Monday, December 01, 2025

 

The largest ice desert has the fewest ice nuclei worldwide




New observations help explain why the southern hemisphere is warming less quickly than the northern hemisphere



Leibniz Institute for Tropospheric Research (TROPOS)

Española Cove with the Spanish Juan Carlos I Station. 

image: 

Española Cove with the Spanish Juan Carlos I Station. Here, researchers from Leipzig took filter samples during the Spanish PI-ICE expedition in the southern summer of 2018/19, which were used in the analysis of ice nuclei over Antarctica.

view more 

Credit: Sebastian Zeppenfeld, TROPOS

 

Leipzig. There are fewer ice nuclei in the air above the large ice surfaces of Antarctica than anywhere else in the world. This is the conclusion reached by an international research team led by the Leibniz Institute for Tropospheric Research (TROPOS) based on filter measurements of cloud particles at three locations in Antarctica. These are the first of their kind on the continent. The data now published fills a knowledge gap and could explain the large proportion of supercooled liquid water in the clouds of the southern polar region. Clouds containing liquid water droplets reflect sunlight more strongly than clouds containing ice. Fewer ice nuclei and less ice in the clouds could contribute to the southern hemisphere not warming as much as the northern hemisphere, the researchers write in the journal Geophysical Research Letters.

 

It has long been known that the clouds over the Southern Ocean around Antarctica contain more water and less ice than comparable clouds in the Northern Hemisphere. However, without details on the causes and measurement series, climate models based on data from the Northern Hemisphere cannot be adjusted. The measurements of ice nuclei now provide an important detail for this. Further data will be provided by flights of the German research aircraft HALO, whose HALO-South mission ended in New Zealand in mid-October, as well as a series of Antarctic expeditions planned for 2026-2030 as part of the major international research project "Antarctica InSync".

 

 

Clouds continue to be the greatest source of uncertainty in climate models. Ice in clouds plays a major role in this, as ice formation processes influence radiation properties, precipitation formation and, consequently, the lifespan of clouds. Ice formation is made possible by so-called ice nucleating particles (INPs). INPs act as catalysts, because without these particles, cloud droplets only freeze below -38°C. Particularly over the Southern Ocean around Antarctica, where concentrations of ice nuclei are low in the clean atmosphere, large differences in radiation effects between models and measurements have been observed. For this reason, ice nuclei have become the focus of cloud research.

 

Globally, mineral dust particles make up the majority of ice nuclei at low temperatures. At higher temperatures, however, ice nuclei are mostly of biological origin and contain proteins or polysaccharides. Since there is more biological activity in summer than in winter, a clear annual cycle with a maximum in summer and a minimum in winter can be observed in many regions. Researchers have been able to observe these seasonal fluctuations even in the Arctic – but not in Antarctica.

 

Until now, there has been no solid data on Antarctica. For the recently published study, aerosol particles were collected using filters in Antarctica, stored at -20°C and finally examined for ice nuclei in the TROPOS laboratory in Leipzig. To do this, the researchers used two devices, LINA (Leipzig Ice Nucleation Array) and INDA (Ice Nucleation Droplet Array), which optically count the number of ice nuclei in the atmosphere at different temperatures. This standardised method makes it possible to determine where there are more ice nuclei floating in the atmosphere and where there are fewer.

Most of the samples examined came from the German Antarctic station Neumayer III, where data from two complete years was obtained between December 2019 and 2021. Neumayer III is located on the Eckström Ice Shelf, about 20 kilometres from the ice edge. The time series obtained there is unique to date and particularly valuable due to measurements taken during the southern winter. The researchers were also able to analyse filter samples taken during the southern summers of 2020/21 and 2021/22 at the Belgian Antarctic station Princess Elisabeth, which is located on a mountain range at an altitude of about 1400 metres and 200 kilometres from the sea. The analysis also included filter samples from the Spanish PI-ICE expedition, which had studied the atmosphere above the Antarctic Peninsula and the Spanish Antarctic station Juan Carlos I on Livingston Island during the southern summer of 2018/19. "To our knowledge, there has never been such a long time series of filters from which INPs have been determined on the Antarctic mainland. In 2023, Chinese researchers collected snow samples on a sled tour, but these only allow indirect conclusions to be drawn about ice nuclei. Our direct and extended measurements are therefore a first for the Antarctic continent," says Dr Heike Wex from TROPOS, explaining the significance of the study.

