It’s possible that I shall make an ass of myself. But in that case one can always get out of it with a little dialectic. I have, of course, so worded my proposition as to be right either way (K.Marx, Letter to F.Engels on the Indian Mutiny)
Thursday, November 10, 2022
Sun, November 6, 2022
Alexandre Cerret will never forget the phone call he received three years ago, when what was supposed to be a regular evening turned into a nightmare.
He was living in central Paris at the time, waiting for his girlfriend to come home from a night out near the Eiffel Tower. She was late and he was worried.
When he finally received her call, she told him that she had been stopped by a stranger as she walked to her car, who then attacked and raped her.
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Unfortunately, Cerret says the police investigation was severely hampered by a lack of evidence, and the case did not go through as not enough proof was given.
"We didn't have security cameras in the street, we had no material evidence, this was a big issue when we reported it to the police," Cerret, now 23 years-old and living in Geneva, told the Post via a Zoom call.
As he helped his girlfriend through the healing process, he could not shake off the urge to do something to help those who want to protect their loved ones.
After three years of preparation, he and his team of five launched Carrat, a piece of wearable tech in the form of a stylish bracelet with a connected mobile app, which alerts emergency contacts once activated.
By pressing the face of the bracelet twice, an emergency phone call is made to the user's principal security contact. Additionally, a message with the user's GPS location is sent to five phone numbers.
It works anywhere in the world as long as there is a Bluetooth connection, according to Cerret.
Beyond the bracelet, the founder of Carrat wants to develop an educational programme that could be rolled out around the globe. Photo: Handout alt=Beyond the bracelet, the founder of Carrat wants to develop an educational programme that could be rolled out around the globe. Photo: Handout>
However, when it comes to consumer adoption, there is a separate challenge. The international wearables market is facing headwinds, and wristbands are an at-risk category, according to a report by market research firm International Data Corporation (IDC) in September.
The country with a population of 1.4 billion has quite a few missing pieces in safeguarding women, experts said.
"On an administrative level, we need a cross-function mechanism for stakeholders like the transport system, the medical system, public security bureaus and employers to work together," said Wang Xiaozhe, who spearheads diversity, equity and inclusion efforts at global tech consultancy ThoughtWorks' China office. "Culturally, there is a lack of empathy towards females, which may be derived from the lack of gender education and legal protection."
Wang believes Carrat's feasibility in China depends on whether it can find the right product scenario, noting that users can use their phone or an app instead of a bracelet.
Cerret is aware of the potential limitations and wants to sell more than just a bracelet. "The bracelet is really a short-term solution, this cannot save you [on its own]. This cannot mentally help you," he said. "Even after the bracelet is put to use, you still need to be supported [if you have been attacked]."
Beyond the product, he is aiming to develop an educational programme that could roll out around the globe and is currently in talks with undisclosed organisations in India, Pakistan and Hong Kong. He has started raising funds for the company, while planning to set up a separate foundation that manages the education programme.
In the meantime, he is continuing to support his girlfriend and help her to feel safe and go out in public again. She is not involved in the business and does not want to be named, he said.
"We want to [stop incidents from happening] at the prevention point, which comes with the bracelets, but also come with educating people," he said.
Copyright (c) 2022. South China Morning Post Publishers Ltd. All rights reserved.
A man making deliveries rides an electronic bike in New York, Dec. 21, 2017. A weekend fire that injured over three dozen people and forced firefighters to use ropes to pluck people from a 20th-story window is drawing attention to a rising concern in New York City: battery fires that can arise in the electric bikes and scooters that have proliferated here. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig, File)
JENNIFER PELTZ
Mon, November 7, 2022
NEW YORK (AP) — A weekend fire that injured over three dozen people — and forced firefighters to use ropes to pluck people from a 20th-story window — is drawing attention to a rising concern in New York City: battery fires that can arise in the electric bikes and scooters that have proliferated here.
City officials are considering new laws after the fire department counted nearly 200 blazes and six fire deaths this year tied to problems with lithium-ion batteries in such “micromobility” devices.
WHAT ARE THESE BATTERIES? ARE THEY THE SAME TECH USED IN PHONES AND CARS?
Lithium-ion batteries are a Nobel Prize-winning innovation that entered the market in the early 1990s. Hailed as rechargeable, lightweight, powerful, durable and safe, the batteries have been envisioned as a key to greening the world's energy supply by storing energy, including from the sun, wind and other renewable sources.
