Saturday, March 28, 2020




Pastor dies from COVID-19 — after claiming coronavirus was a ‘mark of the beast’ conspiracy

GUESS WHERE HE ENDED UP
March 27, 2020 By Matthew Chapman


According to The Christian Post, Pastor Ronnie Hampton of the New Vision Community Church in Shreveport, Louisiana, has died of COVID-19 — after telling his followers that the virus was not a huge deal and suggesting that God was just testing the faithful.

“This virus that is out now, look at what it’s doing,” he said in a Facebook Live broadcast one week before his death on Wednesday. “It’s shutting down everything, which means that the physical connection of Christians is being ripped apart. We’re not able to fellowship. We’re not able to love each other. We’re not able to greet each other with a handshake or a hug. We’re not able to be in close proximity of each other. We’re not able to break bread, sit down and eat with each other because Caesar is mandating how we conduct ourselves using the pretext of this virus to be able to conduct our lives and run our lives for us.”

Hampton went on to offer conspiracy theories about coronavirus, suggesting that it was an excuse for the government to create a police state and implant microchips in the population.

“Now, here’s a theory,” said Hampton. “It was brought to my attention that this virus thing, people die from the flu more than they’ve died from this virus. In my opinion, death is death. I don’t care what it’s by. But I listened and they say well, it’s something that’s come up. And now everything is being shut down, borders are being closed, and they’re gonna come up with a vaccine because they are keeping everybody away from each other just so that they can install martial law.”

“They’re gonna come up with a vaccine and in that vaccine everybody is gonna have to take it … and inside of that vaccine there’s going to be some type of electronic computer device that’s gonna put some type of chip in you and maybe even have some mood, mind-altering circumstances,” Hampton continued. “And they’re saying that the chip would be the mark of the beast.”

“I haven’t tested positive for the coronavirus and if I do test positive, we do what we gotta do to take care of it,” he said. “I want you to know that the Lord said not to let your heart be troubled. So I’m not trying to worry about this. I’m just gonna continue to be prayerful, be faithful, this may be His way of sitting me down so I can get a little rest.”
VOLUNTARISM VS COMMAND

Trump’s promise that big box retailers would set up coronavirus testing sites blows up in his face

MARKET ECONOMY VS STATE CAPITALISM

March 27, 2020 By Matthew Chapman

Earlier in the month, President Donald Trump vowed that there would soon be a vast network of COVID-19 testing sites set up in the parking lots of big box retailers around the country where people could be tested “very safely, quickly and conveniently” — and the executives of Walmart, Target, CVS, and Walgreens said they would be working to make it happen.

But according to the Washington Post, Trump’s vision has simply not happened. In fact, between these stores, there are only as many of these facilities as you could count on one hand.

“While the four retailers have a combined 26,400 U.S. stores, this vision of a proliferation of coronavirus testing sites has yet to materialize,” reported Elizabeth Dwoskin, Abha Bhattarai, Juliet Eilperin, and Ashley Parker. “Walgreens and CVS have opened one site each, while Walmart last weekend opened two drive-through testing locations near Chicago. Target hasn’t opened any. Rite Aid, which joined the effort later, has opened one drive-through facility in Philadelphia.”

The report continued: “Like much of the nation’s coronavirus response, the burden of organizing and operating these testing sites has fallen to state and local governments. On occasion, they’ve enlisted the help of private industry. But an array of logistical challenges, ranging from a shortage of testing supplies to funding, has meant only a small fraction of Americans can get diagnosed for covid-19 in a way that is routine in South Korea and elsewhere.”

A White House official told the Post that the lack of test kits in the nation overall, combined with the logistics of trying to avoid creating long lines at the facilities, forced the administration to scale back their plans.

You can read more here.
ON THE LAM
'Faster than it looks' cow captured after two months in Florida

SURVIVED EVERGLADES, PYTHONS, GATORS AND COPS March 19 (UPI) -- Police in Florida said a loose cow that has eluded capture since January was finally captured by officers who lured the bovine into an enclosed area.

🐮 UPDATE 🐮
Last night our west-side midnight shift officers located the rogue cow, and were able to direct it into an enclosed area located in Davie. The property owner is aware of the cow, and agreed to have it stay within the fenced area until it can be safely removed this morning.
We wish the cow well on its future adventures.

The Pembroke Pines Police Department said the cow was spotted in the area of Sheridan Street and Interstate 75, causing officers to respond and guide the animal toward an enclosed field in Davie.

The property owner agreed to allow the cow to stay until it could be safely moved.

"We wish the cow well on its future adventures," the department said.

The police department said last week that the cow had been wandering the area since January, and repeated failed capture attempts revealed the animal is "faster than it looks" and is a "talented fence jumper."

