Monday, May 19, 2025

 

Turkey makes $30 billion natural gas discovery in the Black Sea


Published: 

Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Turkey's president, during a news conference at Villa Doria Pamphili in Rome, at Villa Doria Pamphili in Roma, Italy, on Tuesday, April 29, 2025. Erdogan travelled to Italy to meet with Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and attend a business forum in Rome. (Alessia Pierdomenico/Bloomberg)

Turkey has discovered 75 billion cubic meters of natural gas worth $30 billion dollars in the Black Sea, according to President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.

During a speech in Istanbul on Saturday, Erdogan said the discovery was made after 49 days of drilling at the Goktepe 3 field in Sakarya and will meet residential demand for 3.5 years.

In 2020, Turkey found 320 billion cubic meters of natural gas in the biggest ever discovery in the Black Sea.

Erdogan said the country will continue exploration “until we achieve our goal of complete energy independence.”

©2025 Bloomberg L.P.

Trump’s tariffs may mean Walmart shoppers pay more, his treasury chief acknowledges


By The Associated Press
Published: May 18, 2025 

Bicycles are displayed at a Walmart, Wednesday, April 16, 2025, in Groton, Conn. (AP Photo/Julia Demaree Nikhinson, File)

WASHINGTON — U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent acknowledged Sunday that Walmart, the largest U.S. retailer, may pass along some of the costs from U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs to its shoppers through higher prices.

Bessent described his call with the company’s CEO a day after Trump warned Walmart to avoid raising prices from the tariffs at all and vowed to keep a close watch on what it does.

As doubts persist about Trump’s economic leadership, Bessent pushed back against inflation concerns, praised the uncertainty caused by Trump as a negotiating tactic for trade talks and dismissed the downgrade Friday of U.S. government debt by Moody’s Ratings.

Yet Walmart does not appear prepared to “eat the tariffs” in full, as Trump has insisted the company and China would do.

Bessent said he spoke Saturday with Walmart CEO Doug McMillon, stressing in two news show interviews that what he thought really mattered for Walmart customers was the decline in gasoline prices. Gas is averaging roughly US$3.18 a gallon, down from a year ago but also higher over the past week, according to AAA.


“Walmart will be absorbing some of the tariffs, some may get passed on to consumers,” Bessent said on CNN. “Overall, I would expect inflation to remain in line. But I don’t blame consumers for being skittish after what happened to them for years under Biden,” a reference to inflation hitting a four-decade high in June 2022 under then President Joe Biden as the recovery from the pandemic, government spending and the Russian invasion of Ukraine pushed up costs.

Walmart did not comment on Bessent’s description of his conversation with McMillon.

In a social media post on Saturday morning, Trump said Walmart should not charge its customers more money to offset the new tariff costs. “I’ll be watching, and so will your customers!!!” he posted.

Bessent said Walmart on its earnings call on Thursday had been obligated under federal regulations “to give the worst-case scenario so that they’re not sued,” suggesting in an NBC interview that the price increases would not be severe in his view.

But Walmart executives said last week that higher prices began to appear on their shelves in late April and accelerated this month.

“We’re wired to keep prices low, but there’s a limit to what we can bear, or any retailer for that matter,” Chief Financial Officer John David Rainey told The Associated Press on Thursday.

Bessent maintained that the ratings downgrade was a “lagging indicator” as the financial markets had already priced in the costs of a total federal debt of roughly $36 trillion. Still, the tax plan being pushed by Trump would add more roughly $3.3 trillion to deficits over the next decade, including a $600 billion increase in 2027 alone, according to the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget.

The treasury secretary maintained that deficits would not be a problem because the economy would grow faster than the debt accumulation, reducing its increase as a size of the overall economy.

Most independent analyses are skeptical of the administration’s claims that it can achieve three per cent average growth as Trump’s 2018 tax cuts failed to do so. Those tax cuts from Trump’s first term did boost economic growth before the pandemic, but they also raised the budget deficit relative to previous estimates by the Congressional Budget Office.

On tariffs, the Trump administration is still trying to determine rates with roughly 40 major trading partners before a July deadline. It’s also in the early stages of a 90-day negotiation with China, after agreed a week ago to reset tariffs on that country from 145 per cent to 30 per cent so that talks can proceed.

Bessent said any worries about tariffs by small business owners most likely reflected the higher rate previously being charged on China. Still, the uncertainty has been a major drag for consumers and businesses trying to make spending plans in the weeks, months and years ahead.


