Wednesday, July 30, 2025

  

Scientists issue urgent call ahead of final plastics treaty talks: This is the world’s last chance to act



In a rare collective intervention, more than 60 global experts publish open letters demanding a binding UN plastics treaty grounded in science, justice, and bold political will




University of Portsmouth





In a rare collective intervention, more than 60 global experts publish open letters demanding a binding UN plastics treaty grounded in science, justice, and bold political will


  •  Scientists emphasise the need to phase out toxic additives and chemicals in plastics and reduce plastics production altogether.

  •   Plastic pollution is a health crisis, with microplastics and nanoplastics increasingly found throughout the human body – especially in vulnerable populations

With the final round of UN negotiations on a global plastics treaty fast approaching, a group of over 60 leading scientists from around the world has issued an urgent call for governments to agree on ambitious, enforceable action to tackle plastic pollution, such as reducing plastic production and prioritising human health. 

The letters, published today in Cambridge University Press journal Cambridge Prisms: Plastics in the run-up to the resumed session of the Intergovernmental Negotiating Committee (INC-5.2), warn that the plastics crisis has become a defining environmental, health, and social justice issue of our time.

“This is not just a call for action, this is the scientific community bearing witness,” said Professor Steve Fletcher, Editor-in-Chief of Cambridge Prisms: Plastics and Director of the Revolution Plastics Institute. “We’ve watched the evidence pile up for decades. This treaty is a test of whether the world is prepared to govern plastics in a way that reflects the scale and urgency of the crisis.”

The authors argue that the stakes at INC-5.2 could not be higher: this is the world’s best opportunity to secure a binding agreement that tackles plastic pollution across its entire lifecycle.

The open letters provide a coherent evidence-based roadmap for treaty negotiators. Key demands include:

  • Legally binding targets to cap and reduce plastic production. Phase-out of toxic additives and chemicals in plastics.
  • Global health safeguards to protect human health. Structural inclusion of affected communities in treaty design and implementation - especially Indigenous Peoples, informal waste workers, and fence line communities. 
  • Independent scientific oversight insulated from corporate lobbying and greenwashing.
  • Robust financing and compliance mechanisms to ensure treaty enforcement and support for low-and middle-income countries.

Many letters warn that low-ambition countries and industry lobbying risk derailing progress. The politicisation of science in treaty negotiations is another central concern raised in the letters. 

Several contributors warn that without the meaningful inclusion of those most affected by plastic pollution, the treaty will fall short. They call for the structural involvement of Indigenous Peoples, small island states, women, young people, informal waste workers, and residents of pollution hotspots, not as afterthoughts, but as key voices in setting the agenda and shaping implementation.

Professor Max Liboiron, Department of Geography, Memorial University, Canada, said: “The current draft of the Global Plastics Treaty falls short by excluding Indigenous Peoples from decision-making roles while incorporating their knowledge in ways that are disconnected from their rights. This is not simply a call for “inclusion”; it is a call for governance infrastructure.”

Professor Tony Walker, School for Resource and Environmental Studies, Dalhousie  University, Canada, said: “Subsidies and inadequate pricing of externalities have a major role in sustaining the current linear plastic economy, and thus preventing a needed transition towards a more circular economy, which focus on reducing consumption of plastics, phasing out single use plastics and provide a pathway towards a more regenerative and restorative plastic economy.”

The letters highlight the mounting evidence that plastic pollution is a health crisis. Microplastics and nanoplastics have been found throughout the human body. These exposures disproportionately affect vulnerable populations, including Indigenous Peoples, waste workers, fence line communities, women, and children, groups who are least protected by regulation and often excluded from decision-making forums.

Dr Cressida Bowyer, Deputy Director of the Revolution Plastics Institute at the University of Portsmouth, said: “There is clear and growing evidence that plastic poses serious risks to human health. Yet the approach to health protection in the treaty still hangs in the balance. In order to operationalise the global plastics treaty objective to “protect human health and the environment from plastic pollution” the treaty must directly address human health impacts in the core obligations of the treaty.”

The authors call for cumulative risk assessment, exposure monitoring, and transparent chemical regulation. They remind negotiators that the costs of inaction are not abstract, but can be counted in cancers, reproductive harms, and respiratory conditions.

