Saturday, February 18, 2023

Tucker Carlson All But Asks For More Anti-Trans Violence With Matt Walsh’s Bogus ‘Child Mutilation’ Claims

Tucker Carlson teamed up with fave transphobe Matt Walsh to make incendiary attacks on Democrats who oppose anti-transgender legislation in Tennessee.

Radical right-wing, uh, pundit and self-proclaimed “theocratic fascist,” Matt Walsh is on a sacred mission to destroy the lives of transgender youth who are seeking gender affirming care. So, it’s no surprise that Fox’s top transphobe, Tucker Carlson, continues to pimp Walsh’s anti-trans, hate-filled and bizarre crusade. And, as Newshounds Ellen pointed out, get paid for it. Cue the death threats.

Thursday night, the Tucker Carlson Tonight show brought back Walsh, New Republic's “Transphobe of the Year,” for a victory lap after Walsh’s testimony in support of proposed anti-transgender legislation in the Tennessee legislature - legislation that seems to have been initiated by Walsh’s supposed exposé of “child mutilation” surgeries (actually gender affirming care) at Tennessee’s Vanderbilt University’s Medical Center. (Walsh recently led an anti-trans protest outside the facility) Walsh testified before Tennessee’s House Health Committee and, according to Carlson and Walsh, just crushed it!

To a grisly visual backdrop of “mutilation of children” and the banner Protecting Kids From Trans Mutilation Surgery," Carlson (who says there’s no such thing as transgender) started off with a BIG FAT (and incendiary) LIE: “We were shocked to learn that Vanderbilt Medical Center, which is a very well respected hospital in Tennessee, is involved in the mutilation of children’s genitals for profit.”

Carlson claimed that while the purportedly evil Democrats aren’t outraged by this, they’re upset that the purportedly very brave Matt Walsh is exposing this evil – so upset that, during a Tennessee statehouse committee hearing, one of those Democrats asked Walsh about his medical credentials – a legit request given that Walsh presents himself as an expert on transgender medical care.

Carlson played Walsh’s response which consisted of Walsh admitting that he didn’t attend college, but no big deal because he is “qualified to speak” because he is a “human being with a brain and common sense,” and “has a soul.” He then opined that he thinks “it’s a really bad idea to chemically castrate children.” (Guess he's talking about puberty blockers, but who knows?)

Knowing he was likely cuing more death threats, Carlson suggested that the legislator questioning Walsh was a “soulless freak” who is “taking the side of castrators of children,” then sneered sarcastically, “but Matt Walsh is the villain.”

Carlson played another video which showed another evil Democrat being left speechless by Walsh’s keen intellectual commentary. That included the Walsh “fact” that because the teenage brain isn’t fully developed, teens can’t provide real consent “to have their body parts removed.” Keep in mind, folks, that this is the same Matt Walsh who, in defending teen pregnancy (when girls are at their most fertile) said that  “at about 16, you're an adult who is mature and can make decisions.”

Cuing more death threats, Carlson named a Democratic Tennessee state, called him “another ghoul,” and added, “God bless Matt Walsh for doing that.” It must be noted that the devout pro-life Catholic Walsh advocates for executing doctors who provide gender affirming care.

After he introduced Walsh, Carlson praised him for “exposing” these “truly filthy people.” Inflated with a sense of pride in his debate skills, Walsh claimed that the Democrats “exposed themselves.” Reinforcing the incendiary aspect of their rhetoric, Walsh said that even if people think he’s a terrible person, “does that make it OK to mutilate children?” He accused the Democrats and “the left” of not wanting to talk about this because “they can’t defend their position.” (Hey Matt, how bout all those qualified clinicians who say that gender affirming care is "life saving?")

Walsh continued to foment a climate of violence towards those providing gender affirming care. He accused those who support it of being “unspeakably evil.” The banner reinforced the message: Walsh: It’s a Really Bad Idea to Chemically Castrate Children.”

Carlson launched another attack on the legislator who was skeptical of Walsh’s credentials. He scrunched up his face and "asked" if this man is “in favor of cutting the breasts off of girls.”

FACT CHECK: There is not an epidemic of underage girls getting mastectomies. Professional transgender health groups recommend surgery should be done for those 18 and older. 

Walsh concluded by asserting that those who don’t agree with him are, instead, concerned with “credentialism.” He continued, “as if I need credentials to know that abusing children is wrong.” (Clinician that he is, Walsh doesn't seem to know that there is a high suicide rate among transgender youth). Keep in mind, folks, this is the same Matt Walsh who said the Catholic priest sex abuse crisis was caused by gay priests.