“Strategic uncertainty is a negotiating tactic,” Bessent said. “So if we were to give too much certainty to the other countries, then they would play us in the negotiations.”

Bessent appeared on NBC’s “Meet the Press” and CNN’s “State of the Union.”

Josh Boak, The Associated Press



Trump tells Walmart to ‘eat the tariffs’ as retailer expects prices to increase

By CNN
Published: May 17, 2025 

Toys are displayed on shelves in a Walmart Supercenter on May 15, in Austin, Texas. (Brandon Bell/Getty Images via CNN Newsource)

U.S. President Donald Trump on Saturday said Walmart needs to stop “trying to blame tariffs” after the retail giant announced its products would become more expensive.

Walmart’s CEO said the price increases were a result of Trump’s tariffs being “too high,” particularly when it came to Chinese goods.

“We will do our best to keep our prices as low as possible. But given the magnitude of the tariffs, even at the reduced levels announced this week, we aren’t able to absorb all the pressure given the reality of narrow retail margins,” Walmart CEO Douglas McMillon said Thursday in an earnings call.

Trump responded on Saturday, posting to Truth Social that “Between Walmart and China they should, as is said ‘EAT THE TARIFFS,’ and not charge valued customers ANYTHING. I’ll be watching, and so will your customers!”

Trump’s comments echoed Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick’s comments Sunday on CNN’s “State of the Union,” arguing that “businesses and the countries primarily eat the tariff.” Former U.S. treasury secretary Larry Summers has called such theories “ludicrous.”

Economists have told CNN that the tariffs will burden lower- and middle-income Americans, who have historically been Walmart’s primary customer base. And consumers often go to the retail giant for non-negotiable purchases, such as groceries.

The changes will likely take effect by the end of May, and prices will increase “much more” in June, Walmart’s finance chief, John David Rainey, told CNBC.

Walmart, which has over 4,600 stores in the United States, gets merchandise from Canada, China, India, Mexico and Vietnam, among other nations. Those countries face at least 10 per cent in tariffs, and imports of steel, aluminum, cars and auto parts face 25 per cent tariffs.

“All of the tariffs create cost pressure for us, but the larger tariffs on China have the biggest impact,” McMillon said.

Trump increased tariffs on most Chinese goods to a whopping 145 per cent, but that rate dropped to 30 per cent on Monday as part of a 90-day truce with China. But Trump said the tariffs could become “substantially higher” if a trade agreement with China is not reached.

Other countries are negotiating with the United States amid a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs. Baseline tariffs will not go lower than 10 per cent during negotiations, Lutnick told CNN on Sunday.

Trump’s trade war has sunk consumer sentiment in recent months. The University of Michigan reported that consumer sentiment fell 2.7 per cent between April and May — a near-record low, in part due to Americans fearing a recession.

Here’s what is expected to get more expensive at Walmart.


Food


“Food inflation is very much on our mind,” McMillon said.

Bananas, avocados and coffee are among some of the groceries that McMillon said come from Colombia, Costa Rica and Peru. America also imports beets, cabbage, melons, and pineapples from Costa Rica. Sweet potatoes and citrus are imported from Peru.

Walmart did not say how much prices could increase on fruits and vegetables.

“We’ll do our best to control what we can control in order to keep food prices as low as possible,” McMillon said, suggesting that “controlling the amount of fresh food waste” could help.

Between February and April, the average price of bananas per pound has increased by about two cents at U.S. retailers, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Seasonal products

Ryan Monarch, assistant professor of economics at Syracuse University, told CNN that seasonal and holiday shopping purchases can’t be delayed for two to three months to wait on the trade war to play out.

Walmart is currently focused on back-to-school shopping, according to McMillon. He explained that tariffs are paid as soon as a product enters the country through customs, meaning the higher tariffs are already affecting shipments.

“So I think what we’re looking at is upward pressure that began in April and plays through the entire year on things that are imported,” McMillon said.

Estimating tariff costs and order quantities could “get more challenging” further down the line when making “decisions related to things like Halloween and Christmas,” he said.


Toys, electronics and baby gear


“China, in particular, represents a lot of volume in certain categories like electronics and toys,” McMillon said.

Roughly 80 per cent of toys sold in the United States are made in China, according to the Toy Association, an industry group.