Susanne Brander, Associate Professor, Oregon State University, USA, said: “Incorporating strategic and robust global controls on hazardous chemicals in the plastic treaty is essential to protect human and environmental health, reduce societal costs, and ensure safer and more sustainable plastic chemicals and products. Chemicals of concern are currently intrinsic to plastics and largely unregulated.”

Others argue that trade remains a largely overlooked yet indispensable element in shaping an effective and equitable agreement. Trade, spanning plastic feedstocks, resins, products, and waste, forms the connective tissue of the plastics economy and must be embedded in the treaty’s architecture.

Professor Maria Ivanova, Northeastern University, USA, said: “To be effective, the global plastics treaty must address the realworld architecture of the plastics economy, where trade is the connective tissue. At INC-5.2, negotiators must seize the opportunity to design a treaty that is both environmentally ambitious and structurally sound. Trade must be reimagined as a tool for transformation. If trade is the connective tissue of the plastics crisis, it must also be part of the cure.”

An ambitious treaty has backing from over 100 countries. Yet INC-5.2 arrives after prolonged delays, consensus deadlock, and obstruction by a handful of low-ambition states. The letters argue that the treaty’s credibility and effectiveness now hinge on political courage, not scientific uncertainty.

“The scientific consensus is clear,” added Professor Fletcher. “The only question is whether governments will respond. This treaty could be transformative but only if it avoids the traps of voluntary commitments and techno-fixes. This is the world’s last chance to act boldly.”

The full collection of open letters is now available to journalists, negotiators, and policymakers ahead of the final treaty talks in August.

Notes to Editors

Letters

Cambridge Prisms: PlasticsAct boldly or fail: academic perspectives at a pivotal moment in global plastics treaty negotiations

 

About Cambridge University Press

Cambridge University Press is the academic and Bibles publisher of Cambridge University Press & Assessment. It publishes books and journals, serving customers in higher education through research, education products and services. It is part of the University of Cambridge, delivering trusted research and learning materials that spread knowledge, spark curiosity and aid understanding of the world we live in.

cambridge.org/universitypress


 

“The global community must take action”


Negotiations on the UN Plastics Convention start on 5 August




Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ

portraet 

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Prof Annika Jahnke

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Credit: Sebastian Wiedling / UFZ




What are the UN negotiations on a global plastics treaty about?

Dana Kühnel: Through the Plastics Treaty, the UN aims to establish an internationally international legally binding framework to ensure that as many countries as possible to adopt standardised approaches to managing plastic. These include reducing plastic use and emissions, minimising harmful chemicals in plastics, and improving recycling methods in order to support a circular plastic economy. The agreement is intended to stand alongside the Paris Climate Agreement and the UN Convention on Biological Diversity.

Why is such an agreement needed?

Annika Jahnke: The production, use, and disposal of plastic are globally interlinked. The raw plastics come from countries such as India and Saudi Arabia; the plastic products are produced mainly in the Global North before being used worldwide. When there are no effective waste collection systems, plastic enters the environment and spreads in all directions. Like many other environmental pollutants, plastic does not stop at national borders and therefore causes transboundary problems. Plastic waste of all shapes and sizes can be found in virtually every corner of the Earth – from alpine glaciers and open oceans to the deep sea and remote island states . As a result, action must be coordinated between the countries. Furthermore, plastic is extremely persistent in the environment. If it sinks to the seabed, it degrades only very slowly because sunlight does not reach these depths and the temperatures remain consistently low.

Kühnel: We also know from forecasts that plastic production is expected to double by 2050. This increase creates an urgent need to better manage plastic production, use, and waste on a global scale.

What makes plastics so dangerous?

Kühnel: On one hand, there is a wide range of materials because the industry produces plastics using various raw materials, including polymers as the base material and functional additives such as plasticisers and UV stabilisers. Once in the environment, plastic weathers and breaks down, forming micro- and nanoplastic particles. Plastic waste harms marine wildlife that become entangled in larger items such as fishing nets. They also mistake both larger plastic fragments and micro- or nano-sized particles for food. The smallest ones can then enter the bloodstream through the intestinal wall. It is also certain that humans ingest plastic particles. It remains to date unclear how many of these particles remain in the body or are excreted. On the other hand, plastic-associated chemicals are released over time. More than 16,000 chemicals are used in plastics. Around one quarter of these are hazardous. They can negatively impact the environment and, amongst others, interfere with hormone function in humans.