Guess the much-vaunted, by the Christian right, parental control doesn’t apply to parents of transgender kids. Seriously, Carlson’s and Walsh’s creepy obsession with children’s bodies borders on pornographic. Bottom line is that if you want to talk “soulless freaks" and "evil," look no further than Tucker Carlson and Matt Walsh.

NewsHounds

Check out the raw sewage the Murdochs pay millions for on the February 9, 2023 Tucker Carlson Tonight.


How can we help science to save the world?

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Martin Rees |UK Astronomer Royal

The ELN Is launching a new project called NEVER (New European Voices on Existential Risk) that will create a network of 30 individuals under 30, from across Europe, who are future leaders in the field of existential risk. Existential risk encompasses many fields of study, including but not limited to nuclear policy, threats from malign AI, climate change, and biological threats.

In advance of the project’s launch, ELN network member Martin Rees (Lord Rees of Ludlow, OM, FRS), Astronomer Royal and Co-Founder of the Centre for the Study of Existential Risk at the University of Cambridge, has written for the ELN about the alliance between science and the public sphere that needs to be made to ensure the survival of our planet.

The challenges posed by the Covid-19 crisis were unprecedented (at least in peacetime) in their urgency, impact, and global scope. Scientists have seldom had so much public prominence and appreciation. We’re living in an ever more interconnected world, a world where catastrophes can cascade globally. For instance, new global threats, such as pandemics and massive cyber-attacks, could happen at any time and the probability of such events occurring increases every year.

Moreover, looming over the world is a different threat – one that’s predictable but gradual and insidious, anthropogenic climate change. This is a “global fever”, in some ways resembling a slow-motion version of Covid-19. Both crises aggravate the level of inequality within and between nations. It’s the poorest countries, and the poorest people in them, that will suffer the most from global warming and its effects on food production and biodiversity.

But potential slow-motion catastrophes don’t engage the public and politicians – our predicament resembles that of the proverbial boiling frog – contented in a warming tank until it’s too late to save itself. We’re well aware of them, but we fail to prioritise countermeasures because their worst impact stretches beyond the time-horizon of political and investment decisions.

...potential slow-motion catastrophes don’t engage the public and politicians – our predicament resembles that of the proverbial boiling frog – contented in a warming tank until it’s too late to save itself. Martin Rees
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To cope with the climate crisis, nations should accelerate research and development into all forms of low-carbon energy generation. States must also invest in other technologies where parallel progress is crucial – especially storage in the form of batteries, compressed air, pumped storage, hydrogen etc. As well as smart transcontinental grids.

This should ease Europe and North America’s path to sustainability. But there’s something even more important. The faster these “clean” technologies advance, the sooner their prices will fall, so they will become affordable to developing countries in the global south. These nations can’t reach acceptable living standards without generating more power than they do today. Not only will their currently low per capita energy needs rise, unlike ours – but they will collectively harbour a billion more people by 2050. “Bending the trajectory” of CO2 emissions from these countries is crucial: they must be enabled to leapfrog more speedily to clean energy rather than building coal-fired power stations – just as they leapfrogged to mobile phones without having landlines first.

It would be hard to think of a more inspiring challenge for young scientists and engineers than devising clean and economical energy systems that can achieve “net zero” for the world. Likewise, we shall need advances in “sustainable intensive” agriculture to feed a global population of 9 million without undue encroachment on natural forests and habitats.

Except in emergencies like Covid 19, scientists have little direct influence on policy; they must enhance their leverage, by involvement with NGOs, via blogging and journalism, and by enlisting charismatic individuals and the media to amplify their voice and change the public mindset. We have seen, for instance, what the disparate quartet of Pope Francis, David Attenborough, Bill Gates and Greta Thunberg have achieved in shifting public perspectives on crucial long-term goals – and even changing the rhetoric of the business sector. We need more such individuals to influence us and our political leaders – individuals who resonate with science but can inspire the ethical guidance and motivation that science alone can’t offer.

We need more such individuals to influence us and our political leaders – individuals who resonate with science but can inspire the ethical guidance and motivation that science alone can’t offer. 
Martin Rees

It’s encouraging to witness more activists – especially among the young, who can hope to live into the 22nd century. Their campaigning is welcome. Their commitment gives grounds for hope.

To quote an optimistic thought from Margaret Mead, “Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed citizens can change the world; indeed, it’s the only thing that ever has.”

If you are under 30 years old, live in or are from Europe, work in the field of existential risk, and would like to join a network of future leaders in your sector, please apply below. Membership of NEVER will be conducted on a voluntary and honorary basis. The network will be designed with collaborative working in mind, with the aim of creating a space for future leaders to work together and advance in their careers in a supportive environment. We shall also be offering mentoring opportunities provided by pre-existing members of our networks.

