Monday, September 29, 2025

 

Japanese scientists measure seafloor sinking for the first time

Japanese scientists measure seafloor sinking for the first time
/ Silas Baisch - Unsplash
By bno - Jakarta Office September 29, 2025

A Japanese research group has, for the first time, measured yearly seafloor sinking near the Nankai Trough off the Pacific coast, The Japan Times reports. Using advanced water pressure gauges from the Donet earthquake and tsunami monitoring network, the team identified gradual subsidence at two points off the Kii Peninsula in central Japan.

The Nankai Trough is a tectonic boundary where the oceanic plate descends beneath the continental plate, gradually lowering the seabed. Over long periods, this process can culminate in sudden shifts along the plate boundary, sparking powerful earthquakes and tsunamis. Data from Donet is already crucial for Japan’s Meteorological Agency, which relies on water pressure changes to issue tsunami warnings.

Detecting small-scale movements has been a challenge, as shifts of only a few centimetres each year are easily mistaken for device errors. To overcome this, a team led by Yuya Machida of the Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC) created a portable, highly accurate calibration tool. Installed at two sites, it uses laser-based measurements to verify subtle height differences.

Findings revealed seabed sinking of 1.5 cm and 2.5 cm annually at the southeast and south of the Kii Peninsula. Researchers aim to expand monitoring to better map long-term subsidence patterns. This breakthrough not only sharpens earthquake and tsunami risk assessment but also underscores how precision technology is becoming vital in safeguarding coastal populations.

CRIMINAL CAPITALI$M

How Azerbaijan's oil prince went from dining with Messi to facing decades in prison

How Azerbaijan's oil prince went from dining with Messi to facing decades in prison
A picture posted by Adnan Ahmadzada on Instagram showing his friendship with footballer Lionel Messi. / Adnan Ahmadzada via Instagram
By Cavid Aga in Warsaw September 29, 2025

Eight months ago, Adnan Ahmadzada stood on stage at Baku's Crystal Hall, basking in the adulation of thousands as he hosted Lionel Messi and his Inter Miami teammates for a charity event. The crowd chanted "Messi!" whilst children rushed to embrace their idol, some unable to hold back tears. Ahmadzada, the orchestrator of this "magical" evening, had cemented his status as one of Azerbaijan's most influential businessmen, a man who could bring the world's greatest footballer to the Caspian shores with a phone call.

Today, that same man sits in a Baku detention cell, accused of perpetrating one of the largest economic crimes in Azerbaijan's history, according to Reuters. The charges against the 47-year-old former oil executive read like something out of the TV series Succession: contaminating 200,000 tonnes of his country's oil exports with corrosive chemicals, facilitating billions in Russian sanctions evasion, and operating a shadow network of companies stretching from Malta to Dubai. If convicted, he faces up to 23 years in prison.

The arrest of Ahmadzada on September 11 by Azerbaijan's State Security Service has sent shockwaves through the global energy sector and raised uncomfortable questions about how Russian oil continues to flow into European markets despite supposedly watertight sanctions. But perhaps more intriguingly, it has exposed the dual life of a man who moved as comfortably in the company of sanctioned Russian oligarchs as he did with football royalty.

Who is Adnan Ahmadzada?

Born in 1978 in Baku, Ahmadzada's trajectory through Azerbaijan's oil bureaucracy was nothing short of meteoric. After graduating from the Academy of Public Administration in 1998 and earning a master's degree two years later, he immediately joined the State Oil Company of the Azerbaijan Republic (SOCAR), starting as a junior expert in export operations.

Over two decades, he climbed steadily through the ranks, accumulating power and knowledge of the international oil trade's most intricate mechanisms. By 2010, he was running SOCAR's entire Marketing and Economic Operations Department. In 2018, he achieved what many considered the pinnacle of Azerbaijan's energy sector: appointment as executive chairman of SOCAR Trading SA, the Geneva-based arm that handles billions in petroleum transactions annually.

President Ilham Aliyev himself recognised Ahmadzada's contributions in 2015, awarding him the prestigious Taraggi (Progress) medal for services in the development of the oil industry. By 2019, as deputy VP of SOCAR for investments and marketing, Ahmadzada had become one of the most powerful figures in Azerbaijani energy, with influence extending far beyond the Caspian region.

