Friday, April 17, 2026

‘This Is Not Self-Defense’: UN Experts Condemn Israel’s Criminal Assault on Lebanon

“We are witnessing the continuing utmost contempt for the international legal order,” said a group of two dozen United Nations special rapporteurs.


An Israeli airstrike is seen on April 16, 2026 in Nabatieh, Lebanon.
(Photo by Adri Salido/Getty Images)


Jake Johnson
Apr 16, 2026
COMMON DREAMS

A group of two dozen United Nations experts issued a scathing joint statement on Wednesday condemning Israel’s ongoing assault on Lebanon as “a blatant violation of the UN Charter, a deliberate destruction of prospects for peace, and an affront to multilateralism and the UN-based international order.”

“We are witnessing the continuing utmost contempt for the international legal order, for diplomacy, and above all for the lives of civilians and the environment in Lebanon,” the experts said. “Israel has chosen the very moment a ceasefire was announced—one that its Pakistani mediator stated included Lebanon—to unleash the largest coordinated wave of strikes on the country since 1980.”



Calls for ‘Full Arms Embargo’ Against Israel as Lebanon Massacres Imperil Ceasefire Hopes

Iran Blocks Strait of Hormuz as ‘Barbaric’ Israeli Bombing Kills Hundreds in Lebanon


Despite signals in recent days that the Israeli and Lebanese governments are engaged in their highest level of diplomatic talks in decade, Israel’s military continues to ferociously bomb southern Lebanon, devastating entire towns—including homes and schools—and killing civilians. On Wednesday, according to Lebanese officials, Israeli forces killed three paramedics in a “triple-tap” airstrike on the town of Mayfadoun.

“This is not self-defense,” said the UN experts, including special rapporteur on the right to education Farida Shaheed, special rapporteur on the right to food Ben Saul, and special rapporteur on the occupied Palestinian territories Francesca Albanese.

“The issuance of blanket evacuation orders, combined with the destruction of urban and village housing that displaced persons would have returned to, is consistent with the pattern of domicide that was initiated during the genocide in Gaza,” the experts continued. “Forced displacement of a civilian population constitutes crimes against humanity and is a war crime under international law.”

More than a million people, over a fifth of Lebanon’s population, have been displaced since Israel ramped up its assault on the country in early March, claiming to target the political and militant group Hezbollah.

UNICEF USA said Thursday that at least 600 children have been killed or wounded by Israeli attacks on Lebanon since March 2, and more than 390,000 have been forced from their homes. Overall, Israel’s assault on Lebanon has killed more than 2,000 people since early march.

“Nowhere is safe for children in Lebanon,” the organization said.

In their statement on Wednesday, the UN experts demanded that Israel “immediately cease all military operations in Lebanon” and urged the United States—Israel’s leading ally and arms supplier—to “use its influence” to ensure Israel stops the bombing.

Lebanon Ceasefire Marks Historic Strategic Defeat... for the US and Israel


After failing to secure victory through overwhelming violence, Israel is increasingly relying on coercive diplomacy to impose political outcomes.


A view of the destruction after the Israeli army targeted a moving vehicle on Al-Saadiyat Street near the city of Sidon in southern Lebanon on April 16, 2026.

(Photo by Houssam Shbaro/Anadolu via Getty Images)


Ramzy Baroud
Apr 16, 2026
Common Dreams

A ceasefire in Lebanon was announced on Thursday by US President Donald Trump, but its reality tells a very different story. The ceasefire was not the product of American diplomacy, nor Israeli strategic calculation. It was imposed—largely as a result of sustained Iranian pressure.

Washington, Tel Aviv, and their allies—including some within Lebanon itself—will continue to deny this reality. Acknowledging Iran’s role would mean admitting that a historic precedent has been set: for the first time, forces opposing the United States and Israel have succeeded in imposing conditions on both.


Pakistan Reiterates That Lebanon Is Still Part of Ceasefire Despite Israel’s Attacks

This is not a minor development. It is a strategic rupture. But it is not the only fundamental shift now underway: Israel’s very approach to war and diplomacy is itself changing.

After failing to secure victory through overwhelming violence, Israel is increasingly relying on coercive diplomacy to impose political outcomes.

Over the past two to three decades, this Israeli strategy has become unmistakably clear: achieving through diplomacy what it has failed to impose on the battlefield.

‘Diplomacy’ as War

Israeli ‘diplomacy’ does not conform to the conventional meaning of the term. It is not negotiation between equals, nor a genuine pursuit of peace. Rather, it is diplomacy fused with violence: assassinations, sieges, blockades, political coercion, and the systematic manipulation of internal divisions within opposing societies. It is diplomacy as an extension of war by other means.

Likewise, Israel’s conception of the ‘battlefield’ is fundamentally different. The deliberate targeting of civilians and civilian infrastructure is not incidental, nor merely ‘collateral damage’; it is central to the strategy itself.

Nowhere is this clearer than in Gaza. Following the ongoing genocide, vast swathes of Gaza have been reduced to rubble, with estimates indicating that around 90 percent of the whole of Gaza has been destroyed. According to the Gaza Ministry of Health, women and children consistently account for roughly 70 percent of all of Gaza’s casualties.

This is not collateral damage. It is the deliberate destruction of a civilian population, an act of genocide that is designed to force mass displacement and remake the political and demographic reality in Israel’s favor.

The same logic extends beyond Gaza. It shapes Israel’s wars in Lebanon against Hezbollah and its broader confrontation with Iran.

The United States, Israel’s principal ally, has historically operated within a similar paradigm. From Vietnam to Iraq, civilian populations, infrastructure, and even the environment itself have borne the brunt of American warfare.

A Faltering Model


It is often argued that Israel turned to ‘diplomacy’ following its forced withdrawal from southern Lebanon in 2000 under resistance pressure. While this moment was pivotal, it was not the beginning.

Earlier precedents exist. The First Intifada (1987–1993) demonstrated that a sustained popular uprising could not be crushed through brute force alone. Despite Israel’s extensive repression, the revolt endured.

It was in this context that the Oslo Accords emerged—not as a genuine peace process, but as a strategic lifeline. Through Oslo, Israel achieved politically what it could not impose militarily: the pacification of the uprising, the institutionalization of Palestinian political fragmentation, and the transformation of the Palestinian Authority into a mechanism for internal control.

Meanwhile, settlement expansion accelerated, and Israel reaped the global legitimacy of appearing as a ‘peace-seeking’ state.

Yet the last two decades have exposed the limits of this model.

From Lebanon in 2006 to repeated wars on Gaza (2008–09, 2012, 2014, 2021, and the ongoing genocide since 2023), Israel has failed to secure decisive strategic victories. Its ongoing confrontations with Hezbollah and Iran further underscore this failure.

Not only has Israel been unable to achieve its stated military objectives, but it has also failed to translate overwhelming firepower—even genocide—into lasting political gains.

Some interpret this as a shift toward perpetual war under Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. But this reading is incomplete.

Perpetual War?

Netanyahu understands that these wars cannot be sustained indefinitely. Yet ending them without victory would carry even greater consequences: the collapse of Israel’s deterrence doctrine and, potentially, the unraveling of its broader project of regional dominance.

This dilemma strikes at the heart of Zionist ideology, particularly Ze’ev Jabotinsky’s concept of the ‘Iron Wall’—the belief that overwhelming, unrelenting force would eventually compel indigenous resistance to surrender.

Today, that premise is being tested—and found wanting.

Netanyahu has repeatedly framed current wars as existential, comparable in significance to 1948—the war that resulted in the ethnic cleansing of Palestinians during the Nakba and the establishment of Israel.

Indeed, the parallels are unmistakable: mass displacement, civilian terror, systematic destruction, and unwavering Western backing—once from Britain, now from the United States.

But there is a critical difference: The 1948 war led to the creation of Israel; the current wars are about its survival as an exclusivist settler colonial project.

And herein lies the paradox: the longer these wars continue, the more they expose Israel’s inability to secure decisive outcomes. Yet ending them without victory risks a historic defeat—not only for Netanyahu, but for the ideological foundations of the Israeli state itself.

Israeli society appears to recognize the stakes. Polls throughout 2024 and 2025 have shown overwhelming support among Israeli Jews for continued military campaigns in Gaza and confrontations with Iran and Lebanon.