The ELN is keen to publish pieces on the various subtopics within the field of existential risk. If you have an idea or an article that you would like to pitch, irrespective of whether you would like to join NEVER, please do get in touch. Read our guidelines here and contact estherk@europeanleadershipnetwork.org for more information.

More information on NEVER and how to apply can be found here.

The opinions articulated above represent the views of the author and do not necessarily reflect the position of the European Leadership Network or all of its members. The ELN’s aim is to encourage debates that will help develop Europe’s capacity to address the pressing foreign, defence, and security policy challenges of our time.

Image: Wikimedia Commons / Francis McKee









































Greta Thunberg says world leaders not even ‘moving in the right direction’ on climate

BY OLAFIMIHAN OSHIN 
- 02/13/23 
AP Photo/Markus Schreiber
Climate activist Greta Thunberg of Sweden, right, listens to Vanessa Nakate of Uganda, left, at a press conference at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland Thursday, Jan. 19, 2023.

Swedish climate activist Greta Thunberg said in an op-ed published Monday that the world’s leaders are not even “moving in the right direction” on addressing the growing climate crisis.

Writing in the Los Angeles Times, Thunberg, 20, said that financial resources need to be aggressively poured into “solutions, adaptations, and restorations” to address climate change, but that the funds are currently “going elsewhere.”

“The often-used argument that ‘we don’t have enough money’ has been disproven so many times,” Thunberg wrote. “According to the International Monetary Fund, the production and burning of coal, oil and fossil gas was subsidized by $5.9 trillion in 2020 alone. That is $11 million every minute, earmarked for planetary destruction.”

“During the COVID-19 pandemic, governments around the world launched unprecedented financial rescue packages. These recovery plans were seen as a huge opportunity to set humanity on a brand-new course for a more sustainable economic paradigm. They were called ‘our last chance to avert a climate disaster,’ as the enormous size of the investments would make it impossible for us to undo their consequences in the future if we got that funding even slightly wrong,” she said.

But, according to the International Energy Agency, only 2 percent of those massive financial aid packages went toward green energy, Thunberg said

“Our leaders completely failed,” she wrote.Subsidies have boosted Affordable Care Act’s enrollment. It’s setting up a potential fightUS calls off search for unidentified aerial objects shot down over Alaska, Lake Huron

“And they continue to fail; despite all the beautiful words and pledges, they are not moving in the right direction. In fact, we are still expanding fossil fuel infrastructure all over the world. In many cases, we are even speeding up the process. China is planning to build 43 new coal power plants on top of the 1,000 plants already in operation. In the U.S., approvals for companies to drill for oil and fossil methane gas are on schedule to reach their highest level since the presidency of George W. Bush,” she wrote.

Thunberg’s remarks come a month after she was detained by German authorities for her involvement in protests at a coal mine there.

In November, she joined a lawsuit against her native Sweden, alleging it has not done enough to counter the climate crisis.
EPA outlines $27B ‘green bank’ for clean energy projects


By MATTHEW DALY
February 14, 2023

Environmental Protection Agency Administrator Michael Regan speaks in Jackson, Miss., on Sept. 7, 2022. The Biden administration on Tuesday, Feb. 14, 2023, outlined how states and nonprofit groups can apply for $27 billion in funding from a "green bank" that will provide low-cost financing for projects that cut planet-warming greenhouse gas emissions.
(AP Photo/Rogelio V. Solis, File)

WASHINGTON (AP) — The Biden administration on Tuesday outlined how states and nonprofit groups can apply for $27 billion in funding from a “green bank” that will provide low-cost financing for projects intended to cut planet-warming greenhouse gas emissions.

The so-called Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund, created by Congress in the landmark climate law approved last year, will invest in clean energy projects nationwide, with a focus on low-income and disadvantaged communities.

The Environmental Protection Agency expects to award $20 billion in competitive grants to as many 15 nonprofit groups that will work with local banks and other financial institutions to invest in projects that reduce pollution and lower energy costs for families.

Another $7 billion will be awarded to states, tribes and municipalities to deploy a range of solar energy projects, including residential rooftop solar, community solar and solar storage.

EPA Administrator Michael Regan said the green bank — modeled after similar banks established in states such as Connecticut, New York and California — will unlock billions of dollars in private investment to enable neighborhoods and communities “that have never participated in the clean-energy economy to participate in full force″ in creating green jobs.

Low-income and disadvantaged communities “who pay the largest percent of their income toward energy bills have been left out of the investment game (and) have not seen the infusion of private capital to help them realize opportunities ... for lots of reasons,″ said Regan, the first Black man to head the EPA.

“What we are focused on here is ensuring that this $27 billion opportunity is thought-out in a way that allows for that community, that population, to be along for the ride,″ he added. ”Obviously, if this had been done before, there would be no reason for the Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund. We are charged with bringing private capital off the sideline.″

The program expects to begin making grant awards this summer and has already received nearly 400 responses to preliminary inquiries, said Jahi Wise, the program’s acting director.