The technology has woven its way into many people's everyday lives, powering phones, laptop computers, vehicles and more.
WHY CAN THEY CATCH FIRE?
The batteries' electrolyte — a solution that lets electrical current flow — is flammable, explains Massachusetts Institute of Technology materials chemistry professor Dr. Donald Sadoway. The substance was chosen for its ability to handle the voltage involved, but fires can happen if the batteries are overcharged, overheated, defective or damaged, for instance.
Over the years, problems have periodically triggered fires involving laptops, cellphones, hoverboards, electric vehicles, airplanes and battery power storage installations. A U.N. aviation agency said in 2016 that lithium-ion batteries shouldn't be shipped on passenger planes.
Battery industry group leader James Greenberger notes that other energy sources aren't trouble-free, and he says there's nothing inherently unsafe about the batteries. But he said the industry is concerned about the fires lately in New York and worries that they could scare off consumers.
“This shouldn’t be happening and we need to figure out what’s going on,” said Greenberger, the executive director of NAATBatt — the North American trade association for advanced battery technology developers, manufacturers and users.
WHY ARE E-BIKES AND SCOOTERS GETTING SCRUTINY IN NEW YORK?
The city has seen “an exponential increase” in fires related to faulty lithium-ion batteries in recent years, Chief Fire Marshal Daniel Flynn said. He said there have been more deaths and injuries already this year than in the past three years combined.
“It’s a big issue," he said at a news conference Monday, describing fires that occur without warning, grow rapidly and are tough to extinguish.
The batteries "fail almost in an explosive way — it’s like a blowtorch,” he said.
Saturday's fire in a Manhattan apartment was sparked by a malfunctioning e-bike battery that residents were attempting to charge and left unattended while they fell asleep, he said. They were trapped when the battery, plugged in by the front door, caught fire, Flynn said.
Electric bikes and scooters have become popular, non-gasoline-burning ways to make deliveries, commute and zip around a city that has promoted cycling in recent decades. For the “deliveristas” who carry restaurant takeout orders, the bikes are crucial tools of the trade.
“What these workers have learned over the years, and they know it well, is that, like any equipment, it requires the maintenance required,” said Hildalyn Colón Hernández, a spokesperson for worker advocacy group Los Deliveristas Unidos. She said many workers have used their batteries for years without a hitch.
WHAT'S CAUSING THE PROBLEM?
There are different opinions. Greenberger, the industry group director, suggests there’s too little quality control on some of the largely imported batteries. Sadoway, the scientist, believes “we don’t have the appropriate protective measures” on e-bikes and scooters themselves to monitor the batteries for problems.
Colón Hernández, the delivery worker advocate, thinks there need to be tougher standards around the batteries, such as regulations for businesses that sell or service them.
WHAT IS NEW YORK CITY DOING ABOUT THIS?
The Fire Department has repeatedly issued warnings and safety tips over the past year. Fire Commissioner Laura Kavanagh asked the federal Consumer Product Safety Commission in August to consider new regulations. Mayor Eric Adams pointed again to the CPSC on Monday.
“The responsibility of navigating safe and unsafe batteries on the market should not fall to hard-working New Yorkers,” the mayor, a Democrat, said in a statement.
Some city lawmakers want to take their own steps.
A City Council committee has set a Nov. 14 hearing on various proposals. Some would require public education campaigns or safety reports. Another would prohibit the sale of some secondhand lithium-ion batteries, or e-bike or scooter batteries without certain seals of approval.
Meanwhile, fire officials continue to urge everyone not to leave batteries to charge unattended, to check that they're not damaged or near a heat source, and to make sure the batteries, chargers, cords and devices are all from the same manufacturer and used as instructed.
“We understand the benefits that these batteries pose to our communities, and we want to encourage use of them, but safe use,” Flynn said. “So understand that it does pose a danger, and just use them safely.”
Archbishop of Bordeaux, France, Cardinal Jean-Pierre Bernard Ricard blesses his titular church - Sant' Agostino - during a ceremony to officially take possession of his church, in Rome, Sunday, Oct. 8, 2006. Cardinal Jean-Pierre Ricard said on Monday Nov.7, 2022 that he had abused a 14-year-old girl thirty-five years ago and is withdrawing from his functions. The move comes after a report issued last year revealed a large number of child sex abuse cases within the country's Catholic Church.
Mon, November 7, 2022
PARIS (AP) — Cardinal Jean-Pierre Ricard, one of France's highest-ranking prelates of the Catholic Church, said Monday that he had abused a 14-year-old girl 35 years ago and is withdrawing from his religious duties.
