Tuesday, June 27, 2023

How BRICS Countries Help to Define a Truly New World Order

Its upcoming summit will reveal its growing power.


HELENA COBBAN
THE NATION

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov meets with South African International Relations and Cooperation Minister Naledi Pandor as part of the BRICS Foreign Ministers Meeting in Cape Town, South Africa on June 1, 2023. (BRICS / Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)

June 18, Washington, D.C.—The international grouping known as BRICS—Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa—has maintained a generally low profile on the world scene since its founding in the aftermath of the financial crisis of 2008–09. But last year, the combined economic output of the five BRICS members, measured in purchasing power parity, for the first time exceeded that of the US-led G7. And this year, BRICS is poised to move to a much more powerful role in world affairs: It looks as if 13 significant other nations from the Global South, including Saudi Arabia and Iran, may be admitted to the grouping at its upcoming summit, slated for late August in South Africa.

The current vitality of BRICS starkly highlights the failure of Washington’s push to strangle Russia economically and politically in response to Moscow’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine. It also, more broadly, indicates that the domination that a handful of Western nations have exercised over global affairs for 500-plus years is now giving way to a very different, much less white-dominated world.

Three key developments underlie the current growth of the group’s heft. One is the anger that nations of the Global South felt at the way Western nations monopolized access to medical supplies and key patents during the fight against Covid. Another is the success in last November’s Brazilian elections of former president Lula da Silva, which ended the five-year rule of right-winger Jair Bolsonaro: With Lula’s victory, Brazil resumed its commitment to the development-focused and South-oriented policies that have always lain at the heart of the BRICS venture.

The third root of the group’s current vitality is the strong global backlash to the economic sanctions that President Biden imposed on Russia last year. Over recent decades, economic sanctions have been one of the first tools US leaders have used in response to foreign-policy challenges. In the vast majority of these cases—from the sanctions put on Cuba in 1959 through those put on Iraq in the 1990s, or those kept on Iran, Venezuela, Syria, or Afghanistan until today—these sanctions have hurt ordinary citizens very badly while entrenching the hold on power of the governments that US leaders said they wanted to reform or overthrow. (Go figure.)

In the present century, the list of countries whose leaders and national institutions are on Washington’s “Team Sanctioned” has grown ever longer. In 2018, President Trump slapped trade tariffs on China, which thereby became the founding member of “Team Tariffed.” President Biden has kept those anti-Chinese tariffs in place, while also adding sanctions on several Chinese state entities.

Then, in early 2022, Washington abruptly added Russia, which has a large and robust economic base, to Team Sanctioned. That step paradoxically boosted the efforts that the sanctioned and tariffed nations had long been making to find alternatives to the tools that Washington has used to enforce its sanctions. The period since February 2022 has seen a rapid rise in the use by these countries’ traders of currencies other than the dollar to denominate their sales of oil and other commodities. (Welcome to the rise of the petroyuan!) We have also seen big steps by policy-makers from Team Sanctioned and Team Tariffed in developing payment systems other than the SWIFT mechanism that has long been one of the major tools Washington has used to implement sanctions.


The founding impetus for the BRICS grouping was always, from 2009 on, to build economic coordination among its members. That impetus came into full play after Washington’s broad 2022 expansion of sanctions against Russia. But China has also been eager for some years to have its BRICS partners back up the increasingly successful political diplomacy it has pursued in several parts of the world. Back in March, China achieved a huge diplomatic coup when it unveiled a rapprochement between longtime US ally Saudi Arabia and US target Iran that it had been quietly working on for many months. That breakthrough has already resulted in some valuable steps toward de-escalation in West Asia (the Middle East). It also drew those two countries and the United Arab Emirates, a key Saudi ally, more closely toward the non-US trading system being established by BRICS.
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Hence the presence of those three countries’ foreign ministers at the BRICS meeting in Cape Town in early June. And hence the likelihood that these three countries will be among those admitted to full membership of BRICS this August.

Officials in the existing BRICS countries have been generally tight-lipped about which countries will be joining the bloc as it expands, and when. U.S. News & World Report names 10 countries besides the three named above that were represented in-person or virtually at the Cape Town meeting, and that may well be admitted to BRICS this August.

The whole of the statement that the BRICS foreign ministers issued at the end of their Cape Town summit is worth reading. It provides a rich picture of the bloc’s concerns and values, stressing that its work is based on “the three pillars of political and security, economic and financial, and cultural and people-to-people cooperation.” The statement includes several denunciations of “unilateral economic measures” (the UN’s code word for US sanctions).

