Saturday, January 24, 2026

 


Rushing a major strategy announcement can be a mistake for new CEOs




University of Notre Dame




When a new CEO takes over at a firm, it creates uncertainty for important stock market participants such as financial analysts who meet regularly with them and influence the investing patterns for the world’s largest institutional investors. They wait eagerly for the new leader to reveal their first major strategy and the future direction of the firm.

Past research offers conflicting views on whether a swift plan or a patient, deliberate approach is better.

A new study from the University of Notre Dame introduces a concept called “new CEO strategic action speed,” which represents the number of days a new chief executive takes to announce the firm’s first large-scale strategic action.

How analysts respond to new CEO strategic action speed depends on the circumstances into which the chief executive is thrust, according to lead author John Busenbark, the Mary Jo and Richard M. Kovacevich Associate Professor of Management & Organization at Notre Dame’s Mendoza College of Business. Busenbark’s findings in the article titled “Moderately Fast and Furious: A Screening and Behavioral Theory of New CEO Strategic Action Speed” are forthcoming in the Academy of Management Journal.

Along with Robert Campbell from the University of Nebraska-Lincoln and Diego Villalpando from the University of Texas at Arlington, Busenbark shows that if the CEO’s transition was fairly routine, analysts appreciate information sooner than later so they can glean a better picture of the firm’s prospects and provide that information to their clients. But if the CEO was appointed during a period of turmoil or has limited knowledge of the company’s structure, analysts appreciate the CEO taking a little more time to orient themselves to the role and demonstrate that they understand the demands the company faces.

“After that period of time — around 35 days on average — analysts begin to react unfavorably to longer strategic action speeds; after all, their patience only extends so far,” Busenbark said.

Yet, the majority of new CEOs wait more than 200 days to reveal their first major strategy, which is far longer than reasonable in the minds of vital capital market information intermediaries like financial analysts.

The study found that when a company is in trouble — specifically when the last CEO was fired, the new one is an outsider or performance has been poor — analysts prefer a cautious approach, and moving too fast or too slow is seen as a risk. However, if the company is already doing well and the new CEO is an insider, analysts have no patience for delays — the faster the CEO acts, the better.

“In other disciplines and contexts, this type of speed is viewed as key information,” Busenbark said. “Political scientists, sociologists and journalists often note how people form opinions about new U.S. presidents based on how quickly they announce their major policy decisions. Much like new presidents, new CEOs are often expected to balance altering the firm’s strategic trajectory with maintaining the core elements the firm already does well. Yet, unlike the incredible academic scrutiny on how long presidents take to make those types of decisions (typically within the first 100 days), there has been only passing conjecture in the organizational sciences about what it means for new CEOs to make quicker or slower decisions after ascending to their role.”

The researchers gathered data from several sources: a list of new CEO appointments between 2005 and 2019, strategic action announcements pulled from various business newswires, and financial analyst reactions found in academic databases.

“We even dug through thousands of earnings call transcripts for stories and found that analysts are typically eager for clues about the new CEO’s plans,” Busenbark said. “But questions about where the firm is heading often get redirected, so analysts usually have to wait much longer than what they believe is reasonable for information.”

The study notes, “On a call introducing Léo Apotheker as Hewlett-Packard CEO, one analyst asked, ‘Can you comment on when … we can expect your readout and early action items on the company?’ Similarly, on Joseph McGrath’s first earnings call as Unisys CEO, an analyst inquired, ‘When can we expect to see new major [actions]?’”

Along with advancing management theory, the study serves as a practical guide for new CEOs aiming to make their firms more successful on the stock market.

“New CEOs in turbulent situations would be wise to take a bit of time to gather and analyze information,” Busenbark said, “but they should still be cautious of waiting as long as they usually do since periods greater than a month tend to agitate analysts and invite more unfavorable evaluations.”

Contact: John Busenbark, 574-631-1735, jbusenba@nd.edu

Kenya’s big cats under pressure – cattle push lions away


SAME AS THEY DO TO WOLVES IN NORTH AMERICA

Cattle herds are driving lions and other wildlife away from their habitats in Kenya, even though herders enclose their livestock at night when predators are most active.



