Wednesday, February 04, 2026

 

Source: Originally published by Z. Feel free to share widely.

​The attacks targeting the Kurdish neighborhoods of Sheikh Maqsoud and Ashrafiyah in Aleppo are not the products of instantaneous military developments or local clashes; they are inherently a part of a multi-layered and conscious political sabotage strategy of the invader, colonialist Turkish state.

​The brutal massacre attacks directed at the Kurdish neighborhoods in Aleppo through the Turkish state and the jihadist paramilitaries it supports named Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) and the Syrian National Army (SNA) are an organized move aimed at neutralizing the political impact of Kurdish People’s Leader Abdullah Öcalan’s message for the year 2026 and his February 27 statement, which constitutes its essence.

​These attacks are neither a tactical reflex nor a secondary extension of the struggles for control on the ground. They are a counter-revolutionary intervention, planned with the state mind, aiming to prevent even the possibility of a solution to the Kurdish question from becoming visible.

​The February 27 statement is dangerous for Ankara as much for the calls it contains as for the historical moment it represents. This statement has once again revealed that the Kurdish question cannot be managed with policies of armed denial, suppression, and distraction; it has expanded the address of the solution to point not only within the borders of Turkey but to the entirety of the regional Kurdish reality.

​The 2026 perspective has also temporarily squeezed the state policy based on making the Kurds’ lack of status permanent. This very squeeze has triggered the fundamental reflex of the AKP–Erdoğan regime: Not to advance the solution, but to annihilate even the fragments of the possibility of a solution.

​At this point, the fundamental goal of the fascist Turkish state is clear: To break the military and political backbone of the de facto Kurdish status emerging in Rojava, Northern and Eastern Syria. The YPG, YPJ, and Syrian Democratic Forces are not only the military power of this status but also the concrete realization of Öcalan’s paradigm on the ground.

​Therefore, the problem for Ankara is not only the armed structures but the political-ideological ground upon which these structures rest. Öcalan’s message was targeted precisely because it carries the potential to legitimize this ground and make it visible again on a regional scale.

​In line with this goal, the Turkish state first tried the path of direct political pressure. For example, the impositions toward Öcalan carried the aim of expanding the content of the message and establishing the connection that it is not only an intra-Turkey call but also directed toward Rojava. All these attempts of the fascist Turkish state were neutralized by Öcalan. Subsequently, parliamentary delegations were put into play, and meetings were held, but again, the desired result could not be obtained.

​Because Öcalan’s February 27, 2025 call and the Manifesto of Democratic Society are only related to the PKK. They were not made toward organizations in other parts of Kurdistan. The PKK, for its part, has taken the steps falling upon it based on Öcalan’s calls until today. Through the steps it has taken, the PKK has clearly diagnosed and exposed that the fascist Turkish state does not show a sincere and concrete will for a solution.

​The critical point that must be underlined here is this: The fascist Turkish state has no solution plan regarding the Kurdish question. This is not a deficiency but a conscious choice. If there were such a plan, it would have had to be reflected in legal and constitutional regulations by October 2025 at the latest.

​However, the state deliberately spread the process over time and tried to pacify the Kurdish Freedom Movement with tactics of distraction and postponement. It did not limit this only to Northern Kurdistan (the part in Turkey) but tried to spread it to the parts of Kurdistan in Iran, Iraq, and Syria as well. This is the classic fascist Turkish state mind that does not produce a solution but manages the lack of solution.

​While this distraction continued inside, a harsher tool was put into play outside: Proxy war.

​The driving of jihadist gangs HTS and SNA onto the stage in Aleppo, especially in Sheikh Maqsoud and Ashrafiyah, is a direct result of this strategy. These Kurdish neighborhoods were not chosen randomly. Sheikh Maqsoud and Ashrafiyah are the military, political, and social vanguards of the Rojava revolution in Aleppo. 

These neighborhoods are living examples of how Öcalan’s paradigm can be vitalized even under urban conditions, siege, and war. Therefore, the attack toward these areas is directed not only at Kurds but at an idea, a model, and a future.

​The role of HTS and SNA in this process is not limited to simple subcontracting. These structures are the most functional tools that the fascist Turkish state mind can use on the ground. 

Because they both possess anti-Kurdishness ideologically and are actors who can be easily criminalized in the international arena and discarded when necessary. In this way, Ankara aims to achieve strategic benefits from the results without appearing as the direct perpetrator of the attacks. This is a classic dirty war method.

​The timing of the attacks against Sheikh Maqsoud and Ashrafiyah also gains meaning in this context. These attacks intensified at a moment when Öcalan’s message began to be discussed much more by the public as of 2026, and the possibility arose for the Kurdish question to be talked about again on the axis of a political solution.

​The aim is clear: To pull the agenda back to the axis of security and violence, to create distrust toward Öcalan among the Kurdish people, to create distrust and contradictions between the PKK and Öcalan to fracture and weaken the Kurdish Freedom Movement. And most importantly, to imprison Kurds in a defensive position and suffocate the solution discussion. War, here, is not only a result but inherently a tool.

​The targeting of Sheikh Maqsoud and Ashrafiyah is also a threat. The message is clear: If there is no laying down of arms by the Syrian Democratic Forces in Rojava, Northern and Eastern Syria, there will be civilian massacres in Aleppo. And this will not be limited only to the two Kurdish neighborhoods in Aleppo.

​This is a message given not only to Kurds but also to the international community. The Turkish state is putting the Kurdish issue on the table again as an element of instability and trying to show that it holds the key to this instability.

​The political meaning of the attacks directed at Sheikh Maqsoud and Ashrafiyah in Aleppo cannot be explained only by Ankara’s tactical choices. These attacks are a current manifestation of the structural reflexes of the fascist Turkish state mind regarding the Kurdish issue, spanning over a century. This reflex, at every moment a possibility of a solution appears, turns toward destroying the possibility of a solution, not the problem.