Yet in 2023, something went wrong. Ahmadzada was dismissed from SOCAR by presidential decree, officially due to "shortcomings in his work". Rather than fade into obscurity, he reinvented himself as an independent mogul, founding ABDA Invest Holding, a conglomerate spanning everything from supermarket chains to cinema complexes. He also began cultivating an entirely different kind of power: soft influence through sports and celebrity.

Ahmadzada's ability to attract global football stars to Azerbaijan became legendary. His relationship with Messi, which he described as involving "close family ties", enabled him to bring the Argentine superstar to Baku in January 2025. The visit was a sensation, with Messi touring cultural sites, viewing Azerbaijani carpets, and even paying respects at former president Heydar Aliyev's mausoleum. "This visit to Baku has given me the opportunity to experience the rich culture of Azerbaijan," Messi said at the time, thanking Ahmadzada personally for organising the event. Photos from Ahmadzada's Instagram account @adnan555 show him at Messi's Paris home, suggesting a personal relationship that transcended business.

Ronaldinho's appearance at COP29 in November 2024, accompanied by Barcelona president Joan Laporta, further demonstrated Ahmadzada's reach into football's elite circles. He also served as honorary president of Azerbaijan's Koshiki Karate-do Federation and was in advanced negotiations to purchase Mingachevir Football Club, promising to transform it into a major force with the help of his Barcelona connections. This carefully cultivated image of a cosmopolitan businessman and sports patron would soon collide catastrophically with a very different reality.

Contamination

The crisis began in July 2025 when routine quality checks at Turkey's Ceyhan terminal detected dangerous levels of organic chlorides in Azerbaijani crude oil arriving through the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline. These compounds, highly corrosive to refinery equipment and capable of causing catastrophic processing failures, triggered immediate alarm across European energy markets.

BP, which operates the terminal, declared force majeure, a legal acknowledgement that it could not fulfil contracts due to circumstances beyond its control. The contamination affected approximately 200,000 tonnes of oil, spreading through supply chains to Romania, Italy, Austria, and the Czech Republic before being detected and contained.

Romania's response was particularly dramatic. The government declared a crisis-level emergency on August 4, forcing the country to tap strategic reserves of 80,000 tonnes of crude and 30,000 tonnes of diesel to maintain refinery operations. However, contrary to initial reports of equipment damage, OMV Petrom later confirmed that contamination was detected "before the crude oil reached the refinery", with all facilities "operating within normal parameters".

The market impact was immediate and severe. Azeri Light crude, Azerbaijan's premium export grade commanding top international prices, plummeted from approximately $77 per barrel to between $68 and $69, reaching what traders described as four-year lows. Whilst prosecutors claim losses of $2.01bn, this specific figure remains unverified, though the ten-dollar price drop across Azerbaijan's massive export volumes certainly caused damage in the billions.

By September 23, BP's Tamam Bayatlı announced the crisis had been resolved, stating that "all tanks at the Ceyhan terminal now contain on-specification crude oil". But by then, investigators had begun uncovering something far more troubling than a quality control failure.

Adnan's network

The contamination incident coincided with increasing scrutiny of Azerbaijan's role in oil trading. The scheme allegedly operated through multiple channels, but the most significant involved the STAR refinery in Turkey, owned 60% by SOCAR and 40% by Azerbaijan's Ministry of Economy. According to Global Witness's analysis of shipping data and customs records, over 90% of crude processed at STAR in early 2024 originated from Russia, representing $1.2bn worth of Russian oil in just the first quarter of that year.

Three Azerbaijani tankers central to these operations have since been officially designated as part of Russia's "shadow fleet" for sanctions evasion. The Zangezur was sanctioned by the UK on May 9, 2025, followed by the Shusha and Karabakh, both blacklisted by July. Sanctions documents describe these vessels as having been "actively engaged in transport of Russian crude oil from Primorsk to Nemrut Bay since November 2023".

The European Union's response was decisive. The 18th sanctions package, adopted on July 18, specifically banned imports of refined petroleum products made from Russian crude in third countries. EU foreign affairs spokesperson Anitta Hipper explicitly confirmed that the STAR refinery was covered by these restrictions, effectively cutting off a major avenue for Russian oil to enter European markets.

But perhaps the most intriguing element of the alleged network is Alkagesta Ltd, a Malta-based trading company founded in 2018 that investigators believe represents the hidden architecture of Ahmadzada's operations. Whilst his name appears nowhere on official company registrations, multiple sources identify him as the true power behind Alkagesta, with the CEO position held by Kamran Aghayev, reportedly his cousin.