SPIRIT ANIMAL TALES

'Sea calf' born to cow washed out to sea by Hurricane Dorian


A cow that was rescued after being carried four miles from shore by Hurricane Dorian gave birth to a "sea calf" with mismatched eyes just a few months later. Photo courtesy of Ranch Solutions LLC

March 20 (UPI) -- A cow that was washed four miles out to sea by Hurricane Dorian gave birth to an all-white calf with mismatched eyes in North Carolina.

Ranch Solutions, the company hired to rescue wild cattle that were swept out to sea from Cedar Island by Hurricane Dorian in September 2019, said one of the three rescued cows that managed to swim ashore four miles away at Cape Lookout National Seashore gave birth to a calf just a few months later.

The company it was difficult to get photos of the "sea calf" for some time because it would flee with its mother at the sight of humans.

The calf has white hair and mismatched eyes - one brown and one blue



Albino deer caught on camera in Tennessee field


March 17 (UPI) -- A woman who spotted an unusual animal in a Tennessee field captured video of an albino deer.

Natalie Simmons said she and friend Ashley Summerford initially thought there was a goat with a group of deer in the field off Concord Road in Brentwood.

Simmons said it wasn't until they stopped to take video of the animals that she realized the white creature was an albino deer.

Albinism, a genetic disorder that causes an animal's body to be free of pigment, is believed to occur about once in every 20,000 deer births.

Albino deer are a protected by a 2001 Tennessee state law that banned hunters from shooting the animals.



Snake gives birth to two-headed baby in reptile catcher's car


A tiger snake captured by an Australian snake catcher gave birth after being loaded into his car and one of the babies was found to have two heads. Photo by Direct Vet Services/Facebook

March 20 (UPI) -- An Australian snake catcher called out to relocate a female tiger snake from a resident's yard said the serpent gave birth in his car -- and one of the babies had two heads.

Steward Gatt, aka Stewy the Snake Catcher, said he was called out this week to relocate a female tiger snake from a resident's yard in Ardeer, Victoria.

Gatt said he captured the snake in a bag and loaded it into his car, but when he opened the bag a little while later he discovered the reptile had given birth to several babies, including one with two heads.

The catcher took the snakes to Direct Vet Services in Point Cook.

"As cool as it was these animals are not generally viable so it was euthanized on humane grounds," the clinic said in a Facebook post.

The rest of the babies were found to be healthy and were released back into the wild alongside their mother.
Fox Business and Trish Regan have ‘parted ways’

The anchor recently called COVID-19 news coverage a ‘scam’ to ’impeach the president’ in a controversial segment


Trish Regan has been let go by Fox Business. Getty Images

 March 27, 2020 By Nicole Lyn Pesce

Trish Regan is out.

Fox Business announced on Friday that it has “parted ways” with the “Trish Regan Primetime” host. This comes just weeks after she stirred up controversy with a March 9 segment in which she accused Democrats and the “liberal media” of using the coronavirus to “destroy the president.”


“Fox Business has parted ways with Trish Regan — we thank her for her contributions to the network over the years and wish her continued success in her future endeavors,” the network said in a statement, as reported by Variety. (The network’s parent company Fox Corp. FOXA, -9.85% shares common ownership with News Corp NWSA, -6.87%, the parent of MarketWatch publisher Dow Jones.) “We will continue our reduced live primetime schedule for the foreseeable future in an effort to allocate staff resources to continuous breaking news coverage on the Coronavirus crisis,” the statement added.

Regan, in a prepared statement, said, “I have enjoyed my time at Fox and now intend to focus on my family during these troubled times. I am grateful to my incredible team at Fox Business and for the many opportunities the network has provided me. I’m looking forward to this next chapter in my career.”

Her show went on hiatus last week, which the network said was in response to shifting resources to meet “the demands of the evolving pandemic crisis coverage.”

Read more:Trish Regan’s show on Fox Business put on hiatus following controversial coronavirus remarks

But Regan had infuriated many viewers just the week before with a segment that featured a graphic reading “Coronavirus Impeachment Scam” on the screen, where she went as far as to say that Democrats were blaming Trump for the virus.

“We’ve reached a tipping point,” she said at the time. “The chorus of hate being leveled at the president is nearing a crescendo as Democrats blame him and only him for a virus that originated halfway around the world. This is yet another attempt to impeach the president.”

There are now 585,040 diagnosed cases of COVID-19 globally, and at least 26,819 people have died from the viral disease. About 129,000 people have recovered.


---30---

Trump defends Fox personality who was fired for ridiculous coronavirus conspiracy theory

March 27, 2020 By Bob Brigham


President Donald Trump took time out from responding to the COVID-19 public health and economic crises to defend a fired Fox Business personality.

