Showing posts sorted by date for query ecology. Sort by relevance Show all posts
Showing posts sorted by date for query ecology. Sort by relevance Show all posts

Friday, April 04, 2025

 

‘Some insects are declining but what’s happening to the other 99%?’



Despite fears over ‘insectageddon’, there is a lack of data about virtually all insect species globally, so a research rethink is needed



UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology

Earwig 

image: 

Earwigs are among the poorly studied insect species globally.

view more 

Credit: Photo: Charles J. Sharp CC BY-SA 4.0




    Insects are the dominant form of animal life on our planet, providing humans and wildlife with pollination, food, and recycling services but, despite concerns about population declines, little is known about how 99% of species globally are faring.

    A new approach is needed to better monitor species and protect them from the impacts of climate and land use change, pollution and invasive non-native species as soon as possible, according to a study led by the UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology (UKCEH) and ZSL (Zoological Society of London).

    The researchers, whose work has been published in the journal Science, point out there are one million known insect species globally but there have been IUCN assessments for just 1% –12,100 species, with around 20% of these considered threatened.

    Monitoring is largely confined to butterflies, bumblebees and dragonflies in parts of Europe and North America, with little known about insects in parts of Asia and South America and virtually no data on species in Africa.

    Incomplete picture

    Despite reports of catastrophic insect declines, the study authors say the global state of insect biodiversity remains unclear due to the sheer complexity of insects’ lifestyles and fluctuating population trends, as well as a massive lack of data.

    In their study, they propose a new framework for monitoring populations and analysing the impact of threats that integrates all available methods for studying insects. These are: comparing diversity and abundance over time and across different habitats, and through gathering expert opinion and carrying out experiments.

    Dr Rob Cooke, an ecological modeller at UKCEH and joint lead author of the study, explained: “We need to find out whether insect declines are widespread and what’s causing them. The challenge is like a giant jigsaw puzzle where there are thousands of missing pieces, but we do not have decades to wait to fill these gaps and then act.

    “There is a lot of interest in monitoring charismatic species such as bees and butterflies, but few people care about the supposedly unpleasant insects, even though they too provide benefits for us. For example, earwigs feed on aphids and other garden pests while cockroaches eat decaying material and keep soils healthy.”

    Undervalued and understudied

    Dr Charlotte Outhwaite of ZSL’s Institute of Zoology, joint lead author of the study, added: “Insects are an incredibly important part of our ecosystems, pollinating around 80% of flowering plant species and vital for 35% of global food production, yet they are undervalued and understudied.

    “With a million described species it would take too long to figure what works best for each species. Instead we want to find large-scale actions that benefit the most insects. For this, we need to use all the available information we have.”

    The study authors explain this means that, when there is a lack of data, experts would make judgments about how climate, land use, pollution or invasive non-native species are affecting certain species based on the known impacts on similar types of insects. Their proposed framework would integrate four types of research methods:

    • Time series trends, for example a decline in the number of butterflies over a 10-year period.
    • Spatial comparisons, such as looking at differences in species numbers or abundance across different habitats or regions.
    • Experiments to investigate the response of insects to different threats, such as comparing a field sprayed with pesticides to one without, or removing invasive non-native species from one area but not another.
    • Expert opinion on the response of insects to threats, for example, a scientist pointing out that butterfly counts tend to be higher in warmer rather than colder forests.

    By combining data from a range of sources, scientists can gain a more complete picture of how insects respond to drivers of change while allowing transparency in uncertainty and data gaps.  

    The next step for the researchers is to implement their approach by using the range of research methods to model insect responses to key threats. Consolidating all available data will provide an updated overview of the state of the world's insect populations.

    The work is part of a project funded by the Natural Environment Research Council (NERC), which is bringing together diverse sources of data including expert knowledge to assess the impact of individual threats.

    The Global Insect Threat-Response Synthesis (GLiTRS) project involves UKCEH, the Natural History Museum, University College London, the Zoological Society of London, the University of Cambridge, Queen Mary University of London, the University of Stellenbosch, the University of Reading, the University of Exeter and Imperial College London.

    - Ends -

    Media enquiries

    For interviews and further information, please contact Simon Williams, Media Relations Officer at UKCEH, via simwil@ceh.ac.uk or +44 (0)7920 295384.