Alkagesta, which describes itself as "an avant-garde commodity trading house", maintains offices across Switzerland, the UK, Dubai, Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, Turkey, Turkmenistan and Romania. According to investigative reports, Alkagesta allegedly used falsified documentation to disguise Russian oil as Turkmen origin. Albanian authorities seized 22,500 tonnes of fuel they identified as Russian origin with falsified paperwork, with local media naming Alkagesta as involved. The company is reportedly under investigation by EU and UK authorities, though no formal charges have been announced.

The Russian question

The timing of the oil contamination has led some investigators to suspect this wasn't mere fraud but something more sinister: economic warfare designed to undermine Azerbaijan's growing role as Europe's alternative to Russian energy. On August 19, Yuri Podolyaka, a pro-Russian military blogger with suspected ties to Russian intelligence, published a post titled "News from the 'Azerbaijani front': or don't anger the Russian bear". In it, he characterised the contamination as Russia's "warning" to Azerbaijan and ominously suggested that "any incident could be repeated at any time".

Romanian intelligence services are reportedly investigating whether the contamination represented deliberate Russian sabotage, with sources suggesting organic chlorides may have been intentionally injected into the BTC pipeline as an act of economic warfare, according to Kyiv Independent. The precedent exists: in 2019, Russia's Druzhba pipeline suffered similar organic chloride contamination that affected 5mn tonnes of crude and caused $2.6bn-2.7bn in damages, an incident later traced to criminal activity.

Ahmadzada's connections to Russian energy elites add fuel to these suspicions. He was photographed at the birthday celebration of Vahid Alekberov, himself an ethnic Azerbaijani and Lukoil's billionaire founder, who is under Western sanctions, in Bodrum, Turkey. Some sources allege he even registered Alekberov's $80mn yacht Galactica Super Nova in his own name to help the oligarch evade asset seizures, though this claim remains unverified in maritime databases. The conspicuous silence of Russian media about Ahmadzada's arrest, despite it being a major international story, has only deepened suspicions about Moscow's potential involvement.

Ahmadzada now faces charges of economic sabotage and large-scale embezzlement in Azerbaijan, with prosecutors granted four months of pre-trial detention. This is the maximum amount of time a person can get legally. The investigation has expanded beyond Azerbaijan's borders, with UK authorities under pressure to explain how Ahmadzada obtained and maintained British citizenship whilst allegedly orchestrating massive fraud.

The European Union and the United Kingdom are investigating Alkagesta's operations, whilst Malta faces criticism from EU partners for what they perceive as insufficient action against a company allegedly at the centre of sanctions evasion. Each country that received contaminated oil could potentially bring separate charges, creating a cascade of legal challenges that could take years to resolve.

For Azerbaijan, the scandal represents a crisis of credibility at a crucial moment. The country has positioned itself as Europe's reliable alternative to Russian energy, signing strategic partnership agreements and investing billions in infrastructure. The revelation that Russian oil was flowing through Azerbaijani facilities whilst the country's own oil was being contaminated threatens to undermine years of diplomatic and economic relationship-building. Azerbaijan was already under suspicion, while people like presidential aide Hikmet Hajiyev vehemently denied the claims.

Prosecuting Ahmadzada demonstrates a commitment to the rule of law and distances Azerbaijan from sanctions evasion. But the investigation risks exposing systemic vulnerabilities in the country's energy sector and could invite Russian retaliation if Moscow were indeed involved in the contamination.

Several critical questions remain unanswered. How could someone dismissed from SOCAR in 2023 allegedly contaminate oil in the Baku-Ceyhan pipeline in 2025? If he acted alone, how did he maintain the access and influence necessary for such an operation? If he didn't act alone, who were his accomplices, and how deep does the corruption run?

The celebrity connections raise their own questions. Did Messi, Ronaldinho, and other sports stars who associated with Ahmadzada have any knowledge of his alleged criminal activities? There's no evidence they did, but their glamorous presence provided perfect cover for someone allegedly operating one of the largest sanctions-evasion schemes in the region.

Perhaps most crucially, was the contamination deliberate sabotage designed to undermine Azerbaijan's energy exports, or was it criminal negligence in pursuit of profit? The answer could determine whether this case is treated as massive fraud or as economic warfare with geopolitical implications.