Public discourse frames this support in terms of ‘security’ and ‘deterrence’. But the underlying reality is deeper: a collective recognition that the long-standing project of military supremacy is faltering.

Having failed to subdue Gaza despite the genocide, Israel is now attempting to achieve through diplomatic maneuvering what it could not secure through war. Proposals for international oversight, stabilization forces, and externally imposed governance structures are all variations of this approach.

But these efforts are unlikely to succeed.

Gaza is no longer isolated. The regional dimension of the conflict has expanded, linking Lebanon, Iran, and other actors into a broader, interconnected front.
Balance is Shifting

In Lebanon, Israel has been repeatedly forced toward ceasefire arrangements not out of choice, but because it failed to defeat Hezbollah or break the will of the Lebanese people.

This dynamic extends to Iran. Following the joint aggression on Iran starting February 28, both the United States and Israel were compelled to accept de-escalation frameworks after failing to achieve rapid or decisive outcomes.

The expectation that Iran could be quickly destabilized—replicating the models of Iraq or Libya—proved illusory. Instead, the confrontation revealed the limits of military escalation and forced a return to negotiations.

This is the essence of Israel’s current predicament.

Diplomacy, in this model, is not an alternative to war—it is a pause within it. A temporary tool used to regroup before the next phase of confrontation.

But in Israel’s case, this aggressive ‘diplomacy’ is increasingly becoming the only available tool, precisely because its military strategy has failed to deliver victory.

Lebanon was meant to be the exception—a theater where Israel could isolate and defeat Hezbollah. Instead, it became further evidence of strategic failure.

Efforts to separate the fronts—Gaza, Lebanon, Yemen, Iran—have collapsed. Iran has explicitly linked its diplomatic engagement to developments on other fronts, forcing Israel into a broader strategic entanglement it cannot control.

This marks a profound shift.

The foundational pillars of Israeli strategy—overwhelming force, fragmentation of adversaries, narrative control, and political engineering—are no longer functioning as they once did.

Yet Netanyahu continues to project victory, declaring success at regular intervals, invoking deterrence, and framing ongoing wars as strategic achievements.

But these narratives ring hollow.

The reality, increasingly evident to observers across the region and beyond, is that the balance is finally shifting.

For the first time in decades, the trajectory of history is no longer bending in Israel’s favor.



Our work is licensed under Creative Commons (CC BY-NC-ND 3.0). Feel free to republish and share widely.


Ramzy Baroud
Ramzy Baroud is a journalist and the Editor of the Palestine Chronicle. He is the author of five books including: "These Chains Will Be Broken: Palestinian Stories of Struggle and Defiance in Israeli Prisons" (2019), "My Father Was a Freedom Fighter: Gaza's Untold Story" (2010) and "The Second Palestinian Intifada: A Chronicle of a People's Struggle" (2006). Dr. Baroud is a Non-resident Senior Research Fellow at the Center for Islam and Global Affairs (CIGA), Istanbul Zaim University (IZU). His website is www.ramzybaroud.net.
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Israel May Be Preparing to Permanently Reoccupy Southern Lebanon


Negotiations may end up stopping bombs on Beirut, but are unlikely to end Israel’s expanding south Lebanon occupation.
April 16, 2026

An airstrike is seen over Nabatieh, Lebanon, on April 16, 2026, days after Israel and Lebanon held their first direct talks in decades in Washington.Adri Salido / Getty Images

On April 16, U.S. President Donald Trump announced a 10-day ceasefire in Lebanon, set to begin later that day. Although Lebanese President Joseph Aoun and Prime Minister Nawaf Salam welcomed this announcement, it is unlikely to put a stop to Israel’s expanding occupation of south Lebanon. In the hours before the announcement, Israel continued to bomb Lebanon’s south, bombing a school as well as the last main bridge connecting the south of the country to the rest of Lebanon.

The announcement came after a meeting on April 14, in which U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio hosted Lebanon and Israel’s ambassadors for the first diplomatic talks between the two countries since the early 1990s, a move that is likely to cause further turmoil in Lebanon. In a statement after the meeting, the U.S. explained that direct negotiations would be launched at a later date, and that objectives included the disarming of Hezbollah. Additionally, it asserted that mediation would be limited to the U.S., and that Lebanon’s reconstruction would be linked to negotiations with Israel.

A day after the envoys met in Washington, D.C., Israel launched another round of strikes on southern Lebanon, pushing forward with its invasion of the south even as it purportedly moves toward “peace.” Israel’s strikes reportedly killed 20; at the same time, Israel issued yet another forced displacement order for residents of the south. Days earlier, protesters in Beirut mobilized against the Lebanese government’s planned negotiations with Israel.

The push for direct negotiations between Israel and Lebanon came after Israel’s massive attacks on Lebanon on April 8. Hours after a fragile ceasefire took effect in the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran on April 7, Israel escalated its attacks on Lebanon, unleashing the most violent assault of its six-week war on the country. Iran and Pakistan — which mediated the U.S. ceasefire with Iran — insisted that a halt to attacks on Lebanon was part of the agreement, but Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Trump claimed otherwise. Israel’s military declared that “the battle in Lebanon is ongoing,” while renewing expanded evacuation orders for southern Lebanon.

Israel’s wave of attacks on April 8 clearly aimed to pressure the Lebanese government to further capitulate to Israel’s wishes. Throughout that morning, Israel bombed areas of southern Lebanon, attacking residential buildings as well as medical vehicles and a medical center. In the early afternoon, Israel escalated, unleashing more than 100 airstrikes in less than 10 minutes, bombing residential and commercial areas across Beirut as well as in southern Lebanon and the eastern Bekaa Valley. These airstrikes killed at least 357 people and wounded more than 1,200, marking the deadliest day of Israel’s current assault on the country. Airstrikes struck residential complexes, bridges, grocery stores, a funeral procession in a cemetery, and a university hospital.

Freelance reporter and editor Lylla Younes described for Truthout what it was like to witness the attacks in Beirut: “Across the city, we could see plumes of smoke billowing from the sites of recent airstrikes. The air was smoky, and the city was full of the sounds of ambulance sirens and yelling beneath the buzz of drones overhead.”

The next day, Younes visited the site of one the airstrikes — “an apartment building in Ain al-Mreisseh where 27 people were killed. Children’s toys were scattered among the rubble. Medics were working to pull out four bodies that still lay beneath.”

Israel’s military spokesperson claimed that its expanded attacks across Lebanon were due to Hezbollah militants dispersing beyond Shia-majority areas, like Christian-majority Ain Saadeh, east of Beirut. This claim should be seen as a naked justification to escalate and expand attacks across the capital and Lebanon as a whole, and to attack civilian areas without warning. In addition, these attacks aim to turn non-Shia residents of the country against Hezbollah, goading sectarian strife, and pressuring the government to come to the negotiating table with their hands against the wall.

A Genocidal Aggression

Israel began its latest escalation in its war on Lebanon on March 2, when Hezbollah fired rockets at Israel after the U.S.-Israeli assassination of Iranian leader Ali Khamenei. In reality, Israel had already been waging a protracted war on southern Lebanon since 2024. The ceasefire that marked the end of Israel’s 2024 war on Lebanon did not see an end to Israel’s attacks on the south of the country. In a familiar pattern from Gaza, the agreement essentially became a one-way ceasefire, with Israel attacking south Lebanon on a regular basis and continuing to occupy areas of the south between November 2024 and March 2026. According to the UN, Israel violated the 2024 ceasefire more than 15,000 times.

Since March 2, Israel has carried out a campaign of collective punishment, particularly of the Shia-majority regions of Lebanon, and has expanded its occupation of the south of the country. Israel’s assaults, and in particular its occupation of the south, have forced 1.2 million people — 20 percent of the country’s population — to flee their homes, creating a severe displacement crisis. Israel is also working to exploit frustrations with Hezbollah and sectarian tensions within Lebanon to push the country toward civil strife or even civil war.

This current war adds to the prolonged list of catastrophes that Lebanon has already been facing: The country has been suffering from a severe economic crisis since 2019, with one of the world’s worst economic collapses seen since the 19th century. Lebanon was also still reeling from its 2024 war with Israel and had not yet managed to rebuild. Israel’s continued bombardment and occupation have thrust the country further toward political and civil chaos.