​Because for the Turkish state, the Kurdish question is not an issue to be solved, but an anomaly to be managed, spread over time, and suppressed with violence, blood, and massacres under suitable conditions. 

Öcalan’s February 27 statement and the 2026 perspective could not be stomached and were targeted because they created a threshold that disrupted this management strategy. This threshold forced a rethinking not only of intra-Turkey balances but also of regional Kurdish geopolitics. The self-governance model that emerged in Rojava has de facto surpassed the paradigm that imprisons the Kurdish issue within nation-state borders.

​YPG, YPJ, and the Syrian Democratic Forces, beyond being military forms of this surpassing, are the social-political expression of Öcalan’s paradigm. The moment these forces lay down their arms, the issue will not be solved; on the contrary, the military, political, and social gains of the Kurds will be left defenseless and put into a liquidation process. Ankara’s persistent imposition of disarmament stems not from a will for a solution but from an intention for liquidation.

​For this reason, the Turkish state wanted to expand Öcalan’s message and not reduce it only to a “call for disarmament” inside Turkey. The regional dimension of the message, the political horizon covering Rojava, Northern and Eastern Syria, is unacceptable for Ankara. The fact that the impositions remained inconclusive directed the state mind to harsher and indirect tools. 

The putting of parliamentary delegations into play was the soft face of this harshness. But these attempts also did not produce a solution because the state did not offer a concrete roadmap. Distraction, uncertainty, and spreading over time were operated as a conscious strategy.

​The complementary pillar of this strategy in foreign policy is the use of proxy forces. HTS and SNA are as functional here as they are ideologically anti-Kurdish. But structures provide Ankara with two advantages: First, the capacity to produce violence without taking direct responsibility. Second, deniability thanks to their ability to be presented as “out-of-control actors” in the international arena. However, the logistics, timing, and target selection of the attacks in Aleppo show that this denial is not convincing.

​The selection of Sheikh Maqsoud and Ashrafiyah is not a coincidence. Because these neighborhoods are the political reflection of Rojava in Aleppo. The life established here has shown that Öcalan’s paradigm can become socialized even under war conditions. 

Communes, councils, women’s leadership, and self-defense have been able to produce order, not chaos, in the absence of the state. It is precisely this reality that Ankara fears most. Because as long as these neighborhoods stay on their feet, the discourse of “if you lay down arms, there will be a solution” loses its credibility.

​HTS’s role in these attacks cannot be explained only by ideological fanaticism. HTS is a theocratic power project supported by the USA, EU, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the Turkish state, aiming to take society under absolute obedience. This project is in an existential conflict with a pluralistic, women-liberated, and communal life. 

Sheikh Maqsoud and Ashrafiyah are not only a military target for HTS but an ideological bankruptcy. As long as these neighborhoods exist, HTS’s claim of an “Islamic order” collapses. For this reason, the attacks are fed by ideological hatred more than military necessity.

​The SNA, on the other hand, performs a more naked function in this picture. Demographic transformation, looting, and forced displacement are the basic practices of the SNA. These practices overlap exactly with the long-term goals of the Turkish state regarding Rojava and its surroundings. 

The fragmentation of the Kurdish population, the breaking of social continuity, and the dispersal of the political subject is a much more effective liquidation method than disarmament. The attacks in Aleppo are the testing ground for this method.

​The fact that the PKK has taken the steps falling upon it inside has not strengthened the state’s hand; on the contrary, it has made the state’s distraction politics more visible. Because every step taken toward a solution requires concrete regulations in return. 

However, as of October 2025, the legal regulations that should have been made were not made, constitutional discussions were not started, and instead of preparing the public for the idea of a solution, it was surrounded again by security discourse. This shows that the process was consciously suspended.

​The attacks in Aleppo are precisely the external front complement of this suspension policy. An equation has been established in which Kurds are distracted by the discourse of “adherence to the process” on one hand, and forced to pay a price on the ground on the other. 

This equation is built on either pushing the Kurdish side out of the process with a defensive reflex or forcing them into unconditional disarmament. In both cases, the winner will be the state mind that aims for liquidation, not a solution.

​The form of the attacks directed at Sheikh Maqsoud and Ashrafiyah in Aleppo reveals in all its nakedness how the Ankara-centered strategy operates. The violence applied here is not the product of a war logic aiming for military gain; it is a calculated and time-spread social destruction technique aimed at producing political results. 

Civilian massacres, siege, the targeting of infrastructure, and forced migration are the real language of the disarmament imposition on the ground. This language is the language of threat, not negotiation.

​The systematic targeting of civilian areas cannot be explained as a control error or a lack of discipline. The houses, schools, markets, and health points hit in Sheikh Maqsoud and Ashrafiyah are the result of a conscious choice aiming to weaken the collective living capacity of Kurdish society. 

Because Ankara’s strategy assumes this: The more price the society pays, the more effective the pressure for disarmament will be. This assumption is an expression of having never understood Kurdish history and the sociology of resistance.

​Siege is the central tool of this strategy. Siege is not only a military technique; it is a political practice that paralyzes social time, fragments daily life, and aims to erode hope. Sheikh Maqsoud and Ashrafiyah have been wanted to be taken over many times with this method. 

But every time, it has been seen that the siege did not produce the expected result. Because in these neighborhoods, society takes its strength not from the security provided by the state, but from its own organized existence. Hunger and deprivation have produced solidarity, not dissolution.

​Forced migration and demographic pressure are the complementary elements of the disarmament policy. The aim is to break social continuity rather than to physically destroy Kurds. With every family forced to migrate, a memory line, an experience of organization, and a political bond are intended to be broken. However, the example of Sheikh Maqsoud and Ashrafiyah shows that this calculation also does not hold. Because these neighborhoods have produced a political culture that is not limited to space. The one who migrated carried this culture along with them.