On Friday, The Daily Beast published a story titled, “Fox Business Fires Trish Regan After Coronavirus ‘Impeachment Scam’ Rant.”

“Fox Business Network announced on Friday that it has officially “parted ways” with anchor Trish Regan following her controversial rant against what she called the ‘coronavirus impeachment scam’ earlier this month,” The Beast reported.

“We’ve reached a tipping point. The chorus of hate being leveled at the president is nearing a crescendo as Democrats blame him and only him for a virus that originated halfway around the world. This is yet another attempt to impeach the president,” Regan argued on March 9th.

Trump, however, had no problem with Regan’s conspiracy theory, retweeting two people on Twitter who defended the ousted Fox personality, including one pointing out that Regan’s antics were not unlike what Sean Hannity does on a regular basis.

Can't say enough wonderful things about @trish_regan – one of the few conservatives in cable television. She's a great patriot and great friend.
— toddstarnes (@toddstarnes) March 27, 2020

How is that any different than what Hannity has said?
Neither said anything wrong. They did not call Coronavirus a Hoax or Scam, they were referring to the Democrats’ politicization and weaponization of his response to the outbreak.
pic.twitter.com/UcL69cnBgC
— ALX (@alx) March 28, 2020
California’s construction loophole shows confusion of ‘stay-at-home’ regulations
Decisions on who can work and who can’t sometimes seem arbitrary
JEFF HAYNES/AFP/Getty Images
 March 27, 2020 By Matt Smith

The San Francisco construction contractor with the slate of multimillion-dollar remodeling jobs is maneuvering through the oddest weeks of his career. In early March when the first COVID-19 cases hit California he said he’d pay workers to stay home if they showed flu symptoms. When six San Francisco Bay Area counties issued stay-at-home orders March 16 he told workers to lock up their job sites indefinitely. But after California ordered people to stay home March 19, the contractor learned his 30 crew-members were key to “essential infrastructure,” and thus permitted to work.


Perhaps the most surreal moment came when he had to tell this reporter to keep his name out of a story -- despite the potential publicity for his company’s high-end services -- because he fears a backlash from people who might wonder why his crews were returning to $2 million to $8 million home remodeling jobs, while armies of other workers were staying at home often without pay.

“What we’re doing is slowly restarting our jobs, and being careful because people in the neighborhood might freak out,” he said. “There’s a lot of talk about how people aren’t taking the mandatory quarantine seriously, or not being disciplined about it, and they’re going to see housing construction projects that are operating, and maybe react badly.”

California, viewed as taking a cautious approach to the COVID-19 outbreak, created a loophole that’s being interpreted as allowing construction workers to toil in and around people’s homes on designer kitchens, bathrooms, decks, and laundry rooms -- as long as the project had been initiated before the order. A similar carve-out has been introduced in states such as New York, where Gov. Andrew Cuomo’s stay-at-home order makes an exception for “construction firms and professionals for essential infrastructure.” There are loopholes for construction work in locations around the world too -- in the U.K., the government has allowed construction to continue, so long as workers stay about 6 feet apart.


Not everyone approves of these policies -- critics say some construction projects aren’t essential during the crisis. The “essential” designation is “endangering the lives of construction workers and their families,” Brooklyn city councilman Carlos Menchaca wrote in a March 26 op-ed.

The ongoing operation of residential construction sites echoes the ad hoc nature of regulations that govern who can go to work and who can’t in many parts of the world. The controversial orders in California, New York and elsewhere suggest that even the best practices established in the west to battle the coronavirus epidemic have been strongly shaped by political and economic considerations. Municipalities and states around America have developed differing ideas of what constitutes work “essential.” Anchorage and Denver, for example, anointed marijuana sales. California’s list of essential workers also include farmworkers, firefighters and mechanics. And what critics decry as a gap between the rationale and the reality of cities’ treatment of construction workers provides another example of the world’s unsure efforts to contain the disease.


“There are a million problems responding to epidemics: You have people who are dying. There’s misinformation floating around. And there are people who want to push the envelope. And I think this is pushing the envelope,” said George Rutherford, a professor of epidemiology at the University of California San Francisco. “If you have an 80 year-old and the heater is broken, that’s essential. If toilets are backing up, that’s a legitimate job. Finishing carpentry work is not an essential job, in my view.”

Lack of adequate housing is indeed a health care problem in states such as California. Visitors to the state come away shocked at the tens of thousands of homeless people camped unhealthfully on city streets. Additionally, health care companies, teaching hospitals, and local health agencies are among employers struggling to recruit staff because of scarce and expensive housing.

