Wednesday, April 12, 2023

Emmanuel Macron is heckled in Holland as he finds world stage as hostile as his strike-plagued home turf

ANALYSIS
As he prepared to deliver a speech in The Hague he was heckled by protesters demanding ‘where is French democracy?’   
French President Emmanuel Macron awaits his introduction backstage before delivering a speech in The Hague (Photo: Ludovic Marin/AFP via Getty Images)

By Leo Cendrowicz
Brussels Correspondent
April 12, 2023 

French President Emmanuel Macron is fighting multiple fires as he tries to secure a contentious pension reform, despite mass protests and strikes while also ensuring European unity holds over Ukraine. His state visit to The Netherlands was supposed to be a moment for him to reset the agenda by laying out a grand vision on European sovereignty, to reflect the bloc’s interests in an increasingly polarised world.

Yet symbolically, Mr Macron’s big moment was hijacked. As he prepared to deliver a speech in The Hague, loftily outlining why the European Union needed to assert its “strategic autonomy”, he was loudly heckled by protesters.

Shouting from the balcony, the protesters at the Dutch Nexus Institute shouted slogans about democracy, referring to the president’s use of controversial constitutional tools to push through his pension reforms without a parliamentary vote.

“Where is French democracy? You have millions of demonstrators in the streets,” they shouted, before being caught by security guards and ushered out of the hall.

 
A demonstrator holds a banner as Emmanuel Macron explains his vision on the future of Europe during a lecture in a theatre in The Hague (Photo: Peter Dejong/AP)

The interruption was all too characteristic of Mr Macron’s current rut.

Six years ago, he seemed blessed with fortune: elected president at just 39, backed by a hefty parliamentary majority with a party he had created just months before, the youthful, reformist seemed to have the world at his feet.

But his re-election last year was much closer, and at last June’s parliamentary elections, he lost his majority. The far-right and far-left are both feeling emboldened, and Mr Macron’s frequent resorting to the so-called 49.3 device to bypass parliamentary votes has added to the image of him as anti-democratic.

Mr Macron would, like many other re-elected presidents, like to devote more of his second term to foreign policy, and he has been a crucial voice for Europe in defending Ukraine. But he keeps tripping himself up by sending out mixed messages, like last week’s statement on China and Taiwan.

Returning from a three-day state visit to China, where he met with President Xi Jinping, he said in an interview with French business daily Les Echos and Politico that the EU should avoid being drawn into any conflict between the US and China over Taiwan. Europe risks entanglement in “crises that aren’t ours” and should “depend less on the Americans” in matters of defence.

“We don’t want to depend on others on critical issues,” he said. “The worst thing would be to think that we Europeans must be followers and adapt ourselves to the American rhythm and a Chinese overreaction.”

The interview sparked a firestorm of controversy, with politicians in the EU and US wondering if Mr Macron’s apparent distancing from Washington was an attempt to appease Beijing.

When the protesters in The Hague were cleared and the president was able to continue his speech, he tried to argue that Europe, while allied with the US, has interests of its own that are distinct.

He spoke in English focusing on “European sovereignty” in both security and economic matters. “It means that we must be able to choose our partners and shape our own destiny, rather than being, I would say, a mere witness of the dramatic evolution of this world,” he said.

He also tried to address the protesters in the room. “It is very important to have a social debate,” he said. “I can answer all the questions about what we are discussing in France, This is a democracy and a democracy is exactly a place where we can demonstrate.”

However, the president is spending more and more time explaining his policies and responding to criticism. The risk for Mr Macron is that his momentum is slowing and he can no longer regain the initiative.
IF TRUE THEN CANADA'S JTF2 IS THERE TOO

British and American special forces are inside Ukraine, leaked documents claim: MoD denies suggestion that as many as 50 UK elite troops are operating in warzone against Putin's forces

One document claims 50 UK special forces personnel are deployed in Ukraine

It alleges the UK has deployed more operators than other NATO states combined

Latvia, France, US and the Netherlands are believed to have sent special forces

By DAVID AVERRE
 Daily Mail
12 April 2023 

As many as 50 British special forces operators are currently deployed in Ukraine, allegedly leaked US intelligence documents suggest.

Britain has the largest contingent of special forces on Ukrainian soil, alongside more than a dozen operators each from fellow NATO states Latvia, France and the US, according to a document dated March 23.

The Ministry of Defence warned against taking allegations contained in the reported leak of classified information at 'face value', posting on Twitter: 'The widely reported leak of alleged classified US information has demonstrated a serious level of inaccuracy.'

