’s energy crisis will take up to $8 billion and several years, with renewable projects and foreign investment seen as critical to stabilizing the grid.


Cuba has been experiencing an energy crisis that has led residents to experience almost daily blackouts and gas cuts. Years of underinvestment in Cuba’s transmission network and power plants have led them to run below capacity, with the country’s energy supply falling far below its demand.

In addition to localised power outages, in the last eight months, Cuba has experienced four nationwide blackouts. In May, Cuba’s electricity demand rose to 3.05 GW, compared to 2.58 GW in March, as the supply stood at around 1.9 GW. This means that on average, the government can meet between 50 to 70 percent of Cuba’s energy needs. 

The regular blackouts have led people across the country to invest in charcoal stoves, rechargeable batteries and fans, as well as other vital products to use during outages when confronted with soaring temperatures, which many can barely afford.

In March, when Cuba’s national electrical grid collapsed, most of the island’s population of 10 million was left without power, including those in the capital of Havana. Popular tourist hotels had to rely on generators, while many had no access to power at all. The regular blackouts prompted anti-government demonstrations in 2021, 2022, and 2024, and the problem persists.

Jorge Piñón, a researcher at the University of Texas at Austin’s Energy Institute, said that solving Cuba’s energy crisis would take between three and five years and up to $8 billion in investment.

The crisis comes from years of underinvestment and mismanagement of Cuba’s energy infrastructure, which has placed a significant burden on the country’s existing electricity grid, with little public funds to invest in improvements or in the development of renewable energy projects. Cuba’s National Electric System was developed after 1959 and has been poorly maintained and updated since, due to years of political and economic instability. This has led to issues that can normally be easily fixed, such as transmission line failures, causing widespread outages.

In 2024, the Antonio Guiteras oil-fired power plant ground to a halt, and instead of backup systems coming online to provide power, the outdated systems were unable to detect the system faults, which spurred a nationwide blackout.

In addition to years of underinvestment and a lack of maintenance, Cuba has long relied on substandard fuel, which has strained the system. The Caribbean country depends heavily on domestic, poor-quality heavy crude oil, which is corrosive because of its high sulphur content, adding to the rapid ageing of the country’s power plants.

Cuba’s thermal power plants, powered by crude oil or fuel oil, have become increasingly less reliable in recent years and now run below capacity due to issues like fuel shortages and corrosion. It was not only last year that the 330 MW Antonio Guiteras plant broke down, as the facility has long been difficult to keep running due to the inability of the operator to acquire the parts needed to repair it. This is an issue seen across many of Cuba’s power plants, including the Lidio Ramón Pérez and Máximo Gómez thermal plants. From January to May this year, Cuba’s power plants combined were running at an overall average daily capacity of around 34 percent.

Cuba imports fuel, but its trade links are far from stable. It has relied on neighbouring Venezuela for oil for years, but heavy sanctions on Venezuelan energy in recent years by the United States have led to underinvestment in the South American country’s crude supply, resulting in unstable export volumes.

In recent months, Mexico has sent higher levels of crude to Cuba, with state-owned Pemex shipping an all-time high of 39 shipments of crude and refined products to Havana at a value of over $850 million between May 29 and June 27. This value is similar to that of the total amount of oil shipped from Mexico to Cuba over the previous two years, at around $1 billion.

China has increased support for Cuba in recent years to help alleviate the burden on the government to fix the ongoing energy crisis. China is developing 92 solar parks that could provide over 2 GW of clean electricity, over half of which is expected to be operational by the beginning of 2026. This supports the Cuban government’s goal of achieving an energy mix of 24 percent renewables by 2030. China is also helping the Caribbean Island to modernise its grid by introducing photovoltaic technology, to eventually reduce Cuba’s heavy reliance on fossil fuels.

The government has long talked about diversifying Cuba’s energy mix, with significant potential to develop its solar, wind, and sugarcane biomass resources. However, a lack of investment, inadequate policies and complex bureaucracy have led to severe delays in development in the past. Now, without modernisation, the grid is not stable enough to add new large-scale renewable energy connections. Therefore, foreign investment in improvements to Cuba’s transmission infrastructure and renewable energy sector could finally support a transformation in the coming years. 