But infrastructure projects and apartment buildings typically take years to complete, rather than the months Californians are projected to shelter in their homes. And anti-development political forces that block housing construction in San Francisco also mean newly-minted tech millionaires spend their fortunes on state-of-the-art remodeling jobs rather than new homes. An analysis of city data shows that during the past two years San Francisco has issued 3,389 permits for remodeling work that have not been completed, canceled or withdrawn. Builders are being told these are the kinds of jobs they’re allowed to return to and complete. And according to Jay Cheng, public policy director of the San Francisco Chamber of Commerce, construction job sites and critical shops such as grocery stores are the rare businesses with workers not at home.

“The construction industry is critical in San Francisco. With a tight labor market and huge construction demand it’s an important driver of our economy. And it’s seen as an essential industry in Shelter in Place,” he said. “We’re seeing those remodeling jobs continuing during Shelter In Place. I’m staring out the window at one that’s happening right now.”


The mayor’s office did not respond to multiple requests for comment, nor did officials with the offices of California’s governor or its health care agencies.

However, a source familiar with San Francisco’s coronavirus response who wasn’t authorized to speak on the record said that when Mayor London Breed received a draft of the proposed March 16 six-county stay-at-home order, she responded that it should characterize housing construction as “essential” to ensure peoples’ homes were habitable. The final draft allowed for the continuation of residential construction, as did the subsequent order by Gov. Gavin Newsom, who is a former San Francisco mayor.

Sean Keighran, president of San Francisco’s Residential Builders Association, a local lobbying group, said he’s pleased Breed pushed for construction to proceed.

“I suspect it has to do with the large impact construction has on the economy, and California and San Francisco have a severe shortage of housing,” he said.

“You can’t shelter in place with no shelter,” Dan Dunmoyer, president of the California Building Industry Association, told Architectural Digest.

The statewide decision-making coincided with assertive input from the construction industry, said Peter Tateishi, CEO of the Associated General Contractors of California.

“I can’t say we were the reason he did this. But we made sure we were in communication with his administration, talking to his folks, and making sure we could report and respond as critical infrastructure needs were met,” said Tateishi, whose group has convened meetings with other construction trade associations to press for California state and county governments to facilitate construction work during the crisis.

Tateishi’s group has also pressed county governments around California to deploy inspectors and other support staff. And San Francisco sent letters to building inspection staff saying they had deemed essential personnel, and that they were to report to work.

This angered two building inspection employees who spoke on condition they not be named because they weren’t authorized to speak with the press. They said many of the sites up for inspection were home remodeling jobs not vital for preventing contagion..

A spokesman for the local office of the International Federation of Professional and Technical Engineers said the union had stepped in to press officials to allow more inspection staff to work from home.

The mayor’s political opponents meanwhile questioned whether the push to keep construction going might have been an economic, rather than a health care decision.

“Our construction workers shouldn’t be treated differently than the rest of our people during this public health crisis,” said Aaron Peskin, a member of the San Francisco Board of Supervisors. “They’re not cannon fodder.”

Oz Erickson, chairman of the San Francisco real-estate development firm Emerald Fund, said that economic reckoning for California’s construction industry will come gradually, as in-progress projects are completed without new ones down the line. Emerald fund just finished a 1,000 unit apartment building near downtown San Francisco, with two large projects in the pipeline at least for now. His plan for Emerald Fund in the immediate future is to hunker down and focus on the 1,600 apartments it manages in the Bay Area.

“I have heard from other developers that they are holding off on starting projects and not pursuing financing. With $3 trillion in equity lost from the U.S. economy I don’t think anybody is going to be willing to start new construction now,” he said. “I can’t imagine condo sales right now.”

Even among building trades people the “essential worker” status wasn’t universally a godsend.

Mairtin O’Tuairisg, the rare builder who would speak on the record, didn’t have to worry about a backlash. He’d just finished a week earlier a $600,000 job remodeling a relatively modest house in southwest San Francisco with nothing left in the queue. He had been scheduled before the crisis to give estimates for three other jobs, but homeowners aren’t taking meetings and he expects business to be dry for some time.

“There’s a whole world out there sitting in the same situation,” O’Tuairisg said. “My family is from Ireland. They’re on lockdown. I know people from Spain. They’re on lockdown. The rest of the world are having the same conversations as we are.”

Joe Blanco, a contracting specialist working on several San Francisco Bay Area projects, says builders have been saddled with the job of convincing a skeptical public their work is truly essential.

One contractor Blanco works with in a suburb east of San Francisco has printed wallet cards stating employees’ work is “essential” under the governor’s order. A crew member recently displayed his card to a police officer who pulled him over for sitting too close to his coworker-passengers.