​At this point, it is necessary to read correctly the equivalent of the disarmament imposition on the ground. The expectation of the Turkish state is that the increasing violence will narrow the Kurdish movement with a defensive reflex and distance it from political initiative. However, what is experienced is exactly the opposite. 

The attacks in Aleppo have made it clearer in Kurdish society not the need for a solution, but under which conditions a solution cannot be possible. Calls for laying down arms toward Rojava, Northern and Eastern Syrian defense forces are perceived under these conditions not as the name of peace, but as surrender.

​For this reason, the goal of disarming the YPG, YPJ, and Syrian Democratic Forces finds no response on the ground. Because these forces are not only military structures but the institutionalized forms of social defense. In Sheikh Maqsoud and Ashrafiyah, the weapon is not a tool of power but a limited defense mechanism that protects the continuity of life. When this mechanism was removed, not peace but massacre arrived. The experience in Aleppo has revealed this truth with all its clarity.

​The attitude of international actors is also an inseparable part of this process. Silence is not neutrality but a functional approval. As long as the Great Powers see the goal of disarming Kurds as compatible with their strategic interests, they have ignored what happened in Aleppo. Human rights discourse functioned as a showcase at this point and veiled the reality on the ground. This situation has once again confirmed the following for Kurds: A people who entrust their own security to someone else’s conscience is historically doomed to lose.

​The language of the media also forms the ideological ground for this approval. Concepts like “clash,” “mutual fire,” and “security operation” erase the difference between the aggressor and the defender. However, what is experienced in Sheikh Maqsoud and Ashrafiyah is not a mutual clash but a unilateral attack aimed at suffocating the possibility of a solution. This language not only distorts the truth but also normalizes violence.

​This whole picture clearly shows why the goal of disarmament is doomed to fail. As violence increased, Kurdish society turned not toward laying down arms but toward stronger organization. Because what has been experienced has proven many times that weaponlessness does not bring security; on the contrary, it creates vulnerability. The attacks in Aleppo are the most current and most painful example of this historical lesson.

​The massacres directed at Sheikh Maqsoud and Ashrafiyah were designed not to accelerate the disarmament process, but to force consent to this process. However, this design worked in reverse on the ground. The stage reached by the attacks directed at Sheikh Maqsoud and Ashrafiyah in Aleppo makes visible the bankruptcy of a political mind, not just a military concentration. This bankruptcy declares the non-solution of the solution imposed by the gun, that the politics of distraction has been exhausted, and that proxy violence cannot cover the truth.

​At the point reached today, the aggression carried out by Ankara through HTS and SNA has not eliminated the historical threshold pointed out by Öcalan in his February 27 statement; on the contrary, it has made the inevitability of that threshold even more distinct.

​The reason why Öcalan’s paradigm is strengthened under these conditions is not a superiority of discourse, but a correctness of practice. Sheikh Maqsoud and Ashrafiyah have made possible a life where the weapon is not sanctified but defense is mandatory, and where power is not centralized but politics is socialized. 

This life has surrendered to neither the statist security doctrine nor to jihadist theocratic tyranny. For this reason, the attacks aimed at denying the possibility of this life more than weakening these neighborhoods militarily. But denial does not eliminate the truth; it only makes it more visible.

​The fundamental fallacy of the Turkish state is that while presenting disarmament as a prerequisite for peace, it has not been able to guarantee security and life. What happened in Aleppo clearly showed that weaponlessness produces not a solution but a fragility under these conditions. 

For this reason, the idea of laying down arms in Kurdish society has become identified not with peace but with defenselessness. This identification is the product of concrete experiences, not an ideological stubbornness. The attacks in Sheikh Maqsoud and Ashrafiyah have engraved this experience into the collective memory.

​At this point, the conditions for a solution have become clearer. A solution is possible through mutual and concrete assurance, not through imposition. A solution advances with open legal and constitutional steps, not with distraction calendars. A solution can be established with a political courage that recognizes the regional Kurdish reality, not with proxy wars. The regulations not made in October 2025 showed not the deficiency but the absence of this courage. This absence was tried to be compensated for with violence in Aleppo.

​The resistance of Sheikh Maqsoud and Ashrafiyah is, therefore, not only a defense success but a political criterion. These neighborhoods have clarified under which conditions there cannot be a solution. There can be no solution on a ground where weapons are silent but justice does not speak, where negotiation is voiced but the law is not operated, and where peace is promised but security is not provided. The attacks in Aleppo have revealed this truth with all its clarity.

​The presence of HTS and SNA on the ground has shown that these attacks do not produce legitimacy but only multiply the dirty face of violence. The language, method, and goals used by these structures supported by the fascist Turkish state have not distanced Kurdish society from a solution; on the contrary, they have confirmed that a solution can only be protected by self-defense and political organization. This confirmation is not a temporary mood but a historical lesson.

​The silence of the international system is also a part of this lesson. The atrocity experienced in two Kurdish neighborhoods in Aleppo has once again exposed how conditional and interest-oriented the peace discourses of hegemonic powers are. This silence did not produce a new illusion in the political mind of the Kurds; it reinforced an old truth: Peoples who tie their own fate to someone else’s calendar have to postpone their own future.

​The resistance in Sheikh Maqsoud and Ashrafiyah is the concrete expression of rejecting this postponement. It must be clearly stated here once again: The attacks directed at Kurdish neighborhoods in Aleppo are not a security problem. They are a political sabotage. This sabotage aimed to suffocate the historical opportunity opened by Öcalan’s 2026 perspective and the February 27 statement. However, this goal did not find its response on the ground. Because what is defended in these neighborhoods is not just a call, but a lived and living truth.

​Sheikh Maqsoud and Ashrafiyah stand today not only as two resisting neighborhoods but as İwo political laboratories showing on which ground a solution is possible. The result of this laboratory is clear: Peace begins not with the silencing of weapons, but with the securing of life.

