Thursday, November 13, 2025

HANDS OFF COLOMBIA

Colombia suspends security intelligence ties with US over Caribbean operations

TRUMP'S OTHER TARGET

Colombia suspends security intelligence ties with US over Caribbean operations
Colombia's President Petro had previously called for US President Trump to be investigated for war crimes over the Caribbean strikes.
By Cynthia Michelle Aranguren Hernández November 12, 2025

Colombian President Gustavo Petro ordered all levels of the country's public security forces to halt intelligence sharing with US agencies on November 11, dealing another blow to relations between Washington and its historic Latin American ally. 

The directive suspends communications and agreements with US intelligence organisations until the Pentagon ends missile strikes on vessels allegedly transporting drugs in the Caribbean, according to Petro's statement on X. The Colombian leftist leader emphasised that counter-narcotics efforts must be subordinated to human rights protections for Caribbean populations.

The strikes have killed at least 76 people across 19 documented operations since August, targeting suspected drug-trafficking boats mostly off Venezuela's coast. However, analysts believe the US Navy buildup in the Caribbean far exceeds what is needed for counter-narcotics operations and is ultimately aimed at unseating Venezuelan authoritarian leader Nicolas Maduro. 

The US deployment in the Caribbean now reportedly exceeds 15,000 personnel, the largest military buildup in the region in three decades. On November 11, the USS Gerald Ford, the world’s largest aircraft carrier carrying more than 4,000 sailors and dozens of aircraft, arrived in the area.

Petro, who has called for US President Donald Trump to be investigated for war crimes over the strikes, referenced the death of Alejandro Carranza, a Colombian fisherman allegedly killed in the operations, telling a Latin American-European Union summit on November 10 that the victim "may have carried fish or cocaine but had not received a death sentence."

The decision threatens cooperation valued at approximately $400mn (COP 1.58 trillion) annually in bilateral military assistance covering training, equipment, maintenance and intelligence operations, according to documents reviewed by El Tiempo. US assistance to Colombia in 2025 was projected to fall below $100mn even before the intelligence suspension due to Trump's wide-ranging aid cuts, according to the Washington Office on Latin America.

Colombia's National Police Director William Rincón declined to address the presidential directive following a press conference on November 11, stating such matters concerned diplomatic rather than police affairs, La Silla Vacía reported.

Relations between Washington and Bogotá have deteriorated sharply under the Trump administration, which placed financial sanctions on Petro and family members in October over allegations of permitting drug cartels to operate. The US decertified Colombia as a cooperative partner in counter-narcotics efforts in September, marking the first such designation since 1997, while Trump has branded Petro an "illegal drug dealer" in public remarks last month.

The suspension follows decades of close security cooperation initiated under Plan Colombia in 1999. Colombian officials maintain that 85% of intelligence used by US interdiction task forces originates from Colombian sources, whilst Colombia accounted for 65% of global cocaine seizures last year. Historic captures, including drug lords Gonzalo Rodríguez Gacha in 1989 and Pablo Escobar in 1993, benefited from US intelligence support.

Defence Minister Pedro Sánchez told El Tiempo on November 9 that cooperation with US Chargé d'Affaires John McNamara remained intact, with anti-drone capability seminars scheduled for the coming week.

Meanwhile, in a similar move, the UK has suspended some intelligence cooperation with US forces conducting the Caribbean strikes, citing legal concerns that the operations amount to extrajudicial executions without due process, according to CNN.


Venezuela raises military alert as US aircraft carrier nears

Venezuela raises military alert as US aircraft carrier nears
The Venezuelan plan involves “full operational readiness” across all branches of the armed forces and includes the mobilisation of “land, air, naval, riverine, and missile assets,” as well as the Bolivarian Militia and civilian security forces.
By bnl editorial staff November 12, 2025

Venezuela has elevated its military alert level and activated what Defence Minister Vladimir Padrino López called a “higher phase” of Plan Independence 200, a nationwide defence operation ordered by President Nicolás Maduro.

The plan involves “full operational readiness” across all branches of the armed forces and includes the mobilisation of “land, air, naval, riverine, and missile assets,” as well as the Bolivarian Militia and civilian security forces. The measure, named "Law of the Command for the Integral Defence of the Nation", aligns with the Chavista regime's push for what it describes as “perfect civic-military-police integration” in response to the perceived threat of US aggression.