Some of the supposedly classified documents leaked online appear to have been doctored, according to Pentagon spokesperson Chris Meagher.

But US defence officials have been adamant a leak had taken place, with Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin vowing to 'investigate and turn over every rock until we find the source of this and the extent of it'.


Britain has the largest contingent of special forces on Ukrainian soil, alongside more than a dozen operators each from fellow NATO states Latvia, France, the US, according to an allegedly leaked document dated March 23

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Ukrainian soldier aims a gun in a dugout in Ukraine in undated footage


Ukrainian servicemen fire an artillery shell near the frontline area amid the Russia-Ukraine war, in Bakhmut, Ukraine on April 02, 2023

The leaked documents have revealed a trove of information about the Ukraine war, including details of US spying operations - not only in Russia, but also among its allies including South Korea, Israel, Ukraine and the UK.

READ MORE: Huge classified document leak could boost Putin's war effort by revealing exactly how US is spying on Russia


They show how US intelligence has been able to provide Kyiv with extensive details of planned Russian attacks, but also revealed that Ukraine's air defences are almost exhausted.

And one section titled 'US/NATO SOF in UKR' appeared to reveal the number of Western special forces present in Ukraine.

Britain has allegedly deployed 50 operators - the most of any Western nation - alongside 17 Latvian, 15 French, 14 American and a lone operator from the Netherlands.

But the documents did not shed light on where in Ukraine the operators have deployed, or in what capacity.

The leaked documents may first have been published in a chatroom on Discord, a social media platform popular with gamers, Associated Press reported.

According to one member of the chat, an unidentified poster shared documents that were allegedly classified, first typing them out with the poster's own thoughts.

Then, as of a few months ago, the poster began to share images of printed documents with folds in them, suggesting they had likely been taken directly from a secure printer.

A probe was launched Friday by the Federal Bureau of Investigation and the Justice Department as investigators are trying to quickly identify the source of the breach.

Typically, classified documents can only be printed using a secure process, which may make it easier for officials to find the source of the leak.


A Ukrainian soldier looks out a passing APC on the frontline in Bakhmut, Donetsk region, Ukraine, Monday, April 10, 2022


Ukrainian service member, Naza, 21, commander from 28th mechanised brigade repositions his machine gun during a fire exchange at the frontline, amid Russia?s attack on Ukraine in the region of Bakhmut, Ukraine, April 5, 2023




Some of the documents provided a harrowing assessment of Ukrainian air defence capabilities, suggesting Kyiv will have exhausted its resources by May

The posts appear to have gone unnoticed outside of the chat until a few weeks ago, when they began to circulate more widely on social media.

Asked on Monday if the US Government was effectively waiting for more intelligence documents to show up online, National Security Council spokesman John Kirby replied: 'The truth and the honest answer to your question is: We don't know. And is that a matter of concern to us? You're darn right it is.'

Defense Secretary Austin, the first senior US official to comment on the leak, said the Pentagon was aware that documents had been posted dated February 28 and March 1, but was not sure if there were other documents that had been online before.

US Central Intelligence Agency Director William Burns, speaking later at Rice University in Texas, called the leaks 'deeply unfortunate,' but did not give details on what he said were 'quite intense' investigations by the Pentagon and the Justice Department.

'We need to learn lessons from that, as well, about how we can tighten procedures,' Burns said.

Investigators are working to determine what person or group might have had the ability and motivation to release the intelligence reports. The leaks could be the most damaging release of US government information since the 2013 publication of thousands of documents on WikiLeaks.

Milancy Harris, deputy undersecretary of defense for intelligence and security, is leading the Pentagon's review to assess the potential impact of the leaked documents, a US official told Reuters.

 Tell Canada to stop criminalizing Indigenous people for protecting the environment. 

500 SIGNATURES NEEDED

 

 

act now button


Indigenous land defenders in British Columbia continue to be criminalized for protecting the environment. They're intimidated and arrested. Their title rights are ignored. 

On March 29, more than a dozen RCMP officers raided Wet’suwet’en territory. They arrested five land defenders who oppose construction of the Coastal GasLink pipeline on their territory. The raid took place only nine months after prosecutors in B.C. laid criminal-contempt charges against 19 land defenders who also protested the pipeline project.

We must take action now by calling on the federal and provincial government to end the criminalisation of Wet’suwet’en land defenders.

Image

The Supreme Court of Canada recognizes the Wet’suwet’en Hereditary Chiefs as the traditional authorities of the Nation. They have not consented to the pipeline, yet Canadian authorities have ignored their concernsAll five clans of the Wet’suwet’en Nations oppose the pipeline as it cuts their territory into two.