The move comes after a report issued last year revealed a large number of child sex abuse cases within the French Catholic Church.
“Thirty-five years ago, when I was a priest, I behaved in a reprehensible way with a young girl aged 14,” Ricard said in a written statement.
“My behavior has inevitably caused serious and lasting consequences for this person,” he said.
Ricard, 78, used to be the archbishop of Bordeaux, in southwestern France, until he retired from that position in 2019 to serve in his home diocese of Dignes-les-Bains, in the south of the country. In the 1980s, he was a priest in the archdiocese of Marseille.
The announcement was made Monday at a news conference by the president of the French bishops’ conference, Archbishop Éric de Moulins-Beaufort.
Moulins-Beaufort said a total of 11 bishops and former bishops, including Ricard, have been targeted by accusations in relation with sex abuse in diverse cases investigated by French justice or church authorities.
Ricard said he had talked to the victim and asked her for forgiveness, without specifying when. He said he was also asking for forgiveness “to all those I hurt" through his statement. He did not elaborate on that.
At times when the French Catholic Church has just started to pay financial compensation to victims of child sexual abuse, Ricard said he decided “not to stay silent anymore about (his) situation” and that he was available for the country’s justice and for church authorities.
The broad study released last year by an independent commission estimated that some 330,000 children were sexually abused over 70 years by priests or other church-related figures in France.
The tally included an estimated 216,000 people abused by priests and other clerics, and the rest by church figures such as scout leaders and camp counselors. The estimates were based on broader research by France’s National Institute of Health and Medical Research into sexual abuse of children.
The report described a “systemic” coverup by church officials and urged the French Catholic Church to respect the rule of law in France.
TIFF DOING HIS SNL CHURCH LADY IMITATION
Despite growing calls for a recession, the Canadian jobs market remains tight, with last month’s jobs reports blowing away all expectations by adding over 100,000 jobs after three months of losses. The unemployment rate for October meanwhile held steady at 5.2% (the record low of 4.9% was reached earlier this year in June).
Mr. Macklem also pointed to record job vacancies as evidence of overheated labor markets, as businesses struggle to find workers amidst a labour shortage. Canadian job vacancies hit a record of over one million in Q2 this year.
Mr. Macklem went on to note that despite excessive demand in the economy, the Canadian labour market is beginning to see early signs of cooling, which he sees as a sign that the Bank of Canada’s rate hike spree is working.
The Bank of Canada has raised its benchmark overnight lending rate to 3.75%, from the emergency pandemic low of 0.25% in March. Last month, the BoC surprised market expectations with a relatively tame 50 bp move.
Related video: Canada sees unexpected job gains in October
Duration 0:50 View on Watch
“In recent months, we’ve seen initial signs that these exceptionally tight labour market conditions have started to ease”, the BoC governor said.
“Job vacancies have started to decline,” Macklem said. “Their softening has been evident in sectors that are more sensitive to interest rates, such as manufacturing and construction.”
He also noted that wage pressures “now look to be plateauing”.
However, Mr. Macklem foresees a further cooling in the Canadian labour market as the impact of rate hikes trickles through the economy. He also notes that a further easing in the labour market is a necessary condition to cool the overheated Canadian economy and consequently ease inflationary pressures.
“With more modest spending growth, the demand for labour by businesses will ease, vacancies will decline, and the labour market will come into better balance,” Macklem noted. “This will relieve price pressures.”
He does note however, that “This will be a difficult adjustment."
In terms of what’s next, the BoC governor said the bank will be “looking beyond headline employment numbers to gauge how different groups in the labor market adjust” to higher interest rates.
Markets are currently pricing in a one-third chance of another 50 bp rate hike from the Canadian central bank in December.
U.S. Department of Justice
Mitchell Willetts
Sun, November 6, 2022
Two men accused of vandalizing a prehistoric and sacred site in the Nevada desert are going to prison, according to federal officials.
The men, both 28-year-olds from Elko, spray-painted graffiti at White River Narrows, a canyon dotted with petroglyphs left by Native Americans, the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the District of Nevada said in a release.
Glyphs at the site are ancient and “provide glimpses into the cultural lives of Native American peoples who lived by harvesting wild plants and animals from some 4,000 years ago until the nineteenth century,” according to the Bureau of Land Management, which investigated the vandalism.