Younes described the general situation across the country over the past few weeks:

In the South, the bombing is relentless and the [Lebanese] army has fully pulled out, leaving the remaining residents to an unknown fate. In Beirut, hundreds of thousands of displaced are crowded into schools transformed into government shelters, relying on dwindling aid due to spiking food and fuel prices. The Israeli aggression is relentless and punishing, and has no regard for civilian life — there are countless examples of that now. The Israeli military’s killing of more than [80] first responders since March 2 alone indicates the genocidal nature of this aggression.

Israel’s expansion of its war on Shia-majority areas of Lebanon uses methods from its genocidal war on Gaza. Israel has waged mass ethnic cleansing of the population of the south of Lebanon, as well as the southern suburbs of Beirut — both of which have largely been depopulated throughout the course of the war. The Israeli military has issued numerous expulsion orders as it invades and pushes towards the Litani River — some 20 miles north of Lebanon’s border with Israel — while destroying civilian infrastructure.

Over the past weeks, Israel has strategically targeted bridges connecting the south to the rest of the country over the Litani River, managing to cut off and isolate the south from the rest of the country. As historian Zeead Yaghi, a postdoctoral fellow at the American University of Beirut, explained to Truthout, “The Israeli defense minister has said that he envisions Israeli forces to remain in southern Lebanon for a long period of time or until Israel feels Hezbollah no longer resembles a threat to it, repeatedly referencing the ‘Gaza example.’”

Israel’s method of mass expulsion, destruction, and flattening of civilian infrastructure has been dubbed the “Khan Younis option,” which it is now repeating over large parts of Lebanon. In fact, the “Khan Younis option” itself originated with the Dahiyah Doctrine, developed by Israel on its 2006 war on Lebanon only to be expanded on later in Gaza.

Echoes of Israel’s Past Occupation

Israel’s expanding invasion of south Lebanon is reminiscent of its previous invasion and occupation of the south of Lebanon in 1982. Throughout the 1970s, Israel had intervened in Lebanon in order to crush the Palestinian movement there — which was largely based in the refugee camps of Lebanon. That movement took the form of armed struggle carried out under the umbrella of the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO), after the defeat of the 1967 war pushed more Palestinians into militant struggle from the diaspora. In the late 1970s, Lebanon became embroiled in a civil war that initially saw a strong left-wing movement made up of Nasserists, nationalists, Baathists, and communists — a cross-sect coalition made up of Sunni and Shia Muslims, as well as Christians of different denominations — allied with the Palestinian movement. But throughout the late 1970s and ‘80s, Israel intervened to weaken the Lebanese left and, most crucially, to destroy the Palestinian movement. This peaked with its 1982 invasion, which led to an 18-year Israeli occupation of the south of Lebanon.

Israel’s 1982 invasion, which included a two-month-long siege and bombardment of Beirut, managed to force the PLO to leave Lebanon entirely. While the siege of Beirut ended after two months — with the horrific Sabra and Shatila massacre in September 1982 as its epilogue — Israel’s occupation of the south of Lebanon continued. The ejection of the PLO further weakened the Lebanese left forces, including the resistance forces fighting Israel’s occupation in the south.

At first, the vacuum was filled by the Lebanese National Resistance Front (LNRF), established in 1982 to resist Israel’s occupation and to represent the left in the civil war, but it was weakened both by Israel and the Syrian state, ruled by Hafez al-Assad, which wanted a Lebanese resistance under its control. Hezbollah also emerged to resist Israel’s occupation of the south, quickly gaining the support of the Syrian and Iranian states. Sectarian dynamics were on the rise, and Hezbollah attacked the LNRF and other left-wing groups. By the end of the civil war, Hezbollah had maneuvered to become the sole resistance force in the south, eclipsing the cross-sectarian resistance movement that had existed in the late ‘70s and early ‘80s. Eventually, it made the Israeli occupation of the south costly enough for Israel that it was forced to pull out in May 2000 — 18 years after its occupation began.


Israel Pushes Lebanon Toward Civil Strife



Now people in Lebanon worry that today’s occupation might prove to be worse than 1982. According to Yaghi, in 1982, “Israel did not explicitly attempt to depopulate the villages in occupied southern Lebanon during its invasion. In fact, residents were allowed to stay and were governed by the IDF [Israel Defense Forces] and its local Lebanese militia ally, the South Lebanon Army.”

But today, Yaghi says, “Every indication so far, be it from statements from Israeli military and political officials to the actions of the IDF itself, demonstrates clearly Israel’s objective to depopulate and render uninhabitable the land south of the Litani River. By uninhabitable that also means destroying the possibility of economic activities and subsistence in the south, mainly agriculture. Israel sprayed pesticide on agrarian fields back in February, as well as in 2025.”

Ever since the 2024 war, which saw Israel assassinate the vast majority of Hezbollah’s leadership, the organization is weakened to the point that it will be more difficult for it to fight the Israeli occupation. Nonetheless, Hezbollah fighters have remained in the south, clashing with Israeli military forces, and Hezbollah has continued to direct missiles onto northern Israel.

Also reminiscent of the 1980s, the current war has seen Israel tug on sectarian dynamics and push the country towards civil strife. Divisions within Lebanon have taken a sectarian overtone, with discrimination against the internally displaced, who are largely Shia. Sectarian sentiments, which had decreased in particular during the cross-sectarian 2019 uprising in Lebanon, have returned to a high level. Many of the internally displaced face discrimination in finding shelter or apartments to rent in other areas. Among the 1.2 million displaced, only about 130,000 are residing in overcrowded shelters; most are either staying with relatives or sheltering in the open. For this reason, some have remained in the south, even as it has been isolated from the rest of Lebanon.

In addition to bombing non-Shia areas, in a clear attempt to pit people of different sects against each other, Israel and the U.S. have pressured the Lebanese government to push for Hezbollah’s disarmament and for negotiations and normalization with Israel.

Although Hezbollah is part of the current government and has been since 2005, other factions within Lebanon’s government have moved in the past year to pressure and disarm Hezbollah, even as it is the only force capable of resisting Israel’s attacks. On March 2, immediately after the start of the current, expanded war, Lebanese Prime Minister Salam blamed Hezbollah for the conflict, declared all military operations by Hezbollah illegal, and demanded that it disarm. The government then asked the Lebanese Army to leave the area south of the Litani River — ejecting another force that could at least protect the populations that remained in the south.

The Lebanese government’s move toward direct talks with Israel ignores the reality that no state can make peace with a genocidal neighbor that is determined to expand, both in order to crush any resistance and opposition to its policies, and to fulfill the designs of its expanded settler-colonial “Eretz Israel.” Any negotiations with Israel will not lead to the safety of the Lebanese population, but will instead push the country further toward civil strife.


This article is licensed under Creative Commons (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0), and you are free to share and republish under the terms of the license.


Shireen Akram-Boshar
Shireen Akram-Boshar is a socialist writer, editor and Middle East/North Africa solidarity activist.


Trump and Netanyahu’s War on Lebanon Threatens Stability and Long-Term Security

April 17, 2026

Image by Marissa&Eric.

Middle East professor of political science Oren Barak explains Lebanon as a fragile state and how the ongoing conflict with Israel exacerbates the region’s destabilization. Groups such as Hezbollah will continue to exist if the basic conditions that led to their emergence continue.

The geopolitical landscape of Lebanon has been greatly impacted by the threat of regional hard power. In this interview, exclusive to CounterPunchOren Barak, the Maurice B. Hexter Chair in International Relations at The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, explains how institutions, non-state actors, and historical conflicts impact both peace and security. As Israel engages in more and more illegitimate state violence amid the war with Iran, greater regional conflict could spin out of control in Lebanon and Syria. Barak’s insight and the Rational Actor Model explains how only diplomacy can prevent complete devastation and achieve a proper desired outcome.

Daniel Falcone: Your research looks at the Israeli state after 1967 and Lebanon after 1920. How do these examples from history explain present-day Lebanon? To what extent is Israel using arguments, or the politics of the past, for long-term security when the offensives are really conducted for expansion?

Oren Barak: In both cases, Israel after 1967 and Lebanon after 1920, the state’s expansion was justified in existential terms, that is, as means to prevent the annihilation of the ethnic or national community. This was because the existing pre-expansion borders were seen as insufficient to prevent genocide. Recall that Abba Eban, Israel’s foreign minister, argued in the UN after the 1967 war that, “The June [1967] map is for us equivalent to insecurity and danger. I do not exaggerate when I say that it has for us something of a memory of Auschwitz.”