Even before the grants are awarded, Republicans in Congress have taken aim at the green bank, calling it a taxpayer-funded “slush fund” ripe for abuse.

Rep. Gary Palmer, R-Ala., said he will sponsor a bill to repeal the fund, which he said will likely benefit Wall Street firms but “doesn’t help the American people with their utility bills.

“Will this $27 billion slush fund lower the cost of heating for these American families?” Palmer asked.

A spokesman for House Energy and Commerce Chair Cathy McMorris Rodgers, R-Wash., said the fund “allocates an incredible amount of authority and resources” to the EPA, yet lacks measures to ensure accountability or transparency in how the resources are used.

“In other words, this provision creates a taxpayer-funded slush fund for Wall Street and heightens the risk for overspending, fraud and abuse,” spokesman Sean Kelly said in a statement.

Democrats were much more optimistic, calling the fund a historic opportunity to cut greenhouse gas emissions, protect public health and create economic opportunity in disadvantaged and under-resourced communities.

“For years, we’ve fought to take the idea of a national climate bank from a vision to a reality. With today’s action from the EPA, we’re one step closer,″ said Sen. Chris Van Hollen, D-Md., who pushed for the green bank along with Massachusetts Sen. Ed Markey and other Democrats.

Markey and Van Hollen said in a statement that they will work with EPA to ensure the new fund is national in scope, has a substantial “multiplier effect” with private investment and includes diverse stakeholders, including “communities that have been historically underserved” by banks and other financial institutions.

The EPA’s announcement surprised some observers, who had considered the Coalition for Green Capital, a Washington-based non profit, as the likely choice to become the nation’s de facto green bank, parceling out grants on behalf of the EPA. The politically influential group works with Connecticut and other states to accelerate investment in clean energy technologies.

Instead, the EPA will issue grants directly to anywhere from two to 15 nonprofits, Regan said.

Reed Hundt, chairman and CEO of the green capital group, applauded the EPA’s announcement, saying the new fund will help fight climate change and create good-paying jobs.

Hundt, a lawyer and longtime ally of former Vice President Al Gore, said in a statement Tuesday that the coalition and its partners “appreciate the attention and care given to this program by the EPA.″ The group welcomes the opportunity to participate in the next steps outlined by the agency, he said.

South African Protests Against Russia’s Antarctic Seismic Ship Echo Around the World

Extinction Rebellion, Akademik Alexander Karpinsky

A protester from the Extinction Rebellion with the Russian seismic vessel in the background. The Akademik Alexander Karpinsky, equipped with airguns, is accused by South African activists of prospecting Antarctica’s Southern Ocean for oil and gas, despite an international mining ban. Photo credit: Shelley Christians / Daily Maverick
 02/09/23

Sweeping across dark, blustery skies on Saturday, January 28, a rainbow framed Cape Town’s foggy seaboard end to end — but when a tug fleet motored out to meet a Russian ship on the horizon, the light display vanished in the mist.

By 9 a.m., the Akademik Alexander Karpinsky and her controversial airguns had docked in the shadow of Table Mountain to refuel, after sailing from her St. Petersburg homeport since Christmas Day. 

The target of several land and ocean protests since Friday, January 27, after Our Burning Planet first reported on her arrival, the 40-year-old lady of the sea has since made headlines around the world. 

But here she seemed neglected against the dark, ashen Atlantic — as though at least 25 years of apparent airgun prospecting in a globally important marine sanctuary had sapped her. Now she would also have to contend with South African seismic protesters — incensed by her annual Antarctic oil and gas surveys, led via Cape Town since at least the late 1990s; her noisy airguns; and the South African government’s “flourishing” relations with Russia. 

Akademik Alexander Karpinsky, Cape Town

The Akademik Alexander Karpinsky on a moody ocean outside Cape Town harbor 

on Saturday, January 28, \shortly before being towed into port by tugs. 

Photo credit: Shelley Christians / Daily Maverick

Covered by local and international media since they emerged in Cape Town at the end of January, the protests are likely the first demonstrations against oil and gas seismic surveys in Antarctica’s Southern Ocean since a 1998 mining ban entered into force. 

They also follow a series of Our Burning Planet investigations that shows the Karpinsky’s Antarctic activities have not been deterred by the mining ban

Following additional investigations into underwater noise in Antarctica, recent days may also mark another seminal moment: these are likely the first protests against the impacts of academic airguns used by a number of Antarctic states in the Southern Ocean. The protests have further exposed the frustrations of those South Africans whose court action has suspended Shell’s seismic oil and gas tests off the Wild Coast.  