Aarhus University




On the Kenyan savannah, lions and livestock essentially live in shifts: cattle graze during the day and are enclosed at night when lions are active. Nevertheless, lions are being pushed out of their habitats by large numbers of cattle. This affects both the ecosystem balance and the nature-based tourism on which many Maasai communities in Kenya depend on.

This is shown in a new study from Aarhus University, led by Niels Mogensen, a PhD student at the Department of Biology.

Together with local collaborators, Niels Mogensen recorded different groups of animals – lions, other predators, and grazing livestock – in the Masai Mara Conservancies, a conservation area in southwestern Kenya. The area is roughly the size of Lolland and a large part of Falster and is known for its high lion densities and the annual wildebeest migration.

The Masai Mara is also one of Africa’s most popular tourist destinations, especially for visitors hoping to see the “Big Five” (lions, leopards, rhinos, elephants, and buffalo). Lions in particular are under pressure from the Maasai’s large cattle herds. According to Niels Mogensen, the study is extensive, with a large dataset collected over nine years and covering several conservancies.

“Even though cattle are supervised by herders and brought into enclosures at night when lions become active, the wildlife is still indirectly affected. Lions have a natural fear of cattle and their herders, and as cattle numbers increase, it is the lions that retreat. They simply change their behaviour,” explains Niels Mogensen.

Data collection was carried out by dividing the study area into one-by-one-kilometre grid cells. Each time the researchers drove through a cell, they recorded all lions and livestock and the distance travelled. The data were then analysed using spatial modelling methods, meaning that geographical or spatial factors were taken into account.

Less space creates new problems

Nearly 70 percent of Kenya’s wildlife now lives outside national parks, often in the same areas that local communities use for grazing their cattle. In the community-run Masai Mara conservancies, the goal is for wildlife, tourism, and livestock farming to coexist.

But finding that balance is difficult, says Niels Mogensen.

“Even though lions and cattle are not on the grasslands at the same time, our data show that lions avoid  areas where cattle graze. It is very rare for people to kill lions or directly threaten them in the conservancies. Nevertheless, human use of the landscape has created areas that lions are afraid to enter,” he says.

The consequence is that lions have less space to move, creating new problems.

“Lions may be pushed into unsuitable habitats, their ability to reproduce may be affected, and they may be driven into the territories of other lion prides. At the same time, the risk increases that lion prides move closer to villages, creating insecurity.”

Create more refuges

Niels Mogensen points to several solutions, one of the most important being more targeted grazing management.

“The more cattle there are, the harder it becomes for lions to find space. It is therefore crucial that livestock numbers are kept low in areas preferred by lions, especially near rivers and in areas with dense vegetation,” he says.

Another recommendation is to establish clear boundaries for where livestock may graze and to rotate grazing so that some areas experience periods of rest.

“By rotating grazing between different areas, pressure on the most important habitats for lions and other wildlife can be reduced.”

Lions’ safe resting areas should also be better protected. This applies especially to areas along rivers and places with dense bush or forest cover, where lions can hide and rest during the day.

“These areas function as refuges for lions. If they disappear, lions lose some of the last places where they can feel safe,” he explains.

He therefore advises against allowing cattle to graze in these lion refuges and stresses the importance of maintaining a varied landscape.

Use data in management

A third recommendation is to use data more actively in the management of the conservancies. According to Niels Mogensen, knowledge about where lions and livestock actually occur should play a much larger role in grazing planning.

“We now have a detailed picture of how lions respond to livestock. That knowledge should be used directly in management so that grazing decisions are based on evidence rather than assumptions,” he says.

Finally, Niels Mogensen emphasises the need for continued monitoring.

“When lions are pushed into smaller areas, it can have long-term consequences that we do not yet fully understand. That’s why it is important to keep monitoring developments closely,” he says.

Future studies should, among other things, examine how denser populations affect lions’ social structure, pride stability, and cub survival.

 

 IT'S A QUANTUM UNIVERSE

Researchers publish new guide to measuring spacetime fluctuations



Signatures of Correlation of Spacetime Fluctuations in Laser Interferometers




University of Warwick

Image of tabletop QUEST setup for measuring spacetime fluctuations 

image: 

Cardiff's Gravity Exploration Institute team working on QUEST experiment. Credit: H Grote, Cardiff University.