Toy companies, like Hasbro, the owner of Nerf and Play-doh, said some items will be cut from its portfolio, and Barbie creator Mattel has issued warnings about potential price hikes due to tariffs.

“Well, maybe the children will have two dolls instead of 30 dolls, you know? And maybe the two dolls will cost a couple of bucks more than they would normally,” Trump said earlier this month, acknowledging the potential impact tariffs will have on toys.

There has already been a jump in the price of toys. Product pricing analysis from research firm Telsey Advisory Groups showed that the price of a Barbie doll with a swimsuit sold at Walmart’s competitor Target rose 42.9 per cent over a week in mid-April to US$14.99.

Gaming products should also see big price hikes. Initially priced at $450, Nintendo’s Switch 2 could instead cost around $600, according to experts.

Even an Apple iPhone 17 could cost more than $1,000 instead of $799, according to Daniel Morgan, senior portfolio manager at investment firm Synovus.

Childcare products, such as strollers, clothes, car seats and formula, could also see a price hike. Industry experts estimate that about 90 per cent of children’s and baby gear products are manufactured exclusively in China, and that won’t change anytime soon.

“Customers need those things. Even if they were to raise prices on those products, customers are still going to buy them,” Syracuse University’s Monarch said. “So you might expect products like that to see prices increasing pretty quickly.”

Home goods

In 2024, China sent more than $438 billion worth of goods into American homes. Nearly 19 per cent of that total was machinery and mechanical appliances, according to data from the U.S. International Trade Commission. Meanwhile, four per cent of last year’s imports from China were bedding, furniture and lighting.

Rainey, Walmart’s CFO, said general merchandise sales in the United States declined slightly during the first quarter, “with softness in electronics, home products and sporting goods.” Because home goods are not considered necessities like groceries and baby gear, consumers are more likely to hold off on buying them.

“Consumers are very worried, and what they’re doing is they’re delaying their purchases of durable goods — things like cars, things like appliances,” said Monarch.

Monarch added that Walmart was among companies to increase imports before tariffs took effect, allowing them to stock up on products that won’t perish.

This story has been updated with additional information.

Auzinea Bacon, CNN


Colombia seeks to join China-based development bank as Latin America drifts away from Washington


By The Associated Press
May 17, 2025 

Chinese President Xi Jinping, left, shakes hands with Colombia's President Gustavo Petro after delivering his opening speech for the opening ceremony of the Fourth Ministerial Meeting of the Forum of China and Community of Latin American and Caribbean States at China National Convention Center in Beijing, Tuesday, May 13, 2025. (AP Photo/Andy Wong)

MIAMI — Colombia’s government has applied to join a China-based development bank, another sign of Latin America’s drift away from the U.S. as the Trump administration’s foreign aid cuts, trade barriers and crackdown on immigration spurs many leaders in the region to seek closer ties with Washington’s geopolitical rival.

Colombian President Gustavo Petro wrapped up a visit to China this week with a stop in Shanghai, where he met with former Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff, the head of the New Development Bank.

The multilateral lender was set up a decade ago as a project of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa — the so-called BRICS nations of major developing markets — as a counter to U.S.-dominated institutions like the World Bank and Inter-American Development Bank.

To date, the New Development Bank has approved loans for 122 infrastructure projects totaling more than US$40 billion in areas such as transport, sanitation and clean energy, according to Rousseff.

Petro, speaking to reporters in China on Saturday, said that Colombia is committed to purchasing $512 million worth of shares in the bank. He said that he was especially excited by the possibility of securing the New Development Bank’s support for a 120-kilometre (75-mile) canal, or railway, connecting Colombia’s Atlantic and Pacific Ocean coastlines that he said would position the country at the “heart” of trade between South America and Asia.

Colombia is the second Latin American country to try and join the bank after tiny Uruguay sought membership in 2021.

But Colombia’s traditional role as a staunch U.S. ally and caretaker in the war on drugs is likely to raise eyebrows in Washington. The U.S. State Department this week said that it would “vigorously oppose” financing of projects linked to China’s Belt and Road Initiative in Latin America. Petro signed up to the initiative during a summit with fellow leftist leaders from Brazil and China.

Petro, a former leftist guerrilla, said he wouldn’t be dissuaded by U.S. pressure and reaffirmed that Colombia seeks to remain neutral in a new era of geopolitical wrangling.

“We made this decision freely,” Petro told reporters from Shanghai. “With the United States we can speak face to face, with China too.”