The ministers made clear (Item 18) that they did not have a unified position on the Ukraine crisis. But they “noted with appreciation relevant proposals of mediation and good offices aimed at peaceful resolution of the conflict through dialogue and diplomacy.” They also called for the full implementation of the Black Sea Grain Initiative.

BRICS is a young and distinctive type of grouping in world politics. All its member nations (except Russia) have deep, vivid memories of the harms their peoples suffered during earlier centuries of white, Western rule over their countries. In that, they are similar to the Non-Aligned Movement of the 1960s. But the BRICS leaders are different from the NAM’s in that they do not seek to define themselves primarily in relation to the world’s large military blocs. Instead, they define their interests and goals in primarily economic terms, sidestepping as much as they can the matter of military alignment or nonalignment. (They showed that in the agnosticism they expressed in Cape Town on the issue of the war in Ukraine.) Indeed, though Washington likes to count existing BRICS member India and several of the candidate members among its allies, most BRICS members and candidate members see little problem in having Russia continue to be one of the bloc’s core members.

The current BRICS members represent more than 40 percent of global humanity. That proportion looks set to increase, perhaps dramatically, over the months ahead. (The population of majority-white countries today amounts to less than 12 percent of the world total.) Over the past year, BRICS members, like many other nations of the Global South, have shown themselves capable—to an incomplete but unexpected extent—of resisting the pressures Washington has exerted to have them line up behind its anti-Russian agenda.
After the flood: Alberta communities assessing damage as water levels recede


Published on Jun. 27, 2023, 

Visit The Weather Network's wildfire hub to keep up with the latest on the active start to wildfire season across Canada.

West-central Alberta communities are assessing damage and making repairs as flood waters recede.

In the town of Edson, 100 kilometres west of Edmonton, a state of local emergency ended Monday after a tumultuous two weeks of fire and flood.

Flooding prompted the emergency declaration on June 19, just days after town residents had been given the green light to go home after six days under wildfire evacuation orders.

Mayor Kevin Zahara said Monday that the community got more than 135 millimetres of rain, and about 60 homes and businesses in the community have flooded basements.

Parts of Edson's 6th Avenue, which connects the east and west ends of town and is the main access route for the hospital, are also closed because of flood damage.

"We're going to have to repair some roadways and underground infrastructure as well. We also have been actively looking at upgrading some of our storm sewers and sewer lines," Zahara said.
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"There's quite a large expense we're going to be facing as a municipality."

Zahara said engineers are still assessing the extent of repairs that will be needed, and the town doesn't yet have an estimate of the cost to fix the damage.
Yellowhead County resident Roxie Orge says she was surprised to find a hot tub washed up after flooding in west-central Alberta in late June 2023. (Submitted by Roxie Orge)

Some communities in the surrounding Yellowhead County were also affected by floods — at one point people who live in Lower Robb were ordered to leave their homes as rivers started to breach their banks, and a shelter-in-place order was issued for some residents of the hamlet of Peers after a bridge was damaged.

The order was cancelled on Friday, but there's a speed and weight limit in effect on the bridge until it can be re-assessed this week.

'You're not going to believe this — we have a hot tub'


Yellowhead County resident Roxie Orge told CBC on Monday that when she was checking on the aftermath of the flood around her own property, she stumbled upon a mystery.
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She and her husband watched flooding rise near their property last week, but the water didn't reach the house or garage.

"On Wednesday, when the river was still high, from the road you could see that there was a blue object on our property, quite a ways in the bush, washed up with the debris," she said, adding she thought it might be a kayak.

When they talk a walk later, checking on all the washouts and trees that had been swept away, they found something else.

"My husband basically said, 'You're not going to believe this. We have a hot tub.'"

She snapped a photo of the round, barrel-style cedar hot tub with a blue liner, which is what she had mistaken for a kayak.

Orge said she's trying to figure out who it might belong to, and how far it travelled — where it's been deposited in the bush, there probably isn't any way to get it out besides taking it apart.
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But she said she's not surprised the flooding moved something so large.

"The Edson River, which is quite a smaller river, it was just rushing and rapids. It really was insane."

Whitecourt cleaning up

Rising water levels also triggered a state of local emergency last week in Whitecourt, about 100 kilometres northeast of Edson, with evacuation orders for some riverfront properties.