It is a “sacred site” to the Paiute and Shoshone tribes, the release said.
Between September 2019 and October 2019, Jonathan Pavon, who also goes by the name “Cluer,” and Daniel Plata, who goes by “Velor,” sprayed their aliases in bold letters in locations around the site — including a 20-foot-long graffiti on a rock face containing petroglyphs, the release said.
One of the men posed for a photo in front of the handiwork, an image shared by federal officials shows.
In 2022, Pavon pleaded guilty to misdemeanor conspiracy and violating the Archaeological Resources Protection Act. He was sentenced on Nov. 4 to 18 months in prison.
Plata also pleaded guilty to a lesser charge and was sentenced to four months in prison followed by eight months of house arrest.
“No restitution or repair can undo the damage done by those who would vandalize such a sacred and historical site as White River Narrows, but this ruling demonstrates that such crimes will not be met with a slap on the wrist,” U.S. Attorney Jason M. Frierson for the District of Nevada said. “Our Office will continue to work to ensure that anyone who desecrates sacred tribal lands and artifacts are held accountable.”
Brandon Green via Unsplash
Alison Cutler
Mon, November 7, 2022
University of Sydney student Maxim Adams was scouring the leafy floor of Australia’s Lord Howe Island in July when he turned over a rock and found himself staring at an unbelievable sight.
“No,” Adams thought to himself. “It can’t be.”
Nestled under the rock and frantically scrambling back to safety was a wingless wood-eating cockroach — an animal that hasn’t been seen since the 1930s, the New South Wales Department of Planning and Environment reported in a news release.
While the find may cause the average person to reel, it was a jaw-dropping discovery for Adams, a student of The University of Sydney’s School of Life and Environmental Sciences, and his professor Nathan Lo.
The insect was thought to be extinct for more than 80 years, according to a release from The University of Sydney.
“I lifted the first rock under this huge banyan tree, and there it was,” Adams said in the release.
Adams, Lo and DPE senior scientist Nicholas Carlile found “families” of the roaches under the banyan tree. After a week of searching the area, the single banyan tree seemed to be the only place the roaches were found, the university release said.
Rats escaped onto Lord Howe Island in 1918 and caused a “rapid collapse of a suite of unique fauna and the loss of many invertebrate species,” according to the New South Wales DPE release. One of those species was believed to have been wingless wood-eating cockroaches.
“The survival is great news, as it has been more than 80 years since it was last seen,” Lord Howe Island Board Chair Atticus Fleming said in the university release. “Lord Howe Island really is a spectacular place, it’s older than the Galápagos islands and is home to 1,600 native invertebrate species, half of which are found nowhere else in the world.”
Eight cockroaches were taken back to the University of Sydney for further research with permission from authorities, the DPE said in its release.
Theron Mohamed
Mon, November 7, 2022
Paul Krugman.Arun Sharma/Hindustan Times via Getty Images
The rampant inflation that has roiled the US economy this year may be fading, Paul Krugman said.
The Nobel Prize-winning economist pointed to a cooling rental market and slowing wage growth.
Underlying inflation may have dropped as low as 3%, Krugman said.
Sliding rental prices and slowing wage growth suggest red-hot US inflation may be waning, Paul Krugman has said.
"More evidence of a rapidly cooling rental market," Krugman tweeted on Saturday. He was referring to Zumper's October National Rent Report, which found that national median rents for one- and two-bedroom units fell in 61 of the 100 largest US cities between September and October.
The Nobel Prize-winning economist proposed that core Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, might be overestimating how quickly the cost of shelter is rising. While the index rose by 6% on an annualized basis over the past three months, its "true" level could be around 4%, he said.
"Combined with slowing wage growth, there's a good case that substantial disinflation is happening, but not captured (yet) by the standard measures," he added.
Headline US inflation surged to a 40-year high of 9.1% in June, and remained above 8% in September. Soaring prices have spurred the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates from near zero in March to a range of 3.75% to 4%, in an effort to drag inflation down to its 2% target. However, higher rates have driven down asset prices and raised the prospect of a painful recession.
Krugman flagged other evidence of a softening rental market at the end of October. He pointed to Apartment List's national rent index dropping 0.7% in October - the gauge's largest monthly drop since it launched in 2017. The index also dipped in September, marking only its second monthly decline since the start of 2021.
"More evidence that rental rates are rolling over," Krugman tweeted. "Latest data are consistent with market rent inflation back down to historical norms of ~3 percent, maybe lower.