Therefore, Jewish leaders in Israel and Maronite Christian leaders in Lebanon argued that their communities needed “secure” or “natural” borders that would guarantee that its members would “never again” be slaughtered. But this was an illusion. The new territories were inhabited by people who did not belong to the community, and who rejected their forced inclusion into the state.

In Israel, the same logic has become predominant since October 7, 2023. The existing borders, especially with Gaza, but also with Syria and Lebanon, are seen as insufficient to prevent enemy attacks against Israel, or the “White Toyotas” scenario. Therefore, the argument is that Israel must seize/occupy lands beyond its border. These lands, moreover, should be forcefully emptied by their inhabitants and all houses and buildings should be demolished. The argument is that only such a strategy of “scorched earth” can guarantee Israel’s long-term security. But this, too, is an illusion. The state’s expansion elicits armed resistance from the other side, Hamas, Hizbullah, and most international actors reject Israel’s actions. But over and above, Israel does not have sufficient power to uphold these new borders.

Daniel Falcone: In your book on the Lebanese Army, you researched its transition from a sectarian institution into a power-sharing one on behalf of Lebanese civil society. How did that change impact the understanding of the role of the military in nation-building as a form of resistance?

Oren Barak: Traditionally, militaries were seen as institutions that integrate, and even mold together, members of divergent groups in society. However, what I demonstrate in my book is that divided societies such as Lebanon, which are marked by deep cleavages between their communities (ethnic, national, and regional), militaries, while promoting national, even supra-ethnic values, identities, and historical narratives, also reflect these basic social divisions.

This is mainly because no community can allow the military, and the other security services, to become monopolized by other communities and become an instrument of ethnic oppression. The result is a somewhat paradoxical outcome, reflected in the book’s title, The Lebanese Army: A National Institution in a Divided Society. The military serves as an instrument, or tool, of nation-building, but at the same time helps solidify sub-national identities. But in divided societies, I really don’t see a viable alternative.

Daniel Falcone: Further, in your piece, The Case for Averting War Between Israel and Hizballah, you point out how that military force will not eliminate Hezbollah. Can you talk about how diplomatic methods for protecting states are the more sustainable path in stopping the worst of conflict? Who is more defiant of this tactic, Netanyahu or Trump?

Oren Barak: Military force alone cannot eliminate violent non-state actors such as Hizbullah and Hamas. These actors will continue to exist so long as the basic conditions that led to the emergence of these actors do not change dramatically. In Lebanon, this refers to the lack of effective state authority over all its territory — especially in South Lebanon, but also to the socioeconomic deprivation of many Shi’ite Muslims, who see Hizbullah as their patron and champion. If the people do not have viable alternatives, which, in my view, only the state can provide, they will continue to support actors such as Hizbullah. The same is true about Hamas, although in the Palestinian Territories, the situation is different because there is no state.

I think that the tragedy of Israelis, Palestinians, and Lebanese is that the current Israeli government, but also previous ones, have not only abandoned the diplomatic state-oriented path but also de-legitimized it completely. This is one important common denominator between Netanyahu and Trump — both hate states, international institutions, international law and international norms, and see diplomacy as the weapon of the weak. For them, the only way to survive in a hostile world is to project and use power or money, to buy off their opponents. However, for Trump the economic factor of “business” is more important than the use of military power, and this can explain the actual and potential disagreements between the two leaders when the use of military force results in a major economic crisis as in the Gulf.

Daniel Falcone: Trump made very outrageous statements regarding Iran, perhaps knowing a ceasefire was imminent. Despite this, JD Vance and Netanyahu insist that ongoing Israeli strikes against Hezbollah in Lebanon are peripheral acts. First, how are they part of the larger war ecosystem, and what lessons from your research argue for the promotion of stability to strengthen all states involved?

Oren Barak: Well, it became clear that Lebanon, which became embroiled in the US-Israel-Iran war, is closely linked to the “bigger” ceasefire between the US and Iran. I hope that Israeli-Hizbullah violence will not undermine the US-Iran ceasefire and the prospects of reaching a long-term agreement, which is really the only way to prevent future conflicts.

Daniel Falcone: Reports show hostile levels of substantial state violence coming from the onslaught of Israeli strikes in Lebanon. The Iranians are issuing warnings that these attacks violate the ceasefire. How do you see the inevitable escalation? Are there any regional strategies or actors that can help strike a balance to stop the killing?

Oren Barak: Israel has agreed – quite reluctantly and under US pressure – to limit its attacks in Lebanon and to hold direct talks with Lebanon in the United States. There is a major opportunity here, especially in view of the positions of Lebanon’s current government (especially President Joseph Aoun and Prime Minister Nawaf Salam) and their open rejection of Hizbullah’s claim to be a “resistance” and not an (illegitimate) militia that needs to be disbanded. I truly hope that Israeli Lebanese negotiations will commence and that they will be successful. I also hope that they will address the issue that I mentioned earlier, namely, the lack of effective state authority over all its territory in Lebanon, and especially in the Israeli-Lebanese border area.

Daniel Falcone is a historian, teacher and journalist. In addition to CounterPunch, he has written for The Journal of Contemporary Iraq & the Arab WorldThe Nation, Jacobin, Truthout, Foreign Policy in Focus and Scalawag. He resides in New York City and is a member of The Democratic Socialists of America.




In Third Boat Strike This Week, US Kills 3 People in ‘Entirely Make-Believe’ Armed Conflict Against Cartels


Customs and Border Protection data offers little evidence that the killing of at least 177 people in recent months has stopped drugs from reaching the US.


Julia Conley
Apr 16, 2026
COMMON  DREAMS

As Republicans and several Democrats in the US Senate gave the go-ahead for the US to send more bombs and military equipment to Israel for its attacks on Gaza and Lebanon on Wednesday, the Trump administration was continuing what it claims is an effort to rid Latin American countries of drug traffickers—killing three people aboard a vessel in the eastern Pacific Ocean in the US military’s third boat bombing in three days.

The US Southern Command posted a video on social media of the bombing, which it said targeted a boat that was “transiting along known narco-trafficking routes in the Eastern Pacific and was engaged in narco-trafficking operations.”

As with the 50 previous attacks on boats in the Pacific and the Caribbean Sea, the military did not publicize any evidence that the boat was carrying drugs or that its passengers were “narco-terrorists.”



A small number of the at least 177 victims of the Trump administration’s boat bombings have been identified. The Associated Press reported in November that Robert Sánchez, who was killed in the Caribbean, was a 42-year-old fisherman who made $100 per month and had started helping cocaine traffickers navigate the sea due to economic pressures. Juan Carlos Fuentes was an out-of-work bus driver who also worked as a “drug runner” to make ends meet.

The families of at least two victims have filed legal complaints over the killings of their family members, saying they were fishermen.

Adam Isacson of the Washington Office on Latin America has compared the boat bombings, assuming they have targeted people involved in the drug trade at all, to “straight-up massacring 16-year-old drug dealers on US street corners.”

On Wednesday, Isacson noted that while Trump, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, and Secretary of State Marco Rubio have defended the boat bombings as attacks that will protect Americans from the flow of drugs like cocaine and fentanyl into the US—with the president informing Congress that the White House views the country as being in an “armed conflict” with drug cartels—data from US Customs and Border Protection (CBP) shows little evidence that the strikes are stopping drugs from reaching the US.

“CBP’s seizures of fentanyl at the US-Mexico border had been declining, often sharply, since mid-2023. But since early 2025, the declines stopped,” said Isacson. “Halfway into fiscal 2026, seizures are almost exactly half of 2025’s full-year total: a flat trendline.”



Following Wednesday’s bombing, at least 14 people have been killed in boat strikes in five days.



Brian Finucane of the International Crisis Group emphasized Wednesday night that “despite the administration’s rhetoric and bogus legal theories, the supposed armed conflict with ‘narco-terrorists’ appears to be entirely make-believe.”

Under international law, drug trafficking is treated as a crime, with US law enforcement agencies in the past intercepting boats suspected of smuggling drugs and arresting those on board. A coalition of rights organizations sued the Trump administration in December, demanding documentation of the White House’s legal justification for the boat bombings and arguing that for any organization to be considered part of “armed conflict” with the US, it must be an “organized armed group” that is engaged in “protracted armed violence” with the country.