Joshua Goodman, The Associated Press

Apple denies barring Fortnite from EU stores in Epic dispute


By Mark Gurman
May 16, 2025 

The Epic Games Inc. Fortnite: Battle Royale video game is displayed for a photograph on an Apple Inc. iPhone in Washington, D.C., U.S. Fortnite, the hit game that's denting the stock prices of video-game makers after signing up 45 million players, didn't really take off until it became free and a free-for-all.
 Photographer: Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg (Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg)

Apple Inc. and Epic Games Inc. sparred over whether the iPhone maker was obstructing access to the hit game Fortnite, the latest tussle in a long-running feud over Apple’s control of game distribution revenue.

The game developer said that Apple “blocked” its latest Fortnite app submission so that it can’t be released in the U.S. or on the third-party Epic Games Store in the EU. “Now, sadly, Fortnite on iOS will be offline worldwide until Apple unblocks it,” the company wrote on its X account.

An Apple spokesperson responded later on Friday, saying that the company “did not take any action to remove the live version of Fortnite from alternative distribution marketplaces” in the EU. Apple said that it asked the game company’s European division, Epic Sweden, to “resubmit the app update without including the US storefront of the App Store so as not to impact Fortnite in other geographies.”

It’s the latest conflict in years of acrimony between the two companies. They have fought in court over Apple’s App Store policies, including the commissions it charges on in-app purchases — a key source of Epic Games revenue.

Epic Games said it submitted Fortnite to the U.S. App Store last week, aiming to return it to US iPhone users for the first time in three years. That move followed a judge ruling that Apple must allow third-party apps to steer users to the web to complete in-app purchases without taking a commission. Apple didn’t comment on if it would allow Fortnite back into the U.S. store.

On Wednesday, Epic pulled its initial submission after not hearing back from Apple and resubmitted it with updated content to match the game on other platforms.

(Updated with Apple not commenting on if Fortnite will return to US App Store.)

©2025 Bloomberg L.P.
In Canada’s housing crisis, are modular homes a cheaper and faster solution?

By The Canadian Press
Updated: May 16, 2025 

A worker inspects the framing of a modular home at the Fading West factory in Buena Vista, Colo., on Feb. 19, 2025. (AP Photo/Thomas Peipert)

TORONTO — When a church in Toronto’s west end was converted into affordable housing nearly 15 years ago, the group behind the project was already thinking ahead.

Andrea Adams, the executive director of the non-profit developer St. Clare’s, said she was “daydreaming” about what could be built on the yard next to the 20-unit building on Ossington Avenue.

She was eventually introduced to Assembly Corp., a company that builds mass timber modular housing, around the same time that the city was looking for proposals for “shovel ready” affordable housing projects.

St. Clare’s had the land, the contractor -- and, more importantly, the will to get the project done.

The result is an eye-catching, three-storey building that’s now home to more than two dozen people who were experiencing homelessness.

“It’s a very assertive project,” Adams said in her office next to the L-shaped motel-style structure. Its residents, she said, “would have been people that were living in shelters or couch surfing or living in tents.”

The project is a small step toward addressing the cost-of-living problem in a province that saw 80,000 people experience homelessness in 2024, according to an Association of Municipalities of Ontario report.

Advocates and experts say while there is no single solution to the homelessness crisis that’s compounded by mental health and addictions issues, prefabricated homes could play a significant role in addressing the shortage of affordable and supportive housing.

“The modular definitely helps because the faster construction is, the least expensive it is,” Adams said.

The 25-unit complex on Ossington was erected in just 21 working days and overall construction took eight months.


The size of each small studio is around 220 square feet, with a bathroom, a kitchen and a living room. The modern, light brown exterior with large windows and shading fins draws the attention of passersby.

The structure “uses every square inch of property available to it and yet still looks beautiful,” Adams said.

Given the urgency of the homelessness problem, a lot more needs to be done, she said. “We need to do all the things and think of more things and then do those things.”

Lack of housing is a Canada-wide issue and by some estimates, the country needs millions of new homes for its growing population.

During the federal election campaign, Prime Minister Mark Carney promised a housing plan that would yield 500,000 new homes annually and provide $25 billion in loans for companies that make factory-built homes.

In his first news conference after the April 28 vote, Carney said he aims to create an “entirely new Canadian housing industry” around modular housing, using Canadian lumber, skilled workers and technology.