Groups who protested peacefully at the V&A Waterfront, and other harbor areas, have included volunteers from Extinction Rebellion, Greenpeace, the Green Connection, the Ukrainian Association of South Africa, and private citizens. 

Anti-seismic protesters, Table Mountain

Anti-seismic and noise protesters framed against Table Mountain, a familiar sight to Antarctic 

seafarers from across the world. Photo credit: Shelley Christians / Daily Maverick

‘Russia Is Mal, but Our Government Is Maller’

The Karpinsky would be sailing south as part of the 68th annual Russian Antarctic Expedition, “to carry out complex geological and geophysical studies in the Davis and Mawson Seas” off the East Antarctic ice shelf, according to the ship’s owners: the Polar Marine Geosurvey Expedition (PMGE). 

Antarctic scientific research — including oceanography, biology and meteorology — would also be conducted on a sister polar research vessel, the Akademik Fedorov, which transited through Cape Town mid-December. 

But PMGE — subsidiary of the Kremlin’s mineral explorer, RosGeo — had in a December-issued annual report also revealed remarkably brazen intentions for the Karpinsky’s imminent summer expedition.  

Published in Russian, the report reveals that the subsidiary’s research goals are “decreed” by the Kremlin. Tellingly, they include “the creation of an information base for the assessment and scientific forecast of the mineral raw-material potential of the Antarctic.”  

For Caron Hopkins, who described herself as a homeless resident living at Cape Town harbor since 1997, the news seemed too much to bear.

“No man, all this is just so f**ked up,” Hopkins said, as she passed the Sunday protesters marching from the museum precinct to the Waterfront clock tower. 

“Everything in South Africa is messed up as it is. Why would our government want to invite Russia here? It’s so not on. It’s dom [stupid]. Russia is wrong, what they’re doing to Ukraine. It’s very much wrong. And for our government to encourage Russia still to come here, I mean… shaking hands and… why?” Hopkins asked, standing less than 1.5 km (~1 mile) from the Karpinsky’s berthing position in the larger container dock. “Russia is a mal [crazy] country, but our government is maller [crazier]. We want peace. So, what is this Russian ship doing in our seawater?”

Caron Hopkins, homeless, Cape Town

Caron Hopkins, a homeless resident at Cape Town port since 1997, on Saturday, January 28, 

expressed her concerns about South Africa’s controversial relations with Russia. A penguin sculpture 

by Belgian artist William Sweetlove can be seen in the background. 

Photo credit: Shelley Christians / Daily Maverick

Hopkins was not taking part in the Sunday protests, but she pointed to William Sweetlove’s outsized penguin sculpture — with a plastic bottle strapped to its back — on the other side of the canal. In her pocket, she carried a penguin keyring. 

“And what about all the animals… no heart, hey,” she said as Sweetlove’s petrified penguin — erected to raise awareness of ocean plastics — loomed over tourists lip-reading placards. “Heartless — but [Russia’s] president is heartless, so I would not expect anything else of him. He doesn’t even think about his own country, why would he think about animals? As for our own government, they’ll mos do anything for money.”

In recent weeks, the Russian cargo vessel Lady R has reportedly offloaded arms at Simon’s Town naval base in the dead of night. Subsequently, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov’s controversial official visit to Pretoria took place just days before the Karpinsky’s arrival. And, next month, South Africa’s defense force is planning maritime exercises with Russia and China which would coincide with the first anniversary of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on Febuary 24.

‘Everybody’s Doing It’

Antarctica and the surrounding Southern Ocean are devoted to peaceful and scientific ideals under the 1959 Antarctic Treaty, which Russia, South Africa and 53 other states have signed. According to the environmental laws of the Antarctic Treaty System (ATS) — the greater suite of agreements — mineral resource activities are prohibited. 

The freedom of scientific investigation, a concept not defined by the ATS, is allowed, but Antarctic governance experts warn that the Karpinsky’s activities closely resemble the early stages of commercial prospecting. 

In detailed comments to Our Burning Planet, RosGeo’s PMGE subsidiary has repeatedly insisted that the Karpinsky’s work was dedicated to legal scientific research.

The subsidiary’s geological and geophysical surveys were “no different from the work conducted by other members” signed up to Antarctica’s environmental laws, according to PMGE Managing Director Pavel Lunev. 

In 2022, Lunev told us, the subsidiary had also probed “the glacial processes, dynamics and evolution of the ice sheet and the stages of Antarctic glaciation” and “the nature and foundation of the Earth’s crust.”  

During the Sunday, January 29 protests, two Russian-speaking bystanders dressed in smart-casual slacks and open-necked shirts approached the protesters and repeated some of Lunev’s arguments. After speaking with the two men, a protester said they worked on the Karpinsky and were heading to the Southern Ocean to gather climate data. 