Whitecourt Mayor Tom Pickard said Monday the alerts and orders have now been lifted. Some access roads around the town washed out, but he said there wasn't serious damage to city infrastructure.

But residents have been working to clean up the aftermath of flooding in the town's Festival Park and the Whitecourt Golf and Country Club, which both sit along the Athabasca River.

"When the river was flooding in, and then when it recedes, it leaves a real fine silt," Pickard said.
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"The entire golf course was flooded, so they have a lot of silt still on the course. They've a crew of volunteers working now, plus their staff, to clean that off."

Parts of Festival Park are still closed, but Pickard said Canada Day activities will be able to go ahead there as planned this weekend.

"We monitor the water levels upstream and rainfall. For now, we feel that the recent significant event is over, and we'll prepare for the next one."

Thumbnail image courtesy of Travis McEwan/CBC.

This article, written by Madeline Smith, was originally published for CBC News.

 

A Perfect Storm: How the deadly 2022 Durban floods hold crucial lessons for the future of the city and others like it

As the planet heats up, climate disasters will hit coastal cities with greater force. Eastern South Africa's Durban's recovery from the April 2022 floods highlight the uncertainties such cities face and give insight into how they can prepare for a sustainable and resilient future

Dwellings built on steep slopes in Durban's Reservoir Hills area are vulnerable to mudslides and flooding. Picture by Delwyn Verasamy
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Leonie Joubert

The warning came through to the Quarry Road community on the banks of the Palmiet River via a group chat platform late that Monday night:

“Don’t go to sleep. The river is rising. There’s more rain on the way. Be ready to evacuate.”

Families living along this stretch of one of Durban’s 18 major rivers believe it was this warning that spared them any drownings when floodwaters tore apart many of their makeshift board-and-tin homes.

But on 11 April 2022, a worst-case scenario was nevertheless unfolding.

Community leader Nomandla Nqanula had eyes on a nearby bridge. She snapped a photo and fired it off to the city’s disaster management team, showing that tree debris and other flotsam were snarled up against the structure, trapping the water’s escape. A short while later, the final instruction came through from the disaster unit. It was time to get to higher ground.

It was like a disaster movie, Nqanula says, with containers from nearby shops caught in the current and slamming into dwellings. Then there was the final terrifying escape as she and her neighbors formed a human chain to cross a nearby highway that was disappearing under the fast-flowing water.

When the sun rose on Tuesday, there was nothing but a hole gouged into the bank where Nqanula’s home had stood. Like many, everything she owned had been washed away. Their lives, at least, had been spared.

Other communities in the eThekwini municipality on South Africa’s east coast, more commonly known as the city of Durban, weren’t so lucky.

By the time President Cyril Ramaphosa called a state of emergency on 19 April, at least 435 people had died and 54 were missing. Thousands had lost their homes and businesses. Roads and bridges were torn away, communications knocked out, sewerage works gutted, and water infrastructure and power grids destroyed.

Initial damages costs were estimated at R17-billion (over 910,000 USD), although the final bill might run even higher than R25-billion (over USD 1,300,000), eThekwini’s senior manager in the climate protection branch, Dr. Sean O’Donoghue, said in a webinar a month after the disaster.

It was the perfect storm: referring not just to the weather system, but also to the physical shape of the city it hit.

Durban is a complicated sprawl of old settlements and new; concrete and steel standing alongside shantytowns; where infrastructure and service delivery are steps behind the needs of its fast-growing population; where hilly terrain is shot through with boom-and-bust rivers.

No coastal city ―no matter how developed― will escape the extreme events coming with global heating. While the “global south” cities are uniquely vulnerable, insights from the storms that brought severe inland river flooding to Durban in April 2022 show how they can brace for future impacts.

Real-time data meets community members where they are 

 

The wreckage of a road tanker lies among the rubbish washed up on a Durban beach. Eighteen rivers pass through the city on their way to the sea. The damage wrought by the flood on the popular tourist destination could be more than R25bn, a city official estimated. Picture: Gallo Images / Darren Stewart

 

Resilience is the ability to bounce back after a shock like this, be it a community, a person, or a system.

That night at Quarry Road, the city was piloting a novel approach to its existing early-warning system that, if it worked, it could help other flood-exposed communities not only survive these inevitable and escalating events but also to have a better recovery.

The first red flag arrived months before the April storm.