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Credit: H Grote, Cardiff University




A team of researchers led by the University of Warwick has developed the first unified framework for detecting “spacetime fluctuations” - tiny, random distortions in the fabric of spacetime that appear in many attempts to unite quantum physics and gravity.

These subtle fluctuations, first envisaged by physicist John Wheeler, are thought to arise naturally in several leading theories of quantum gravity. But because different models of gravity predict different forms of these fluctuations, experimental teams have until now lacked clear guidance on what to look for.

The new study, published in Nature Communications addresses this challenge by sorting spacetime fluctuations into three broad categories, each defined by how organised the fluctuations are in space and time. For each category, the researchers mapped out the distinct, measurable signatures that would appear in laser interferometers - from the 4km long LIGO, to compact laboratory systems such as QUEST and GQuEST being developed in the UK (Cardiff University) and USA (Caltech) respectively.

Dr. Sharmila Balamurugan, Assistant Professor, University of Warwick and first author said: “Different models of gravity predict very different underlying trends in the random spacetime fluctuations, and that has left experimentalists without a clear target. Our work provides the first unified guide that translates these abstract, theoretical predictions into concrete, measurable signals.

“It means we can now test a whole class of quantum-gravity predictions using existing interferometers, rather than waiting for entirely new technologies. This is an important step towards bringing some of the most fundamental questions in physics firmly into the realm of experiment.”

The study found that:

  • Tabletop interferometers beat LIGO in bandwidth
     Despite being far smaller than LIGO, QUEST and GQuEST could provide more detailed information about the nature of spacetime fluctuations. Their wide frequency coverage allows them to detect all the characteristic signatures.
  • LIGO is an excellent “yes/no” detector.
     Thanks to its long arm cavities, LIGO is highly sensitive to the mere presence of spacetime fluctuations — although the relevant frequencies lie above the range currently available in public data.
  • A long-running debate is resolved.
     A debate about whether arm cavities help or hinder detection has been answered as here arm cavities do enhance an interferometer’s sensitivity to spacetime fluctuations, depending on the type of fluctuation being tested.

Dr. Sander Vermeulen, Caltech, co-author of the study said: “Interferometers can measure spacetime with extraordinary precision. However, to measure spacetime fluctuations with an interferometer, we need to know where - i.e. at what frequency - to look, and what the signal will look like. With our framework we can now predict this for a wide range of theories. Our results show that interferometers are powerful and versatile tools in the quest for quantum gravity.”

Crucially, the new framework developed here is agnostic of the underlying mechanism for the fluctuations: it requires only the mathematical description of the hypothesised fluctuations and the geometry of the instrument. This makes it a powerful tool not only for quantum-gravity tests but also for searches for stochastic gravitational waves, dark-matter signatures, and certain forms of instrumental noise.

Prof Animesh Datta, Professor of Theoretical Physics at Warwick concluded: “With this methodology, we can now treat any proposed model of spacetime fluctuations in a consistent, comparable way. In the coming years, we can use this to design smarter tabletop interferometers to confirm or refute possible theories of quantum or semiclassical gravity and even test new ideas about dark matter and stochastic gravitational waves.”

ENDS

Notes to Editors

Image Credits: H Grote, Cardiff University.

About the paper and funding:

The paper ‘Signatures of Correlation of Spacetime Fluctuations in Laser Interferometers’ has been published in Nature Communications. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-67313-3

This work was funded by the UK STFC “Quantum Technologies for Fundamental Physics” program (Grant Numbers ST/T006404/1, ST/W006308/1 and ST/Y004493/1) and the Leverhulme Trust under research grant ECF-2024-124 and RPG-2019-022.

 About the University of Warwick

Founded in 1965, the University of Warwick is a world-leading institution known for its commitment to era-defining innovation across research and education. A connected ecosystem of staff, students and alumni, the University fosters transformative learning, interdisciplinary collaboration, and bold industry partnerships across state-of-the-art facilities in the UK and global satellite hubs. Here, spirited thinkers push boundaries, experiment, and challenge conventions to create a better world.