 

The number of ice nuclei above the sea on the Antarctic Peninsula was comparable to previous measurements at other locations in the Southern Ocean. However, the two Antarctic stations Neumayer III and Princess Elisabeth showed lower values than ever before. What was particularly striking about the 24-month measurements from the German Antarctic station Neumayer III was that there were no seasonal variations in the number of ice nuclei, nor were there any heat-sensitive ice nuclei in the samples. "This generally indicates very few biogenic protein-containing ice nuclei, which is probably related to the low level of biological activity on the Antarctic continent, which – if at all – is only found near the coast in summer," explains Dr Heike Wex. Since Antarctica releases few ice nuclei into the atmosphere due to a lack of dust sources and biological activity, the number of ice nuclei above the Southern Ocean around Antarctica is also relatively low. This could explain the large proportion of supercooled droplets in the clouds there, which remain liquid and do not freeze due to the lack of ice nuclei. The proportion of water and ice in the clouds, in turn, influences the radiation properties and could contribute to the Southern Hemisphere warming less than the Northern Hemisphere.

 

"Our results provide important data that can help improve understanding and thus also global climate models. In addition, the concentration of ice nuclei in Antarctica could increase due to global warming, as retreating glaciers expose more land to vegetation and the biosphere could become more active. Therefore, determining the current state can be helpful in assessing the potential impacts of future changes," reports Dr Silvia Henning from TROPOS. From the measurements taken at Neumayer III, the team was able to derive a parameterization that could be used to predict ice nuclei at Princess Elisabeth and which can therefore be used for modelling, at least for this part of Antarctica. Future studies in 2027-2030 as part of the large international research project "Antarctica InSync" will show whether this also applies to other regions of the Antarctic continent.

Tilo Arnhold

 

Clouds in Antarctica. In 2019, the Spanish PI-ICE expedition around the Antarctic Peninsula, in which researchers from TROPOS also participated, investigated the influence of sugar compounds on cloud formation. The filter samples were also very useful for analysing ice nuclei.

Halo through ice clouds over Antarctica. Halos are often caused by light refraction on ice crystals, such as those found in cirrus or cirrostratus clouds.


Dr Silvia Henning on the container of the Air Chemistry Observatory at the German Antarctic station Neumayer III. Filter samples were taken there for two years from December 2019 to December 2021. 

Credit

Silvia Henning, TROPOS

 

Coral reefs have stabilized Earth’s carbon cycle for the past 250 million years



New study shows ancient reefs have tuned Earth’s climate recovery for millennia



University of Sydney

ANIMATION - suitability regions for warm-water corals to present day 

video: 

Simulated suitability regions for warm-water corals over past 250 million years. Higher probabilities (red) reflect greater potential for coral growth. 

view more 

Credit: Tristan Salles/University of Sydney




Coral reefs have long been celebrated as biodiversity hotspots – but new research shows they have also played a much deeper role: conducting the rhythm of Earth’s carbon and climate cycles for more than 250 million years.

Published this week in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), the study reveals that the rise and fall of shallow-water reef habitats have governed how quickly the planet recovered from major carbon dioxide (CO₂) shocks.

Researchers from the University of Sydney and Université Grenoble Alpes combined plate-tectonic reconstructions, global surface processes and climate simulations, with ecological modelling to reconstruct shallow-water carbonate production back to the Triassic Period. They found that the Earth system flips between two distinct modes that determine the pace of climate recovery.

Lead author Associate Professor Tristan Salles from the University of Sydney’s School of Geosciences said: “Reefs didn’t just respond to climate change – they helped set the tempo of recovery.”

Two modes of Earth’s carbon cycle

In one mode, when tropical shelves are extensive and reefs thrive, carbonate accumulates in shallow seas, reducing chemical exchange with the deep ocean. This weakens the biological pump – the process by which marine organisms draw down carbon – and slows the planet’s recovery from carbon shocks.

In the other mode, when reef space collapses due to tectonic or sea-level change, calcium and alkalinity build up in the ocean. Carbonate burial then shifts to the deep sea, stimulating nannoplankton productivity and accelerating climate recovery.

Reefs as climate regulators

The findings recast reefs and other shallow-water carbonate systems as active modulators of Earth’s buffering capacity rather than passive recorders of environmental change. This shifting balance between shallow- and deep-water carbonate burial also influenced the evolution of marine plankton and long-term ocean chemistry.