"With a lag, this will translate into much lower core inflation as measured by the BLS," he added, referring to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
The veteran economist and columnist has also suggested that US wage growth is slowing, reducing upward pressure on prices. For example, he highlighted the nonfarm-payroll data released on Friday, which showed average hourly earnings growth declined over the past three months.
"Smoothed wage growth is only a bit above pre pandemic level," he tweeted, adding that worker productivity also improved.
"Given what's happening to wages and productivity, I don't see any way to make the case, as some have, for underlying inflation of 6 or even 7 percent," he said. "This looks <4, possibly even as low as 3."
Krugman has previously warned the strong US dollar and higher rates will weigh on exports and housing demand, causing the US economy to contract. He's also cautioned the Fed may have gone too far with its hikes and put the economy in unnecessary danger.
Czarek Sokolowski/AP Photo
Ella Creamer
Mon, November 7, 2022 at 10:17 AM·9 min read
It happened like this: A dogged religious right and a determined set of anti-abortion movers and shakers poured years of work into curbing abortion access. Their efforts swayed conservative politicians, who adopted opposition to abortion as a central ideological goal in a vicious culture war. They appointed conservative judges to the courts, and when the topic of abortion crossed those judges’ dockets, they made a shocking yet predictable ruling that vastly curtailed abortion access.
No, I’m not talking about the U.S. This is what happened in Poland.
In 2020, Poland became the first nation in nearly 15 years to buck the liberalizing trend around the globe and roll back abortion rights. Two years later, when the Supreme Court’s controversial decision in Dobbs struck down Roe and 50-plus years of legal precedent vanished, the United States became the second. Now, as Democrats face dismal prospects in this week’s midterm elections, they’re hoping that Republican overreach on abortion will stave off a red tidal wave. They did over-perform in special elections over the summer, and there’s been a hike in new Democrats registering to vote. But Republicans are betting that the political fallout over Dobbs is losing steam, and that despite the abortion issue, their message on inflation and crime will hand them more governor’s mansions, the House and possibly even the Senate.
Exactly how the end of Roe will affect the midterms won’t be clear until the results trickle in after election day. But both Democrats and Republicans could draw valuable lessons from what happened in Poland, chief among them: Throwing abortion to the judiciary doesn’t take it out of the realm of politics. In fact, it makes the debate even more political than it was before.
Poland once had liberal abortion laws.
Under communist rule in the ’60s and ’70s, abortion was readily available. But after the Soviet Union’s fall, lobbying by the Catholic Church led to a 1993 law restricting abortion to cases of rape, incest, fetal abnormality and threat to the mother’s health. Support for legal abortion spiked in 1993 before dipping through the rest of the decade, suggesting Poles quickly became accustomed to a new — stricter — status quo.
In the U.S., Republican-controlled states rolled back abortion access with laws that sidestepped Roe — mandating ultrasounds and waiting periods, forcing some clinics to widen their hallways and abortion providers to obtain admitting privileges at local hospitals to keep their doors open. Meanwhile, Poland's Law and Justice Party (or PiS, for Prawo i Sprawiedliwość) would take a more direct route. In 2016, they endorsed a harsher ban on abortion, prohibiting the procedure even in cases of rape, incest and of fetal abnormality — the latter of which accounted for 98 percent of abortions in the country after the 1993 law — but preserving the exception for cases posing danger to the mother’s life. The move triggered a national wave of demonstrations, dubbed the “Black Protest.” One hundred-thousand Poles — wearing dark clothing and holding black flags and umbrellas — thronged in city streets.
Spooked by the outrage, Law and Justice backed off and tried another option, one that ultimately proved fruitful for U.S. conservatives as well: the courts. In a yearslong process, they replaced liberal justices with conservatives, locking in PiS acolytes to the Constitutional Tribunal — the panel that monitors compliance of statutory law with Poland’s constitution. When abortion was delegated to the Tribunal, the panel’s October 2020 decision was no surprise: Abortion on the grounds of fetal abnormality would be banned, partly on the basis that a right to life was already enshrined in the Polish constitution.
Abortion numbers plummeted by 90 percent. But the political impact was significant, too: Law and Justice’s approval rating tanked from the mid-40s to the low-30s. It’s only partly recovered since.
The abortion decision wasn’t only to blame — the government had mishandled the pandemic amid other political blunders. But the ruling itself hemorrhaged PiS support among women and “massively accelerated” a process of secularization among young Poles, says Aleks Szczerbiak, author of the forthcoming Political Parties and Religion in Post-Communist Poland.