By Felicity Bradstock for Oilprice.com

How Europe is Redrawing its Energy Map

  • The European Union has signed a significant agreement with the U.S. to import $750 billion worth of liquefied natural gas, oil, and nuclear fuels by 2028, part of a larger trade package.
  • This deal further reduces the EU's dependence on Russian energy, which has significantly decreased since 2022, though Russian imports saw a slight uptick in 2023.
  • The U.S. has become the EU's top supplier of oil and LNG, and its second-largest coal supplier, with future energy trade expected to increase substantially over the next three years.

The European Union has signed a deal to import $750 billion worth of liquefied natural gas, oil and nuclear fuels from the United States by 2028.

The agreement, announced on July 27 by U.S. President Donald Trump and EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, is part of a wider trade package under which the EU will accept a unilateral U.S. tariff of 15 percent on most of its exports to the U.S., while also committing to $600 billion in investments to the country.

As Statista's Anna Fleck shows in the following chartthe EU has greatly reduced its reliance on Russian energy.

You will find more infographics at Statista

Before Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022, Russia accounted for 45 percent of EU gas imports, at 150.2 billion cubic meters (bcm) in 2021. By 2024, this had fallen to 51.7 bcm, representing 19 percent of imports.

That decline has changed course in the past year though, with imports from Russia having seen an uptick in 2023, despite the EU’s earlier implementation of measures to diversify away from Russian gas by 2027 under the REPowerEU plan. The increase was largely due to increased imports into Italy, Czechia and France, according to Ember.

To cover the 98.5 bcm shortfall left by reduced Russian supply, the EU has leaned more heavily on other exporters. Last year, Norway delivered 91.1 bcm of gas to the EU, up 15 percent from 2021, which represented 33.4 percent of the EU’s total imports. U.S. gas shipments increased by 139 percent over the same period, reaching 45.1 bcm, or 16.5 percent of the total. Other important partners last year included Algeria (39.2 bcm), Qatar (11.8 bcm), Azerbaijan (11.7 bcm) and the United Kingdom (11.7 bcm). Despite these shifts, overall EU gas imports in 2024 were still 61.4 bcm lower than in 2021.

According to Reuters, the EU will further ramp up purchases of U.S. oil, natural gas and coal, with trade rising from about $75 billion in 2024 to $250 billion annually over the next three years. Eurostat data from the first quarter of 2025 shows that the U.S. is already the EU’s top supplier of oil, accounting for 15 percent of imports by value and the leading source of LNG with a 50.7 percent share . The U.S. is also the EU’s second-largest coal supplier, providing 31.3 percent of trade by value, behind Australia at 33.4 percent.

By Zerohedge.com 

DANGEROUS PROVOCATION

Russia Gears Up for New Nuclear Missile Test

  • Significant activity on Russia's Novaya Zemlya archipelago indicates an impending test of the nuclear-powered Burevestnik cruise missile, known as Skyfall by NATO.
  • The Burevestnik, a complex system designed to carry a nuclear warhead and evade missile defenses, has a history of development failures, including a deadly explosion in 2019.
  • The timing of the potential test, along with high-level Russian military and nuclear official visits, suggests the missile is nearing operational deployment, driven by Russia's desire for prestige and defense against US missile shields.

It's been a busy few weeks up on the windswept Russian archipelago of Novaya Zemlya: people, earthmoving trucks, shipping containers, temporary housing, heavy-lift aircraft, helicopters, cargo ships.

The activity shows up in satellite imagery, aircraft hazard notifications, ship transponder trackers, and open-source intelligence reporting at a time when long Arctic days and good weather mean favorable conditions for building projects at the Pankovo test range and nearby air base.

The betting money for close watchers of Russian weapons development is on another test of a trouble-plagued, nuclear-powered cruise missile called the Burevestnik.

"The operational sites for this system are almost complete. This is going to be an operational system pretty soon here," said Decker Eveleth, a researcher at the suburban Washington-based Center for Naval Analyses, who examined satellite imagery of the sites in July and August. "This may have been the final check before operational testing and evaluation."

"They're clearly pretty far long," he said.

"I wouldn't be surprised if the test has already happened," said Pavel Podvig, a Geneva-based arms control researcher and expert on Russia's nuclear forces.

The missile, dubbed Skyfall by NATO, has been under development for more than a decade now. It's one of several new systems Russian designers have focused on as the Kremlin pours money into weapons development as part of a not fully recognized arms race -- mainly against the United States.

Others include the Sarmat international continental ballistic missile, a nuclear-powered, nuclear-tipped torpedo called Poseidon, and a hypersonic missile called Avangard.

