Saturday, November 18, 2023

Conservationist raises concerns about Glencore-Teck coal deal


Glencore’s planned acquisition of Teck’s coal mining operations has raised environmental concerns for a Canadian conservation organization.

This week, Glencore announced it would acquire a 77 per cent stake in Vancouver-based Teck Resources’ coal business for US$6.93 billion.

Randal Macnair, Elk Valley conservation coordinator for the Kootenay-based conservation group Wildsight, said the deal “raises a number of concerns” for the region. 

“I hope to see the federal regulatory bodies take a very serious look at this and determine what the benefits and downsides are from a Canadian perspective,” he told BNNBloomberg.ca in a television interview.

“We'll keep on top of that, and it's our intent to make sure that the federal government and by proxy, the provincial government, really does their homework as far as this is concerned.”


Macnair said his organization is still assessing the deal and what it means for the region.

“We will definitely be in touch with the province and the feds as far as our thoughts and position on it,” he said.

ENVIRONMENTAL HISTORY

Glencore has faced a series of environmental issues within its Canadian operations.

Glencore has tried to balance its highly profitable coal mining operation against its own climate goals. The company has promised to cut its coal output, cut emissions and shift its focus to mining the metals needed for the green energy transition, though shareholders have shown waning interest in the plan.

In 2022, the company faced pressure from Quebec’s public health department after a report found arsenic emissions from a copper smelter in Rouyn-Noranda were 55 times higher than the standard safe level.

Meanwhile, Glencore’s plan for an open pit mine in Tumbler Ridge, B.C. never got off the ground after the Impact Assessment Agency of Canada ruled the “significant adverse environmental effects” of the project could not be mitigated.

“Glencore doesn't have exactly a stellar human environmental rights track record throughout the globe,” Macnair said.

When asked about those environmental concerns, Glencore directed BNNBloomberg.ca to a statement from earlier this week announcing the Teck deal, in which Glencore said it was committed to mitigating “impacts on the environment,” and called itself “world-class Canadian steelmaking coal producer with a focus on social and environmental responsibility.”

The company also committed to conserving or rehabilitating “at least three hectares for every one hectare affected by its mining activities,” while providing a 50-per-cent boost to water treatment research and committing for net-zero emissions by 2050.

WATER QUALITY CONCERNS


Macnair has concerns over the future of the International Joint Commission, which is in charge of maintaining water quality among waterways that cross the U.S.-Canada border, among other initiatives.

Teck has faced its own criticisms surrounding international waterways. Pollution from one of its mines seeping into the waterways of Montana and Idaho have become a sore spot for Canada-U.S. relations. In March, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and U.S. President Joe Biden both committed to “reduce and mitigate” water contamination in the area.

Despite the water issue, Macnair said he would still prefer Teck out of Glencore’s hands.

“Whereas we've got lots of concerns about Teck -- and we've certainly raised those concerns…-- Teck as a known entity, it's Canadian,” Macnair said. “We can walk down the streets and communicate with them. Glencore is obviously a large multinational corporation that we don't have experience with and its track record speaks for itself.”

In a statement, Teck Resources also pointed to Glencore’s commitment to water quality research, emissions and land conservation.

“This transaction ensures continued socially and environmentally responsible steelmaking coal operations, while creating significant enhanced benefits for Canada and B.C.,” the statement reads.

Earlier this week, Teck Resources CEO Jonathan Price touted Glencore’s commitment to “maintaining or enhancing” Teck’s social and environmental programs.

“We see this very much as the responsible separation that we've been looking for and we believe that the commitments that Glencore has put forward here are very good for the Elk Valley, for British Columbia and good for Canada,” he told BNN Bloomberg on Tuesday.

GOVERNMENT RESPONSE

The deal still requires federal approval and approval from 10 other jurisdictions, including the countries where Glencore ships its coal.

In a statement, the Ministry of Energy, Mines and Low Carbon Innovation said it does not have jurisdiction to block the takeover, but is “actively engaged” with all parties involved.

