Tuesday, February 04, 2025

 

Generally, things really do seem better in morning, large study suggests



Clear time of day patterns in frame of mind: best early on; worst late at night


Peer-Reviewed Publication

BMJ Group




Generally, things really do seem better in the morning, with clear differences in self-reported mental health and wellbeing across the day, suggest the findings of a large study published in the open access journal BMJ Mental Health.

People generally wake up feeling in the best frame of mind in the morning but in the worst around midnight, the findings indicate, with day of the week and season of the year also playing their part.

Mental health and wellbeing are dynamic in nature, and subject to change over both short and extended periods, note the researchers. But relatively few studies have looked at how these might change over the course of the day, and those studies that have, have included particular, or only small, groups, they add.

The researchers therefore wanted to explore whether time of day was associated with  variations in mental health (depressive and/or anxiety symptoms), happiness (hedonic wellbeing), life satisfaction, sense of life being worthwhile (eudemonic wellbeing) and loneliness (social wellbeing). They also wanted to find out if these associations varied by day, season, and year.

They analysed data from the University College London COVID-19 Social Study, which began in March 2020, and involved regular monitoring until November 2021, and then additional monitoring up to March 2022.

All studied aspects were measured via questionnaires using validated assessment tools or through single direct questions: “In the past week, how happy did you feel; how satisfied have you been with your life; to what extent have you felt the things you are doing in your life are worthwhile?”

Time stamps on completion of each survey provided information on time of day (continuous from 6 am to midnight); day of the week; season; and year (2020, 2021, 2022).

Information on other potentially influential factors included age groups (18–29, 30–45, 46–59, 60+), gender, ethnicity, educational attainment, employment status, residential area (rural, urban) and diagnosed physical and mental health conditions (yes, no).

Complete information was available for 49, 218 people, three quarters of whom (76.5%) were women. People educated to degree level or above were over represented (68%) while those from ethnic minority backgrounds were under represented (6%). The sample was therefore weighted to reflect population proportions.

Analysis of the data revealed a clear pattern in self-reported mental health and wellbeing across the day, with people generally waking up in the morning feeling best—lowest depressive/anxiety symptoms and loneliness and highest happiness, life satisfaction, and worthwhile ratings—and feeling worst around midnight. 

The influence of day of the week was less clear-cut, with more variation in mental health and wellbeing during weekends than on week days. 

Happiness, life satisfaction, and worthwhile ratings were all higher on Mondays and Fridays than on Sundays, and happiness was also higher on Tuesdays. But there was no evidence that loneliness differed across days of the week.

There was clear evidence of a seasonal influence on mood, however. Compared with winter, people tended to have lower levels of depressive and anxiety symptoms and loneliness, and higher levels of happiness, life satisfaction, and feeling that life was worthwhile in other seasons. 

And mental health was best in the summer across all outcomes. But the season didn’t affect the associations observed across the day, however.

Mental health and wellbeing also steadily improved from 2020, the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic.

This is an observational study, and as such, can’t establish cause. And when people chose to fill in their questionnaires might have influenced the findings, say the researchers. No information was available for sleep cycles, latitude, or weather, all of which may also have been influential, they add.

But the changes in mental health and wellbeing across the day might be explained by the physiological changes associated with the body clock, they suggest.

“For example, cortisol peaks shortly after waking and reaches its lowest levels around bedtime. However, it is important to acknowledge the differences between weekends and weekdays,” they write. 

“Given there is little evidence that physiological processes differ across different days of the week, differences might be related to other factors that drive [mental health and wellbeing] changes over the course of the day. This could include contextual factors and sequence of daily activities, which are likely to be different between weekends and weekdays.” 

The similar time of day patterns in mental health and wellbeing, irrespective of the seasons, is surprising, as one of the main reasons for seasonal changes in frame of mind is the number of daylight hours, say the researchers.

“Other drivers of the seasonal variation in [mental health and wellbeing] could include weather (temperature, precipitation, humidity) as well as various sociocultural cycles, including cultural holidays, norms, and employment patterns,” they suggest.

The findings have implications for service delivery and clinical assessments, say the researchers. “Finally, in relation to public health, our findings indicate that people’s [mental health  and wellbeing] tends to be lowest around midnight, mid-week, and in winter. This should be considered when planning service and resource provision.”