    Notes to Editors

    Paper information

    Cooke, Outhwaite et al. 2025. Integrating multiple evidence streams to understand insect biodiversity change. Science. DOI: 10.1126/science.adq2110  

    About the UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology (UKCEH)

    The UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology (UKCEH) is a leading independent research institute dedicated to understanding and transforming how we interact with the natural world.

    With over 600 researchers, we tackle the urgent environmental challenges of our time, such as climate change and biodiversity loss. Our evidence-based insights empower governments, businesses, and communities to make informed decisions, shaping a future where both nature and people thrive.

    ceh.ac.uk / BlueSky: @ukceh.bsky.social  /  LinkedIn: UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology

    About ZSL

    We’re ZSL, a science-driven conservation charity working to restore wildlife in the UK and around the world. We work to help wildlife and people thrive together. Guided by a scientific approach and passion for nature, we lead conservation, shape agendas and influence change to protect and restore nature. We are committed to protecting species, restoring habitats, training conservationists and creating change for nature.

    Visit www.zsl.org for more information.

    Research news from the Ecological Society of America




    Ecological Society of America
    Lichens observed on urban trees in Vancouver, Canada 

    image: 

    A recent Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment study cataloged a wide variety of lichens, mosses and liverworts living on the urban trees of Vancouver, Canada.

    view more 

    Credit: Nicole J Jung, from Jung et al., 2025




    The Ecological Society of America (ESA) presents a roundup of six research articles recently published across its esteemed journals. Widely recognized for fostering innovation and advancing ecological knowledge, ESA’s journals consistently feature illuminating and impactful studies. This compilation of papers explores the relative effectiveness of different wildfire fuel treatments, the impacts of geese on Arctic breeding grounds, bumble bee foraging behavior in agricultural areas, the overlooked cornucopia of epiphytes in cities, China’s carbon sequestration capacity and the discoveries that result when modern science teams up with Indigenous knowledge.

     

    From Ecological Applications:

    Defueling forests across the US requires different treatments  
    Author contact: Alexis A. Bernal (alexis_bernal@berkeley.edu)

    Prescribed fire and mechanical treatments like tree thinning are both useful measures for mitigating wildfire impacts on US forests, according to a recent analysis. But data collected as part of the Fire and Fire Surrogate study, a decades-long, nation-wide research program, also revealed that the relative effectiveness of the two approaches varied geographically and across forest types. While prescribed burns were more beneficial than thinning, creating fuel breaks or similar approaches for promoting fire resilience in eastern forests, the reverse was true for the woodlands of the west. Regardless of the region or type of forest, however, routine application of fuel treatments is critical, along with building flexibility into management strategies to meet new goals under changing environmental and social conditions.

    Read the article: The national Fire and Fire Surrogate study: Effects of fuel treatments in the Western and Eastern United States after 20 years

     

    From Ecosphere:

    What’s good for the goose less so for Arctic ecosystems
    Author contact: Dana K. Kellett (kellettconsulting@gmail.com)  

    Populations of migratory geese in North America have skyrocketed thanks to the bounty provided by the endless fields of crops in the birds’ southern wintering grounds. New research reveals that in the northern tundra where geese migrate in summer to breed, ecosystems are cracking under the strain of having to provide for so many nesting birds. Competition for food and nest-building material has become so intense in Canada’s central Arctic that many lowland areas once dominated by grasses and sedges now support little more than ground-hugging mosses and peat. Although plant diversity rebounded once grazing and nesting pressures were lifted, recovery was uneven across the region. The study demonstrates how changes in one part of the world can reverberate in far-away landscapes through impacts on migratory species.

    Read the article: Ornithogenic alteration of a tundra ecosystem from decades of intense herbivory and dense nesting

     

    From Ecology:

    Little buzz among native bees for crop pollen
    Author contact: Jeremy Hemberger (j.hemberger.wisc@gmail.com)  

    Spurning the enormous bouquet of flowers provided by nonnative crops, California bumble bees remain steadfastly loyal to their original plant partners, suggests a recent study. Such is their disdain for exotic pollen that in areas dominated by agriculture bees will often turn up their antennae at monoculture crops and instead search for food sources in surrounding habitat like chapparal and oak savanna, even field edges and roadside verges. The pickiness of foraging bees is a further reminder of how little we know about resource use by insects, and the importance of conserving as broad a range of natural habitats and native plant species as possible.