“Murder,” said Finucane, “is the general term for premeditated killing outside of armed conflict.”
USA

Trump Perceived as a War Criminal and a Mad Man

Friday 17 April 2026, by Dan La Botz



The people of the United States are demonstrating a growing dissatisfaction with President Donald Trump’s administration and in particular with his war on Iran. While most Republicans continue to back the president, some in the Make America Great Again (MAGA) movement oppose the war. Various Democrats and MAGA influencers have called for the invocation of the 25th Amendment to remove Trump from office because he’s mentally unstable.

Wartime presidents have historically risen in the public’s esteem, at least at the beginning of a war. But Trump’s approval has been declining on all fronts. As I write on April 12, according to reliable polls, 37% approve of Trump’s presidency, 56% disapprove, and 7% are not sure. And regarding his war on Iran, some 56% of Americans disapprove, while 68% disapprove of sending ground troops to Iran, and 71% are opposed to spending $200 billion on further military action in Iran. Above all, the war has led to rising prices for gas and other products and threatens an even worse economy.

While diplomatic negotiations with Iran have so far failed to bring any resolution to the conflict, Trump said it didn’t matter if a deal with Iran was reached or not: “We win, regardless,” he said. “We’ve defeated them militarily.” Yet some commentators on the right and the left have argued that this has been America’s biggest defeat since Vietnam.

Many were appalled by Trump’s threat a week ago that “a whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again.” Democrats, some Republicans, and important figures in his Make America Great Again (MAGA) movement not only doubt that the U.S. has won the war, but many also doubt Trump’s leadership and even his sanity. Jamie Raskin, a leading Democrat, said, “His apparently deteriorating condition has caused tremendous alarm across the nation … about the President’s cognitive function and continuing mental fitness for the office of President, and prompted concerns about the President’s well-being.” He called for the presidential physician to conduct a “comprehensive” cognitive evaluation of Trump.

From the beginning, many in MAGA disapproved of Trump’s war on Iran, saying that it betrayed his “America First” policy and promises to avoid foreign wars. Once the war began, several leading MAGA commentators Tucker Carlson, Megyn Kelly, Candace Owens and Alex Jones became vocal critics of the war. Recently retired Republican congressional representative Marjorie Taylor Greene, once the president’s biggest booster said, “It’s absolute madness. How can any person that is mentally stable call for an entire civilization of people to be murdered, to be wiped out, to never come back again? That’s what the President called for, and that shows that there’s serious instability in his thinking,” Greene said. “He’s out of control, and people within the administration need to step up, take responsibility and rein this in,” she said. She wrote on X, “25th Amendment!!!”

Senator Ed Markey, a Massachusetts Democrat, has also called for the use of the 25th Amendment to remove Trump from office.

The 25th Amendment of the U.S. Constitution provides that when top executive and legislative officials determine that “the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office,” he may be removed and replaced by the vice-president.

With Trump still controlling the Republican Party, which controls Congress, there is little chance of the 25th Amendment being invoked. Nevertheless, the fact that this is being widely discussed and reported on weakens Trump’s hold on the public and hopefully his hold on power when the midterm elections take place in November. For us on the left, it’s back in the streets on May 1, opposing Trump and his war.

12 April 2026



OPINION

The Terrifying Ridiculous Spectacle


America’s insane inept commander-in-chief
Image from cover of Germany’s Der Spiegel


Abby Zimet
Apr 13, 2026
COMMON DREAMS
FURTHER

Whew. It’s been a time: “Open the Fuckin’ Strait,” “A whole civilization will die,” puerile threats, boundless botches and cover-ups, deranged lurches into ballrooms, auto-pens, Davy Crockett, and a media sanewashing it all. And when their slapstick “ceasefire” and “peace talks” imploded, our Supreme Leader was at a UFC cage match watching men batter each other bloody for fun and profit. Then he depicted himself as Jesus, with a hotel on the moon. Breaking: “The president has lost his mind.”

It’s a historic given that the final act of any narcissist is inevitably a descent into psychosis. Thus are we now witnessing - and struggling to survive - the mayhem of “history’s dumbest madman,” a toddler with a gun, a Dunning-Kruger president with a brain of moldering oatmeal as supremely confident as he is utterly ignorant, leading to dazzling insights like, “I’ll know the war is over when I feel it in my bones.” A criminal braggart and loathsome human being, he is above all extraordinarily stupid, giving rise to the first time in history you can post, “He’s an idiot,” and 90% of the world knows who you’re talking about. It may also be the first time aggrieved, enraged citizens regularly say of their purported leader, “Die as soon as possible, you child-raping worthless fuck.”

Today, we find ourselves mired in “the worst-run war in US history,” a witless war conducted mostly by thumb by “a depraved idiot“ with no plan, no map, no clue, inexorably morphed into the ”Worst. Ceasefire. Ever.“ In his staggering stupidity, Trump has done more damage to American status, power and respect in weeks than any adversary did in decades, experts say, empowering and enriching Russia, China and Iran while endlessly, mindlessly declaring, Baghdad-Bob-like, ”victory“ over ”obliterated“ enemy forces. Abetted by a cabal of inept sycophants whose ”collective incompetence is unprecedented,“ a demented old crook who relishes carnage has rendered America a rogue state lacking all credibility, a beleaguered world’s preeminent villain and laughingstock.

In the lead-up to his illegal war, the chaos begun on Day One had already wildly escalated, blunders coming fast and lethal. He gutted measures to reduce civilian casualties, decommissioned minesweepers, fired judge advocate generals who keep military action within international law, did no planning for the economic fallout, stupefyingly ignored warnings about Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz - universally deemed by anyone who’s glanced at a map or history book the key vulnerability in Middle East geopolitics. The result: A Wild West lack of accountability that on the first day saw a US strike slaughter some 175 Iranian schoolgirls, an atrocity first met with lies and denials, then silence and as yet no apology from any American representative.

We’ve since seen a flood of senseless, trash-talking claims, threats and whiplash deadlines that sound either like a rabid 10-year-old schoolyard bully, a pissed-off late-night text to a mob sweetheart who hasn’t called back, or a ransom note in crayon: “If they don’t make a deal, I am blowing up everything,” “Watch what happens to these deranged scumbags today,” “WE DO NOT NEED THE HELP OF ANYONE!”, “If it goes well we’ll settle, otherwise we’ll keep bombing our little hearts out,” “TAKE THE OIL & MAKE A FORTUNE,” “48 hours before all Hell will reign (sic) down,” “We will bomb Iran back into the Stone ages (sic).” They’re so dumb Iran trolls him online: When he claimed (fictional) “good and productive talks,” they echoed him with a smiley face and, “To the president of peace.”

They, and the world, were less amused when he went full genocidal and proclaimed, “Power Plant Day and Bridge Day, all wrapped up in one. Open the Fuckin’ Strait, you crazy bastards,” with a jeering, “Praise be to Allah,” and then the more bonkers, “A whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again.” Still-spineless legacy media translated that into, “Mr. Trump issued a new ultimatum.” For Easter, Jonathan Larsen noted the day would be “commemorated with the traditional threatening of the war crimes (with the) ritual repetition of deadlines and horrific consequences...(The) incantation was followed (by) the miracle of the levitating oil prices. They were risen.” The Strait, Iran officials asserted, “will not be opened through the ridiculous spectacle (of) the president of the United States.” His name, they wrote, “will be etched in history as a supreme war criminal.”

Another deadline shuffled, the madness by “a dangerous delinquent idiot” went on. At a surreal Easter Egg Roll, he ranted about Iran’s fighters beside a bewildered Easter Bunny, babbled to the assembled, equally baffled kids about Biden’s auto-pen, insisted bombing was good for Iranian children, and silently stared down a reporter who asked about war crimes, stonily turning away with, “What else?” He gave a droopy, gibberish speech about America’s “overwhelming victories on the battlefield,” though there haven’t been any battles and “the whelmingest victory” was against a girls’ school. It was rote stale lies, noted Colbert: “All the stuff you’ve heard before, delivered by a narcotized turtle” who’d disastrously “started a 1,000-piece jigsaw puzzle” and then walked away.