“Glencore has made commitments around a headquarters in Vancouver, a regional office in Sparwood, and to work with First Nations,” Josie Osborne, minister of Energy, Mines and Low Carbon Innovation, wrote in the statement.

“It is our expectation that Glencore would meet those commitments and retain existing commitments to environmental stewardship and water quality – working in alignment with our high standards on environmental regulations and collaboration with First Nations.”

In speaking to reporters in the aftermath of the news, Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland said the government would review the deal and consult with the province, while doing its due diligence on the takeover.

“Of course, environmental issues are very, very important for us, as are the rights of Indigenous people,” she said on Tuesday.

Macnair also envisions taking the opportunity to push governments for stronger regulations when it comes to the Public Interest Bonding Strategy, which requires companies to pay for all environmental cleanup of industrial projects in the province.

“The bonding for cleanup of B.C. mines is woefully inadequate and this will certainly be an opportunity to press again for bonding,” he said.

In an emailed statement Thursday, a spokesperson for Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada said Glencore’s acquisition “will be reviewed on its merits, based on an assessment of the overall economic benefit for Canada,” but could not comment further due to confidentiality restrictions.

With files from Bloomberg News

Nov 14, 2023


Teck CEO, experts, politicians speak after Glencore coal deal announced

The CEO of Teck Resources believes his company will have no issue getting the necessary regulatory approvals for Glencore’s proposed purchase of the Canadian miner’s coal business.

On Tuesday, Swiss company Glencore announced it will buy a majority stake in Vancouver-based Teck’s coal business for US$6.93 billion, which paves the way for Teck to split its operations in to two companies: one focused on coal and the other on new metals.

“We heard very clearly from our shareholders over recent months that they wanted to see a simple and complete separation of the steelmaking, coal and base metals businesses that Teck currently holds and this transaction very much delivers on that,” Teck CEO Jonathan Price told BNN Bloomberg in a television interview.

“This is a significant step forward in unlocking the value of our base metals business and really establishing Teck as a Canadian based global critical minerals champion.”

The announcement marks the end of months of tense negotiations and comments from government officials concerned about protecting the country’s natural resources.


Price said new industry protections contained within the deal should ease those concerns and ultimately pave the way for the deal to pass regulatory inspection.

“We'll see Glencore committing to maintaining employment levels in Canada and in the coal business, committing to a Vancouver-based headquarters for the coal business, committing to additional investment in that business in the years ahead, particularly in the areas of research and development and community investments,” he said.

“We see this very much as the responsible separation that we've been looking for and we believe that the commitments that Glencore has put forward here are very good for the Elk Valley, for British Columbia and good for Canada.”

NO REASON FOR OTTAWA TO REFUSE DEAL: EXPERTS

Experts who spoke with BNN Bloomberg on Tuesday agreed that the sale shouldn’t face regulatory roadblocks from the federal government.

“There doesn’t seem to be any logical reason as to why Ottawa wouldn’t, it’s just that these things take time,” Bill Harris, partner and portfolio manager at Avenue Investment Management, told BNN Bloomberg in an interview on Tuesday.

He stressed that the sale makes sense for Teck as the coal market is overseas and Glencore is a global trader. He also pointed to the fact the Teck’s Canadian roots would continue to be present even after the sale.

“Half the press release is basically saying: ‘We’re going to keep this in Canada, we’re going to have offices in Canada, this is going to be a Canadian company, this is Glencore Canada,’” Harris said.

John Manley, senior advisor at Bennett Jones who served as Canada’s finance minister under Jean Chretien between 2002 and 2003, said he believes changes from Glencore's earlier offer will help it pass regulatory scrutiny.

“This is a much easier deal to sell to the Canadian government than the previous one was, partly because … it’s not for the whole company, it’s just for the coal assets, so you’ll continue to have a very important Canadian critical metals company in existence in the remainder of Teck,” he said.

Manley also pointed to the fact that this deal is no longer a hostile takeover, which should make it easier for the governments to accept.