 

One in four chance per year that rocket junk will enter busy airspace



University of British Columbia





There’s a 26 per cent annual chance that space rocket junk will re-enter the atmosphere and pass through a busy flight area, according to a recent UBC study.

While the chance of debris hitting an aircraft is very low, the research highlights that the potential for uncontrolled space rocket junk to disrupt flights and create additional costs for airlines and passengers is not.

Space junk disrupting air traffic is far from unheard of. In 2022, a re-entering 20-tonne piece of rocket prompted Spanish and French aviation authorities to close parts of their airspace.

And with rocket launches and flights increasing, UBC researchers say policymakers need to take action.

“The recent explosion of a SpaceX Starship shortly after launch demonstrated the challenges of having to suddenly close airspace,” said first author Ewan Wright, an interdisciplinary studies doctoral student at UBC. “The authorities set up a ‘keep out’ zone for aircraft, many of which had to turn around or divert their flight path. And this was a situation where we had good information about where the rocket debris was likely to come down, which is not the case for uncontrolled debris re-entering the atmosphere from orbit.”

When objects such as satellites are launched by rockets into space, large portions of the rockets are often left in orbit. If these leftover rocket stages have a low enough orbit, they can re-enter the atmosphere in an uncontrolled way. Most of the material will burn up in the atmosphere, but many pieces still hurtle towards the ground.

Rocket launches, flights increasing

The researchers used the number of aircraft on the busiest day of 2023 and matched it to the probability of rocket pieces re-entering above various levels of air traffic, calculated using a decade of data. Denver, Colorado had the highest density of air traffic on that day, at about one aircraft every 18km2.

Using this as their peak, they calculated the probability of rocket junk re-entering the atmosphere over different air traffic density thresholds. When they looked at regions that have 10 per cent of the peak air traffic density or higher, for instance—the type of activity seen in the airspace over Vancouver-Seattle—they found a 26 per cent chance per year of rocket junk re-entering in that type of airspace.

“Notably, the airspace over southern Europe that was closed in 2022 is only five per cent of the peak. Around the world, there is a 75-per-cent chance of a re-entry in such regions each year,” said Wright.

There were 258 successful rocket launches in 2024, and a record 120 uncontrolled rocket debris re-entries, with more than 2,300 rocket bodies still in orbit. Air passenger numbers are expected to increase by almost seven per cent in 2025, according to the International Air Transport Association.

Space industry exporting risk

The researchers also calculated the annual probability of space rocket junk colliding with an aircraft at one in 430,000.

When space rocket junk enters into busy air space, aviation authorities either roll the dice and allow flights to continue or act by diverting flights or closing airspace. “But why should authorities have to make these decisions in the first place? Uncontrolled rocket body re-entries are a design choice, not a necessity,” said co-author Dr. Aaron Boley, associate professor in the department of physics and astronomy. “The space industry is effectively exporting its risk to airlines and passengers.”

Rather, the industry could use rockets that are designed to re-enter the atmosphere in a controlled way after use, crashing harmlessly into the ocean. This solution requires collective international action, said co-author Dr. Michael Byers, a UBC political science professor. “Countries and companies that launch satellites won’t spend the money to improve their rockets designs unless all of them are required to do so,” said Dr. Byers. “So, we need governments to come together and adopt some new standards here.”

 

New study assesses impact of agricultural research investments on biodiversity, land use


Data analysis spans 1960s Green Revolution to 2015



Purdue University

Uris Baldos leads study assessing impacts of ag R&D on biodiversity and land use 

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Purdue University’s Uris Baldos, research associate professor of agricultural economics and leader of a new study assessing the impacts of agricultural research investments on biodiversity and land use.

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Credit: Purdue Agricultural Communications/Joshua Clark




WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind. — New, groundbreaking research shows how, at a local scale, agricultural research and development led to improved crop varieties that resulted in global benefits to the environment and food system sustainability. The Purdue University study appears in the latest issue of Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

“At the global level, we see a reduction in cropland use from these technology improvements leading to gains in terrestrial carbon stock and avoided loss of threatened plant and animal species,” reported the team led by Purdue’s Uris Baldos, research associate professor of agricultural economics.

The study is the first to undertake a fine-scale analysis back to the early 1960s. The analysis incorporated global data from approximately 100,000 grid cells. Each cell covers an area measuring 27.2 square kilometers (10.5 square miles) at the equator. Grid cells farther north and south of the equator become smaller because of the Earth’s curvature.