    Read the article: Predicting landscape-scale native bumble bee habitat use over space, time, and forage availability

     

    From Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment:

    The secret life of urban epiphytes
    Author contact: Nicole J. Jung (nicolejung.j@gmail.com)

    Peering behind the leafy curtains of roadside trees, researchers in Vancouver, Canada, recently cataloged an astonishing array of lichens, mosses and liverworts hidden amid the city’s greenery. Despite the pollution and summertime heat characteristic of urban areas, mats of these small colonial organisms form thriving microenvironments on the bark of trees, offering habitat for numerous other tiny plants and animals. Given that many of the lichens, mosses and liverworts were found to be closely associated with specific types of trees, they could serve as valuable sentinels of host-tree condition and consequently overall ecosystem health. The results of the survey spotlight the wide variety of life forms living in the world’s cities that are too often overlooked.

    Read the article: Re-envisioning urban landscapes: lichens, liverworts, and mosses coexist spontaneously with us

     

    From Ecological Monographs:

    China: a carbon sink, but for how long?   
    Author contact: Shiqiang Wan (swan@hbu.edu.cn)  

    A review of the scientific literature suggests that the ecosystems of mainland China are a major carbon sink — at least for the time being. Consolidating data from hundreds of experiments carried out across the country since 1991, researchers found that the rate at which carbon was locked away was highly influenced by a wide range of environmental factors. While warming affected different regions of the country in different ways, temperature increases exceeding 1.5°C (the target limit set by the Paris climate agreement) generally had adverse effects on plant productivity, a key measure of how much plants grow — and therefore how much carbon can be absorbed. As such, China’s capacity to store additional carbon may begin to slow as this threshold is passed, raising questions about the future role of the country’s ecosystems as a carbon sink.

    Read the article: Global change and China’s terrestrial carbon sink: A quantitative review of 30 years’ ecosystem manipulative experiments

     

    From Earth Stewardship:

    Indigenous knowledge leads to new insights into forestry's impact on plants  
    Author contact: Kathleen A. Carroll (kathleen.carroll@uri.edu

    A new study highlights the effects of forestry practices on plants crucial to Indigenous communities in Canada’s western boreal forest. By blending traditional knowledge with modern scientific methods, the research examines how logging, herbicide use and fire influence 51 edible and medicinal plant species. Although some of these culturally important plants were more abundant in treated areas, assessments done in collaboration with local communities indicated that forestry practices — especially herbicide treatment — rendered these plants unsuitable for consumption. The research stresses the importance of respecting traditional ecological knowledge to ensure sustainable land use and preserve access to vital cultural resources. The findings underscore the need for continued partnerships that prioritize Indigenous governance and ecological concerns as industrial activities increasingly affect these lands.

    Read the article: Indigenous-led research on traditional territories highlights the impacts of forestry harvest practices on culturally important plants

     

    ###

     

    The Ecological Society of America, founded in 1915, is the world’s largest community of professional ecologists and a trusted source of ecological knowledge, committed to advancing the understanding of life on Earth. The 8,000 member Society publishes six journals and a membership bulletin and broadly shares ecological information through policy, media outreach and education initiatives. The Society’s Annual Meeting attracts 4,000 attendees and features the most recent advances in ecological science. Visit the ESA website at https://www.esa.org

    Follow ESA on social media:
    X/Twitter – @esa_org
    Bluesky – @ecologicalsociety.bsky.social
    Instagram – @ecologicalsociety
    Facebook – @esa.org


     

    Soil conditions significantly increase rainfall in world’s megastorm hotspots



    Study shows contrast between wet and dry areas increases rain by up to 30%




    UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology

    Intense dust storms, such as this haboob in Mali, proceed torrential rain in the Sahel. 

    image: 

    Intense dust storms, such as this haboob in Mali, proceed torrential rain in the Sahel.

    view more 

    Credit: Picture: Françoise Guichard / Laurent Kergoat / CNRS Photo Library




      Storm forecasting is traditionally based on studying atmospheric conditions but ground-breaking research that also looks at land surface conditions is set to transform early warning systems in tropical regions. This will enable communities to better adapt to the destructive impacts of climate change.