“The cop said, ‘How long did it take you to print this thing?’” Blanco recalled.
Opinion: How the coronavirus pandemic could change the way businesses treat workers and customers
March 27, 2020 By Ann Skeet
10 ways companies can be more attentive and responsive to people’s needs


The coronavirus pandemic is changing the world as we know it. Make no mistake about it, as sure as this is a health crisis, it is also a crisis of ethics. Here are some of the proactive decisions many of the best business leaders are making now that ideally will continue to guide them after the coronavirus crisis subsides:

1. Maslow matters: Psychologist Abraham Maslow’s hierarchy of needs is as helpful in business as it is in understanding human security, as I observed following the Wells Fargo false-account sales scandal.

Put simply, to contribute productively, people need their basic needs met. Businesses are not often asked to directly ensure the physical safety, food, and shelter needs of their employees. But they do in times of natural disasters and pandemics. Employers are acknowledging the uncertainty we all face now, while and trying to ease the daily lives of employees. I suspect these changes will be remembered fondly in the workforce. The relationship between employee and employer has eroded, but it has never been more critical to business success.

2. Accurate information is power: Journalists, educators, and legislators have been pushing for higher accuracy standards. Debate has raged about whether to rein in social media platforms, and companies are being asked to validate the information sources on their platforms. Important bellwethers in this space are occurring on websites ranging from Apple AAPL, -4.14% to Pinterest PINS, -1.71% .

Apple is “evaluating apps critically to ensure data sources are reputable and that developers presenting these apps are from recognized entities such as government organizations, health-focused NGOs, companies deeply credentialed in health issues, and medical or educational institutions” — all in the name of being a “credible news source” in the midst of the outbreak. Pinterest has indicated it will direct users only to valid health care sites. When we are not in a global crisis, validity and credibility should still be standards.

Read: Boeing’s 737 MAX problem is a symptom of another widespread illness plaguing Wall Street

3. Special services for special customers: Customer loyalty programs treat some customers as more equal than others. In this pandemic, businesses are finding other ways to add value. Many grocers, for example, have instituted early shopping hours for senior citizens, who are considered most vulnerable to COVID-19. Perhaps stores could find ways to serve seniors with special care after this virus fades.

4. Healthcare for all: Companies across the U.S. are re-evaluating health-care policies to protect hourly workers. What if they did so without a crisis? Companies with health benefits for all employees are better positioned to respond in times of great need. They also can focus on their customers more fully and retain employees more easily. This will still be true when we return to typical routines.

5. Provide emotional support for challenging jobs: Facebook FB, -4.01% is asking its content moderators to come into the office, even though many other employees are working from home. Facebook recognizes the unique toll this job takes on employees and wants to provide support for them in the workplace. The company may also be exposed to other liabilities if such work is done from home. Are there other places employees would benefit from such support? A new generation of U.S. workers expects mental health support at work.

6. Respect for educators: A well-trained, resilient workforce is something all businesses need. It has been heartening to see the tweets from parents, struggling to home-school children, now extolling the value of great teachers. Let’s not forget that when children return to school.


7. Avoid information overload: People want quality, useful information. That was true even before the coronavirus outbreak and it will be true when it is over. As a colleague harrumphed the other day, “Why should I care what Brooks Brothers is doing about COVID-19?” He’s not exactly in a frame of mind to go clothes shopping. Not every business needs to be communicating with customers now, and some are actually eroding their relationships with them by needlessly choking the flow of legitimate, potentially life-saving information.

8. Tolerance for flexible work schedules: It’s good that we’re all learning how to share our desktops on Zoom ZM, +7.47% now that it’s a business imperative. But it’s even better that we are laughing when the dog barks or our child interrupts because many of us are in this shelter-in-place pickle together. Wouldn’t it be great if this empathy lasted longer than a virus incubation period?

Read: Why you may still be working from home after the coronavirus crisis is over

9. Intolerance for violations of trust: Customers are paying attention to the small type in websites’ privacy and use policies now that their home is their office. Even before COVID-19, trust in leadership was at an all-time low, and it’s even lower now. Sure, Zoom offers flexibility, but it also uses surveillance features and acknowledges it might sell your personal data.

10. Planning ahead: Emergency preparedness is not sexy and, even done exceptionally well, gets no one promoted. But anyone in an executive or leadership role of any kind is obligated to make sure this gets done.

Employees and customers now want more of what they have always wanted from businesses: Dignity and respect — to be seen as something other than a means to an end; to be treated justly, bearing a fair share of risks and harms in the marketplace, equal or greater to the benefits they receive.

None of this is new. But the responsiveness of many companies to these desires is. Had these measures been in place already, as a normal course of improving businesses, shareholders certainly would be in a better position. Let this crisis be a lesson: What’s good for people is good for business.

