Saturday, April 27, 2024

 

Honda to get up to $5B in government assistance for EV battery, assembly plants 

ALL CAPITALI$M IS STATE CAPITALI$M

Honda is set to build an electric vehicle battery plant next to its Alliston, Ont., assembly plant, which it is retooling to produce fully electric vehicles as part of a $15-billion project to create a supply chain in the province for the Japanese automaker.

The plan – which includes up to $5 billion in public funds – is expected to see the two main plants create 1,000 jobs on top of retaining the existing 4,200 jobs at the assembly plant. That plant is set to produce up to 240,000 vehicles per year when fully operational in 2028.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said the jobs involved are at the heart of the deal.


"It's about, yes, creating green products that Canadians can rely on into the future, but it's primarily about investing in the workers and the communities that they are part of as these plants get built and as they work for generations to come," he said Thursday at a news conference detailing the project.

The deal does not involve production subsidies, which were used to woo two other automakers to build battery plants in Ontario instead of the United States with its incentives under the Inflation Reduction Act.

But the federal government is set to give the Japanese automaker around $2.5 billion through tax credits.

Federal Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland's recent budget announced a 10 per cent Electric Vehicle Supply Chain investment tax credit on the cost of buildings related to EV production as long as the business invests in assembly, battery production and cathode active material production in Canada.

That's on top of an existing 30 per cent Clean Technology Manufacturing investment tax credit on the cost of investments in new machinery and equipment.

Ontario has committed to providing up to $2.5 billion directly – such as for capital costs – and indirectly, such as covering site servicing costs.

Trudeau defended the public money that is being put toward the project, saying countries around the world are competing for investments in greener manufacturing and Honda's project will benefit Canada's economy and communities.

"That's not just creating jobs, great jobs for 1,000 new people around here, that's contributing to an ecosystem that will involve parts suppliers, it'll involve communities with vibrant art scenes and strong main streets, it'll involve future generations of Canada building the kinds of solutions the world needs," he said.

"Yes, there are politicians who sit back and say, 'No, no, no, no, no. We've got to balance the budget at all costs, even if it means not investing in Canadian workers and investing in the future.' Well, I think they're wrong."

Ontario Premier Doug Ford said Honda's investment is a generational commitment.

"This is decades and decades down the road," he said.


"What price do you put on that? There is no price you can put on that because we're investing into the people. The money is staying here in Ontario. It's not going overseas, it's not going down to the U.S., it's staying right here in Ontario for decades and generations to come."

The federal Opposition Conservatives suggested that other foreign companies that have received Canadian government subsidies have not filled their jobs with Canadian workers. Concerns have been raised about international workers being used to help build another EV battery plant in Windsor, Ont.

"We can't trust that his latest announcement of $5 billion in Canadian taxpayer money to another large multinational corporation will be any different," two critics wrote in a joint statement.

"Conservatives will not let Justin Trudeau sell out Canadian union workers and taxpayers yet again."

The $15-billion Honda project includes the retooled plant, an electric vehicle battery plant nearby, as well as two key battery parts facilities located elsewhere in Ontario. Honda and POSCO Future M Co., Ltd. will build a cathode active material and precursor processing plant, and the automaker will also build a separator plant through a joint venture with Asahi Kasei Corporation.

Honda's global CEO, Toshihiro Mibe, suggested the company is not stopping there.

"In the future, Honda will consider building a comprehensive battery chain beyond the four areas of EVs, EV batteries, cathode material and separators," he said, noting that battery recycling is key as well.

"Honda will realize low carbon value creation throughout the battery life cycle. In this way, Honda will establish a highly profitable business foundation and contribute to realizing a carbon neutral society."

The Honda facility will be the third electric vehicle battery plant in Ontario, following in the footsteps of Volkswagen in St. Thomas, Ont., and a Stellantis LG plant in Windsor.

The deal comes after years of meetings and discussions between Honda executives and the Ontario government, which began after the last big government announcement at Honda's Alliston facility.