      The new study led by the UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology (UKCEH) has shown that a large contrast in soil moisture levels over a range of hundreds of kilometres results in atmospheric changes that increase rainfall area and amount in several megastorm hotspots globally. This increase ranges from 10 to 30% depending on the region and size of the storm.

      The research focused on mesoscale convective systems, which bring severe flash flooding and mudslides in parts of Africa, Asia, Americas and Australia that collectively have a population of nearly four billion people (see recent examples, below).

      These weather systems, which can be larger in size than England and travel hundreds of kilometres, bring intense storms that kill people and livestock, as well as destroying homes, infrastructure and livelihoods.

      Impacts of climate change

      The study, by UKCEH, the University of Leeds (UK) and the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (USA), has been published in Nature Geoscience.

      Lead author Dr Emma Barton, a meteorologist at UKCEH, said: “Mesoscale convective systems are some of the most intense thunderstorms on the planet, and are increasing in severity due to climate change. Rising temperatures could increase the contrast between wet and dry areas of soils, further intensifying thunderstorms in already severely impacted regions.

      “Understanding how soil moisture influences storm activity, and how this may change in the future, will be essential for more accurate short-term forecasting to warn communities about approaching storms, as well as making longer-term projections.”

      Widespread damage

      • Last year, Africa was reported to have had its worst storm season in several years. Between June and September, severe flooding in West and Central Africa, linked to heavy rainfall, killed a total of over 1,000 people, displaced more than 500,000 and destroyed over 300,000 homes.
      • In Argentina in March 2025, a severe storm killed 13 people, displaced over 1,000, swept cars away and destroyed roads and bridges.
      • In Bengal, India, in March 2024, a thunderstorm damaged around 800 homes, injured 300 people and killed five.

      Improving warnings

      The new study involved a detailed analysis of 20 years of satellite data relating to storm activity and soil moisture conditions in West Africa, southern Africa, India, South America, as well as computer modelling.

      The researchers found surface conditions that influence rainfall can be observed two to five days before a storm hits, which will allow advance warning of potential flash flooding.

      Early warning allows people to move themselves, their families, livestock, vehicles and possessions to upland areas, or to clear blocked drains in advance of storms to limit surface water flooding, for example.

      The new study is part of ongoing UKCEH research funded by the Natural Environment Research Council (NERC). A previous study found land surface conditions often affect the direction and intensity of megastorms in the Sahel after they have formed, while a separate paper showed that deforestation increases the frequency of storms in some fast-growing African coastal cities.

      Rethinking forecasting

      “Meteorologists tend to focus on atmospheric conditions to predict weather patterns. But, as a growing amount of evidence shows, we should also consider what is happening on the land surface to improve forecasting,” said study co-author Dr Cornelia Klein, a meteorologist at UKCEH.

      The study authors explain that greater contrast in moisture between wetter and drier areas over a large distance results in a greater contrast in air temperatures, leading to stronger shifts in wind direction and/or speed as you go higher up in the atmosphere. This turbulence helps storms grow, producing more rainfall over a larger area.

      In addition to their analysis in West and southern Africa, India and South America, the researchers observed the same connection between soil moisture contrasts and wind circulations in China, Australia and the US Great Plains. So while there were insufficient storm data to carry out a full analysis, they are confident that soil moisture contrasts are also exacerbating rainfall in other regions affected by mesoscale convective systems.

      Developing accurate tools

      The next step for the researchers is to explore what factors contribute to these regional variations. They are also using the latest, advanced climate models, which better incorporate storms, to improve understanding of the processes that make rainfall more intense as temperatures continue to rise under global warming.

      Computer software tools being developed by UKCEH are enabling meteorological agencies to generate more reliable short-term forecasting (up to six hours ahead of storms) and therefore warnings to communities about approaching storms. These include an online ‘nowcasting’ portal based on satellite-derived data on atmospheric and soil conditions in Africa.

      – Ends –

      Media enquiries

      For interviews and further information, please contact Simon Williams, Media Relations Officer at UKCEH, via simwil@ceh.ac.uk or +44 (0)7920 295384.