Wider implications

The Ahmadzada affair represents more than just the fall of one ambitious businessman. It exposes the vulnerabilities in global energy supply chains, the sophistication of modern sanctions evasion, and the blurred lines between private corruption and state-level economic warfare. For the global energy market, the case serves as a warning about the ease with which insiders can manipulate systems they know intimately. For sanctions enforcers, it reveals how creative criminals and possibly state actors have become in circumventing restrictions. For Azerbaijan, it marks a moment of reckoning about governance, accountability, and the country's role in the new energy landscape shaped by Russia's war in Ukraine.

The arrest decision for Ahmadzada was unexpected. His lawyer, Shaig Mirzayev, currently representing the detained businessman, told the BBC: “Adnan Ahmadzada is a well-known businessman. He worked within SOCAR’s structure for a long time. Naturally, this incident was unexpected for him. But he is showing resilience, giving testimony in the investigation, and will also take part in other investigative actions.” According to Mirzayev, Adnan Ahmadzada is currently being held at the investigative detention facility of the State Security Service and, for now, has no intention of filing an appeal against the court’s decision. 

“Over the next four months, we will participate in the investigative actions. We will try to ensure that the truth about the case is revealed,” he said. Although the lawyer did not speak about details of the criminal case, he said the accusations circulated in Azerbaijani media violated Ahmadzade’s presumption of innocence. In his statement, he did not comment on any of the allegations voiced in the media, justifying this by saying that “all information in the investigation materials constitutes an investigative secret”.

As investigations continue across multiple jurisdictions and more revelations emerge, the full impact of the Ahmadzada scandal remains to be seen. But one thing is certain: the man who once brought the world's greatest footballer to Baku has become the face of one of the energy sector's most spectacular falls from grace. The most glaring question is how someone dismissed from SOCAR in 2023 could allegedly contaminate oil in the Baku-Ceyhan pipeline in 2025. This two-year gap suggests either Ahmadzada retained extraordinary access through accomplices still within the system, or he is taking the fall for a much larger network that remains unexposed. The sophistication and scale of the alleged operations — spanning multiple countries, involving billions in transactions, and requiring intimate knowledge of current SOCAR operations — seem implausible for one person acting alone, especially someone no longer officially connected to the company.

 

Forget OPEC Warnings The Real Oil Shock Is Happening Inside Russia

  • Ukraine’s drone and missile strikes on Russian refineries, depots, and ports have taken over 1 million bpd of refining capacity offline.

  • Despite talk of an oil glut and OPEC+ output hikes, global crude prices remain stable.
  • Russia is forced to export more crude while facing domestic fuel shortages and unrest.

While the world is watching the UN General Assembly discussions on Gaza-Israel, hybrid warfare in Europe (drones) and Trump, global oil markets are showing increased instability, as Ukrainian drones are destroying key oil and gas infrastructure inside of Russia. Over the last few weeks, a tsunami of reports has been published about a possible oil glut in the coming months or years, supported by OPEC-8 decisions to increase the export ceiling. However, reality in the market shows a different picture. Until now, no real crude oil price crash is showing; global prices are even very stable, while fundamentals in the markets are increasingly influenced by external geopolitical threats, not only Russian aggression towards NATO, or a heating up of the East Med (Turkey, Israel, Gaza Flotilla), but also increasingly Ukraine’s effective strikes on Russia’s infrastructure.

Almost daily, reports are showcasing the strategic success of Ukraine's campaign, which, in addition to its battlefield tactics, has effectively executed precision strikes and drone attacks on Russian oil refineries, fuel depots, and related logistics. These intentional strikes have targeted the Kremlin’s economic lifelines, leading some to assert that the most effective sanctions currently hitting Russia’s war chest or Putin’s lifeline are the Ukrainian drones.

While most energy analysts are still obsessed with OPEC, US shale, or Israel’s operations in Gaza, Russia, not only a pivotal player inside the so-called OPEC+ group, but also one of the world’s leading oil and gas exporters, is looking at a very dire situation. Ukrainian drones are not only degrading Moscow’s ability to turn Russian crude into exportable petroleum products (diesel, gasoline, kerosene) but also forcing Russian refineries to go offline. Both issues are hitting Putin’s war economy very hard, as they decrease options to monetize its hydrocarbon potential (exports) and also force higher domestic price settings for Russian citizens and external parties. Lately, in a move to squeeze Russia really, Ukraine has increased its attacks on Russian oil ports, in a move to hit export potential, while in the end forcing Russian crude oil production to be shut in.