The South African Weather Service warned that the ongoing La NiƱa weather cycle ―a years-long natural event that brings higher-than-average rainfall to South Africa― had waterlogged the soils ahead of the 2022 rainy season. The saturated ground wouldn’t be able to hold much more water, increasing the likelihood of floods.

Then, on April 10, the Weather Service issued a level 9 weather warning on its 1–10 alert system. It had issued a level 10 warning only once before, in January 2021, when tropical storm Eloise landed on South Africa’s coast affecting neighboring countries and hitting Mozambique particularly hard.

The short-range forecast that April predicted a cut-off low that would bring a high chance of dangerous flooding. It kicked eThekwini’s Disaster Management and Emergency Control Unit’s protocols into play.

In Quarry Road, the community-based early-warning system that was in the making for eight years was now being tested in real time. This meant marrying the city-wide forecast with the finer details of the catchment that feeds into the Palmiet River.

Information began flying across a digital group chat platform that allowed the various parties –the city’s disaster management unit, its senior climate scientist, a university academic who helped design the system, and volunteers within the community– to stay in touch.

The city’s catchment manager began monitoring the rain gauge upriver of Quarry Road, knowing from hydrology models that it would take 40 minutes for the water to travel from there to the Quarry Road community. The water had already risen to a dangerous two metres and more was on the way.

When Nqanula reported the bridge blockage, the disaster team escalated the response. Time to evacuate.

It was 11 pm. She had just enough time to grab her identity document and cell phone.

The system, says University of KwaZulu Natal’s School of Built Environment and Development Studies geographer Catherine Sutherland, who is part of its design and piloting, is novel in a few ways.

Rather than relying only on a blunt catchment-wide weather forecast, the system zooms in on local-scale conditions and real-time data. It uses the SA Weather Service’s new impact-based weather alert system, which goes beyond simply giving details of how much rain might fall or what wind speeds to expect, but flags the likely damage these might cause to the built environment, explains chief forecaster Kevin Rae.

It then relies on individuals in the affected community to draw the most complete picture of the event as it unfolds.

This kind of early-warning system is just one lever in the complicated machinery of a city system in an emergency situation like this, and a good example of how it can build better resilience.

Durban’s climate issues are wrapped in its systemic problems

Durban’s 2022 storm was extreme but not unprecedented. Parts of the city were uniquely exposed because of the features of its built environment and the human systems that run it. The natural landscape on which these are built played a role, as did the social and economic context in which people live, and the people themselves.

Durban is the country’s third-largest city, with a population of 3.9 million and climbing as more people are drawn from the countryside in search of a better life. The city has many well-established suburbs, but it also has a housing backlog of 387,000 units for those who can’t get into the formal property market. 

About a quarter of Durban’s residents are in informal settlements, meaning some 300,000 households live in makeshift dwellings in neighborhoods where the city struggles to keep up with service delivery demands such as water reticulation, sanitation, stormwater systems, electricity provision, and garbage removal. Where these fail, a community is more at risk of flooding during a storm.

As climate impacts escalate, risks will do so too.

Climate analysts say global heating contributed significantly to the April storm’s severity. A storm of this scale would normally happen about once every 40 years, according to a report by the World Weather Attribution initiative that quantified the link between this event and human-caused carbon pollution. But with current levels of warming – already up by 1.2°C relative to pre-industrial conditions– it is more likely to be a one-in-20-year event. But as global heating speeds up, an event of this magnitude will come around even more often.

Durban needs to focus on two things to ready itself for this inevitable future, says a team of South Africa’s leading climate scientists and researchers, writing for the Institute for Security Studies in May 2022.

First, it needs effective early-warning systems in the run-up to disasters. The one trialed at Quarry Road is a case in point.

Second, it needs to address the kind of systemic problems that shape the city’s built environment. These include the many forces that lead to people building informal homes on the banks of a flood-prone river in the first place.

When extreme weather meets urban sprawl

 

Women on the road to the bridge over the Palmiet River survey the flood damage. The bridge was blocked with debris so the water was unable to flow under it. Infrastructure can sometimes increase risk and is often destroyed by floods. Picture by Rajesh Jantilal

 

Nqanula thought her house would be safe –it was further from the water’s edge than many others, tucked up against the road on higher ground―. But when the torrent needed a new path to the sea it tore around the bridge, directly through the cluster of homes where she lived.

 

 

 

 

The very structure that was built to allow the river to flow while letting the city tick over around it –and which some Quarry Road families had even built their dwellings under– became the very thing that turned the water into a destroyer.