During the February provincial election, Ontario Premier Doug Ford also promised $50 million to support modular housing technology.

Experts say modular homes have several advantages that include a quicker construction timeline, cost effectiveness and an opportunity to build them in an environmentally friendly way.

The key to unlocking that potential is to create a stable demand for modular homes so factories can invest in them and hire workers with confidence, said Carolyn Whitzman, a professor and researcher at the University of Toronto’s School of Cities.

She said the new government’s investment in factory-built homes is a welcome move, but more needs to be done to make the plan a success.

“The trick is how can Canada get to the scale,” she said, noting modular construction isn’t as fast or cheap as it has the potential to be, and that could change if production ramps up.

“In order to build those factories and give people factory jobs, you need to have a certain level of demand. We simply don’t have that yet.”

She said the federal government could place an order for factories to build a specific number of modular homes for supportive, student or other types of social housing every year to help stimulate the market.

Though modular housing accounts for only four to six per cent of construction, it is becoming more popular in Canada, a report co-authored by Whitzman said.

Whitzman said Sweden is an example of a country that successfully turned to modular homes to address a housing crisis, with nearly 45 per cent of its homes built in factories.

In Canada, where industry labour shortages and long winters can delay construction timelines, prefabricated homes may alleviate some of those uncertainties, Whitzman said.

But despite its many advantages, modular housing isn’t a “magic bullet” for affordability. Significant government financial assistance and involvement is required, she said.

For the Ossington Avenue modular building, the federal government provided around $4.8 million in funding and the City of Toronto contributed approximately $1.7 million in the form of incentives, charge waivers and tax relief. St. Clare’s equity was estimated to be around $900,000.

Adams, the executive director of St. Clare’s, said the rent for each unit in the building is around $500 a month.

Modular units are an important part of Toronto’s affordable housing plan. Doug Rollins, the interim executive director of the city’s housing secretariat, said the goal is to build 18,000 supportive housing units by 2030, some of which will be prefabricated.

The city recently completed the construction of a five-storey, 64-unit prefabricated building on Kingston Road in the east end, with rent based on each tenant’s income, Rollins said.

“It will remain affordable and as their income changes, so will their rent,” he said.

Other modular housing projects are underway elsewhere in Toronto and builders say they’re seeing increased demand for prefabricated homes.

Luke Moir, who managed the Ossington Avenue project, said it is a “great example” of how unused land in urban centres could be transformed.

“It is a piece of the puzzle,” he said of prefabricated homes as a housing shortage solution.

Moir, who works as a project manager at Assembly Corp., the contractor that built the house for St. Clare’s, said such construction projects are also less disruptive because most components are made of wood and assembled off-site, meaning there is “a lot less nailing and banging, and then there’s no dust and grinding.”

In Ottawa, Theberge Group of Companies is working on its first factory-built home with eight apartments in the Westboro neighbourhood. Production began in early February. The modules were brought on site in mid-March and erected in just three days.

The project is set to be fully completed by the end of June, and the first tenant is expected to move in on July 1.

Jeremy Silburt, the company’s director of acquisitions, planning and development, said Theberge is expected to start working on a few more for-profit modular home projects in late summer.

Non-profit groups have reached out to the company about partnering to build affordable homes, he said, adding that modular homes cut the construction time by one-third.

“So it allows us to build a project a little bit cheaper, yes, but also very quickly and that saves us a bunch of money and time,” he said.

Smaller cities in Ontario have also adopted modular construction in an effort to build small homes fast.

Peterborough built a 50-unit complex in 2023, London constructed a 61-unit building in 2022 and Marathon, a town 300 kilometres east of Thunder Bay, has plans for a similar 20-unit project, according to the Ontario Real Estate Association.

Written by Sharif Hassan, The Canadian Press
‘Really exciting’: Robinhood crypto manager sees upside for Canadian market following WonderFi acquisition

By Daniel Johnson
Published: May 15, 2025 

Robinhood Markets Inc.’s general manager of cryptocurrency says the firm will benefit from its acquisition of WonderFi Technologies Inc. by gaining control of its assets under custody along with its investment dealer license.

The acquisition of WonderFi Technologies, an operator of two Canadian crypto platforms, was announced on Tuesday in a deal worth about $250 million, Bloomberg News reported. The companies said that Robinhood will be able to spur greater access for crypto trading in the Canadian market following its acquisition.