​A solution is possible through mutual recognition and concrete transformation, not through surrender. This truth has become even more clear among the ruins of Aleppo.

Source: Waging Nonviolence

A tour group stood on Hebron’s Al-Shuhada Street, listening as a former Israel Defense Forces soldier pointed out, on a map, the nine roads in the West Bank city that Palestinians are restricted or prohibited from accessing. 

Once a bustling market hub, Al-Shuhada Street was now quiet and devoid of pedestrians, aside from a nearby guard post from which three or four soldiers were coming and going, watching the group. 

The visitors were taking part in a guided tour run by Breaking the Silence, or BTS, an organization founded by former IDF soldiers. BTS uses soldiers’ testimonies, political tours and advocacy to expose how Israel’s occupation of the Palestinian territories functions on the ground and to challenge Israelis to confront the moral cost of maintaining it.

As the group listened to their guide explain the separation policy in Hebron, a private tour passed by. “That’s Breaking the Silence. They spread lies about Israel, about us,” their guide said loudly.

Joel Carmel, the BTS advocacy director and guide that day, nodded in the man’s direction without pausing his explanation. 

“Our right-wing detractors accuse us of not showing both sides [of the occupation],” Carmel said, speaking on the phone a few days after the tour. “It’s ironic, because what we’re showing is the Israeli side — whether our detractors like it or not.”

“We want to show what the occupation looks like, from the perspective of the perpetrators,” he continued. “What the commands were and what the interactions look like between soldiers and Palestinians.”

BTS publishes anonymous testimonies from soldiers who have served in the occupied Palestinian territories on its website in collections, such as “Occupying Hebron: Soldiers’ Testimonies from Hebron 2011-2017.” 

“The point of the testimony collection is not to draw out specific incidents and say, ‘Look how terrible this soldier was,’” Carmel said, “it’s to show that what we’re being sent to do is a policy that comes from above.”

He explains that each testimony is like a puzzle piece. “Put them all together [and] you get a good sense of what it actually means to be an occupying force over millions of people, subjected to a military regime.” 

On Breaking the Silence’s website, thousands of testimonies detail soldiers’ experiences in the military, from the routine to the extreme. They reveal explanations of code names, warfare tactics, operation objectives, recollections of conversations with officers, and often the moments that led soldiers to testify.

Testimonies are categorized under headings that range from “law enforcement,” “patrols” and “checkpoints” to “desecration of bodies,” humiliation” and “human shields.” 

Founded in 2004, BTS initially set out to collect testimonies from soldiers who served during the Second Intifada of 2000-2005. Since then, more than 1,500 former soldiers have come forward.

An entire category is dedicated to the genocide in Gaza: Since it began, BTS has seen an influx of new testimonies, especially from reservists.  

Carmel believes that the older age of reservists explains this increase in testimonies. “They are sent to do unbelievable things at a stage in their life when they have kids, a job, when they’ve made up their minds politically,” he said. “They stop and think ‘What am I doing here?’ in a way that maybe an 18 or 19-year-old doesn’t.”

Young Israelis have few spaces where conversations about the occupation are held — not even schools. 

Carmel notes that, before joining the military, he had little opportunity to hear from Israelis who were critical of the occupation. “In our education system, the word occupation doesn’t feature at all.” 

In addition to limited public discourse, many Israelis are too young to remember a time before the occupation. “So many people can’t even imagine a reality without constant war, constant fighting,” Carmel said. “For my generation and for my parents’ generation, we don’t know a time when we weren’t an occupying force.”

As a result, occupation has become a permanent part of Israeli identity. It also makes military actions taken in the name of “security” easy to justify to the Israeli public.

BTS sees tours and testimonies as tools to disrupt this normalization and raise the question: “To what extent should security justify the occupation and abuse of another population?”

“They’re meant to be wake-up calls, like — ‘do you realize how not normal this is?’” Carmel explained.

BTS runs two political tours: one in Hebron’s H2 area, the section of divided Hebron that is under Israeli military administration, and a second in the South Hebron Hills, focusing on the village of Masafer Yatta, where Palestinians face near-daily settler violence, home demolitions and displacement. 

Breaking the Silence at a public advocacy event in Israel. The group works to educate the Israeli public about military operations and conditions under occupation in Gaza and the West Bank. (Breaking the Silence)

Tours trace how Israeli policies target Palestinians businesses, limit their movement and steadily push residents out of the area, while protecting Israeli settlers and the expansion of illegal settlements. 

“If Hebron is the occupation at an urban level,” Carmel said, “Masafer Yatta provides the rural perspective.”

Participants also have the opportunity to meet with local Palestinians and hear their experiences of life under occupation. In Hebron, groups meet with Issa Amro, a Palestinian nonviolent activist and the founder of Youth Against Settlements, an organization based in H2 that seeks to end the expansion of illegal Israeli settlements and the end of occupation.

Amro explains that the Israeli military is everywhere in H2. “The city is full of surveillance and facial recognition cameras. It’s a violation of our privacy.” 

On his Instagram account, Amro publishes videos and photographs of soldiers and settlers assaulting Palestinians. He says he sees BTS as an important voice in Israel, speaking out against the occupation. “I’ve been collaborating with Breaking the Silence for more than 20 years,” Amro said. “I feel we are partners in the same goal: to make peace and to make the occupation costly.”

For Amro, the collaboration offers a chance to speak with Israelis and international Jews directly. “I tell [Israeli visitors] to be changemakers, to be peacemakers,” he said. “I tell them to not stay silent about what’s going on around them or to be on the side of occupation. I remind them that ending the occupation is the only way for security for all.”