Russian President Vladimir Putin talked up many of the weapons elaborate public ceremonies in 2018 and 2019. Two of the new weapons, the Kinzhal and Tsirkon missiles, have been used in Ukraine. The Sarmat has also been tested, though last year it suffered a major mishap.

The Burevestnik has drawn particular attention from arms control and intelligence experts, partly because of the technology but also its past failures.

The missile is powered essentially by a small nuclear reactor built into the engine, theoretically enabling it to stay aloft for days.

It "would carry a nuclear warhead; circle the globe at low altitude, avoid missile defenses, and dodge terrain; and drop the warhead at a difficult-to-predict location," according to a 2019 report by the Washington-based Nuclear Threat Initiative.

U.S. intelligence reports say the missile has been tested at least a dozen times, including in 2017 and 2019.

Death At Nyonoksa

Among the places Russia has tested the Burevestnik is the White Sea, west of the city of Arkhangelsk, near the port of Severodvinsk.

In August 2019, while trying to raise a Burevestnik from the seabed near the town of Nyonoksa, an explosion occurred that spewed radiation over a wide area, including Severodvinsk. The blast also killed at least five Russian nuclear specialists from the state-owned nuclear company Rosatom, which is believed to have spearheaded the Burevestnik's development.

The explosion, US officials later concluded, "was the result of a nuclear reaction that occurred during the recovery of a Russian nuclear-powered cruise missile."

Two years earlier, another missile, also believed to be a Burevestnik, crashed somewhere in the Barents Sea, west of Novaya Zemlya, according to US intelligence officials.

"They've been developing this system for well over a decade. And it hasn't really gone very well for a long time," Eveleth said. "People died…and they didn't give up. They kept going for it…. They kept going for it for 15 years. And they are really dedicated to it."

Constant Phoenix, Nuke Sniffing

The activity at Pankovo in late July was highlighted in part by Eveleth and Jeffrey Lewis of Middlebury's Institute of International Studies in Monterey, California. Burevestnik testing was moved out of the White Sea following the Nyonoksa accident and resumed in 2021 on Novaya Zemlya, which is more remote.

In early August, Russian authorities also released a NOTAM, according to the Barents Observer newspaper, which first reported the advisory. NOTAMs are internally recognized advisories for aircraft -- a warning for pilots and ship captains, in this case, to avoid a wide area west of Novaya Zemlya.

Meanwhile, an unusually large number of fighter jets, cargo jets, and helicopters appeared parked at the Rogachevo air base on the southwestern coast of Novaya Zemlya. The aircraft appeared to include an A-50, an airborne radar and warning system experts say is rarely seen so far north; and Il-76 SKIPs, jets designed to gather electronic signals and missile telemetry data.

Open-source aircraft trackers also noted a US Air Force WC-135 jet in the airspace north of the Kola Peninsula and west of Novaya Zemlya. Known as Constant Phoenix, the jet is designed to gather samples of airborne particles to detect specific radioactive isotopes released from nuclear weapons tests.

The most recent satellite imagery, Eveleth said, suggests Russian workers have now packed up equipment on Novaya Zemlya, indicating, he said, that a test had been conducted.

'Why Is This Such a Big Deal?'

The timing for a test was also auspicious from the point of view of Russian messaging, Lewis said in a podcast released August 20, coming around the time that Putin met US President Donald Trump for a summit in Alaska.

Another bit of evidence came on August 22 when Putin traveled to the central city of Sarov. Formerly a closed city known as Arzamas-16, Sarov has for decades been the heart of the Soviet and Russian nuclear programs: "the equivalent of Los Alamos," Podvig said, referring to the home of the US atomic weapons program.

Among the dignitaries greeting Putin on the tarmac at Sarov was the chairman of Russia's General Staff, General Valery Gerasimov, as well as Sergei Kiriyenko, who headed Rosatom until 2016, when he took a top post in the Kremlin.

"The combination of all these things -- the test activity, the apparent preparation for deployment, and this visit -- again this would be a good occasion for Putin, for the Sarov [engineers] to demonstrate that this is what we've done, we've fulfilled the assignment," Podvig said.

"Why is this such a big deal for them?" Eveleth said. "First, the sophistication and prestige of the Russian nuclear arsenal is very important" to Putin and his government.

"Second, they're worried about [US] missile defenses, they want to hedge against an effective missile shield and this system is technically capable of evading certain systems," he said.

By RFE/RL