“WonderFi operates two of the longest running crypto marketplaces here in Canada, and they also are a member of CIRO (Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization) and they have an investment dealer license which is really important for us,” Johann Kerbrat, who is also an SVP at Robinhood, said in an interview with BNN Bloomberg Thursday.

“We want to make sure that we offer product compliance with the regulation. And we are really excited to see that with their $2.1 billion of asset under custody, it will be for us a great way to bring the Robinhood mission into the market.”

He added that WonderFi is a platform that allows users to buy and sell around 60 different assets. Kerbrat highlighted that Robinhood is one of the largest U.S. retail marketplaces for crypto trading where the “past two quarters have been really good for the crypto products and business of Robinhood.”

Through the announced acquisition, Robinhood will purchase all of WonderFi’s issued and outstanding common shares at a price of 36 cents per share, 41 per cent higher than the company’s closing price on Monday. The deal is expected to be completed during the second half of the year.

According to Kerbrat, around 19 million Canadians are expected to use crypto in 2025.

“We do believe the Canadian market is really exciting. And that is why this acquisition is a way for us to bring our mission here in Canada,” Kerbrat said.


Daniel JohnsonOpens in new window

Journalist, BNNBloomberg.ca

Coinbase expects up to US$400 million U.S. hit from cyber attack

By Reuters
Updated: May 15, 2025

The mobile phone icon for the Coinbase app is shown in this photo
 (AP Photo/Richard Drew)

Coinbase forecast a hit between US$180 million and $400 million from a cyber attack that breached account data of a “small subset” of its customers, sending the crypto exchange’s shares down three per cent in premarket trading on Thursday.

The company said it received an email from an unknown threat actor on May 11, claiming to have information about certain customer accounts as well as internal documents.

While some data including names, addresses and emails was stolen, the hackers did not get access to login credentials or passwords, Coinbase said. It will, however, reimburse customers who were tricked into sending funds to the attackers.

The disclosure comes days before the company is set to join the benchmark S&P 500 index, marking a landmark moment for the crypto industry.S&P 500 market updates here

Coinbase said hackers had paid multiple contractors and employees working in support roles outside the U.S. to collect information. It has fired those involved.

“This may push the industry to adopt stricter employee vetting and introduce some reputational risks,” said Bo Pei, analyst at U.S. Tiger Securities.

Security remains a challenge for the crypto industry despite its growing mainstream acceptance. In February, Bybit disclosed a hack in which around $1.5 billion of digital tokens were stolen — widely dubbed the biggest crypto heist of all time.

Funds stolen by hacking crypto platforms totalled $2.2 billion in 2024, according to a report from Chainalysis.

“As our nascent industry grows rapidly, it draws the eye of bad actors, who are becoming increasingly sophisticated in the scope of their attacks,” said Nick Jones, founder of crypto firm Zumo.

Coinbase has refused to pay a ransom demand of $20 million from the attackers and is working with law enforcement agencies. It has instead established a $20 million reward for information on the hackers.

The company is also opening a new support hub in the U.S., and taking other measures to prevent such cyberattacks, it said.

Reporting by Niket Nishant and Pritam Biswas in Bengaluru; Editing by Shinjini Ganguli, Reuters
Ontario to sell more debt abroad as deficit, spending grow


By Bloomberg News
Published: May 16, 2025 

Ontario plans to borrow $59.8 billion (US$42.7 billion) to fund a larger budget deficit and spending on highways and other infrastructure, and expects more of it will come from foreign currency bond sales.

Long-term borrowing needs for Canada’s most populous province are seen at $42.8 billion for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026. As much as 30 per cent may come from foreign markets, according budget documents released Thursday by Finance Minister Peter Bethlenfalvy.

That would mean up to $12.8 billion of debt supply from Ontario for investors in non-Canadian currencies, which would be a 22 per cent increase from the past fiscal year.
\
(Ontario Financing Authority, Blo)

Short-term borrowing is set to rise by $5 billion in response to higher investor demand for shorter-dated bonds, according to the budget.

So far, elevated borrowing hasn’t meant higher premiums. The aggregate risk premium for investors holding Canadian provincial bonds tightened to 63 basis points after a brief widening in early April, when U.S. President Donald Trump unleashed tariffs on dozens of countries — some of which he later walked back.

Ontario plans to spend more in areas like health care and education, helping to drive its expected budget shortfall to $14.6 billion. That’s the largest since fiscal 2011-12 except for one year during the COVID pandemic, government data show.