So far, it has not been possible to agree on a global plastics agreement. What are the main areas of contention?

Kühnel: For example, one group of countries includes mainly oil-producing nations. It is in favour of managing plastic waste and increasing recycling – with the aim of reducing the amount of plastic entering the environment. However, it has little interest in curbing the production of plastics.

Jahnke: The “High Ambition Coalition to end plastic pollution”, which is led by Norway and Rwanda and includes the EU and Pacific small island developing states, takes a different position. It advocates further measures such as regulating the primary production of plastic, reducing single-use plastic products, controlling the use of plastic-associated chemicals, or replacing them with other less harmful substances. This group focuses on not only the waste problem but also the entire life cycle of plastic.

Overall, the negotiating parties so far remain far apart, particularly regarding the goals the international community should adopt and the extent to which individual states should be mandated to implement measures. It also remains unclear how the costs of removing plastic from the environment should be divided. The Global South and Indigenous peoples use less plastic than average but are disproportionately affected by its consequences. They are therefore calling for financial support from the main contributors to plastic pollution. Although many countries are fundamentally willing to contribute, they first want assurance that their ambitious demands are considered. At the conference in Busan (South Korea) in December 2024, there was little progress – and not only on this issue. 

How can progress on this issue be revived?

Jahnke: Given the complexity of the problem and the need for multiple solutions, one approach would be to strengthen cross-sectoral collaboration. As outlined in our recent scientific publication, we believe it is urgent for scientists, policy-makers, regulators, the plastics industry, and civil society to engage in dialogue. This is the only way we can counteract plastic pollution quickly and comprehensively.

When would you say the conference was a success?

Jahnke: Ideally, a binding agreement would be reached on targets for plastic-associated chemicals, primary plastic production, and bans on plastic products of concern, which could then be negotiated at a Conference of the Parties (COP). These goals could be embedded in the agreement and later negotiated in detail by independent groups. In addition, regular updates based on the latest state of scientific knowledge are necessary.

Kühnel: Taking into account the entire life cycle of plastics – from resource extraction and production to disposal and recycling – would be an ideal outcome of the agreement. Regulation should address not only plastic waste but also plastic production – because that’s where the problems start. The global community must take action. The longer the delay, the more severe the problems become.

Further information:

 

How are coastal New Jersey communities communicating hazards of climate change?




Drexel University





Recent climate-related crises — from severe storms and flooding to extreme heat — have raised new questions about how local governments communicate the risk of these crises and what they are doing to keep their citizens safe. To better understand what this communication looks like at local level, and the factors that may be shaping it, researchers from Drexel University analyzed climate resilience planning information available on the public-facing websites of 24 coastal communities in New Jersey that are contending with the effects of sea level rise. Their report, recently published in the Journal of Extreme Events, found wide variation in the number and extent of mitigation actions taken and how the websites describe causes of coastal hazards — for example, only half of the communities are acknowledging sea level rise as a contributing factor to these hazards.

“Each municipality handles this communication a little differently — perhaps due to their relative risk, experience with flooding, or possibly because of their perception of what the public will accept as a feasible strategy. So, a study like this is important for comparing the information being conveyed and understanding localized variations,” said Patrick Gurian, PhD, a professor in Drexel’s College of Engineering, who led the research.

According to real estate data, New Jersey has more new homes being built in flood risk zones than any other state. The study looked at many of these communities, from Secaucus, Hoboken and Jersey City in the north, through Point Pleasant and Seaside Heights and down to Wildwood and Cape May on the southern tip — ranging in relative risk for flooding: “widespread,” “substantial” or “isolated,” which were categorized based on the percentage of their land area 10 feet or less above sea level.

The study compared the communities’ relative activity, as reported on their websites, through the lens of a climate adaptation index, which was defined as the sum of actions taken from a set of measures often considered by local governments in climate vulnerable areas — ranging from stormwater management and zoning policies to incentives to renovate or relocate.