“These switches profoundly alter the biogeochemical equilibrium,” said co-lead author Dr Laurent Husson (CNRS - UGA).

“The big expansion of planktonic life happened exactly when shallow reefs were ‘turned down’ by the Earth system,” he said. Such changes modified the ocean’s biological pump and in turn, the climate and the speed at which it recovers from global perturbations.

This study suggests reefs have been central not only to marine biodiversity but also to the planet’s ability to stabilise climate.

What this means today

Although this study focuses on Earth’s deep past, it offers clear lessons for the future. Modern reef systems are declining rapidly due to warming and ocean acidification. If this trajectory mirrors ancient episodes of reef collapse, carbonate burial may shift from shallow reefs to the deep ocean – a habitability-limited mode. In principle, this could help draw down atmospheric carbon.

However, the very organisms that drive deep-sea carbonate burial – plankton and other calcifying species – are themselves increasingly threatened by acidifying oceans and continued CO₂ emissions. Any potential stabilising effect would therefore come only after severe and irreversible ecological loss.

Associate Professor Salles said: “From our perspective on the past 250 million years, we know the Earth system will eventually recover from the massive carbon disruption we are now entering. But this recovery will not occur on human timescales. Our study shows that geological recovery requires thousands to hundreds of thousands of years.”

DOWNLOAD the study, an animation and photos at this link.

Research

Salles, T. et al ‘Carbonate burial regimes, the Meso-Cenozoic climate and nannoplankton expansion’ (Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of North America 2025). DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2516468122

Declaration

The authors declare no competing interests. Funding was received from the Australian Research Council and with support from the National Computational Infrastructure of the Australian Government.

Alkaline limited regime (left) leads to slow climate recovery. Reef space collapse (right) stimulates nannoplankton productivity and climate recovery.

Credit

Tristan Salles/PNAS/USYD

 

FAU survey: Hurricane season ends, but weather woes push Floridians to move





Florida Atlantic University

Floridians' Weather Woes 

image: 

A new FAU survey finds 36% of Floridians have moved or may move due to hurricanes, flooding and heat; more than 60% fear stronger storms and floods, and nearly half worry about rising home insurance costs.

view more 

Credit: Alex Dolce, Florida Atlantic University




Although the Atlantic hurricane season has officially ended, Floridians’ woes over severe weather and soaring homeowners’ insurance costs still linger. A new Florida Atlantic University survey finds hurricanes and other climate-related threats are causing many Floridians to consider moving.

The Florida Climate Survey found that 36% of respondents statewide had moved or were considering moving in part or fully due to weather hazards. Broken down by region, the results show that threats such as hurricanes, flooding and extreme heat have already influenced some Floridians to relocate.

Nearly a quarter of North Floridians (24%) reported that these factors contributed to a previous decision to move within the state. Across much of the peninsula, from Tampa to Cape Canaveral south, about 20% of respondents report that weather hazards play a role in them exploring a move.

“About 1 in 5 Floridians from about the I-4 corridor to Key West are considering a move due to weather hazards,” said Colin Polsky, Ph.D., associate vice president of Broward campuses for FAU and a professor of geosciences in the Charles E. Schmidt College of Science. “Some of these people may wish to move but cannot afford the expenses. This shows a possibly large number of residents struggling with weather hazards.”

The survey is the 13th conducted by the FAU Center for Environmental Studies on Floridians’ opinions about climate resilience issues since October 2019. The latest survey was conducted in late September — about one year after Hurricane Helene made landfall in Florida, a storm that was followed about two weeks later by Hurricane Milton and a related tornado outbreak.

Underpinning the interest in moving are concerns about weather hazards. More than 60% of Floridians are moderately or extremely concerned about hurricanes becoming stronger and/or more frequent (63%), and about rainfall becoming heavier in the state and higher flooding from storm surge near the coast (61% in both cases).

“Despite a major shift in the national weather and climate conversation in 2025, people’s lived experiences in Florida appear to have kept these hazards top of mind, influencing where people think it is safe to live,” Polsky said.

While the survey found that an overwhelming majority of Floridians believe climate change is happening (85%), the level was the lowest in the survey’s six-year history.

Just more than half of Floridians believe climate change is caused by human activity (52%), the latest results found. Breaking down that finding by political party, 71% of Democrats, 50% of Independents and 39% of Republicans said they believe human actions are causing climate change.  