      Notes to Editors

      Paper information

      Barton et al. 2025. Mesoscale convective systems strengthen over soil moisture gradients in semi-arid regions. Nature Geoscience. DOI: 10.1038/s41561-025-01666-8. Open access.

      About the UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology (UKCEH)

      The UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology (UKCEH) is a leading independent research institute dedicated to understanding and transforming how we interact with the natural world. 

      With over 600 researchers, we tackle the urgent environmental challenges of our time, such as climate change and biodiversity loss. Our evidence-based insights empower governments, businesses and communities to make informed decisions, shaping a future where both nature and people thrive.

      ceh.ac.uk / BlueSky: @ukceh.bsky.social  /  LinkedIn: UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology

      Panarchy is the Universal Peace Deal



       April 4, 2025

      FacebookTwitterReddit

      Image by Markus Spiske.

      The winds of March are roaring and everywhere you look peace is in the air, or at least that’s the impression you might get from eyeballing the latest headlines. Every other day it seems like another batch of barrel bomb-flipping butchers is getting together over finger sandwiches in the banquet room of a different five-star hotel to draw up plans for another ceasefire here or another peace deal there, but somehow people are still getting blown to bits all over the goddamn map.

      We keep hearing how committed everyone is to peace in the Middle East and yet Benjamin Netanyahu seems to invade a new neighbor every other week, blasting through one red light after another and daring a very concerned international community to pull him over. The Europeans all shake their heads, but they keep cutting that psychopath checks instead of tickets between the endless procession of toothless interventions and talks about more toothless interventions. And we see a lot more of this same kind of shit going on over at the other global catastrophe in Ukraine.

      While Donald Trump makes little secret about his desire to pave over the Gaza Strip and build a second Boca Raton on the mass graves, he’s hustling like a shit-eating European to keep Putin and Zelensky on the phone together. Every day we’re told by one of his sycophants that the mythic peace deal he promised to deliver on day one of his presidency is coming a little bit closer and yet cluster bombs are still dropping on both sides of Dnieper River.

      In the latest peace fake out, just hours after agreeing informally to halting attacks on energy infrastructure, both Putin and Zelensky launched massive drone attacks deep into each other’s air spaces against pretty much every other kind of target. Yet the only time Trump ever turns off the tap of American artillery to Ukraine is when Zelensky hurts his feelings during another one those endless goddamn peace junkets.

      The depressing reality here is that while peace talks may be in the air, talk is cheap among imperial death merchants. Powerful warlords like the ones in charge of the US and the EU frequently adopt a pacifist posture when their crusades begin to become toxic among their constituents back home, but this rarely amounts to much more than smoke and mirrors.

      In no Babylonian hellhole is this truer than it is in Washington, where every president is a pacifist until his first war crime and sometimes even for a while after that. Richard Nixon was elected to end a war he would drastically escalate to downright genocidal proportions in Indochina. George W. Bush ran against the reckless Balkan interventionism of the Clinton regime before declaring war on pretty much everybody and Barack Obama ran on moving Dubya’s troops out of Iraq and back into the jaws of the Hindu Kush only to ship many of them back to Mosul anyway.

      In spite of all the attempts by more liberal warmongers to paint Trump as some kind of Putinist Nevelle Chamberlain he is no exception to the rule. Donald spent his first term throwing freedom of navigation drills off the Russian coasts of the Black Sea while he shredded one Reagan era nuclear armistice after another. This Zionist rodeo clown isn’t a non-interventionist, he just poses like one for the cameras so he can appear vaguely principled while shaking down our fatted allies for spare change.

      The really gross thing is that all this isolationist posturing, and empty peace talk seems to be souring entire generations of otherwise thoughtful people on the notion of minding our own goddamn business as a virtue. In Europe, the communists are turning to fascism again and in North America many of my fellow anarchists are beginning to sound like neoliberals. I see it online every day; well-intentioned social anarchists adopting a posture of hyper-internationalism that views isolationism with contempt and interventionism as woke, and all this does is push more equally well-intentioned rural populists away from the real solution to the globalism that they are perfectly right to detest.