Ann Skeet is senior director of leadership ethics at the Markkula Center for Applied Ethics at Santa Clara (Calif.) University. Views are her own.

Study suggests larger families have more conservative views

family
Credit: CC0 Public Domain
A pair of researchers, one with the University of California, the other Stanford University, has found that larger families tend to have more conservative views on social issues. In their paper published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Tom Vogl and Jeremy Freese describe their analyses of data from the General Social Survey and what it revealed about a correlation between family size and conservative views.
Prior studies have shown that the population of the United States is slowly becoming more liberal, despite results of recent elections. Prior work has also shown that there are pockets of conservatism that retain their values over multiple generations. In this new effort, the researchers took a closer look at the possibility of a correlation between large  size and  on two hotly debated social issues—abortion and same-sex . Their work involved analyzing data gathered as part of the General Social Survey (GSS.)
The GSS is an ongoing sociological survey first begun in 1972 by the National Opinion Research Center at the University of Chicago. A team there continually collects and stores data from interviews with people across the U.S. regarding their opinions on . Vogl and Freese pulled information from the database that showed both family size and family values.
Prior research has shown that people are strongly influenced by other family members, particularly parents. What Vogl and Freese found was that  can also strongly influence political and social views. More specifically, they found that people who were members of large families were more likely to hold conservative views regarding abortion and same-sex marriage. And they suggest that there is a correlation between the two—that membership in a large family can actually cause people to hold more conservative views.
They further suggest that people with more children or more siblings reflect a pattern of  tending to be more religious and less educated. And they contend that such families account for more opposition to same-sex marriage and abortions than there would be otherwise—by 3 to 4 percentage points, accounting for nearly 8 million of the U.S."s 54.8 million opponents to same-sex marriage.
Majority in national survey against separating immigrant families at US/Mexico Border
Germany and the Netherlands seem to fight off the virus better than most — here’s why

March 27, 2020 By Rupert Steiner

An elderly couple wearing protective masks said they did not mind being photographed as they walk past the Reichstag in Berlin on Wednesday. Getty Images


The Netherlands and Germany both showed glimmers of hope in the battle to combat the coronavirus on Wednesday, while the number of cases in New York rose rapidly.

Data from Germany show just 0.4% of people who tested positive for the virus have died from it, much less than the 9.5% in Italy and 4.3% in France. In the Netherlands growth in transmissions of the virus have slowed significantly.


Giving evidence in front of the Dutch Parliament, Jaap van Dissel, head of the Netherlands National Institute of Health, said: “The exponential growth of the outbreak has in all probability been brought to a halt,” with the infection only being passed on at a rate of one infected person to one other person.

If proven, this would be a significant achievement. In some countries, the average spread from one infected person has been to as many as five or more people. In the U.S., the state of New York had 5,146 new cases confirmed on Wednesday, and more than 30,000 have tested positive.


Read:Letter from locked-down Italy: the Cuban, Russian and Chinese efforts to assist Lombardy

Germany, as of late Thursday, has had 43,646 cases of COVID-19 diagnosed, and 262 people have died, while 5,673 have recovered, according to data compiled by the Whiting School of Engineering’s Centers for Systems Science and Engineering at Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore. There have been 7,459 confirmed Dutch cases and 435 deaths with six recoveries recorded.


Germany’s population is estimated at 84 million, and Holland’s at 17.1 million.

The low death rate in Germany has confounded experts, and it could be due to several causes. The possible explanation is that doctors aggressively screened citizens who were either fit or early on in the sickness at the time they took the test, at a rate not seen in other countries, which only had the resources to test the very sick. This has skewed the comparison with other countries, because those who were fit when tested and had caught the virus were more likely to suffer from a mild case and survive.

Germany also was more effective than most countries at tracking and tracing the contacts of infected patients before the spread took hold, effectively containing it better than other countries.

Read:Nearly two weeks into its lockdown, Spain longs for the coronavirus to loosen its deadly grip

Another, more random, theory is that the first Germans to contract the virus caught it mixing with other nationalities while skiing, which suggested that they were fit and active, and perhaps less likely to succumb to the disease.

Friday, March 27, 2020

‘The attack rate is relatively high as there’s no immunity to it.’ Why coronavirus was never going to be just another flu

 By Quentin Fottrell 3/27/2020

President Trump suspended all travel to the U.S. from Europe and declared a national emergency over COVID-19’s rapid spread

Some cite influenza as a reason not to be worried about COVID-19, the disease caused by the novel coronavirus, but health professionals say that comparison misses some very important points. MarketWatch photo illustration/iStockphoto

Panicking about a global pandemic won’t help, experts say, but neither will denying the reality that novel coronavirus is a totally different disease from influenza, as could be its potential impact if the disease is allowed to spread.