Trudeau, Ford and Honda executives were on hand in March 2022 when the Japanese automaker announced hybrid production at the plant, with $131.6 million in assistance from each of the two levels of government.

That kickstarted conversations about a larger potential investment into electric vehicles, and negotiations began that summer.

In the midst of those negotiations, in May of 2023, Stellantis and LG stopped construction on their $5-billion electric vehicle battery facility, as they pressed the federal government to match what the United States would offer under its then-new Inflation Reduction Act.

They ultimately reached a deal with Canada and Ontario that will see the companies receive performance incentives of up to $15 billion over about 10 years.

The offer was also extended to Volkswagen for its electric vehicle battery facility and that deal could see up to $13 billion in incentives.

Freeland has said large production incentives were necessary for both Volkswagen and Stellantis to help establish Canada’s green economy and ensure the companies were not lured away to the United States by the benefits under the IRA.

The federal government later indicated that tap was turned off, and Ontario Economic Development Minister Vic Fedeli said in an interview that it didn't derail the negotiations with Honda.

"Production incentives were meant to match the American production incentives, but it's just far too much to continue with on an ongoing basis," he said.

"I think they were good to get started, but the rest of the industry now is starting to realize, right across North America, that you need to be where you really should be for the talent, clean energy and critical minerals."

The other two battery plants in the works have also started to draw other parts of the supply chain, Fedeli said, which became another part of the pitch for Honda – and perhaps others.

"We wanted EV manufacturers, we wanted a couple of battery manufacturers, and now we're filling in the major supply chain: cathode, anode, separator, electrolyte, copper foil, lithium hydroxide, those six major components," he said.

"We still have some room in our incentive packages for that line of six. After that, the incentive is: we brought you a customer. We brought you a battery maker ... you have to go and do your deal with them. You have enough incentive to come here."

This report by The Canadian Press was first published April 25, 2024.


Ottawa, Quebec commit $100M for semiconductor capacity in Bromont, Que., 280 jobs

The federal and Quebec governments are spending close to $100 million to boost the country's manufacturing capacity for semiconductors, which are vital in technologies ranging from artificial intelligence to quantum computing.

At a news conference Friday in Bromont, Que., Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced that Ottawa will invest $59.9 million to help fund IBM Canada’s semiconductor packaging facility in the town about 70 kilometres southeast of Montreal. The investment will also go toward the Bromont-based MiQro Innovation Collaborative Centre, a research group that tries to speed up the commercialization of components in digital technologies.

The world, Trudeau said, is looking for dependable sources of products that spur economic growth, and he said semiconductors are one of the many products Canada can be trusted to deliver.

"As we are in terms of energy, quantum computing, robotics … these are things that the world is increasingly looking for," he said, "reliable, strong responsible partners like Canada to be at the heart of it."

Quebec, for its part, is offering IBM Canada $38.9 million in loans to help the company buy equipment, increase capacity at its Bromont plant, and create a new generation of switches.

Provincial Economy Minister Pierre Fitzgibbon told the news conference that within the funding envelope is a $32-million "forgivable" loan for new equipment to package semiconductor circuitry, but he didn't give details about the loan conditions. Another $7-million loan, he said, will help automate a packaging assembly line for switches destined "for the entire telecommunications industry."

A news release from the federal government says the funding from both levels of government will help create 280 jobs in the region.

IBM Canada says its plant in Bromont is one of the continent's largest chip assembly and testing facilities and that the money will solidify Canada's place in the supply chain for advanced packaging of semiconductors.

The Bromont plant, IBM says, "transforms advanced semiconductor components into state-of-the-art microelectronic solutions," and works closely with the company's complex in Albany, N.Y.

The agreements announced on Friday "will help to further establish a corridor of semiconductor innovation from New York to Bromont," IBM said.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published April 26, 2024.


IBM plots US$730M expansion of Canadian semiconductor site

(Bloomberg) -- International Business Machines Corp. will expand its Canadian semiconductor packaging and testing plant with more than C$1 billion ($730 million) in investments over the next five years.