In March, the UN Special rapporteur on Indigenous Peoples visited Canada. Francisco CalĂ­ Tzay called out the Canadian government for pursing megaprojects such as pipelines on Indigenous territories with out free, prior and informed consent. He urged Canada to end criminalisation of human rights defenders who resist the Coastal Gaslink Pipeline.

Canada has so far failed to comply with these requests. Meanwhile, leaders say another wave of arrests could result in serious human rights volations.

Call on the Minister of Public Safety, Mark Mendicino, and BC Premier David Eby to comply with the Special Rapporteurs recommendations and respect Wet’suwet’en title and rights.

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The abuse of Indigenous Peoples’ rights, such as the approval of the Coastal GasLink pipeline without the consent of the Wet’suwet’en Hereditary Chiefs, also figures prominently in Amnesty International’s recently released 2022/23 Annual Report.

The report named Canada as one of several states that failed to protect Indigenous rights by “[going] ahead with extractive, agricultural and infrastructure projects without obtaining the free, prior and informed consent of Indigenous Peoples affected.”

“The RCMP’s latest raid on Wet’suwet’en territory is a flagrant attack on Indigenous Peoples’ rights,” said Ketty Nivyabandi, Secretary General of Amnesty International Canada’s English-speaking section.

“The governments of B.C. and Canada are well aware that Indigenous nations have a right to reserve their free, prior and informed consent to infrastructure projects that affect their territories, as stipulated in the UN Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples. There is no excuse for the criminalization of Indigenous defenders protecting their lands, waters and rights. This campaign of violence, intimidation and dispossession against Indigenous nations must end, now.”

Eugene, help protect the human rights of Indigenous people in Canada by taking action now.

Together, we can help end the criminalization of Indigenous land defenders in Canada.

In solidarity, 

Melak Mengistab Gebresilassie, Corporate Accountability & Climate Justice Campaigner, Amnesty International Canada

P.S. Please take action and help us spread this message. Click on the social media links below and share this message with your friends and followers. You can make a difference today!

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Credit Suisse job cuts must be frozen -bankers leader says

Story by Reuters • Yesterday 

ZURICH (Reuters) - Credit Suisse and UBS must freeze any job cuts planned as part of their emergency merger, the Swiss Bank Employees' Association (SBPV) said on Monday, in an open letter to the country's parliament.


FILE PHOTO: Credit Suisse annual general meeting© Thomson Reuters

SBPV managing director Natalia Ferrara has written to lawmakers to demand they consider staff affected by the collapse of Credit Suisse and halt any job losses until the end of 2023.

"We ... call on you to support our demand for a freeze on layoffs by the end of 2023 in parliament," Ferrara wrote in the letter published by newspaper Blick on Monday.

"Politicians must not shirk responsibility," she added.

The Swiss parliament is due to meet in extraordinary session on Tuesday to discuss the state-sponsored rescue of Credit Suisse which took place last month.

UBS agreed to buy Zurich rival Credit Suisse for 3 billion Swiss francs ($3.31 billion) in a deal engineered by the government, the central bank and market regulator to avoid a meltdown in the country's financial system.

"For the past three weeks, many of the approximately 17,000 employees at Credit Suisse and the 22,000 UBS employees have been looking at their future with uncertainty," said Ferrara, referring to the staff numbers in Switzerland.

Credit Suisse employs 45,000 people globally, while UBS has 74,000 in total.

Related video: Investor panic triggered the quick downfall of SVB and Credit Suisse, asset manager says (CNBC)  Duration 3:48  View on Watch\

BloombergSwiss Lower House Votes Against UBS-Credit Suisse Deal
2:45


BloombergSwitzerland Targets Credit Suisse Executives' Bonuses
1:06


Straight Arrow NewsExclusive: Ex-Credit Suisse director says UBS deal could worsen bank contagion
10:20



"In the public debate about the takeover of Credit Suisse by UBS, there is a lot of talk about numbers, money, regulation, 'too big to fail' or bonuses," Ferrara wrote.

"But the affected employees of the two banks remain only a side note.

"That needs to change."

UBS Chief Executive Sergio Ermotti last week warned there would be "change and hard decisions" ahead following the takeover.

The giant bank created could reduce its workforce by 20%-30%, it has been reported by Swiss newspaper Tages-Anzeiger, with 11,000 jobs being cut in Switzerland.

UBS has said it is too early to speculate on job cuts.