Online, amidst a war, he’s ceaselessly spewed batshit claptrap: He raged at Somali Americans, wondered if Jasmine Crockett is related to Davy Crockett, trashed Bill Maher and “dried-up old prune” Springsteen (LOL), obsessed over his ballroom and Hitler-esque arch. He said “we can’t take care of daycare” or Medicaid/ Medicare “little scams” because we need more war; speaking of, he posted a bizarre, pre-Bonespurs photo of himself in military garb. He danced, partied as tankers burned, danced again: “Young man, there’s no need to feel down!” Letting his homicidal freak flag fly, he fundraised off images of dead soldiers - him in his fucking baseball cap - and lied their families urged the war on. One non-fan: “He has the empathy of a serial killer.”

He’s also brazenly saber-rattled - the US military can do “whatever it wants in the world” - and blasphemed - God supports the war because He/She “wants to see people taken care of.” Umm. Add the “heretical Christianist gibberish” of bombastic ghoul Drunk Pete - who’s giddily celebrated “death and destruction from the sky,” urged war-crimey “no quarter” against enemies, and prayed for “overwhelming violence against those who deserve no mercy” - and even devoutly apolitical church leaders have protested, “There are no new crusades. If God is present in this war, He is among those who are dying.” Noted Pope Leo, “Jesus, King of Peace, does not listen to the prayers of those who wage war, saying: ‘Even though you make many prayers, I will not listen: Your hands are full of blood.’”

Following in a long, grim American tradition, the regime’s hands may prove more bloody than we know. Despite an “investigation” into the massacre of Iranian schoolgirls, there’s been no accountability and many deem it unlikely there will ever be. Meanwhile, multiple reports suggest a series of cover-ups by officials seeking to hide the deadly cost of a catastrophic war nobody wants. A new report accuses military leaders of a “casualty cover-up,” charging they’re issuing “low-ball and outdated figures” of U.S. casualties of up to 750 Americans killed or wounded. Unsurprisingly, the chest-thumping, out-of-his-depth, lying- his-way-out-of-sexual-assault-charges Drunktank Pete is often at the center of reported deceptions, with angry soldiers themselves calling them out.

Survivors have disputed his account of a deadly March 1 Iranian drone attack in Kuwait that killed six U.S. soldiers and wounded dozens, with almost 40 hospitalized. Soldiers describe a grisly scene with many head wounds, perforated eardrums and shrapnel hits to abdomens and limbs; The Great Empathizer infamously shrugged off the carnage with, “That’s the way it is.” Hegseth claimed the drone was a “squirter,” an anomaly that “squeaked through” a well-fortified operations center. But survivors call bullshit, saying they were left “unprepared to provide any defense.” “Calling it a squirter is a falsehood,” said one, citing “a bunch of little tin buildings” unprotected from the sky, in “a deeply unsafe area” not just within range of Iran’s missiles but a known potential target. On the degree of fortification, he said, “I would put it in the ‘none’ category.”

A new WaPo story also disputes Hegseth claims about Iran’s losses that fail to line up with intel and reality. Despite his persistent boasts that Tehran’s military might has been “decimated” by U.S. forces’ “complete control of Iranian skies” in now-“uncontested airspace,” experts say Iran still has over half its missile launchers and thousands of medium- and short-range ballistic weapons that can be repaired or pulled from underground facilities. They also say his focus on the number of Iran’s missile launches is “a dumb metric” that ignores what matters: Not their volume, but their precision, or “hit rates,” which are increasing as their strategy evolves. In another nod to his cluelessness, they note the downing of an F-15 and subsequent rescue of its airman - itself a suspected cover-up of a failed mission - is “what happens when you have air superiority but not air supremacy.”

Finally, many have suggested a cover-up of possible sabotage on the USS Gerald R. Ford aircraft carrier, the Navy’s $13 billion crown jewel, which has morphed into a sort of McHale’s Navy “Voyage of the Damned” for a war-weary crew of about 4,500 sailors stuck in a record-breaking 11th month of deployment. “It’s on fire. It’s heading to Greece. And the toilets don’t work,” runs one succinct summary of its series of mishaps, from the breakdown of over 600 toilets - also suspected as sabotage - to a laundry-room fire that raged for 30 hours, caused far greater damage than initially reported, and left some 600 sailors sleeping on floors and tables before the ship limped to Greece for repairs. The Navy is now investigating whether the fire was deliberately set,

Between lies, blunders, mutinies against mindless wars and an addled Commander Bonespurs who doesn’t know how batteries work, some WH officials have reportedly “raised concerns” - thanks legacy media - if lackeys are “explaining the evolving complexity of the conflict” to him. Seriously? The guy claims he invented the word “groceries,” thinks migrants come from insane asylums, and gets his daily info from a two-minute video of “stuff blowing up” (which has never ended a war, except in Hiroshima) so what are the odds? This weekend, he again displayed his strategic acumen by railing against a (female) reporter who asked about the Strait. “We win, no matter what,” he snapped. “We’ve defeated their military, it’s all at the bottom of the sea (with sharks!), their leaders are dead. With all that, lets see what happens. But from my standpoint, I don’t care.”

Neither, apparently, do the whip-smart, deeply knowledgeable “negotiators” - a corrupt slumlord, clueless golf bro and creep who fucks couches - who just went to Pakistan for “peace talks.” Less than shockingly, they gave up in under 24 hours and fled home empty-handed. According to Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, the Ugly Americans “derailed” the talks with “maximalist demands and shifting goalposts” just as the two sides were “inches away” from an agreement. “Zero lessons learned,” Araghchi wrote. “Good will begets good will. Enmity begets enmity.” Profoundly weirdly - and aptly for this timeline - at the same moment J.D. was announcing their failure, Trump, slathered in clown makeup, was entering Miami’s Kaseya Center to watch two men beat up each other, or pretend to, in a UFC cage match.

With Kid Rock blaring and accompanied by assorted bottom-feeders - UFC’s Dana White, rapper Vanilla Ice, a few of his evil spawn and a hammered-looking, dead-eyed Marco Rubio who bafflingly skipped seeking peace, which is kinda his job, for this - Trump strutted into his last MAGA chud safe space, a symptom of the decline of Western civilization and a tacky haven for people who get off on watching other people get hurt. Last year, Trump was loudly cheered here; this year, he was cheered and booed, not a good sign for his shot at the UFC Peace Prize. Amidst our many crises, people mulled why Rubio was there. One sage: “He makes Trump look tall.” Others: “This ain’t a cabinet. It’s a junk drawer,” “This is not serious leadership. It’s amateur hour,” and “What a circus.”

Trump, a fat, clumsy, longtime manosphere wannabe, watched the fighting intensely from ringside, occasionally dodging blood and spit, oblivious to the madness of attending a fucking cage match as the world burns. Ever-dazzled by celebrity, he went gaga for Brazil’s Paulo Costa when the fighter came over to shake his teeny, rotting hand. “You’re a beautiful guy,” Trump crooned. “You could be a model, you look so good.” Filmmaker Jeremy Newberger: “This montage of dueling events” - UFC vs. war and peace - “would be the denouement of The Godfather Part VII: Corleone Nights, a straight to video release by a second cousin of Francis Ford Coppola’s tax attorney.” We are adrift in a dumpster-fire idiocracy, wading through Trump’s opus, I Really Don’t Care, Do U?

The next day, he announced a blockade to block the blockade that’s blocking the Strait of Hormuz that wasn’t blocked before he caused it to be. “Any Iranian who fires at us, will be BLOWN TO HELL!” he bellowed. “We are fully ‘LOCKED AND LOADED.’” He went on Fox, babbling about the Gulf of Trump and stunning into wide-eyed silence Maria Bartiromo when she asked if he thought gas prices would be lower by the midterms. “I hope so. I mean, I think so. It could be,” he yammered. “It could be or the same or maybe a little bit higher.” Online, he (again) trashed Pope Leo, who’s “weak on crime,” for being against war. Rep. Ted Lieu, who earlier reminded the military not to obey illegal orders, added, “If you receive an illegal order to attack the Vatican, you will also disobey that order.”