BTS’s tours attract tourists, diplomats and journalists, but recent protest movements within Israel have also brought new local participants, says Carmel. The mass protests that broke out in 2023 against Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s judicial reform proposals are leading more Israelis to open conversations about power and democracy. “People are beginning to think a little bit more critically,” Carmel said.

The consequences of ignoring the reality of occupation are already visible in Israeli society, Carmel says during the Hebron tour, from rising unemployment to increased alcoholism and domestic violence. “You can see how [being an occupying force] has been so toxic for Israeli society. There’s so much violence in our society, there’s so much aggression,” he said.

Beyond the social damage, BTS argues that the occupation is failing to fulfill its own stated claim of security, with considerable resources spent on protecting settlers and settlements over citizens. 

A group of Israel Defence Force soldiers in H2, Hebron. (WNV/Michael Friedrich)

Between 1,000 and 1,500 soldiers patrol the streets of H2, where 700 Israeli settlers live at the heart of the city. That’s one or two soldiers for every Hebron settler, according to Amro. 

Hamas’s attack on Israel also exposes the imbalance of resources. On the morning of Oct. 7, 2023, BTS says there were more than 30 battalions of infantry and combat soldiers in the West Bank, and two and a half positioned across the entire Gaza border. 

“Israel’s security policy for decades now, has been to ‘manage the conflict,’” BTS wrote in a report published days after the October attack. 

“Apart from the unfathomable violation of human rights, we’ve created a massive security liability for our own citizens,” the report continued. “Our country decided — decades ago — that it’s willing to forfeit the security of its citizens in our towns and cities, in favor of maintaining control over an occupied civilian population of millions, all for the sake of a settler-messianic agenda.”

Despite these failings, organizations like BTS are sidelined as extreme, radical left, unpatriotic or traitors.

Carmel described representing BTS at mechinot, pre-military preparatory academies, where gap year students are offered programs on leadership and national identity, and presented with different viewpoints from Israeli society. 

“[The students] have a tour or a lecture with us and then immediately after that they’ll meet with settlers, or hardcore right-wing groups,” he said. “It’s always so mind-blowing. They’ll have me, and then they’ll have [Itamar] Ben Gvir. It’s a testament to the way Israeli society perceives us.”

Anger towards BTS’s message has led right-wing groups to attempt to discredit the organization’s work, which have included attacks on the veracity of testimonies, attempted infiltration and even physical threats. 

In 2020, right-wing Israeli activist organisation Ad Kan petitioned the attorney general of Israel to open an investigation into BTS’s testimony collection for endangering national security. The criticism has caused many “middle-of-the-road” Israelis to not want to interact with a group considered radical, Carmel said.

The Israeli government has also sought to constrain the organization through legislation. In December 2025, the Israeli Knesset held its first reading of a bill targeting Israeli organizations receiving donations from foreign state entities. 

Over half of BTS’s funding comes from foreign governmental entities, the organization’s website reads. The bill, which is worded to affect left-wing groups while protecting right-wing organizations, would make it impossible for BTS to do its work if it passes, Carmel said.

In 2016, the Israeli State Attorney sought a warrant for the disclosure of documentation regarding the identity of BTS testifiers who served in Gaza in 2014. 

At the same time, opposition has raised BTS’s international profile and encouraged more Israelis to speak out about their military service.

For BTS, the current Netanyahu government’s methods — from the judicial overhaul to the funding bill — indicate that occupation policies are being replicated in Israel, with little public resistance.

“Israelis have become used to the idea that it’s somehow legitimate to have groups of people who simply aren’t eligible for democratic rights,” Carmel said. “Once that’s become normalized with regards to Palestinians from the occupied territories, it’s not a big leap to imagine that logic being rolled out here in Israel too.”

There’s a lot more work for BTS to do, such as continuing to collect testimonies from those who served in Gaza and drawing attention to what BTS calls a ‘Gaza-fication’ of the West Bank. 

“A lot of what we saw in Gaza has already been translated into action in the West Bank,” Carmel said, pointing to the standards that became normal during the war in Gaza, the rules of engagement, the weaponry used and the military mindset from Gaza.

In Gaza, the October 2025 ceasefire and U.S. President Donald Trump’s Gaza peace plan have been framed as the end of fighting and the wider conflict. 

Instead, BTS sees that the situation in Gaza has defaulted to how it was before Oct. 7, with Israel continuing to control the enclave. However, humanitarian conditions in Gaza are far more dire. Despite the ceasefire, Israeli strikes have killed at least 477 Palestinians in the past three months, according to the Gaza Health Ministry. With much of the enclave flattened by airstrikes, around 1 million Gazans lack adequate shelter and 1.6 million face high levels of acute food insecurity, the UN has reported.

“It’s just another form of managing the conflict, and it’s the same recipe that led us to October 7, and there’s no guarantee that it won’t happen again,” said Carmel. “It’s not a solution at all. We have to be clear with the Israeli public and the international community [that] there won’t be peace or security for Palestinians or Israelis until the occupation ends. That’s really our goal.”

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Bea Everist is a freelance journalist and OSINT researcher based in Jerusalem, after several years reporting from Cairo. Her work covers cultural and social movements across the Middle East.

 


After sweeping the Golden Globes and other awards, One Battle After Another has 13 Oscar nominations. Given the film’s clear relevance, if it does end up a winner, those who created it will probably do more than thank their agents, publicists, partners, and pets. They’ll likely talk about the times we’re living in, as every creative artist or public figure should, given the stakes. We hope they’ll present the film as a cautionary tale, not an endorsement of violent resistance.

It’s easy to see why One Battle has been so successful. It’s gripping, funny, and wonderfully acted. It’s a satire of political madness, left and right. But parts of it also feel real in ways that most movie satires or political thrillers don’t. Although it was completed before Donald Trump’s reelection, its images of vicious immigration raids and out-of-control police now echo America’s daily reality.