Chunzi Xu, Bloomberg News

©2025 Bloomberg L.P.
Alberta UCP regulator approves Northback coal exploration project in Rocky Mountains

Northback Holdings Corp.’s project at Grassy Mountain was rejected in 2021, when a panel ruled likely environmental effects on fish and water quality outweighed potential economic benefits.


By The Canadian Press
Updated: May 16, 2025 
Grassy Mountain, peak to left, and the Grassy Mountain Coal Project are seen north of Blairmore, Alta., Thursday, June 6, 2024. 
THE CANADIAN PRESS/Jeff McIntosh

The Alberta Energy Regulator approved on Thursday a controversial coal exploration project on the eastern slopes of the Rocky Mountains.

Northback Holdings Corp.’s project at Grassy Mountain was rejected in 2021, when a panel ruled likely environmental effects on fish and water quality outweighed potential economic benefits.


The project, located on an inactive legacy coal mine site in the Municipal District of Ranchland, was revived two years later. Last year, it was exempted from the Alberta government’s decision to ban open-pit coal mines, because Northback’s application was considered an “advanced” proposal.

A written decision from the regulator says it determined approving the project is in the public interest and the project won’t have negative effects on water quality or wildlife, which many at public hearings argued will happen.

The decision grants Northback permits to drill and to divert water to the site, which was also a concern raised by farmers in drought-ridden parts of southern Alberta.

The approved deep drilling permit will allow Northback to drill more than 150 metres underground on both public and private land in its search for coal deposits.

The company will only be able to draw water from a nearby end pit lake that it owns and that’s not directly connected to other water bodies or rivers, the decision says.

The decision notes that it’s possible there will be some runoff from the lake, but it had been determined the project won’t have any effect on water quality or quantity downstream.

It also says the potential for the project to generate toxic selenium is unlikely, “because there will be no excavation, no coal-mining operations and no new waste rock piles created.”


“If the existing waste rock piles are not elevating downstream selenium levels, it is reasonable to conclude that these exploration activities are unlikely to elevate selenium levels,” the decision says.

The regulator also determined that potential harm to wildlife is unlikely, as no new roads are to be constructed as part of the project.

The regulator was satisfied overall with the project’s public interest, saying as it would provide employment opportunities to nearby residents, including First Nations communities, while allowing the company to continue investing in the area.

“We assessed the social and economic effects of the exploration program and found it to be positive,” the decision says, adding that Northback plans to spend at least $2.5 million locally as part of the exploration.

“While the magnitude of the economic impacts may appear modest, they are proportional to the program scale and duration.”

The decision says the company has spent over $1 billion since 2015 trying to advance the project but that it wasn’t a consideration for the regulator.

The project will also give Albertans additional information on the scale of the coal deposit at Grassy Mountain, says the decision.

“The exploration program will contribute to the ongoing evaluation of this coal resource and, based on our assessment, will do so in an orderly, efficient and environmentally responsible manner,” it says.

Rita Blacklaws, a spokesperson for Northback, said in an email the company thanked the regulator for the decision.

“With this outcome, Northback continues our commitment to bring benefits to Albertans while adhering to the highest environmental standards,” Blacklaws said.

Opposition NDP environment critic Sarah Elmeligi said the decision is wrong.

“Albertans have been clear they do not want coal mining on the eastern slopes,” she said.


“What a horrible day for Alberta.”

Energy Minister Brian Jean said the government respects the regulator’s “carefully considered decision on this application,” noting it isn’t an application to mine. He said Northback will be responsible for reclamation related to the exploration work.

“We reiterate our commitment to protect Alberta’s waters and ensure that any development in the eastern slopes is done to the highest environmental standards,” Jean said in a statement Thursday.

The decision followed days of public hearings in December and January, as well as a non-binding vote last year in the nearby community of Crowsnest Pass. About 72 per cent of voters said they were in favour of the project.

The regulator notes that concerns were raised in the hearings that granting exploratory permits would lead to a full-blown coal mine. It says that possibility couldn’t be factored into the decision-making process.

“Exploration is only one step taken by a resource company in the long and complex series of activities that may or may not lead to the development of a mine,” the decision says. “Accepting the need for this exploration program does not constitute approval of a coal mine.

“If, in the future, Northback decides to proceed with mine applications at Grassy Mountain, it must follow a rigorous regulatory process that all resource development applications must follow.”