The current situation, combined with increased geopolitical risks and strong global demand, suggests a potential shift towards a bullish environment. Even OPEC+'s theoretical production and export increases may not be enough to mitigate this shift, or in some cases, may not be sufficient at all. This potential for a bullish market should prompt all market participants to adopt preparedness and strategic planning.

The latest reports from Russia indicate that Ukrainian drones have hit dozens of Russian fuel facilities, while at the same time, maritime drones and missiles are being used. The potential of Ukraine’s latest military addition, the Flamingo Missile, could be a watershed development. This missile can reach much further into Russian territory with a larger payload, potentially causing significant damage to key oil and gas infrastructure. Western and Russian outlets have also indicated that over a million barrels per day of refining throughput is being hit or removed from the market, as major refineries and pipeline centers are being shut down or taken offline. For global oil markets, Russia’s exports are significant, as it is a leading exporter of diesel, fuel oil, and kerosene. The potential impact of the Flamingo Missile, combined with the ongoing drone attacks, underscores the evolving nature of the geopolitical risks in the oil market.

While global markets are being hit increasingly, even if additional Russian crude is exported, the situation has become very dire. Independent reports from Russia indicate severe fuel shortages in several regions of the country, not only impacting the war economy sectors (manufacturing, defense) but also increasing the potential for internal unrest. Russian oligarchs have been complaining about the fuel and energy situation for weeks. While Russian refineries, which supply the domestic market, are affected, seaborne crude flows are increasing, as Moscow is forced to export more. Russia doesn’t hold vast crude oil storage facilities or volumes, leaving it with no option but to export crude. Some Asian markets will be happy, as most Russian seaborne volumes will head there. Still, regional markets for Russian products will be struggling to find additional supplies.

All in all, this could mean a short-term increase in supply to Asia. To what extent this will be possible, given that the US and EU are increasing pressure, is, however, a valid question, especially when considering India. If Russia doesn't manage to export the increased volumes, domestic oil production may need to be shut in. When the market recognizes the increased geopolitical risks, a higher risk premium will result in higher oil prices. Downstream, prices will increase globally, as the current situation and today’s statement of renewed, stricter export bans on diesel or other products by Moscow will impact the market. Asian or Middle Eastern refineries will not be able to counter this.

Considering all these factors, the real net effect could be a decrease in global product availability in some consuming regions, even as seaborne crude volumes remain robust. This could then lead to a somewhat unexpected tightening of markets. OPEC+ export increases are unlikely to make a significant difference. Over the last few months, most OPEC-8 increases have been technical, aimed at legitimizing existing overproduction. The remaining spare production capacity of the group, or even OPEC+ as a whole, is shrinking. Current scenarios do not even include a new confrontation in the Middle East or the East Med, US actions against Venezuela, or a large-scale force majeure. In this context, the role of OPEC+ as a swing producer is limited, and the market should not rely solely on its actions to stabilize the situation.

By Cyril Widdershoven for Oilprice.com

Trump Meets Uzbek President Amid Billion-Dollar Deals

  • Uzbekistan is rapidly progressing towards World Trade Organization membership, with its application potentially accepted by spring 2026, driven by President Mirziyoyev's strong political commitment to market-oriented reforms.

  • The WTO Director-General, Ngozi Okonjo-Iveala, praised Uzbekistan's efforts and indicated a working group meeting in November, with accession possibly concluding by next March.

  • Uzbekistan has also announced substantial economic deals with the United States, including an $8 billion purchase of Boeing jets, following a meeting between President Mirziyoyev and former US President Donald Trump.

Uzbekistan evidently is on a fast-track to gain membership in the World Trade Organization. Tashkent’s application could win acceptance by the spring of 2026, WTO Director-General Ngozi Okonjo-Iveala said in an interview with Uzbek television.

Gaining membership in the WTO involves what can be a lengthy process of negotiations. It took China, for example, 15 years for its application to be approved. Technically, Uzbekistan’s accession process dates back to 1994, but Tashkent only demonstrated a serious intent to meet WTO requirements last year. 