The built environment increases flood risk, and at the same time is more likely to be destroyed by the force of that very water.

The location of houses, roads, industrial sites, malls, bridges, utility stations and so forth change how rainwater moves through the landscape. When heavy rains hit the natural environment, vegetation, roots, and earth help it seep into the ground, slowing its release into rivers and out to sea. Once the land is capped over with an impervious shell of concrete, asphalt, paving, buildings, and structures like bridges, the natural brakes are gone.

Even with well-considered stormwater drainage, the volume and speed of run-off gets turbocharged.

A city faces the almost impossible task of managing its inherited built environment, with the needs of its fast-growing footprint. It then has the responsibility to climate-proof both.

To do so, Durban needs to identify hazard-exposed land and stop development in these zones, as the climate scientists in ISS Today warn. The local government needs to take charge of all development – even informal sprawl– by limiting it to safe areas. It needs to consult communities in high-risk areas, such as those in Quarry Road, and help them move to safer settlements, which the city will need to build. Exposed infrastructure needs flood protection and new infrastructure should be planned, designed, and built with the risk of an extreme flooding in mind.

The city knows this and outlines its plans in various policy documents, such as its climate change and resilience strategies. For instance, it plans to upgrade 80% of drainage infrastructure by 2030, and 100% of it by 2050. Durban hopes to restore 7,400 km of river corridors to be “clean, safe, healthy, and climate resilient” by mid-century.

Rolling this out, though, happens within the limitations of tight budgets, contested political interests, institutional capacity, and the ongoing housing and service delivery backlogs in a city whose population keeps growing.

Natural ‘airbag’ protects against weather shocks

The damming of the Quarry Road bridge by splintered trees and solid waste was not an isolated incident. Culvert blockages like this are common there, forcing rivers to break their banks and gut surrounding infrastructure.

Durban is a diverse natural landscape, its steep rolling hills broken by winding river valleys that slump to a coastal plain. It is in the wettest and most humid part of the country, getting more than 1,000 mm of rain in summer. Its 7,400 km of streams and rivers, running through 18 catchments, are heavily damaged by urban sprawl: solid waste dumping, leaks from sewerage works and pipes, industrial pollution, sand mining, and invasive alien plants.

Heavy rainfall brings more water into a river system, flowing faster, because of the hard surfaces of the altered landscape, and the rivers clogged with alien plants and litter, the stormwater drainage systems and river culverts block easily, and often.

Understanding that healthy rivers and wetlands are essential to flood-proof a city, the municipality plans to roll out a community-based river restoration project that draws on an initiative that’s been piloted across 300 km of river in parts of Umlazi, Inanda, Ntuzuma, and KwaMashu, all less developed neighborhoods on the outskirts of the city. The Sihlanzimvelo program is run by the city and draws on locals, assigning groups of up to eight people to tend to their own 5 km stretch of river, where they clear overgrown plants, collect litter, report pollution and repair eroded banks.

O’Donoghue, from eThekwini’s climate protection branch, says the plan is to scale this up, city-wide. By his estimates, an investment of R7.5-billion (400,000,000 USD) in river restoration over two decades will prevent R1.9-billion (54,169,537 USD) in infrastructure damage caused by culvert blockages alone. But, he says, it could also create upward of 9,000 jobs.

A restoration project like this applied to a river system like the Palmiet, would provide a natural ‘airbag’ that would protect Quarry Road from the kind of weather shock that washed away 400 homes in the settlement in April.

Drone image of Quarry Road Informal Settlement located on a narrow flood plain of the Palmiet River, a high-risk area prone to flooding, after heavy rainfall, 13 April 2022. Photo: Dr. Viloshin Govendet, Architect and Lecturer for the School of Built Environment and Development Studies at the University of KwaZulu-Natal

The Palmiet Nature Reserve is just 15 minutes drive inland of Quarry Road. It is 90 hectares of relatively unspoiled forests, meandering rivers that tumble over waterfalls, and grasslands higher up. A nature reserve might seem like a luxury in a city that urgently needs land for new housing. But a recent study into the value of Durban’s natural spaces –rivers, wetlands, forests, soils, and the like– estimates that its rivers provide a water flow regulation service valued at R29.5-million (1,616,283 USD) annually.