In April, British Columbia Premier David Eby said he would lobby the federal government to prevent any takeover of Teck, due to his concerns Glencore would not be as committed to the province’s climate and jobs goals.

Manley said the tweaks to the deal should ease those concerns.

“I think you’ve got a very different transaction, oe that probably even Premier Eby in the end is going to say: ‘This is OK,’ once he’s got a chance to go through the undertakings that Glencore has made in the context of the transaction offer,” he said.

‘VERY DISAPPOINTED’

Meanwhile, veteran Canadian mining executive Pierre Lassonde, who had previously expressed interest in Teck’s coal business, was dismayed by the deal.

“I’m very disappointed, not for myself, but for Canada,” said Lassonde, who founded mining company Franco-Nevada and is currently president and CEO of Firelight Investments.

Lassonde is concerned that once a two-year commitment to stay in B.C. is up, the Canadian company will head elsewhere – a trend in the country’s business environment that he finds worrying.

“That trend is absolutely murderous for the Canadian dollar and Canadians,” he said. “This is going to keep on accelerating that trend, which I find terrible.”

GOVERNMENT RESPONSE

In speaking at a media event on Tuesday in Toronto, Deputy Prime Minister Chystia Freeland said the regulatory process would be followed before approving the takeover.

“For the government of Canada, our priorities will be as they always are: protecting Canadian jobs, good Canadian jobs (and) protecting Canadian headquarters,” she told reporters.

“Of course, environmental issues are very, very important for us, as are the rights of Indigenous people. We will also consult closely with the province of British Columbia.”

In an email, a spokesperson for Canada’s minister of innovation, science and industry told BNN Bloomberg that the deal is under review.  

“The transaction involving a Canadian company and a foreign company would be subject to a review under the Investment Canada Act (ICA),” the statement reads. “Due to the confidentiality provisions of the Investment Canada Act, we cannot comment further.”

Tony Clement, who served as the federal minister of industry from 2008 to 2011, said in an interview with BNN Bloomberg Tuesday that a deal’s approval comes down to whether regulators believe it will create a “net benefit to Canada.” This can mean the impact on jobs and the environment, to name a few, Clement said.

Additionally, national security risks need to be evaluated for takeovers of this magnitude, though with a deal focused on coal, Clement doesn’t believe there’s much of a concern.

“If this was a critical mineral or metal, it might be a different story,” he said. “You would have to have that overlay of a national security test. I don’t think that’s applicable in this case.” 


What investment experts are saying about the Teck-Glencore coal deal

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Teck Resources Ltd. will sell its coal business to Glencore Plc. in a multibillion dollar deal which could offer great value to shareholders, according to an investment advisor.

Swiss miner Glencore will pay Vancouver-based Teck US$6.93 billion for a 77 per cent stake in its coal business while steelmakers Nippon Steel Corp. and Posco will hold the remainder of the company. The deal requires approval from Canada’s federal government to move forward.

“I think it’s a good deal for shareholders, perhaps shareholders might even get some of that money given back to them,” Allan Small, senior investment advisor at IA Private Wealth, told BNN Bloomberg in an interview on Tuesday.
Teck has considered selling its coal assets for some time and the news of Tuesday’s sale to Glencore could allow Teck to strengthen its business, Small added.

"They’re going to refocus, fix their balance sheet, improve their balance sheet, pay down some debt and … hopefully give some money back to shareholders,” Small said.

The deal will also allow Teck to focus its efforts on other commodities, such as copper, which is positioned to be in great demand amid the clean energy transition, he added.

The company's stock surged following the deal announcement, but Small noted that shares of Teck have been under pressure for some time due to a challenging economic environment.

"Strong dollar, higher interest rates (are) usually not good for commodities in general," Small explained.

Small sees this overall dip in Teck's stock performance as a buying opportunity, even more so now that company is set to receive an influx of proceeds from the sale of its coal business.

“I think the valuations are very reasonable,” he said.

‘IT ALL DEPENDS’

Another investment expert said he views the deal as a positive move for Teck depending on what the company does with the influx of cash.