The analysis revealed a wide range in the number of projects being undertaken, or publicized, with roughly half of the communities showing a high degree of activity and the other half showing much lower overall activity. The projects most frequently mentioned as being planned, in progress or completed, were projects addressing public infrastructure, with 62% of communities undertaking stormwater management projects and 50% undertaking road improvements. By contrast, none mentioned more permanent, but costly and controversial measures, such as managed retreat or buyout programs to help citizens relocate from vulnerable areas.

“Managed retreat planning is seemingly the least favored strategy among New Jersey coastal municipalities, whereas stormwater management and road improvements seem to be the most favored adaptation projects, likely due to their acceptance by the public and technical feasibility,” the researchers wrote.

Gurian, who has participated in related efforts to assess and bolster climate resilience plans in the Greater Philadelphia area, has a deep understanding of the underlying influences that can shape these strategies, including political undercurrents. But Gurian noted that, in the case of these two dozen communities in New Jersey, political leaning did not appear to be associated with whether they communicate about preparedness efforts.

The researchers overlaid voting behavior in the 2020 presidential election with reported climate risk preparedness activities. Of the 24 communities studied, 13 leaned Democrat and 11 Republican, per the 2020 results. But across the board, the strongest predictor of preparedness activities was being in an area classified as having “widespread risk” for coastal flooding – the most severe coastal flooding risk category.  

“Based on the results of this study, there are significant associations between the coastal flood risk for a community and the risk mitigation activities reported on governmental websites,” the researchers reported. “Population and favored political party (as measured by the 2020 presidential vote) were not found to have a significant influence on overall coastal preparedness.”

But a subtle indication of the political sensitivity around the framing of the problem may be visible in the websites’ language — or lack thereof — about climate change and sea level rise. Less than half (46%) provided information about the contribution of climate change and sea level rise to coastal hazard risk and even fewer (17%) acknowledged climate change and sea level rise and attributed them to human activity. The researchers suggested that avoiding this language may be a tactic to maintain support for the mitigation activities.

“Acknowledging climate change without attributing it to human activity may provide a window for governments to advance adaptation efforts while avoiding the potentially more controversial topics of causal attribution and emissions mitigation,” the researchers wrote.

While this study is limited to a small set of coastal communities in New Jersey, the team notes that its implications likely map onto similar municipalities in climate vulnerable areas across the country. The researchers recommend expanding both the geographic footprint in similar studies and efforts to capture local information sharing beyond websites, as not all governments may view or operate their websites as a primary means of communicating with citizens.

Gurian suggested this line of inquiry will become increasingly important as demand for coastal property and coastal flood risk are both increasing.

“The way local leaders and governments communicate about climate risk is vitally important because it not only shares urgent information that can help to keep citizens safe in the immediate future, but it also conveys a perspective of the problem that sets a framework for how citizens should perceive their own relative risk,” Gurian said. “Despite our divisive national political landscape, local governments can still communicate with their citizens about climate-related hazards. If local governments can preserve and leverage this relationship, while carefully and accurately communicating the risk climate change poses to their communities, they may yet be able to keep their citizens safe.”

 

Rainy tropics could face unprecedented droughts as an Atlantic current slows




University of Colorado at Boulder





Some of the rainiest places on Earth could see their annual precipitation nearly halved if climate change continues to alter the way ocean water moves around the globe.

In a new CU Boulder-led study published July 30 in Nature, scientists revealed that even a modest slowdown of a major Atlantic Ocean current could dry out rainforests, threaten vulnerable ecosystems and upend livelihoods across the tropics.

“That’s a stunning risk we now understand much better,” said lead author Pedro DiNezio, associate professor in CU Boulder’s Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, adding that parts of the Amazon rainforest could see up to a 40% reduction in annual precipitation. 

The ocean conveyor belt

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a massive system of ocean currents that moves water through the Atlantic Ocean, transporting warm, salty water from the tropics to the North Atlantic. The AMOC plays an important role in regulating the climate by redistributing heat from the southern to the northern hemisphere. It also makes sure the tropical rain belt, a narrow band of heavy precipitation near the equator, stays north of it. 

As the climate warms, melting polar ice and increasing rainfall will dilute the ocean’s surface waters, making them less dense and potentially slowing down the circulation. The impact of a weakened AMOC on the tropics remains uncertain, because scientists have only been monitoring the system directly for two decades. 

As a technician at a National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) lab in Miami in 2005, DiNezio helped calibrate some of the earliest measurements of AMOC. At the time, he had no idea that he’d be studying that very same system two decades later.