“They said they do research and supply their research stations in Antarctica. In past years, their ship had supplied other international stations,” said Viktoriia Kordiumova, a Ukrainian protester living in Cape Town. Kordiumova claimed to have spoken to the men, and said they seemed visibly frustrated. 

The men insisted, said Kordiumova, that “in Russia, nobody wants this war, and they personally want this to be over. That they are just doing their job, that they have families to feed and support.”

“And when I said that we were protesting against Antarctic exploration, against blasting there, they said that everyone is doing it.”

Our Burning Planet was unable to verify the men’s identities. When asked for formal comment, they declined. 

‘Real Possible Prospecting’ of Antarctic Minerals

Leading up to Antarctica’s 1998 mining ban, most of the ATS’s 12 founding signatories were, in fact, associated with mineral resource research — including Japan, Norway, apartheid South Africa, the US and, indeed, the Soviet Union.

Peer-reviewed German science notes that at least 13 other Antarctic states have deployed airguns for varied scientific research, including monitoring volcanoes and gathering data for UN climate reports. 

As Our Burning Planet previously reported, airguns used by Germany — which has also led important climate research on the country’s flagship Polarstern icebreaker — have produced at least 60,000 km (37,282 miles) of seismic profiles. 

Russia, however, has pulsed noise across well in excess of 100,000 km (62,137 miles) of sensitive Antarctic seabed every 10 seconds, spanning a 4.5 million square km (~1.7 million square miles) Southern Ocean block — an area larger than the EU.

Protest, Antarctic prospecting, Cape Town

During a third day of protests, peaceful campaigners against Antarctic prospecting and marine noise

 squared off against security guards at Cape Town’s busy V&A Waterfront. 

Photo credit: Shelley Christians / Daily Maverick

In an interview, a senior Russian scientist previously told Our Burning Planet that, since the ban, scientists from different countries had published reports on Antarctica’s mineral resources.

Professor German Leitchenkov, Antarctic geoscience head at Russia’s Research Institute of Geology and Mineral Resources of the World Ocean, said he had reviewed a Chinese paper, which claimed there was “real possible prospecting on land” of “mineral resources on the Antarctic continent.” 

Leitchenkov is an accomplished geoscientist, and said he also worried about Antarctic environments. 

Equal to 15 Years of Global Oil Consumption

As for claims that the Karpinsky is gathering innocent data, PMGE’s company reports also detail glaciological investigations and other forms of legal research. These include geophysical studies of polar environments — thus, partially confirming Lunev’s explanation.

Yet, the subsidiary also has a contract with the UN seabed authority to explore the central Atlantic for polymetallic sulphides. 

And, in February 2020, as the human planet plunged into a global shutdown, RosGeo issued a bombshell statement out of the Karpinsky in Cape Town harbor. This claimed to have found 500 billion barrels of oil and gas beneath the Southern Ocean — which accounts for 50 percent of global ocean warming since 2005

Multiple Russian state sources, in fact, claim there are supermassive oil fields of 500 billion barrels, or 70 billion tons, simmering beneath the Southern Ocean. That would equate to about 15 years of global oil consumption.

This concerns the academic community — Antarctica’s mining ban does not expire. But it can be renegotiated from 2048 with new conditions that could lift constraints. 

Other environmental concerns include new peer-reviewed scientific papers warning of the painful and possibly deadly effects of airgun noise on marine life, such as critically endangered blue whales and krill, the base of the ocean food web.

Scientists have flagged the propellers and rumbling engines of ship-based Antarctic tourism as another significant noise source, but the International Association of Antarctica Tour Operators insists it already has tools “to support environmentally responsible travel.”  

The piercing echosounders of fishing vessels were an under-addressed concern, the ATS’s fisheries body has suggested in a previous formal response — while stressing that all fishing activities under the Commission for the Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resources operated under permits. 

South African authorities are yet to respond to repeated sets of questions sent by Our Burning Planet since October 2021, but protesting green groups said they were planning to hand demands to authorities. 

According to Extinction Rebellion and Greenpeace volunteers, they have thus far demanded that “authorities establish the moral, legal and scientific basis for the Akademik Alexander Karpinsky’s current expedition to the Antarctic.”

They have also called on “the South African government to refuse permission to any ship from any country to berth in South African ports en route to the Antarctic, unless it can present proof to port authorities that it is engaged in bona fide scientific research as defined by Antarctic treaties, and that it has neither the intention nor the technologies to prospect for fossil fuel reserves.”

At the time of WhoWhatWhy’s publication, the Karpinsky had left the port at Cape Town harbor. The ship is scheduled to arrive in Antarctica at the end of February.