When the film played in theaters, audiences cheered for those fighting the forces trampling human dignity. But emulating the movie’s violent resistors would be a trap, confirming the justifications President Trump and his enablers give for brutalizing ordinary Americans and shredding the law. 

In the movie, Leonardo DiCaprio’s lead character is part The Dude (complete with ratty bathrobe), and part follower of the 1960’s-era radical group, the Weathermen. But one of us, Mark, cofounded the Weathermen after helping lead successful student protests at Columbia—and now sees the group’s embrace of violence as a destructive trap.

I remember the moral rage I felt when I realized how many innocent Vietnamese we were killing every day. Along with millions of others, young and old, I joined the anti-war movement under the banner “Bring the troops home now!” That powerful movement was fundamentally nonviolent.

But then, having helped organize increasingly powerful protests, some of us grew impatient, fueled by anger, guilt, machismo, revolutionary delusions, and the need to prove ourselves true to the cause. We convinced ourselves that only “revolutionary violence” would stop the greater violence of the war.  Calling ourselves the Weathermen, we began fighting the cops sent to control our protests. We adopted a new slogan, “Bring the war home!” Eventually, some in the group escalated to planting bombs in government buildings. Our heroic actions, we thought, would wake even more people up. 

The results, instead, were disastrous. Many people left the movement because of our violence and that of others who emulated us. Because of all the patient and nonviolent organizing, public opinion gradually turned against the war. But it also turned against “the radical students,” who Richard Nixon made a prime scapegoat. In doing so, those of us who embraced “revolutionary” violence played into every aspect of the fear that Nixon and his administration worked to exploit and severely damaged the movement we’d once helped build and expand. This in turn helped Nixon prolong the war, even as the broader movement eventually forced withdrawal. 

That history shapes how we both see the present moment. Now, as in the movie, Trump and his regime are violently attacking immigrants and those who support them.  They label even nonviolent resistance as “terrorist.” Given the brutality, it’s tempting to respond with violence. But think of the political boost Trump got from the assassination attempts, or how he and his allies weaponized the killing of Charlie Kirk—even though both were perpetrated by lone and disconnected individuals. Global research shows that violent movements lose when facing dictators and would-be dictators, while nonviolent ones have far greater chances of winning. Nonviolence takes discipline and persistence, but we’ve seen exactly that from the courageous citizens who’ve nonviolently resisted masked men taking their neighbors in cities like Minneapolis, Chicago, and Los Angeles. And that resistance has helped shift American public sentiment. 

Let’s reject revolutionary mythologizing and hope that the creators and stars of One Battle make clear that what authoritarians fear most is disciplined nonviolence, not out of control rage.

Mark Rudd was the cofounder of the Weathermen, spent seven years underground, and then became an organizer and community college math instructor in Albuquerque, NM. He’s the author of Underground: My Life with SDS and the Weathermen

Paul Rogat Loeb was kicked out of Stanford University for nonviolent anti-war activism, and is the author of Soul of a Citizen and The Impossible Will Take a Little While, whose third edition is coming out in September. 

 

Source: Originally published by Z. Feel free to share widely.

As Thailand goes to the polls, three visions compete: one which experiments in strange new populist economics, one which critiques from the seminar room, and one paying to keep the countryside quiet. In the Thai election, scheduled for 8 February, we can see the Global South’s political laboratory in microcosm.

Today’s landscape is a three-way struggle between Phue Thai’s disruptive populism, the liberal Peoples Party’s Westernised idealism, and the Bhumjaithai Party’s reactionary clientelism. The February election will decide which paradigm prevails.

The Red Deal: Rainbow Agrarian Populism

Since the 1957 military coup, power in Thailand has been held by a narrow elite: the military, the monarchy, and old-money families. This bloated clientelist bureaucracy left the outer provinces perennially impoverished and stuck in semi-feudal, semi-capitalist economic relations. This “deep alliance” has always been the constant ambient, often lethal, background of Thai politics, with 11 successful coup d‘états since 57.

The 1997 Asian financial crash exposed this elite’s incompetence at crisis management. A new cohort of domestic capitalists, led by telecoms billionaire Thaksin Shinawatra, forged an unprecedented class collaboration. Uniting military officers, nationalists, former insurgents, and academics under the Thai Rak Thai (later Phue Thai) banner, their imperative was to modernise the state and develop the periphery.

Their manifesto delivered policies like universal healthcare, a farmer debt moratorium, and direct village funds. For the first time, the poor were addressed in terms of class interest. Policies like the 30-Baht healthcare scheme bypassed the old bureaucracy, establishing a direct relationship between government and masses. Rural communities themselves decided how to use funds, redistributing not just wealth, but decision-making. This broke down semi-feudal rural relations.

Phue Thai’s rural empowerment also benefited urban workers. By making rural life viable, it reduced the economic coercion forcing migrants to Bangkok, giving urban workers leverage in the factories, indirectly improving conditions for the rural and urban poor.

In the early years, however, Pheu Thai relied on ugly alliances. It oversaw a brutal drug war and violent suppression in the Muslim-majority Deep South. In recent years, though, it has pivoted to extreme social progressivism, legalising same-sex marriage, providing trans-affirming healthcare, and joining pride parades. In foreign policy, it moved from a strongly US-aligned stance to recognising Palestine, joining BRICS, and cooperating with Iran and Hamas to secure the release of Thai prisoners accidentally taken in Gaza.

Thaksin was ousted by military coup in 2006 resulting in the famous Red Shirt (Phue Thai) vs Yellow Shirt (Royalist) street battles and military massacres of Red Shirt protesters (2008-2014), but the Phue Thai machine continued to hold on and regain parliament on and off ever since despite massive persecution from the reactionary elite classes.

For most, Phue Thai’s governments were boom eras. It was a deal: the poor gained agency and material improvement; new elites gained a mandate without violent revolution. Socialist outcomes, without the capital S Socialism—a “Rainbow Agrarian Populism.”