In public remarks, Maduro declared that Venezuela “has truth and reason on our side,” and that “we are on the right side of history.”

The decision comes as the USS Gerald R. Ford, the largest aircraft carrier in the US Navy, arrived in Latin America earlier this week. The Pentagon said the deployment aims to “disrupt narcotics trafficking and dismantle transnational criminal organisations,” following at least 19 US operations in the region that have left 76 people dead. However, analysts believe the Navy buildup in the Caribbean far exceeds what is needed for counter-narcotics operations and is ultimately aimed at driving Maduro from power.

President Donald Trump has denied plans for imminent strikes inside Venezuela but has previously floated the possibility of “precision kinetic strikes” against alleged drug trafficking and military targets. Former US Admiral Jim Stavridis said any campaign could begin with attacks on airfields or ports used for drug shipments, adding that Washington’s pressure strategy might seek to convince Maduro “that his days are numbered”, The Washington Post reported.

Analysts say Venezuela’s armed forces, though weakened, remain equipped with advanced weapons such as Russian-made S-300VM air defences. Yet many doubt they could withstand a direct US intervention.

Maduro, meanwhile, has called on supporters to prepare for “a general, insurrectionary, and revolutionary strike” if Venezuela is attacked. The ruling Socialist Party has also pledged to move to “an armed phase of the revolutionary process” akin to a guerrilla-style resistance should hostilities erupt.

Despite repeated warnings of possible US action, the domestic situation remains stable. According to diplomatic reports cited by El Pais, Maduro’s military and political base appears cohesive, with little sign that an external attack would fracture the armed forces’ loyalty to his government.

In related developments, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov on November 11 dismissed reports that Venezuela had requested military assistance from Moscow amid rising tensions with the United States.

“No, we have not received any such request,” Lavrov told reporters, adding that both nations had signed a strategic partnership treaty in May that remains in the “final stage of ratification.” Venezuela, along with Cuba and Nicaragua, is the closest Russian ally in the region.

Earlier reports, corroborated by statements from Russian lawmakers, suggested Caracas had sought support from the Kremlin to bolster its air defences with missile systems, radar equipment, and refurbished Su-30MK2 aircraft, though neither government has confirmed this.


 

Experts find £90K “sweet spot” for crowdfunding success



University of East Anglia






A new study led by the University of East Anglia (UEA) reveals what drives investors to put their money behind business start-ups.

Researchers analysed more than a thousand successful crowdfunding campaigns on the platform Seedrs.

They found that setting a £90K “sweet spot” target, having around 19 team members, and using certain phrases including “health” and “organic” in campaign pitches all helped attract investors.

Offering a high equity percentage in return for investment was also found to be crucial – with low equity ratios putting investors off.

The researchers hope their work could help entrepreneurs fine-tune their campaigns, by choosing the right financial targets, crafting compelling language, and building strong teams.

The study, which also involved the University of Manchester, is published today in the journal Bulletin of Economic Research

Co-author Peter Moffatt, Professor of Econometrics at UEA, said: “We were attempting to identify the features of a campaign that attract investors.

“We find that the optimal target amount, the sweet spot, for entrepreneurs to raise is around £90,000. It seems that investors are happy to contribute to projects with targets up to £90,000 but consider targets above that to be too high.”

Prof Moffatt added: “The percentage of equity offered is also a really good measure of the extent to which the entrepreneur is relying on the external investors. Our result of a high equity percentage contradicts findings from previous studies, which have found a negative effect related to this.

“We suggest that if the percentage of equity offered is very low, this might be perceived as a signal that external investors are not regarded as important to the success of the project, and this might put investors off. 

“Investors want to feel that they are making an important contribution. Another possibility is that a low equity ratio signals that the company’s valuation is exaggerated, and this might make investors wary.”   

The researchers used data on 1,189 equity crowdfunding campaigns. For each they collected information on the target amount, the amount raised, the percentage of equity offered, the number of team members and the presence of particular words in the one-paragraph project pitch.

They then identified the features of a campaign that bring about an increase in funds raised.