“You need that spatial resolution to get at the biodiversity question, because biodiversity is not evenly spread around,” said study co-author Thomas Hertel, Distinguished Professor of Agriculture. In another first, the study revealed how agricultural land-use changes have affected biodiversity. The analysis found that, globally, reduced agricultural land use resulting from improved crop varieties saved 1,043 animal and plant species. 

Saved plant species numbered 818, along with 225 amphibian, bird, mammal and reptile species. “We find that roughly 80% of the avoided losses in plant species are located within 31 out of 34 biodiversity hot spots which are mapped in our model,” Baldos and his co-authors reported.

Agriculture covers about 37% of the world’s land area and generates one-fourth of greenhouse gas emissions that humans produce. The study found that improved crop varieties reduced the amount of cropland area from 1961 to 2015. Global croplands decreased by more than 39 million acres, while crop production increased by 226 million metric tons. Crop prices, meanwhile, dropped by nearly 2% as a result of the improved crop varieties.

The study also quantified the impact of new crop varieties developed by the Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research (CGIAR), a global innovation network of 15 centers that marked its 50th anniversary in 2021.

“Globally, CGIAR technologies contributed roughly 47% of the total production gains from adoption of improved crop varieties in developing countries” from 1961 to 2015, Baldos and his co-authors reported. These CGIAR technologies also significantly reduced cropland use, greenhouse gas emissions and biodiversity loss.

The researchers generated their results with Purdue’s global model of agriculture, land use and the environment, called the Simplified International Model of agricultural Prices, Land use, and the Environment — Gridded, or SIMPLE-G. The model incorporated a novel decades-long dataset of variety adoption and farm-level crop yields provided by co-author Keith Fuglie, an economist at the U.S. Department of Agriculture Economic Research Service.

“For this version of SIMPLE-G, the key drivers are population growth and productivity growth,” Baldos said. Included in the model is crop production at the grid-cell level with input factors such as fertilizer, labor and water.

The researchers incorporated satellite data on terrestrial carbon and cropland availability into their SIMPLE-G model. The open-access book “SIMPLE-G: Gridded Economic Approach to Sustainability Analysis of the Earth’s Land and Water Resources” offers various versions of the model. SIMPLE-G is among an array of models developed by Purdue’s Global Trade Analysis Project.

Data constraints led previous studies to focus on national- and continental-scale regions in assessing the historical land-use effects of agricultural advancements. Those studies found that improving the application of agricultural technology made farming more profitable in areas such as sub-Saharan Africa and Latin America while fostering deforestation and other environmentally harmful impacts in certain locations.

But there’s also a global aspect, as Purdue agricultural economists have repeatedly studied over the years. “Improved technology generally saves resources at the global level because you’re feeding more or less the same amount of people and doing it more efficiently,” Hertel noted.

Previous research, including a 2014 PNAS study by Hertel and Baldos, examined the impact of improved agricultural technology on land use and greenhouse gas emissions. It was the first such study that presented data from running an agricultural economics model backward in time over multiple decades, as well as forward, the way climate scientists have done for years.

The 2014 study, like the new one, ran a scenario backward to 1961 and then forward, with and without the new crop varieties. “If we take away the technology, what would things look like then?” Hertel said. In the new work, he added, “We’re repeating some of those innovations from that earlier study, but now with the fine-scale analysis that lets us get at the biodiversity and the terrestrial carbon.”

The earlier study discussed the prospective impact of a green revolution in Africa. “These improved varieties have had a big impact in Africa. That’s a good news story,” Hertel said.

Many of the early Green Revolution gains pertained to Asia and some of Latin America. But with recent funding from various private and governmental organizations, research institutes in sub-Saharan Africa have begun developing new varieties of regionally important crops such as tubers and legumes.

“In the past, those countries didn’t have national research institutes that could adapt the improved varieties to local conditions,” Baldos said. The private sector, he noted, also developed new varieties over more recent decades, such as genetically modified soybeans in South America.

The research team concluded that ongoing research investment “can help sustain agricultural productivity growth across the world, strengthening global food security and mitigate agriculture’s environmental footprint in the coming decades.”

This research was supported by the U.S. Agency for International Development’s Bureau for Resilience and Food Security and the USDA Economic Research Service.