Okonjo-Iveala indicated during the television interview that a WTO-Uzbek working group meeting would take place in November, and the accession process could be concluded as soon as next March.

The WTO director-general heaped praise on Uzbek President Shavkat Mirziyoyev following a bilateral meeting September 22 on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly. Uzbek efforts to qualify for WTO membership are “driven by the President’s strong political commitment to market-oriented reforms. Thank you, Mr. President. We are making great progress, let’s keep working hard together so we can deliver for Uzbekistan!” Okonjo-Iveala tweeted.

In New York, Mirziyoyev also had a brief meeting September 23 with another big fan, US President Donald Trump, who called the Uzbek president a “really great leader” who is “very smart and very competent.”

During the meeting, Mirziyoyev showed Trump a brochure outlining Uzbek plans to purchase $105 billion in US goods to help fuel Uzbekistan’s economic transformation. Trump oohed and ahhed over the brochure, quipping to assembled journalists; “One hundred and five billion; that’s not bad. That’s worth a five-minute meeting, right?”

The two states have already announced several substantial deals, including an Uzbek purchase of $8 billion worth of Boeing-manufactured long-haul jets. Trump indicated more deals are to come. “Very big ones,” he added.

As the meeting wrapped up, Mirziyoyev made another pitch for Trump to visit Central Asia, mentioning Samarkand. Trump responded; “Well, I’m going to think about doing that.”

By Eurasianet.org 

Quantum Breakthrough Could Lead to Super-Efficient Electronics

  • Scientists are leveraging quantum physics to develop new energy production methods, aiming to address the computing industry's growing energy demands.

  • Researchers at MIT have devised a novel approach to observe the quantum Hall effect by mimicking it with superchilled sodium atoms, enabling deeper study of frictionless electron flow.

  • This breakthrough in understanding "edge-state" physics could lead to highly efficient electronic circuits and quantum computers, offering a solution for energy loss in data and energy transfer.

Scientists are getting closer and closer to unlocking the intricate dance of quantum physics to revolutionize the way we produce energy. As the computing industry threatens to run out of energy on the back of the artificial intelligence boom, scientists are racing to bring quantum computing into reality as a means of solving critical energy security dilemmas while also turning computing technology on its head.

We know that the potential of quantum physics and quantum computing is massive within the energy sector, but there is still a lot that we don’t understand about the science behind it. Observing the quantum world is exceedingly difficult because the behaviors and reactions involved are happening at such a tiny scale, and so lightning fast, that the processes are all but invisible to humans.

But scientists are getting better at overcoming this challenge. At MIT, researchers have developed an ingenious way of scaling up a recreation of the quantum Hall effect to more effectively observe a phenomenon that usually occurs at a scale too small and too fast to study. Instead of observing electrons, the MIT team has found a way to superchill sodium atoms and control their spatial arrangement with lasers in a way that allows them to mimic the phenomenon of interest – a so-called “edge state.”

Normally, electrons move freely in all directions, scattering randomly when they encounter an obstacle due to friction. However, in certain contexts and with certain exotic materials, they behave differently, flowing together and in one direction along the material’s edge. This is known as the quantum Hall effect. And now, MIT scientists have found a way to meaningfully study this effect so that we can one day harness “edge-state” physics to revolutionize computing with virtually limitless energy

“In this rare ‘edge state,’ electrons can flow without friction, gliding effortlessly around obstacles as they stick to their perimeter-focused flow,” explains an MIT news article. “Unlike in a superconductor, where all electrons in a material flow without resistance, the current carried by edge modes occurs only at a material’s boundary.”

This lack of resistance means a lack of energy loss, which could have enormous and disruptive implications for virtually any sector that uses modern technology. According to reporting from Interesting Engineering, ”such frictionless movement of electrons can enable data and energy transfer across devices without any transmission losses, leading to the development of super-efficient electronic circuits and quantum computers.”

Quantum computing has garnered increasing attention for its potential to fundamentally change computational processes in ways that could increase efficiency and thereby drastically reduce the tech sector’s energy needs. In certain applications, quantum computers could be up to 100 times more energy efficient than current supercomputers. This could have enormous implications for AI and its ballooning energy footprint, as quantum computing could be especially well-suited to AI processing.