“It’s probably not a bad move, of course it all depends on how they redeploy the cash they get,” Lorne Steinberg, president of Lorne Steinberg Wealth Management, told BNN Bloomberg in an interview on Tuesday.

He added that commodity stocks such as Teck should not be highly indebted, and he thinks it would be wise for the company to use the incoming funds to improve its balance sheet.

Steinberg expressed some caution over Teck’s future growth plans, which focus on producing copper as the next “big” mineral. 

“I’m always a little wary when the next mineral is going to be the big mineral, like lithium and everything else, because we’ve seen that game play out before,” he said.


Glencore, an empire built on coal, prepares to say goodbye

Glencore Plc made its name — and minted a generation of billionaires — in large part by mining and trading coal. Its former chief and biggest shareholder Ivan Glasenberg once said the world was “horny as hell” for the fuel.

Now it’s getting ready to get out.

The commodity giant has come under growing pressure to stop producing the dirtiest fuel, even as profits from its mines hit eye-watering levels over the past two years. On Tuesday, the company laid out its solution: buying a suite of steelmaking coal mines from Canada’s Teck Resources Ltd., to create an even bigger coal company that Glencore will eventually hand over to its own shareholders.

The exit by one of coal’s biggest champions marks a watershed moment for both the company and the wider mining industry. After the split — which could take almost three years to complete — what’s left will be one of the world’s biggest miners and traders of copper, nickel and cobalt, all essential commodities for the energy transition.

The move reflects a conundrum facing the mining industry. For producers who still have exposure to coal, investor pressure, especially in Europe, is growing. And yet persistently strong demand — particularly as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine continues to disrupt energy markets — means the business remains a huge profit driver.

Glencore’s solution is to list the new combined coal business, which will be the world’s biggest shipper of the fuel, in New York, with secondary listings in Toronto and Johannesburg. The “green” metals company will continue to trade in London.

For Glencore shareholders who will receive stock in the spinoff — chief among them Glasenberg himself who still owns nearly 10 per cent — it’s a big bet on the future appeal of coal in Western capital markets.

“There seems to be a very, very strong appetite in the market and particularly the U.S. for a business of this size, of this scale, of this cash generation,” said Chief Executive Officer Gary Nagle, who succeeded Glasenberg at the helm two years ago. “We believe we would get better valuation.”

DIRTIEST FUEL

Glencore has long been synonymous with coal. Glasenberg, who built Glencore in its current form over his two-decade tenure, made his bones in the company trading the dirtiest fuel and spearheaded its 2013 takeover of Xstrata in a US$90 billion deal that made it the world’s biggest coal shipper. Nagle, like his predecessor, also started his career in the coal business.

Glencore’s bet on coal has paid off handsomely. While it has traditionally vied with copper as the biggest earnings driver, last year soaring coal prices meant it made a record $17.9 billion, dwarfing profits at all its other divisions.

And as rival companies exited the business, Glencore stayed the course. Glasenberg, and then Nagle, insisted the world — and particularly developing countries — still needed Glencore’s coal, and that it was more responsible to run the mines itself than sell them. 

The first sign that it might be thinking about an exit came earlier this year, when Teck said it had rejected a $23 billion takeover offer from Glencore, in which the Swiss company proposed combining the two businesses and then splitting them into specialized metals and coal companies.

However, coal was not the initial prize — Nagle was more interested in Teck’s copper business, and particularly the huge Quebrada Blanca project that borders its own Collahuasi mine in Chile. Copper has become a growing focus for the world’s biggest miners, with demand expected to surge as the world electrifies, while new supply is constrained. 

Teck and its controlling shareholder — Canada’s Keevil family — came out strongly against Glencore’s offer. And as the takeover saga rumbled on, Glencore’s investors continued to sour on coal.

In late May, Glencore’s climate plan lost more support, with only about 70 per cent of investors backing it at the company’s annual meeting. Almost 30 per cent of shareholders also backed a resolution urging the company to explain how its thermal coal business aligns with efforts to limit the increase in global temperatures to 1.5C, forcing the company to engage with investors on both resolutions. 