Hundreds of thousands of people die from the flu every year, a fact some people have pointed out in an effort to quell anxiety about the coronavirus. So why are people social distancing for coronavirus if they don’t do it for the flu?

Conventional wisdom in the U.S. now holds that everyone should wash their hands for 20 seconds, elbow bump rather than shake hands, stop buying face masks so there are enough for health-care workers, note that airplane air is filtered 20 to 30 times an hour, and avoid cruise ships.

Long lines with people standing six feet apart stretch through Trader Joe’s and Whole Foods AMZN, -2.83%, where people apparently have been stocking up on oat milk, while Costco COST, -2.72% sees panic-buying and empty shelves. Millions of Americans are staying home.

“Toilet paper is golden in an apocalypse,” one customer told MYNorthwest.com.

It may seem like a lifetime ago, given current declarations of “bearmageddon” and the fact that airlines face their biggest financial crisis in a generation, but Trump wrote on Twitter TWTR, -4.24% on March 9 that “Last year 37,000 Americans died” from the flu. “Nothing is shut down, life & the economy go on,” he added.

‘This is additive, not in place of. Yes, the flu kills thousands of people every year, but we’re going to have more deaths.’— Amesh Adalja, Infectious Diseases Society of America

As this dramatic change of heart illustrates, we still have a lot to learn about the novel coronavirus — and that alone, experts say, should be enough to motivate communities to work together to slow its progress. Studies suggest the differences between the flu and coronavirus are far starker than some people suggest.

In fact, health professionals point out important distinctions between COVID-19, the disease caused by the virus SARS-CoV-2, and other viruses. They don’t advise mass hysteria, obviously, but they also don’t believe that doing nothing and/or going about business as usual is a smart move.

Governments around the world are struggling to stop the spread of the pandemic. (An epidemic is a disease that infects regions or a community.) The “Spanish flu” from 1918 to 1919 and Black Death from 1347 to 1351 were two of the most extreme pandemics ever recorded.

Coronavirus had infected at least 101,657 people in the U.S. as of Friday evening and killed at least 1,581 people, according to Johns Hopkins University’s Center for Systems Science and Engineering. The U.S. accounts for 17% of the global total, while New York State accounts for roughly 50% of the U.S. total.

Worldwide, there were 593,291 confirmed cases of the virus and 27,198 reported deaths.

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So what are the differences between the new coronavirus and the flu? For starters, there is no vaccine for COVID-19, and one will likely take at least a year to develop and to get one to market. And, unlike with influenza viruses for which there are several vaccines, humans have not built up an immunity over multiple generations. What’s worse, doctors fear the virus will mutate.

Of course, there are similarities between influenza and COVID-19. Both viruses are untreatable with antibiotics, and they have almost identical symptoms — fever, coughing, night sweats, aching bones, tiredness and, in more severe cases of both viruses, nausea and even diarrhea in the most severe cases. They can both be spread through respiratory droplets from coughing and sneezing.

But doctors say their differences are just as varied. “It’s a little simple to think the novel coronavirus is just like flu,” Amesh Adalja, a senior scholar at the John Hopkins Center for Health Security and a spokesman for the Infectious Diseases Society of America, told MarketWatch.

“We don’t want another flu,” he said. “This is additive, not in place of. Yes, the flu kills thousands of people every year, but we’re going to have more deaths.”

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There are reported to be some 1 billion influenza infections worldwide each year, with up to 45 million cases in the U.S. per year, tens of thousands of U.S. deaths, and 291,000 to 646,000 deaths worldwide.

The seasonal flu has a fatality rate of less than 1%. Anthony Fauci, the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, estimates that the flu fatality rate is closer to 0.1%. But even accounting for the mild, yet undiagnosed cases of COVID-19, he said it would still make it “roughly 10 times more lethal than the seasonal flu.”

Another reason not to compare the two viruses: Influenza has likely been around for more than 2,000 years. “The flu has been with us since the birth of modern medicine,” said Adalja. Scientists say the “novel influenza A viruses” in humans lead to a pandemic approximately once every 40 years. But, again, flu vaccines exist.


Flu has likely been around for 2,000 years. This coronavirus is three months old and, as yet, there is no vaccine.

Hippocrates of Kos, the Greek physician who was born around 460 B.C., mentioned what we now know as the modern influenza virus in his writings, some historians say. He called it the “Fever of Perinthus.” Others wonder whether this was flu, another illness, or a combination of illnesses.

“In 1173 and 1500, two other influenza outbreaks were described, though in scant detail. The name ‘influenza’ originated in the 15th century in Italy, from an epidemic attributed to the ‘influence of the stars,’” which, according to historical documents, “raged across Europe and perhaps in Asia and Africa,” a 2016 paper in the Journal of Preventive Medicine and Hygiene reported.