While normal computation is binary, with 1s and 0s serving as on- and off-switches, quantum computing operates via qubits, which can be both on and off simultaneously, like a coin spinning in the air before it lands as heads or tails. This simultaneous one-and-off state is called superposition, and it could completely change the fundamentals of computing.

Quantum computing and the field of quantum physics more broadly still have a very long way to go before they enter any kind of commercial domain. But our understanding of these phenomena – and their potential applications in the energy and tech sectors – are rapidly advancing. The recent breakthrough at MIT, by providing a reliable and more observable stand-in for quantum processes, could catalyze quantum experimenting, bringing us one major step closer to an infinite-energy future. 

By Haley Zaremba for Oilprice.com

Clean Energy Transition Accelerates Globally Beyond Western Influence

  • The global clean energy transition is accelerating at an unprecedented pace, with developing nations increasingly leading the adoption of renewable technologies due to economic advantages.

  • Countries like Pakistan are rapidly implementing solar power as a more affordable and reliable alternative to fossil fuels, demonstrating a global trend where clean energy is often the cheapest and fastest option.

  • Despite significant progress and investment in clean energy projects in emerging economies, stark disparities in climate financing persist, particularly for regions like Africa, which are rich in clean energy potential but receive only a fraction of global investment.

The clean energy transition is well underway around the world, at what many experts estimate to be an unstoppable velocity. While political shifts in the United States are pulling the emergency break on clean energy policy mechanisms, the international energy sector is plowing full-steam ahead. “This is no longer a distant promise: it is happening now, at a pace and scale that was unthinkable even five years ago,” writes Reuters, “and it is being driven not just by advanced economies but increasingly by developing ones.”

As clean energy becomes cheaper, more reliable, and more decentralized, increasing adoption of renewable and clean energy technologies is a no-brainer for many countries. It’s not even about clean energy policy anymore – it’s basic economics. Take Pakistan – one of the world’s largest new adopters of solar power, at what may be the fastest rate in history. The nation’s traditional energy model based on fossil fuel imports has led to rolling blackouts and punishing energy prices for locals. As a result, citizens are increasingly turning to rooftop solar with attached battery systems to power their homes more affordably and reliably. 

And Pakistan is just one example of many emerging economies that are turning to clean energy technologies to provide energy affordably, reliably, and locally. “The new generation of wind and solar power, batteries, and electric vehicles are on the verge of, or have already achieved, escape velocity, breaking free from the gravity of political capriciousness,” reads a recent article from Vox. “In a lot of places, especially in power generation, the cleanest option is also the fastest, the cheapest, and the one most likely to turn a profit. That’s true whether or not you care about the climate.”

A recent analysis from Ember shows that roughly two-thirds of the world’s emerging and developing economies are now leapfrogging the United States and Europe in their shift to clean energy. And it's clear why – the Ember report also calculates that 91 percent of new solar and wind developments are even cheaper than the cheapest fossil fuel plants when accounting for fuel cost. As a result, last year a whopping 87 percent of energy generation investment in emerging economies and China went to clean energy projects.

China has been instrumental in bringing clean energy to emerging economies around the globe. Through their ambitious Belt and Road international infrastructure project and well-established trade relationships, China has established itself as the central player of the global clean energy market. “Since 2018, Kenya, Yemen, Sri Lanka, and Tanzania have imported an amount of Chinese solar equal to roughly half the capacity of their entire power grid,” reads a recent report from Yale Environment 360. Recent United States policy has only served to solidify those trade relationships and incentivise closer ties between China and many emerging economies who have been targeted by steep tariffs. 

However, developing nations still need a leg up in terms of climate financing if global targets are to be met. A coalition of rich and poor governments around the globe has prepared an open letter for this week’s U.N. General Assembly in New York this week urging global leaders to act swiftly in what is to be a "decisive decade" for the climate. 

"Stark disparities in access to energy and investment remain," the statement warns. “Much more needs to be done to ensure the transition not only advances globally but also benefits the people and economies that need it most." Africa, which has some of the greatest clean energy production potential in the world, has received only a fraction of global climate financing, despite the fact that its people are already suffering the impacts of climate change brought on by emissions from the Global North.

While the clean energy transition makes good economic sense, and has reached “escape velocity” in some contexts, scientists say that it needs to be significantly hastened to avoid the worst impacts of global warming. While clean energy projects are ramping up internationally, so too are fossil fuel developments

By Haley Zaremba for Oilprice.com