Focused on advanced semiconductor components, IBM’s 800-acre site in Bromont, Quebec, about 50 miles east of Montreal, is the largest of its kind in North America, and home to Canada’s first universal quantum computer. 

Packaging, a technical process in which chips are transformed into microelectronic components, is an essential part of the supply chain and requires a skilled workforce. There’s very little semiconductor packaging capacity on the continent, and most of it is at the 1,000-employee Bromont facility.

“Even if we produce the processors at factories in the US or Canada, we would then have to send them back to Taiwan for packaging,” Jamie Thomas, general manager of technology lifecycle services at IBM, said in an interview. “What you really need is a full supply chain onshore.”

IBM’s C$1 billion Bromont growth plan will unfold between now and 2029, she confirmed. After months of talks with government, IBM announced an initial phase on Friday that will create 280 skilled jobs. 

The first stage is an investment worth C$227 million — including an IBM partner, the MiQro Innovation Collaborative Centre — that will expand the existing Quebec plant and build a research and development lab.

The announcement is “a critical piece to support our growth at this site,” said Thomas. The Canadian and Quebec governments will provide in total about C$100 million for this first phase, according to statements.

“It’s important that Canadians be at the center of developing these technologies — but it’s important for the world, particularly for our allies,” Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said at a news conference.

Supply disruptions during the pandemic have shown the great dependence of the US on East Asia, which accounts for 75% of the global semiconductor production.

Last year, when US President Joe Biden visited Trudeau in Ottawa, IBM and the Canadian government signed a high-level agreement on semiconductor cooperation.

No Big Subsidies

Canada is a so-called “fabless” G7 nation — it has skills, but no large-scale chip factory. Those in the chip manufacturing industry are eager to see a broad strategy from the government backed by substantial support, akin to the billions of dollars in commitments given to the electric-vehicle battery industry for plant construction and operating subsidies.

Government incentives for the chip industry will be focused, Industry Minister Francois-Philippe Champagne said Friday in an interview. “It’s probably not for us to replicate what already exists in the US, but to be complementary and to look at what are the strategic places where we can play a role.”

The US, through the 2022 Chips Act, has set aside $39 billion in direct grants, plus loans and loan guarantees worth $75 billion to incentivize domestic semiconductor production.

Canada positioning is focused more on improving North America’s supply-chain resiliency with advanced capabilities for chips dedicated to highly specialized sectors such as aerospace and health care, rather than supporting large-scale factories.

The lack of major government investments isn’t too much of a concern for Benjamin Bergen, who’s president of the Canadian Council of Innovators. Committing hundreds of millions of dollars to a single foreign-based multinational would only mean “the government hasn’t thought more strategically about what type of semiconductor strategy it wants to have,” he said.

--With assistance from Brian Platt.

(Adds comments from industry minister and industry group from 12th paragraph.)

©2024 Bloomberg L.P.

 

Canadian Pacific girds for potential rail strike next month

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Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd. is steeling itself for the possibility of a strike by some 3,300 workers next month, as the clock ticks down toward a negotiation deadline.

“The way I see it, the positions have not changed a lot,” chief executive Keith Creel told analysts on a conference call Wednesday.

“Obviously hope for the best, but you have to make sure you plan for the worst as well.”

The potential work stoppage helps account for what Creel called a "responsibly conservative" forecast that predicts only a slight uptick in cargo volumes this year.

"If the strike isn't as long as what we might think would be — or if we don't have a strike at all — then sure, we've got some upside," the CEO said.

With 6,000 workers at rival Canadian National Railway Co. in talks with their employer as well, the possibility of work stoppages at two rail companies looms this spring, which combined could grind virtually all freight rail traffic in Canada to a halt.

In February, CPKC and CN asked the federal labour minister to appoint a conciliator for the bargaining process over a new collective agreement for train conductors, engineers and yard workers. The notice of dispute started the clock on a possible strike or lockout, which could occur as soon as May 22.