 

Protecting unspoiled ecosystems and green belts –even altered ones– doesn’t just give people a beautiful place to relax and play. It also provides a suite of “ecosystem services” that absorb extreme weather shocks. Plants, trees in particular, are natural air conditioners that offset the urban heat island effect, which will make heat waves more lethal. Healthy wetlands and rivers –the surrounding vegetation, and their soil– smooth out the release of rainwater into rivers, which reduces flooding, erosion, and river siltation. Dunes, estuaries, and mangroves soften the force of ocean surges during storms, buffering against erosion and wave damage to infrastructure.

The government, civil society, researchers, the private sector, and communities must work together

To flood-proof a city, particularly the third of its residents living in informal neighborhoods like Quarry Road, a city needs a plan.

On paper, Durban has one. The 2019 Climate Action Plan lists what’s needed to tackle the flooding problem: an early-warning system; the one-in-100-year flood line map that, when drawn together with climate projections, allows for better planning and management in flood-risk areas; and the many state partnerships necessary to restore and conserve ecological infrastructure.

The intention is to limit and discourage development in flood-risk areas and protect existing infrastructure from flood risk. It lists the actions necessary to keep river corridors healthy and keep the ecological infrastructure working.

Elsewhere, the plan flags the need to move communities out of flood-risk areas and house them appropriately in properly serviced areas.

This document dovetails with the city’s many other plans and policies, such as the 2017 resilience strategy, its spatial development framework, and the integrated development plan, a complex negotiation that needs to align with various other local, provincial and national government laws and constitutional obligations.

Dr. Debra Roberts, a leading South African climate and urban biodiversity scientist working in eThekwini, is the city’s chief resilience officer and helps coordinate resilience and sustainability “workstreams” across the municipality. O’Donoghue, meanwhile, oversees the city’s climate adaptation response. The city also has a senior climate scientist Smiso Bhengu in its ranks. Their expertise, and the positions they hold within the city institution, allow them to link different government departments whose responsibilities overlap around resilience or climate-focused initiatives. It also helps the municipality coordinate with non-state bodies, such as academics, civil society, and the private sector, to rally around shared-partnership initiatives.

The Palmiet Catchment Rehabilitation Project is one such project and an example of how climate literacy within a city’s administration —and the resulting planning and institutional arrangements— makes it into the real world. This project is geared towards addressing flood risk along the catchment, specifically for the Quarry Road community, using social, governance and environmental levers. It draws in city personnel, university researchers, and the local community. The community-based early-warning system that saved many lives on the night of April 11 is one cog in the wheel of this complex machinery.

Private developers perpetuate apartheid-era inequality

That April, about 20 km uphill of Quarry Road, at the newly minted Cornubia business-industrial-residential park, an emergency of a different kind was unfolding.

A temporary pollution holding dam, built a year earlier to capture the toxic run-off from a fire that destroyed a warehouse filled with agrichemicals and poisons, was flooding. A cocktail of heavy metals, carcinogens, and pesticides was spilling into the Ohlanga River, killing vegetation and fish, and forcing the city to consider closing the beaches at the river mouth.

It will take years to fully understand the health and environmental fallout, environmental justice activists warn, but the impact on property prices and the city’s housing plans is likely to be swifter.

The April floods destroyed 13,500 homes across Durban, a third of which were in informal settlements, and the city had to shelter 7,245 people in halls and care centers immediately after the event. By December, many were still homeless.

After a disaster like this, the city has to help families rebuild their homes, or place them in state-subsidized housing, which means fast-tracking developments to meet the existing housing backlog.

The farmland surrounding Cornubia, much of which is owned by the sugarcane conglomerate Tongaat Hulett, is earmarked for some of this development.

Activists worry that history will repeat itself here: that the contaminated land, some of which falls into Cornubia’s mixed-income housing plan but may no longer be appealing to private property buyers, could be offloaded on to the government at a bargain-basement price, and used to relocate flood evacuees such as those from Quarry Road.

South Africa’s apartheid-era laws split the city along race lines – a proxy for class – leaving cities with a spatial divide that haunts them to this day. The 1958 Group Areas Act pushed poorer people of color into Durban’s most marginal and often flood-prone areas. Three decades after these laws were dismantled, Durban’s residential divide is largely unchanged.

Where law once segregated the city, locking in a spatial divide between rich and poor, now the private property market maintains it.

Environmental racism isn’t unique to South Africa. Around the world, poor communities of color tend to wash up in the most environmentally marginal, degraded and polluted parts of many cities.