      The biggest problem in one warzone after another, from Yugoslavia and Iraq to Ukraine and Israel/Palestine, is that the Westphalian nation state makes citizenship an involuntary life sentence delivered at birth. If you look at maps of Ukraine and Israel over the last century alone, their borders convulse and contract like a cartographic cancer, trapping hundreds-of-thousands of people on either side of them like wayward sheep based on the arbitrary whims of whichever asshole signed the last peace deal between bloodbaths. Why should any population be expected to respect such flagrant madness?

      Ukraine’s current borders are essentially a freeze frame of something slapped together by Stalin’s errand boys and then divided from Russia with Yeltsin’s equally unilateral divorce of the Soviet Union. No one in that cockamamy country had a say on any of this and the strife caused by chaining Novorossiyans and Ukrainians together before throwing away the key is what set the stage for opportunistic psychopaths like Victoria Nuland and Vladimir Putin to turn this region into a free fire zone.

      The situation in Israel is even worse but fundamentally similar with the big thinkers of the so-called international community carving a hunk off of the Ottoman Empire’s corpse and then declaring it a Jewish homeland in spite of the fact of the Jewish population being a peacefully stateless minority in the region until the British began flooding it with Zionist lunatics from Europe. More recently, the same western know-it-alls of the global north have been giving lip service to the notion of a two-state solution, but even the ones who are serious about this posture fail to recognize that no matter where you draw the border, somebody gets cut off and fucked over just like the people of the Donbass and Ukraine.

      If you study the demographic maps of both of these regions you will recognize that there are no straight lines to be drawn. Jews and Muslims, Catholics and Orthodox, all spattered across the board in pockets and enclaves like a Jackson Pollock painting. It looks like chaos until you realize that violence didn’t break out between these groups on any massive scale until other people began to organize them into states. Many empires rampaged across the Steppes and the Levant over the centuries but for the most part these regions remained largely decentralized and self-governed for thousands of years before the Nakbas and Holodomors started up.

      The best way to respect the complicated diversity of these regions or any region for that matter is with a no-state solution based on the principles of pan-secession and panarchy. Allow any population of consenting citizens the right to form a nation anywhere at any time as long as that nation is governed by voluntary citizenship rather than geography. This way the members of a Palestinian caliphate could exist anywhere they herd their goats so long as any dissatisfied tribe of Bedouins is free to secede and form their own government whenever the spirit moves them.

      That way Ukraine is free to secede from Russia, the Donbass is free to secede from Ukraine and Luhansk is free to secede from the Donbass without a single shot fired between them. This is the dream of panarchy or many anarchies; a world governed beneath a million flags with each flag free to represent any ideology or creed that its people desire so long as citizenship remains a choice, and boundaries are defined purely by who happens to occupy that patch of dirt at any given time.

      This too would be a world of constant peace deals and ceasefires, but these would all occur daily and locally between neighbors over grazing rights and neighborhood charters. There would be little need for heavily armed jet sets of Bilderberg charlatans or massive global conglomerates like NATO and the European Union because people would no longer be governed by contrived cartels of belligerent bureaucrats that require industrial complexes just to wipe their ass. They would be governed by communities too small to bomb and markets too diverse to regulate.

      You see dearest motherfuckers, at the end of the day, panarchy isn’t a philosophy, it is a universal peace deal between consenting citizens because all citizens deserve the right to consent to what governs them. Leave it to a state to make peace a dirty word but leave it to a million tribes to smash the state and make peace common sense again.

      Nicky Reid is an agoraphobic anarcho-genderqueer gonzo blogger from Central Pennsylvania and assistant editor for Attack the System. You can find her online at Exile in Happy Valley.

      Panarchy is a framework of nature's rules, hinted at by the name of the Greek god of nature- Pan - whose persona also evokes an image of unpredictable change.

      Panarchy theory was developed by Lance Gunderson and CS Holling in order to understand how systems function and interact across scales.

      Panarchy enables people to visualize how systems are embedded in systems and helps them understand how these interdependencies influence the spread of change.

      Panarchy, which presented social-ecological systems as an interacting set of adaptive cycles, each produced by the dynamic tensions between novelty and .

      1. Simplifying complex systems of people and nature · Systems of people and nature self-organize at multiple scales leading to uncertain dynamics and ...