The overturning of Roe v. Wade this year was an eerie echo of the Polish scenario. In both countries, the anti-abortion camp secured judicial wins — Dobbs was “precisely the kind of victory that was achieved in Poland,” says Agnieszka Graff, author of Anti-Gender Politics in the Populist Moment. And in both cases, the driving arguments were the same: “That this is for the protection of unborn life, that unborn life begins at conception, the desire to protect that life trumps the rights of women to abort,” says Anna Grzymala-Busse, a Stanford University political scientist.
To be sure, the Polish and American contexts differ. First of all, in Poland, the Tribunal deemed abortion an issue of rights; in America, the Supreme Court judged it an issue for states. America “politicized the issue,” says Szczerbiak, while Poland “judicialized” it. Second, religion has a tighter grip on Polish politics. And third, political structures differ — Poland has a unitary, multi-party system; America’s is federal and two-party.
But the similarities remain striking, nonetheless. And if what happened in Poland after the abortion ban is any indication of what will happen in the U.S., Democrats and Republicans alike are facing a thornier calculation on abortion politics than either party anticipated.
Poland’s slow acceptance of the restrictive 1993 law could spell trouble for abortion rights supporters. “It’s not as if we’re going to accept living in Gilead,” Grzymala-Busse says, “But ... I think this federal patchwork might just get accepted over the course of the next 10 years or so as the new status quo, the new normal.”
There is evidence of the Polish effect migrating to the U.S. already: The proportion of women aged 18-44 who believe abortion is one of the top three issues facing America fell from 29 percent right after the Dobbs decision to just 12 percent by mid-September. “If Poland is anything to go by, these issues tend to eventually die down,” Grzymala-Busse says.
Poland also tells Democrats that the anti-abortion movement doesn’t end with the American religious right. “American women need to understand that they’re facing not just a Republican Party, but part of a global movement that’s been very strong in Europe,” says David Ost, a political scientist at Hobart and William Smith Colleges.
This movement was born in America: In the ’70s, the political arms of the Protestant and Catholic churches cohered “around opposition to women’s rights and also gay rights” and influenced conservative politics, Graff explains. This “culture wars coalition” evolved to infiltrate politics globally, looking for weak spots in legislation: If it’s difficult to overturn abortion rights in a country, the lobby will focus on overturning gay rights, and vice versa. Now, anti-abortion organizations in America have strong bases across the Atlantic, though the sister organizations may operate under different names. For example, the highly influential Catholic Ordo Iuris group in Poland is part of the Tradition, Family, Property network that originates in Brazil but has a powerful U.S. contingent.
“We haven’t seen anything yet,” Ost says. The U.S. religious right — part of the global anti-abortion web — will not back off after the midterms, and there may be a coordinated campaign to attack states where abortion is legal. “They have a lot of resources. They’re absolutely committed to deepening this, to pursuing this,” Ost adds.
Republicans may be buoyed by the backstop that this global abortion lobby presents. And despite the hit Law and Justice took after the ban, especially among women, Republicans might still be encouraged by their trajectory since then — even after the backlash, the party remains the most popular in Poland and is still in power. “One lesson for the Republicans would be that it’s possible to survive this, like PiS did,” says Jason Wittenberg, a UC Berkeley professor who specializes in post-Soviet politics.
But Republicans shouldn’t get too excited — conservative Polish voters have greater loyalty to Law and Justice than their American counterparts do to the Republican Party, Wittenberg says, and Law and Justice has successfully enacted redistributive policies that have been popular with their rural base. The key takeaway for the GOP? “Don’t draw the wrong lesson from Poland. I think the Republicans are made more vulnerable by this than PiS was,” Wittenberg says.
The Polish example also warns Republicans of the Democratic Party’s strength when it comes to abortion messaging. After the Tribunal’s decision, Polish opposition parties failed to coalesce against the ruling — no party was articulating an abortion rights position. So while Law and Justice took a hit in the polls, it wasn’t terminal. Compared to the Polish opposition, the Democrats appear clear and consistent: Since Roe v. Wade was overturned, they’ve positioned themselves as the party of abortion rights and have reaped the benefits in special elections.
This should scare Republicans, who have already shied away from a national party position on abortion. Sen. Lindsey Graham’s proposal for a nationwide ban met a cold reception from fellow conservatives who are vulnerable to pro-abortion rights Democrats. Plus, a sweeping federal policy would undercut the states-rights rhetoric embraced by most of the GOP.