Cornubia is a public-private partnership between Tongaat Hulett and the eThekwini municipality and is billed as one of the “catalytic projects” that will help meet the region’s growth and development goals.

It will include a new city center, a fresh start now that Durban’s aging central business district (CBD) has lost its shine, falling into disrepair following municipal neglect and investor flight, much as Sandton replaced Johannesburg’s neglected CBD.

But environmental and planning lawyer Jeremy Ridl warns that the corporation’s power as a profit-motivated landowner and developer has allowed it to steer Durban’s spatial planning in its own interests.

Ridl is heading a coalition of affected communities and civil society working with the government and private agrichemical firm United Phosphorus Limited (UPL), which owned the destroyed warehouse, to ensure transparency and accountability in the post-fire mop-up. He flags Cornubia, and the pollution bedeviling the site, as an example of how the private sector and the free market maintain Durban’s inherited inequality gap and the environmental racism that plagues it. This distorted power relationship can undermine even the most competent city officials, institutions, and policies.

Many of Durban’s development challenges, which apartheid played a significant role in creating, come together with fast-paced urbanization, free market economics, and the climate crisis to create a perfect storm that threatens resilience, writes Roberts in a co-authored report on the city’s resilience strategy journey.

Meanwhile, the health and environmental issues following the chemical warehouse fire at Cornubia seem far from resolved. Environmental journalist Tony Carnie’s December 2022 reporting in Daily Maverick showed that the ground beneath the damaged warehouse contains dangerously high levels of pesticides, carcinogens and heavy metals, and there’s a risk these toxins could make their way into the groundwater.

These findings are a reminder of the need for rigorous ongoing monitoring at the site and transparency in management and further development in the contamination zone.

But, is it better?

 

Quarry Road informal settlement is flagged to be moved to a safer, properly serviced site. But relocation is a slow process and needs community buy-in. Picture by Paul Botes

When the flood hit Nqanula’s house, it took everything away. She was left with nothing but the sodden clothes she spent the night in, huddled on that service station forecourt waiting out the storm.

It took her independence, too, she says; and her confidence and happiness.

Someone brought blankets and soup the next day, but Nqanula remembers that emergency vehicles couldn’t get in at first because the roads and bridges were so badly damaged. On the second night, they slept on the floor at a nearby school, until they were moved to another hall. Eight months later, many of the Quarry Road evacuees were still living in care centers and relying on the city or its civil society partners for food and other provisions.

Nqanula decided she’d rather find somewhere to rent. She needed space to heal, to pray, to “have herself back”, away from the traumatized crowd.

This isn’t the first time she’s had to put her life back together since she moved to Quarry Road in 2013 – new clothing, new furniture, a new bed, everything. In 2019, a flood destroyed her house, but she wanted to stay in the community, so she bought a shack on the other side of the river. It was higher up, further from the water.

In Nqanula’s early years in Quarry Road, her two sisters lived with her. But between them, they decided to spread the risk. Informal homes are easily damaged by flood or fire. If they lived between two homes, they’d have a backup should one be destroyed; so one sister moved to Glenwood, about 8 km away. After the April floods, Nqanula sent her younger sister there, while she rented a place a 15-minute walk from her old home.

People settle in flood-exposed places for many reasons: they want to be close to jobs and the other opportunities that come with being near the heart of a bustling city, even if they understand there might be weather-related risks. None can afford a suburban house, and the waiting list for a state-subsidized house is endless. Some build their homes on a site that looks ideal during the dry season, unaware of what will come with the rains. Many also have a strong connection with their community and don’t want it torn apart in a relocation process.

Quarry Road is flagged as a priority for relocation to a safer, properly serviced site. But it’s a slow process and needs community buy-in. In the meantime, the city is trying to improve basic services –an “in-situ upgrade”, they call it– with better garbage removal, communal water taps, pit toilets and ablution blocks and stormwater management. Flood-proofing a community is, after all, about more than just putting a solid roof over someone’s head. Homes need to be in a neighborhood with working stormwater drains, refuse removal, water reticulation and  lights on.

Until then, many from Quarry Road are stuck in limbo.

If Nqanula could ask for one thing, it’s that the municipality could give all of them a piece of land “away from the water”. They can build their own homes, she says, even if it takes a long time.

Just a small, safe piece of land.

This story was originally published in Daily Maverick (South Africa) and is republished within the Human Journalism Network program, supported by the ICFJ, International Center for Journalists.

First originally published by The Outlier