They found those pitches containing the words “health/healthy” and “organic” tend to be more successful, while those containing the words “entertainment” and “information” appear to be less successful.

On the optimal number of team members, the researchers suggest that starting a business with a small team can be difficult and cumbersome because of the lack of competences and capacity constraints. However, the larger the management team of the start-up becomes, the more likely it is that disputes among its members will happen.

‘Determinants of Amount Raised in Equity Crowdfunding Campaigns; an Application of Truncated Regression’, Xuerui Ma, Peter Moffatt and Simon Peters, is published in the Bulletin of Economic Research on Wednesday November 12.

ENDS

 

Tough little wallaby sets the scene for kangaroo bounding success



Flinders University

Dr Isaac Kerr 

image: 

Flinders University palaeontologist Dr Isaac Kerr with the skull of a giant kangaroo fossil. 

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Credit: Flinders University





Flinders University fossil experts have unearthed more clues about why kangaroos and wallabies have endured to become one of the continent’s most prolific marsupial groups.

They have analysed the powerful limbs of Australia’s earliest ‘true’ kangaroo – the shared ancestor of modern-day kangaroos and wallabies.

The palaeontologists focused on the limb bones of the extinct Dorcopsoides fossilis, found only in the rich Alcoota fossil field in the southern Northern Territory.

Lead investigator Dr Isaac Kerr says these hardy hopping marsupials, which lived around 7 million years ago in a period called the Late Miocene, are part of the group known as forest-wallabies or Dorcopsini.

Although restricted to New Guinea today, dorcopsins had relatives on the Australian mainland until around 5 million years ago.

“While first described in 1967 from some partial jaws, teeth and foot bones, it has since received minimal attention, despite the accumulation of many more specimens,” says Dr Kerr, from the Palaeontology Lab at the Flinders University College of Science and Engineering, and lead author of an article in Royal Society Open Science.

“For the first time we have analysed all their fossilised limb bones and compared them with limbs of living (extant) species, to shed light on kangaroo evolution.”

Macropodine kangaroos are those in the subfamily Macropodinae, which contains all living kangaroos and wallabies except one (the banded hare-wallaby).

Between 11 and 7 million years ago, central Australia lost its rainforest and became increasingly arid. This drove an evolutionary radiation in macropodine kangaroos, in which many new species evolved to exploit the new dry, open habitats.

“During this period macropodines became a dominant feature of the Australian landscape, which they still are today. However, until this study of Dorcopsoides fossilis, we have had almost no fossil evidence of the evolution of their iconic hindlimbs during this period,” explains Dr Kerr.

“Although D. fossilis is generally similar to living forest-wallabies, it has certain features seen in, for example, grey kangaroos, that imply some ability to hop powerfully and efficiently.

“These features indicate the species was adapted in part to moving through open habitats, able to move efficiently to find food in the drying landscape.”

This is the first direct evidence of adaptation to open, more arid environments in kangaroos from this time period, adds coauthor Professor Gavin Prideaux. “It bolsters evidence from more recent fossils and from genetic analyses about the timing and nature of the rise of macropodines.”

As to how D. fossilis may have looked, Dr Kerr says: “Living forest-wallabies are peculiar, with slightly sad, whippet-like faces. Their strong, curved tails arch during slow movement so only the very tip touches the ground.

Dorcopsoides fossilis may have looked like a larger, longer-legged version.”

The article, ‘Limb osteology and functional morphology of the extinct kangaroo Dorcopsoides fossilis (Macropodinae, Marsupialia) from Late Miocene central Australia (2025) by Isaac AR Kerr,  Jasmin Hoadley, Gavin J Prideaux and Aaron Camens has been published in Royal Society Open Science. DOI: 10.1098/rsos.251591.

https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.251591

Acknowledgements: This research was funded by the Australian Research Council (DP190103636), Australia and Pacific Science Foundation (APSF 1709, 22050), and the Elaine Bailey Palaeontology Expeditions fund.

The authors thank the SA Museum, Museum and Art Gallery of the NT, WA Museum, Australian National Wildlife Collection, Australian Museum and Natural History Museum Denmark for specimens and the Flinders University Ozboneviz team for digital specimens.

The fossils described here were collected on the traditional lands of the Alywarre and Anmatjere Peoples.