Ferrara said it was not the fault of the bank employees that the rescue was required, adding it would take months for UBS's plans to be worked out.

"Now it is time for the affected employees of the two banks to be given protection and respect," Ferrara wrote.

"It must not be the case that parliament debates money and technical aspects of the CS rescue for days during the extraordinary session and the people affected are forgotten."

($1 = 0.9069 Swiss francs)

(Reporting by John Revill; Editing by Shri Navaratnam)

Tuesday, April 11, 2023

DUPLESSIS SCION
Legault Implied Quebec Identity Has Catholic Roots & Justified It By Calling It 'Heritage'

Story by Thomas MacDonald • Yesterday 


MTL Blog


Premier François Legault reignited the debate about his party's conception of secularism in Quebec on Easter Monday with a tweet celebrating the perceived Catholic origins of the province's "culture of solidarity."


Legault Implied Quebec Identity Has Catholic Roots & Justified It By Calling It 'Heritage'© Provided by MTL Blog

"Catholicism has also given us a culture of solidarity that distinguishes us on a continental scale," the tweet from the premier reads. That line actually comes from an April 7 Journal de Montréal opinion piece by sociologist and columnist Mathieu Bock-Côté, which Legault shared in his Twitter post.

Bock-Côté also argues that Catholicism "served as a basis for [Quebec] collective identity" following the British conquest and that this "sense of the collective leads us today to resist the fragmentation of society under the pressure of multiculturalism."

Legault's tweet amassed hundreds of comments by Monday afternoon, some from Twitter users praising the statement, but many more from critics who accused the premier of hypocrisy given his insistence on the secularism of the Quebec state.

Legault's government notably passed the controversial Bill 21, which bans many public servants from wearing religious symbols while performing their duties. Many have said the measure unfairly targets religious minorities, especially Muslim women.

The premier later returned to Twitter to defend the tweet, writing in response that "we must distinguish between secularism and our heritage."

François Legault accused of hypocrisy for tweet praising Catholicism

Story by Katelyn Thomas, Montreal Gazette • Yesterday

Quebec Premier François Legault holds a news conference in Montreal on Friday March 24, 2023.© Provided by The Gazette

Twitter users were quick to accuse Premier François Legault of hypocrisy on Easter Monday for tweeting a line from a Journal de MontrĂ©al column crediting Catholicism for “(engendering) in us a culture of solidarity that distinguishes us on a continental scale.”

Legault was quoting from a Mathieu Bock-CĂ´tĂ© column titled “ Praise of our old Catholic background 

The premier’s post drew criticism from those on both sides of the secularism debate given Quebec’s controversial Bill 21 , which bans most government employees from wearing religious symbols at work. Those who take issue with Bill 21 have pointed out the law disproportionately affects Muslim women, raising concerns about whether the ban is meant to target specific religions.

“See, they would’ve had some plausible deniability on the religious headwear ban if he didn’t tweet this out,” one Twitter user wrote in response to Legault’s tweet.

The controversial tweet came less than a week after Quebec announced plans to ban prayer rooms in schools . Education Minister Bernard Drainville said on Wednesday he would issue the directive to all school service centres, adding that prayer rooms in schools are not compatible with official secularism. He added students who want to pray could do

By 12:30 p.m., Legault’s tweet had more than 335,000 views, 550 responses and 300 retweets, including 250 quote-tweets. The attention had prompted him to respond to his original post with: “We must distinguish between secularism and our heritage.”

In addition to citizens, several politicians had weighed in on his post. Marwah Rizqy, Liberal MNA for Saint-Laurent and spokesperson for education, had responded saying “we all write tweets we regret.”

“You have a duty of reserve and neutrality as premier of all Quebecers in our secular state,” Rizqy wrote.

Monsef Derraji, Liberal MNA for Nelligan, for his part wrote: “A premier who supposedly advocates the secularism of the state. What a lack of judgment!”

He has long claimed that certain long-standing Christian symbols on public edifices don't contradict his idea of secularism. Christian crosses, for example, still adorn many school buildings. His government did, however, vote to remove a crucifix that hung in the National Assembly chamber in Quebec City.

This is not the first time Legault has received criticism for a statement about Catholicism. He came under fire during a visit to California in 2019 after claiming offhand that "all French Canadians" are Catholic.


The controversial tweet came less than a week after Quebec announced plans to ban prayer rooms in schools . Education Minister Bernard Drainville said on Wednesday he would issue the directive to all school service centres, adding that prayer rooms in schools are not compatible with official secularism. He added students who want to pray could do so, but “discreetly” and “silently” without designated rooms.