Orange Western Liberalism

In 2018, the Orange movement (Future Forward/Peoples Party) emerged. Founded by disaffected Phue Thai elites—academics, NGO leaders, and younger capitalists like Thanathorn Juangroongruangkit—it positioned itself as the clean, progressive alternative to Phue Thai. Its base was young, urban, middle-class, and anti-military/monarchy.

Yet its critique was ideological, not material. It championed abstract ideals like “Democracy” and a Western-style welfare state, often ignoring Phue Thai’s foundational programs. This attracted voters historically aligned with Phue Thai and, more recently, leadership flocking from ultra-conservative backgrounds, following the political winds.

Phue Thai supporters often say, “Orange are the new Ultra-Right.” The leadership represents a different faction of the urban elite seeking to supplant old monopolists while leaving class hierarchies intact. Their angst is directed not at capitalism, but at its mismanagement.

This idealism has consequences. By splitting the anti-military vote, Orange victories helped hand Parliament to the military-backed Ultra-Right in 2019. In 2023, they won a slim majority of votes but failed to form a government, forcing Phue Thai into a coalition with its former military persecutors. In 2025, after the judicial coup against Phue Thai, Orange entered a temporary coalition with the ultra-nationalist Bhumjaithai, taking no ministerial posts out of “principle.” For many, this revealed a politics of aesthetics, not structural transformation.

Bhumjaithai Machine: Reactionary Clientelism

If Phue Thai mobilises peasant agency, and Orange offers liberal idealism, then Bhumjaithai offers the old establishment’s perfected antidote: patronage disguised as politics. Its function is to protect agrarian inequality by neutralising class consciousness.

Founded by trucking magnate Newin Chidchob, another Phue Thai defector, it harnesses Phue Thai-esque populist tactics to serve reactionary ends. It is the intermediary between the old Bangkok elite and the restive rural population. Under ultra-billionaire leader Anutin Charnvirakul, it rebranded patronage as “localist development.”

Its power flows through local elites, landowning dynasties, and provincial brokers —the aforementioned semi-feudal class. By controlling the Interior Ministry for the past decade, it turned budgets and infrastructure into tools of patronage to pre-empt mass mobilisation. Bhumjaithai’s welfare schemes are deliberately fragmented, distributed through local elites to ensure dependence, not empowerment.

Beneath its folksy veneer lies hardcore reaction: anti-immigrant fervour, ultranationalism stoked by the border war with Cambodia, and disdain for LGBTQ+ rights. It frames rural poverty as cultural failing, not structural exploitation.

The Stakes

Phue Thai Party has defined Thai politics for over two decades, yet defies easy definition. It is a peasant-backed populist movement and an alliance of urban capitalists; it has privatised state assets while investing massively in public welfare. By every rule of 21st-century politics, it should not exist. Yet it has delivered a paradigm shift that baffles elites while transforming society.

Phue Thai’s successes have provoked relentless sabotage—coups, judicial dissolutions, and the 2017 Constitution designed to cripple it. Yet the symbiotic relationship between party and poor endured because the deal delivered material gains.

Despite a hostile coalition since 2023, Phue Thai has pushed through universal dental care, mass social housing, same-sex marriage, and cash handouts to the poor. Rainbow Agrarian Populism persists.

The February elections present a stark choice. Phue Thai’s ceiling is its bourgeois leadership; it seeks inclusive capitalism, not class abolition. Yet it differs fundamentally from Global North social democrats by depending on a mobilised base engaged in economic realignment.

This rare class collaboration is an experiment in leveraging cross-class alliances to achieve material victories for the poor. Phue Thai offers a compromised but effective stepping stone for mass mobilisation that puts food on workers’ plates.

As the Global South asserts new models, Thailand’s political triad reveals a broader struggle: between indigenous, material-based populism; Westernised liberal idealism; and adaptive reactionary control. The February vote will define which paradigm, or which combination of paradigms, prevails.


This article was produced by Globetrotter.Email

Kay Young is a writer and editor at DinDeng journal (Thailand). He has a forthcoming book on Thai revolutionary history with LeftWord Books (India).

 

Source: Counterpunch

Forest preservationists in the nation’s Heartland are again pushing Congress to nearly triple the size of a Southern Indiana wildland complex in the Hoosier National Forest, guardedly hopeful it will pass this session after narrowing failing in the last.

The Benjamin Harrison National Recreation Area and Wilderness Establishment Act would more than double the Hoosier’s Charles C. Deam Wilderness to 28,253 acres and add a 29,382-acre buffer, where use would be restricted primarily to backcountry recreation such as hiking, horseback riding, mountain biking, mushroom gathering, hunting, birdwatching, nature photography, solitude, etc.

Introduced in the Senate in 2023 and 2024 by then Republican U.S. Senator and now Indiana Governor Mike Braun, and in the House in 2024 by Ninth District Republican Representative Erin Houchin, the bill died in the lame duck days of the 118th session as part of a package of public lands bills torpedoed by House Republican leadership.

With the governor’s full-throated support for this remarkable example of 21st century bipartisanship – in a Crimson Red state, no less – Indiana forest activists are ramping up a campaign to push the legislation over the peak this year.

“We have been trying to save this wild expanse of hardwood forest for more than 50 years,” said the Indiana Forest Alliance’s Hoosier National Forest Program Advisor Jeff Stant. “Getting it done will take a sustained effort by many determined people, but the stars are beginning to align to make this once in a lifetime opportunity actually happen.”

The Deam and Harrison’s narrow, flat-topped ridges and steep, V-shaped valleys comprise some of the most scenic and rugged landforms in the state and form the core of the largest block of unbroken deciduous hardwood forest in Indiana, Ohio, and Illinois.