Despite these ill omens for Republicans, the differences between the Polish and American party systems reveal an opportunity for both liberals and conservatives stateside: Polish opposition parties are considering running jointly in next year’s election, meaning they must straddle the interests of broad voting blocs — leaving contentious issues like abortion vulnerable to being jettisoned from the agenda. “The lack of a single opposition that stands for that position is a real drawback in Poland,” Ost says. The fractured opposition in Poland makes the polarization of the U.S. two-party system look like an opportunity: There is space for an anti-abortion rights party and a party in favor of abortion rights. Neither side has to abandon the issue to appeal to other parties in its coalition. For abortion rights activists and the Democratic Party — which has centered its midterm campaigns on abortion, running more than 132,000 ads on the topic in September alone — this is particularly good news.
Finally, for both parties, the Polish example emphasizes that judicializing the abortion issue winds up with it becoming ever more intensely politicized, with unintended consequences for the anti-abortion lobby. In America and in Poland, “it was a judicial decision which was the one that the anti-abortion camp wanted. And in both cases, it’s actually set off a debate which, at the moment at least, is very unhelpful to them,” Szczerbiak says.
This is a natural fallout of delegating the abortion issue to the judiciary. “Courts are fundamentally counter-majoritarian institutions — they're basically non-democratic institutions,” Grzymala-Busse says. “As a result, there’s always a disparity between what people want, and what the courts rule.”
'This is what we feared': Latinas are largest group of women of color affected by abortion bans
Latinas are the largest group of women of color affected by current or potential state abortion bans and restrictions, according to an analysis of data published by two advocacy groups.
More than 6.5 million Latinas – or 42% of Latinas ages 15 to 49 – live in the 26 states that have banned or are likely to ban abortion, according to the report by the National Partnership for Women & Families and the National Latina Institute for Reproductive Justice.
“Anybody who is capable of getting pregnant at some point in their life may need or want an abortion,” said Shaina Goodman, director for reproductive health and rights at the National Partnership for Women & Families, and report co-author. “...That being said, there are people who are disproportionately harmed, and those are people who live at the intersection of multiple historically marginalized identities where there are real structural barriers to get care.”
The U.S. Supreme Court made the landmark decision earlier this year to strike down the constitutional right to abortion solidified by Roe v. Wade, making it so Americans’ access to abortion depends primarily on where they live.
The ruling opened the door for 13 states to implement abortion bans through so-called “trigger laws,” bills approved in the past that would take effect if the Supreme Court overturned Roe. Pending bans in seven other states could go into effect later this year, Goodman said. Other states have restricted or are looking to restrict abortion access.
ABORTION MISINFORMATION: Latinas have long been targeted by abortion misinformation. It's getting worse, experts say.
The analysis "gives us a picture of just who is most harmed by abortion bans,” Goodman said. “It's moms with young children. It's people who are struggling to make ends meet. And critically, it's people who live their lives at the intersection of all of these different identities.”
About 7 million, or about 44% of Latinas living in these states, are already mothers, according to the analysis.
About 44.5% of Latinas in these states are also economically insecure, meaning they're often less able to travel to other states for abortion care, Goodman said. A person who is denied abortion care is significantly more likely to be pushed deeper into poverty as a result, she said.
Nearly 43% of Latinas with disabilities also live in these 26 states, according to the report. Latinas with disabilities face additional barriers in accessing abortion care due to discrimination and lack of culturally competent and accessible care, Goodman said.
VOICES FOR ABORTION RIGHTS: Conservative men dominate politics of abortion access. Where are the progressive men?
Goodman said the study builds on previous research that shows the impact of abortion bans are particularly harmful for women of color, who already face reduced access to abortion care due to systemic barriers. For Latinas, these barriers include low rates of insurance coverage, mistrust of medical providers due to a long history of systemic racism in health care, discrimination in health care systems and a lack of culturally competent services, Goodman said.
The report also found more than 1 million Latinas living in states with current or likely abortion bans do not speak English well or at all, putting language on the list of systemic barriers to reproductive rights access, Goodman said.
Latinas are also overrepresented in low-wage work and jobs that don’t offer benefits like sick days, paid leave and flexible schedules, making it more difficult for many to pay for reproductive health care or travel for abortion services, Goodman said.
“There is a cumulative impact when you encounter structural barriers at the intersection of all of those different identities, and those barriers make abortion care and reproductive health care incredibly difficult, and in many cases, entirely impossible to access,” Goodman said.