By 12:30 p.m., Legault’s tweet had more than 335,000 views, 550 responses and 300 retweets, including 250 quote-tweets. The attention had prompted him to respond to his original post with: “We must distinguish between secularism and our heritage.”

In addition to citizens, several politicians had weighed in on his post. Marwah Rizqy, Liberal MNA for Saint-Laurent and spokesperson for education, had responded saying “we all write tweets we regret.”

“You have a duty of reserve and neutrality as premier of all Quebecers in our secular state,” Rizqy wrote.

Monsef Derraji, Liberal MNA for Nelligan, for his part wrote: “A premier who supposedly advocates the secularism of the state. What a lack of judgment!”

 

Former Liberal MNA Christine St-Pierre also weighed in, drawing attention to gender inequality within Catholicism.

Quebec comedian Sugar Sammy also commented.

“Secularism is important except once on Twitter,” he wrote.

 
New Zealander without college degree couldn’t talk his way into NASA and Boeing—so he built a $1.8 billion rocket company

Story by Tom Huddleston Jr. • CNBC

Peter Beck, 45, is the founder and CEO of Rocket Lab.© Provided by CNBC

This story is part of CNBC Make It's The Moment series, where highly successful people reveal the critical moment that changed the trajectory of their lives and careers, discussing what drove them to make the leap into the unknown.

In early 2006, Peter Beck took a "rocket pilgrimage" to the U.S.

The native New Zealander always dreamed of sending a rocket into space. He even skipped college because of it, taking an apprenticeship at a tools manufacturer so he could learn to work with his hands, tinkering with model rockets and propellants in his free time.

By the time of his pilgrimage, he'd built a steam-powered rocket bicycle that traveled nearly 90 mph. He hoped his experiments were enough to convince NASA or companies like Boeing to hire him as an intern. Instead, he was escorted off the premises of multiple rocket labs.

"On the face of it, here's a foreign national turning up to an Air Force base asking a whole bunch of questions about rockets — that doesn't look good," Beck, now 45, tells CNBC 

Make It.

Still, he learned that few companies were actually building what he wanted to build: lightweight, suborbital rockets to transport small satellites. On the flight back to New Zealand, he plotted his future startup, even drawing a logo on a napkin.

Convincing investors to back someone without a college degree in an industry where he couldn't even land an internship wouldn't be easy. Failure would push him even further away from his lifelong dream.

Beck launched the company, Rocket Lab, later that same year. In 2009, it became the Southern Hemisphere's first private company to reach space. Today, it's a Long Beach, California-based public company with a market cap of $1.8 billion. It has completed more than 35 space launches, including a moon-bound NASA satellite last year.

Here, Beck discusses how he turned his disappointment into opportunity, the biggest challenges he faced, and whether he ever regrets his decision to create Rocket Lab.

CNBC Make It: When you didn't land an aerospace job in the U.S., you immediately started thinking about launching your own company. Why?

Beck: One of the things I'm always frustrated with is how long everything takes. Ask anybody who works around me: There's a great urgency in everything. I don't walk upstairs, I run upstairs. As we've grown as a company, it's always a sprint.

I wish things would get faster. I'm always battling time.

How do you recognize a window of opportunity opening, and when is it worth the risk to jump through it?

Back your intuition and go for it.

I would classify my job as taking an enormous risk and then mitigating that risk to the nth degree. Given that, you have to see windows of opportunity and run into them.

The challenge is that, especially within this industry, you have to poke your head into the corner but not commit too deeply. Otherwise, you'll get your head cut off. I start by being very analytical: "OK, we're here. What happened for us to get here? And how do we get out of here?"

Sometimes, you can take big risks. Sometimes, you need to be very safe and methodical about how to back out of situations. Control the things you can control and acknowledge the things you can't control.

Running a rocket company is kind of like that scene in "Indiana Jones," where he's getting chased by that giant ball. You have to flawlessly execute, because the moment that you don't, the consequences can be terminal for the company pretty quickly.

What do you wish you'd known when you decided to start your own rocket company?

At the end of the day, I probably wouldn't change anything. There were plenty of errors and failures along the way, but ultimately, those things create the DNA of a company.

Getting your first rocket to orbit is the easiest part. On rocket No. 1, you've got all your engineers and technicians poring over one rocket for a large period of time. Now, there's one rocket that rolls out of that production line every 18 days. That's just immensely more difficult.