According to Nagle, shareholders were also receptive to the idea of putting Glencore’s thermal coal mines together with Teck’s longer life coking coal assets in western Canada, to create a more valuable company.

Eventually, with Teck and family patriarch Norman Keevil standing firm, Glencore switched to a bid for the coal business alone. Teck had been forced back to the drawing board on its strategy for the unit, after an earlier, more complicated spinoff plan failed to get enough shareholder support.

On Tuesday, Glencore announced it agreed to pay $6.93 billion for a 77 per cent stake in Teck’s coal business, while steelmakers Nippon Steel Corp. and Posco, which currently own minority stakes in Teck coal mines, will own the rest.

APPEALING TARGETS

Once the deal and spinoff are complete, both Glencore and Teck will be very different companies. While both will be smaller, their focus on metals such as copper and zinc is likely to make them more appealing to both investors and rival companies.

Glencore has one of the world’s biggest copper businesses and crucially is the dominant non-Chinese miner of crucial battery-making ingredient cobalt.

Its sprawling metals business has previously been on the radar of BHP Group — the world’s biggest miner — and could feasibly become a target once the coal business is gone. 

It’s a similar story for Teck. And while the company has agreed a standstill with Glencore for two years after the close of the deal, the restriction would lapse if another miner decided to take a run at the Canadian company.

Nagle, who insists walking away with only Teck’s coal mines is not a second prize, now has just over two years to sell his giant new coal business to investors and create an appetite that will deliver the increased value he expects.

“This is not an exact science, you can get 10 experts in the room and get different opinions,” the CEO said, on the potential valuation of the new company once it is listed. “I think the general view is that there would be some material value creation and that’s why we’ve gone down this road.”


IRONY

Tech giant Amazon's first Canadian wind farm project to be located in Alberta

Tech giant Amazon is investing in its first Canadian wind farm.

The company said it will partner with developer Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners on a 495-megawatt capacity wind farm to be built in Vulcan County in southern Alberta.

The announcement on Thursday marks Amazon's fourth renewable energy project in Canada and comes on the heels of the recent opening of the company's Travers Solar Project, which is also located in southern Alberta and is the largest solar farm ever constructed in Canada.

That project, together with the newly announced wind farm, will help power Amazon’s local operations in Alberta, including its fulfilment centers, sortation centers, delivery stations and Amazon Web Services data center.

Amazon has also previously invested in a smaller solar farm in Newell County, Alta., and a rooftop solar energy project at an Amazon delivery station in Nisku, Alta. 


The company is one of a growing number of large corporations that are seeking to achieve their own environmental commitments by purchasing long-term renewable electricity contracts known as power purchase agreements.

The Alberta electricity market in particular has seen a significant increase in corporate power purchase agreements in recent years — a trend that has contributed to the rapid growth of the renewable energy sector in the province.

“Amazon demonstrates strong leadership in contracting the renewable energy they need to power their operations in Alberta," said Evan Wilson, vice-president of policy at the Canadian Renewable Energy Association. 

"There is a similar demand from corporate customers across Canada who want to power their operations with renewable energy."

Amazon has committed to powering its operations with 100 per cent renewable energy by 2030, and says it is on track to reach that goal ahead of schedule.

The company currently has 479 wind and solar projects globally.

Besides Amazon, other companies that have signed renewable power purchase agreements in Canada in recent years include RBC, Shopify, Telus and Ikea.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 16, 2023.

 

'Milestone investment': Unilever opens global AI lab in Toronto


Unilever has announced the opening of its first and only global artificial intelligence (AI) lab in Toronto.

The British-Dutch soap and consumer goods company’s “Horizon3 Labs” opened on Thursday, with the aim to “accelerate the generation of new AI concepts, designs and projects,” Unilever said in a press release.

“Unilever is making a significant investment in developing and deploying AI technology across the business, and the launch of Unilever’s AI lab will expedite the progress we are making globally and enable us to have the right focus on technology innovation,” Andy Hill, Unilever’s chief data officer, said in the release.