Commuters in Canada's three biggest cities would also be affected. Among the potential strikers are dispatchers who direct passenger trains on CPKC-owned rails used by riders on Toronto's GO Transit network as well in the Montreal and Vancouver regions.

The Teamsters Canada Rail Conference has said safety is at stake, claiming that the country's two main railways aim to eliminate all "safety-critical rest provisions" from their collective agreements.

"This is just not true, to be very clear," CN chief network operating officer Patrick Whitehead said Tuesday.

Creel said Canadian Pacific has offered workers a "win-win scenario."

"But it takes change. It takes leaders that are willing to see the wisdom in it, the benefit in it. And at this point that has not happened," he said.

On Wednesday, CPKC reported its first-quarter net income attributable to controlling shareholders fell three per cent year over year to $775 million for the quarter ended March 31.

But the Calgary-based company's core adjusted operating income stayed flat at about $1.26 billion when compared with the combined income of Canadian Pacific and Kansas City Southern a year earlier. The former acquired the latter in December 2021 in North American's first major rail merger in decades, but had to wait to merge operations until April last year following regulatory approval of the deal.

Strong U.S. grain shipments to Canada, Mexico and overseas helped boost total revenues by two per cent year over year versus the combined revenue of the two companies last year, though a weaker Canadian grain harvest dampened the results.

Inbound containers surged at the Port of Vancouver to the point that congestion hampered traffic in late March and early April, according to German shipping giant Hapag-Lloyd.

The bottleneck barely registered on CPKC's results, however, with average train speed up 13 per cent and dwell time — the time a railcar spends waiting in a terminal — reduced by 10 per cent.

"Operating metrics look good, really good," said analyst Walter Spracklin of RBC Dominion Securities.

CPKC chief marketing officer John Brooks said the return of ships to Vancouver and Prince Rupert after last summer's 13-day strike by B.C. dockworkers drove the container rebound, as did "some impacts from the Red Sea and potential looming East Coast labour disruptions."

Ongoing missile strikes by Iran-backed Houthi militants in Yemen have pushed major container carriers to steer clear of the area. The crisis prompted many shippers that had recently switched to the Suez Canal to return to transpacific routes between Asia and North America.

Meanwhile, tense talks between Montreal port employers and the union representing some 1,200 dockworkers have stirred up more fears of yet another possible strike this spring. Longshore workers rejected an offer by management earlier this week, voting more than 99.5 per cent against the would-be deal.

CPKC said revenue for its most recent quarter rose two per cent to $3.52 billion from a combined $3.46 billion last year.

The railway said its core adjusted combined diluted earnings per share amounted to 93 cents in its latest quarter, up from 90 cents a year earlier and roughly in line with analysts' predictions, according to LSEG Data & Analytics.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published April 24, 2024.

 

Outage At Norway’s Hammerfest LNG Extended Until Saturday

The Hammerfest LNG export plant offshore Norway is expected to remain offline until Saturday, April 27, following a gas leak earlier this week, according to the latest data from gas infrastructure operator Gassco published on Friday.  

The gas treatment plant at Equinor’s Hammerfest LNG, the only large-scale LNG export plant in Europe, was taken offline on Tuesday in an unplanned outage after a gas leak prompted evacuation at the facility.

The current assessment provided by Gassco is that the LNG export plant will return online on at 1000 GMT on Saturday.

Earlier this week, Equinor said that the facility would remain offline until Friday, April 26, because of a gas leak during maintenance.

The leak has been stopped and all 54 people at the plant at the time of the incident were accounted for. Equinor is still investigating the cause of the leak and said it was too early to make an estimate about a possible delay to production resumption, the Norwegian energy major said on Tuesday.

The Hammerfest LNG plant at Melkoeya has the capacity to deliver about 6.5 billion cubic meters of gas per year, enough to supply about 6.5 million European homes. Exports from Hammerfest represent about 5% of all Norwegian natural gas exports.  