Sometimes, it's really good to have a bit of a bad day. Not during a flight, obviously, but during testing. Just when you think things are going good, you're reminded of how hard this business really is. Every time that you take too much of a breath, you'll be humbled very quickly.

What's the biggest challenge you faced getting started?

Nothing happens without funding in this business. When I first started Rocket Lab, I ran around Silicon Valley trying to raise $5 million.

At that time, that was an absurd amount of money for a rocket startup. A rocket startup was absurd [in general], it was only SpaceX then. A rocket startup from someone living in New Zealand was even more absurd.

We grew up and tried to raise really small amounts of funding. That really shaped us about being ruthlessly efficient and absolutely laser-focused on execution. The hardest thing [we did] is actually the thing that shaped the company into the most successful form it could be.

When do you feel the most pressure?

The most terrifying thing I've ever done is the staff Christmas party. That's the moment you realize that your decisions are responsible for these people's livelihoods. As a public company, I take that even more seriously. It's a tremendous amount of pressure.

On top of that, you have a customer. That can be a national security customer, where lives are depending on you delivering that asset to orbit. It can be a startup, and there can be hundreds of people at a company that you can destroy just by putting the payload into the ocean.

So I absolutely hate launch days. Now that we've done 35 launches, I'm not puking in the toilet like I used to. But man, I still really don't enjoy it, because there's just so much invested in each launch. So much responsibility.

This interview has been edited and condensed for clarity.



Louis Dreyfus to expand Canada canola plant, latest to crush more oilseeds

Story by By Rod Nickel • 

Farm fields of canola bloom near La Salle, Manitoba© Thomson Reuters

WINNIPEG, Manitoba (Reuters) - Global crop trader Louis Dreyfus Corp said on Tuesday it will more than double the size of its Canadian canola crushing plant in Yorkton, Saskatchewan, the latest North American oilseed processor to expand.

A global drive to reduce greenhouse gas emissions has prompted refiners to start building facilities to produce less-polluting renewable diesel from canola, soybeans and other feedstocks.


Some of Louis Dreyfus' Canadian competitors such as Richardson International, Cargill Inc and Viterra have already announced plans to expand canola crushing, raising questions about how much more of the yellow-flowering crop farmers can grow to supply the plants.

U.S. soybean crushing is also fast expanding.

Canola futures soared to record highs last year after Russia invaded Ukraine, then the world's biggest sunflower oil exporter, tightening vegetable oil supplies.

Canada is the world's biggest producer and exporter of canola, a cousin of rapeseed that is mainly processed into vegetable oil for human consumption and meal for animal feed.

Louis Dreyfus, in a statement, said that construction will begin this year and more than double the facility's annual crush capacity to more than 2 million tonnes. It did not say when it expects the expansion to be complete or how much it will cost.

The 14-year-old facility employs 120 people currently.

(Reporting by Rod Nickel in Winnipeg, Manitoba; additional reporting by Gus Trompiz in Paris)





Earth's Population Could Soon Start Falling. Here's Why
Story by Rebecca Dyer • Yesterday -  ScienceAlert

People Walk Downhill

The number of humans on Earth reached 8 billion in November 2022.

Now a new report suggests that the world's population may peak at just 9 billion by 2050, a number far lower than previously thought.

Compared to other more well-known estimates, such as those from the United Nations, the latest prediction is either a breath of fresh air, or an omen of disaster.

The pros and cons of Earth's growing human population are hotly debated, with proponents citing positive effects on the economy and technology and critics emphasizing the risks to the environment and social harmony.

While it could be argued that smaller populations require less energy, housing, food, and water, there are some significant caveats. Most importantly, an imminent reversal of population growth means we need major investments in education and health, not to mention ways to overcome economic inequality in an aging society.

"These extraordinary turnarounds are designed as policy and investment road maps that will work for the majority of people," the authors write in their report.

"They are not an attempt to create some impossible-to-reach utopia; instead, they are an essential foundation for a resilient civilization on a planet under extraordinary pressure."

The report's predictions are based on extensive research, and much of it shows that the top 10 percent of the wealthiest people in the world are mostly responsible for the overconsumption that threatens the stability of the environment. Including climate change.

"Humanity's main problem is luxury carbon and biosphere consumption, not population," says environmental scientist Jorgen Randers, one of the modelers for Earth4All, the initiative that worked with the Global Challenges Foundation to create this report.

"The places where population is rising fastest have extremely small environmental footprints per person compared with the places that reached peak population many decades ago."

The authors predicted how to manage population growth in each major region using scientific data, with a goal to form a human population that can thrive on Earth for a long time.