“Scholars and historians debate whether influenza was already present in the New World or whether it was carried by contaminated pigs transported on ships,” it added. “Some Aztec texts speak of a ’pestilential catarrh’ outbreak in 1450-1456 in an area now corresponding to Mexico, but these manuscripts are difficult to interpret correctly and this hypothesis seems controversial.”

What has all this got to do with COVID-19? There is an advantage to coming down with a virus that has been around for hundreds of years, if not a couple of thousand. Humans, ideally, will have built up more natural defenses to fight it.

Complicating matters: Influenza and COVID-19 come from different virus families, and COVID-19 is brand new. “There are four other strains of the coronavirus, but the attack rate of this virus is relatively high as there is no immunity to it,” Adalja said.

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To put that in perspective: In 2017 to 2018, the worst flu season on record in the U.S. outside of a pandemic, approximately 80,000 Americans died. The four other coronavirus strains that already exist are responsible for around 25% of our common colds, Adalja added.

“But it doesn’t seem like there is cross-immunity with this coronavirus as there are with the other coronaviruses,” he added. In other words, the natural defense systems in our body that help us ward off flu are unlikely to apply here.

Luis Ostrosky, a member of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, said humans have a “herd immunity” to flu. “When there are enough people in the community who are immune, it protects people who are not immune,” he said. That is the case with flu, but not with COVID-19. Ostrosky said this is especially critical when there are no vaccines or therapeutic treatments for a virus.

“Both can be spread from person to person through droplets in the air from an infected person coughing, sneezing or talking,” wrote Lisa Maragakis, the senior director of infection prevention at Johns Hopkins Medicine in Baltimore. Based on the estimated distance that viruses travel, scientists recommend people stay at least six feet away from one another in enclosed public spaces.

In the meantime, the virus continues to spread, likely helped by younger, healthier people who have mild symptoms or who are asymptomatic passing it onto those in the higher-risk categories. Unlike coronavirus, according to the CDC, “Children younger than five years old — especially those younger than two — are at high risk of developing serious flu-related complications. Governments around the world are racing to stem the spread of COVID-19.”


Neither the flu nor COVID-19 viruses is treatable with antibiotics, and the two illnesses have roughly identical symptoms. MarketWatch photo illustration/iStockphoto

Estimates of coronavirus fatality rates vary, depending on the sample size, country, and source. The upshot is until testing is more widely available, it’s hard to know for sure. So what percentage of patients who test positive could die? The answer is, to say the lest, foggy. One thing most estimates agree on: it’s far higher than the flu. Estimates vary from 1% to 2%; some even higher.

COVID-19 rates may fall closer to those of the flu, assuming many more people are infected. JAMA released a paper earlier this month analyzing data from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention on 72,314 COVID-19 cases in mainland China last month, the largest such sample of this kind. The sample’s overall case-fatality rate was 2.3%, in line with the earlier estimates.

A study published by Nature earlier this month said the fatality rate was up to 1.4%, using a sample size of 48,557 as of Feb. 19, but the authors cautioned: “The precise fatality-risk estimates may not be generalizable to those outside the original epicenter, especially during subsequent phases of the epidemic.”


‘As coronavirus spreads it threatens to put a much greater burden on health systems than flu does.’— Antigone Barton, editor of ScienceSpeaks

The JAMA study said fatality rates also varied dramatically depending on the age of the individual. No deaths occurred in those 9 and younger, but cases in those aged 70 to 79 carried an 8% fatality rate, and those aged 80 years and older had a fatality rate of 14.8%. The fatality rate was 49% among critical cases, and elevated among those with pre-existing conditions to between 5.6% and 10.3%, depending on the condition.

Other differences between coronavirus and flu lie in what we don’t know. Adults with the flu, which has an average incubation period of two days, can infect others 24 hours before symptoms develop and five to seven days after becoming sick. The novel coronavirus has a median incubation period of 5.1 days, longer than those of other human coronaviruses (three days) that cause the common cold.

Coronavirus appears to be transmitted with ease to around 2.3 people by each person infected in the community, said Antigone Barton, the editor of ScienceSpeaks, a medical website. Drug companies and the medical community, she said, are scrambling to come up with a vaccine before more people die, and health services are overwhelmed with sick people showing up at their doors.

The potential demand for hospital beds, ventilators, masks and medications, and the pressure all of this would put on staff, worries her. “Because there’s no proven therapy or vaccine,” Barton said, “as coronavirus spreads, it threatens to put a much greater burden on health systems than flu does, and greater than most or many are prepared for.”

(This story was updated with new coronavirus data.)

How COVID-19 is transmitted