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The analysis is not without its limitations, Goodman said. The study uses U.S. Census data from 2016 to 2020, which does not include sufficient data on transgender and nonbinary people who are also able to get pregnant, she said. As a result, the analysis focuses on cisgender women.
Still, Goodman hopes the report highlights “very real consequences to real people's lives when you ban abortions.”
“What we're seeing in the landscape after the overturning of Roe v. Wade is shocking but not surprising,” she said. “This is what we feared the reality would look like, and seeing the actual numbers is alarming in a visceral way.”
For people interested in helping improve access to abortion care for marginalized communities, Goodman said voting, contacting lawmakers and getting involved in local organizations are good first steps.
“No one policy will solve our problems, but we do have to tackle together the structural inequities and barriers that people face,” she said. “We need to ensure access to culturally competent, affordable, high quality health care. We need to ensure living wages, paid sick days and flexible scheduling. And we need to repeal abortion bans.”
Contact News Now Reporter Christine Fernando at cfernando@usatoday.com or follow her on Twitter at @christinetfern.
This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Latinas disproportionately impacted by abortion bans, study finds
BUZZFEED Mon, November 7, 2022
In the months since the overturn of Roe v. Wade, abortion has officially been outlawed in 13 states, making reproductive healthcare completely inaccessible in some states for the first time in nearly 50 years.
Jemal Countess / Getty Images for Supermajority
In a viral video that has now been viewed over 300,000 times, Dara can be heard making a phone call to the office of Congressman Mike Garcia of the 25th District in California, who is an anti-choice advocate. In the video, neither the congressman nor his staff answered the call, so Dara proceeded to leave a message.
Dara Faye / Via Twitter: @darafaye
In the message, Dara begins to go into detail about symptoms she's been experiencing related to her period. "Hi, my name is Dara," she said in a clip of the recorded phone call. "I was just calling because I wanted to report irregularities in my period. I have also been having cramping during ovulation."
Dara Faye / Via Twitter: @darafaye
"I just figured that Mr. Garcia would be interested in all of this because he supports the Life at Conception Act," she continued. "I don't know if he's a board certified gynecologist, but I assume if he supports this act, he has a lot of knowledge about this."
Dara Faye / Via Twitter: @darafaye
According to the bill summary, the Life at Conception Act protects the right to human life "at all stages," including fertilization.
BuzzFeed reached out to Dara to get more information on her decision to make these calls. It all began after Dr. Oz — who's vying for a spot in the Pennsylvania Senate — made headlines when he said "local political leaders" should be involved in decisions regarding abortion. To shine light on the ridiculousness of his statement, Dara decided to call several of her own local congressmen about her menstrual health.
Although she was only able to record one of several phone calls, she's made a series of viral satirical videos addressing the absurdity of Dr. Oz's statement.
"Dr. Oz thinks a woman's medical decisions should be between her, her doctor, and local politicians," she said in one clip. "Right, yes. Because every time my husband and I decided to have a child, we called our local politicians so we can discuss my birth plan, and then see if my OB agreed."
Dara Faye / Via Twitter: @darafaye
All jokes aside, Dara hopes that her calls and videos will get people to take action. "I just want people to not be apathetic," Dara told BuzzFeed. "We have midterm elections coming up, and it's so important. The Republican party is looking to do a federal ban on abortion — like, this is serious stuff."
Dara Faye / Via Twitter: @darafaye
"We have these politicians like Mike Garcia, who is in California, who are supporting the Life at Conception Act, who want to give no exceptions to women for any kind of medical choice regarding their reproductive rights," she said. "I think that we need to be pushing back in any way; like, they can't just silence us. And while it might not make a big change, it's definitely creating an inconvenience by calling them."
It appeared that congressmen across the nation were going to be receiving calls.
And it looks like history does in fact repeat itself.
And to all those who feel inspired to call their own congressmen, Dara advises to remember to be respectful. "At the end of the day, the people who are working the phones are not the politicians who are pushing this legislation," she said. "But I would just recommend giving them all the gory details, tell them everything. I mean, I think a lot of these politicians need to learn about period poops. I think that they need to learn more about what we go through — tell them about your PMS in every detail, tell them about PMDD. They should know. Let them know everything."
Editor’s Note: BuzzFeed supports a person’s right to an abortion. If you, like us, feel impassioned about abortion rights, learn more or find a local fund to donate to here.