Related video: Researchers Look Into the Declining Population of Earth (Veuer)
Duration 1:23  View on Watch

Ten countries and regions are considered in the analysis, from China to the United States to Sub-Saharan Africa. Currently, population growth rates are highest in several African nations, such as Angola, Niger, the Democratic Republic of Congo and Nigeria, as well as in some Asian countries, such as Afghanistan.



A map showing the 10 macro-regions used in the analysis. (B. Callegari/P.E. Stoknes/Earth4All)© Provided by ScienceAlert

Using a recently built dynamics model, the researchers looked into two different scenarios that could take place this century.

The first scenario, grimly titled "Too Little Too Late," imagines the world meandering along much as it has since 1980. This is predicated on the assumption that variables such as birth rates, savings and debt levels, tax rates, and income models will continue their current patterns.

This scenario forecasts a global population peak of 8.8 billion in the middle of this century and a gradual decline to 7.3 billion in 2100.

Global inequality, ecological footprints, and wildlife extinction will rise as economic and population growth slows. Regional collapses may increase as social divisions within and between countries grow, especially in countries with weak economies and poor governments.

In the more hopeful scenario, called the "Giant Leap," the global population peaks at 8.5 billion by around 2040 and declines to just six billion by the end of the century. The authors indicate that one of the deciding factors in this optimistic outcome is that economic inequality around the world is recognized as a source of division and a threat to democracy and human progress.

In this hypothetical future, extreme poverty would be eliminated by the year 2060, which would have a profound impact on global population growth.

This turnaround requires massive poverty reduction investments and revolutionary food and energy security, inequality, and gender equality policies.

"A good life for all is only possible if the extreme resource use of the wealthy elite is reduced," explains Randers.



Comparing five population scenarios to 2100. (B. Callegari/P.E. Stoknes/Earth4All)

Other major projections overlook rapid economic development as a solution to rising populations, according to the authors.

"Few prominent models simulate population growth, economic development and their connections simultaneously," states economist Beniamino Callegari, one of the authors of the report.

What's more, the UN's modeling approach fails to explain trends' origins and future changes, according to the report. For instance, why and how a society's birth and death rates deviate from historical norms and what that means for its future.

"We know rapid economic development in low-income countries has a huge impact on fertility rates," adds co-author, psychologist and economist Per Espen Stoknes. "Fertility rates fall as girls get access to education and women are economically empowered and have access to better healthcare."

More research and some big changes are undoubtedly required.

The authors note, "What we aimed to achieve with our scenarios is to illustrate that (1) demographic, socio-economic and natural change is possible, and (2) its magnitude and ultimate impact will depend primarily on the actions we are going to take in this decade."
Frank Stronach: Fixing capitalism by mandating profit sharing

Opinion by Frank Stronach • National Post

One of my favourite books published over the last few years is “Saving Capitalism: For the Many, Not the Few,” by Robert Reich, a public policy professor at UC Berkeley and secretary of labour in the Clinton administration.



Reich’s main argument is that capitalism is damaged and that the rich are getting richer while the poor and middle class are getting poorer, creating the greatest income inequality and wealth disparity in nearly a century.

He’s right that capitalism is a system that enriches only a few. I also agree with Reich’s call for a revival of corporate profit sharing, which was much more widespread in the 20th century, when some of America’s biggest and most well-known companies had profit-sharing programs.

At the company I founded, Magna International, profit sharing was one of the hallmarks of our operating philosophy. We made all of our employees and managers partners in profitability.

Harvard Business School called it “Magna’s success formula.” I called our profit-sharing philosophy “fair enterprise,” because I believed that all of the company’s key stakeholders — investors, managers, employees and the communities they worked in — each had a moral right to share in the success of the business.

It became the driving force that placed Magna on a path of incredible growth and profitability in the decades that followed. By the time Magna celebrated its 50th anniversary in 2007, the company had shared more than $1 billion in profits with employees.

Fewer large companies today are sharing profits with their workers, and it’s one of the reasons why there is growing income and wealth inequality. As a result, I believe we should establish a national policy that would require large companies with more than 300 employees to give their workers 20 per cent of their annual profits.

If we did that, we would be able to create a system where wealth is distributed more evenly and fairly throughout the economy, rather than remaining concentrated in the hands of relatively few individuals.

Compared to investors and senior management, employees get a disproportionately small share of the wealth that companies generate. But without employees, you haven’t got a business. I’ve always believed that it takes three forces to drive a business: investors, managers and employees — and all three have a right to share in the firm’s profits.