About Purdue Agriculture

Purdue University’s College of Agriculture is one of the world’s leading colleges of agricultural, food, life and natural resource sciences. The college is committed to preparing students to make a difference in whatever careers they pursue; stretching the frontiers of science to discover solutions to some of our most pressing global, regional and local challenges; and, through Purdue Extension and other engagement programs, educating the people of Indiana, the nation and the world to improve their lives and livelihoods. To learn more about Purdue Agriculture, visit this site.

About Purdue University  

Purdue University is a public research university leading with excellence at scale. Ranked among top 10 public universities in the United States, Purdue discovers, disseminates and deploys knowledge with a quality and at a scale second to none. More than 107,000 students study at Purdue across multiple campuses, locations and modalities, including more than 58,000 at our main campus in West Lafayette and Indianapolis. Committed to affordability and accessibility, Purdue’s main campus has frozen tuition 13 years in a row. See how Purdue never stops in the persistent pursuit of the next giant leap — including its comprehensive urban expansion, the Mitch Daniels School of Business, Purdue Computes and the One Health initiative — at https://www.purdue.edu/president/strategic-initiatives.

Writer: Steve Koppes

 

UTEP engineers model electric grid demand for EVs to charge while in motion





University of Texas at El Paso

UTEP Engineers Model Electric Grid Demand for EVs to Charge While in Motion 

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An electric semi-truck charges while driving on a test dynamic wireless power transfer (DWPT) roadway located at Utah State University. 

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Credit: Photo credit: ASPIRE




EL PASO, Texas (Feb. 4, 2025) – Running out of gas in a remote area far from a gas station is every driver’s worst nightmare. A similar stressor, known as “range anxiety,” exists for owners of electric vehicles who worry about how far their EV’s can drive without running out of battery.

As EVs become more common on roadways — annual EV sales are estimated to reach 7.2 million by 2030 — innovative new methods are being developed to more easily charge them. One of these methods, a new mechanism that could charge vehicles while they are in motion, is the focus of a new University of Texas at El Paso-led study published in the journal IEEE Access.

The UTEP research group is part of a National Science Foundation and Department of Energy-funded coalition of engineers focused on an EV in-motion charging technology known as a Dynamic Wireless Power Transfer (DWPT) roadway. A DWPT roadway would embed transmitter pads within road surfaces, thereby allowing EVs to charge while driving without needing to be hooked up to a power outlet, said Paras Mandal, Ph.D., professor of electrical and computer engineering at UTEP and the study’s principal investigator. 

“The field of electrified transportation is evolving, and modeling the load demand on our electrical grid is a very significant part of the work,” said Mandal. “Our research will allow for a comprehensive understanding of new EV charging methods to ensure sustainable use of our transportation infrastructure coupled with power utilities.”  

Currently, most EVs are charged at public charging stations or through electrical outlets in households. However, Mandal explained that residential charging technology is often slow and drains electricity, while public charging stations are currently not widely available. These limitations may lead to “range anxiety” and may inhibit the widespread adoption of EVs, Mandal said, which could reduce petroleum fuel consumption, emissions from vehicle transportation, and noise pollution and contribute to improved air quality. 

The DWPT technology is still in development, but Mandal said that before it can be adopted, engineers, utilities and local governments need to have a thorough understanding of the future load demand on the electrical grid. Modeling “load demand” is challenging because engineers need to account for vehicles of varying sizes, different lengths of roadways, and varying degrees of traffic. In order to understand the impact of a DWPT roadway on the electrical grid at varying degrees of usage, Mandal’s team developed a novel method of measuring load demand called modified Toeplitz convolution or mCONV. The model is essentially the mathematical formulation of DWPT that allows the engineers to understand dynamic electric load demand while taking into account different distances, traffic flow and vehicle types. 

“The next steps in this research will be to understand how DWPT will affect power system stability and reliability,” Mandal said. 

“Dr. Mandal’s team is doing innovative work at the frontier of our transportation system,” said Kenith Meissner, Ph.D., dean of the College of Engineering. “This new model will help local and state authorities as well as utilities understand what’s involved in implementing DWPT roadways and literally paving the way for more widespread adoption of electric vehicles.”

UTEP’s research is part of the ASPIRE group, an NSF Engineering Research Center that stands for Advancing Sustainability through Powered Infrastructure for Roadway Electrification. The group is made up of several universities, including Utah State University, Purdue University, The University of Colorado Boulder and The University of Auckland New Zealand.