“A few years ago, this monitoring system recorded signs of a decline in the AMOC, but it later rebounded. So we weren’t sure if it was just a fluke. The problem is, we haven’t been measuring the ocean long enough to detect meaningful long-term change,” DiNezio said.

While scientists are uncertain whether the AMOC has already begun to decline, climate models predict the system will eventually weaken because of climate change. 

Predicting the future 

DiNezio and his team set out to explore how a future slowing of these critical ocean currents could impact global precipitation patterns.  

“Changes in rainfall are very difficult to predict, because so many factors are involved in making rain, like moisture, temperature, wind and clouds. Many models struggle to predict how the pattern will change in a warming world,” DiNezio said. 

The team turned to climate records from about 17,000 years ago, when the AMOC last slowed down significantly due to natural causes. Evidence of precipitation preserved in cave formations, as well as lake and ocean sediments revealed how rainfall patterns responded to the slowdown during that period. 

Drawing on that data, DiNezio’s team identified the computer models that best captured those ancient rainfall shifts and used them to predict how the patterns could change in the future. 

Their best models predict that as the AMOC weakens and cools the northern Atlantic, this temperature drop would spread toward the tropical Atlantic and into the Caribbean.  This change, on top of rising global temperatures, will lead to significant reductions in precipitation over Central America, the Amazon, and West Africa. 

“This is bad news, because we have these very important ecosystems in the Amazon,” said DiNezio. The Amazon rainforest contains almost two years of global carbon emissions, making it a major carbon sink on Earth. “Drought in this region could release vast amounts of carbon back into the atmosphere, forming a vicious loop that could make climate change worse.” 

While DiNezio said the AMOC is unlikely to stop completely, even a small reduction in its strength could lead to changes across the entire tropical region, increasing the risk of reaching a tipping point. But how fast and how much it slows depends on the degree of future climate change. 

“We still have time, but we need to rapidly decarbonize the economy and make green technologies widely available to everyone in the world. The best way to get out of a hole is to stop digging,” DiNezio said. 
 

 

Research improves accuracy of climate models – particularly for extreme events




North Carolina State University






Researchers have devised a new machine learning method to improve large-scale climate model projections and demonstrated that the new tool makes the models more accurate at both the global and regional level. This advance should provide policymakers with improved climate projections that can be used to inform policy and planning decisions.

“Global climate models are essential for policy planning, but these models often struggle with ‘compound extreme events,’ which is when extreme events happen in short succession – such as when extreme rainfall is followed immediately by a period of extreme heat,” says Shiqi Fang, first author of a paper on the work and a research associate at North Carolina State University.

“Specifically, these models struggle to accurately capture observed patterns regarding compound events in the data used to train the models,” Fang says. “This leads to two additional problems: difficulty in providing accurate projections of compound events on a global scale; and difficulty in providing accurate projections of compound events on a local scale. The work we’ve done here addresses all three of those challenges.”

“All models are imperfect,” says Sankar Arumugam, corresponding author of the paper and a professor of civil, construction and environmental engineering at NC State. “Sometimes a model may underestimate rainfall, and/or overestimate temperature, or whatever. Model developers have a suite of tools that they can use to correct these so-called biases, improving a model’s accuracy.

“However, the existing suite of tools has a key limitation: they are very good at correcting a flaw in a single parameter (like rainfall), but not very good at correcting flaws in multiple parameters (like rainfall and temperature),” Arumugam says. “This is important, because compound events can pose serious threats and – by definition – involve societal impacts from two physical variables, temperature and humidity. This is where our new method comes in.”

The new method takes a novel approach to the problem and makes use of machine learning techniques to modify a climate model’s outputs in a way that moves the model’s projections closer to the patterns that can be observed in real-world data.

The researchers tested the new method – called Complete Density Correction using Normalizing Flows (CDC-NF) – with the five most widely used global climate models. The testing was done at both the global scale and at the national scale for the continental United States.

“The accuracy of all five models improved when used in conjunction with the CDC-NF method,” says Fang. “And these improvements were especially pronounced with regard to accuracy regarding both isolated extreme events and compound extreme events.”