The company said it chose Toronto as the site for its AI lab because of its “strategic” location, with a concentration of AI expertise already present across academia, start-ups and established businesses.

“Unilever will look to benefit from the top-tier talent the city’s ecosystem offers,” the company press release said, adding that the work done in its Toronto lab will be incorporated into its global business. 


The company worked with investment attraction agency Toronto Global during the process of choosing the city as the location for the lab.

Toronto Global CEO Stephen Lund called the announcement a “milestone investment for the Toronto Region tech ecosystem.”

FOCUS ON AI

Unilever said its investment in the lab grew from the company’s focus on using AI to increase productivity and efficiency, noting that it is already using AI technology in its operations, including customer service, marketing, and general logistics.

For example, as part of its operations as owner of ice cream maker Ben and Jerry’s, Unilever said it currently has 50,000 AI-enabled ice cream freezers that move frozen product around autonomously.

Other Unilever-owned brands include Dove, Hellmann’s, Vaseline, Degree, Axe, and TRESemmé.

CANADA

EV battery subsidy deals to cost $5.8B more than government projections: PBO report

ALL CAPITALI$M IS STATE CAPITALI$M

A new report from the Parliamentary Budget Officer says provincial and federal support for electric vehicle battery manufacturing in Canada will cost $5.8 billion more than previously announced government projections.

The report, released Friday, analyzes the costs to governments of recent deals struck with Northvolt, Volkswagen and Stellantis-LGES to locate EV battery manufacturing facilities in Canada.

So far, the governments of Canada, Ontario and Quebec have announced a combined $37.7 billion in production subsidies and construction support for the three companies.


But the budget watchdog's report said the total cost of government support between 2022 and 2033 will likely be closer to $43.6 billion, with the extra $5.8 billion representing foregone corporate income tax revenues for Ottawa and the two provinces.

This is because the Canadian subsidies are being designed to match the U.S. Advanced Manufacturing Tax Credit, which is part of that country's sweeping Inflation Reduction Act. 

In a June report, the PBO noted that a tax adjustment would need to be provided to the three battery makers to ensure after-tax equivalency with the U.S. program. 

Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland has since clarified that the production subsidies provided to Volkswagen will not be subject to taxation, and Friday's PBO report assumes the Stellantis and Northvolt subsidies won't be either.

"To increase transparency around these announcements, we are providing an estimate of the total cost of government support for EV battery manufacturing — including both announced and non-announced costs," said parliamentary budget officer Yves Giroux in a news release. 

Of the total $43.6 billion in costs, 62 per cent will be borne by the federal government and 38 per cent will fall on the governments of Ontario and Quebec, the report said.

The report also estimates a break-even timeline for governments of 11 years for the Northvolt production subsidy, 15 years for the Volkswagen subsidy and 23 years for the Stellantis subsidy. 

Volkswagen's battery plant will be built in St Thomas, Ont., and the Stellantis-LGES plant will be built in Windsor, Ont. The Northvolt facility will be built about 30 km east of Montreal.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 17, 2023.


Parkland strikes electric vehicle station funding deal with Infrastructure Bank

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More electric vehicle charging stations are on the way as the Canada Infrastructure Bank says it has signed a second funding deal to expand fast-charging options.

The federal Crown corporation says it will provide up to $210 million in loans to help Parkland Corp. expand its charging network by upwards of 2,000 fast-charging ports at as many as 400 sites. 

It's CIB's second major funding announcement for charging stations, after it provided a $220 million loan in April to Flo Inc. to help it build more than 2,000 fast-charging ports across Canada by 2027.

The charging investments come as the federal government works towards a mandate of full electric vehicle sales by 2035 to reduce road transportation emissions, which make up about 18 per cent of Canada's total greenhouse gas emissions.

Ehren Cory, chief executive of the CIB, says the funding will speed up the rollout of fast chargers.

He says companies are already expanding charging options, but it's important that the pace increase.