Profit sharing on a national scale could spur increased productivity and the sort of widespread and sustained economic growth that we haven’t experienced since the end of the Second World War.

The key beneficiary of this proposal would be companies themselves. If workers have a tangible stake in the company’s success, they’ll be highly motivated to produce better products for better prices. It’s just human nature: when you get a piece of the action, you work harder and constantly think of ways to improve quality and boost sales.

But there are many additional benefits to sharing profits with employees. It would put more money into the pockets of consumers, and governments would get a bigger slice of the taxes generated by a large spike in consumer spending.

In addition, at a time when companies are struggling to attract and keep employees, profit sharing would be a potent employee retention tool. And profit sharing makes relations between management and employees much more harmonious since both stakeholders have a shared vested interest. Everyone in the boat is rowing in the same direction.

A 2015 study found that companies that shared profits with their employees experienced not only a more positive workplace culture, but also a greater return on equity.


We need a new kind of capitalism — one that makes employees partners in profit participation, makes businesses more competitive and turns workers into part-owners by giving them a share of the wealth they help create.

Sharing profits worked spectacularly for my company. I know it could do the same for other companies, as well. Profit sharing would also help improve the living standards of Canadian workers.

If we can’t find ways to spread the wealth more evenly, we as a society will have a major problem in the years ahead.

National Post
fstronachpost@gmail.com
Frank Stronach is the founder of Magna International Inc., one of Canada’s largest global companies, and an inductee in the Automotive Hall of Fame.




LGBTQ group asks CRTC to ban Fox News Channel over anti-trans comments

Story by Anja Karadeglija • Yesterday 3:12 p.m.

An LGBTQ rights group wants the CRTC to ban Fox News from Canadian cable packages over “false and horrifying claims” made by host Tucker Carlson regarding transgender individuals.


Fox News host Tucker Carlson is being accused of stoking resentment against trans individuals, suggesting they© Provided by National Post

Egale Canada is in the process of filing a formal application with the CRTC, communications and marketing director Jennifer Boyce said in an email. The group published an open letter last week, following an appearance on Tucker Carlson Tonight in late March.

The letter said the Fox News “coverage aimed to provoke hatred and violence against 2SLGBTQI communities, particularly those who are Two Spirit, trans, nonbinary and gender non-conforming (2STNBGN).”

Egale said Carlson made false claims about those communities, including “painting them as violent and dangerous.” The segment aimed to provoke resentment and violence against 2STNBGN people through false claims and “malicious misinformation,” Egale Canada executive director Helen Kennedy said in the open letter.

“During the segment, Carlson made the inflammatory and false claim that trans people are ‘targeting’ Christians. To position trans people in existential opposition to Christianity is an incitement of violence against trans people that is plain to any viewer.”

Related video: LGBTQ advocates discuss "anti-trans" bills (WLEX Lexington, KY)
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The letter also accused the segment of stoking resentment against 2STNBGN individuals through misinformation “including that trans people are given preferential treatment in employment and other opportunities.”

The CRTC maintains a list of international channels cable, satellite and IPTV providers can include in their packages. In March 2022, the CRTC removed Russia Today and RT France from the list, following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

In its decision, the CRTC said the content of the Russian channels “appears to constitute abusive comment since it tends or is likely to expose the Ukrainian people to hatred or contempt on the basis of their race, national or ethnic origin.”

The letter from Egale said the CRTC must investigate whether Fox News violates the Television Broadcasting Regulations, and asked the regulator to hold public consultations on removing the channel from the list of authorized channels.

It argued non-Canadian broadcasters must be held to the same standards as Canadian broadcasters, which can be fined or lose their licence for broadcasting abusive content that “when taken in context, tends to or is likely to expose an individual or a group or class of individuals to hatred or contempt on the basis of race, national or ethnic origin, colour, religion, sex, sexual orientation, age or mental or physical disability.”

Once a formal application is filed with the CRTC, the regulator decides whether to accept it. If it’s accepted, the CRTC will post the file on its website as an open “Part 1” application, with a deadline for the public and interested parties to submit their comments.

A spokesperson for Fox News did not respond to a request for comment Monday.

“Given the rising levels of anti-trans hate around the world and the potential for segments like the one recently aired on Fox News, there needs to be a serious Canadian conversation about the broadcasting of Fox News in Canada,” Kennedy said in the letter.

Egale said it experienced “firsthand the hate that is generated from a single segment aired on Fox News in Canada. We cannot begin to imagine the broader impacts and potential rise in hate that might result from allowing more content like this to air in Canada.”