“We have made the code and data we used publicly available, so that other researchers can use our method in conjunction with their modeling efforts – or further revise the method to meet their needs,” says Arumugam. “We’re optimistic that this can improve the accuracy of projections used to inform climate adaptation strategies.”

The paper, “A Complete Density Correction using Normalizing Flows (CDC-NF) for CMIP6 GCMs,” is published open access in the Nature journal Scientific Data. The paper was co-authored by Emily Hector, an assistant professor of statistics at NC State; Brian Reich, the Gertrude M. Cox Distinguished Professor of Statistics at NC State; and Reetam Majumder, an assistant professor of statistics at the University of Arkansas.

The work was made possible by the National Science Foundation, under grants 2151651 and 2152887.

How climate shapes soil fungal traits


Study reports on global distributions of microbial traits with applications for soil health



Dartmouth College

Map showing study sites and biomes. 

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Global distribution of 3,500+ study sites used in the analysis of AM fungal spore traits across diverse biomes. 

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Credit: Map by Smriti Pehim Limbu.




Many soil microbes play a vital role in ecosystems, as they help plants access nutrients and water and assist in stress tolerance such as during drought and to defend against pathogens.

One such group of soil microbes are arbuscular mycorrhizal, aka AM, fungi. These important fungi are essential to plant health and are associated with the roots of approximately 70% of plant species on land. Through their symbiotic relationship with plant roots, the fungi contribute significantly to the carbon cycle and other processes that sustain ecosystem functioning.

A fungus's spores are responsible for fungal reproduction and dispersal. And spore traits, including volume, cell wall thickness, ornamentation such as projections or depressions in the cell wall, shape, and color, can affect how well fungi survive in different environments.

A new Dartmouth-led study reports on how global climate conditions affect AM fungal spore traits and the species biogeographic patterns. The study is the first to examine multiple traits of this kind on a global scale. The results are published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

"As climate change continues, we expect shifts in these microbial traits that influence how these fungi survive, spread, and interact with plants, which could have cascading effects across ecosystems, and affect restoration efforts and food production," says lead author Smriti Pehim Limbu, a postdoctoral fellow in the Ecology, Evolution, Environment & Society Program and member of the Chaudhary Ecology Lab at Dartmouth.

For the study, the researchers synthesized data from different global databases of AM fungal species with climate data, to examine how climate affects the spore traits. These included TraitAM—a public database of the spore traits of more than 340 AM fungi, created by senior author Bala Chaudhary, an associate professor of environmental studies at Dartmouth.

"Our findings showed that spores that were bigger and darker in color were more common in warm, wet climates, but there was a trade-off between persistence and dispersal," says Pehim Limbu. "While being bigger helped the spores to persist in warm, wet conditions, these conditions were associated with a more limited geographical distribution."

Spores with more cell surface ornamentation were also more common in warm, wet climates but had smaller geographic distributions. Darker spores, which have more pigment, were more common in warm, wet climates. According to the co-authors, those attributes may help protect the fungi from ultraviolet radiation and fire. 

Yet, cell wall thickness for spores decreased in warm, wet climates and was more robust in cooler, drier climates. Intermediate cell wall thickness was found to be associated with broader geographic distribution.

Global distribution of 3,500+ study sites used in the analysis of AM fungal spore traits across diverse biomes. Map by Smriti Pehim Limbu.

By understanding which AM fungal spore traits thrive in specific climates such as dry versus humid climatic conditions, the co-authors report that the findings could guide commercial applications of bioinoculants, microbial amendments used for soil restoration, through selection of AM fungi suited to the local environment.

"Ecologists since before Darwin have been studying the geographic distribution of species’ traits," says Chaudhary. "For example, we know that mammals with white fur are more likely to occur in cold climates. This study takes an important step in uncovering similar patterns for the traits of microbes, giving insight into the environmental adaptations of the majority of biodiversity on Earth," says Chaudhary.

Study co-authors Pehim Limbu (Smriti.Pehim.Limbu@dartmouth.edu) and Chaudhary (Bala.Chaudhary@dartmouth.edu) are available for comment.

Sidney Stürmer at the Universidade Regional de Blumenau in Brazil, Geoffrey Zahn at William & Mary, Carlos Aguilar-Trigueros at University of Jyväskylä in Finland, and Noah Rogers at Utah Valley University, also contributed to the research.

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