“The challenge is that if we are going to drive accelerated, widespread EV adoption, we need to reduce range anxiety by getting more high speed chargers deployed faster," said Cory.

“The whole goal here is rapid deployment."

The funding comes from the CIB's charging and hydrogen refuelling infrastructure initiative that has a $500 million funding target, but Cory said he hopes to exceed that amount.

Darren Smart, senior vice-president of energy transition at Parkland, said in a statement that the company's initial investments in electric vehicle charging have been positive with strong customer interest.  

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 16, 2023.


Trudeau, Eby announce $1 billion battery plant in Maple Ridge, B.C.

A lithium-ion battery cell production plant costing more than $1 billion will be built in Maple Ridge, B.C.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Premier David Eby jointly announced that the new E-One Moli facility will bolster Canada's role as a global leader in clean technology.

A statement says the province is contributing up to $80 million, with $970 million coming from the federal government, E-One Moli and private sources. 

The plant will produce high-performance lithium-cell batteries found in numerous products, including vacuums, medical devices and power and garden tools. 

The statement has no details about when the plant will begin operations, but says it is expected to create 450 permanent jobs.

As part of the agreement, E-One Moli will be switching some of its plant operations from natural gas to electricity, in what the province says is part of its role in the clean-technology industry. 

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 14, 2023.


CANADA

Millennials had largest drop in homeownership rates over a decade: Zoocasa

A report looking at homeownership trends in Canada is noting that millennials experienced the largest decrease in homeownership rates during the mid-2000s.

In a report released Monday, real estate website Zoocasa examined homeownership rates and average home prices across Canadian provinces from 2011 to 2021, based on data from Statistics Canada. 

It found the rate of homeownership has dropped overall and millennial Canadians, defined by Zoocasa as people born between 1981 and 1996, saw the largest drop.

Of those millennials, people between the ages of 25 and 29 saw their rate of homeownership drop to 36.5 per cent in 2021 from 44.1 per cent in 2011.

People aged 30 to 34 saw their homeownership rate drop 11.7 per cent over the same period, the researchers found, while those aged 35 to 39 per cent with an 8.3 per cent drop.


Younger millennials were identified by Zoocasa as having difficulty entering the real estate market. Another recent survey by Zoocasa found that 67 per cent of millennials indicated they have delayed purchasing a home due to affordability barriers.

The report found that people under the age of 40 had a homeownership rate lower than the 66.5 per cent national average. The group of people between the ages of 40 and 44 was the closest to the national average, while those aged 45 and older surpassed the national average. 

WHO SAW HOMEOWNERSHIP RATES RISE?

The highest rate of homeownership was among Canadians aged 65 to 69, the report found, at 75.6 per cent.

Canadians between the ages of 75 and 84, meanwhile, were found to be the only demographic with rising rates of homeownership between 2011 and 2021. 

LARGER MARKETS 

Zoocasa’s report found that prospective buyers were being “squeezed out of major markets.”

Quebec was found to have the lowest homeownership rate at 59 per cent, despite having comparatively more affordable home prices than other provinces, the report said. Between 20111 and 2021, the province’s home ownership rate fell only 1.3 per cent, the smallest change. 

The second lowest levels of homeownership rates were held by both B.C. and Nova Scotia at 66.8 per cent, the report said, noting that provinces saw “significant drops from 2011.” 

“In British Columbia, the homeownership rate fell by 3.2 per cent from 2011 to 2021, and one explanation for this is its rapid price acceleration,” the report said. 

The report found that in 2021, the average home price in B.C. was $910,800, rising 80 per cent from $506,100 in 2011.


Ontario was found to have had the largest increase in average national home prices “by far” between 2011 and 2021.

The report noted that the homeownership rate dropped in Ontario by 3.1 per cent between 2011 and 2021, as average incomes have not risen alongside mortgage payments. 

MORE AFFORDABLE MARKETS

Provinces with more affordable housing markets had higher rates of ownership, the report found.

Newfoundland and Labrador was found to be the province with the highest rate of homeownership and had the second-lowest average home price in 2021 at $263,900. 