This story by Tiara Walters was originally published by Daily Maverick and is part of Covering Climate Now, a global journalism collaboration strengthening coverage of the climate story.


Hurricane Ian, landfall, Fort Myers
Murky sediment flows from the coast of Fort Myers, FL, after Hurricane Ian made landfall in September 2022. Photo credit: Joshua Stevens / NASA Earth Observatory

Tropical storms and hurricanes bring immediate and direct economic damage to communities and may also reduce a country’s economic growth for more than a decade. Models that determine climate policy in the United States have been criticized for ignoring the impacts of such extreme weather events over time.

A new study highlights a way to stave off economic effects by promoting a widespread public insurance plan for Americans. The research supports the growing movement to use insurance­­ — a key tool for managing society’s risk — as a form of climate adaptation.

“Insurance can be a major building block of future climate change adaptation strategies, at least in developed countries,” wrote a team of German economists behind the work. Climate adaptation seeks to change and prepare society for the effects of climate change today and in the future.

“Insurance can be a major building block of future climate change adaptation strategies.”

Climate Coverage

Global leaders and scientists gather at the Conference of the Parties (COP) each year to discuss the challenges of climate change. At the 2022 COP, “climate risk insurance was discussed as a main measure to adapt to climate change,” said lead author and economist Christian Otto from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research.

Still, researchers are debating how much insurance can help. Generally, insured economies grow slower than uninsured economies, Otto said. “It takes time to file an insurance claim. It takes time for the insurance payout to arise to reconstruct things. It was an open question for us if insurance can indeed be an effective means,” he explained.

To find out, the researchers created a growth model for a simplified US economy. The model tracked losses to the stock of physical assets (buildings, roads, machinery, and other tangible things) as increasingly destructive storms made landfall. The model accounts for accumulated losses from storms over time, capturing the fact that communities can still be recovering from one storm when another hits.

The hypothetical insurance scheme used in the model is a mandatory nonprofit government-offered policy that is available everywhere at a flat fee. The scheme uses the average rate of insured losses from US hurricanes over the past several decades (50 percent) tallied by the natural disaster database NatCatSERVICE from the German-based insurance company Munich Re.

The United States doesn’t have an insurance policy like this currently, although a close analog is the National Flood Insurance Program from the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). But the program isn’t compulsory and isn’t available to everyone.

An Economic Cushion

In the simplified US economy, past annual economic growth losses would have been cut in half with a compulsory insurance policy in effect. The results also show that despite climate change supercharging storms, insurance could dampen future economic growth losses for the United States.

In a simplified US economy, annual economic growth losses are cut in half when half the U.S. population is insured.

The model computes the percent annual average growth of the economy after a storm compared with the growth of an economy without a storm. By turning off and on different types of insurance caps and coverage and storm frequencies and intensities, the researchers sussed out the effectiveness of insurance as a climate adaptation tool.

In a 2 degrees Celsius warmer world, the percentage of direct asset losses covered by insurance would need to be raised to compensate for the losses from climate change-fueled storms. Depending on how tropical storms evolve with a shifting climate, insurance policies would need to cover 58 percent to 84 percent of direct asset losses — not 50 percent, the historical average. These numbers “seem within reach,” said Otto.

But insurance has its limits, said Otto. Current policies are pushing us toward a 2.7 degrees Celsius warmer world, according to the Climate Action Tracker. In the worst-case scenario projections for hurricanes, 100 percent of direct asset losses would have to be covered to account for increased losses from climate change. That’s unrealistic, said Otto.

Although the study suggests that better insurance coverage helps compensate for tropical storm-related economic growth losses in the United States, Otto stressed that their study couldn’t consider everything. Instead, they write, their work presents “an optimistic upper limit” of insurance in mitigating disaster.

The authors will continue to test the effectiveness of insurance in other countries. They published the work in Science Advances in January.

No One-Size-Fits-All Solution

Insurance wouldn’t be as effective for all countries, however. The researchers repeated the analysis using the economy of Haiti, a hurricane-prone island with a much less developed insurance market than the United States.

According to the study, even with insurance that covers 100 percent of asset losses, economic growth losses are too significant for the Haitian government to handle. Insurance coverage must be partnered with other measures such as better housing standards, resilient infrastructure, and community-led relocation.

“The case of Haiti stresses the importance of international climate finance,” Otto said. Aid for loss and damages, a term that describes the consequences of climate change that surpass what humans can adapt to, is one example.

“The case of Haiti stresses the importance of international climate finance.”

“The authors show that reducing the share of uninsured assets is a simple and effective means to mitigate the adverse effects on growth that they estimate,” said economist Francesco Lamperti at the Sant’Anna School of Advanced Studies in Pisa, Italy, and the European Institute on Economics and the Environment in Milan, Italy. Lamperti was not involved with the research.