Nearly half of Floridians (49%) report concern about the affordability of homeowner’s insurance due to climate change. The survey also found that more than 60% of Floridians want the federal or state government to do more to address the impacts of climate change, but the finding was the lowest level since questions about climate action were added in March 2023.

“While public support for climate action may swing wildly from one presidential election to another, a substantial share of Floridians face an abiding weather risk,” Polsky said.

The survey was conducted in English and Spanish from Sept. 24 to 30. The sample consisted of 1,400 Floridians aged 18 and older, with a survey margin of error of +/- 2.53%. The data were collected using an online panel provided by GreatBlue Research. Responses were weighted to adjust for age, income, education, gender and region, according to the 2023 U.S. Census Bureau’s American Community Survey. It is important to remember that subsets carry higher margins of error.

For more information, survey results and full cross-tabulations, visit www.ces.fau.edu/ces-bepi/ or contact Colin Polsky, Ph.D., at cpolsky@fau.edu.  

- FAU -

About Florida Atlantic University:

Florida Atlantic University serves more than 32,000 undergraduate and graduate students across six campuses along Florida’s Southeast coast. Recognized as one of only 21 institutions nationwide with dual designations from the Carnegie Classification - “R1: Very High Research Spending and Doctorate Production” and “Opportunity College and University” - FAU stands at the intersection of academic excellence and social mobility. Ranked among the Top 100 Public Universities by U.S. News & World Report, FAU is also nationally recognized as a Top 25 Best-In-Class College and cited by Washington Monthly as “one of the country’s most effective engines of upward mobility.” As a university of first choice for students across Florida and the nation, FAU welcomed its most academically competitive incoming class in university history in Fall 2025. To learn more, visit www.fau.edu.

 

Toxic fear: New study suggests flood-driven contamination deepens climate anxiety in vulnerable communities




Rice University




Major storms are spreading industrial contaminants across entire neighborhoods, raising concerns about future well-being, especially in communities of color, according to new research from Rice University and the University of Alberta.

Jim Elliott, professor of sociology at Rice, said industrial activity has not only contributed to climate change but also produced enormous amounts of contamination at risk of remobilization during local flood events. Elliott is the lead author of “Toxic Fear: Climate, Contamination and Worries about Future Flooding in Coastal Industrial Communities,” published in Natural Hazards Review.

“We wanted to see how these dynamics are affecting people’s worries about the future, particularly in coastal communities defined more by ongoing industrial activities than tourism,” he said.

The scholars focused on Houston, analyzing survey data on residents’ experiences during Hurricane Harvey in 2017 and their worries about future flood events. The researchers found that residents who suspected their neighborhoods were not only flooded but also contaminated by the storm expressed significantly higher concern about future flooding, not just in general but also in terms of likely impacts to their home, health and neighborhood — pillars of community resilience.

“In terms of climate anxiety, it seems it’s one thing to flood, but it is quite another thing for that flood to be toxic,” said Alex Priest, professor of environmental sociology at the University of Alberta. “When that happens, residents worry a lot more about their climate futures.”

The researchers found that this dynamic is particularly acute in communities of color, where suspected exposure to toxic floodwaters during Harvey was much more common. “It’s really quite stark,” said Phylicia Brown, research affiliate at Rice’s new Center for Coastal Futures and Adaptive Resilience (CFAR). “We find that the average Black resident impacted by Hurricane Harvey would need to increase their household income by more than $200,000 to achieve the same protection as the average white resident from suspected contamination. That amount is even higher for Latino residents in our study.”

Elliott said the findings show an urgent need for new flood strategies in America’s coastal industrial communities.

“We need to stop thinking of industrial pollution and rising climate risks as separate environmental challenges,” he said. “More and more they are connected and call for planning at all levels of government to make the places where they collide safer and more resilient for generations to come.”

Stephen Brown, a graduate fellow in sociology at Rice, added, “The good news is that if we act now, we can help reduce worries that residents have about their long-term futures in the places they call home.”

The researchers are working with local nonprofit organizations to address these ongoing challenges through Rice’s CFAR.

The study is available online at https://doi.org/10.1061/NHREFO.NHENG-2568.


To schedule an interview with one of the researchers, contact Kat Cosley Trigg at Kat.Cosley.Trigg@rice.edu.