Conditions attached to the exploratory permits require the company to dispose of drilling waste to the regulator’s satisfaction, follow erosion control and weed management plans, and adhere to recommended environmental mitigation measures.

The company’s permits are valid for five years, with the last three years to be set aside for reclamation work.

By Jack Farrell

With files from Lisa Johnson in Edmonton and Bill Graveland in Calgary

This report by The Canadian Press was first published May 15, 2025.
With U.S. trade war, China now top buyer for Canadian crude on Trans Mountain pipeline

By Reuters
Published: May 16, 2025 

The Westridge Marine Terminal at the end point of the Trans Mountain Pipeline System in Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada, on Sunday, Jan. 26, 2025. A project to triple the capacity of the Trans Mountain Pipeline still has a high value after massive cost overruns to build it, Canada's government spending watchdog concluded.
 (James MacDonald/Bloomberg)

China has emerged as the top customer for Canadian oil shipped on the expanded Trans Mountain pipeline, ship tracking data showed, as a U.S. trade war has shifted crude flows in the year since the pipeline started operating.

China’s new interest in Canadian oil comes as U.S. President Donald Trump’s trade war has strained relations between longtime allies Washington and Ottawa. It also reflects the impact of U.S. sanctions on crude from countries like Russia and Venezuela.

Canada is the world’s fourth-largest oil producer, but its main oil-producing province of Alberta is landlocked with limited access to tidewater ports. That means the bulk of Canadian oil - about 4 million barrels per day or 90 per cent - is exported to the U.S. via pipelines that run north-south.

The $34 billion (US$24.40 billion) Trans Mountain is Canada’s only east-west oil pipeline, carrying oil to the Pacific Coast where it can be loaded onto tankers for export. The expansion, which began operations on May 1, 2024, tripled the pipeline’s capacity to 890,000 barrels per day and opened opportunities for Canadian oil along the U.S. West Coast and in Asian markets.

While oil is currently exempt from U.S. tariffs, Canada has sought to diversify its exports due to brief U.S. duties on its crude and Trump’s threats to annex the country.

Canada shipped about 207,000 barrels per day (bpd) on average to China since the Trans Mountain expansion ramped up to full operations in June last year, ship tracking data on Kpler showed. That was a huge increase from an average of about 7,000 bpd in the decade to 2023.


The U.S. took about 173,000 bpd from the pipeline in the same period.

China’s top spot as the TMX buyer defies some early expectations that the U.S. would be the biggest buyer of crude shipped via the pipeline, which is owned by the Canadian government.

Many expected its barrels to land on the West Coast versus Asia, which has access to cheaper Russian oil.

However, Trump’s protectionist policies have in recent months made Canada more attractive to Chinese buyers, said Philippe Rheault, director of the China Institute at the University of Alberta.


China has also been reluctant to be over-reliant on Russian energy supplies, Rheault said.

“A lot of China’s refineries are also mindful of U.S. sanctions, and so have been trying to diversify away from oil from Venezuela and other places,” he added.
Shifting flows

In the year since the pipeline’s expansion, Canadian exports of crude to countries other than the U.S. rose nearly 60 per cent to an annual record of about 183,000 bpd in 2024, according to Statistics Canada.

Other nations taking Canadian crude include South Korea, Japan, India, Brunei, and Taiwan, ship tracking data showed.

In recent months, several Canadian politicians have called for new pipelines to coastal export terminals to reduce dependency on the U.S. But regulatory, financial and political hurdles continue to stifle that development.

TMX was about 77 per cent full on average in 2024, according to documents it filed with the Canada Energy Regulator, below the 83 per cent the company forecast, in part due to the high tolls the operator has been charging to make up for cost overruns during construction.

The pipeline is expected to be 84 per cent full this year, and ramp up to 92 per cent in 2027.


Its operator, Trans Mountain Corp, has said it is looking at expansion projects that could add between 200,000 and 300,000 bpd of capacity to the system.

Given China’s increased desire to find new, stable supplies of crude, the bulk of any additional capacity on TMX is likely to go to Asia rather than the U.S. West Coast, said Skip York, chief energy strategist with Turner, Mason & Company.

“I think you’re going to see virtually all of those incremental vessels flow west” for export to China, he said.

(Reporting by Amanda Stephenson in Calgary and Arathy Somasekhar in Houston; Editing by Liz Hampton and David Gregorio)