“Otto and his coauthors develop a simple, transparent, and elegant model,” Lamperti said. He particularly applauded the model’s ability to consider the cumulative effect of multiple storms in sequence.

Derek Lemoine, an environmental economist at the University of Arizona who was also not involved in the work, concurred but urged the researchers to go further. He said two areas of focus are accounting for the possibility that surviving infrastructure would be less exposed after a storm and allowing for new infrastructure to be less vulnerable when rebuilt.

“For stakeholders and policymakers, I would stress that insurance can be an effective means,” Otto said. “Every one-tenth degree of warming we can avoid really matters for the damages.”

This story by Jenessa Duncombe was originally published by Eos Magazine and is part of Covering Climate Now, a global journalism collaboration strengthening coverage of the climate story.

Artificial Intelligence Truly Terrifies Me

ChatGPT, robot, bot, writer

A friend of mine recently sent me a poem about corks. It was a valiant effort and rhymed, if a little off meter, but I wanted to be supportive, so told him (tongue slightly in cheek) that the verse should be inserted into every wine crate heretofore shipped from a vineyard. My friend is a prose writer, not a poet, so I assumed the effort was a whimsical visit to a cousin form of writing.

The next day he explained, breathlessly if a little shaken, that the poem wasn’t his work. He’d typed into a new artificial intelligence app called ChatGPT to write a ditty about corks.

“It spit out the poem in less than 10 seconds. I think this is the end of the world.”

Recently, The Washington Post reported on a tech site using AI to write its copy, only to have to update the articles with lengthy corrections. The Post, a world-famous news organization that’s been proudly using humans to write its articles since 1877, wasn’t gloating. It was a bit like the coverage of Trump’s attempts to steal the 2020 election: our democratic institutions held — but only just. The implication was that next time things might be different.

With artificial intelligence, the sense is that the barricades are barely holding back the foe. And the foe is truly frightening.

My friend’s poem wasn’t that far off from what you might read in a slightly weird greeting card. It was what your son might bring home from his English class, or what you might write if you had maybe half an hour or so to think up some rhymes.

A machine did it. In seconds.

As a creative writer, I’ve long thought I had something to offer that couldn’t be replaced by what’s effectively a slightly brainy air conditioner.

But maybe we creatives are finally feeling the pinch that factory workers have felt for a while: Being replaced by a machine is never a good development, and perhaps people in the artistic fields have too long felt superior to the creeping threat of AI.

There have been books and movies about this phenomenon, written by real people, implicitly warning us of the situation we find ourselves on the precipice of. (No doubt my existing grammar app would bury that preposition in the sentence, but I want to show this article’s human touch.)

Our homes are full of “smart devices” — air purifiers, pet feeders, doorbell cameras, thermostats, stoves, refrigerators — that hook up to our smart watches and phones, as well as the supposedly smart “virtual assistant technologies” like Alexa, Siri, and Google Assistant. (I prefer my personal butler to handle petty tasks, but he does sometimes go on holiday and claims to have a very needy aunt in the Lake District.)

Besides the creepy eavesdropping and trust issues, these devices are also susceptible to hacking or malfunction. Recently the FAA grounded over 10,000 flights after the Notice to Air Missions system failed due to a computer glitch.

That may have been caused by human error, also responsible for various recent cryptocurrency and Ponzi schemes. Sam Bankman-Fried hasn’t as yet blamed his poor financial stewardship on AI.

But how long before it’s an AI mishap that grounds those flights or steals those millions? And what if the mishap isn’t easily reversible? Using an ATM becomes a lot more stressful, as does traveling by air.

You could assume that such a situation would be a mistake, but it’s as easily envisioned as a deliberate act. Stanley Kubrick and Arthur C. Clarke imagined this scenario in 2001: A Space Odyssey, in which the computer HAL 9000 oversees a mission to Jupiter. Fearing the project is under threat by its human crew, HAL goes about euthanizing the astronauts, one by one. It’s not a messy crime scene: Three of them are dispatched with the flick of a switch.

WhoWhatWhy could suddenly decide my services are too expensive for their operating costs (side note: they’re not very expensive), and so choose to replace me with a journalist bot. For all I know, there’s an app somewhere studying my style and storing my literary technique. Would you even be able to tell the difference? I’d hope so. But they’re getting pretty good, these apps.

This is what my writer friend feared. It starts with a poem about corks. It ends with airplanes falling out of the sky.

At least for the time being I’m here reporting on this. But at some point, without warning, a computer could summarily — 

J.B. Miller is an American writer living in England, and is the author of My Life in Action Painting and The Satanic Nurses and Other Literary Parodies.