In a social media frenzy, he rage-posted 12 times through Sunday night. He posted an AI image of a Trump Hotel on the moon. Then he posted an image of himself cosplaying as Jesus healing a sick man, who if things weren’t weird enough many thought looked like Epstein. Cue flags, eagles, jets, angels, widespread outrage even from MAGA world - most charged “blasphemy,” not insanity - who maybe should’ve seen this coming? Taken aback by the uproar, he sputtered it “had to do with red cross as a red cross worker,” but took it down. Still, America’s eyes hurt. The consensus: “This man is not well.” And, said John Brennan, “The 25th Amendment was written with Donald Trump in mind.” Aaron Rupar sent out the image as a plea. “I’m not sure it has broken through to the general public that the president is a megalomaniac crazy person,” he wrote. “Hopefully posts like this help.” Or not.


Trump watches guys maul each otherImage from Bluesky


This man is not well.Image from Truth Social

Top psychiatrists issue urgent letter to Congress about Trump's mental instability


News photographers wait for U.S. President Donald Trump to walk out of the Oval Office to speak with reporters at the White House in Washington, D.C., U.S., April 13, 2026. REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst
April 15, 2026


Editor’s note: The following letter was sent to the bipartisan leadership of Congress on Monday, April 13, 2026 in regard to recent rhetoric and actions taken by US President Donald J. Trump.


Senator John Thune
Senate Majority Leader, US Senate

Senator Charles E. Schumer
Senate Minority Leader, US Senate

Representative Mike Johnson
Speaker of the House, USHouse of Representatives


Representative Hakeem Jeffries
House Minority Leader, US House of Representatives

Dear Senate Majority Leader Thune, Senate Minority Leader Schumer, Speaker Johnson, and House Minority Leader Jeffries:


We write to you today with a sense of urgency that we do not use lightly. The behavior and rhetoric of President Donald Trump have crossed a threshold that demands the immediate and bipartisan attention of Congress. This is not a partisan assessment. It is a judgment grounded in observable fact, consistent professional assessment, and the constitutional responsibilities that your offices carry.

President Trump exhibits what forensic mental health experts have, across dozens of independent assessments, identified as the “Dark Triad” of personality traits: narcissism, Machiavellianism, and psychopathy. Rather than constituting a clinical diagnosis, this trait-based assessment is grounded in behavioral observation and is particularly useful for assessing the level of danger an individual poses in a political leadership position. We do not offer this as a clinical verdict. We offer it as the considered judgment of a substantial body of professional opinion, based on well-researched evidence that is consistent, accumulating, and impossible to dismiss.


What makes this more than an academic matter is what predictably happens when this personality structure collides with immovable obstacles. The clinical literature is clear: individuals with Dark Triad profiles, when confronted with situations they cannot control or escape, do not recalibrate. They escalate. The psychological imperative to relieve narcissistic collapse overrides strategic calculation, concern for consequences, and ordinary self-restraint. Rage surges to domination. Impulsivity overrides caution. The urgent need to extinguish psychological pain eclipses every other consideration.


We are watching this dynamic unfold in real time.

The President’s recent public communications have been, by any normal standard of political discourse, alarming. His posts demanding that Iran “open the f------’ strait, you crazy b------” and his threat to bomb Iran “back to the stone ages,” adding that “a whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again,” are not the rhetoric of calculated geopolitical pressure. They are the expressions of a man in profound psychological distress who is reaching for the most extreme retaliatory threats available to him. That these statements were addressed to an adversary in the context of an active military confrontation makes them not merely shocking but profoundly dangerous.

President Trump has now ordered a US naval blockade of Iran — an action that has sent world oil prices soaring and placed the United States in direct opposition to the international community. His ongoing actions carry the potential to trigger a global economic catastrophe, draw in regional and great powers, and ignite a wider conflict with consequences that no one can bound. These orders are being issued without adequate deliberation, without congressional authorization, and in a context in which the President’s judgment is, by every visible measure, severely compromised.


We urge three specific actions.

First, Congress must immediately retake its constitutional authority over war. The bombing of Iran and the initiation of a naval blockade — acts of war under both US and international law — cannot be authorized by presidential fiat. Article I of the Constitution vests in Congress the sole power to declare war and to regulate commerce with foreign nations. The Framers intended Congress to deliberate upon and be accountable for precisely such consequential actions. Congress must assume its constitutional authority now, before further escalation renders the question moot.

Second, congressional leadership — on a bipartisan basis — must convene urgent consultations with senior administration officials, including the Secretary of Defense, the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs, the Secretary of State, and the Director of National Intelligence. The purpose is not routine oversight. It is to create a circuit breaker capable of preventing escalation toward catastrophe, including the potential use of nuclear weapons. Those officials have their own constitutional and statutory obligations. Congress should insist on those obligations and provide a forum in which they can be exercised.

Third, Congress should formally initiate consultation with the Vice President and Cabinet regarding the President’s fitness for office under Section 4 of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment. We do not prejudge the outcome. We are not calling for the President’s immediate removal. We are calling for the process that the Constitution itself provides for this contingency: when a President’s capacity to discharge the duties of office is in question and poses a potential imminent danger to the nation. The Amendment exists because those who drafted it recognized that the question of presidential incapacity would occasionally arise, and that it required a constitutional answer rather than a political improvisation.


He is a constitutional emergency. The mechanisms for addressing such an emergency exist. They were placed in the Constitution and its amendments for moments precisely like this one.

We recognize the gravity of what we are asking. We ask it because the gravity of the situation demands it.

A President who publicly threatens to destroy a foreign civilization, who launches a bombing campaign and then imposes a naval blockade without congressional authorization, and who shows every behavioral sign of a personality in acute crisis is not merely a political problem. He is a constitutional emergency. The mechanisms for addressing such an emergency exist. They were placed in the Constitution and its amendments for moments precisely like this one.

The war with Iran will not wait. The escalation dynamics of this active military confrontation will not wait. The psychological conditions driving the President’s decisions will not improve under pressure — they will worsen.


We urge you to act without delay. The Constitution gives you the tools. Your oath of office assigns you the responsibility.

Respectfully,

James Gilligan, M.D.
Clinical Professor of Psychiatry, New York University School of Medicine
Adjunct Professor of Law, New York University School of Law
Former Faculty of Psychiatry, Harvard Medical School
Former President, International Association of Forensic Psychotherapy

Prudence L. Gourguechon, M.D.
Former President, American Psychoanalytic Association
Former Vice President, World Mental Health Coalition


Bandy X. Lee, M.D., M.Div.
President, World Mental Health Coalition
Co-Founder, Preventing Violence Now
Former Faculty of Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School
Former Faculty of Law and Psychiatry, Yale School of Medicine

James R. Merikangas, M.D.
Clinical Professor of Psychiatry and Behavioral Science, George Washington University
Research Consultant, National Institute of Mental Health
Co-Founder, American Neuropsychiatric Association
Former President, American Academy of Clinical Psychiatrists

Jeffrey D. Sachs, Ph.D.
University Professor, Columbia University
Election experts expect Trump to confiscate voting equipment following midterm results


President Donald J. Trump speaks on the phone in the Oval Office Wednesday, Nov. 14, 2018, with Federal Emergency Management Agency Administrator Brock Long to receive the latest update on the devastating wildfires in California. (Official Whte House Photo by Joyce N. Boghosian)

April 17, 2026

There are always unanswered questions heading into any election. But usually those questions are more along the lines of “who’s going to win?” and less “will the federal government interfere with the election?”

This article was originally published by Votebeat, a nonprofit news organization covering local election administration and voting access.

But here in 2026, President Donald Trump’s broadsides against the legitimacy of U.S. elections and efforts to overhaul election laws have generated lots of uncertainty — and anxiety — about whether this will be a normal election year. Election officials and voters alike are left to wonder whether there will be new requirements for voters, physical interventions at the polls, or attempts to overturn results after the fact.

Despite seemingly endless speculation, no one knows for sure how likely any of these things is. But to get the most well-informed assessments, we turned to the people who spend the most time thinking about elections.

We asked 37 experts in the field of election administration — academics, lawyers, former election officials, etc. — to answer 26 questions about the likelihood of various scenarios coming to pass in the 2026 midterms.

Their answers reflect a general sense of cautious optimism about the most dire scenarios — such as an election getting overturned — and skepticism that the federal government will successfully change voting rules. But they also still believe the election will face serious challenges, including federal agents potentially showing up at polling places.

Election experts say new federal laws are unlikely, but split on state laws and court intervention

Since retaking office in 2025, Trump has pushed aggressively for the federal government to set more rules around how elections are run, promoting legislation that would require registering voters to prove their citizenship with documentation and issuing two election-related executive orders. (The first executive order has largely been blocked in court, though the administration has appealed. The second is currently under litigation, and the conventional wisdom is that it will be halted as well.)