The homeownership rate in Newfoundland and Labrador was 75.7 per cent in 2021, decreasing by 1.8 per cent from 77.5 per cent in 2011, the report said. During that time the average home price rose by only 9.3 per cent, which was the smallest growth rate among all provinces.

New Brunswick had the second highest rate of homeownership across provinces at 73 per cent, according to the report. The province also had the lowest average home price in 2021 at $239,900. 

The only other provinces with homeownership rates above 70 per cent in 2021 were Alberta and Saskatchewan, the report said, with both provinces coming in just over the threshold. 

 

Average Canadian rent price hits new high for sixth consecutive month: report


RENT IS INFLATION



The average asking price for a rental unit in Canada reached $2,178 last month, a 9.9 per cent year-over-year increase and continuing a trend that has seen asking rents hit new highs for six months in a row.

That's according to the latest rental price report released by Rentals.ca and Urbanation, analyzing monthly listings from the former's network. The findings show while October's annual rate of rent growth in Canada was down from the 11.1 per cent jump in September, it still marked the second fastest annual increase of the past seven months.

On a monthly basis, average asking rents increased 1.4 per cent in October, a slight decrease from the monthly gains of 1.5 per cent in September and 1.8 per cent in August, which was attributed to seasonal factors.

The average cost of a one-bedroom unit in October was $1,906, up 14 per cent from the same month in 2022, while the average asking price for a two-bedroom was $2,255, up 11.8 per cent annually, according to the report.

Vancouver led the way again as Canada's most expensive city for renters, with the average one-bedroom unit listed at $2,872 and a two-bedroom at $3,777 — both down from September's asking prices, but up 6.7 per cent and 5.5 per cent, respectively, on an annual basis.


Toronto was the next highest ranked major city at $2,607 for a one-bedroom and $3,424 for a two-bedroom.

The report said rent inflation in Canada is being driven by price increases in Alberta, Quebec and Nova Scotia, in part because of strong population growth and large infusions of new rental supply priced at above-average market rents.

"I get asked all the time, 'How are people affording this?' The answer is they're not," said Rentals.ca spokesman Giacomo Ladas.

"Rents are getting so high to the point where people are almost out of options. They're looking desperately to find more affordable rents."

Calgary topped the list when measured by annual rent growth for apartments out of Canada's largest cities for the ninth straight month. 

Asking rents for purpose-built and condominium apartments in Calgary rose 14.7 per cent year-over-year to reach an average of $2,093, while Montreal was in the second spot with annual rent growth of 10.2 per cent, for an average of $2,046 in October, the data shows.

"We can tell that because there's so much interprovincial migration going on that people are leaving areas like Ontario and B.C. and they're searching for more affordable rents, and they're going to places like Calgary," said Ladas.

He noted a major factor driving up rent prices is the trend of fewer people looking to become homeowners, given the ongoing climate of high interest rates. One-third of Canadian households are renters, the rate for which is growing twice as fast as it is for homeowners, he added. 

"People are not moving out and going into the home ownership market because they can't with these rates," he said.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 13, 2023.

 

More seniors choosing to age in home instead of downsizing: CMHC report

A new report from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation says that although seniors tend to consider downsizing as they age, a large proportion are instead choosing to age in their home rather than put it on the market.

CMHC says the usual increase in renter rates as cohorts age has been occurring later in life and is less pronounced than it used to be.

That could be due to factors such as people living longer, households having more money than their predecessors and relying less on property sales to provide for themselves, and homeowners in urban centres having a wider range of housing to choose from.

The report says households in Toronto and Vancouver are the most likely to transition to condominiums, while in Montreal, there’s a preference for moving to rental housing.

As Canada looks to create additional housing to bring costs down, the national housing agency says solutions geared toward seniors could include increasing supply from existing units by creating secondary suites or laneway homes.

CMHC says policy makers should monitor trends in the coming decades to see whether aging in place could become more popular with seniors, or whether the recent rise in rental housing starts in various regions across the country encourage more senior households to opt for renting.