The landscape is full-canopy woods returning to old growth condition and is dominated by oak, hickory, maple, tulip poplar, beech, basswood, cherry, elm, gum, and related species – featuring 200- and 300-year-old oaks and other trees in many hollows. The valleys are laced with seasonal streams with limestone, siltstone, and sandstone beds. The iNaturalist website identifies more than 200 animal and 400 plant species in the current Deam alone.

The Deam-Harrison NRA acreage is home to nearly twice as many tree species as the entire state of Washington.

An example of its underlying karst topography, a shift in the Mount Carmel Fault exposed the Deam’s Patton Cave, whose ceilings and walls are lined with geodes, which hollow, spherical rocks that often have crystal centers.

The Deam and proposed Harrison NRA’s 57,635 acres also adjoin 30,000 acres of a state park and two state forests.

“Counting the adjacent 16,000-acre Brown County State Park, this legislation would establish the largest area of protected public forest in Ohio, Indiana and Illinois,” according to the Indiana Forest Alliance (IFA).

When the Deam was established in 1982, preservationists argued that its 12,953 protected acres were simply not enough to satisfy the outdoor recreation needs of the Middle and Lower Ohio River Valley.

Its northern border abuts Lake Monroe, Indiana’s largest waterbody and most popular recreational lake. A popular horse camp sits on the western edge.

The 90-year-old, 110-foot-tall, 133-step Hickory Ridge Lookout Tower looms over the treetops some six miles in, offering one of the most spectacular views in the Midwest – from an altitude of  a thousand feet, about as high as one can get in the Southern Indiana Uplands and still be connected to the earth.

Today, more than 5 million citizens live a 2.5-hour drive from the Deam in just the metro areas of Indianapolis, Cincinnati, Louisville, and Evansville. Forty-five thousand students attend Indiana University, a 20-minute drive to the northwest. Chicago is 4.5 hours away by Interstate. Ditto St. Louis.

The three parking lots at the Deam’s Grubb Ridge and Terrill Ridge Trailheads are often filled to overflowing, with parking prohibitions along Tower Ridge Road largely ignored during spring and fall peak seasons.

The walls of the Hickory Ridge Lookout cabin are covered with graffiti.

U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) found Indiana’s outdoor recreation industry was worth $15.7 billion in 2023 and ranked the state 12th in the nation.

“Outdoor recreation has a bigger impact on Indiana’s bottom line than that of any other Midwest state,” Axios reported in a Dec. 6, 2024, story about the BEA report.

A new report Nature’s Value in Indiana’s Wilderness from the Tacoma-based nonprofit Earth Economics builds on that economic fact of outdoor life, estimating the Deam-Harrison complex would generate $5.4 billion in economic benefits to Indiana over 30 years.

“Natural ecosystems in the expanded Charles Deam Wilderness and Benjamin Harrison National Recreation Area [would] produce at least $235 million dollars in annual benefits,” the report says.

Healthy natural capital – like wilderness – provides societal and economic benefits known as ecosystem services, Earth Economics senior researcher and data manager Angela Fletcher said in a news release.

“Indiana’s forests provide clean and accessible water, clean air, and recreational opportunities, while absorbing rain and holding soil in place to safeguard downstream communities,” she said. “Fully informed land management must consider such benefits.”

The 26-page Nature’s Value report, coproduced with the IFA, tracked 12 ecosystem services, ranging from climate stability to air quality to pollination to water quality.

Aesthetics value – “opportunities for people to enjoy nature and develop a sense of place, purpose, belonging, rootedness, or connectedness” – produced the most economic value, with Recreation ranking fourth, with a combined annual value of $90.3 million.

Jason Flickner, IFA executive director, said this “island of wild nature’s” size and scenic beauty is unsurpassed in the Lower Midwest.

“It’s no wonder that nearly 40 percent of the value found from expanding the Deam Wilderness and establishing Benjamin Harrison National Recreation Area will come from protecting wild scenery and providing recreational opportunities available nowhere else in the nation’s industrial heartland,” Flickner said in the release.

Wilderness advocates cleared a crucial hurdle in the 2023-24 bill through a compromise that would allow mountain bikers to continue using established trails in a section of the proposed Deam expansion called Nebo Ridge.

Wilderness proponents have coveted Nebo for more than a half-century now. In response to the Eastern Wilderness Act of 1975 mandate that the U.S. Forest Service establish permanently protected wilderness in National Forests in the East, they proposed a 32,000-acre Nebo Ridge Wilderness Area for the Hoosier.

Nebo was not designated wilderness when the Deam was established in 1982, but it was afforded the maximum remaining protection from exploitation under the HNF’s Land Management Plan.

Mountain bikes are prohibited in protected wilderness, like the Deam, but are permitted under Nebo’s management category. So the state mountain biking community opposed the original bill because it would have eliminated the 16-mile Nebo Ridge Trail, on which the Forest Service allows bike use.

The compromise designates Nebo and five other HNF trails as “non-wilderness corridors” to allow mountain bikes and horses. In response to that modification, biking groups across the state now support the bill.

The Nature’s Value study quotes Mountain Bike Indiana: “We can hardly wait to utilize the added trails that will result through this scenic area.”

Lake Monroe serves as the sole source of drinking water for more than 130,000 Southcentral Indiana residents and hundreds of businesses.

“Protecting old growth forest cover in the expanded Deam and NRA – and incentivizing conservation practices on private land will lower long-term treatment costs,” the Nature’s Value report says.

IFA Hoosier advisor Stant, who coauthored the study, said the expansion will generate more than $47 million annually by capturing and conveying clean water.

“Monroe Reservoir provides a foundation for the economic health of the entire Southcentral Indiana region, which is why policies that conserve undisturbed forest on steep hillsides in this lake’s watershed make a great deal of common sense,” he said.Email

Steven Higgs is a journalist, photographer, and author living in Bloomington, Indiana.