However, experts were skeptical that these measures would ever take effect. Thirty-four of our 37 respondents said it was unlikely that the federal government would successfully require new registrants to prove their citizenship for the midterms, and 32 said it was unlikely that the federal government would successfully require all voters to show an ID or restrict the use of no-excuse absentee or mail ballots. (They provided their answers before Trump issued his second executive order, which sought to regulate mail voting through the U.S. Postal Service.)

Likewise, virtually all respondents thought it was unlikely that the federal government would restrict the hours or locations of in-person voting or limit or eliminate the use of voting machines to tally ballots in the midterms.

However, experts were more open to the possibility that some of these policies could take effect in individual states. Although none thought it was likely that a significant number of states would limit or eliminate the use of voting machines, about a quarter of respondents thought it was at least somewhat likely that a significant number of states would restrict the use of no-excuse absentee or mail ballots in the midterms. About one-third thought it was at least somewhat likely that a significant number of states would strengthen their voter ID requirements or restrict the hours or locations of in-person voting.

Even more respondents, 15 of the 37, thought it was at least somewhat likely that a significant number of states would pass proof-of-citizenship requirements before the election — perhaps unsurprisingly, given that such laws were working their way through several state legislatures at the time. Those laws have since passed in Florida, Mississippi, South Dakota, and Utah, although Florida’s does not take effect until 2027 and Mississippi’s is limited in scope.

Overall, though, most experts didn’t expect states to significantly change their election laws this year. Derek Muller, an election law professor at the University of Notre Dame, pointed out that many states have part-time legislatures that won’t be in session between now and the election. “I expect new legislation in the months ahead that might affect the 2026 election to be negligible,” Muller said.

If there are going to be major election-law changes before the midterms, experts expect them to come from the third branch of government: the judiciary. Seventeen experts said it was at least somewhat likely that pre-election court rulings would significantly alter election rules shortly before the midterms, although 19 still said that was unlikely.

In follow-up interviews, those who thought this was likely said that they were keeping an eye both on currently pending cases — such as a U.S. Supreme Court case that could require all mail ballots to arrive by Election Day — and those that have not yet been filed. That said, a Supreme Court ruling earlier this year will probably encourage litigants to bring any cases challenging election rules well before the election, making last-minute rule changes less likely.

Experts expect federal agents to disrupt the 2026 election

For many election officials and voting advocates, the nightmare scenario for the 2026 midterms is if federal agents, such as U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement, attempt to disrupt voting or the counting of ballots. It’s already illegal for armed troops to visit voting locations, and the Trump administration has repeatedly said that it will not send ICE agents to polling places this year. However, new Secretary of Homeland Security Markwayne Mullin has declined to absolutely rule it out, and a majority of the experts we surveyed expected something like this to happen.

Twenty-seven of the 37 respondents said it was at least somewhat likely that the federal government would deploy some form of military or law enforcement at or near polling places in the midterms. A slight majority said it was likely that Trump would ask the National Guard or federal agents to seize voting equipment during the election, and over three-quarters said it was likely that Trump would ask them to seize voting equipment after the election. (It’s worth noting that respondents gave these answers just a few weeks after the FBI raided an election office in Fulton County, Georgia, and Trump said that he regretted not asking the National Guard to seize voting machines after the 2020 election.)

Multiple respondents told Votebeat that the seizure of voting equipment was more likely after the election because the election results will be known at that time. “Before the election, no one will know where seizing equipment or ballots could shift pivotal races,” said Christopher Mann, the research director at the Center for Election Innovation and Research. “After the election, a bad actor will have a better picture of where seizing voting equipment or ballots can shift the overall outcome.”

Twenty-eight experts said it was at least somewhat likely that there would be physical threats to voters or polling places in the midterms, including 11 who said it was very likely. (They were perhaps recalling 2024, when a string of bomb threats forced some polling places to close temporarily, though election officials were able to minimize disruptions to voting.) However, experts were divided on whether these threats would deter people from voting. Twenty-one experts said it was unlikely that a significant number of voters would decide not to vote because of threats or physical intimidation, while 16 said that was likely.

Notably, experts were not very confident about their predictions about armed intervention in the midterms. Some also pointed out that, even if it’s likely that Trump might order federal agents to interfere in the election, that doesn’t mean they will succeed. “Election officials, courts, and other state and local officials are going to stop any attempt to seize voting equipment or ballots,” Mann predicted.

And some experts emphasized that even if there are incidents at specific polling places, they expect the election overall to run smoothly. “I’m an optimist, which probably led to many of my answers,” admitted Jeff Greenburg, a retired election official in Pennsylvania and a senior adviser at the Committee of Seventy, a Philadelphia-based government watchdog group. But Greenburg said he doesn’t expect that physical threats to voting “will significantly impact elections nationwide. I have faith and trust in our election officials, as well as the rule of law, and believe in the end every vote cast will be counted.”

Losers may claim fraud, but it’s unlikely an election gets overturned

Election experts of all stripes are confident that U.S. elections are secure. All 37 respondents said it was unlikely that a significant number of ineligible voters would cast ballots in the midterms, including 35 who said it was not at all likely. Experts also unanimously said that it was unlikely that voter fraud would influence the outcome of a 2026 congressional race.

However, that isn’t expected to stop candidates from questioning the election results. Almost three-quarters of experts thought it was at least somewhat likely that a significant number of losing candidates would claim fraud influenced the outcome of the election. All 37 thought it was likely that at least one congressional or statewide election would be legally challenged, with 30 calling it very likely.

At the same time, though, most experts don’t expect those challenges to succeed. Thirty-one of the 37 respondents thought it was unlikely that any congressional or statewide elections would be successfully overturned.

Nathaniel Rakich is Votebeat’s managing editor and is based in Washington, D.C. Contact Nathaniel at nrakich@votebeat.org.

Votebeat is a nonprofit news organization covering local election integrity and voting access. Sign up for their newsletters here.
'Let them eat lead': Alex Jones targets Trump with Marie Antoinette image


(Screenshot/Alex Jones)

April 16, 2026  
ALTERNET


On Sunday, President Donald Trump shared an AI-generated image of himself as Jesus, prompting widespread outrage from many Christians. Then on Thursday morning, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth delivered a press briefing in which he compared Trump to Jesus.

Later in the morning, in a post to X, far-right commentator Alex Jones shared his own AI-Trump comparison: Trump as Marie Antoinette.

“TRUMP ‘MARIE ANTOINETTE’ SAYS,” declared Jones, "’It's not possible for us to take care of daycare, Medicaid, Medicare, all these individual things... We have to take care of one thing: military protection. We have to guard the country,’ Trump said. He should have just said ‘let them eat lead, with a nice helping of hyper inflation.’”

While Jones has been a longtime ally of Trump, supporting him since the beginning of his first campaign in 2015, the relationship between the two has soured in recent months as the podcaster has become increasingly alarmed by the president’s behavior and his pro-war rather than “America First” policies.

In a follow-up post, Jones explained his reasoning behind comparing Trump to Antoinette.

“Trump's budget funnels $895B to Lockheed and Raytheon,” wrote Jones, “up 4.1%, while axing $800B from Medicaid, states bleed for Ukraine aid. Donors get cake; we get lead and hyperinflation. My point is Trump is changing his priority from domestic to foreign and telling us unlimited welfare for Israel is wonderful. Obviously the federal government needs to be cut, but you can’t slash entitlements in an election year and then spend trillions on wars at the same time. His behavior and statements literally look and sound like Marie Antoinette’s.”

Jones has previously criticized the president’s claim that the U.S. must prioritize war over domestic programs like Medicare and Medicaid, saying, “That’s always the big third rail situation that you know you don’t touch. That’s political suicide.”

In recent weeks, Jones has also questioned Trump’s mental and physical health, asserting Trump’s massively swollen ankles are a sign of “heart failure” and his behavior smacks of “dementia.”

“He does look sick,” said Jones. “And he does babble and sound like the brain’s not doing too hot.”

According to Jones, Trump’s actions have become too “erratic” to ignore, to the point where he has suggested invoking the 25th Amendment to remove the president from office.

“I think we’re dealing with the madness of King George III here,” said Jones. “We got a big, big problem.”