Norway is now the single biggest provider of natural gas to Europe after Russia’s Gazprom cut off most of its supply to the EU after the Russian invasion of Ukraine in early 2022.

Gas leaks and other incidents are not uncommon for Hammerfest LNG. Last year in May, Equinor shut down the plant due to a gas leak.

Hammerfest LNG, which receives gas from the Snøhvit field operated by Equinor, was offline for a year and a half after a fire at the facility in September 2020. The plant, Europe’s only large-scale LNG export facility, resumed operations in March 2022.

The plant was again taken offline in early May 2023, due to a compressor failure, and was offline until May 19. It was also shut down for a previous leak in March 2023.

By Charles Kennedy for Oilprice.com

$2-Trillion Funding Gap Casts Shadow over Energy Transition

  • Blackrock: investments in the energy transition are falling behind.

  • Blackrock: annual investments in the shift away from hydrocarbons need to almost double from their current record levels.

  • Blackrock: government assistance would need to come in the form of favorable energy pricing policies and market deregulation.



Investments in the energy transition are falling way short of what is needed for its success. The fresh warning comes from BlackRock, which said annual investments in the shift away from hydrocarbons need to almost double from their current record levels. But it’s getting less likely this would ever happen.

In a new edition of its Investment Institute Transition Scenario, the bank said that moving the transition forward would require more money from both public and private sources and that, for its part, would require “alignment between government action, companies and partnerships with communities,” according to Michael Dennis, head of APAC Alternatives Strategy & Capital Markets at BlackRock, as quoted by CNBC.

BlackRock mentioned the $4-trillion figure as the necessary sum to be invested in the transition annually back in December when it released the original IITS. The amount was as impressive then as it is now, not least because it was double the amount of earlier investment estimates. What makes it even more impressive is the fact that last year’s record transition investments came in at less than half that, at $1.8 trillion.

There is little hope that this will change, at least in a positive direction. As more and more analysts begin to issue warnings about the effects of higher interest rates on transition industries, investors are turning away, too, and returning to oil and gas. It must be the worst imaginable transition scenario that not even the BlackRock analysts could come up with in their report.

Last month, Equinor vice president of international exploration and production Philippe Mathieu said investor sentiment towards the oil and gas industry had “completely shifted” from a few years ago. Speaking at CERAWeek, Mathieu said that while the transition remains a priority, energy security has also become one following the pandemic and the Ukraine war.

He was not the only one, either. Investors are flocking to energy stocks seeking to protect themselves against inflation and take advantage of higher oil prices, Reuters reported recently, citing a portfolio manager from Wealth Enhancement Group as saying, “If inflation is going to pop up again ... the hedge is to have some commodities exposure.”

The situation is very much different for transition companies. Many of these are struggling to stay afloat amid higher-for-longer rates despite generous government help. Many are folding or, in the case of European companies, relocating to the U.S. where government help is even more generous. Turning in a profit has become a major challenge, and investors are not sticking around to find out if wind and solar developers are going to overcome it.

This makes filling the $2-trillion annual gap quite a challenge as well—especially since close to two-thirds of the necessary money—at least in the developing world—would need to come from the private sector, according to BlackRock’s Dennis. The funds, he says, are there, but they need to be mobilized and this could only happen with government help.

This help, according to the executive, would need to come in the form of favorable energy pricing policies and market deregulation. Indeed, deregulation is a favorite of energy investors as it tends to make electricity more expensive for consumers, pushing returns for the suppliers higher. However, deregulation is tricky business in developing nations with high levels of poverty—it does not win more voters.

Energy market deregulation is not the only tricky part of the transition. Lately, it seems that everything has become quite tricky and risky, from EV sales, which dropped the moment incentives were phased out, to solar installations, which are driving down European electricity prices, with some plunging below zero. Whether the $2-trillion annual investment gap calculated by BlackRock would ever be filled remains an open question.

By Irina Slav for Oilprice.com