About The University of Texas at El Paso

The University of Texas at El Paso is America’s leading Hispanic-serving university. Located at the westernmost tip of Texas, where three states and two countries converge along the Rio Grande, 84% of our 25,000 students are Hispanic, and more than half are the first in their families to go to college. UTEP offers 171 bachelor’s, master’s and doctoral degree programs at the only open-access, top-tier research university in America.

 

Climate change is overhauling marine nutrient cycles, UC Irvine scientists say



The research is the first field-based confirmation of such climate impacts



University of California - Irvine





Irvine, Calif., Feb. 4, 2025 — Computer models reveal how human-driven climate change will dramatically overhaul critical nutrient cycles in the ocean. In the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, University of California, Irvine researchers report evidence that marine nutrient cycles – essential for sustaining ocean ecosystems – are changing in unexpected ways as the planet continues to warm.

 

“Model studies have suggested that when the ocean warms it gets more stratified, which can drain certain parts of the surface ocean of nutrients,” said Adam Martiny, professor of Earth system science and ecology & evolutionary biology and one of the study’s lead authors. Although models suggest a connection between ocean temperatures and surface ocean nutrients, this is the first study to confirm climate change’s impacts on nutrient cycles.

 

The team, led by graduate student Skylar Gerace, analyzed 50 years of nutrient data from the ocean collected as part of the Global Ocean Ship-based Hydrographic Investigations Program (GO-SHIP). They discovered that over the last half-century, there’s been a major decline in phosphorus – a nutrient that plays a key role in the health of marine food webs – in southern hemisphere oceans.

 

“There can be cascading effects up the food web,” said Gerace, who explained how plankton – microorganisms that form the bases of many marine food webs – rely on phosphorous as a food source. “When phytoplankton have less phosphorus, they become less nutritious, which can impair zooplankton and fish growth rates.”

 

Surprisingly, concentrations of nitrate – a nutrient the team expected to decline – appear to remain steady. Nitrate is crucial for ecosystem functioning, so that it’s not in decline is a good sign, Martiny explained. Nevertheless, nitrate concentrations may still decline in the future as the climate continues to change. “But that we don’t know – that’s just speculation,” he said.

 

Martiny emphasized the importance of programs like GO-SHIP when it comes to doing science like this; without seafaring missions that collect empirical data on marine ecosystems, there would be no way to confirm if what the climate models are forecasting is actually happening. For instance, models have forecasted that there would by now be declining nitrate levels in ocean water, but direct observations reveal that this is not the case.

 

“It’s in general really hard to demonstrate long-term climate impacts on the ocean, because there’s so much variability, and ours is now part of a small collection of studies that demonstrates these long-term impacts,” said Martiny. “You can count on a hand the demonstrated long-term trends in ocean chemistry.”

 

Next, the team wants to quantify how changing nutrient cycles impact marine ecosystems in both hemispheres as climate change continues unfolding.

 

“We aim to investigate how this nutrient metric relates with broader ecosystem dynamics throughout the ocean, such as primary productivity,” said Gerace. “This could further establish measurements like ours as a holistic indicator for monitoring marine ecosystems as the ocean continues to warm and stratify.”

 

The research was supported by grants from the National Science Foundation, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, and NASA to Martiny, and grants from the DOI Office of Biological and Environmental Research and NASA to Professor Keith Moore in the Department of Earth System Science.

 

About the University of California, Irvine: Founded in 1965, UC Irvine is a member of the prestigious Association of American Universities and is ranked among the nation’s top 10 public universities by U.S. News & World Report. The campus has produced five Nobel laureates and is known for its academic achievement, premier research, innovation and anteater mascot. Led by Chancellor Howard Gillman, UC Irvine has more than 36,000 students and offers 224 degree programs. It’s located in one of the world’s safest and most economically vibrant communities and is Orange County’s second-largest employer, contributing $7 billion annually to the local economy and $8 billion statewide. For more on UC Irvine, visit www.uci.edu.

 

Media access: Radio programs/stations may, for a fee, use an on-campus studio with a Comrex IP audio codec to interview UC Irvine faculty and experts, subject to availability and university approval. For more UC Irvine news, visit news.uci.edu. Additional resources for journalists may be found at https://news.uci.edu/media-resources/.